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5ky
2021-02-24
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Can the bull market in stocks survive rising inflation, bond yields? Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote>
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2021-02-13
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2021-02-23
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Apple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote>
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2021-02-13
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Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107213324","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond JamesRising Treas","content":"<p>Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond James</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯：科技、非必需消费品和周期性行业历史上跑赢大盘</blockquote></p><p>Rising Treasury yields are sending shivers through the stock market, particularly for highflying tech-related stocks. But history shows that when yields are rising “for the right reasons,” tech shares and cyclically sensitive stocks tend to thrive, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>不断上升的美国国债收益率让股市不寒而栗，尤其是对于飙升的科技相关股票而言。但雷蒙德·詹姆斯表示，历史表明，当收益率“出于正确的原因”上升时，科技股和周期性敏感股往往会蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p>The right reasons are “improving economic growth and a ‘healthy’ rise in inflation,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James, in a weekend note. And those reasons have driven the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to just shy of 1.4%, or about their highest in a year. Yields also are coming off their largest weekly rise in six weeks.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)私人客户集团首席投资官拉里·亚当(Larry Adam)在周末报告中表示，正确的原因是“经济增长改善和通胀‘健康’上升”。这些原因将10年期国债收益率推至略低于1.4%，约为一年来的最高水平。收益率也出现了六周来的最大单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>Adam highlighted the chart below, which breaks down the average annualized performance of each of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors and the percentage of time each sector outperforms the S&P 500 in a rising rate environment.</p><p><blockquote>Adam重点介绍了下图，该图细分了标普500 11个行业中每个行业的平均年化表现，以及在利率上升的环境下每个行业跑赢标普500的时间百分比。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79c934a97bed5bf56c97af1767cd874e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>雷蒙德·詹姆斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p>“Since 1990, during rising rate environments, the more cyclical sectors have outperformed,” Adam noted. “The average annualized outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and the percentage of time it outperforms the S&P 500 is largest for the tech, consumer discretionary and industrials sectors — three of our preferred sectors,” while higher dividend-yielding sectors like utilities, real estate and consumer staples tend to underperform.</p><p><blockquote>“自1990年以来，在利率上升的环境下，周期性较强的行业表现优于大盘，”亚当指出。“相对于标普500的平均年化表现及其跑赢标普500的时间百分比对于科技、非必需消费品和工业行业（我们的三个首选行业）来说是最大的”，而公用事业、房地产等股息收益率较高的行业和消费品往往表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks wereputting in a mixed performanceon Monday, with the Nasdaq-100,down 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite,down 2.5%, suffering the steepest declines. Both are tilted toward large-cap, tech-oriented stocks.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市表现好坏参半，纳斯达克100指数下跌2.6%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.5%，跌幅最大。两者都倾向于大盘股、科技股。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was positive, while the S&P 500 was off 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨，而标普500下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p>The rise in yields is being blamed in large part on expectations for a potential surge in inflation thanks to ramped up government spending and ultraloose monetary policy. Fears that the Federal Reserve could move to begin withdrawing some liquidity sooner than anticipated is seen helping to unsettle stocks, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升在很大程度上被归咎于政府支出增加和超宽松货币政策导致通胀可能飙升的预期。分析师表示，对美联储可能比预期更早开始撤回部分流动性的担忧被认为有助于扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p>But Adam argued that inflation not only is unlikely to “short circuit” the rally, it may be a welcome development for stock-market bulls.</p><p><blockquote>但亚当认为，通胀不仅不太可能“短路”反弹，而且对股市多头来说可能是一个受欢迎的发展。</blockquote></p><p>“When analyzing how the S&P 500 performed under varying levels of core inflation, equities performed above-average in an environment where core inflation was between 1-4%,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“在分析标普500在不同核心通胀水平下的表现时，在核心通胀在1-4%之间的环境下，股市的表现高于平均水平。”</blockquote></p><p>Inflation at those levels is generally considered healthy when it coincides with improving economic activity, Adam said. The reason is because companies have pricing power, allowing them to lift prices, while also reaping the benefits from productivity gains, which helps to boost earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚当表示，当通胀与经济活动改善同时发生时，这些水平的通胀通常被认为是健康的。原因是公司拥有定价权，使他们能够提高价格，同时也从生产率提高中获益，这有助于促进盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p>Raymond James expects core inflation to be around 2%. Adam said that when core inflation runs between 1% and 3%, the average performance relative to the S&P 500 on a year-over-year basis has been strongest for the technology (+6.8%), healthcare (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary sectors (+2%).</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James预计核心通胀率在2%左右。Adam表示，当核心通胀率在1%至3%之间时，科技（+6.8%）、医疗保健（+2.3%）相对于标普500的平均同比表现最为强劲）和非必需消费品行业（+2%）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the bull market in stocks survive rising inflation, bond yields? Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the bull market in stocks survive rising inflation, bond yields? Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-23 18:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond James</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯：科技、非必需消费品和周期性行业历史上跑赢大盘</blockquote></p><p>Rising Treasury yields are sending shivers through the stock market, particularly for highflying tech-related stocks. But history shows that when yields are rising “for the right reasons,” tech shares and cyclically sensitive stocks tend to thrive, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>不断上升的美国国债收益率让股市不寒而栗，尤其是对于飙升的科技相关股票而言。但雷蒙德·詹姆斯表示，历史表明，当收益率“出于正确的原因”上升时，科技股和周期性敏感股往往会蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p>The right reasons are “improving economic growth and a ‘healthy’ rise in inflation,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James, in a weekend note. And those reasons have driven the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to just shy of 1.4%, or about their highest in a year. Yields also are coming off their largest weekly rise in six weeks.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)私人客户集团首席投资官拉里·亚当(Larry Adam)在周末报告中表示，正确的原因是“经济增长改善和通胀‘健康’上升”。这些原因将10年期国债收益率推至略低于1.4%，约为一年来的最高水平。收益率也出现了六周来的最大单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>Adam highlighted the chart below, which breaks down the average annualized performance of each of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors and the percentage of time each sector outperforms the S&P 500 in a rising rate environment.</p><p><blockquote>Adam重点介绍了下图，该图细分了标普500 11个行业中每个行业的平均年化表现，以及在利率上升的环境下每个行业跑赢标普500的时间百分比。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79c934a97bed5bf56c97af1767cd874e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>雷蒙德·詹姆斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p>“Since 1990, during rising rate environments, the more cyclical sectors have outperformed,” Adam noted. “The average annualized outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and the percentage of time it outperforms the S&P 500 is largest for the tech, consumer discretionary and industrials sectors — three of our preferred sectors,” while higher dividend-yielding sectors like utilities, real estate and consumer staples tend to underperform.</p><p><blockquote>“自1990年以来，在利率上升的环境下，周期性较强的行业表现优于大盘，”亚当指出。“相对于标普500的平均年化表现及其跑赢标普500的时间百分比对于科技、非必需消费品和工业行业（我们的三个首选行业）来说是最大的”，而公用事业、房地产等股息收益率较高的行业和消费品往往表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks wereputting in a mixed performanceon Monday, with the Nasdaq-100,down 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite,down 2.5%, suffering the steepest declines. Both are tilted toward large-cap, tech-oriented stocks.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市表现好坏参半，纳斯达克100指数下跌2.6%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.5%，跌幅最大。两者都倾向于大盘股、科技股。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was positive, while the S&P 500 was off 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨，而标普500下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p>The rise in yields is being blamed in large part on expectations for a potential surge in inflation thanks to ramped up government spending and ultraloose monetary policy. Fears that the Federal Reserve could move to begin withdrawing some liquidity sooner than anticipated is seen helping to unsettle stocks, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升在很大程度上被归咎于政府支出增加和超宽松货币政策导致通胀可能飙升的预期。分析师表示，对美联储可能比预期更早开始撤回部分流动性的担忧被认为有助于扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p>But Adam argued that inflation not only is unlikely to “short circuit” the rally, it may be a welcome development for stock-market bulls.</p><p><blockquote>但亚当认为，通胀不仅不太可能“短路”反弹，而且对股市多头来说可能是一个受欢迎的发展。</blockquote></p><p>“When analyzing how the S&P 500 performed under varying levels of core inflation, equities performed above-average in an environment where core inflation was between 1-4%,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“在分析标普500在不同核心通胀水平下的表现时，在核心通胀在1-4%之间的环境下，股市的表现高于平均水平。”</blockquote></p><p>Inflation at those levels is generally considered healthy when it coincides with improving economic activity, Adam said. The reason is because companies have pricing power, allowing them to lift prices, while also reaping the benefits from productivity gains, which helps to boost earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚当表示，当通胀与经济活动改善同时发生时，这些水平的通胀通常被认为是健康的。原因是公司拥有定价权，使他们能够提高价格，同时也从生产率提高中获益，这有助于促进盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p>Raymond James expects core inflation to be around 2%. Adam said that when core inflation runs between 1% and 3%, the average performance relative to the S&P 500 on a year-over-year basis has been strongest for the technology (+6.8%), healthcare (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary sectors (+2%).</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James预计核心通胀率在2%左右。Adam表示，当核心通胀率在1%至3%之间时，科技（+6.8%）、医疗保健（+2.3%）相对于标普500的平均同比表现最为强劲）和非必需消费品行业（+2%）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/rising-bond-yields-mean-these-stock-market-sectors-have-the-most-to-gain-or-lose-11614014529?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/rising-bond-yields-mean-these-stock-market-sectors-have-the-most-to-gain-or-lose-11614014529?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1107213324","content_text":"Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond JamesRising Treasury yields are sending shivers through the stock market, particularly for highflying tech-related stocks. But history shows that when yields are rising “for the right reasons,” tech shares and cyclically sensitive stocks tend to thrive, according to Raymond James.The right reasons are “improving economic growth and a ‘healthy’ rise in inflation,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James, in a weekend note. And those reasons have driven the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to just shy of 1.4%, or about their highest in a year. Yields also are coming off their largest weekly rise in six weeks.Adam highlighted the chart below, which breaks down the average annualized performance of each of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors and the percentage of time each sector outperforms the S&P 500 in a rising rate environment.RAYMOND JAMES“Since 1990, during rising rate environments, the more cyclical sectors have outperformed,” Adam noted. “The average annualized outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and the percentage of time it outperforms the S&P 500 is largest for the tech, consumer discretionary and industrials sectors — three of our preferred sectors,” while higher dividend-yielding sectors like utilities, real estate and consumer staples tend to underperform.Stocks wereputting in a mixed performanceon Monday, with the Nasdaq-100,down 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite,down 2.5%, suffering the steepest declines. Both are tilted toward large-cap, tech-oriented stocks.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was positive, while the S&P 500 was off 0.8%.The rise in yields is being blamed in large part on expectations for a potential surge in inflation thanks to ramped up government spending and ultraloose monetary policy. Fears that the Federal Reserve could move to begin withdrawing some liquidity sooner than anticipated is seen helping to unsettle stocks, analysts said.But Adam argued that inflation not only is unlikely to “short circuit” the rally, it may be a welcome development for stock-market bulls.“When analyzing how the S&P 500 performed under varying levels of core inflation, equities performed above-average in an environment where core inflation was between 1-4%,” he wrote.Inflation at those levels is generally considered healthy when it coincides with improving economic activity, Adam said. The reason is because companies have pricing power, allowing them to lift prices, while also reaping the benefits from productivity gains, which helps to boost earnings growth.Raymond James expects core inflation to be around 2%. Adam said that when core inflation runs between 1% and 3%, the average performance relative to the S&P 500 on a year-over-year basis has been strongest for the technology (+6.8%), healthcare (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary sectors (+2%).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"NDX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369537148,"gmtCreate":1614057113684,"gmtModify":1634551360798,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573292049765150","idStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369537148","repostId":"1145339995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145339995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614048887,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145339995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 10:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145339995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem t","content":"<p>Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem to be with business fundamentals, but with market sentiment instead.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在2021年的表现一直悄然逊于其关键基准。问题似乎不在于商业基本面，而在于市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Quietly, Apple continues to underperform in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>悄悄地，苹果在2021年继续表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past four trading days (last Monday was President’s Day and the stock market was closed), shares of the Cupertino company declined about 4%. None of the main peer groups, including the consumer discretionary and tech sectors, performed this poorly.</p><p><blockquote>过去四个交易日（上周一是总统日，股市休市），库比蒂诺公司股价下跌约4%。包括非必需消费品和科技行业在内的主要同行群体都没有表现如此糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> See chart below – Apple is the blue line.</p><p><blockquote>见下图——苹果是蓝线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a1b3fafec7dc8155390e2d4094da04\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"649\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The full-year picture has not looked much more promising, at least so far. Apple shares rallied ahead of its fiscal first quarter earnings day, which was covered in detailed by the Apple Maven a few weeks ago. Towards the end of January, Apple had gained more than its key benchmarks year-to-date. See graph below.</p><p><blockquote>至少到目前为止，全年的情况看起来并没有更有希望。苹果股价在第一财季财报日之前上涨，几周前《苹果专家》对此进行了详细报道。截至一月底，苹果今年迄今的涨幅已超过其主要基准。见下图。</blockquote></p><p> However,the “sell the news” pullback that I warned about on January 28 took place. From last month’s peak, Apple has already dipped 9%. Shares are on the verge of entering correction territory once again.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我在1月28日警告的“卖出新闻”回调发生了。从上个月的峰值来看，苹果已经下跌了9%。股价即将再次进入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbf13d3b9fd7cebae67624cd78f9f09\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not about the fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与基本面无关</b></blockquote></p><p> I find it hard to believe that any of the recent weakness in Apple stock has anything to do with fundamentals.Think of the company’s earnings results, for example.</p><p><blockquote>我很难相信苹果股票最近的疲软与基本面有任何关系。例如，想想公司的盈利结果。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone staged an impressive comeback, with revenues climbing 17% during the holiday period after a disappointing fiscal fourth quarter. China also showed signs of life at last, as sales increased a whopping 57% in the region. Margins expanded on the back of gains of scale and a more favorable product mix. The company’s balance sheet is flush with cash.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的卷土重来令人印象深刻，在经历了令人失望的第四财季之后，假期期间收入增长了17%。中国也终于显示出了生机，该地区的销售额增长了57%。由于规模的扩大和更有利的产品组合，利润率有所扩大。该公司的资产负债表现金充裕。</blockquote></p><p> What’s not to like about Apple’s business?</p><p><blockquote>苹果的生意有什么不喜欢的？</blockquote></p><p> <b>A sentiment problem</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪问题</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with Apple shares so far this year, in my view, are two.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今年到目前为止，苹果股票存在两个问题。</blockquote></p><p> First, the stock seems to have caught too strong of a tailwind in the past couple of months:once from the Apple Car buzz, in late December, and again as investors anticipated a blowout holiday quarter in 2020. Therefore, it was reasonable to see shares adjust to what may be a more reasonable price below the $130 mark.</p><p><blockquote>首先，该股在过去几个月似乎受到了太强的顺风：一次是在12月底，来自苹果汽车热潮，另一次是因为投资者预计2020年假期季度将出现井喷。因此，股价调整至130美元以下可能更合理的价格是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Second, 2021 has been a year to bet on recovery stocks, not high-quality growth names like Apple. Notice below how small cap and high-beta stocks (tickers IWM and SPHB) have lavishly outperformed the high-quality ETF and the Nasdaq (tickers QUAL and QQQ) so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>其次，2021年是押注复苏股的一年，而不是像苹果这样的优质成长股。请注意下面今年迄今为止，小盘股和高贝塔值股票（股票代码IWM和SPHB）的表现如何远远优于优质ETF和纳斯达克（股票代码QUAL和QQQ）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdbaae21b1a60bfe8ced185756760c51\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"647\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett effect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特效应</b></blockquote></p><p> The most recent event that helped to push Apple shares lower was Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of its portfolio holdings, as of the end of 2020. Warren Buffett’s company sold about $7.4 billion worth of Apple shares in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>最近导致苹果股价走低的事件是Berkshire Hathaway披露了其截至2020年底的投资组合持股情况。Warren Buffett的公司在上个季度出售了价值约74亿美元的苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> As I explained, the move seemed to be a position trim rather than a bearish statement. I do not believe that investors should be concerned about Apple losing the Buffett seal of approval, especially considering the still massive 43% allocation of Berkshire’s portfolio to the Cupertino company.</p><p><blockquote>正如我所解释的，此举似乎是减仓，而不是看跌声明。我认为投资者不应该担心苹果失去巴菲特的认可，特别是考虑到伯克希尔投资组合中仍有43%的比例分配给库比蒂诺公司。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, the market is the market, and it chose to punish Apple stock even further, following the release of Berkshire’s most recent 13-F filing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场就是市场，在伯克希尔最新的13-F文件发布后，伯克希尔选择进一步惩罚苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-23 10:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem to be with business fundamentals, but with market sentiment instead.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在2021年的表现一直悄然逊于其关键基准。问题似乎不在于商业基本面，而在于市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Quietly, Apple continues to underperform in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>悄悄地，苹果在2021年继续表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past four trading days (last Monday was President’s Day and the stock market was closed), shares of the Cupertino company declined about 4%. None of the main peer groups, including the consumer discretionary and tech sectors, performed this poorly.</p><p><blockquote>过去四个交易日（上周一是总统日，股市休市），库比蒂诺公司股价下跌约4%。包括非必需消费品和科技行业在内的主要同行群体都没有表现如此糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> See chart below – Apple is the blue line.</p><p><blockquote>见下图——苹果是蓝线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a1b3fafec7dc8155390e2d4094da04\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"649\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The full-year picture has not looked much more promising, at least so far. Apple shares rallied ahead of its fiscal first quarter earnings day, which was covered in detailed by the Apple Maven a few weeks ago. Towards the end of January, Apple had gained more than its key benchmarks year-to-date. See graph below.</p><p><blockquote>至少到目前为止，全年的情况看起来并没有更有希望。苹果股价在第一财季财报日之前上涨，几周前《苹果专家》对此进行了详细报道。截至一月底，苹果今年迄今的涨幅已超过其主要基准。见下图。</blockquote></p><p> However,the “sell the news” pullback that I warned about on January 28 took place. From last month’s peak, Apple has already dipped 9%. Shares are on the verge of entering correction territory once again.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我在1月28日警告的“卖出新闻”回调发生了。从上个月的峰值来看，苹果已经下跌了9%。股价即将再次进入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbf13d3b9fd7cebae67624cd78f9f09\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not about the fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与基本面无关</b></blockquote></p><p> I find it hard to believe that any of the recent weakness in Apple stock has anything to do with fundamentals.Think of the company’s earnings results, for example.</p><p><blockquote>我很难相信苹果股票最近的疲软与基本面有任何关系。例如，想想公司的盈利结果。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone staged an impressive comeback, with revenues climbing 17% during the holiday period after a disappointing fiscal fourth quarter. China also showed signs of life at last, as sales increased a whopping 57% in the region. Margins expanded on the back of gains of scale and a more favorable product mix. The company’s balance sheet is flush with cash.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的卷土重来令人印象深刻，在经历了令人失望的第四财季之后，假期期间收入增长了17%。中国也终于显示出了生机，该地区的销售额增长了57%。由于规模的扩大和更有利的产品组合，利润率有所扩大。该公司的资产负债表现金充裕。</blockquote></p><p> What’s not to like about Apple’s business?</p><p><blockquote>苹果的生意有什么不喜欢的？</blockquote></p><p> <b>A sentiment problem</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪问题</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with Apple shares so far this year, in my view, are two.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今年到目前为止，苹果股票存在两个问题。</blockquote></p><p> First, the stock seems to have caught too strong of a tailwind in the past couple of months:once from the Apple Car buzz, in late December, and again as investors anticipated a blowout holiday quarter in 2020. Therefore, it was reasonable to see shares adjust to what may be a more reasonable price below the $130 mark.</p><p><blockquote>首先，该股在过去几个月似乎受到了太强的顺风：一次是在12月底，来自苹果汽车热潮，另一次是因为投资者预计2020年假期季度将出现井喷。因此，股价调整至130美元以下可能更合理的价格是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Second, 2021 has been a year to bet on recovery stocks, not high-quality growth names like Apple. Notice below how small cap and high-beta stocks (tickers IWM and SPHB) have lavishly outperformed the high-quality ETF and the Nasdaq (tickers QUAL and QQQ) so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>其次，2021年是押注复苏股的一年，而不是像苹果这样的优质成长股。请注意下面今年迄今为止，小盘股和高贝塔值股票（股票代码IWM和SPHB）的表现如何远远优于优质ETF和纳斯达克（股票代码QUAL和QQQ）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdbaae21b1a60bfe8ced185756760c51\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"647\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett effect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特效应</b></blockquote></p><p> The most recent event that helped to push Apple shares lower was Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of its portfolio holdings, as of the end of 2020. Warren Buffett’s company sold about $7.4 billion worth of Apple shares in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>最近导致苹果股价走低的事件是Berkshire Hathaway披露了其截至2020年底的投资组合持股情况。Warren Buffett的公司在上个季度出售了价值约74亿美元的苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> As I explained, the move seemed to be a position trim rather than a bearish statement. I do not believe that investors should be concerned about Apple losing the Buffett seal of approval, especially considering the still massive 43% allocation of Berkshire’s portfolio to the Cupertino company.</p><p><blockquote>正如我所解释的，此举似乎是减仓，而不是看跌声明。我认为投资者不应该担心苹果失去巴菲特的认可，特别是考虑到伯克希尔投资组合中仍有43%的比例分配给库比蒂诺公司。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, the market is the market, and it chose to punish Apple stock even further, following the release of Berkshire’s most recent 13-F filing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场就是市场，在伯克希尔最新的13-F文件发布后，伯克希尔选择进一步惩罚苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-this-week-losing-steam\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-this-week-losing-steam","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145339995","content_text":"Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem to be with business fundamentals, but with market sentiment instead.\nQuietly, Apple continues to underperform in 2021.\nOver the past four trading days (last Monday was President’s Day and the stock market was closed), shares of the Cupertino company declined about 4%. None of the main peer groups, including the consumer discretionary and tech sectors, performed this poorly.\nSee chart below – Apple is the blue line.\nStock Rover\nThe full-year picture has not looked much more promising, at least so far. Apple shares rallied ahead of its fiscal first quarter earnings day, which was covered in detailed by the Apple Maven a few weeks ago. Towards the end of January, Apple had gained more than its key benchmarks year-to-date. See graph below.\nHowever,the “sell the news” pullback that I warned about on January 28 took place. From last month’s peak, Apple has already dipped 9%. Shares are on the verge of entering correction territory once again.\nStock Rover\nNot about the fundamentals\nI find it hard to believe that any of the recent weakness in Apple stock has anything to do with fundamentals.Think of the company’s earnings results, for example.\nThe iPhone staged an impressive comeback, with revenues climbing 17% during the holiday period after a disappointing fiscal fourth quarter. China also showed signs of life at last, as sales increased a whopping 57% in the region. Margins expanded on the back of gains of scale and a more favorable product mix. The company’s balance sheet is flush with cash.\nWhat’s not to like about Apple’s business?\nA sentiment problem\nThe problem with Apple shares so far this year, in my view, are two.\nFirst, the stock seems to have caught too strong of a tailwind in the past couple of months:once from the Apple Car buzz, in late December, and again as investors anticipated a blowout holiday quarter in 2020. Therefore, it was reasonable to see shares adjust to what may be a more reasonable price below the $130 mark.\nSecond, 2021 has been a year to bet on recovery stocks, not high-quality growth names like Apple. Notice below how small cap and high-beta stocks (tickers IWM and SPHB) have lavishly outperformed the high-quality ETF and the Nasdaq (tickers QUAL and QQQ) so far this year.\nStock Rover\nThe Buffett effect\nThe most recent event that helped to push Apple shares lower was Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of its portfolio holdings, as of the end of 2020. Warren Buffett’s company sold about $7.4 billion worth of Apple shares in the last quarter.\nAs I explained, the move seemed to be a position trim rather than a bearish statement. I do not believe that investors should be concerned about Apple losing the Buffett seal of approval, especially considering the still massive 43% allocation of Berkshire’s portfolio to the Cupertino company.\nYet, the market is the market, and it chose to punish Apple stock even further, following the release of Berkshire’s most recent 13-F filing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386261643,"gmtCreate":1613185803282,"gmtModify":1634554214863,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573292049765150","idStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386261643","repostId":"2110904027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386261169,"gmtCreate":1613185756251,"gmtModify":1634554215106,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573292049765150","idStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386261169","repostId":"2110904027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":363110468,"gmtCreate":1614100417154,"gmtModify":1634551162098,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573292049765150","authorIdStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363110468","repostId":"1107213324","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107213324","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614076514,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107213324?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 18:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can the bull market in stocks survive rising inflation, bond yields? Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107213324","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond JamesRising Treas","content":"<p>Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond James</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯：科技、非必需消费品和周期性行业历史上跑赢大盘</blockquote></p><p>Rising Treasury yields are sending shivers through the stock market, particularly for highflying tech-related stocks. But history shows that when yields are rising “for the right reasons,” tech shares and cyclically sensitive stocks tend to thrive, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>不断上升的美国国债收益率让股市不寒而栗，尤其是对于飙升的科技相关股票而言。但雷蒙德·詹姆斯表示，历史表明，当收益率“出于正确的原因”上升时，科技股和周期性敏感股往往会蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p>The right reasons are “improving economic growth and a ‘healthy’ rise in inflation,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James, in a weekend note. And those reasons have driven the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to just shy of 1.4%, or about their highest in a year. Yields also are coming off their largest weekly rise in six weeks.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)私人客户集团首席投资官拉里·亚当(Larry Adam)在周末报告中表示，正确的原因是“经济增长改善和通胀‘健康’上升”。这些原因将10年期国债收益率推至略低于1.4%，约为一年来的最高水平。收益率也出现了六周来的最大单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>Adam highlighted the chart below, which breaks down the average annualized performance of each of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors and the percentage of time each sector outperforms the S&P 500 in a rising rate environment.</p><p><blockquote>Adam重点介绍了下图，该图细分了标普500 11个行业中每个行业的平均年化表现，以及在利率上升的环境下每个行业跑赢标普500的时间百分比。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79c934a97bed5bf56c97af1767cd874e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>雷蒙德·詹姆斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p>“Since 1990, during rising rate environments, the more cyclical sectors have outperformed,” Adam noted. “The average annualized outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and the percentage of time it outperforms the S&P 500 is largest for the tech, consumer discretionary and industrials sectors — three of our preferred sectors,” while higher dividend-yielding sectors like utilities, real estate and consumer staples tend to underperform.</p><p><blockquote>“自1990年以来，在利率上升的环境下，周期性较强的行业表现优于大盘，”亚当指出。“相对于标普500的平均年化表现及其跑赢标普500的时间百分比对于科技、非必需消费品和工业行业（我们的三个首选行业）来说是最大的”，而公用事业、房地产等股息收益率较高的行业和消费品往往表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks wereputting in a mixed performanceon Monday, with the Nasdaq-100,down 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite,down 2.5%, suffering the steepest declines. Both are tilted toward large-cap, tech-oriented stocks.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市表现好坏参半，纳斯达克100指数下跌2.6%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.5%，跌幅最大。两者都倾向于大盘股、科技股。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was positive, while the S&P 500 was off 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨，而标普500下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p>The rise in yields is being blamed in large part on expectations for a potential surge in inflation thanks to ramped up government spending and ultraloose monetary policy. Fears that the Federal Reserve could move to begin withdrawing some liquidity sooner than anticipated is seen helping to unsettle stocks, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升在很大程度上被归咎于政府支出增加和超宽松货币政策导致通胀可能飙升的预期。分析师表示，对美联储可能比预期更早开始撤回部分流动性的担忧被认为有助于扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p>But Adam argued that inflation not only is unlikely to “short circuit” the rally, it may be a welcome development for stock-market bulls.</p><p><blockquote>但亚当认为，通胀不仅不太可能“短路”反弹，而且对股市多头来说可能是一个受欢迎的发展。</blockquote></p><p>“When analyzing how the S&P 500 performed under varying levels of core inflation, equities performed above-average in an environment where core inflation was between 1-4%,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“在分析标普500在不同核心通胀水平下的表现时，在核心通胀在1-4%之间的环境下，股市的表现高于平均水平。”</blockquote></p><p>Inflation at those levels is generally considered healthy when it coincides with improving economic activity, Adam said. The reason is because companies have pricing power, allowing them to lift prices, while also reaping the benefits from productivity gains, which helps to boost earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚当表示，当通胀与经济活动改善同时发生时，这些水平的通胀通常被认为是健康的。原因是公司拥有定价权，使他们能够提高价格，同时也从生产率提高中获益，这有助于促进盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p>Raymond James expects core inflation to be around 2%. Adam said that when core inflation runs between 1% and 3%, the average performance relative to the S&P 500 on a year-over-year basis has been strongest for the technology (+6.8%), healthcare (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary sectors (+2%).</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James预计核心通胀率在2%左右。Adam表示，当核心通胀率在1%至3%之间时，科技（+6.8%）、医疗保健（+2.3%）相对于标普500的平均同比表现最为强劲）和非必需消费品行业（+2%）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the bull market in stocks survive rising inflation, bond yields? Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the bull market in stocks survive rising inflation, bond yields? Here’s what history says<blockquote>股市牛市能否经受住通胀和债券收益率上升的考验？历史是这么说的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-23 18:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond James</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯：科技、非必需消费品和周期性行业历史上跑赢大盘</blockquote></p><p>Rising Treasury yields are sending shivers through the stock market, particularly for highflying tech-related stocks. But history shows that when yields are rising “for the right reasons,” tech shares and cyclically sensitive stocks tend to thrive, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>不断上升的美国国债收益率让股市不寒而栗，尤其是对于飙升的科技相关股票而言。但雷蒙德·詹姆斯表示，历史表明，当收益率“出于正确的原因”上升时，科技股和周期性敏感股往往会蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p>The right reasons are “improving economic growth and a ‘healthy’ rise in inflation,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James, in a weekend note. And those reasons have driven the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to just shy of 1.4%, or about their highest in a year. Yields also are coming off their largest weekly rise in six weeks.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)私人客户集团首席投资官拉里·亚当(Larry Adam)在周末报告中表示，正确的原因是“经济增长改善和通胀‘健康’上升”。这些原因将10年期国债收益率推至略低于1.4%，约为一年来的最高水平。收益率也出现了六周来的最大单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p>Adam highlighted the chart below, which breaks down the average annualized performance of each of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors and the percentage of time each sector outperforms the S&P 500 in a rising rate environment.</p><p><blockquote>Adam重点介绍了下图，该图细分了标普500 11个行业中每个行业的平均年化表现，以及在利率上升的环境下每个行业跑赢标普500的时间百分比。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79c934a97bed5bf56c97af1767cd874e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"564\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>RAYMOND JAMES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>雷蒙德·詹姆斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p>“Since 1990, during rising rate environments, the more cyclical sectors have outperformed,” Adam noted. “The average annualized outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and the percentage of time it outperforms the S&P 500 is largest for the tech, consumer discretionary and industrials sectors — three of our preferred sectors,” while higher dividend-yielding sectors like utilities, real estate and consumer staples tend to underperform.</p><p><blockquote>“自1990年以来，在利率上升的环境下，周期性较强的行业表现优于大盘，”亚当指出。“相对于标普500的平均年化表现及其跑赢标普500的时间百分比对于科技、非必需消费品和工业行业（我们的三个首选行业）来说是最大的”，而公用事业、房地产等股息收益率较高的行业和消费品往往表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks wereputting in a mixed performanceon Monday, with the Nasdaq-100,down 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite,down 2.5%, suffering the steepest declines. Both are tilted toward large-cap, tech-oriented stocks.</p><p><blockquote>周一股市表现好坏参半，纳斯达克100指数下跌2.6%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.5%，跌幅最大。两者都倾向于大盘股、科技股。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was positive, while the S&P 500 was off 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨，而标普500下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p>The rise in yields is being blamed in large part on expectations for a potential surge in inflation thanks to ramped up government spending and ultraloose monetary policy. Fears that the Federal Reserve could move to begin withdrawing some liquidity sooner than anticipated is seen helping to unsettle stocks, analysts said.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升在很大程度上被归咎于政府支出增加和超宽松货币政策导致通胀可能飙升的预期。分析师表示，对美联储可能比预期更早开始撤回部分流动性的担忧被认为有助于扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p>But Adam argued that inflation not only is unlikely to “short circuit” the rally, it may be a welcome development for stock-market bulls.</p><p><blockquote>但亚当认为，通胀不仅不太可能“短路”反弹，而且对股市多头来说可能是一个受欢迎的发展。</blockquote></p><p>“When analyzing how the S&P 500 performed under varying levels of core inflation, equities performed above-average in an environment where core inflation was between 1-4%,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“在分析标普500在不同核心通胀水平下的表现时，在核心通胀在1-4%之间的环境下，股市的表现高于平均水平。”</blockquote></p><p>Inflation at those levels is generally considered healthy when it coincides with improving economic activity, Adam said. The reason is because companies have pricing power, allowing them to lift prices, while also reaping the benefits from productivity gains, which helps to boost earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚当表示，当通胀与经济活动改善同时发生时，这些水平的通胀通常被认为是健康的。原因是公司拥有定价权，使他们能够提高价格，同时也从生产率提高中获益，这有助于促进盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p>Raymond James expects core inflation to be around 2%. Adam said that when core inflation runs between 1% and 3%, the average performance relative to the S&P 500 on a year-over-year basis has been strongest for the technology (+6.8%), healthcare (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary sectors (+2%).</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James预计核心通胀率在2%左右。Adam表示，当核心通胀率在1%至3%之间时，科技（+6.8%）、医疗保健（+2.3%）相对于标普500的平均同比表现最为强劲）和非必需消费品行业（+2%）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/rising-bond-yields-mean-these-stock-market-sectors-have-the-most-to-gain-or-lose-11614014529?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/rising-bond-yields-mean-these-stock-market-sectors-have-the-most-to-gain-or-lose-11614014529?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1107213324","content_text":"Tech, consumer discretionary and cyclical sectors historically outperform: Raymond JamesRising Treasury yields are sending shivers through the stock market, particularly for highflying tech-related stocks. But history shows that when yields are rising “for the right reasons,” tech shares and cyclically sensitive stocks tend to thrive, according to Raymond James.The right reasons are “improving economic growth and a ‘healthy’ rise in inflation,” said Larry Adam, chief investment officer for the private client group at Raymond James, in a weekend note. And those reasons have driven the yield on the 10-year Treasury note to just shy of 1.4%, or about their highest in a year. Yields also are coming off their largest weekly rise in six weeks.Adam highlighted the chart below, which breaks down the average annualized performance of each of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors and the percentage of time each sector outperforms the S&P 500 in a rising rate environment.RAYMOND JAMES“Since 1990, during rising rate environments, the more cyclical sectors have outperformed,” Adam noted. “The average annualized outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and the percentage of time it outperforms the S&P 500 is largest for the tech, consumer discretionary and industrials sectors — three of our preferred sectors,” while higher dividend-yielding sectors like utilities, real estate and consumer staples tend to underperform.Stocks wereputting in a mixed performanceon Monday, with the Nasdaq-100,down 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite,down 2.5%, suffering the steepest declines. Both are tilted toward large-cap, tech-oriented stocks.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was positive, while the S&P 500 was off 0.8%.The rise in yields is being blamed in large part on expectations for a potential surge in inflation thanks to ramped up government spending and ultraloose monetary policy. Fears that the Federal Reserve could move to begin withdrawing some liquidity sooner than anticipated is seen helping to unsettle stocks, analysts said.But Adam argued that inflation not only is unlikely to “short circuit” the rally, it may be a welcome development for stock-market bulls.“When analyzing how the S&P 500 performed under varying levels of core inflation, equities performed above-average in an environment where core inflation was between 1-4%,” he wrote.Inflation at those levels is generally considered healthy when it coincides with improving economic activity, Adam said. The reason is because companies have pricing power, allowing them to lift prices, while also reaping the benefits from productivity gains, which helps to boost earnings growth.Raymond James expects core inflation to be around 2%. Adam said that when core inflation runs between 1% and 3%, the average performance relative to the S&P 500 on a year-over-year basis has been strongest for the technology (+6.8%), healthcare (+2.3%) and consumer discretionary sectors (+2%).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"NDX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386261643,"gmtCreate":1613185803282,"gmtModify":1634554214863,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573292049765150","authorIdStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386261643","repostId":"2110904027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369537148,"gmtCreate":1614057113684,"gmtModify":1634551360798,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573292049765150","authorIdStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369537148","repostId":"1145339995","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145339995","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614048887,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145339995?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 10:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145339995","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem t","content":"<p>Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem to be with business fundamentals, but with market sentiment instead.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在2021年的表现一直悄然逊于其关键基准。问题似乎不在于商业基本面，而在于市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Quietly, Apple continues to underperform in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>悄悄地，苹果在2021年继续表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past four trading days (last Monday was President’s Day and the stock market was closed), shares of the Cupertino company declined about 4%. None of the main peer groups, including the consumer discretionary and tech sectors, performed this poorly.</p><p><blockquote>过去四个交易日（上周一是总统日，股市休市），库比蒂诺公司股价下跌约4%。包括非必需消费品和科技行业在内的主要同行群体都没有表现如此糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> See chart below – Apple is the blue line.</p><p><blockquote>见下图——苹果是蓝线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a1b3fafec7dc8155390e2d4094da04\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"649\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The full-year picture has not looked much more promising, at least so far. Apple shares rallied ahead of its fiscal first quarter earnings day, which was covered in detailed by the Apple Maven a few weeks ago. Towards the end of January, Apple had gained more than its key benchmarks year-to-date. See graph below.</p><p><blockquote>至少到目前为止，全年的情况看起来并没有更有希望。苹果股价在第一财季财报日之前上涨，几周前《苹果专家》对此进行了详细报道。截至一月底，苹果今年迄今的涨幅已超过其主要基准。见下图。</blockquote></p><p> However,the “sell the news” pullback that I warned about on January 28 took place. From last month’s peak, Apple has already dipped 9%. Shares are on the verge of entering correction territory once again.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我在1月28日警告的“卖出新闻”回调发生了。从上个月的峰值来看，苹果已经下跌了9%。股价即将再次进入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbf13d3b9fd7cebae67624cd78f9f09\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not about the fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与基本面无关</b></blockquote></p><p> I find it hard to believe that any of the recent weakness in Apple stock has anything to do with fundamentals.Think of the company’s earnings results, for example.</p><p><blockquote>我很难相信苹果股票最近的疲软与基本面有任何关系。例如，想想公司的盈利结果。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone staged an impressive comeback, with revenues climbing 17% during the holiday period after a disappointing fiscal fourth quarter. China also showed signs of life at last, as sales increased a whopping 57% in the region. Margins expanded on the back of gains of scale and a more favorable product mix. The company’s balance sheet is flush with cash.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的卷土重来令人印象深刻，在经历了令人失望的第四财季之后，假期期间收入增长了17%。中国也终于显示出了生机，该地区的销售额增长了57%。由于规模的扩大和更有利的产品组合，利润率有所扩大。该公司的资产负债表现金充裕。</blockquote></p><p> What’s not to like about Apple’s business?</p><p><blockquote>苹果的生意有什么不喜欢的？</blockquote></p><p> <b>A sentiment problem</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪问题</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with Apple shares so far this year, in my view, are two.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今年到目前为止，苹果股票存在两个问题。</blockquote></p><p> First, the stock seems to have caught too strong of a tailwind in the past couple of months:once from the Apple Car buzz, in late December, and again as investors anticipated a blowout holiday quarter in 2020. Therefore, it was reasonable to see shares adjust to what may be a more reasonable price below the $130 mark.</p><p><blockquote>首先，该股在过去几个月似乎受到了太强的顺风：一次是在12月底，来自苹果汽车热潮，另一次是因为投资者预计2020年假期季度将出现井喷。因此，股价调整至130美元以下可能更合理的价格是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Second, 2021 has been a year to bet on recovery stocks, not high-quality growth names like Apple. Notice below how small cap and high-beta stocks (tickers IWM and SPHB) have lavishly outperformed the high-quality ETF and the Nasdaq (tickers QUAL and QQQ) so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>其次，2021年是押注复苏股的一年，而不是像苹果这样的优质成长股。请注意下面今年迄今为止，小盘股和高贝塔值股票（股票代码IWM和SPHB）的表现如何远远优于优质ETF和纳斯达克（股票代码QUAL和QQQ）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdbaae21b1a60bfe8ced185756760c51\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"647\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett effect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特效应</b></blockquote></p><p> The most recent event that helped to push Apple shares lower was Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of its portfolio holdings, as of the end of 2020. Warren Buffett’s company sold about $7.4 billion worth of Apple shares in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>最近导致苹果股价走低的事件是Berkshire Hathaway披露了其截至2020年底的投资组合持股情况。Warren Buffett的公司在上个季度出售了价值约74亿美元的苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> As I explained, the move seemed to be a position trim rather than a bearish statement. I do not believe that investors should be concerned about Apple losing the Buffett seal of approval, especially considering the still massive 43% allocation of Berkshire’s portfolio to the Cupertino company.</p><p><blockquote>正如我所解释的，此举似乎是减仓，而不是看跌声明。我认为投资者不应该担心苹果失去巴菲特的认可，特别是考虑到伯克希尔投资组合中仍有43%的比例分配给库比蒂诺公司。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, the market is the market, and it chose to punish Apple stock even further, following the release of Berkshire’s most recent 13-F filing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场就是市场，在伯克希尔最新的13-F文件发布后，伯克希尔选择进一步惩罚苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock This Week: Losing Steam<blockquote>本周苹果股票：失去动力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-23 10:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem to be with business fundamentals, but with market sentiment instead.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票在2021年的表现一直悄然逊于其关键基准。问题似乎不在于商业基本面，而在于市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Quietly, Apple continues to underperform in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>悄悄地，苹果在2021年继续表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past four trading days (last Monday was President’s Day and the stock market was closed), shares of the Cupertino company declined about 4%. None of the main peer groups, including the consumer discretionary and tech sectors, performed this poorly.</p><p><blockquote>过去四个交易日（上周一是总统日，股市休市），库比蒂诺公司股价下跌约4%。包括非必需消费品和科技行业在内的主要同行群体都没有表现如此糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> See chart below – Apple is the blue line.</p><p><blockquote>见下图——苹果是蓝线。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33a1b3fafec7dc8155390e2d4094da04\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"649\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The full-year picture has not looked much more promising, at least so far. Apple shares rallied ahead of its fiscal first quarter earnings day, which was covered in detailed by the Apple Maven a few weeks ago. Towards the end of January, Apple had gained more than its key benchmarks year-to-date. See graph below.</p><p><blockquote>至少到目前为止，全年的情况看起来并没有更有希望。苹果股价在第一财季财报日之前上涨，几周前《苹果专家》对此进行了详细报道。截至一月底，苹果今年迄今的涨幅已超过其主要基准。见下图。</blockquote></p><p> However,the “sell the news” pullback that I warned about on January 28 took place. From last month’s peak, Apple has already dipped 9%. Shares are on the verge of entering correction territory once again.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我在1月28日警告的“卖出新闻”回调发生了。从上个月的峰值来看，苹果已经下跌了9%。股价即将再次进入回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cbf13d3b9fd7cebae67624cd78f9f09\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"630\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not about the fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与基本面无关</b></blockquote></p><p> I find it hard to believe that any of the recent weakness in Apple stock has anything to do with fundamentals.Think of the company’s earnings results, for example.</p><p><blockquote>我很难相信苹果股票最近的疲软与基本面有任何关系。例如，想想公司的盈利结果。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone staged an impressive comeback, with revenues climbing 17% during the holiday period after a disappointing fiscal fourth quarter. China also showed signs of life at last, as sales increased a whopping 57% in the region. Margins expanded on the back of gains of scale and a more favorable product mix. The company’s balance sheet is flush with cash.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone的卷土重来令人印象深刻，在经历了令人失望的第四财季之后，假期期间收入增长了17%。中国也终于显示出了生机，该地区的销售额增长了57%。由于规模的扩大和更有利的产品组合，利润率有所扩大。该公司的资产负债表现金充裕。</blockquote></p><p> What’s not to like about Apple’s business?</p><p><blockquote>苹果的生意有什么不喜欢的？</blockquote></p><p> <b>A sentiment problem</b></p><p><blockquote><b>情绪问题</b></blockquote></p><p> The problem with Apple shares so far this year, in my view, are two.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今年到目前为止，苹果股票存在两个问题。</blockquote></p><p> First, the stock seems to have caught too strong of a tailwind in the past couple of months:once from the Apple Car buzz, in late December, and again as investors anticipated a blowout holiday quarter in 2020. Therefore, it was reasonable to see shares adjust to what may be a more reasonable price below the $130 mark.</p><p><blockquote>首先，该股在过去几个月似乎受到了太强的顺风：一次是在12月底，来自苹果汽车热潮，另一次是因为投资者预计2020年假期季度将出现井喷。因此，股价调整至130美元以下可能更合理的价格是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Second, 2021 has been a year to bet on recovery stocks, not high-quality growth names like Apple. Notice below how small cap and high-beta stocks (tickers IWM and SPHB) have lavishly outperformed the high-quality ETF and the Nasdaq (tickers QUAL and QQQ) so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>其次，2021年是押注复苏股的一年，而不是像苹果这样的优质成长股。请注意下面今年迄今为止，小盘股和高贝塔值股票（股票代码IWM和SPHB）的表现如何远远优于优质ETF和纳斯达克（股票代码QUAL和QQQ）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdbaae21b1a60bfe8ced185756760c51\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"647\"><span>Stock Rover</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>库存漫游者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett effect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特效应</b></blockquote></p><p> The most recent event that helped to push Apple shares lower was Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of its portfolio holdings, as of the end of 2020. Warren Buffett’s company sold about $7.4 billion worth of Apple shares in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>最近导致苹果股价走低的事件是Berkshire Hathaway披露了其截至2020年底的投资组合持股情况。Warren Buffett的公司在上个季度出售了价值约74亿美元的苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> As I explained, the move seemed to be a position trim rather than a bearish statement. I do not believe that investors should be concerned about Apple losing the Buffett seal of approval, especially considering the still massive 43% allocation of Berkshire’s portfolio to the Cupertino company.</p><p><blockquote>正如我所解释的，此举似乎是减仓，而不是看跌声明。我认为投资者不应该担心苹果失去巴菲特的认可，特别是考虑到伯克希尔投资组合中仍有43%的比例分配给库比蒂诺公司。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, the market is the market, and it chose to punish Apple stock even further, following the release of Berkshire’s most recent 13-F filing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场就是市场，在伯克希尔最新的13-F文件发布后，伯克希尔选择进一步惩罚苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-this-week-losing-steam\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/apple-stock-this-week-losing-steam","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145339995","content_text":"Apple stock has been quietly underperforming its key benchmarks in 2021. The problem does not seem to be with business fundamentals, but with market sentiment instead.\nQuietly, Apple continues to underperform in 2021.\nOver the past four trading days (last Monday was President’s Day and the stock market was closed), shares of the Cupertino company declined about 4%. None of the main peer groups, including the consumer discretionary and tech sectors, performed this poorly.\nSee chart below – Apple is the blue line.\nStock Rover\nThe full-year picture has not looked much more promising, at least so far. Apple shares rallied ahead of its fiscal first quarter earnings day, which was covered in detailed by the Apple Maven a few weeks ago. Towards the end of January, Apple had gained more than its key benchmarks year-to-date. See graph below.\nHowever,the “sell the news” pullback that I warned about on January 28 took place. From last month’s peak, Apple has already dipped 9%. Shares are on the verge of entering correction territory once again.\nStock Rover\nNot about the fundamentals\nI find it hard to believe that any of the recent weakness in Apple stock has anything to do with fundamentals.Think of the company’s earnings results, for example.\nThe iPhone staged an impressive comeback, with revenues climbing 17% during the holiday period after a disappointing fiscal fourth quarter. China also showed signs of life at last, as sales increased a whopping 57% in the region. Margins expanded on the back of gains of scale and a more favorable product mix. The company’s balance sheet is flush with cash.\nWhat’s not to like about Apple’s business?\nA sentiment problem\nThe problem with Apple shares so far this year, in my view, are two.\nFirst, the stock seems to have caught too strong of a tailwind in the past couple of months:once from the Apple Car buzz, in late December, and again as investors anticipated a blowout holiday quarter in 2020. Therefore, it was reasonable to see shares adjust to what may be a more reasonable price below the $130 mark.\nSecond, 2021 has been a year to bet on recovery stocks, not high-quality growth names like Apple. Notice below how small cap and high-beta stocks (tickers IWM and SPHB) have lavishly outperformed the high-quality ETF and the Nasdaq (tickers QUAL and QQQ) so far this year.\nStock Rover\nThe Buffett effect\nThe most recent event that helped to push Apple shares lower was Berkshire Hathaway’s disclosure of its portfolio holdings, as of the end of 2020. Warren Buffett’s company sold about $7.4 billion worth of Apple shares in the last quarter.\nAs I explained, the move seemed to be a position trim rather than a bearish statement. I do not believe that investors should be concerned about Apple losing the Buffett seal of approval, especially considering the still massive 43% allocation of Berkshire’s portfolio to the Cupertino company.\nYet, the market is the market, and it chose to punish Apple stock even further, following the release of Berkshire’s most recent 13-F filing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386261169,"gmtCreate":1613185756251,"gmtModify":1634554215106,"author":{"id":"3573292049765150","authorId":"3573292049765150","name":"5ky","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cbd3b628fb666b875e3f23ece4acfd5d","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573292049765150","authorIdStr":"3573292049765150"},"themes":[],"htmlText":".","listText":".","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386261169","repostId":"2110904027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
