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2021-08-11

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Elon Musk’s SpaceX Could Be an Infrastructure Bill Loser. Here’s Why.<blockquote>埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的 SpaceX 可能会成为基础设施法案的输家。原因如下。</blockquote>

2021-07-28

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How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>

2021-07-26

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Tesla Reports Earnings Today. Here's What Matters Most.<blockquote>特斯拉今天公布收益。这是最重要的。</blockquote>

2021-07-25

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Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-07-24

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Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>

2021-07-23

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2021-07-23

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2021-07-22

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2021-07-21

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2021-07-20

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2021-07-19

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2021-06-28

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US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：滴滴在 IPO 第 17 周首次筹集数十亿美元</blockquote>

2021-06-19

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2021-06-19

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2021-06-19

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Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe 从疫情后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote>

2021-06-17

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2021-06-16

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Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>

2021-06-15

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2021-06-11

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2021-06-08

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Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

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like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892236288","repostId":"1115544672","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115544672","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628652297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1115544672?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk’s SpaceX Could Be an Infrastructure Bill Loser. Here’s Why.<blockquote>埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的 SpaceX 可能会成为基础设施法案的输家。原因如下。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115544672","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"There are unintended consequences to almost any decision. AndTeslaCEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX might be im","content":"<p>There are unintended consequences to almost any decision. AndTeslaCEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX might be impacted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of them.</p><p><blockquote>几乎任何决定都会产生意想不到的后果。特斯拉EO埃隆·马斯克的SpaceX可能会受到影响<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>其中。</blockquote></p><p> The2,700-plus-page trillion-dollar infrastructure package moving its way through the U.S. Senate has about $65 billion pegged for ruralbroadband internet. That’s surely a good thing. In this modern world, everyone needs high-speed internet access for work, learning, and, frankly, streamingNetflix(ticker: NFLX).</p><p><blockquote>2700多页的万亿美元基础设施一揽子计划正在美国推进。参议院为农村宽带互联网拨款约650亿美元。这当然是件好事。在这个现代世界，每个人都需要高速互联网接入来工作、学习，坦率地说，还需要流媒体网飞（股票代码：NFLX）。</blockquote></p><p> The bill would help companies likeAT&amp;T(T) andCharter <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>(CHTR) deliver coverage to rural areas. AT&amp;T CEOJohn Stankeycalled the benefits of a potential infrastructure bill “icing on the cake” back in April. But AT&amp;T may not even need the support. “I think we can move forward without this policy to deliver to you what we said we were going to deliver,” the CEO said.</p><p><blockquote>该法案将帮助 &amp;T(T) 和 Charter 等公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>（CHTR）向农村地区提供覆盖。早在四月份，美国电话电报公司首席执行官约翰-斯坦基（John Stankey）就称潜在基础设施法案的好处是 “锦上添花”。但是美国电话电报公司可能甚至不需要支持。“首席执行官说：”我认为，在没有这项政策的情况下，我们也可以继续前进，向你们提供我们所说的要提供的东西。</blockquote></p><p> In the end, funding for broadband technology may actually hurt the next generation of high-speed internet technology—or make it harder for new tech to compete.</p><p><blockquote>最终，对宽带技术的资助实际上可能会损害下一代高速互联网技术，或者使新技术更难竞争。</blockquote></p><p> SpaceXwants to offer high-speed, space-based internet to the masses.Elon Musk’sspace company has launched hundreds of its smallStarlink satellitesinto low earth orbit.</p><p><blockquote>埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的太空公司已将数百颗smallStarlink卫星发射到近地轨道。</blockquote></p><p> The SpaceX broadband business could be worth$42 billion, according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analystAdam Jonas. That was his estimate about a year ago. SpaceX isn’t a publicly traded company, and analysts don’t frequently update numbers for private firms—if they maintain any at all.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，SpaceX 宽带业务价值可能达到 420 亿美元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师乔纳斯。这是他大约一年前的估计。SpaceX 不是一家上市公司，分析师也不会经常更新私营公司的数据--如果他们有的话。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the Starlink number is today, it’s a big part of the$74 billionprivate market valuation SpaceX reached in early 2021.</p><p><blockquote>无论星链今天的数字是多少，它都是 SpaceX 在 2021 年初达到的 740 亿美元私人市场估值的重要组成部分。</blockquote></p><p> Starlink can, in theory, deliver internet anywhere, but it is better in rural areas, according to Musk. Now Starlink may have a healthier competitor—the existing broadband industry, with a $65 billion subsidy.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克表示，理论上，星链可以在任何地方提供互联网，但在农村地区更好。现在星链可能有了一个更健康的竞争对手——现有的宽带行业，有650亿美元的补贴。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the subsidy might not change the competitive position all that much. The economics of the space-based internet offerings isn’t set in stone. Jonas assumes Starlink will charge about $25 to $50 a month for its high-speed internet service. That, however, is an early estimate and doesn’t really consider regional differences and customers’ ability to pay around the globe.</p><p><blockquote>然而，补贴可能不会改变竞争地位太大。天基互联网产品的经济效益并非一成不变。乔纳斯假设星链每月将为其高速互联网服务收取约25至50美元的费用。不过，这只是一个早期估计，并没有真正考虑地区差异和客户在全球范围内的支付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The broadband players, of course, also have existing businesses that make money. Those profits could be used to subsidize any rural initiatives. Business is complicated. Government decisions sometimes add to the complexity. That is one thing lawmakers might want to consider when deciding who gets taxpayer money.</p><p><blockquote>当然，宽带运营商也有现有企业赚钱。这些利润可以用来补贴任何农村倡议。生意很复杂。政府决策有时会增加复杂性。这是立法者在决定谁得到纳税人的钱时可能要考虑的一件事。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk’s SpaceX Could Be an Infrastructure Bill Loser. Here’s Why.<blockquote>埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的 SpaceX 可能会成为基础设施法案的输家。原因如下。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk’s SpaceX Could Be an Infrastructure Bill Loser. Here’s Why.<blockquote>埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的 SpaceX 可能会成为基础设施法案的输家。原因如下。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 11:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There are unintended consequences to almost any decision. AndTeslaCEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX might be impacted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of them.</p><p><blockquote>几乎任何决定都会产生意想不到的后果。特斯拉EO埃隆·马斯克的SpaceX可能会受到影响<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>其中。</blockquote></p><p> The2,700-plus-page trillion-dollar infrastructure package moving its way through the U.S. Senate has about $65 billion pegged for ruralbroadband internet. That’s surely a good thing. In this modern world, everyone needs high-speed internet access for work, learning, and, frankly, streamingNetflix(ticker: NFLX).</p><p><blockquote>2700多页的万亿美元基础设施一揽子计划正在美国推进。参议院为农村宽带互联网拨款约650亿美元。这当然是件好事。在这个现代世界，每个人都需要高速互联网接入来工作、学习，坦率地说，还需要流媒体网飞（股票代码：NFLX）。</blockquote></p><p> The bill would help companies likeAT&amp;T(T) andCharter <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>(CHTR) deliver coverage to rural areas. AT&amp;T CEOJohn Stankeycalled the benefits of a potential infrastructure bill “icing on the cake” back in April. But AT&amp;T may not even need the support. “I think we can move forward without this policy to deliver to you what we said we were going to deliver,” the CEO said.</p><p><blockquote>该法案将帮助 &amp;T(T) 和 Charter 等公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>（CHTR）向农村地区提供覆盖。早在四月份，美国电话电报公司首席执行官约翰-斯坦基（John Stankey）就称潜在基础设施法案的好处是 “锦上添花”。但是美国电话电报公司可能甚至不需要支持。“首席执行官说：”我认为，在没有这项政策的情况下，我们也可以继续前进，向你们提供我们所说的要提供的东西。</blockquote></p><p> In the end, funding for broadband technology may actually hurt the next generation of high-speed internet technology—or make it harder for new tech to compete.</p><p><blockquote>最终，对宽带技术的资助实际上可能会损害下一代高速互联网技术，或者使新技术更难竞争。</blockquote></p><p> SpaceXwants to offer high-speed, space-based internet to the masses.Elon Musk’sspace company has launched hundreds of its smallStarlink satellitesinto low earth orbit.</p><p><blockquote>埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）的太空公司已将数百颗smallStarlink卫星发射到近地轨道。</blockquote></p><p> The SpaceX broadband business could be worth$42 billion, according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analystAdam Jonas. That was his estimate about a year ago. SpaceX isn’t a publicly traded company, and analysts don’t frequently update numbers for private firms—if they maintain any at all.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，SpaceX 宽带业务价值可能达到 420 亿美元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师乔纳斯。这是他大约一年前的估计。SpaceX 不是一家上市公司，分析师也不会经常更新私营公司的数据--如果他们有的话。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the Starlink number is today, it’s a big part of the$74 billionprivate market valuation SpaceX reached in early 2021.</p><p><blockquote>无论星链今天的数字是多少，它都是 SpaceX 在 2021 年初达到的 740 亿美元私人市场估值的重要组成部分。</blockquote></p><p> Starlink can, in theory, deliver internet anywhere, but it is better in rural areas, according to Musk. Now Starlink may have a healthier competitor—the existing broadband industry, with a $65 billion subsidy.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克表示，理论上，星链可以在任何地方提供互联网，但在农村地区更好。现在星链可能有了一个更健康的竞争对手——现有的宽带行业，有650亿美元的补贴。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the subsidy might not change the competitive position all that much. The economics of the space-based internet offerings isn’t set in stone. Jonas assumes Starlink will charge about $25 to $50 a month for its high-speed internet service. That, however, is an early estimate and doesn’t really consider regional differences and customers’ ability to pay around the globe.</p><p><blockquote>然而，补贴可能不会改变竞争地位太大。天基互联网产品的经济效益并非一成不变。乔纳斯假设星链每月将为其高速互联网服务收取约25至50美元的费用。不过，这只是一个早期估计，并没有真正考虑地区差异和客户在全球范围内的支付能力。</blockquote></p><p> The broadband players, of course, also have existing businesses that make money. Those profits could be used to subsidize any rural initiatives. Business is complicated. Government decisions sometimes add to the complexity. That is one thing lawmakers might want to consider when deciding who gets taxpayer money.</p><p><blockquote>当然，宽带运营商也有现有企业赚钱。这些利润可以用来补贴任何农村倡议。生意很复杂。政府决策有时会增加复杂性。这是立法者在决定谁得到纳税人的钱时可能要考虑的一件事。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/how-this-infrastructure-bill-will-hurt-spacex-51628006007?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/how-this-infrastructure-bill-will-hurt-spacex-51628006007?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115544672","content_text":"There are unintended consequences to almost any decision. AndTeslaCEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX might be impacted by one of them.\nThe2,700-plus-page trillion-dollar infrastructure package moving its way through the U.S. Senate has about $65 billion pegged for ruralbroadband internet. That’s surely a good thing. In this modern world, everyone needs high-speed internet access for work, learning, and, frankly, streamingNetflix(ticker: NFLX).\nThe bill would help companies likeAT&T(T) andCharter Communications(CHTR) deliver coverage to rural areas. AT&T CEOJohn Stankeycalled the benefits of a potential infrastructure bill “icing on the cake” back in April. But AT&T may not even need the support. “I think we can move forward without this policy to deliver to you what we said we were going to deliver,” the CEO said.\nIn the end, funding for broadband technology may actually hurt the next generation of high-speed internet technology—or make it harder for new tech to compete.\nSpaceXwants to offer high-speed, space-based internet to the masses.Elon Musk’sspace company has launched hundreds of its smallStarlink satellitesinto low earth orbit.\nThe SpaceX broadband business could be worth$42 billion, according to Morgan Stanley analystAdam Jonas. That was his estimate about a year ago. SpaceX isn’t a publicly traded company, and analysts don’t frequently update numbers for private firms—if they maintain any at all.\nWhatever the Starlink number is today, it’s a big part of the$74 billionprivate market valuation SpaceX reached in early 2021.\nStarlink can, in theory, deliver internet anywhere, but it is better in rural areas, according to Musk. Now Starlink may have a healthier competitor—the existing broadband industry, with a $65 billion subsidy.\nYet the subsidy might not change the competitive position all that much. The economics of the space-based internet offerings isn’t set in stone. Jonas assumes Starlink will charge about $25 to $50 a month for its high-speed internet service. That, however, is an early estimate and doesn’t really consider regional differences and customers’ ability to pay around the globe.\nThe broadband players, of course, also have existing businesses that make money. Those profits could be used to subsidize any rural initiatives. Business is complicated. Government decisions sometimes add to the complexity. That is one thing lawmakers might want to consider when deciding who gets taxpayer money.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803927716,"gmtCreate":1627402955035,"gmtModify":1631890760650,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803927716","repostId":"1165178450","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165178450","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627399581,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165178450?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 23:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165178450","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European market","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Plug Power Could Generate 7x Returns Over The Next Decade<blockquote>普拉格能源如何在未来十年内产生 7 倍的回报</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 23:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.</li>  <li>The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.</li>  <li>We outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.</li>  <li>That said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bea0bef6d6ac8eab14c3fceb2cccae\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PLUG是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。</li><li>公司技术先进，增长势头强劲。</li><li>我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值的路径。</li><li>尽管如此，PLUG 的论点仍然面临重大风险，投资者应该牢记这一点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Plug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>普拉格能源（PLUG）是北美和欧洲市场领先的氢燃料电池交钥匙供应商。该公司拥有先进的技术和强劲的增长势头，这应该会推动其长期大幅升值。在本文中，我们概述了该公司在未来十年从 150 亿美元市值增长到 1000 亿美元市值（近 7 倍回报）的路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#1. Addressable Market Potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#1.可寻址的市场潜力</b></blockquote></p><p> With the&nbsp;massive tailwinds&nbsp;for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.</p><p><blockquote>随着目前绿色能源和ESG投资的巨大推动，氢燃料电池市场可能会在未来许多年内享有强劲的增长势头。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，拜登政府在对清洁能源和化石燃料的态度上与前任政府相比发生了激进的大转变。在行政命令和重新加入巴黎气候协议之间，美国政府越来越多地鼓励绿色能源投资和消费。欧盟和中国也越来越多地朝着这个方向前进。</blockquote></p><p> Second, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing&nbsp;one-third of total assets under management&nbsp;in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.</p><p><blockquote>其次，ESG投资运动已经起飞，目前占美国管理总资产的三分之一，惊人。鉴于如此多的资本被环保投资所吸引，包括碳氢化合物行业在内的各类公司都越来越多地采取吸引具有环保意识的投资者的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Third, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.</p><p><blockquote>第三，汽车行业为减少排放而进行的颠覆和转型正在推动对新燃料技术的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> Finally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are&nbsp;seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>最后，主要由于大量投资和市场需求，氢燃料电池等绿色技术的成本正在大幅下降，使其在市场上的竞争力越来越强。</blockquote></p><p> All of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is&nbsp;expected&nbsp;to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都将导致该行业持续强劲增长。事实上，到 2030 年，美国氢气需求预计将达到每年 1700 万公吨，到 2050 年将达到 6300 万公吨，比去年美国消耗的 1000 万公吨大幅增长。在全球范围内，氢能发电行业预计到 2025 年将达到 2010 亿美元，并将在未来几十年内继续快速增长，类似于美国的预期增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0541b1fd23777a900f3e1a1102206d7b\" tg-width=\"824\" tg-height=\"514\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>#2. Market Share Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#2.市场份额驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> We believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信，出于以下原因，PLUG 很有可能占领这个庞大的潜在市场的很大一部分。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它在该领域拥有先进的技术和先发优势。它拥有众多氢能系统，包括质子交换膜燃料电池、混合电池、储氢、加氢和燃料加工。其旗舰产品是专注于电动汽车的GenDrive系统，并辅以GenFuel和GenCare系统。</blockquote></p><p> Second of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.</p><p><blockquote>其次，它在北美和欧洲都有立足点，这意味着它比只专注于一个大陆具有更大的增长潜力。事实上，在可预见的未来，北美和欧洲可能会成为氢适应的领导者，因此 PLUG 处于有利地位，可以占据很大一部分全球市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Third, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent&nbsp;quarterly report&nbsp;(128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>第三，PLUG 目前拥有强劲的增长势头，并正在赢得世界上一些最大公司的业务，包括亚马逊 (AMZN)、沃尔玛 (WMT)、家得宝 (HD) 和通用汽车 (GM)，这些公司目前正在使用他们的产品或预计在不久的将来成为客户。因此，我们预计其最新季度报告中 76% 的收入同比增长（燃料电池系统和相关基础设施部门同比增长 128%）在可预见的未来将是可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> In fact,analysts expect&nbsp;revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，分析师预计 2022 年收入将增长 57%，这将推动该公司实现 EBITDA 盈利。</blockquote></p><p> <b>#3. Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#3.估值</b></blockquote></p><p> While PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 PLUG 确实在一个热门行业运营，并且拥有众多驱动因素，使其能够占据大量市场份额，但该公司也不便宜，因为它目前正在亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，考虑到其增长跑道，其电动汽车/收入数据并不奇怪，因为 PLUG 目前的交易价格是 2021 年销量预期的 29.8 倍，2022 年销量预期的 21 倍。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，PLUG 最近发布的财报显示，产品毛利率为 38%，扩大了 600 个基点，其盈利潜力巨大。总体而言，PLUG 的毛利率预计在 2021 年将相当疲软，为 9.71%，但预计在 2022 年将几乎翻一番，达到 18.93%。这也比 2017 年毛利率仅为 1.2% 时大幅增长。预计 2022 年 EBITDA 利润率也将达到 10.7%，相当可观。</blockquote></p><p> If PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.</p><p><blockquote>如果 PLUG 能够在未来几年继续利用其强大的技术和巨大的预期规模经济，我们认为到 2032 年将毛利率提高到 30%，净利润率提高到 20% 是合理的。与此同时，如果到 2032 年它能够占据全球氢市场份额的 3%，并且届时全球市场规模达到约 3900 亿美元（预计到 2025 年将超过 2000 亿美元，并且可能每年增长约 10%至少在可预见的未来），到 2032 年，PLUG 的收入将达到 117 亿美元。假设 2022 年至 2032 年间的收入复合年增长率为 31.9%，考虑到其上述增长势头和竞争优势，我们也认为这是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> At a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&amp;P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&amp;P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.</p><p><blockquote>按照 20% 的净利润率计算，到 2032 年，其净利润将超过 23 亿美元，这需要 42.7 倍的市盈率才能保证 1000 亿美元的市值。这是一个合理的倍数吗？这在很大程度上取决于利率，但是，鉴于目前标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）市盈率约为 31 倍，并且 PLUG 的增长率和增长跑道可能仍然远远优于标准普尔 500 指数目前的水平，这当然不会显得太牵强对我们来说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02cad870534d53e0544cd0389c837b1d\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>#4. Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>#4.风险</b></blockquote></p><p> If this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.</p><p><blockquote>如果这种模式如我们想象的那样发展，那么在最近的回调中，PLUG 是一个非常有吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e86493a3f4fcb61e8bec0de36f0f9b7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Of course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.</p><p><blockquote>当然，它假设PLUG将能够克服一些风险，因此投资者应该记住，目前它仍然是一项非常投机性的投资。</blockquote></p><p> First and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.</p><p><blockquote>首先也是最重要的是，它将要求 PLUG 能够在一个几乎肯定会在未来几年变得越来越竞争的领域保持高度竞争力的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，PLUG 需要在招聘业内最优秀人才以维持和增加其技术优势的投资与投资有效营销之间取得平衡，同时避免稀释股东或背负沉重的债务负担。鉴于自由现金流尚未为正，这在短期内可能具有挑战性。也就是说，他们手头近 48 亿美元的现金和现金等价物应该能够使其实现自由现金流正值，而不会给其资产负债表带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Third, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur&nbsp;argued&nbsp;that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.</p><p><blockquote>第三，多年来，氢能并非没有批评者，其中最著名的是特斯拉 (TSLA) 创始人兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk)。这位广受欢迎且富有远见的企业家认为，使用氢来储存能量永远不会像在电池中储存电力那样高效。事实上，他甚至表示使用氢燃料电池（他称之为“傻瓜电池”）为车辆提供动力是“令人难以置信的愚蠢”。显然，许多个人和公司不同意马斯克的评估，他有明显的动机试图诋毁这项技术，但这仍应被视为一个需要密切关注的重大风险。如果氢失去青睐，它将显着降低 PLUG 的上涨空间，如果足够严重，甚至可能导致当前水平的永久性损害。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b></blockquote></p><p> PLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>PLUG是一家在快速增长的行业中具有竞争力的公司。不仅如此，该行业的增长跑道在未来几十年看起来很有希望。凭借先进的技术、先发优势以及氢技术最肥沃的两个大陆的立足点，PLUG 应该能够在未来很长一段时间内实现强劲的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于我们在本文中概述的假设，我们认为 PLUG 很有可能在大约十年内达到 1000 亿美元的市值。假设没有进一步稀释股票，这意味着在此期间的总回报率为 667%（复合年增长率为 20.9%）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，PLUG 也远非保守的夜间睡个好觉股票，投资者应该记住，其目前的估值假设未来显着增长并有能力扩大盈利能力。它还假设它将保留强大的技术护城河，这将使其能够随着时间的推移提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，我们目前将 PLUG 评级为投机性买入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLUG":"普拉格能源"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441600-plug-power-could-generate-7x-returns-over-the-next-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165178450","content_text":"Summary\n\nPLUG is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets.\nThe company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum.\nWe outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap over the next decade.\nThat said, PLUG still faces significant risks to its thesis that investors should keep in mind.\n\nJONGHO SHIN/iStock via Getty Images\nPlug Power (PLUG) is a leading hydrogen fuel cell turnkey provider in North American and European markets. The company boasts advanced technology and strong growth momentum which should propel it to significant appreciation over the long term. In this article we outline the company's path to growing from a $15 billion market cap to a $100 billion market cap (nearly 7x returns) over the next decade.\n#1. Addressable Market Potential\nWith the massive tailwinds for green energy and ESG investing at the moment, the hydrogen fuel cell market is likely to enjoy strong growth momentum for many years to come.\nFirst and foremost, the Biden administration has executed an aggressive about-face from the previous administration in its disposition towards clean energy and fossil fuels. Between executive orders and rejoining the Paris Climate Accords, the U.S. Government is increasingly incentivizing green energy investment and consumption. The European Union and China are also increasingly headed in this direction.\nSecond, the ESG investing movement has taken off to where it now accounts for an astonishing one-third of total assets under management in the United States. Given that so much capital is attracted to environmentally friendly investments, companies across the board - including in the hydrocarbon sector - are increasingly adopting policies that appeal to the environmentally-conscious investor.\nThird, the disruption and transformation of the automotive industry to reduce emissions is driving strong demand for new fuel technologies.\nFinally - largely due to the heavy investment and market demand - green technologies such as hydrogen fuel cells are seeing costs decline dramatically, making them increasingly competitive on the marketplace.\nAll of this should lead to continued strong growth in the sector. In fact, U.S. Hydrogen demand is expected to be 17 million metric tons per year by 2030 and 63 million metric tons by 2050, which is pretty substantial growth from the 10 million metric tons consumed in the U.S. last year. Globally, the hydrogen generation industry is expected to reach $201 billion by 2025 and should continue to grow rapidly in the decades to follow similar to how it is expected to grow in the U.S.\n\n#2. Market Share Drivers\nWe believe that PLUG has a strong chance at capturing a sizable portion of this massive addressable market for the following reasons.\nFirst and foremost, it has advanced technology and early mover advantages in the space. It owns numerous hydrogen energy systems including proton exchange membrane fuel cells, hybrid batteries, hydrogen storage, hydrogen dispensing, and fuel processing. Its flagship product is the electric vehicle focused GenDrive system that is complemented by their GenFuel and GenCare systems.\nSecond of all, it has a foothold in both North America and Europe which means that it has significantly more growth potential than if it was solely focused on a single continent. In fact, North America and Europe are likely to be the leaders in Hydrogen adaptation for the foreseeable future, so PLUG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the global market share.\nThird, PLUG has strong growth momentum right now and is winning business from some of the biggest companies in the world, including Amazon (AMZN), Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), and General Motors (GM) either currently using their products or expected to become customers in the near future. As a result, we expect the 76% year-over-year revenue growth in its most recent quarterly report (128% year-over-year growth in their fuel cell systems and related infrastructure segment) to be sustainable for the foreseeable future.\nIn fact,analysts expect revenue to grow by 57% in 2022, which should push the company to EBITDA profitability.\n#3. Valuation\nWhile PLUG certainly operates in a hot industry and has numerous drivers that should enable it to capture significant market share, the company is also not cheap as it is currently running a loss.\nOn the other hand, its EV/revenue figure is not outlandish given their growth runway as PLUG currently trades at 29.8x expected 2021 sales and 21x expected 2022 sales.\nIn fact, with a product gross margin of 38% that expanded by a whopping 600 basis points in PLUG's most recent earnings release, its profitability potential is significant. Overall, PLUG's gross margin is expected to be a fairly weak 9.71% in 2021, but is expected to nearly double in 2022 to 18.93%. This is also a massive increase from 2017 when the gross margin was a mere 1.2%. The EBITDA margin is also expected to be a somewhat respectable 10.7% in 2022 as well.\nIf PLUG can continue to leverage its strong technology and massive expected economies of scale in the coming years, we think it is reasonable for it to push gross margins to 30% and net margins to 20% by 2032. Meanwhile, if it can capture even just 3% of global hydrogen market share by 2032 and the global market reaches roughly $390 billion by then (it is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2025 and will likely be growing by around 10% per year at least for the foreseeable future), PLUG should be generating $11.7 billion in revenues by 2032. That would assume a 31.9% revenue CAGR between 2022 and 2032, which we also believe is quite reasonable given its aforementioned growth momentum and competitive strengths.\nAt a 20% net margin, that would put its net earnings at over $2.3 billion in 2032, which would require a 42.7x price to earnings multiple to warrant a $100 billion market cap. Is this a reasonable multiple? It depends a lot on interest rates, but, given that the current S&P 500 (SPY) multiple is ~31x and PLUG's growth rate and growth runway will likely still be vastly superior to where the S&P 500's is today, it certainly does not seem too far-fetched to us.\nData by YCharts\n#4. Risks\nIf this model pans out how we think it could, PLUG is a very attractive buy on the latest pullback.\nData by YCharts\nOf course, it assumes that PLUG will be able to overcome several risks, so investors should keep in mind that it remains a very speculative investment at this point.\nFirst and foremost, it will demand that PLUG can maintain highly competitive technology in a space that is almost certain to grow increasingly competitive in the years to come.\nAdditionally, PLUG will need to balance investing in recruiting the best talent in the industry to sustain and increase its technological edge with investing in effective marketing while also avoiding diluting shareholders or running up a big debt burden. Given that it is not yet free cash flow positive, this could prove challenging in the short term. That said, their nearly $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents on hand should enable it to reach free cash flow positivity without stressing its balance sheet.\nThird, hydrogen power has not been without its critics over the years, most notably Tesla's (TSLA) founder and CEO Elon Musk. The wildly popular and visionary entrepreneur argued that using hydrogen to store energy can never be as efficient as storing electricity in a battery. In fact, he has gone so far as to say that using hydrogen fuel cells (which he calls \"fool cells\") to power vehicles is \"mind-bogglingly stupid.\" Obviously many individuals and corporations disagree with Musk's assessment and he has a clear incentive to try to discredit the technology, but this should still be viewed as a significant risk to keep an eye on. If hydrogen were to fall out of favor, it would significantly reduce the upside for PLUG and could even lead to permanent impairments from current levels if severe enough.\nInvestor Takeaway\nPLUG is a competitively positioned company in a rapidly-growing industry. Not only that, but the industry's growth runway looks promising for many decades to come. With advanced technology, early mover advantages, and a foothold on the two most fertile continents for Hydrogen technology, PLUG should be able to generate strong revenue growth for a long time to come.\nGiven our assumptions outlined in this article, we think that PLUG could very possibly achieve a $100 billion market cap in about a decade. This would represent a 667% total return (20.9% CAGR) over that span assuming no further share dilution.\nThat said, PLUG is also far from a conservative sleep well at night stock and investors should keep in mind that its current valuation assumes significant future growth and an ability to scale into profitability. It also assumes that it will retain a strong technological moat which will enable it to increase gross margins over time.\nOverall, we rate PLUG a speculative buy at this point.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800856070,"gmtCreate":1627292827890,"gmtModify":1631890760664,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800856070","repostId":"1151724613","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151724613","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627292512,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151724613?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 17:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Reports Earnings Today. Here's What Matters Most.<blockquote>特斯拉今天公布收益。这是最重要的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151724613","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla is set to report second-quarter earnings Monday. Get ready for a very complicated report.\nThe ","content":"<p>Tesla is set to report second-quarter earnings Monday. Get ready for a very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将于周一公布第二季度收益。准备好一份非常复杂的报告。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday, July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla (ticker: TSLA) to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于 7 月 26 日星期一收盘后发布报告。据 FactSet 称，华尔街希望特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）在 115 亿美元的销售额中报告每股收益约 94 美分。超出分析师预期对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说都很重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There will be a lot of moving parts, however, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable&nbsp;car company&nbsp;and its iconoclast CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk.</p><p><blockquote>不过，对于世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破常规的首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）来说，将会有很多移动部件，甚至比平时还要多。</blockquote></p><p> Factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings include the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>影响利润的因素包括全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者会希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论如何发生。这可能会打破股价近期的区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d908f359ce3333ed256684e007ff74d0\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布 2020 年第三季度营业利润超过 8 亿美元，在接下来的三个月内，该股股价翻了一番多，达到 860 美元左右。但由于营业利润增长在随后几个季度基本暂停，股价已从约 860 美元跌至最近的 640 美元左右。利润停滞也意味着库存停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计将达到 8.35 亿美元。2021年第二季度标志着特斯拉首次在单季度交付超过20万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>财报消化完毕后，多头和空头之间关于财报质量的争论应该会层出不穷。例如，特斯拉创造销售额的一种方式是出售监管积分——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来获得这些积分。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为 5.18 亿美元，帮助特斯拉超出盈利预期。关于信用销售额的 “正常 ”数量以及这些销售额何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将出售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉承认其持有的比特币在第一季度略有增加，但这种加密货币的价格自 4 月份的峰值以来已经下跌了大约一半。这意味着有可能出现小幅亏损。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉在德国的新工厂和德克萨斯州奥斯汀的工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯汀工厂将生产特斯拉的 Cybertruck。特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步--该公司最近开始以订阅的形式销售其驾驶辅助软件--以及该公司能从其充电网络中赚多少钱，也可能会有人质疑。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向未来的其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> Those topics and more should be discussed on the earnings&nbsp;conference call&nbsp;scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>这些话题以及更多话题应该在定于下午 5:30 举行的财报电话会议上讨论。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约 9%，落后于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别 17% 和 15% 的可比涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，过去 12 个月上涨了约 112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Reports Earnings Today. Here's What Matters Most.<blockquote>特斯拉今天公布收益。这是最重要的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Reports Earnings Today. Here's What Matters Most.<blockquote>特斯拉今天公布收益。这是最重要的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 17:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla is set to report second-quarter earnings Monday. Get ready for a very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将于周一公布第二季度收益。准备好一份非常复杂的报告。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday, July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla (ticker: TSLA) to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于 7 月 26 日星期一收盘后发布报告。据 FactSet 称，华尔街希望特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）在 115 亿美元的销售额中报告每股收益约 94 美分。超出分析师预期对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说都很重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There will be a lot of moving parts, however, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable&nbsp;car company&nbsp;and its iconoclast CEO&nbsp;Elon Musk.</p><p><blockquote>不过，对于世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破常规的首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）来说，将会有很多移动部件，甚至比平时还要多。</blockquote></p><p> Factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings include the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>影响利润的因素包括全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者会希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论如何发生。这可能会打破股价近期的区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d908f359ce3333ed256684e007ff74d0\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布 2020 年第三季度营业利润超过 8 亿美元，在接下来的三个月内，该股股价翻了一番多，达到 860 美元左右。但由于营业利润增长在随后几个季度基本暂停，股价已从约 860 美元跌至最近的 640 美元左右。利润停滞也意味着库存停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计将达到 8.35 亿美元。2021年第二季度标志着特斯拉首次在单季度交付超过20万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>财报消化完毕后，多头和空头之间关于财报质量的争论应该会层出不穷。例如，特斯拉创造销售额的一种方式是出售监管积分——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来获得这些积分。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为 5.18 亿美元，帮助特斯拉超出盈利预期。关于信用销售额的 “正常 ”数量以及这些销售额何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将出售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉承认其持有的比特币在第一季度略有增加，但这种加密货币的价格自 4 月份的峰值以来已经下跌了大约一半。这意味着有可能出现小幅亏损。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉在德国的新工厂和德克萨斯州奥斯汀的工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯汀工厂将生产特斯拉的 Cybertruck。特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步--该公司最近开始以订阅的形式销售其驾驶辅助软件--以及该公司能从其充电网络中赚多少钱，也可能会有人质疑。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向未来的其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> Those topics and more should be discussed on the earnings&nbsp;conference call&nbsp;scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>这些话题以及更多话题应该在定于下午 5:30 举行的财报电话会议上讨论。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约 9%，落后于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别 17% 和 15% 的可比涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，过去 12 个月上涨了约 112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151724613","content_text":"Tesla is set to report second-quarter earnings Monday. Get ready for a very complicated report.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday, July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla (ticker: TSLA) to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere will be a lot of moving parts, however, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk.\nFactors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings include the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nThose topics and more should be discussed on the earnings conference call scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177858222,"gmtCreate":1627198984166,"gmtModify":1631890760674,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177858222","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1176552691?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM 第二季度盈利超出分析师预期，云收入和营业利润率均有所提高。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM 连续四个季度收入下降，过去 34 个季度中有 30 个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多的透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊桑·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商用机器公司（IBM）是一家处于转型期的公司。对投资者来说不幸的是，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及传统业务的剥离。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播种的种子是否落在岩石地上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面的业务快速增长，并且在量子计算方面是一个潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前者行业的激烈竞争和后者行业的不确定前景。公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此 IBM 的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM 拥有合理且不断减少的债务负担和强劲的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来解决增长问题，同时剥离托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为 Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及它将承担的当前股息部分尚未披露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司非 GAAP 每股收益为 2.33 美元，超出预期 0.04 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，收入为 187 亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了 7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的 IBM Z 大型机周期，同比下降 13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门占总收入的个位数比例较低，下降了 9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将大部分分拆为 Kyndryl，但增长持平。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极方面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去 12 个月，云总收入为 270 亿美元，增长了 15%，而本季度云收入增长了 13%，达到 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到 177 亿美元，调整后自由现金流总计 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM的立足点</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM充其量是一家三流IT公司，最坏的情况是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，要准确评估该股，投资者必须了解 IBM 的传统业务有很多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM 是世界上最大的 IT 服务公司，也是大型机的主要供应商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接都由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 的大型机系统处理了全球近 90% 的信用卡交易，全球 97% 的最大银行依赖 IBM 的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而旅游业80%的预订都是通过IBM系统进行的。这导致使用该公司的 IT 服务处理了 40 亿个航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息传输的风险，这是许多人不愿意采取的举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，企业越来越多地采用混合匹配的IT基础架构。反过来，这又侵蚀了 IBM 在客户转换成本方面的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍意识到 IBM 通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。不过，在摩根大通最近举行的投资者大会上，首席财务官吉姆-卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）在接受提问时，就混合云如何推动 IBM 其他一些部门的收入提出了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们每在混合云平台上投入1美元（在业务中），就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，卡瓦诺使用的是 drag 指的是与采用 IBM 混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都能从公司的软件和服务产品中获得 9 到 13 美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>因为混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，所以它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。医疗保健和金融服务领域的客户尤其关注这一点。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最新的研究也属于其他预测的范围，是由魔多情报公司进行的。该公司预测 2021 年至 2026 年的复合年增长率为 18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，该领域的主要运营商是思科 (CSCO)、惠普 (HPE)、亚马逊 (AMZN)、思杰系统 (CTXS) 和 IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云，还有另一个潜在增长来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>请原谅这个双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和 IBM 在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章《IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人》。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦推出，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多名客户。随着600亿美元的服务积压，新实体的预计收入将达到190亿美元。该公司的规模是其最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次拆分将使 IBM 从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务一半以上收入的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占该公司收入的 22%，将占销售额的 40% 以上。值得注意的是，该部门上一季度的收入同比增长了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 将保留 Red Hat 及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件产品组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方最大的客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，仍有待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM已经转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道，该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图记录了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ycharts 数据 / 作者提供的图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与 Kyndryl 分拆相关的 30 亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计 IBM 到 2022 年将产生 120 亿至 130 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层变动，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年中期达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约 180 亿美元。IBM 维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司近期偿还债务的进展情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl 分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票被高估了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股价交易价格为 141.13 美元。8 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 153.50 美元。自上次收益报告以来，3 位分析师对该股的目标价为 151.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均水平分别为 16.42 倍和 13.25 倍。这两个指标都远低于行业平均水平，行业平均水平都在三十分左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium 提供的 3 至 5 年期 PEG 为 1.16 倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后 IBM 增长的预期。挂钩比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票是一项好的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中拥有根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为公司主要增长途径的云计算也可能导致公司一些传统业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务的快速增长是显而易见的： IBM 现在拥有 3200 多家客户使用公司的混合云平台。这几乎是红帽收购前数字的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。再加上 Kyndryl 发展缓慢的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，我们有理由相信 IBM 将实现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 拥有稳健的资产负债表、强劲的收益率，当使用 PEG 比率作为股票估值的基础时，股票交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我将 IBM 评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期内最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者却获得了相当丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider<blockquote>IBM 股票被低估还是被高估？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>  <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>  <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>IBM 第二季度盈利超出分析师预期，云收入和营业利润率均有所提高。</li><li>在第一季度之前，IBM 连续四个季度收入下降，过去 34 个季度中有 30 个季度收入下降。</li><li>Kyndryl分拆需要更多的透明度。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>伊桑·米勒/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p><p><blockquote>国际商用机器公司（IBM）是一家处于转型期的公司。对投资者来说不幸的是，这种转变已经持续了十年的大部分时间。这些扭亏为盈的努力包括对云计算和人工智能的投资以及传统业务的剥离。虽然现在有绿芽的迹象，但播种的种子是否落在岩石地上还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p> Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p><p><blockquote>尽管该公司在混合云产品方面的业务快速增长，并且在量子计算方面是一个潜在的增长引擎，但它面临着前者行业的激烈竞争和后者行业的不确定前景。公司的大多数其他业务都处于低迷状态，因此 IBM 的增长前景不明朗。</blockquote></p><p> What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，截至今天，IBM 拥有合理且不断减少的债务负担和强劲的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p><p><blockquote>管理层正试图通过专注于公司的云产品来解决增长问题，同时剥离托管基础设施业务。该公司将被命名为 Kyndryl。然而，新实体将承担的债务以及它将承担的当前股息部分尚未披露。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最近季度业绩</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 上周一公布了第二季度业绩。该公司非 GAAP 每股收益为 2.33 美元，超出预期 0.04 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p><p><blockquote>经货币和资产剥离调整后，收入为 187 亿美元，持平。</blockquote></p><p> The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的负面影响是系统收入下降了 7%。然而，这主要是由于正常的 IBM Z 大型机周期，同比下降 13%。</blockquote></p><p> The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p><p><blockquote>全球融资部门占总收入的个位数比例较低，下降了 9%。全球技术服务约占总收入的三分之一，并将大部分分拆为 Kyndryl，但增长持平。</blockquote></p><p> The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该报告的积极方面是云和认知软件云收入增长了29%，全球商业服务云收入增长了35%。过去 12 个月，云总收入为 270 亿美元，增长了 15%，而本季度云收入增长了 13%，达到 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月，经营活动产生的净现金达到 177 亿美元，调整后自由现金流总计 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年底以来，该公司已减少债务64亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM的立足点</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p><p><blockquote>许多人认为IBM充其量是一家三流IT公司，最坏的情况是一只濒临灭绝的恐龙。</blockquote></p><p> It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，该公司的收入多年来一直在下降；然而，要准确评估该股，投资者必须了解 IBM 的传统业务有很多优势。</blockquote></p><p> For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p><p><blockquote>例如，IBM 是世界上最大的 IT 服务公司，也是大型机的主要供应商。在财富50强公司中，有47家是IBM的客户。</blockquote></p><p> Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p><p><blockquote>世界上一半的无线连接都由该公司处理。</blockquote></p><p> IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 的大型机系统处理了全球近 90% 的信用卡交易，全球 97% 的最大银行依赖 IBM 的产品和服务。因此，每年使用IBM系统处理290亿笔ATM交易。</blockquote></p><p> Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p><p><blockquote>十分之八的全球零售商依赖IBM的产品和服务，而旅游业80%的预订都是通过IBM系统进行的。这导致使用该公司的 IT 服务处理了 40 亿个航班预订。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：福布斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p><p><blockquote>很明显，IBM拥有庞大的客户群，提供了大规模的经常性收入。在许多情况下，转向竞争对手的产品意味着冒着敏感信息传输的风险，这是许多人不愿意采取的举措。</blockquote></p><p> However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着向云服务和开源软件的过渡，企业越来越多地采用混合匹配的IT基础架构。反过来，这又侵蚀了 IBM 在客户转换成本方面的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>潜在增长的来源</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p><p><blockquote>投资者普遍意识到 IBM 通过其混合云产品推动增长的努力。不过，在摩根大通最近举行的投资者大会上，首席财务官吉姆-卡瓦诺（Jim Kavanaugh）在接受提问时，就混合云如何推动 IBM 其他一些部门的收入提出了见解。</blockquote></p><p>   For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.  Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p><p><blockquote>我们每在混合云平台上投入1美元（在业务中），就会看到3到5美元的软件拖累和6到8美元的服务拖累。当然，卡瓦诺使用的是 drag 指的是与采用 IBM 混合云相关的软件和服务收入的增加。如果卡瓦诺的说法准确，这意味着在公司混合云平台上花费的每一美元都能从公司的软件和服务产品中获得 9 到 13 美元的额外收入。</blockquote></p><p> Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p><p><blockquote>因为混合云混合使用内部私有云和公共云服务，所以它为客户提供了一定程度的数据隐私。医疗保健和金融服务领域的客户尤其关注这一点。因此，我认为IBM在与其他混合云提供商的竞争中可能具有优势，因为它在这些行业中拥有广泛的关系。</blockquote></p><p> I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p><p><blockquote>我回顾了关于混合云市场预计增长率的各种预测。最新的研究也属于其他预测的范围，是由魔多情报公司进行的。该公司预测 2021 年至 2026 年的复合年增长率为 18.73%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该意识到，该领域的主要运营商是思科 (CSCO)、惠普 (HPE)、亚马逊 (AMZN)、思杰系统 (CTXS) 和 IBM。</blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司过去六个季度的总云增长情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：公司报告/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p><p><blockquote>除了云，还有另一个潜在增长来源，尽管它不太可能很快实现。</blockquote></p><p> Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p><p><blockquote>2019年初，IBM推出了Q System One。IBM Q systems是世界上第一台为科学和商业用途设计的量子计算机。</blockquote></p><p> Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p><p><blockquote>请原谅这个双关语，但量子计算机代表了技术的巨大飞跃。Prescient And Strategic Intelligence预测，到2030年，该行业的CAGR将达到56%，量子计算机市场份额将达到近650亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p><p><blockquote>有关量子计算和 IBM 在该行业中的地位的更多见解，我向您推荐我的文章《IBM：为什么我的眼睛盯着蓝色巨人》。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解Kyndryl</b></blockquote></p><p> Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p><p><blockquote>Kyndryl一旦推出，将在115个国家拥有9万多名员工和4600多名客户。随着600亿美元的服务积压，新实体的预计收入将达到190亿美元。该公司的规模是其最接近的竞争对手的两倍，将成为全球最大的托管基础设施服务提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p><p><blockquote>此次拆分将使 IBM 从一家一半收入来自服务的公司转变为一家软件和解决方案业务一半以上收入的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>全球商业服务目前占该公司收入的 22%，将占销售额的 40% 以上。值得注意的是，该部门上一季度的收入同比增长了 12%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 将保留 Red Hat 及其解决方案提供商业务、系统业务、关键任务公共云服务，以及专注于大数据、人工智能和安全的软件产品组合。</blockquote></p><p> Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p><p><blockquote>最初，两家公司将各自成为对方最大的客户。</blockquote></p><p> What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p><p><blockquote>关于分拆，仍有待了解的是每家公司将承担多少债务，以及公司将支付的股息份额。克里希纳表示，两家公司将共同努力维持目前的支付水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM已经转危为安了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p><p><blockquote>任何关注IBM的人都知道，该公司经历了长期的糟糕业绩。下图记录了该公司过去十四个季度的季度自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ycharts 数据 / 作者提供的图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这并不能证明该公司重回正轨，但最近的趋势至少令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，IBM产生了108亿美元的自由现金流。2021年调整后自由现金流110亿至120亿美元的管理指南。这不包括与 Kyndryl 分拆相关的 30 亿美元结构性影响。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>这位首席执行官最近表示，他预计 IBM 到 2022 年将产生 120 亿至 130 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt And Dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务和股息</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然投资者可以理所当然地抱怨多年来的各种管理层变动，但该公司在进行多项收购的同时保持了合理的债务状况。</blockquote></p><p> The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p><p><blockquote>自 2019 年中期达到峰值以来，该公司已将债务减少了约 180 亿美元。IBM 维持投资级信用评级，下图记录了该公司近期偿还债务的进展情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IBM演示文稿</span></p></blockquote></p><p> IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的收益率为4.64%，派息率略低于61%，5年股息增长率为4.26%。如前所述，Kyndryl 分拆后，两家公司将合作提供相当于当前股息的派息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票被高估了吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 股价交易价格为 141.13 美元。8 位分析师的 12 个月平均目标价为 153.50 美元。自上次收益报告以来，3 位分析师对该股的目标价为 151.33 美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p><p><blockquote>IBM的市盈率为24.05倍，远期市盈率为17.67倍。相比之下，其五年平均水平分别为 16.42 倍和 13.25 倍。这两个指标都远低于行业平均水平，行业平均水平都在三十分左右。</blockquote></p><p> The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha Premium 提供的 3 至 5 年期 PEG 为 1.16 倍。嘉信理财计算的PEG为1.49倍，雅虎没有提供PEG比率。</blockquote></p><p> I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p><p><blockquote>我相信该股目前的市盈率反映了投资者对分拆完成后 IBM 增长的预期。挂钩比率显示该股票估值合理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IBM 股票是一项好的长期投资吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在全球许多最大的公司中拥有根深蒂固但不断发展的地位。不幸的是，被视为公司主要增长途径的云计算也可能导致公司一些传统业务的缓慢恶化。</blockquote></p><p> That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p><p><blockquote>云业务的快速增长是显而易见的： IBM 现在拥有 3200 多家客户使用公司的混合云平台。这几乎是红帽收购前数字的四倍。</blockquote></p><p> If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p><p><blockquote>如果管理层的说法准确，混合云平台将为软件和服务部门的收入带来强劲增长。再加上 Kyndryl 发展缓慢的托管基础设施服务业务的分拆，我们有理由相信 IBM 将实现更快的增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 拥有稳健的资产负债表、强劲的收益率，当使用 PEG 比率作为股票估值的基础时，股票交易价格略有折扣。</blockquote></p><p> All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p><p><blockquote>综合考虑，我将 IBM 评级为买入。</blockquote></p><p> I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p><p><blockquote>我认为中短期内最糟糕的情况是公司增长缓慢，而投资者却获得了相当丰厚的股息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174510063,"gmtCreate":1627109751952,"gmtModify":1631890760690,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174510063","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将发布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破常规的首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）来说，有很多移动部件，甚至比平时还要多。不过，判断股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车先锋将于 7 月 26 日星期一收盘后发布报告。据 FactSet 称，华尔街希望特斯拉在 115 亿美元的销售额中报告每股收益约 94 美分。超出分析师预期对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说都很重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素会影响底线收益--全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者会希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论如何发生。这可能会打破股价近期的区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布 2020 年第三季度营业利润超过 8 亿美元，在接下来的三个月内，该股股价翻了一番多，达到 860 美元左右。但由于营业利润增长在随后几个季度基本暂停，股价已从约 860 美元跌至最近的 640 美元左右。利润停滞也意味着库存停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计将达到 8.35 亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉首次在单季度交付超过20万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>财报消化完毕后，多头和空头之间关于财报质量的争论应该会层出不穷。例如，特斯拉创造销售额的一种方式是出售监管积分——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来获得这些积分。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为 5.18 亿美元，帮助特斯拉超出盈利预期。关于信用销售额的 “正常 ”数量以及这些销售额何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将出售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉承认其持有的比特币在第一季度略有增加，但这种加密货币的价格自 4 月份的峰值以来已经下跌了大约一半。这意味着有可能出现小幅亏损。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉在德国的新工厂和德克萨斯州奥斯汀的工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯汀工厂将生产特斯拉的 Cybertruck。特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步--该公司最近开始以订阅的形式销售其驾驶辅助软件--以及该公司能从其充电网络中赚多少钱，也可能会有人质疑。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向未来的其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该在定于下午 5:30 举行的财报电话会议上提出。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约 9%，落后于标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别 17% 和 15% 的可比涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，过去 12 个月上涨了约 112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将发布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破常规的首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）来说，有很多移动部件，甚至比平时还要多。不过，判断股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车先锋将于 7 月 26 日星期一收盘后发布报告。据 FactSet 称，华尔街希望特斯拉在 115 亿美元的销售额中报告每股收益约 94 美分。超出分析师预期对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说都很重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素会影响底线收益--全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者会希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论如何发生。这可能会打破股价近期的区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布 2020 年第三季度营业利润超过 8 亿美元，在接下来的三个月内，该股股价翻了一番多，达到 860 美元左右。但由于营业利润增长在随后几个季度基本暂停，股价已从约 860 美元跌至最近的 640 美元左右。利润停滞也意味着库存停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计将达到 8.35 亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉首次在单季度交付超过20万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>财报消化完毕后，多头和空头之间关于财报质量的争论应该会层出不穷。例如，特斯拉创造销售额的一种方式是出售监管积分——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来获得这些积分。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为 5.18 亿美元，帮助特斯拉超出盈利预期。关于信用销售额的 “正常 ”数量以及这些销售额何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将出售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉承认其持有的比特币在第一季度略有增加，但这种加密货币的价格自 4 月份的峰值以来已经下跌了大约一半。这意味着有可能出现小幅亏损。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉在德国的新工厂和德克萨斯州奥斯汀的工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯汀工厂将生产特斯拉的 Cybertruck。特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步--该公司最近开始以订阅的形式销售其驾驶辅助软件--以及该公司能从其充电网络中赚多少钱，也可能会有人质疑。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向未来的其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该在定于下午 5:30 举行的财报电话会议上提出。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约 9%，落后于标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别 17% 和 15% 的可比涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，过去 12 个月上涨了约 112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175890182,"gmtCreate":1627018933546,"gmtModify":1631890760704,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls 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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173103503","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150900540,"gmtCreate":1624879422880,"gmtModify":1633947612349,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150900540","repostId":"1150095060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150095060","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624874134,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1150095060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-28 17:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：滴滴在 IPO 第 17 周首次筹集数十亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150095060","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant $DiDi Global Inc.$.DiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.Cybersecurity platform $SentinelOne, Inc$","content":"<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>由期待已久的中国打车巨头牵头，本周将有 17 家 IPO 预计筹集 91 亿美元<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>滴滴</b>计划以 675 亿美元的市值筹集 39 亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用，在 4000 个城镇拥有 1500 万司机。随着业务在大流行后复苏，这家未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增加了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买 13 亿美元的 IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵龙公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以接收、关联和查询PB级的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。该公司快速增长且无利可图，截至 2021 年 4 月 30 日，该公司拥有超过 4,700 名客户，高于一年前的 2,700 名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电子商务平台<b>D-MARKET 电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS) 计划以 39 亿美元的市值筹集 6.81 亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万活跃商户。该公司发展迅速，但2021年第一季度的 EBITDA 为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮奶油公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度的EBITDA基础上盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.76 亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务Clear Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2021年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以 60 亿美元的市值筹集 3.43 亿美元。以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，叮咚自称是中国发展最快的按需电商公司。该公司未盈利但呈爆炸式增长，2020年按GMV计算，该公司在按需电子商务市场的份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为基于服务的中小型企业提供集成、垂直定制的SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司在三个核心垂直领域为超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身和健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">因塔普公司。</a></b>计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 2.78 亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定于行业的、基于云的软件解决方案。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日，该公司拥有 1,600 多家客户，目前有 20 多家客户的合同金额超过 100 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 2.75 亿美元。Xometry 表示，它是按需制造的领先人工智能市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过 Xometry 平台制造了超过 600 万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">综合广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以 25 亿美元的市值筹集 2.4 亿美元。该公司的技术提供的指标旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真实的人，是否可以在屏幕上看到，是否出现在品牌安全和合适的环境中，出现在正确的地理位置。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日，Integral Ad Science 以息税前利润为基础，为 2,000 多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托里德控股</a></b>计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 1.56 亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女式大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者进行营销，这占截至 2021 年 5 月 1 日 12 个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">敏锐制药公司。</a></b>计划以 6.07 亿美元的市值筹集 1.25 亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物 ACU193 是一种选择性靶向淀粉样蛋白 β 寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度针对轻度痴呆或AD导致的认知障碍患者进行了1期试验，数据预计将于2022年底公布。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数码</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港元)$</a>) 计划以 14 亿美元的市值筹集 1.2 亿美元。尚乘数字表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着一个全面的数字解决方案平台。该公司实现了爆炸式增长，盈利能力主要来自两项业务的费用和佣金。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发商<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) 计划以 3.25 亿美元的市值筹集 1 亿美元。Aerovate 最初的重点是推进 AV-101，这是一种伊马替尼的干粉吸入制剂，用于治疗肺动脉高压 (PAH)。该公司已经在健康志愿者中完成了一项1期研究，并预计在2H21开始在PAH患者中进行2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节装置提供者<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以 3.33 亿美元的市值筹集 1 亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其 BAROSTEM NEO 产品是第一个也是唯一一个商业化的神经调节设备，可改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者的症状。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克索阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以 8.03 亿美元的市值筹集 8700 万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种带有CE标志的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始从欧洲的Genio获得收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.5%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：滴滴在 IPO 第 17 周首次筹集数十亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: DiDi makes its billion-dollar debut in a 17 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：滴滴在 IPO 第 17 周首次筹集数十亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-28 17:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">DiDi Global Inc.</a>.</b></p><p><blockquote>由期待已久的中国打车巨头牵头，本周将有 17 家 IPO 预计筹集 91 亿美元<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴全球公司。</a>.</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>DiDi</b>&nbsp;plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote><b>滴滴</b>计划以 675 亿美元的市值筹集 39 亿美元。滴滴是中国占主导地位的打车应用，在 4000 个城镇拥有 1500 万司机。随着业务在大流行后复苏，这家未盈利的公司在2021年第一季度的收入增加了一倍多。新老投资者打算购买 13 亿美元的 IPO。</blockquote></p><p> Cybersecurity platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">SentinelOne, Inc</a></b> plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.</p><p><blockquote>网络安全平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S\">哨兵龙公司</a></b>计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.8亿美元。SentinelOne的Singularity平台是一个人工智能驱动的扩展检测和响应平台，可以接收、关联和查询PB级的结构化和非结构化数据，以提供自主网络安全防御。该公司快速增长且无利可图，截至 2021 年 4 月 30 日，该公司拥有超过 4,700 名客户，高于一年前的 2,700 名。</blockquote></p><p> Turkish e-commerce platform&nbsp;<b>D-MARKET Electronic Services &amp; Trading</b>(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其电子商务平台<b>D-MARKET 电子服务与交易</b>(HEPS) 计划以 39 亿美元的市值筹集 6.81 亿美元。该公司以Hepsiburada的名义运营，2020年连接了3300万会员、900万活跃客户和约4.5万活跃商户。该公司发展迅速，但2021年第一季度的 EBITDA 为负值。</blockquote></p><p> Doughnut brand&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>Krispy Kreme, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.</p><p><blockquote>甜甜圈品牌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DNUT\"><b>克里斯皮奶油公司。</b></a>计划以38亿美元的市值筹集6亿美元。Krispy Kreme是一家全渠道企业，通过甜甜圈店网络、与零售商的合作伙伴关系以及电子商务和送货业务运营。该公司拥有悠久的业绩记录和强大的品牌知名度，尽管其增长战略尚未得到证实。</blockquote></p><p> Legal solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com, Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.</p><p><blockquote>法律解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LZ\">LegalZoom.com公司</a></b>计划以53亿美元的市值筹集4.88亿美元。LegalZoom表示，它是法律和合规解决方案的领先在线平台，声称2020年美国10%的新有限责任公司和5%的新公司是通过LegalZoom成立的。该公司在2021年第一季度的EBITDA基础上盈利，业务遍及美国所有50个州和3,000多个县。</blockquote></p><p> Identity verification platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">Clear Secure, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.</p><p><blockquote>身份验证平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YOU\">清晰安全公司。</a></b>计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.76 亿美元。Clear Secure的安全身份平台用于自动化身份验证过程，主要产品包括消费者航空订阅服务Clear Plus和两个移动应用程序。截至2021年5月31日，Clear Secure的网络包括38个机场、26个体育和娱乐合作伙伴以及67个支持健康通行证的合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese grocery delivery platform&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">Dingdong (Cayman) Limited</a> </b>plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国杂货配送平台<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">叮咚（开曼）有限公司</a></b>计划以 60 亿美元的市值筹集 3.43 亿美元。以生鲜杂货为核心产品类别，叮咚自称是中国发展最快的按需电商公司。该公司未盈利但呈爆炸式增长，2020年按GMV计算，该公司在按需电子商务市场的份额为10%。</blockquote></p><p> SaaS solutions provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness &amp; Wellness Services.</p><p><blockquote>SaaS解决方案提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EVCM\">EverCommerce公司。</a></b>计划以34亿美元的市值筹集3.25亿美元。EverCommerce是为基于服务的中小型企业提供集成、垂直定制的SaaS解决方案的领先提供商。该公司在三个核心垂直领域为超过500,000名客户提供服务：家庭服务、健康服务以及健身和健康服务。</blockquote></p><p> Software provider&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">Intapp, Inc.</a> </b>plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.</p><p><blockquote>软件提供商<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTA\">因塔普公司。</a></b>计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 2.78 亿美元。Intapp为全球专业和金融服务行业提供特定于行业的、基于云的软件解决方案。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日，该公司拥有 1,600 多家客户，目前有 20 多家客户的合同金额超过 100 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Online manufacturing marketplace&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.</p><p><blockquote>在线制造市场<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XMTR\">Xometry公司。</a></b>计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 2.75 亿美元。Xometry 表示，它是按需制造的领先人工智能市场。其买家包括从自筹资金的初创企业到财富100强公司的企业。自成立以来，已通过 Xometry 平台制造了超过 600 万个零件。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">Integral Ad Science Holding LLC</a> </b>plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IAS\">综合广告科学控股有限责任公司</a></b>计划以 25 亿美元的市值筹集 2.4 亿美元。该公司的技术提供的指标旨在验证数字广告是否提供给真实的人，是否可以在屏幕上看到，是否出现在品牌安全和合适的环境中，出现在正确的地理位置。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日，Integral Ad Science 以息税前利润为基础，为 2,000 多名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Plus-sized women’s apparel brand&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">Torrid Holdings</a> </b>plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.</p><p><blockquote>大码女装品牌<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CURV\">托里德控股</a></b>计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 1.56 亿美元。按净销售额计算，Torrid是北美最大的直接面向消费者的女式大码服装和内衣品牌。这家盈利的公司通过实体店及其电子商务平台直接向消费者进行营销，这占截至 2021 年 5 月 1 日 12 个月销售额的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Alzheimer’s biotech&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.</a></b> plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.</p><p><blockquote>阿尔茨海默病生物技术<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABOS\">敏锐制药公司。</a></b>计划以 6.07 亿美元的市值筹集 1.25 亿美元。该公司的主要候选药物 ACU193 是一种选择性靶向淀粉样蛋白 β 寡聚体的人源化单克隆抗体。ACU193在2021年第二季度针对轻度痴呆或AD导致的认知障碍患者进行了1期试验，数据预计将于2022年底公布。</blockquote></p><p> Digital financial services provider&nbsp;<b>AMTD Digital</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(HKD)$</a>) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.</p><p><blockquote>数字金融服务提供商<b>尚乘数码</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HKD\">$(港元)$</a>) 计划以 14 亿美元的市值筹集 1.2 亿美元。尚乘数字表示，它是尚乘蜘蛛网生态系统核心的“聚变反应堆”，在亚洲运营着一个全面的数字解决方案平台。该公司实现了爆炸式增长，盈利能力主要来自两项业务的费用和佣金。</blockquote></p><p> Drug formulation developer&nbsp;<b>Aerovate Therapeutics</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.</p><p><blockquote>药物制剂开发商<b>Aerovate疗法</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVTE\">$(AVTE)$</a>) 计划以 3.25 亿美元的市值筹集 1 亿美元。Aerovate 最初的重点是推进 AV-101，这是一种伊马替尼的干粉吸入制剂，用于治疗肺动脉高压 (PAH)。该公司已经在健康志愿者中完成了一项1期研究，并预计在2H21开始在PAH患者中进行2b/3期试验。</blockquote></p><p> Neuromodulation device provider<b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx Inc</a> </b>plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.</p><p><blockquote>神经调节装置提供者<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVRX\">CVRx公司</a></b>计划以 3.33 亿美元的市值筹集 1 亿美元。CVRx在其专有的BAROSTIM平台上制造和销售其微创神经调节解决方案。该公司表示，其 BAROSTEM NEO 产品是第一个也是唯一一个商业化的神经调节设备，可改善射血分数降低的心力衰竭患者的症状。</blockquote></p><p> Belgium-listed&nbsp;<b>Nyxoah</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.</p><p><blockquote>比利时上市<b>尼克索阿</b>(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NYXH\">$(NYXH)$</a>）计划以 8.03 亿美元的市值筹集 8700 万美元。Nyxoah的主导产品是Genio系统，这是一种带有CE标志的微创舌下神经刺激疗法，用于治疗阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停。该公司于2020年7月开始从欧洲的Genio获得收入，目前正在进行一项旨在支持美国营销授权的关键试验。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f28d5f7f3b8e686c0bd006c2968b99\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/508f1118f1d92b2b76391bc3610bd6c4\" tg-width=\"1131\" tg-height=\"657\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed04cd42fa30b460fcf67e07efa6ddc7\" tg-width=\"1130\" tg-height=\"166\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月24日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今上涨2.7%，而标普500上涨13.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.5%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"YOU":"Clear Secure, Inc.","DNUT":"Krispy Kreme, Inc.","HEPS":"D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading","DDL":"叮咚买菜","CVRX":"CVRx, Inc.","XMTR":"Xometry, Inc.","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","ABOS":"Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","INTA":"Intapp, Inc.","EVCM":"EverCommerce Inc.","CURV":"Torrid Holdings","LZ":"LegalZoom.com, Inc","S":"SentinelOne, Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83318/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-DiDi-makes-its-billion-dollar-debut-in-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150095060","content_text":"17 IPOs are slated to raise $9.1 billion in this week, led by long-awaited Chinese ride-hailing giant DiDi Global Inc..\nDiDi plans to raise $3.9 billion at a $67.5 billion market cap. DiDi is China’s dominant ride-hailing app, with 15 million drivers across 4,000 cities and towns. The unprofitable company saw revenue more than double in the 1Q21 as its business recovered post-pandemic.New and existing investors intend to purchase $1.3 billion of the IPO.\nCybersecurity platform SentinelOne, Inc plans to raise $880 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. SentinelOne's Singularity Platform is an AI-powered extended detection and response platform that ingests, correlates and queries petabytes of structured and unstructured data to provide autonomous cybersecurity defense. Fast growing and unprofitable, the company had over 4,700 customers as of 4/30/21, up from 2,700 a year prior.\nTurkish e-commerce platform D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading(HEPS) plans to raise $681 million at a $3.9 billion market cap. Operating under the name Hepsiburada, the company connected 33 million members, 9 million Active Customers, and a base of approximately 45 thousand Active Merchants in 2020. The company is fast growing but EBITDA swung negative in the 1Q21.\nDoughnut brand Krispy Kreme, Inc. plans to raise $600 million at a $3.8 billion market cap. Krispy Kreme is an omni-channel business operating through a network of doughnut shops, partnerships with retailers, and an e-Commerce and delivery business. The company has a long track record and strong brand awareness, though its growth strategy is unproven.\nLegal solutions provider LegalZoom.com, Inc plans to raise $488 million at a $5.3 billion market cap. LegalZoom states that it is a leading online platform for legal and compliance solutions, claiming that 10% of new LLCs and 5% of new corporations in the US were formed via LegalZoom in 2020. Profitable on an EBITDA basis in the 1Q21, the company operates across all 50 states and over 3,000 counties in the US.\nIdentity verification platform Clear Secure, Inc. plans to raise $376 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Clear Secure's secure identity platform uses to automate the identity verification process, with main offerings including CLEAR Plus, a consumer aviation subscription service, and two mobile apps. As of 5/31/21, Clear Secure's network included 38 airports, 26 sports and entertainment partners, and 67 Health Pass-enabled partners.\nChinese grocery delivery platform Dingdong (Cayman) Limited plans to raise $343 million at a $6.0 billion market cap. With fresh groceries as its core product categories, Dingdong states that it is the fastest growing on-demand e-commerce company in China. Unprofitable with explosive growth, the company had a 10% share of the on-demand e-commerce market by GMV in 2020.\nSaaS solutions provider EverCommerce Inc. plans to raise $325 million at a $3.4 billion market cap. EverCommerce is a leading provider of integrated, vertically-tailored SaaS solutions for service-based SMBs. The company serves over 500,000 customers across three core verticals: Home Services, Health Services, and Fitness & Wellness Services.\nSoftware provider Intapp, Inc. plans to raise $278 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Intapp provides industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry globally. The company had over 1,600 clients as of March 31, 2021, and it currently has more than 20 clients with contracts greater than $1 million of ARR.\nOnline manufacturing marketplace Xometry, Inc. plans to raise $275 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Xometry states that it is a leading AI-enabled marketplace for on-demand manufacturing. Its buyers include businesses ranging from self-funded start-ups to Fortune 100 companies. Since its inception, over 6.0 million parts have been manufactured through Xometry's platform.\nIntegral Ad Science Holding LLC plans to raise $240 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. The company’s technology provides metrics designed to verify that digital ads are served to a real person, viewable on-screen, and appear in a brand-safe and suitable environment in the correct geography. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Integral Ad Science served over 2,000 customers as of 3/31/21.\nPlus-sized women’s apparel brand Torrid Holdings plans to raise $156 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Torrid is the largest direct-to-consumer brand of women's plus-size apparel and intimates in North America by net sales. The profitable company markets directly to consumers via physical stores and its e-commerce platform, which represented a majority of sales in the 12 months ended 5/1/21.\nAlzheimer’s biotech Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. plans to raise $125 million at a $607 million market cap. The company's lead candidate, ACU193, is a humanized monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers. ACU193 entered a Phase 1 trial in patients with mild dementia or cognitive impairment due to AD in the 2Q21, with data expected by year end 2022.\nDigital financial services provider AMTD Digital($(HKD)$) plans to raise $120 million at a $1.4 billion market cap. AMTD Digital states that it is the \"fusion reactor\" at the core of the AMTD SpiderNet ecosystem, operating a comprehensive digital solutions platform in Asia. Profitable with explosive growth, the company primarily generates revenue from fees and commissions in two lines of business.\nDrug formulation developer Aerovate Therapeutics($(AVTE)$) plans to raise $100 million at a $325 million market cap. Aerovate's initial focus is on advancing AV-101, a dry powder inhaled formulation of imatinib for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The company has completed a Phase 1 study in healthy volunteers and expects to begin a Phase 2b/3 trial in PAH patients in the 2H21.\nNeuromodulation device provider CVRx Inc plans to raise $100 million at a $333 million market cap. CVRx manufactures and markets its minimally invasive neuromodulation solutions on its proprietary BAROSTIM platform. The company's states that its BAROSTEM NEO product is the first and only commercially available neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.\nBelgium-listed Nyxoah($(NYXH)$) plans to raise $87 million at an $803 million market cap. Nyxoah's lead product is the Genio system, a CE-marked, minimally-invasive hypoglossal neurostimulation therapy for obstructive sleep apnea. The company began generating revenue from Genio in Europe in July 2020 and is currently conducting a pivotal trial designed to support marketing authorization in the US.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/24/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 2.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 13.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.5% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IAS":0.9,"S":0.9,"YOU":0.9,"EVCM":0.9,"CVRX":0.9,"DNUT":0.9,"HKIB":0.9,"XMTR":0.9,"ABOS":0.9,"INTA":0.9,"CURV":0.9,"DIDI":0.9,"HEPS":0.9,"DDL":0.9,"LZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162456101,"gmtCreate":1624072631003,"gmtModify":1634011058215,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162456101","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162345897,"gmtCreate":1624036916619,"gmtModify":1634023683039,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162345897","repostId":"1175119628","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162342434,"gmtCreate":1624036877828,"gmtModify":1634023683755,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162342434","repostId":"2144774740","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2144774740","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1624030096,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2144774740?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe 从疫情后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144774740","media":"Investors","summary":"Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens following the Covid-19 pandemic, a senior executive says.","content":"<p>Software giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a></b> is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>软件巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a></b>一位高级管理人员表示，随着 Covid-19 大流行的减弱，经济重新开放将受益。该公司的击败加薪季度报告提供了证据。ADBE 股价周五上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这家数字媒体和营销软件制造商周四晚间公布的第二财季收益轻松超出预期。Adobe 还指导了本季度的上述观点。</blockquote></p><p> The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞的公司调整后每股收益为 3.03 美元，截至 6 月 4 日的季度销售额为 38.4 亿美元。与去年同期相比，Adobe 盈利增长 24%，销售额增长 23%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.</p><p><blockquote>本季度，Adobe 预计调整后每股收益为 3 美元，增长 17%，销售额为 38.8 亿美元，增长 20%。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>ADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report</h2> In morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.</p><p><blockquote><h2>收益报告发布后 ADBE 股价上涨</h2>今天股市早盘交易中，ADBE 股价上涨 2.2%，接近 563.35。盘中早些时候，ADBE 股价创下 570 点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a> Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的所有三个业务——创意云、文档云和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">经验</a>云——本季度以出色的表现杀死了它，”首席财务官约翰·墨菲告诉《投资者商业日报》。“以个性化的方式创建内容和客户体验参与正在我们所有的业务中引起共鸣。它确实推动了业务的势头和加速。”</blockquote></p><p> That momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.</p><p><blockquote>墨菲表示，这种势头将在公司季节性疲软的第三财季继续下去。本季度包括夏季的六月、七月和八月。</blockquote></p><p> \"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"</p><p><blockquote>“宏观经济的稳定给了许多企业再次投资的信心，”墨菲说。“企业正在优先考虑数字化转型。”</blockquote></p><p> The reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，疫情后经济的重新开放和办公室的重返应该会为 Adobe 的业务提供推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Analysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock</h2> At least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.</p><p><blockquote><h2>分析师上调 Adobe 股票目标价</h2>财报发布后，至少 15 名华尔街分析师上调了 ADBE 股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师 Gregg Moskowitz 重申了对 ADBE 股票的买入评级，并将目标价从 600 点上调至 640 点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"</p><p><blockquote>莫斯科维茨在给客户的一份报告中表示：“Adobe 广泛的软件解决方案组合使其成为内容创建、消费和协作的黄金标准。”“Adobe 完全有能力从数字化转型中受益，其全面的端到端产品使其与竞争对手区分开来。”</blockquote></p><p> On June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week&nbsp;consolidation period&nbsp;at a&nbsp;buy point&nbsp;of 536.98, according to&nbsp;IBD MarketSmith charts.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmith 图表，6 月 11 日，ADBE 股票以 536.98 的买入点突破了 40 周盘整期。</blockquote></p><p> However, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.</p><p><blockquote>然而，IBD 排行榜分析为投资者提供了 525.54 的早期买入点，该买入点来自较大的盘整模式中的杯子基数。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe 从疫情后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAdobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe 从疫情后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-18 23:28</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Software giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a></b> is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>软件巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a></b>一位高级管理人员表示，随着 Covid-19 大流行的减弱，经济重新开放将受益。该公司的击败加薪季度报告提供了证据。ADBE 股价周五上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这家数字媒体和营销软件制造商周四晚间公布的第二财季收益轻松超出预期。Adobe 还指导了本季度的上述观点。</blockquote></p><p> The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞的公司调整后每股收益为 3.03 美元，截至 6 月 4 日的季度销售额为 38.4 亿美元。与去年同期相比，Adobe 盈利增长 24%，销售额增长 23%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.</p><p><blockquote>本季度，Adobe 预计调整后每股收益为 3 美元，增长 17%，销售额为 38.8 亿美元，增长 20%。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>ADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report</h2> In morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.</p><p><blockquote><h2>收益报告发布后 ADBE 股价上涨</h2>今天股市早盘交易中，ADBE 股价上涨 2.2%，接近 563.35。盘中早些时候，ADBE 股价创下 570 点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a> Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的所有三个业务——创意云、文档云和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">经验</a>云——本季度以出色的表现杀死了它，”首席财务官约翰·墨菲告诉《投资者商业日报》。“以个性化的方式创建内容和客户体验参与正在我们所有的业务中引起共鸣。它确实推动了业务的势头和加速。”</blockquote></p><p> That momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.</p><p><blockquote>墨菲表示，这种势头将在公司季节性疲软的第三财季继续下去。本季度包括夏季的六月、七月和八月。</blockquote></p><p> \"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"</p><p><blockquote>“宏观经济的稳定给了许多企业再次投资的信心，”墨菲说。“企业正在优先考虑数字化转型。”</blockquote></p><p> The reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，疫情后经济的重新开放和办公室的重返应该会为 Adobe 的业务提供推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Analysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock</h2> At least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.</p><p><blockquote><h2>分析师上调 Adobe 股票目标价</h2>财报发布后，至少 15 名华尔街分析师上调了 ADBE 股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师 Gregg Moskowitz 重申了对 ADBE 股票的买入评级，并将目标价从 600 点上调至 640 点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"</p><p><blockquote>莫斯科维茨在给客户的一份报告中表示：“Adobe 广泛的软件解决方案组合使其成为内容创建、消费和协作的黄金标准。”“Adobe 完全有能力从数字化转型中受益，其全面的端到端产品使其与竞争对手区分开来。”</blockquote></p><p> On June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week&nbsp;consolidation period&nbsp;at a&nbsp;buy point&nbsp;of 536.98, according to&nbsp;IBD MarketSmith charts.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmith 图表，6 月 11 日，ADBE 股票以 536.98 的买入点突破了 40 周盘整期。</blockquote></p><p> However, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.</p><p><blockquote>然而，IBD 排行榜分析为投资者提供了 525.54 的早期买入点，该买入点来自较大的盘整模式中的杯子基数。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144774740","content_text":"Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.\nThe maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.\nThe San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.\nFor the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.\nADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report\nIn morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.\n\"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"\nThat momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.\n\"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"\nThe reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.\nAnalysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock\nAt least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.\nMizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.\n\"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"\nOn June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week consolidation period at a buy point of 536.98, according to IBD MarketSmith charts.\nHowever, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161003242,"gmtCreate":1623895190286,"gmtModify":1634026234591,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161003242","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160325764,"gmtCreate":1623773189758,"gmtModify":1634028463443,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"comment and like&nbsp;","text":"comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160325764","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫，届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险，在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中（参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时，对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览，他称之为 “规模庞大，堪比典型的季度”。具体而言，<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期，此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元，仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额（7750 亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力，直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%，为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的（但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天，远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的，即 “一旦头寸更加干净，实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时，SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明，如果市场抛售，投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大，以及零售活动的预测价值，都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票，导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现，过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点，这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是，高盛观察到，短期 SPX 期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期日的临近，其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期日，因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实，<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量： 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围，他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称，“最卖空的名称”，散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫，届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险，在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中（参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时，对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览，他称之为 “规模庞大，堪比典型的季度”。具体而言，<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期，此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元，仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额（7750 亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力，直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%，为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的（但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天，远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的，即 “一旦头寸更加干净，实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时，SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明，如果市场抛售，投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大，以及零售活动的预测价值，都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票，导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现，过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点，这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是，高盛观察到，短期 SPX 期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期日的临近，其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期日，因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实，<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量： 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围，他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称，“最卖空的名称”，散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184120446,"gmtCreate":1623689894685,"gmtModify":1634029992472,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184120446","repostId":"2143738859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188161579,"gmtCreate":1623424557391,"gmtModify":1634033328978,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188161579","repostId":"2142022769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117437099,"gmtCreate":1623156441311,"gmtModify":1634036377886,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117437099","repostId":"1134112696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134112696","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623153084,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134112696?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134112696","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 8) U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the o","content":"<p>(June 8)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.</p><p><blockquote>（6月8日）美国周二股票期货涨跌互现，由于投资者等待贸易赤字规模数据，道琼斯指数在开盘时有望不温不火地下滑。</blockquote></p><p>Futures tied to the broad S&amp;P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500综合指数挂钩的期货在涨跌之间波动。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌 0.2%。周一， 蓝筹股指数短暂攀升至历史新高， 收盘下跌0.4%。纳斯达克 100 指数期货小幅上涨 0.2%，表明科技股涨幅疲软。</blockquote></p><p>At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:52，道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 18 点，跌幅 0.05%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 5.25 点，跌幅 0.12%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 56.25 点，跌幅 0.41%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34abbee54469fe0e570dce762d9a8f6a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>At 7:52 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 7:52</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Stocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个交易日，由于美国经济快速反弹以及华盛顿和美联储的大力支持，股市一直在区间波动，指数徘徊在创纪录水平附近。最近几周的市场走势缓解了对通货膨胀的担忧。投资者表示，他们正在接受一段动荡的交易时期，同时等待有关消费者价格大幅上涨是否会转瞬即逝的新线索。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国4月份贸易逆差从上月创纪录的750亿美元收窄至689亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易数据公布后，股指期货持平至小幅走高。</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f387907a1739ecc654e10c7d6dc8135\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>At 8:33 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 8:33</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>1)&nbsp;Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）缝合固定（SFIX）</b>– Stitch Fix 第一季度每股亏损 18 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 27 美分。这家在线服装造型公司的收入高于预期。Stitch Fix 还发布了乐观的预测，其活跃客户群与一年前相比增长了 20%。股价在盘前交易中飙升 14.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>2)&nbsp;Contango Oil &amp; Gas(MCF) </b>– The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) 石油和天然气期货 (MCF)</b>– 该能源生产商同意通过全股票交易与 KKR (KKR) 的独立能源业务合并。合并后的公司初始市值约为48亿美元。Contango 股价在盘前交易中上涨 10.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3)&nbsp;Coupa Software(COUP) </b>– Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Coupa软件（COUP）</b>– Coupa 公布的季度收益为每股 7 美分，而华尔街预测为每股亏损 19 美分。收入超出预期，这家财务软件公司也发布了乐观的前景。尽管数据乐观，Coupa 股价在盘前交易中仍下跌 9.2%。</blockquote></p><p><b>4)&nbsp;Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) 雷神工业 (THO)</b>– 这家休闲车制造商的第三财季营收和利润均超出预期，其股价在盘前上涨 3.4%。与一年前相比，销售额增加了一倍多，该公司表示没有看到需求放缓的迹象。</blockquote></p><p><b>5)&nbsp;Chico’s FAS(CHS) </b>– Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>5) 奇科的FAS(CHS)</b>- Chico's 在盘前大涨 6.6%，此前这家服装零售商表示正在采取一切适当措施改善业绩并增加股东价值。该声明是对激进投资者巴林顿资本（Barington Capital）致管理层的一封信的回应。另外，Chico's 公布的季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>6)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY)</b> – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.</p><p><blockquote><b>6) 快速（FSLY）</b>- 这家云计算公司的股价在盘前下跌了 1.7%，但较之前的低点有所回落，原因是互联网中断影响了快速备份的网站。停电发生后不久，Fastly 表示已经发现了问题，并正在实施修复措施。</blockquote></p><p><b>7)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 该汽车制造商 5 月份在该市场交付了 33,463 辆中国制造的汽车，比 4 月份生产受到维护停工影响时增长了 29%。特斯拉盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>8)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC)</b> – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 在社交媒体推动电影院运营商股价上涨的情况下，AMC 内部人士一直在抛售股票。根据分析公司 InsiderScore 对内部人士文件进行的一项研究，自 5 月 28 日以来，已有 7 名 AMC 内部人士出售了部分股份，其中 9 名内部人士在本季度进行了出售，但首席执行官亚当·阿伦 (Adam Aron) 不在其中。2020年没有AMC内幕销售。AMC 盘前上涨 4.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>9)&nbsp;Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b> – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.</p><p><blockquote><b>9) Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b>– Marvell 第一季度的营收和利润均超出华尔街预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.5%。这家芯片制造商还预计其本季度收入将首次超过 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>10)&nbsp;Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) </b>– The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</p><p><blockquote><b>10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)</b>- 这家饮料公司宣布代表食品生产商和 Keurig Dr Pepper 股东亿滋国际（MDLZ）二次发行 2800 万股普通股后，其股价在盘前下跌了 3.6%。Keurig Dr Pepper 不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>11)&nbsp;Vail Resorts(MTN) </b>– Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>11) 韦尔度假村（MTN）</b>– 维尔度假村每股收益超出预期 18 美分，季度利润为每股 6.72 美元。该度假村运营商也看到了收入的最高预测。Vail 表示，与 2019 年大流行前的业绩相比，通行证销售额按单位计算增长了 50%，按美元计算增长了 33%，因为该公司将季票销售价格下调了 20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>12)&nbsp;Etsy(ETSY)</b> – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>12) Etsy（Etsy）</b>– Etsy 宣布私下发行 10 亿美元的可转换优先票据，在线工艺品市场计划将所得款项用于股票回购和一般企业用途。Etsy在盘前交易中下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自2008年以来，这是股票方向的最大信号。以下是它告诉投资者现在的方向。</b></blockquote></p><p>The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，现在的夏季平静是真实的，因为股市催化剂似乎很少。继上个月 5 月份的数据令市场感到恐惧之后，周四的消费者价格更新可能会带来下一次更新。</blockquote></p><p>With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.</p><p><blockquote>随着 equitiesSPX,-0.08% 在从 COVID-19 大流行低迷中令人兴奋的复苏中徘徊在历史高位，投资者想知道各国央行何时以及如何开始应对全球通胀飙升的迹象。由于并非所有股票在复苏的不同阶段都是一样的，因此许多人理所当然地想知道他们押注的股票是否正确。</blockquote></p><p>They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides our<b>call of the day</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold 集团首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）表示，他们应该首先关注自 2008 年以来最可靠的股市走向指标--10 年期债券收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y，1.541%。<b>今日看涨期权</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份报告中告诉客户，自 2008-09 年金融危机以来，“债券市场一直在决定，或者至少是巧合地发出信号”，哪些股票组将成为赢家和输家。对于周期性、成长型投资、小盘股等几个热门主题来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p>For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:</p><p><blockquote>例如，他通过下面的图表展示了公用事业和必需品或低波动性投资等防御性行业如何只有在债券收益率下降时表现良好：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c7d981e160fe9dea266dbe88c5eb97\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p>So should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，因此，如果目前徘徊在 1.561% 的 10 年期国债收益率再次达到 2%，该集团可能会表现不佳。但他补充说，如果经济面临过热压力，收益率将上升，历史表明，波动性最大的股票往往是赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森指出，下面的小盘股、周期性行业和新兴市场图表 “在收益率上升造成股市混乱的时期，这些市场往往是赢家”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ad9970b8d52f5524ef4da54113986a\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d5f3bc8075fad7b17676c51ffadaed\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The Leuthold Group</p><p><blockquote>洛伊特霍尔德集团</blockquote></p><p>And the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>这位策略师是确实看到收益率上升的人之一。</blockquote></p><p>“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>“尽管通胀预期不断升级，但最近 10 年期国债收益率却停滞不前，这令人费解。此外，如果收益率继续横盘整理或回撤近期部分涨幅，包括成长型股票在内的防御性投资很可能会成为股市的领头羊，”保尔森写道。</blockquote></p><p>He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”</p><p><blockquote>他预计该收益率将再次走高，可能在 2021 年底前将其推高至 2% 以上。这意味着 “股票投资者应该听从债券市场的信息，驾驶一些快速的‘周期性’股票汽车!”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-08 19:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 8)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.</p><p><blockquote>（6月8日）美国周二股票期货涨跌互现，由于投资者等待贸易赤字规模数据，道琼斯指数在开盘时有望不温不火地下滑。</blockquote></p><p>Futures tied to the broad S&amp;P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500综合指数挂钩的期货在涨跌之间波动。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌 0.2%。周一， 蓝筹股指数短暂攀升至历史新高， 收盘下跌0.4%。纳斯达克 100 指数期货小幅上涨 0.2%，表明科技股涨幅疲软。</blockquote></p><p>At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:52，道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 18 点，跌幅 0.05%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 5.25 点，跌幅 0.12%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 56.25 点，跌幅 0.41%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34abbee54469fe0e570dce762d9a8f6a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>At 7:52 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 7:52</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Stocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个交易日，由于美国经济快速反弹以及华盛顿和美联储的大力支持，股市一直在区间波动，指数徘徊在创纪录水平附近。最近几周的市场走势缓解了对通货膨胀的担忧。投资者表示，他们正在接受一段动荡的交易时期，同时等待有关消费者价格大幅上涨是否会转瞬即逝的新线索。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国4月份贸易逆差从上月创纪录的750亿美元收窄至689亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易数据公布后，股指期货持平至小幅走高。</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f387907a1739ecc654e10c7d6dc8135\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>At 8:33 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 8:33</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>1)&nbsp;Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）缝合固定（SFIX）</b>– Stitch Fix 第一季度每股亏损 18 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 27 美分。这家在线服装造型公司的收入高于预期。Stitch Fix 还发布了乐观的预测，其活跃客户群与一年前相比增长了 20%。股价在盘前交易中飙升 14.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>2)&nbsp;Contango Oil &amp; Gas(MCF) </b>– The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) 石油和天然气期货 (MCF)</b>– 该能源生产商同意通过全股票交易与 KKR (KKR) 的独立能源业务合并。合并后的公司初始市值约为48亿美元。Contango 股价在盘前交易中上涨 10.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3)&nbsp;Coupa Software(COUP) </b>– Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Coupa软件（COUP）</b>– Coupa 公布的季度收益为每股 7 美分，而华尔街预测为每股亏损 19 美分。收入超出预期，这家财务软件公司也发布了乐观的前景。尽管数据乐观，Coupa 股价在盘前交易中仍下跌 9.2%。</blockquote></p><p><b>4)&nbsp;Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) 雷神工业 (THO)</b>– 这家休闲车制造商的第三财季营收和利润均超出预期，其股价在盘前上涨 3.4%。与一年前相比，销售额增加了一倍多，该公司表示没有看到需求放缓的迹象。</blockquote></p><p><b>5)&nbsp;Chico’s FAS(CHS) </b>– Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>5) 奇科的FAS(CHS)</b>- Chico's 在盘前大涨 6.6%，此前这家服装零售商表示正在采取一切适当措施改善业绩并增加股东价值。该声明是对激进投资者巴林顿资本（Barington Capital）致管理层的一封信的回应。另外，Chico's 公布的季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>6)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY)</b> – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.</p><p><blockquote><b>6) 快速（FSLY）</b>- 这家云计算公司的股价在盘前下跌了 1.7%，但较之前的低点有所回落，原因是互联网中断影响了快速备份的网站。停电发生后不久，Fastly 表示已经发现了问题，并正在实施修复措施。</blockquote></p><p><b>7)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 该汽车制造商 5 月份在该市场交付了 33,463 辆中国制造的汽车，比 4 月份生产受到维护停工影响时增长了 29%。特斯拉盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>8)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC)</b> – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 在社交媒体推动电影院运营商股价上涨的情况下，AMC 内部人士一直在抛售股票。根据分析公司 InsiderScore 对内部人士文件进行的一项研究，自 5 月 28 日以来，已有 7 名 AMC 内部人士出售了部分股份，其中 9 名内部人士在本季度进行了出售，但首席执行官亚当·阿伦 (Adam Aron) 不在其中。2020年没有AMC内幕销售。AMC 盘前上涨 4.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>9)&nbsp;Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b> – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.</p><p><blockquote><b>9) Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b>– Marvell 第一季度的营收和利润均超出华尔街预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.5%。这家芯片制造商还预计其本季度收入将首次超过 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>10)&nbsp;Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) </b>– The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</p><p><blockquote><b>10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)</b>- 这家饮料公司宣布代表食品生产商和 Keurig Dr Pepper 股东亿滋国际（MDLZ）二次发行 2800 万股普通股后，其股价在盘前下跌了 3.6%。Keurig Dr Pepper 不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>11)&nbsp;Vail Resorts(MTN) </b>– Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>11) 韦尔度假村（MTN）</b>– 维尔度假村每股收益超出预期 18 美分，季度利润为每股 6.72 美元。该度假村运营商也看到了收入的最高预测。Vail 表示，与 2019 年大流行前的业绩相比，通行证销售额按单位计算增长了 50%，按美元计算增长了 33%，因为该公司将季票销售价格下调了 20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>12)&nbsp;Etsy(ETSY)</b> – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>12) Etsy（Etsy）</b>– Etsy 宣布私下发行 10 亿美元的可转换优先票据，在线工艺品市场计划将所得款项用于股票回购和一般企业用途。Etsy在盘前交易中下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自2008年以来，这是股票方向的最大信号。以下是它告诉投资者现在的方向。</b></blockquote></p><p>The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，现在的夏季平静是真实的，因为股市催化剂似乎很少。继上个月 5 月份的数据令市场感到恐惧之后，周四的消费者价格更新可能会带来下一次更新。</blockquote></p><p>With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.</p><p><blockquote>随着 equitiesSPX,-0.08% 在从 COVID-19 大流行低迷中令人兴奋的复苏中徘徊在历史高位，投资者想知道各国央行何时以及如何开始应对全球通胀飙升的迹象。由于并非所有股票在复苏的不同阶段都是一样的，因此许多人理所当然地想知道他们押注的股票是否正确。</blockquote></p><p>They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides our<b>call of the day</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold 集团首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）表示，他们应该首先关注自 2008 年以来最可靠的股市走向指标--10 年期债券收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y，1.541%。<b>今日看涨期权</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份报告中告诉客户，自 2008-09 年金融危机以来，“债券市场一直在决定，或者至少是巧合地发出信号”，哪些股票组将成为赢家和输家。对于周期性、成长型投资、小盘股等几个热门主题来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p>For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:</p><p><blockquote>例如，他通过下面的图表展示了公用事业和必需品或低波动性投资等防御性行业如何只有在债券收益率下降时表现良好：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c7d981e160fe9dea266dbe88c5eb97\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p>So should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，因此，如果目前徘徊在 1.561% 的 10 年期国债收益率再次达到 2%，该集团可能会表现不佳。但他补充说，如果经济面临过热压力，收益率将上升，历史表明，波动性最大的股票往往是赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森指出，下面的小盘股、周期性行业和新兴市场图表 “在收益率上升造成股市混乱的时期，这些市场往往是赢家”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ad9970b8d52f5524ef4da54113986a\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d5f3bc8075fad7b17676c51ffadaed\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The Leuthold Group</p><p><blockquote>洛伊特霍尔德集团</blockquote></p><p>And the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>这位策略师是确实看到收益率上升的人之一。</blockquote></p><p>“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>“尽管通胀预期不断升级，但最近 10 年期国债收益率却停滞不前，这令人费解。此外，如果收益率继续横盘整理或回撤近期部分涨幅，包括成长型股票在内的防御性投资很可能会成为股市的领头羊，”保尔森写道。</blockquote></p><p>He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”</p><p><blockquote>他预计该收益率将再次走高，可能在 2021 年底前将其推高至 2% 以上。这意味着 “股票投资者应该听从债券市场的信息，驾驶一些快速的‘周期性’股票汽车!”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134112696","content_text":"(June 8) U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.Futures tied to the broad S&P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.At 7:52 a.m. ETStocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.At 8:33 a.m. ETStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:1) Stitch Fix(SFIX) – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.2) Contango Oil & Gas(MCF) – The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.3) Coupa Software(COUP) – Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.4) Thor Industries(THO) – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.5) Chico’s FAS(CHS) – Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.6) Fastly(FSLY) – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.7) Tesla(TSLA) – The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.8) AMC Entertainment(AMC) – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.9) Marvell Technology(MRVL) – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) – The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.11) Vail Resorts(MTN) – Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.12) Etsy(ETSY) – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides ourcall of the day.Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:The Leuthold GroupSo should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”The Leuthold GroupThe Leuthold GroupAnd the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":133672314,"gmtCreate":1621747299938,"gmtModify":1634186796660,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133672314","repostId":"2137990425","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162456101,"gmtCreate":1624072631003,"gmtModify":1634011058215,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162456101","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116374673,"gmtCreate":1622777805792,"gmtModify":1634098097023,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116374673","repostId":"1182667134","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193668643,"gmtCreate":1620784794782,"gmtModify":1634196323706,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please comment and like, thanks&nbsp;","listText":"Please comment and like, thanks&nbsp;","text":"Please comment and like, thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193668643","repostId":"2134698127","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174510063,"gmtCreate":1627109751952,"gmtModify":1631890760690,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174510063","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将发布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破常规的首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）来说，有很多移动部件，甚至比平时还要多。不过，判断股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车先锋将于 7 月 26 日星期一收盘后发布报告。据 FactSet 称，华尔街希望特斯拉在 115 亿美元的销售额中报告每股收益约 94 美分。超出分析师预期对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说都很重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素会影响底线收益--全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者会希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论如何发生。这可能会打破股价近期的区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布 2020 年第三季度营业利润超过 8 亿美元，在接下来的三个月内，该股股价翻了一番多，达到 860 美元左右。但由于营业利润增长在随后几个季度基本暂停，股价已从约 860 美元跌至最近的 640 美元左右。利润停滞也意味着库存停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计将达到 8.35 亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉首次在单季度交付超过20万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>财报消化完毕后，多头和空头之间关于财报质量的争论应该会层出不穷。例如，特斯拉创造销售额的一种方式是出售监管积分——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来获得这些积分。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为 5.18 亿美元，帮助特斯拉超出盈利预期。关于信用销售额的 “正常 ”数量以及这些销售额何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将出售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉承认其持有的比特币在第一季度略有增加，但这种加密货币的价格自 4 月份的峰值以来已经下跌了大约一半。这意味着有可能出现小幅亏损。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉在德国的新工厂和德克萨斯州奥斯汀的工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯汀工厂将生产特斯拉的 Cybertruck。特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步--该公司最近开始以订阅的形式销售其驾驶辅助软件--以及该公司能从其充电网络中赚多少钱，也可能会有人质疑。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向未来的其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该在定于下午 5:30 举行的财报电话会议上提出。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约 9%，落后于标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别 17% 和 15% 的可比涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，过去 12 个月上涨了约 112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉的收益即将到来。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将发布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破常规的首席执行官埃隆-马斯克（Elon Musk）来说，有很多移动部件，甚至比平时还要多。不过，判断股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车先锋将于 7 月 26 日星期一收盘后发布报告。据 FactSet 称，华尔街希望特斯拉在 115 亿美元的销售额中报告每股收益约 94 美分。超出分析师预期对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说都很重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素会影响底线收益--全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者会希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论如何发生。这可能会打破股价近期的区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布 2020 年第三季度营业利润超过 8 亿美元，在接下来的三个月内，该股股价翻了一番多，达到 860 美元左右。但由于营业利润增长在随后几个季度基本暂停，股价已从约 860 美元跌至最近的 640 美元左右。利润停滞也意味着库存停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计将达到 8.35 亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉首次在单季度交付超过20万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>财报消化完毕后，多头和空头之间关于财报质量的争论应该会层出不穷。例如，特斯拉创造销售额的一种方式是出售监管积分——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来获得这些积分。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为 5.18 亿美元，帮助特斯拉超出盈利预期。关于信用销售额的 “正常 ”数量以及这些销售额何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将出售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉承认其持有的比特币在第一季度略有增加，但这种加密货币的价格自 4 月份的峰值以来已经下跌了大约一半。这意味着有可能出现小幅亏损。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉在德国的新工厂和德克萨斯州奥斯汀的工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯汀工厂将生产特斯拉的 Cybertruck。特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步--该公司最近开始以订阅的形式销售其驾驶辅助软件--以及该公司能从其充电网络中赚多少钱，也可能会有人质疑。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向未来的其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该在定于下午 5:30 举行的财报电话会议上提出。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约 9%，落后于标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别 17% 和 15% 的可比涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，过去 12 个月上涨了约 112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172092803,"gmtCreate":1626919383102,"gmtModify":1631890760732,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172092803","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343397229,"gmtCreate":1617674734061,"gmtModify":1634297170334,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please comment and like, thanks.","listText":"Please comment and like, thanks.","text":"Please comment and like, thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343397229","repostId":"1188368649","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1188368649","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1617670773,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188368649?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Electric Vehicle Showdown: Tesla Vs. Nio Vs. XPeng Vs. Li Auto — How Q1 Deliveries Stacked Up<blockquote>电动汽车对决：特斯拉 Vs. 蔚来 Vs. 小鹏 Vs. 理想汽车——第一季度交付量如何累积</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188368649","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"The quarterly scorecards for the electric vehicle manufacturers are in and despite industry-wide constraints and macroeconomic handicaps, performances for the month of March, as well as the first quarter, have been strong.Here's a comparative take on first-quarter deliveries of Tesla, Inc.TSLA 4.43%and the Chinese EV playersLi Auto Inc.LI 1.23%,XPeng Inc.XPEV 2.57%andNIO LimitedNIO 0.87%:. XPeng, which has a SUV named G3 and a sedan named P7, said its first-quarter deliveries totaled 13,340. Thi","content":"<p>The quarterly scorecards for the electric vehicle&nbsp;manufacturers are in&nbsp;and despite industry-wide constraints and macroeconomic handicaps, performances for the month of March, as well as the first quarter, have been strong.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的季度记分卡已经出炉，尽管存在全行业的限制和宏观经济障碍，但 3 月份以及第一季度的业绩仍然强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative take on first-quarter deliveries of&nbsp;<b>Tesla, Inc.</b>TSLA 4.43%and the Chinese EV players<b>Li Auto Inc.</b>LI 1.23%,<b>XPeng Inc.</b>XPEV 2.57%and<b>NIO Limited</b>NIO 0.87%:</p><p><blockquote>以下是第一季度交付量的比较<b>特斯拉公司。</b>TSLA 4.43% 和中国电动汽车企业<b>理想汽车公司。</b>李1.23%，<b>小鹏汽车</b>XPEV 2.57%和<b>蔚来有限公司</b>蔚来0.87%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 EV Scorecard:</b>Tesladelivered184,800 vehicles in the first quarter, with 99% of these being Model 3/Y vehicles. This represented a 2.3% quarterly increase and a 109% year-over-year jump.</p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度电动汽车记分卡：</b>特斯拉第一季度交付了184,800辆汽车，其中99%是Model 3/Y汽车。这意味着季度增长 2.3%，同比增长 109%。</blockquote></p><p> In comparison, Nio's first-quarter deliveries jumped 423% year-over-year to 20,060 vehicles. This represented a 15.6% quarter-over-quarter increase. The company currently sells three SUV models, namely ES6, ES8 and EC6.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，蔚来第一季度交付量同比增长423%，达到20060辆。这意味着季度环比增长 15.6%。该公司目前销售三款SUV车型，分别是ES6、ES8和EC6。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng, which has a SUV named G3 and a sedan named P7, said its first-quarter deliveries totaled 13,340. This represents 487% year-over-year growth and a 2.9% quarter-over-quarter rise.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车拥有一款名为 G3 的 SUV 和一款名为 P7 的轿车，该公司表示第一季度的交付量总计 13,340 辆。这意味着同比增长 487%，环比增长 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Li Auto, which sells Li ONE SUV, reported deliveries of 12,579 for the first quarter, a climb of 334.4% from last year. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, deliveries fell 13%.</p><p><blockquote>销售 Li ONE SUV 的理想汽车公布第一季度交付量为 12,579 辆，比去年增长 334.4%。按季度计算，交付量下降了 13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3b0fedd727db600b525c682d2a1b09a\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"182\">For Nio and Xpeng,quarterly performancesrepresented the biggest ever on record.</p><p><blockquote>对于蔚来和小鹏汽车来说，季度业绩创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaways:</b>Going by absolute numbers, Tesla by far is the largest player in the EV arena. Nio's first-quarter deliveries were roughly 11% of what Tesla sold in the quarter. The EV market is turning out to be a crowded field&nbsp;with legacy automakers, pure-play EV companies, as well as tech companies, all flexing their muscles.</p><p><blockquote><b>外卖：</b>从绝对数字来看，特斯拉是迄今为止电动汽车领域最大的参与者。蔚来第一季度的交付量约为特斯拉该季度销量的 11%。事实证明，电动汽车市场是一个拥挤的领域，传统汽车制造商、纯电动汽车公司以及科技公司都在大展身手。</blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, the market is likely to get more fragmented than ever before, and incumbents will have a true challenge in maintaining or growing their share. The first-mover advantage has placed Tesla in a dominant position in the market, which others might find too difficult to challenge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种背景下，市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加分散，现有企业在维持或扩大其份额方面将面临真正的挑战。先发优势使特斯拉在市场上处于主导地位，其他人可能难以挑战。</blockquote></p><p> However, Nio stands out in terms of growth. The company managed to grow decently both on a year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，蔚来在增长方面脱颖而出。该公司实现了同比和环比的可观增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking&nbsp;Forward:</b>Sell-side is largely bullish on the EV industry as a whole. The Biden Administration's EV&nbsp;commitment and&nbsp;brisk demand in China and Europe are likely to propel the EV sector into a \"Golden Age,\" with a new auto supply of OEMs, battery, recycling, commercial vehicles, trucks and&nbsp;fleet conversions being built over the next decade, Wedbush's Daniel Ives said in a recent note.For Nio and Xpeng,quarterly performancesrepresented the biggest ever on record.</p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来：</b>卖方大多看好整个电动汽车行业。拜登政府对电动汽车的承诺以及中国和欧洲的强劲需求可能会推动电动汽车行业进入“黄金时代”，未来十年将建立由原始设备制造商、电池、回收、商用车、卡车和车队改装组成的新汽车供应，Wedbush 的丹尼尔·艾夫斯 (Daniel Ives) 在最近的一份报告中表示。对于蔚来和小鹏汽车来说，季度业绩创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaways:</b>Going by absolute numbers, Tesla by far is the largest player in the EV arena. Nio's first-quarter deliveries were roughly 11% of what Tesla sold in the quarter. The EV market is turning out to be a crowded field&nbsp;with legacy automakers, pure-play EV companies, as well as tech companies, all flexing their muscles.</p><p><blockquote><b>外卖：</b>从绝对数字来看，特斯拉是迄今为止电动汽车领域最大的参与者。蔚来第一季度的交付量约为特斯拉该季度销量的 11%。事实证明，电动汽车市场是一个拥挤的领域，传统汽车制造商、纯电动汽车公司以及科技公司都在大展身手。</blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, the market is likely to get more fragmented than ever before, and incumbents will have a true challenge in maintaining or growing their share. The first-mover advantage has placed Tesla in a dominant position in the market, which others might find too difficult to challenge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种背景下，市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加分散，现有企业在维持或扩大其份额方面将面临真正的挑战。先发优势使特斯拉在市场上处于主导地位，其他人可能难以挑战。</blockquote></p><p> However, Nio stands out in terms of growth. The company managed to grow decently both on a year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，蔚来在增长方面脱颖而出。该公司实现了同比和环比的可观增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking&nbsp;Forward:</b>Sell-side is largely bullish on the EV industry as a whole. The Biden Administration's EV&nbsp;commitment and&nbsp;brisk demand in China and Europe are likely to propel the EV sector into a \"Golden Age,\" with a new auto supply of OEMs, battery, recycling, commercial vehicles, trucks and&nbsp;fleet conversions being built over the next decade, Wedbush's Daniel Ives said in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来：</b>卖方大多看好整个电动汽车行业。拜登政府对电动汽车的承诺以及中国和欧洲的强劲需求可能会推动电动汽车行业进入“黄金时代”，未来十年将建立由原始设备制造商、电池、回收、商用车、卡车和车队改装组成的新汽车供应，Wedbush 的丹尼尔·艾夫斯 (Daniel Ives) 在最近的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst sees EV stocks moving 30-40% higher the rest of the year as the Street further digests this transformational growth on the horizon.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师预计，随着华尔街进一步消化即将到来的转型增长，电动汽车股票将在今年剩余时间内上涨 30-40%。</blockquote></p><p> Those firms which pursue innovation&nbsp;in technology and services, are customer-centric and provide value for buyers will&nbsp;leave the others behind&nbsp;in this \"hot-and-happening\"&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>那些追求技术和服务创新、以客户为中心并为买家提供价值的公司将在这个“热门”市场中把其他公司甩在身后。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EV Price Action:</b>Reacting to the quarterly numbers, Tesla shares were up 4.43% to $691.05. Nio and XPeng and Li Auto shares are lower following Thursday's upside in reaction to their numbers.</p><p><blockquote><b>电动汽车价格走势：</b>受季度数据影响，特斯拉股价上涨 4.43%，至 691.05 美元。蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车的股价在周四因数据而上涨后走低。</blockquote></p><p> Nio was down 0.88% to $39.31, XPeng was down 2.54% to $36.01&nbsp;and Li Auto was down 1.23% to $24.94.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来下跌0.88%，至39.31美元，小鹏汽车下跌2.54%，至36.01美元，理想汽车汽车下跌1.23%，至24.94美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Electric Vehicle Showdown: Tesla Vs. Nio Vs. XPeng Vs. Li Auto — How Q1 Deliveries Stacked Up<blockquote>电动汽车对决：特斯拉 Vs. 蔚来 Vs. 小鹏 Vs. 理想汽车——第一季度交付量如何累积</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElectric Vehicle Showdown: Tesla Vs. Nio Vs. XPeng Vs. Li Auto — How Q1 Deliveries Stacked Up<blockquote>电动汽车对决：特斯拉 Vs. 蔚来 Vs. 小鹏 Vs. 理想汽车——第一季度交付量如何累积</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-06 08:59</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The quarterly scorecards for the electric vehicle&nbsp;manufacturers are in&nbsp;and despite industry-wide constraints and macroeconomic handicaps, performances for the month of March, as well as the first quarter, have been strong.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商的季度记分卡已经出炉，尽管存在全行业的限制和宏观经济障碍，但 3 月份以及第一季度的业绩仍然强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative take on first-quarter deliveries of&nbsp;<b>Tesla, Inc.</b>TSLA 4.43%and the Chinese EV players<b>Li Auto Inc.</b>LI 1.23%,<b>XPeng Inc.</b>XPEV 2.57%and<b>NIO Limited</b>NIO 0.87%:</p><p><blockquote>以下是第一季度交付量的比较<b>特斯拉公司。</b>TSLA 4.43% 和中国电动汽车企业<b>理想汽车公司。</b>李1.23%，<b>小鹏汽车</b>XPEV 2.57%和<b>蔚来有限公司</b>蔚来0.87%：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 EV Scorecard:</b>Tesladelivered184,800 vehicles in the first quarter, with 99% of these being Model 3/Y vehicles. This represented a 2.3% quarterly increase and a 109% year-over-year jump.</p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度电动汽车记分卡：</b>特斯拉第一季度交付了184,800辆汽车，其中99%是Model 3/Y汽车。这意味着季度增长 2.3%，同比增长 109%。</blockquote></p><p> In comparison, Nio's first-quarter deliveries jumped 423% year-over-year to 20,060 vehicles. This represented a 15.6% quarter-over-quarter increase. The company currently sells three SUV models, namely ES6, ES8 and EC6.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，蔚来第一季度交付量同比增长423%，达到20060辆。这意味着季度环比增长 15.6%。该公司目前销售三款SUV车型，分别是ES6、ES8和EC6。</blockquote></p><p> XPeng, which has a SUV named G3 and a sedan named P7, said its first-quarter deliveries totaled 13,340. This represents 487% year-over-year growth and a 2.9% quarter-over-quarter rise.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车拥有一款名为 G3 的 SUV 和一款名为 P7 的轿车，该公司表示第一季度的交付量总计 13,340 辆。这意味着同比增长 487%，环比增长 2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Li Auto, which sells Li ONE SUV, reported deliveries of 12,579 for the first quarter, a climb of 334.4% from last year. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, deliveries fell 13%.</p><p><blockquote>销售 Li ONE SUV 的理想汽车公布第一季度交付量为 12,579 辆，比去年增长 334.4%。按季度计算，交付量下降了 13%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3b0fedd727db600b525c682d2a1b09a\" tg-width=\"603\" tg-height=\"182\">For Nio and Xpeng,quarterly performancesrepresented the biggest ever on record.</p><p><blockquote>对于蔚来和小鹏汽车来说，季度业绩创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaways:</b>Going by absolute numbers, Tesla by far is the largest player in the EV arena. Nio's first-quarter deliveries were roughly 11% of what Tesla sold in the quarter. The EV market is turning out to be a crowded field&nbsp;with legacy automakers, pure-play EV companies, as well as tech companies, all flexing their muscles.</p><p><blockquote><b>外卖：</b>从绝对数字来看，特斯拉是迄今为止电动汽车领域最大的参与者。蔚来第一季度的交付量约为特斯拉该季度销量的 11%。事实证明，电动汽车市场是一个拥挤的领域，传统汽车制造商、纯电动汽车公司以及科技公司都在大展身手。</blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, the market is likely to get more fragmented than ever before, and incumbents will have a true challenge in maintaining or growing their share. The first-mover advantage has placed Tesla in a dominant position in the market, which others might find too difficult to challenge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种背景下，市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加分散，现有企业在维持或扩大其份额方面将面临真正的挑战。先发优势使特斯拉在市场上处于主导地位，其他人可能难以挑战。</blockquote></p><p> However, Nio stands out in terms of growth. The company managed to grow decently both on a year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，蔚来在增长方面脱颖而出。该公司实现了同比和环比的可观增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking&nbsp;Forward:</b>Sell-side is largely bullish on the EV industry as a whole. The Biden Administration's EV&nbsp;commitment and&nbsp;brisk demand in China and Europe are likely to propel the EV sector into a \"Golden Age,\" with a new auto supply of OEMs, battery, recycling, commercial vehicles, trucks and&nbsp;fleet conversions being built over the next decade, Wedbush's Daniel Ives said in a recent note.For Nio and Xpeng,quarterly performancesrepresented the biggest ever on record.</p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来：</b>卖方大多看好整个电动汽车行业。拜登政府对电动汽车的承诺以及中国和欧洲的强劲需求可能会推动电动汽车行业进入“黄金时代”，未来十年将建立由原始设备制造商、电池、回收、商用车、卡车和车队改装组成的新汽车供应，Wedbush 的丹尼尔·艾夫斯 (Daniel Ives) 在最近的一份报告中表示。对于蔚来和小鹏汽车来说，季度业绩创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaways:</b>Going by absolute numbers, Tesla by far is the largest player in the EV arena. Nio's first-quarter deliveries were roughly 11% of what Tesla sold in the quarter. The EV market is turning out to be a crowded field&nbsp;with legacy automakers, pure-play EV companies, as well as tech companies, all flexing their muscles.</p><p><blockquote><b>外卖：</b>从绝对数字来看，特斯拉是迄今为止电动汽车领域最大的参与者。蔚来第一季度的交付量约为特斯拉该季度销量的 11%。事实证明，电动汽车市场是一个拥挤的领域，传统汽车制造商、纯电动汽车公司以及科技公司都在大展身手。</blockquote></p><p> Against this backdrop, the market is likely to get more fragmented than ever before, and incumbents will have a true challenge in maintaining or growing their share. The first-mover advantage has placed Tesla in a dominant position in the market, which others might find too difficult to challenge.</p><p><blockquote>在这种背景下，市场可能会变得比以往任何时候都更加分散，现有企业在维持或扩大其份额方面将面临真正的挑战。先发优势使特斯拉在市场上处于主导地位，其他人可能难以挑战。</blockquote></p><p> However, Nio stands out in terms of growth. The company managed to grow decently both on a year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.</p><p><blockquote>然而，蔚来在增长方面脱颖而出。该公司实现了同比和环比的可观增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking&nbsp;Forward:</b>Sell-side is largely bullish on the EV industry as a whole. The Biden Administration's EV&nbsp;commitment and&nbsp;brisk demand in China and Europe are likely to propel the EV sector into a \"Golden Age,\" with a new auto supply of OEMs, battery, recycling, commercial vehicles, trucks and&nbsp;fleet conversions being built over the next decade, Wedbush's Daniel Ives said in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来：</b>卖方大多看好整个电动汽车行业。拜登政府对电动汽车的承诺以及中国和欧洲的强劲需求可能会推动电动汽车行业进入“黄金时代”，未来十年将建立由原始设备制造商、电池、回收、商用车、卡车和车队改装组成的新汽车供应，Wedbush 的丹尼尔·艾夫斯 (Daniel Ives) 在最近的一份报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst sees EV stocks moving 30-40% higher the rest of the year as the Street further digests this transformational growth on the horizon.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师预计，随着华尔街进一步消化即将到来的转型增长，电动汽车股票将在今年剩余时间内上涨 30-40%。</blockquote></p><p> Those firms which pursue innovation&nbsp;in technology and services, are customer-centric and provide value for buyers will&nbsp;leave the others behind&nbsp;in this \"hot-and-happening\"&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>那些追求技术和服务创新、以客户为中心并为买家提供价值的公司将在这个“热门”市场中把其他公司甩在身后。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EV Price Action:</b>Reacting to the quarterly numbers, Tesla shares were up 4.43% to $691.05. Nio and XPeng and Li Auto shares are lower following Thursday's upside in reaction to their numbers.</p><p><blockquote><b>电动汽车价格走势：</b>受季度数据影响，特斯拉股价上涨 4.43%，至 691.05 美元。蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车的股价在周四因数据而上涨后走低。</blockquote></p><p> Nio was down 0.88% to $39.31, XPeng was down 2.54% to $36.01&nbsp;and Li Auto was down 1.23% to $24.94.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来下跌0.88%，至39.31美元，小鹏汽车下跌2.54%，至36.01美元，理想汽车汽车下跌1.23%，至24.94美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188368649","content_text":"The quarterly scorecards for the electric vehicle manufacturers are in and despite industry-wide constraints and macroeconomic handicaps, performances for the month of March, as well as the first quarter, have been strong.\nHere's a comparative take on first-quarter deliveries of Tesla, Inc.TSLA 4.43%and the Chinese EV playersLi Auto Inc.LI 1.23%,XPeng Inc.XPEV 2.57%andNIO LimitedNIO 0.87%:\nQ1 EV Scorecard:Tesladelivered184,800 vehicles in the first quarter, with 99% of these being Model 3/Y vehicles. This represented a 2.3% quarterly increase and a 109% year-over-year jump.\nIn comparison, Nio's first-quarter deliveries jumped 423% year-over-year to 20,060 vehicles. This represented a 15.6% quarter-over-quarter increase. The company currently sells three SUV models, namely ES6, ES8 and EC6.\nXPeng, which has a SUV named G3 and a sedan named P7, said its first-quarter deliveries totaled 13,340. This represents 487% year-over-year growth and a 2.9% quarter-over-quarter rise.\nLi Auto, which sells Li ONE SUV, reported deliveries of 12,579 for the first quarter, a climb of 334.4% from last year. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, deliveries fell 13%.\nFor Nio and Xpeng,quarterly performancesrepresented the biggest ever on record.\nTakeaways:Going by absolute numbers, Tesla by far is the largest player in the EV arena. Nio's first-quarter deliveries were roughly 11% of what Tesla sold in the quarter. The EV market is turning out to be a crowded field with legacy automakers, pure-play EV companies, as well as tech companies, all flexing their muscles.\nAgainst this backdrop, the market is likely to get more fragmented than ever before, and incumbents will have a true challenge in maintaining or growing their share. The first-mover advantage has placed Tesla in a dominant position in the market, which others might find too difficult to challenge.\nHowever, Nio stands out in terms of growth. The company managed to grow decently both on a year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.\nLooking Forward:Sell-side is largely bullish on the EV industry as a whole. The Biden Administration's EV commitment and brisk demand in China and Europe are likely to propel the EV sector into a \"Golden Age,\" with a new auto supply of OEMs, battery, recycling, commercial vehicles, trucks and fleet conversions being built over the next decade, Wedbush's Daniel Ives said in a recent note.For Nio and Xpeng,quarterly performancesrepresented the biggest ever on record.\nTakeaways:Going by absolute numbers, Tesla by far is the largest player in the EV arena. Nio's first-quarter deliveries were roughly 11% of what Tesla sold in the quarter. The EV market is turning out to be a crowded field with legacy automakers, pure-play EV companies, as well as tech companies, all flexing their muscles.\nAgainst this backdrop, the market is likely to get more fragmented than ever before, and incumbents will have a true challenge in maintaining or growing their share. The first-mover advantage has placed Tesla in a dominant position in the market, which others might find too difficult to challenge.\nHowever, Nio stands out in terms of growth. The company managed to grow decently both on a year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter basis.\nLooking Forward:Sell-side is largely bullish on the EV industry as a whole. The Biden Administration's EV commitment and brisk demand in China and Europe are likely to propel the EV sector into a \"Golden Age,\" with a new auto supply of OEMs, battery, recycling, commercial vehicles, trucks and fleet conversions being built over the next decade, Wedbush's Daniel Ives said in a recent note.\nThe analyst sees EV stocks moving 30-40% higher the rest of the year as the Street further digests this transformational growth on the horizon.\nThose firms which pursue innovation in technology and services, are customer-centric and provide value for buyers will leave the others behind in this \"hot-and-happening\" market.\nEV Price Action:Reacting to the quarterly numbers, Tesla shares were up 4.43% to $691.05. Nio and XPeng and Li Auto shares are lower following Thursday's upside in reaction to their numbers.\nNio was down 0.88% to $39.31, XPeng was down 2.54% to $36.01 and Li Auto was down 1.23% to $24.94.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357159266,"gmtCreate":1617249299855,"gmtModify":1634521807131,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please comment and like, thanks.","listText":"Please comment and like, thanks.","text":"Please comment and like, thanks.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357159266","repostId":"1138291357","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138291357","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617248516,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138291357?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-01 11:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Biden Infrastructure Plan Could Be Boon For These EV Stocks<blockquote>拜登基础设施计划可能有利于这些电动汽车股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138291357","media":"yahoo","summary":"The plan, which the president will unveil today in Pittsburgh, also includes an initiative on renewable energy and the electric grid as part of a broad goal to supercharge the economy and fight climate change.In particular, it earmarks $174 billion for electric-vehicle efforts, such as EV rebates, charging ports and electric school buses.Biden's plan will \"enable automakers to spur domestic supply chains from raw materials to parts, retool factories to compete globally and support American worke","content":"<p>President Joe Biden's $2.5 trillion infrastructure plan calls for massive investments in electric vehicles and related technologies, a potential boon for EV stocks like<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) as well as charging station operators<b>ChargePoint</b>(CHPT) and<b>Blink Charging</b>(BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统提出了 2.5 万亿美元的评级基础设施计划，对电动汽车和相关技术进行大规模投资，这对电动汽车等股票来说是一个潜在的利好。<b>特斯拉</b>（TSLA）以及充电站运营商<b>充电点</b>（CHPT）和<b>闪烁充电</b>（白色）。</blockquote></p><p>The plan, which the president will unveil today in Pittsburgh, also includes an initiative on renewable energy and the electric grid as part of a broad goal to supercharge the economy and fight climate change.</p><p><blockquote>总统今天将在匹兹堡公布该计划，该计划还包括一项关于可再生能源和电网的倡议，作为促进经济增长和应对气候变化的广泛目标的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>In particular, it earmarks $174 billion for electric-vehicle efforts, such as EV rebates, charging ports and electric school buses.</p><p><blockquote>特别是，它拨款 1,740 亿美元用于电动汽车发展，例如电动汽车回扣、充电端口和电动校车。</blockquote></p><p>Biden's plan will \"enable automakers to spur domestic supply chains from raw materials to parts, retool factories to compete globally and support American workers to make batteries and EVs,\" according to afact sheeton WhiteHouse.gov.</p><p><blockquote>据 afact sheeton WhiteHouse.gov 称，拜登的计划将“使汽车制造商能够刺激从原材料到零部件的国内供应链，重组工厂以进行全球竞争，并支持美国工人制造电池和电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p>EV Stocks: Tax Credit Benefits</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股票：税收抵免优惠</blockquote></p><p>Biden is asking Congress to keep tax incentives that encourage motorists and add point-of-sale rebates to buy EVs. Currently, consumers can claim tax credits of as much as $7,500 when they buy an electric car.</p><p><blockquote>拜登要求国会保留鼓励驾车者的税收优惠，并增加购买电动汽车的销售点回扣。目前，消费者在购买电动汽车时可以申请高达 7,500 美元的税收抵免。</blockquote></p><p>But Tesla and<b>General Motors</b>(GM) have already passed the 200,000 limit at which point carmakers no longer qualify for the rebates.</p><p><blockquote>但是特斯拉和<b>通用汽车</b>（通用汽车）已经超过了 20 万辆的限额，届时汽车制造商将不再有资格获得回扣。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives says he expects the ceiling will be lifted. He adds that an expansion of the tax credits to the $10,000 range or potentially higher in a tiered system is possible.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯表示，他预计上限将会提高。他补充说，在分级制度中，税收抵免可能会扩大到10,000美元的范围或更高。</blockquote></p><p>EV Initiatives: Infrastructure</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车计划：基础设施</blockquote></p><p>There are about 41,400 EV charging stations in the U.S., according to the Department of Energy, though one station can have multiple ports that can serve several cars at a time. That compares with more than 136,400 gas stations, according to GasBuddy.</p><p><blockquote>根据能源部的数据，美国大约有 41,400 个电动汽车充电站，但一个充电站可以有多个端口，可以同时为多辆汽车提供服务。根据 GasBuddy 的数据，相比之下，有超过 136,400 个加油站。</blockquote></p><p>Biden's plan will establish grant and incentive programs for state and local governments and the private sector to build a national network of 500,000 EV chargers by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的计划将为州和地方政府以及私营部门建立拨款和激励计划，到 2030 年建立一个由 50 万个电动汽车充电器组成的全国网络。</blockquote></p><p>Ives calls this part of the plan a linchpin of these EV initiatives. \"Today there are roughly 100,000 public charging ports with another 300,000/400,000 needed over the next decade to support this groundswell EV green tidal wave for consumers/trucking.\"</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯·评级计划的这一部分是这些电动汽车计划的关键。“如今，大约有 100,000 个公共充电端口，未来十年还需要 300,000/400,000 个，以支持消费者/卡车运输的这股掀起的电动汽车绿色浪潮。”</blockquote></p><p>Biden's plan also calls for the replacement of 50,000 diesel transit vehicles and electrification of at least 20% of school buses. It looks to also electrify the federal fleet, including the United States Postal Service.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的计划还为更换5万辆柴油公交车和至少20%的校车电气化开了评级。它还希望为包括美国邮政局在内的联邦舰队实现电气化。</blockquote></p><p>EV Stocks</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股票</blockquote></p><p>Tesla jumped 5.1% to 667.93 on thestock market today. TSLA stock has lost more than a quarter of its value since skyrocketing to an all-time high of 900.40 intraday on Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>今天，特斯拉股市上涨 5.1%，至 667.93 点。自 1 月 25 日盘中飙升至 900.40 的历史高点以来，特斯拉股价已下跌超过四分之一。</blockquote></p><p>The company is also expected to report Q4 deliveries later this week. Wall Street expects deliveries of 174,000 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计还将于本周晚些时候公布第四季度交付情况。华尔街预计交付 174,000 辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, ChargePoint surged 19%. Blink Charging stock soared 11. And<b>Climate Change Crisis Rea</b>l (CLII), a blank check company that is taking EVgo public, rose 3%.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，ChargePoint 飙升 19%。Blink Charging 股价飙升 11。和<b>气候变化危机</b>将 EVgo 上市的空白支票公司 l (CLII) 股价上涨 3%。</blockquote></p><p>But legacy auto giants making a big push in EVs were down.GM stockslipped 1.8%,<b>Ford</b>(F) fell 1.7%, and German automaker<b>Volkswagen</b>(VWAGY) sank 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>但在电动汽车领域大力推进的传统汽车巨头股价下跌。通用汽车股价下跌 1.8%，<b>福特</b>(F) 下跌 1.7%，德国汽车制造商<b>大众汽车</b>（或）下降3.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Even newly public EV stocks were relatively muted.<b>Canoo</b>(GOEV) fell 2.9%,<b>Lordstown</b>(RIDE) rose 1.6%, and<b>Fisker</b>(FSR) advanced 3%.</p><p><blockquote>即使是新上市的电动汽车股票也相对平静。<b>独木舟</b>(GOEV)下跌2.9%，<b>洛兹敦</b>（RIDE）上涨1.6%，<b>渔夫</b>（FSR）上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Biden Infrastructure Plan Could Be Boon For These EV Stocks<blockquote>拜登基础设施计划可能有利于这些电动汽车股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBiden Infrastructure Plan Could Be Boon For These EV Stocks<blockquote>拜登基础设施计划可能有利于这些电动汽车股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-01 11:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>President Joe Biden's $2.5 trillion infrastructure plan calls for massive investments in electric vehicles and related technologies, a potential boon for EV stocks like<b>Tesla</b>(TSLA) as well as charging station operators<b>ChargePoint</b>(CHPT) and<b>Blink Charging</b>(BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统提出了 2.5 万亿美元的评级基础设施计划，对电动汽车和相关技术进行大规模投资，这对电动汽车等股票来说是一个潜在的利好。<b>特斯拉</b>（TSLA）以及充电站运营商<b>充电点</b>（CHPT）和<b>闪烁充电</b>（白色）。</blockquote></p><p>The plan, which the president will unveil today in Pittsburgh, also includes an initiative on renewable energy and the electric grid as part of a broad goal to supercharge the economy and fight climate change.</p><p><blockquote>总统今天将在匹兹堡公布该计划，该计划还包括一项关于可再生能源和电网的倡议，作为促进经济增长和应对气候变化的广泛目标的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>In particular, it earmarks $174 billion for electric-vehicle efforts, such as EV rebates, charging ports and electric school buses.</p><p><blockquote>特别是，它拨款 1,740 亿美元用于电动汽车发展，例如电动汽车回扣、充电端口和电动校车。</blockquote></p><p>Biden's plan will \"enable automakers to spur domestic supply chains from raw materials to parts, retool factories to compete globally and support American workers to make batteries and EVs,\" according to afact sheeton WhiteHouse.gov.</p><p><blockquote>据 afact sheeton WhiteHouse.gov 称，拜登的计划将“使汽车制造商能够刺激从原材料到零部件的国内供应链，重组工厂以进行全球竞争，并支持美国工人制造电池和电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p>EV Stocks: Tax Credit Benefits</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股票：税收抵免优惠</blockquote></p><p>Biden is asking Congress to keep tax incentives that encourage motorists and add point-of-sale rebates to buy EVs. Currently, consumers can claim tax credits of as much as $7,500 when they buy an electric car.</p><p><blockquote>拜登要求国会保留鼓励驾车者的税收优惠，并增加购买电动汽车的销售点回扣。目前，消费者在购买电动汽车时可以申请高达 7,500 美元的税收抵免。</blockquote></p><p>But Tesla and<b>General Motors</b>(GM) have already passed the 200,000 limit at which point carmakers no longer qualify for the rebates.</p><p><blockquote>但是特斯拉和<b>通用汽车</b>（通用汽车）已经超过了 20 万辆的限额，届时汽车制造商将不再有资格获得回扣。</blockquote></p><p>Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives says he expects the ceiling will be lifted. He adds that an expansion of the tax credits to the $10,000 range or potentially higher in a tiered system is possible.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯表示，他预计上限将会提高。他补充说，在分级制度中，税收抵免可能会扩大到10,000美元的范围或更高。</blockquote></p><p>EV Initiatives: Infrastructure</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车计划：基础设施</blockquote></p><p>There are about 41,400 EV charging stations in the U.S., according to the Department of Energy, though one station can have multiple ports that can serve several cars at a time. That compares with more than 136,400 gas stations, according to GasBuddy.</p><p><blockquote>根据能源部的数据，美国大约有 41,400 个电动汽车充电站，但一个充电站可以有多个端口，可以同时为多辆汽车提供服务。根据 GasBuddy 的数据，相比之下，有超过 136,400 个加油站。</blockquote></p><p>Biden's plan will establish grant and incentive programs for state and local governments and the private sector to build a national network of 500,000 EV chargers by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的计划将为州和地方政府以及私营部门建立拨款和激励计划，到 2030 年建立一个由 50 万个电动汽车充电器组成的全国网络。</blockquote></p><p>Ives calls this part of the plan a linchpin of these EV initiatives. \"Today there are roughly 100,000 public charging ports with another 300,000/400,000 needed over the next decade to support this groundswell EV green tidal wave for consumers/trucking.\"</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯·评级计划的这一部分是这些电动汽车计划的关键。“如今，大约有 100,000 个公共充电端口，未来十年还需要 300,000/400,000 个，以支持消费者/卡车运输的这股掀起的电动汽车绿色浪潮。”</blockquote></p><p>Biden's plan also calls for the replacement of 50,000 diesel transit vehicles and electrification of at least 20% of school buses. It looks to also electrify the federal fleet, including the United States Postal Service.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的计划还为更换5万辆柴油公交车和至少20%的校车电气化开了评级。它还希望为包括美国邮政局在内的联邦舰队实现电气化。</blockquote></p><p>EV Stocks</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股票</blockquote></p><p>Tesla jumped 5.1% to 667.93 on thestock market today. TSLA stock has lost more than a quarter of its value since skyrocketing to an all-time high of 900.40 intraday on Jan. 25.</p><p><blockquote>今天，特斯拉股市上涨 5.1%，至 667.93 点。自 1 月 25 日盘中飙升至 900.40 的历史高点以来，特斯拉股价已下跌超过四分之一。</blockquote></p><p>The company is also expected to report Q4 deliveries later this week. Wall Street expects deliveries of 174,000 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计还将于本周晚些时候公布第四季度交付情况。华尔街预计交付 174,000 辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, ChargePoint surged 19%. Blink Charging stock soared 11. And<b>Climate Change Crisis Rea</b>l (CLII), a blank check company that is taking EVgo public, rose 3%.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，ChargePoint 飙升 19%。Blink Charging 股价飙升 11。和<b>气候变化危机</b>将 EVgo 上市的空白支票公司 l (CLII) 股价上涨 3%。</blockquote></p><p>But legacy auto giants making a big push in EVs were down.GM stockslipped 1.8%,<b>Ford</b>(F) fell 1.7%, and German automaker<b>Volkswagen</b>(VWAGY) sank 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>但在电动汽车领域大力推进的传统汽车巨头股价下跌。通用汽车股价下跌 1.8%，<b>福特</b>(F) 下跌 1.7%，德国汽车制造商<b>大众汽车</b>（或）下降3.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Even newly public EV stocks were relatively muted.<b>Canoo</b>(GOEV) fell 2.9%,<b>Lordstown</b>(RIDE) rose 1.6%, and<b>Fisker</b>(FSR) advanced 3%.</p><p><blockquote>即使是新上市的电动汽车股票也相对平静。<b>独木舟</b>(GOEV)下跌2.9%，<b>洛兹敦</b>（RIDE）上涨1.6%，<b>渔夫</b>（FSR）上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/news/ev-stocks-winner-biden-infrastructure-plan-174-billion-investment/?src=A00220\">yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","BLNK":"Blink Charging","CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc.","VWAGY":"大众汽车ADR","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/ev-stocks-winner-biden-infrastructure-plan-174-billion-investment/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138291357","content_text":"President Joe Biden's $2.5 trillion infrastructure plan calls for massive investments in electric vehicles and related technologies, a potential boon for EV stocks likeTesla(TSLA) as well as charging station operatorsChargePoint(CHPT) andBlink Charging(BLNK).The plan, which the president will unveil today in Pittsburgh, also includes an initiative on renewable energy and the electric grid as part of a broad goal to supercharge the economy and fight climate change.In particular, it earmarks $174 billion for electric-vehicle efforts, such as EV rebates, charging ports and electric school buses.Biden's plan will \"enable automakers to spur domestic supply chains from raw materials to parts, retool factories to compete globally and support American workers to make batteries and EVs,\" according to afact sheeton WhiteHouse.gov.EV Stocks: Tax Credit BenefitsBiden is asking Congress to keep tax incentives that encourage motorists and add point-of-sale rebates to buy EVs. Currently, consumers can claim tax credits of as much as $7,500 when they buy an electric car.But Tesla andGeneral Motors(GM) have already passed the 200,000 limit at which point carmakers no longer qualify for the rebates.Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives says he expects the ceiling will be lifted. He adds that an expansion of the tax credits to the $10,000 range or potentially higher in a tiered system is possible.EV Initiatives: InfrastructureThere are about 41,400 EV charging stations in the U.S., according to the Department of Energy, though one station can have multiple ports that can serve several cars at a time. That compares with more than 136,400 gas stations, according to GasBuddy.Biden's plan will establish grant and incentive programs for state and local governments and the private sector to build a national network of 500,000 EV chargers by 2030.Ives calls this part of the plan a linchpin of these EV initiatives. \"Today there are roughly 100,000 public charging ports with another 300,000/400,000 needed over the next decade to support this groundswell EV green tidal wave for consumers/trucking.\"Biden's plan also calls for the replacement of 50,000 diesel transit vehicles and electrification of at least 20% of school buses. It looks to also electrify the federal fleet, including the United States Postal Service.EV StocksTesla jumped 5.1% to 667.93 on thestock market today. TSLA stock has lost more than a quarter of its value since skyrocketing to an all-time high of 900.40 intraday on Jan. 25.The company is also expected to report Q4 deliveries later this week. Wall Street expects deliveries of 174,000 vehicles.Meanwhile, ChargePoint surged 19%. Blink Charging stock soared 11. AndClimate Change Crisis Real (CLII), a blank check company that is taking EVgo public, rose 3%.But legacy auto giants making a big push in EVs were down.GM stockslipped 1.8%,Ford(F) fell 1.7%, and German automakerVolkswagen(VWAGY) sank 3.8%.Even newly public EV stocks were relatively muted.Canoo(GOEV) fell 2.9%,Lordstown(RIDE) rose 1.6%, andFisker(FSR) advanced 3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"VWAGY":0.9,"CHPT":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"BLNK":0.9,"RIDE":0.9,"CLII":0.9,"GOEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356457897,"gmtCreate":1616809893019,"gmtModify":1634523889962,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please comment and like.","listText":"Please comment and like.","text":"Please comment and like.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356457897","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137028779,"gmtCreate":1622271769891,"gmtModify":1634102579307,"author":{"id":"3577542115836824","authorId":"3577542115836824","name":"CHUNGWAIQIAN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a31f56452fb34c4653d7867c48355ad8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577542115836824","idStr":"3577542115836824"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","listText":"Comment and like&nbsp;","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137028779","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}