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NanSheng

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2021-10-03

[Happy]

3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>

2021-10-03

[Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-11

Great insides, good read

The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote>

2021-07-27

[Happy]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-20

Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]

What If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote>

2021-07-11

[Glance]

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>

2021-07-05

China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-01

[Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-26

Like for the title

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-21

Nice, sth to take note this week

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2021-05-27

Hmm

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-27

That’s gd news~

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-26

Reminders to ownself

The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote>

2021-04-24

Fingers crossed

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2021-04-24

Good reads

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

Good info

Why Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote>

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It reports again later this mo","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC必须在此基础上翻一番才能重温6月份的高点。查看即将上映的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一直笑到银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，今年是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资的表现比其他投资更好。超过300只股票在2021年上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年最后三个月保持这些收益，那将是幸运的，但那些有潜力再次翻倍的投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰</b>（纳斯达克：CROX），<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克：UPST）的价值在2021年前9个月翻了一番多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1.Crocs</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那双有洞的亮色胶鞋吗？他们大举回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs的销量一直在蓬勃发展，该股也紧随其后，在2021年前9个月上涨了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>舒适的树脂鞋在新冠肺炎危机之前就已经卷土重来，2019年的收入实现了两位数的增长，然后在2020年重复了这一壮举。动力才是真正让Crocs在2021年更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在2月份预计全年营收将增长20%至25%。下个季度的指引被上调至40%至50%之间。这种情况在今年夏天再次发生，Crocs现在的目标是2021年全年收入增长60%至65%。如果本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，您认为会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管自2019年初以来，Crocs的股价已上涨近六倍，但鉴于其加速增长，其定价合理。该公司今年市盈率为21倍，明年目标市盈率仅为17倍。显然还有增加这些市盈率的空间，华尔街终于像客户一样对Crocs作为一项投资感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商在这个名单上，但情节曲折是电影如此优秀的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股数量都增长了五倍——以至于其估值相对于同行来说已经不正常了。如果您想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，您会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为一种流行的股票和文化现象，很难否认AMC在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢夺。今年没有一家公司的市值像AMC那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，股价仅为6月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须在这里翻倍才能重温历史高点——但对于2021年动量股的典型代表来说，这难道不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但最初的兴奋随着随后的周末糟糕透顶而消失。然而，这一切都与管道有关。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月的上映推迟到10月及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。该行业第四季度的表现应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果AMC股价回到6月初的水平——这次基本上是盈利的——那么它将不得不在此基础上翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3.暴发户</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是Upstart在贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级评估那些通常不会获得消费贷款批准的人的风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎正在急剧减速，过去三年的增长分别放缓了89%、52%和27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长90%，但在最新报告中却飙升了1,018%。不，这不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。该股在2021年前三个季度已上涨七倍，但对于这款颠覆性喷气式飞机来说，跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-02 13:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC必须在此基础上翻一番才能重温6月份的高点。查看即将上映的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一直笑到银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，今年是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资的表现比其他投资更好。超过300只股票在2021年上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年最后三个月保持这些收益，那将是幸运的，但那些有潜力再次翻倍的投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰</b>（纳斯达克：CROX），<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克：UPST）的价值在2021年前9个月翻了一番多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1.Crocs</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那双有洞的亮色胶鞋吗？他们大举回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs的销量一直在蓬勃发展，该股也紧随其后，在2021年前9个月上涨了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>舒适的树脂鞋在新冠肺炎危机之前就已经卷土重来，2019年的收入实现了两位数的增长，然后在2020年重复了这一壮举。动力才是真正让Crocs在2021年更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在2月份预计全年营收将增长20%至25%。下个季度的指引被上调至40%至50%之间。这种情况在今年夏天再次发生，Crocs现在的目标是2021年全年收入增长60%至65%。如果本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，您认为会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管自2019年初以来，Crocs的股价已上涨近六倍，但鉴于其加速增长，其定价合理。该公司今年市盈率为21倍，明年目标市盈率仅为17倍。显然还有增加这些市盈率的空间，华尔街终于像客户一样对Crocs作为一项投资感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商在这个名单上，但情节曲折是电影如此优秀的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股数量都增长了五倍——以至于其估值相对于同行来说已经不正常了。如果您想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，您会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为一种流行的股票和文化现象，很难否认AMC在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢夺。今年没有一家公司的市值像AMC那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，股价仅为6月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须在这里翻倍才能重温历史高点——但对于2021年动量股的典型代表来说，这难道不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但最初的兴奋随着随后的周末糟糕透顶而消失。然而，这一切都与管道有关。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月的上映推迟到10月及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。该行业第四季度的表现应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果AMC股价回到6月初的水平——这次基本上是盈利的——那么它将不得不在此基础上翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3.暴发户</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是Upstart在贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级评估那些通常不会获得消费贷款批准的人的风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎正在急剧减速，过去三年的增长分别放缓了89%、52%和27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长90%，但在最新报告中却飙升了1,018%。不，这不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。该股在2021年前三个季度已上涨七倍，但对于这款颠覆性喷气式飞机来说，跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","CROX":"卡骆驰","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134305481","content_text":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.\nAMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.\nUpstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.\n\n\nIt's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?\nCrocs (NASDAQ:CROX),AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC), andUpstart (NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.\n1. Crocs\nRemember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.\nThe comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.\nThe year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?\nDespite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nYou may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.\nHowever, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?\nFundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Ringsshattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.\n3. Upstart\nI love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.\nGrowth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.\nWith Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"UPST":0.9,"CROX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867945919,"gmtCreate":1633194636222,"gmtModify":1633194636384,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867945919","repostId":"2172964582","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1980,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":892626453,"gmtCreate":1628657026772,"gmtModify":1631890434690,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great insides, good read","listText":"Great insides, good read","text":"Great insides, good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892626453","repostId":"1163924715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163924715","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628654753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163924715?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 12:05","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163924715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond","content":"<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;10-Year&nbsp;Government&nbsp;Bond Yields dropped again in Asias&nbsp;hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%.&nbsp;China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前下跌，美国10年期国债收益率在亚洲时段再度走低，拖累大宗商品价格，原油跌幅最高达5%，中概股盘前小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the&nbsp;secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments&nbsp;in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating&nbsp;their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been&nbsp;reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has&nbsp;never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have&nbsp;rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is&nbsp;that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上，有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中，其中一家公司已经清算或正在逐步清算其持有的股份。根据方舟基金的日常操作，其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股，从未加仓，尽管前述股票近期出现了一定反弹。最近出现的一个更令人高兴的信号是，方舟基金已经停止减仓中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a&nbsp;total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including&nbsp;8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC).&nbsp;Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as&nbsp;shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日，方舟基金共覆盖了10只在美上市的中概股，其中包括8只在美国场外交易（OTC）交易的中概股和2只港股，以当日收盘价计算，这10只股票合计吸金18亿美元，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that&nbsp;is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size&nbsp;of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in&nbsp;emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an&nbsp;investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks&nbsp;and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够活跃的基金，18亿美元的持仓规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺发展中市场基金，该基金在中国的投资额为150亿美元，涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此，方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds&nbsp;claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust&nbsp;China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions&nbsp;held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing&nbsp;power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American&nbsp;investor as well as the CEO &amp; CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's&nbsp;driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so&nbsp;large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target&nbsp;of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not&nbsp;yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为本，但似乎该基金并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票，方舟基金目前持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票，而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest首席执行官兼首席信息官Cathie Wood曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术，而他们在百度股票中的持仓并没有那么大。然后，中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标不是中国电动汽车三巨头，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>，但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约卖得很好，而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into&nbsp;the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的减仓情况</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are&nbsp;chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on&nbsp;July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5&nbsp;billion, accounting for about 80%.&nbsp;Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA,&nbsp;BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key&nbsp;dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择10只股票分析其份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只股票（京东、TCEHY、BEKE、PDD、百度）如图1所示，合计15亿美元，占比约80%，另外5只股票分别是阿里巴巴、牛、虎牙、比亚迪、BZ，合计3亿美元，占比约20%（图2）。关键日期标记如下。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared&nbsp;all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The&nbsp;news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and&nbsp;continued the pace in the past few days.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金在7月13日和14日清仓了虎牙的所有头寸（如上图所示）。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息于7月12日公布，但方舟基金当天并未大幅减仓，延续了前几日的节奏。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked&nbsp;date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on&nbsp;Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had&nbsp;occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following&nbsp;week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had&nbsp;to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by&nbsp;Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日（图1）。7月23日星期五，中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天，很少有人意识到发生了连锁反应，在香港上市的中资股将在接下来的一周暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日，方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被Ark减持，贝壳控股站在缺口处。这反映了Cathie Wood对中国高增长公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked&nbsp;date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds&nbsp;only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin&nbsp;(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a&nbsp;company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still&nbsp;very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日，如图2所示。在此轮动荡中，方舟基金仅减仓了BOSS直聘的股票（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>），这也是一家市值比较小的公司。与此同时，凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past&nbsp;week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7&nbsp;stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450&nbsp;million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周，中概股价格仍在低位徘徊，但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算，持仓为4.5亿美元，与7月1日相比减少了75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-11 12:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;10-Year&nbsp;Government&nbsp;Bond Yields dropped again in Asias&nbsp;hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%.&nbsp;China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前下跌，美国10年期国债收益率在亚洲时段再度走低，拖累大宗商品价格，原油跌幅最高达5%，中概股盘前小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the&nbsp;secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments&nbsp;in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating&nbsp;their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been&nbsp;reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has&nbsp;never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have&nbsp;rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is&nbsp;that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上，有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中，其中一家公司已经清算或正在逐步清算其持有的股份。根据方舟基金的日常操作，其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股，从未加仓，尽管前述股票近期出现了一定反弹。最近出现的一个更令人高兴的信号是，方舟基金已经停止减仓中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a&nbsp;total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including&nbsp;8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC).&nbsp;Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as&nbsp;shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日，方舟基金共覆盖了10只在美上市的中概股，其中包括8只在美国场外交易（OTC）交易的中概股和2只港股，以当日收盘价计算，这10只股票合计吸金18亿美元，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that&nbsp;is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size&nbsp;of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in&nbsp;emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an&nbsp;investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks&nbsp;and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够活跃的基金，18亿美元的持仓规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺发展中市场基金，该基金在中国的投资额为150亿美元，涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此，方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds&nbsp;claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust&nbsp;China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions&nbsp;held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing&nbsp;power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American&nbsp;investor as well as the CEO &amp; CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's&nbsp;driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so&nbsp;large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target&nbsp;of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not&nbsp;yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为本，但似乎该基金并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票，方舟基金目前持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票，而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest首席执行官兼首席信息官Cathie Wood曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术，而他们在百度股票中的持仓并没有那么大。然后，中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标不是中国电动汽车三巨头，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>，但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约卖得很好，而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into&nbsp;the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的减仓情况</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are&nbsp;chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on&nbsp;July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5&nbsp;billion, accounting for about 80%.&nbsp;Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA,&nbsp;BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key&nbsp;dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择10只股票分析其份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只股票（京东、TCEHY、BEKE、PDD、百度）如图1所示，合计15亿美元，占比约80%，另外5只股票分别是阿里巴巴、牛、虎牙、比亚迪、BZ，合计3亿美元，占比约20%（图2）。关键日期标记如下。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared&nbsp;all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The&nbsp;news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and&nbsp;continued the pace in the past few days.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金在7月13日和14日清仓了虎牙的所有头寸（如上图所示）。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息于7月12日公布，但方舟基金当天并未大幅减仓，延续了前几日的节奏。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked&nbsp;date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on&nbsp;Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had&nbsp;occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following&nbsp;week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had&nbsp;to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by&nbsp;Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日（图1）。7月23日星期五，中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天，很少有人意识到发生了连锁反应，在香港上市的中资股将在接下来的一周暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日，方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被Ark减持，贝壳控股站在缺口处。这反映了Cathie Wood对中国高增长公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked&nbsp;date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds&nbsp;only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin&nbsp;(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a&nbsp;company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still&nbsp;very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日，如图2所示。在此轮动荡中，方舟基金仅减仓了BOSS直聘的股票（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>），这也是一家市值比较小的公司。与此同时，凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past&nbsp;week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7&nbsp;stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450&nbsp;million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周，中概股价格仍在低位徘徊，但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算，持仓为4.5亿美元，与7月1日相比减少了75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIU":"小牛电动","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","BZ":"BOSS直聘"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163924715","content_text":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.\nIn the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.\nOn July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.\n\nAbout Its Positions\nAs a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.\nThe Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including Li Auto, NIO Inc. and XPeng Inc., but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by Niu Technologies are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".\nLet’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds\n10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.\nFigure 1\nFigure 2\nThe Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. \nAnother marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.\nThe third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (Kanzhun Limited), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.\nIn the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809759123,"gmtCreate":1627394085562,"gmtModify":1631890434694,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809759123","repostId":"1108884592","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178181556,"gmtCreate":1626791903775,"gmtModify":1631890434698,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]&nbsp;","text":"Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178181556","repostId":"1184882386","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184882386","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626790245,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184882386?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184882386","media":"zerohedge","summary":"A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged","content":"<p>A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged as the biggest Wall Street bear warning that the \"rolling corrections\" in themarket presage a 10-20% drop in stocks, summarized the current economic state simply as \"mid cycle\"...</p><p><blockquote>几个月前，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊(Michael Wilson)最近也成为华尔街最大的空头警告称，市场的“滚动调整”预示着股市将下跌10-20%，他将当前的经济状况简单地总结为“中期周期”……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... which of course is the best place to be, as the initial euphoric surge higher in stocks tapers to a slow and steady grind as the economy chugs along at a modest pace.</p><p><blockquote>...这当然是最好的地方，因为随着经济以温和的速度突突前进，股市最初的兴奋飙升逐渐减弱为缓慢而稳定的研磨。</blockquote></p><p> But what if he is wrong? After all, yesterday the NBER determined that the covid recession - at just 2 months - was the fastest on record (even as 14 million Americans are out of a job and still collect unemployment benefits) and we are already well into the mid cycle, if not approaching the end.</p><p><blockquote>但如果他错了呢？毕竟，昨天NBER确定，covid衰退——仅2个月——是有记录以来最快的（尽管有1400万美国人失业，但仍在领取失业救济金），我们已经进入了周期的中期，如果不是接近尾声的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e47d11bc07779a51cede0a73e7ddf627\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Also it is none other than Wilson's own employer Morgan Stanley, which has also said recently that this cycle will be \"<b>hotter but shorter</b>\" than usual.</p><p><blockquote>此外，正是威尔逊自己的雇主摩根士丹利，该公司最近也表示，这个周期将“<b>更热但更短</b>“比平常多了。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Does it not stand to reason then, that the economic cycle is now so truncated - courtesy of $30 trillion in global stimulus - that we have blasted right through the midcycle phase and are now nearing the end?</p><p><blockquote>那么，由于30万亿美元的全球刺激计划，经济周期现在如此缩短，以至于我们已经度过了周期中期阶段，现在接近尾声，这难道不合理吗？</blockquote></p><p> That is the question Deutsche Bank's credit strategist Jim Reid asked overnight, when he described this recovery as \"undoubtedly the most unusual in history with many sectors of the economy already running ahead of their pre-recession trend\" even though several serviced based ones are still well behind though. More importantly, according to Reid and DB economists,<i>the output and employment gap will likely close in the next couple of quarters which will be the quickest for both in observable economic history.</i></p><p><blockquote>这是德意志银行信贷策略师吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)隔夜提出的问题，他将这次复苏描述为“无疑是历史上最不寻常的，许多经济部门已经领先于衰退前的趋势”，尽管一些服务型部门仍然落后。更重要的是，根据Reid和DB经济学家的说法，<i>产出和就业差距可能会在未来几个季度缩小，这将是可观察到的经济史上最快的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Reid then takes a look at where real GDP, nominal GDP, CPI, unemployment, retail sales, equities, household wealth, housing, treasuries and commodities are against all other recoveries for most variables goes back over 100 years. The chart below shows real GDP and as Reid explains, \"for most of these, this current post covid recovery is near the top\"<b>making this recovery neck and neck with the fastest post-WWII expansion.</b></p><p><blockquote>然后，里德研究了实际GDP、名义GDP、CPI、失业率、零售销售、股票、家庭财富、住房、国债和大宗商品与100多年前大多数变量的所有其他复苏相比的情况。下图显示了实际GDP，正如里德所解释的那样，“对于其中大多数来说，当前的新冠疫情后复苏已接近顶峰”<b>使这种复苏与二战后最快的扩张不相上下。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48279d702e3f7b92c743f063b26661ad\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"411\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As Reid puts it, \"clearly this cycle saw a big drawdown due to the pandemic but so did the GFC and its notable that the post-GFC recovery was around the weakest at the same stage\" which begs the question: \"should this be seen as the start of a new cycle or a continuation of the last cycle after a period of covid related hibernation?<b>The answer to this will give us clues as to how long this cycle lasts, future Fed activity, and on the inflationary consequences of the current strong rebound.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正如里德所说，“很明显，由于疫情，这个周期出现了大幅下降，但GFC也是如此，值得注意的是，后GFC时代的复苏在同一阶段是最弱的”，这就引出了一个问题：“这应该被视为一个新周期的开始，还是在一段与covid相关的冬眠期后上一个周期的延续？<b>这个问题的答案将为我们提供线索，让我们了解这个周期会持续多久、美联储未来的活动以及当前强劲反弹的通胀后果。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 22:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged as the biggest Wall Street bear warning that the \"rolling corrections\" in themarket presage a 10-20% drop in stocks, summarized the current economic state simply as \"mid cycle\"...</p><p><blockquote>几个月前，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊(Michael Wilson)最近也成为华尔街最大的空头警告称，市场的“滚动调整”预示着股市将下跌10-20%，他将当前的经济状况简单地总结为“中期周期”……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... which of course is the best place to be, as the initial euphoric surge higher in stocks tapers to a slow and steady grind as the economy chugs along at a modest pace.</p><p><blockquote>...这当然是最好的地方，因为随着经济以温和的速度突突前进，股市最初的兴奋飙升逐渐减弱为缓慢而稳定的研磨。</blockquote></p><p> But what if he is wrong? After all, yesterday the NBER determined that the covid recession - at just 2 months - was the fastest on record (even as 14 million Americans are out of a job and still collect unemployment benefits) and we are already well into the mid cycle, if not approaching the end.</p><p><blockquote>但如果他错了呢？毕竟，昨天NBER确定，covid衰退——仅2个月——是有记录以来最快的（尽管有1400万美国人失业，但仍在领取失业救济金），我们已经进入了周期的中期，如果不是接近尾声的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e47d11bc07779a51cede0a73e7ddf627\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Also it is none other than Wilson's own employer Morgan Stanley, which has also said recently that this cycle will be \"<b>hotter but shorter</b>\" than usual.</p><p><blockquote>此外，正是威尔逊自己的雇主摩根士丹利，该公司最近也表示，这个周期将“<b>更热但更短</b>“比平常多了。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Does it not stand to reason then, that the economic cycle is now so truncated - courtesy of $30 trillion in global stimulus - that we have blasted right through the midcycle phase and are now nearing the end?</p><p><blockquote>那么，由于30万亿美元的全球刺激计划，经济周期现在如此缩短，以至于我们已经度过了周期中期阶段，现在接近尾声，这难道不合理吗？</blockquote></p><p> That is the question Deutsche Bank's credit strategist Jim Reid asked overnight, when he described this recovery as \"undoubtedly the most unusual in history with many sectors of the economy already running ahead of their pre-recession trend\" even though several serviced based ones are still well behind though. More importantly, according to Reid and DB economists,<i>the output and employment gap will likely close in the next couple of quarters which will be the quickest for both in observable economic history.</i></p><p><blockquote>这是德意志银行信贷策略师吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)隔夜提出的问题，他将这次复苏描述为“无疑是历史上最不寻常的，许多经济部门已经领先于衰退前的趋势”，尽管一些服务型部门仍然落后。更重要的是，根据Reid和DB经济学家的说法，<i>产出和就业差距可能会在未来几个季度缩小，这将是可观察到的经济史上最快的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Reid then takes a look at where real GDP, nominal GDP, CPI, unemployment, retail sales, equities, household wealth, housing, treasuries and commodities are against all other recoveries for most variables goes back over 100 years. The chart below shows real GDP and as Reid explains, \"for most of these, this current post covid recovery is near the top\"<b>making this recovery neck and neck with the fastest post-WWII expansion.</b></p><p><blockquote>然后，里德研究了实际GDP、名义GDP、CPI、失业率、零售销售、股票、家庭财富、住房、国债和大宗商品与100多年前大多数变量的所有其他复苏相比的情况。下图显示了实际GDP，正如里德所解释的那样，“对于其中大多数来说，当前的新冠疫情后复苏已接近顶峰”<b>使这种复苏与二战后最快的扩张不相上下。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48279d702e3f7b92c743f063b26661ad\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"411\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As Reid puts it, \"clearly this cycle saw a big drawdown due to the pandemic but so did the GFC and its notable that the post-GFC recovery was around the weakest at the same stage\" which begs the question: \"should this be seen as the start of a new cycle or a continuation of the last cycle after a period of covid related hibernation?<b>The answer to this will give us clues as to how long this cycle lasts, future Fed activity, and on the inflationary consequences of the current strong rebound.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正如里德所说，“很明显，由于疫情，这个周期出现了大幅下降，但GFC也是如此，值得注意的是，后GFC时代的复苏在同一阶段是最弱的”，这就引出了一个问题：“这应该被视为一个新周期的开始，还是在一段与covid相关的冬眠期后上一个周期的延续？<b>这个问题的答案将为我们提供线索，让我们了解这个周期会持续多久、美联储未来的活动以及当前强劲反弹的通胀后果。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-if-economic-end-cycle\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-if-economic-end-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184882386","content_text":"A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged as the biggest Wall Street bear warning that the \"rolling corrections\" in themarket presage a 10-20% drop in stocks, summarized the current economic state simply as \"mid cycle\"...\n... which of course is the best place to be, as the initial euphoric surge higher in stocks tapers to a slow and steady grind as the economy chugs along at a modest pace.\nBut what if he is wrong? After all, yesterday the NBER determined that the covid recession - at just 2 months - was the fastest on record (even as 14 million Americans are out of a job and still collect unemployment benefits) and we are already well into the mid cycle, if not approaching the end.\nAlso it is none other than Wilson's own employer Morgan Stanley, which has also said recently that this cycle will be \"hotter but shorter\" than usual.\n\nDoes it not stand to reason then, that the economic cycle is now so truncated - courtesy of $30 trillion in global stimulus - that we have blasted right through the midcycle phase and are now nearing the end?\nThat is the question Deutsche Bank's credit strategist Jim Reid asked overnight, when he described this recovery as \"undoubtedly the most unusual in history with many sectors of the economy already running ahead of their pre-recession trend\" even though several serviced based ones are still well behind though. More importantly, according to Reid and DB economists,the output and employment gap will likely close in the next couple of quarters which will be the quickest for both in observable economic history.\nReid then takes a look at where real GDP, nominal GDP, CPI, unemployment, retail sales, equities, household wealth, housing, treasuries and commodities are against all other recoveries for most variables goes back over 100 years. The chart below shows real GDP and as Reid explains, \"for most of these, this current post covid recovery is near the top\"making this recovery neck and neck with the fastest post-WWII expansion.\nAs Reid puts it, \"clearly this cycle saw a big drawdown due to the pandemic but so did the GFC and its notable that the post-GFC recovery was around the weakest at the same stage\" which begs the question: \"should this be seen as the start of a new cycle or a continuation of the last cycle after a period of covid related hibernation?The answer to this will give us clues as to how long this cycle lasts, future Fed activity, and on the inflationary consequences of the current strong rebound.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148462748,"gmtCreate":1626007207984,"gmtModify":1631890434698,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Glance]&nbsp;","listText":"[Glance]&nbsp;","text":"[Glance]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148462748","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SCHW":"嘉信理财","BB":"黑莓","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155743402,"gmtCreate":1625456442506,"gmtModify":1631884665635,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]&nbsp;","listText":"China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]&nbsp;","text":"China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155743402","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158871915,"gmtCreate":1625146524137,"gmtModify":1631890434701,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158871915","repostId":"2148840288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125502054,"gmtCreate":1624678417878,"gmtModify":1631890434705,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like for the title&nbsp;","listText":"Like for the title&nbsp;","text":"Like for the title","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125502054","repostId":"1177764085","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167719819,"gmtCreate":1624284496331,"gmtModify":1631890434706,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice, sth to take note this week","listText":"Nice, sth to take note this week","text":"Nice, sth to take note this week","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167719819","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135060641,"gmtCreate":1622122754983,"gmtModify":1631890434712,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135060641","repostId":"1189362899","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135087696,"gmtCreate":1622122727715,"gmtModify":1631890434714,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That’s gd news~","listText":"That’s gd news~","text":"That’s gd news~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135087696","repostId":"1159820095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374678093,"gmtCreate":1619446305212,"gmtModify":1631890434717,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reminders to ownself&nbsp;","listText":"Reminders to ownself&nbsp;","text":"Reminders to ownself","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374678093","repostId":"1176959555","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176959555","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619444660,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176959555?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 21:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176959555","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Warren Buffett's fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathawa","content":"<p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7170795bae7bf6adf6fd60aecb1d0122\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerPolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>5. Always be willing to learn new things</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌赛马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>Doug WhitemanMon, April 26, 2021, 2:00 AM<span>·6 min read</span>The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion</p><p><blockquote>道格·怀特曼2021年4月26日星期一凌晨2:00<span>·6分钟读数</span>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says you need to develop good communication skills if you want to lead.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特说，如果你想领导，你需要培养良好的沟通技巧。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Marjolijne / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>Marjolijne/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett was never one to follow the herd.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特从来都不是一个随大流的人。</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>You can follow his example by looking for new ways to stretch your dollars. For example:</p><p><blockquote>你可以以他为榜样，寻找新的方法来增加你的资金。例如：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>When shopping for life insurance,choose an inexpensive term life policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>购买人寿保险时，选择便宜的定期寿险保单。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Use a free browser extensionthat will search for lower prices when you shop online.</p><p><blockquote><li>当你在网上购物时，使用一个免费的浏览器扩展来搜索更低的价格。</li></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Download an app that willgive you cash backfor taking photos of your receipts.</p><p><blockquote><li>下载一个应用程序，它会给你现金返还，因为你拍了收据的照片。</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li></ul>5. Always be willing to learn new things<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett begins each day by reading a newspaper.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特每天都从读报开始。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Bennian / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>本年/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says invest for the long term and don&#x27;t get caught up in the stock market&#x27;s day-to-day moves.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特表示，要长期投资，不要被股市的日常走势所困扰。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>You don&#x27;t need much money to invest if youuse a popular stock trading appthat will allow you to buy fractions of shares for as little as $1 or charges you lower-to-no commission on trades.</p><p><blockquote>如果你使用一个流行的股票交易应用程序，你不需要太多的钱来投资，它可以让你以低至1美元的价格购买部分股票，或者向你收取很低甚至不收取交易佣金。</blockquote></p><p>9. Dividends are key to long-term growth</p><p><blockquote>9.股息是长期增长的关键</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett loves stocks that pay dividends. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, gets hundreds of millions of dollars each year from Coca-Cola in the form of dividends.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特喜欢支付股息的股票。他的公司伯克希尔哈撒韦公司每年以股息的形式从可口可乐获得数亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Dividends come from reliable companies that consistently meet or exceed their goals. Their stocks may not make you a lot of money quickly, but their dividends can put your investing on autopilot.</p><p><blockquote>股息来自持续达到或超过目标的可靠公司。他们的股票可能不会很快让你赚很多钱，但他们的股息可以让你的投资自动驾驶。</blockquote></p><p>Other high-dividend-paying companies include Caterpillar, AT&amp;T, Verizon and the investment firm BlackRock Capital — though, ironically, not Berkshire Hathaway.</p><p><blockquote>其他高股息支付公司包括卡特彼勒、AT&amp;T、Verizon和投资公司贝莱德资本——但具有讽刺意味的是，不包括伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。</blockquote></p><p>10. Remember, anything is possible</p><p><blockquote>10.记住，一切皆有可能</blockquote></p><p>Buffett is known to plaster his walls with what he calls &quot;instructional art.&quot; This includes newspaper front pages with screaming headlines about stock market crashes.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特用他评级的“教学艺术”来粉刷自己的墙壁。这包括报纸头版关于股市崩盘的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p>They remind him that, in investing and in life, you need to be ready because anything can happen. If you keep this in mind, then you&#x27;ll proceed with caution and make informed decisions about your investments.</p><p><blockquote>他们提醒他，在投资和生活中，你需要做好准备，因为任何事情都可能发生。如果你记住这一点，那么你就会谨慎行事，并对你的投资做出明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p>You&#x27;ll avoid taking ondebt you can&#x27;t handle, won&#x27;t live an unsustainably lavish lifestyle, and will be able to withstand market fluctuations — just like Warren Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>你将避免背负无法承受的债务，不会过上不可持续的奢侈生活方式，并且能够承受市场波动——就像沃伦·巴菲特一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-26 21:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7170795bae7bf6adf6fd60aecb1d0122\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerPolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>5. Always be willing to learn new things</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌赛马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>Doug WhitemanMon, April 26, 2021, 2:00 AM<span>·6 min read</span>The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion</p><p><blockquote>道格·怀特曼2021年4月26日星期一凌晨2:00<span>·6分钟读数</span>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says you need to develop good communication skills if you want to lead.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特说，如果你想领导，你需要培养良好的沟通技巧。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Marjolijne / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>Marjolijne/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett was never one to follow the herd.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特从来都不是一个随大流的人。</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>You can follow his example by looking for new ways to stretch your dollars. For example:</p><p><blockquote>你可以以他为榜样，寻找新的方法来增加你的资金。例如：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>When shopping for life insurance,choose an inexpensive term life policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>购买人寿保险时，选择便宜的定期寿险保单。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Use a free browser extensionthat will search for lower prices when you shop online.</p><p><blockquote><li>当你在网上购物时，使用一个免费的浏览器扩展来搜索更低的价格。</li></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Download an app that willgive you cash backfor taking photos of your receipts.</p><p><blockquote><li>下载一个应用程序，它会给你现金返还，因为你拍了收据的照片。</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li></ul>5. Always be willing to learn new things<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett begins each day by reading a newspaper.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特每天都从读报开始。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Bennian / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>本年/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says invest for the long term and don&#x27;t get caught up in the stock market&#x27;s day-to-day moves.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特表示，要长期投资，不要被股市的日常走势所困扰。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>You don&#x27;t need much money to invest if youuse a popular stock trading appthat will allow you to buy fractions of shares for as little as $1 or charges you lower-to-no commission on trades.</p><p><blockquote>如果你使用一个流行的股票交易应用程序，你不需要太多的钱来投资，它可以让你以低至1美元的价格购买部分股票，或者向你收取很低甚至不收取交易佣金。</blockquote></p><p>9. Dividends are key to long-term growth</p><p><blockquote>9.股息是长期增长的关键</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett loves stocks that pay dividends. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, gets hundreds of millions of dollars each year from Coca-Cola in the form of dividends.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特喜欢支付股息的股票。他的公司伯克希尔哈撒韦公司每年以股息的形式从可口可乐获得数亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Dividends come from reliable companies that consistently meet or exceed their goals. Their stocks may not make you a lot of money quickly, but their dividends can put your investing on autopilot.</p><p><blockquote>股息来自持续达到或超过目标的可靠公司。他们的股票可能不会很快让你赚很多钱，但他们的股息可以让你的投资自动驾驶。</blockquote></p><p>Other high-dividend-paying companies include Caterpillar, AT&amp;T, Verizon and the investment firm BlackRock Capital — though, ironically, not Berkshire Hathaway.</p><p><blockquote>其他高股息支付公司包括卡特彼勒、AT&amp;T、Verizon和投资公司贝莱德资本——但具有讽刺意味的是，不包括伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。</blockquote></p><p>10. Remember, anything is possible</p><p><blockquote>10.记住，一切皆有可能</blockquote></p><p>Buffett is known to plaster his walls with what he calls &quot;instructional art.&quot; This includes newspaper front pages with screaming headlines about stock market crashes.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特用他评级的“教学艺术”来粉刷自己的墙壁。这包括报纸头版关于股市崩盘的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p>They remind him that, in investing and in life, you need to be ready because anything can happen. If you keep this in mind, then you&#x27;ll proceed with caution and make informed decisions about your investments.</p><p><blockquote>他们提醒他，在投资和生活中，你需要做好准备，因为任何事情都可能发生。如果你记住这一点，那么你就会谨慎行事，并对你的投资做出明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p>You&#x27;ll avoid taking ondebt you can&#x27;t handle, won&#x27;t live an unsustainably lavish lifestyle, and will be able to withstand market fluctuations — just like Warren Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>你将避免背负无法承受的债务，不会过上不可持续的奢侈生活方式，并且能够承受市场波动——就像沃伦·巴菲特一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-net-worth-hit-011700408.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-net-worth-hit-011700408.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176959555","content_text":"Warren Buffett's fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.It's an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the \"Oracle of Omaha\" is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda \"like a 6-year-old.\" And his strategies for smart investing aren't too complicated.If it's so easy, why aren't more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don't have or are unwilling to develop.Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.1. It all starts with good communicationBuffett's first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.\"Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don't,\" Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it's good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.2. Look forward, not to the pastBuffett famously stated in the 1950s that \"the investor of today does not profit from yesterday's growth.\" This maxim still holds true today.According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what's in its future, not its history.Don't stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you've had your home loan for more than a year, you're probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday's historically low mortgage rates.3. When investing, innovate — don't followAdopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. \"You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,\" he has said.It's tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. \"To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,\" Buffett says.At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.4. Live frugallyBuffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald's drive-thru almost every day.5. Always be willing to learn new thingsBuffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you'll never grow too old to learn a new trick.6. Know when to fold 'emDon't get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.7. Think loooooooong term\"Buy and hold\" is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it's having a bad day — or month.Buffett's approach might be called \"buy and hold and hold.\" As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, \"Our favorite holding period is forever.\"He doesn't mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.8. Never invest borrowed moneyWhen investing, use your own money. Buffett says it's \"crazy\" to borrow. \"It's insane to risk what you have and need for something you don't really need,\" he told CNBC.If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.Doug WhitemanMon, April 26, 2021, 2:00 AM·6 min readThe 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billionWarren Buffett's fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.It's an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the \"Oracle of Omaha\" is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda \"like a 6-year-old.\" And his strategies for smart investing aren't too complicated.If it's so easy, why aren't more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don't have or are unwilling to develop.Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.1. It all starts with good communication<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBOBuffett says you need to develop good communication skills if you want to lead.Buffett's first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.\"Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don't,\" Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it's good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.2. Look forward, not to the pastBuffett famously stated in the 1950s that \"the investor of today does not profit from yesterday's growth.\" This maxim still holds true today.According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what's in its future, not its history.Don't stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you've had your home loan for more than a year, you're probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday's historically low mortgage rates.3. When investing, innovate — don't follow<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Marjolijne / ShutterstockWarren Buffett was never one to follow the herd.Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. \"You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,\" he has said.It's tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. \"To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,\" Buffett says.At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.4. Live frugallyBuffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald's drive-thru almost every day.You can follow his example by looking for new ways to stretch your dollars. For example:When shopping for life insurance,choose an inexpensive term life policy.Use a free browser extensionthat will search for lower prices when you shop online.Download an app that willgive you cash backfor taking photos of your receipts.5. Always be willing to learn new things<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBOWarren Buffett begins each day by reading a newspaper.Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you'll never grow too old to learn a new trick.6. Know when to fold 'emDon't get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.7. Think loooooooong term<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Bennian / ShutterstockBuffett says invest for the long term and don't get caught up in the stock market's day-to-day moves.\"Buy and hold\" is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it's having a bad day — or month.Buffett's approach might be called \"buy and hold and hold.\" As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, \"Our favorite holding period is forever.\"He doesn't mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.8. Never invest borrowed moneyWhen investing, use your own money. Buffett says it's \"crazy\" to borrow. \"It's insane to risk what you have and need for something you don't really need,\" he told CNBC.If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.You don't need much money to invest if youuse a popular stock trading appthat will allow you to buy fractions of shares for as little as $1 or charges you lower-to-no commission on trades.9. Dividends are key to long-term growthWarren Buffett loves stocks that pay dividends. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, gets hundreds of millions of dollars each year from Coca-Cola in the form of dividends.Dividends come from reliable companies that consistently meet or exceed their goals. Their stocks may not make you a lot of money quickly, but their dividends can put your investing on autopilot.Other high-dividend-paying companies include Caterpillar, AT&T, Verizon and the investment firm BlackRock Capital — though, ironically, not Berkshire Hathaway.10. Remember, anything is possibleBuffett is known to plaster his walls with what he calls \"instructional art.\" This includes newspaper front pages with screaming headlines about stock market crashes.They remind him that, in investing and in life, you need to be ready because anything can happen. If you keep this in mind, then you'll proceed with caution and make informed decisions about your investments.You'll avoid taking ondebt you can't handle, won't live an unsustainably lavish lifestyle, and will be able to withstand market fluctuations — just like Warren Buffett.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":594,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372703170,"gmtCreate":1619238806490,"gmtModify":1631892727764,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","listText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","text":"Fingers crossed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372703170","repostId":"1166519043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372456159,"gmtCreate":1619236397971,"gmtModify":1631892727779,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good reads","listText":"Good reads","text":"Good reads","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372456159","repostId":"1170805005","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372094787,"gmtCreate":1619155623849,"gmtModify":1631892727791,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570704273473153","idStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372094787","repostId":"1148495591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148495591","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1619152161,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148495591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 12:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148495591","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes ofApple IncA","content":"<p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.</b>TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes of<b>Apple Inc</b>AAPL 1.17%, is taking steps to alleviate thechip shortage&nbsp;which&nbsp;has come to plague companies cutting across sectors.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。有限公司。</b>TSM 1.88%，一家为以下公司供应芯片的代工厂<b>苹果公司</b>苹果公司正在采取措施缓解困扰各行业公司的芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>At a special meeting of TSMC's board held Thursday, the board approved a $2.89 billion capital spending plan. The company said the investment will be made toward installing mature technology capacity.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>在周四举行的台积电董事会特别会议上，董事会批准了28.9亿美元的资本支出计划。该公司表示，投资将用于安装成熟的技术产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company approved in January a CapEx plan of $25 billion to $28 billion to develop advanced chips and building plant capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在1月份批准了一项250亿至280亿美元的资本支出计划，用于开发先进芯片和建设工厂产能。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, TSMC said it would allocate $100 billion over the next three years to increase production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，台积电表示将在未来三年内拨款1000亿美元用于提高产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It's Important:</b>&nbsp;Theautomobile, as well as consumer electronics industries,&nbsp;are reeling from chip shortage, which has forced production shutdowns and delayed launches.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>汽车和消费电子行业正受到芯片短缺的困扰，迫使生产停工并推迟发布。</blockquote></p><p> Chipmakers have stepped up to resolve this crisis.<b>Intel Corporation</b>INTC 1.77%announced a $20 billion investment plan to build new fabs in Arizona, as it committed to a hybrid manufacturing model.</p><p><blockquote>芯片制造商已经加紧解决这场危机。<b>英特尔公司</b>INTC 1.77%宣布投资200亿美元在亚利桑那州建设新晶圆厂，致力于混合制造模式。</blockquote></p><p> The capacity expansion will likely help the Taiwanese foundry to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>产能扩张可能有助于台湾代工厂利用芯片紧缩带来的机遇。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 12:29</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.</b>TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes of<b>Apple Inc</b>AAPL 1.17%, is taking steps to alleviate thechip shortage&nbsp;which&nbsp;has come to plague companies cutting across sectors.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。有限公司。</b>TSM 1.88%，一家为以下公司供应芯片的代工厂<b>苹果公司</b>苹果公司正在采取措施缓解困扰各行业公司的芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>At a special meeting of TSMC's board held Thursday, the board approved a $2.89 billion capital spending plan. The company said the investment will be made toward installing mature technology capacity.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>在周四举行的台积电董事会特别会议上，董事会批准了28.9亿美元的资本支出计划。该公司表示，投资将用于安装成熟的技术产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company approved in January a CapEx plan of $25 billion to $28 billion to develop advanced chips and building plant capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在1月份批准了一项250亿至280亿美元的资本支出计划，用于开发先进芯片和建设工厂产能。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, TSMC said it would allocate $100 billion over the next three years to increase production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，台积电表示将在未来三年内拨款1000亿美元用于提高产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It's Important:</b>&nbsp;Theautomobile, as well as consumer electronics industries,&nbsp;are reeling from chip shortage, which has forced production shutdowns and delayed launches.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>汽车和消费电子行业正受到芯片短缺的困扰，迫使生产停工并推迟发布。</blockquote></p><p> Chipmakers have stepped up to resolve this crisis.<b>Intel Corporation</b>INTC 1.77%announced a $20 billion investment plan to build new fabs in Arizona, as it committed to a hybrid manufacturing model.</p><p><blockquote>芯片制造商已经加紧解决这场危机。<b>英特尔公司</b>INTC 1.77%宣布投资200亿美元在亚利桑那州建设新晶圆厂，致力于混合制造模式。</blockquote></p><p> The capacity expansion will likely help the Taiwanese foundry to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>产能扩张可能有助于台湾代工厂利用芯片紧缩带来的机遇。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148495591","content_text":"Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes ofApple IncAAPL 1.17%, is taking steps to alleviate thechip shortage which has come to plague companies cutting across sectors.\nWhat Happened:At a special meeting of TSMC's board held Thursday, the board approved a $2.89 billion capital spending plan. The company said the investment will be made toward installing mature technology capacity.\nThe company approved in January a CapEx plan of $25 billion to $28 billion to develop advanced chips and building plant capacity.\nEarlier this month, TSMC said it would allocate $100 billion over the next three years to increase production capacity.\nWhy It's Important: Theautomobile, as well as consumer electronics industries, are reeling from chip shortage, which has forced production shutdowns and delayed launches.\nChipmakers have stepped up to resolve this crisis.Intel CorporationINTC 1.77%announced a $20 billion investment plan to build new fabs in Arizona, as it committed to a hybrid manufacturing model.\nThe capacity expansion will likely help the Taiwanese foundry to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the chip crunch.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":158871915,"gmtCreate":1625146524137,"gmtModify":1631890434701,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158871915","repostId":"2148840288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867945639,"gmtCreate":1633194670345,"gmtModify":1633194670492,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867945639","repostId":"1134305481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134305481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633152909,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134305481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 13:35","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134305481","media":"The motley fool","summary":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this mo","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC必须在此基础上翻一番才能重温6月份的高点。查看即将上映的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一直笑到银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，今年是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资的表现比其他投资更好。超过300只股票在2021年上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年最后三个月保持这些收益，那将是幸运的，但那些有潜力再次翻倍的投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰</b>（纳斯达克：CROX），<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克：UPST）的价值在2021年前9个月翻了一番多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1.Crocs</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那双有洞的亮色胶鞋吗？他们大举回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs的销量一直在蓬勃发展，该股也紧随其后，在2021年前9个月上涨了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>舒适的树脂鞋在新冠肺炎危机之前就已经卷土重来，2019年的收入实现了两位数的增长，然后在2020年重复了这一壮举。动力才是真正让Crocs在2021年更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在2月份预计全年营收将增长20%至25%。下个季度的指引被上调至40%至50%之间。这种情况在今年夏天再次发生，Crocs现在的目标是2021年全年收入增长60%至65%。如果本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，您认为会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管自2019年初以来，Crocs的股价已上涨近六倍，但鉴于其加速增长，其定价合理。该公司今年市盈率为21倍，明年目标市盈率仅为17倍。显然还有增加这些市盈率的空间，华尔街终于像客户一样对Crocs作为一项投资感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商在这个名单上，但情节曲折是电影如此优秀的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股数量都增长了五倍——以至于其估值相对于同行来说已经不正常了。如果您想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，您会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为一种流行的股票和文化现象，很难否认AMC在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢夺。今年没有一家公司的市值像AMC那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，股价仅为6月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须在这里翻倍才能重温历史高点——但对于2021年动量股的典型代表来说，这难道不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但最初的兴奋随着随后的周末糟糕透顶而消失。然而，这一切都与管道有关。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月的上映推迟到10月及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。该行业第四季度的表现应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果AMC股价回到6月初的水平——这次基本上是盈利的——那么它将不得不在此基础上翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3.暴发户</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是Upstart在贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级评估那些通常不会获得消费贷款批准的人的风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎正在急剧减速，过去三年的增长分别放缓了89%、52%和27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长90%，但在最新报告中却飙升了1,018%。不，这不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。该股在2021年前三个季度已上涨七倍，但对于这款颠覆性喷气式飞机来说，跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks That Can Double Again in the Fourth Quarter<blockquote>四季度可以再次翻倍的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The motley fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-02 13:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.</li>  <li>AMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.</li>  <li>Upstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Crocs今年每个季度都上调了指引。它将于本月晚些时候再次报道。</li><li>AMC必须在此基础上翻一番才能重温6月份的高点。查看即将上映的影院上映名单，了解为什么电影院会变得更好。</li><li>Upstart正在彻底改变消费贷款中确定信用度的方式，并且一直笑到银行。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> It's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?</p><p><blockquote>对于股市来说，今年是动荡的一年，但自然有些投资的表现比其他投资更好。超过300只股票在2021年上涨了一倍多。如果许多获胜的投资能够在今年最后三个月保持这些收益，那将是幸运的，但那些有潜力再次翻倍的投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:CROX),<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC), and<b>Upstart</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡骆驰</b>（纳斯达克：CROX），<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC），以及<b>暴发户</b>（纳斯达克：UPST）的价值在2021年前9个月翻了一番多。让我们看看为什么他们有能力在第四季度重复这一壮举。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Crocs</p><p><blockquote>1.Crocs</blockquote></p><p> Remember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>还记得那双有洞的亮色胶鞋吗？他们大举回来了。自疫情爆发以来，Crocs的销量一直在蓬勃发展，该股也紧随其后，在2021年前9个月上涨了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>舒适的树脂鞋在新冠肺炎危机之前就已经卷土重来，2019年的收入实现了两位数的增长，然后在2020年重复了这一壮举。动力才是真正让Crocs在2021年更上一层楼的原因。</blockquote></p><p> The year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?</p><p><blockquote>今年年初，这家鞋类制造商在2月份预计全年营收将增长20%至25%。下个季度的指引被上调至40%至50%之间。这种情况在今年夏天再次发生，Crocs现在的目标是2021年全年收入增长60%至65%。如果本月晚些时候公布第三季度业绩时这些目标被推得更高，您认为会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> Despite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.</p><p><blockquote>尽管自2019年初以来，Crocs的股价已上涨近六倍，但鉴于其加速增长，其定价合理。该公司今年市盈率为21倍，明年目标市盈率仅为17倍。显然还有增加这些市盈率的空间，华尔街终于像客户一样对Crocs作为一项投资感到满意。</blockquote></p><p> 2. AMC Entertainment</p><p><blockquote>2.AMC院线</blockquote></p><p> You may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.</p><p><blockquote>你可能会惊讶地发现这个国家领先的多厅影院运营商在这个名单上，但情节曲折是电影如此优秀的原因。AMC院线确实已经升值——无论是股价还是流通股数量都增长了五倍——以至于其估值相对于同行来说已经不正常了。如果您想对电影院行业的复苏进行纯粹的投资，您会发现价格更具吸引力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> However, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?</p><p><blockquote>然而，作为一种流行的股票和文化现象，很难否认AMC在复苏过程中将其在散户投资者中的受欢迎程度转化为合法的市场份额抢夺。今年没有一家公司的市值像AMC那样膨胀，但这也是一只进入第四季度的股票，股价仅为6月份峰值时的一半多一点。简而言之，它必须在这里翻倍才能重温历史高点——但对于2021年动量股的典型代表来说，这难道不总是可能的吗？</blockquote></p><p> Fundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.<i>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings</i>shattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.</p><p><blockquote>从根本上说，催化剂也在。<i>尚气与十环传说</i>劳动节周末打破了票房记录，但最初的兴奋随着随后的周末糟糕透顶而消失。然而，这一切都与管道有关。当德尔塔变异毒株导致新冠肺炎病例激增时，电影公司将9月的上映推迟到10月及以后。我们现在看到备受期待的电影开始回归，从下周末的新詹姆斯·邦德电影开始。该行业第四季度的表现应该比反对者想象的要强劲得多，如果AMC股价回到6月初的水平——这次基本上是盈利的——那么它将不得不在此基础上翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Upstart</p><p><blockquote>3.暴发户</blockquote></p><p> I love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.</p><p><blockquote>我喜欢颠覆成熟的行业被颠覆，这就是Upstart在贷款行业所做的事情。Upstart使用人工智能和机器学习来更好地评级评估那些通常不会获得消费贷款批准的人的风险状况和信用度。</blockquote></p><p> Growth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.</p><p><blockquote>增长是疯狂的。收入似乎正在急剧减速，过去三年的增长分别放缓了89%、52%和27%。现在，消费者开始意识到Upstart是发薪日贷款和其他掠夺性贷款产品的更好替代品，业务正在飙升。第一季度收入增长90%，但在最新报告中却飙升了1,018%。不，这不是错别字。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.</p><p><blockquote>随着Upstart现在扩展到汽车贷款市场，其更好的替代乏味信用评分的潜力才刚刚开始。该股在2021年前三个季度已上涨七倍，但对于这款颠覆性喷气式飞机来说，跑道还很长。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/\">The motley fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","CROX":"卡骆驰","UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/01/3-stocks-that-can-double-again-in-the-fourth-quart/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134305481","content_text":"Key Points\n\nCrocs has jacked up its guidance every quarter this year. It reports again later this month.\nAMC would have to double from here to revisit its June highs. Check the upcoming theatrical release slate to know why movie theaters are about to get a whole lot better.\nUpstart is revolutionizing the way creditworthiness is determined in consumer loans, and it's laughing all the way to the bank.\n\n\nIt's been a volatile year for stocks, but naturally some investments have fared better than others. Over 300 stocks have more than doubled in 2021. Many of those winning investments will be lucky if they can hold those gains through the final three months of the year, but what about the names that have the potential to double again?\nCrocs (NASDAQ:CROX),AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC), andUpstart (NASDAQ:UPST)have more than doubled in value through the first nine months of 2021. Let's see why they have what it takes to possibly repeat the feat in the fourth quarter.\n1. Crocs\nRemember those bright rubbery shoes with holes in them? They're back in a big way. Crocs sales are booming since the pandemic began, and the stock is following suit with a 129% increase through the first nine months of 2021.\nThe comfortable resin shoes were already making a comeback before the COVID-19 crisis with double-digit revenue growth in 2019 before repeating the feat in 2020. Momentum is what's really taking Crocs to a higher level in 2021.\nThe year began with the footwear maker projecting 20%-to-25% top-line growth for the entire year back in February. Guidance was bumped higher -- to between 40% and 50% growth -- the following quarter. It happened again this summer, with Crocs now targeting a 60%-to-65% surge in revenue for all of 2021. What do you think will happen if those targets get pushed even higher when it reports third-quarter results later this month?\nDespite a stock that has popped nearly sixfold since the start of 2019, Crocs is reasonably priced given its accelerating growth. It's trading at 21 times this year's earnings and just 17 times next year's target. There's clearly room to increase those multiples, and Wall Street's finally as comfortable with Crocs as an investment as its customers are in its shoes.\n2. AMC Entertainment\nYou may be surprised to find the country's leading multiplex operator on this list, but plot twists are what make movies so good. It's certainly true that AMC Entertainment has appreciated -- in terms of both stock price and a fivefold explosion in shares outstanding -- to the point where its valuation is out of whack relative to its peers'. If you want a pure investing play on the movie theater industry's recovery, you will find more attractively priced stocks toscratchthatitch.\nHowever, as ameme stockand cultural phenomenon it's hard to argue against what AMC has done to translate its popularity among retail investors into a legitimate market share grab in the recovery process. No company has seen its market cap inflate as much as AMC has this year, but this is also a stock that enters the fourth quarter with a stock price that is a little more than half of what it was when it peaked in June. In short, it would have to double from here to revisit its all-time high -- but isn't that always possible with the poster child for 2021 momentum stocks?\nFundamentally speaking, the catalysts are also there.Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Ringsshattered box office records over Labor Day weekend, but the initial excitement fizzled out when subsequent weekends were abysmal. However, it's all about the pipeline. Studios pushed out September releases into October and beyond when the delta variant resulted in a spike in COVID-19 cases. We're now seeing the highly anticipated films start to come back, starting with the new James Bond movie next weekend. The fourth quarter should be a lot stronger for the industry than the naysayers think, and if AMC stock gets back to where it was in early June -- fundamentally earned this time -- it will have to double from here.\n3. Upstart\nI love when industries ripe for disruption get upended, and that's what Upstart is doing with the lending industry. Upstart usesartificial intelligenceand machine learning to make better calls on assessing risk profiles and creditworthiness for folks who don't typically get approved for consumer loans.\nGrowth is bonkers. Revenue seemed to be decelerating sharply, with slowing growth spurts of 89%, 52%, and 27% in the last three years respectively. Now that consumers are becoming aware of Upstart as a better alternative to payday loans and other predatory lending products, business is skyrocketing. Revenue rose 90% in the first quarter, only to surge 1,018% in its latest report. And no, that's not a typo.\nWith Upstart now expanding into the auto loans market, the potential for its better alternative to stodgy credit scores is just getting started. The stock has been a seven-bagger through the first three quarters of 2021, but the runway is long for this disruptive jet.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"UPST":0.9,"CROX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867945919,"gmtCreate":1633194636222,"gmtModify":1633194636384,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867945919","repostId":"2172964582","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1980,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":178181556,"gmtCreate":1626791903775,"gmtModify":1631890434698,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]&nbsp;","text":"Interesting insides of the current market [Strong]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178181556","repostId":"1184882386","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184882386","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626790245,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184882386?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184882386","media":"zerohedge","summary":"A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged","content":"<p>A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged as the biggest Wall Street bear warning that the \"rolling corrections\" in themarket presage a 10-20% drop in stocks, summarized the current economic state simply as \"mid cycle\"...</p><p><blockquote>几个月前，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊(Michael Wilson)最近也成为华尔街最大的空头警告称，市场的“滚动调整”预示着股市将下跌10-20%，他将当前的经济状况简单地总结为“中期周期”……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... which of course is the best place to be, as the initial euphoric surge higher in stocks tapers to a slow and steady grind as the economy chugs along at a modest pace.</p><p><blockquote>...这当然是最好的地方，因为随着经济以温和的速度突突前进，股市最初的兴奋飙升逐渐减弱为缓慢而稳定的研磨。</blockquote></p><p> But what if he is wrong? After all, yesterday the NBER determined that the covid recession - at just 2 months - was the fastest on record (even as 14 million Americans are out of a job and still collect unemployment benefits) and we are already well into the mid cycle, if not approaching the end.</p><p><blockquote>但如果他错了呢？毕竟，昨天NBER确定，covid衰退——仅2个月——是有记录以来最快的（尽管有1400万美国人失业，但仍在领取失业救济金），我们已经进入了周期的中期，如果不是接近尾声的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e47d11bc07779a51cede0a73e7ddf627\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Also it is none other than Wilson's own employer Morgan Stanley, which has also said recently that this cycle will be \"<b>hotter but shorter</b>\" than usual.</p><p><blockquote>此外，正是威尔逊自己的雇主摩根士丹利，该公司最近也表示，这个周期将“<b>更热但更短</b>“比平常多了。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Does it not stand to reason then, that the economic cycle is now so truncated - courtesy of $30 trillion in global stimulus - that we have blasted right through the midcycle phase and are now nearing the end?</p><p><blockquote>那么，由于30万亿美元的全球刺激计划，经济周期现在如此缩短，以至于我们已经度过了周期中期阶段，现在接近尾声，这难道不合理吗？</blockquote></p><p> That is the question Deutsche Bank's credit strategist Jim Reid asked overnight, when he described this recovery as \"undoubtedly the most unusual in history with many sectors of the economy already running ahead of their pre-recession trend\" even though several serviced based ones are still well behind though. More importantly, according to Reid and DB economists,<i>the output and employment gap will likely close in the next couple of quarters which will be the quickest for both in observable economic history.</i></p><p><blockquote>这是德意志银行信贷策略师吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)隔夜提出的问题，他将这次复苏描述为“无疑是历史上最不寻常的，许多经济部门已经领先于衰退前的趋势”，尽管一些服务型部门仍然落后。更重要的是，根据Reid和DB经济学家的说法，<i>产出和就业差距可能会在未来几个季度缩小，这将是可观察到的经济史上最快的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Reid then takes a look at where real GDP, nominal GDP, CPI, unemployment, retail sales, equities, household wealth, housing, treasuries and commodities are against all other recoveries for most variables goes back over 100 years. The chart below shows real GDP and as Reid explains, \"for most of these, this current post covid recovery is near the top\"<b>making this recovery neck and neck with the fastest post-WWII expansion.</b></p><p><blockquote>然后，里德研究了实际GDP、名义GDP、CPI、失业率、零售销售、股票、家庭财富、住房、国债和大宗商品与100多年前大多数变量的所有其他复苏相比的情况。下图显示了实际GDP，正如里德所解释的那样，“对于其中大多数来说，当前的新冠疫情后复苏已接近顶峰”<b>使这种复苏与二战后最快的扩张不相上下。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48279d702e3f7b92c743f063b26661ad\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"411\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As Reid puts it, \"clearly this cycle saw a big drawdown due to the pandemic but so did the GFC and its notable that the post-GFC recovery was around the weakest at the same stage\" which begs the question: \"should this be seen as the start of a new cycle or a continuation of the last cycle after a period of covid related hibernation?<b>The answer to this will give us clues as to how long this cycle lasts, future Fed activity, and on the inflationary consequences of the current strong rebound.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正如里德所说，“很明显，由于疫情，这个周期出现了大幅下降，但GFC也是如此，值得注意的是，后GFC时代的复苏在同一阶段是最弱的”，这就引出了一个问题：“这应该被视为一个新周期的开始，还是在一段与covid相关的冬眠期后上一个周期的延续？<b>这个问题的答案将为我们提供线索，让我们了解这个周期会持续多久、美联储未来的活动以及当前强劲反弹的通胀后果。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat If This Is The Economic End-Cycle<blockquote>如果这是经济周期结束怎么办</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 22:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged as the biggest Wall Street bear warning that the \"rolling corrections\" in themarket presage a 10-20% drop in stocks, summarized the current economic state simply as \"mid cycle\"...</p><p><blockquote>几个月前，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席股票策略师迈克尔·威尔逊(Michael Wilson)最近也成为华尔街最大的空头警告称，市场的“滚动调整”预示着股市将下跌10-20%，他将当前的经济状况简单地总结为“中期周期”……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d95f296e4d1300cd3c95485a2333d270\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"571\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... which of course is the best place to be, as the initial euphoric surge higher in stocks tapers to a slow and steady grind as the economy chugs along at a modest pace.</p><p><blockquote>...这当然是最好的地方，因为随着经济以温和的速度突突前进，股市最初的兴奋飙升逐渐减弱为缓慢而稳定的研磨。</blockquote></p><p> But what if he is wrong? After all, yesterday the NBER determined that the covid recession - at just 2 months - was the fastest on record (even as 14 million Americans are out of a job and still collect unemployment benefits) and we are already well into the mid cycle, if not approaching the end.</p><p><blockquote>但如果他错了呢？毕竟，昨天NBER确定，covid衰退——仅2个月——是有记录以来最快的（尽管有1400万美国人失业，但仍在领取失业救济金），我们已经进入了周期的中期，如果不是接近尾声的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e47d11bc07779a51cede0a73e7ddf627\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Also it is none other than Wilson's own employer Morgan Stanley, which has also said recently that this cycle will be \"<b>hotter but shorter</b>\" than usual.</p><p><blockquote>此外，正是威尔逊自己的雇主摩根士丹利，该公司最近也表示，这个周期将“<b>更热但更短</b>“比平常多了。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Does it not stand to reason then, that the economic cycle is now so truncated - courtesy of $30 trillion in global stimulus - that we have blasted right through the midcycle phase and are now nearing the end?</p><p><blockquote>那么，由于30万亿美元的全球刺激计划，经济周期现在如此缩短，以至于我们已经度过了周期中期阶段，现在接近尾声，这难道不合理吗？</blockquote></p><p> That is the question Deutsche Bank's credit strategist Jim Reid asked overnight, when he described this recovery as \"undoubtedly the most unusual in history with many sectors of the economy already running ahead of their pre-recession trend\" even though several serviced based ones are still well behind though. More importantly, according to Reid and DB economists,<i>the output and employment gap will likely close in the next couple of quarters which will be the quickest for both in observable economic history.</i></p><p><blockquote>这是德意志银行信贷策略师吉姆·里德(Jim Reid)隔夜提出的问题，他将这次复苏描述为“无疑是历史上最不寻常的，许多经济部门已经领先于衰退前的趋势”，尽管一些服务型部门仍然落后。更重要的是，根据Reid和DB经济学家的说法，<i>产出和就业差距可能会在未来几个季度缩小，这将是可观察到的经济史上最快的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Reid then takes a look at where real GDP, nominal GDP, CPI, unemployment, retail sales, equities, household wealth, housing, treasuries and commodities are against all other recoveries for most variables goes back over 100 years. The chart below shows real GDP and as Reid explains, \"for most of these, this current post covid recovery is near the top\"<b>making this recovery neck and neck with the fastest post-WWII expansion.</b></p><p><blockquote>然后，里德研究了实际GDP、名义GDP、CPI、失业率、零售销售、股票、家庭财富、住房、国债和大宗商品与100多年前大多数变量的所有其他复苏相比的情况。下图显示了实际GDP，正如里德所解释的那样，“对于其中大多数来说，当前的新冠疫情后复苏已接近顶峰”<b>使这种复苏与二战后最快的扩张不相上下。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48279d702e3f7b92c743f063b26661ad\" tg-width=\"868\" tg-height=\"411\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">As Reid puts it, \"clearly this cycle saw a big drawdown due to the pandemic but so did the GFC and its notable that the post-GFC recovery was around the weakest at the same stage\" which begs the question: \"should this be seen as the start of a new cycle or a continuation of the last cycle after a period of covid related hibernation?<b>The answer to this will give us clues as to how long this cycle lasts, future Fed activity, and on the inflationary consequences of the current strong rebound.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>正如里德所说，“很明显，由于疫情，这个周期出现了大幅下降，但GFC也是如此，值得注意的是，后GFC时代的复苏在同一阶段是最弱的”，这就引出了一个问题：“这应该被视为一个新周期的开始，还是在一段与covid相关的冬眠期后上一个周期的延续？<b>这个问题的答案将为我们提供线索，让我们了解这个周期会持续多久、美联储未来的活动以及当前强劲反弹的通胀后果。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-if-economic-end-cycle\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-if-economic-end-cycle","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184882386","content_text":"A few months ago, Morgan Stanley's chief equity strategist Michael Wilson, who also recently emerged as the biggest Wall Street bear warning that the \"rolling corrections\" in themarket presage a 10-20% drop in stocks, summarized the current economic state simply as \"mid cycle\"...\n... which of course is the best place to be, as the initial euphoric surge higher in stocks tapers to a slow and steady grind as the economy chugs along at a modest pace.\nBut what if he is wrong? After all, yesterday the NBER determined that the covid recession - at just 2 months - was the fastest on record (even as 14 million Americans are out of a job and still collect unemployment benefits) and we are already well into the mid cycle, if not approaching the end.\nAlso it is none other than Wilson's own employer Morgan Stanley, which has also said recently that this cycle will be \"hotter but shorter\" than usual.\n\nDoes it not stand to reason then, that the economic cycle is now so truncated - courtesy of $30 trillion in global stimulus - that we have blasted right through the midcycle phase and are now nearing the end?\nThat is the question Deutsche Bank's credit strategist Jim Reid asked overnight, when he described this recovery as \"undoubtedly the most unusual in history with many sectors of the economy already running ahead of their pre-recession trend\" even though several serviced based ones are still well behind though. More importantly, according to Reid and DB economists,the output and employment gap will likely close in the next couple of quarters which will be the quickest for both in observable economic history.\nReid then takes a look at where real GDP, nominal GDP, CPI, unemployment, retail sales, equities, household wealth, housing, treasuries and commodities are against all other recoveries for most variables goes back over 100 years. The chart below shows real GDP and as Reid explains, \"for most of these, this current post covid recovery is near the top\"making this recovery neck and neck with the fastest post-WWII expansion.\nAs Reid puts it, \"clearly this cycle saw a big drawdown due to the pandemic but so did the GFC and its notable that the post-GFC recovery was around the weakest at the same stage\" which begs the question: \"should this be seen as the start of a new cycle or a continuation of the last cycle after a period of covid related hibernation?The answer to this will give us clues as to how long this cycle lasts, future Fed activity, and on the inflationary consequences of the current strong rebound.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892626453,"gmtCreate":1628657026772,"gmtModify":1631890434690,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great insides, good read","listText":"Great insides, good read","text":"Great insides, good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892626453","repostId":"1163924715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163924715","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628654753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163924715?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 12:05","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163924715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond","content":"<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;10-Year&nbsp;Government&nbsp;Bond Yields dropped again in Asias&nbsp;hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%.&nbsp;China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前下跌，美国10年期国债收益率在亚洲时段再度走低，拖累大宗商品价格，原油跌幅最高达5%，中概股盘前小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the&nbsp;secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments&nbsp;in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating&nbsp;their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been&nbsp;reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has&nbsp;never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have&nbsp;rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is&nbsp;that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上，有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中，其中一家公司已经清算或正在逐步清算其持有的股份。根据方舟基金的日常操作，其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股，从未加仓，尽管前述股票近期出现了一定反弹。最近出现的一个更令人高兴的信号是，方舟基金已经停止减仓中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a&nbsp;total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including&nbsp;8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC).&nbsp;Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as&nbsp;shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日，方舟基金共覆盖了10只在美上市的中概股，其中包括8只在美国场外交易（OTC）交易的中概股和2只港股，以当日收盘价计算，这10只股票合计吸金18亿美元，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that&nbsp;is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size&nbsp;of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in&nbsp;emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an&nbsp;investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks&nbsp;and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够活跃的基金，18亿美元的持仓规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺发展中市场基金，该基金在中国的投资额为150亿美元，涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此，方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds&nbsp;claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust&nbsp;China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions&nbsp;held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing&nbsp;power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American&nbsp;investor as well as the CEO &amp; CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's&nbsp;driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so&nbsp;large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target&nbsp;of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not&nbsp;yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为本，但似乎该基金并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票，方舟基金目前持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票，而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest首席执行官兼首席信息官Cathie Wood曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术，而他们在百度股票中的持仓并没有那么大。然后，中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标不是中国电动汽车三巨头，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>，但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约卖得很好，而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into&nbsp;the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的减仓情况</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are&nbsp;chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on&nbsp;July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5&nbsp;billion, accounting for about 80%.&nbsp;Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA,&nbsp;BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key&nbsp;dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择10只股票分析其份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只股票（京东、TCEHY、BEKE、PDD、百度）如图1所示，合计15亿美元，占比约80%，另外5只股票分别是阿里巴巴、牛、虎牙、比亚迪、BZ，合计3亿美元，占比约20%（图2）。关键日期标记如下。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared&nbsp;all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The&nbsp;news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and&nbsp;continued the pace in the past few days.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金在7月13日和14日清仓了虎牙的所有头寸（如上图所示）。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息于7月12日公布，但方舟基金当天并未大幅减仓，延续了前几日的节奏。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked&nbsp;date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on&nbsp;Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had&nbsp;occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following&nbsp;week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had&nbsp;to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by&nbsp;Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日（图1）。7月23日星期五，中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天，很少有人意识到发生了连锁反应，在香港上市的中资股将在接下来的一周暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日，方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被Ark减持，贝壳控股站在缺口处。这反映了Cathie Wood对中国高增长公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked&nbsp;date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds&nbsp;only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin&nbsp;(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a&nbsp;company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still&nbsp;very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日，如图2所示。在此轮动荡中，方舟基金仅减仓了BOSS直聘的股票（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>），这也是一家市值比较小的公司。与此同时，凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past&nbsp;week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7&nbsp;stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450&nbsp;million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周，中概股价格仍在低位徘徊，但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算，持仓为4.5亿美元，与7月1日相比减少了75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks<blockquote>方舟基金减仓中概股的动作</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-11 12:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>上市前概述</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;10-Year&nbsp;Government&nbsp;Bond Yields dropped again in Asias&nbsp;hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%.&nbsp;China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>美股盘前下跌，美国10年期国债收益率在亚洲时段再度走低，拖累大宗商品价格，原油跌幅最高达5%，中概股盘前小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> In the&nbsp;secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments&nbsp;in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating&nbsp;their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been&nbsp;reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has&nbsp;never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have&nbsp;rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is&nbsp;that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在二级市场上，有两类美国基金愿意在中国进行投资。其中，其中一家公司已经清算或正在逐步清算其持有的股份。根据方舟基金的日常操作，其一直在减仓包括腾讯控股在内的中概股，从未加仓，尽管前述股票近期出现了一定反弹。最近出现的一个更令人高兴的信号是，方舟基金已经停止减仓中国股票。</blockquote></p><p> On July 1st, a&nbsp;total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including&nbsp;8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC).&nbsp;Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as&nbsp;shown in the following figure.</p><p><blockquote>7月1日，方舟基金共覆盖了10只在美上市的中概股，其中包括8只在美国场外交易（OTC）交易的中概股和2只港股，以当日收盘价计算，这10只股票合计吸金18亿美元，如下图所示。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>About Its Positions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于其立场</b></blockquote></p><p> As a fund that&nbsp;is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size&nbsp;of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in&nbsp;emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an&nbsp;investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks&nbsp;and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p><p><blockquote>作为一只投资中国股票不够活跃的基金，18亿美元的持仓规模很难说小。投资新兴市场的最大共同基金是景顺发展中市场基金，该基金在中国的投资额为150亿美元，涵盖中概股、港股和A股。因此，方舟在中国的投资并非微不足道。</blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds&nbsp;claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust&nbsp;China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions&nbsp;held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing&nbsp;power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American&nbsp;investor as well as the CEO &amp; CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's&nbsp;driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so&nbsp;large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target&nbsp;of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not&nbsp;yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金号称以技术为本，但似乎该基金并不完全信任中国的技术。通过分析其持有的中国股票，方舟基金目前持有的最多头寸是拥有巨大购买力的电子商务股票，而不是科技公司的股票。美国投资者、Ark Invest首席执行官兼首席信息官Cathie Wood曾在电视上称赞百度的无人驾驶技术，而他们在百度股票中的持仓并没有那么大。然后，中国的新能源汽车来了。方舟基金的投资目标不是中国电动汽车三巨头，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>，但是小牛电动。生产的电动汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">小牛电动</a>在纽约卖得很好，而另外三家制造商尚未扩展到美国。再次反映了凯西·伍德对中国“技术”的怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Let’s look into&nbsp;the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们来看看方舟基金的减仓情况</b></blockquote></p><p> 10 stocks are&nbsp;chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on&nbsp;July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5&nbsp;billion, accounting for about 80%.&nbsp;Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA,&nbsp;BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key&nbsp;dates are marked below.</p><p><blockquote>选择10只股票分析其份额变化。7月1日持仓最多的5只股票（京东、TCEHY、BEKE、PDD、百度）如图1所示，合计15亿美元，占比约80%，另外5只股票分别是阿里巴巴、牛、虎牙、比亚迪、BZ，合计3亿美元，占比约20%（图2）。关键日期标记如下。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Ark Funds cleared&nbsp;all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The&nbsp;news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and&nbsp;continued the pace in the past few days.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>方舟基金在7月13日和14日清仓了虎牙的所有头寸（如上图所示）。虎牙与斗鱼合并失败的消息于7月12日公布，但方舟基金当天并未大幅减仓，延续了前几日的节奏。</blockquote></p><p> Another marked&nbsp;date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on&nbsp;Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had&nbsp;occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following&nbsp;week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had&nbsp;to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by&nbsp;Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p><p><blockquote>另一个标记的日期是7月26日（图1）。7月23日星期五，中国教育股暴跌超过50%。那一天，很少有人意识到发生了连锁反应，在香港上市的中资股将在接下来的一周暴跌。方舟基金也没有意识到这一点。7月26日，方舟基金不得不减仓。前5大持仓均被Ark减持，贝壳控股站在缺口处。这反映了Cathie Wood对中国高增长公司的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The third marked&nbsp;date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds&nbsp;only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin&nbsp;(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a&nbsp;company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still&nbsp;very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三个标记日期是7月28日，如图2所示。在此轮动荡中，方舟基金仅减仓了BOSS直聘的股票（<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">看准有限公司</a>），这也是一家市值比较小的公司。与此同时，凯西·伍德仍然非常坚持在小牛电动的投资。</blockquote></p><p> In the past&nbsp;week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7&nbsp;stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450&nbsp;million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周，中概股价格仍在低位徘徊，但方舟基金不再减仓。目前只剩下7只股票。以上周五收盘价计算，持仓为4.5亿美元，与7月1日相比减少了75%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIU":"小牛电动","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","BZ":"BOSS直聘"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163924715","content_text":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.\nIn the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.\nOn July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.\n\nAbout Its Positions\nAs a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.\nThe Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including Li Auto, NIO Inc. and XPeng Inc., but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by Niu Technologies are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".\nLet’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds\n10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.\nFigure 1\nFigure 2\nThe Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. \nAnother marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.\nThe third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (Kanzhun Limited), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.\nIn the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9,"BZ":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148462748,"gmtCreate":1626007207984,"gmtModify":1631890434698,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Glance]&nbsp;","listText":"[Glance]&nbsp;","text":"[Glance]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148462748","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SCHW":"嘉信理财","BB":"黑莓","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167719819,"gmtCreate":1624284496331,"gmtModify":1631890434706,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice, sth to take note this week","listText":"Nice, sth to take note this week","text":"Nice, sth to take note this week","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167719819","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809759123,"gmtCreate":1627394085562,"gmtModify":1631890434694,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"[Happy]&nbsp;","text":"[Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809759123","repostId":"1108884592","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155743402,"gmtCreate":1625456442506,"gmtModify":1631884665635,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]&nbsp;","listText":"China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]&nbsp;","text":"China stocks got so much regulatory risk…….haiz [Sigh]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155743402","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125502054,"gmtCreate":1624678417878,"gmtModify":1631890434705,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like for the title&nbsp;","listText":"Like for the title&nbsp;","text":"Like for the title","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125502054","repostId":"1177764085","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372703170,"gmtCreate":1619238806490,"gmtModify":1631892727764,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","listText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","text":"Fingers crossed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372703170","repostId":"1166519043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372456159,"gmtCreate":1619236397971,"gmtModify":1631892727779,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good reads","listText":"Good reads","text":"Good reads","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372456159","repostId":"1170805005","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372094787,"gmtCreate":1619155623849,"gmtModify":1631892727791,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372094787","repostId":"1148495591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148495591","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1619152161,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148495591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 12:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148495591","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes ofApple IncA","content":"<p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.</b>TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes of<b>Apple Inc</b>AAPL 1.17%, is taking steps to alleviate thechip shortage&nbsp;which&nbsp;has come to plague companies cutting across sectors.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。有限公司。</b>TSM 1.88%，一家为以下公司供应芯片的代工厂<b>苹果公司</b>苹果公司正在采取措施缓解困扰各行业公司的芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>At a special meeting of TSMC's board held Thursday, the board approved a $2.89 billion capital spending plan. The company said the investment will be made toward installing mature technology capacity.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>在周四举行的台积电董事会特别会议上，董事会批准了28.9亿美元的资本支出计划。该公司表示，投资将用于安装成熟的技术产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company approved in January a CapEx plan of $25 billion to $28 billion to develop advanced chips and building plant capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在1月份批准了一项250亿至280亿美元的资本支出计划，用于开发先进芯片和建设工厂产能。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, TSMC said it would allocate $100 billion over the next three years to increase production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，台积电表示将在未来三年内拨款1000亿美元用于提高产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It's Important:</b>&nbsp;Theautomobile, as well as consumer electronics industries,&nbsp;are reeling from chip shortage, which has forced production shutdowns and delayed launches.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>汽车和消费电子行业正受到芯片短缺的困扰，迫使生产停工并推迟发布。</blockquote></p><p> Chipmakers have stepped up to resolve this crisis.<b>Intel Corporation</b>INTC 1.77%announced a $20 billion investment plan to build new fabs in Arizona, as it committed to a hybrid manufacturing model.</p><p><blockquote>芯片制造商已经加紧解决这场危机。<b>英特尔公司</b>INTC 1.77%宣布投资200亿美元在亚利桑那州建设新晶圆厂，致力于混合制造模式。</blockquote></p><p> The capacity expansion will likely help the Taiwanese foundry to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>产能扩张可能有助于台湾代工厂利用芯片紧缩带来的机遇。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple Chip Supplier TSMC's Board Approved $2.8B Spending<blockquote>为什么苹果芯片供应商台积电董事会批准$2.8 B支出</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 12:29</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.</b>TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes of<b>Apple Inc</b>AAPL 1.17%, is taking steps to alleviate thechip shortage&nbsp;which&nbsp;has come to plague companies cutting across sectors.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。有限公司。</b>TSM 1.88%，一家为以下公司供应芯片的代工厂<b>苹果公司</b>苹果公司正在采取措施缓解困扰各行业公司的芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>At a special meeting of TSMC's board held Thursday, the board approved a $2.89 billion capital spending plan. The company said the investment will be made toward installing mature technology capacity.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>在周四举行的台积电董事会特别会议上，董事会批准了28.9亿美元的资本支出计划。该公司表示，投资将用于安装成熟的技术产能。</blockquote></p><p> The company approved in January a CapEx plan of $25 billion to $28 billion to develop advanced chips and building plant capacity.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在1月份批准了一项250亿至280亿美元的资本支出计划，用于开发先进芯片和建设工厂产能。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, TSMC said it would allocate $100 billion over the next three years to increase production capacity.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，台积电表示将在未来三年内拨款1000亿美元用于提高产能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It's Important:</b>&nbsp;Theautomobile, as well as consumer electronics industries,&nbsp;are reeling from chip shortage, which has forced production shutdowns and delayed launches.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>汽车和消费电子行业正受到芯片短缺的困扰，迫使生产停工并推迟发布。</blockquote></p><p> Chipmakers have stepped up to resolve this crisis.<b>Intel Corporation</b>INTC 1.77%announced a $20 billion investment plan to build new fabs in Arizona, as it committed to a hybrid manufacturing model.</p><p><blockquote>芯片制造商已经加紧解决这场危机。<b>英特尔公司</b>INTC 1.77%宣布投资200亿美元在亚利桑那州建设新晶圆厂，致力于混合制造模式。</blockquote></p><p> The capacity expansion will likely help the Taiwanese foundry to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the chip crunch.</p><p><blockquote>产能扩张可能有助于台湾代工厂利用芯片紧缩带来的机遇。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148495591","content_text":"Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd.TSM 1.88%, a foundry that supplies chips to the likes ofApple IncAAPL 1.17%, is taking steps to alleviate thechip shortage which has come to plague companies cutting across sectors.\nWhat Happened:At a special meeting of TSMC's board held Thursday, the board approved a $2.89 billion capital spending plan. The company said the investment will be made toward installing mature technology capacity.\nThe company approved in January a CapEx plan of $25 billion to $28 billion to develop advanced chips and building plant capacity.\nEarlier this month, TSMC said it would allocate $100 billion over the next three years to increase production capacity.\nWhy It's Important: Theautomobile, as well as consumer electronics industries, are reeling from chip shortage, which has forced production shutdowns and delayed launches.\nChipmakers have stepped up to resolve this crisis.Intel CorporationINTC 1.77%announced a $20 billion investment plan to build new fabs in Arizona, as it committed to a hybrid manufacturing model.\nThe capacity expansion will likely help the Taiwanese foundry to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the chip crunch.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374678093,"gmtCreate":1619446305212,"gmtModify":1631890434717,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reminders to ownself&nbsp;","listText":"Reminders to ownself&nbsp;","text":"Reminders to ownself","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374678093","repostId":"1176959555","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176959555","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619444660,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176959555?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 21:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176959555","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Warren Buffett's fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathawa","content":"<p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7170795bae7bf6adf6fd60aecb1d0122\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerPolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>5. Always be willing to learn new things</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌赛马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>Doug WhitemanMon, April 26, 2021, 2:00 AM<span>·6 min read</span>The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion</p><p><blockquote>道格·怀特曼2021年4月26日星期一凌晨2:00<span>·6分钟读数</span>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says you need to develop good communication skills if you want to lead.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特说，如果你想领导，你需要培养良好的沟通技巧。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Marjolijne / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>Marjolijne/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett was never one to follow the herd.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特从来都不是一个随大流的人。</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>You can follow his example by looking for new ways to stretch your dollars. For example:</p><p><blockquote>你可以以他为榜样，寻找新的方法来增加你的资金。例如：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>When shopping for life insurance,choose an inexpensive term life policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>购买人寿保险时，选择便宜的定期寿险保单。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Use a free browser extensionthat will search for lower prices when you shop online.</p><p><blockquote><li>当你在网上购物时，使用一个免费的浏览器扩展来搜索更低的价格。</li></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Download an app that willgive you cash backfor taking photos of your receipts.</p><p><blockquote><li>下载一个应用程序，它会给你现金返还，因为你拍了收据的照片。</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li></ul>5. Always be willing to learn new things<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett begins each day by reading a newspaper.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特每天都从读报开始。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Bennian / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>本年/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says invest for the long term and don&#x27;t get caught up in the stock market&#x27;s day-to-day moves.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特表示，要长期投资，不要被股市的日常走势所困扰。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>You don&#x27;t need much money to invest if youuse a popular stock trading appthat will allow you to buy fractions of shares for as little as $1 or charges you lower-to-no commission on trades.</p><p><blockquote>如果你使用一个流行的股票交易应用程序，你不需要太多的钱来投资，它可以让你以低至1美元的价格购买部分股票，或者向你收取很低甚至不收取交易佣金。</blockquote></p><p>9. Dividends are key to long-term growth</p><p><blockquote>9.股息是长期增长的关键</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett loves stocks that pay dividends. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, gets hundreds of millions of dollars each year from Coca-Cola in the form of dividends.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特喜欢支付股息的股票。他的公司伯克希尔哈撒韦公司每年以股息的形式从可口可乐获得数亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Dividends come from reliable companies that consistently meet or exceed their goals. Their stocks may not make you a lot of money quickly, but their dividends can put your investing on autopilot.</p><p><blockquote>股息来自持续达到或超过目标的可靠公司。他们的股票可能不会很快让你赚很多钱，但他们的股息可以让你的投资自动驾驶。</blockquote></p><p>Other high-dividend-paying companies include Caterpillar, AT&amp;T, Verizon and the investment firm BlackRock Capital — though, ironically, not Berkshire Hathaway.</p><p><blockquote>其他高股息支付公司包括卡特彼勒、AT&amp;T、Verizon和投资公司贝莱德资本——但具有讽刺意味的是，不包括伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。</blockquote></p><p>10. Remember, anything is possible</p><p><blockquote>10.记住，一切皆有可能</blockquote></p><p>Buffett is known to plaster his walls with what he calls &quot;instructional art.&quot; This includes newspaper front pages with screaming headlines about stock market crashes.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特用他评级的“教学艺术”来粉刷自己的墙壁。这包括报纸头版关于股市崩盘的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p>They remind him that, in investing and in life, you need to be ready because anything can happen. If you keep this in mind, then you&#x27;ll proceed with caution and make informed decisions about your investments.</p><p><blockquote>他们提醒他，在投资和生活中，你需要做好准备，因为任何事情都可能发生。如果你记住这一点，那么你就会谨慎行事，并对你的投资做出明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p>You&#x27;ll avoid taking ondebt you can&#x27;t handle, won&#x27;t live an unsustainably lavish lifestyle, and will be able to withstand market fluctuations — just like Warren Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>你将避免背负无法承受的债务，不会过上不可持续的奢侈生活方式，并且能够承受市场波动——就像沃伦·巴菲特一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion<blockquote>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-26 21:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7170795bae7bf6adf6fd60aecb1d0122\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"426\" referrerPolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>5. Always be willing to learn new things</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌赛马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>Doug WhitemanMon, April 26, 2021, 2:00 AM<span>·6 min read</span>The 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billion</p><p><blockquote>道格·怀特曼2021年4月26日星期一凌晨2:00<span>·6分钟读数</span>让沃伦·巴菲特赚到1000亿美元的10条基本规则</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&#x27;s fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的财富最近超过了1000亿美元，他的公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股价创下了历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the &quot;Oracle of Omaha&quot; is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda &quot;like a 6-year-old.&quot; And his strategies for smart investing aren&#x27;t too complicated.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个非常罕见的成就——然而“奥马哈先知”实际上是一个非常简单的人。他仍然住在他的家乡。他“像一个6岁的孩子一样”吃快餐和狂饮汽水。他的明智投资策略并不太复杂。</blockquote></p><p>If it&#x27;s so easy, why aren&#x27;t more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don&#x27;t have or are unwilling to develop.</p><p><blockquote>如果这么容易，为什么没有更多的人像巴菲特一样富有？因为他的方法需要很多人要么没有，要么不愿意培养的那种纪律和耐心。</blockquote></p><p>Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>看看他的10条赚钱法则，看看你是否能更像巴菲特一点。</blockquote></p><p>1. It all starts with good communication<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>1.一切都始于良好的沟通<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/uRshPZB155tDIZjlUXI4TQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/dWO12XpIJ5O63exAuCTJgA--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/ffc38207cfc053443e9573b9e27c69b4\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says you need to develop good communication skills if you want to lead.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特说，如果你想领导，你需要培养良好的沟通技巧。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特通往繁荣的第一把钥匙与选股关系不大。他说你需要成为一个强有力的沟通者：把语言作为你最重要的工具。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don&#x27;t,&quot; Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特曾对斯坦福大学的一名MBA学生说：“如果没有良好的沟通技巧，你就无法说服人们追随你，即使你看到了山那边，但他们没有。”</blockquote></p><p>While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it&#x27;s good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对财务规划师来说似乎是明智的建议，但它有利于帮助任何人培养领导技能和在压力情况下思考的能力。</blockquote></p><p>2. Look forward, not to the past</p><p><blockquote>2.向前看，而不是过去</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously stated in the 1950s that &quot;the investor of today does not profit from yesterday&#x27;s growth.&quot; This maxim still holds true today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪50年代有一句名言：“今天的投资者不会从昨天的增长中获利。”这句格言今天仍然适用。</blockquote></p><p>According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what&#x27;s in its future, not its history.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，追随过去的趋势远没有发现新的机会重要。在决定是否投资一家公司时，关注它的未来，而不是它的历史。</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you&#x27;ve had your home loan for more than a year, you&#x27;re probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday&#x27;s historically low mortgage rates.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到你的抵押贷款时，也不要停留在过去。如果您的住房贷款已超过一年，您可能会逾期再融资，以利用当今历史上较低的抵押贷款利率。</blockquote></p><p>3. When investing, innovate — don&#x27;t follow<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Marjolijne / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>3.投资时，要创新——不要跟随<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/UOI38H8ptEjnxlbJieZC7Q--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/cGXsoalKIXTT6w5hdOFzCQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/6862636f789bacfd899eb109dd9d8997\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>Marjolijne/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett was never one to follow the herd.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特从来都不是一个随大流的人。</blockquote></p><p>Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. &quot;You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,&quot; he has said.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特认为，采取从众心理肯定会获得中等结果。“你需要把你的思想从人群中分离出来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>It&#x27;s tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. &quot;To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,&quot; Buffett says.</p><p><blockquote>这很艰难，但你必须根据自己的知识和经验制定自己的投资策略，从而脱颖而出。“要成为一名成功的投资者，你必须摆脱周围人的恐惧和贪婪，尽管这几乎是不可能的，”巴菲特说。</blockquote></p><p>At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.</p><p><blockquote>同时，对好的建议持开放态度。财务规划服务——如今价格实惠且可在网上获得——可以帮助引导您实现梦想中的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p>4. Live frugally</p><p><blockquote>4.节俭生活</blockquote></p><p>Buffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald&#x27;s drive-thru almost every day.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特的生活远远低于他的收入。众所周知，他开的是一辆又旧又普通的汽车。他仍然住在1958年花31,500美元在内布拉斯加州奥马哈买的房子里，几乎每天都在麦当劳得来速餐厅吃早餐。</blockquote></p><p>You can follow his example by looking for new ways to stretch your dollars. For example:</p><p><blockquote>你可以以他为榜样，寻找新的方法来增加你的资金。例如：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>When shopping for life insurance,choose an inexpensive term life policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>购买人寿保险时，选择便宜的定期寿险保单。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Use a free browser extensionthat will search for lower prices when you shop online.</p><p><blockquote><li>当你在网上购物时，使用一个免费的浏览器扩展来搜索更低的价格。</li></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Download an app that willgive you cash backfor taking photos of your receipts.</p><p><blockquote><li>下载一个应用程序，它会给你现金返还，因为你拍了收据的照片。</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li></ul>5. Always be willing to learn new things<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBO</p><p><blockquote>5.总是乐于学习新事物<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/XD6zelv2eAEM6e3EJJAY9g--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/2spZzG489lrwB7qyF2YeXQ--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/d72a7c6ebd482efdef2a25ed24c9b4a2\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>成为沃伦·巴菲特/HBO</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett begins each day by reading a newspaper.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特每天都从读报开始。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特喜欢说，知识的积累就像对银行的兴趣一样。他每天从一份报纸开始，他每天阅读各种主题的书籍。</blockquote></p><p>Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.</p><p><blockquote>消费信息不仅会影响你的投资，还会为你在生活的各个领域取得成功做好准备。吸收别人能告诉你的关于新技术和新策略的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you&#x27;ll never grow too old to learn a new trick.</p><p><blockquote>那些避免学习新事物的人有被淘汰的风险。像巴菲特一样，你永远不会老到学不到新把戏。</blockquote></p><p>6. Know when to fold &#x27;em</p><p><blockquote>6.知道何时折叠</blockquote></p><p>Don&#x27;t get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解——巴菲特确实会在必要时出售股票。当疫情爆发时，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售了其在美国航空业的全部股权。</blockquote></p><p>The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.</p><p><blockquote>长期投资成功的诀窍是知道何时离开。巴菲特在年轻时赌马时学到了这些教训。他试图通过增加赌注来弥补损失，结果他输了更多的钱。</blockquote></p><p>Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.</p><p><blockquote>认识到一只股票何时是真正的输家，这样你就可以走开并将损失降至最低。如果您使用允许您投资多余零钱的应用程序，您的投资组合将自动调整，以在股票陷入困境时保护您。</blockquote></p><p>7. Think loooooooong term<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\"><<<图片加载中。。。>>></span>Bennian / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>7.从长远来看<span data-src=\"https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/tkB3q4PKWgd677Jbf8EjLg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTQwMDtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/HMhux8eZD3A5PJHuymmAYg--~B/aD01MDA7dz0xMjAwO2FwcGlkPXl0YWNoeW9u/https://media.zenfs.com/en/moneywise_327/75593ac123e93772e4d4fe517c669b53\">&lt;&lt;&lt;图片加载中。。。&gt;&gt;&gt;</span>本年/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p>Buffett says invest for the long term and don&#x27;t get caught up in the stock market&#x27;s day-to-day moves.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特表示，要长期投资，不要被股市的日常走势所困扰。</blockquote></p><p>&quot;Buy and hold&quot; is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it&#x27;s having a bad day — or month.</p><p><blockquote>“买入并持有”是一种常见的长期投资策略，评级认为即使股票表现不佳，也要坚持持有股票。</blockquote></p><p>Buffett&#x27;s approach might be called &quot;buy and hold and hold.&quot; As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, &quot;Our favorite holding period is forever.&quot;</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的方法可以被称为“买入并持有”。正如他喜欢告诉伯克希尔哈撒韦股东的那样，“我们最喜欢的持有期是永远。”</blockquote></p><p>He doesn&#x27;t mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>他并不介意股票偶尔下跌，因为这些都是以折扣价购买更多股票的好机会。</blockquote></p><p>8. Never invest borrowed money</p><p><blockquote>8.切勿投资借来的钱</blockquote></p><p>When investing, use your own money. Buffett says it&#x27;s &quot;crazy&quot; to borrow. &quot;It&#x27;s insane to risk what you have and need for something you don&#x27;t really need,&quot; he told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>投资的时候，用自己的钱。巴菲特说借贷是“疯狂的”。他告诉CNBC：“拿你所拥有和需要的东西冒险去买你并不真正需要的东西是疯狂的。”</blockquote></p><p>If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.</p><p><blockquote>如果你借钱投资，你的策略将与你还款的需要过于紧密地联系在一起。有些投资需要长期规划和坚持增长，这在债务悬在头上的情况下是很困难的。</blockquote></p><p>You don&#x27;t need much money to invest if youuse a popular stock trading appthat will allow you to buy fractions of shares for as little as $1 or charges you lower-to-no commission on trades.</p><p><blockquote>如果你使用一个流行的股票交易应用程序，你不需要太多的钱来投资，它可以让你以低至1美元的价格购买部分股票，或者向你收取很低甚至不收取交易佣金。</blockquote></p><p>9. Dividends are key to long-term growth</p><p><blockquote>9.股息是长期增长的关键</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett loves stocks that pay dividends. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, gets hundreds of millions of dollars each year from Coca-Cola in the form of dividends.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特喜欢支付股息的股票。他的公司伯克希尔哈撒韦公司每年以股息的形式从可口可乐获得数亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Dividends come from reliable companies that consistently meet or exceed their goals. Their stocks may not make you a lot of money quickly, but their dividends can put your investing on autopilot.</p><p><blockquote>股息来自持续达到或超过目标的可靠公司。他们的股票可能不会很快让你赚很多钱，但他们的股息可以让你的投资自动驾驶。</blockquote></p><p>Other high-dividend-paying companies include Caterpillar, AT&amp;T, Verizon and the investment firm BlackRock Capital — though, ironically, not Berkshire Hathaway.</p><p><blockquote>其他高股息支付公司包括卡特彼勒、AT&amp;T、Verizon和投资公司贝莱德资本——但具有讽刺意味的是，不包括伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。</blockquote></p><p>10. Remember, anything is possible</p><p><blockquote>10.记住，一切皆有可能</blockquote></p><p>Buffett is known to plaster his walls with what he calls &quot;instructional art.&quot; This includes newspaper front pages with screaming headlines about stock market crashes.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，巴菲特用他评级的“教学艺术”来粉刷自己的墙壁。这包括报纸头版关于股市崩盘的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p>They remind him that, in investing and in life, you need to be ready because anything can happen. If you keep this in mind, then you&#x27;ll proceed with caution and make informed decisions about your investments.</p><p><blockquote>他们提醒他，在投资和生活中，你需要做好准备，因为任何事情都可能发生。如果你记住这一点，那么你就会谨慎行事，并对你的投资做出明智的决定。</blockquote></p><p>You&#x27;ll avoid taking ondebt you can&#x27;t handle, won&#x27;t live an unsustainably lavish lifestyle, and will be able to withstand market fluctuations — just like Warren Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>你将避免背负无法承受的债务，不会过上不可持续的奢侈生活方式，并且能够承受市场波动——就像沃伦·巴菲特一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-net-worth-hit-011700408.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffetts-net-worth-hit-011700408.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176959555","content_text":"Warren Buffett's fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.It's an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the \"Oracle of Omaha\" is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda \"like a 6-year-old.\" And his strategies for smart investing aren't too complicated.If it's so easy, why aren't more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don't have or are unwilling to develop.Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.1. It all starts with good communicationBuffett's first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.\"Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don't,\" Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it's good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.2. Look forward, not to the pastBuffett famously stated in the 1950s that \"the investor of today does not profit from yesterday's growth.\" This maxim still holds true today.According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what's in its future, not its history.Don't stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you've had your home loan for more than a year, you're probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday's historically low mortgage rates.3. When investing, innovate — don't followAdopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. \"You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,\" he has said.It's tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. \"To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,\" Buffett says.At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.4. Live frugallyBuffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald's drive-thru almost every day.5. Always be willing to learn new thingsBuffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you'll never grow too old to learn a new trick.6. Know when to fold 'emDon't get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.7. Think loooooooong term\"Buy and hold\" is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it's having a bad day — or month.Buffett's approach might be called \"buy and hold and hold.\" As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, \"Our favorite holding period is forever.\"He doesn't mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.8. Never invest borrowed moneyWhen investing, use your own money. Buffett says it's \"crazy\" to borrow. \"It's insane to risk what you have and need for something you don't really need,\" he told CNBC.If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.Doug WhitemanMon, April 26, 2021, 2:00 AM·6 min readThe 10 basic rules that made Warren Buffett $100 billionWarren Buffett's fortune recently surpassed $100 billion, as shares of his company Berkshire Hathaway hit an all-time high.It's an incredibly rare achievement — and yet the \"Oracle of Omaha\" is actually a pretty simple guy. He still lives in his hometown. He eats fast food and guzzles soda \"like a 6-year-old.\" And his strategies for smart investing aren't too complicated.If it's so easy, why aren't more people as rich as Buffett? Because his approach takes the kind of discipline and patience that many people either don't have or are unwilling to develop.Take a look at 10 of his money-making rules and see whether you can be just a little bit more like Buffett.1. It all starts with good communication<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBOBuffett says you need to develop good communication skills if you want to lead.Buffett's first key to prosperity has little to do with picking stocks. He says you need to become a strong communicator: Wield words as your most important tools.\"Without good communication skills, you won’t be able to convince people to follow you even though you see over the mountain and they don't,\" Buffett once told a Stanford MBA student.While this may seem like sage advice for financial planners, it's good for helping anyone develop leadership skills and the ability to think in stressful situations.2. Look forward, not to the pastBuffett famously stated in the 1950s that \"the investor of today does not profit from yesterday's growth.\" This maxim still holds true today.According to Buffett, following past trends is much less important than identifying new opportunities. When deciding whether to invest in a company, focus on what's in its future, not its history.Don't stay stuck in the past when it comes to your mortgage either. If you've had your home loan for more than a year, you're probably overdue on a refinance to take advantage oftoday's historically low mortgage rates.3. When investing, innovate — don't follow<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Marjolijne / ShutterstockWarren Buffett was never one to follow the herd.Adopting a herd mentality is a surefire way to get middling results, Buffett believes. \"You need to divorce your mind from the crowd,\" he has said.It's tough, but you have to break out from the pack by developing your own investing strategy based on your knowledge and experience. \"To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible,\" Buffett says.At the same time, be open to good advice. Financial planning services — which todayare affordable and available online— can help guide you toward your dream retirement.4. Live frugallyBuffett famously lives well below his means. He has been known to drive an older, modest car. He still resides in the house he bought in Omaha, Nebraska, for $31,500 in 1958, and he picks up breakfast at a McDonald's drive-thru almost every day.You can follow his example by looking for new ways to stretch your dollars. For example:When shopping for life insurance,choose an inexpensive term life policy.Use a free browser extensionthat will search for lower prices when you shop online.Download an app that willgive you cash backfor taking photos of your receipts.5. Always be willing to learn new things<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Becoming Warren Buffett / HBOWarren Buffett begins each day by reading a newspaper.Buffett likes to say that knowledge accumulates just like interest in the bank. He starts each day with a newspaper, and he reads books on various topics every day.Consuming information will not only influence your investing, but it also will prepare you for success in all areas of life. Soak up what others can tell you about new technologies and new strategies.Those who avoid learning new things risk becoming obsolete. Be like Buffett, and you'll never grow too old to learn a new trick.6. Know when to fold 'emDon't get the wrong idea — Buffett does sell stocks when he has to. When the pandemic hit, Berkshire Hathaway sold the entirety of its equity position in the U.S. airline industry.The trick for long-term investing success is knowing when to walk away. Buffett learned these lessons as a young man betting on horse races. He tried to make up for losses by increasing his bets, and he lost more money.Recognize when a stock is a genuine loser, so you can walk away and minimize your losses. If you use an app that allows you toinvest your spare change, your portfolio will be adjusted automatically to protect you when a stock is in trouble.7. Think loooooooong term<<<图片加载中。。。>>>Bennian / ShutterstockBuffett says invest for the long term and don't get caught up in the stock market's day-to-day moves.\"Buy and hold\" is a common, long-term investment strategy that calls for sticking with a stock even when it's having a bad day — or month.Buffett's approach might be called \"buy and hold and hold.\" As he likes to tell his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, \"Our favorite holding period is forever.\"He doesn't mind when a stock takes an occasional tumble, because those are good opportunities to buy more shares at a discount.8. Never invest borrowed moneyWhen investing, use your own money. Buffett says it's \"crazy\" to borrow. \"It's insane to risk what you have and need for something you don't really need,\" he told CNBC.If you borrow to invest, your strategies will be too closely tied to your need to repay the money. Some investments require long-term planning and holding out for growth, which is difficult with a debt hanging over your head.You don't need much money to invest if youuse a popular stock trading appthat will allow you to buy fractions of shares for as little as $1 or charges you lower-to-no commission on trades.9. Dividends are key to long-term growthWarren Buffett loves stocks that pay dividends. His company, Berkshire Hathaway, gets hundreds of millions of dollars each year from Coca-Cola in the form of dividends.Dividends come from reliable companies that consistently meet or exceed their goals. Their stocks may not make you a lot of money quickly, but their dividends can put your investing on autopilot.Other high-dividend-paying companies include Caterpillar, AT&T, Verizon and the investment firm BlackRock Capital — though, ironically, not Berkshire Hathaway.10. Remember, anything is possibleBuffett is known to plaster his walls with what he calls \"instructional art.\" This includes newspaper front pages with screaming headlines about stock market crashes.They remind him that, in investing and in life, you need to be ready because anything can happen. If you keep this in mind, then you'll proceed with caution and make informed decisions about your investments.You'll avoid taking ondebt you can't handle, won't live an unsustainably lavish lifestyle, and will be able to withstand market fluctuations — just like Warren Buffett.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":594,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135060641,"gmtCreate":1622122754983,"gmtModify":1631890434712,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135060641","repostId":"1189362899","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135087696,"gmtCreate":1622122727715,"gmtModify":1631890434714,"author":{"id":"3570704273473153","authorId":"3570704273473153","name":"NanSheng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9c7cbd5f4701e1436aa63c6c6c7fc5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570704273473153","authorIdStr":"3570704273473153"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That’s gd news~","listText":"That’s gd news~","text":"That’s gd news~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135087696","repostId":"1159820095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}