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SHAJ

SHAJ

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0勋章

2021-07-23

Overjoyed over a little.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

Time to try cheap coffee.

Starbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.

2021-07-19

Ok will do.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

Everything is managed.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-15

They think delta means sleep on

US Consumers So Far Completely Undeterred By Delta Variant

2021-07-29

Getting unpopular

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

Bye-bye facebook

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-25

Prolly cos of greedy tutors taking advantage of tiger parents

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-23

Bec tutoring is causing a lot of pain, like doctors fees

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-21

Is alternative coming??

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-20

Turmoil turmoil turmoil

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2021-07-15

Just fight, the empire is going downhill anyway

Key Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package

2021-07-10

FB? Nah

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-06

Hang in there.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-21

Stay for the 1.5, then go.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-21

Buy the notsodip

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-19

Plus don't come back.

Amazon Founder Jeff Bezos Preparing For Rocket Launch Into Space

2021-07-29

Dump pp, too many complaints.

PayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.

2021-07-28

Inari. Promising

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-27

Yet to try.

Snap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies

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That’s what Tesla, and the rest of the auto industry, wants to achieve years down the road.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>Tesla stock, for its part, is at its highest level in months. Shares closed up 2.8% at $774.49 on Friday, and are now up about 10% in 2021, trailing just behind comparable gains of the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average. But all those gains have come recently. Tesla stock is up 15% over the past three months.</p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla's 'Beta Button' Is Live. 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What It Means for the Stock.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-27 16:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-autonomous-driving-beta-button-51632583470?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla delivered its “beta button” Friday, bringing the next level of autonomous driving to its car owners. Regulators aren’t happy.\nWith the “beta button,” Tesla (ticker: TSLA) owners can now request ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-autonomous-driving-beta-button-51632583470?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-autonomous-driving-beta-button-51632583470?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128485442","content_text":"Tesla delivered its “beta button” Friday, bringing the next level of autonomous driving to its car owners. Regulators aren’t happy.\nWith the “beta button,” Tesla (ticker: TSLA) owners can now request the most sophisticated version of Tesla’s autonomous-driving software, dubbed Full Self Driving, or FSD, with the press of a finger. The button went live on Friday.\n\nTesla’s new system will do things such as make left turns for the driver. Tesla has let some drivers test the system before now. Many videos from testers that review the capabilities—and issues—with the system are available on YouTube. \n\nJust hitting the button isn’t all Tesla drivers have to do. The button doesn’t grant access to the new version automatically. Tesla judges driving behavior for a week before the upgrade is activated.\n\nRegulators have expressed nervousness about the launch and calling a safety feature a “beta” version. But beyond that, nothing much has happened. Investors can expect more to happen in coming weeks, including videos, tweets, and stories about Tesla’s full self-driving software and what regulators are thinking about it.\nTesla hasn’t responded to multiple requests for comment about FSD, but the company has said in many public forums that it believes FSD software makes its vehicles safer to drive.\nTesla FSD is a so-called Level 2 autonomous-driving system. Level 2 means drivers need to watch the road at all times. The new version is the same kind of system. It makes driving easier and more convenient, but there are no systems that allow drivers to stop paying attention to driving altogether. That’s what Tesla, and the rest of the auto industry, wants to achieve years down the road.\n\nTesla stock, for its part, is at its highest level in months. Shares closed up 2.8% at $774.49 on Friday, and are now up about 10% in 2021, trailing just behind comparable gains of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. But all those gains have come recently. Tesla stock is up 15% over the past three months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":893120118,"gmtCreate":1628248037534,"gmtModify":1633752272974,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hang in there.","listText":"Hang in there.","text":"Hang in there.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893120118","repostId":"1135651416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808707477,"gmtCreate":1627609026299,"gmtModify":1633757823230,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pinterest is boring","listText":"Pinterest is boring","text":"Pinterest is boring","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808707477","repostId":"1154593458","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808365315,"gmtCreate":1627558469737,"gmtModify":1633763826892,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Getting unpopular","listText":"Getting unpopular","text":"Getting unpopular","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808365315","repostId":"1160646302","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808362372,"gmtCreate":1627558392596,"gmtModify":1633763827540,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dump pp, too many complaints.","listText":"Dump pp, too many complaints.","text":"Dump pp, too many complaints.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808362372","repostId":"1157796712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157796712","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627546052,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157796712?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157796712","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PayPal stock tumbled nearly 5% after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but","content":"<p>PayPal stock tumbled&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but offered below-consensus guidance.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f8c2f03bbb34acf38cda8e22bd97803\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"641\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>PayPal reported an adjusted profit of $1.15 a share, beating forecasts for $1.13 on sales of $6.24 billion, missing analyst estimates for $6.27 billion. PayPal also said it would earn $1.07 a share in the third quarter, below estimates for $1.14, while sales guidance of $6.15 to $6.25 billion came in shy of expectations for $6.43</p>\n<p>“3Q outlook will drive the narrative, with revenues guided ~3.5% below Street ests. and EPS ~6% below,” writes Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams.</p>\n<p>PayPal highlighted the impact of&nbsp;eBay‘s transition to a “managed payments” system as one source of slower growth. TPV growth was 40% with eBay, 48% without out, while sales grew at a 32% clip without eBay versus 19% with.</p>\n<p>“We’re now absorbing more pressure from eBay than we had previously expected,” CFO John Rainey said on a call with analysts. He added that the company is “planning for eBay’s drag on our revenue growth to be greater than previously expected. The drag will amount to 8.5 percentage points of growth on third quarter revenue, shaving off $465 million and taking revenue to an estimated $6.2 billion.</p>\n<p>Mizuho Securities’ Dan Dolev urged investors to take the longer view. While it’s true that the “Covid honeymoon may be over,” he wrote, referring to PayPal’s phenomenal growth in 2020, he highlighted several positives in the earnings report, including stronger engagement with PayPal’s core apps and momentum in new initiatives like “buy now pay later,” which saw 49% quarterly volume growth in transactions.</p>\n<p>He also points out that PayPal’s boosted its total payment volume guidance from 30% to 33%-35% in the third quarter, 10 points higher than prepandemic levels. “This suggests strong e-commerce trends and PYPL’s share gains are here to stay,” he wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>But expectations for the stock may be tough to meet at this juncture, and there were signs of pressure that may be building.</p>\n<p>PayPal, for instance, reported that it’s continuing to see weakness in the “take rate” it charges merchants, referring to the payments they make to PayPal for its services. The rate fell from 2.21% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 2.11% in the first quarter and 2.01% in the second quarter. PayPal attributed the decline to lower eBay volumes and declines in foreign exchange fees, but it may also indicate that PayPal is facing more competitive pricing pressure.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-29 16:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>PayPal stock tumbled&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but offered below-consensus guidance.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f8c2f03bbb34acf38cda8e22bd97803\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"641\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>PayPal reported an adjusted profit of $1.15 a share, beating forecasts for $1.13 on sales of $6.24 billion, missing analyst estimates for $6.27 billion. PayPal also said it would earn $1.07 a share in the third quarter, below estimates for $1.14, while sales guidance of $6.15 to $6.25 billion came in shy of expectations for $6.43</p>\n<p>“3Q outlook will drive the narrative, with revenues guided ~3.5% below Street ests. and EPS ~6% below,” writes Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams.</p>\n<p>PayPal highlighted the impact of&nbsp;eBay‘s transition to a “managed payments” system as one source of slower growth. TPV growth was 40% with eBay, 48% without out, while sales grew at a 32% clip without eBay versus 19% with.</p>\n<p>“We’re now absorbing more pressure from eBay than we had previously expected,” CFO John Rainey said on a call with analysts. He added that the company is “planning for eBay’s drag on our revenue growth to be greater than previously expected. The drag will amount to 8.5 percentage points of growth on third quarter revenue, shaving off $465 million and taking revenue to an estimated $6.2 billion.</p>\n<p>Mizuho Securities’ Dan Dolev urged investors to take the longer view. While it’s true that the “Covid honeymoon may be over,” he wrote, referring to PayPal’s phenomenal growth in 2020, he highlighted several positives in the earnings report, including stronger engagement with PayPal’s core apps and momentum in new initiatives like “buy now pay later,” which saw 49% quarterly volume growth in transactions.</p>\n<p>He also points out that PayPal’s boosted its total payment volume guidance from 30% to 33%-35% in the third quarter, 10 points higher than prepandemic levels. “This suggests strong e-commerce trends and PYPL’s share gains are here to stay,” he wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>But expectations for the stock may be tough to meet at this juncture, and there were signs of pressure that may be building.</p>\n<p>PayPal, for instance, reported that it’s continuing to see weakness in the “take rate” it charges merchants, referring to the payments they make to PayPal for its services. The rate fell from 2.21% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 2.11% in the first quarter and 2.01% in the second quarter. PayPal attributed the decline to lower eBay volumes and declines in foreign exchange fees, but it may also indicate that PayPal is facing more competitive pricing pressure.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157796712","content_text":"PayPal stock tumbled nearly 5% after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but offered below-consensus guidance.\n\nPayPal reported an adjusted profit of $1.15 a share, beating forecasts for $1.13 on sales of $6.24 billion, missing analyst estimates for $6.27 billion. PayPal also said it would earn $1.07 a share in the third quarter, below estimates for $1.14, while sales guidance of $6.15 to $6.25 billion came in shy of expectations for $6.43\n“3Q outlook will drive the narrative, with revenues guided ~3.5% below Street ests. and EPS ~6% below,” writes Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams.\nPayPal highlighted the impact of eBay‘s transition to a “managed payments” system as one source of slower growth. TPV growth was 40% with eBay, 48% without out, while sales grew at a 32% clip without eBay versus 19% with.\n“We’re now absorbing more pressure from eBay than we had previously expected,” CFO John Rainey said on a call with analysts. He added that the company is “planning for eBay’s drag on our revenue growth to be greater than previously expected. The drag will amount to 8.5 percentage points of growth on third quarter revenue, shaving off $465 million and taking revenue to an estimated $6.2 billion.\nMizuho Securities’ Dan Dolev urged investors to take the longer view. While it’s true that the “Covid honeymoon may be over,” he wrote, referring to PayPal’s phenomenal growth in 2020, he highlighted several positives in the earnings report, including stronger engagement with PayPal’s core apps and momentum in new initiatives like “buy now pay later,” which saw 49% quarterly volume growth in transactions.\nHe also points out that PayPal’s boosted its total payment volume guidance from 30% to 33%-35% in the third quarter, 10 points higher than prepandemic levels. “This suggests strong e-commerce trends and PYPL’s share gains are here to stay,” he wrote in a note.\nBut expectations for the stock may be tough to meet at this juncture, and there were signs of pressure that may be building.\nPayPal, for instance, reported that it’s continuing to see weakness in the “take rate” it charges merchants, referring to the payments they make to PayPal for its services. The rate fell from 2.21% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 2.11% in the first quarter and 2.01% in the second quarter. PayPal attributed the decline to lower eBay volumes and declines in foreign exchange fees, but it may also indicate that PayPal is facing more competitive pricing pressure.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801100375,"gmtCreate":1627485514497,"gmtModify":1633764520751,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bye-bye facebook","listText":"Bye-bye facebook","text":"Bye-bye facebook","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801100375","repostId":"1179923360","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801372498,"gmtCreate":1627485335714,"gmtModify":1633764523387,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inari. Promising","listText":"Inari. Promising","text":"Inari. Promising","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801372498","repostId":"2154236859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801376343,"gmtCreate":1627485247982,"gmtModify":1631885102675,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to try cheap coffee.","listText":"Time to try cheap coffee.","text":"Time to try cheap coffee.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801376343","repostId":"1112939298","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112939298","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627484367,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112939298?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112939298","media":"Barrons","summary":"Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s clo","content":"<p>Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s close.</p>\n<p>Starbucks&nbsp;reported non-GAAP per-share earnings of $1.01 on $7.5 billion in revenue, a record. Analysts had forecast earnings per share of $0.77 on $7.3 billion in revenue.</p>\n<p>Despite beating consensus revenue and earnings targets, Starbucks stock is down 3%, to $122.30.</p>\n<p>Driven by an 84% increase in same-store sales in America, the global coffee giant reported an overall increase in comparable-store sales of 73% relative to the third quarter last year. Indeed, brand loyalty remains strong, especially in the U.S. where 90-day active&nbsp;members of the Starbucks Rewards loyalty program&nbsp;increased 48% year-over-year and now account for 51% of all spending in U.S. stores–up 8% from pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>In a statement, Starbucks CEO Kevin Johnson told investors “Starbucks delivered record performance in the third quarter, demonstrating powerful momentum beyond recovery. Our ability to move with speed and agility and to be out in front of shifting customer behaviors has helped further differentiate Starbucks, positioning us well for this moment.”</p>\n<p>The strong results have prompted management to raise the company’s 2021 earnings per share outlook from $2.90-$3.00 to $3.20-$3.25.</p>\n<p>During the earnings call, analysts were keen to hear about management’s outlook on China, as they expressed concerns about consumer pushback against U.S. brands in the region. However, Johnson was quick to dispel the concerns, commenting that there hasn’t been a&nbsp;geopolitical event in China&nbsp;that has impacted them in the past couple of years, and he doesn’t foresee that happening as long as they continue taking care of their partners and customers.</p>\n<p>While fears about&nbsp;rising labor costs&nbsp;did not materialize since operating margins were higher than last quarter and the corresponding period last year, analysts were expecting better performance in international markets. Cowen analyst, Andrew Charles, stated that Starbucks’s 41% change in comparable-store sales relative to the same period last year fell short of the 62% growth he anticipated to see. Nonetheless, the impressive numbers from the U.S. were enough for Charles to raise his price target from $126 to $135. Likewise, Stifel analyst Chris O’Cull had expected international comparable store sales to increase 66%. O’Cull further noted that management offered guidance, which implied roughly flat two-year international comparable store sales.</p>\n<p>The question to investors remains whether strong U.S. growth is enough to keep on offsetting slower international growth and push the stock higher.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-28 22:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/starbucks-earnings-stock-51627419105?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s close.\nStarbucks reported non-GAAP per-share earnings of $1.01 on $7.5 billion in revenue, a record. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/starbucks-earnings-stock-51627419105?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/starbucks-earnings-stock-51627419105?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112939298","content_text":"Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s close.\nStarbucks reported non-GAAP per-share earnings of $1.01 on $7.5 billion in revenue, a record. Analysts had forecast earnings per share of $0.77 on $7.3 billion in revenue.\nDespite beating consensus revenue and earnings targets, Starbucks stock is down 3%, to $122.30.\nDriven by an 84% increase in same-store sales in America, the global coffee giant reported an overall increase in comparable-store sales of 73% relative to the third quarter last year. Indeed, brand loyalty remains strong, especially in the U.S. where 90-day active members of the Starbucks Rewards loyalty program increased 48% year-over-year and now account for 51% of all spending in U.S. stores–up 8% from pre-pandemic levels.\nIn a statement, Starbucks CEO Kevin Johnson told investors “Starbucks delivered record performance in the third quarter, demonstrating powerful momentum beyond recovery. Our ability to move with speed and agility and to be out in front of shifting customer behaviors has helped further differentiate Starbucks, positioning us well for this moment.”\nThe strong results have prompted management to raise the company’s 2021 earnings per share outlook from $2.90-$3.00 to $3.20-$3.25.\nDuring the earnings call, analysts were keen to hear about management’s outlook on China, as they expressed concerns about consumer pushback against U.S. brands in the region. However, Johnson was quick to dispel the concerns, commenting that there hasn’t been a geopolitical event in China that has impacted them in the past couple of years, and he doesn’t foresee that happening as long as they continue taking care of their partners and customers.\nWhile fears about rising labor costs did not materialize since operating margins were higher than last quarter and the corresponding period last year, analysts were expecting better performance in international markets. Cowen analyst, Andrew Charles, stated that Starbucks’s 41% change in comparable-store sales relative to the same period last year fell short of the 62% growth he anticipated to see. Nonetheless, the impressive numbers from the U.S. were enough for Charles to raise his price target from $126 to $135. Likewise, Stifel analyst Chris O’Cull had expected international comparable store sales to increase 66%. O’Cull further noted that management offered guidance, which implied roughly flat two-year international comparable store sales.\nThe question to investors remains whether strong U.S. growth is enough to keep on offsetting slower international growth and push the stock higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809434568,"gmtCreate":1627386178054,"gmtModify":1633765521321,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yet to try.","listText":"Yet to try.","text":"Yet to try.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809434568","repostId":"1118738178","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118738178","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627385338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118738178?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Snap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118738178","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSnap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Snap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed but, looking out to its Q3 guidance, its prospects remain very attractive.</li>\n <li>Snap's ARPU in North America was the highlight of its Q2 results.</li>\n <li>Snap is not in the bargain basement. Hence, investors looking to buy at this stage will have to take a buy-and-hold investment strategy.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce123df394d362ecf57640f1621162e3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Geber86/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Snap (SNAP) reported yet another impressive result and Q3 2021 guidance. And as we dig into its results, there are no obvious blemishes in the report. Snap continues growing its top line revenues at very strong rates, while its bottom line EBITDA growth is even more impressive.</p>\n<p>At 29x forward sales, the stock is not cheap. And investors considering this investment opportunity will have to adopt a very&nbsp;<i>strong-willed buy-and-hold investment strategy</i>. Because at this valuation, the stock is already pricing in a lot of future growth.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Growth Rates Are Incredibly Strong</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72843b7d7a6cc562b484e25eac7cacbe\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: author's calculations; **high-end guidance</span></p>\n<p>Q2 2021 was always going to look strong given just how weak the advertising industry found itself in the same period a year ago. Thus, Snap shareholders were clearly expecting a lot. But to see Snap come out with more than triple digits y/y revenue growth rates? That was particularly stunning.</p>\n<p>Previously, I had noted that investors should look beyond&nbsp;Snap's maturing MAUs in North America, and look towards its International opportunity as its next wave of growth opportunities.</p>\n<p>However, even though its overseas revenues were strong, the real driver of Snap's returns come from the pricing power of its North America users:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95aca2444a479c7dc060c03d6bf0cec3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>In the table above, I've stripped out all the other details for us to focus our discussions around Snap's Average Revenue Per User (\"ARPU\"). As you can see, pricing in North America was the real driver of revenues, with ARPU up 116% y/y. Why is this important?</p>\n<p>It's important because it shows that, even on the back of just 6% y/y growth in DAUs in North America, advertisers are eager to reach out and connect with Snap's young demographic and pay up for that opportunity.</p>\n<p><b>Could Spectacles be the Next Wave of Growth for Snap?</b></p>\n<p>For some time, Snap has been making investors aware that it's moving beyond just a social media platform and that it's now looking to take its Augmented Reality technology and deploy it into hardware.</p>\n<p>At first, this was met with investor skepticism. After all, Snap was taking an asset-light and lucrative business and pivoting towards a hardware revenue business, with lower margins.</p>\n<p>Indeed, it didn't make much sense why Snap would make such a move. Particularly given that Snap had, without any hardware investment, grown very successfully and built the necessary technology to spring off other manufacturers' capital investment into a business with nearly $4.5 billion in run-rate revenues as of Q4 2021.</p>\n<p>Having said that, Snap asserts that by further developing its&nbsp;Spectacles business unit, users can not only create more immersive content, but they will have access to other uses as well.</p>\n<p>For instance, by using Spectacles, users can use AR try-on technology to emulate a physical shopping experience and get clothing with the right fit and the right size, to reduce the need for online returns.</p>\n<p>The underlying idea is to increase user engagement and build an increased digital inventory of the users' life journeys. Other uses could be to increase the personalization of an online shopping experience.</p>\n<p>This is something that is likely to resonate strongly with Snap's young demographic and offers Snap an opportunity to differentiate itself against other players in this space.</p>\n<p>While Snap is quick to note that this is not yet a fully-fledged solution, it's nevertheless a way to improve shoppers' online experience by making visualization personal and as close to real as possible.</p>\n<p><i>Hence, the question investors have to answer is whether this is all already priced in or if there's still more upside potential?</i></p>\n<p><b>SNAP Stock Valuation: Not Cheap</b></p>\n<p>Snap is valued at approximately 29x forward sales. If we compare with Pinterest (PINS), which trades at approximately 19x forward sales, this reminds readers that a lot of excitement, optimism, expectation, and positive sentiment is evidently priced into Snap.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, shareholders may be quick to remark that even if Snap is richly valued, high quality and rapidly growing businesses rarely trade in the bargain basement -- particularly towards the end of a very long bull market.</p>\n<p>Moreover, keep in mind that Snap is now signaling to investors that its multi-year investments are now paying fruit and this now marks the third quarter of adjusted EBITDA profitability over its trailing twelve months.</p>\n<p>Hence, if Snap's Q2 2021's 116% top line appears strong and caught many headlines, then Snap's adjusted EBITDA growth of more than 200% looks even better.</p>\n<p>What's more, as we look out to its guidance next quarter, its bottom line EBITDA is expected to once again posttriple digits EBITDA growth y/y.</p>\n<p><b>Premortem (Investment Risks)</b></p>\n<p>Arguably, the single bearish consideration is that Snap's valuation doesn't offer investors much room for error. Not only does it trade more expensively than other social platforms, but it's also clearly a richly valued stock.</p>\n<p>To this end, we see that investors pricing a lot of optimism that Snap will continue to positively surprise investors. Consequently, any mishaps during any quarter, when a stock is so richly priced, leaves the stock primed for a meaningful sell-off.</p>\n<p>Next, the bulk of investor thesis is to a large extent contingent on Snap's DAUs continuing to steadily increase. What's more, Q2 2021 marked just a mid-single-digit increase in DAUs in North America.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cab82b3b3570378165d43957bf0e925c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"65\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>If we look back to H1 2019 (pre-COVID), Snap's DAU growth was approximately compared with the same period in the prior year. This is an undeniable reminder that Snap's DAU growth had previously flattened and that it's entirely possible that it may flatten down once again. If that were to happen, investors would not regard Snap as a high growth name, and the number of investors that would be willing to pay for the stock would decrease.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line: Is SNAP A Good Buy?</b></p>\n<p>Even though Snap is not a cheap stock, Snap continues to demonstrate that its revenue growth rates remain incredibly strong.</p>\n<p>While there's a lot to like in Snap's investment, I will sit out this opportunity as I prefer to invest in companies where the outlook is not as rosy, but the valuation is dramatically cheaper.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSnap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 19:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441412-snap-one-of-fastest-growing-social-media-companies><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nSnap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed but, looking out to its Q3 guidance, its prospects remain very attractive.\nSnap's ARPU in North ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441412-snap-one-of-fastest-growing-social-media-companies\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441412-snap-one-of-fastest-growing-social-media-companies","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118738178","content_text":"Summary\n\nSnap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed but, looking out to its Q3 guidance, its prospects remain very attractive.\nSnap's ARPU in North America was the highlight of its Q2 results.\nSnap is not in the bargain basement. Hence, investors looking to buy at this stage will have to take a buy-and-hold investment strategy.\n\nGeber86/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nSnap (SNAP) reported yet another impressive result and Q3 2021 guidance. And as we dig into its results, there are no obvious blemishes in the report. Snap continues growing its top line revenues at very strong rates, while its bottom line EBITDA growth is even more impressive.\nAt 29x forward sales, the stock is not cheap. And investors considering this investment opportunity will have to adopt a very strong-willed buy-and-hold investment strategy. Because at this valuation, the stock is already pricing in a lot of future growth.\nRevenue Growth Rates Are Incredibly Strong\nSource: author's calculations; **high-end guidance\nQ2 2021 was always going to look strong given just how weak the advertising industry found itself in the same period a year ago. Thus, Snap shareholders were clearly expecting a lot. But to see Snap come out with more than triple digits y/y revenue growth rates? That was particularly stunning.\nPreviously, I had noted that investors should look beyond Snap's maturing MAUs in North America, and look towards its International opportunity as its next wave of growth opportunities.\nHowever, even though its overseas revenues were strong, the real driver of Snap's returns come from the pricing power of its North America users:\n\nIn the table above, I've stripped out all the other details for us to focus our discussions around Snap's Average Revenue Per User (\"ARPU\"). As you can see, pricing in North America was the real driver of revenues, with ARPU up 116% y/y. Why is this important?\nIt's important because it shows that, even on the back of just 6% y/y growth in DAUs in North America, advertisers are eager to reach out and connect with Snap's young demographic and pay up for that opportunity.\nCould Spectacles be the Next Wave of Growth for Snap?\nFor some time, Snap has been making investors aware that it's moving beyond just a social media platform and that it's now looking to take its Augmented Reality technology and deploy it into hardware.\nAt first, this was met with investor skepticism. After all, Snap was taking an asset-light and lucrative business and pivoting towards a hardware revenue business, with lower margins.\nIndeed, it didn't make much sense why Snap would make such a move. Particularly given that Snap had, without any hardware investment, grown very successfully and built the necessary technology to spring off other manufacturers' capital investment into a business with nearly $4.5 billion in run-rate revenues as of Q4 2021.\nHaving said that, Snap asserts that by further developing its Spectacles business unit, users can not only create more immersive content, but they will have access to other uses as well.\nFor instance, by using Spectacles, users can use AR try-on technology to emulate a physical shopping experience and get clothing with the right fit and the right size, to reduce the need for online returns.\nThe underlying idea is to increase user engagement and build an increased digital inventory of the users' life journeys. Other uses could be to increase the personalization of an online shopping experience.\nThis is something that is likely to resonate strongly with Snap's young demographic and offers Snap an opportunity to differentiate itself against other players in this space.\nWhile Snap is quick to note that this is not yet a fully-fledged solution, it's nevertheless a way to improve shoppers' online experience by making visualization personal and as close to real as possible.\nHence, the question investors have to answer is whether this is all already priced in or if there's still more upside potential?\nSNAP Stock Valuation: Not Cheap\nSnap is valued at approximately 29x forward sales. If we compare with Pinterest (PINS), which trades at approximately 19x forward sales, this reminds readers that a lot of excitement, optimism, expectation, and positive sentiment is evidently priced into Snap.\nOn the other hand, shareholders may be quick to remark that even if Snap is richly valued, high quality and rapidly growing businesses rarely trade in the bargain basement -- particularly towards the end of a very long bull market.\nMoreover, keep in mind that Snap is now signaling to investors that its multi-year investments are now paying fruit and this now marks the third quarter of adjusted EBITDA profitability over its trailing twelve months.\nHence, if Snap's Q2 2021's 116% top line appears strong and caught many headlines, then Snap's adjusted EBITDA growth of more than 200% looks even better.\nWhat's more, as we look out to its guidance next quarter, its bottom line EBITDA is expected to once again posttriple digits EBITDA growth y/y.\nPremortem (Investment Risks)\nArguably, the single bearish consideration is that Snap's valuation doesn't offer investors much room for error. Not only does it trade more expensively than other social platforms, but it's also clearly a richly valued stock.\nTo this end, we see that investors pricing a lot of optimism that Snap will continue to positively surprise investors. Consequently, any mishaps during any quarter, when a stock is so richly priced, leaves the stock primed for a meaningful sell-off.\nNext, the bulk of investor thesis is to a large extent contingent on Snap's DAUs continuing to steadily increase. What's more, Q2 2021 marked just a mid-single-digit increase in DAUs in North America.\n\nIf we look back to H1 2019 (pre-COVID), Snap's DAU growth was approximately compared with the same period in the prior year. This is an undeniable reminder that Snap's DAU growth had previously flattened and that it's entirely possible that it may flatten down once again. If that were to happen, investors would not regard Snap as a high growth name, and the number of investors that would be willing to pay for the stock would decrease.\nThe Bottom Line: Is SNAP A Good Buy?\nEven though Snap is not a cheap stock, Snap continues to demonstrate that its revenue growth rates remain incredibly strong.\nWhile there's a lot to like in Snap's investment, I will sit out this opportunity as I prefer to invest in companies where the outlook is not as rosy, but the valuation is dramatically cheaper.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809435186,"gmtCreate":1627386113245,"gmtModify":1633765522126,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moral actions will cause upheaval only in the short term.&nbsp;","listText":"Moral actions will cause upheaval only in the short term.&nbsp;","text":"Moral actions will cause upheaval only in the short term.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809435186","repostId":"2154813991","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800614388,"gmtCreate":1627297477644,"gmtModify":1633766415858,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whose selling","listText":"Whose selling","text":"Whose selling","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800614388","repostId":"1123832536","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800611028,"gmtCreate":1627297137464,"gmtModify":1633766418449,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Greed foot in the door","listText":"Greed foot in the door","text":"Greed foot in the door","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800611028","repostId":"1175108896","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175108896","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627290545,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175108896?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 17:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Could Become A Subscription Company","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175108896","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTesla is indicating a movement toward an Adobe-like subscription business model, which has ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Tesla is indicating a movement toward an Adobe-like subscription business model, which has been shown to skyrocket revenue.</li>\n <li>In this way, Tesla is again a first-mover and will set the standards for the industry in the coming decades.</li>\n <li>Technically, the recent movement is a rather normal pattern and tends to lead to more gains.</li>\n <li>I recommend TSLA longs add a credit strategy to their position before earnings, both for protection and extra income.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0b0473d75b9ec97c9c4ae413f111f4f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>I last wrote about Tesla(TSLA) in 2019, when I recommended a buy on the pullback. Said pullback was a pullback to $47, a number TSLA will likely never hit again. These days, TSLA flirts with numbers over $1,000, and with good reason.</p>\n<p>And today, TSLA has yet another reason to justify its lofty price. The company has unveiled a&nbsp;full self driving(FSD) subscription. This is a step in the right direction.</p>\n<p><b>Subscriptions: The Ultimate Profit Model</b></p>\n<p>Software – and more broadly, tech – has been moving to subscription-based business models, which have proved themselves to be vastly superior to the old way of doing business (selling a product outright) in terms of profitability. Whereas once we paid a one-time fee for a product such as Adobe (ADBE) Photoshop, now we are almost certainly paying much more than that one-time payment over the product’s lifetime. It was only a matter of time for the slower-than-tech automotive industry to understand that subscription business models can siphon much more money from the customer than the traditional model, and I’m not surprised that Tesla, often regarded more as a tech company than an automobile company, is to be the first company employing this strategy.</p>\n<p>I believe Pierre Ferragu understands this. From SA’s above-linked news on the FSD subscription:</p>\n<blockquote>\n One of the biggest bulls on the FSD upside for Tesla is New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu. He thinks Tesla will make roughly $7K in profit from selling a car and almost $23K from selling FSD subscriptions on the same vehicle by 2030. If Ferragu is correct, the entire industry is expected to move toward an autonomous subscription service model.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Ferragu’s predictions match my thoughts on the subscription-based business model. Tesla’s revenue and subscription paradigm could easily become Adobe-like, where the vast majority of the company’s revenue stems from subscriptions. (Seemy recent article on Adobefor more on how this business model works.) The potential of this business model’s impact on revenue is easily seen via Adobe’s results (though many other companies are seeing the same sort of results):</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7890fd8becf42b56654cfdcdadfd97de\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"427\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Of course, the stock sees results too:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32e86fdc239f4d4e1f3dea8a10634bf4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Importantly, Ferragu notes that the whole industry will move toward the subscription business model, a sentiment I agree with. Some might argue that the automotive industry is not the software industry and that it is better to provide a quality product at a fair price when it comes to automobiles. But history would show this to be incorrect: Look at how General Motors (GM) pushed even Ford (F), a company that built itself on creating long-lasting, quality cars, into the planned obsolescence paradigm (yearly design upgrades for each product line) that the industry has fallen into.</p>\n<p>In the future, Tesla’s bulk revenue should come not from car sales but from subscriptions. This is the new economy for most industries moving forward, and Tesla will be the pioneer of this business model in the automotive industry. We’ve seen how this has played out to the benefit of profitability in software and film (streaming services such as Disney and Netflix), and it should play out similarly for automobiles.</p>\n<p>Consider this: Tesla sold around 500K cars in 2020. With the Berlin, Shanghai, and Texas plants in action this year, Tesla should be producing an extra 300K cars in 2021. At this rate, Tesla will be over the 1M per year mark (likely around 1.5M) before the end of 2022. Assume only half of the produced cars per year end up with a FSD subscription, then, a la Adobe, subscription revenue can be seen quickly approaching equality with the revenue from the traditional model – note that this model is highly conservative as it ignores all cars produced prior to 2020:</p>\n<p><b>Revenue from FSD Subscriptions Per Year</b></p>\n<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/707addf56e3e845f8eb7727ba378c382\" tg-width=\"903\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>It is difficult to tell when subscription revenue will surpass vehicle sales revenue because of numerous unknowns in the model, such as the percentage of Tesla drivers subscribing to FSD and the success of the 2023 Model 3 in penetrating the “affordable” car market. However, the rate at which subscription revenue grows is geometric-to-exponential, will be a double-digit percentage within the next couple years and is likely to be the majority of Tesla’s revenue stream by the end of the decade.</p>\n<p>Tesla is taking the right step here, and we could very well see the company overcome hurdles that have plagued the car industry for decades. If so, we could see lower earnings variance in the cases of political policies targeting the automotive industry. For instance, revenue from the FSD subscription could remain unscathed by new tariffs and environmental policies, two sources of regulation that typically target cars themselves, not the software being employed. This is still speculative, but thus far we have no reason to suspect governments will specifically target FSD subscriptions in their carbon-reduction regulations or in tax policies.</p>\n<p>Once successfully rolled out, the FSD subscription is likely to become a source of reliable income for the company. As subscription revenue grows to where it exceeds sales revenue, investors will increasingly see Tesla as a safe investment. IV on TSLA should drop as subscription revenue outpaces traditional sales revenue, and drops in IV tend to correlate with stock moving upward.</p>\n<p>From both a fundamental perspective and a stock perspective, the FSD subscription announcement is highly bullish. I see this as a reason for TSLA bulls to buy on any significant pullback.</p>\n<p>Yet we must admit, as with all new business models, investors have inherent risk. While the subscription model is extremely profitable itself, whether Tesla drivers will accept the FSD subscription remains a key factor in successfully employing the model. While I believe – due to its track record – Tesla will eventually work out the technical kinks in its self-driving feature, I can see two big reasons that FSD could flop.</p>\n<p>First, Tesla could fail to bring FSD to level 5, the level promised, perhaps leading to a class-action lawsuit from subscribers. The technical aspects of FSD are beyond my expertise, though my background in AI does tell me that achieving level 5 is a monumental effort. Musk has successfully pulled off monumental efforts in the past, but perhaps those with more AI knowledge than I have good reason to believe that this is the hill upon which Musk will die.</p>\n<p>Second, the price point might be too high. For $200 per month, you could lease a brand new Honda – or you can enter Tesla’s work-in-progress FSD as a sort of beta tester. As we enter 2023, which should be a big year for Tesla with its $25,000 Model 2s allowing the company access to a new customer demographic, we need to reconsider whether a $200-per-month subscription will be appealing to the general Tesla user base. An overpriced subscription model can be easily fixed in the long run and should thus not be seen as a huge risk to the bull thesis, but too high of a price can prevent that initial market penetration Tesla needs in pioneering the subscription-as-a-model implementation in the automobile industry.</p>\n<p><b>Technical Bullishness</b></p>\n<p>From a technical perspective, too, TSLA is looking bullish. While often cited as being incredibly overpriced relative to the past couple years, TSLA is not making movements that are uncharacteristic of the stock. The recent movement pattern actually looks quite a bit like the one in early 2020, right before the huge rally:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba282cb205e46e0448e0f01c7d8ee3f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo)</span></p>\n<p>Once you control for trading days, the movement looks relatively conservative. It’s about the median movement for a given quarter:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1df19786e20b710470c561208d69d7c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo)</span></p>\n<p>If you extrapolate this to 200 trading days, you will find that TSLA tends to move upward another 10% with rather average volatility. The 2020 movement is an outlier in magnitude only; the pattern itself does not differ all that much from TSLA’s usual yearly movements:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a41d91691e32e1243015029fa67fa9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"420\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo)</span></p>\n<p>With TSLA heading into earnings, an impressive earnings report could give us a similar upward movement. Of course, playing TSLA over earnings is quite risky, which is why we do not typically play TSLA over earnings in my earnings-trading group (Exposing Earnings). Thus, I recommend those interested in TSLA buy on the back of the FSD subscription news, as this is a bullish fundamental catalyst.</p>\n<p><b>Options Strategy</b></p>\n<p>If you are playing options, however, you might wish to wait until after earnings so that you are not exposed to a volatility crush (option IV falling rapidly and thus decreasing the values of long options, as long options are also long vega). If you want to take an options strategy to hedge earnings risk, though, here is what I recommend. I’m assuming you’re holding 100 shares of TSLA, making this a hedge with extra profitability on the long side:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Sell 1x Jul 30 $700 put</li>\n <li>Buy 2x Jul 30 $650 puts</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Net credit: $7000</p>\n<p>This is a volatile strategy, meaning it allows us to profit on either side. The major risk is if TSLA consolidates, trading strictly between $650 and $700 over the rest of July. Otherwise, we stand to profit on either side, either by the net long puts on the downside or via the stock plus credit earned from the strategy on the long side.</p>\n<p>Even if you are confident TSLA will not sell off on earnings, this strategy works to your benefit by bringing in an extra $7000 in profit per 100 shares. You have the added value of downside protection, too. Let me know what you think in the comments section.</p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Tesla’s addition of an FSD subscription greatly improves the company’s maximum revenue potential. Subscription services have proved themselves to quickly and drastically change the primary source of revenue for a company and could easily turn Tesla into a software company more so than an automotive company. Being so, we need to consider the possibility that Tesla entering the EV market was just the beginning for this company and that the financial future of Tesla is in its FSD service. If so, we are undervaluing this company, as we are using an EV lens to judge a software company.</p>\n<p>I am highly bullish on TSLA in the long term due to the FSD prospects. In the short term, I believe the technicals are implying an upward swing. With earnings on Jul 26, you might want to hedge the downside simply due to TSLA’s volatility. But overall, being long on TSLA at this price is likely a profitable decision even with a short-term pullback.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Could Become A Subscription Company</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Could Become A Subscription Company\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 17:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441324-tesla-could-become-a-subscription-company><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nTesla is indicating a movement toward an Adobe-like subscription business model, which has been shown to skyrocket revenue.\nIn this way, Tesla is again a first-mover and will set the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441324-tesla-could-become-a-subscription-company\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441324-tesla-could-become-a-subscription-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175108896","content_text":"Summary\n\nTesla is indicating a movement toward an Adobe-like subscription business model, which has been shown to skyrocket revenue.\nIn this way, Tesla is again a first-mover and will set the standards for the industry in the coming decades.\nTechnically, the recent movement is a rather normal pattern and tends to lead to more gains.\nI recommend TSLA longs add a credit strategy to their position before earnings, both for protection and extra income.\n\njetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nI last wrote about Tesla(TSLA) in 2019, when I recommended a buy on the pullback. Said pullback was a pullback to $47, a number TSLA will likely never hit again. These days, TSLA flirts with numbers over $1,000, and with good reason.\nAnd today, TSLA has yet another reason to justify its lofty price. The company has unveiled a full self driving(FSD) subscription. This is a step in the right direction.\nSubscriptions: The Ultimate Profit Model\nSoftware – and more broadly, tech – has been moving to subscription-based business models, which have proved themselves to be vastly superior to the old way of doing business (selling a product outright) in terms of profitability. Whereas once we paid a one-time fee for a product such as Adobe (ADBE) Photoshop, now we are almost certainly paying much more than that one-time payment over the product’s lifetime. It was only a matter of time for the slower-than-tech automotive industry to understand that subscription business models can siphon much more money from the customer than the traditional model, and I’m not surprised that Tesla, often regarded more as a tech company than an automobile company, is to be the first company employing this strategy.\nI believe Pierre Ferragu understands this. From SA’s above-linked news on the FSD subscription:\n\n One of the biggest bulls on the FSD upside for Tesla is New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu. He thinks Tesla will make roughly $7K in profit from selling a car and almost $23K from selling FSD subscriptions on the same vehicle by 2030. If Ferragu is correct, the entire industry is expected to move toward an autonomous subscription service model.”\n\nFerragu’s predictions match my thoughts on the subscription-based business model. Tesla’s revenue and subscription paradigm could easily become Adobe-like, where the vast majority of the company’s revenue stems from subscriptions. (Seemy recent article on Adobefor more on how this business model works.) The potential of this business model’s impact on revenue is easily seen via Adobe’s results (though many other companies are seeing the same sort of results):\n\nOf course, the stock sees results too:\n\nImportantly, Ferragu notes that the whole industry will move toward the subscription business model, a sentiment I agree with. Some might argue that the automotive industry is not the software industry and that it is better to provide a quality product at a fair price when it comes to automobiles. But history would show this to be incorrect: Look at how General Motors (GM) pushed even Ford (F), a company that built itself on creating long-lasting, quality cars, into the planned obsolescence paradigm (yearly design upgrades for each product line) that the industry has fallen into.\nIn the future, Tesla’s bulk revenue should come not from car sales but from subscriptions. This is the new economy for most industries moving forward, and Tesla will be the pioneer of this business model in the automotive industry. We’ve seen how this has played out to the benefit of profitability in software and film (streaming services such as Disney and Netflix), and it should play out similarly for automobiles.\nConsider this: Tesla sold around 500K cars in 2020. With the Berlin, Shanghai, and Texas plants in action this year, Tesla should be producing an extra 300K cars in 2021. At this rate, Tesla will be over the 1M per year mark (likely around 1.5M) before the end of 2022. Assume only half of the produced cars per year end up with a FSD subscription, then, a la Adobe, subscription revenue can be seen quickly approaching equality with the revenue from the traditional model – note that this model is highly conservative as it ignores all cars produced prior to 2020:\nRevenue from FSD Subscriptions Per Year\n\n\n\n\n\n\nIt is difficult to tell when subscription revenue will surpass vehicle sales revenue because of numerous unknowns in the model, such as the percentage of Tesla drivers subscribing to FSD and the success of the 2023 Model 3 in penetrating the “affordable” car market. However, the rate at which subscription revenue grows is geometric-to-exponential, will be a double-digit percentage within the next couple years and is likely to be the majority of Tesla’s revenue stream by the end of the decade.\nTesla is taking the right step here, and we could very well see the company overcome hurdles that have plagued the car industry for decades. If so, we could see lower earnings variance in the cases of political policies targeting the automotive industry. For instance, revenue from the FSD subscription could remain unscathed by new tariffs and environmental policies, two sources of regulation that typically target cars themselves, not the software being employed. This is still speculative, but thus far we have no reason to suspect governments will specifically target FSD subscriptions in their carbon-reduction regulations or in tax policies.\nOnce successfully rolled out, the FSD subscription is likely to become a source of reliable income for the company. As subscription revenue grows to where it exceeds sales revenue, investors will increasingly see Tesla as a safe investment. IV on TSLA should drop as subscription revenue outpaces traditional sales revenue, and drops in IV tend to correlate with stock moving upward.\nFrom both a fundamental perspective and a stock perspective, the FSD subscription announcement is highly bullish. I see this as a reason for TSLA bulls to buy on any significant pullback.\nYet we must admit, as with all new business models, investors have inherent risk. While the subscription model is extremely profitable itself, whether Tesla drivers will accept the FSD subscription remains a key factor in successfully employing the model. While I believe – due to its track record – Tesla will eventually work out the technical kinks in its self-driving feature, I can see two big reasons that FSD could flop.\nFirst, Tesla could fail to bring FSD to level 5, the level promised, perhaps leading to a class-action lawsuit from subscribers. The technical aspects of FSD are beyond my expertise, though my background in AI does tell me that achieving level 5 is a monumental effort. Musk has successfully pulled off monumental efforts in the past, but perhaps those with more AI knowledge than I have good reason to believe that this is the hill upon which Musk will die.\nSecond, the price point might be too high. For $200 per month, you could lease a brand new Honda – or you can enter Tesla’s work-in-progress FSD as a sort of beta tester. As we enter 2023, which should be a big year for Tesla with its $25,000 Model 2s allowing the company access to a new customer demographic, we need to reconsider whether a $200-per-month subscription will be appealing to the general Tesla user base. An overpriced subscription model can be easily fixed in the long run and should thus not be seen as a huge risk to the bull thesis, but too high of a price can prevent that initial market penetration Tesla needs in pioneering the subscription-as-a-model implementation in the automobile industry.\nTechnical Bullishness\nFrom a technical perspective, too, TSLA is looking bullish. While often cited as being incredibly overpriced relative to the past couple years, TSLA is not making movements that are uncharacteristic of the stock. The recent movement pattern actually looks quite a bit like the one in early 2020, right before the huge rally:\n(Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo)\nOnce you control for trading days, the movement looks relatively conservative. It’s about the median movement for a given quarter:\n(Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo)\nIf you extrapolate this to 200 trading days, you will find that TSLA tends to move upward another 10% with rather average volatility. The 2020 movement is an outlier in magnitude only; the pattern itself does not differ all that much from TSLA’s usual yearly movements:\n(Source: Damon Verial; data from Tiingo)\nWith TSLA heading into earnings, an impressive earnings report could give us a similar upward movement. Of course, playing TSLA over earnings is quite risky, which is why we do not typically play TSLA over earnings in my earnings-trading group (Exposing Earnings). Thus, I recommend those interested in TSLA buy on the back of the FSD subscription news, as this is a bullish fundamental catalyst.\nOptions Strategy\nIf you are playing options, however, you might wish to wait until after earnings so that you are not exposed to a volatility crush (option IV falling rapidly and thus decreasing the values of long options, as long options are also long vega). If you want to take an options strategy to hedge earnings risk, though, here is what I recommend. I’m assuming you’re holding 100 shares of TSLA, making this a hedge with extra profitability on the long side:\n\nSell 1x Jul 30 $700 put\nBuy 2x Jul 30 $650 puts\n\nNet credit: $7000\nThis is a volatile strategy, meaning it allows us to profit on either side. The major risk is if TSLA consolidates, trading strictly between $650 and $700 over the rest of July. Otherwise, we stand to profit on either side, either by the net long puts on the downside or via the stock plus credit earned from the strategy on the long side.\nEven if you are confident TSLA will not sell off on earnings, this strategy works to your benefit by bringing in an extra $7000 in profit per 100 shares. You have the added value of downside protection, too. Let me know what you think in the comments section.\nConclusion\nTesla’s addition of an FSD subscription greatly improves the company’s maximum revenue potential. Subscription services have proved themselves to quickly and drastically change the primary source of revenue for a company and could easily turn Tesla into a software company more so than an automotive company. Being so, we need to consider the possibility that Tesla entering the EV market was just the beginning for this company and that the financial future of Tesla is in its FSD service. If so, we are undervaluing this company, as we are using an EV lens to judge a software company.\nI am highly bullish on TSLA in the long term due to the FSD prospects. In the short term, I believe the technicals are implying an upward swing. With earnings on Jul 26, you might want to hedge the downside simply due to TSLA’s volatility. But overall, being long on TSLA at this price is likely a profitable decision even with a short-term pullback.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800619655,"gmtCreate":1627297065277,"gmtModify":1633766419187,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wat NASA do then?","listText":"Wat NASA do then?","text":"Wat NASA do then?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800619655","repostId":"2153334679","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177223992,"gmtCreate":1627225995116,"gmtModify":1633767046738,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573708491598785","idStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can't stand video games","listText":"Can't stand video games","text":"Can't stand video 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tutoring is causing a lot of pain, like doctors fees","listText":"Bec tutoring is causing a lot of pain, like doctors fees","text":"Bec tutoring is causing a lot of pain, like doctors fees","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175202524","repostId":"2153600177","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":175208844,"gmtCreate":1627031717488,"gmtModify":1633768619326,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overjoyed over a little.","listText":"Overjoyed over a little.","text":"Overjoyed over a little.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175208844","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801376343,"gmtCreate":1627485247982,"gmtModify":1631885102675,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to try cheap coffee.","listText":"Time to try cheap coffee.","text":"Time to try cheap coffee.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801376343","repostId":"1112939298","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112939298","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627484367,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112939298?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Starbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112939298","media":"Barrons","summary":"Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s clo","content":"<p>Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s close.</p>\n<p>Starbucks&nbsp;reported non-GAAP per-share earnings of $1.01 on $7.5 billion in revenue, a record. Analysts had forecast earnings per share of $0.77 on $7.3 billion in revenue.</p>\n<p>Despite beating consensus revenue and earnings targets, Starbucks stock is down 3%, to $122.30.</p>\n<p>Driven by an 84% increase in same-store sales in America, the global coffee giant reported an overall increase in comparable-store sales of 73% relative to the third quarter last year. Indeed, brand loyalty remains strong, especially in the U.S. where 90-day active&nbsp;members of the Starbucks Rewards loyalty program&nbsp;increased 48% year-over-year and now account for 51% of all spending in U.S. stores–up 8% from pre-pandemic levels.</p>\n<p>In a statement, Starbucks CEO Kevin Johnson told investors “Starbucks delivered record performance in the third quarter, demonstrating powerful momentum beyond recovery. Our ability to move with speed and agility and to be out in front of shifting customer behaviors has helped further differentiate Starbucks, positioning us well for this moment.”</p>\n<p>The strong results have prompted management to raise the company’s 2021 earnings per share outlook from $2.90-$3.00 to $3.20-$3.25.</p>\n<p>During the earnings call, analysts were keen to hear about management’s outlook on China, as they expressed concerns about consumer pushback against U.S. brands in the region. However, Johnson was quick to dispel the concerns, commenting that there hasn’t been a&nbsp;geopolitical event in China&nbsp;that has impacted them in the past couple of years, and he doesn’t foresee that happening as long as they continue taking care of their partners and customers.</p>\n<p>While fears about&nbsp;rising labor costs&nbsp;did not materialize since operating margins were higher than last quarter and the corresponding period last year, analysts were expecting better performance in international markets. Cowen analyst, Andrew Charles, stated that Starbucks’s 41% change in comparable-store sales relative to the same period last year fell short of the 62% growth he anticipated to see. Nonetheless, the impressive numbers from the U.S. were enough for Charles to raise his price target from $126 to $135. Likewise, Stifel analyst Chris O’Cull had expected international comparable store sales to increase 66%. O’Cull further noted that management offered guidance, which implied roughly flat two-year international comparable store sales.</p>\n<p>The question to investors remains whether strong U.S. growth is enough to keep on offsetting slower international growth and push the stock higher.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Starbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStarbucks Earnings Crushed Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-28 22:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/starbucks-earnings-stock-51627419105?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s close.\nStarbucks reported non-GAAP per-share earnings of $1.01 on $7.5 billion in revenue, a record. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/starbucks-earnings-stock-51627419105?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/starbucks-earnings-stock-51627419105?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112939298","content_text":"Starbucks stock was dropping despite reporting better-than-expected earnings following Tuesday’s close.\nStarbucks reported non-GAAP per-share earnings of $1.01 on $7.5 billion in revenue, a record. Analysts had forecast earnings per share of $0.77 on $7.3 billion in revenue.\nDespite beating consensus revenue and earnings targets, Starbucks stock is down 3%, to $122.30.\nDriven by an 84% increase in same-store sales in America, the global coffee giant reported an overall increase in comparable-store sales of 73% relative to the third quarter last year. Indeed, brand loyalty remains strong, especially in the U.S. where 90-day active members of the Starbucks Rewards loyalty program increased 48% year-over-year and now account for 51% of all spending in U.S. stores–up 8% from pre-pandemic levels.\nIn a statement, Starbucks CEO Kevin Johnson told investors “Starbucks delivered record performance in the third quarter, demonstrating powerful momentum beyond recovery. Our ability to move with speed and agility and to be out in front of shifting customer behaviors has helped further differentiate Starbucks, positioning us well for this moment.”\nThe strong results have prompted management to raise the company’s 2021 earnings per share outlook from $2.90-$3.00 to $3.20-$3.25.\nDuring the earnings call, analysts were keen to hear about management’s outlook on China, as they expressed concerns about consumer pushback against U.S. brands in the region. However, Johnson was quick to dispel the concerns, commenting that there hasn’t been a geopolitical event in China that has impacted them in the past couple of years, and he doesn’t foresee that happening as long as they continue taking care of their partners and customers.\nWhile fears about rising labor costs did not materialize since operating margins were higher than last quarter and the corresponding period last year, analysts were expecting better performance in international markets. Cowen analyst, Andrew Charles, stated that Starbucks’s 41% change in comparable-store sales relative to the same period last year fell short of the 62% growth he anticipated to see. Nonetheless, the impressive numbers from the U.S. were enough for Charles to raise his price target from $126 to $135. Likewise, Stifel analyst Chris O’Cull had expected international comparable store sales to increase 66%. O’Cull further noted that management offered guidance, which implied roughly flat two-year international comparable store sales.\nThe question to investors remains whether strong U.S. growth is enough to keep on offsetting slower international growth and push the stock higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SBUX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173873013,"gmtCreate":1626655181832,"gmtModify":1633925253494,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok will do.","listText":"Ok will do.","text":"Ok will do.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173873013","repostId":"1160548856","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176752702,"gmtCreate":1626917545106,"gmtModify":1633769766436,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everything is managed.","listText":"Everything is managed.","text":"Everything is managed.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176752702","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144482653,"gmtCreate":1626310346072,"gmtModify":1633928030525,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"They think delta means sleep on","listText":"They think delta means sleep on","text":"They think delta means sleep on","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144482653","repostId":"1158066571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158066571","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626309470,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158066571?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 08:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Consumers So Far Completely Undeterred By Delta Variant","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158066571","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Despite the recent jump in Delta variant covid cases in the US, economic data continues to show that","content":"<p>Despite the recent jump in Delta variant covid cases in the US, economic data continues to show that consumers are actively spending on services and remain undeterred despite the media's best efforts to spark a fresh pre-lockdown panic.</p>\n<p><b>First, a quick update on the current state of the virus in the US.</b></p>\n<p>Average daily virus cases jumped by 28.3% to 17.4k during the week ending July 9, and the 7-day moving average of virus cases increased to 17.4k during the week ending July 9. This is the highest level since May 31 and a 28.3% increase from the week ending July 2. As BofA note this morning, from July 2 to July 9, forty states have recorded growth in daily cases and states where vaccine rates are lower are experiencing faster case growth. As shown in the chart below, the bank finds that growth in virus cases and&nbsp; vaccination rates at the state level exhibit a negative relationship.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8f8ff33b4322b837d74df703dbe8ecf\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"396\">Along with low vaccine rates, the Delta variant, which is more infectious than earlier strains, has driven the rise in cases of late. Outbreak.info estimates that the variant accounted for 20% of virus cases over the 60 days ending July 7.</p>\n<p>Meantime, vaccine rates have slowed appreciably with the 7-day average of jabs dropping to just about 500k. This was likely due in part to the July 4 holiday; however, shots have been on a downward trend since April.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d18acf4b8e419fca5e8c613ab16b4376\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"430\">Regardless, the US remains one of the most vaccinated countries,<b>with 67.7% of its adult population and 88.7% of those 65 and older having received at least one shot to date.</b>This, BofA concedes, should limit the spread of the Delta variant. However, the bank warns that the uneven vaccination rates across states and within states means that there are areas that have little protection against this highly infectious variant. Moreover, the longer the virus lingers the greater the risk for a vaccine-resistant variant to develop. In short: whether be decree or due to simple population dynamics, Covid-19 could be with us for the foreseeable future.</p>\n<p>In light of this data,<b>BofA thinks we will continue to see a surge in cases over the near-term, but does not expect restrictions on activity to be broadly imposed again.</b>This means that while the downside risk to the economy is relatively low, the bank's economists will continue to reevaluate this view as things can change in a matter of days when it comes to the virus.</p>\n<p><b>Economic activity</b></p>\n<p>The NY Fed weekly economic index came in at 9.8% yoy in the week ending July 10, down a bit the 10.0% reading in the prior week.<b>Looking at 2Q, the weekly index from the Fed predicts 2Q growth of 11.1% yoy, which would imply 2.9% qoq saar. This would be a significant deceleration from 6.4% in 1Q</b>and is below current consensus forecasts of 10.0% qoq saar or 13.0% yoy. That said, the NY fed index has tended to undershoot actual growth.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6b7d3b219d45a1ccc472990cd6d3574\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"437\"></p>\n<p><b>Consumer activity</b></p>\n<p>According to BofA,<b>consumers’ appetite for services has so far been undeterred by the rise in cases.</b>Dining out and air travel both increased by 1.2% and 2.9% respectively during the week ending July 12. Movie box office receipts also remained elevated as F9: the Fast saga was the top earner for a second consecutive week.&nbsp; Here are the details:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time spent at home increased during the week ending July 9 given the July 4 holiday. Similarly, visitors to parks surged by 15.7% over the week and visitors to workplaces fell 7.7%. That said, one should ignore these big moves due to the holiday.</li>\n <li>The 7-day average of daily air passenger traffic increased by 2.9% to 2.032M during the week ending July 12. This was 79.3% of traffic during the same week in 2019, down from 81.1% in the prior week. Leisure travel has rebounded quickly, while corporate and international travel continue to lag. That said, BofA strategists noted that corporate travel is trending higher.<b>International travel remains depressed, and the Delta variant is likely to keep a lid on international travel for the foreseeable future.</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/161637f140c4839c642d16e00d49efbf\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"793\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Seated diners on the OpenTable network were down 7.8% from 2019 during the week ending July 12. This was up 1.2% from the prior week as weekly increases in the South and West offset declines in the Northeast and Midwest. We continue to expect dining out to approach 2019 levels, but nascent concerns over the Delta variant could start to affect consumers’ willingness to ear out even if they are vaccinated.</li>\n <li><b>Motor gasoline demand for the week ending July 2 topped its 2017-2019 weekly average for the first time since the start of the pandemic. This was likely due in part to seasonal effects from the holiday.</b></li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe113fa6aab43c176be77814a095132\" tg-width=\"962\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Movie box office receipts remained elevated but declined from last week’s pandemic high. Receipts fell to $115M from $140M with<i>F9: The Fast Saga</i>remaining the number 1 release. Average receipts per film are running above pre-pandemic levels due to the limited number of movie releases. This suggests demand is strong but supply has some catching up to do.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Labor market</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The employment data tracked by BofA continues to be affected by the holidays as data from Homebase and the American staffing index are only available through July 11 and 3 respectively. Here are some more details:</li>\n <li>The data on small business employment from Homebase remains affected by the July 4 holiday as the latest available data are only through July 11, and we look at the 7-day moving average to smooth through week-day noise. Next week the data will be more informative as we’ll have the first estimate of the employment figures for the July payroll week.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c88f4b28837affceda16db7940d9ada5\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"422\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Initial jobless claims were little changed at 373k in the week ending July 3rd. It’s possible the holidays added a little noise to the data and could also distort the coming release. Additionally, auto companies forgoing typical summer production slowdowns could also affect the data.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e9e87a0f799e8f644b34bb86bb8b162\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"427\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Through the first 27 weeks of the year, high propensity business applications are up 40.5% from the same period in 2019. This should be a positive source of labor demand over the near-term as new businesses start hiring. Additionally, it could also help drive productivity.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f231501772b070b9b56c7d72bbdf669\" tg-width=\"972\" tg-height=\"410\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The American Staffing index recorded an 8.4% increase from two years ago during the week ending July 3rd. It’s likely that the outsized increase is a result of the timing of the July 4 holiday in 2019 vs. 2021. That said, the index continues to be a positive signal for labor demand and hiring activity in the temporary help sector.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Industrial activity</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Railroad traffic rebounded with and 10.9% increase during the week ending July 3, more than reversing the 5.0% drop in the prior week. The rebound was driven by a surge in carloads of coal, motor vehicle and parts, and chemicals.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25f288d1140c002ec49a1e54e32cad1a\" tg-width=\"961\" tg-height=\"386\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In the week ending July 3, raw steel production rose by 1.0% and was little changed in the week ending July 10. It is currently now just 2.3% shy of its pre-pandemic average.</li>\n <li>The oil and gas rig count increased by four to 479 during the week ending July 9. Two of the four new rigs were oil rigs, bringing the count up to 378. This is well below the pre-pandemic average despite oil prices running at elevated levels on the back of strong demand.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a74ffea4fe7cff1d8d3a478c0b77e6b\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"391\"><b>Real Estate</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Mortgage purchase applications continue to slide, declining by 1.1% in the week ending July 2. Limited supply continues to be cited as a key reason for the decline in sales, although the real reason is soaring prices and lack of affordability. Still after being a strong positive early on in the pandemic recovery, the residential sector is becoming a drag on growth.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9e12cdd92b67464ab39b619d462364\" tg-width=\"957\" tg-height=\"389\"></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Office occupancy levels fell during the week ending July 7 due to the July 4 holiday. Across 10 major metro areas, average office occupancy fell by 1.7ppt to 31.0%. This is likely to reverse in the following week as the holiday effects fade.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e098a794f4646a15d20287ea186a822\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"396\"></p>\n<p>In short, the media is doing all in its power to drum up panic for what appears to be another upcoming stimmy-triggering lockdown, but at least so far it is failing to impact consumer behavior.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Consumers So Far Completely Undeterred By Delta Variant</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Consumers So Far Completely Undeterred By Delta Variant\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 08:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-consumers-so-far-completely-undeterred-delta-variant><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite the recent jump in Delta variant covid cases in the US, economic data continues to show that consumers are actively spending on services and remain undeterred despite the media's best efforts ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-consumers-so-far-completely-undeterred-delta-variant\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-consumers-so-far-completely-undeterred-delta-variant","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158066571","content_text":"Despite the recent jump in Delta variant covid cases in the US, economic data continues to show that consumers are actively spending on services and remain undeterred despite the media's best efforts to spark a fresh pre-lockdown panic.\nFirst, a quick update on the current state of the virus in the US.\nAverage daily virus cases jumped by 28.3% to 17.4k during the week ending July 9, and the 7-day moving average of virus cases increased to 17.4k during the week ending July 9. This is the highest level since May 31 and a 28.3% increase from the week ending July 2. As BofA note this morning, from July 2 to July 9, forty states have recorded growth in daily cases and states where vaccine rates are lower are experiencing faster case growth. As shown in the chart below, the bank finds that growth in virus cases and  vaccination rates at the state level exhibit a negative relationship.\nAlong with low vaccine rates, the Delta variant, which is more infectious than earlier strains, has driven the rise in cases of late. Outbreak.info estimates that the variant accounted for 20% of virus cases over the 60 days ending July 7.\nMeantime, vaccine rates have slowed appreciably with the 7-day average of jabs dropping to just about 500k. This was likely due in part to the July 4 holiday; however, shots have been on a downward trend since April.\nRegardless, the US remains one of the most vaccinated countries,with 67.7% of its adult population and 88.7% of those 65 and older having received at least one shot to date.This, BofA concedes, should limit the spread of the Delta variant. However, the bank warns that the uneven vaccination rates across states and within states means that there are areas that have little protection against this highly infectious variant. Moreover, the longer the virus lingers the greater the risk for a vaccine-resistant variant to develop. In short: whether be decree or due to simple population dynamics, Covid-19 could be with us for the foreseeable future.\nIn light of this data,BofA thinks we will continue to see a surge in cases over the near-term, but does not expect restrictions on activity to be broadly imposed again.This means that while the downside risk to the economy is relatively low, the bank's economists will continue to reevaluate this view as things can change in a matter of days when it comes to the virus.\nEconomic activity\nThe NY Fed weekly economic index came in at 9.8% yoy in the week ending July 10, down a bit the 10.0% reading in the prior week.Looking at 2Q, the weekly index from the Fed predicts 2Q growth of 11.1% yoy, which would imply 2.9% qoq saar. This would be a significant deceleration from 6.4% in 1Qand is below current consensus forecasts of 10.0% qoq saar or 13.0% yoy. That said, the NY fed index has tended to undershoot actual growth.\n\nConsumer activity\nAccording to BofA,consumers’ appetite for services has so far been undeterred by the rise in cases.Dining out and air travel both increased by 1.2% and 2.9% respectively during the week ending July 12. Movie box office receipts also remained elevated as F9: the Fast saga was the top earner for a second consecutive week.  Here are the details:\n\nTime spent at home increased during the week ending July 9 given the July 4 holiday. Similarly, visitors to parks surged by 15.7% over the week and visitors to workplaces fell 7.7%. That said, one should ignore these big moves due to the holiday.\nThe 7-day average of daily air passenger traffic increased by 2.9% to 2.032M during the week ending July 12. This was 79.3% of traffic during the same week in 2019, down from 81.1% in the prior week. Leisure travel has rebounded quickly, while corporate and international travel continue to lag. That said, BofA strategists noted that corporate travel is trending higher.International travel remains depressed, and the Delta variant is likely to keep a lid on international travel for the foreseeable future.\n\n\n\nSeated diners on the OpenTable network were down 7.8% from 2019 during the week ending July 12. This was up 1.2% from the prior week as weekly increases in the South and West offset declines in the Northeast and Midwest. We continue to expect dining out to approach 2019 levels, but nascent concerns over the Delta variant could start to affect consumers’ willingness to ear out even if they are vaccinated.\nMotor gasoline demand for the week ending July 2 topped its 2017-2019 weekly average for the first time since the start of the pandemic. This was likely due in part to seasonal effects from the holiday.\n\n\n\nMovie box office receipts remained elevated but declined from last week’s pandemic high. Receipts fell to $115M from $140M withF9: The Fast Sagaremaining the number 1 release. Average receipts per film are running above pre-pandemic levels due to the limited number of movie releases. This suggests demand is strong but supply has some catching up to do.\n\nLabor market\n\nThe employment data tracked by BofA continues to be affected by the holidays as data from Homebase and the American staffing index are only available through July 11 and 3 respectively. Here are some more details:\nThe data on small business employment from Homebase remains affected by the July 4 holiday as the latest available data are only through July 11, and we look at the 7-day moving average to smooth through week-day noise. Next week the data will be more informative as we’ll have the first estimate of the employment figures for the July payroll week.\n\n\n\nInitial jobless claims were little changed at 373k in the week ending July 3rd. It’s possible the holidays added a little noise to the data and could also distort the coming release. Additionally, auto companies forgoing typical summer production slowdowns could also affect the data.\n\n\n\nThrough the first 27 weeks of the year, high propensity business applications are up 40.5% from the same period in 2019. This should be a positive source of labor demand over the near-term as new businesses start hiring. Additionally, it could also help drive productivity.\n\n\n\nThe American Staffing index recorded an 8.4% increase from two years ago during the week ending July 3rd. It’s likely that the outsized increase is a result of the timing of the July 4 holiday in 2019 vs. 2021. That said, the index continues to be a positive signal for labor demand and hiring activity in the temporary help sector.\n\nIndustrial activity\n\nRailroad traffic rebounded with and 10.9% increase during the week ending July 3, more than reversing the 5.0% drop in the prior week. The rebound was driven by a surge in carloads of coal, motor vehicle and parts, and chemicals.\n\n\n\nIn the week ending July 3, raw steel production rose by 1.0% and was little changed in the week ending July 10. It is currently now just 2.3% shy of its pre-pandemic average.\nThe oil and gas rig count increased by four to 479 during the week ending July 9. Two of the four new rigs were oil rigs, bringing the count up to 378. This is well below the pre-pandemic average despite oil prices running at elevated levels on the back of strong demand.\n\nReal Estate\n\nMortgage purchase applications continue to slide, declining by 1.1% in the week ending July 2. Limited supply continues to be cited as a key reason for the decline in sales, although the real reason is soaring prices and lack of affordability. Still after being a strong positive early on in the pandemic recovery, the residential sector is becoming a drag on growth.\n\n\n\nOffice occupancy levels fell during the week ending July 7 due to the July 4 holiday. Across 10 major metro areas, average office occupancy fell by 1.7ppt to 31.0%. This is likely to reverse in the following week as the holiday effects fade.\n\n\nIn short, the media is doing all in its power to drum up panic for what appears to be another upcoming stimmy-triggering lockdown, but at least so far it is failing to impact consumer behavior.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808365315,"gmtCreate":1627558469737,"gmtModify":1633763826892,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Getting unpopular","listText":"Getting unpopular","text":"Getting 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anyway","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144419649","repostId":"1188807077","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188807077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626308530,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188807077?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Key Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188807077","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Though, to be sure, the deal isn't nearly as close to 'done' as Chuck Schumer said it was...","content":"<p><b>Update (1530ET)</b>: Earlier, WaPo reported that some of the proposed taxes to offset the Biden Administration's $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" plan, might have a climate component. Hours, later CNBC, Bloomberg and others are reporting that the plan might include a carbon border tax, essentially a tariff that would apply to \"carbon-intensive\" imports. The plan would punish countries with weaker climate policies.</p>\n<p>* * *</p>\n<p><b>Update (1310ET):</b>As it turns out, Manchin isn't the only moderate Dem who is still undecided on the $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" package that Dems are trying to pass using budget rules to push it through on a party-line vote.</p>\n<p>Still, to accomplish this, they need all 50 Dems in the Senate on board. Earlier, we reported that Sen. Joe Manchin hadn't yet given his final sign-off. And apparently, he's not alone: Bloomberg just reported that Jon Tester of Montana, another Moderate Dem, is not yet on board with the bill.</p>\n<p>* * *</p>\n<p><b>Update (1140ET):</b>Following comments from a team of Goldman analysts who warned in a note to clients published this morning that the Democrats' new spending plan (and the tax hikes they say will accompany it) is a \"downside risk to our fiscal assumptions\". Since centrist Democrats likely won't accept more than $1.5 trillion in additional taxes, \"this would likely amount to less than the $3 trillion in additional spending we have been assuming.\"</p>\n<p>They expanded on their view in five points:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>The outlines of the Senate's budget resolution have emerged. Senate Majority Leader Schumer has announced that Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee have agreed to a top line spending increase of $3.5 trillion. In a separate comment, Sen. Warner, who sits on the committee, told reporters the resolution would be \"fully paid for\", i.e., that it would not increase the deficit.</li>\n <li>If the resolution does not provide for an increase in the deficit, the spending increase might be limited to however much new revenue can be agreed to. The resolution only sets the upper limit on the spending increase that Democrats can pass using the reconciliation process; if a smaller set of tax increases is all that can win support, the spending increase might need to be dialed back. This is an area where the details of the resolution matter and at this point the details are still very unclear.</li>\n <li>It is very unlikely that congressional Democrats will raise taxes by $3.5 trillion over ten years, we believe. Our expectation has been that congressional Democrats might be able to agree on tax increases worth around $1.5 trillion over ten years. This would include a 25% corporate rate and a 28% long-term capital gains rate, among other changes.</li>\n <li>This is an opening bid and likely to change. Centrist Democrats like Sen. Manchin and Sinema are not on the Budget Committee and are not part of this agreement. We would expect further changes to the proposed resolution—including a lower spending total—before they sign on. That process will play out over the next few days. Assuming an agreement this week, the Senate Budget Committee could potentially pass the resolution next week, setting up a Senate vote in late July or early August. That would set the stage for the Senate to begin work on the detailed reconciliation bill, which is unlikely to pass until Q4 and possibly not until very late in the year.</li>\n <li>The $579bn bipartisan infrastructure package is not directly related to the emerging budget resolution, but faces similar issues. While a bipartisan group has agreed with the White House to boost spending by $579bn, the policies they propose to pay for the package are unlikely to generate nearly enough in budgetary savings. The most likely outcome, we think, is for the bill's authors to scale back the spending boost.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Now, the Washington Post is reporting more details from the plan, they more or less confirmed what we said below - namely, that while negotiators have signed off on the package, the leadership still needs to make sure all 50 Democratic senators support the plan.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Senate Democratic negotiators agreed on the framework Tuesday evening but they still must win the endorsement of all 50 members to pass the measure through their chamber in a process known as budget reconciliation\n</blockquote>\n<p>TheWaPo reportalso included some new details about the Democrats' tax plans, which mostly focus on compliance.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>To pay for these changes, Congressional Democrats are pursuing a slew of tax hikes on the rich and corporations, as well as major changes to the IRS to close the “tax gap” — the difference between what taxpayers owe and what they pay. Other major new sources of revenue include raising the top marginal tax rate, increasing the corporate tax rate, and changes to the international tax system, among other potential measures, the people said.</li>\n <li>The specifics of these programs are expected to be written by Democratic lawmakers on the Senate Finance Committee and House Ways and Means Committee. Lawmakers extensively discussed including new bank reporting requirements, the four people said, which would require major financial institutions to send reams of data to the IRS to help the tax agency identify tax evasion and fraud. But it was unclear if that would be included in the agreement.</li>\n <li>Some Congressional Democrats believe stepping up IRS enforcement help collect as much as $1 trillion in uncollected taxes, although many tax experts are skeptical about the extent of savings that would materialize from the plan. The IRS changes were pushed in negotiations by Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.), two of the people said. Warner told reporters on Tuesday the package would be paid for.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>There have also been whispers that capital gains tax hikes might also be in play. Perhaps that's why stocks slipped ahead of Powell's testimony.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712a5c0f564109f7a24d9f646c240888\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>* * *</p>\n<p><b>Update (1120ET):</b>The Democratic Congressional leadership celebrated their 'victory' in striking an intra-party deal to try and pass a $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" bill last night, but Sen. Joe Manchin made clear on Wednesday morning that while the deal has won the support of the leadership and the Democrats' progressive left flank, it's not exactly a done deal - since Manchin hasn't actually read the thing yet.</p>\n<p>Speaking to reporters in the Capitol on Wednesday, the West Virginia Sen. and critical swing vote said he's open to the deal, which would be entirely paid for by tax hike offsets.</p>\n<p>Notice, according to the quote below, Manchin merely stated that he's \"open\" to the deal - not exactly a ringing endorsement. It's just the latest example of eager Democratic leaders jumping the gun to try and please their party's new 'leader', President Biden. It's becoming increasingly clear that the leadership hasn't quite finished whipping the votes.</p>\n<p>\"I heard about it this morning or late last night from my staff,” Manchin told reporters on Tuesday. “So, we’re anxious to basically review it. They worked hard on it, we want to see it. Also, I’ve been very clear that I want to see the pay-fors and make sure that whatever we do is globally competitive.\"</p>\n<p>\"I’m open to looking at everything they provide. OK? They’re going to have to provide all the information that’s going to be needed,” he added. “They worked hard, they should have a proposal.”</p>\n<p>But that didn't stop media outlets likethe Hillfrom celebrating Manchin's comment as some kind of commitment, while others pointed out that he has very clearly not yet committed to backing the deal.</p>\n<p>According to Manchin, he hasn't even read it yet.</p>\n<p>* * *</p>\n<p>Months after the Biden Administration and its Congressional alliesleaked the first details of President Biden's massive two-part \"Build Back Better\" infrastructure plan, Chuck Schumer, the Democrats' leader in the Senate, just announced that Democrats have united behind a $3.5 trillion \"infrastructure\" spending package, which they can now pass using special budget rules allowing them to circumvent the filibuster.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3739b1c2464b9ee3412161ca0481a0a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In a late-night announcement Tuesday, Schumer said the Budget Committee had reached an agreement to allot $3.5 trillion for a spending package that would complete President Biden’s infrastructure plan.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"The Budget Committee has come to an agreement,\" Sen. Schumer told reporters Tuesday night following a closed-door meeting with Democratic lawmakers.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The deal adds to the $600 billion package of infrastructure measures that Biden has struck with Republicans.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"You add that to that the $600 billion in a bipartisan plan and you get to $4.1 trillion, which is very, very close to what President Biden has asked us for,\" Schumer said. \"Every major program that President Biden has asked us for is funded in a robust way.\"\n</blockquote>\n<p>The package will include such \"infrastructure\" priorities like expanding Medicare, addressing climate change, expanding childcare (after the administration just approved a new $300 handout for couples with children)&nbsp; and education. The Democrats have famously deemed all this \"human infrastructure\", which Republicans have vowed to reject.</p>\n<p>Democrats will meet with Biden Wednesday, the majority leader said following the closed-door meeting.</p>\n<blockquote>\n \"We are very proud of this plan. We know we have a long road to go. We're going to get this done for the sake of making average Americans' lives a whole lot better,\" Schumer said\n</blockquote>\n<p>Previously, Schumer has promised to hold votes on both pieces of legislation before the Senate breaks for its August recess, which amounts to a pretty aggressive timeline, especially since some Republicans might rethink their support for the earlier measure now that Democrats are pushing ahead with the bigger multi-trillion-dollar package.</p>\n<p>To be clear, the bipartisan deal struck by Biden authorizes a total of $1.2 trillion in spending over eight years. Meanwhile, the budget resolution necessary to pass the Democratic-only bill will require some more maneuvering.</p>\n<p>Senate Democrats want to bring the bipartisan infrastructure&nbsp;bill to the floor as soon as next week, though negotiators have warned that is an ambitious pace. Democrats didn't say on Tuesday night when specifically they would be ready to take the budget resolution to the floor. To pass both the budget resolution and a&nbsp;subsequent&nbsp;$3 to $5-trillion infrastructure bill through the Senate Democrats will need total unity from all 50 of their members. Democrats declined to say on Tuesday night if they had unified support.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Key Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKey Moderate Dems Not Yet On Board With $3.5 Trillion Spending Package\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 08:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democrats-strike-deal-35-trillion-human-infrastructure-package><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Update (1530ET): Earlier, WaPo reported that some of the proposed taxes to offset the Biden Administration's $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" plan, might have a climate component. Hours, later ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democrats-strike-deal-35-trillion-human-infrastructure-package\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democrats-strike-deal-35-trillion-human-infrastructure-package","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188807077","content_text":"Update (1530ET): Earlier, WaPo reported that some of the proposed taxes to offset the Biden Administration's $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" plan, might have a climate component. Hours, later CNBC, Bloomberg and others are reporting that the plan might include a carbon border tax, essentially a tariff that would apply to \"carbon-intensive\" imports. The plan would punish countries with weaker climate policies.\n* * *\nUpdate (1310ET):As it turns out, Manchin isn't the only moderate Dem who is still undecided on the $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" package that Dems are trying to pass using budget rules to push it through on a party-line vote.\nStill, to accomplish this, they need all 50 Dems in the Senate on board. Earlier, we reported that Sen. Joe Manchin hadn't yet given his final sign-off. And apparently, he's not alone: Bloomberg just reported that Jon Tester of Montana, another Moderate Dem, is not yet on board with the bill.\n* * *\nUpdate (1140ET):Following comments from a team of Goldman analysts who warned in a note to clients published this morning that the Democrats' new spending plan (and the tax hikes they say will accompany it) is a \"downside risk to our fiscal assumptions\". Since centrist Democrats likely won't accept more than $1.5 trillion in additional taxes, \"this would likely amount to less than the $3 trillion in additional spending we have been assuming.\"\nThey expanded on their view in five points:\n\nThe outlines of the Senate's budget resolution have emerged. Senate Majority Leader Schumer has announced that Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee have agreed to a top line spending increase of $3.5 trillion. In a separate comment, Sen. Warner, who sits on the committee, told reporters the resolution would be \"fully paid for\", i.e., that it would not increase the deficit.\nIf the resolution does not provide for an increase in the deficit, the spending increase might be limited to however much new revenue can be agreed to. The resolution only sets the upper limit on the spending increase that Democrats can pass using the reconciliation process; if a smaller set of tax increases is all that can win support, the spending increase might need to be dialed back. This is an area where the details of the resolution matter and at this point the details are still very unclear.\nIt is very unlikely that congressional Democrats will raise taxes by $3.5 trillion over ten years, we believe. Our expectation has been that congressional Democrats might be able to agree on tax increases worth around $1.5 trillion over ten years. This would include a 25% corporate rate and a 28% long-term capital gains rate, among other changes.\nThis is an opening bid and likely to change. Centrist Democrats like Sen. Manchin and Sinema are not on the Budget Committee and are not part of this agreement. We would expect further changes to the proposed resolution—including a lower spending total—before they sign on. That process will play out over the next few days. Assuming an agreement this week, the Senate Budget Committee could potentially pass the resolution next week, setting up a Senate vote in late July or early August. That would set the stage for the Senate to begin work on the detailed reconciliation bill, which is unlikely to pass until Q4 and possibly not until very late in the year.\nThe $579bn bipartisan infrastructure package is not directly related to the emerging budget resolution, but faces similar issues. While a bipartisan group has agreed with the White House to boost spending by $579bn, the policies they propose to pay for the package are unlikely to generate nearly enough in budgetary savings. The most likely outcome, we think, is for the bill's authors to scale back the spending boost.\n\nNow, the Washington Post is reporting more details from the plan, they more or less confirmed what we said below - namely, that while negotiators have signed off on the package, the leadership still needs to make sure all 50 Democratic senators support the plan.\n\n Senate Democratic negotiators agreed on the framework Tuesday evening but they still must win the endorsement of all 50 members to pass the measure through their chamber in a process known as budget reconciliation\n\nTheWaPo reportalso included some new details about the Democrats' tax plans, which mostly focus on compliance.\n\nTo pay for these changes, Congressional Democrats are pursuing a slew of tax hikes on the rich and corporations, as well as major changes to the IRS to close the “tax gap” — the difference between what taxpayers owe and what they pay. Other major new sources of revenue include raising the top marginal tax rate, increasing the corporate tax rate, and changes to the international tax system, among other potential measures, the people said.\nThe specifics of these programs are expected to be written by Democratic lawmakers on the Senate Finance Committee and House Ways and Means Committee. Lawmakers extensively discussed including new bank reporting requirements, the four people said, which would require major financial institutions to send reams of data to the IRS to help the tax agency identify tax evasion and fraud. But it was unclear if that would be included in the agreement.\nSome Congressional Democrats believe stepping up IRS enforcement help collect as much as $1 trillion in uncollected taxes, although many tax experts are skeptical about the extent of savings that would materialize from the plan. The IRS changes were pushed in negotiations by Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.), two of the people said. Warner told reporters on Tuesday the package would be paid for.\n\nThere have also been whispers that capital gains tax hikes might also be in play. Perhaps that's why stocks slipped ahead of Powell's testimony.\n\n* * *\nUpdate (1120ET):The Democratic Congressional leadership celebrated their 'victory' in striking an intra-party deal to try and pass a $3.5 trillion \"human infrastructure\" bill last night, but Sen. Joe Manchin made clear on Wednesday morning that while the deal has won the support of the leadership and the Democrats' progressive left flank, it's not exactly a done deal - since Manchin hasn't actually read the thing yet.\nSpeaking to reporters in the Capitol on Wednesday, the West Virginia Sen. and critical swing vote said he's open to the deal, which would be entirely paid for by tax hike offsets.\nNotice, according to the quote below, Manchin merely stated that he's \"open\" to the deal - not exactly a ringing endorsement. It's just the latest example of eager Democratic leaders jumping the gun to try and please their party's new 'leader', President Biden. It's becoming increasingly clear that the leadership hasn't quite finished whipping the votes.\n\"I heard about it this morning or late last night from my staff,” Manchin told reporters on Tuesday. “So, we’re anxious to basically review it. They worked hard on it, we want to see it. Also, I’ve been very clear that I want to see the pay-fors and make sure that whatever we do is globally competitive.\"\n\"I’m open to looking at everything they provide. OK? They’re going to have to provide all the information that’s going to be needed,” he added. “They worked hard, they should have a proposal.”\nBut that didn't stop media outlets likethe Hillfrom celebrating Manchin's comment as some kind of commitment, while others pointed out that he has very clearly not yet committed to backing the deal.\nAccording to Manchin, he hasn't even read it yet.\n* * *\nMonths after the Biden Administration and its Congressional alliesleaked the first details of President Biden's massive two-part \"Build Back Better\" infrastructure plan, Chuck Schumer, the Democrats' leader in the Senate, just announced that Democrats have united behind a $3.5 trillion \"infrastructure\" spending package, which they can now pass using special budget rules allowing them to circumvent the filibuster.\nIn a late-night announcement Tuesday, Schumer said the Budget Committee had reached an agreement to allot $3.5 trillion for a spending package that would complete President Biden’s infrastructure plan.\n\n \"The Budget Committee has come to an agreement,\" Sen. Schumer told reporters Tuesday night following a closed-door meeting with Democratic lawmakers.\n\nThe deal adds to the $600 billion package of infrastructure measures that Biden has struck with Republicans.\n\n \"You add that to that the $600 billion in a bipartisan plan and you get to $4.1 trillion, which is very, very close to what President Biden has asked us for,\" Schumer said. \"Every major program that President Biden has asked us for is funded in a robust way.\"\n\nThe package will include such \"infrastructure\" priorities like expanding Medicare, addressing climate change, expanding childcare (after the administration just approved a new $300 handout for couples with children)  and education. The Democrats have famously deemed all this \"human infrastructure\", which Republicans have vowed to reject.\nDemocrats will meet with Biden Wednesday, the majority leader said following the closed-door meeting.\n\n \"We are very proud of this plan. We know we have a long road to go. We're going to get this done for the sake of making average Americans' lives a whole lot better,\" Schumer said\n\nPreviously, Schumer has promised to hold votes on both pieces of legislation before the Senate breaks for its August recess, which amounts to a pretty aggressive timeline, especially since some Republicans might rethink their support for the earlier measure now that Democrats are pushing ahead with the bigger multi-trillion-dollar package.\nTo be clear, the bipartisan deal struck by Biden authorizes a total of $1.2 trillion in spending over eight years. Meanwhile, the budget resolution necessary to pass the Democratic-only bill will require some more maneuvering.\nSenate Democrats want to bring the bipartisan infrastructure bill to the floor as soon as next week, though negotiators have warned that is an ambitious pace. Democrats didn't say on Tuesday night when specifically they would be ready to take the budget resolution to the floor. To pass both the budget resolution and a subsequent $3 to $5-trillion infrastructure bill through the Senate Democrats will need total unity from all 50 of their members. Democrats declined to say on Tuesday night if they had unified support.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148976559,"gmtCreate":1625923950471,"gmtModify":1633936095123,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FB? Nah","listText":"FB? Nah","text":"FB? Nah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148976559","repostId":"1177397700","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893120118,"gmtCreate":1628248037534,"gmtModify":1633752272974,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hang in there.","listText":"Hang in there.","text":"Hang in there.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893120118","repostId":"1135651416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178488328,"gmtCreate":1626831981064,"gmtModify":1633770583851,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay for the 1.5, then go.","listText":"Stay for the 1.5, then go.","text":"Stay for the 1.5, then go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178488328","repostId":"2153618516","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178489655,"gmtCreate":1626831840677,"gmtModify":1633770585787,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the notsodip","listText":"Buy the notsodip","text":"Buy the notsodip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178489655","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173870168,"gmtCreate":1626655086454,"gmtModify":1633925255224,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Plus don't come back.","listText":"Plus don't come back.","text":"Plus don't come back.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173870168","repostId":"2152687718","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152687718","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626654373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152687718?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 08:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Founder Jeff Bezos Preparing For Rocket Launch Into Space","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152687718","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The billionaire space race continues this week as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos will be o","content":"<p>The billionaire space race continues this week as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos will be onboard the New Shepard Rocket scheduled to launch on Tuesday. Bezos has invested billions of dollars into his Blue Origins LLC project which he founded in the year 2000. The space market is expected to generate annual sales of over $1 trillion by 2040 according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> (NYSE: MS).</p>\n<p>The New Shepard will be blasting off from a launch pad in the West Texas desert, southeast of El Paso. It will reach an altitude of about 65 miles and passengers will be weightless for several minutes. The capsule carrying Bezos and three others will then return to earth by a parachute and land in the Texas desert. The trip will take approximately 10 minutes.</p>\n<p>Joining Bezos on the journey is 82-year-old Wally Funk, a former test pilot who was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the Mercury 13 women trained for a space flight in the 1960s . Dutch teenager Oliver Daemen, 18, who could become the world's youngest astronaut, and Bezos' brother, Mark.</p>\n<p>Billionaire rival Richard Branson successfully traveled to the edge of space last Sunday in the Virgin Galactic (NYSE: SPCE) ship Unity. Although shares of Virgin Galactic stock have fallen every trading day since his flight, down 39% over five days last week.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Founder Jeff Bezos Preparing For Rocket Launch Into Space</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Founder Jeff Bezos Preparing For Rocket Launch Into Space\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 08:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-founder-jeff-bezos-preparing-181313963.html><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The billionaire space race continues this week as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos will be onboard the New Shepard Rocket scheduled to launch on Tuesday. Bezos has invested billions of dollars...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-founder-jeff-bezos-preparing-181313963.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河","AMZN":"亚马逊","00418":"方正控股","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","03086":"华夏纳指"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-founder-jeff-bezos-preparing-181313963.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2152687718","content_text":"The billionaire space race continues this week as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos will be onboard the New Shepard Rocket scheduled to launch on Tuesday. Bezos has invested billions of dollars into his Blue Origins LLC project which he founded in the year 2000. The space market is expected to generate annual sales of over $1 trillion by 2040 according to Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS).\nThe New Shepard will be blasting off from a launch pad in the West Texas desert, southeast of El Paso. It will reach an altitude of about 65 miles and passengers will be weightless for several minutes. The capsule carrying Bezos and three others will then return to earth by a parachute and land in the Texas desert. The trip will take approximately 10 minutes.\nJoining Bezos on the journey is 82-year-old Wally Funk, a former test pilot who was one of the Mercury 13 women trained for a space flight in the 1960s . Dutch teenager Oliver Daemen, 18, who could become the world's youngest astronaut, and Bezos' brother, Mark.\nBillionaire rival Richard Branson successfully traveled to the edge of space last Sunday in the Virgin Galactic (NYSE: SPCE) ship Unity. Although shares of Virgin Galactic stock have fallen every trading day since his flight, down 39% over five days last week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00418":0.9,"03086":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":178,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808362372,"gmtCreate":1627558392596,"gmtModify":1633763827540,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dump pp, too many complaints.","listText":"Dump pp, too many complaints.","text":"Dump pp, too many complaints.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808362372","repostId":"1157796712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157796712","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627546052,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157796712?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157796712","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"PayPal stock tumbled nearly 5% after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but","content":"<p>PayPal stock tumbled&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but offered below-consensus guidance.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f8c2f03bbb34acf38cda8e22bd97803\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"641\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>PayPal reported an adjusted profit of $1.15 a share, beating forecasts for $1.13 on sales of $6.24 billion, missing analyst estimates for $6.27 billion. PayPal also said it would earn $1.07 a share in the third quarter, below estimates for $1.14, while sales guidance of $6.15 to $6.25 billion came in shy of expectations for $6.43</p>\n<p>“3Q outlook will drive the narrative, with revenues guided ~3.5% below Street ests. and EPS ~6% below,” writes Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams.</p>\n<p>PayPal highlighted the impact of&nbsp;eBay‘s transition to a “managed payments” system as one source of slower growth. TPV growth was 40% with eBay, 48% without out, while sales grew at a 32% clip without eBay versus 19% with.</p>\n<p>“We’re now absorbing more pressure from eBay than we had previously expected,” CFO John Rainey said on a call with analysts. He added that the company is “planning for eBay’s drag on our revenue growth to be greater than previously expected. The drag will amount to 8.5 percentage points of growth on third quarter revenue, shaving off $465 million and taking revenue to an estimated $6.2 billion.</p>\n<p>Mizuho Securities’ Dan Dolev urged investors to take the longer view. While it’s true that the “Covid honeymoon may be over,” he wrote, referring to PayPal’s phenomenal growth in 2020, he highlighted several positives in the earnings report, including stronger engagement with PayPal’s core apps and momentum in new initiatives like “buy now pay later,” which saw 49% quarterly volume growth in transactions.</p>\n<p>He also points out that PayPal’s boosted its total payment volume guidance from 30% to 33%-35% in the third quarter, 10 points higher than prepandemic levels. “This suggests strong e-commerce trends and PYPL’s share gains are here to stay,” he wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>But expectations for the stock may be tough to meet at this juncture, and there were signs of pressure that may be building.</p>\n<p>PayPal, for instance, reported that it’s continuing to see weakness in the “take rate” it charges merchants, referring to the payments they make to PayPal for its services. The rate fell from 2.21% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 2.11% in the first quarter and 2.01% in the second quarter. PayPal attributed the decline to lower eBay volumes and declines in foreign exchange fees, but it may also indicate that PayPal is facing more competitive pricing pressure.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal Earnings Beat Expectations. Why Its Stock Is Dropping.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-29 16:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>PayPal stock tumbled&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;5%&nbsp;after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but offered below-consensus guidance.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f8c2f03bbb34acf38cda8e22bd97803\" tg-width=\"881\" tg-height=\"641\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>PayPal reported an adjusted profit of $1.15 a share, beating forecasts for $1.13 on sales of $6.24 billion, missing analyst estimates for $6.27 billion. PayPal also said it would earn $1.07 a share in the third quarter, below estimates for $1.14, while sales guidance of $6.15 to $6.25 billion came in shy of expectations for $6.43</p>\n<p>“3Q outlook will drive the narrative, with revenues guided ~3.5% below Street ests. and EPS ~6% below,” writes Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams.</p>\n<p>PayPal highlighted the impact of&nbsp;eBay‘s transition to a “managed payments” system as one source of slower growth. TPV growth was 40% with eBay, 48% without out, while sales grew at a 32% clip without eBay versus 19% with.</p>\n<p>“We’re now absorbing more pressure from eBay than we had previously expected,” CFO John Rainey said on a call with analysts. He added that the company is “planning for eBay’s drag on our revenue growth to be greater than previously expected. The drag will amount to 8.5 percentage points of growth on third quarter revenue, shaving off $465 million and taking revenue to an estimated $6.2 billion.</p>\n<p>Mizuho Securities’ Dan Dolev urged investors to take the longer view. While it’s true that the “Covid honeymoon may be over,” he wrote, referring to PayPal’s phenomenal growth in 2020, he highlighted several positives in the earnings report, including stronger engagement with PayPal’s core apps and momentum in new initiatives like “buy now pay later,” which saw 49% quarterly volume growth in transactions.</p>\n<p>He also points out that PayPal’s boosted its total payment volume guidance from 30% to 33%-35% in the third quarter, 10 points higher than prepandemic levels. “This suggests strong e-commerce trends and PYPL’s share gains are here to stay,” he wrote in a note.</p>\n<p>But expectations for the stock may be tough to meet at this juncture, and there were signs of pressure that may be building.</p>\n<p>PayPal, for instance, reported that it’s continuing to see weakness in the “take rate” it charges merchants, referring to the payments they make to PayPal for its services. The rate fell from 2.21% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 2.11% in the first quarter and 2.01% in the second quarter. PayPal attributed the decline to lower eBay volumes and declines in foreign exchange fees, but it may also indicate that PayPal is facing more competitive pricing pressure.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157796712","content_text":"PayPal stock tumbled nearly 5% after the payments company beat second-quarter earnings forecasts but offered below-consensus guidance.\n\nPayPal reported an adjusted profit of $1.15 a share, beating forecasts for $1.13 on sales of $6.24 billion, missing analyst estimates for $6.27 billion. PayPal also said it would earn $1.07 a share in the third quarter, below estimates for $1.14, while sales guidance of $6.15 to $6.25 billion came in shy of expectations for $6.43\n“3Q outlook will drive the narrative, with revenues guided ~3.5% below Street ests. and EPS ~6% below,” writes Jefferies analyst Trevor Williams.\nPayPal highlighted the impact of eBay‘s transition to a “managed payments” system as one source of slower growth. TPV growth was 40% with eBay, 48% without out, while sales grew at a 32% clip without eBay versus 19% with.\n“We’re now absorbing more pressure from eBay than we had previously expected,” CFO John Rainey said on a call with analysts. He added that the company is “planning for eBay’s drag on our revenue growth to be greater than previously expected. The drag will amount to 8.5 percentage points of growth on third quarter revenue, shaving off $465 million and taking revenue to an estimated $6.2 billion.\nMizuho Securities’ Dan Dolev urged investors to take the longer view. While it’s true that the “Covid honeymoon may be over,” he wrote, referring to PayPal’s phenomenal growth in 2020, he highlighted several positives in the earnings report, including stronger engagement with PayPal’s core apps and momentum in new initiatives like “buy now pay later,” which saw 49% quarterly volume growth in transactions.\nHe also points out that PayPal’s boosted its total payment volume guidance from 30% to 33%-35% in the third quarter, 10 points higher than prepandemic levels. “This suggests strong e-commerce trends and PYPL’s share gains are here to stay,” he wrote in a note.\nBut expectations for the stock may be tough to meet at this juncture, and there were signs of pressure that may be building.\nPayPal, for instance, reported that it’s continuing to see weakness in the “take rate” it charges merchants, referring to the payments they make to PayPal for its services. The rate fell from 2.21% in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 2.11% in the first quarter and 2.01% in the second quarter. PayPal attributed the decline to lower eBay volumes and declines in foreign exchange fees, but it may also indicate that PayPal is facing more competitive pricing pressure.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801372498,"gmtCreate":1627485335714,"gmtModify":1633764523387,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inari. Promising","listText":"Inari. Promising","text":"Inari. Promising","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801372498","repostId":"2154236859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809434568,"gmtCreate":1627386178054,"gmtModify":1633765521321,"author":{"id":"3573708491598785","authorId":"3573708491598785","name":"SHAJ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd7cb9c446f2a757b685fbfa4ef1dbd9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573708491598785","authorIdStr":"3573708491598785"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yet to try.","listText":"Yet to try.","text":"Yet to try.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809434568","repostId":"1118738178","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118738178","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627385338,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118738178?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Snap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118738178","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSnap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Snap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed but, looking out to its Q3 guidance, its prospects remain very attractive.</li>\n <li>Snap's ARPU in North America was the highlight of its Q2 results.</li>\n <li>Snap is not in the bargain basement. Hence, investors looking to buy at this stage will have to take a buy-and-hold investment strategy.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce123df394d362ecf57640f1621162e3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Geber86/E+ via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Snap (SNAP) reported yet another impressive result and Q3 2021 guidance. And as we dig into its results, there are no obvious blemishes in the report. Snap continues growing its top line revenues at very strong rates, while its bottom line EBITDA growth is even more impressive.</p>\n<p>At 29x forward sales, the stock is not cheap. And investors considering this investment opportunity will have to adopt a very&nbsp;<i>strong-willed buy-and-hold investment strategy</i>. Because at this valuation, the stock is already pricing in a lot of future growth.</p>\n<p><b>Revenue Growth Rates Are Incredibly Strong</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72843b7d7a6cc562b484e25eac7cacbe\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: author's calculations; **high-end guidance</span></p>\n<p>Q2 2021 was always going to look strong given just how weak the advertising industry found itself in the same period a year ago. Thus, Snap shareholders were clearly expecting a lot. But to see Snap come out with more than triple digits y/y revenue growth rates? That was particularly stunning.</p>\n<p>Previously, I had noted that investors should look beyond&nbsp;Snap's maturing MAUs in North America, and look towards its International opportunity as its next wave of growth opportunities.</p>\n<p>However, even though its overseas revenues were strong, the real driver of Snap's returns come from the pricing power of its North America users:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95aca2444a479c7dc060c03d6bf0cec3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>In the table above, I've stripped out all the other details for us to focus our discussions around Snap's Average Revenue Per User (\"ARPU\"). As you can see, pricing in North America was the real driver of revenues, with ARPU up 116% y/y. Why is this important?</p>\n<p>It's important because it shows that, even on the back of just 6% y/y growth in DAUs in North America, advertisers are eager to reach out and connect with Snap's young demographic and pay up for that opportunity.</p>\n<p><b>Could Spectacles be the Next Wave of Growth for Snap?</b></p>\n<p>For some time, Snap has been making investors aware that it's moving beyond just a social media platform and that it's now looking to take its Augmented Reality technology and deploy it into hardware.</p>\n<p>At first, this was met with investor skepticism. After all, Snap was taking an asset-light and lucrative business and pivoting towards a hardware revenue business, with lower margins.</p>\n<p>Indeed, it didn't make much sense why Snap would make such a move. Particularly given that Snap had, without any hardware investment, grown very successfully and built the necessary technology to spring off other manufacturers' capital investment into a business with nearly $4.5 billion in run-rate revenues as of Q4 2021.</p>\n<p>Having said that, Snap asserts that by further developing its&nbsp;Spectacles business unit, users can not only create more immersive content, but they will have access to other uses as well.</p>\n<p>For instance, by using Spectacles, users can use AR try-on technology to emulate a physical shopping experience and get clothing with the right fit and the right size, to reduce the need for online returns.</p>\n<p>The underlying idea is to increase user engagement and build an increased digital inventory of the users' life journeys. Other uses could be to increase the personalization of an online shopping experience.</p>\n<p>This is something that is likely to resonate strongly with Snap's young demographic and offers Snap an opportunity to differentiate itself against other players in this space.</p>\n<p>While Snap is quick to note that this is not yet a fully-fledged solution, it's nevertheless a way to improve shoppers' online experience by making visualization personal and as close to real as possible.</p>\n<p><i>Hence, the question investors have to answer is whether this is all already priced in or if there's still more upside potential?</i></p>\n<p><b>SNAP Stock Valuation: Not Cheap</b></p>\n<p>Snap is valued at approximately 29x forward sales. If we compare with Pinterest (PINS), which trades at approximately 19x forward sales, this reminds readers that a lot of excitement, optimism, expectation, and positive sentiment is evidently priced into Snap.</p>\n<p>On the other hand, shareholders may be quick to remark that even if Snap is richly valued, high quality and rapidly growing businesses rarely trade in the bargain basement -- particularly towards the end of a very long bull market.</p>\n<p>Moreover, keep in mind that Snap is now signaling to investors that its multi-year investments are now paying fruit and this now marks the third quarter of adjusted EBITDA profitability over its trailing twelve months.</p>\n<p>Hence, if Snap's Q2 2021's 116% top line appears strong and caught many headlines, then Snap's adjusted EBITDA growth of more than 200% looks even better.</p>\n<p>What's more, as we look out to its guidance next quarter, its bottom line EBITDA is expected to once again posttriple digits EBITDA growth y/y.</p>\n<p><b>Premortem (Investment Risks)</b></p>\n<p>Arguably, the single bearish consideration is that Snap's valuation doesn't offer investors much room for error. Not only does it trade more expensively than other social platforms, but it's also clearly a richly valued stock.</p>\n<p>To this end, we see that investors pricing a lot of optimism that Snap will continue to positively surprise investors. Consequently, any mishaps during any quarter, when a stock is so richly priced, leaves the stock primed for a meaningful sell-off.</p>\n<p>Next, the bulk of investor thesis is to a large extent contingent on Snap's DAUs continuing to steadily increase. What's more, Q2 2021 marked just a mid-single-digit increase in DAUs in North America.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cab82b3b3570378165d43957bf0e925c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"65\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>If we look back to H1 2019 (pre-COVID), Snap's DAU growth was approximately compared with the same period in the prior year. This is an undeniable reminder that Snap's DAU growth had previously flattened and that it's entirely possible that it may flatten down once again. If that were to happen, investors would not regard Snap as a high growth name, and the number of investors that would be willing to pay for the stock would decrease.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line: Is SNAP A Good Buy?</b></p>\n<p>Even though Snap is not a cheap stock, Snap continues to demonstrate that its revenue growth rates remain incredibly strong.</p>\n<p>While there's a lot to like in Snap's investment, I will sit out this opportunity as I prefer to invest in companies where the outlook is not as rosy, but the valuation is dramatically cheaper.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSnap Stock: One Of Fastest Growing Social Media Companies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-27 19:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441412-snap-one-of-fastest-growing-social-media-companies><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nSnap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed but, looking out to its Q3 guidance, its prospects remain very attractive.\nSnap's ARPU in North ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441412-snap-one-of-fastest-growing-social-media-companies\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441412-snap-one-of-fastest-growing-social-media-companies","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118738178","content_text":"Summary\n\nSnap had a high bar to cross to impress investors. And not only did its Q2 results succeed but, looking out to its Q3 guidance, its prospects remain very attractive.\nSnap's ARPU in North America was the highlight of its Q2 results.\nSnap is not in the bargain basement. Hence, investors looking to buy at this stage will have to take a buy-and-hold investment strategy.\n\nGeber86/E+ via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nSnap (SNAP) reported yet another impressive result and Q3 2021 guidance. And as we dig into its results, there are no obvious blemishes in the report. Snap continues growing its top line revenues at very strong rates, while its bottom line EBITDA growth is even more impressive.\nAt 29x forward sales, the stock is not cheap. And investors considering this investment opportunity will have to adopt a very strong-willed buy-and-hold investment strategy. Because at this valuation, the stock is already pricing in a lot of future growth.\nRevenue Growth Rates Are Incredibly Strong\nSource: author's calculations; **high-end guidance\nQ2 2021 was always going to look strong given just how weak the advertising industry found itself in the same period a year ago. Thus, Snap shareholders were clearly expecting a lot. But to see Snap come out with more than triple digits y/y revenue growth rates? That was particularly stunning.\nPreviously, I had noted that investors should look beyond Snap's maturing MAUs in North America, and look towards its International opportunity as its next wave of growth opportunities.\nHowever, even though its overseas revenues were strong, the real driver of Snap's returns come from the pricing power of its North America users:\n\nIn the table above, I've stripped out all the other details for us to focus our discussions around Snap's Average Revenue Per User (\"ARPU\"). As you can see, pricing in North America was the real driver of revenues, with ARPU up 116% y/y. Why is this important?\nIt's important because it shows that, even on the back of just 6% y/y growth in DAUs in North America, advertisers are eager to reach out and connect with Snap's young demographic and pay up for that opportunity.\nCould Spectacles be the Next Wave of Growth for Snap?\nFor some time, Snap has been making investors aware that it's moving beyond just a social media platform and that it's now looking to take its Augmented Reality technology and deploy it into hardware.\nAt first, this was met with investor skepticism. After all, Snap was taking an asset-light and lucrative business and pivoting towards a hardware revenue business, with lower margins.\nIndeed, it didn't make much sense why Snap would make such a move. Particularly given that Snap had, without any hardware investment, grown very successfully and built the necessary technology to spring off other manufacturers' capital investment into a business with nearly $4.5 billion in run-rate revenues as of Q4 2021.\nHaving said that, Snap asserts that by further developing its Spectacles business unit, users can not only create more immersive content, but they will have access to other uses as well.\nFor instance, by using Spectacles, users can use AR try-on technology to emulate a physical shopping experience and get clothing with the right fit and the right size, to reduce the need for online returns.\nThe underlying idea is to increase user engagement and build an increased digital inventory of the users' life journeys. Other uses could be to increase the personalization of an online shopping experience.\nThis is something that is likely to resonate strongly with Snap's young demographic and offers Snap an opportunity to differentiate itself against other players in this space.\nWhile Snap is quick to note that this is not yet a fully-fledged solution, it's nevertheless a way to improve shoppers' online experience by making visualization personal and as close to real as possible.\nHence, the question investors have to answer is whether this is all already priced in or if there's still more upside potential?\nSNAP Stock Valuation: Not Cheap\nSnap is valued at approximately 29x forward sales. If we compare with Pinterest (PINS), which trades at approximately 19x forward sales, this reminds readers that a lot of excitement, optimism, expectation, and positive sentiment is evidently priced into Snap.\nOn the other hand, shareholders may be quick to remark that even if Snap is richly valued, high quality and rapidly growing businesses rarely trade in the bargain basement -- particularly towards the end of a very long bull market.\nMoreover, keep in mind that Snap is now signaling to investors that its multi-year investments are now paying fruit and this now marks the third quarter of adjusted EBITDA profitability over its trailing twelve months.\nHence, if Snap's Q2 2021's 116% top line appears strong and caught many headlines, then Snap's adjusted EBITDA growth of more than 200% looks even better.\nWhat's more, as we look out to its guidance next quarter, its bottom line EBITDA is expected to once again posttriple digits EBITDA growth y/y.\nPremortem (Investment Risks)\nArguably, the single bearish consideration is that Snap's valuation doesn't offer investors much room for error. Not only does it trade more expensively than other social platforms, but it's also clearly a richly valued stock.\nTo this end, we see that investors pricing a lot of optimism that Snap will continue to positively surprise investors. Consequently, any mishaps during any quarter, when a stock is so richly priced, leaves the stock primed for a meaningful sell-off.\nNext, the bulk of investor thesis is to a large extent contingent on Snap's DAUs continuing to steadily increase. What's more, Q2 2021 marked just a mid-single-digit increase in DAUs in North America.\n\nIf we look back to H1 2019 (pre-COVID), Snap's DAU growth was approximately compared with the same period in the prior year. This is an undeniable reminder that Snap's DAU growth had previously flattened and that it's entirely possible that it may flatten down once again. If that were to happen, investors would not regard Snap as a high growth name, and the number of investors that would be willing to pay for the stock would decrease.\nThe Bottom Line: Is SNAP A Good Buy?\nEven though Snap is not a cheap stock, Snap continues to demonstrate that its revenue growth rates remain incredibly strong.\nWhile there's a lot to like in Snap's investment, I will sit out this opportunity as I prefer to invest in companies where the outlook is not as rosy, but the valuation is dramatically cheaper.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}