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2021-09-09

Cool

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2021-08-06

Cool

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2021-08-05

Nice

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2021-08-04

Nice

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2021-08-02

Cool

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2021-08-01

Cool

Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者小心!股市正在进入一年中最危险的时期</blockquote>

2021-07-29

Hope it is good

Amazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊 2021 财年第二季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>

2021-07-28

Never too late

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2021-07-27

Moon?

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2021-07-25

Cool

Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Lol

AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Wow

WTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI 对意外的大量原油库存不屑一顾</blockquote>

2021-07-20

Nice

Nvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>英伟达、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝佐斯、苹果、Netflix - 周二您必须了解的 5 件事</blockquote>

2021-07-19

Like pls

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2021-07-18

Wow

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2021-07-17

Nice

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2021-07-15

Nice

Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>

2021-07-14

Nice

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2021-07-13

Nic e

Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>

2021-07-12

Nice

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aper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802423246","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者小心!股市正在进入一年中最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的季节”，乐队高唱着 20 世纪 70 年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆起在海滩或烧烤旁的美好时光。当时没有必要提醒任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔 (Stephen Suttmeier) 编制的 1928 年数据，8 月的到来也意味着股市进入了历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现，标准普尔 500 指数在 8 月、9 月和 10 月的平均回报率为 0.03%，这是该大型股基准指数一年中最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们是唯一平均亏损的三个月时期。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7 月份标普500的平均回报率为 1.58%，其中 59.1% 的时间为正面结果，而 9 月份的平均回报率为负 1.03%，不到一半的时间（即 45%）以正面结果结束。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。据道琼斯统计专家称，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，是自 2018 年 9 月以来最长的连涨。在此期间，其累计上涨18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8 月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为 0.70%，阳性结果率为 58.1%，标志着从 “夏季撕裂 ”到 “秋季下跌 ”的过渡。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier 发现，毫不奇怪，8 月至 10 月期间的滞后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据 1992 年的记录，继 4 月至 7 月期间波动性相对较低之后，ECBOE 波动率指数 (VIX) 在那几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是序幕，那么如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性动荡时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以 38 美元的价格出售了 5500 万股股票。在这个过程中，它给所有进入IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一个要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期的 38-42 美元范围的低端。他们的价格在第一天交易中下跌了8.4%，尽管他们在周五有所回升。截至周末，持有 Robinhood IPO 的买家下跌了 7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>公司联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔-特涅夫（Vladimir Tenev）和首席创意官拜朱-巴特（Baiju Bhatt）都在高价抛售，他们在首次公开募股中分别抛售了 125 万股股票。正如我杰出的前任艾伦-阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢指出的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但预期股价上涨并不是其中之一。鉴于富裕的所有者有能力通过廉价借款来将其资产货币化，而且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未如此真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，Tenev 和 Bhatt 仍然持有 Robinhood 的重大股份。Asour 的同事 Avi Salzman 报道称，这些股票按首次发行价计算价值 25 亿美元，Tenev 和 Bhatt 保留投票控制权。如果股价达到 300 美元，两人还可以获得 Tenev 价值高达 67 亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt 价值高达 40 亿美元的股票奖励，或者接近众所周知的十袋大亨。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪，美国工人的平均年薪降至 34,248 美元。正如喜剧演员雅科夫-斯米尔诺夫（Yakov Smirnoff）喜欢说的那样：“多么美好的国家啊!”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的情况将是定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测集中在增加 90 万人左右。Jefferies 经济学家 Aneta Markowska 和 Thomas Simons 估计，这一增幅可能会超过人们期待已久的 100 万大关；他们预测120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有争议的问题。(有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者小心!股市正在进入一年中最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者小心!股市正在进入一年中最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的季节”，乐队高唱着 20 世纪 70 年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆起在海滩或烧烤旁的美好时光。当时没有必要提醒任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔 (Stephen Suttmeier) 编制的 1928 年数据，8 月的到来也意味着股市进入了历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现，标准普尔 500 指数在 8 月、9 月和 10 月的平均回报率为 0.03%，这是该大型股基准指数一年中最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们是唯一平均亏损的三个月时期。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7 月份标普500的平均回报率为 1.58%，其中 59.1% 的时间为正面结果，而 9 月份的平均回报率为负 1.03%，不到一半的时间（即 45%）以正面结果结束。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。据道琼斯统计专家称，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，是自 2018 年 9 月以来最长的连涨。在此期间，其累计上涨18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8 月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为 0.70%，阳性结果率为 58.1%，标志着从 “夏季撕裂 ”到 “秋季下跌 ”的过渡。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier 发现，毫不奇怪，8 月至 10 月期间的滞后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据 1992 年的记录，继 4 月至 7 月期间波动性相对较低之后，ECBOE 波动率指数 (VIX) 在那几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是序幕，那么如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性动荡时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以 38 美元的价格出售了 5500 万股股票。在这个过程中，它给所有进入IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一个要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期的 38-42 美元范围的低端。他们的价格在第一天交易中下跌了8.4%，尽管他们在周五有所回升。截至周末，持有 Robinhood IPO 的买家下跌了 7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>公司联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔-特涅夫（Vladimir Tenev）和首席创意官拜朱-巴特（Baiju Bhatt）都在高价抛售，他们在首次公开募股中分别抛售了 125 万股股票。正如我杰出的前任艾伦-阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢指出的那样，卖出股票有很多很好的理由，但预期股价上涨并不是其中之一。鉴于富裕的所有者有能力通过廉价借款来将其资产货币化，而且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未如此真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，Tenev 和 Bhatt 仍然持有 Robinhood 的重大股份。Asour 的同事 Avi Salzman 报道称，这些股票按首次发行价计算价值 25 亿美元，Tenev 和 Bhatt 保留投票控制权。如果股价达到 300 美元，两人还可以获得 Tenev 价值高达 67 亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt 价值高达 40 亿美元的股票奖励，或者接近众所周知的十袋大亨。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪，美国工人的平均年薪降至 34,248 美元。正如喜剧演员雅科夫-斯米尔诺夫（Yakov Smirnoff）喜欢说的那样：“多么美好的国家啊!”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的情况将是定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测集中在增加 90 万人左右。Jefferies 经济学家 Aneta Markowska 和 Thomas Simons 估计，这一增幅可能会超过人们期待已久的 100 万大关；他们预测120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有争议的问题。(有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801794469,"gmtCreate":1627533156951,"gmtModify":1631884320289,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hope it is good","listText":"Hope it is good","text":"Hope it is good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801794469","repostId":"1114682225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114682225","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627528457,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114682225?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 11:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊 2021 财年第二季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114682225","media":"investopedia","summary":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.\nAWS revenue is expected to ","content":"<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.</li>  <li>AWS revenue is expected to rise at healthy pace YOY.</li>  <li>Companywide revenue is expected to rise, but at a slower pace than recent quarters as analysts watch for the pandemic-induced boom in online shopping to slow.</li> </ul> Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has seen its earnings and revenue balloon amid the shift to online commerce and cloud computing triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, Amazon is facing perhaps the biggest management transition in the company's 27-year history. The second quarter was the final period with founder Jeff Bezos at the helm. In his place, Amazon veteran Andy Jassy, who helped build the giant cloud services business, will lead the company's growth as the new chief executive officer (CEO). Bezos stepped down on July 5.1</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第二季度每股收益为 12.47 美元，而 10.30 美元。</li><li>AWS 收入预计将以健康的速度同比增长。</li><li>全公司收入预计将增长，但增速低于最近几个季度，因为分析师认为大流行引发的在线购物繁荣将会放缓。</li></ul>在 COVID-19 大流行引发的向在线商务和云计算的转变中，亚马逊公司 (AMZN) 的盈利和收入激增。现在，亚马逊正面临着该公司27年历史上最大的管理层转型。第二季度是创始人杰夫·贝索斯掌舵的最后一段时间。接替他的是帮助建立巨型云服务业务的亚马逊资深人士安迪·贾西（Andy Jassy），他将作为新任首席执行官（CEO）领导公司的发展。贝佐斯于 7 月 5.1 日辞职</blockquote></p><p> Investors will be closely watching Amazon's financial performance, and Jassy's plans for future growth, when the company reports earnings on July 29, 2021 for Q2 FY 2021.2Analysts expect both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue to rise, but at a much slower pace than in recent quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>当亚马逊于 2021 年 7 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第二季度收益时，投资者将密切关注亚马逊的财务业绩以及 Jassy 的未来增长计划。2分析师预计每股收益 (EPS) 和收入都将上升，但增长速度比最近几个季度慢得多。3</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be focusing on revenue generated by Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's high-margincloud computingbusiness. AWS still comprises a relatively small share of the company's overall revenue, but it generates the majority of Amazon's operating income. Analysts are expecting AWS revenue growth to slow slightly in the second quarter.3</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注该公司高利润率云计算业务亚马逊网络服务 (AWS) 产生的收入。AWS 在公司总收入中所占份额仍然相对较小，但它创造了亚马逊的大部分经营利润。分析师预计 AWS 第二季度收入增长将略有放缓。3</blockquote></p><p> Amazon's shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year. The stock had been keeping pace with the market from the end of July 2020 until early November 2020. It then started to lag. But the stock has begun to narrow its performance gap with the market since early June 2021. Shares of Amazon have provided a total return of 18.7% over the past year, below the S&amp;P 500's total return of 35.9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，亚马逊的股价表现逊于大盘。该股自2020年7月底至2020年11月初一直与市场保持同步。然后它开始滞后。但自2021年6月初以来，该股已开始缩小与市场的业绩差距。亚马逊股票过去一年的总回报率为 18.7%，低于标准普尔 500 指数 35.9% 的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7efc7554eea9b91f01379acc5abc25d2\" tg-width=\"1772\" tg-height=\"677\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TradingView.Amazon Earnings History</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.Amazon 盈利历史</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock tumbled in the days following the release of Amazon'sQ1 FY 2021earnings report in late April despite dramatically beating analysts' consensus estimates. It continued to sink until around mid-May. EPS rose 215.2%, bouncing back after declining 29.4% in the year-ago quarter. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year (YOY), marking the fastest pace of growth in at least 15 quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊 2021 财年第一季度收益报告大幅超出分析师的普遍预期，但该股在 4 月底发布后的几天内暴跌。它继续下沉，直到五月中旬左右。每股收益增长 215.2%，在去年同期下降 29.4% 后反弹。收入同比增长 43.8%，创下至少 15 个季度以来最快的增长速度。3</blockquote></p><p> InQ4 FY 2020, Amazon crushed analysts' earnings expectations. EPS rose 117.7% compared to the year-ago quarter, marking the second fastest pace of growth since Q3 FY 2018. Revenue expanded 43.6% YOY, accelerating from Q3's pace of 37.4%.3The company announced in its fourth quarter earnings release that Jassy would be taking over the role of CEO from Bezos beginning in the third quarter of FY 2021. \"Right now I see Amazon at its most inventive ever, making it an optimal time for this transition,\" said Bezos.4</p><p><blockquote>2020 财年第四季度，亚马逊超出了分析师的盈利预期。每股收益较去年同期增长117.7%，创下2018财年第三季度以来第二快的增长速度。收入同比增长 43.6%，较第三季度 37.4% 的增速有所加快。3该公司在第四季度财报中宣布，贾西将从 2021 财年第三季度开始接替贝佐斯担任首席执行官一职。“现在我看到亚马逊处于有史以来最具创造力的状态，这是实现这一转变的最佳时机，”贝佐斯说。4</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect Amazon to post another quarter of healthy earnings and revenue growth in Q2 FY 2021. EPS is expected to rise 21.0% as revenue grows 29.8% compared to the year-ago quarter. It would be the slowest pace of growth for both the top and bottom lines since Q1 FY 2020. For full-year FY 2021, analysts expect EPS to rise 35.9% while annual revenue expands 27.1%, slowing from last year's pace.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计亚马逊将在 2021 财年第二季度实现另一个季度的健康盈利和收入增长。每股收益预计将增长 21.0%，收入较去年同期增长 29.8%。这将是自 2020 财年第一季度以来营收和利润的最慢增长速度。分析师预计 2021 财年全年每股收益将增长 35.9%，而年收入将增长 27.1%，低于去年的增速。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon Key Stats</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊密钥统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> <table></table> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Estimate for Q2 2021 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2020 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2019 (FY)</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share ($)</td>    <td>$12.47</td>    <td>$10.30</td>    <td>$5.22</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$115.4</td>    <td>$88.9</td>    <td>$63.4</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>AWS Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$14.2</td>    <td>$10.8</td>    <td>$8.4</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table></table><table><tbody><tr><td>2021 年第二季度（财年）预测</td><td>2020年第二季度（财年）</td><td>2019年第二季度（财年）</td></tr><tr><td>每股收益（美元）</td><td>$12.47</td><td>$10.30</td><td>$5.22</td></tr><tr><td>收入（美元）</td><td>$115.4</td><td>$88.9</td><td>$63.4</td></tr><tr><td>AWS 收入 ($B)</td><td>$14.2</td><td>$10.8</td><td>$8.4</td></tr></tbody></table><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As mentioned above, investors will also be focused on revenue generated by AWS, Amazon's cloud-computing platform. AWS offers developers a range of on-demand technology services, such as compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services.5These services are primarily used by start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company's AWS business generates much higher margins than itse-commercebusiness. In FY 2020,Amazon'sglobal retail sales- and subscription-based business segments generated about 88% of the company's total revenue while AWS accounted for a mere 12%. However, AWS accounted for 59% of total operating income for the year, making it Amazon's main profit generator.6But investors won't want to ignore results for Amazon's e-commerce business, which has greatly expanded throughout the pandemic. Investors will want to see how much of the company's additional e-commerce sales generated during the pandemic will persist as more traditional brick-and-mortar shops begin to reopen again.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者还将关注亚马逊云计算平台AWS产生的收入。AWS为开发人员提供一系列按需技术服务，如计算、存储、数据库、分析、机器学习和其他服务。5这些服务主要由初创企业、企业、政府机构和学术机构使用。该公司的 AWS 业务产生的利润率远高于其 TSE-CommerceBusiness。2020财年，亚马逊的全球零售销售和订阅业务部门约占公司总收入的88%，而AWS仅占12%。然而，AWS 占当年总经营利润的 59%，成为亚马逊的主要利润来源。6但投资者不想忽视亚马逊电子商务业务的业绩，该业务在整个疫情期间大幅扩张。随着更多传统实体店开始重新开业，投资者希望看看该公司在疫情期间产生的额外电子商务销售额有多少会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Growth in AWS revenue has consistently slowed over the past five years, despite a brief acceleration in FY 2018. In FY 2015, annual AWS revenue grew 69.7%. Last year, revenue for Amazon's cloud segment grew at a healthy, but slower, 29.5% pace. In each of the last three quarters of FY 2020, growth in AWS revenue ranged between 28-29% YOY. In Q1 FY 2021, growth accelerated to a pace of 32.1%. At the end of the first quarter, AWS led the $150-billion global cloud market with a 32% share, well ahead of both Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Azure and Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Google Cloud.7Analysts expect AWS revenue to increase 31.2% in Q2 FY 2021, slightly slower than the previous quarter's pace. For full-year FY 2021, AWS revenue is expected to rise 30.3%, slightly faster than last year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 2018 财年短暂加速，但 AWS 收入增长在过去五年中持续放缓。2015财年，AWS年收入增长69.7%。去年，亚马逊云业务的收入以 29.5% 的健康但较慢的速度增长。在 2020 财年的最后三个季度中，AWS 收入同比增长 28-29%。2021财年第一季度，增长率加速至32.1%。截至第一季度末，AWS 以 32% 的份额引领价值 1500 亿美元的全球云市场，远远领先于微软公司 (MSFT) 的 Azure 和Alphabet公司 (GOOGL) 的 Google Cloud。7分析师预计 AWS 收入将增长 31.2%2021 财年第二季度，略低于上一季度的速度。2021财年全年，AWS收入预计将增长30.3%，略高于去年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊 2021 财年第二季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Q2 FY2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>亚马逊 2021 财年第二季度收益报告预览：看点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investopedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 11:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.</li>  <li>AWS revenue is expected to rise at healthy pace YOY.</li>  <li>Companywide revenue is expected to rise, but at a slower pace than recent quarters as analysts watch for the pandemic-induced boom in online shopping to slow.</li> </ul> Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has seen its earnings and revenue balloon amid the shift to online commerce and cloud computing triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, Amazon is facing perhaps the biggest management transition in the company's 27-year history. The second quarter was the final period with founder Jeff Bezos at the helm. In his place, Amazon veteran Andy Jassy, who helped build the giant cloud services business, will lead the company's growth as the new chief executive officer (CEO). Bezos stepped down on July 5.1</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计 2020 财年第二季度每股收益为 12.47 美元，而 10.30 美元。</li><li>AWS 收入预计将以健康的速度同比增长。</li><li>全公司收入预计将增长，但增速低于最近几个季度，因为分析师认为大流行引发的在线购物繁荣将会放缓。</li></ul>在 COVID-19 大流行引发的向在线商务和云计算的转变中，亚马逊公司 (AMZN) 的盈利和收入激增。现在，亚马逊正面临着该公司27年历史上最大的管理层转型。第二季度是创始人杰夫·贝索斯掌舵的最后一段时间。接替他的是帮助建立巨型云服务业务的亚马逊资深人士安迪·贾西（Andy Jassy），他将作为新任首席执行官（CEO）领导公司的发展。贝佐斯于 7 月 5.1 日辞职</blockquote></p><p> Investors will be closely watching Amazon's financial performance, and Jassy's plans for future growth, when the company reports earnings on July 29, 2021 for Q2 FY 2021.2Analysts expect both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue to rise, but at a much slower pace than in recent quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>当亚马逊于 2021 年 7 月 29 日公布 2021 财年第二季度收益时，投资者将密切关注亚马逊的财务业绩以及 Jassy 的未来增长计划。2分析师预计每股收益 (EPS) 和收入都将上升，但增长速度比最近几个季度慢得多。3</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be focusing on revenue generated by Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's high-margincloud computingbusiness. AWS still comprises a relatively small share of the company's overall revenue, but it generates the majority of Amazon's operating income. Analysts are expecting AWS revenue growth to slow slightly in the second quarter.3</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注该公司高利润率云计算业务亚马逊网络服务 (AWS) 产生的收入。AWS 在公司总收入中所占份额仍然相对较小，但它创造了亚马逊的大部分经营利润。分析师预计 AWS 第二季度收入增长将略有放缓。3</blockquote></p><p> Amazon's shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year. The stock had been keeping pace with the market from the end of July 2020 until early November 2020. It then started to lag. But the stock has begun to narrow its performance gap with the market since early June 2021. Shares of Amazon have provided a total return of 18.7% over the past year, below the S&amp;P 500's total return of 35.9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，亚马逊的股价表现逊于大盘。该股自2020年7月底至2020年11月初一直与市场保持同步。然后它开始滞后。但自2021年6月初以来，该股已开始缩小与市场的业绩差距。亚马逊股票过去一年的总回报率为 18.7%，低于标准普尔 500 指数 35.9% 的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7efc7554eea9b91f01379acc5abc25d2\" tg-width=\"1772\" tg-height=\"677\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: TradingView.Amazon Earnings History</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.Amazon 盈利历史</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock tumbled in the days following the release of Amazon'sQ1 FY 2021earnings report in late April despite dramatically beating analysts' consensus estimates. It continued to sink until around mid-May. EPS rose 215.2%, bouncing back after declining 29.4% in the year-ago quarter. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year (YOY), marking the fastest pace of growth in at least 15 quarters.3</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊 2021 财年第一季度收益报告大幅超出分析师的普遍预期，但该股在 4 月底发布后的几天内暴跌。它继续下沉，直到五月中旬左右。每股收益增长 215.2%，在去年同期下降 29.4% 后反弹。收入同比增长 43.8%，创下至少 15 个季度以来最快的增长速度。3</blockquote></p><p> InQ4 FY 2020, Amazon crushed analysts' earnings expectations. EPS rose 117.7% compared to the year-ago quarter, marking the second fastest pace of growth since Q3 FY 2018. Revenue expanded 43.6% YOY, accelerating from Q3's pace of 37.4%.3The company announced in its fourth quarter earnings release that Jassy would be taking over the role of CEO from Bezos beginning in the third quarter of FY 2021. \"Right now I see Amazon at its most inventive ever, making it an optimal time for this transition,\" said Bezos.4</p><p><blockquote>2020 财年第四季度，亚马逊超出了分析师的盈利预期。每股收益较去年同期增长117.7%，创下2018财年第三季度以来第二快的增长速度。收入同比增长 43.6%，较第三季度 37.4% 的增速有所加快。3该公司在第四季度财报中宣布，贾西将从 2021 财年第三季度开始接替贝佐斯担任首席执行官一职。“现在我看到亚马逊处于有史以来最具创造力的状态，这是实现这一转变的最佳时机，”贝佐斯说。4</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect Amazon to post another quarter of healthy earnings and revenue growth in Q2 FY 2021. EPS is expected to rise 21.0% as revenue grows 29.8% compared to the year-ago quarter. It would be the slowest pace of growth for both the top and bottom lines since Q1 FY 2020. For full-year FY 2021, analysts expect EPS to rise 35.9% while annual revenue expands 27.1%, slowing from last year's pace.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计亚马逊将在 2021 财年第二季度实现另一个季度的健康盈利和收入增长。每股收益预计将增长 21.0%，收入较去年同期增长 29.8%。这将是自 2020 财年第一季度以来营收和利润的最慢增长速度。分析师预计 2021 财年全年每股收益将增长 35.9%，而年收入将增长 27.1%，低于去年的增速。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon Key Stats</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊密钥统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> <table></table> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Estimate for Q2 2021 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2020 (FY)</td>    <td>Q2 2019 (FY)</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share ($)</td>    <td>$12.47</td>    <td>$10.30</td>    <td>$5.22</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$115.4</td>    <td>$88.9</td>    <td>$63.4</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>AWS Revenue ($B)</td>    <td>$14.2</td>    <td>$10.8</td>    <td>$8.4</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><table></table><table><tbody><tr><td>2021 年第二季度（财年）预测</td><td>2020年第二季度（财年）</td><td>2019年第二季度（财年）</td></tr><tr><td>每股收益（美元）</td><td>$12.47</td><td>$10.30</td><td>$5.22</td></tr><tr><td>收入（美元）</td><td>$115.4</td><td>$88.9</td><td>$63.4</td></tr><tr><td>AWS 收入 ($B)</td><td>$14.2</td><td>$10.8</td><td>$8.4</td></tr></tbody></table><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As mentioned above, investors will also be focused on revenue generated by AWS, Amazon's cloud-computing platform. AWS offers developers a range of on-demand technology services, such as compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services.5These services are primarily used by start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company's AWS business generates much higher margins than itse-commercebusiness. In FY 2020,Amazon'sglobal retail sales- and subscription-based business segments generated about 88% of the company's total revenue while AWS accounted for a mere 12%. However, AWS accounted for 59% of total operating income for the year, making it Amazon's main profit generator.6But investors won't want to ignore results for Amazon's e-commerce business, which has greatly expanded throughout the pandemic. Investors will want to see how much of the company's additional e-commerce sales generated during the pandemic will persist as more traditional brick-and-mortar shops begin to reopen again.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者还将关注亚马逊云计算平台AWS产生的收入。AWS为开发人员提供一系列按需技术服务，如计算、存储、数据库、分析、机器学习和其他服务。5这些服务主要由初创企业、企业、政府机构和学术机构使用。该公司的 AWS 业务产生的利润率远高于其 TSE-CommerceBusiness。2020财年，亚马逊的全球零售销售和订阅业务部门约占公司总收入的88%，而AWS仅占12%。然而，AWS 占当年总经营利润的 59%，成为亚马逊的主要利润来源。6但投资者不想忽视亚马逊电子商务业务的业绩，该业务在整个疫情期间大幅扩张。随着更多传统实体店开始重新开业，投资者希望看看该公司在疫情期间产生的额外电子商务销售额有多少会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> Growth in AWS revenue has consistently slowed over the past five years, despite a brief acceleration in FY 2018. In FY 2015, annual AWS revenue grew 69.7%. Last year, revenue for Amazon's cloud segment grew at a healthy, but slower, 29.5% pace. In each of the last three quarters of FY 2020, growth in AWS revenue ranged between 28-29% YOY. In Q1 FY 2021, growth accelerated to a pace of 32.1%. At the end of the first quarter, AWS led the $150-billion global cloud market with a 32% share, well ahead of both Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Azure and Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Google Cloud.7Analysts expect AWS revenue to increase 31.2% in Q2 FY 2021, slightly slower than the previous quarter's pace. For full-year FY 2021, AWS revenue is expected to rise 30.3%, slightly faster than last year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 2018 财年短暂加速，但 AWS 收入增长在过去五年中持续放缓。2015财年，AWS年收入增长69.7%。去年，亚马逊云业务的收入以 29.5% 的健康但较慢的速度增长。在 2020 财年的最后三个季度中，AWS 收入同比增长 28-29%。2021财年第一季度，增长率加速至32.1%。截至第一季度末，AWS 以 32% 的份额引领价值 1500 亿美元的全球云市场，远远领先于微软公司 (MSFT) 的 Azure 和Alphabet公司 (GOOGL) 的 Google Cloud。7分析师预计 AWS 收入将增长 31.2%2021 财年第二季度，略低于上一季度的速度。2021财年全年，AWS收入预计将增长30.3%，略高于去年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/amazon-q2-fy2021-earnings-report-preview-5194475\">investopedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/amazon-q2-fy2021-earnings-report-preview-5194475","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114682225","content_text":"KEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate EPS of $12.47 vs. $10.30 in Q2 FY 2020.\nAWS revenue is expected to rise at healthy pace YOY.\nCompanywide revenue is expected to rise, but at a slower pace than recent quarters as analysts watch for the pandemic-induced boom in online shopping to slow.\n\nAmazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has seen its earnings and revenue balloon amid the shift to online commerce and cloud computing triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Now, Amazon is facing perhaps the biggest management transition in the company's 27-year history. The second quarter was the final period with founder Jeff Bezos at the helm. In his place, Amazon veteran Andy Jassy, who helped build the giant cloud services business, will lead the company's growth as the new chief executive officer (CEO). Bezos stepped down on July 5.1\nInvestors will be closely watching Amazon's financial performance, and Jassy's plans for future growth, when the company reports earnings on July 29, 2021 for Q2 FY 2021.2Analysts expect both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue to rise, but at a much slower pace than in recent quarters.3\nInvestors will also be focusing on revenue generated by Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company's high-margincloud computingbusiness. AWS still comprises a relatively small share of the company's overall revenue, but it generates the majority of Amazon's operating income. Analysts are expecting AWS revenue growth to slow slightly in the second quarter.3\nAmazon's shares have underperformed the broader market over the past year. The stock had been keeping pace with the market from the end of July 2020 until early November 2020. It then started to lag. But the stock has begun to narrow its performance gap with the market since early June 2021. Shares of Amazon have provided a total return of 18.7% over the past year, below the S&P 500's total return of 35.9%.\nSource: TradingView.Amazon Earnings History\nThe stock tumbled in the days following the release of Amazon'sQ1 FY 2021earnings report in late April despite dramatically beating analysts' consensus estimates. It continued to sink until around mid-May. EPS rose 215.2%, bouncing back after declining 29.4% in the year-ago quarter. Revenue grew 43.8% year over year (YOY), marking the fastest pace of growth in at least 15 quarters.3\nInQ4 FY 2020, Amazon crushed analysts' earnings expectations. EPS rose 117.7% compared to the year-ago quarter, marking the second fastest pace of growth since Q3 FY 2018. Revenue expanded 43.6% YOY, accelerating from Q3's pace of 37.4%.3The company announced in its fourth quarter earnings release that Jassy would be taking over the role of CEO from Bezos beginning in the third quarter of FY 2021. \"Right now I see Amazon at its most inventive ever, making it an optimal time for this transition,\" said Bezos.4\nAnalysts expect Amazon to post another quarter of healthy earnings and revenue growth in Q2 FY 2021. EPS is expected to rise 21.0% as revenue grows 29.8% compared to the year-ago quarter. It would be the slowest pace of growth for both the top and bottom lines since Q1 FY 2020. For full-year FY 2021, analysts expect EPS to rise 35.9% while annual revenue expands 27.1%, slowing from last year's pace.\nAmazon Key Stats\n\n\n\n\nEstimate for Q2 2021 (FY)\nQ2 2020 (FY)\nQ2 2019 (FY)\n\n\nEarnings Per Share ($)\n$12.47\n$10.30\n$5.22\n\n\nRevenue ($B)\n$115.4\n$88.9\n$63.4\n\n\nAWS Revenue ($B)\n$14.2\n$10.8\n$8.4\n\n\n\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, investors will also be focused on revenue generated by AWS, Amazon's cloud-computing platform. AWS offers developers a range of on-demand technology services, such as compute, storage, database, analytics, machine learning, and other services.5These services are primarily used by start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company's AWS business generates much higher margins than itse-commercebusiness. In FY 2020,Amazon'sglobal retail sales- and subscription-based business segments generated about 88% of the company's total revenue while AWS accounted for a mere 12%. However, AWS accounted for 59% of total operating income for the year, making it Amazon's main profit generator.6But investors won't want to ignore results for Amazon's e-commerce business, which has greatly expanded throughout the pandemic. Investors will want to see how much of the company's additional e-commerce sales generated during the pandemic will persist as more traditional brick-and-mortar shops begin to reopen again.\nGrowth in AWS revenue has consistently slowed over the past five years, despite a brief acceleration in FY 2018. In FY 2015, annual AWS revenue grew 69.7%. Last year, revenue for Amazon's cloud segment grew at a healthy, but slower, 29.5% pace. In each of the last three quarters of FY 2020, growth in AWS revenue ranged between 28-29% YOY. In Q1 FY 2021, growth accelerated to a pace of 32.1%. At the end of the first quarter, AWS led the $150-billion global cloud market with a 32% share, well ahead of both Microsoft Corp.'s (MSFT) Azure and Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Google Cloud.7Analysts expect AWS revenue to increase 31.2% in Q2 FY 2021, slightly slower than the previous quarter's pace. For full-year FY 2021, AWS revenue is expected to rise 30.3%, slightly faster than last year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803724030,"gmtCreate":1627466252920,"gmtModify":1631891807916,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Never too late","listText":"Never too late","text":"Never too late","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803724030","repostId":"2154362911","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809466324,"gmtCreate":1627387905568,"gmtModify":1631891807923,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Moon?","listText":"Moon?","text":"Moon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809466324","repostId":"1161348771","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177151399,"gmtCreate":1627189035711,"gmtModify":1631891807937,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177151399","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM 第二季度盈利超出分析师预期，云收入和营业利润率均有所提高。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM 连续四个季度收入下降，过去 34 个季度中有 30 个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多的透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊桑·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商用机器公司（IBM）是一家处于转型期的公司。对投资者来说不幸的是，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及传统业务的剥离。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播种的种子是否落在岩石地上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面的业务快速增长，并且在量子计算方面是一个潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前者行业的激烈竞争和后者行业的不确定前景。公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此 IBM 的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM 拥有合理且不断减少的债务负担和强劲的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来解决增长问题，同时剥离托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为 Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及它将承担的当前股息部分尚未披露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司非 GAAP 每股收益为 2.33 美元，超出预期 0.04 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，收入为 187 亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了 7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的 IBM Z 大型机周期，同比下降 13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门占总收入的个位数比例较低，下降了 9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将大部分分拆为 Kyndryl，但增长持平。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极方面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去 12 个月，云总收入为 270 亿美元，增长了 15%，而本季度云收入增长了 13%，达到 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到 177 亿美元，调整后自由现金流总计 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM的立足点</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM充其量是一家三流IT公司，最坏的情况是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，要准确评估该股，投资者必须了解 IBM 的传统业务有很多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM 是世界上最大的 IT 服务公司，也是大型机的主要供应商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接都由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 的大型机系统处理了全球近 90% 的信用卡交易，全球 97% 的最大银行依赖 IBM 的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而旅游业80%的预订都是通过IBM系统进行的。这导致使用该公司的 IT 服务处理了 40 亿个航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息传输的风险，这是许多人不愿意采取的举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，企业越来越多地采用混合匹配的IT基础架构。反过来，这又侵蚀了 IBM 在客户转换成本方面的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍意识到 IBM 通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。不过，在摩根大通最近举行的投资者大会上，首席财务官吉姆-卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）在接受提问时，就混合云如何推动 IBM 其他一些部门的收入提出了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们每在混合云平台上投入1美元（在业务中），就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，卡瓦诺使用的是 drag 指的是与采用 IBM 混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都能从公司的软件和服务产品中获得 9 到 13 美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>因为混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，所以它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。医疗保健和金融服务领域的客户尤其关注这一点。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最新的研究也属于其他预测的范围，是由魔多情报公司进行的。该公司预测 2021 年至 2026 年的复合年增长率为 18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，该领域的主要运营商是思科 (CSCO)、惠普 (HPE)、亚马逊 (AMZN)、思杰系统 (CTXS) 和 IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云，还有另一个潜在增长来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>请原谅这个双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和 IBM 在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章《IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人》。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦推出，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多名客户。随着600亿美元的服务积压，新实体的预计收入将达到190亿美元。该公司的规模是其最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次拆分将使 IBM 从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务一半以上收入的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占该公司收入的 22%，将占销售额的 40% 以上。值得注意的是，该部门上一季度的收入同比增长了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 将保留 Red Hat 及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件产品组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方最大的客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，仍有待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM已经转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道，该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图记录了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ycharts 数据 / 作者提供的图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与 Kyndryl 分拆相关的 30 亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计 IBM 到 2022 年将产生 120 亿至 130 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层变动，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年中期达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约 180 亿美元。IBM 维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司近期偿还债务的进展情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl 分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票被高估了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股价交易价格为 141.13 美元。8 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 153.50 美元。自上次收益报告以来，3 位分析师对该股的目标价为 151.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均水平分别为 16.42 倍和 13.25 倍。这两个指标都远低于行业平均水平，行业平均水平都在三十分左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium 提供的 3 至 5 年期 PEG 为 1.16 倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后 IBM 增长的预期。挂钩比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票是一项好的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中拥有根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为公司主要增长途径的云计算也可能导致公司一些传统业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务的快速增长是显而易见的： IBM 现在拥有 3200 多家客户使用公司的混合云平台。这几乎是红帽收购前数字的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。再加上 Kyndryl 发展缓慢的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，我们有理由相信 IBM 将实现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 拥有稳健的资产负债表、强劲的收益率，当使用 PEG 比率作为股票估值的基础时，股票交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我将 IBM 评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期内最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者却获得了相当丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? 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What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM 第二季度盈利超出分析师预期，云收入和营业利润率均有所提高。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM 连续四个季度收入下降，过去 34 个季度中有 30 个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多的透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊桑·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商用机器公司（IBM）是一家处于转型期的公司。对投资者来说不幸的是，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及传统业务的剥离。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播种的种子是否落在岩石地上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面的业务快速增长，并且在量子计算方面是一个潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前者行业的激烈竞争和后者行业的不确定前景。公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此 IBM 的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM 拥有合理且不断减少的债务负担和强劲的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来解决增长问题，同时剥离托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为 Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及它将承担的当前股息部分尚未披露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司非 GAAP 每股收益为 2.33 美元，超出预期 0.04 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，收入为 187 亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了 7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的 IBM Z 大型机周期，同比下降 13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门占总收入的个位数比例较低，下降了 9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将大部分分拆为 Kyndryl，但增长持平。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极方面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去 12 个月，云总收入为 270 亿美元，增长了 15%，而本季度云收入增长了 13%，达到 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到 177 亿美元，调整后自由现金流总计 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM的立足点</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM充其量是一家三流IT公司，最坏的情况是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，要准确评估该股，投资者必须了解 IBM 的传统业务有很多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM 是世界上最大的 IT 服务公司，也是大型机的主要供应商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接都由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 的大型机系统处理了全球近 90% 的信用卡交易，全球 97% 的最大银行依赖 IBM 的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而旅游业80%的预订都是通过IBM系统进行的。这导致使用该公司的 IT 服务处理了 40 亿个航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息传输的风险，这是许多人不愿意采取的举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，企业越来越多地采用混合匹配的IT基础架构。反过来，这又侵蚀了 IBM 在客户转换成本方面的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍意识到 IBM 通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。不过，在摩根大通最近举行的投资者大会上，首席财务官吉姆-卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）在接受提问时，就混合云如何推动 IBM 其他一些部门的收入提出了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们每在混合云平台上投入1美元（在业务中），就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，卡瓦诺使用的是 drag 指的是与采用 IBM 混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都能从公司的软件和服务产品中获得 9 到 13 美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>因为混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，所以它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。医疗保健和金融服务领域的客户尤其关注这一点。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最新的研究也属于其他预测的范围，是由魔多情报公司进行的。该公司预测 2021 年至 2026 年的复合年增长率为 18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，该领域的主要运营商是思科 (CSCO)、惠普 (HPE)、亚马逊 (AMZN)、思杰系统 (CTXS) 和 IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云，还有另一个潜在增长来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>请原谅这个双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和 IBM 在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章《IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人》。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦推出，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多名客户。随着600亿美元的服务积压，新实体的预计收入将达到190亿美元。该公司的规模是其最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次拆分将使 IBM 从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务一半以上收入的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占该公司收入的 22%，将占销售额的 40% 以上。值得注意的是，该部门上一季度的收入同比增长了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 将保留 Red Hat 及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件产品组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方最大的客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，仍有待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM已经转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道，该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图记录了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ycharts 数据 / 作者提供的图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与 Kyndryl 分拆相关的 30 亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计 IBM 到 2022 年将产生 120 亿至 130 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层变动，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年中期达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约 180 亿美元。IBM 维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司近期偿还债务的进展情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl 分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票被高估了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股价交易价格为 141.13 美元。8 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 153.50 美元。自上次收益报告以来，3 位分析师对该股的目标价为 151.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均水平分别为 16.42 倍和 13.25 倍。这两个指标都远低于行业平均水平，行业平均水平都在三十分左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium 提供的 3 至 5 年期 PEG 为 1.16 倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后 IBM 增长的预期。挂钩比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票是一项好的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中拥有根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为公司主要增长途径的云计算也可能导致公司一些传统业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务的快速增长是显而易见的： IBM 现在拥有 3200 多家客户使用公司的混合云平台。这几乎是红帽收购前数字的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。再加上 Kyndryl 发展缓慢的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，我们有理由相信 IBM 将实现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 拥有稳健的资产负债表、强劲的收益率，当使用 PEG 比率作为股票估值的基础时，股票交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我将 IBM 评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期内最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者却获得了相当丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176681106,"gmtCreate":1626880011605,"gmtModify":1631891807948,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176681106","repostId":"1109551881","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109551881","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626878219,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109551881?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109551881","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening s","content":"<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）周二上涨 24.47%，原因是人们对重新开放股票的兴趣重新燃起。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于 8 月以 AMC 品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的 Grove Theatre 和 Americana at Brand Theatre。这两个剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两个剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管目前不是 r/WallStreetBets 上的热门股票，但 AMC 仍然是周二被提及次数排名第十的股票。该子Reddit通常瞄准具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC 的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，在该公司 4.4874 亿股流通股中，有 7548 万股被做空；这比 5 月份的 1.023 亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC 仍然波动较大，并且能够进行大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在一般市场的大熊市中，AMC 在 31.15 美元触底，并设法打印出看涨锤式烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC 随后在周二发布了看涨的 Marubozu 烛台。这根 Marubozu 蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明 AMC 在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 于 7 月 1 日进入下降趋势，并经历了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于 43.08 美元，高于较低的高点 37.73 美元，这表明看涨趋势变化。多头不希望股价跌破 31.15 美元才能确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 能够重新夺回 8 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 作为支撑，但拒绝并远离了 21 天 EMA。多头希望看到 AMC 在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC 的交易价格远高于 200 天简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动 AMC 突破 21 日均线并上涨至 47.91 美元区域。如果它能够重新获得支撑位，它可能会上涨至 52.97 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到 AMC 的股票继续拒绝 21 日均线，并希望其下跌并失去与 39.71 美元支撑位一致的 8 日均线的支撑。如果该股失去该水平，它可能会跌至 31.81 美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨 4.2%，至 44.78 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 22:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）周二上涨 24.47%，原因是人们对重新开放股票的兴趣重新燃起。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于 8 月以 AMC 品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的 Grove Theatre 和 Americana at Brand Theatre。这两个剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两个剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管目前不是 r/WallStreetBets 上的热门股票，但 AMC 仍然是周二被提及次数排名第十的股票。该子Reddit通常瞄准具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC 的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，在该公司 4.4874 亿股流通股中，有 7548 万股被做空；这比 5 月份的 1.023 亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC 仍然波动较大，并且能够进行大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在一般市场的大熊市中，AMC 在 31.15 美元触底，并设法打印出看涨锤式烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC 随后在周二发布了看涨的 Marubozu 烛台。这根 Marubozu 蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明 AMC 在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 于 7 月 1 日进入下降趋势，并经历了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于 43.08 美元，高于较低的高点 37.73 美元，这表明看涨趋势变化。多头不希望股价跌破 31.15 美元才能确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 能够重新夺回 8 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 作为支撑，但拒绝并远离了 21 天 EMA。多头希望看到 AMC 在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC 的交易价格远高于 200 天简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动 AMC 突破 21 日均线并上涨至 47.91 美元区域。如果它能够重新获得支撑位，它可能会上涨至 52.97 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到 AMC 的股票继续拒绝 21 日均线，并希望其下跌并失去与 39.71 美元支撑位一致的 8 日均线的支撑。如果该股失去该水平，它可能会跌至 31.81 美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨 4.2%，至 44.78 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109551881","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.\nAlthough presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.\nDespite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.\nThe AMC Chart:On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.\nAMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.\nAMC was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.\nBulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.\nBears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.\nAMC Price Action:Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176683761,"gmtCreate":1626880000953,"gmtModify":1633770132141,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176683761","repostId":"1158935021","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158935021","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626878626,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158935021?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:43","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"WTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI 对意外的大量原油库存不屑一顾</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158935021","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After the initial tumble last night - afterAPI reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (an","content":"<p>After the initial tumble last night - after<b><i>API reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (and big build in gasoline stocks)</i></b>- oil prices have surged higher overnight and across the US equity market open as all those Monday fears appear to be evaporating once again.</p><p><blockquote>在昨晚最初的翻滚之后-之后<b><i>API 报告原油库存意外增加（汽油库存大幅增加）</i></b>- 由于所有周一的担忧似乎再次消失，油价隔夜和美国股市开盘均大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“Risk-on is the main driver,”</b>said&nbsp;Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich.   <b>“I still believe oil fundamentals themselves are supportive, but the last 72 hours were primarily driven by shifts in investors’ attitude to risk.”</b>  Maybe this morning's official data will reignote some sense of fundamentals in the energy complex... however fleeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>“冒险是主要驱动力”</b>苏黎世瑞银集团分析师乔瓦尼·斯陶诺沃 (Giovanni Staunovo) 表示。<b>“我仍然认为石油基本面本身具有支持性，但过去 72 小时主要是由投资者对风险态度的转变推动的。”</b>也许今天早上的官方数据会重新唤起能源综合体的一些基本面意识……不管多么短暂。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>API</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>火焰</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Crude +806k (-5.4mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Cushing -3.57mm</li>  <li><b>Gasoline +3.31mm (-1.0mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Distillates</li> </ul> <u><b>DOE</b></u></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>原油+806k（-5.4mm exp）</b></li><li>库欣-3.57毫米</li><li><b>汽油+3.31毫米（-1.0毫米经验）</b></li><li>馏出物</li></ul><u><b>多伊</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crude +2.11mm (-3.7mm exp)</li>  <li>Cushing -1.347mm</li>  <li>Gasoline -121k (-1.0mm exp)</li>  <li>Distillates -1.349mm</li> </ul> Analysts expected a 9th straight weekly draw in crude stocks, even after API reported an unexpected build, but were wrong when the official data showed an even bigger 2.11mm barrel increase. Gasoline stocks dropped very marginally, but not the build we saw in API data...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>粗品+2.11mm（-3.7mm实验值）</li><li>库欣-1.347mm</li><li>汽油 -121k（-1.0mm exp）</li><li>馏出物-1.349mm</li></ul>分析师预计原油库存将连续第 9 周下降，即使在 API 报告意外增加之后，但当官方数据显示原油库存增加 2.11 毫米桶时，他们就错了。汽油库存小幅下跌，但不是我们在API数据中看到的增长……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53692cf75a66214e7f4a1494f2c4f5c4\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Some have suggested the lack of a continued drop in gasoline demand is responsible for the market's refusal to drop on the crude build but the rise in demand is de minimus ...</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为，汽油需求没有持续下降是市场拒绝降低原油价格的原因，但需求的增长微乎其微……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2510f442e2b763efcc5f373b32e4e8d2\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> US crude production has begun to rise after many months of \"discipline\"...</p><p><blockquote>经过数月的“纪律”，美国原油产量开始上升……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307a71b95275646cf5eb099cafe3ed7a\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> WTI was trading around $69.50 ahead of the official data and dipped only modestly after surprisingly large crude build...</p><p><blockquote>在官方数据公布之前，WTI 的交易价格约为 69.50 美元，在原油意外大幅上涨后仅小幅下跌……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1f8f322ef7c001a2f6bf40c3e64c065\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>\"There are bottom pickers trying to get into this dip,\"</b></i>said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“有抄底者试图进入这种下跌，”</b></i>纽约瑞穗能源期货总监鲍勃·亚格 (Bob Yawger) 表示。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that the extra barrels of oil promised by OPEC won't be enough to plug the gap between production and recovering demand. They see Brent, the global benchmark, trading at an average of $80 a barrel in the fourth quarter, though they<b>warn of the potential for prices to \"gyrate wildly in the coming weeks.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛集团分析师表示，欧佩克承诺的额外石油桶不足以填补产量和需求复苏之间的缺口。他们认为全球基准布伦特原油第四季度的平均交易价格为每桶 80 美元，尽管他们<b>警告价格“未来几周可能会大幅波动”。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza warned that<b>global balances for crude oil faces two-pronged pressure from the growing dominance of the delta variant of Covid-19 and OPEC+’s plan to boost production next month.</b>Softer prices across the energy sector may curb some concerns about broad inflation pressure. Meanwhile, we see near-term production in the U.S. remaining pretty resilient through the summer, with inventories for the week of July 16 expected to fall by 4.99 million barrels.</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯高级能源分析师文斯·皮亚扎警告说，<b>全球原油平衡面临着来自 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的主导地位和 OPEC+ 下月增产计划的双重压力。</b>能源行业价格走软可能会抑制对广泛通胀压力的一些担忧。与此同时，我们预计美国近期产量在整个夏季保持相当有弹性，7 月 16 日当周库存预计将下降 499 万桶。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI 对意外的大量原油库存不屑一顾</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI Shrugs Off Unexpectedly Large Crude Inventory Build<blockquote>WTI 对意外的大量原油库存不屑一顾</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After the initial tumble last night - after<b><i>API reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (and big build in gasoline stocks)</i></b>- oil prices have surged higher overnight and across the US equity market open as all those Monday fears appear to be evaporating once again.</p><p><blockquote>在昨晚最初的翻滚之后-之后<b><i>API 报告原油库存意外增加（汽油库存大幅增加）</i></b>- 由于所有周一的担忧似乎再次消失，油价隔夜和美国股市开盘均大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>“Risk-on is the main driver,”</b>said&nbsp;Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich.   <b>“I still believe oil fundamentals themselves are supportive, but the last 72 hours were primarily driven by shifts in investors’ attitude to risk.”</b>  Maybe this morning's official data will reignote some sense of fundamentals in the energy complex... however fleeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>“冒险是主要驱动力”</b>苏黎世瑞银集团分析师乔瓦尼·斯陶诺沃 (Giovanni Staunovo) 表示。<b>“我仍然认为石油基本面本身具有支持性，但过去 72 小时主要是由投资者对风险态度的转变推动的。”</b>也许今天早上的官方数据会重新唤起能源综合体的一些基本面意识……不管多么短暂。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>API</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>火焰</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Crude +806k (-5.4mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Cushing -3.57mm</li>  <li><b>Gasoline +3.31mm (-1.0mm exp)</b></li>  <li>Distillates</li> </ul> <u><b>DOE</b></u></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>原油+806k（-5.4mm exp）</b></li><li>库欣-3.57毫米</li><li><b>汽油+3.31毫米（-1.0毫米经验）</b></li><li>馏出物</li></ul><u><b>多伊</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crude +2.11mm (-3.7mm exp)</li>  <li>Cushing -1.347mm</li>  <li>Gasoline -121k (-1.0mm exp)</li>  <li>Distillates -1.349mm</li> </ul> Analysts expected a 9th straight weekly draw in crude stocks, even after API reported an unexpected build, but were wrong when the official data showed an even bigger 2.11mm barrel increase. Gasoline stocks dropped very marginally, but not the build we saw in API data...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>粗品+2.11mm（-3.7mm实验值）</li><li>库欣-1.347mm</li><li>汽油 -121k（-1.0mm exp）</li><li>馏出物-1.349mm</li></ul>分析师预计原油库存将连续第 9 周下降，即使在 API 报告意外增加之后，但当官方数据显示原油库存增加 2.11 毫米桶时，他们就错了。汽油库存小幅下跌，但不是我们在API数据中看到的增长……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53692cf75a66214e7f4a1494f2c4f5c4\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Some have suggested the lack of a continued drop in gasoline demand is responsible for the market's refusal to drop on the crude build but the rise in demand is de minimus ...</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为，汽油需求没有持续下降是市场拒绝降低原油价格的原因，但需求的增长微乎其微……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2510f442e2b763efcc5f373b32e4e8d2\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> US crude production has begun to rise after many months of \"discipline\"...</p><p><blockquote>经过数月的“纪律”，美国原油产量开始上升……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/307a71b95275646cf5eb099cafe3ed7a\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"552\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> WTI was trading around $69.50 ahead of the official data and dipped only modestly after surprisingly large crude build...</p><p><blockquote>在官方数据公布之前，WTI 的交易价格约为 69.50 美元，在原油意外大幅上涨后仅小幅下跌……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1f8f322ef7c001a2f6bf40c3e64c065\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>\"There are bottom pickers trying to get into this dip,\"</b></i>said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“有抄底者试图进入这种下跌，”</b></i>纽约瑞穗能源期货总监鲍勃·亚格 (Bob Yawger) 表示。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that the extra barrels of oil promised by OPEC won't be enough to plug the gap between production and recovering demand. They see Brent, the global benchmark, trading at an average of $80 a barrel in the fourth quarter, though they<b>warn of the potential for prices to \"gyrate wildly in the coming weeks.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛集团分析师表示，欧佩克承诺的额外石油桶不足以填补产量和需求复苏之间的缺口。他们认为全球基准布伦特原油第四季度的平均交易价格为每桶 80 美元，尽管他们<b>警告价格“未来几周可能会大幅波动”。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza warned that<b>global balances for crude oil faces two-pronged pressure from the growing dominance of the delta variant of Covid-19 and OPEC+’s plan to boost production next month.</b>Softer prices across the energy sector may curb some concerns about broad inflation pressure. Meanwhile, we see near-term production in the U.S. remaining pretty resilient through the summer, with inventories for the week of July 16 expected to fall by 4.99 million barrels.</p><p><blockquote>彭博资讯高级能源分析师文斯·皮亚扎警告说，<b>全球原油平衡面临着来自 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株日益增长的主导地位和 OPEC+ 下月增产计划的双重压力。</b>能源行业价格走软可能会抑制对广泛通胀压力的一些担忧。与此同时，我们预计美国近期产量在整个夏季保持相当有弹性，7 月 16 日当周库存预计将下降 499 万桶。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/wti-shrugs-unexpectedly-large-crude-inventory-build?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRUD.UK":"WTI原油ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/wti-shrugs-unexpectedly-large-crude-inventory-build?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158935021","content_text":"After the initial tumble last night - afterAPI reported an unexpected build in crude inventories (and big build in gasoline stocks)- oil prices have surged higher overnight and across the US equity market open as all those Monday fears appear to be evaporating once again.\n\n“Risk-on is the main driver,”said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich. \n “I still believe oil fundamentals themselves are supportive, but the last 72 hours were primarily driven by shifts in investors’ attitude to risk.”\n\nMaybe this morning's official data will reignote some sense of fundamentals in the energy complex... however fleeting.\nAPI\n\nCrude +806k (-5.4mm exp)\nCushing -3.57mm\nGasoline +3.31mm (-1.0mm exp)\nDistillates\n\nDOE\n\nCrude +2.11mm (-3.7mm exp)\nCushing -1.347mm\nGasoline -121k (-1.0mm exp)\nDistillates -1.349mm\n\nAnalysts expected a 9th straight weekly draw in crude stocks, even after API reported an unexpected build, but were wrong when the official data showed an even bigger 2.11mm barrel increase. Gasoline stocks dropped very marginally, but not the build we saw in API data...\nSource: Bloomberg\nSome have suggested the lack of a continued drop in gasoline demand is responsible for the market's refusal to drop on the crude build but the rise in demand is de minimus ...\nSource: Bloomberg\nUS crude production has begun to rise after many months of \"discipline\"...\nSource: Bloomberg\nWTI was trading around $69.50 ahead of the official data and dipped only modestly after surprisingly large crude build...\n\"There are bottom pickers trying to get into this dip,\"said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.\nAnalysts at Goldman Sachs Group say that the extra barrels of oil promised by OPEC won't be enough to plug the gap between production and recovering demand. They see Brent, the global benchmark, trading at an average of $80 a barrel in the fourth quarter, though theywarn of the potential for prices to \"gyrate wildly in the coming weeks.\"\nBloomberg Intelligence Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza warned thatglobal balances for crude oil faces two-pronged pressure from the growing dominance of the delta variant of Covid-19 and OPEC+’s plan to boost production next month.Softer prices across the energy sector may curb some concerns about broad inflation pressure. Meanwhile, we see near-term production in the U.S. remaining pretty resilient through the summer, with inventories for the week of July 16 expected to fall by 4.99 million barrels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"CRUD.UK":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"MCLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178941115,"gmtCreate":1626785276437,"gmtModify":1633771082208,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178941115","repostId":"1158912810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158912810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626779113,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158912810?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 19:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>英伟达、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝佐斯、苹果、Netflix - 周二您必须了解的 5 件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158912810","media":"The Street","summary":"Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prep","content":"<p>Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prepares for liftoff into space; Nvidia outperforms its peers; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> delays a return to the office.</p><p><blockquote>股票期货表明华尔街将收复周一抛售造成的部分损失；杰夫·贝索斯准备升空；英伟达的表现优于同行；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>延迟返回办公室。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five things you must know for Tuesday, July 20:</p><p><blockquote>以下是 7 月 20 日星期二您必须了解的五件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Stock Futures Indicate a Modest Recovery From Monday's Rout</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 股票期货显示从周一的暴跌中温和复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock futures traded higher Tuesday, indicating Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff as investors turned their attention to a slew of earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>股票期货周二走高，表明随着投资者将注意力转向一系列财报，华尔街将收复周一抛售的部分损失。</blockquote></p><p> Contracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 205 points, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 21 points and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> futures gained 75 points.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的合约上涨 205 点，标普500期货上涨 21 点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>期货上涨75点。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell Tuesday to 1.179%. It fell below 1.2% on Monday to the lowest levels since February as investors moved into safe-haven assets.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率周二跌至1.179%。由于投资者转向避险资产，周一该指数跌破 1.2%，至 2 月份以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks plummeted Mondayas Wall Street weighed what impact rising COVID-19 cases may have on the economic recovery in the U.S. and globally. The Dow dropped more than 700 points, its worst decline since October.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市暴跌 华尔街正在权衡不断上升的 COVID-19 病例可能对美国和全球经济复苏产生的影响。道琼斯指数下跌超过700点，为10月份以来最严重的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"Valuations across the market as a whole had become stretched and we were due for a pullback, but many of the cyclical companies are selling off on fears that COVID will stop the recovery in its tracks,\" said&nbsp;Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.</p><p><blockquote>独立顾问联盟首席投资官克里斯·扎卡雷利 (Chris Zaccarelli) 表示：“整个市场的估值已经捉襟见肘，我们应该会出现回调，但许多周期性公司正在抛售，因为担心新冠疫情会阻碍经济复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We don’t believe that that’s the case and are willing to let the selloff run its course and buy the dip on the belief that the economy will fully recover and return to its prior growth trajectory, bringing most of the cyclical companies in the airline, travel and leisure industries along with it,\"&nbsp;Zaccarelli&nbsp;added.</p><p><blockquote>扎卡雷利补充说：“我们不认为情况会如此，我们愿意听任抛售顺其自然，逢低买入，因为我们相信经济将全面复苏，回到之前的增长轨迹，航空、旅游和休闲行业的大多数周期性公司也将随之复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark U.S. crude rose 0.63% to $66.84 a barrel early Tuesday after tumbling on worries a resurgence of COVID-19 would sap energy demand.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心 COVID-19 卷土重来会削弱能源需求，美国基准原油周二早些时候上涨 0.63%，至每桶 66.84 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Tuesday's Calendar: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix, Inc.</a> and Chipotle Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 星期二的日历：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞公司。</a>和 Chipotle 收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports are expected Tuesday from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a>&nbsp;(<b>PM</b>) ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a>&nbsp;(<b>ISRG</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines&nbsp;(<b>UAL</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a>&nbsp;(<b>CMG</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">Travelers</a>&nbsp;(<b>TRV</b>) .</p><p><blockquote>预计周二发布收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞</a> (<b>NFLX</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a> (<b>首相</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a> (<b>伊斯尔格</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司（<b>乌尔</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥墨西哥烧烤</a> (<b>CMG</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">旅行者</a> (<b>电视</b>).</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;economic calendar&nbsp;in the U.S. Tuesday includes&nbsp;Housing Starts and Permits for June at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国周二的经济日历包括美国东部时间上午 8:30 的 6 月份房屋开工和许可。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Jeff Bezos Prepares for Liftoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 杰夫·贝索斯准备升空</b></blockquote></p><p> Jeff Bezos, the founder and executive chairman of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) and the richest man on Earth, will be leaving solid ground Tuesday on a flight to space.</p><p><blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯，创始人兼执行主席<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a> (<b>亚马逊</b>）和地球上最富有的人，将于周二乘坐太空航班离开坚实的地面。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos's Blue Origin space-flight startup will blast him and three other space tourists 66 miles above Earth in a fully autonomous rocket and capsule.</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯的蓝色起源太空飞行初创公司将用一枚完全自主的火箭和太空舱将他和其他三名太空游客送上地球 66 英里的高度。</blockquote></p><p> His trip comes a little more than a week after&nbsp;fellow entrepreneur&nbsp;Richard Branson, the founder of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>&nbsp;(<b>SPCE</b>) ,&nbsp;made the trip to low-Earth orbit space.</p><p><blockquote>他的行程是在企业家理查德·布兰森（Richard Branson）创始人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a> (<b>物种</b>），前往近地轨道空间。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos will be accompanied by his brother Mark; Mary Wallace Funk, an aviation pioneer who at 82 will be the oldest person to go into space; and Oliver Daemen, who at 18 will bethe youngest person to ever go into space.</p><p><blockquote>贝索斯将由他的兄弟马克陪同；玛丽·华莱士·芬克，一位航空先驱，82岁的她将成为进入太空最年长的人；奥利弗·戴蒙，18岁的他将成为有史以来进入太空的最年轻的人。</blockquote></p><p> \"We'll be building a road to space for the next generation to do amazing things, and those amazing things will improve things here on Earth,\" Bezos said at a news conference at Launch Site One in Van Horn, Texas. \"We really believe this flight is safe.\"</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯在德克萨斯州范霍恩一号发射场举行的新闻发布会上表示：“我们将为下一代建造一条通往太空的道路，以做令人惊叹的事情，这些令人惊叹的事情将改善地球上的事情。”“我们真的相信这次飞行是安全的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Nvidia's Stock Outperforms</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 英伟达股票跑赢大盘</b></blockquote></p><p> Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) was rising in premarket trading Tuesday, a day after thechipmaker&nbsp;rose while many of its competitors fellin Monday's market swoon.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达（<b>NVDA</b>) 在周二盘前交易中上涨，一天前这家芯片制造商股价上涨，而其许多竞争对手则陷入了周一的市场低迷。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's stock will be split&nbsp;4-for-1 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达的股票将于周二进行 4 比 1 的拆分。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia rose 0.88% to $189.45 early Tuesday after jumping 3.41% during the previous session.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价周二早盘上涨 0.88%，至 189.45 美元，前一交易日上涨 3.41%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivals <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>&nbsp;(<b>INTC</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>&nbsp;(<b>AVGO</b>) combined, a story in The Wall Street Journal noted.</p><p><blockquote>该股在过去一年中上涨了近 80%，市值约为 4530 亿美元。这不仅仅是竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a> (<b>国际电联</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a> (<b>阿夫戈</b>《华尔街日报》的一篇报道指出。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter earnings,which were better than expected.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达第一季度财报好于预期以来，分析师们对该公司赞不绝口。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">TheStreet</a>'sBrent Kenwell wrote earlier this month that after a recent declineNvidia shares represented a buy-the-dip candidate.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">街道</a>斯布伦特·肯威尔 (sBrent Kenwell) 本月早些时候写道，经过最近的下跌，Vidia 股价代表了逢低买入的候选人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Apple Delays a Return to Offices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 苹果推迟重返办公室</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>reportedly has pushed back the date it expects employees to return to the tech giant's offices because of a resurgence of COVID variants across many countries.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>据报道，由于新冠病毒变种在许多国家卷土重来，该公司推迟了员工返回这家科技巨头办公室的日期。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has extended the deadline by&nbsp;at least a month to October at the earliest, Bloomberg reported, citing&nbsp;people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社援引知情人士的话报道称，苹果最早已将最后期限延长至少一个月至10月。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Tim Cook had said in June that employees should begin returning to offices in early September for at least three days a week.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官蒂姆·库克 (Tim Cook) 在 6 月份表示，员工应该在 9 月初开始返回办公室，每周至少工作三天。</blockquote></p><p> But that directive has changed with the&nbsp;iPhone maker becoming <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the first U.S. tech giants to delay plans for a return to the office. Apple will give its employees at least a month’s warning before mandating a return to offices, people told Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>但随着iPhone制造商成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>首批推迟重返办公室计划的美国科技巨头之一。知情人士告诉彭博社，苹果将至少给员工一个月的警告，然后再强制要求员工返回办公室。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained 0.39% in premarket trading to $143. Shares fell 2.69% on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>该股在盘前交易中上涨 0.39%，至 143 美元。周一股价下跌2.69%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>英伟达、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝佐斯、苹果、Netflix - 周二您必须了解的 5 件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia, Blue Origin and Jeff Bezos, Apple, Netflix - 5 Things You Must Know Tuesday<blockquote>英伟达、蓝色起源和杰夫·贝佐斯、苹果、Netflix - 周二您必须了解的 5 件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 19:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prepares for liftoff into space; Nvidia outperforms its peers; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> delays a return to the office.</p><p><blockquote>股票期货表明华尔街将收复周一抛售造成的部分损失；杰夫·贝索斯准备升空；英伟达的表现优于同行；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>延迟返回办公室。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five things you must know for Tuesday, July 20:</p><p><blockquote>以下是 7 月 20 日星期二您必须了解的五件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Stock Futures Indicate a Modest Recovery From Monday's Rout</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 股票期货显示从周一的暴跌中温和复苏</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock futures traded higher Tuesday, indicating Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff as investors turned their attention to a slew of earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>股票期货周二走高，表明随着投资者将注意力转向一系列财报，华尔街将收复周一抛售的部分损失。</blockquote></p><p> Contracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 205 points, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 21 points and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> futures gained 75 points.</p><p><blockquote>与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的合约上涨 205 点，标普500期货上涨 21 点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>期货上涨75点。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell Tuesday to 1.179%. It fell below 1.2% on Monday to the lowest levels since February as investors moved into safe-haven assets.</p><p><blockquote>基准10年期国债收益率周二跌至1.179%。由于投资者转向避险资产，周一该指数跌破 1.2%，至 2 月份以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks plummeted Mondayas Wall Street weighed what impact rising COVID-19 cases may have on the economic recovery in the U.S. and globally. The Dow dropped more than 700 points, its worst decline since October.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市暴跌 华尔街正在权衡不断上升的 COVID-19 病例可能对美国和全球经济复苏产生的影响。道琼斯指数下跌超过700点，为10月份以来最严重的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"Valuations across the market as a whole had become stretched and we were due for a pullback, but many of the cyclical companies are selling off on fears that COVID will stop the recovery in its tracks,\" said&nbsp;Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.</p><p><blockquote>独立顾问联盟首席投资官克里斯·扎卡雷利 (Chris Zaccarelli) 表示：“整个市场的估值已经捉襟见肘，我们应该会出现回调，但许多周期性公司正在抛售，因为担心新冠疫情会阻碍经济复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We don’t believe that that’s the case and are willing to let the selloff run its course and buy the dip on the belief that the economy will fully recover and return to its prior growth trajectory, bringing most of the cyclical companies in the airline, travel and leisure industries along with it,\"&nbsp;Zaccarelli&nbsp;added.</p><p><blockquote>扎卡雷利补充说：“我们不认为情况会如此，我们愿意听任抛售顺其自然，逢低买入，因为我们相信经济将全面复苏，回到之前的增长轨迹，航空、旅游和休闲行业的大多数周期性公司也将随之复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark U.S. crude rose 0.63% to $66.84 a barrel early Tuesday after tumbling on worries a resurgence of COVID-19 would sap energy demand.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心 COVID-19 卷土重来会削弱能源需求，美国基准原油周二早些时候上涨 0.63%，至每桶 66.84 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Tuesday's Calendar: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix, Inc.</a> and Chipotle Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 星期二的日历：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞公司。</a>和 Chipotle 收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports are expected Tuesday from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>&nbsp;(<b>NFLX</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a>&nbsp;(<b>PM</b>) ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a>&nbsp;(<b>ISRG</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines&nbsp;(<b>UAL</b>) , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a>&nbsp;(<b>CMG</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">Travelers</a>&nbsp;(<b>TRV</b>) .</p><p><blockquote>预计周二发布收益报告<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">网飞</a> (<b>NFLX</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a> (<b>首相</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a> (<b>伊斯尔格</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司（<b>乌尔</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥墨西哥烧烤</a> (<b>CMG</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">旅行者</a> (<b>电视</b>).</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;economic calendar&nbsp;in the U.S. Tuesday includes&nbsp;Housing Starts and Permits for June at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国周二的经济日历包括美国东部时间上午 8:30 的 6 月份房屋开工和许可。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Jeff Bezos Prepares for Liftoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 杰夫·贝索斯准备升空</b></blockquote></p><p> Jeff Bezos, the founder and executive chairman of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>) and the richest man on Earth, will be leaving solid ground Tuesday on a flight to space.</p><p><blockquote>杰夫·贝索斯，创始人兼执行主席<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a> (<b>亚马逊</b>）和地球上最富有的人，将于周二乘坐太空航班离开坚实的地面。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos's Blue Origin space-flight startup will blast him and three other space tourists 66 miles above Earth in a fully autonomous rocket and capsule.</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯的蓝色起源太空飞行初创公司将用一枚完全自主的火箭和太空舱将他和其他三名太空游客送上地球 66 英里的高度。</blockquote></p><p> His trip comes a little more than a week after&nbsp;fellow entrepreneur&nbsp;Richard Branson, the founder of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">Virgin Galactic</a>&nbsp;(<b>SPCE</b>) ,&nbsp;made the trip to low-Earth orbit space.</p><p><blockquote>他的行程是在企业家理查德·布兰森（Richard Branson）创始人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a> (<b>物种</b>），前往近地轨道空间。</blockquote></p><p> Bezos will be accompanied by his brother Mark; Mary Wallace Funk, an aviation pioneer who at 82 will be the oldest person to go into space; and Oliver Daemen, who at 18 will bethe youngest person to ever go into space.</p><p><blockquote>贝索斯将由他的兄弟马克陪同；玛丽·华莱士·芬克，一位航空先驱，82岁的她将成为进入太空最年长的人；奥利弗·戴蒙，18岁的他将成为有史以来进入太空的最年轻的人。</blockquote></p><p> \"We'll be building a road to space for the next generation to do amazing things, and those amazing things will improve things here on Earth,\" Bezos said at a news conference at Launch Site One in Van Horn, Texas. \"We really believe this flight is safe.\"</p><p><blockquote>贝佐斯在德克萨斯州范霍恩一号发射场举行的新闻发布会上表示：“我们将为下一代建造一条通往太空的道路，以做令人惊叹的事情，这些令人惊叹的事情将改善地球上的事情。”“我们真的相信这次飞行是安全的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Nvidia's Stock Outperforms</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 英伟达股票跑赢大盘</b></blockquote></p><p> Nvidia&nbsp;(<b>NVDA</b>) was rising in premarket trading Tuesday, a day after thechipmaker&nbsp;rose while many of its competitors fellin Monday's market swoon.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达（<b>NVDA</b>) 在周二盘前交易中上涨，一天前这家芯片制造商股价上涨，而其许多竞争对手则陷入了周一的市场低迷。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's stock will be split&nbsp;4-for-1 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达的股票将于周二进行 4 比 1 的拆分。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Nvidia rose 0.88% to $189.45 early Tuesday after jumping 3.41% during the previous session.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价周二早盘上涨 0.88%，至 189.45 美元，前一交易日上涨 3.41%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivals <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>&nbsp;(<b>INTC</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>&nbsp;(<b>AVGO</b>) combined, a story in The Wall Street Journal noted.</p><p><blockquote>该股在过去一年中上涨了近 80%，市值约为 4530 亿美元。这不仅仅是竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a> (<b>国际电联</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a> (<b>阿夫戈</b>《华尔街日报》的一篇报道指出。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter earnings,which were better than expected.</p><p><blockquote>自英伟达第一季度财报好于预期以来，分析师们对该公司赞不绝口。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">TheStreet</a>'sBrent Kenwell wrote earlier this month that after a recent declineNvidia shares represented a buy-the-dip candidate.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TST\">街道</a>斯布伦特·肯威尔 (sBrent Kenwell) 本月早些时候写道，经过最近的下跌，Vidia 股价代表了逢低买入的候选人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Apple Delays a Return to Offices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 苹果推迟重返办公室</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> </b>reportedly has pushed back the date it expects employees to return to the tech giant's offices because of a resurgence of COVID variants across many countries.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a></b>据报道，由于新冠病毒变种在许多国家卷土重来，该公司推迟了员工返回这家科技巨头办公室的日期。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has extended the deadline by&nbsp;at least a month to October at the earliest, Bloomberg reported, citing&nbsp;people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社援引知情人士的话报道称，苹果最早已将最后期限延长至少一个月至10月。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Tim Cook had said in June that employees should begin returning to offices in early September for at least three days a week.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官蒂姆·库克 (Tim Cook) 在 6 月份表示，员工应该在 9 月初开始返回办公室，每周至少工作三天。</blockquote></p><p> But that directive has changed with the&nbsp;iPhone maker becoming <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the first U.S. tech giants to delay plans for a return to the office. Apple will give its employees at least a month’s warning before mandating a return to offices, people told Bloomberg.</p><p><blockquote>但随着iPhone制造商成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>首批推迟重返办公室计划的美国科技巨头之一。知情人士告诉彭博社，苹果将至少给员工一个月的警告，然后再强制要求员工返回办公室。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained 0.39% in premarket trading to $143. Shares fell 2.69% on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>该股在盘前交易中上涨 0.39%，至 143 美元。周一股价下跌2.69%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-things-you-must-know-before-market-opens-tuesday-072021\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","UAL":"联合大陆航空","NFLX":"奈飞","SPCE":"维珍银河","NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","AMZN":"亚马逊","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/5-things-you-must-know-before-market-opens-tuesday-072021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158912810","content_text":"Stock futures indicate Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff; Jeff Bezos prepares for liftoff into space; Nvidia outperforms its peers; Apple delays a return to the office.\nHere are five things you must know for Tuesday, July 20:\n1. Stock Futures Indicate a Modest Recovery From Monday's Rout\nStock futures traded higher Tuesday, indicating Wall Street will claw back some losses from Monday's selloff as investors turned their attention to a slew of earnings reports.\nContracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 205 points, S&P 500 futures were up 21 points and Nasdaq futures gained 75 points.\nThe yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell Tuesday to 1.179%. It fell below 1.2% on Monday to the lowest levels since February as investors moved into safe-haven assets.\nStocks plummeted Mondayas Wall Street weighed what impact rising COVID-19 cases may have on the economic recovery in the U.S. and globally. The Dow dropped more than 700 points, its worst decline since October.\n\"Valuations across the market as a whole had become stretched and we were due for a pullback, but many of the cyclical companies are selling off on fears that COVID will stop the recovery in its tracks,\" said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.\n\"We don’t believe that that’s the case and are willing to let the selloff run its course and buy the dip on the belief that the economy will fully recover and return to its prior growth trajectory, bringing most of the cyclical companies in the airline, travel and leisure industries along with it,\" Zaccarelli added.\nBenchmark U.S. crude rose 0.63% to $66.84 a barrel early Tuesday after tumbling on worries a resurgence of COVID-19 would sap energy demand.\n2. Tuesday's Calendar: Netflix, Inc. and Chipotle Earnings\nEarnings reports are expected Tuesday from Netflix (NFLX) , Philip Morris (PM) , Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) , United Airlines (UAL) , Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and Travelers (TRV) .\nThe economic calendar in the U.S. Tuesday includes Housing Starts and Permits for June at 8:30 a.m. ET.\n3. Jeff Bezos Prepares for Liftoff\nJeff Bezos, the founder and executive chairman of Amazon.com (AMZN) and the richest man on Earth, will be leaving solid ground Tuesday on a flight to space.\nBezos's Blue Origin space-flight startup will blast him and three other space tourists 66 miles above Earth in a fully autonomous rocket and capsule.\nHis trip comes a little more than a week after fellow entrepreneur Richard Branson, the founder of Virgin Galactic (SPCE) , made the trip to low-Earth orbit space.\nBezos will be accompanied by his brother Mark; Mary Wallace Funk, an aviation pioneer who at 82 will be the oldest person to go into space; and Oliver Daemen, who at 18 will bethe youngest person to ever go into space.\n\"We'll be building a road to space for the next generation to do amazing things, and those amazing things will improve things here on Earth,\" Bezos said at a news conference at Launch Site One in Van Horn, Texas. \"We really believe this flight is safe.\"\n4. Nvidia's Stock Outperforms\nNvidia (NVDA) was rising in premarket trading Tuesday, a day after thechipmaker rose while many of its competitors fellin Monday's market swoon.\nNvidia's stock will be split 4-for-1 on Tuesday.\nShares of Nvidia rose 0.88% to $189.45 early Tuesday after jumping 3.41% during the previous session.\nThe stock has risen nearly 80% over the past year, giving it a market value of around $453 billion. That is more than rivals Intel (INTC) and Broadcom (AVGO) combined, a story in The Wall Street Journal noted.\nAnalysts have piled on the praise for Nvidia since the company’s first-quarter earnings,which were better than expected.\nTheStreet'sBrent Kenwell wrote earlier this month that after a recent declineNvidia shares represented a buy-the-dip candidate.\n5. Apple Delays a Return to Offices\nApple reportedly has pushed back the date it expects employees to return to the tech giant's offices because of a resurgence of COVID variants across many countries.\nApple has extended the deadline by at least a month to October at the earliest, Bloomberg reported, citing people familiar with the matter.\nCEO Tim Cook had said in June that employees should begin returning to offices in early September for at least three days a week.\nBut that directive has changed with the iPhone maker becoming one of the first U.S. tech giants to delay plans for a return to the office. Apple will give its employees at least a month’s warning before mandating a return to offices, people told Bloomberg.\nThe stock gained 0.39% in premarket trading to $143. Shares fell 2.69% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"SPCE":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173809255,"gmtCreate":1626650992877,"gmtModify":1633925339163,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173809255","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179745552,"gmtCreate":1626580908976,"gmtModify":1633925696509,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179745552","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179660528,"gmtCreate":1626519216164,"gmtModify":1633926082096,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179660528","repostId":"1198202103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147903497,"gmtCreate":1626324299519,"gmtModify":1633927844309,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147903497","repostId":"1122873304","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122873304","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626320892,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122873304?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 11:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122873304","media":"zerohedge","summary":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”“Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”…The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.I should warn readers this morning’","content":"<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所做的恶事会留在他们身后；善良的人往往会和他们的骸骨一起埋葬；凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀？“哦，这没什么好担心的，央行别无选择，只能继续刺激市场”.市场过于关注短期，忽视了过去 10 年量化宽松政策、货币实验和宽松利率带来的后果，以至于陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要，已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of&nbsp;The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者，今天早上的粥将是我关于始于 2007 年的全球金融危机（“GFC”）至今仍伴随着我们的又一次不定期的笔记。我们刚刚进入一个新的阶段.请欣赏《金钱的陨落》第 384 章--GFC：2007-2031。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀？</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation&nbsp;<i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was&nbsp;<i><u>absolutely</u></i>&nbsp;nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>嗯？上周市场确信通货膨胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线趋平，债券收紧，尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季，但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>就价格上涨而言，没什么好担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and&nbsp;<b>Absolutely</b>&nbsp;are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie:&nbsp;<i>Apparently</i>&nbsp;you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were&nbsp;<i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域，这两个词非常危险.它们会增加你完全搞错的可能性，即：<i>显然</i>你不可能输，但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天上午所了解到的那样，英国通胀率已升至 2.5%，这增加了英国央行发函解释原因的可能性。昨天的美国CPI数据更加强劲——同比上涨5.4%，上个月上涨0.9%!这不完全是津巴布韦，但是.当这种情况发生在欧洲时.德国人将会大发雷霆。（顶级投资提示：保持手推车做多。）</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。它对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场看起来应该像是被通货膨胀猖獗的湿比目鱼打了一巴掌，但它似乎并没有吸取教训。今天上午，财经评论员们纷纷分析美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何抵制任何 “缩减 ”通胀应对措施的暗示，以防止泡沫市场崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术，它可以理解美联储言论中难以捉摸的细微差别，对评论和数字进行法医解剖，并在清楚地了解没有说出口的内容和美联储的任务的基础上得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天关注的是理解杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚住了，因为他们不在加息、缩减规模言论或做任何可能放松他们过去12年来所做的事情--用无限制的量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转来刺激市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers,&nbsp;</b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长，</b><b><i>都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>理解他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用。为什么？这些可敬的男男女女因为他们的行为打破了这个体系。哎呀。现在他们别无选择，只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前，未来会有麻烦。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是，央行除了希望和继续前进之外，对通货膨胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的锡拉和市场崩溃的卡律布狄斯之间。哎呀!这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将胜出并继续走高——因为央行别无选择，只能顺其自然并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&amp;P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场都关注标准普尔今天下午的表现、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高，或者亚马逊本季度将在哪里名列前茅。当涉及到任何远远超出他们一年时间范围的事情时，他们有盲人的视力。就连债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来，这就很容易忽视通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常真实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点，并且看到了市场已经变得多么可怕的扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化投资，摆脱腐败的金融资产，转而投资实物资产--这是市场的热点（也是我过去 12 年来一直在做的另类资产）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通货膨胀，前景是复杂的——这是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视它的另一个原因。例如；可以说，大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素；制造商预计新冠疫情将大幅复苏，并为大流行后的大规模需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在发生了逆转--这支持了市场关于通胀数字有点超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是个例外。</b>欧佩克是一个垄断性的价格制定者，但它正在经历另一场周期性的组织危机，导致价格飙升，事实证明很难对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个令人愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样，当交易员发现自己在无法储存的情况下拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. &nbsp;On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如价格上涨的二手车。它暗示，每个价格中的具体通胀因素的细节很重要。汽车就是一个很好的例子--我们都知道全球芯片短缺，这使得汽车制造商不得不削减产量，造成短缺，推高了新车价格，随着消费者寻求替代品，推高了二手车的价值。另一方面，新车价格多年来一直在上涨，而汽车中投入的科技垃圾数量不断增加，从而“证明”了更高的成本。随着欧盟宣布到 2040 年将取缔新的 ICE（内燃机）汽车，我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>要解释这一点，请考虑路虎：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆 10 年的低里程、完整的服务历史、状况良好的路虎揽胜可能价值 16,000 英镑。一个被打了20年，没有证件的后卫值3.2万英镑!但是你可以用Gaffa胶带、WD40和锤子来修理。（如果它移动但不应该移动：用 Gaffa 胶带粘住它。如果它仍然移动，则用 Gaffa 胶带粘住它。如果它不动：WD40，并用锤子劝说它。）</li></ul><b>然而，通胀自满情绪可能是央行最不担心的。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自世界各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在全球范围内，富裕阶层--那些有积蓄、在封锁后表现良好、已经在房地产阶梯上的富裕阶层--一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它的债务助长了一个缺乏流动性的市场——在看到自己想买什么之前，没有人会出售，而这个阶梯实际上是一个金字塔，每一级的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创下了历史新高。本周，鲍威尔和美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）将在金融稳定监督委员会（Financial Stability Oversight Council）上讨论这个问题。关于时间..根据凯斯-席勒美国房地产价值指数，房地产泡沫比2007年更大。（顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是，我以前已经说过很多次了……）</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆理所当然地担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础。然而，这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款者违约的影响，而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘、无力承担的阶梯上的影响，并在泡沫破裂时坐在负资产上。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国，我们生活在负资产中。在美国，你走开。不管怎样，这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷。他们把风险分摊给了投资部门。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划回归政府，并回归非银行金融机构，而不是现在为抵押贷款融资、发放和服务……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段真正的大问题。</b>真实资产!聪明的资金一直在大量购买实物资产，因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业脱钩，但它们的现实是来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等等的实物资产，现在变得同样泡沫化，因为所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济中……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济…</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了.中央银行所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的幽灵会卷土重来，困扰他们在 2010 年开始的货币实验，结果出了如此严重的差错.....</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation: The Next Stage Of The Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031<blockquote>通货膨胀：2007-2031年全球金融危机的下一阶段</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“人所做的恶事会留在他们身后；善良的人往往会和他们的骸骨一起埋葬；凯撒也是如此。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>What Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>什么通货膨胀？“哦，这没什么好担心的，央行别无选择，只能继续刺激市场”.市场过于关注短期，忽视了过去 10 年量化宽松政策、货币实验和宽松利率带来的后果，以至于陷入了下一场危机。通货膨胀很重要，已经从金融资产跳到了实体经济。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <i>I should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of&nbsp;The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>我应该警告读者，今天早上的粥将是我关于始于 2007 年的全球金融危机（“GFC”）至今仍伴随着我们的又一次不定期的笔记。我们刚刚进入一个新的阶段.请欣赏《金钱的陨落》第 384 章--GFC：2007-2031。</i></blockquote></p><p> This morning – What inflation?</p><p><blockquote>今天早上——什么通货膨胀？</blockquote></p><p> Huh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation&nbsp;<i><u>apparently</u></i>wasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was&nbsp;<i><u>absolutely</u></i>&nbsp;nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…</p><p><blockquote>嗯？上周市场确信通货膨胀<i><u>显然</u></i>不是问题。收益率曲线趋平，债券收紧，尽管股市预计将迎来有史以来最好的财报季，但<i><u>绝对地</u></i>就价格上涨而言，没什么好担心的……显然……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apparently</b>and&nbsp;<b>Absolutely</b>&nbsp;are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie:&nbsp;<i>Apparently</i>&nbsp;you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were&nbsp;<i>Absolutely</i>guaranteed.. till the company went burst.</p><p><blockquote><b>显然</b>和<b>绝对地</b>在金融领域，这两个词非常危险.它们会增加你完全搞错的可能性，即：<i>显然</i>你不可能输，但你输了……回报是<i>绝对地</i>保证..直到公司倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)</p><p><blockquote>正如我们今天上午所了解到的那样，英国通胀率已升至 2.5%，这增加了英国央行发函解释原因的可能性。昨天的美国CPI数据更加强劲——同比上涨5.4%，上个月上涨0.9%!这不完全是津巴布韦，但是.当这种情况发生在欧洲时.德国人将会大发雷霆。（顶级投资提示：保持手推车做多。）</blockquote></p><p> Inflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很重要。它对债券和长期回报至关重要。市场看起来应该像是被通货膨胀猖獗的湿比目鱼打了一巴掌，但它似乎并没有吸取教训。今天上午，财经评论员们纷纷分析美联储、英国央行和欧洲央行将如何抵制任何 “缩减 ”通胀应对措施的暗示，以防止泡沫市场崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> Fed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.</p><p><blockquote>观察美联储曾经是一门微妙的艺术，它可以理解美联储言论中难以捉摸的细微差别，对评论和数字进行法医解剖，并在清楚地了解没有说出口的内容和美联储的任务的基础上得出结论。</blockquote></p><p> Not today.</p><p><blockquote>今天不行。</blockquote></p><p> Fed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.</p><p><blockquote>美联储今天关注的是理解杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）和他的快乐团伙现在是如何被束缚住了，因为他们不在加息、缩减规模言论或做任何可能放松他们过去12年来所做的事情--用无限制的量化宽松、不适当的利率、监管和旋转来刺激市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The brutal reality is the Central Bankers,&nbsp;</b><b><i>who are all honourable men and women</i></b><b>, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>残酷的现实是央行行长，</b><b><i>都是可敬的男男女女</i></b><b>理解他们拉动的杠杆不再像以前那样发挥作用。为什么？这些可敬的男男女女因为他们的行为打破了这个体系。哎呀。现在他们别无选择，只能跟随..这意味着在全球金融体系得到解决之前，未来会有麻烦。</b></blockquote></p><p> The start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>最初的现实是，央行除了希望和继续前进之外，对通货膨胀没有答案。他们被夹在通货膨胀的锡拉和市场崩溃的卡律布狄斯之间。哎呀!这就是为什么如此多的分析师相信市场将胜出并继续走高——因为央行别无选择，只能顺其自然并继续刺激。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Most of the market is fixated on what the S&amp;P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大多数市场都关注标准普尔今天下午的表现、纳斯达克本月将创下什么新高，或者亚马逊本季度将在哪里名列前茅。当涉及到任何远远超出他们一年时间范围的事情时，他们有盲人的视力。就连债券市场似乎也是盲目的。</b></blockquote></p><p> The reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..</p><p><blockquote>现实是投资应该是长期的。如果你为了短期收益而忽视未来，这就很容易忽视通货膨胀实际上是一个非常非常真实的问题..</blockquote></p><p> Lots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)</p><p><blockquote>许多聪明的非金融资产基金确实明白这一点，并且看到了市场已经变得多么可怕的扭曲。这就是为什么他们如此热衷于多元化投资，摆脱腐败的金融资产，转而投资实物资产--这是市场的热点（也是我过去 12 年来一直在做的另类资产）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Going back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.</p><p><blockquote>回到通货膨胀，前景是复杂的——这是金融博客圈如此大一部分人忽视它的另一个原因。例如；可以说，大宗商品价格上涨是囤积的一个因素；制造商预计新冠疫情将大幅复苏，并为大流行后的大规模需求做好准备。从铜到木材等大宗商品的飙升现在发生了逆转--这支持了市场关于通胀数字有点超调的论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oil is an outlier.</b>OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.</p><p><blockquote><b>石油是个例外。</b>欧佩克是一个垄断性的价格制定者，但它正在经历另一场周期性的组织危机，导致价格飙升，事实证明很难对冲。拥有石油对任何人来说都不是一个令人愉快的结果——正如我们去年看到的那样，当交易员发现自己在无法储存的情况下拥有负价格的石油。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives. &nbsp;On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.</p><p><blockquote>经济中一些重要的潜在趋势——比如价格上涨的二手车。它暗示，每个价格中的具体通胀因素的细节很重要。汽车就是一个很好的例子--我们都知道全球芯片短缺，这使得汽车制造商不得不削减产量，造成短缺，推高了新车价格，随着消费者寻求替代品，推高了二手车的价值。另一方面，新车价格多年来一直在上涨，而汽车中投入的科技垃圾数量不断增加，从而“证明”了更高的成本。随着欧盟宣布到 2040 年将取缔新的 ICE（内燃机）汽车，我想知道我们是否会看到新的反趋势发展。</blockquote></p><p> To explain, consider the Land Rover:</p><p><blockquote>要解释这一点，请考虑路虎：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>A 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)</li> </ul> <b>However, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一辆 10 年的低里程、完整的服务历史、状况良好的路虎揽胜可能价值 16,000 英镑。一个被打了20年，没有证件的后卫值3.2万英镑!但是你可以用Gaffa胶带、WD40和锤子来修理。（如果它移动但不应该移动：用 Gaffa 胶带粘住它。如果它仍然移动，则用 Gaffa 胶带粘住它。如果它不动：WD40，并用锤子劝说它。）</li></ul><b>然而，通胀自满情绪可能是央行最不担心的。你可能已经发现了越来越多来自世界各地的关于房价通胀的令人窒息的文章。</b></blockquote></p><p> Everywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.</p><p><blockquote>在全球范围内，富裕阶层--那些有积蓄、在封锁后表现良好、已经在房地产阶梯上的富裕阶层--一直在推动房地产价格的上涨。它的债务助长了一个缺乏流动性的市场——在看到自己想买什么之前，没有人会出售，而这个阶梯实际上是一个金字塔，每一级的资产都越来越少。</blockquote></p><p> The result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)</p><p><blockquote>结果是几乎所有地方的房价都创下了历史新高。本周，鲍威尔和美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）将在金融稳定监督委员会（Financial Stability Oversight Council）上讨论这个问题。关于时间..根据凯斯-席勒美国房地产价值指数，房地产泡沫比2007年更大。（顺便说一句……其他市场也是如此……但是，我以前已经说过很多次了……）</blockquote></p><p> Rightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.</p><p><blockquote>珍妮特和杰罗姆理所当然地担心第二次房地产泡沫破裂可能会再次动摇金融的基础。然而，这一次会有所不同。房地产市场并不容易受到大量低信用评分抵押贷款者违约的影响，而是容易受到大量富裕中产阶级突然发现自己财务捉襟见肘、无力承担的阶梯上的影响，并在泡沫破裂时坐在负资产上。</blockquote></p><p> In the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.</p><p><blockquote>在英国，我们生活在负资产中。在美国，你走开。不管怎样，这些消费者消费更少。</blockquote></p><p> The structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…</p><p><blockquote>市场的结构也发生了变化。银行不再放贷。他们把风险分摊给了投资部门。就美国抵押贷款而言——通过抵押贷款支持债券回购计划回归政府，并回归非银行金融机构，而不是现在为抵押贷款融资、发放和服务……</blockquote></p><p> <b>This is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.</b>Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…</p><p><blockquote><b>这将是2007-2031年全球金融危机下一阶段真正的大问题。</b>真实资产!聪明的资金一直在大量购买实物资产，因为它们与日益腐败的金融资产行业脱钩，但它们的现实是来自房地产、私募股权、担保贷款、飞机、航运等等的实物资产，现在变得同样泡沫化，因为所有与金融资产相关的通货膨胀现在蔓延到实体经济中……</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融资产通胀已经感染了实体经济…</b></blockquote></p><p> Time to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…</p><p><blockquote>是时候重新思考了.中央银行所有这些可敬的男男女女一定害怕凯撒的幽灵会卷土重来，困扰他们在 2010 年开始的货币实验，结果出了如此严重的差错.....</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/inflation-next-stage-global-financial-crisis-2007-2031","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122873304","content_text":"“The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones; so be it with Caesar.”\nWhat Inflation? “Oh, that’s nothing to worry about, the central banks have no choice but to keep juicing markets”… The market is so focused on the short-term and ignoring the consequences of the last 10 years of QE, monetary experimentation and easy rates, that its blundering into the next crisis. Inflation matters, and has jumped from financial assets into the real economy.\nI should warn readers this morning’s porridge is going to be yet another of my irregular notes on how the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) which began in 2007 is still with us.. We’re just moving on to a new stage… Enjoy Chapter 384 of The Fall of Money – The GFC: 2007-2031.\nThis morning – What inflation?\nHuh? Last week the market convinced itself inflation apparentlywasn’t an issue. Yield curves flattened, bonds tightened, and even though stocks were anticipating the best-ever-earnings-season, there was absolutely nothing to worry about in terms of rising prices… Apparently…\nApparentlyand Absolutely are two very dangerous words in finance… They raise the likelihood you’ve got it completely wrong, ie: Apparently you couldn’t lose, but you did… Returns were Absolutelyguaranteed.. till the company went burst.\nAs we’ve learn’t this morning UK Inflation has risen to 2.5% – raising the prospect of a letter from the Bank explaining why. The headline US CPI data yesterday was even stronger – 5.4% yoy, and 0.9% over the last month! That’s not quite Zimbabwe but… you get the drift… When it happens in Europe… well the Germans are going to have a monumental hissy fit. (Top investment tip: stay long wheelbarrows.)\nInflation matters. Its critical to bonds and long-term returns. The market should look like it’s been slapped with the Wet-Halibut of Rampant Inflation, but, it doesn’t seem to have learnt the lesson. This morning, the financial-commentariat is awash with analysis of how the Fed, BoE and ECB will all hold off from any hint of “taper” response to inflation, in order to keep frothy markets from collapsing.\nFed-Watching used to be the delicate art of understanding the indecipherable nuances of Fed-Speak, forensically dissecting the commentary and numbers and drawing conclusions based on a clear understanding of what was left unsaid and the Fed’s mandate.\nNot today.\nFed watching today is about understanding how Jerome Powell and his merry gang are now hamstrung and tripping over themselves about not spooking markets over rate rises, taper-talk or doing anything that might unwind what they’ve being doing the last 12 years – frothing markets with unlimited QE, inappropriate rates, regulation and spin.\nThe brutal reality is the Central Bankers, who are all honourable men and women, understand the levers they pull no longer function as they once did. Why? Well, these honourable men and women have broken the system as a consequence of their actions. Oops. Now they have no choice but to follow.. which means trouble ahead until the global financial system can be resolved.\nThe start reality is Central Banks have no answer to inflation except to hope and carry on. They are caught between the Scylla of Inflation and the Charybdis of a market collapse. Eek! Which is why so many analysts are confident the markets will win out and keep going higher – because central banks have little choice but to go with it and keep up the stimulus.\nMost of the market is fixated on what the S&P does this afternoon, what new high the NASDAQ will make this month, or where Amazon is going to top this quarter. They have the vision of a blind man when it comes to anything much beyond the end of their one-year time horizon. Even the bond market seems blind.\nThe reality is investment should be about the long term. If you ignore the future in favour of short-term gains its makes it very easy to dismiss the evidence… that inflation is actually a very, very real issue..\nLots of smart non-financial assets funds do understand that, and see just how horribly distorted markets have become. That’s why they are so keen to diversify out of corrupted financial assets and into real assets – the hot part of the market (and what I’ve been doing in Alternative Assets for the last 12 years.)\nGoing back to inflation, the outlook is complex – another reason such a large part of the financial blogosphere is ignoring it. For instance; it’s possible to argue the rise in commodity prices is a factor of hoarding; manufacturers anticipating a surge Covid recovery and preparing for massive post-pandemic demand. The spikes in commodities from Copper to Lumber are now in reverse – supporting the market’s contention the inflation number is something of an overshoot.\nOil is an outlier.OPEC is a monopoly price setter, but is going through yet another of its periodic organisational crisis resulting in a spike that’s proving difficult to hedge. Owning oil is not a pleasant outcome for anyone – as we saw last year when traders found themselves owning negative priced oil when storage was unavailable.\nSome of the important underlying trends in the economy – like used cars, where prices are rising. It hints that its details of specific inflation factors in each price that are important. Cars are a good example – we’re all aware of the global shortage of chips enabling car makers to cut production and create scarcity, pushing up new car prices, dragging second hand values higher as consumers seek alternatives.  On the other hand – new car prices have been rising for years, with higher costs “justified” by the increasing amount of tech junk put into cars.. As the EU announces it will outlaw new ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles by 2040, I wonder if we are going to see a new counter-trend develop.\nTo explain, consider the Land Rover:\n\nA 10 year-old low milage, full service history, Range Rover in immaculate condition may be worth £16k. A 20 year battered Defender with zero documents is worth £32k! But you can fix it with Gaffa Tape, WD40 and a hammer. (If it moves and shouldn’t: Gaffa tape it. If it still moves; more Gaffa tape. If it doesn’t move: WD40 and persuade it with a hammer.)\n\nHowever, inflation complacency may be the least of Central Bank worries. You may have spotted an increasing number of breathless articles from around the globe on House Price Inflation.\nEverywhere on the planet the affluent classes – those with savings, who’ve done well from lockdown, and already on the property ladder – have been driving an uptick in property. Its debt fuelled and an illiquid market – no one sells till they see what they want to buy, and the ladder is actually a pyramid, with fewer assets on each successively higher rung.\nThe result is record home prices nearly everywhere. This week Powell and US Treasury Sec Janet Yellen are going to chat about it at the Financial Stability Oversight Council – a body setup post Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) in 2010 to identify excessive risks to the US Financial System. About time.. Housing is more frothy than 2007 according to the Case-Shiller US property value index. (Incidentally… so is just about any other market…but, I;ve said that many times before..)\nRightly, Janet and Jerome are concerned a second housing bubble bursting could shake the foundations of finance… again. However, this time will be different. The housing market is not vulnerable to a massive number of low-credit-score mortgagees defaulting, but to a large number of affluent middle classes suddenly finding themselves financial stretched, on a rung of the ladder they can’t afford, and sitting on negative equity when the bubble bursts.\nIn the UK, we live with negative equity. In the US, you walk away. Whatever, these consumers consume less.\nThe structure of the market has also changed. Banks don’t lend anymore. They broke their risks off to the investment sector. In the case of US mortgages – back to government through the Mortgage Backed Bond buyback schemes, and to the non-bank financial institutions than now finance, originate and service mortgages…\nThis is going to be the really big problem of the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis 2007-2031.Real Assets! Smart money has been loading up on real assets on the basis they are decorrelated from the increasingly corrupted financial asset sector, but they reality is real assets from property, private equity, secured lending, aircraft, shipping, you-name-it, is now getting just as frothy as a result of all that inflation tied up in financial assets now spilling into the real economy…\nFinancial Asset Inflation has infected the real economy….\nTime to think again… All these honourable men and women in Central Banks must dread Caesar’s ghost coming back to haunt the monetary experiment they started in 2010 going so badly wrong…","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145691342,"gmtCreate":1626220151586,"gmtModify":1633928993255,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145691342","repostId":"1158142413","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":649,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142691028,"gmtCreate":1626144283364,"gmtModify":1633929675633,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nic e","listText":"Nic e","text":"Nic e","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142691028","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数最终仅接近 35,000 点里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一的综合指数连续创下历史新高，本周开始时与上周结束时相同。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的结束是在投资者等待美联储主席杰罗姆半年一次的证词之际<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，本周将发布一系列经济报告，企业季度业绩的非官方开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）上涨 126.02 点，涨幅 0.4%，收于创纪录的 34,996.18 点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，即0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。这一上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一系列关键事件之前，其中包括财报季的非官方开始，这<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>公司</b>.JPM,+1.43% 将于周二开盘，鲍威尔在国会大厦作证<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>以及有关通胀的最新数据。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”该公司董事约翰-凯里（John Carey）说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S. 的收入，并补充说，就目前而言，盈利掩盖了不确定性<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>超出计划的基础设施支出和潜在的更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“凯里告诉 MarketWatch：”大多数人似乎都关注经济的实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是国债收益率下降。政府债务利率下限引发了人们对美国经济从疫情中复苏前景的质疑。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的传播已经成为一个令人担忧的问题，但分配给某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，对美联储货币政策的质疑也被归咎于一些不稳定的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>10年期MUBMUSD10Y,1.365%收益率周一小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率STMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对通货膨胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并困扰着美国家庭，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧可能对市场来说 “过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>“由杰森-普莱德（Jason Pride）和迈克尔-雷诺兹（Michael Reynolds）领导的格伦米德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：”之前对通胀的担忧和当前对增长峰值的担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断反映，不会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行病中持续复苏的过程中，市场可能会继续波动，因为它们试图适应快速变化的信息流”，但这些因素 “从长远来看不应扰乱市场”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注三角洲驱动的COVID感染。美国以 3385 万例 COVID 病例和 607,156 例死亡病例位居世界第一。安东尼-福奇（Anthony Fauci）博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但在周日接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼，并指责 “意识形态僵化 ”阻碍了抗击大流行病的斗争，这令人 “恐惧”。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“本-梅（Ben May）说：”我们早就警告说，接种疫苗不太可能引发向正常的平稳过渡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津</a>《经济学》全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格读数。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注了20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）在就修改国际企业税法向欧盟国家发表讲话时说：”我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于对工人工资进一步征税和加剧我们都致力于减少的经济差距。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们需要杜绝企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，杜绝允许企业逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>公司</b>.AVGO,+1.16%周一，《华尔街日报》报道这家芯片和软件公司正在洽谈收购 SAS Institute Inc.，此前该公司股价上涨 1.2%，交易估值可能达到 150 亿至 200 亿美元。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司</b>.AAPL,-0.42% 特拉华州联邦法官驳回了 Blix Inc. 的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害移动操作系统市场的竞争，一天后，AAPL 股价下跌 0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16% 表示，该公司将于下个月拆分为两家上市业务，维多利亚的秘密公司（Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.）的内衣部门将更名为 “VSCO”，而 Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. 从 8 月 3 日开始，股票代码为 “BBWI ”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>公司</b>.GME,-1.04%股价周一下跌1%，此前Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远低于该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>韦伯是户外烤架的制造商，在其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世近 50 年后，该公司已申请上市。股份将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>股票代码为WEBR的证券交易所。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid 周一下跌 17.3%，这是自 2020 年 3 月 16 日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅，一天前，创始人理查德-布兰森（Richard Branson）和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的 VSS 成功飞入亚轨道空间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力航天飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商BASE周一确定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股股票，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为 “BASE”。</li><li>股份<b>现代公司</b>该公司表示将向阿根廷供应 2000 万剂 COVID-19 疫苗，周一上涨 2.8%。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">太阳风公司</a>.</b>SWI 周一下跌 1.8%，尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ICE 美元指数 DXY（衡量美元兑六大主要竞争对手的指标）上涨 0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准CL00 CL.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金 GC00 收盘下跌 0.3%，至每盎司 1,805.90 美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲 600 SXXP 指数收盘上涨 0.7%，伦敦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX 周一收盘上涨 0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨 0.7%，香港恒生指数恒生指数上涨 0.6%，日本日经 225 NIK 指数上涨 2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数以微弱劣势错失首次收盘价 35,000 点，但所有 3 个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数最终仅接近 35,000 点里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一的综合指数连续创下历史新高，本周开始时与上周结束时相同。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的结束是在投资者等待美联储主席杰罗姆半年一次的证词之际<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，本周将发布一系列经济报告，企业季度业绩的非官方开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数（DJIA）上涨 126.02 点，涨幅 0.4%，收于创纪录的 34,996.18 点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，即0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。这一上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一系列关键事件之前，其中包括财报季的非官方开始，这<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>公司</b>.JPM,+1.43% 将于周二开盘，鲍威尔在国会大厦作证<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>以及有关通胀的最新数据。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”该公司董事约翰-凯里（John Carey）说。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S. 的收入，并补充说，就目前而言，盈利掩盖了不确定性<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>超出计划的基础设施支出和潜在的更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“凯里告诉 MarketWatch：”大多数人似乎都关注经济的实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是国债收益率下降。政府债务利率下限引发了人们对美国经济从疫情中复苏前景的质疑。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的传播已经成为一个令人担忧的问题，但分配给某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，对美联储货币政策的质疑也被归咎于一些不稳定的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>10年期MUBMUSD10Y,1.365%收益率周一小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率STMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对通货膨胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并困扰着美国家庭，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧可能对市场来说 “过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>“由杰森-普莱德（Jason Pride）和迈克尔-雷诺兹（Michael Reynolds）领导的格伦米德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：”之前对通胀的担忧和当前对增长峰值的担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断反映，不会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行病中持续复苏的过程中，市场可能会继续波动，因为它们试图适应快速变化的信息流”，但这些因素 “从长远来看不应扰乱市场”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注三角洲驱动的COVID感染。美国以 3385 万例 COVID 病例和 607,156 例死亡病例位居世界第一。安东尼-福奇（Anthony Fauci）博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但在周日接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）采访时表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼，并指责 “意识形态僵化 ”阻碍了抗击大流行病的斗争，这令人 “恐惧”。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“本-梅（Ben May）说：”我们早就警告说，接种疫苗不太可能引发向正常的平稳过渡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津</a>《经济学》全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格读数。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注了20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）在就修改国际企业税法向欧盟国家发表讲话时说：”我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于对工人工资进一步征税和加剧我们都致力于减少的经济差距。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”我们需要杜绝企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，杜绝允许企业逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>公司</b>.AVGO,+1.16%周一，《华尔街日报》报道这家芯片和软件公司正在洽谈收购 SAS Institute Inc.，此前该公司股价上涨 1.2%，交易估值可能达到 150 亿至 200 亿美元。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司</b>.AAPL,-0.42% 特拉华州联邦法官驳回了 Blix Inc. 的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害移动操作系统市场的竞争，一天后，AAPL 股价下跌 0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16% 表示，该公司将于下个月拆分为两家上市业务，维多利亚的秘密公司（Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.）的内衣部门将更名为 “VSCO”，而 Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. 从 8 月 3 日开始，股票代码为 “BBWI ”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>公司</b>.GME,-1.04%股价周一下跌1%，此前Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远低于该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>韦伯是户外烤架的制造商，在其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世近 50 年后，该公司已申请上市。股份将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>股票代码为WEBR的证券交易所。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid 周一下跌 17.3%，这是自 2020 年 3 月 16 日以来最大的单日百分比跌幅，一天前，创始人理查德-布兰森（Richard Branson）和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的 VSS 成功飞入亚轨道空间。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力航天飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商BASE周一确定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股股票，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为 “BASE”。</li><li>股份<b>现代公司</b>该公司表示将向阿根廷供应 2000 万剂 COVID-19 疫苗，周一上涨 2.8%。</li><li>股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">太阳风公司</a>.</b>SWI 周一下跌 1.8%，尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ICE 美元指数 DXY（衡量美元兑六大主要竞争对手的指标）上涨 0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低，美国基准CL00 CL.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金 GC00 收盘下跌 0.3%，至每盎司 1,805.90 美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲 600 SXXP 指数收盘上涨 0.7%，伦敦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX 周一收盘上涨 0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨 0.7%，香港恒生指数恒生指数上涨 0.6%，日本日经 225 NIK 指数上涨 2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146963909,"gmtCreate":1626049919101,"gmtModify":1633930705547,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146963909","repostId":"1172063633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":362200761,"gmtCreate":1614639223553,"gmtModify":1703479124649,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362200761","repostId":"1140003193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353317844,"gmtCreate":1616461296188,"gmtModify":1634525712803,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls rocket","listText":"Pls rocket","text":"Pls rocket","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353317844","repostId":"1150678912","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150678912","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616460565,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1150678912?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 08:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激性”支票和股市：零售交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150678912","media":"benzinga","summary":"The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shut","content":"<p><div> The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shutdown of the U.S. economy was voluntary and not triggered by a sharp downturn in economic ...</p><p><blockquote><div>与过去的衰退相比，疫情引发的衰退是独一无二的。美国经济的关闭是自愿的，不是由经济急剧下滑引发的……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激性”支票和股市：零售交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Stimmy' Checks And The Stock Market: Will The Retail Trading Frenzy Continue?<blockquote>“刺激性”支票和股市：零售交易狂潮会持续吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-23 08:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shutdown of the U.S. economy was voluntary and not triggered by a sharp downturn in economic ...</p><p><blockquote><div>与过去的衰退相比，疫情引发的衰退是独一无二的。美国经济的关闭是自愿的，不是由经济急剧下滑引发的……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20282870/stimmy-checks-and-the-stock-market-will-the-retail-trading-frenzy-continue","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150678912","content_text":"The recession triggered by the pandemic has been unique compared to recessions of the past. The shutdown of the U.S. economy was voluntary and not triggered by a sharp downturn in economic fundamentals.\nBuying The Dip:As a result, many investors saw the stock market sell-off last March as a long-term buying opportunity, and investors have been handsomely rewarded for that buying. In addition, the brief 2020 bear market was the first bear market buying opportunity for investors in more than a decade, and the availability of free trading apps lured in an entire new generation of young traders for the first time.\nMarch 23 marks the one-year anniversary of the 2020 bottom in the S&P 500. While theSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPY 0.76%is remarkably up 75.9% in a year’s time, some high-octane stocks have skyrocketed much more than that.\nYounger retail users of trading app Robinhood, Reddit’s WallSteetBets community and other groups of online traders have poured cash into a collection of fundamentally sound long-term investments and high-flying short squeeze trades and so-called “meme” stocks. Cryptocurrencies ranging fromBitcoin(CRYPTO: BTC) toDogecoin(CRYPTO: DOGE) have also skyrocketed.\nYOLOing The Stimmy:Analysts say one of the bullish catalysts for stocks in the past year has been the massive amount of stimulus the U.S. government has pumped into the economy. Part of that stimulus has been three rounds of direct stimulus payments to individual Americans.\nBank of America analyst Curtis Nagle recently discussed the high correlation between the price action in meme stockGameStop Corp.GME 3.93%and social media conversations related to stimulus payments.\nIt appears many retail traders that were stuck at home throughout the pandemic and didn’t need their stimulus payments to pay the bills put those payments straight into their trading accounts. But with the economy set for a shart recovery in 2021, there will likely be no more stimulus payments down the line.\nThemis Trading's Joe Saluzzi told Benzinga trading apps like Robinhood have been designed to maximize user engagement, much like online gambling platforms.\n“It’s no surprise to me that some recipients of stimulus payments would choose to place this money into their trading account hoping to magnify those payments. But we have to ask ourselves, is this what investing is all about or is this gambling?” Saluzzi said.\nInvestor Sentiment:JJ Kinahan,TD Ameritrade'schief market strategist, told Benzinga the stimulus payments have served their purpose up to this point in giving retail investors confidence that the economy can make it through to the other side of the crisis.\n\"In reality, it is the type of thing that gives all investors confidence that spending will continue at all levels of the economy and help keep things on track or even improve,\" Kinahan said. \"The spill-over effect is much more confidence, particularly in retail, which can help the rest of the economy in growing, particularly during this grey area between some states being wide open while others are gradually opening up.\"\nGoldman Sachs recently found that retail traders have accounted fornearly 25%of all trading activity in the past year, up from an average of about 10% over the decade prior to the pandemic. Much of this trading has apparently been bankrolled by the U.S. government. And studies haverepeatedly foundthat the vast majority of individual traders underperform the market over the long-term.\nBenzinga’s Take:There’s an old saying on Wall Street that every trader feels like a genius during a bull market The extreme gains in the S&P 500 over the past year have resulted in 487 of the 500 S&P 500 components producing overall gains for investors in the past year.\nVirtually any stocks new investors bought in the past year have made them money at this point. The danger in the longer-term will come if that initial success has created a general sense of overconfidence in younger retail traders that will result in them taking an overly risky approach to investing in a much more difficult future environment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150009144,"gmtCreate":1624872453288,"gmtModify":1633947686452,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🙂","listText":"🙂","text":"🙂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150009144","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100824331,"gmtCreate":1619601715423,"gmtModify":1634211430653,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment pls","listText":"Comment pls","text":"Comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100824331","repostId":"1131068131","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804965743,"gmtCreate":1627916894282,"gmtModify":1631891807890,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804965743","repostId":"1172320411","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809466324,"gmtCreate":1627387905568,"gmtModify":1631891807923,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Moon?","listText":"Moon?","text":"Moon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809466324","repostId":"1161348771","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119110248,"gmtCreate":1622526085084,"gmtModify":1634100800151,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119110248","repostId":"2139304437","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374967011,"gmtCreate":1619410551333,"gmtModify":1634273690984,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374967011","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893369096,"gmtCreate":1628238585215,"gmtModify":1631891807854,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893369096","repostId":"1107963628","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176681106,"gmtCreate":1626880011605,"gmtModify":1631891807948,"author":{"id":"3569201875498781","authorId":"3569201875498781","name":"traderbob","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60e14b34ed325f8a40680b279c49acc6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569201875498781","authorIdStr":"3569201875498781"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176681106","repostId":"1109551881","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109551881","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626878219,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109551881?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109551881","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening s","content":"<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）周二上涨 24.47%，原因是人们对重新开放股票的兴趣重新燃起。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于 8 月以 AMC 品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的 Grove Theatre 和 Americana at Brand Theatre。这两个剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两个剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管目前不是 r/WallStreetBets 上的热门股票，但 AMC 仍然是周二被提及次数排名第十的股票。该子Reddit通常瞄准具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC 的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，在该公司 4.4874 亿股流通股中，有 7548 万股被做空；这比 5 月份的 1.023 亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC 仍然波动较大，并且能够进行大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在一般市场的大熊市中，AMC 在 31.15 美元触底，并设法打印出看涨锤式烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC 随后在周二发布了看涨的 Marubozu 烛台。这根 Marubozu 蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明 AMC 在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 于 7 月 1 日进入下降趋势，并经历了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于 43.08 美元，高于较低的高点 37.73 美元，这表明看涨趋势变化。多头不希望股价跌破 31.15 美元才能确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 能够重新夺回 8 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 作为支撑，但拒绝并远离了 21 天 EMA。多头希望看到 AMC 在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC 的交易价格远高于 200 天简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动 AMC 突破 21 日均线并上涨至 47.91 美元区域。如果它能够重新获得支撑位，它可能会上涨至 52.97 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到 AMC 的股票继续拒绝 21 日均线，并希望其下跌并失去与 39.71 美元支撑位一致的 8 日均线的支撑。如果该股失去该水平，它可能会跌至 31.81 美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨 4.2%，至 44.78 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Smokes Shorts Again: What's Next?<blockquote>AMC 再次抽空头：下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 22:36</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>AMC Entertainment Holding Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday&nbsp;amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）周二上涨 24.47%，原因是人们对重新开放股票的兴趣重新燃起。该公司周一晚间还宣布，已达成协议，将于 8 月以 AMC 品牌重新开放洛杉矶地区的 Grove Theatre 和 Americana at Brand Theatre。这两个剧院以前由太平洋剧院租赁，是洛杉矶票房最高的两个剧院。</blockquote></p><p> Although presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.</p><p><blockquote>尽管目前不是 r/WallStreetBets 上的热门股票，但 AMC 仍然是周二被提及次数排名第十的股票。该子Reddit通常瞄准具有不寻常特征的股票，例如奇怪的所有权水平和高空头利息。然而，AMC 的基本统计数据在过去几个月中一直在改善，在该公司 4.4874 亿股流通股中，有 7548 万股被做空；这比 5 月份的 1.023 亿有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.</p><p><blockquote>尽管空头兴趣下降，AMC 仍然波动较大，并且能够进行大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Chart:</b>On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC&nbsp;put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC图表：</b>周一，在一般市场的大熊市中，AMC 在 31.15 美元触底，并设法打印出看涨锤式烛台，表明周二价格将上涨。AMC 随后在周二发布了看涨的 Marubozu 烛台。这根 Marubozu 蜡烛的上部灯芯非常小，表明 AMC 在盘中交易的每个价格水平都有买家。</blockquote></p><p> AMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 于 7 月 1 日进入下降趋势，并经历了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点，直到周二价格收于 43.08 美元，高于较低的高点 37.73 美元，这表明看涨趋势变化。多头不希望股价跌破 31.15 美元才能确认趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ba2be17dcfd5bd5f6a00ab4398a5a6\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMC&nbsp;was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 能够重新夺回 8 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 作为支撑，但拒绝并远离了 21 天 EMA。多头希望看到 AMC 在短期内重新获得该水平的支撑。AMC 的交易价格远高于 200 天简单移动平均线，表明该股的整体情绪仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afbe29a91b623abe465464f45c8889b6\" tg-width=\"1366\" tg-height=\"768\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Bulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.</p><p><blockquote>多头希望看到持续的看涨成交量推动 AMC 突破 21 日均线并上涨至 47.91 美元区域。如果它能够重新获得支撑位，它可能会上涨至 52.97 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Bears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.</p><p><blockquote>空头希望看到 AMC 的股票继续拒绝 21 日均线，并希望其下跌并失去与 39.71 美元支撑位一致的 8 日均线的支撑。如果该股失去该水平，它可能会跌至 31.81 美元大关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价上涨 4.2%，至 44.78 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109551881","content_text":"AMC Entertainment Holding Inc(NYSE:AMC) shot up 24.47% Tuesday amid returned interest in reopening stocks. The company also announced on Monday evening it hadmade a dealto reopen the Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre in the Los Angeles area in August under the AMC Brand. The two theatres were formerly leased by Pacific Theatres and are two of the highest-grossing theatres in Los Angeles.\nAlthough presently not the toptrendingstock on r/WallStreetBets, AMC was still the 10th most mentioned stock on Tuesday. The subreddit often targets stocks with unusual characteristics such as bizarre levels of ownership and high short interest. AMC’s underlying statistics have been improving over the last few months, however, and of the company’s 448.74 million share float 75.48 million shares are held short; this is down from 102.3 million in May.\nDespite short interest decreasing, AMC is still volatile and able to make big swings.\nThe AMC Chart:On Monday, during a big bear day in the general markets, AMC put in a bottom at $31.15 and managed to print a bullish hammer candlestick indicating higher prices would come on Tuesday. AMC then printed a bullish Marubozu candlestick on Tuesday. This Marubozu candle has a very small upper wick, indicating AMC had buyers at every price level it traded at intraday.\nAMC broke into a downtrend on July 1 and made a series of lower highs and lower lows until Tuesday when the price closed at $43.08, above its lower high of $37.73, which indicates a bullish trend change. Bulls won’t want the stock to drop below $31.15 for the trend to be confirmed.\nAMC was able to recapture the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support but rejected, and wicked from, the 21-day EMA. Bulls will want to see AMC regain support of the level in the near term. AMC is trading well above the 200-day simple moving average, indicating overall sentiment in the stock remains bullish.\nBulls want to see continued bullish volume push AMC over the 21-day EMA and up towards the $47.91 area. If it can regain the level as support, it could trade up toward $52.97.\nBears want to see AMC’s stock continue to reject the 21-day EMA and for it to drop down and lose support of the eight-day EMA which aligns with a support level at $39.71. If the stock were to lose the level, it could fall toward the $31.81 mark.\nAMC Price Action:Shares of AMC Entertainment traded up 4.2% to $44.78 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}