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2021-05-03

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Bleeding now!!!

2021-04-17

If water rationing is not affecting TSM, what cause the decline of supply then?

Taiwan's Drought Poses Additional Threat To Looming Global Chip Crisis: WSJ<blockquote>《华尔街日报》：台湾干旱对迫在眉睫的全球芯片危机构成额外威胁</blockquote>

2021-05-20

Good news! [Miser]

S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote>

2021-04-28

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Please come back!

2021-03-02

$Apple(AAPL)$Continue to grow!

2021-05-07

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Still confident that you will return strong!

2021-05-13

Hold on to it!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-06

Stick with these companies will not go wrong!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

$Microsoft(MSFT)$Look forward to more growth!

2021-03-06

Great insights!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-05

Opportunity ahead

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-08

It’s the EV world now…

Auto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote>

2021-04-20

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Disappointing performance!

2021-05-24

Good way to start the week

Dow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote>

2021-04-28

Go for it, it’s time for investment and capital appreciation[开心]

Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-04-27

What a vision!

How Warren Buffett's airline stocks have performed since Berkshire Hathaway sold them<blockquote>自伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售沃伦·巴菲特的航空股以来的表现如何</blockquote>

2021-02-24

[财迷]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-15

Time to buy more

86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote>

2021-06-25

Good analysis

ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>

2021-06-15

$Microsoft(MSFT)$I have high confidence in Microsoft.

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to buy more&nbsp;","listText":"&nbsp;Time to buy more&nbsp;","text":"Time to buy more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824899372","repostId":"1169529009","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169529009","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632904196,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169529009?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 16:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169529009","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock inv","content":"<p>• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock investment in China and rising internet-based retail brokerage services globally&nbsp;together support strong industry fundamentals. TIGR, an early mover in the internet brokerage sector, significantly outperforms traditional brokers by providing better services for retail investors. Their&nbsp;price target of US$21 per ADS implies 83%&nbsp;upside&nbsp;potential&nbsp;from&nbsp;the&nbsp;latest&nbsp;market&nbsp;close&nbsp;price,&nbsp;despite&nbsp;possible&nbsp;sector-widevolatilityinChineseADRs.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级。中国日益增长的跨境股票投资需求和全球范围内基于互联网的零售经纪服务的兴起共同支撑了强劲的行业基本面。TIGR是互联网券商领域的先行者，通过为散户投资者提供更好的服务，表现明显优于传统券商。尽管中国ADR可能出现全行业波动，但他们的目标价为每股ADR 21美元，这意味着较最新市场收盘价有83%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;86Research forecasts TIGR’s net revenues will reach US&nbsp;$668 mln in 2024, giving it a 4-yr CAGR of 51%. According to their projection, the number of customers with deposits on TIGR will reach 1.7 mln by the end of 2024. The total AUM and financing balance will exceed US$103 bln and US$5.5 bln, respectively. Trading volumes on TIGR are forecast to reach US$1,338 bln in 2024. 86Research expects the commission rate will remain largely flat. More derivatives trades will partially offset the negative impact from price competition. 86Research thinks the blended interest rate will&nbsp;decline&nbsp;due&nbsp;to&nbsp;the&nbsp;mix&nbsp;change&nbsp;of&nbsp;financing&nbsp;activities&nbsp;on&nbsp;the&nbsp;platform.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research预测TIGR的净收入将在2024年达到6.68亿美元，4年复合年增长率为51%。根据他们的预测，到2024年底，TIGR存款客户数量将达到170万。总AUM和融资余额将分别超过1030亿美元和55亿美元。预计2024年TIGR的交易量将达到13,380亿美元。86研究预计佣金率将基本保持不变。更多的衍生品交易将部分抵消价格竞争的负面影响。86Research认为，由于平台融资活动的组合变化，混合利率将会下降。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research&nbsp;derives&nbsp;their&nbsp;US$21&nbsp;price&nbsp;target&nbsp;based&nbsp;on&nbsp;a&nbsp;20x&nbsp;2024E&nbsp;P/E&nbsp;multiple&nbsp;and&nbsp;13%&nbsp;2-yr&nbsp;discount&nbsp;rate.&nbsp;The&nbsp;PT&nbsp;implies&nbsp;13.8x/11.7x/8.4x&nbsp;2021E/2022E/2023E&nbsp;forward&nbsp;P/B&nbsp;multiples,&nbsp;reflecting&nbsp;a&nbsp;premium&nbsp;to&nbsp;global&nbsp;peers.&nbsp;HK&nbsp;license&nbsp;approval,&nbsp;progress&nbsp;in&nbsp;international&nbsp;expansion and US self-clearing are the key catalysts in the near term, while regulatory and macro uncertainties are the main investment risks. 86Research recommends investors buy the stock on recent pullbacks which have resulted from weak market sentiment. 86’s View on TIGR: BUY; PT$21/ADS; A Rising China-Based Internet Brokerage Platform; Global Expansion To Drive Long-term Growth; Recent pullbacks create a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research基于20 x 2024年市盈率和13%的2年贴现率得出21美元的目标价。PT意味着13.8 x/11.7 x/8.4 x 2021年/2022年/2023年E远期市净率倍数，反映出相对于全球同行的溢价。香港牌照批准、国际扩张进展和美国自我清算是近期的关键催化剂，而监管和宏观不确定性是主要的投资风险。86Research建议投资者在近期市场情绪疲软导致的回调中买入该股。86对TIGR的看法：买入；PT$21/ADS；一家正在崛起的中国互联网经纪平台；全球扩张以推动长期增长；最近的回调创造了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research is bullish on TIGR’s capability to continue to gain market share from traditional brokers. The strategic focus and operating efficiency of Internet companies give advantages to TIGR, such as lower pricing and better user experience in retail brokerage services. Moreover, TIGR provides more variety than most traditional brokers, enabling retail investors to trade securities in several markets in one app&nbsp;and&nbsp;one&nbsp;account.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research看好TIGR继续从传统经纪商那里获得市场份额的能力。互联网公司的战略重点和运营效率赋予了TIGR优势，例如在零售经纪服务方面更低的定价和更好的用户体验。此外，TIGR提供了比大多数传统经纪商更多的多样性，使散户投资者能够在一个应用程序和一个账户中交易多个市场的证券。</blockquote></p><p> • Non-commission revenues are ramping up quickly. Interest income will keep growing as more consolidated account (CA) account users will adopt self-funded financing services provided by TIGR. Their analysis suggests that the net interest spread of the financing services for CA account users was much higher than the rate of financing service for fully disclosed (FD) account users. In addition, the business&nbsp;development&nbsp;in&nbsp;investment&nbsp;banking&nbsp;and&nbsp;wealth&nbsp;management&nbsp;services&nbsp;are&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to&nbsp;contribute&nbsp;meaningful&nbsp;revenues.</p><p><blockquote>•非佣金收入快速增长。随着更多合并账户（CA）账户用户将采用TIGR提供的自筹资金融资服务，利息收入将持续增长。他们的分析表明，CA账户用户融资服务的净息差远高于完全披露（FD）账户用户融资服务的净息差。此外，投资银行及财富管理服务的业务发展预计将贡献可观的收入。</blockquote></p><p> • International expansion creates a new story. TIGR has ramped up its global expansion from 3Q20, mainly targeting Singapore and US markets. Singapore has more than 1 mln addressable individual investors, about half of the market size in HK. The US market has nearly 100 mln retail investors, with total assets of approximately $50 trillion.&nbsp;Although&nbsp;facing&nbsp;challenges&nbsp;in&nbsp;terms&nbsp;of&nbsp;culture,&nbsp;regulatory&nbsp;environment&nbsp;and&nbsp;competition,&nbsp;86Research&nbsp;is&nbsp;positive&nbsp;that&nbsp;TIGR&nbsp;will&nbsp;capture&nbsp;more&nbsp;growth&nbsp;in&nbsp;its&nbsp;two&nbsp;promising&nbsp;markets.</p><p><blockquote>•国际扩张创造新故事。TIGR加大了从2020年第三季度的全球扩张力度，主要瞄准新加坡和美国市场。新加坡拥有超过100万潜在个人投资者，约为香港市场规模的一半。美国市场拥有近1亿散户投资者，总资产约50万亿美元。尽管面临文化、监管环境和竞争方面的挑战，86 Research乐观地认为TIGR将在其两个有前景的市场中获得更多增长。</blockquote></p><p> • TIGR’s stock price has been volatile. 86Research recommends investors buy on the dip. Recent stock market volatility will impact its financial performance but won‘t change the long-term growth story, in their view. The company continues to gain market share in retail brokerage services and develop non-commission businesses, such as margin financing, wealth management, order flows, etc.86Research&nbsp;is confident such growth&nbsp;can&nbsp;offset&nbsp;the&nbsp;cyclical&nbsp;impact&nbsp;from&nbsp;a&nbsp;long-term&nbsp;perspective.</p><p><blockquote>•TIGR的股价一直波动。86Research建议投资者逢低买入。他们认为，最近的股市波动将影响其财务业绩，但不会改变长期增长故事。该公司继续获得零售经纪服务的市场份额，并发展非佣金业务，如保证金融资、财富管理、订单流等。86 Research有信心从长期角度来看，这种增长可以抵消周期性影响。</blockquote></p><p> • HK license is a near-term catalyst. TIGR is expected to get a brokerage license in HK as soon as this year, which will enable it to run market campaigns and acquire users in the region. As a registered brokerage firm, TIGR&nbsp;can&nbsp;also&nbsp;build&nbsp;connections&nbsp;with&nbsp;banks to&nbsp;provide&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;subscriptions&nbsp;and&nbsp;financing&nbsp;services&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;and&nbsp;support&nbsp;the&nbsp;development&nbsp;of&nbsp;margin&nbsp;financing&nbsp;business.</p><p><blockquote>•香港牌照是近期的催化剂。TIGR预计最快将于今年在香港获得经纪牌照，这将使其能够在该地区开展市场活动并获取用户。作为注册券商，TIGR还可以与银行建立联系，在香港提供IPO认购和融资服务，并支持融资业务的发展。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-29 16:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock investment in China and rising internet-based retail brokerage services globally&nbsp;together support strong industry fundamentals. TIGR, an early mover in the internet brokerage sector, significantly outperforms traditional brokers by providing better services for retail investors. Their&nbsp;price target of US$21 per ADS implies 83%&nbsp;upside&nbsp;potential&nbsp;from&nbsp;the&nbsp;latest&nbsp;market&nbsp;close&nbsp;price,&nbsp;despite&nbsp;possible&nbsp;sector-widevolatilityinChineseADRs.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级。中国日益增长的跨境股票投资需求和全球范围内基于互联网的零售经纪服务的兴起共同支撑了强劲的行业基本面。TIGR是互联网券商领域的先行者，通过为散户投资者提供更好的服务，表现明显优于传统券商。尽管中国ADR可能出现全行业波动，但他们的目标价为每股ADR 21美元，这意味着较最新市场收盘价有83%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;86Research forecasts TIGR’s net revenues will reach US&nbsp;$668 mln in 2024, giving it a 4-yr CAGR of 51%. According to their projection, the number of customers with deposits on TIGR will reach 1.7 mln by the end of 2024. The total AUM and financing balance will exceed US$103 bln and US$5.5 bln, respectively. Trading volumes on TIGR are forecast to reach US$1,338 bln in 2024. 86Research expects the commission rate will remain largely flat. More derivatives trades will partially offset the negative impact from price competition. 86Research thinks the blended interest rate will&nbsp;decline&nbsp;due&nbsp;to&nbsp;the&nbsp;mix&nbsp;change&nbsp;of&nbsp;financing&nbsp;activities&nbsp;on&nbsp;the&nbsp;platform.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research预测TIGR的净收入将在2024年达到6.68亿美元，4年复合年增长率为51%。根据他们的预测，到2024年底，TIGR存款客户数量将达到170万。总AUM和融资余额将分别超过1030亿美元和55亿美元。预计2024年TIGR的交易量将达到13,380亿美元。86研究预计佣金率将基本保持不变。更多的衍生品交易将部分抵消价格竞争的负面影响。86Research认为，由于平台融资活动的组合变化，混合利率将会下降。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research&nbsp;derives&nbsp;their&nbsp;US$21&nbsp;price&nbsp;target&nbsp;based&nbsp;on&nbsp;a&nbsp;20x&nbsp;2024E&nbsp;P/E&nbsp;multiple&nbsp;and&nbsp;13%&nbsp;2-yr&nbsp;discount&nbsp;rate.&nbsp;The&nbsp;PT&nbsp;implies&nbsp;13.8x/11.7x/8.4x&nbsp;2021E/2022E/2023E&nbsp;forward&nbsp;P/B&nbsp;multiples,&nbsp;reflecting&nbsp;a&nbsp;premium&nbsp;to&nbsp;global&nbsp;peers.&nbsp;HK&nbsp;license&nbsp;approval,&nbsp;progress&nbsp;in&nbsp;international&nbsp;expansion and US self-clearing are the key catalysts in the near term, while regulatory and macro uncertainties are the main investment risks. 86Research recommends investors buy the stock on recent pullbacks which have resulted from weak market sentiment. 86’s View on TIGR: BUY; PT$21/ADS; A Rising China-Based Internet Brokerage Platform; Global Expansion To Drive Long-term Growth; Recent pullbacks create a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research基于20 x 2024年市盈率和13%的2年贴现率得出21美元的目标价。PT意味着13.8 x/11.7 x/8.4 x 2021年/2022年/2023年E远期市净率倍数，反映出相对于全球同行的溢价。香港牌照批准、国际扩张进展和美国自我清算是近期的关键催化剂，而监管和宏观不确定性是主要的投资风险。86Research建议投资者在近期市场情绪疲软导致的回调中买入该股。86对TIGR的看法：买入；PT$21/ADS；一家正在崛起的中国互联网经纪平台；全球扩张以推动长期增长；最近的回调创造了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research is bullish on TIGR’s capability to continue to gain market share from traditional brokers. The strategic focus and operating efficiency of Internet companies give advantages to TIGR, such as lower pricing and better user experience in retail brokerage services. Moreover, TIGR provides more variety than most traditional brokers, enabling retail investors to trade securities in several markets in one app&nbsp;and&nbsp;one&nbsp;account.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research看好TIGR继续从传统经纪商那里获得市场份额的能力。互联网公司的战略重点和运营效率赋予了TIGR优势，例如在零售经纪服务方面更低的定价和更好的用户体验。此外，TIGR提供了比大多数传统经纪商更多的多样性，使散户投资者能够在一个应用程序和一个账户中交易多个市场的证券。</blockquote></p><p> • Non-commission revenues are ramping up quickly. Interest income will keep growing as more consolidated account (CA) account users will adopt self-funded financing services provided by TIGR. Their analysis suggests that the net interest spread of the financing services for CA account users was much higher than the rate of financing service for fully disclosed (FD) account users. In addition, the business&nbsp;development&nbsp;in&nbsp;investment&nbsp;banking&nbsp;and&nbsp;wealth&nbsp;management&nbsp;services&nbsp;are&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to&nbsp;contribute&nbsp;meaningful&nbsp;revenues.</p><p><blockquote>•非佣金收入快速增长。随着更多合并账户（CA）账户用户将采用TIGR提供的自筹资金融资服务，利息收入将持续增长。他们的分析表明，CA账户用户融资服务的净息差远高于完全披露（FD）账户用户融资服务的净息差。此外，投资银行及财富管理服务的业务发展预计将贡献可观的收入。</blockquote></p><p> • International expansion creates a new story. TIGR has ramped up its global expansion from 3Q20, mainly targeting Singapore and US markets. Singapore has more than 1 mln addressable individual investors, about half of the market size in HK. The US market has nearly 100 mln retail investors, with total assets of approximately $50 trillion.&nbsp;Although&nbsp;facing&nbsp;challenges&nbsp;in&nbsp;terms&nbsp;of&nbsp;culture,&nbsp;regulatory&nbsp;environment&nbsp;and&nbsp;competition,&nbsp;86Research&nbsp;is&nbsp;positive&nbsp;that&nbsp;TIGR&nbsp;will&nbsp;capture&nbsp;more&nbsp;growth&nbsp;in&nbsp;its&nbsp;two&nbsp;promising&nbsp;markets.</p><p><blockquote>•国际扩张创造新故事。TIGR加大了从2020年第三季度的全球扩张力度，主要瞄准新加坡和美国市场。新加坡拥有超过100万潜在个人投资者，约为香港市场规模的一半。美国市场拥有近1亿散户投资者，总资产约50万亿美元。尽管面临文化、监管环境和竞争方面的挑战，86 Research乐观地认为TIGR将在其两个有前景的市场中获得更多增长。</blockquote></p><p> • TIGR’s stock price has been volatile. 86Research recommends investors buy on the dip. Recent stock market volatility will impact its financial performance but won‘t change the long-term growth story, in their view. The company continues to gain market share in retail brokerage services and develop non-commission businesses, such as margin financing, wealth management, order flows, etc.86Research&nbsp;is confident such growth&nbsp;can&nbsp;offset&nbsp;the&nbsp;cyclical&nbsp;impact&nbsp;from&nbsp;a&nbsp;long-term&nbsp;perspective.</p><p><blockquote>•TIGR的股价一直波动。86Research建议投资者逢低买入。他们认为，最近的股市波动将影响其财务业绩，但不会改变长期增长故事。该公司继续获得零售经纪服务的市场份额，并发展非佣金业务，如保证金融资、财富管理、订单流等。86 Research有信心从长期角度来看，这种增长可以抵消周期性影响。</blockquote></p><p> • HK license is a near-term catalyst. TIGR is expected to get a brokerage license in HK as soon as this year, which will enable it to run market campaigns and acquire users in the region. As a registered brokerage firm, TIGR&nbsp;can&nbsp;also&nbsp;build&nbsp;connections&nbsp;with&nbsp;banks to&nbsp;provide&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;subscriptions&nbsp;and&nbsp;financing&nbsp;services&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;and&nbsp;support&nbsp;the&nbsp;development&nbsp;of&nbsp;margin&nbsp;financing&nbsp;business.</p><p><blockquote>•香港牌照是近期的催化剂。TIGR预计最快将于今年在香港获得经纪牌照，这将使其能够在该地区开展市场活动并获取用户。作为注册券商，TIGR还可以与银行建立联系，在香港提供IPO认购和融资服务，并支持融资业务的发展。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169529009","content_text":"• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock investment in China and rising internet-based retail brokerage services globally together support strong industry fundamentals. TIGR, an early mover in the internet brokerage sector, significantly outperforms traditional brokers by providing better services for retail investors. Their price target of US$21 per ADS implies 83% upside potential from the latest market close price, despite possible sector-widevolatilityinChineseADRs.\n• 86Research forecasts TIGR’s net revenues will reach US $668 mln in 2024, giving it a 4-yr CAGR of 51%. According to their projection, the number of customers with deposits on TIGR will reach 1.7 mln by the end of 2024. The total AUM and financing balance will exceed US$103 bln and US$5.5 bln, respectively. Trading volumes on TIGR are forecast to reach US$1,338 bln in 2024. 86Research expects the commission rate will remain largely flat. More derivatives trades will partially offset the negative impact from price competition. 86Research thinks the blended interest rate will decline due to the mix change of financing activities on the platform.\n• 86Research derives their US$21 price target based on a 20x 2024E P/E multiple and 13% 2-yr discount rate. The PT implies 13.8x/11.7x/8.4x 2021E/2022E/2023E forward P/B multiples, reflecting a premium to global peers. HK license approval, progress in international expansion and US self-clearing are the key catalysts in the near term, while regulatory and macro uncertainties are the main investment risks. 86Research recommends investors buy the stock on recent pullbacks which have resulted from weak market sentiment. 86’s View on TIGR: BUY; PT$21/ADS; A Rising China-Based Internet Brokerage Platform; Global Expansion To Drive Long-term Growth; Recent pullbacks create a buying opportunity.\n• 86Research is bullish on TIGR’s capability to continue to gain market share from traditional brokers. The strategic focus and operating efficiency of Internet companies give advantages to TIGR, such as lower pricing and better user experience in retail brokerage services. Moreover, TIGR provides more variety than most traditional brokers, enabling retail investors to trade securities in several markets in one app and one account.\n• Non-commission revenues are ramping up quickly. Interest income will keep growing as more consolidated account (CA) account users will adopt self-funded financing services provided by TIGR. Their analysis suggests that the net interest spread of the financing services for CA account users was much higher than the rate of financing service for fully disclosed (FD) account users. In addition, the business development in investment banking and wealth management services are expected to contribute meaningful revenues.\n• International expansion creates a new story. TIGR has ramped up its global expansion from 3Q20, mainly targeting Singapore and US markets. Singapore has more than 1 mln addressable individual investors, about half of the market size in HK. The US market has nearly 100 mln retail investors, with total assets of approximately $50 trillion. Although facing challenges in terms of culture, regulatory environment and competition, 86Research is positive that TIGR will capture more growth in its two promising markets.\n• TIGR’s stock price has been volatile. 86Research recommends investors buy on the dip. Recent stock market volatility will impact its financial performance but won‘t change the long-term growth story, in their view. The company continues to gain market share in retail brokerage services and develop non-commission businesses, such as margin financing, wealth management, order flows, etc.86Research is confident such growth can offset the cyclical impact from a long-term perspective.\n• HK license is a near-term catalyst. TIGR is expected to get a brokerage license in HK as soon as this year, which will enable it to run market campaigns and acquire users in the region. As a registered brokerage firm, TIGR can also build connections with banks to provide IPO subscriptions and financing services in Hong Kong and support the development of margin financing business.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890683927,"gmtCreate":1628113481069,"gmtModify":1631891265650,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Opportunity ahead","listText":"Opportunity ahead","text":"Opportunity ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890683927","repostId":"2156060681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149779584,"gmtCreate":1625751171248,"gmtModify":1631891265661,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s the EV world now…","listText":"It’s the EV world now…","text":"It’s the EV world now…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149779584","repostId":"1197668591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197668591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625749319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197668591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Auto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197668591","media":"investors","summary":"Stellantis(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poi","content":"<p><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poised to boom this decade. Stellantis stock fell.</p><p><blockquote><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA)周四详细介绍了其电动汽车战略，全球电动汽车市场有望在本十年蓬勃发展。Stellantis股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> At the automaker's EV day, management announced 30 billion euros ($35.5 billion) of investments in electrification and software. It also sees more than 70% of its sales in Europe being \"low emission vehicles\" by 2030 and more than 40% in the U.S., with all 14 of its brands offering \"electrified\" models. Meanwhile, battery electric vehicles will have ranges of 300-500 miles per charge.</p><p><blockquote>在该汽车制造商的电动汽车日上，管理层宣布在电气化和软件领域投资300亿欧元（355亿美元）。该公司还预计，到2030年，其在欧洲的销量将超过70%是“低排放汽车”，在美国的销量将超过40%，其所有14个品牌都将提供“电动”车型。与此同时，纯电动汽车每次充电的续航里程为300-500英里。</blockquote></p><p> The stakes are high for Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler. It's seen lagging&nbsp;<b>General Motors</b>(GM),<b>Ford Motor</b>(F) and&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(VWAGY) that have rushed to bring their first all-electric SUVs, trucks and vans to market. And&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dominate despite the proliferation of new EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis（前身为菲亚特克莱斯勒）的风险很高。它被视为滞后<b>通用汽车</b>（通用），<b>福特汽车</b>(F)及<b>大众汽车</b>(VWAGY)纷纷将首款全电动SUV、卡车和货车推向市场。和<b>特斯拉</b>尽管新的电动汽车股票激增，但(TSLA)继续占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, rivals are also bringing electric trucks and vans to market soon. Ford's F-150 Lightning quickly racked up more than 100,000 reservations after launching in May. It arrives at dealers in the summer of 2022. And the electric Ford E-Transit commercial van, arriving later this year, has more than 20,000 reservations. Reservations for GM's initial Hummer EV pickup trucks and SUVs also sold out rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，竞争对手也很快将电动卡车和货车推向市场。福特F-150 Lightning在5月份推出后迅速获得了超过10万份预订。它将于2022年夏季到达经销商处。今年晚些时候上市的电动福特E-Transit商用货车已有超过20,000份预订。通用汽车最初的悍马电动皮卡和SUV的预订也很快售罄。</blockquote></p><p> In April, CEO Carlos Tavares vowed Stellantis is accelerating on electrification, committing to an all-electric or hybrid-electric version of almost its entire lineup of vehicles by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯(Carlos Tavares)发誓Stellantis正在加速电气化，承诺到2025年为其几乎整个车辆系列推出全电动或混合动力版本。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis's Fiat brand has already signaled switching to an all-electric lineup by 2030. The luxury Alfa Romeo and Maserati brands are expected to follow.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis的菲亚特品牌已经表示将在2030年转向全电动产品线。豪华品牌阿尔法罗密欧和玛莎拉蒂预计将紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis Stock Falls</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis股价下跌</blockquote></p><p> Shares fell 2.6% to 19.01 in premarket trading on thestock market today. Ahead of the EV day, the company said adjusted operating margins in the first half of the year will top the annual target of 5.5%-7.5%, despite lost production from the global chip shortage. It also projected negative industrial free cash flow in the first half but positive cash flow for the whole year as synergies from the merger are exceeding targets.</p><p><blockquote>今天股市盘前交易中，股价下跌2.6%，至19.01点。在电动汽车日之前，该公司表示，尽管全球芯片短缺导致产量损失，但上半年调整后的营业利润率将超过5.5%-7.5%的年度目标。它还预计上半年工业自由现金流为负，但由于合并的协同效应超出了目标，全年现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis stock cleared an 18.62 flat-base buy point in May but is now pulling back to the 50-day line, according toMarketSmith chart analysis. The relative strength line is just below June highs after rallying in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmith图表分析，Stellantis股票在5月份突破了18.62的平基买入点，但目前正在回落至50日线。在过去一年上涨后，相对强弱线略低于6月高点。</blockquote></p><p> GM stockfell 2.5% early Thursday,Ford stocklost 2.8% andTeslaeased 2.6%.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车股价周四早盘下跌2.5%，福特股价下跌2.8%，特斯拉下跌2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> After years of sluggish sales, the adoption of electric vehicles is at an inflection point.</p><p><blockquote>经过多年的销售低迷，电动汽车的采用正处于拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric cars, buses, vans and trucks on the world's roads will hit 145 million by 2030, the International Energy Agency estimated in April. That would be up from 10 million in 2020, a year that saw EV sales increase though overall sales fell due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>国际能源署4月份估计，到2030年，全球道路上的电动汽车、公共汽车、货车和卡车数量将达到1.45亿辆。这将高于2020年的1000万辆，尽管由于冠状病毒大流行，整体销量下降，但这一年电动汽车销量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> For now, however, electric vehicles remain a relatively tough sell in the U.S. compared with China and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>然而，就目前而言，与中国和欧洲相比，电动汽车在美国的销售仍然相对困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Auto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAuto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 21:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poised to boom this decade. Stellantis stock fell.</p><p><blockquote><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA)周四详细介绍了其电动汽车战略，全球电动汽车市场有望在本十年蓬勃发展。Stellantis股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> At the automaker's EV day, management announced 30 billion euros ($35.5 billion) of investments in electrification and software. It also sees more than 70% of its sales in Europe being \"low emission vehicles\" by 2030 and more than 40% in the U.S., with all 14 of its brands offering \"electrified\" models. Meanwhile, battery electric vehicles will have ranges of 300-500 miles per charge.</p><p><blockquote>在该汽车制造商的电动汽车日上，管理层宣布在电气化和软件领域投资300亿欧元（355亿美元）。该公司还预计，到2030年，其在欧洲的销量将超过70%是“低排放汽车”，在美国的销量将超过40%，其所有14个品牌都将提供“电动”车型。与此同时，纯电动汽车每次充电的续航里程为300-500英里。</blockquote></p><p> The stakes are high for Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler. It's seen lagging&nbsp;<b>General Motors</b>(GM),<b>Ford Motor</b>(F) and&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(VWAGY) that have rushed to bring their first all-electric SUVs, trucks and vans to market. And&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dominate despite the proliferation of new EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis（前身为菲亚特克莱斯勒）的风险很高。它被视为滞后<b>通用汽车</b>（通用），<b>福特汽车</b>(F)及<b>大众汽车</b>(VWAGY)纷纷将首款全电动SUV、卡车和货车推向市场。和<b>特斯拉</b>尽管新的电动汽车股票激增，但(TSLA)继续占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, rivals are also bringing electric trucks and vans to market soon. Ford's F-150 Lightning quickly racked up more than 100,000 reservations after launching in May. It arrives at dealers in the summer of 2022. And the electric Ford E-Transit commercial van, arriving later this year, has more than 20,000 reservations. Reservations for GM's initial Hummer EV pickup trucks and SUVs also sold out rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，竞争对手也很快将电动卡车和货车推向市场。福特F-150 Lightning在5月份推出后迅速获得了超过10万份预订。它将于2022年夏季到达经销商处。今年晚些时候上市的电动福特E-Transit商用货车已有超过20,000份预订。通用汽车最初的悍马电动皮卡和SUV的预订也很快售罄。</blockquote></p><p> In April, CEO Carlos Tavares vowed Stellantis is accelerating on electrification, committing to an all-electric or hybrid-electric version of almost its entire lineup of vehicles by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯(Carlos Tavares)发誓Stellantis正在加速电气化，承诺到2025年为其几乎整个车辆系列推出全电动或混合动力版本。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis's Fiat brand has already signaled switching to an all-electric lineup by 2030. The luxury Alfa Romeo and Maserati brands are expected to follow.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis的菲亚特品牌已经表示将在2030年转向全电动产品线。豪华品牌阿尔法罗密欧和玛莎拉蒂预计将紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis Stock Falls</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis股价下跌</blockquote></p><p> Shares fell 2.6% to 19.01 in premarket trading on thestock market today. Ahead of the EV day, the company said adjusted operating margins in the first half of the year will top the annual target of 5.5%-7.5%, despite lost production from the global chip shortage. It also projected negative industrial free cash flow in the first half but positive cash flow for the whole year as synergies from the merger are exceeding targets.</p><p><blockquote>今天股市盘前交易中，股价下跌2.6%，至19.01点。在电动汽车日之前，该公司表示，尽管全球芯片短缺导致产量损失，但上半年调整后的营业利润率将超过5.5%-7.5%的年度目标。它还预计上半年工业自由现金流为负，但由于合并的协同效应超出了目标，全年现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis stock cleared an 18.62 flat-base buy point in May but is now pulling back to the 50-day line, according toMarketSmith chart analysis. The relative strength line is just below June highs after rallying in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmith图表分析，Stellantis股票在5月份突破了18.62的平基买入点，但目前正在回落至50日线。在过去一年上涨后，相对强弱线略低于6月高点。</blockquote></p><p> GM stockfell 2.5% early Thursday,Ford stocklost 2.8% andTeslaeased 2.6%.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车股价周四早盘下跌2.5%，福特股价下跌2.8%，特斯拉下跌2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> After years of sluggish sales, the adoption of electric vehicles is at an inflection point.</p><p><blockquote>经过多年的销售低迷，电动汽车的采用正处于拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric cars, buses, vans and trucks on the world's roads will hit 145 million by 2030, the International Energy Agency estimated in April. That would be up from 10 million in 2020, a year that saw EV sales increase though overall sales fell due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>国际能源署4月份估计，到2030年，全球道路上的电动汽车、公共汽车、货车和卡车数量将达到1.45亿辆。这将高于2020年的1000万辆，尽管由于冠状病毒大流行，整体销量下降，但这一年电动汽车销量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> For now, however, electric vehicles remain a relatively tough sell in the U.S. compared with China and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>然而，就目前而言，与中国和欧洲相比，电动汽车在美国的销售仍然相对困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/stellantis-stock-ev-day-fiat-chrysler-parent-trails-gm-ford-tesla/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","STLA":"Stellantis NV","TSLA":"特斯拉","VWAGY":"大众汽车ADR","GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/stellantis-stock-ev-day-fiat-chrysler-parent-trails-gm-ford-tesla/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197668591","content_text":"Stellantis(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poised to boom this decade. Stellantis stock fell.\nAt the automaker's EV day, management announced 30 billion euros ($35.5 billion) of investments in electrification and software. It also sees more than 70% of its sales in Europe being \"low emission vehicles\" by 2030 and more than 40% in the U.S., with all 14 of its brands offering \"electrified\" models. Meanwhile, battery electric vehicles will have ranges of 300-500 miles per charge.\nThe stakes are high for Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler. It's seen lagging General Motors(GM),Ford Motor(F) and Volkswagen(VWAGY) that have rushed to bring their first all-electric SUVs, trucks and vans to market. And Tesla(TSLA) continues to dominate despite the proliferation of new EV stocks.\nMeanwhile, rivals are also bringing electric trucks and vans to market soon. Ford's F-150 Lightning quickly racked up more than 100,000 reservations after launching in May. It arrives at dealers in the summer of 2022. And the electric Ford E-Transit commercial van, arriving later this year, has more than 20,000 reservations. Reservations for GM's initial Hummer EV pickup trucks and SUVs also sold out rapidly.\nIn April, CEO Carlos Tavares vowed Stellantis is accelerating on electrification, committing to an all-electric or hybrid-electric version of almost its entire lineup of vehicles by 2025.\nStellantis's Fiat brand has already signaled switching to an all-electric lineup by 2030. The luxury Alfa Romeo and Maserati brands are expected to follow.\nStellantis Stock Falls\nShares fell 2.6% to 19.01 in premarket trading on thestock market today. Ahead of the EV day, the company said adjusted operating margins in the first half of the year will top the annual target of 5.5%-7.5%, despite lost production from the global chip shortage. It also projected negative industrial free cash flow in the first half but positive cash flow for the whole year as synergies from the merger are exceeding targets.\nStellantis stock cleared an 18.62 flat-base buy point in May but is now pulling back to the 50-day line, according toMarketSmith chart analysis. The relative strength line is just below June highs after rallying in the past year.\nGM stockfell 2.5% early Thursday,Ford stocklost 2.8% andTeslaeased 2.6%.\nAfter years of sluggish sales, the adoption of electric vehicles is at an inflection point.\nThe number of electric cars, buses, vans and trucks on the world's roads will hit 145 million by 2030, the International Energy Agency estimated in April. That would be up from 10 million in 2020, a year that saw EV sales increase though overall sales fell due to the coronavirus pandemic.\nFor now, however, electric vehicles remain a relatively tough sell in the U.S. compared with China and Europe.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,"VWAGY":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"F":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126648023,"gmtCreate":1624570690662,"gmtModify":1631891265673,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good analysis&nbsp;","listText":"Good analysis&nbsp;","text":"Good analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126648023","repostId":"1168762020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168762020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623988654,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168762020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168762020","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithogra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。</li><li>预计到2025年，DUV光刻将以8.4%的CAGR增长，而EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML在EUV领域占据垄断地位，在DUV领域面临非常有限的竞争，这两个平台对半导体制造工艺绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为真正的创新者，ASML拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受这一旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，几乎没有安全边际，他们可能会通过平均成本法涉足水，以从推动ASML的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>宏观照片/iStock来自Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding(ASML)在其最先进的技术平台EUV光刻方面拥有无与伦比的市场地位，看不到竞争对手。同样，它在DUV内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识拥有非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于总体GDP的行业运营时。然而，市场早已认识到ASML的突出潜力和潜力之旅，但它仍然可能低估了潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇关于如何不要拥有太多半导体敞口的文章。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论区收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行跟进。我选择ASML是因为其独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器(TXN)和博通公司(AVGO)的股票接触到了半导体价值链的制造水平，但进一步深入价值链，投资者可以被允许以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触大多数制造商，这使得它非常有趣，因为你可以采用“我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在比赛”的口号。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML的追随者来说，这一点并不奇怪，但ASML在将推动其未来十年收入的产品中占据主导地位，即EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML提供光刻设备，这是一种通过光源打印芯片特征的艺术，有多种光谱，其中最先进的是EUV，这是DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于DUV来说，尽管ASML拥有超过85%的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV的工作波长几乎比DUV小15倍（13.5 nm与193nm相比）。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将到来的3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商非常依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来很划算，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是ASML。对于每一代新的EUV机器，其产量都会变得更好，吞吐量更高，停机问题也会减少，这意味着ASML实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都与流程知识有关的行业。台积电(TSM)能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米芯片，它将能够生产3纳米芯片，因为它可以生产5纳米芯片，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司如此有害。(INTC)不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面持续存在的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到5纳米，就没有3纳米，我在上一篇文章中也讨论过。ASML也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入EUV领域，他们将落后ASML很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前困扰ASML的EUV早期的相同问题。我附上了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，这次投资者日发生在2018年11月，下一次投资者日将于2021年9月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。6.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了ASML在其EUV生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也转化为每一代更好的EUV机器，其生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用EUV技术需要多少时间和资金，我无法想象对一家公司来说还有比这更有利的竞争形势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。16.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>半导体制造是一项残酷的业务，根据摩尔定律，大量的研发支出（ASML花费了60亿欧元的研发支出来发明EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着ASML已经在研究下一代技术，称为高NA-EUV。高NA-EUV还有一段时间，下面的时间表略显过时，但其技术将显着改善EUV平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高产量和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍有大量机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。21.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面制定了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的DUV平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。25.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上这样一个事实，即半导体行业总体预计至少在2028年之前将超过总体GDP，复合年增长率为8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司（场外交易代码：SSNLF）最近的通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们预计未来十年的总资本支出将超过2000亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中可以看出，ASML希望通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的DUV路线图可以作为一个例子，说明EUV的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像DUV的情况一样。该公司已标记为安装基础管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，DUV产品和商机，第14页。10.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战ASML，但公司在该技术处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现，对EUV的影响就像EUV对DUV所做的那样。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了强调这一点，我插入了ASML自己对光刻如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是制造更强大、更快、更便宜芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案集成，有助于优化生产并实现可承受的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图(称为“掩模”或“掩模”)投射。随着图案被编码在光中，系统的光学器件收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。在打印图案之后，系统稍微移动晶片并在晶片上进行另一次复制。重复该过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成晶片的一层芯片。为了制造整个微芯片，该过程一层又一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路(IC)。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有超过150层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于具有最小特征的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于具有较大特征的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果他们不熟悉，他们应该拿本书自学。通读这一部分后，考虑到我对ASML的地位和竞争力的强烈支持，我作为作者很容易受到确认偏见的困扰。然而，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响ASML的情况，老实说，我找不到。当然，也存在与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这在2016年的股价中也有所体现，目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。该公司自己在其2020年年度报告第21页中提到了这些问题，没有一个行业没有潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML开创了EUV光刻，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将在本十年为ASML及其客户带来长期价值</li><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%，超过总体GDP，ASML是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动了对ASML产品的需求</li><li>在装机基础管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片的EUV机械的依赖方面扩大EUV业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML是领先芯片制造的关键参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML自身表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入增长强劲</li><li>利润率强劲扩张</li><li>自由现金流强劲改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来加强其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是2021年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于2021年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入扩张略低，为41亿欧元，毛利率为49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。14.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是安装库管理中的开发，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从2019年到2020年同比增长29%，远远超过18%的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。8.</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是，市场估计是否低估了ASML的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了还是高估了ASML的潜力？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对ASML的报道很好，他们提供了到2028年的预测，但一旦我们超过2025年，报道范围就会减弱，这是最后一年有超过一名分析师报道。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR发展为11.1%，但如果我们去掉2021年的强劲增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到2028年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果不考虑2020年至2021年的大幅增长，ASML的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑一些支持ASML前景可能更加积极的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业CAGR 2020-2028年预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025预测为8.4%，仍然是ASML最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027年预测为12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML在通过“安装基础管理”扩大其机械生态系统的计划方面取得了进展，使总目标市场增加了两位数以上的百分比，因为2018年的销售额占安装基础管理的20%，2025年的估计为50%。</li><li>ASML在DUV沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是DUV利润率较高的部分，因为其在DUV的两个唯一竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向EUV过渡，对DUV的需求将随之而来，因为芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造从这两种系统中受益。</li></ul>这还没有提到潜在的价格上涨可能会渗透到其客户身上，因为他们可能会争夺ASML的产能，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强大市场地位以及在EUV中的垄断地位，同时也在中期将高NA-EUV推向市场。这十年。如今，客户为EUV机器支付大约1.3-1.5亿美元，而DUV机器的价格约为1亿美元。ASML超额交付的最大障碍是其目前交付EUV系统的能力限制，每年交付EUV系统的能力限制在40到50个系统之间，随着多年来需求的增加，该公司当然会努力扩大这一能力限制。另一方面，随着ASML努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图构建一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否成立，或者它们是否过于积极或消极。我只想强调，考虑到正在发生的一切以及ASML的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现比目前预期的更好并不是不合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>该股价距离52周高点仅一英寸，自2020年初以来一直在上涨，自2020年10月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长，市盈率也大幅扩大。股市早已认识到ASML的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股722美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供价格目标的30名分析师中，非常看涨的比例自2016年以来从未如此之高，其中56%的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类言论时保持谨慎是一种心理锻炼，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——向上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，当考虑到五年的时间范围时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅上涨，分别为55和15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司的处境截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极的发展，ASML还通过2021年100亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还了大量资本，不幸的是，这仅相当于当前流通量减少了0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对ASML未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了人们对ASML未来的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的投资组合和市场主导地位，近年来该预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信目前的股东在持有现有股份方面做得很好，因为这家公司前景广阔。去年我一直在关注ASML，我非常难过地说，我从未抽出时间仔细研究过它，只是从远处看了看，并得出结论，该股可能会出现良好的回调在某一点上。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言，“投资者为调整做准备或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对ASML的前景和潜在旅程非常着迷，但以目前的价格，我仍然对前景和缺乏安全边际犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上当前的水平，我会说美元成本平均法对于当前价格来说是一种谨慎的策略，同时保留备份的可能性如果我们在2021年底之前看到回调，卡车将满载。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML在其两个主要产品DUV和EUV光刻中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲推动力的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，看不到真正的竞争，为预计到2028年复合年增长率为8.6%的行业提供机械和工具，其DUV和EUV平台的增长可能会更强劲，同时预计利润率也会扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML没什么不好说的，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。在如此强劲的前景下，现有股东在持有股票并享受未来的旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值的大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。最近，该股的交易价格距离52周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者准备调整或试图预测调整所损失的资金远远超过调整本身所损失的资金。”当我从远处看ASML很长一段时间时，我已经成为了这个谬论的受害者。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了ASML的真正潜力，但任何延长到未来5-10年的预测都带有极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，这使得平均成本法可以作为一种方法来获得该公司的风险敞口，并在此过程中慢慢建立头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。</li><li>预计到2025年，DUV光刻将以8.4%的CAGR增长，而EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML在EUV领域占据垄断地位，在DUV领域面临非常有限的竞争，这两个平台对半导体制造工艺绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为真正的创新者，ASML拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受这一旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，几乎没有安全边际，他们可能会通过平均成本法涉足水，以从推动ASML的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>宏观照片/iStock来自Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding(ASML)在其最先进的技术平台EUV光刻方面拥有无与伦比的市场地位，看不到竞争对手。同样，它在DUV内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识拥有非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于总体GDP的行业运营时。然而，市场早已认识到ASML的突出潜力和潜力之旅，但它仍然可能低估了潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇关于如何不要拥有太多半导体敞口的文章。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论区收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行跟进。我选择ASML是因为其独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器(TXN)和博通公司(AVGO)的股票接触到了半导体价值链的制造水平，但进一步深入价值链，投资者可以被允许以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触大多数制造商，这使得它非常有趣，因为你可以采用“我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在比赛”的口号。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML的追随者来说，这一点并不奇怪，但ASML在将推动其未来十年收入的产品中占据主导地位，即EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML提供光刻设备，这是一种通过光源打印芯片特征的艺术，有多种光谱，其中最先进的是EUV，这是DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于DUV来说，尽管ASML拥有超过85%的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV的工作波长几乎比DUV小15倍（13.5 nm与193nm相比）。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将到来的3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商非常依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来很划算，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是ASML。对于每一代新的EUV机器，其产量都会变得更好，吞吐量更高，停机问题也会减少，这意味着ASML实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都与流程知识有关的行业。台积电(TSM)能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米芯片，它将能够生产3纳米芯片，因为它可以生产5纳米芯片，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司如此有害。(INTC)不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面持续存在的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到5纳米，就没有3纳米，我在上一篇文章中也讨论过。ASML也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入EUV领域，他们将落后ASML很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前困扰ASML的EUV早期的相同问题。我附上了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，这次投资者日发生在2018年11月，下一次投资者日将于2021年9月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。6.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了ASML在其EUV生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也转化为每一代更好的EUV机器，其生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用EUV技术需要多少时间和资金，我无法想象对一家公司来说还有比这更有利的竞争形势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。16.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>半导体制造是一项残酷的业务，根据摩尔定律，大量的研发支出（ASML花费了60亿欧元的研发支出来发明EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着ASML已经在研究下一代技术，称为高NA-EUV。高NA-EUV还有一段时间，下面的时间表略显过时，但其技术将显着改善EUV平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高产量和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍有大量机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。21.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面制定了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的DUV平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。25.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上这样一个事实，即半导体行业总体预计至少在2028年之前将超过总体GDP，复合年增长率为8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司（场外交易代码：SSNLF）最近的通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们预计未来十年的总资本支出将超过2000亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中可以看出，ASML希望通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的DUV路线图可以作为一个例子，说明EUV的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像DUV的情况一样。该公司已标记为安装基础管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，DUV产品和商机，第14页。10.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战ASML，但公司在该技术处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现，对EUV的影响就像EUV对DUV所做的那样。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了强调这一点，我插入了ASML自己对光刻如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是制造更强大、更快、更便宜芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案集成，有助于优化生产并实现可承受的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图(称为“掩模”或“掩模”)投射。随着图案被编码在光中，系统的光学器件收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。在打印图案之后，系统稍微移动晶片并在晶片上进行另一次复制。重复该过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成晶片的一层芯片。为了制造整个微芯片，该过程一层又一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路(IC)。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有超过150层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于具有最小特征的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于具有较大特征的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果他们不熟悉，他们应该拿本书自学。通读这一部分后，考虑到我对ASML的地位和竞争力的强烈支持，我作为作者很容易受到确认偏见的困扰。然而，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响ASML的情况，老实说，我找不到。当然，也存在与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这在2016年的股价中也有所体现，目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。该公司自己在其2020年年度报告第21页中提到了这些问题，没有一个行业没有潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML开创了EUV光刻，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将在本十年为ASML及其客户带来长期价值</li><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%，超过总体GDP，ASML是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动了对ASML产品的需求</li><li>在装机基础管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片的EUV机械的依赖方面扩大EUV业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML是领先芯片制造的关键参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML自身表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入增长强劲</li><li>利润率强劲扩张</li><li>自由现金流强劲改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来加强其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是2021年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于2021年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入扩张略低，为41亿欧元，毛利率为49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。14.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是安装库管理中的开发，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从2019年到2020年同比增长29%，远远超过18%的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。8.</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是，市场估计是否低估了ASML的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了还是高估了ASML的潜力？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对ASML的报道很好，他们提供了到2028年的预测，但一旦我们超过2025年，报道范围就会减弱，这是最后一年有超过一名分析师报道。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR发展为11.1%，但如果我们去掉2021年的强劲增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到2028年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果不考虑2020年至2021年的大幅增长，ASML的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑一些支持ASML前景可能更加积极的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业CAGR 2020-2028年预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025预测为8.4%，仍然是ASML最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027年预测为12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML在通过“安装基础管理”扩大其机械生态系统的计划方面取得了进展，使总目标市场增加了两位数以上的百分比，因为2018年的销售额占安装基础管理的20%，2025年的估计为50%。</li><li>ASML在DUV沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是DUV利润率较高的部分，因为其在DUV的两个唯一竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向EUV过渡，对DUV的需求将随之而来，因为芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造从这两种系统中受益。</li></ul>这还没有提到潜在的价格上涨可能会渗透到其客户身上，因为他们可能会争夺ASML的产能，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强大市场地位以及在EUV中的垄断地位，同时也在中期将高NA-EUV推向市场。这十年。如今，客户为EUV机器支付大约1.3-1.5亿美元，而DUV机器的价格约为1亿美元。ASML超额交付的最大障碍是其目前交付EUV系统的能力限制，每年交付EUV系统的能力限制在40到50个系统之间，随着多年来需求的增加，该公司当然会努力扩大这一能力限制。另一方面，随着ASML努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图构建一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否成立，或者它们是否过于积极或消极。我只想强调，考虑到正在发生的一切以及ASML的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现比目前预期的更好并不是不合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>该股价距离52周高点仅一英寸，自2020年初以来一直在上涨，自2020年10月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长，市盈率也大幅扩大。股市早已认识到ASML的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股722美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供价格目标的30名分析师中，非常看涨的比例自2016年以来从未如此之高，其中56%的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类言论时保持谨慎是一种心理锻炼，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——向上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，当考虑到五年的时间范围时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅上涨，分别为55和15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司的处境截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极的发展，ASML还通过2021年100亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还了大量资本，不幸的是，这仅相当于当前流通量减少了0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对ASML未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了人们对ASML未来的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的投资组合和市场主导地位，近年来该预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信目前的股东在持有现有股份方面做得很好，因为这家公司前景广阔。去年我一直在关注ASML，我非常难过地说，我从未抽出时间仔细研究过它，只是从远处看了看，并得出结论，该股可能会出现良好的回调在某一点上。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言，“投资者为调整做准备或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对ASML的前景和潜在旅程非常着迷，但以目前的价格，我仍然对前景和缺乏安全边际犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上当前的水平，我会说美元成本平均法对于当前价格来说是一种谨慎的策略，同时保留备份的可能性如果我们在2021年底之前看到回调，卡车将满载。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML在其两个主要产品DUV和EUV光刻中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲推动力的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，看不到真正的竞争，为预计到2028年复合年增长率为8.6%的行业提供机械和工具，其DUV和EUV平台的增长可能会更强劲，同时预计利润率也会扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML没什么不好说的，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。在如此强劲的前景下，现有股东在持有股票并享受未来的旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值的大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。最近，该股的交易价格距离52周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者准备调整或试图预测调整所损失的资金远远超过调整本身所损失的资金。”当我从远处看ASML很长一段时间时，我已经成为了这个谬论的受害者。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了ASML的真正潜力，但任何延长到未来5-10年的预测都带有极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，这使得平均成本法可以作为一种方法来获得该公司的风险敞口，并在此过程中慢慢建立头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168762020","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.\nASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.\nA true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.\nExisting shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.\n\nMACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.\nIt's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.\nPersonally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.\nThe Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come\nFor ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).\nActually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.\nThis is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.\nQuite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.\nThe picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.\nSemiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.\nASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.\nIf that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.\nAs can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.\nASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.\nThere is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.\n\n “\n Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.”\n ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\n\nASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\nI believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.\nSo, to sum it all up:\n\nASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight\nEUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade\nThe semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)\nStrong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings\nThe path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips\nASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing\n\nSounds pretty good to me.\nThe Financial Performance and Development\nASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.\n\nStrong revenue growth\nStrong margin expansion\nStrong improvement in free cash flow\nImpressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&D spend and IP portfolio\n\nAnnual Report 2020, p 7.\nThis was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.\nAn interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.\nThe more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.\nAre Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?\nASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.\nAuthor's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.\nRemember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.\nConsidering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:\n\nGeneral semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.\nDUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.\nEUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.\nASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.\nASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.\nASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.\nAs the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.\n\nThis is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.\nI will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.\nValuation\nThe stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.\nData by YCharts\nMarket cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.\nThe significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.\nData by YCharts\nRevenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.\nData by YCharts\nThe strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.\nData by YCharts\nWith all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.\nAs Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.\nThere is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.\nAs can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.\nData by YCharts\nConclusion\nASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.\nThere is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.\nAs Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184881666,"gmtCreate":1623706416055,"gmtModify":1631891265683,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>I have high confidence in Microsoft.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>I have high confidence in Microsoft.","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$I have high confidence in Microsoft.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ef4afc01b295f71da2fdc6f7fd0f40a","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184881666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131288622,"gmtCreate":1621863266266,"gmtModify":1631891265694,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good way to start the week","listText":"Good way to start the week","text":"Good way to start the week","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131288622","repostId":"1185261745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185261745","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621863142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185261745?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185261745","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the econ","content":"<p>U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the economic reopening led the advance.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周一上涨，科技板块和从经济重新开放中受益最大的股票领涨。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨140点。标普500上涨0.6%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Tech stocks gained to shake off another rough period for bitcoin over the weekend as thecryptocurrency bounced Monday. The&nbsp;cryptocurrencydropped under $32,000 on Sunday, only to rebound 16% above $38,000 on Monday. On Wednesday, bitcoin prices tumbled to just above $30,000, dropping to the lowest level since late January.</p><p><blockquote>随着加密货币周一反弹，科技股周末上涨，摆脱了比特币的又一个艰难时期。该加密货币周日跌破32,000美元，周一反弹16%至38,000美元上方。周三，比特币价格暴跌至略高于3万美元，跌至1月底以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Tesla, a big holder of the crypto, gained 0.5% in premarket trading despite the bitcoin volatility. Coinbase added 2% in premarket trading as bitcoin stabilized Monday and as Goldmanstarted the crypto-exchange with a buy rating.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币波动，该加密货币的大持有者特斯拉的股价在盘前交易中仍上涨了0.5%。随着比特币周一企稳以及高盛对该加密货币交易所给予买入评级，Coinbase在盘前交易中上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks benefiting from the economic reopening gained in premarket trading as well. Share of Gap, Carnival and United Airlines were higher. Norwegian Cruise Line rose 1% in premarket after the cruise line operator announced plans to return cruising in the U.S. this summer.</p><p><blockquote>受益于经济重新开放的股票也在盘前交易中上涨。Gap、嘉年华和联合航空的份额较高。挪威邮轮公司(Norwegian Cruise Line)宣布计划今年夏天恢复美国邮轮业务，盘前股价上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see incremental data points that strengthen our view that when equities break out of this range, the next move is a substantial rise higher,” wrote Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee cited data showing a collapse in Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors研究主管Tom Lee写道：“我们继续看到增量数据点，这强化了我们的观点，即当股市突破这一区间时，下一步就是大幅走高。”李引用的数据显示新冠肺炎病例大幅减少。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks have stalled lately. The previous week saw the Dow post its fourth negative week in five, but the losses were minor. The Dow dipped just 0.5% on the week, while the S&amp;P lost just 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, gained 0.31% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak.</p><p><blockquote>股票最近停滞不前。上周道琼斯指数连续五周下跌，但跌幅很小。道琼斯指数本周仅下跌0.5%，而标准普尔指数仅下跌0.4%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数上周上涨0.31%，结束了连续四周的下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Despite last week’s “collapse in crypto markets and rather hawkish FOMC minutes, another equity dip was bought by investors,” JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. “This ‘buy the dip’ mentality has been remarkably strong this year and has provided a support preventing any small correction in equities and risk markets from becoming more extended,” the firm added.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在给客户的一份报告中写道，尽管上周“加密货币市场崩溃，联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要相当鹰派，但投资者还是买入了股市再次下跌”。该公司补充道：“今年这种‘逢低买入’的心态非常强烈，并提供了支撑，防止股市和风险市场的任何小幅调整变得更加持久。”</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve hinted at its&nbsp;April meeting&nbsp;that easy monetary policies could be reconsidered if the economy continues to show signs of rapid improvement, according to minutes from the meeting released last week.</p><p><blockquote>根据上周公布的会议纪要，美联储在4月会议上暗示，如果经济继续出现快速改善的迹象，可能会重新考虑宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the last full trading week of the month, the Dow is on track to post a gain for May, while the S&amp;P is on track to snap a three-month winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite, which is down more than 3% for the month, is on track to snap its longest monthly winning streak since Jan. 2018, with its first negative month in seven.</p><p><blockquote>进入本月最后一个完整交易周，道琼斯指数有望在5月份上涨，而标准普尔指数有望实现三个月连涨。纳斯达克综合指数本月下跌超过3%，有望创下自2018年1月以来最长的月度连涨纪录，这是七个月来首次出现负值。</blockquote></p><p>After outperforming year-to-date, small caps have faced recent weakness, and the Russell 2000 is on track to snap a seven-month winning streak.</p><p><blockquote>在今年迄今表现出色后，小盘股近期面临疲软，Russell 2000指数有望实现七个月连涨snap。</blockquote></p><p>“We think the choppy/sideways trend will continue for a bit longer, and the market will experience sell-off scares along the way,” noted Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “While stocks are absorbing a lot of changes well so far, all the inflection points still have longer to play out.”</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人Adam Crisafulli指出：“我们认为震荡/横盘趋势将持续一段时间，市场将在此过程中经历抛售恐慌。”“虽然到目前为止股市很好地吸收了很多变化，但所有拐点仍需要更长的时间才能显现出来。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-24 21:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the economic reopening led the advance.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周一上涨，科技板块和从经济重新开放中受益最大的股票领涨。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨140点。标普500上涨0.6%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Tech stocks gained to shake off another rough period for bitcoin over the weekend as thecryptocurrency bounced Monday. The&nbsp;cryptocurrencydropped under $32,000 on Sunday, only to rebound 16% above $38,000 on Monday. On Wednesday, bitcoin prices tumbled to just above $30,000, dropping to the lowest level since late January.</p><p><blockquote>随着加密货币周一反弹，科技股周末上涨，摆脱了比特币的又一个艰难时期。该加密货币周日跌破32,000美元，周一反弹16%至38,000美元上方。周三，比特币价格暴跌至略高于3万美元，跌至1月底以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Tesla, a big holder of the crypto, gained 0.5% in premarket trading despite the bitcoin volatility. Coinbase added 2% in premarket trading as bitcoin stabilized Monday and as Goldmanstarted the crypto-exchange with a buy rating.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币波动，该加密货币的大持有者特斯拉的股价在盘前交易中仍上涨了0.5%。随着比特币周一企稳以及高盛对该加密货币交易所给予买入评级，Coinbase在盘前交易中上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks benefiting from the economic reopening gained in premarket trading as well. Share of Gap, Carnival and United Airlines were higher. Norwegian Cruise Line rose 1% in premarket after the cruise line operator announced plans to return cruising in the U.S. this summer.</p><p><blockquote>受益于经济重新开放的股票也在盘前交易中上涨。Gap、嘉年华和联合航空的份额较高。挪威邮轮公司(Norwegian Cruise Line)宣布计划今年夏天恢复美国邮轮业务，盘前股价上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see incremental data points that strengthen our view that when equities break out of this range, the next move is a substantial rise higher,” wrote Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee cited data showing a collapse in Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors研究主管Tom Lee写道：“我们继续看到增量数据点，这强化了我们的观点，即当股市突破这一区间时，下一步就是大幅走高。”李引用的数据显示新冠肺炎病例大幅减少。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks have stalled lately. The previous week saw the Dow post its fourth negative week in five, but the losses were minor. The Dow dipped just 0.5% on the week, while the S&amp;P lost just 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, gained 0.31% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak.</p><p><blockquote>股票最近停滞不前。上周道琼斯指数连续五周下跌，但跌幅很小。道琼斯指数本周仅下跌0.5%，而标准普尔指数仅下跌0.4%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数上周上涨0.31%，结束了连续四周的下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Despite last week’s “collapse in crypto markets and rather hawkish FOMC minutes, another equity dip was bought by investors,” JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. “This ‘buy the dip’ mentality has been remarkably strong this year and has provided a support preventing any small correction in equities and risk markets from becoming more extended,” the firm added.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在给客户的一份报告中写道，尽管上周“加密货币市场崩溃，联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要相当鹰派，但投资者还是买入了股市再次下跌”。该公司补充道：“今年这种‘逢低买入’的心态非常强烈，并提供了支撑，防止股市和风险市场的任何小幅调整变得更加持久。”</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve hinted at its&nbsp;April meeting&nbsp;that easy monetary policies could be reconsidered if the economy continues to show signs of rapid improvement, according to minutes from the meeting released last week.</p><p><blockquote>根据上周公布的会议纪要，美联储在4月会议上暗示，如果经济继续出现快速改善的迹象，可能会重新考虑宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the last full trading week of the month, the Dow is on track to post a gain for May, while the S&amp;P is on track to snap a three-month winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite, which is down more than 3% for the month, is on track to snap its longest monthly winning streak since Jan. 2018, with its first negative month in seven.</p><p><blockquote>进入本月最后一个完整交易周，道琼斯指数有望在5月份上涨，而标准普尔指数有望实现三个月连涨。纳斯达克综合指数本月下跌超过3%，有望创下自2018年1月以来最长的月度连涨纪录，这是七个月来首次出现负值。</blockquote></p><p>After outperforming year-to-date, small caps have faced recent weakness, and the Russell 2000 is on track to snap a seven-month winning streak.</p><p><blockquote>在今年迄今表现出色后，小盘股近期面临疲软，Russell 2000指数有望实现七个月连涨snap。</blockquote></p><p>“We think the choppy/sideways trend will continue for a bit longer, and the market will experience sell-off scares along the way,” noted Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “While stocks are absorbing a lot of changes well so far, all the inflection points still have longer to play out.”</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人Adam Crisafulli指出：“我们认为震荡/横盘趋势将持续一段时间，市场将在此过程中经历抛售恐慌。”“虽然到目前为止股市很好地吸收了很多变化，但所有拐点仍需要更长的时间才能显现出来。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185261745","content_text":"U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the economic reopening led the advance.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.7%.Tech stocks gained to shake off another rough period for bitcoin over the weekend as thecryptocurrency bounced Monday. The cryptocurrencydropped under $32,000 on Sunday, only to rebound 16% above $38,000 on Monday. On Wednesday, bitcoin prices tumbled to just above $30,000, dropping to the lowest level since late January.Shares of Tesla, a big holder of the crypto, gained 0.5% in premarket trading despite the bitcoin volatility. Coinbase added 2% in premarket trading as bitcoin stabilized Monday and as Goldmanstarted the crypto-exchange with a buy rating.Stocks benefiting from the economic reopening gained in premarket trading as well. Share of Gap, Carnival and United Airlines were higher. Norwegian Cruise Line rose 1% in premarket after the cruise line operator announced plans to return cruising in the U.S. this summer.“We continue to see incremental data points that strengthen our view that when equities break out of this range, the next move is a substantial rise higher,” wrote Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee cited data showing a collapse in Covid-19 cases.Stocks have stalled lately. The previous week saw the Dow post its fourth negative week in five, but the losses were minor. The Dow dipped just 0.5% on the week, while the S&P lost just 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, gained 0.31% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak.Despite last week’s “collapse in crypto markets and rather hawkish FOMC minutes, another equity dip was bought by investors,” JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. “This ‘buy the dip’ mentality has been remarkably strong this year and has provided a support preventing any small correction in equities and risk markets from becoming more extended,” the firm added.The Federal Reserve hinted at its April meeting that easy monetary policies could be reconsidered if the economy continues to show signs of rapid improvement, according to minutes from the meeting released last week.Heading into the last full trading week of the month, the Dow is on track to post a gain for May, while the S&P is on track to snap a three-month winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite, which is down more than 3% for the month, is on track to snap its longest monthly winning streak since Jan. 2018, with its first negative month in seven.After outperforming year-to-date, small caps have faced recent weakness, and the Russell 2000 is on track to snap a seven-month winning streak.“We think the choppy/sideways trend will continue for a bit longer, and the market will experience sell-off scares along the way,” noted Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “While stocks are absorbing a lot of changes well so far, all the inflection points still have longer to play out.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130129254,"gmtCreate":1621519659878,"gmtModify":1631891265706,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s been a rocky journey... hope the growth is sustainable!&nbsp;","listText":"It’s been a rocky journey... hope the growth is sustainable!&nbsp;","text":"It’s been a rocky journey... hope the growth is sustainable!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130129254","repostId":"1105922542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105922542","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621519192,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105922542?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks rebounded in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105922542","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks rebounded in Thursday morning trading.Tesla and Li Auto rose more than 3%,NIO and Xpeng Mo","content":"<p>EV stocks rebounded in Thursday&nbsp;morning trading.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;Li Auto&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%,NIO&nbsp;and&nbsp;Xpeng Motors&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>EV股周四早盘反弹，特斯拉、理想汽车涨超3%，蔚来、小鹏汽车涨超2%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4c9a50c8d07df25c5400da73763682e\" tg-width=\"379\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks rebounded in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks rebounded in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-20 21:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks rebounded in Thursday&nbsp;morning trading.Tesla&nbsp;and&nbsp;Li Auto&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%,NIO&nbsp;and&nbsp;Xpeng Motors&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>EV股周四早盘反弹，特斯拉、理想汽车涨超3%，蔚来、小鹏汽车涨超2%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4c9a50c8d07df25c5400da73763682e\" tg-width=\"379\" tg-height=\"356\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","NIU":"小牛电动"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105922542","content_text":"EV stocks rebounded in Thursday morning trading.Tesla and Li Auto rose more than 3%,NIO and Xpeng Motors rose more than 2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130189109,"gmtCreate":1621518880601,"gmtModify":1631891265719,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news! [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"Good news! [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"Good news! [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130189109","repostId":"1101350945","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101350945","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621517478,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101350945?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101350945","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares sta","content":"<p>U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.</p><p><blockquote>随着科技股卷土重来，美国股市周四上涨，从连续三天的下跌中反弹。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.</p><p><blockquote>由于所谓的FAANG股票均走高，标普500上涨0.3%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.5%。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨25点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ef78999e76ecb8c586d2141a3b1b7d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000, &nbsp;the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对周四好于预期的初请失业金报告欢呼雀跃。美国劳工部周四报告称，截至5月15日当周首次申请失业救济人数为444,000人。接受道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计新增申请失业救济人数为452,000人。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including&nbsp;Tesla,Coinbase&nbsp;and&nbsp;MicroStrategy, led the market decline as&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在股市反弹之前，比特币突然下跌引发了华尔街的过山车交易，导致市场许多投机领域大幅抛售。特斯拉、Coinbase和MicroStrategy等加密货币相关股票领跌市场，比特币周三一度暴跌30%。</blockquote></p><p>After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.</p><p><blockquote>在触及近30,000美元的低点后，比特币在周三晚些时候收复了部分失地。随着比特币反弹，股市收盘远低于低点。</blockquote></p><p>On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush&nbsp;said to buy the crypto-exchange&nbsp;despite the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据Coin Metrics的数据，周四，该加密货币小幅上涨至40,000美元左右。在韦德布什表示尽管波动较大仍将购买该加密货币交易所后，Coinbase股价在周四早盘交易中走高。</blockquote></p><p>“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“毕竟，加密货币是流动性引发的投机的典型代表，而这种投机现在正在萎缩……这一事实证实了风险市场现在开始适应迫在眉睫的流动性峰值前景的感觉，”摩根大通策略师在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在前一交易日的盘中低点下跌1.6%，但随着比特币企稳，收复了大部分跌幅，收盘仅下跌0.3%。蓝筹股道琼斯指数一度暴跌580点，收盘下跌约160点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数收盘持平，抹去了1.7%的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.</p><p><blockquote>周三是道琼斯指数连续第三天下跌，本周下跌1.4%。随着市场反弹至高点的停滞，上周平均指数下跌了约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of&nbsp;Cisco&nbsp;dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected&nbsp;earnings guidancefor the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>思科发布弱于预期的本季度盈利指引后，该科技集团周四股价下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday, investors also digested&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s minutes&nbsp;from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.</p><p><blockquote>周三，投资者还消化了美联储4月份的纪要，该纪要暗示考虑在即将召开的会议上缩减资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.</p><p><blockquote>美联储纪要称：“一些与会者表示，如果经济继续朝着委员会的目标快速取得进展，那么在即将召开的会议中的某个时候开始讨论调整资产购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-20 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.</p><p><blockquote>随着科技股卷土重来，美国股市周四上涨，从连续三天的下跌中反弹。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.</p><p><blockquote>由于所谓的FAANG股票均走高，标普500上涨0.3%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.5%。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨25点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ef78999e76ecb8c586d2141a3b1b7d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000, &nbsp;the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对周四好于预期的初请失业金报告欢呼雀跃。美国劳工部周四报告称，截至5月15日当周首次申请失业救济人数为444,000人。接受道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计新增申请失业救济人数为452,000人。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including&nbsp;Tesla,Coinbase&nbsp;and&nbsp;MicroStrategy, led the market decline as&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在股市反弹之前，比特币突然下跌引发了华尔街的过山车交易，导致市场许多投机领域大幅抛售。特斯拉、Coinbase和MicroStrategy等加密货币相关股票领跌市场，比特币周三一度暴跌30%。</blockquote></p><p>After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.</p><p><blockquote>在触及近30,000美元的低点后，比特币在周三晚些时候收复了部分失地。随着比特币反弹，股市收盘远低于低点。</blockquote></p><p>On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush&nbsp;said to buy the crypto-exchange&nbsp;despite the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据Coin Metrics的数据，周四，该加密货币小幅上涨至40,000美元左右。在韦德布什表示尽管波动较大仍将购买该加密货币交易所后，Coinbase股价在周四早盘交易中走高。</blockquote></p><p>“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“毕竟，加密货币是流动性引发的投机的典型代表，而这种投机现在正在萎缩……这一事实证实了风险市场现在开始适应迫在眉睫的流动性峰值前景的感觉，”摩根大通策略师在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在前一交易日的盘中低点下跌1.6%，但随着比特币企稳，收复了大部分跌幅，收盘仅下跌0.3%。蓝筹股道琼斯指数一度暴跌580点，收盘下跌约160点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数收盘持平，抹去了1.7%的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.</p><p><blockquote>周三是道琼斯指数连续第三天下跌，本周下跌1.4%。随着市场反弹至高点的停滞，上周平均指数下跌了约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of&nbsp;Cisco&nbsp;dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected&nbsp;earnings guidancefor the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>思科发布弱于预期的本季度盈利指引后，该科技集团周四股价下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday, investors also digested&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s minutes&nbsp;from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.</p><p><blockquote>周三，投资者还消化了美联储4月份的纪要，该纪要暗示考虑在即将召开的会议上缩减资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.</p><p><blockquote>美联储纪要称：“一些与会者表示，如果经济继续朝着委员会的目标快速取得进展，那么在即将召开的会议中的某个时候开始讨论调整资产购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101350945","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.The S&P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000,  the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including Tesla,Coinbase and MicroStrategy, led the market decline as bitcoin tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush said to buy the crypto-exchange despite the volatility.“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.The S&P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.Shares of Cisco dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected earnings guidancefor the current quarter.On Wednesday, investors also digested the Federal Reserve’s minutes from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197977256,"gmtCreate":1621424902675,"gmtModify":1631891265732,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Both are good stocks to own!&nbsp;","listText":"Both are good stocks to own!&nbsp;","text":"Both are good stocks to own!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197977256","repostId":"1189117782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192351671,"gmtCreate":1621150132393,"gmtModify":1631887365773,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>Waiting for the comeback 😉","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a>Waiting for the comeback 😉","text":"$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$Waiting for the comeback 😉","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/063e572aa4a4859f63c7e98cbad860b6","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192351671","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198072936,"gmtCreate":1620916099925,"gmtModify":1631889373054,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Car regulation is not new in China!&nbsp;","listText":"Car regulation is not new in China!&nbsp;","text":"Car regulation is not new in China!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198072936","repostId":"1191546739","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198078499,"gmtCreate":1620916028811,"gmtModify":1631891265740,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold on to it!&nbsp;","listText":"Hold on to it!&nbsp;","text":"Hold on to it!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198078499","repostId":"1164484222","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104223821,"gmtCreate":1620394790463,"gmtModify":1631891265756,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Still confident that you will return strong!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Still confident that you will return strong!&nbsp;","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Still confident that you will return strong!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d28ed1b5f9f2a3cd86f01338b6ea846b","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104223821","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105508741,"gmtCreate":1620309731483,"gmtModify":1631893569278,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stick with these companies will not go wrong!","listText":"Stick with these companies will not go wrong!","text":"Stick with these companies will not go wrong!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105508741","repostId":"2133573716","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105509746,"gmtCreate":1620309660185,"gmtModify":1631893569280,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That’s a good strategy!","listText":"That’s a good strategy!","text":"That’s a good strategy!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105509746","repostId":"2133387578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102734468,"gmtCreate":1620252606054,"gmtModify":1631893569287,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The trend in e-commerce is here to stay, regardless of pandemic. Behavior of people do change and adoption rate increases exponentiall due to circumstances!&nbsp;","listText":"The trend in e-commerce is here to stay, regardless of pandemic. Behavior of people do change and adoption rate increases exponentiall due to circumstances!&nbsp;","text":"The trend in e-commerce is here to stay, regardless of pandemic. Behavior of people do change and adoption rate increases exponentiall due to circumstances!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102734468","repostId":"2133521525","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133521525","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1620227934,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2133521525?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-05 23:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shopify Smashed Expectations Again But Post-Pandemic Uncertainty Lies Ahead<blockquote>Shopify再次超出预期，但大流行后的不确定性仍然存在</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133521525","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Last Wednesday, Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) earnings, revenue and gross merchandise volume for the first quarter crushed analyst expectations As a result, shares of the stock soared 11.4% as e-commerce growth remained robust during the coronavirus pandemic.","content":"<p>Last Wednesday, <b>Shopify </b>(NYSE:SHOP) earnings, revenue and gross merchandise volume for the first quarter crushed analyst expectations As a result, shares of the stock soared 11.4% as e-commerce growth remained robust during the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>上周三，<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）第一季度的盈利、收入和商品总量超出了分析师的预期。因此，由于冠状病毒大流行期间电子商务增长依然强劲，该股股价飙升11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Q1 Figures</h4> For the quarter that ended on March 31st, investors had expected Shopify to post $865.48 million but it delivered $988.6 million instead. This achievement was enabled by the 137% growth of the \"Merchant Solutions\" business that expanded even at an even faster pace during the quarter than the company's aggregate 110% growth rate. This segment that encompasses payments, shipping, and capital services brought $668 million to the table, exceeding estimates of $560 million. In addition, subscription solutions revenue rose 71% to $320.7 million, also exceeding estimates of $284 million.</p><p><blockquote><h4>第一季度数据</h4>在截至3月31日的季度中，投资者原本预计Shopify的营收为8.6548亿美元，但实际实现了9.886亿美元。这一成就得益于“商家解决方案”业务137%的增长，该业务在本季度的扩张速度甚至超过了公司110%的总增长率。该部门包括支付、运输和资本服务，带来了6.68亿美元的收入，超过了5.6亿美元的预期。此外，订阅解决方案收入增长71%至3.207亿美元，也超过预期的2.84亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net income was boosted by an unrealized gain of $1.3 billion from its partnership with Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM) which went public at the beginning of the year. Since last July, Shopify owns more than 20 million shares of the online payments company. It earned an adjusted $2.01 per share, including a $1.3 billion investment gain. Adjusted earnings were more than triple Wall Street's projected 75 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>与年初上市的Affirm Holdings Inc（纳斯达克股票代码：AFRM）合作带来的13亿美元未实现收益提振了净利润。自去年7月以来，Shopify拥有这家在线支付公司超过2000万股股票。调整后每股收益为2.01美元，其中包括13亿美元的投资收益。调整后的收益是华尔街预计的每股75美分的三倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <h4><b>How Sustainable Is The Pandemic Win?</b></h4> Shopify became <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the biggest winners of the pandemic-fueled shift to e-commerce, as many brick-and-mortar stores were forced to temporarily shut down and people opted to stay indoors. The stock surged last year on the back of that momentum. However, upon the earnings call, Shopify executives said that even in areas where economies have reopened, there is proof that momentum remains strong as gross merchandise volume, the monetary-value of merchandise sold, more than doubled to $37.3 billion during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote><h4><b>疫情胜利的可持续性如何？</b></h4>Shopify成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>疫情推动的向电子商务转变的最大赢家之一是，许多实体店被迫暂时关闭，人们选择呆在室内。在这一势头的推动下，该股去年飙升。然而，在财报看涨期权上，Shopify高管表示，即使在经济重新开放的地区，也有证据表明势头仍然强劲，因为本季度商品总量（销售商品的货币价值）增长了一倍多，达到373亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Concerns</h4> Executives warned that revenue growth could moderate this year as the vaccine rollout speeds up and consumers return to stores due to eased coronavirus restrictions. Executive departures have also been a concern and some analysts are questioning whether the business has reached a scale where it is self-sustaining beyond the individual contributions of several executives.</p><p><blockquote><h4>关注事项</h4>高管们警告称，随着疫苗推广速度加快，以及消费者因冠状病毒限制放松而重返商店，今年的收入增长可能会放缓。高管离职也是一个令人担忧的问题，一些分析师质疑该业务是否已经达到了自我维持的规模，超出了几位高管的个人贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Another concern is how will investments in sales, marketing and R&amp;D impact&nbsp;the operating margin as the company is building a U.S. distribution network to store and ship products for its customers – the merchants. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Keith Weiss believes demand for fulfillment services may disappoint near-term.</p><p><blockquote>另一个担忧是，随着该公司正在建立美国分销网络，为其客户（商家）储存和运输产品，销售、营销和研发投资将如何影响营业利润率。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师Keith Weiss认为，近期对履行服务的需求可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Outlook</h4> No guidance for 2021 was provided. Although blowout results for the first quarter achieved to rekindle investor enthusiasm, writing another successful chapter in the post-IPO story of this Canadian e-commerce player, management is warning a slower growth pace is in the cards as the economy reopens and the pandemic finally becomes history.</p><p><blockquote><h4>世界观</h4>没有提供2021年的指导。尽管第一季度的井喷业绩重新点燃了投资者的热情，为这家加拿大电子商务公司IPO后的故事写下了又一个成功的篇章，但管理层警告称，随着经济重新开放和疫情的爆发，增长速度可能会放缓。最终成为历史。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shopify Smashed Expectations Again But Post-Pandemic Uncertainty Lies Ahead<blockquote>Shopify再次超出预期，但大流行后的不确定性仍然存在</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShopify Smashed Expectations Again But Post-Pandemic Uncertainty Lies Ahead<blockquote>Shopify再次超出预期，但大流行后的不确定性仍然存在</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-05 23:18</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last Wednesday, <b>Shopify </b>(NYSE:SHOP) earnings, revenue and gross merchandise volume for the first quarter crushed analyst expectations As a result, shares of the stock soared 11.4% as e-commerce growth remained robust during the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>上周三，<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）第一季度的盈利、收入和商品总量超出了分析师的预期。因此，由于冠状病毒大流行期间电子商务增长依然强劲，该股股价飙升11.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Q1 Figures</h4> For the quarter that ended on March 31st, investors had expected Shopify to post $865.48 million but it delivered $988.6 million instead. This achievement was enabled by the 137% growth of the \"Merchant Solutions\" business that expanded even at an even faster pace during the quarter than the company's aggregate 110% growth rate. This segment that encompasses payments, shipping, and capital services brought $668 million to the table, exceeding estimates of $560 million. In addition, subscription solutions revenue rose 71% to $320.7 million, also exceeding estimates of $284 million.</p><p><blockquote><h4>第一季度数据</h4>在截至3月31日的季度中，投资者原本预计Shopify的营收为8.6548亿美元，但实际实现了9.886亿美元。这一成就得益于“商家解决方案”业务137%的增长，该业务在本季度的扩张速度甚至超过了公司110%的总增长率。该部门包括支付、运输和资本服务，带来了6.68亿美元的收入，超过了5.6亿美元的预期。此外，订阅解决方案收入增长71%至3.207亿美元，也超过预期的2.84亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net income was boosted by an unrealized gain of $1.3 billion from its partnership with Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM) which went public at the beginning of the year. Since last July, Shopify owns more than 20 million shares of the online payments company. It earned an adjusted $2.01 per share, including a $1.3 billion investment gain. Adjusted earnings were more than triple Wall Street's projected 75 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>与年初上市的Affirm Holdings Inc（纳斯达克股票代码：AFRM）合作带来的13亿美元未实现收益提振了净利润。自去年7月以来，Shopify拥有这家在线支付公司超过2000万股股票。调整后每股收益为2.01美元，其中包括13亿美元的投资收益。调整后的收益是华尔街预计的每股75美分的三倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <h4><b>How Sustainable Is The Pandemic Win?</b></h4> Shopify became <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the biggest winners of the pandemic-fueled shift to e-commerce, as many brick-and-mortar stores were forced to temporarily shut down and people opted to stay indoors. The stock surged last year on the back of that momentum. However, upon the earnings call, Shopify executives said that even in areas where economies have reopened, there is proof that momentum remains strong as gross merchandise volume, the monetary-value of merchandise sold, more than doubled to $37.3 billion during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote><h4><b>疫情胜利的可持续性如何？</b></h4>Shopify成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>疫情推动的向电子商务转变的最大赢家之一是，许多实体店被迫暂时关闭，人们选择呆在室内。在这一势头的推动下，该股去年飙升。然而，在财报看涨期权上，Shopify高管表示，即使在经济重新开放的地区，也有证据表明势头仍然强劲，因为本季度商品总量（销售商品的货币价值）增长了一倍多，达到373亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Concerns</h4> Executives warned that revenue growth could moderate this year as the vaccine rollout speeds up and consumers return to stores due to eased coronavirus restrictions. Executive departures have also been a concern and some analysts are questioning whether the business has reached a scale where it is self-sustaining beyond the individual contributions of several executives.</p><p><blockquote><h4>关注事项</h4>高管们警告称，随着疫苗推广速度加快，以及消费者因冠状病毒限制放松而重返商店，今年的收入增长可能会放缓。高管离职也是一个令人担忧的问题，一些分析师质疑该业务是否已经达到了自我维持的规模，超出了几位高管的个人贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Another concern is how will investments in sales, marketing and R&amp;D impact&nbsp;the operating margin as the company is building a U.S. distribution network to store and ship products for its customers – the merchants. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Keith Weiss believes demand for fulfillment services may disappoint near-term.</p><p><blockquote>另一个担忧是，随着该公司正在建立美国分销网络，为其客户（商家）储存和运输产品，销售、营销和研发投资将如何影响营业利润率。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师Keith Weiss认为，近期对履行服务的需求可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Outlook</h4> No guidance for 2021 was provided. Although blowout results for the first quarter achieved to rekindle investor enthusiasm, writing another successful chapter in the post-IPO story of this Canadian e-commerce player, management is warning a slower growth pace is in the cards as the economy reopens and the pandemic finally becomes history.</p><p><blockquote><h4>世界观</h4>没有提供2021年的指导。尽管第一季度的井喷业绩重新点燃了投资者的热情，为这家加拿大电子商务公司IPO后的故事写下了又一个成功的篇章，但管理层警告称，随着经济重新开放和疫情的爆发，增长速度可能会放缓。最终成为历史。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","AFRM":"Affirm Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133521525","content_text":"Last Wednesday, Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) earnings, revenue and gross merchandise volume for the first quarter crushed analyst expectations As a result, shares of the stock soared 11.4% as e-commerce growth remained robust during the coronavirus pandemic.\nQ1 Figures\nFor the quarter that ended on March 31st, investors had expected Shopify to post $865.48 million but it delivered $988.6 million instead. This achievement was enabled by the 137% growth of the \"Merchant Solutions\" business that expanded even at an even faster pace during the quarter than the company's aggregate 110% growth rate. This segment that encompasses payments, shipping, and capital services brought $668 million to the table, exceeding estimates of $560 million. In addition, subscription solutions revenue rose 71% to $320.7 million, also exceeding estimates of $284 million.\nNet income was boosted by an unrealized gain of $1.3 billion from its partnership with Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:AFRM) which went public at the beginning of the year. Since last July, Shopify owns more than 20 million shares of the online payments company. It earned an adjusted $2.01 per share, including a $1.3 billion investment gain. Adjusted earnings were more than triple Wall Street's projected 75 cents per share.\nHow Sustainable Is The Pandemic Win?\nShopify became one of the biggest winners of the pandemic-fueled shift to e-commerce, as many brick-and-mortar stores were forced to temporarily shut down and people opted to stay indoors. The stock surged last year on the back of that momentum. However, upon the earnings call, Shopify executives said that even in areas where economies have reopened, there is proof that momentum remains strong as gross merchandise volume, the monetary-value of merchandise sold, more than doubled to $37.3 billion during the quarter.\nConcerns\nExecutives warned that revenue growth could moderate this year as the vaccine rollout speeds up and consumers return to stores due to eased coronavirus restrictions. Executive departures have also been a concern and some analysts are questioning whether the business has reached a scale where it is self-sustaining beyond the individual contributions of several executives.\nAnother concern is how will investments in sales, marketing and R&D impact the operating margin as the company is building a U.S. distribution network to store and ship products for its customers – the merchants. Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss believes demand for fulfillment services may disappoint near-term.\nOutlook\nNo guidance for 2021 was provided. Although blowout results for the first quarter achieved to rekindle investor enthusiasm, writing another successful chapter in the post-IPO story of this Canadian e-commerce player, management is warning a slower growth pace is in the cards as the economy reopens and the pandemic finally becomes history.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AFRM":0.9,"SHOP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102736711,"gmtCreate":1620252367133,"gmtModify":1631893569289,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The art of investment&nbsp;","listText":"The art of investment&nbsp;","text":"The art of investment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102736711","repostId":"1148686352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148686352","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620224535,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148686352?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-05 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148686352","media":"benzinga","summary":"What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the ","content":"<p><div> What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time. Where The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02. What Else Was Going On In The World?In...</p><p><blockquote><div>怎么回事？1893年的这一天，美股遭遇了当时历史上最严重的盘中跌幅。市场位置：道琼斯指数当天收于30.02点。世界上还发生了什么？在……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-05 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time. Where The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02. What Else Was Going On In The World?In...</p><p><blockquote><div>怎么回事？1893年的这一天，美股遭遇了当时历史上最严重的盘中跌幅。市场位置：道琼斯指数当天收于30.02点。世界上还发生了什么？在……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148686352","content_text":"What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time.\nWhere The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02.\nWhat Else Was Going On In The World?In 1893, Thomas Edison completed the world’s first movie studio in West Orange, New Jersey. Lizzie Borden was acquitted of the ax murders of her father and stepmother. A fresh, one-pound beef steak cost 10 cents.\nPanic Of 1893:On May 5, 1893, the Dow Jones Index dropped more than 24% from 39.90 to 30.02. It would mark the worst intraday sell-off in U.S. history at the time, a record that would stand until 1929.\nThe Panic of 1893 was triggered in part by falling gold reserves in the U.S. Treasury. At the time, the U.S. was on the gold standard, meaning U.S. dollars could be redeemed for physical gold. When Treasury gold reserves dropped from $190 million in 1890 to $100 million by 1893, Americans grew concerned that the Treasury might run out of gold and began withdrawing bank notes and converting them to gold, placing extreme strain on the U.S. banking industry and credit markets.\nThe May 5 sell-off was triggered in part by the bankruptcy of Nation Cordage the day before.General Electric CompanyGE 0.34%shares dropped 28% on the day from $80 to $58.\nFortunately for investors, the Panic of 1893 didn’t last for long. By the end of the day, the market nearly completely recovered its losses. GE, for example, closed the session at $78.50.\nThe Panic of 1893 would ravage the U.S. economy, triggering a severe four-year depression. Roughly 14,000 U.S. businesses closed, and unemployment rose to 20%. The event would mark the worst economic downturn in U.S. history until the Great Depression began in 1929.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108425730,"gmtCreate":1620050457120,"gmtModify":1631893569291,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Bleeding now!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Bleeding now!!!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Bleeding now!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/729b6ec11bd2d6ec0a0763898bd8e640","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108425730","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100511658,"gmtCreate":1619620852574,"gmtModify":1631893569293,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Please come back!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Please come back!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Please come back!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446719f90d0c90eaaef4ff60b7ea236f","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100511658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100594536,"gmtCreate":1619620210225,"gmtModify":1631885316226,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576363004948542","authorIdStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MA\">$MasterCard(MA)$</a>good investment","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MA\">$MasterCard(MA)$</a>good investment","text":"$MasterCard(MA)$good investment","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad96298893ef122a194cac2b80c8b96","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100594536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":108425730,"gmtCreate":1620050457120,"gmtModify":1631893569291,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Bleeding now!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Bleeding now!!!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Bleeding now!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/729b6ec11bd2d6ec0a0763898bd8e640","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108425730","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370706870,"gmtCreate":1618624004990,"gmtModify":1634291707519,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If water rationing is not affecting TSM, what cause the decline of supply then?","listText":"If water rationing is not affecting TSM, what cause the decline of supply then?","text":"If water rationing is not affecting TSM, what cause the decline of supply then?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370706870","repostId":"1155509413","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155509413","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1618587639,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155509413?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 23:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan's Drought Poses Additional Threat To Looming Global Chip Crisis: WSJ<blockquote>《华尔街日报》：台湾干旱对迫在眉睫的全球芯片危机构成额外威胁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155509413","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Taiwan’s severe drought could aggravate the ongoing global chip crisis as semiconductor producers required a massive water supply to clean the wafer base, etch patterns, polish layers and rinse components throughout the manufacturing process, the Wall Street Journal reports.Taiwan’s semiconductor wafer-fabrication factories  accounted for two-thirds of the global manufacturing capacity. Most of that capacity belonged to contract chip manufacturer Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd .Taiwan","content":"<p>Taiwan’s severe drought could aggravate the ongoing global chip crisis as semiconductor producers required a massive water supply to clean the wafer base, etch patterns, polish layers and rinse components throughout the manufacturing process, the&nbsp;Wall Street Journal reports.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，台湾的严重干旱可能会加剧持续的全球芯片危机，因为半导体生产商在整个制造过程中需要大量供水来清洁晶圆底座、蚀刻图案、抛光层和冲洗组件。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan’s semiconductor wafer-fabrication factories (fabs) accounted for two-thirds of the global manufacturing capacity. Most of that capacity belonged to contract chip manufacturer&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:&nbsp;TSM).</p><p><blockquote>台湾的半导体晶圆厂（FAB）占全球制造能力的三分之二。大部分产能属于合同芯片制造商<b>台积电有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TSM）。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan derived most of its water reserves from seasonal typhoons. However, a lack of storms last year had choked supplies, prompting the government to start water rationing for over a million businesses and residents.</p><p><blockquote>台湾的大部分水资源储备来自季节性台风。然而，去年风暴的缺乏导致供水中断，促使政府开始对100多万企业和居民实行水配给。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Samsung Electronics Co Ltd</b>&nbsp;(OTC:&nbsp;SSNLF) had to&nbsp;temporarily shut down&nbsp;two of its Austin chip factories due to Texas weather anomalies. Auto chip manufacturer&nbsp;<b>Renesas Electronics Corp’s</b>&nbsp;(OTC:&nbsp;RNECF) Japanese plant was&nbsp;hampered by&nbsp;the February earthquake and a March fire.</p><p><blockquote><b>三星电子有限公司</b>（场外交易代码：SSNLF）由于得克萨斯州天气异常，不得不暂时关闭其奥斯汀的两家芯片工厂。汽车芯片制造商<b>瑞萨电子公司</b>（场外交易代码：RNECF）日本工厂因二月地震和三月火灾而受到阻碍。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan’s three science industrial parks responsible for most of the chip-making facilities had to limit their water intake but were exempt from stoppages to date. However, it was affecting some of the companies.</p><p><blockquote>负责大部分芯片制造设施的台湾三个科学工业园区不得不限制用水量，但迄今为止并未停工。然而，它影响了一些公司。</blockquote></p><p> Alternative sources of water and acceleration of conservation would escalate the production costs after supply to one of its chip facilities were reduced, stated&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology Inc</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:&nbsp;MU), which had facilities in Taichung and Taoyuan.</p><p><blockquote>表示，在减少对其一个芯片工厂的供应后，替代水源和加速节约将增加生产成本<b>美光科技公司</b>（纳斯达克：MU），在台中和桃园设有设施。</blockquote></p><p> Hsinchu-based TSM and&nbsp;<b>United Microelectronics Corp</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:&nbsp;UMC) had secured alternate water supply sources. TSM was also trying to utilize groundwater from their construction sites.</p><p><blockquote>新竹TSM和<b>联合微电子公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UMC）已获得替代供水来源。TSM还试图利用他们建筑工地的地下水。</blockquote></p><p> TSM did not estimate any significant impact on operations despite the tight water supply.</p><p><blockquote>尽管供水紧张，TSM估计不会对运营产生任何重大影响。</blockquote></p><p> However, Taiwan’s water crisis fueled by climate change could jeopardize global chip production due to their high production concentration in the island country, stated its officials and scholars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，台湾官员和学者表示，气候变化引发的台湾水危机可能会危及全球芯片生产，因为这些芯片的生产高度集中在这个岛国。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan introduced a drought disaster response agency in October.</p><p><blockquote>台湾在10月引入了干旱灾害响应机构。</blockquote></p><p> The government stopped the water supply for two days per week to some parts of the island from April. TSM aimed to reduce its water requirement per unit by 30% from 2010 levels by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>从4月份开始，政府每周停止向该岛部分地区供水两天。TSM的目标是到2030年将单位用水量比2010年的水平减少30%。</blockquote></p><p> TSM accounted for around 4.5% of Taiwan’s GDP in 2018, and chip sales accounted for 64% of Taiwan’s export growth on average over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote>2018年，TSM约占台湾GDP的4.5%，过去五年芯片销售额平均占台湾出口增长的64%。</blockquote></p><p> Germany has sought Taiwan’s assistance to secure chip supply for German car manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>德国已寻求台湾的帮助，以确保德国汽车制造商的芯片供应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price action:</b>&nbsp;TSM shares traded flat at $118.35 on the last check Friday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>周五最后一次检查时，TSM股价持平于118.35美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan's Drought Poses Additional Threat To Looming Global Chip Crisis: WSJ<blockquote>《华尔街日报》：台湾干旱对迫在眉睫的全球芯片危机构成额外威胁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan's Drought Poses Additional Threat To Looming Global Chip Crisis: WSJ<blockquote>《华尔街日报》：台湾干旱对迫在眉睫的全球芯片危机构成额外威胁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-16 23:40</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Taiwan’s severe drought could aggravate the ongoing global chip crisis as semiconductor producers required a massive water supply to clean the wafer base, etch patterns, polish layers and rinse components throughout the manufacturing process, the&nbsp;Wall Street Journal reports.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，台湾的严重干旱可能会加剧持续的全球芯片危机，因为半导体生产商在整个制造过程中需要大量供水来清洁晶圆底座、蚀刻图案、抛光层和冲洗组件。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan’s semiconductor wafer-fabrication factories (fabs) accounted for two-thirds of the global manufacturing capacity. Most of that capacity belonged to contract chip manufacturer&nbsp;<b>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:&nbsp;TSM).</p><p><blockquote>台湾的半导体晶圆厂（FAB）占全球制造能力的三分之二。大部分产能属于合同芯片制造商<b>台积电有限公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TSM）。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan derived most of its water reserves from seasonal typhoons. However, a lack of storms last year had choked supplies, prompting the government to start water rationing for over a million businesses and residents.</p><p><blockquote>台湾的大部分水资源储备来自季节性台风。然而，去年风暴的缺乏导致供水中断，促使政府开始对100多万企业和居民实行水配给。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Samsung Electronics Co Ltd</b>&nbsp;(OTC:&nbsp;SSNLF) had to&nbsp;temporarily shut down&nbsp;two of its Austin chip factories due to Texas weather anomalies. Auto chip manufacturer&nbsp;<b>Renesas Electronics Corp’s</b>&nbsp;(OTC:&nbsp;RNECF) Japanese plant was&nbsp;hampered by&nbsp;the February earthquake and a March fire.</p><p><blockquote><b>三星电子有限公司</b>（场外交易代码：SSNLF）由于得克萨斯州天气异常，不得不暂时关闭其奥斯汀的两家芯片工厂。汽车芯片制造商<b>瑞萨电子公司</b>（场外交易代码：RNECF）日本工厂因二月地震和三月火灾而受到阻碍。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan’s three science industrial parks responsible for most of the chip-making facilities had to limit their water intake but were exempt from stoppages to date. However, it was affecting some of the companies.</p><p><blockquote>负责大部分芯片制造设施的台湾三个科学工业园区不得不限制用水量，但迄今为止并未停工。然而，它影响了一些公司。</blockquote></p><p> Alternative sources of water and acceleration of conservation would escalate the production costs after supply to one of its chip facilities were reduced, stated&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology Inc</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:&nbsp;MU), which had facilities in Taichung and Taoyuan.</p><p><blockquote>表示，在减少对其一个芯片工厂的供应后，替代水源和加速节约将增加生产成本<b>美光科技公司</b>（纳斯达克：MU），在台中和桃园设有设施。</blockquote></p><p> Hsinchu-based TSM and&nbsp;<b>United Microelectronics Corp</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:&nbsp;UMC) had secured alternate water supply sources. TSM was also trying to utilize groundwater from their construction sites.</p><p><blockquote>新竹TSM和<b>联合微电子公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：UMC）已获得替代供水来源。TSM还试图利用他们建筑工地的地下水。</blockquote></p><p> TSM did not estimate any significant impact on operations despite the tight water supply.</p><p><blockquote>尽管供水紧张，TSM估计不会对运营产生任何重大影响。</blockquote></p><p> However, Taiwan’s water crisis fueled by climate change could jeopardize global chip production due to their high production concentration in the island country, stated its officials and scholars.</p><p><blockquote>然而，台湾官员和学者表示，气候变化引发的台湾水危机可能会危及全球芯片生产，因为这些芯片的生产高度集中在这个岛国。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan introduced a drought disaster response agency in October.</p><p><blockquote>台湾在10月引入了干旱灾害响应机构。</blockquote></p><p> The government stopped the water supply for two days per week to some parts of the island from April. TSM aimed to reduce its water requirement per unit by 30% from 2010 levels by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>从4月份开始，政府每周停止向该岛部分地区供水两天。TSM的目标是到2030年将单位用水量比2010年的水平减少30%。</blockquote></p><p> TSM accounted for around 4.5% of Taiwan’s GDP in 2018, and chip sales accounted for 64% of Taiwan’s export growth on average over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote>2018年，TSM约占台湾GDP的4.5%，过去五年芯片销售额平均占台湾出口增长的64%。</blockquote></p><p> Germany has sought Taiwan’s assistance to secure chip supply for German car manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>德国已寻求台湾的帮助，以确保德国汽车制造商的芯片供应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price action:</b>&nbsp;TSM shares traded flat at $118.35 on the last check Friday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>周五最后一次检查时，TSM股价持平于118.35美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","MU":"美光科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155509413","content_text":"Taiwan’s severe drought could aggravate the ongoing global chip crisis as semiconductor producers required a massive water supply to clean the wafer base, etch patterns, polish layers and rinse components throughout the manufacturing process, the Wall Street Journal reports.\nTaiwan’s semiconductor wafer-fabrication factories (fabs) accounted for two-thirds of the global manufacturing capacity. Most of that capacity belonged to contract chip manufacturer Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (NYSE: TSM).\nTaiwan derived most of its water reserves from seasonal typhoons. However, a lack of storms last year had choked supplies, prompting the government to start water rationing for over a million businesses and residents.\nSamsung Electronics Co Ltd (OTC: SSNLF) had to temporarily shut down two of its Austin chip factories due to Texas weather anomalies. Auto chip manufacturer Renesas Electronics Corp’s (OTC: RNECF) Japanese plant was hampered by the February earthquake and a March fire.\nTaiwan’s three science industrial parks responsible for most of the chip-making facilities had to limit their water intake but were exempt from stoppages to date. However, it was affecting some of the companies.\nAlternative sources of water and acceleration of conservation would escalate the production costs after supply to one of its chip facilities were reduced, stated Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MU), which had facilities in Taichung and Taoyuan.\nHsinchu-based TSM and United Microelectronics Corp (NYSE: UMC) had secured alternate water supply sources. TSM was also trying to utilize groundwater from their construction sites.\nTSM did not estimate any significant impact on operations despite the tight water supply.\nHowever, Taiwan’s water crisis fueled by climate change could jeopardize global chip production due to their high production concentration in the island country, stated its officials and scholars.\nTaiwan introduced a drought disaster response agency in October.\nThe government stopped the water supply for two days per week to some parts of the island from April. TSM aimed to reduce its water requirement per unit by 30% from 2010 levels by 2030.\nTSM accounted for around 4.5% of Taiwan’s GDP in 2018, and chip sales accounted for 64% of Taiwan’s export growth on average over the past five years.\nGermany has sought Taiwan’s assistance to secure chip supply for German car manufacturers.\nPrice action: TSM shares traded flat at $118.35 on the last check Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130189109,"gmtCreate":1621518880601,"gmtModify":1631891265719,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news! [Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"Good news! [Miser]&nbsp;","text":"Good news! [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130189109","repostId":"1101350945","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101350945","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621517478,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101350945?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 21:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101350945","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares sta","content":"<p>U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.</p><p><blockquote>随着科技股卷土重来，美国股市周四上涨，从连续三天的下跌中反弹。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.</p><p><blockquote>由于所谓的FAANG股票均走高，标普500上涨0.3%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.5%。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨25点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ef78999e76ecb8c586d2141a3b1b7d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000, &nbsp;the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对周四好于预期的初请失业金报告欢呼雀跃。美国劳工部周四报告称，截至5月15日当周首次申请失业救济人数为444,000人。接受道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计新增申请失业救济人数为452,000人。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including&nbsp;Tesla,Coinbase&nbsp;and&nbsp;MicroStrategy, led the market decline as&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在股市反弹之前，比特币突然下跌引发了华尔街的过山车交易，导致市场许多投机领域大幅抛售。特斯拉、Coinbase和MicroStrategy等加密货币相关股票领跌市场，比特币周三一度暴跌30%。</blockquote></p><p>After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.</p><p><blockquote>在触及近30,000美元的低点后，比特币在周三晚些时候收复了部分失地。随着比特币反弹，股市收盘远低于低点。</blockquote></p><p>On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush&nbsp;said to buy the crypto-exchange&nbsp;despite the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据Coin Metrics的数据，周四，该加密货币小幅上涨至40,000美元左右。在韦德布什表示尽管波动较大仍将购买该加密货币交易所后，Coinbase股价在周四早盘交易中走高。</blockquote></p><p>“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“毕竟，加密货币是流动性引发的投机的典型代表，而这种投机现在正在萎缩……这一事实证实了风险市场现在开始适应迫在眉睫的流动性峰值前景的感觉，”摩根大通策略师在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在前一交易日的盘中低点下跌1.6%，但随着比特币企稳，收复了大部分跌幅，收盘仅下跌0.3%。蓝筹股道琼斯指数一度暴跌580点，收盘下跌约160点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数收盘持平，抹去了1.7%的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.</p><p><blockquote>周三是道琼斯指数连续第三天下跌，本周下跌1.4%。随着市场反弹至高点的停滞，上周平均指数下跌了约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of&nbsp;Cisco&nbsp;dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected&nbsp;earnings guidancefor the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>思科发布弱于预期的本季度盈利指引后，该科技集团周四股价下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday, investors also digested&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s minutes&nbsp;from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.</p><p><blockquote>周三，投资者还消化了美联储4月份的纪要，该纪要暗示考虑在即将召开的会议上缩减资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.</p><p><blockquote>美联储纪要称：“一些与会者表示，如果经济继续朝着委员会的目标快速取得进展，那么在即将召开的会议中的某个时候开始讨论调整资产购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises slightly for its first positive day in 4 as tech shares rebound<blockquote>随着科技股反弹，标普500小幅上涨，这是四年来的首个上涨日</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-20 21:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.</p><p><blockquote>随着科技股卷土重来，美国股市周四上涨，从连续三天的下跌中反弹。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.</p><p><blockquote>由于所谓的FAANG股票均走高，标普500上涨0.3%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.5%。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨25点。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ef78999e76ecb8c586d2141a3b1b7d3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000, &nbsp;the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对周四好于预期的初请失业金报告欢呼雀跃。美国劳工部周四报告称，截至5月15日当周首次申请失业救济人数为444,000人。接受道琼斯调查的经济学家此前预计新增申请失业救济人数为452,000人。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including&nbsp;Tesla,Coinbase&nbsp;and&nbsp;MicroStrategy, led the market decline as&nbsp;bitcoin&nbsp;tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在股市反弹之前，比特币突然下跌引发了华尔街的过山车交易，导致市场许多投机领域大幅抛售。特斯拉、Coinbase和MicroStrategy等加密货币相关股票领跌市场，比特币周三一度暴跌30%。</blockquote></p><p>After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.</p><p><blockquote>在触及近30,000美元的低点后，比特币在周三晚些时候收复了部分失地。随着比特币反弹，股市收盘远低于低点。</blockquote></p><p>On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush&nbsp;said to buy the crypto-exchange&nbsp;despite the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>根据Coin Metrics的数据，周四，该加密货币小幅上涨至40,000美元左右。在韦德布什表示尽管波动较大仍将购买该加密货币交易所后，Coinbase股价在周四早盘交易中走高。</blockquote></p><p>“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“毕竟，加密货币是流动性引发的投机的典型代表，而这种投机现在正在萎缩……这一事实证实了风险市场现在开始适应迫在眉睫的流动性峰值前景的感觉，”摩根大通策略师在一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p>The S&amp;P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500在前一交易日的盘中低点下跌1.6%，但随着比特币企稳，收复了大部分跌幅，收盘仅下跌0.3%。蓝筹股道琼斯指数一度暴跌580点，收盘下跌约160点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数收盘持平，抹去了1.7%的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.</p><p><blockquote>周三是道琼斯指数连续第三天下跌，本周下跌1.4%。随着市场反弹至高点的停滞，上周平均指数下跌了约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of&nbsp;Cisco&nbsp;dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected&nbsp;earnings guidancefor the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>思科发布弱于预期的本季度盈利指引后，该科技集团周四股价下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday, investors also digested&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s minutes&nbsp;from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.</p><p><blockquote>周三，投资者还消化了美联储4月份的纪要，该纪要暗示考虑在即将召开的会议上缩减资产购买计划。</blockquote></p><p>“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.</p><p><blockquote>美联储纪要称：“一些与会者表示，如果经济继续朝着委员会的目标快速取得进展，那么在即将召开的会议中的某个时候开始讨论调整资产购买步伐的计划可能是合适的。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101350945","content_text":"U.S. stocks rose on Thursday, rebounding from three straight days of losses as technology shares staged a comeback.The S&P 500 gained 0.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.5% as the so-called FAANG stocks all traded higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25 points.Investors cheered a better-than-expected jobless claims report on Thursday. The number of first-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ended May 15 came in at 444,000,  the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economist surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 452,000 new claims.Stocks' rebound followed a roller-coaster session on Wall Street triggered by a sudden drop in bitcoin, which led to a sharp sell-off in many speculative areas of the market. Cryptocurrency-linked shares, including Tesla,Coinbase and MicroStrategy, led the market decline as bitcoin tanked as much as 30% at one point Wednesday.After touching nearly $30,000 at its low, bitcoin made back some of those losses later Wednesday. The stock market closed well off its lows as bitcoin rebounded.On Thursday, the cryptocurrency was slightly higher at around $40,000, according to Coin Metrics. Coinbase shares were higher in early trading Thursday after Wedbush said to buy the crypto-exchange despite the volatility.“Crypto, after all, is the poster child for liquidity-induced speculation and the fact that this is now deflating ... lends credence to the sense that risk markets are now starting to adjust to the looming prospect of peak-liquidity,” a JPMorgan strategist said in a note.The S&P 500 slid 1.6% at its session low in the previous session but recouped most of the losses to close down just 0.3% as the bitcoin stabilized. The blue-chip Dow finished the session about 160 points lower after plunging 580 points at one point. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ended the day flat, erasing a 1.7% drop.Wednesday was the third straight day of losses for the Dow, which is down 1.4% for the week. The average lost about 1% last week as the market rally to highs stalls.Shares of Cisco dropped 3% Thursday after the tech conglomerate issued weaker-than-expected earnings guidancefor the current quarter.On Wednesday, investors also digested the Federal Reserve’s minutes from April that hinted at considering tapering its asset purchase programs in upcoming meetings.“A number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the Committee’s goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases,” the Fed minutes said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100511658,"gmtCreate":1619620852574,"gmtModify":1631893569293,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Please come back!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Please come back!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Please come back!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446719f90d0c90eaaef4ff60b7ea236f","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100511658","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362443394,"gmtCreate":1614661938118,"gmtModify":1703479520910,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Continue to grow!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Continue to grow!","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Continue to grow!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f116c943f3baad86905ae2bbbd68984","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362443394","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104223821,"gmtCreate":1620394790463,"gmtModify":1631891265756,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Still confident that you will return strong!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Still confident that you will return strong!&nbsp;","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Still confident that you will return strong!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d28ed1b5f9f2a3cd86f01338b6ea846b","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104223821","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198078499,"gmtCreate":1620916028811,"gmtModify":1631891265740,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold on to it!&nbsp;","listText":"Hold on to it!&nbsp;","text":"Hold on to it!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198078499","repostId":"1164484222","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105508741,"gmtCreate":1620309731483,"gmtModify":1631893569278,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stick with these companies will not go wrong!","listText":"Stick with these companies will not go wrong!","text":"Stick with these companies will not go wrong!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105508741","repostId":"2133573716","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372180582,"gmtCreate":1619185872746,"gmtModify":1634287916370,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>Look forward to more growth!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>Look forward to more growth!","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$Look forward to more growth!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49bc5d619b9c99bac9b0fbe6ac560c63","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372180582","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320071600,"gmtCreate":1614994726400,"gmtModify":1703484038997,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great insights!&nbsp;","listText":"Great insights!&nbsp;","text":"Great insights!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320071600","repostId":"2117639609","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890683927,"gmtCreate":1628113481069,"gmtModify":1631891265650,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Opportunity ahead","listText":"Opportunity ahead","text":"Opportunity ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890683927","repostId":"2156060681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149779584,"gmtCreate":1625751171248,"gmtModify":1631891265661,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s the EV world now…","listText":"It’s the EV world now…","text":"It’s the EV world now…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149779584","repostId":"1197668591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197668591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625749319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197668591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Auto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197668591","media":"investors","summary":"Stellantis(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poi","content":"<p><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poised to boom this decade. Stellantis stock fell.</p><p><blockquote><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA)周四详细介绍了其电动汽车战略，全球电动汽车市场有望在本十年蓬勃发展。Stellantis股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> At the automaker's EV day, management announced 30 billion euros ($35.5 billion) of investments in electrification and software. It also sees more than 70% of its sales in Europe being \"low emission vehicles\" by 2030 and more than 40% in the U.S., with all 14 of its brands offering \"electrified\" models. Meanwhile, battery electric vehicles will have ranges of 300-500 miles per charge.</p><p><blockquote>在该汽车制造商的电动汽车日上，管理层宣布在电气化和软件领域投资300亿欧元（355亿美元）。该公司还预计，到2030年，其在欧洲的销量将超过70%是“低排放汽车”，在美国的销量将超过40%，其所有14个品牌都将提供“电动”车型。与此同时，纯电动汽车每次充电的续航里程为300-500英里。</blockquote></p><p> The stakes are high for Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler. It's seen lagging&nbsp;<b>General Motors</b>(GM),<b>Ford Motor</b>(F) and&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(VWAGY) that have rushed to bring their first all-electric SUVs, trucks and vans to market. And&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dominate despite the proliferation of new EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis（前身为菲亚特克莱斯勒）的风险很高。它被视为滞后<b>通用汽车</b>（通用），<b>福特汽车</b>(F)及<b>大众汽车</b>(VWAGY)纷纷将首款全电动SUV、卡车和货车推向市场。和<b>特斯拉</b>尽管新的电动汽车股票激增，但(TSLA)继续占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, rivals are also bringing electric trucks and vans to market soon. Ford's F-150 Lightning quickly racked up more than 100,000 reservations after launching in May. It arrives at dealers in the summer of 2022. And the electric Ford E-Transit commercial van, arriving later this year, has more than 20,000 reservations. Reservations for GM's initial Hummer EV pickup trucks and SUVs also sold out rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，竞争对手也很快将电动卡车和货车推向市场。福特F-150 Lightning在5月份推出后迅速获得了超过10万份预订。它将于2022年夏季到达经销商处。今年晚些时候上市的电动福特E-Transit商用货车已有超过20,000份预订。通用汽车最初的悍马电动皮卡和SUV的预订也很快售罄。</blockquote></p><p> In April, CEO Carlos Tavares vowed Stellantis is accelerating on electrification, committing to an all-electric or hybrid-electric version of almost its entire lineup of vehicles by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯(Carlos Tavares)发誓Stellantis正在加速电气化，承诺到2025年为其几乎整个车辆系列推出全电动或混合动力版本。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis's Fiat brand has already signaled switching to an all-electric lineup by 2030. The luxury Alfa Romeo and Maserati brands are expected to follow.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis的菲亚特品牌已经表示将在2030年转向全电动产品线。豪华品牌阿尔法罗密欧和玛莎拉蒂预计将紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis Stock Falls</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis股价下跌</blockquote></p><p> Shares fell 2.6% to 19.01 in premarket trading on thestock market today. Ahead of the EV day, the company said adjusted operating margins in the first half of the year will top the annual target of 5.5%-7.5%, despite lost production from the global chip shortage. It also projected negative industrial free cash flow in the first half but positive cash flow for the whole year as synergies from the merger are exceeding targets.</p><p><blockquote>今天股市盘前交易中，股价下跌2.6%，至19.01点。在电动汽车日之前，该公司表示，尽管全球芯片短缺导致产量损失，但上半年调整后的营业利润率将超过5.5%-7.5%的年度目标。它还预计上半年工业自由现金流为负，但由于合并的协同效应超出了目标，全年现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis stock cleared an 18.62 flat-base buy point in May but is now pulling back to the 50-day line, according toMarketSmith chart analysis. The relative strength line is just below June highs after rallying in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmith图表分析，Stellantis股票在5月份突破了18.62的平基买入点，但目前正在回落至50日线。在过去一年上涨后，相对强弱线略低于6月高点。</blockquote></p><p> GM stockfell 2.5% early Thursday,Ford stocklost 2.8% andTeslaeased 2.6%.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车股价周四早盘下跌2.5%，福特股价下跌2.8%，特斯拉下跌2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> After years of sluggish sales, the adoption of electric vehicles is at an inflection point.</p><p><blockquote>经过多年的销售低迷，电动汽车的采用正处于拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric cars, buses, vans and trucks on the world's roads will hit 145 million by 2030, the International Energy Agency estimated in April. That would be up from 10 million in 2020, a year that saw EV sales increase though overall sales fell due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>国际能源署4月份估计，到2030年，全球道路上的电动汽车、公共汽车、货车和卡车数量将达到1.45亿辆。这将高于2020年的1000万辆，尽管由于冠状病毒大流行，整体销量下降，但这一年电动汽车销量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> For now, however, electric vehicles remain a relatively tough sell in the U.S. compared with China and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>然而，就目前而言，与中国和欧洲相比，电动汽车在美国的销售仍然相对困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Auto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAuto Giant Looks To Catch Up To GM, Tesla On EVs With $35.5 Billion Move<blockquote>汽车巨头希望斥资355亿美元在电动汽车领域赶上通用汽车和特斯拉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 21:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poised to boom this decade. Stellantis stock fell.</p><p><blockquote><b>Stellantis</b>(STLA)周四详细介绍了其电动汽车战略，全球电动汽车市场有望在本十年蓬勃发展。Stellantis股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> At the automaker's EV day, management announced 30 billion euros ($35.5 billion) of investments in electrification and software. It also sees more than 70% of its sales in Europe being \"low emission vehicles\" by 2030 and more than 40% in the U.S., with all 14 of its brands offering \"electrified\" models. Meanwhile, battery electric vehicles will have ranges of 300-500 miles per charge.</p><p><blockquote>在该汽车制造商的电动汽车日上，管理层宣布在电气化和软件领域投资300亿欧元（355亿美元）。该公司还预计，到2030年，其在欧洲的销量将超过70%是“低排放汽车”，在美国的销量将超过40%，其所有14个品牌都将提供“电动”车型。与此同时，纯电动汽车每次充电的续航里程为300-500英里。</blockquote></p><p> The stakes are high for Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler. It's seen lagging&nbsp;<b>General Motors</b>(GM),<b>Ford Motor</b>(F) and&nbsp;<b>Volkswagen</b>(VWAGY) that have rushed to bring their first all-electric SUVs, trucks and vans to market. And&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) continues to dominate despite the proliferation of new EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis（前身为菲亚特克莱斯勒）的风险很高。它被视为滞后<b>通用汽车</b>（通用），<b>福特汽车</b>(F)及<b>大众汽车</b>(VWAGY)纷纷将首款全电动SUV、卡车和货车推向市场。和<b>特斯拉</b>尽管新的电动汽车股票激增，但(TSLA)继续占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, rivals are also bringing electric trucks and vans to market soon. Ford's F-150 Lightning quickly racked up more than 100,000 reservations after launching in May. It arrives at dealers in the summer of 2022. And the electric Ford E-Transit commercial van, arriving later this year, has more than 20,000 reservations. Reservations for GM's initial Hummer EV pickup trucks and SUVs also sold out rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，竞争对手也很快将电动卡车和货车推向市场。福特F-150 Lightning在5月份推出后迅速获得了超过10万份预订。它将于2022年夏季到达经销商处。今年晚些时候上市的电动福特E-Transit商用货车已有超过20,000份预订。通用汽车最初的悍马电动皮卡和SUV的预订也很快售罄。</blockquote></p><p> In April, CEO Carlos Tavares vowed Stellantis is accelerating on electrification, committing to an all-electric or hybrid-electric version of almost its entire lineup of vehicles by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>今年4月，首席执行官卡洛斯·塔瓦雷斯(Carlos Tavares)发誓Stellantis正在加速电气化，承诺到2025年为其几乎整个车辆系列推出全电动或混合动力版本。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis's Fiat brand has already signaled switching to an all-electric lineup by 2030. The luxury Alfa Romeo and Maserati brands are expected to follow.</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis的菲亚特品牌已经表示将在2030年转向全电动产品线。豪华品牌阿尔法罗密欧和玛莎拉蒂预计将紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis Stock Falls</p><p><blockquote>Stellantis股价下跌</blockquote></p><p> Shares fell 2.6% to 19.01 in premarket trading on thestock market today. Ahead of the EV day, the company said adjusted operating margins in the first half of the year will top the annual target of 5.5%-7.5%, despite lost production from the global chip shortage. It also projected negative industrial free cash flow in the first half but positive cash flow for the whole year as synergies from the merger are exceeding targets.</p><p><blockquote>今天股市盘前交易中，股价下跌2.6%，至19.01点。在电动汽车日之前，该公司表示，尽管全球芯片短缺导致产量损失，但上半年调整后的营业利润率将超过5.5%-7.5%的年度目标。它还预计上半年工业自由现金流为负，但由于合并的协同效应超出了目标，全年现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Stellantis stock cleared an 18.62 flat-base buy point in May but is now pulling back to the 50-day line, according toMarketSmith chart analysis. The relative strength line is just below June highs after rallying in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmith图表分析，Stellantis股票在5月份突破了18.62的平基买入点，但目前正在回落至50日线。在过去一年上涨后，相对强弱线略低于6月高点。</blockquote></p><p> GM stockfell 2.5% early Thursday,Ford stocklost 2.8% andTeslaeased 2.6%.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车股价周四早盘下跌2.5%，福特股价下跌2.8%，特斯拉下跌2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> After years of sluggish sales, the adoption of electric vehicles is at an inflection point.</p><p><blockquote>经过多年的销售低迷，电动汽车的采用正处于拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric cars, buses, vans and trucks on the world's roads will hit 145 million by 2030, the International Energy Agency estimated in April. That would be up from 10 million in 2020, a year that saw EV sales increase though overall sales fell due to the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>国际能源署4月份估计，到2030年，全球道路上的电动汽车、公共汽车、货车和卡车数量将达到1.45亿辆。这将高于2020年的1000万辆，尽管由于冠状病毒大流行，整体销量下降，但这一年电动汽车销量有所增长。</blockquote></p><p> For now, however, electric vehicles remain a relatively tough sell in the U.S. compared with China and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>然而，就目前而言，与中国和欧洲相比，电动汽车在美国的销售仍然相对困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/stellantis-stock-ev-day-fiat-chrysler-parent-trails-gm-ford-tesla/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","STLA":"Stellantis NV","TSLA":"特斯拉","VWAGY":"大众汽车ADR","GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/stellantis-stock-ev-day-fiat-chrysler-parent-trails-gm-ford-tesla/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197668591","content_text":"Stellantis(STLA) detailed its strategy for electric vehicles Thursday, with the global EV market poised to boom this decade. Stellantis stock fell.\nAt the automaker's EV day, management announced 30 billion euros ($35.5 billion) of investments in electrification and software. It also sees more than 70% of its sales in Europe being \"low emission vehicles\" by 2030 and more than 40% in the U.S., with all 14 of its brands offering \"electrified\" models. Meanwhile, battery electric vehicles will have ranges of 300-500 miles per charge.\nThe stakes are high for Stellantis, formerly Fiat Chrysler. It's seen lagging General Motors(GM),Ford Motor(F) and Volkswagen(VWAGY) that have rushed to bring their first all-electric SUVs, trucks and vans to market. And Tesla(TSLA) continues to dominate despite the proliferation of new EV stocks.\nMeanwhile, rivals are also bringing electric trucks and vans to market soon. Ford's F-150 Lightning quickly racked up more than 100,000 reservations after launching in May. It arrives at dealers in the summer of 2022. And the electric Ford E-Transit commercial van, arriving later this year, has more than 20,000 reservations. Reservations for GM's initial Hummer EV pickup trucks and SUVs also sold out rapidly.\nIn April, CEO Carlos Tavares vowed Stellantis is accelerating on electrification, committing to an all-electric or hybrid-electric version of almost its entire lineup of vehicles by 2025.\nStellantis's Fiat brand has already signaled switching to an all-electric lineup by 2030. The luxury Alfa Romeo and Maserati brands are expected to follow.\nStellantis Stock Falls\nShares fell 2.6% to 19.01 in premarket trading on thestock market today. Ahead of the EV day, the company said adjusted operating margins in the first half of the year will top the annual target of 5.5%-7.5%, despite lost production from the global chip shortage. It also projected negative industrial free cash flow in the first half but positive cash flow for the whole year as synergies from the merger are exceeding targets.\nStellantis stock cleared an 18.62 flat-base buy point in May but is now pulling back to the 50-day line, according toMarketSmith chart analysis. The relative strength line is just below June highs after rallying in the past year.\nGM stockfell 2.5% early Thursday,Ford stocklost 2.8% andTeslaeased 2.6%.\nAfter years of sluggish sales, the adoption of electric vehicles is at an inflection point.\nThe number of electric cars, buses, vans and trucks on the world's roads will hit 145 million by 2030, the International Energy Agency estimated in April. That would be up from 10 million in 2020, a year that saw EV sales increase though overall sales fell due to the coronavirus pandemic.\nFor now, however, electric vehicles remain a relatively tough sell in the U.S. compared with China and Europe.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,"VWAGY":0.9,"STLA":0.9,"F":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371851885,"gmtCreate":1618928080447,"gmtModify":1634289830162,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Disappointing performance!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$</a>Disappointing performance!","text":"$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Disappointing performance!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d50e60887e30ba56deb0c06548471734","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371851885","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131288622,"gmtCreate":1621863266266,"gmtModify":1631891265694,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good way to start the week","listText":"Good way to start the week","text":"Good way to start the week","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131288622","repostId":"1185261745","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185261745","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621863142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185261745?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 21:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185261745","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the econ","content":"<p>U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the economic reopening led the advance.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周一上涨，科技板块和从经济重新开放中受益最大的股票领涨。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨140点。标普500上涨0.6%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Tech stocks gained to shake off another rough period for bitcoin over the weekend as thecryptocurrency bounced Monday. The&nbsp;cryptocurrencydropped under $32,000 on Sunday, only to rebound 16% above $38,000 on Monday. On Wednesday, bitcoin prices tumbled to just above $30,000, dropping to the lowest level since late January.</p><p><blockquote>随着加密货币周一反弹，科技股周末上涨，摆脱了比特币的又一个艰难时期。该加密货币周日跌破32,000美元，周一反弹16%至38,000美元上方。周三，比特币价格暴跌至略高于3万美元，跌至1月底以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Tesla, a big holder of the crypto, gained 0.5% in premarket trading despite the bitcoin volatility. Coinbase added 2% in premarket trading as bitcoin stabilized Monday and as Goldmanstarted the crypto-exchange with a buy rating.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币波动，该加密货币的大持有者特斯拉的股价在盘前交易中仍上涨了0.5%。随着比特币周一企稳以及高盛对该加密货币交易所给予买入评级，Coinbase在盘前交易中上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks benefiting from the economic reopening gained in premarket trading as well. Share of Gap, Carnival and United Airlines were higher. Norwegian Cruise Line rose 1% in premarket after the cruise line operator announced plans to return cruising in the U.S. this summer.</p><p><blockquote>受益于经济重新开放的股票也在盘前交易中上涨。Gap、嘉年华和联合航空的份额较高。挪威邮轮公司(Norwegian Cruise Line)宣布计划今年夏天恢复美国邮轮业务，盘前股价上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see incremental data points that strengthen our view that when equities break out of this range, the next move is a substantial rise higher,” wrote Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee cited data showing a collapse in Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors研究主管Tom Lee写道：“我们继续看到增量数据点，这强化了我们的观点，即当股市突破这一区间时，下一步就是大幅走高。”李引用的数据显示新冠肺炎病例大幅减少。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks have stalled lately. The previous week saw the Dow post its fourth negative week in five, but the losses were minor. The Dow dipped just 0.5% on the week, while the S&amp;P lost just 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, gained 0.31% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak.</p><p><blockquote>股票最近停滞不前。上周道琼斯指数连续五周下跌，但跌幅很小。道琼斯指数本周仅下跌0.5%，而标准普尔指数仅下跌0.4%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数上周上涨0.31%，结束了连续四周的下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Despite last week’s “collapse in crypto markets and rather hawkish FOMC minutes, another equity dip was bought by investors,” JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. “This ‘buy the dip’ mentality has been remarkably strong this year and has provided a support preventing any small correction in equities and risk markets from becoming more extended,” the firm added.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在给客户的一份报告中写道，尽管上周“加密货币市场崩溃，联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要相当鹰派，但投资者还是买入了股市再次下跌”。该公司补充道：“今年这种‘逢低买入’的心态非常强烈，并提供了支撑，防止股市和风险市场的任何小幅调整变得更加持久。”</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve hinted at its&nbsp;April meeting&nbsp;that easy monetary policies could be reconsidered if the economy continues to show signs of rapid improvement, according to minutes from the meeting released last week.</p><p><blockquote>根据上周公布的会议纪要，美联储在4月会议上暗示，如果经济继续出现快速改善的迹象，可能会重新考虑宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the last full trading week of the month, the Dow is on track to post a gain for May, while the S&amp;P is on track to snap a three-month winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite, which is down more than 3% for the month, is on track to snap its longest monthly winning streak since Jan. 2018, with its first negative month in seven.</p><p><blockquote>进入本月最后一个完整交易周，道琼斯指数有望在5月份上涨，而标准普尔指数有望实现三个月连涨。纳斯达克综合指数本月下跌超过3%，有望创下自2018年1月以来最长的月度连涨纪录，这是七个月来首次出现负值。</blockquote></p><p>After outperforming year-to-date, small caps have faced recent weakness, and the Russell 2000 is on track to snap a seven-month winning streak.</p><p><blockquote>在今年迄今表现出色后，小盘股近期面临疲软，Russell 2000指数有望实现七个月连涨snap。</blockquote></p><p>“We think the choppy/sideways trend will continue for a bit longer, and the market will experience sell-off scares along the way,” noted Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “While stocks are absorbing a lot of changes well so far, all the inflection points still have longer to play out.”</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人Adam Crisafulli指出：“我们认为震荡/横盘趋势将持续一段时间，市场将在此过程中经历抛售恐慌。”“虽然到目前为止股市很好地吸收了很多变化，但所有拐点仍需要更长的时间才能显现出来。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow rises more than 100 points to start the week, tech shares and reopening trades gain<blockquote>道指本周初上涨逾100点，科技股和重新开放交易上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-24 21:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the economic reopening led the advance.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周一上涨，科技板块和从经济重新开放中受益最大的股票领涨。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨140点。标普500上涨0.6%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Tech stocks gained to shake off another rough period for bitcoin over the weekend as thecryptocurrency bounced Monday. The&nbsp;cryptocurrencydropped under $32,000 on Sunday, only to rebound 16% above $38,000 on Monday. On Wednesday, bitcoin prices tumbled to just above $30,000, dropping to the lowest level since late January.</p><p><blockquote>随着加密货币周一反弹，科技股周末上涨，摆脱了比特币的又一个艰难时期。该加密货币周日跌破32,000美元，周一反弹16%至38,000美元上方。周三，比特币价格暴跌至略高于3万美元，跌至1月底以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Shares of Tesla, a big holder of the crypto, gained 0.5% in premarket trading despite the bitcoin volatility. Coinbase added 2% in premarket trading as bitcoin stabilized Monday and as Goldmanstarted the crypto-exchange with a buy rating.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币波动，该加密货币的大持有者特斯拉的股价在盘前交易中仍上涨了0.5%。随着比特币周一企稳以及高盛对该加密货币交易所给予买入评级，Coinbase在盘前交易中上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks benefiting from the economic reopening gained in premarket trading as well. Share of Gap, Carnival and United Airlines were higher. Norwegian Cruise Line rose 1% in premarket after the cruise line operator announced plans to return cruising in the U.S. this summer.</p><p><blockquote>受益于经济重新开放的股票也在盘前交易中上涨。Gap、嘉年华和联合航空的份额较高。挪威邮轮公司(Norwegian Cruise Line)宣布计划今年夏天恢复美国邮轮业务，盘前股价上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p>“We continue to see incremental data points that strengthen our view that when equities break out of this range, the next move is a substantial rise higher,” wrote Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee cited data showing a collapse in Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors研究主管Tom Lee写道：“我们继续看到增量数据点，这强化了我们的观点，即当股市突破这一区间时，下一步就是大幅走高。”李引用的数据显示新冠肺炎病例大幅减少。</blockquote></p><p>Stocks have stalled lately. The previous week saw the Dow post its fourth negative week in five, but the losses were minor. The Dow dipped just 0.5% on the week, while the S&amp;P lost just 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, gained 0.31% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak.</p><p><blockquote>股票最近停滞不前。上周道琼斯指数连续五周下跌，但跌幅很小。道琼斯指数本周仅下跌0.5%，而标准普尔指数仅下跌0.4%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数上周上涨0.31%，结束了连续四周的下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Despite last week’s “collapse in crypto markets and rather hawkish FOMC minutes, another equity dip was bought by investors,” JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. “This ‘buy the dip’ mentality has been remarkably strong this year and has provided a support preventing any small correction in equities and risk markets from becoming more extended,” the firm added.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在给客户的一份报告中写道，尽管上周“加密货币市场崩溃，联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要相当鹰派，但投资者还是买入了股市再次下跌”。该公司补充道：“今年这种‘逢低买入’的心态非常强烈，并提供了支撑，防止股市和风险市场的任何小幅调整变得更加持久。”</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve hinted at its&nbsp;April meeting&nbsp;that easy monetary policies could be reconsidered if the economy continues to show signs of rapid improvement, according to minutes from the meeting released last week.</p><p><blockquote>根据上周公布的会议纪要，美联储在4月会议上暗示，如果经济继续出现快速改善的迹象，可能会重新考虑宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the last full trading week of the month, the Dow is on track to post a gain for May, while the S&amp;P is on track to snap a three-month winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite, which is down more than 3% for the month, is on track to snap its longest monthly winning streak since Jan. 2018, with its first negative month in seven.</p><p><blockquote>进入本月最后一个完整交易周，道琼斯指数有望在5月份上涨，而标准普尔指数有望实现三个月连涨。纳斯达克综合指数本月下跌超过3%，有望创下自2018年1月以来最长的月度连涨纪录，这是七个月来首次出现负值。</blockquote></p><p>After outperforming year-to-date, small caps have faced recent weakness, and the Russell 2000 is on track to snap a seven-month winning streak.</p><p><blockquote>在今年迄今表现出色后，小盘股近期面临疲软，Russell 2000指数有望实现七个月连涨snap。</blockquote></p><p>“We think the choppy/sideways trend will continue for a bit longer, and the market will experience sell-off scares along the way,” noted Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “While stocks are absorbing a lot of changes well so far, all the inflection points still have longer to play out.”</p><p><blockquote>Vital Knowledge创始人Adam Crisafulli指出：“我们认为震荡/横盘趋势将持续一段时间，市场将在此过程中经历抛售恐慌。”“虽然到目前为止股市很好地吸收了很多变化，但所有拐点仍需要更长的时间才能显现出来。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185261745","content_text":"U.S. stocks climbed on Monday as the technology sector and shares benefitting the most from the economic reopening led the advance.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite popped 0.7%.Tech stocks gained to shake off another rough period for bitcoin over the weekend as thecryptocurrency bounced Monday. The cryptocurrencydropped under $32,000 on Sunday, only to rebound 16% above $38,000 on Monday. On Wednesday, bitcoin prices tumbled to just above $30,000, dropping to the lowest level since late January.Shares of Tesla, a big holder of the crypto, gained 0.5% in premarket trading despite the bitcoin volatility. Coinbase added 2% in premarket trading as bitcoin stabilized Monday and as Goldmanstarted the crypto-exchange with a buy rating.Stocks benefiting from the economic reopening gained in premarket trading as well. Share of Gap, Carnival and United Airlines were higher. Norwegian Cruise Line rose 1% in premarket after the cruise line operator announced plans to return cruising in the U.S. this summer.“We continue to see incremental data points that strengthen our view that when equities break out of this range, the next move is a substantial rise higher,” wrote Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee cited data showing a collapse in Covid-19 cases.Stocks have stalled lately. The previous week saw the Dow post its fourth negative week in five, but the losses were minor. The Dow dipped just 0.5% on the week, while the S&P lost just 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, gained 0.31% last week, snapping a four-week losing streak.Despite last week’s “collapse in crypto markets and rather hawkish FOMC minutes, another equity dip was bought by investors,” JPMorgan wrote in a note to clients. “This ‘buy the dip’ mentality has been remarkably strong this year and has provided a support preventing any small correction in equities and risk markets from becoming more extended,” the firm added.The Federal Reserve hinted at its April meeting that easy monetary policies could be reconsidered if the economy continues to show signs of rapid improvement, according to minutes from the meeting released last week.Heading into the last full trading week of the month, the Dow is on track to post a gain for May, while the S&P is on track to snap a three-month winning streak. The Nasdaq Composite, which is down more than 3% for the month, is on track to snap its longest monthly winning streak since Jan. 2018, with its first negative month in seven.After outperforming year-to-date, small caps have faced recent weakness, and the Russell 2000 is on track to snap a seven-month winning streak.“We think the choppy/sideways trend will continue for a bit longer, and the market will experience sell-off scares along the way,” noted Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “While stocks are absorbing a lot of changes well so far, all the inflection points still have longer to play out.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100508977,"gmtCreate":1619619606599,"gmtModify":1631893569296,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go for it, it’s time for investment and capital appreciation[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"Go for it, it’s time for investment and capital appreciation[开心]&nbsp;","text":"Go for it, it’s time for investment and capital appreciation[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100508977","repostId":"1137925814","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137925814","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619611806,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137925814?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 20:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137925814","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures fell across the board Wednesday, the Dow Futures fell 0.26%,Nasdaq 100 Futures fe","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures fell across the board&nbsp;Wednesday, the&nbsp;Dow Futures fell 0.26%,Nasdaq 100&nbsp;Futures fell 0.23%,S&amp;P 500 Futuresfell 0.03%.As investors digest earnings from mega-cap tech companies ahead of the latest Federal Reserve meeting and a key speech from President Joe Biden.</p><p><blockquote>周三美股期货全线下跌，道指期货下跌0.26%，纳斯达克100指数期货下跌0.23%，标普500期货下跌0.03%。投资者在美联储最新会议和总统发表重要讲话之前消化大型科技公司的财报乔·拜登。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06e29b9aa288541087f7264a1b4f3f5e\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>The U.S. central bank is not expected to change its ultra-easy monetary policies, with thedecisiondue at 2 PM ET (1900 GMT). A lot of the focus will be comments from Chairman Jerome Powell, who has been consistent of late in indicating that policymakers won't be withdrawing support anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>预计美联储不会改变其超宽松货币政策，决定将于美国东部时间下午2点（格林威治标准时间1900）做出。很多焦点将是主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的评论，他最近一直表示政策制定者不会很快撤回支持。</blockquote></p><p>Also of interest will be a speech by PresidentJoe Bidenbefore a joint session of Congress, where he is expected to call on U.S. policymakers to pass a $1.8 trillion package aimed toward children and families and the tax increases needed to pay for it.</p><p><blockquote>同样令人感兴趣的还有总统乔·拜登在国会联席会议上的讲话，预计他将在会上就美国政策制定者通过一项针对儿童和家庭的1.8万亿美元一揽子计划以及为此支付所需的增税进行看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p><b><i>Take a look at some of the biggest movers in the premarket:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>看看盘前市场中一些最大的推动者：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet reported record profit for the second consecutive quarter, earnings of $26.29 per share compared to a consensus estimate of $15.82 a share. Revenue beat forecasts, and the Google parent also announced a $50 billion share buyback. Shares jumped 5.1% premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet（GOOGL）——Alphabet连续第二个季度公布创纪录的利润，每股收益为26.29美元，而市场普遍预期为每股15.82美元。营收超出预期，谷歌母公司还宣布回购500亿美元股票。盘前股价上涨5.1%。</blockquote></p><p>Spotify(SPOT) – The music streaming service logged a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter, as well as beating revenue estimates and reporting a 24% increase in monthly active users. Its projected range for the current quarter's operating loss falls largely below analyst forecasts, however, and the shares skidded 7.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Spotify(SPOT)——这家音乐流媒体服务最近一个季度的亏损小于预期，收入超出预期，月活跃用户增长了24%。然而，其本季度运营亏损的预计范围大大低于分析师的预测，股价在盘前下跌7.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Pinterest(PINS) – Pinterest shares tanked 11.9% in the premarket, despite beating estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. Investors are focusing on a slowdown in user growth for the image-sharing company.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest(PINS)——尽管Pinterest最近一个季度的营收和利润均超出预期，但其股价在盘前下跌11.9%。投资者关注这家图像共享公司用户增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p>Shopify(SHOP) – The e-commerce platform provider’s stock rallied 5.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenue for its latest quarter. Shopify continues to benefit from the boom in online shopping.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify(SHOP)——这家电子商务平台提供商公布最新季度盈利和收入好于预期后，其股价在盘前上涨5.5%。Shopify继续受益于在线购物的繁荣。</blockquote></p><p>Boeing(BA) – Boeinglost $1.53 per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a loss of $1.15 per share. Revenue was better than expected, although the jet maker said the global pandemic continues to challenge the overall market environment. Boeing fell 1.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>波音(BA)——波音每股亏损1.53美元，而市场普遍预测为每股亏损1.15美元。尽管这家飞机制造商表示全球大流行继续挑战整体市场环境，但收入好于预期。波音在盘前交易中下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Stanley Black &amp; Decker(SWK) – The tool company beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. The company also raised its fiscal year forecast and boosted its stock buyback plans by 20 million shares. Stanley Black &amp; Decker saw particularly strong growth for tools and storage products.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black&amp;Decker(SWK)——这家工具公司最近一个季度的营收和利润超出了预期。该公司还上调了财年预期，并将股票回购计划增加了2000万股。Stanley Black&amp;Decker的工具和存储产品增长尤其强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Humana(HUM) – The health insurer earned $7.67 per share for its latest quarter, better than the $7.08 a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts as well, helped by strength in sales of its Medicare Advantage plans.</p><p><blockquote>Humana(HUM)——这家健康保险公司最近一个季度的每股收益为7.67美元，好于每股7.08美元的普遍预期。得益于Medicare Advantage计划销售强劲，收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p>General Dynamics(GD) – The defense contractor’s shares added 2.2% in premarket action after it beat top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter, helped by strength in its aerospace unit.</p><p><blockquote>通用动力(GD)——得益于航空航天部门的实力，这家国防承包商最近一个季度的营收和利润超出了预期，其股价在盘前上涨了2.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Garmin(GRMN) – Garmin earned $1.18 per share for the first quarter, beating the 89 cents a share consensus estimates. Revenue exceeded estimates by a wide margin amid double-digit growth for its fitness, outdoor, marine and auto segments.</p><p><blockquote>Garmin(GRMN)——Garmin第一季度每股收益1.18美元，超过每股89美分的普遍预期。健身、户外、船舶和汽车领域的收入实现两位数增长，大幅超出预期。</blockquote></p><p>Brinker International(EAT) – The parent of Chili’s and other restaurant chains missed estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, but it gave a better-than-expected outlook. Shares rose 2.7% premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Brinker International(EAT)——Chili's和其他连锁餐厅的母公司最近一个季度的营收和利润未达到预期，但其前景好于预期。盘前股价上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Starbucks(SBUX) – Starbucks beat estimates by 9 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share. Revenue came in short of forecasts, however, due to weak international sales. The coffee chain said U.S. sales have recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Starbucks shares slid 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克(SBUX)——星巴克每股收益超出预期9美分，季度收益为每股62美分。然而，由于国际销售疲软，收入低于预期。这家咖啡连锁店表示，美国的销售额已经恢复到大流行前的水平。星巴克股价在盘前交易中下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft fell 2.5% in the premarket despite earning $1.95 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $1.78 a share consensus estimate. Revenue came in above forecasts as well, boosted by an expanding presence in cloud computing and business services.</p><p><blockquote>微软(MSFT)——尽管微软最近一个季度每股收益为1.95美元，超出了每股1.78美元的普遍预期，但盘前仍下跌2.5%。由于云计算和商业服务业务的扩大，收入也高于预期。</blockquote></p><p>Mondelez(MDLZ) – Mondelez came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 77 cents per share. The snack maker’s revenue also came in above Wall Street projections. Mondelez continues to benefit from consumers stocking up on snacks amid the pandemic, especially in international markets where lockdowns are still prevalent. Mondelez shares added 2.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>亿滋(MDLZ)-亿滋每股收益比预期高出8美分，季度利润为每股77美分。这家零食制造商的收入也高于华尔街的预测。亿滋继续受益于消费者在疫情期间囤积零食，特别是在封锁仍然普遍的国际市场。亿滋股价在盘前上涨2.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Visa(V) – Visa reported quarterly profit of $1.38 per share, 11 cents a share above estimates. The payment network operator also posted better-than-expected revenue, boosted by the ongoing surge in online shopping. Shares gained 1.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>Visa(V)-Visa报告季度利润为每股1.38美元，比预期高出11美分。受在线购物持续激增的推动，这家支付网络运营商的收入也好于预期。股价在盘前上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Sony(SONY) – Sony reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter, driven by an ongoing jump in gaming demand as well as the popularity of the PlayStation 5 gaming console. Sony gained 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>索尼（SONY）——在游戏需求持续增长以及PlayStation 5游戏机受欢迎的推动下，索尼公布了好于预期的最新季度利润和收入。索尼在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-28 20:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures fell across the board&nbsp;Wednesday, the&nbsp;Dow Futures fell 0.26%,Nasdaq 100&nbsp;Futures fell 0.23%,S&amp;P 500 Futuresfell 0.03%.As investors digest earnings from mega-cap tech companies ahead of the latest Federal Reserve meeting and a key speech from President Joe Biden.</p><p><blockquote>周三美股期货全线下跌，道指期货下跌0.26%，纳斯达克100指数期货下跌0.23%，标普500期货下跌0.03%。投资者在美联储最新会议和总统发表重要讲话之前消化大型科技公司的财报乔·拜登。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06e29b9aa288541087f7264a1b4f3f5e\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>The U.S. central bank is not expected to change its ultra-easy monetary policies, with thedecisiondue at 2 PM ET (1900 GMT). A lot of the focus will be comments from Chairman Jerome Powell, who has been consistent of late in indicating that policymakers won't be withdrawing support anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>预计美联储不会改变其超宽松货币政策，决定将于美国东部时间下午2点（格林威治标准时间1900）做出。很多焦点将是主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的评论，他最近一直表示政策制定者不会很快撤回支持。</blockquote></p><p>Also of interest will be a speech by PresidentJoe Bidenbefore a joint session of Congress, where he is expected to call on U.S. policymakers to pass a $1.8 trillion package aimed toward children and families and the tax increases needed to pay for it.</p><p><blockquote>同样令人感兴趣的还有总统乔·拜登在国会联席会议上的讲话，预计他将在会上就美国政策制定者通过一项针对儿童和家庭的1.8万亿美元一揽子计划以及为此支付所需的增税进行看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p><b><i>Take a look at some of the biggest movers in the premarket:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>看看盘前市场中一些最大的推动者：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet reported record profit for the second consecutive quarter, earnings of $26.29 per share compared to a consensus estimate of $15.82 a share. Revenue beat forecasts, and the Google parent also announced a $50 billion share buyback. Shares jumped 5.1% premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet（GOOGL）——Alphabet连续第二个季度公布创纪录的利润，每股收益为26.29美元，而市场普遍预期为每股15.82美元。营收超出预期，谷歌母公司还宣布回购500亿美元股票。盘前股价上涨5.1%。</blockquote></p><p>Spotify(SPOT) – The music streaming service logged a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter, as well as beating revenue estimates and reporting a 24% increase in monthly active users. Its projected range for the current quarter's operating loss falls largely below analyst forecasts, however, and the shares skidded 7.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Spotify(SPOT)——这家音乐流媒体服务最近一个季度的亏损小于预期，收入超出预期，月活跃用户增长了24%。然而，其本季度运营亏损的预计范围大大低于分析师的预测，股价在盘前下跌7.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Pinterest(PINS) – Pinterest shares tanked 11.9% in the premarket, despite beating estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. Investors are focusing on a slowdown in user growth for the image-sharing company.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest(PINS)——尽管Pinterest最近一个季度的营收和利润均超出预期，但其股价在盘前下跌11.9%。投资者关注这家图像共享公司用户增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p>Shopify(SHOP) – The e-commerce platform provider’s stock rallied 5.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenue for its latest quarter. Shopify continues to benefit from the boom in online shopping.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify(SHOP)——这家电子商务平台提供商公布最新季度盈利和收入好于预期后，其股价在盘前上涨5.5%。Shopify继续受益于在线购物的繁荣。</blockquote></p><p>Boeing(BA) – Boeinglost $1.53 per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a loss of $1.15 per share. Revenue was better than expected, although the jet maker said the global pandemic continues to challenge the overall market environment. Boeing fell 1.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>波音(BA)——波音每股亏损1.53美元，而市场普遍预测为每股亏损1.15美元。尽管这家飞机制造商表示全球大流行继续挑战整体市场环境，但收入好于预期。波音在盘前交易中下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Stanley Black &amp; Decker(SWK) – The tool company beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. The company also raised its fiscal year forecast and boosted its stock buyback plans by 20 million shares. Stanley Black &amp; Decker saw particularly strong growth for tools and storage products.</p><p><blockquote>Stanley Black&amp;Decker(SWK)——这家工具公司最近一个季度的营收和利润超出了预期。该公司还上调了财年预期，并将股票回购计划增加了2000万股。Stanley Black&amp;Decker的工具和存储产品增长尤其强劲。</blockquote></p><p>Humana(HUM) – The health insurer earned $7.67 per share for its latest quarter, better than the $7.08 a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts as well, helped by strength in sales of its Medicare Advantage plans.</p><p><blockquote>Humana(HUM)——这家健康保险公司最近一个季度的每股收益为7.67美元，好于每股7.08美元的普遍预期。得益于Medicare Advantage计划销售强劲，收入也超出了预期。</blockquote></p><p>General Dynamics(GD) – The defense contractor’s shares added 2.2% in premarket action after it beat top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter, helped by strength in its aerospace unit.</p><p><blockquote>通用动力(GD)——得益于航空航天部门的实力，这家国防承包商最近一个季度的营收和利润超出了预期，其股价在盘前上涨了2.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Garmin(GRMN) – Garmin earned $1.18 per share for the first quarter, beating the 89 cents a share consensus estimates. Revenue exceeded estimates by a wide margin amid double-digit growth for its fitness, outdoor, marine and auto segments.</p><p><blockquote>Garmin(GRMN)——Garmin第一季度每股收益1.18美元，超过每股89美分的普遍预期。健身、户外、船舶和汽车领域的收入实现两位数增长，大幅超出预期。</blockquote></p><p>Brinker International(EAT) – The parent of Chili’s and other restaurant chains missed estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, but it gave a better-than-expected outlook. Shares rose 2.7% premarket.</p><p><blockquote>Brinker International(EAT)——Chili's和其他连锁餐厅的母公司最近一个季度的营收和利润未达到预期，但其前景好于预期。盘前股价上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p>Starbucks(SBUX) – Starbucks beat estimates by 9 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share. Revenue came in short of forecasts, however, due to weak international sales. The coffee chain said U.S. sales have recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Starbucks shares slid 1.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>星巴克(SBUX)——星巴克每股收益超出预期9美分，季度收益为每股62美分。然而，由于国际销售疲软，收入低于预期。这家咖啡连锁店表示，美国的销售额已经恢复到大流行前的水平。星巴克股价在盘前交易中下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p>Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft fell 2.5% in the premarket despite earning $1.95 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $1.78 a share consensus estimate. Revenue came in above forecasts as well, boosted by an expanding presence in cloud computing and business services.</p><p><blockquote>微软(MSFT)——尽管微软最近一个季度每股收益为1.95美元，超出了每股1.78美元的普遍预期，但盘前仍下跌2.5%。由于云计算和商业服务业务的扩大，收入也高于预期。</blockquote></p><p>Mondelez(MDLZ) – Mondelez came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 77 cents per share. The snack maker’s revenue also came in above Wall Street projections. Mondelez continues to benefit from consumers stocking up on snacks amid the pandemic, especially in international markets where lockdowns are still prevalent. Mondelez shares added 2.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>亿滋(MDLZ)-亿滋每股收益比预期高出8美分，季度利润为每股77美分。这家零食制造商的收入也高于华尔街的预测。亿滋继续受益于消费者在疫情期间囤积零食，特别是在封锁仍然普遍的国际市场。亿滋股价在盘前上涨2.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Visa(V) – Visa reported quarterly profit of $1.38 per share, 11 cents a share above estimates. The payment network operator also posted better-than-expected revenue, boosted by the ongoing surge in online shopping. Shares gained 1.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>Visa(V)-Visa报告季度利润为每股1.38美元，比预期高出11美分。受在线购物持续激增的推动，这家支付网络运营商的收入也好于预期。股价在盘前上涨1.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Sony(SONY) – Sony reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter, driven by an ongoing jump in gaming demand as well as the popularity of the PlayStation 5 gaming console. Sony gained 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>索尼（SONY）——在游戏需求持续增长以及PlayStation 5游戏机受欢迎的推动下，索尼公布了好于预期的最新季度利润和收入。索尼在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137925814","content_text":"U.S. stock futures fell across the board Wednesday, the Dow Futures fell 0.26%,Nasdaq 100 Futures fell 0.23%,S&P 500 Futuresfell 0.03%.As investors digest earnings from mega-cap tech companies ahead of the latest Federal Reserve meeting and a key speech from President Joe Biden.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10The U.S. central bank is not expected to change its ultra-easy monetary policies, with thedecisiondue at 2 PM ET (1900 GMT). A lot of the focus will be comments from Chairman Jerome Powell, who has been consistent of late in indicating that policymakers won't be withdrawing support anytime soon.Also of interest will be a speech by PresidentJoe Bidenbefore a joint session of Congress, where he is expected to call on U.S. policymakers to pass a $1.8 trillion package aimed toward children and families and the tax increases needed to pay for it.Take a look at some of the biggest movers in the premarket:Alphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet reported record profit for the second consecutive quarter, earnings of $26.29 per share compared to a consensus estimate of $15.82 a share. Revenue beat forecasts, and the Google parent also announced a $50 billion share buyback. Shares jumped 5.1% premarket.Spotify(SPOT) – The music streaming service logged a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter, as well as beating revenue estimates and reporting a 24% increase in monthly active users. Its projected range for the current quarter's operating loss falls largely below analyst forecasts, however, and the shares skidded 7.8% in the premarket.Pinterest(PINS) – Pinterest shares tanked 11.9% in the premarket, despite beating estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. Investors are focusing on a slowdown in user growth for the image-sharing company.Shopify(SHOP) – The e-commerce platform provider’s stock rallied 5.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenue for its latest quarter. Shopify continues to benefit from the boom in online shopping.Boeing(BA) – Boeinglost $1.53 per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a loss of $1.15 per share. Revenue was better than expected, although the jet maker said the global pandemic continues to challenge the overall market environment. Boeing fell 1.2% in premarket trading.Stanley Black & Decker(SWK) – The tool company beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. The company also raised its fiscal year forecast and boosted its stock buyback plans by 20 million shares. Stanley Black & Decker saw particularly strong growth for tools and storage products.Humana(HUM) – The health insurer earned $7.67 per share for its latest quarter, better than the $7.08 a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts as well, helped by strength in sales of its Medicare Advantage plans.General Dynamics(GD) – The defense contractor’s shares added 2.2% in premarket action after it beat top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter, helped by strength in its aerospace unit.Garmin(GRMN) – Garmin earned $1.18 per share for the first quarter, beating the 89 cents a share consensus estimates. Revenue exceeded estimates by a wide margin amid double-digit growth for its fitness, outdoor, marine and auto segments.Brinker International(EAT) – The parent of Chili’s and other restaurant chains missed estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter, but it gave a better-than-expected outlook. Shares rose 2.7% premarket.Starbucks(SBUX) – Starbucks beat estimates by 9 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share. Revenue came in short of forecasts, however, due to weak international sales. The coffee chain said U.S. sales have recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Starbucks shares slid 1.6% in premarket trading.Microsoft(MSFT) – Microsoft fell 2.5% in the premarket despite earning $1.95 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $1.78 a share consensus estimate. Revenue came in above forecasts as well, boosted by an expanding presence in cloud computing and business services.Mondelez(MDLZ) – Mondelez came in 8 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 77 cents per share. The snack maker’s revenue also came in above Wall Street projections. Mondelez continues to benefit from consumers stocking up on snacks amid the pandemic, especially in international markets where lockdowns are still prevalent. Mondelez shares added 2.5% in premarket action.Visa(V) – Visa reported quarterly profit of $1.38 per share, 11 cents a share above estimates. The payment network operator also posted better-than-expected revenue, boosted by the ongoing surge in online shopping. Shares gained 1.6% in premarket action.Sony(SONY) – Sony reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter, driven by an ongoing jump in gaming demand as well as the popularity of the PlayStation 5 gaming console. Sony gained 3.6% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377276511,"gmtCreate":1619533012633,"gmtModify":1631893569301,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What a vision!","listText":"What a vision!","text":"What a vision!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377276511","repostId":"1147181024","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147181024","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619531957,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147181024?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 21:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Warren Buffett's airline stocks have performed since Berkshire Hathaway sold them<blockquote>自伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售沃伦·巴菲特的航空股以来的表现如何</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147181024","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Warren Buffett has a storied history with airline stocks, oncequipping, \"I am Warren and I am an aer","content":"<p>Warren Buffett has a storied history with airline stocks, oncequipping, \"I am Warren and I am an aeroholic.\" But the spectacular returns for the industry over the last year are casting a dark cloud on Berkshire Hathaway's decisionto dump all of its airline holdingsin May 2020 as prices were bottoming. Berkshire loaded up on stock of the four major U.S. carriers in 2016.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特在航空股方面有着传奇的历史，他曾经说过：“我是沃伦，我是一个航空迷。”但去年该行业的惊人回报给伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2020年5月因价格触底而抛售其所有航空公司股份的决定蒙上了一层乌云。伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2016年增持了美国四大航空公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the 2020 Berkshire annual shareholders meeting, Buffett said he'd spent $7 billion to $8 billionamassing stakesin Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines. He didn't comment on the exit prices except to say, \"We did not take out anything like $7 [billion] or $8 billion.\" This contributed to Berkshire's massive $50 billion loss in the first quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在2020年伯克希尔年度股东大会上，巴菲特表示，他已斥资70亿至80亿美元增持达美航空、联合航空、美国航空和西南航空的股份。他没有对退出价格发表评论，只是说：“我们没有拿出70亿美元或80亿美元。”这导致伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2020年第一季度亏损500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since then the stocks have taken off, with American and Southwest up over 80% since their May 25, 2020 bottom, while United and Delta are up about 70%. Measuring gains from the May 25, 2020 trough of all four airlines produces even more spectacular results. United was up over 200% over the period, while American was up 190%.</p><p><blockquote>此后，该股开始腾飞，美国航空和西南航空自2020年5月25日触底以来上涨了80%以上，而联合航空和达美航空则上涨了约70%。衡量所有四家航空公司自2020年5月25日低谷以来的涨幅会产生更惊人的结果。美联航在此期间上涨了200%以上，而美国航空则上涨了190%。</blockquote></p><p> The worst losses over the period, which aren't necessarily reflective of Berkshire losses in the positions, were palpable. United was down over 70% at the nadir, and both Delta and American had sunk over 60%. An investment that loses 70% requires a 333% gain to get back to breakeven.</p><p><blockquote>这一时期最严重的损失是显而易见的，这并不一定反映伯克希尔的头寸损失。联合航空在最低点下跌了70%以上，达美航空和美国航空都下跌了60%以上。损失70%的投资需要333%的收益才能恢复盈亏平衡。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett's first airline</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的第一家航空公司</blockquote></p><p> Buffett's first investment foray into airlines began with USAir preferred stock in 1989. While Berkshire made money on the dividends, Buffett himself would lament the decision for decades, casting aspersions on the low-profit, expensive nature of the industry.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特首次涉足航空公司投资始于1989年的美国航空优先股。虽然伯克希尔从股息中赚钱，但巴菲特本人几十年来一直对这一决定感到遗憾，并对该行业低利润、高成本的本质进行诽谤。</blockquote></p><p> In the sameinterviewwhere Buffett self-identified as an \"aeroholic,\" he said, \"If a capitalist had been present at Kitty Hawk back in the early 1900s, he should have shot Orville Wright. He would have saved his progeny money. But seriously, the airline business has been extraordinary. It has eaten up capital over the past century like almost no other business because people seem to keep coming back to it and putting fresh money in. You've got huge fixed costs, you've got strong labor unions and you've got commodity pricing. That is not a great recipe for success.\"</p><p><blockquote>在同一次采访中，巴菲特自称是一个“航空狂”，他说，“如果一个资本家在20世纪初出现在小鹰酒店，他应该开枪打死奥维尔·赖特。他会为他的后代省钱。但说真的，航空业非常出色。在过去的一个世纪里，它像几乎没有其他行业一样消耗了资本，因为人们似乎不断回来并投入新的资金。你有巨大的固定成本，你有强大的工会，你有商品定价。这并不是成功的秘诀。”</blockquote></p><p> And yet, 2016 happened — when Berkshire first loaded up on the industry in a big way. In itsannual shareholder letterfor that fiscal year, Buffett didn't address the new airline stock holdings — except with a passing joke about shareholders flying into the annual meeting.</p><p><blockquote>然而，2016年发生了——伯克希尔首次大举进军该行业。在该财年的年度股东信中，巴菲特没有提及新持有的航空公司股票——除了开了一个关于股东飞往年会的玩笑。</blockquote></p><p> \"Keep in mind that airlines have sometimes jacked up prices for the Berkshire weekend — though I must admit I have developed some tolerance, bordering on enthusiasm, for that practice now that Berkshire has made large investments in America’s four major carriers,\"wrote Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特写道：“请记住，航空公司有时会提高伯克希尔周末的价格——尽管我必须承认，既然伯克希尔已经对美国四大航空公司进行了大量投资，我对这种做法已经产生了一定的容忍度，近乎热情。”</blockquote></p><p> When Buffett finally cut Berkshire's losses in 2020, Bill Smead, chief investment officer of Smead Capital Management, wrote acritical reviewof the matter but was careful to praise Buffett's tremendous historical track record.</p><p><blockquote>当巴菲特最终在2020年削减伯克希尔的亏损时，Smead Capital Management首席投资官Bill Smead对此事发表了批评评论，但小心翼翼地赞扬了巴菲特巨大的历史记录。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are big fans of Buffett’s theories about businesses with low capital requirements and the ability to throw off cash to owners. Unfortunately, he recently emphasized indexing and didn’t shy folks away from today’s glamour tech stocks which require more and more capital,\" wrote Smead.</p><p><blockquote>“我们非常喜欢巴菲特关于资本要求低、有能力向所有者抛出现金的企业的理论。不幸的是，他最近强调指数化，并没有让人们远离当今需要越来越多资本的魅力科技股，”斯米德写道。</blockquote></p><p> From great to gruesome</p><p><blockquote>从伟大到可怕</blockquote></p><p> InBerkshire’s 2007 Letter to Shareholders, Buffett outlined three types of enterprises that he characterized as “The Great, the Good and the Gruesome. \"[T]think of three types of 'savings accounts.' The great one pays an extraordinarily high interest rate that will rise as the years pass. The good one pays an attractive rate of interest that will be earned also on deposits that are added. Finally, the gruesome account both pays an inadequate interest rate and requires you to keep adding money at those disappointing returns.\"</p><p><blockquote>在伯克希尔2007年致股东的信中，巴菲特概述了三种类型的企业，他称之为“伟大的、好的和可怕的”。想想三种类型的‘储蓄账户’。伟大的一种支付极高的利率，利率会随着时间的推移而上升。好的一种支付有吸引力的利率，增加的存款也会产生利息。最后，可怕的一种账户支付的利率不够高，而且要求你继续以令人失望的回报增加资金。”</blockquote></p><p> Smead suggests Buffett should have taken his own advice. \"He profiled 'gruesome' business[es] by using airlines as his poster child and described them in the opening quote of this letter. Buffett would have been well served by listening to his 13-year-younger self, and we think his description of gruesome stocks should serve us well in assessing today’s market.\"</p><p><blockquote>斯米德建议巴菲特应该采纳自己的建议。“他通过将航空公司作为他的典型代表来描述‘可怕’的业务，并在这封信的开头引用中描述了它们。巴菲特最好听听比他小13岁的自己的话，我们认为他的描述可怕的股票应该很好地帮助我们评估当今的市场。”</blockquote></p><p> A year later, Smead served up a reminder for investors to stick to their competency, saying to Yahoo Finance viewers in an interview, \"[Buffett] got reminded that he should belong to airlines anonymous. And by the way, all of us have investors in industries or sectors that we should probably never get involved in.\"</p><p><blockquote>一年后，斯米德提醒投资者坚持自己的能力，他在接受雅虎财经观众采访时表示，“[巴菲特]被提醒他应该属于匿名航空公司。顺便说一句，我们所有人都有我们可能永远不应该涉足的行业或部门的投资者。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Warren Buffett's airline stocks have performed since Berkshire Hathaway sold them<blockquote>自伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售沃伦·巴菲特的航空股以来的表现如何</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Warren Buffett's airline stocks have performed since Berkshire Hathaway sold them<blockquote>自伯克希尔哈撒韦公司出售沃伦·巴菲特的航空股以来的表现如何</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-27 21:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Warren Buffett has a storied history with airline stocks, oncequipping, \"I am Warren and I am an aeroholic.\" But the spectacular returns for the industry over the last year are casting a dark cloud on Berkshire Hathaway's decisionto dump all of its airline holdingsin May 2020 as prices were bottoming. Berkshire loaded up on stock of the four major U.S. carriers in 2016.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特在航空股方面有着传奇的历史，他曾经说过：“我是沃伦，我是一个航空迷。”但去年该行业的惊人回报给伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2020年5月因价格触底而抛售其所有航空公司股份的决定蒙上了一层乌云。伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2016年增持了美国四大航空公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the 2020 Berkshire annual shareholders meeting, Buffett said he'd spent $7 billion to $8 billionamassing stakesin Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines. He didn't comment on the exit prices except to say, \"We did not take out anything like $7 [billion] or $8 billion.\" This contributed to Berkshire's massive $50 billion loss in the first quarter of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>在2020年伯克希尔年度股东大会上，巴菲特表示，他已斥资70亿至80亿美元增持达美航空、联合航空、美国航空和西南航空的股份。他没有对退出价格发表评论，只是说：“我们没有拿出70亿美元或80亿美元。”这导致伯克希尔哈撒韦公司在2020年第一季度亏损500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since then the stocks have taken off, with American and Southwest up over 80% since their May 25, 2020 bottom, while United and Delta are up about 70%. Measuring gains from the May 25, 2020 trough of all four airlines produces even more spectacular results. United was up over 200% over the period, while American was up 190%.</p><p><blockquote>此后，该股开始腾飞，美国航空和西南航空自2020年5月25日触底以来上涨了80%以上，而联合航空和达美航空则上涨了约70%。衡量所有四家航空公司自2020年5月25日低谷以来的涨幅会产生更惊人的结果。美联航在此期间上涨了200%以上，而美国航空则上涨了190%。</blockquote></p><p> The worst losses over the period, which aren't necessarily reflective of Berkshire losses in the positions, were palpable. United was down over 70% at the nadir, and both Delta and American had sunk over 60%. An investment that loses 70% requires a 333% gain to get back to breakeven.</p><p><blockquote>这一时期最严重的损失是显而易见的，这并不一定反映伯克希尔的头寸损失。联合航空在最低点下跌了70%以上，达美航空和美国航空都下跌了60%以上。损失70%的投资需要333%的收益才能恢复盈亏平衡。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett's first airline</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的第一家航空公司</blockquote></p><p> Buffett's first investment foray into airlines began with USAir preferred stock in 1989. While Berkshire made money on the dividends, Buffett himself would lament the decision for decades, casting aspersions on the low-profit, expensive nature of the industry.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特首次涉足航空公司投资始于1989年的美国航空优先股。虽然伯克希尔从股息中赚钱，但巴菲特本人几十年来一直对这一决定感到遗憾，并对该行业低利润、高成本的本质进行诽谤。</blockquote></p><p> In the sameinterviewwhere Buffett self-identified as an \"aeroholic,\" he said, \"If a capitalist had been present at Kitty Hawk back in the early 1900s, he should have shot Orville Wright. He would have saved his progeny money. But seriously, the airline business has been extraordinary. It has eaten up capital over the past century like almost no other business because people seem to keep coming back to it and putting fresh money in. You've got huge fixed costs, you've got strong labor unions and you've got commodity pricing. That is not a great recipe for success.\"</p><p><blockquote>在同一次采访中，巴菲特自称是一个“航空狂”，他说，“如果一个资本家在20世纪初出现在小鹰酒店，他应该开枪打死奥维尔·赖特。他会为他的后代省钱。但说真的，航空业非常出色。在过去的一个世纪里，它像几乎没有其他行业一样消耗了资本，因为人们似乎不断回来并投入新的资金。你有巨大的固定成本，你有强大的工会，你有商品定价。这并不是成功的秘诀。”</blockquote></p><p> And yet, 2016 happened — when Berkshire first loaded up on the industry in a big way. In itsannual shareholder letterfor that fiscal year, Buffett didn't address the new airline stock holdings — except with a passing joke about shareholders flying into the annual meeting.</p><p><blockquote>然而，2016年发生了——伯克希尔首次大举进军该行业。在该财年的年度股东信中，巴菲特没有提及新持有的航空公司股票——除了开了一个关于股东飞往年会的玩笑。</blockquote></p><p> \"Keep in mind that airlines have sometimes jacked up prices for the Berkshire weekend — though I must admit I have developed some tolerance, bordering on enthusiasm, for that practice now that Berkshire has made large investments in America’s four major carriers,\"wrote Buffett.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特写道：“请记住，航空公司有时会提高伯克希尔周末的价格——尽管我必须承认，既然伯克希尔已经对美国四大航空公司进行了大量投资，我对这种做法已经产生了一定的容忍度，近乎热情。”</blockquote></p><p> When Buffett finally cut Berkshire's losses in 2020, Bill Smead, chief investment officer of Smead Capital Management, wrote acritical reviewof the matter but was careful to praise Buffett's tremendous historical track record.</p><p><blockquote>当巴菲特最终在2020年削减伯克希尔的亏损时，Smead Capital Management首席投资官Bill Smead对此事发表了批评评论，但小心翼翼地赞扬了巴菲特巨大的历史记录。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are big fans of Buffett’s theories about businesses with low capital requirements and the ability to throw off cash to owners. Unfortunately, he recently emphasized indexing and didn’t shy folks away from today’s glamour tech stocks which require more and more capital,\" wrote Smead.</p><p><blockquote>“我们非常喜欢巴菲特关于资本要求低、有能力向所有者抛出现金的企业的理论。不幸的是，他最近强调指数化，并没有让人们远离当今需要越来越多资本的魅力科技股，”斯米德写道。</blockquote></p><p> From great to gruesome</p><p><blockquote>从伟大到可怕</blockquote></p><p> InBerkshire’s 2007 Letter to Shareholders, Buffett outlined three types of enterprises that he characterized as “The Great, the Good and the Gruesome. \"[T]think of three types of 'savings accounts.' The great one pays an extraordinarily high interest rate that will rise as the years pass. The good one pays an attractive rate of interest that will be earned also on deposits that are added. Finally, the gruesome account both pays an inadequate interest rate and requires you to keep adding money at those disappointing returns.\"</p><p><blockquote>在伯克希尔2007年致股东的信中，巴菲特概述了三种类型的企业，他称之为“伟大的、好的和可怕的”。想想三种类型的‘储蓄账户’。伟大的一种支付极高的利率，利率会随着时间的推移而上升。好的一种支付有吸引力的利率，增加的存款也会产生利息。最后，可怕的一种账户支付的利率不够高，而且要求你继续以令人失望的回报增加资金。”</blockquote></p><p> Smead suggests Buffett should have taken his own advice. \"He profiled 'gruesome' business[es] by using airlines as his poster child and described them in the opening quote of this letter. Buffett would have been well served by listening to his 13-year-younger self, and we think his description of gruesome stocks should serve us well in assessing today’s market.\"</p><p><blockquote>斯米德建议巴菲特应该采纳自己的建议。“他通过将航空公司作为他的典型代表来描述‘可怕’的业务，并在这封信的开头引用中描述了它们。巴菲特最好听听比他小13岁的自己的话，我们认为他的描述可怕的股票应该很好地帮助我们评估当今的市场。”</blockquote></p><p> A year later, Smead served up a reminder for investors to stick to their competency, saying to Yahoo Finance viewers in an interview, \"[Buffett] got reminded that he should belong to airlines anonymous. And by the way, all of us have investors in industries or sectors that we should probably never get involved in.\"</p><p><blockquote>一年后，斯米德提醒投资者坚持自己的能力，他在接受雅虎财经观众采访时表示，“[巴菲特]被提醒他应该属于匿名航空公司。顺便说一句，我们所有人都有我们可能永远不应该涉足的行业或部门的投资者。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-warren-buffetts-airline-stocks-have-performed-since-berkshire-hathaway-sold-them-134849843.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAL":"美国航空","UAL":"联合大陆航空"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-warren-buffetts-airline-stocks-have-performed-since-berkshire-hathaway-sold-them-134849843.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147181024","content_text":"Warren Buffett has a storied history with airline stocks, oncequipping, \"I am Warren and I am an aeroholic.\" But the spectacular returns for the industry over the last year are casting a dark cloud on Berkshire Hathaway's decisionto dump all of its airline holdingsin May 2020 as prices were bottoming. Berkshire loaded up on stock of the four major U.S. carriers in 2016.\nAt the 2020 Berkshire annual shareholders meeting, Buffett said he'd spent $7 billion to $8 billionamassing stakesin Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines and Southwest Airlines. He didn't comment on the exit prices except to say, \"We did not take out anything like $7 [billion] or $8 billion.\" This contributed to Berkshire's massive $50 billion loss in the first quarter of 2020.\nSince then the stocks have taken off, with American and Southwest up over 80% since their May 25, 2020 bottom, while United and Delta are up about 70%. Measuring gains from the May 25, 2020 trough of all four airlines produces even more spectacular results. United was up over 200% over the period, while American was up 190%.\nThe worst losses over the period, which aren't necessarily reflective of Berkshire losses in the positions, were palpable. United was down over 70% at the nadir, and both Delta and American had sunk over 60%. An investment that loses 70% requires a 333% gain to get back to breakeven.\nBuffett's first airline\nBuffett's first investment foray into airlines began with USAir preferred stock in 1989. While Berkshire made money on the dividends, Buffett himself would lament the decision for decades, casting aspersions on the low-profit, expensive nature of the industry.\nIn the sameinterviewwhere Buffett self-identified as an \"aeroholic,\" he said, \"If a capitalist had been present at Kitty Hawk back in the early 1900s, he should have shot Orville Wright. He would have saved his progeny money. But seriously, the airline business has been extraordinary. It has eaten up capital over the past century like almost no other business because people seem to keep coming back to it and putting fresh money in. You've got huge fixed costs, you've got strong labor unions and you've got commodity pricing. That is not a great recipe for success.\"\nAnd yet, 2016 happened — when Berkshire first loaded up on the industry in a big way. In itsannual shareholder letterfor that fiscal year, Buffett didn't address the new airline stock holdings — except with a passing joke about shareholders flying into the annual meeting.\n\"Keep in mind that airlines have sometimes jacked up prices for the Berkshire weekend — though I must admit I have developed some tolerance, bordering on enthusiasm, for that practice now that Berkshire has made large investments in America’s four major carriers,\"wrote Buffett.\nWhen Buffett finally cut Berkshire's losses in 2020, Bill Smead, chief investment officer of Smead Capital Management, wrote acritical reviewof the matter but was careful to praise Buffett's tremendous historical track record.\n\"We are big fans of Buffett’s theories about businesses with low capital requirements and the ability to throw off cash to owners. Unfortunately, he recently emphasized indexing and didn’t shy folks away from today’s glamour tech stocks which require more and more capital,\" wrote Smead.\nFrom great to gruesome\nInBerkshire’s 2007 Letter to Shareholders, Buffett outlined three types of enterprises that he characterized as “The Great, the Good and the Gruesome. \"[T]think of three types of 'savings accounts.' The great one pays an extraordinarily high interest rate that will rise as the years pass. The good one pays an attractive rate of interest that will be earned also on deposits that are added. Finally, the gruesome account both pays an inadequate interest rate and requires you to keep adding money at those disappointing returns.\"\nSmead suggests Buffett should have taken his own advice. \"He profiled 'gruesome' business[es] by using airlines as his poster child and described them in the opening quote of this letter. Buffett would have been well served by listening to his 13-year-younger self, and we think his description of gruesome stocks should serve us well in assessing today’s market.\"\nA year later, Smead served up a reminder for investors to stick to their competency, saying to Yahoo Finance viewers in an interview, \"[Buffett] got reminded that he should belong to airlines anonymous. And by the way, all of us have investors in industries or sectors that we should probably never get involved in.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAL":0.9,"UAL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":363769057,"gmtCreate":1614173519879,"gmtModify":1634550882926,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363769057","repostId":"1115367460","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824899372,"gmtCreate":1634297959738,"gmtModify":1634297959914,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Time to buy more&nbsp;","listText":"&nbsp;Time to buy more&nbsp;","text":"Time to buy more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824899372","repostId":"1169529009","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169529009","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632904196,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169529009?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 16:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169529009","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock inv","content":"<p>• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock investment in China and rising internet-based retail brokerage services globally&nbsp;together support strong industry fundamentals. TIGR, an early mover in the internet brokerage sector, significantly outperforms traditional brokers by providing better services for retail investors. Their&nbsp;price target of US$21 per ADS implies 83%&nbsp;upside&nbsp;potential&nbsp;from&nbsp;the&nbsp;latest&nbsp;market&nbsp;close&nbsp;price,&nbsp;despite&nbsp;possible&nbsp;sector-widevolatilityinChineseADRs.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级。中国日益增长的跨境股票投资需求和全球范围内基于互联网的零售经纪服务的兴起共同支撑了强劲的行业基本面。TIGR是互联网券商领域的先行者，通过为散户投资者提供更好的服务，表现明显优于传统券商。尽管中国ADR可能出现全行业波动，但他们的目标价为每股ADR 21美元，这意味着较最新市场收盘价有83%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;86Research forecasts TIGR’s net revenues will reach US&nbsp;$668 mln in 2024, giving it a 4-yr CAGR of 51%. According to their projection, the number of customers with deposits on TIGR will reach 1.7 mln by the end of 2024. The total AUM and financing balance will exceed US$103 bln and US$5.5 bln, respectively. Trading volumes on TIGR are forecast to reach US$1,338 bln in 2024. 86Research expects the commission rate will remain largely flat. More derivatives trades will partially offset the negative impact from price competition. 86Research thinks the blended interest rate will&nbsp;decline&nbsp;due&nbsp;to&nbsp;the&nbsp;mix&nbsp;change&nbsp;of&nbsp;financing&nbsp;activities&nbsp;on&nbsp;the&nbsp;platform.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research预测TIGR的净收入将在2024年达到6.68亿美元，4年复合年增长率为51%。根据他们的预测，到2024年底，TIGR存款客户数量将达到170万。总AUM和融资余额将分别超过1030亿美元和55亿美元。预计2024年TIGR的交易量将达到13,380亿美元。86研究预计佣金率将基本保持不变。更多的衍生品交易将部分抵消价格竞争的负面影响。86Research认为，由于平台融资活动的组合变化，混合利率将会下降。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research&nbsp;derives&nbsp;their&nbsp;US$21&nbsp;price&nbsp;target&nbsp;based&nbsp;on&nbsp;a&nbsp;20x&nbsp;2024E&nbsp;P/E&nbsp;multiple&nbsp;and&nbsp;13%&nbsp;2-yr&nbsp;discount&nbsp;rate.&nbsp;The&nbsp;PT&nbsp;implies&nbsp;13.8x/11.7x/8.4x&nbsp;2021E/2022E/2023E&nbsp;forward&nbsp;P/B&nbsp;multiples,&nbsp;reflecting&nbsp;a&nbsp;premium&nbsp;to&nbsp;global&nbsp;peers.&nbsp;HK&nbsp;license&nbsp;approval,&nbsp;progress&nbsp;in&nbsp;international&nbsp;expansion and US self-clearing are the key catalysts in the near term, while regulatory and macro uncertainties are the main investment risks. 86Research recommends investors buy the stock on recent pullbacks which have resulted from weak market sentiment. 86’s View on TIGR: BUY; PT$21/ADS; A Rising China-Based Internet Brokerage Platform; Global Expansion To Drive Long-term Growth; Recent pullbacks create a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research基于20 x 2024年市盈率和13%的2年贴现率得出21美元的目标价。PT意味着13.8 x/11.7 x/8.4 x 2021年/2022年/2023年E远期市净率倍数，反映出相对于全球同行的溢价。香港牌照批准、国际扩张进展和美国自我清算是近期的关键催化剂，而监管和宏观不确定性是主要的投资风险。86Research建议投资者在近期市场情绪疲软导致的回调中买入该股。86对TIGR的看法：买入；PT$21/ADS；一家正在崛起的中国互联网经纪平台；全球扩张以推动长期增长；最近的回调创造了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research is bullish on TIGR’s capability to continue to gain market share from traditional brokers. The strategic focus and operating efficiency of Internet companies give advantages to TIGR, such as lower pricing and better user experience in retail brokerage services. Moreover, TIGR provides more variety than most traditional brokers, enabling retail investors to trade securities in several markets in one app&nbsp;and&nbsp;one&nbsp;account.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research看好TIGR继续从传统经纪商那里获得市场份额的能力。互联网公司的战略重点和运营效率赋予了TIGR优势，例如在零售经纪服务方面更低的定价和更好的用户体验。此外，TIGR提供了比大多数传统经纪商更多的多样性，使散户投资者能够在一个应用程序和一个账户中交易多个市场的证券。</blockquote></p><p> • Non-commission revenues are ramping up quickly. Interest income will keep growing as more consolidated account (CA) account users will adopt self-funded financing services provided by TIGR. Their analysis suggests that the net interest spread of the financing services for CA account users was much higher than the rate of financing service for fully disclosed (FD) account users. In addition, the business&nbsp;development&nbsp;in&nbsp;investment&nbsp;banking&nbsp;and&nbsp;wealth&nbsp;management&nbsp;services&nbsp;are&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to&nbsp;contribute&nbsp;meaningful&nbsp;revenues.</p><p><blockquote>•非佣金收入快速增长。随着更多合并账户（CA）账户用户将采用TIGR提供的自筹资金融资服务，利息收入将持续增长。他们的分析表明，CA账户用户融资服务的净息差远高于完全披露（FD）账户用户融资服务的净息差。此外，投资银行及财富管理服务的业务发展预计将贡献可观的收入。</blockquote></p><p> • International expansion creates a new story. TIGR has ramped up its global expansion from 3Q20, mainly targeting Singapore and US markets. Singapore has more than 1 mln addressable individual investors, about half of the market size in HK. The US market has nearly 100 mln retail investors, with total assets of approximately $50 trillion.&nbsp;Although&nbsp;facing&nbsp;challenges&nbsp;in&nbsp;terms&nbsp;of&nbsp;culture,&nbsp;regulatory&nbsp;environment&nbsp;and&nbsp;competition,&nbsp;86Research&nbsp;is&nbsp;positive&nbsp;that&nbsp;TIGR&nbsp;will&nbsp;capture&nbsp;more&nbsp;growth&nbsp;in&nbsp;its&nbsp;two&nbsp;promising&nbsp;markets.</p><p><blockquote>•国际扩张创造新故事。TIGR加大了从2020年第三季度的全球扩张力度，主要瞄准新加坡和美国市场。新加坡拥有超过100万潜在个人投资者，约为香港市场规模的一半。美国市场拥有近1亿散户投资者，总资产约50万亿美元。尽管面临文化、监管环境和竞争方面的挑战，86 Research乐观地认为TIGR将在其两个有前景的市场中获得更多增长。</blockquote></p><p> • TIGR’s stock price has been volatile. 86Research recommends investors buy on the dip. Recent stock market volatility will impact its financial performance but won‘t change the long-term growth story, in their view. The company continues to gain market share in retail brokerage services and develop non-commission businesses, such as margin financing, wealth management, order flows, etc.86Research&nbsp;is confident such growth&nbsp;can&nbsp;offset&nbsp;the&nbsp;cyclical&nbsp;impact&nbsp;from&nbsp;a&nbsp;long-term&nbsp;perspective.</p><p><blockquote>•TIGR的股价一直波动。86Research建议投资者逢低买入。他们认为，最近的股市波动将影响其财务业绩，但不会改变长期增长故事。该公司继续获得零售经纪服务的市场份额，并发展非佣金业务，如保证金融资、财富管理、订单流等。86 Research有信心从长期角度来看，这种增长可以抵消周期性影响。</blockquote></p><p> • HK license is a near-term catalyst. TIGR is expected to get a brokerage license in HK as soon as this year, which will enable it to run market campaigns and acquire users in the region. As a registered brokerage firm, TIGR&nbsp;can&nbsp;also&nbsp;build&nbsp;connections&nbsp;with&nbsp;banks to&nbsp;provide&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;subscriptions&nbsp;and&nbsp;financing&nbsp;services&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;and&nbsp;support&nbsp;the&nbsp;development&nbsp;of&nbsp;margin&nbsp;financing&nbsp;business.</p><p><blockquote>•香港牌照是近期的催化剂。TIGR预计最快将于今年在香港获得经纪牌照，这将使其能够在该地区开展市场活动并获取用户。作为注册券商，TIGR还可以与银行建立联系，在香港提供IPO认购和融资服务，并支持融资业务的发展。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating<blockquote>86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-29 16:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock investment in China and rising internet-based retail brokerage services globally&nbsp;together support strong industry fundamentals. TIGR, an early mover in the internet brokerage sector, significantly outperforms traditional brokers by providing better services for retail investors. Their&nbsp;price target of US$21 per ADS implies 83%&nbsp;upside&nbsp;potential&nbsp;from&nbsp;the&nbsp;latest&nbsp;market&nbsp;close&nbsp;price,&nbsp;despite&nbsp;possible&nbsp;sector-widevolatilityinChineseADRs.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research首次对TIGR给予买入评级。中国日益增长的跨境股票投资需求和全球范围内基于互联网的零售经纪服务的兴起共同支撑了强劲的行业基本面。TIGR是互联网券商领域的先行者，通过为散户投资者提供更好的服务，表现明显优于传统券商。尽管中国ADR可能出现全行业波动，但他们的目标价为每股ADR 21美元，这意味着较最新市场收盘价有83%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> •&nbsp;86Research forecasts TIGR’s net revenues will reach US&nbsp;$668 mln in 2024, giving it a 4-yr CAGR of 51%. According to their projection, the number of customers with deposits on TIGR will reach 1.7 mln by the end of 2024. The total AUM and financing balance will exceed US$103 bln and US$5.5 bln, respectively. Trading volumes on TIGR are forecast to reach US$1,338 bln in 2024. 86Research expects the commission rate will remain largely flat. More derivatives trades will partially offset the negative impact from price competition. 86Research thinks the blended interest rate will&nbsp;decline&nbsp;due&nbsp;to&nbsp;the&nbsp;mix&nbsp;change&nbsp;of&nbsp;financing&nbsp;activities&nbsp;on&nbsp;the&nbsp;platform.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research预测TIGR的净收入将在2024年达到6.68亿美元，4年复合年增长率为51%。根据他们的预测，到2024年底，TIGR存款客户数量将达到170万。总AUM和融资余额将分别超过1030亿美元和55亿美元。预计2024年TIGR的交易量将达到13,380亿美元。86研究预计佣金率将基本保持不变。更多的衍生品交易将部分抵消价格竞争的负面影响。86Research认为，由于平台融资活动的组合变化，混合利率将会下降。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research&nbsp;derives&nbsp;their&nbsp;US$21&nbsp;price&nbsp;target&nbsp;based&nbsp;on&nbsp;a&nbsp;20x&nbsp;2024E&nbsp;P/E&nbsp;multiple&nbsp;and&nbsp;13%&nbsp;2-yr&nbsp;discount&nbsp;rate.&nbsp;The&nbsp;PT&nbsp;implies&nbsp;13.8x/11.7x/8.4x&nbsp;2021E/2022E/2023E&nbsp;forward&nbsp;P/B&nbsp;multiples,&nbsp;reflecting&nbsp;a&nbsp;premium&nbsp;to&nbsp;global&nbsp;peers.&nbsp;HK&nbsp;license&nbsp;approval,&nbsp;progress&nbsp;in&nbsp;international&nbsp;expansion and US self-clearing are the key catalysts in the near term, while regulatory and macro uncertainties are the main investment risks. 86Research recommends investors buy the stock on recent pullbacks which have resulted from weak market sentiment. 86’s View on TIGR: BUY; PT$21/ADS; A Rising China-Based Internet Brokerage Platform; Global Expansion To Drive Long-term Growth; Recent pullbacks create a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>•86 Research基于20 x 2024年市盈率和13%的2年贴现率得出21美元的目标价。PT意味着13.8 x/11.7 x/8.4 x 2021年/2022年/2023年E远期市净率倍数，反映出相对于全球同行的溢价。香港牌照批准、国际扩张进展和美国自我清算是近期的关键催化剂，而监管和宏观不确定性是主要的投资风险。86Research建议投资者在近期市场情绪疲软导致的回调中买入该股。86对TIGR的看法：买入；PT$21/ADS；一家正在崛起的中国互联网经纪平台；全球扩张以推动长期增长；最近的回调创造了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> • 86Research is bullish on TIGR’s capability to continue to gain market share from traditional brokers. The strategic focus and operating efficiency of Internet companies give advantages to TIGR, such as lower pricing and better user experience in retail brokerage services. Moreover, TIGR provides more variety than most traditional brokers, enabling retail investors to trade securities in several markets in one app&nbsp;and&nbsp;one&nbsp;account.</p><p><blockquote>•86Research看好TIGR继续从传统经纪商那里获得市场份额的能力。互联网公司的战略重点和运营效率赋予了TIGR优势，例如在零售经纪服务方面更低的定价和更好的用户体验。此外，TIGR提供了比大多数传统经纪商更多的多样性，使散户投资者能够在一个应用程序和一个账户中交易多个市场的证券。</blockquote></p><p> • Non-commission revenues are ramping up quickly. Interest income will keep growing as more consolidated account (CA) account users will adopt self-funded financing services provided by TIGR. Their analysis suggests that the net interest spread of the financing services for CA account users was much higher than the rate of financing service for fully disclosed (FD) account users. In addition, the business&nbsp;development&nbsp;in&nbsp;investment&nbsp;banking&nbsp;and&nbsp;wealth&nbsp;management&nbsp;services&nbsp;are&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to&nbsp;contribute&nbsp;meaningful&nbsp;revenues.</p><p><blockquote>•非佣金收入快速增长。随着更多合并账户（CA）账户用户将采用TIGR提供的自筹资金融资服务，利息收入将持续增长。他们的分析表明，CA账户用户融资服务的净息差远高于完全披露（FD）账户用户融资服务的净息差。此外，投资银行及财富管理服务的业务发展预计将贡献可观的收入。</blockquote></p><p> • International expansion creates a new story. TIGR has ramped up its global expansion from 3Q20, mainly targeting Singapore and US markets. Singapore has more than 1 mln addressable individual investors, about half of the market size in HK. The US market has nearly 100 mln retail investors, with total assets of approximately $50 trillion.&nbsp;Although&nbsp;facing&nbsp;challenges&nbsp;in&nbsp;terms&nbsp;of&nbsp;culture,&nbsp;regulatory&nbsp;environment&nbsp;and&nbsp;competition,&nbsp;86Research&nbsp;is&nbsp;positive&nbsp;that&nbsp;TIGR&nbsp;will&nbsp;capture&nbsp;more&nbsp;growth&nbsp;in&nbsp;its&nbsp;two&nbsp;promising&nbsp;markets.</p><p><blockquote>•国际扩张创造新故事。TIGR加大了从2020年第三季度的全球扩张力度，主要瞄准新加坡和美国市场。新加坡拥有超过100万潜在个人投资者，约为香港市场规模的一半。美国市场拥有近1亿散户投资者，总资产约50万亿美元。尽管面临文化、监管环境和竞争方面的挑战，86 Research乐观地认为TIGR将在其两个有前景的市场中获得更多增长。</blockquote></p><p> • TIGR’s stock price has been volatile. 86Research recommends investors buy on the dip. Recent stock market volatility will impact its financial performance but won‘t change the long-term growth story, in their view. The company continues to gain market share in retail brokerage services and develop non-commission businesses, such as margin financing, wealth management, order flows, etc.86Research&nbsp;is confident such growth&nbsp;can&nbsp;offset&nbsp;the&nbsp;cyclical&nbsp;impact&nbsp;from&nbsp;a&nbsp;long-term&nbsp;perspective.</p><p><blockquote>•TIGR的股价一直波动。86Research建议投资者逢低买入。他们认为，最近的股市波动将影响其财务业绩，但不会改变长期增长故事。该公司继续获得零售经纪服务的市场份额，并发展非佣金业务，如保证金融资、财富管理、订单流等。86 Research有信心从长期角度来看，这种增长可以抵消周期性影响。</blockquote></p><p> • HK license is a near-term catalyst. TIGR is expected to get a brokerage license in HK as soon as this year, which will enable it to run market campaigns and acquire users in the region. As a registered brokerage firm, TIGR&nbsp;can&nbsp;also&nbsp;build&nbsp;connections&nbsp;with&nbsp;banks to&nbsp;provide&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;subscriptions&nbsp;and&nbsp;financing&nbsp;services&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;and&nbsp;support&nbsp;the&nbsp;development&nbsp;of&nbsp;margin&nbsp;financing&nbsp;business.</p><p><blockquote>•香港牌照是近期的催化剂。TIGR预计最快将于今年在香港获得经纪牌照，这将使其能够在该地区开展市场活动并获取用户。作为注册券商，TIGR还可以与银行建立联系，在香港提供IPO认购和融资服务，并支持融资业务的发展。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169529009","content_text":"• 86Research initiates coverage on TIGR with a BUY rating. Growing demand for cross-border stock investment in China and rising internet-based retail brokerage services globally together support strong industry fundamentals. TIGR, an early mover in the internet brokerage sector, significantly outperforms traditional brokers by providing better services for retail investors. Their price target of US$21 per ADS implies 83% upside potential from the latest market close price, despite possible sector-widevolatilityinChineseADRs.\n• 86Research forecasts TIGR’s net revenues will reach US $668 mln in 2024, giving it a 4-yr CAGR of 51%. According to their projection, the number of customers with deposits on TIGR will reach 1.7 mln by the end of 2024. The total AUM and financing balance will exceed US$103 bln and US$5.5 bln, respectively. Trading volumes on TIGR are forecast to reach US$1,338 bln in 2024. 86Research expects the commission rate will remain largely flat. More derivatives trades will partially offset the negative impact from price competition. 86Research thinks the blended interest rate will decline due to the mix change of financing activities on the platform.\n• 86Research derives their US$21 price target based on a 20x 2024E P/E multiple and 13% 2-yr discount rate. The PT implies 13.8x/11.7x/8.4x 2021E/2022E/2023E forward P/B multiples, reflecting a premium to global peers. HK license approval, progress in international expansion and US self-clearing are the key catalysts in the near term, while regulatory and macro uncertainties are the main investment risks. 86Research recommends investors buy the stock on recent pullbacks which have resulted from weak market sentiment. 86’s View on TIGR: BUY; PT$21/ADS; A Rising China-Based Internet Brokerage Platform; Global Expansion To Drive Long-term Growth; Recent pullbacks create a buying opportunity.\n• 86Research is bullish on TIGR’s capability to continue to gain market share from traditional brokers. The strategic focus and operating efficiency of Internet companies give advantages to TIGR, such as lower pricing and better user experience in retail brokerage services. Moreover, TIGR provides more variety than most traditional brokers, enabling retail investors to trade securities in several markets in one app and one account.\n• Non-commission revenues are ramping up quickly. Interest income will keep growing as more consolidated account (CA) account users will adopt self-funded financing services provided by TIGR. Their analysis suggests that the net interest spread of the financing services for CA account users was much higher than the rate of financing service for fully disclosed (FD) account users. In addition, the business development in investment banking and wealth management services are expected to contribute meaningful revenues.\n• International expansion creates a new story. TIGR has ramped up its global expansion from 3Q20, mainly targeting Singapore and US markets. Singapore has more than 1 mln addressable individual investors, about half of the market size in HK. The US market has nearly 100 mln retail investors, with total assets of approximately $50 trillion. Although facing challenges in terms of culture, regulatory environment and competition, 86Research is positive that TIGR will capture more growth in its two promising markets.\n• TIGR’s stock price has been volatile. 86Research recommends investors buy on the dip. Recent stock market volatility will impact its financial performance but won‘t change the long-term growth story, in their view. The company continues to gain market share in retail brokerage services and develop non-commission businesses, such as margin financing, wealth management, order flows, etc.86Research is confident such growth can offset the cyclical impact from a long-term perspective.\n• HK license is a near-term catalyst. TIGR is expected to get a brokerage license in HK as soon as this year, which will enable it to run market campaigns and acquire users in the region. As a registered brokerage firm, TIGR can also build connections with banks to provide IPO subscriptions and financing services in Hong Kong and support the development of margin financing business.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":126648023,"gmtCreate":1624570690662,"gmtModify":1631891265673,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good analysis&nbsp;","listText":"Good analysis&nbsp;","text":"Good analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126648023","repostId":"1168762020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168762020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623988654,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168762020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168762020","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithogra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。</li><li>预计到2025年，DUV光刻将以8.4%的CAGR增长，而EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML在EUV领域占据垄断地位，在DUV领域面临非常有限的竞争，这两个平台对半导体制造工艺绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为真正的创新者，ASML拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受这一旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，几乎没有安全边际，他们可能会通过平均成本法涉足水，以从推动ASML的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>宏观照片/iStock来自Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding(ASML)在其最先进的技术平台EUV光刻方面拥有无与伦比的市场地位，看不到竞争对手。同样，它在DUV内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识拥有非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于总体GDP的行业运营时。然而，市场早已认识到ASML的突出潜力和潜力之旅，但它仍然可能低估了潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇关于如何不要拥有太多半导体敞口的文章。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论区收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行跟进。我选择ASML是因为其独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器(TXN)和博通公司(AVGO)的股票接触到了半导体价值链的制造水平，但进一步深入价值链，投资者可以被允许以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触大多数制造商，这使得它非常有趣，因为你可以采用“我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在比赛”的口号。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML的追随者来说，这一点并不奇怪，但ASML在将推动其未来十年收入的产品中占据主导地位，即EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML提供光刻设备，这是一种通过光源打印芯片特征的艺术，有多种光谱，其中最先进的是EUV，这是DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于DUV来说，尽管ASML拥有超过85%的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV的工作波长几乎比DUV小15倍（13.5 nm与193nm相比）。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将到来的3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商非常依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来很划算，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是ASML。对于每一代新的EUV机器，其产量都会变得更好，吞吐量更高，停机问题也会减少，这意味着ASML实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都与流程知识有关的行业。台积电(TSM)能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米芯片，它将能够生产3纳米芯片，因为它可以生产5纳米芯片，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司如此有害。(INTC)不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面持续存在的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到5纳米，就没有3纳米，我在上一篇文章中也讨论过。ASML也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入EUV领域，他们将落后ASML很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前困扰ASML的EUV早期的相同问题。我附上了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，这次投资者日发生在2018年11月，下一次投资者日将于2021年9月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。6.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了ASML在其EUV生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也转化为每一代更好的EUV机器，其生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用EUV技术需要多少时间和资金，我无法想象对一家公司来说还有比这更有利的竞争形势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。16.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>半导体制造是一项残酷的业务，根据摩尔定律，大量的研发支出（ASML花费了60亿欧元的研发支出来发明EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着ASML已经在研究下一代技术，称为高NA-EUV。高NA-EUV还有一段时间，下面的时间表略显过时，但其技术将显着改善EUV平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高产量和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍有大量机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。21.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面制定了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的DUV平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。25.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上这样一个事实，即半导体行业总体预计至少在2028年之前将超过总体GDP，复合年增长率为8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司（场外交易代码：SSNLF）最近的通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们预计未来十年的总资本支出将超过2000亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中可以看出，ASML希望通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的DUV路线图可以作为一个例子，说明EUV的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像DUV的情况一样。该公司已标记为安装基础管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，DUV产品和商机，第14页。10.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战ASML，但公司在该技术处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现，对EUV的影响就像EUV对DUV所做的那样。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了强调这一点，我插入了ASML自己对光刻如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是制造更强大、更快、更便宜芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案集成，有助于优化生产并实现可承受的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图(称为“掩模”或“掩模”)投射。随着图案被编码在光中，系统的光学器件收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。在打印图案之后，系统稍微移动晶片并在晶片上进行另一次复制。重复该过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成晶片的一层芯片。为了制造整个微芯片，该过程一层又一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路(IC)。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有超过150层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于具有最小特征的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于具有较大特征的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果他们不熟悉，他们应该拿本书自学。通读这一部分后，考虑到我对ASML的地位和竞争力的强烈支持，我作为作者很容易受到确认偏见的困扰。然而，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响ASML的情况，老实说，我找不到。当然，也存在与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这在2016年的股价中也有所体现，目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。该公司自己在其2020年年度报告第21页中提到了这些问题，没有一个行业没有潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML开创了EUV光刻，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将在本十年为ASML及其客户带来长期价值</li><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%，超过总体GDP，ASML是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动了对ASML产品的需求</li><li>在装机基础管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片的EUV机械的依赖方面扩大EUV业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML是领先芯片制造的关键参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML自身表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入增长强劲</li><li>利润率强劲扩张</li><li>自由现金流强劲改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来加强其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是2021年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于2021年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入扩张略低，为41亿欧元，毛利率为49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。14.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是安装库管理中的开发，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从2019年到2020年同比增长29%，远远超过18%的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。8.</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是，市场估计是否低估了ASML的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了还是高估了ASML的潜力？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对ASML的报道很好，他们提供了到2028年的预测，但一旦我们超过2025年，报道范围就会减弱，这是最后一年有超过一名分析师报道。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR发展为11.1%，但如果我们去掉2021年的强劲增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到2028年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果不考虑2020年至2021年的大幅增长，ASML的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑一些支持ASML前景可能更加积极的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业CAGR 2020-2028年预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025预测为8.4%，仍然是ASML最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027年预测为12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML在通过“安装基础管理”扩大其机械生态系统的计划方面取得了进展，使总目标市场增加了两位数以上的百分比，因为2018年的销售额占安装基础管理的20%，2025年的估计为50%。</li><li>ASML在DUV沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是DUV利润率较高的部分，因为其在DUV的两个唯一竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向EUV过渡，对DUV的需求将随之而来，因为芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造从这两种系统中受益。</li></ul>这还没有提到潜在的价格上涨可能会渗透到其客户身上，因为他们可能会争夺ASML的产能，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强大市场地位以及在EUV中的垄断地位，同时也在中期将高NA-EUV推向市场。这十年。如今，客户为EUV机器支付大约1.3-1.5亿美元，而DUV机器的价格约为1亿美元。ASML超额交付的最大障碍是其目前交付EUV系统的能力限制，每年交付EUV系统的能力限制在40到50个系统之间，随着多年来需求的增加，该公司当然会努力扩大这一能力限制。另一方面，随着ASML努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图构建一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否成立，或者它们是否过于积极或消极。我只想强调，考虑到正在发生的一切以及ASML的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现比目前预期的更好并不是不合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>该股价距离52周高点仅一英寸，自2020年初以来一直在上涨，自2020年10月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长，市盈率也大幅扩大。股市早已认识到ASML的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股722美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供价格目标的30名分析师中，非常看涨的比例自2016年以来从未如此之高，其中56%的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类言论时保持谨慎是一种心理锻炼，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——向上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，当考虑到五年的时间范围时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅上涨，分别为55和15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司的处境截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极的发展，ASML还通过2021年100亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还了大量资本，不幸的是，这仅相当于当前流通量减少了0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对ASML未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了人们对ASML未来的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的投资组合和市场主导地位，近年来该预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信目前的股东在持有现有股份方面做得很好，因为这家公司前景广阔。去年我一直在关注ASML，我非常难过地说，我从未抽出时间仔细研究过它，只是从远处看了看，并得出结论，该股可能会出现良好的回调在某一点上。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言，“投资者为调整做准备或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对ASML的前景和潜在旅程非常着迷，但以目前的价格，我仍然对前景和缺乏安全边际犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上当前的水平，我会说美元成本平均法对于当前价格来说是一种谨慎的策略，同时保留备份的可能性如果我们在2021年底之前看到回调，卡车将满载。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML在其两个主要产品DUV和EUV光刻中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲推动力的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，看不到真正的竞争，为预计到2028年复合年增长率为8.6%的行业提供机械和工具，其DUV和EUV平台的增长可能会更强劲，同时预计利润率也会扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML没什么不好说的，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。在如此强劲的前景下，现有股东在持有股票并享受未来的旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值的大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。最近，该股的交易价格距离52周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者准备调整或试图预测调整所损失的资金远远超过调整本身所损失的资金。”当我从远处看ASML很长一段时间时，我已经成为了这个谬论的受害者。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了ASML的真正潜力，但任何延长到未来5-10年的预测都带有极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，这使得平均成本法可以作为一种方法来获得该公司的风险敞口，并在此过程中慢慢建立头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。</li><li>预计到2025年，DUV光刻将以8.4%的CAGR增长，而EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML在EUV领域占据垄断地位，在DUV领域面临非常有限的竞争，这两个平台对半导体制造工艺绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为真正的创新者，ASML拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受这一旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，几乎没有安全边际，他们可能会通过平均成本法涉足水，以从推动ASML的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>宏观照片/iStock来自Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding(ASML)在其最先进的技术平台EUV光刻方面拥有无与伦比的市场地位，看不到竞争对手。同样，它在DUV内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识拥有非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于总体GDP的行业运营时。然而，市场早已认识到ASML的突出潜力和潜力之旅，但它仍然可能低估了潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇关于如何不要拥有太多半导体敞口的文章。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论区收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行跟进。我选择ASML是因为其独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器(TXN)和博通公司(AVGO)的股票接触到了半导体价值链的制造水平，但进一步深入价值链，投资者可以被允许以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触大多数制造商，这使得它非常有趣，因为你可以采用“我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在比赛”的口号。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML的追随者来说，这一点并不奇怪，但ASML在将推动其未来十年收入的产品中占据主导地位，即EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML提供光刻设备，这是一种通过光源打印芯片特征的艺术，有多种光谱，其中最先进的是EUV，这是DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于DUV来说，尽管ASML拥有超过85%的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV的工作波长几乎比DUV小15倍（13.5 nm与193nm相比）。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将到来的3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商非常依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来很划算，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是ASML。对于每一代新的EUV机器，其产量都会变得更好，吞吐量更高，停机问题也会减少，这意味着ASML实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都与流程知识有关的行业。台积电(TSM)能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米芯片，它将能够生产3纳米芯片，因为它可以生产5纳米芯片，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司如此有害。(INTC)不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面持续存在的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到5纳米，就没有3纳米，我在上一篇文章中也讨论过。ASML也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入EUV领域，他们将落后ASML很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前困扰ASML的EUV早期的相同问题。我附上了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，这次投资者日发生在2018年11月，下一次投资者日将于2021年9月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。6.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了ASML在其EUV生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也转化为每一代更好的EUV机器，其生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用EUV技术需要多少时间和资金，我无法想象对一家公司来说还有比这更有利的竞争形势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。16.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>半导体制造是一项残酷的业务，根据摩尔定律，大量的研发支出（ASML花费了60亿欧元的研发支出来发明EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着ASML已经在研究下一代技术，称为高NA-EUV。高NA-EUV还有一段时间，下面的时间表略显过时，但其技术将显着改善EUV平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高产量和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍有大量机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。21.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面制定了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的DUV平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。25.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上这样一个事实，即半导体行业总体预计至少在2028年之前将超过总体GDP，复合年增长率为8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司（场外交易代码：SSNLF）最近的通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们预计未来十年的总资本支出将超过2000亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中可以看出，ASML希望通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的DUV路线图可以作为一个例子，说明EUV的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像DUV的情况一样。该公司已标记为安装基础管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，DUV产品和商机，第14页。10.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战ASML，但公司在该技术处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现，对EUV的影响就像EUV对DUV所做的那样。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了强调这一点，我插入了ASML自己对光刻如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是制造更强大、更快、更便宜芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案集成，有助于优化生产并实现可承受的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图(称为“掩模”或“掩模”)投射。随着图案被编码在光中，系统的光学器件收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。在打印图案之后，系统稍微移动晶片并在晶片上进行另一次复制。重复该过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成晶片的一层芯片。为了制造整个微芯片，该过程一层又一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路(IC)。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有超过150层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于具有最小特征的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于具有较大特征的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果他们不熟悉，他们应该拿本书自学。通读这一部分后，考虑到我对ASML的地位和竞争力的强烈支持，我作为作者很容易受到确认偏见的困扰。然而，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响ASML的情况，老实说，我找不到。当然，也存在与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这在2016年的股价中也有所体现，目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。该公司自己在其2020年年度报告第21页中提到了这些问题，没有一个行业没有潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML开创了EUV光刻，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将在本十年为ASML及其客户带来长期价值</li><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%，超过总体GDP，ASML是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动了对ASML产品的需求</li><li>在装机基础管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片的EUV机械的依赖方面扩大EUV业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML是领先芯片制造的关键参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML自身表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入增长强劲</li><li>利润率强劲扩张</li><li>自由现金流强劲改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来加强其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是2021年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于2021年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入扩张略低，为41亿欧元，毛利率为49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。14.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是安装库管理中的开发，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从2019年到2020年同比增长29%，远远超过18%的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。8.</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是，市场估计是否低估了ASML的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了还是高估了ASML的潜力？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对ASML的报道很好，他们提供了到2028年的预测，但一旦我们超过2025年，报道范围就会减弱，这是最后一年有超过一名分析师报道。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR发展为11.1%，但如果我们去掉2021年的强劲增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到2028年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果不考虑2020年至2021年的大幅增长，ASML的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑一些支持ASML前景可能更加积极的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业CAGR 2020-2028年预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025预测为8.4%，仍然是ASML最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027年预测为12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML在通过“安装基础管理”扩大其机械生态系统的计划方面取得了进展，使总目标市场增加了两位数以上的百分比，因为2018年的销售额占安装基础管理的20%，2025年的估计为50%。</li><li>ASML在DUV沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是DUV利润率较高的部分，因为其在DUV的两个唯一竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向EUV过渡，对DUV的需求将随之而来，因为芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造从这两种系统中受益。</li></ul>这还没有提到潜在的价格上涨可能会渗透到其客户身上，因为他们可能会争夺ASML的产能，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强大市场地位以及在EUV中的垄断地位，同时也在中期将高NA-EUV推向市场。这十年。如今，客户为EUV机器支付大约1.3-1.5亿美元，而DUV机器的价格约为1亿美元。ASML超额交付的最大障碍是其目前交付EUV系统的能力限制，每年交付EUV系统的能力限制在40到50个系统之间，随着多年来需求的增加，该公司当然会努力扩大这一能力限制。另一方面，随着ASML努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图构建一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否成立，或者它们是否过于积极或消极。我只想强调，考虑到正在发生的一切以及ASML的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现比目前预期的更好并不是不合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>该股价距离52周高点仅一英寸，自2020年初以来一直在上涨，自2020年10月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长，市盈率也大幅扩大。股市早已认识到ASML的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股722美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供价格目标的30名分析师中，非常看涨的比例自2016年以来从未如此之高，其中56%的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类言论时保持谨慎是一种心理锻炼，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——向上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，当考虑到五年的时间范围时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅上涨，分别为55和15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司的处境截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极的发展，ASML还通过2021年100亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还了大量资本，不幸的是，这仅相当于当前流通量减少了0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对ASML未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了人们对ASML未来的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的投资组合和市场主导地位，近年来该预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信目前的股东在持有现有股份方面做得很好，因为这家公司前景广阔。去年我一直在关注ASML，我非常难过地说，我从未抽出时间仔细研究过它，只是从远处看了看，并得出结论，该股可能会出现良好的回调在某一点上。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言，“投资者为调整做准备或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对ASML的前景和潜在旅程非常着迷，但以目前的价格，我仍然对前景和缺乏安全边际犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上当前的水平，我会说美元成本平均法对于当前价格来说是一种谨慎的策略，同时保留备份的可能性如果我们在2021年底之前看到回调，卡车将满载。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML在其两个主要产品DUV和EUV光刻中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲推动力的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，看不到真正的竞争，为预计到2028年复合年增长率为8.6%的行业提供机械和工具，其DUV和EUV平台的增长可能会更强劲，同时预计利润率也会扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML没什么不好说的，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。在如此强劲的前景下，现有股东在持有股票并享受未来的旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值的大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。最近，该股的交易价格距离52周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者准备调整或试图预测调整所损失的资金远远超过调整本身所损失的资金。”当我从远处看ASML很长一段时间时，我已经成为了这个谬论的受害者。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了ASML的真正潜力，但任何延长到未来5-10年的预测都带有极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，这使得平均成本法可以作为一种方法来获得该公司的风险敞口，并在此过程中慢慢建立头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168762020","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.\nASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.\nA true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.\nExisting shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.\n\nMACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.\nIt's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.\nPersonally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.\nThe Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come\nFor ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).\nActually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.\nThis is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.\nQuite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.\nThe picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.\nSemiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.\nASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.\nIf that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.\nAs can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.\nASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.\nThere is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.\n\n “\n Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.”\n ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\n\nASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\nI believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.\nSo, to sum it all up:\n\nASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight\nEUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade\nThe semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)\nStrong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings\nThe path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips\nASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing\n\nSounds pretty good to me.\nThe Financial Performance and Development\nASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.\n\nStrong revenue growth\nStrong margin expansion\nStrong improvement in free cash flow\nImpressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&D spend and IP portfolio\n\nAnnual Report 2020, p 7.\nThis was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.\nAn interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.\nThe more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.\nAre Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?\nASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.\nAuthor's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.\nRemember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.\nConsidering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:\n\nGeneral semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.\nDUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.\nEUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.\nASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.\nASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.\nASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.\nAs the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.\n\nThis is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.\nI will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.\nValuation\nThe stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.\nData by YCharts\nMarket cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.\nThe significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.\nData by YCharts\nRevenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.\nData by YCharts\nThe strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.\nData by YCharts\nWith all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.\nAs Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.\nThere is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.\nAs can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.\nData by YCharts\nConclusion\nASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.\nThere is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.\nAs Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184881666,"gmtCreate":1623706416055,"gmtModify":1631891265683,"author":{"id":"3576363004948542","authorId":"3576363004948542","name":"Bigboss51","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576363004948542","idStr":"3576363004948542"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>I have high confidence in Microsoft.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>I have high confidence in Microsoft.","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$I have high confidence in Microsoft.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ef4afc01b295f71da2fdc6f7fd0f40a","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184881666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}