Yuyujiejie的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Yuyujiejie

Yuyujiejie

Buy high sell Low

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2021-02-05

Please comment on my post. Lol

The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America

2021-02-09

Please comment back

The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn

2021-02-05

Give me a like and comment

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2021-02-20

Please like my comment

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2021-02-13

Woahh!!!! Goood ipo

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2021-02-12

Guys please comment and like

2021-02-09

Comment to my comment please

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2021-02-06

Singapore stocks ain’t goood lol. Please likeand comment this post

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2021-03-05

Up up

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2021-02-20

Like my commment please

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2021-02-19

Weeeeee

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2021-02-09

Is the sp500 unstoppable?

2021-03-28

April. Bull market one

2021-03-21

Discount!’

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2021-02-27

Solid bird bird

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2021-02-21

Who’s excited for market open.

2021-02-10

Is spy gonna fall from the unstoppable rise? Please like my post

2021-02-09

Yessss ahhhb

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2021-03-02

Huat!!!! Steady

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2021-02-15

Market is closed sadge

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Goood ipo&nbsp;","listText":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo&nbsp;","text":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386247953","repostId":"2110041062","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":380981785,"gmtCreate":1612503850747,"gmtModify":1703762803639,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment on my post. Lol&nbsp;","listText":"Please comment on my post. Lol&nbsp;","text":"Please comment on my post. Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380981785","repostId":"1180970570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180970570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612501989,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180970570?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-05 13:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180970570","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now droppi","content":"<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p>Too much momentum</p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-05 13:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page><strong>marketwatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now dropping like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72bab52a7d49e9d26088350ab4826c1","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180970570","content_text":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now dropping like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.As a finance professor who does research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.Capital markets aren’t casinosSome have portrayed GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino, as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without access to capital markets.The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when markets seemingly go crazy and on the speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.The GameStop bubbleGameStop fundamentals are, to put it mildly, lackluster.The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now take place as digital downloads. GameStop has been slow to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in 2012 at US$9.55 billion and had dropped by a third as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price from under $20 in early January to as high as $483 in a little over two weeks, driven by retail investors on Reddit who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds, costing the professionals billions of dollars.It is clearly a speculative price bubble and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially those attracted by the extreme price moves and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.Bubbles are made to popFinancial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 — after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s — an economic recession followed soon after. The bursting of a housing bubble in 2008 triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.Too much momentumSo markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the prices of silverSI00,0.61% and companies such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood have made trading easy, fun and basically free.The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example, skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation could hurt public confidence in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.Warren Buffett once said about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from crashing“.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383373670,"gmtCreate":1612844690690,"gmtModify":1703765753929,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment back&nbsp;","listText":"Please comment back&nbsp;","text":"Please comment back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383373670","repostId":"2110032585","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2110032585","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1612842889,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2110032585?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-09 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2110032585","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock","content":"<p>Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer</p>\n<p>A highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.</p>\n<p>It is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.</p>\n<p>In addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.</p>\n<p>Dwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.</p>\n<p>Dwyer highlighted how the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08505c0057deab4fab1d472343059fa9\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>CANACCORD GENUITY</span></p>\n<p>Through the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&amp;P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p>\n<p>At this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&amp;P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&amp;P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.</p>\n<p>After a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed&nbsp;a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.</p>\n<p>DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&amp;P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.</p>\n<p>Colas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”</p>\n<p>He noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect&nbsp;and where to start buying.”</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. He noted that since the start of earnings season, according to Refinitiv data, fourth-quarter 2020 year-over-year earnings have improved by 11.9 percentage points (from -10.3% to +1.6%), the fifth-largest improvement on record dating back to the third quarter of 2002 and matched only by the 2009-10 recovery.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-09 11:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"2110032585","content_text":"Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.\nIt is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.\nIn addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.\nDwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.\nDwyer highlighted how the S&P 500 move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).\nCANACCORD GENUITY\nThrough the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.\nAt this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.\nAfter a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.\nDataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.\nColas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”\nHe noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect and where to start buying.”\nMeanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. 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