Yuyujiejie的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Yuyujiejie

Yuyujiejie

Buy high sell Low

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2021-03-28

April. Bull market one

2021-03-21

Discount!’

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2021-03-16

Hi guys bull market

2021-03-15

Bull market!!

2021-03-14

Hope Monday is bull

2021-03-10

Any market sentiments?

2021-03-05

Up up

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2021-03-02

Huat!!!! Steady

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2021-02-27

Solid bird bird

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2021-02-25

Yeah vix bubble always lead to rally

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2021-02-24

Rip to my gains

2021-02-23

Lol of cause weed stocks lll

Why Sundial Growers Stock Dropped Monday<blockquote>为什么Sundial Growers股票周一下跌</blockquote>

2021-02-21

Who’s excited for market open.

2021-02-20

Please like my comment

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2021-02-20

Like my commment please

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2021-02-20

That’s great!!

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2021-02-19

Weeeeee

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2021-02-15

Market is closed sadge

2021-02-14

Weekends are the worst

2021-02-13

Woahh!!!! Goood ipo

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去老虎APP查看更多动态

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up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367627213","repostId":"1172045569","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362683377,"gmtCreate":1614621946399,"gmtModify":1703479049920,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huat!!!! 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rally","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361577071","repostId":"1169851865","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363533202,"gmtCreate":1614151055506,"gmtModify":1634550972377,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rip to my gains&nbsp;","listText":"Rip to my gains&nbsp;","text":"Rip to my gains","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/face4e3848c6ec75ce9f2a232beb25fd","width":"1125","height":"2554"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363533202","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369556183,"gmtCreate":1614063035442,"gmtModify":1634551335524,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol of cause weed stocks lll&nbsp;","listText":"Lol of cause weed stocks lll&nbsp;","text":"Lol of cause weed stocks lll","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369556183","repostId":"1156451527","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156451527","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614060942,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156451527?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 14:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Sundial Growers Stock Dropped Monday<blockquote>为什么Sundial Growers股票周一下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156451527","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The pot grower is planning to raise more capital.\nWhat happened\nShares of Canadian marijuana company","content":"<p>The pot grower is planning to raise more capital.</p><p><blockquote>大麻种植者正计划筹集更多资金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of Canadian marijuana company&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)&nbsp;were down more than 7% at Monday's lows, and were 3.6% below Friday's closing price as of 2:15 p.m. EST.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大大麻公司股票<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克：SNDL）较周一低点下跌逾7%，截至美国东部时间下午2点15分，较周五收盘价下跌3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> At that time, the stock was trading at $1.50 per share, right at the exercise price of new warrants the company just announced it was issuing.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该股的交易价格为每股1.50美元，正好是该公司刚刚宣布发行的新认股权证的行权价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Sundial announced that more than 98 million warrants to purchase common shares at prices of $0.80 and $1.10 per share were being exercised, and the company was issuing the same number of new warrants at the $1.50 exercise price.</p><p><blockquote>周五，Sundial宣布，超过9800万份以每股0.80美元和1.10美元的价格购买普通股的认股权证正在被行使，该公司正在以1.50美元的行权价发行相同数量的新认股权证。</blockquote></p><p> The exercised warrants brought gross proceeds of $89.1 million to the company. The newly issued warrants could bring it another $147.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>已行使的认股权证为公司带来了8910万美元的总收益。新发行的认股权证可能会为其带来另外1.475亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The proceeds from the exercised warrants mark the third capital raise this month for Sundial. Shares are currently up more than 20% in February, but are still down 50% from the month's highs on Feb. 10.</p><p><blockquote>行使认股权证的收益标志着Sundial本月第三次融资。目前股价在2月份上涨了20%以上，但仍较2月10日的当月高点下跌了50%。</blockquote></p><p> The company's net cannabis revenue dropped 36% sequentially in the third quarter, which ended Sept. 30. Its adjusted&nbsp;EBITDA&nbsp;loss increased by 13% in that same period.</p><p><blockquote>截至9月30日的第三季度，该公司的大麻净收入环比下降36%。同期其调整后EBITDA亏损增加了13%。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the raised money is going toward a strategic investment Sundial announced last week. It took an 18.5% stake in Canadian edibles producer&nbsp;<b>Indiva</b>&nbsp;with 22 million in Canadian dollars. Using freshly raised capital to invest in the business could be good for shareholders, but the continued flurry of dilutive offerings could also be worrisome for the still-unprofitable company.</p><p><blockquote>部分筹集的资金将用于Sundial上周宣布的战略投资。它收购了加拿大食品生产商18.5%的股份<b>Indiva</b>2200万加元。利用新筹集的资金投资该业务可能对股东有利，但持续一系列稀释性发行也可能令这家仍未盈利的公司感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Sundial Growers Stock Dropped Monday<blockquote>为什么Sundial Growers股票周一下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Sundial Growers Stock Dropped Monday<blockquote>为什么Sundial Growers股票周一下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-23 14:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The pot grower is planning to raise more capital.</p><p><blockquote>大麻种植者正计划筹集更多资金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of Canadian marijuana company&nbsp;<b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL)&nbsp;were down more than 7% at Monday's lows, and were 3.6% below Friday's closing price as of 2:15 p.m. EST.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大大麻公司股票<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克：SNDL）较周一低点下跌逾7%，截至美国东部时间下午2点15分，较周五收盘价下跌3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> At that time, the stock was trading at $1.50 per share, right at the exercise price of new warrants the company just announced it was issuing.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该股的交易价格为每股1.50美元，正好是该公司刚刚宣布发行的新认股权证的行权价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Sundial announced that more than 98 million warrants to purchase common shares at prices of $0.80 and $1.10 per share were being exercised, and the company was issuing the same number of new warrants at the $1.50 exercise price.</p><p><blockquote>周五，Sundial宣布，超过9800万份以每股0.80美元和1.10美元的价格购买普通股的认股权证正在被行使，该公司正在以1.50美元的行权价发行相同数量的新认股权证。</blockquote></p><p> The exercised warrants brought gross proceeds of $89.1 million to the company. The newly issued warrants could bring it another $147.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>已行使的认股权证为公司带来了8910万美元的总收益。新发行的认股权证可能会为其带来另外1.475亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The proceeds from the exercised warrants mark the third capital raise this month for Sundial. Shares are currently up more than 20% in February, but are still down 50% from the month's highs on Feb. 10.</p><p><blockquote>行使认股权证的收益标志着Sundial本月第三次融资。目前股价在2月份上涨了20%以上，但仍较2月10日的当月高点下跌了50%。</blockquote></p><p> The company's net cannabis revenue dropped 36% sequentially in the third quarter, which ended Sept. 30. Its adjusted&nbsp;EBITDA&nbsp;loss increased by 13% in that same period.</p><p><blockquote>截至9月30日的第三季度，该公司的大麻净收入环比下降36%。同期其调整后EBITDA亏损增加了13%。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the raised money is going toward a strategic investment Sundial announced last week. It took an 18.5% stake in Canadian edibles producer&nbsp;<b>Indiva</b>&nbsp;with 22 million in Canadian dollars. Using freshly raised capital to invest in the business could be good for shareholders, but the continued flurry of dilutive offerings could also be worrisome for the still-unprofitable company.</p><p><blockquote>部分筹集的资金将用于Sundial上周宣布的战略投资。它收购了加拿大食品生产商18.5%的股份<b>Indiva</b>2200万加元。利用新筹集的资金投资该业务可能对股东有利，但持续一系列稀释性发行也可能令这家仍未盈利的公司感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/22/why-sundial-growers-stock-dropped-monday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNDL":"SNDL Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/22/why-sundial-growers-stock-dropped-monday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156451527","content_text":"The pot grower is planning to raise more capital.\nWhat happened\nShares of Canadian marijuana company Sundial Growers(NASDAQ:SNDL) were down more than 7% at Monday's lows, and were 3.6% below Friday's closing price as of 2:15 p.m. EST.\nAt that time, the stock was trading at $1.50 per share, right at the exercise price of new warrants the company just announced it was issuing.\nSo what\nOn Friday, Sundial announced that more than 98 million warrants to purchase common shares at prices of $0.80 and $1.10 per share were being exercised, and the company was issuing the same number of new warrants at the $1.50 exercise price.\nThe exercised warrants brought gross proceeds of $89.1 million to the company. The newly issued warrants could bring it another $147.5 million.\nNow what\nThe proceeds from the exercised warrants mark the third capital raise this month for Sundial. Shares are currently up more than 20% in February, but are still down 50% from the month's highs on Feb. 10.\nThe company's net cannabis revenue dropped 36% sequentially in the third quarter, which ended Sept. 30. Its adjusted EBITDA loss increased by 13% in that same period.\nSome of the raised money is going toward a strategic investment Sundial announced last week. It took an 18.5% stake in Canadian edibles producer Indiva with 22 million in Canadian dollars. Using freshly raised capital to invest in the business could be good for shareholders, but the continued flurry of dilutive offerings could also be worrisome for the still-unprofitable company.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360628556,"gmtCreate":1613909315275,"gmtModify":1634551888093,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Who’s excited for market open.&nbsp;","listText":"Who’s excited for market open.&nbsp;","text":"Who’s excited for market 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great!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360913814","repostId":"1143100356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387129513,"gmtCreate":1613728963132,"gmtModify":1634552476117,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Weeeeee","listText":"Weeeeee","text":"Weeeeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387129513","repostId":"1179306002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382378839,"gmtCreate":1613373828921,"gmtModify":1634553819292,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Market 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Goood ipo&nbsp;","listText":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo&nbsp;","text":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386247953","repostId":"2110041062","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":380981785,"gmtCreate":1612503850747,"gmtModify":1703762803639,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment on my post. Lol&nbsp;","listText":"Please comment on my post. Lol&nbsp;","text":"Please comment on my post. Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380981785","repostId":"1180970570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180970570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612501989,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180970570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-05 13:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180970570","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now droppi","content":"<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和其他最近几周价值飙升的公司或资产的股价现在像石头一样下跌。虽然我为许多可能会损失很多钱的投资者感到难过，但如果你想避免金融崩溃成为美国面临的一长串危机，股票回归地球实际上是一件好事。</blockquote></p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p><blockquote>原因与金融市场是什么以及它们不是什么有关，以及当股票和其他证券的价格脱离它们所代表的资产的基本价值时会发生什么有关。</blockquote></p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名研究市场如何对新信息做出反应的金融学教授，我认为保持证券价格和基本面之间的密切联系非常重要。当这种情况停止发生时，市场崩溃可能就在不远处。</blockquote></p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p><blockquote>资本市场不是赌场</blockquote></p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p><blockquote>有些人将GameStopGME(-42.11%)描绘成大卫与歌利亚的故事。根据这种说法，华尔街的大佬们多年来一直在股市SPX上赌博致富，+1.09%。小家伙一有机会有什么问题？</blockquote></p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p><blockquote>首先要记住的是，市场并不像一些人认为的那样是一个大赌场。他们的核心目的是有效地将投资者与公司和其他组织联系起来，最有效地利用他们的现金。</blockquote></p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p><blockquote>准确的市场价格旨在反映公司的预期利润和整体风险水平，为投资者提供了一个重要信号，即他们是否应该交出资金以及应该获得什么回报。如果没有资本市场，像AppleAAPL(+2.58%)和AmazonAMZN(+0.56%)这样的公司就不会像我们今天所知的那样存在。</blockquote></p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p><blockquote>对市场更有偏见的看法集中在市场似乎变得疯狂的时候，以及一些交易者（如对冲基金）的投机赌博行为。游戏驿站传奇融入了这个故事情节。</blockquote></p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p><blockquote>但游戏驿站也说明了当股价不能反映现实时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫</blockquote></p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p><blockquote>委婉地说，游戏驿站的基本面黯淡无光。</blockquote></p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是一家实体视频游戏连锁店。现在大多数视频游戏销售都是以数字下载的形式进行的。游戏驿站在适应这一新现实方面进展缓慢。其收入在2012年达到95.5亿美元的峰值，截至2019年下降了三分之一。自2017年以来，它就没有盈利过。简单来说，就是在竞争激烈、瞬息万变的行业中，它是一家亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近的投机狂潮使游戏驿站股价在两周多一点的时间内从1月初的不到20美元上涨至483美元，这是由Reddit上的散户投资者推动的，他们协调购买以损害对冲基金，使专业人士损失了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p><blockquote>这显然是一个投机性的价格泡沫，具有庞氏骗局的一些特征。许多晚“上车”并以虚高的价格买入的小投资者——尤其是那些被极端价格走势和媒体报道吸引的小投资者——将背黑锅。</blockquote></p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>股价迟早会回到能够得到公司基本面支撑的水平。2月4日中午之前，股价自1月25日以来首次接近70美元。</blockquote></p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p><blockquote>当为时已晚时，问题就开始了。</blockquote></p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p><blockquote>泡泡被制造出来</blockquote></p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场是由人组成的。人是不完美的，市场也是。这意味着市场价格并不总是“正确”的——而且通常很难知道什么是“正确”的价格。</blockquote></p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到游戏驿站等个股的价格泡沫时，情况确实如此。但当涉及到整个市场时，在更大的范围内也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>价格泡沫和崩盘对华尔街和大街都没有好处。当2000年互联网泡沫破裂时——在20世纪90年代末数十只科技股的价格呈指数级飙升——经济衰退随之而来。2008年房地产泡沫的破裂引发了全球金融危机和大衰退。</blockquote></p><p>Too much momentum</p><p><blockquote>动力太大</blockquote></p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p><blockquote>因此，市场有时会失灵，我们需要明智的监管和执法来减少这种失灵的可能性。</blockquote></p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p><blockquote>孤立地看，游戏驿站热潮不太可能引发整体股市的混乱，特别是如果其价格继续下跌，更符合公司的基本价值。不幸的是，这不是一个孤立的案例。游戏驿站也不是问题的第一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，Reddit用户还推高了silverSI00(0.61%)以及BlackBerryBB(+1.25%)和电影院巨头AMC EntertainmentAMC(-20.96%)等公司的价格。Robinhood等流行的交易应用程序使交易变得轻松、有趣且基本上免费。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA(-0.55%)的股价去年飙升了720%，很大程度上是因为投资者买入该股是因为该股已经在上涨。这被称为动量投资，这是一种交易策略，投资者购买证券是因为他们正在上涨，只有当他们认为价格已经见顶时才出售。</blockquote></p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，可能会导致更多的金融泡沫和崩溃，使企业更难筹集资金，对本已步履蹒跚的美国经济复苏构成威胁。即使最坏的情况没有发生，价格大幅波动和价格操纵指控也可能损害公众对金融市场的信心，这将使人们更不愿意投资于退休和其他项目。</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经谈到股市行为时说过：“灯可以随时从绿色变成红色，而不会在黄色时暂停。”</blockquote></p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，市场可能会突然转向并暴跌。他认为这些时刻是在市场上寻找交易的机会，但对大多数人来说，它们会导致恐慌、重大损失和大规模失业等经济后果——就像我们在1929年、2000年和2008年看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><blockquote>没有什么特别的理由不会再发生。</blockquote></p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚历山大·库罗夫是摩根敦西弗吉尼亚大学金融学教授，并担任弗雷德·T·塔特索尔金融学研究主席。这篇文章最初由The Conversation发表——“华尔街不仅仅是交易者可以押注游戏驿站和其他股票的赌场——它对于防止资本主义崩溃至关重要”。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe dark side of the GameStop bubble: Driving stock prices to the moon can hurt America<blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫的阴暗面：将股价推上月球会伤害美国</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-05 13:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of GameStop&nbsp;and other companies or&nbsp;assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now&nbsp;dropping&nbsp;like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站和其他最近几周价值飙升的公司或资产的股价现在像石头一样下跌。虽然我为许多可能会损失很多钱的投资者感到难过，但如果你想避免金融崩溃成为美国面临的一长串危机，股票回归地球实际上是一件好事。</blockquote></p><p>The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.</p><p><blockquote>原因与金融市场是什么以及它们不是什么有关，以及当股票和其他证券的价格脱离它们所代表的资产的基本价值时会发生什么有关。</blockquote></p><p>As a finance professor who does&nbsp;research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名研究市场如何对新信息做出反应的金融学教授，我认为保持证券价格和基本面之间的密切联系非常重要。当这种情况停止发生时，市场崩溃可能就在不远处。</blockquote></p><p>Capital markets aren’t casinos</p><p><blockquote>资本市场不是赌场</blockquote></p><p>Some have portrayed&nbsp;GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?</p><p><blockquote>有些人将GameStopGME(-42.11%)描绘成大卫与歌利亚的故事。根据这种说法，华尔街的大佬们多年来一直在股市SPX上赌博致富，+1.09%。小家伙一有机会有什么问题？</blockquote></p><p>The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino,&nbsp;as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.</p><p><blockquote>首先要记住的是，市场并不像一些人认为的那样是一个大赌场。他们的核心目的是有效地将投资者与公司和其他组织联系起来，最有效地利用他们的现金。</blockquote></p><p>Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without&nbsp;access to capital markets.</p><p><blockquote>准确的市场价格旨在反映公司的预期利润和整体风险水平，为投资者提供了一个重要信号，即他们是否应该交出资金以及应该获得什么回报。如果没有资本市场，像AppleAAPL(+2.58%)和AmazonAMZN(+0.56%)这样的公司就不会像我们今天所知的那样存在。</blockquote></p><p>The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when&nbsp;markets seemingly go crazy&nbsp;and on the&nbsp;speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as&nbsp;hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.</p><p><blockquote>对市场更有偏见的看法集中在市场似乎变得疯狂的时候，以及一些交易者（如对冲基金）的投机赌博行为。游戏驿站传奇融入了这个故事情节。</blockquote></p><p>But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.</p><p><blockquote>但游戏驿站也说明了当股价不能反映现实时会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p>The GameStop bubble</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站泡沫</blockquote></p><p>GameStop fundamentals&nbsp;are, to put it mildly, lackluster.</p><p><blockquote>委婉地说，游戏驿站的基本面黯淡无光。</blockquote></p><p>The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now&nbsp;take place as digital downloads. GameStop&nbsp;has been slow&nbsp;to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in&nbsp;2012 at US$9.55 billion&nbsp;and had dropped by a third&nbsp;as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是一家实体视频游戏连锁店。现在大多数视频游戏销售都是以数字下载的形式进行的。游戏驿站在适应这一新现实方面进展缓慢。其收入在2012年达到95.5亿美元的峰值，截至2019年下降了三分之一。自2017年以来，它就没有盈利过。简单来说，就是在竞争激烈、瞬息万变的行业中，它是一家亏损的公司。</blockquote></p><p>The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price&nbsp;from under $20 in early January to as high as $483&nbsp;in a little over two weeks,&nbsp;driven by retail investors on Reddit&nbsp;who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds,&nbsp;costing the professionals billions of dollars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近的投机狂潮使游戏驿站股价在两周多一点的时间内从1月初的不到20美元上涨至483美元，这是由Reddit上的散户投资者推动的，他们协调购买以损害对冲基金，使专业人士损失了数十亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>It is&nbsp;clearly a speculative price bubble&nbsp;and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially&nbsp;those attracted by the extreme price moves&nbsp;and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.</p><p><blockquote>这显然是一个投机性的价格泡沫，具有庞氏骗局的一些特征。许多晚“上车”并以虚高的价格买入的小投资者——尤其是那些被极端价格走势和媒体报道吸引的小投资者——将背黑锅。</blockquote></p><p>And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares&nbsp;were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>股价迟早会回到能够得到公司基本面支撑的水平。2月4日中午之前，股价自1月25日以来首次接近70美元。</blockquote></p><p>The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.</p><p><blockquote>当为时已晚时，问题就开始了。</blockquote></p><p>Bubbles are made to pop</p><p><blockquote>泡泡被制造出来</blockquote></p><p>Financial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.</p><p><blockquote>金融市场是由人组成的。人是不完美的，市场也是。这意味着市场价格并不总是“正确”的——而且通常很难知道什么是“正确”的价格。</blockquote></p><p>That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>当涉及到游戏驿站等个股的价格泡沫时，情况确实如此。但当涉及到整个市场时，在更大的范围内也是如此。</blockquote></p><p>Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 —&nbsp;after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s&nbsp;— an&nbsp;economic recession&nbsp;followed soon after. The bursting of a&nbsp;housing bubble in 2008&nbsp;triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.</p><p><blockquote>价格泡沫和崩盘对华尔街和大街都没有好处。当2000年互联网泡沫破裂时——在20世纪90年代末数十只科技股的价格呈指数级飙升——经济衰退随之而来。2008年房地产泡沫的破裂引发了全球金融危机和大衰退。</blockquote></p><p>Too much momentum</p><p><blockquote>动力太大</blockquote></p><p>So markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.</p><p><blockquote>因此，市场有时会失灵，我们需要明智的监管和执法来减少这种失灵的可能性。</blockquote></p><p>Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.</p><p><blockquote>孤立地看，游戏驿站热潮不太可能引发整体股市的混乱，特别是如果其价格继续下跌，更符合公司的基本价值。不幸的是，这不是一个孤立的案例。游戏驿站也不是问题的第一个迹象。</blockquote></p><p>In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the&nbsp;prices of silverSI00,0.61%&nbsp;and&nbsp;companies&nbsp;such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood&nbsp;have made trading easy, fun&nbsp;and basically free.</p><p><blockquote>最近几天，Reddit用户还推高了silverSI00(0.61%)以及BlackBerryBB(+1.25%)和电影院巨头AMC EntertainmentAMC(-20.96%)等公司的价格。Robinhood等流行的交易应用程序使交易变得轻松、有趣且基本上免费。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example,&nbsp;skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called&nbsp;momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA(-0.55%)的股价去年飙升了720%，很大程度上是因为投资者买入该股是因为该股已经在上涨。这被称为动量投资，这是一种交易策略，投资者购买证券是因为他们正在上涨，只有当他们认为价格已经见顶时才出售。</blockquote></p><p>If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the&nbsp;already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation&nbsp;could hurt public confidence&nbsp;in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种情况持续下去，可能会导致更多的金融泡沫和崩溃，使企业更难筹集资金，对本已步履蹒跚的美国经济复苏构成威胁。即使最坏的情况没有发生，价格大幅波动和价格操纵指控也可能损害公众对金融市场的信心，这将使人们更不愿意投资于退休和其他项目。</blockquote></p><p>Warren Buffett&nbsp;once said&nbsp;about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经谈到股市行为时说过：“灯可以随时从绿色变成红色，而不会在黄色时暂停。”</blockquote></p><p>What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，市场可能会突然转向并暴跌。他认为这些时刻是在市场上寻找交易的机会，但对大多数人来说，它们会导致恐慌、重大损失和大规模失业等经济后果——就像我们在1929年、2000年和2008年看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p>There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.</p><p><blockquote>没有什么特别的理由不会再发生。</blockquote></p><p><i>Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from&nbsp;crashing“.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚历山大·库罗夫是摩根敦西弗吉尼亚大学金融学教授，并担任弗雷德·T·塔特索尔金融学研究主席。这篇文章最初由The Conversation发表——“华尔街不仅仅是交易者可以押注游戏驿站和其他股票的赌场——它对于防止资本主义崩溃至关重要”。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72bab52a7d49e9d26088350ab4826c1","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dark-side-of-the-gamestop-bubble-driving-stock-prices-to-the-moon-can-hurt-america-11612457839?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180970570","content_text":"Shares of GameStop and other companies or assets that shot upin value in recent weeks are now dropping like stones. While I feel sorry for the many investors who will likely lose a lot of money, the stocks’ return to Earth is actually a good thing — if you want to avoid financial meltdown to the long list of crises the U.S. is facing.The reason has to do with what financial markets are — and what they are not — as well as what happens when prices of stocks and other securities become untethered from the fundamental value of the assets they’re meant to represent.As a finance professor who does research on how markets respond to new information, I believe it is important to maintain a close link between security prices and fundamentals. When that stops happening, a market collapse may be not far behind.Capital markets aren’t casinosSome have portrayed GameStopGME,-42.11%as a David vs. Goliath story. According to that narrative, the big guys on Wall Street have been getting rich gambling on the stock marketSPX,+1.09%for years. What’s the problem when the little guy gets a chance?The first thing to keep in mind is that markets aren’t a big casino, as some seem to believe. Their core purpose is to efficiently connect investors with companies and other organizations that will make the most productive use of their cash.Accurate market prices, meant to reflect a company’s expected profits and overall risk level, provide an important signal to investors whether they should hand over their money and what they should get in return. Companies like AppleAAPL,+2.58%and AmazonAMZN,+0.56%simply would not exist as we know them today without access to capital markets.The more jaundiced view of markets focuses on episodes when markets seemingly go crazy and on the speculative gambling behavior of some traders, such as hedge funds. The GameStop saga feeds into this storyline.But GameStop also illustrates what happens when stock prices don’t reflect reality.The GameStop bubbleGameStop fundamentals are, to put it mildly, lackluster.The company is a brick-and-mortar chain of video game stores. Most video game sales now take place as digital downloads. GameStop has been slow to adapt to this new reality. Its revenue peaked in 2012 at US$9.55 billion and had dropped by a third as of 2019. It hasn’t earned a profit since 2017. Put simply, it is a money-losing company in a competitive and quickly changing industry.The recent speculative frenzy, however, increased the GameStop stock price from under $20 in early January to as high as $483 in a little over two weeks, driven by retail investors on Reddit who coordinated their buying to harm hedge funds, costing the professionals billions of dollars.It is clearly a speculative price bubble and has some characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Many small investors who “get on the train” late and buy at the inflated prices — especially those attracted by the extreme price moves and media coverage — will be left holding the bag.And sooner or later, the stock price will likely come back to Earth to a level that can be supported by the fundamentals of the company. Before midday on Feb. 4, shares were trading near $70for the first time since Jan. 25.The problems begin when that doesn’t happen until too late.Bubbles are made to popFinancial markets are made up of people. People are imperfect, and so are markets. This means market prices are not always “right” — and it’s often hard to know what the “right” price is.That is true when it comes to the price bubbles in individual stocks like GameStop. But it’s also true on a much bigger scale, when it comes to a market as a whole.Price bubbles and crashes are good for neither Wall Street nor Main Street. When the dot-com bubble popped in 2000 — after prices of dozens of tech stocks soared exponentially in the late 1990s — an economic recession followed soon after. The bursting of a housing bubble in 2008 triggered a global financial crisis and the Great Recession.Too much momentumSo markets fail sometimes, and we need sensible regulation and enforcement to make such failures less likely.Taken in isolation, the GameStop craze is unlikely to trigger a disruption to the overall stock market, especially if its price continues to fall more in line with the company’s fundamental value. Unfortunately, this was not an isolated case. Nor was GameStop the first sign of problems.In recent days, Reddit users have also driven up the prices of silverSI00,0.61% and companies such as BlackBerryBB,+1.25%and movie theater giant AMC EntertainmentAMC,-20.96%.Popular trading apps like Robinhood have made trading easy, fun and basically free.The share price of TeslaTSLA,-0.55%,for example, skyrocketed 720% last year, in large part when investors bought the stock because it was already rising. This is called momentum investing, a trading strategy in which investors buy securities because they are going up — selling them only when they think the price has peaked.If this continues, it will likely lead to more financial bubbles and crashes that could make it harder for companies to raise capital, posing a threat to the already limping U.S. economic recovery. Even if the worst doesn’t happen, large price movements and allegations of price manipulation could hurt public confidence in financial markets, which would make people more reluctant to invest in retirement and other programs.Warren Buffett once said about stock market behavior: “The light can at any time go from green to red without pausing at yellow.”What he meant was that markets can turn on a dime and plunge. He saw these moments as opportunities to find deals in the market, but for most people they result in panic, heavy losses and economic consequences like mass unemployment — as we saw in 1929, 2000 and 2008.There’s no particular reason it won’t happen again.Alexander Kurov is a professor of finance and holds the Fred T. Tattersall Research Chair in Finance at West Virginia University In Morgantown. This was first published byThe Conversation— “Wall Street isn’t just a casino where traders can bet on GameStop and other stocks – it’s essential to keeping capitalism from crashing“.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383373670,"gmtCreate":1612844690690,"gmtModify":1703765753929,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment back&nbsp;","listText":"Please comment back&nbsp;","text":"Please comment back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383373670","repostId":"2110032585","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2110032585","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1612842889,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2110032585?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-09 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，股市正在与2009-10年相呼应，这意味着回调可能即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2110032585","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock","content":"<p>Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer</p><p><blockquote>Cannacord的Dwyer：经济和市场“与1999-2000年截然不同”</blockquote></p><p> A highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，飙升的股市让紧张的投资者想起了2000年互联网泡沫的破裂，但他们最好研究一下最近的历史。</blockquote></p><p> It is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord Genuity首席市场策略师托尼·德怀尔(Tony Dwyer)在一份报告中写道，重要的是要记住，“当前的美联储政策、绝对利率、收益率曲线、信贷趋势和货币供应量与1999-2000年截然不同”。周一笔记。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他表示，高估值（衡量股价相对于盈利等其他指标的指标）是根据去年大流行引发的利润低谷来衡量的，而不是像2000年那样建立在创纪录的盈利基础上。</blockquote></p><p> Dwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.</p><p><blockquote>德怀尔表示，2021年的表现可能更像2010年危机后的情景，这将为市场指明“稳健的一年”，但由于“上半年的多次调整”以及压缩，市场将经历坎坷。市盈率可能来自每股收益的历史性飙升，而不是更繁重的事情。</blockquote></p><p> Dwyer highlighted how the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>Dwyer强调了标普500如何脱离3月23日大流行低点与该指数从2009年3月低点反弹相呼应（见下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08505c0057deab4fab1d472343059fa9\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>CANACCORD GENUITY</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>CANACCORD真品</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Through the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&amp;P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>截至2月2日收盘（距3月23日低点218天），标普500上涨了71%。根据道琼斯市场数据，在2009年3月9日低点后的218天里，该指数上涨了70%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&amp;P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&amp;P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>在2009年后的剧本中，标普500开始回调。这一次，标普500继续走高，周四和周五连续创下历史新高，周一下午早些时候上涨0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> After a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed&nbsp;a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了1月下旬与游戏驿站公司交易狂潮相关的波动之后，股市在2月份出现了广泛的反弹。道琼斯工业平均指数周一上涨约150点，即0.5%，有望突破1月20日以来的收盘纪录。</blockquote></p><p> DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&amp;P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人Nicholas Colas自3月份低点以来经常强调“2009年剧本”，他上周指出，2010年的回调几乎是一次“教科书”事件，标普500在13个交易日内下跌了8.2%。他表示，该指数在接下来的30个交易日中有所回升，并在2010年3月创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Colas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯表示，这一观察结果“与其说是一个交易看涨期权，不如说是说明了随着我们更深入地陷入周期性复苏时会发生什么。”</blockquote></p><p> He noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect&nbsp;and where to start buying.”</p><p><blockquote>他指出，2020年的图表已多次偏离2009年的路径，并可能在2021年继续如此，但他认为，由于如此多的观察家寻求回调，该剧本可能会提供“关于预期什么以及从哪里开始购买”的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. He noted that since the start of earnings season, according to Refinitiv data, fourth-quarter 2020 year-over-year earnings have improved by 11.9 percentage points (from -10.3% to +1.6%), the fifth-largest improvement on record dating back to the third quarter of 2002 and matched only by the 2009-10 recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，德怀尔强调了2010年的另一个回声。他指出，根据Refinitiv的数据，自财报季开始以来，2020年第四季度的盈利同比增长了11.9个百分点（从-10.3%增至+1.6%），这是有记录以来第五大增幅。可以追溯到2002年第三季度，仅次于2009-10年的复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，股市正在与2009-10年相呼应，这意味着回调可能即将到来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market is echoing 2009-10 — and that means a pullback could be near, analysts warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，股市正在与2009-10年相呼应，这意味着回调可能即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-09 11:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer</p><p><blockquote>Cannacord的Dwyer：经济和市场“与1999-2000年截然不同”</blockquote></p><p> A highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，飙升的股市让紧张的投资者想起了2000年互联网泡沫的破裂，但他们最好研究一下最近的历史。</blockquote></p><p> It is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord Genuity首席市场策略师托尼·德怀尔(Tony Dwyer)在一份报告中写道，重要的是要记住，“当前的美联储政策、绝对利率、收益率曲线、信贷趋势和货币供应量与1999-2000年截然不同”。周一笔记。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他表示，高估值（衡量股价相对于盈利等其他指标的指标）是根据去年大流行引发的利润低谷来衡量的，而不是像2000年那样建立在创纪录的盈利基础上。</blockquote></p><p> Dwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.</p><p><blockquote>德怀尔表示，2021年的表现可能更像2010年危机后的情景，这将为市场指明“稳健的一年”，但由于“上半年的多次调整”以及压缩，市场将经历坎坷。市盈率可能来自每股收益的历史性飙升，而不是更繁重的事情。</blockquote></p><p> Dwyer highlighted how the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>Dwyer强调了标普500如何脱离3月23日大流行低点与该指数从2009年3月低点反弹相呼应（见下图）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08505c0057deab4fab1d472343059fa9\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"441\"><span>CANACCORD GENUITY</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>CANACCORD真品</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Through the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&amp;P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>截至2月2日收盘（距3月23日低点218天），标普500上涨了71%。根据道琼斯市场数据，在2009年3月9日低点后的218天里，该指数上涨了70%。</blockquote></p><p> At this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&amp;P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&amp;P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>在2009年后的剧本中，标普500开始回调。这一次，标普500继续走高，周四和周五连续创下历史新高，周一下午早些时候上涨0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> After a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed&nbsp;a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了1月下旬与游戏驿站公司交易狂潮相关的波动之后，股市在2月份出现了广泛的反弹。道琼斯工业平均指数周一上涨约150点，即0.5%，有望突破1月20日以来的收盘纪录。</blockquote></p><p> DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&amp;P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.</p><p><blockquote>DataTrek Research联合创始人Nicholas Colas自3月份低点以来经常强调“2009年剧本”，他上周指出，2010年的回调几乎是一次“教科书”事件，标普500在13个交易日内下跌了8.2%。他表示，该指数在接下来的30个交易日中有所回升，并在2010年3月创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Colas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>科拉斯表示，这一观察结果“与其说是一个交易看涨期权，不如说是说明了随着我们更深入地陷入周期性复苏时会发生什么。”</blockquote></p><p> He noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect&nbsp;and where to start buying.”</p><p><blockquote>他指出，2020年的图表已多次偏离2009年的路径，并可能在2021年继续如此，但他认为，由于如此多的观察家寻求回调，该剧本可能会提供“关于预期什么以及从哪里开始购买”的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. He noted that since the start of earnings season, according to Refinitiv data, fourth-quarter 2020 year-over-year earnings have improved by 11.9 percentage points (from -10.3% to +1.6%), the fifth-largest improvement on record dating back to the third quarter of 2002 and matched only by the 2009-10 recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，德怀尔强调了2010年的另一个回声。他指出，根据Refinitiv的数据，自财报季开始以来，2020年第四季度的盈利同比增长了11.9个百分点（从-10.3%增至+1.6%），这是有记录以来第五大增幅。可以追溯到2002年第三季度，仅次于2009-10年的复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-stock-market-is-echoing-2009-10-and-that-means-a-pullback-could-be-near-analysts-warn-11612808035?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"2110032585","content_text":"Economy, markets ‘in a very different place than in 1999-2000’: Cannacord’s Dwyer\nA highflying stock market is reminding nervous investors of the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, but they might be better off studying more recent history, analysts said.\nIt is important to remember “that current Fed policy, absolute interest rates, the yield curve, credit trends and money availability are in a very different place than in 1999-2000,” wrote Tony Dwyer, chief market strategist at Canaccord Genuity, in a Monday note.\nIn addition, high valuations — measures of a stocks price relative to other metrics such as earnings — are being gauged against last year’s pandemic-inspired trough in profit rather than building on record earnings, as was the case in 2000, he said.\nDwyer said 2021 could instead play out more like the postcrisis scenario seen in 2010, which would point the way to a “solid year” for the market, but with a bumpy ride thanks to “multiple first-half corrections” along with a compression in price-to-earnings ratios that is likely to come from a historic surge in earnings per share rather than something more onerous.\nDwyer highlighted how the S&P 500 move off its March 23 pandemic low has echoed the index’s rebound off its March 2009 low (see chart below).\nCANACCORD GENUITY\nThrough the Feb. 2 close — 218 days after the March 23 low — the S&P 500 was up 71%. In the 218 days after the March 9, 2009, low, the index rose 70%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.\nAt this point in the post-2009 playbook, the S&P 500 began a pullback. This time around, the S&P 500 has continued to march higher, logging back-to-back record finishes on Thursday and Friday and was up 0.4% in early afternoon trade on Monday.\nAfter a late January wobble tied to the trading frenzy around GameStop Corp.,stocks have enjoyed a broad February rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Averagewas up around 150 points, or 0.5%, on Monday, on track to top its record close from Jan. 20.\nDataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who has regularly highlighted the “2009 playbook” since the March lows, noted last week that the 2010 pullback was pretty much a “textbook” affair, with the S&P 500 falling 8.2% over 13 trading days. The index recovered over the following 30 trading days, ending March 2010 at new highs, he said.\nColas said the observation wasn’t “so much a trading call as an illustration of what happens as we get deeper into a cyclical recovery.”\nHe noted that the 2020 chart has diverged from the 2009 path several times and might continue to do so in 2021, but argued that with so many observers looking for a pullback, the playbook might offer guidance “on what to expect and where to start buying.”\nMeanwhile, Dwyer highlighted another echo of 2010. He noted that since the start of earnings season, according to Refinitiv data, fourth-quarter 2020 year-over-year earnings have improved by 11.9 percentage points (from -10.3% to +1.6%), the fifth-largest improvement on record dating back to the third quarter of 2002 and matched only by the 2009-10 recovery.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SH":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"IVV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380008584,"gmtCreate":1612490058048,"gmtModify":1703762600003,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Give me a like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Give me a like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Give me a like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380008584","repostId":"1162866028","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360911242,"gmtCreate":1613808467986,"gmtModify":1634552135852,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like my comment&nbsp;","listText":"Please like my comment&nbsp;","text":"Please like my comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360911242","repostId":"1143100356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":751,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386247953,"gmtCreate":1613190569172,"gmtModify":1634554189694,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo&nbsp;","listText":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo&nbsp;","text":"Woahh!!!! Goood ipo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386247953","repostId":"2110041062","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386030729,"gmtCreate":1613107183961,"gmtModify":1634554493726,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Guys please comment and like","listText":"Guys please comment and like","text":"Guys please comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386030729","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":383373131,"gmtCreate":1612844661423,"gmtModify":1703765753585,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment to my comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Comment to my comment please&nbsp;","text":"Comment to my comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383373131","repostId":"2110032426","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380474214,"gmtCreate":1612581983938,"gmtModify":1703763830746,"author":{"id":"3573106431850114","authorId":"3573106431850114","name":"Yuyujiejie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0380c17f80a14e72182389b60d19337","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573106431850114","idStr":"3573106431850114"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Singapore stocks ain’t goood lol. Please likeand comment this post&nbsp;","listText":"Singapore stocks ain’t goood lol. Please likeand comment this post&nbsp;","text":"Singapore stocks ain’t goood lol. 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