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SK19
2021-12-21
The institution players’ playground…
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SK19
2021-12-21
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-19
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-18
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-18
Buy the dip 💪💪💪
Why AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>为什么 AMD、高通和 Skyworks 股票暴跌</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-16
💪💪💪
Nio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022 年蔚来日:12 月 18 日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的 13 件事</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-16
💪💪💪
Why Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价最终暴涨</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-14
Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅
Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-14
💪💪💪
Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克的电动汽车公司的下一步是什么?</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-12
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-10
It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…
The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-09
💪💪💪
'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对 2022 年美国股市的看法</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-08
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-07
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-07
💪💪💪
U.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>随着奥密克戎担忧缓解,美国股指期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-07
💪💪💪
4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4 只最安全的股息股票,可帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote>
SK19
2021-12-06
The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖
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SK19
2021-12-04
💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-04
Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪
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SK19
2021-12-02
💪💪💪
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institution players’ playground…","listText":"The institution players’ playground…","text":"The institution players’ playground…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691016403","repostId":"2192181330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691036555,"gmtCreate":1640096651038,"gmtModify":1640096651215,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691036555","repostId":"2192215184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693080159,"gmtCreate":1639927780373,"gmtModify":1639927780585,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693080159","repostId":"2192903795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699565927,"gmtCreate":1639842269534,"gmtModify":1639842269713,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699565927","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699569355,"gmtCreate":1639841391551,"gmtModify":1639841391726,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy the dip 💪💪💪","listText":"Buy the dip 💪💪💪","text":"Buy the dip 💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699569355","repostId":"1156042491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156042491","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639708576,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1156042491?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>为什么 AMD、高通和 Skyworks 股票暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156042491","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nIt's Thursday, and semiconductor stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of Adva","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> It's Thursday, and semiconductor stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD)have already lost 5.37%, <b>Qualcomm</b>(NASDAQ:QCOM)is down 5.88%, and <b>Skyworks Solutions</b>(NASDAQ:SWKS)is taking it particularly hard on the chin -- down 8.47%.</p><p><blockquote>今天是周四,半导体股陷入恐慌。截至下午 4 点美国东部时间,股份<b>先进微器件</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AMD)已下跌 5.37%,<b>高通</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:QCOM)下跌5.88%,<b>Skyworks解决方案</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:SWKS)的下巴尤其艰难——下跌 8.47%。</blockquote></p><p> I blame <b>Apple</b> for all of the above.</p><p><blockquote>我怪<b>苹果</b>对于以上所有。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors in chips stocks today have only a choice between bad short-term news and potentially worse long-term news, I fear. In the short term, the bad news is this:</p><p><blockquote>恐怕,如今芯片股票的投资者只能在坏消息和潜在的更糟糕的长期消息之间做出选择。短期来看,坏消息是:</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 smartphones are in short supply this holiday season, according to a report from an analyst at <b>KeyBanc Capital Markets</b>, relayed byThe Fly. Indeed, demand for the devices has outstripped supply since Thanksgiving. And despite reports that things had been getting better earlier this month as the delta COVID-19 pandemic switched over into an omicron COVID-19 pandemic, KeyBanc analyst John Vinh now observes that \"the majority of stores\" he has surveyed report not having <i>any</i> iPhone 13 Pro or Max phones in stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据分析师的一份报告,iPhone 13 智能手机在这个假期供应短缺<b>KeyBanc资本市场</b>由苍蝇转播。事实上,自感恩节以来,对这些设备的需求已经超过了供应。尽管有报道称,随着德尔塔 COVID-19 大流行转变为奥密克戎 COVID-19 大流行,情况有所好转,但 KeyBanc 分析师 John Vinh 现在观察到,他调查过的“大多数商店”都没有<i>任何</i>iPhone 13 Pro或Max手机有现货。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, he concludes that this news is ultimately only neutral for companies including AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks that supply chips for Apple devices -- but neutral isn't good. While suppliers can presumably charge Apple premium prices in a time of constrained chip supply, fewer iPhone sales still logically implies fewer chips being sold to build those Apple products.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,他得出结论,这一消息最终只对 AMD、高通和 Skyworks 等为苹果设备供应芯片的公司保持中立,但中立并不好。虽然在芯片供应受限的情况下,供应商大概可以向苹果收取溢价,但从逻辑上讲,iPhone销量的减少仍然意味着用于制造这些苹果产品的芯片会减少。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, you have to figure that, at some point, Apple is going to get upset at its inability to obtain all the chips it wants. This, combined with the company's already-confirmed belief that it can design better chips itself than it can buy from third-party chipmakers, creates a longer-term risk of semiconductor companies losing Apple (and eventually, companies other than Apple) as dependable customers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,你必须明白,在某个时候,苹果会因为无法获得它想要的所有筹码而感到沮丧。这一点,再加上该公司已经确认的信念,即它可以自己设计比从第三方芯片制造商那里购买更好的芯片,造成了半导体公司失去苹果(最终失去苹果以外的公司)作为可靠客户的长期风险。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, we note that Bloomberg is reporting today that Apple has begun hiring engineers skilled in building wireless communication chips, with the aim of \"eventually\" replacing suppliers <b>Broadcom</b> and Skyworks with wireless chips Apple designs in-house.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面,我们注意到彭博社今天报道说,苹果已经开始雇用擅长制造无线通信芯片的工程师,目的是“最终”取代供应商<b>博通</b>以及苹果内部设计的无线芯片Skyworks。</blockquote></p><p> Now, you might not think that bad news for Skyworks would necessarily affect companies like AMD and Qualcomm -- and today, Skyworks<i>is</i>in fact faring worse than the others. One reason: A decision by Apple to design its own wireless chips appears to be part of the same story that saw Apple oust <b>Intel</b> as its favored chip supplier last year.</p><p><blockquote>现在,您可能不会认为 Skyworks 的坏消息必然会影响 AMD 和高通等公司——而今天,Skyworks<i>是</i>事实上比其他人过得更糟。一个原因是:苹果决定设计自己的无线芯片似乎是导致苹果下台的同一个故事的一部分<b>英特尔</b>作为去年最受欢迎的芯片供应商。</blockquote></p><p> More and more frequently, it appears that Apple -- and eventually other companies -- may be deciding that it's better to design their chips in-house than buy off the shelf. Long term, that's a threat to all dedicated semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>越来越多的情况是,苹果——最终是其他公司——可能会决定,最好在内部设计芯片,而不是从货架上购买。从长远来看,这对所有专业半导体公司都是一个威胁。</blockquote></p><p> And it's why pretty much everyone associated with the chip industry is going down.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么几乎所有与芯片行业相关的人都在倒闭。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>为什么 AMD、高通和 Skyworks 股票暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>为什么 AMD、高通和 Skyworks 股票暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> It's Thursday, and semiconductor stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD)have already lost 5.37%, <b>Qualcomm</b>(NASDAQ:QCOM)is down 5.88%, and <b>Skyworks Solutions</b>(NASDAQ:SWKS)is taking it particularly hard on the chin -- down 8.47%.</p><p><blockquote>今天是周四,半导体股陷入恐慌。截至下午 4 点美国东部时间,股份<b>先进微器件</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AMD)已下跌 5.37%,<b>高通</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:QCOM)下跌5.88%,<b>Skyworks解决方案</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:SWKS)的下巴尤其艰难——下跌 8.47%。</blockquote></p><p> I blame <b>Apple</b> for all of the above.</p><p><blockquote>我怪<b>苹果</b>对于以上所有。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors in chips stocks today have only a choice between bad short-term news and potentially worse long-term news, I fear. In the short term, the bad news is this:</p><p><blockquote>恐怕,如今芯片股票的投资者只能在坏消息和潜在的更糟糕的长期消息之间做出选择。短期来看,坏消息是:</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 smartphones are in short supply this holiday season, according to a report from an analyst at <b>KeyBanc Capital Markets</b>, relayed byThe Fly. Indeed, demand for the devices has outstripped supply since Thanksgiving. And despite reports that things had been getting better earlier this month as the delta COVID-19 pandemic switched over into an omicron COVID-19 pandemic, KeyBanc analyst John Vinh now observes that \"the majority of stores\" he has surveyed report not having <i>any</i> iPhone 13 Pro or Max phones in stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据分析师的一份报告,iPhone 13 智能手机在这个假期供应短缺<b>KeyBanc资本市场</b>由苍蝇转播。事实上,自感恩节以来,对这些设备的需求已经超过了供应。尽管有报道称,随着德尔塔 COVID-19 大流行转变为奥密克戎 COVID-19 大流行,情况有所好转,但 KeyBanc 分析师 John Vinh 现在观察到,他调查过的“大多数商店”都没有<i>任何</i>iPhone 13 Pro或Max手机有现货。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, he concludes that this news is ultimately only neutral for companies including AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks that supply chips for Apple devices -- but neutral isn't good. While suppliers can presumably charge Apple premium prices in a time of constrained chip supply, fewer iPhone sales still logically implies fewer chips being sold to build those Apple products.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,他得出结论,这一消息最终只对 AMD、高通和 Skyworks 等为苹果设备供应芯片的公司保持中立,但中立并不好。虽然在芯片供应受限的情况下,供应商大概可以向苹果收取溢价,但从逻辑上讲,iPhone销量的减少仍然意味着用于制造这些苹果产品的芯片会减少。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, you have to figure that, at some point, Apple is going to get upset at its inability to obtain all the chips it wants. This, combined with the company's already-confirmed belief that it can design better chips itself than it can buy from third-party chipmakers, creates a longer-term risk of semiconductor companies losing Apple (and eventually, companies other than Apple) as dependable customers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,你必须明白,在某个时候,苹果会因为无法获得它想要的所有筹码而感到沮丧。这一点,再加上该公司已经确认的信念,即它可以自己设计比从第三方芯片制造商那里购买更好的芯片,造成了半导体公司失去苹果(最终失去苹果以外的公司)作为可靠客户的长期风险。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, we note that Bloomberg is reporting today that Apple has begun hiring engineers skilled in building wireless communication chips, with the aim of \"eventually\" replacing suppliers <b>Broadcom</b> and Skyworks with wireless chips Apple designs in-house.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面,我们注意到彭博社今天报道说,苹果已经开始雇用擅长制造无线通信芯片的工程师,目的是“最终”取代供应商<b>博通</b>以及苹果内部设计的无线芯片Skyworks。</blockquote></p><p> Now, you might not think that bad news for Skyworks would necessarily affect companies like AMD and Qualcomm -- and today, Skyworks<i>is</i>in fact faring worse than the others. One reason: A decision by Apple to design its own wireless chips appears to be part of the same story that saw Apple oust <b>Intel</b> as its favored chip supplier last year.</p><p><blockquote>现在,您可能不会认为 Skyworks 的坏消息必然会影响 AMD 和高通等公司——而今天,Skyworks<i>是</i>事实上比其他人过得更糟。一个原因是:苹果决定设计自己的无线芯片似乎是导致苹果下台的同一个故事的一部分<b>英特尔</b>作为去年最受欢迎的芯片供应商。</blockquote></p><p> More and more frequently, it appears that Apple -- and eventually other companies -- may be deciding that it's better to design their chips in-house than buy off the shelf. Long term, that's a threat to all dedicated semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>越来越多的情况是,苹果——最终是其他公司——可能会决定,最好在内部设计芯片,而不是从货架上购买。从长远来看,这对所有专业半导体公司都是一个威胁。</blockquote></p><p> And it's why pretty much everyone associated with the chip industry is going down.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么几乎所有与芯片行业相关的人都在倒闭。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/why-amd-qualcomm-and-skyworks-stocks-just-crashed/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SWKS":"思佳讯","QCOM":"高通","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/why-amd-qualcomm-and-skyworks-stocks-just-crashed/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156042491","content_text":"What happened\nIt's Thursday, and semiconductor stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD)have already lost 5.37%, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)is down 5.88%, and Skyworks Solutions(NASDAQ:SWKS)is taking it particularly hard on the chin -- down 8.47%.\nI blame Apple for all of the above.\nSo what\nInvestors in chips stocks today have only a choice between bad short-term news and potentially worse long-term news, I fear. In the short term, the bad news is this:\niPhone 13 smartphones are in short supply this holiday season, according to a report from an analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets, relayed byThe Fly. Indeed, demand for the devices has outstripped supply since Thanksgiving. And despite reports that things had been getting better earlier this month as the delta COVID-19 pandemic switched over into an omicron COVID-19 pandemic, KeyBanc analyst John Vinh now observes that \"the majority of stores\" he has surveyed report not having any iPhone 13 Pro or Max phones in stock.\nGranted, he concludes that this news is ultimately only neutral for companies including AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks that supply chips for Apple devices -- but neutral isn't good. While suppliers can presumably charge Apple premium prices in a time of constrained chip supply, fewer iPhone sales still logically implies fewer chips being sold to build those Apple products.\nNow what\nAt the same time, you have to figure that, at some point, Apple is going to get upset at its inability to obtain all the chips it wants. This, combined with the company's already-confirmed belief that it can design better chips itself than it can buy from third-party chipmakers, creates a longer-term risk of semiconductor companies losing Apple (and eventually, companies other than Apple) as dependable customers.\nIn that regard, we note that Bloomberg is reporting today that Apple has begun hiring engineers skilled in building wireless communication chips, with the aim of \"eventually\" replacing suppliers Broadcom and Skyworks with wireless chips Apple designs in-house.\nNow, you might not think that bad news for Skyworks would necessarily affect companies like AMD and Qualcomm -- and today, Skyworksisin fact faring worse than the others. One reason: A decision by Apple to design its own wireless chips appears to be part of the same story that saw Apple oust Intel as its favored chip supplier last year.\nMore and more frequently, it appears that Apple -- and eventually other companies -- may be deciding that it's better to design their chips in-house than buy off the shelf. Long term, that's a threat to all dedicated semiconductor companies.\nAnd it's why pretty much everyone associated with the chip industry is going down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QCOM":0.9,"SWKS":0.9,"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690970773,"gmtCreate":1639626662025,"gmtModify":1639626665550,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690970773","repostId":"1117904160","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117904160","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639620135,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1117904160?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022 年蔚来日:12 月 18 日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的 13 件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117904160","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about.\nLet’s ","content":"<p><div> Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about. Let’s dive into all the latest news that traders of NIO stock need to know about today. First off, it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>蔚来(NYSE:NIO)日即将到来,投资者有很多值得兴奋的事情。让我们深入了解蔚来股票交易者今天需要了解的所有最新消息。首先,它……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022 年蔚来日:12 月 18 日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的 13 件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022 年蔚来日:12 月 18 日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的 13 件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 10:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about. Let’s dive into all the latest news that traders of NIO stock need to know about today. First off, it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>蔚来(NYSE:NIO)日即将到来,投资者有很多值得兴奋的事情。让我们深入了解蔚来股票交易者今天需要了解的所有最新消息。首先,它……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117904160","content_text":"Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about.\nLet’s dive into all the latest news that traders of NIO stock need to know about today.\n\nFirst off, it looks like Nio Day will see the company revealing several new electric vehicles (EVs).\nThat includes a possible two new vehicle models, as well as a new vehicle brand.\nCurrent rumors claim one of the new vehicles in the ET5.\nThis is a mid-size sedan that will likely compete with other EVs on the market at a lower price than the ET7.\nTalk about the ET5 continues to heat up today after the EV company shared an image on its website.\nThis shows the outline of a still-unnamed vehicle from the company and many believe it to be the ET5.\nThere’s also talk of a potential ET(, which would be a sports coupe.\n\n\nOther rumors claim we might see the company reveal a multipurpose EV as well during the event.\nOf course, investors will have to wait until Nio Day before they can truly know what the next EVs from the company are.\nLuckily, that’s not too far away.\nNio will hold its special event on December 18, which is this Saturday.\nThe reveal event will take place at the Olympic Sports Center in Suzhou, China.\nNow we just have to wait for Nio Day to get here and confirm or bust all these rumors!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690970269,"gmtCreate":1639626604830,"gmtModify":1639626605035,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690970269","repostId":"1139829157","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139829157","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639621783,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139829157?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 10:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价最终暴涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139829157","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nFor five long days, it looked like Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock could do no right-- the sh","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> For five long days, it looked like <b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock could do no right-- the share price just kept dropping as investors sought out cheaper ways to play the global semiconductor shortage.</p><p><blockquote>在漫长的五天里,它看起来像<b>英伟达</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:NVDA)股票可能表现不佳——随着投资者寻找更便宜的方式来应对全球半导体短缺,股价持续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That ended Wednesday morning when traders latched on to some positive commentary from an analyst at KeyBanc. As of 4 p.m. ET, Nvidia stock was up 7.49%.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午,交易员们从 KeyBanc 的一位分析师那里得到了一些积极的评论。截至下午 4 点美国东部时间,英伟达股价上涨 7.49%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> What did KeyBanc analyst John Vinn say to stop the slide? Not a lot, actually -- but apparently, enough.</p><p><blockquote>KeyBanc 分析师 John Vinn 说了什么来阻止下滑?实际上不多,但显然足够了。</blockquote></p><p> As StreetInsider.com reports, the bank's \"November cloud instance tracker\" is showing strong demand for cloud computing services (and Nvidia's semiconductors help with those). Specifically, \"instances\" of cloud computing services being used grew by 29% year over year in November, and by 6% in comparison to October. The news was best for <b>Microsoft</b>'s(NASDAQ:MSFT)Azure business, and <b>Amazon</b>'s(NASDAQ:AMZN)AWS, both of which grew faster than average year over year.</p><p><blockquote>据 StreetInsider.com 报道,该银行的“11 月云实例跟踪器”显示了对云计算服务的强劲需求(英伟达的半导体有助于满足这些需求)。具体来说,11月份使用的云计算服务“实例”同比增长29%,与10月份相比增长6%。这个消息对<b>微软</b>s(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)Azure 业务,以及<b>亚马逊</b>s(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)AWS,这两家公司的同比增长速度都快于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the chipmakers, KeyBanc was most optimistic about <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD), whose chips largely power Microsoft's Azure, and less so about <b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:INTC), noting that Intel's processor deployments grew 4% month over month and 22% year over year across all major cloud services providers -- below the averages.</p><p><blockquote>从芯片制造商来看,KeyBanc最看好<b>先进微器件</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AMD),其芯片在很大程度上为微软的 Azure 提供动力,而关于<b>英特尔</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC),指出英特尔所有主要云服务提供商的处理器部署量环比增长 4%,同比增长 22%,低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> And Nvidia? That's the strange thing. According to KeyBanc, the semiconductor company's \"instances\" number grew only 25% year over year -- good, but still below average. And Nvidia's growth was only 1% sequentially from October.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达呢?这就是奇怪的地方。根据 KeyBanc 的数据,这家半导体公司的“实例”数量同比仅增长了 25%,这很好,但仍低于平均水平。而英伟达与10月份相比仅环比增长1%。</blockquote></p><p> In the final analysis, KeyBanc declared these results positive for AMD, \"moderately negative\" for Intel, and only neutral for Nvidia. That wasn't great news, but it seems to have been at least enough to stop the sell-off of Nvidia's shares.</p><p><blockquote>在最终分析中,KeyBanc宣布这些结果对AMD有利,对英特尔有利,对英伟达有利,对英伟达只有中性。这不是什么好消息,但似乎至少足以阻止英伟达股票的抛售。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价最终暴涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价最终暴涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 10:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> For five long days, it looked like <b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock could do no right-- the share price just kept dropping as investors sought out cheaper ways to play the global semiconductor shortage.</p><p><blockquote>在漫长的五天里,它看起来像<b>英伟达</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:NVDA)股票可能表现不佳——随着投资者寻找更便宜的方式来应对全球半导体短缺,股价持续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That ended Wednesday morning when traders latched on to some positive commentary from an analyst at KeyBanc. As of 4 p.m. ET, Nvidia stock was up 7.49%.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午,交易员们从 KeyBanc 的一位分析师那里得到了一些积极的评论。截至下午 4 点美国东部时间,英伟达股价上涨 7.49%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> What did KeyBanc analyst John Vinn say to stop the slide? Not a lot, actually -- but apparently, enough.</p><p><blockquote>KeyBanc 分析师 John Vinn 说了什么来阻止下滑?实际上不多,但显然足够了。</blockquote></p><p> As StreetInsider.com reports, the bank's \"November cloud instance tracker\" is showing strong demand for cloud computing services (and Nvidia's semiconductors help with those). Specifically, \"instances\" of cloud computing services being used grew by 29% year over year in November, and by 6% in comparison to October. The news was best for <b>Microsoft</b>'s(NASDAQ:MSFT)Azure business, and <b>Amazon</b>'s(NASDAQ:AMZN)AWS, both of which grew faster than average year over year.</p><p><blockquote>据 StreetInsider.com 报道,该银行的“11 月云实例跟踪器”显示了对云计算服务的强劲需求(英伟达的半导体有助于满足这些需求)。具体来说,11月份使用的云计算服务“实例”同比增长29%,与10月份相比增长6%。这个消息对<b>微软</b>s(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)Azure 业务,以及<b>亚马逊</b>s(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)AWS,这两家公司的同比增长速度都快于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the chipmakers, KeyBanc was most optimistic about <b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD), whose chips largely power Microsoft's Azure, and less so about <b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:INTC), noting that Intel's processor deployments grew 4% month over month and 22% year over year across all major cloud services providers -- below the averages.</p><p><blockquote>从芯片制造商来看,KeyBanc最看好<b>先进微器件</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AMD),其芯片在很大程度上为微软的 Azure 提供动力,而关于<b>英特尔</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:INTC),指出英特尔所有主要云服务提供商的处理器部署量环比增长 4%,同比增长 22%,低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> And Nvidia? That's the strange thing. According to KeyBanc, the semiconductor company's \"instances\" number grew only 25% year over year -- good, but still below average. And Nvidia's growth was only 1% sequentially from October.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达呢?这就是奇怪的地方。根据 KeyBanc 的数据,这家半导体公司的“实例”数量同比仅增长了 25%,这很好,但仍低于平均水平。而英伟达与10月份相比仅环比增长1%。</blockquote></p><p> In the final analysis, KeyBanc declared these results positive for AMD, \"moderately negative\" for Intel, and only neutral for Nvidia. That wasn't great news, but it seems to have been at least enough to stop the sell-off of Nvidia's shares.</p><p><blockquote>在最终分析中,KeyBanc宣布这些结果对AMD有利,对英特尔有利,对英伟达有利,对英伟达只有中性。这不是什么好消息,但似乎至少足以阻止英伟达股票的抛售。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/15/why-nvidia-stock-finally-popped-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/15/why-nvidia-stock-finally-popped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139829157","content_text":"What happened\nFor five long days, it looked like Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock could do no right-- the share price just kept dropping as investors sought out cheaper ways to play the global semiconductor shortage.\nThat ended Wednesday morning when traders latched on to some positive commentary from an analyst at KeyBanc. As of 4 p.m. ET, Nvidia stock was up 7.49%.\nSo what\nWhat did KeyBanc analyst John Vinn say to stop the slide? Not a lot, actually -- but apparently, enough.\nAs StreetInsider.com reports, the bank's \"November cloud instance tracker\" is showing strong demand for cloud computing services (and Nvidia's semiconductors help with those). Specifically, \"instances\" of cloud computing services being used grew by 29% year over year in November, and by 6% in comparison to October. The news was best for Microsoft's(NASDAQ:MSFT)Azure business, and Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)AWS, both of which grew faster than average year over year.\nLooking at the chipmakers, KeyBanc was most optimistic about Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD), whose chips largely power Microsoft's Azure, and less so about Intel(NASDAQ:INTC), noting that Intel's processor deployments grew 4% month over month and 22% year over year across all major cloud services providers -- below the averages.\nNow what\nAnd Nvidia? That's the strange thing. According to KeyBanc, the semiconductor company's \"instances\" number grew only 25% year over year -- good, but still below average. And Nvidia's growth was only 1% sequentially from October.\nIn the final analysis, KeyBanc declared these results positive for AMD, \"moderately negative\" for Intel, and only neutral for Nvidia. That wasn't great news, but it seems to have been at least enough to stop the sell-off of Nvidia's shares.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607367206,"gmtCreate":1639491882801,"gmtModify":1639491882958,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅","listText":"Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅","text":"Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607367206","repostId":"1193701389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193701389","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639460770,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193701389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193701389","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Nvidia has been a big gainer, but now other, smaller chip stocks look cheaper.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of semiconductor company <b>Nvidia</b> dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌,截至收盘下跌 6.8%,连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息,至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看,这个消息并不好。CNBC 今天上午报道称,持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求通常对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息,但该网络指出,“半导体处于越来越多产品的引擎盖下”,但“用芯片制造的东西不仅仅使用一个芯片。”因此,即使是一家足够幸运地获得了所需的所有英伟达芯片的PC制造商,如果不能获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片,也可能无法销售其PC。或者,如果制造商知道自己无法获得其他芯片,它可能一开始就不会购买英伟达芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。然而,更大的风险可能是其飙升的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at <b>JPMorgan</b>, at <b>UBS</b>, at <b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and <b>Evercore</b> ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended <b>Qualcomm</b> for its earnings upside, Evercore picked <b>Micron</b> as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on <b>Broadcom</b> based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午,分析师<b>摩根大通</b>,和<b>瑞银</b>,和<b>巴克莱</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>,R.W。贝尔德和<b>永恒核心</b>ISI 列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商,英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>高通</b>由于其盈利优势,Evercore 选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票,巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>博通</b>根据对其产品的需求, TheFly.com 今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价是历史市盈率的 93 倍。美光的估值不到市盈率的 17 倍;高通是23倍,博通是47倍。很明显,为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是,为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票收益并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of semiconductor company <b>Nvidia</b> dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌,截至收盘下跌 6.8%,连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息,至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看,这个消息并不好。CNBC 今天上午报道称,持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求通常对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息,但该网络指出,“半导体处于越来越多产品的引擎盖下”,但“用芯片制造的东西不仅仅使用一个芯片。”因此,即使是一家足够幸运地获得了所需的所有英伟达芯片的PC制造商,如果不能获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片,也可能无法销售其PC。或者,如果制造商知道自己无法获得其他芯片,它可能一开始就不会购买英伟达芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。然而,更大的风险可能是其飙升的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at <b>JPMorgan</b>, at <b>UBS</b>, at <b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and <b>Evercore</b> ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended <b>Qualcomm</b> for its earnings upside, Evercore picked <b>Micron</b> as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on <b>Broadcom</b> based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午,分析师<b>摩根大通</b>,和<b>瑞银</b>,和<b>巴克莱</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>,R.W。贝尔德和<b>永恒核心</b>ISI 列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商,英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>高通</b>由于其盈利优势,Evercore 选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票,巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>博通</b>根据对其产品的需求, TheFly.com 今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价是历史市盈率的 93 倍。美光的估值不到市盈率的 17 倍;高通是23倍,博通是47倍。很明显,为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是,为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票收益并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193701389","content_text":"What happened\nShares of semiconductor company Nvidia dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSo what\nFrom a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.\nAlthough high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.\nNow what\nThat's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.\nThis morning, analysts at JPMorgan, at UBS, at Barclays,Citigroup, R.W. Baird, and Evercore ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended Qualcomm for its earnings upside, Evercore picked Micron as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on Broadcom based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.\nNvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.\nAnd it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4945,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607900288,"gmtCreate":1639466921670,"gmtModify":1639466935669,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607900288","repostId":"1114636896","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114636896","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639439509,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114636896?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克的电动汽车公司的下一步是什么?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114636896","media":"Barrons","summary":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is ","content":"<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领导者特斯拉的股价今天进入熊市区域。这种说法在技术上是正确的,但也有点累人。个股没有熊市或牛市。这些条款应该保留给整个市场。尽管如此,大盘股的大幅下跌还是值得注意的,让投资者想知道接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收盘下跌 5%,至 966.41 美元。标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数收盘均下跌0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p><p><blockquote>根据流通股数量(不包括管理层股票期权)计算,周一的下跌使该公司的市值低于 1 万亿美元。股价较 11 月 4 日收盘高点 1,229.91 美元下跌 21%。股价较盘中高点 1,243.49 美元下跌 22%。</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p><p><blockquote>熊市是否应该用收盘高点或盘中高点来衡量是华尔街争论的根源。但同样,在这种情况下,这场争论并不重要,因为个股没有牛市和熊市之分。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p><p><blockquote>对于个人投资者来说,是否是熊市并不是重点。下降20%的痛苦是真实的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票上一次收于熊市区域是在 2021 年 2 月。(是的,<i>巴伦</i>当时也写了有关单一股票熊市的文章。)当时,利率正在上升,高估值科技股承受了损失。与增长缓慢的成熟公司股票相比,较高的利率对增长较快的公司股票估值的损害更大--这就是较高利率的计算方法。</blockquote></p><p> Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p><p><blockquote>当时,该股花了大约六个月的时间才重新回到原来的高点。如果这种情况再次发生,看涨投资者将等到 2022 年 6 月才能看到特斯拉股价触及 1,300 美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p><p><blockquote>对于多头来说,这将是一个漫长的等待,虽然无法知道这种情况是否会发生,但未来几个月有很多事情可能会改变该股的走势。看涨和看跌的特斯拉投资者将关注德国和德克萨斯两家新工厂的启动、这些新工厂对利润率的影响、特斯拉 Cybertruck 的开始交付以及美国、欧洲和中国电动汽车的整体增长。</blockquote></p><p> With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p><p><blockquote>随着这一切的到来,这引发了一个问题:为什么股市会陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>有两件事可能在起作用。首先,首席执行官埃隆·马斯克仍在出售股票。它会产生一个悬垂。一些多头可能会等到大规模销售结束后再买入。马斯克至少还有 500 万股或 600 万股与即将到期的股票期权相关的股票需要出售。他可能会在 2021 年底前完成销售,但销售完成后他可能会在推特上发文。按照目前的速度,我们预计到年底。</blockquote></p><p> Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p><p><blockquote>其次,还有马斯克被评为《时代》周刊年度人物的问题。亚马逊股价继续下滑,一些投资者认为特斯拉股票也可能出现同样的下滑。</blockquote></p><p> The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>不过,亚马逊与特斯拉的比较并不完全一致。当两家公司的高管获得《时代》杂志的表彰时,它们正处于截然不同的发展阶段。当时亚马逊的市值为270亿美元。特斯拉的市值目前徘徊在 1 万亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,这仍然是一种信念,交易者们时不时会做出一些奇怪的事情,无论是否合理。当股票上涨或下跌时,动量交易者会出于任何原因跟上趋势。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克的电动汽车公司的下一步是什么?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克的电动汽车公司的下一步是什么?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领导者特斯拉的股价今天进入熊市区域。这种说法在技术上是正确的,但也有点累人。个股没有熊市或牛市。这些条款应该保留给整个市场。尽管如此,大盘股的大幅下跌还是值得注意的,让投资者想知道接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)股价收盘下跌 5%,至 966.41 美元。标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数收盘均下跌0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p><p><blockquote>根据流通股数量(不包括管理层股票期权)计算,周一的下跌使该公司的市值低于 1 万亿美元。股价较 11 月 4 日收盘高点 1,229.91 美元下跌 21%。股价较盘中高点 1,243.49 美元下跌 22%。</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p><p><blockquote>熊市是否应该用收盘高点或盘中高点来衡量是华尔街争论的根源。但同样,在这种情况下,这场争论并不重要,因为个股没有牛市和熊市之分。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p><p><blockquote>对于个人投资者来说,是否是熊市并不是重点。下降20%的痛苦是真实的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票上一次收于熊市区域是在 2021 年 2 月。(是的,<i>巴伦</i>当时也写了有关单一股票熊市的文章。)当时,利率正在上升,高估值科技股承受了损失。与增长缓慢的成熟公司股票相比,较高的利率对增长较快的公司股票估值的损害更大--这就是较高利率的计算方法。</blockquote></p><p> Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p><p><blockquote>当时,该股花了大约六个月的时间才重新回到原来的高点。如果这种情况再次发生,看涨投资者将等到 2022 年 6 月才能看到特斯拉股价触及 1,300 美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p><p><blockquote>对于多头来说,这将是一个漫长的等待,虽然无法知道这种情况是否会发生,但未来几个月有很多事情可能会改变该股的走势。看涨和看跌的特斯拉投资者将关注德国和德克萨斯两家新工厂的启动、这些新工厂对利润率的影响、特斯拉 Cybertruck 的开始交付以及美国、欧洲和中国电动汽车的整体增长。</blockquote></p><p> With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p><p><blockquote>随着这一切的到来,这引发了一个问题:为什么股市会陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>有两件事可能在起作用。首先,首席执行官埃隆·马斯克仍在出售股票。它会产生一个悬垂。一些多头可能会等到大规模销售结束后再买入。马斯克至少还有 500 万股或 600 万股与即将到期的股票期权相关的股票需要出售。他可能会在 2021 年底前完成销售,但销售完成后他可能会在推特上发文。按照目前的速度,我们预计到年底。</blockquote></p><p> Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p><p><blockquote>其次,还有马斯克被评为《时代》周刊年度人物的问题。亚马逊股价继续下滑,一些投资者认为特斯拉股票也可能出现同样的下滑。</blockquote></p><p> The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>不过,亚马逊与特斯拉的比较并不完全一致。当两家公司的高管获得《时代》杂志的表彰时,它们正处于截然不同的发展阶段。当时亚马逊的市值为270亿美元。特斯拉的市值目前徘徊在 1 万亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,这仍然是一种信念,交易者们时不时会做出一些奇怪的事情,无论是否合理。当股票上涨或下跌时,动量交易者会出于任何原因跟上趋势。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114636896","content_text":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.\nThe Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.\nWhether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.\nWhether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.\nOne of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, Barron’s wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.\nBack then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.\nThat would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.\nWith all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.\nTwo things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.\nSecond, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.\nThe Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.\nStill, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604901836,"gmtCreate":1639294327730,"gmtModify":1639294327926,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604901836","repostId":"2190679207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605321458,"gmtCreate":1639117258693,"gmtModify":1639117258863,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","listText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","text":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605321458","repostId":"1173696854","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173696854","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639100666,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173696854?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173696854","media":"Fortune","summary":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will be","content":"<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。这不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测,我们需要了解美联储如何制造不可持续的繁荣,以及为什么下一次衰退可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要一个警告。正如物理学家尼尔斯-玻尔(Niels Bohr)所说:“预测是非常困难的,尤其是在预测未来的时候。”尽管如此,我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分称重。美联储的通货膨胀政策让我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币就在地平线上:我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果狗可以拥有加密货币,为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢?他曾在 1976 年春天警告公众,由于美联储的通胀政策,物价即将加速上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%,1977年6.5%,1978年7.6%,1979年11.3%,1980年13.5%。谈论金钱上的正确!</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内飙升,时任总统吉米·卡特于 1979 年任命前银行家兼美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克 (Paul Volcker) 来阻止多年来的物价螺旋上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981 年消费者价格上涨了 10.3%,这表明在美联储的紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前,通胀势头可能会持续一段时间。1982 年,物价上涨了 6.1%,1983 年上涨了 3.2%,而(奇迹中的奇迹)1986 年(沃尔克卸任美联储主席并由艾伦·格林斯潘接任的前一年)仅上涨了 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现由于高通胀预期而当时被认为不可能实现的目标,沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率(银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率)提高到了22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑而采取的紧缩货币政策的代价是接二连三的衰退: 1980 年是短暂的衰退,1981-1982 年又是短暂的衰退。一个例子是,从1980年1月到1982年11月,发生了一次实际上持续了三年的长期衰退。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是周期性衰退的最佳先行指标之一,失业率在 1979 年 5 月达到周期性底部(5.6%),比 1980 年经济衰退早几个月,直到 1982 年 11 月(10.8%)才达到顶峰。失业率一直下降,直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b> has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前,<b>失业率</b>已从 2020 年初的封锁峰值开始下降,并已达到历史上预示着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率,但历史模式表明,当失业率接近3%然后上升时,衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b> is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛遵循的财务指标之一,通常预示着一年内的经济衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期利率和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下,收益率曲线是向上倾斜的,就像今天一样,当短期利率低于长期利率时,反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济 “过热 ”时,它往往会提高联邦基金利率,以冷却物价通胀,而物价通胀发生在 2000 年互联网泡沫和 2007 年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂,这表明衰退将在2020年的某个时候开始。然而,应对新冠肺炎的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退,而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在,由于美联储注入了 4 万亿美元的流动性来 “模拟 ”经济,经济又处于周期性上升期。在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)最近一次会议上,决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说,即使通胀率最近同比突破6%,美联储仍将继续踩下货币踏板。过去,通胀加速会敲响美联储加息以抑制通胀压力和预期的警钟。目前,美联储的想法是,物价通胀是 “暂时的”,因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此,我无畏的预测是:2022 年通胀将加速。然后,公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议和媒体报道强调物价如何削弱普通家庭的购买力,这可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在 1971 年那样,在 1972 年竞选连任之前实施工资价格控制,以消除通货膨胀的困扰。如果国会不授予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力,拜登可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制,我预计美联储将在 2022 年的某个时候提高联邦基金利率,并在 2023 年继续收紧。因此,下一次衰退可能会在 2023 年秋季开始,但不会晚于一年。如果衰退没有如期开始,那只意味着它被推迟了,而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Fortune</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。这不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测,我们需要了解美联储如何制造不可持续的繁荣,以及为什么下一次衰退可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要一个警告。正如物理学家尼尔斯-玻尔(Niels Bohr)所说:“预测是非常困难的,尤其是在预测未来的时候。”尽管如此,我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分称重。美联储的通货膨胀政策让我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币就在地平线上:我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果狗可以拥有加密货币,为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢?他曾在 1976 年春天警告公众,由于美联储的通胀政策,物价即将加速上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%,1977年6.5%,1978年7.6%,1979年11.3%,1980年13.5%。谈论金钱上的正确!</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内飙升,时任总统吉米·卡特于 1979 年任命前银行家兼美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克 (Paul Volcker) 来阻止多年来的物价螺旋上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981 年消费者价格上涨了 10.3%,这表明在美联储的紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前,通胀势头可能会持续一段时间。1982 年,物价上涨了 6.1%,1983 年上涨了 3.2%,而(奇迹中的奇迹)1986 年(沃尔克卸任美联储主席并由艾伦·格林斯潘接任的前一年)仅上涨了 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现由于高通胀预期而当时被认为不可能实现的目标,沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率(银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率)提高到了22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑而采取的紧缩货币政策的代价是接二连三的衰退: 1980 年是短暂的衰退,1981-1982 年又是短暂的衰退。一个例子是,从1980年1月到1982年11月,发生了一次实际上持续了三年的长期衰退。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是周期性衰退的最佳先行指标之一,失业率在 1979 年 5 月达到周期性底部(5.6%),比 1980 年经济衰退早几个月,直到 1982 年 11 月(10.8%)才达到顶峰。失业率一直下降,直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b> has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前,<b>失业率</b>已从 2020 年初的封锁峰值开始下降,并已达到历史上预示着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率,但历史模式表明,当失业率接近3%然后上升时,衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b> is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛遵循的财务指标之一,通常预示着一年内的经济衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期利率和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下,收益率曲线是向上倾斜的,就像今天一样,当短期利率低于长期利率时,反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济 “过热 ”时,它往往会提高联邦基金利率,以冷却物价通胀,而物价通胀发生在 2000 年互联网泡沫和 2007 年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂,这表明衰退将在2020年的某个时候开始。然而,应对新冠肺炎的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退,而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在,由于美联储注入了 4 万亿美元的流动性来 “模拟 ”经济,经济又处于周期性上升期。在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)最近一次会议上,决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说,即使通胀率最近同比突破6%,美联储仍将继续踩下货币踏板。过去,通胀加速会敲响美联储加息以抑制通胀压力和预期的警钟。目前,美联储的想法是,物价通胀是 “暂时的”,因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此,我无畏的预测是:2022 年通胀将加速。然后,公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议和媒体报道强调物价如何削弱普通家庭的购买力,这可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在 1971 年那样,在 1972 年竞选连任之前实施工资价格控制,以消除通货膨胀的困扰。如果国会不授予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力,拜登可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制,我预计美联储将在 2022 年的某个时候提高联邦基金利率,并在 2023 年继续收紧。因此,下一次衰退可能会在 2023 年秋季开始,但不会晚于一年。如果衰退没有如期开始,那只意味着它被推迟了,而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html\">Fortune</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173696854","content_text":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.\nA caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.\nIf a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?\nConsumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!\nAs inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.\nTo accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.\nPinpointing the moment\nOne of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.\nCurrently,the unemployment rate has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.\n\nThe yield curve is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.\nWhen the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.\nNow the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.\nMy fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.\nWithout price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602493232,"gmtCreate":1639053017435,"gmtModify":1639053018179,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602493232","repostId":"2190503698","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190503698","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639038865,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2190503698?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 16:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对 2022 年美国股市的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190503698","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve an","content":"<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>他表示:“2022 年将是关键的一年,届时全球大流行造成的失衡将开始得到解决,商业周期将从极端情况恢复正常。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示,“边际收紧的货币政策 ”应成为 2022 年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>最近市场波动性的飙升可能预示着 2022 年美国股市将更加坎坷,因为投资者正在应对疫情期间货币政策的拐点。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德在接受电话采访时表示:“美联储可能收紧政策,波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示,“奥密克戎给 2022 年的前景带来了一点麻烦”,尽管投资者似乎受到一些早期迹象的鼓舞,表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 数据显示,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数 (VIX) 在 11 月下旬上涨,即使自上周以来有所回落,仍高于 200 天移动平均线。数据显示,VIX 上周自 2021 年第一季度以来首次突破 30 点,市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能比投资者预期更快地从市场上取消部分宽松措施感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示:“这是一个重大转变,给投资者带来了紧张情绪。”她表示,美联储预计明年可能加息将具有更大的灵活性,通胀压力的增加可能意味着 2022 年加息幅度将超过目前预期,从而造成更多市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心,如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策,对利率敏感的增长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet 的数据显示,截至周二,标普500指数在 2021 年上涨近 25% 后,有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财 (Charles Schwab) 首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普 (Jeffrey Kleintop) 通过电话告诉 MarketWatch,美国股市明年可能会出现更温和的涨幅,“同时波动性更高”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示,她还预计波动性会加剧,其中包括在 COVID-19 危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退,以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松警惕”。她预计明年股市回报率将比 2021 年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在一份 2022 年展望报告中表示,“大部分股市上涨空间应该会在现在到 2022 年上半年之间实现”,“届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最为强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行一直在推出对标普500 2022年的预测,其中高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美国股市的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛 12 月 3 日发布的投资组合策略研究报告,预计 2022 年底标普500将达到 5,100 点。与此同时,摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测,美股基准明年将升至5050点,部分原因是“盈利强劲增长”和供应链困境缓解。加拿大皇家银行资本市场 (RBC Capital Markets) 预测的目标价与摩根大通 (JPMorgan) 相同,而德意志银行 (Deutsche Bank) 根据其首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示,预计明年标普500将收于 5,000 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,花旗集团 10 月底的一份研究报告显示,该银行将 2022 年底的标普500目标设定为 4,900 人。巴克莱银行在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测,该指数明年将在 4,800 点以下收盘。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在 12 月 2 日发布的 2022 年展望报告中写道:“谨慎行事。”他们表示:“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限。”他们认为,“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持适度的盈利增长,但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对明年标普500的目标价低于巴克莱银行,美国银行上个月的一份全球研究报告显示,该基准将在 2022 年底达到 4,600 点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·苏布拉马尼亚 (Savita Subramanian) 在 11 月下旬有关美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示:“不幸的是,我们看到今天和 2000 年(科技泡沫顶峰)之间有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观,这使得标普500低于该指数周二收盘价 4,686.75 点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示,即使预计盈利增长,到 2022 年底,标普500的基本情况预测仍为 4,400 人。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利财富管理公司首席投资官 Lisa Shalett 在报告中表示:“我们预计标普500将出现区间波动,扣除通胀后债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益,以便为更大的实物资产敞口和绝对回报资金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙莱特表示,摩根士丹利对标普500“谨慎”看法的核心是基于“周期中期过渡”期间通常会压缩的市盈率。她在笔记中指出了一张图表,显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期转型”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为 12 月。6,2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>图表显示“标普500股票的中位数已从 52 周高点修正了 15%”,但根据她的报告,目前占其市值 40% 的 15 家最大公司一直保持该指数的高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙莱特表示:“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司,但由于金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然充满挑战,我们不太相信它们在 2022 年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前 15 家公司的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为,“这表明投资者应该转向选股,远离被动指数基金,”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三发布的报告称,预计“国际股票、新兴市场和周期性市场细分市场将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技含量高的纳斯达克综合指数写道:“造成这种情况的原因是我们对利率上升和货币政策略微收紧的预期,这应该会给纳斯达克等高倍数市场带来阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉 MarketWatch,在“中周期”期间,他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长者”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示,持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力,而该领域的股票押注可以充当投资组合的“波动性抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国 iShares megatrend 和国际 ETF 主管 Jeff Spiegel 表示,随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法获得批准,并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”,免疫学是明年有望加速发展的三大趋势之一。FactSet 数据显示,根据周三午盘交易,iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF 的股价今年上涨了约 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>《明镜周刊》在本月的一份报告中写道,2022 年值得关注的另外两个大趋势是通过云、5G 和网络安全加强的“数字化转型”,以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道,自动化技术应该“应对疫情期间持续的供应链瓶颈和工资通胀”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财旗下的 Kleintop 表示:“我认为明年我们实际上将面临过剩问题,而不是短缺问题。”“这将有助于降低通胀,特别是在明年下半年,从而使激进的加息路径不太可能。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里 (Deepak Puri) 在周一的媒体简报会上表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 上周暗示可能加快缩减每月资产购买规模后,市场预计美联储将在 2022 年加息三次。关于他明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示,虽然美联储可能会在缩减债券购买规模方面变得更加积极,可能会在 3 月份而不是 6 月份完成这一过程,但他预计美联储明年仍将在利率问题上保持“鸽派”。他表示,普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次,低于市场共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示:“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的沙莱特在她的 2022 年展望报告中写道,“我们看到了经典的再通胀再平衡,其中较高的名义利率和实际利率反映了较高的平均增长率和通货膨胀率。”她还预计收益率曲线将陡峭,利润率将受到成本上升的挤压,“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将受到压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示:“在美国国内,我们喜欢重新开放和再通胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示,该银行策略师预计,到明年年底,10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师马尔科·科拉诺维奇 (Marko Kolanovic) 表示:“我们的观点是,2022 年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束以及 COVID-19 爆发前恢复正常状态的一年。”该银行全球联席研究主管侯赛因·马利克 (Hussein Malik) 在周三的报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙莱特表示,“从大多数方面来看,2022 年将是关键的一年,届时全球大流行造成的失衡将开始解决,商业周期将从极端情况恢复正常。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对 2022 年美国股市的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>他表示:“2022 年将是关键的一年,届时全球大流行造成的失衡将开始得到解决,商业周期将从极端情况恢复正常。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示,“边际收紧的货币政策 ”应成为 2022 年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>最近市场波动性的飙升可能预示着 2022 年美国股市将更加坎坷,因为投资者正在应对疫情期间货币政策的拐点。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德在接受电话采访时表示:“美联储可能收紧政策,波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示,“奥密克戎给 2022 年的前景带来了一点麻烦”,尽管投资者似乎受到一些早期迹象的鼓舞,表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 数据显示,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数 (VIX) 在 11 月下旬上涨,即使自上周以来有所回落,仍高于 200 天移动平均线。数据显示,VIX 上周自 2021 年第一季度以来首次突破 30 点,市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能比投资者预期更快地从市场上取消部分宽松措施感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示:“这是一个重大转变,给投资者带来了紧张情绪。”她表示,美联储预计明年可能加息将具有更大的灵活性,通胀压力的增加可能意味着 2022 年加息幅度将超过目前预期,从而造成更多市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心,如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策,对利率敏感的增长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet 的数据显示,截至周二,标普500指数在 2021 年上涨近 25% 后,有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财 (Charles Schwab) 首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普 (Jeffrey Kleintop) 通过电话告诉 MarketWatch,美国股市明年可能会出现更温和的涨幅,“同时波动性更高”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示,她还预计波动性会加剧,其中包括在 COVID-19 危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退,以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松警惕”。她预计明年股市回报率将比 2021 年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在一份 2022 年展望报告中表示,“大部分股市上涨空间应该会在现在到 2022 年上半年之间实现”,“届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最为强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行一直在推出对标普500 2022年的预测,其中高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美国股市的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛 12 月 3 日发布的投资组合策略研究报告,预计 2022 年底标普500将达到 5,100 点。与此同时,摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测,美股基准明年将升至5050点,部分原因是“盈利强劲增长”和供应链困境缓解。加拿大皇家银行资本市场 (RBC Capital Markets) 预测的目标价与摩根大通 (JPMorgan) 相同,而德意志银行 (Deutsche Bank) 根据其首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示,预计明年标普500将收于 5,000 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,花旗集团 10 月底的一份研究报告显示,该银行将 2022 年底的标普500目标设定为 4,900 人。巴克莱银行在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测,该指数明年将在 4,800 点以下收盘。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在 12 月 2 日发布的 2022 年展望报告中写道:“谨慎行事。”他们表示:“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限。”他们认为,“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持适度的盈利增长,但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对明年标普500的目标价低于巴克莱银行,美国银行上个月的一份全球研究报告显示,该基准将在 2022 年底达到 4,600 点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·苏布拉马尼亚 (Savita Subramanian) 在 11 月下旬有关美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示:“不幸的是,我们看到今天和 2000 年(科技泡沫顶峰)之间有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观,这使得标普500低于该指数周二收盘价 4,686.75 点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示,即使预计盈利增长,到 2022 年底,标普500的基本情况预测仍为 4,400 人。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利财富管理公司首席投资官 Lisa Shalett 在报告中表示:“我们预计标普500将出现区间波动,扣除通胀后债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益,以便为更大的实物资产敞口和绝对回报资金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙莱特表示,摩根士丹利对标普500“谨慎”看法的核心是基于“周期中期过渡”期间通常会压缩的市盈率。她在笔记中指出了一张图表,显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期转型”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为 12 月。6,2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>图表显示“标普500股票的中位数已从 52 周高点修正了 15%”,但根据她的报告,目前占其市值 40% 的 15 家最大公司一直保持该指数的高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙莱特表示:“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司,但由于金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然充满挑战,我们不太相信它们在 2022 年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前 15 家公司的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为,“这表明投资者应该转向选股,远离被动指数基金,”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三发布的报告称,预计“国际股票、新兴市场和周期性市场细分市场将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技含量高的纳斯达克综合指数写道:“造成这种情况的原因是我们对利率上升和货币政策略微收紧的预期,这应该会给纳斯达克等高倍数市场带来阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉 MarketWatch,在“中周期”期间,他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长者”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示,持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力,而该领域的股票押注可以充当投资组合的“波动性抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国 iShares megatrend 和国际 ETF 主管 Jeff Spiegel 表示,随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法获得批准,并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”,免疫学是明年有望加速发展的三大趋势之一。FactSet 数据显示,根据周三午盘交易,iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF 的股价今年上涨了约 0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>《明镜周刊》在本月的一份报告中写道,2022 年值得关注的另外两个大趋势是通过云、5G 和网络安全加强的“数字化转型”,以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道,自动化技术应该“应对疫情期间持续的供应链瓶颈和工资通胀”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财旗下的 Kleintop 表示:“我认为明年我们实际上将面临过剩问题,而不是短缺问题。”“这将有助于降低通胀,特别是在明年下半年,从而使激进的加息路径不太可能。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里 (Deepak Puri) 在周一的媒体简报会上表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 (Jerome Powell) 上周暗示可能加快缩减每月资产购买规模后,市场预计美联储将在 2022 年加息三次。关于他明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示,虽然美联储可能会在缩减债券购买规模方面变得更加积极,可能会在 3 月份而不是 6 月份完成这一过程,但他预计美联储明年仍将在利率问题上保持“鸽派”。他表示,普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次,低于市场共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示:“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的沙莱特在她的 2022 年展望报告中写道,“我们看到了经典的再通胀再平衡,其中较高的名义利率和实际利率反映了较高的平均增长率和通货膨胀率。”她还预计收益率曲线将陡峭,利润率将受到成本上升的挤压,“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将受到压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示:“在美国国内,我们喜欢重新开放和再通胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示,该银行策略师预计,到明年年底,10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师马尔科·科拉诺维奇 (Marko Kolanovic) 表示:“我们的观点是,2022 年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束以及 COVID-19 爆发前恢复正常状态的一年。”该银行全球联席研究主管侯赛因·马利克 (Hussein Malik) 在周三的报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙莱特表示,“从大多数方面来看,2022 年将是关键的一年,届时全球大流行造成的失衡将开始解决,商业周期将从极端情况恢复正常。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","IDNA":"iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MS":"摩根士丹利","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2190503698","content_text":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says Morgan Stanley's Lisa Shalett\n‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say\nThe recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.\n\"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.\n\"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.\nSome investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.\nThe U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.\nGoodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.\n\"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.\nWall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.\nGoldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.\nMeanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.\n\"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"\nBank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.\n\"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.\nMorgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.\n\"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"\nThe core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"\nMORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021\nThe chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.\n\"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"\nIn Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.\nJPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.\n\"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .\nCiti's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.\nImmunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.\nTwo other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.\n\"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"\nThe market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.\nWhile the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.\n\"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.\nMorgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"\n\"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.\n\"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.\nAccording to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPRO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"END":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IDNA":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"MS":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"OEF":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602196368,"gmtCreate":1638978605148,"gmtModify":1638978605332,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602196368","repostId":"2189631254","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606275924,"gmtCreate":1638889283724,"gmtModify":1638889283918,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606275924","repostId":"2189476639","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606224357,"gmtCreate":1638887756690,"gmtModify":1638887757497,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606224357","repostId":"1100817933","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100817933","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638873659,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100817933?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 18:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>随着奥密克戎担忧缓解,美国股指期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100817933","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would be milder than previously thought.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者押注 Covid-19 奥密克戎变种的影响将比之前想象的要轻,美国股指期货上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Futures for the S&P 500 gained 1.1% Tuesday. The index jumped Monday, recouping nearly all its losses for last week. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.7% Tuesday, and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周二上涨1.1%。该指数周一上涨,几乎收复了上周的所有跌幅。以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数合约周二上涨 1.7%,道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Hopes that the new strain will have a less pronounced impact on travel and consumer confidence have bolstered stocks this week. Scientists and vaccine makers are still assessing the severity of Omicron and how well existing vaccines may work against it. Lower trading volumes in the lead-up to the holidays are likely to cause exaggerated moves in either direction, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>人们希望新菌株对旅行和消费者信心的影响不会那么明显,这支撑了本周的股市。科学家和疫苗制造商仍在评估奥密克戎病的严重程度以及现有疫苗对抗它的效果。分析师表示,假期前交易量下降可能会导致这两个方向出现夸张的波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re in this period where investors are grappling for any news they can find and that, coupled with low liquidity, is leading to some big moves,” said Hugh Gimber, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>“摩根大通资产管理公司(J.P. Morgan Asset Management)策略师休-金伯(Hugh Gimber)说:”我们正处于投资者争先恐后地寻找他们能找到的任何消息的时期,再加上低流动性,导致了一些大的波动。</blockquote></p><p> China’s efforts to inject liquidity into the financial system has also helped reassured investors that the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy will be managed, Mr. Gimber said. On Monday, the People’s Bank of China said it would reduce the reserve requirement ratio for banks by 0.5 percentage point to 8.4%, starting Dec. 15. This would unleash about 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to around $188 billion, into the financial system.</p><p><blockquote>金伯先生说,中国向金融体系注入流动性的努力也有助于让投资者放心,世界第二大经济体的经济放缓将得到控制。本周一,中国人民银行表示将从12月15日起下调银行存款准备金率0.5个百分点至8.4%。这将向金融体系释放约1.2万亿元人民币,相当于约1880亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese property developers listed in Hong Kong were broadly higher on the plans, which could assist China’s debt-laden real-estate sector. Sunac China Holdings surged more than 15%, while China Aoyuan Groupgained more than 10%.</p><p><blockquote>在香港上市的中国房地产开发商的股价普遍走高,这可能会帮助中国负债累累的房地产行业。融创中国控股飙升超过 15%,中国奥园集团上涨超过 10%。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong’s broader Hang Seng Index gained 2.7%, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rallied 1.9% and South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>香港恒生指数上涨 2.7%,中国上证综指小幅上涨 0.2%。日本日经 225 指数上涨 1.9%,韩国综合股价指数上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面,泛洲斯托克欧洲 600 指数上涨 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude futures, the benchmark in global oil markets, rose 1.8% to $74.41 a barrel, as fears of renewed Covid-related lockdowns recede.</p><p><blockquote>随着对新冠疫情相关封锁的担忧消退,全球石油市场基准布伦特原油期货上涨 1.8%,至每桶 74.41 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note ticked up to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.433% Monday. Yields rise when prices fall.</p><p><blockquote>在债券市场,基准 10 年期国债收益率从周一的 1.433% 升至周二的 1.443%。价格下跌时收益率上升。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, rose 2.6% to $51,307.04 as it continued to recover from a weekend selloff.</p><p><blockquote>全球市值最大的加密货币比特币上涨 2.6%,至 51,307.04 美元,继续从周末的抛售中复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>随着奥密克戎担忧缓解,美国股指期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>随着奥密克戎担忧缓解,美国股指期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 18:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would be milder than previously thought.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者押注 Covid-19 奥密克戎变种的影响将比之前想象的要轻,美国股指期货上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Futures for the S&P 500 gained 1.1% Tuesday. The index jumped Monday, recouping nearly all its losses for last week. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.7% Tuesday, and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周二上涨1.1%。该指数周一上涨,几乎收复了上周的所有跌幅。以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数合约周二上涨 1.7%,道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨 0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Hopes that the new strain will have a less pronounced impact on travel and consumer confidence have bolstered stocks this week. Scientists and vaccine makers are still assessing the severity of Omicron and how well existing vaccines may work against it. Lower trading volumes in the lead-up to the holidays are likely to cause exaggerated moves in either direction, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>人们希望新菌株对旅行和消费者信心的影响不会那么明显,这支撑了本周的股市。科学家和疫苗制造商仍在评估奥密克戎病的严重程度以及现有疫苗对抗它的效果。分析师表示,假期前交易量下降可能会导致这两个方向出现夸张的波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re in this period where investors are grappling for any news they can find and that, coupled with low liquidity, is leading to some big moves,” said Hugh Gimber, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>“摩根大通资产管理公司(J.P. Morgan Asset Management)策略师休-金伯(Hugh Gimber)说:”我们正处于投资者争先恐后地寻找他们能找到的任何消息的时期,再加上低流动性,导致了一些大的波动。</blockquote></p><p> China’s efforts to inject liquidity into the financial system has also helped reassured investors that the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy will be managed, Mr. Gimber said. On Monday, the People’s Bank of China said it would reduce the reserve requirement ratio for banks by 0.5 percentage point to 8.4%, starting Dec. 15. This would unleash about 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to around $188 billion, into the financial system.</p><p><blockquote>金伯先生说,中国向金融体系注入流动性的努力也有助于让投资者放心,世界第二大经济体的经济放缓将得到控制。本周一,中国人民银行表示将从12月15日起下调银行存款准备金率0.5个百分点至8.4%。这将向金融体系释放约1.2万亿元人民币,相当于约1880亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese property developers listed in Hong Kong were broadly higher on the plans, which could assist China’s debt-laden real-estate sector. Sunac China Holdings surged more than 15%, while China Aoyuan Groupgained more than 10%.</p><p><blockquote>在香港上市的中国房地产开发商的股价普遍走高,这可能会帮助中国负债累累的房地产行业。融创中国控股飙升超过 15%,中国奥园集团上涨超过 10%。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong’s broader Hang Seng Index gained 2.7%, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rallied 1.9% and South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>香港恒生指数上涨 2.7%,中国上证综指小幅上涨 0.2%。日本日经 225 指数上涨 1.9%,韩国综合股价指数上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面,泛洲斯托克欧洲 600 指数上涨 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude futures, the benchmark in global oil markets, rose 1.8% to $74.41 a barrel, as fears of renewed Covid-related lockdowns recede.</p><p><blockquote>随着对新冠疫情相关封锁的担忧消退,全球石油市场基准布伦特原油期货上涨 1.8%,至每桶 74.41 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note ticked up to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.433% Monday. Yields rise when prices fall.</p><p><blockquote>在债券市场,基准 10 年期国债收益率从周一的 1.433% 升至周二的 1.443%。价格下跌时收益率上升。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, rose 2.6% to $51,307.04 as it continued to recover from a weekend selloff.</p><p><blockquote>全球市值最大的加密货币比特币上涨 2.6%,至 51,307.04 美元,继续从周末的抛售中复苏。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-07-2021-11638866220?mod=markets_lead_pos2\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-07-2021-11638866220?mod=markets_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100817933","content_text":"U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would be milder than previously thought.\nFutures for the S&P 500 gained 1.1% Tuesday. The index jumped Monday, recouping nearly all its losses for last week. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.7% Tuesday, and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.\nHopes that the new strain will have a less pronounced impact on travel and consumer confidence have bolstered stocks this week. Scientists and vaccine makers are still assessing the severity of Omicron and how well existing vaccines may work against it. Lower trading volumes in the lead-up to the holidays are likely to cause exaggerated moves in either direction, analysts say.\n“We’re in this period where investors are grappling for any news they can find and that, coupled with low liquidity, is leading to some big moves,” said Hugh Gimber, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.\nChina’s efforts to inject liquidity into the financial system has also helped reassured investors that the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy will be managed, Mr. Gimber said. On Monday, the People’s Bank of China said it would reduce the reserve requirement ratio for banks by 0.5 percentage point to 8.4%, starting Dec. 15. This would unleash about 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to around $188 billion, into the financial system.\nShares of Chinese property developers listed in Hong Kong were broadly higher on the plans, which could assist China’s debt-laden real-estate sector. Sunac China Holdings surged more than 15%, while China Aoyuan Groupgained more than 10%.\nHong Kong’s broader Hang Seng Index gained 2.7%, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rallied 1.9% and South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6%.\nElsewhere, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 1.2%.\nBrent crude futures, the benchmark in global oil markets, rose 1.8% to $74.41 a barrel, as fears of renewed Covid-related lockdowns recede.\nIn bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note ticked up to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.433% Monday. Yields rise when prices fall.\nBitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, rose 2.6% to $51,307.04 as it continued to recover from a weekend selloff.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606225052,"gmtCreate":1638887699671,"gmtModify":1638887699859,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606225052","repostId":"1153880755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153880755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638867395,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153880755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 16:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4 只最安全的股息股票,可帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153880755","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Apple and four other tech stalwarts are well insulated from inflation.","content":"<p>Rising inflation is wreaking havoc on many high-growth stocks as investors fret over higher costs and reduced future valuations. Higher interest rates, which counter inflation, are also sparking fears of an economic slowdown and causing investors to rotate from dividend stocks toward lower-risk bonds.</p><p><blockquote>通胀上升正在对许多高增长股票造成严重破坏,因为投资者担心成本上升和未来估值下降。对抗通胀的利率上升也引发了人们对经济放缓的担忧,并导致投资者从股息股票转向风险较低的债券。</blockquote></p><p> Faced with these challenges, it might seem like a bad idea to buy dividend-paying tech stocks. However, these four tech dividend stocks should remain resilient and easily withstand the upcoming inflation-related challenges.</p><p><blockquote>面对这些挑战,购买派息科技股似乎是一个坏主意。然而,这四只科技股应该保持弹性,并轻松抵御即将到来的通胀相关挑战。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3710057a11169b9e18f5bf46888ca7fb\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Apple.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:苹果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b> only pays a forward dividend yield of 0.5%, but its lowpayout ratioof 15% indicates there's still plenty of room for much higher payments. Apple's stock price has risen nearly 270% over the past three years, but it still doesn't look terribly expensive at 29 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>仅支付 0.5% 的远期股息收益率,但其 15% 的低派息率表明仍有足够的空间支付更高的派息。苹果的股价在过去三年中上涨了近 270%,但以 29 倍的预期市盈率计算,它看起来仍然不算太贵。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is an inflation-resistant company for two simple reasons. First, it has the clout to negotiate more favorable prices from its suppliers. Second, it probably won't lose a lot of its loyal customers if it charges higher prices for its hardware since they're already firmly locked into its software ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家抗通胀公司,原因很简单。首先,它有能力从供应商那里谈判更优惠的价格。其次,如果它对硬件收取更高的价格,它可能不会失去很多忠实的客户,因为他们已经牢牢地锁定在它的软件生态系统中。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has also consistently executed big stock buybacks, which have reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 22% over the past five years. Spending more cash on those buybacks, which boosts the value of its remaining shares, is a better strategy than letting its cash stagnate in an inflationary environment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果还持续进行大规模股票回购,在过去五年中,其流通股减少了近 22%。在这些回购上花费更多现金,从而提高其剩余股票的价值,是比让其现金在通胀环境中停滞不前更好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Apple will face a near-term slowdown as it grapples with supply chain constraints, but its long-term outlook is still bright. Its services ecosystem continues to expand, and it will eventually expand into new next-gen markets like augmented reality, virtual reality, and connected cars.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将面临近期放缓,因为它正在努力应对供应链限制,但其长期前景仍然光明。其服务生态系统不断扩大,最终将扩展到增强现实、虚拟现实和联网汽车等新的下一代市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Verizon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 威瑞森</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon</b> pays a forward dividend yield of 5%. The telecom giant has raised that dividend annually for 15 straight years, and it's spent less than half of its earnings per share on those payments over the past 12 months. The stock also trades at just nine times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>威瑞森</b>支付5%的远期股息收益率。这家电信巨头已连续 15 年每年提高股息,而且在过去 12 个月中,每股收益的支出不到一半。该股的交易价格也仅为预期市盈率的九倍。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, Verizon seems like a lackluster investment. It's declined more than 10% over the past three years as the <b>S&P 500</b> has risen nearly 70%.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看,威瑞森似乎是一项乏善可陈的投资。过去三年下降了10%以上,因为<b>标普500</b>已上涨近70%。</blockquote></p><p> However, Verizon's stock will likely remain stable as rising inflation and higher interest rates rattle the markets. As the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., Verizon can likely pass on most of its higher costs onto consumers without significantly increasing its churn rates. It's also a more streamlined company than <b>AT&T</b>, which is still trying toundo the damageof the debt-fueled expansions of its media and pay-TV ecosystems.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着通胀上升和利率上升扰乱市场,Verizon 的股价可能会保持稳定。作为美国最大的无线运营商,Verizon 可能会将大部分较高的成本转嫁给消费者,而不会显着提高其流失率。它也是一家比<b>AT&T</b>该公司仍在努力弥补债务推动的媒体和付费电视生态系统扩张造成的损害。</blockquote></p><p> Verizon's stable returns, sticky ecosystem, high dividend, and low valuation will all make it an ideal safe-haven stock in an inflationary market.</p><p><blockquote>Verizon稳定的回报、粘性的生态系统、高股息和低估值都将使其成为通胀市场中理想的避险股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Qualcomm</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 高通</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Qualcomm</b>, one of the world's largest mobile chipmakers, pays a forward dividend yield of 1.5%. It's raised its annual payout over the past two years, and it's only spent about a third of its earnings on its dividends over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote><b>高通</b>全球最大的移动芯片制造商之一,支付1.5%的远期股息收益率。该公司在过去两年中提高了年度派息,但在过去 12 个月中仅将收益的三分之一左右用于股息。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's two main businesses are both well-insulated from inflation. Its Snapdragon system on chips (SoCs), which bundle together a mobile CPU, GPU, and baseband modem, power most of the world's high-end smartphones. They can also be found in virtual reality headsets, cars, and drones. The secular growth of those markets will give Qualcomm plenty of pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>高通的两大主要业务都能很好地抵御通货膨胀的影响。其骁龙芯片系统(SoC)将移动CPU、GPU和基带调制解调器捆绑在一起,为世界上大多数高端智能手机提供动力。它们也可以在虚拟现实耳机、汽车和无人机中找到。这些市场的长期增长将赋予高通足够的定价权。</blockquote></p><p> Its licensing business, which leverages its portfolio of wireless patents to earn a cut of every smartphone sold worldwide, also generates a stable stream of high-margin revenue. It then plows a large portion of that excess cash into big buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>其授权业务利用其无线专利组合,从全球销售的每一部智能手机中分一杯羹,也产生了稳定的高利润收入流。然后,它将大部分多余现金用于大额回购和股息。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's stock has already risen more than 200% as investors have recognized those long-term strengths, but it still looks cheap at 17 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者认识到这些长期优势,高通的股价已经上涨了 200% 以上,但 17 倍的预期市盈率看起来仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Texas Instruments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 德州仪器</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Texas Instruments</b> manufactures a wide range of analog and embedded chips for consumer electronics, cars, industrial machines, and other markets. These chips aren't as powerful as Qualcomm's mobile chips, but they're just as essential and less capital-intensive to produce.</p><p><blockquote><b>德州仪器</b>为消费电子、汽车、工业机器和其他市场制造各种模拟和嵌入式芯片。这些芯片不如高通的移动芯片强大,但它们同样重要,生产起来也不那么资本密集型。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike Qualcomm, which outsources the production of its chips to third-party foundries, TI manufactures its own chips in-house. That business model insulates it from the ongoing chip shortage, and its cost-cutting migration from 200mm to 300mm wafers over the past few years enabled it to significantly reduce its own manufacturing costs and boost its gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>与将芯片生产外包给第三方代工厂的高通不同,德州仪器在内部制造自己的芯片。这种商业模式使其免受持续芯片短缺的影响,并且在过去几年中,其从 200 毫米晶圆到 300 毫米晶圆的成本削减迁移使其能够显着降低自身的制造成本并提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> TI's business is naturally resistant to inflation since it has much better control over its own supply chain and operating expenses than other chipmakers, and it generates plenty of excess cash for buybacks and dividends. It reduced its number of outstanding shares by 46% between 2004 and 2020, and it's raised its dividend annually for 18 straight years. It currently pays a forward dividend yield of 2.4%, which is supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 52%.</p><p><blockquote>TI 的业务天生具有抗通货膨胀的能力,因为它比其他芯片制造商更好地控制自己的供应链和运营费用,并且它产生了大量的多余现金用于回购和股息。2004 年至 2020 年间,该公司将流通股数量减少了 46%,并连续 18 年每年提高股息。它目前支付的远期股息率为 2.4%,并得到 52% 的可持续派息率的支持。</blockquote></p><p> TI's stock has more than doubled over the past three years, but it still trades at 23 times forward earnings. That reasonable valuation, along with its healthy yield and stable business, makes TI a reliable and inflation-resistant tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>TI 的股价在过去三年中上涨了一倍多,但其预期市盈率仍为 23 倍。合理的估值,加上健康的收益率和稳定的业务,使德州仪器成为一只可靠且抗通胀的科技股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4 只最安全的股息股票,可帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4 只最安全的股息股票,可帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 16:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rising inflation is wreaking havoc on many high-growth stocks as investors fret over higher costs and reduced future valuations. Higher interest rates, which counter inflation, are also sparking fears of an economic slowdown and causing investors to rotate from dividend stocks toward lower-risk bonds.</p><p><blockquote>通胀上升正在对许多高增长股票造成严重破坏,因为投资者担心成本上升和未来估值下降。对抗通胀的利率上升也引发了人们对经济放缓的担忧,并导致投资者从股息股票转向风险较低的债券。</blockquote></p><p> Faced with these challenges, it might seem like a bad idea to buy dividend-paying tech stocks. However, these four tech dividend stocks should remain resilient and easily withstand the upcoming inflation-related challenges.</p><p><blockquote>面对这些挑战,购买派息科技股似乎是一个坏主意。然而,这四只科技股应该保持弹性,并轻松抵御即将到来的通胀相关挑战。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3710057a11169b9e18f5bf46888ca7fb\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Apple.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:苹果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b> only pays a forward dividend yield of 0.5%, but its lowpayout ratioof 15% indicates there's still plenty of room for much higher payments. Apple's stock price has risen nearly 270% over the past three years, but it still doesn't look terribly expensive at 29 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>仅支付 0.5% 的远期股息收益率,但其 15% 的低派息率表明仍有足够的空间支付更高的派息。苹果的股价在过去三年中上涨了近 270%,但以 29 倍的预期市盈率计算,它看起来仍然不算太贵。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is an inflation-resistant company for two simple reasons. First, it has the clout to negotiate more favorable prices from its suppliers. Second, it probably won't lose a lot of its loyal customers if it charges higher prices for its hardware since they're already firmly locked into its software ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家抗通胀公司,原因很简单。首先,它有能力从供应商那里谈判更优惠的价格。其次,如果它对硬件收取更高的价格,它可能不会失去很多忠实的客户,因为他们已经牢牢地锁定在它的软件生态系统中。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has also consistently executed big stock buybacks, which have reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 22% over the past five years. Spending more cash on those buybacks, which boosts the value of its remaining shares, is a better strategy than letting its cash stagnate in an inflationary environment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果还持续进行大规模股票回购,在过去五年中,其流通股减少了近 22%。在这些回购上花费更多现金,从而提高其剩余股票的价值,是比让其现金在通胀环境中停滞不前更好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Apple will face a near-term slowdown as it grapples with supply chain constraints, but its long-term outlook is still bright. Its services ecosystem continues to expand, and it will eventually expand into new next-gen markets like augmented reality, virtual reality, and connected cars.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将面临近期放缓,因为它正在努力应对供应链限制,但其长期前景仍然光明。其服务生态系统不断扩大,最终将扩展到增强现实、虚拟现实和联网汽车等新的下一代市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Verizon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 威瑞森</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon</b> pays a forward dividend yield of 5%. The telecom giant has raised that dividend annually for 15 straight years, and it's spent less than half of its earnings per share on those payments over the past 12 months. The stock also trades at just nine times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>威瑞森</b>支付5%的远期股息收益率。这家电信巨头已连续 15 年每年提高股息,而且在过去 12 个月中,每股收益的支出不到一半。该股的交易价格也仅为预期市盈率的九倍。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, Verizon seems like a lackluster investment. It's declined more than 10% over the past three years as the <b>S&P 500</b> has risen nearly 70%.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看,威瑞森似乎是一项乏善可陈的投资。过去三年下降了10%以上,因为<b>标普500</b>已上涨近70%。</blockquote></p><p> However, Verizon's stock will likely remain stable as rising inflation and higher interest rates rattle the markets. As the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., Verizon can likely pass on most of its higher costs onto consumers without significantly increasing its churn rates. It's also a more streamlined company than <b>AT&T</b>, which is still trying toundo the damageof the debt-fueled expansions of its media and pay-TV ecosystems.</p><p><blockquote>然而,随着通胀上升和利率上升扰乱市场,Verizon 的股价可能会保持稳定。作为美国最大的无线运营商,Verizon 可能会将大部分较高的成本转嫁给消费者,而不会显着提高其流失率。它也是一家比<b>AT&T</b>该公司仍在努力弥补债务推动的媒体和付费电视生态系统扩张造成的损害。</blockquote></p><p> Verizon's stable returns, sticky ecosystem, high dividend, and low valuation will all make it an ideal safe-haven stock in an inflationary market.</p><p><blockquote>Verizon稳定的回报、粘性的生态系统、高股息和低估值都将使其成为通胀市场中理想的避险股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Qualcomm</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 高通</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Qualcomm</b>, one of the world's largest mobile chipmakers, pays a forward dividend yield of 1.5%. It's raised its annual payout over the past two years, and it's only spent about a third of its earnings on its dividends over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote><b>高通</b>全球最大的移动芯片制造商之一,支付1.5%的远期股息收益率。该公司在过去两年中提高了年度派息,但在过去 12 个月中仅将收益的三分之一左右用于股息。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's two main businesses are both well-insulated from inflation. Its Snapdragon system on chips (SoCs), which bundle together a mobile CPU, GPU, and baseband modem, power most of the world's high-end smartphones. They can also be found in virtual reality headsets, cars, and drones. The secular growth of those markets will give Qualcomm plenty of pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>高通的两大主要业务都能很好地抵御通货膨胀的影响。其骁龙芯片系统(SoC)将移动CPU、GPU和基带调制解调器捆绑在一起,为世界上大多数高端智能手机提供动力。它们也可以在虚拟现实耳机、汽车和无人机中找到。这些市场的长期增长将赋予高通足够的定价权。</blockquote></p><p> Its licensing business, which leverages its portfolio of wireless patents to earn a cut of every smartphone sold worldwide, also generates a stable stream of high-margin revenue. It then plows a large portion of that excess cash into big buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>其授权业务利用其无线专利组合,从全球销售的每一部智能手机中分一杯羹,也产生了稳定的高利润收入流。然后,它将大部分多余现金用于大额回购和股息。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's stock has already risen more than 200% as investors have recognized those long-term strengths, but it still looks cheap at 17 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者认识到这些长期优势,高通的股价已经上涨了 200% 以上,但 17 倍的预期市盈率看起来仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Texas Instruments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 德州仪器</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Texas Instruments</b> manufactures a wide range of analog and embedded chips for consumer electronics, cars, industrial machines, and other markets. These chips aren't as powerful as Qualcomm's mobile chips, but they're just as essential and less capital-intensive to produce.</p><p><blockquote><b>德州仪器</b>为消费电子、汽车、工业机器和其他市场制造各种模拟和嵌入式芯片。这些芯片不如高通的移动芯片强大,但它们同样重要,生产起来也不那么资本密集型。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike Qualcomm, which outsources the production of its chips to third-party foundries, TI manufactures its own chips in-house. That business model insulates it from the ongoing chip shortage, and its cost-cutting migration from 200mm to 300mm wafers over the past few years enabled it to significantly reduce its own manufacturing costs and boost its gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>与将芯片生产外包给第三方代工厂的高通不同,德州仪器在内部制造自己的芯片。这种商业模式使其免受持续芯片短缺的影响,并且在过去几年中,其从 200 毫米晶圆到 300 毫米晶圆的成本削减迁移使其能够显着降低自身的制造成本并提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> TI's business is naturally resistant to inflation since it has much better control over its own supply chain and operating expenses than other chipmakers, and it generates plenty of excess cash for buybacks and dividends. It reduced its number of outstanding shares by 46% between 2004 and 2020, and it's raised its dividend annually for 18 straight years. It currently pays a forward dividend yield of 2.4%, which is supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 52%.</p><p><blockquote>TI 的业务天生具有抗通货膨胀的能力,因为它比其他芯片制造商更好地控制自己的供应链和运营费用,并且它产生了大量的多余现金用于回购和股息。2004 年至 2020 年间,该公司将流通股数量减少了 46%,并连续 18 年每年提高股息。它目前支付的远期股息率为 2.4%,并得到 52% 的可持续派息率的支持。</blockquote></p><p> TI's stock has more than doubled over the past three years, but it still trades at 23 times forward earnings. That reasonable valuation, along with its healthy yield and stable business, makes TI a reliable and inflation-resistant tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>TI 的股价在过去三年中上涨了一倍多,但其预期市盈率仍为 23 倍。合理的估值,加上健康的收益率和稳定的业务,使德州仪器成为一只可靠且抗通胀的科技股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/06/safe-dividend-stocks-that-help-crush-inflation/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VZ":"Verizon Comms","QCOM":"高通","AAPL":"苹果","TXN":"德州仪器"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/06/safe-dividend-stocks-that-help-crush-inflation/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153880755","content_text":"Rising inflation is wreaking havoc on many high-growth stocks as investors fret over higher costs and reduced future valuations. Higher interest rates, which counter inflation, are also sparking fears of an economic slowdown and causing investors to rotate from dividend stocks toward lower-risk bonds.\nFaced with these challenges, it might seem like a bad idea to buy dividend-paying tech stocks. However, these four tech dividend stocks should remain resilient and easily withstand the upcoming inflation-related challenges.\nImage source: Apple.\n1. Apple\nApple only pays a forward dividend yield of 0.5%, but its lowpayout ratioof 15% indicates there's still plenty of room for much higher payments. Apple's stock price has risen nearly 270% over the past three years, but it still doesn't look terribly expensive at 29 times forward earnings.\nApple is an inflation-resistant company for two simple reasons. First, it has the clout to negotiate more favorable prices from its suppliers. Second, it probably won't lose a lot of its loyal customers if it charges higher prices for its hardware since they're already firmly locked into its software ecosystem.\nApple has also consistently executed big stock buybacks, which have reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 22% over the past five years. Spending more cash on those buybacks, which boosts the value of its remaining shares, is a better strategy than letting its cash stagnate in an inflationary environment.\nApple will face a near-term slowdown as it grapples with supply chain constraints, but its long-term outlook is still bright. Its services ecosystem continues to expand, and it will eventually expand into new next-gen markets like augmented reality, virtual reality, and connected cars.\n2. Verizon\nVerizon pays a forward dividend yield of 5%. The telecom giant has raised that dividend annually for 15 straight years, and it's spent less than half of its earnings per share on those payments over the past 12 months. The stock also trades at just nine times forward earnings.\nAt first glance, Verizon seems like a lackluster investment. It's declined more than 10% over the past three years as the S&P 500 has risen nearly 70%.\nHowever, Verizon's stock will likely remain stable as rising inflation and higher interest rates rattle the markets. As the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., Verizon can likely pass on most of its higher costs onto consumers without significantly increasing its churn rates. It's also a more streamlined company than AT&T, which is still trying toundo the damageof the debt-fueled expansions of its media and pay-TV ecosystems.\nVerizon's stable returns, sticky ecosystem, high dividend, and low valuation will all make it an ideal safe-haven stock in an inflationary market.\n3. Qualcomm\nQualcomm, one of the world's largest mobile chipmakers, pays a forward dividend yield of 1.5%. It's raised its annual payout over the past two years, and it's only spent about a third of its earnings on its dividends over the past 12 months.\nQualcomm's two main businesses are both well-insulated from inflation. Its Snapdragon system on chips (SoCs), which bundle together a mobile CPU, GPU, and baseband modem, power most of the world's high-end smartphones. They can also be found in virtual reality headsets, cars, and drones. The secular growth of those markets will give Qualcomm plenty of pricing power.\nIts licensing business, which leverages its portfolio of wireless patents to earn a cut of every smartphone sold worldwide, also generates a stable stream of high-margin revenue. It then plows a large portion of that excess cash into big buybacks and dividends.\nQualcomm's stock has already risen more than 200% as investors have recognized those long-term strengths, but it still looks cheap at 17 times forward earnings.\n4. Texas Instruments\nTexas Instruments manufactures a wide range of analog and embedded chips for consumer electronics, cars, industrial machines, and other markets. These chips aren't as powerful as Qualcomm's mobile chips, but they're just as essential and less capital-intensive to produce.\nUnlike Qualcomm, which outsources the production of its chips to third-party foundries, TI manufactures its own chips in-house. That business model insulates it from the ongoing chip shortage, and its cost-cutting migration from 200mm to 300mm wafers over the past few years enabled it to significantly reduce its own manufacturing costs and boost its gross margins.\nTI's business is naturally resistant to inflation since it has much better control over its own supply chain and operating expenses than other chipmakers, and it generates plenty of excess cash for buybacks and dividends. It reduced its number of outstanding shares by 46% between 2004 and 2020, and it's raised its dividend annually for 18 straight years. It currently pays a forward dividend yield of 2.4%, which is supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 52%.\nTI's stock has more than doubled over the past three years, but it still trades at 23 times forward earnings. That reasonable valuation, along with its healthy yield and stable business, makes TI a reliable and inflation-resistant tech stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"VZ":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"TXN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608435473,"gmtCreate":1638774435717,"gmtModify":1638774435815,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖","listText":"The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖","text":"The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608435473","repostId":"1105188334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608335272,"gmtCreate":1638621650753,"gmtModify":1638621650886,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608335272","repostId":"2188523759","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608335676,"gmtCreate":1638621606109,"gmtModify":1638621606206,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪","listText":"Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪","text":"Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608335676","repostId":"2188853578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603568874,"gmtCreate":1638428923829,"gmtModify":1638428924149,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603568874","repostId":"2188049563","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":865189217,"gmtCreate":1632960994614,"gmtModify":1632961021221,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865189217","repostId":"2171300933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172930017,"gmtCreate":1626925678439,"gmtModify":1633769661261,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172930017","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868303065,"gmtCreate":1632585034357,"gmtModify":1632654851495,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868303065","repostId":"2169615117","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":835595536,"gmtCreate":1629726129125,"gmtModify":1633682916345,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835595536","repostId":"1105547841","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105547841","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629726022,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105547841?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价上涨近3%创新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105547841","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high in Monday morning trading.","content":"<p>NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘交易中,英伟达股价上涨近 3%,创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8075cefb2210baeb244ede722b51d9bc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价上涨近3%创新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价上涨近3%创新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-23 21:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘交易中,英伟达股价上涨近 3%,创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8075cefb2210baeb244ede722b51d9bc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105547841","content_text":"NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high in Monday morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":605321458,"gmtCreate":1639117258693,"gmtModify":1639117258863,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","listText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","text":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605321458","repostId":"1173696854","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173696854","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639100666,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173696854?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173696854","media":"Fortune","summary":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will be","content":"<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。这不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测,我们需要了解美联储如何制造不可持续的繁荣,以及为什么下一次衰退可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要一个警告。正如物理学家尼尔斯-玻尔(Niels Bohr)所说:“预测是非常困难的,尤其是在预测未来的时候。”尽管如此,我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分称重。美联储的通货膨胀政策让我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币就在地平线上:我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果狗可以拥有加密货币,为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢?他曾在 1976 年春天警告公众,由于美联储的通胀政策,物价即将加速上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%,1977年6.5%,1978年7.6%,1979年11.3%,1980年13.5%。谈论金钱上的正确!</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内飙升,时任总统吉米·卡特于 1979 年任命前银行家兼美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克 (Paul Volcker) 来阻止多年来的物价螺旋上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981 年消费者价格上涨了 10.3%,这表明在美联储的紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前,通胀势头可能会持续一段时间。1982 年,物价上涨了 6.1%,1983 年上涨了 3.2%,而(奇迹中的奇迹)1986 年(沃尔克卸任美联储主席并由艾伦·格林斯潘接任的前一年)仅上涨了 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现由于高通胀预期而当时被认为不可能实现的目标,沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率(银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率)提高到了22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑而采取的紧缩货币政策的代价是接二连三的衰退: 1980 年是短暂的衰退,1981-1982 年又是短暂的衰退。一个例子是,从1980年1月到1982年11月,发生了一次实际上持续了三年的长期衰退。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是周期性衰退的最佳先行指标之一,失业率在 1979 年 5 月达到周期性底部(5.6%),比 1980 年经济衰退早几个月,直到 1982 年 11 月(10.8%)才达到顶峰。失业率一直下降,直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b> has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前,<b>失业率</b>已从 2020 年初的封锁峰值开始下降,并已达到历史上预示着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率,但历史模式表明,当失业率接近3%然后上升时,衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b> is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛遵循的财务指标之一,通常预示着一年内的经济衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期利率和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下,收益率曲线是向上倾斜的,就像今天一样,当短期利率低于长期利率时,反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济 “过热 ”时,它往往会提高联邦基金利率,以冷却物价通胀,而物价通胀发生在 2000 年互联网泡沫和 2007 年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂,这表明衰退将在2020年的某个时候开始。然而,应对新冠肺炎的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退,而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在,由于美联储注入了 4 万亿美元的流动性来 “模拟 ”经济,经济又处于周期性上升期。在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)最近一次会议上,决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说,即使通胀率最近同比突破6%,美联储仍将继续踩下货币踏板。过去,通胀加速会敲响美联储加息以抑制通胀压力和预期的警钟。目前,美联储的想法是,物价通胀是 “暂时的”,因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此,我无畏的预测是:2022 年通胀将加速。然后,公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议和媒体报道强调物价如何削弱普通家庭的购买力,这可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在 1971 年那样,在 1972 年竞选连任之前实施工资价格控制,以消除通货膨胀的困扰。如果国会不授予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力,拜登可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制,我预计美联储将在 2022 年的某个时候提高联邦基金利率,并在 2023 年继续收紧。因此,下一次衰退可能会在 2023 年秋季开始,但不会晚于一年。如果衰退没有如期开始,那只意味着它被推迟了,而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次经济衰退: “万物泡沫 ”何时破裂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Fortune</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。这不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测,我们需要了解美联储如何制造不可持续的繁荣,以及为什么下一次衰退可能即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要一个警告。正如物理学家尼尔斯-玻尔(Niels Bohr)所说:“预测是非常困难的,尤其是在预测未来的时候。”尽管如此,我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分称重。美联储的通货膨胀政策让我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币就在地平线上:我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果狗可以拥有加密货币,为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢?他曾在 1976 年春天警告公众,由于美联储的通胀政策,物价即将加速上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%,1977年6.5%,1978年7.6%,1979年11.3%,1980年13.5%。谈论金钱上的正确!</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内飙升,时任总统吉米·卡特于 1979 年任命前银行家兼美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克 (Paul Volcker) 来阻止多年来的物价螺旋上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981 年消费者价格上涨了 10.3%,这表明在美联储的紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前,通胀势头可能会持续一段时间。1982 年,物价上涨了 6.1%,1983 年上涨了 3.2%,而(奇迹中的奇迹)1986 年(沃尔克卸任美联储主席并由艾伦·格林斯潘接任的前一年)仅上涨了 1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现由于高通胀预期而当时被认为不可能实现的目标,沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率(银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率)提高到了22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑而采取的紧缩货币政策的代价是接二连三的衰退: 1980 年是短暂的衰退,1981-1982 年又是短暂的衰退。一个例子是,从1980年1月到1982年11月,发生了一次实际上持续了三年的长期衰退。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是周期性衰退的最佳先行指标之一,失业率在 1979 年 5 月达到周期性底部(5.6%),比 1980 年经济衰退早几个月,直到 1982 年 11 月(10.8%)才达到顶峰。失业率一直下降,直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b> has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前,<b>失业率</b>已从 2020 年初的封锁峰值开始下降,并已达到历史上预示着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率,但历史模式表明,当失业率接近3%然后上升时,衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b> is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛遵循的财务指标之一,通常预示着一年内的经济衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期利率和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下,收益率曲线是向上倾斜的,就像今天一样,当短期利率低于长期利率时,反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济 “过热 ”时,它往往会提高联邦基金利率,以冷却物价通胀,而物价通胀发生在 2000 年互联网泡沫和 2007 年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂,这表明衰退将在2020年的某个时候开始。然而,应对新冠肺炎的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退,而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在,由于美联储注入了 4 万亿美元的流动性来 “模拟 ”经济,经济又处于周期性上升期。在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)最近一次会议上,决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说,即使通胀率最近同比突破6%,美联储仍将继续踩下货币踏板。过去,通胀加速会敲响美联储加息以抑制通胀压力和预期的警钟。目前,美联储的想法是,物价通胀是 “暂时的”,因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此,我无畏的预测是:2022 年通胀将加速。然后,公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议和媒体报道强调物价如何削弱普通家庭的购买力,这可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在 1971 年那样,在 1972 年竞选连任之前实施工资价格控制,以消除通货膨胀的困扰。如果国会不授予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力,拜登可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制,我预计美联储将在 2022 年的某个时候提高联邦基金利率,并在 2023 年继续收紧。因此,下一次衰退可能会在 2023 年秋季开始,但不会晚于一年。如果衰退没有如期开始,那只意味着它被推迟了,而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html\">Fortune</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173696854","content_text":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.\nA caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.\nIf a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?\nConsumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!\nAs inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.\nTo accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.\nPinpointing the moment\nOne of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.\nCurrently,the unemployment rate has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.\n\nThe yield curve is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.\nWhen the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.\nNow the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.\nMy fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.\nWithout price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876743667,"gmtCreate":1637369072547,"gmtModify":1637369072852,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876743667","repostId":"2184842262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879963802,"gmtCreate":1636677063499,"gmtModify":1636677071467,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879963802","repostId":"1174358718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846724972,"gmtCreate":1636116134522,"gmtModify":1636116301576,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846724972","repostId":"1156660858","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156660858","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636113788,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1156660858?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 20:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156660858","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of s","content":"<p>Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of strong earnings reports and Pfizer, while investors looked to monthly employment data for clues on the pace of economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>追踪标普500和纳斯达克指数的期货周五创下历史新高,受到一批强劲财报和辉瑞公司的提振,而投资者则从月度就业数据中寻找经济增长速度的线索。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.15%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.15%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 08:00,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 54 点,涨幅 0.15%,标普500电子迷你指数上涨 10.75 点,涨幅 0.23%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 23.75 点,涨幅 0.15%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e1332bf1b10c768776f84a7da4d481e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Travel stocks rose following the news, with American Airline , United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, cruise operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise rising between 2% and 4%.</p><p><blockquote>消息传出后,旅游股上涨,美国航空、联合航空、达美航空、邮轮运营商嘉年华公司和挪威邮轮上涨 2% 至 4%。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October while the unemployment rate fell to 4.6%, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 450,000. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五报告称,10 月份美国经济新增就业岗位超出预期,失业率降至 4.6%。当月非农就业人数增加 53.1 万人,而道琼斯预期为 45 万人。失业率预计将小幅下降至4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on Friday on the social policy and climate-change bill and a bipartisan infrastructure bill.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,美国众议院预计将于周五就社会政策和气候变化法案以及两党基础设施法案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer(PFE)</b> – The drug maker's shares surged 10.4% in premarket trading after a study showed that its experimental Covid-19 antiviral pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by nearly 90%. Pfizer said it will ask regulators to approve the pill as soon as possible.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞(PFE)</b>– 一项研究显示,该制药商的实验性 Covid-19 抗病毒药丸可将住院和死亡风险降低近 90%,该制药商的股价在盘前交易中飙升 10.4%。辉瑞公司表示,将要求监管机构尽快批准该药丸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b> – The sports betting company’s stock slid 10% in the premarket after it reported a wider-than-expected loss and revenue that fell short of Street forecasts. DraftKings did raise the midpoint of its fiscal 2021 revenue guidance and said it expected a strong 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b>- 这家体育博彩公司的股价在盘前下跌了 10%,此前该公司公布的亏损幅度超出预期,收入也低于华尔街的预测。DraftKings 确实提高了 2021 财年收入指引的中点,并表示预计 2022 年将表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA) </b>– Nvidia shares rose 3% in premarket trading Friday after a 12% rise yesterday.Well Fargo Securities analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating on Nvidia and bumped up the price target from $245 to $320.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>– 继昨天上涨 12% 后,英伟达股价在周五盘前交易中上涨 3%。富国银行证券分析师 Aaron Rakers 重申了英伟达的跑赢大盘评级,并将目标价从 245 美元上调至 320 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Peloton(PTON)</b> – Peloton tumbled 33% in the premarket after the fitness equipment maker slashed its full-year sales forecast by $1 billion, amid slowing demand for bikes and treadmills. Peloton also reported a quarterly loss of $1.21 per share, wider than the $1.07 loss expected by analysts, and revenue fell short of estimates as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>排(PTON)</b>– 由于自行车和跑步机需求放缓,这家健身器材制造商将全年销售预期下调了 10 亿美元,Peloton 在盘前暴跌 33%。Peloton 还公布季度亏损每股 1.21 美元,高于分析师预期的 1.07 美元亏损,收入也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expedia(EXPE)</b> – Expedia earned an adjusted $3.53 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $1.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was also higher than expected, with the travel services company benefiting from the surge in travel demand. Expedia soared 13.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Expedia</b>– Expedia 最新季度调整后每股收益为 3.53 美元,远高于市场普遍预期的 1.65 美元。收入也高于预期,这家旅游服务公司受益于旅游需求的激增。Expedia 在盘前交易中飙升 13.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb(ABNB)</b> – Airbnb rallied 5.9% in the premarket as the travel-demand surge lifted sales and earnings beyond Wall Street forecasts. Airbnb earned $1.22 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $0.75 consensus estimate, with sales coming in at a record high. The company also said it expects a strong holiday season.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎(ABNB)</b>– 由于旅游需求激增提振销售额和盈利超出华尔街预期,爱彼迎在盘前上涨 5.9%。爱彼迎最新季度每股收益为 1.22 美元,超过市场普遍预期的 0.75 美元,销售额创历史新高。该公司还表示,预计假日季将非常强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Uber Technologies(UBER) </b>– Uber reported its first profitable quarter on an adjusted basis, thanks to upbeat performances by its ride-sharing and food delivery services. It did post an overall loss due to the drop in value of its stake in China ride-hailing company Didi(DIDI). Uber rose 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>优步科技(UBER)</b>– Uber 公布了调整后的第一个季度盈利,这得益于其拼车和送餐服务的乐观表现。由于其持有的中国网约车公司滴滴(DIDI)股份价值下降,该公司确实出现了整体亏损。Uber 在盘前交易中上涨 2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinterest(PINS)</b> – Pinterest came in 5 cents above estimates with an adjusted quarterly profit of 28 cents per share, and the image-sharing site operator’s revenue also topped analyst forecasts. It is also predicting an upbeat current quarter as the online retailer spends more on holiday season ads. Pinterest jumped 3.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pinterest(针)</b>- Pinterest的调整后季度利润为每股 28 美分,比预期高出 5 美分,这家图片共享网站运营商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还预测本季度将乐观,因为这家在线零售商在假日广告上的支出增加。Pinterest在盘前交易中上涨 3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square(SQ)</b> -Square matched estimates with quarterly earnings of 37 cents per share, while the mobile payments company’s revenue missed forecasts. Square did see a nearly 60% rise in profit from a year earlier, thanks in large part to a surge in bitcoin transactions, but the stock dropped 3.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>正方形</b>-Square 的季度收益为每股 37 美分,符合预期,而这家移动支付公司的收入低于预期。Square 的利润确实比去年同期增长了近 60%,这在很大程度上要归功于比特币交易的激增,但该股在盘前交易中下跌了 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canopy Growth(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer lost 3 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 20-cent loss expected by analysts. However, revenue fell short of estimates and the company flagged slower-than-expected revenue growth for the second half of fiscal 2022. The stock fell 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>– 这家加拿大大麻生产商最近一个季度每股亏损 3 美分,低于分析师预期的 20 美分亏损。然而,收入低于预期,该公司 2022 财年下半年的收入增长低于预期。该股盘前下跌2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – Shake Shack reported a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, 1 cent less than Wall Street had anticipated, but the restaurant chain’s sales missed analyst forecasts. Despite the revenue miss, Shake Shack rallied 7.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>摇晃小屋(摇晃)</b>- Shake Shack 公布的季度亏损为每股 5 美分,比华尔街预期少 1 美分,但这家连锁餐厅的销售额低于分析师的预测。尽管收入低迷,Shake Shack 在盘前仍上涨了 7.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canada Goose(GOOS)</b> – The outerwear maker reported an unexpected profit for its latest quarter along with better-than-expected revenue, and also raised its full-year forecast. Canada Goose also said it’s seeing an indication of a strong winter season, and shares jumped 7.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大鹅</b>– 这家外套制造商公布了最新季度的意外利润以及好于预期的收入,并上调了全年预测。Canada Goose 还表示,它看到了冬季强劲的迹象,股价在盘前大涨 7.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV) </b>– Live Nation shares rallied 5.4% in premarket action after the event promoter returned to profit amid a sales surge as live events returned. Results exceeded analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote><b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV)</b>– 随着现场活动的回归,活动发起人在销售额激增的情况下恢复盈利,Live Nation 股价在盘前上涨 5.4%。结果超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lions Gate Entertainment(LGF)</b> – The movie and tv studio is considering a sale or spin-off of its Starz premium cable channel, saying it sees the potential to unlock significant shareholder value. The stock surged 15.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>狮门娱乐 (LGF)</b>– 这家电影和电视工作室正在考虑出售或分拆其 Starz 付费有线电视频道,并表示它看到了释放巨大股东价值的潜力。该股盘前飙升15.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-05 20:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of strong earnings reports and Pfizer, while investors looked to monthly employment data for clues on the pace of economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>追踪标普500和纳斯达克指数的期货周五创下历史新高,受到一批强劲财报和辉瑞公司的提振,而投资者则从月度就业数据中寻找经济增长速度的线索。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.15%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.15%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 08:00,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 54 点,涨幅 0.15%,标普500电子迷你指数上涨 10.75 点,涨幅 0.23%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 23.75 点,涨幅 0.15%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e1332bf1b10c768776f84a7da4d481e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Travel stocks rose following the news, with American Airline , United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, cruise operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise rising between 2% and 4%.</p><p><blockquote>消息传出后,旅游股上涨,美国航空、联合航空、达美航空、邮轮运营商嘉年华公司和挪威邮轮上涨 2% 至 4%。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October while the unemployment rate fell to 4.6%, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 450,000. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五报告称,10 月份美国经济新增就业岗位超出预期,失业率降至 4.6%。当月非农就业人数增加 53.1 万人,而道琼斯预期为 45 万人。失业率预计将小幅下降至4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on Friday on the social policy and climate-change bill and a bipartisan infrastructure bill.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,美国众议院预计将于周五就社会政策和气候变化法案以及两党基础设施法案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer(PFE)</b> – The drug maker's shares surged 10.4% in premarket trading after a study showed that its experimental Covid-19 antiviral pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by nearly 90%. Pfizer said it will ask regulators to approve the pill as soon as possible.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞(PFE)</b>– 一项研究显示,该制药商的实验性 Covid-19 抗病毒药丸可将住院和死亡风险降低近 90%,该制药商的股价在盘前交易中飙升 10.4%。辉瑞公司表示,将要求监管机构尽快批准该药丸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b> – The sports betting company’s stock slid 10% in the premarket after it reported a wider-than-expected loss and revenue that fell short of Street forecasts. DraftKings did raise the midpoint of its fiscal 2021 revenue guidance and said it expected a strong 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b>- 这家体育博彩公司的股价在盘前下跌了 10%,此前该公司公布的亏损幅度超出预期,收入也低于华尔街的预测。DraftKings 确实提高了 2021 财年收入指引的中点,并表示预计 2022 年将表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA) </b>– Nvidia shares rose 3% in premarket trading Friday after a 12% rise yesterday.Well Fargo Securities analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating on Nvidia and bumped up the price target from $245 to $320.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>– 继昨天上涨 12% 后,英伟达股价在周五盘前交易中上涨 3%。富国银行证券分析师 Aaron Rakers 重申了英伟达的跑赢大盘评级,并将目标价从 245 美元上调至 320 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Peloton(PTON)</b> – Peloton tumbled 33% in the premarket after the fitness equipment maker slashed its full-year sales forecast by $1 billion, amid slowing demand for bikes and treadmills. Peloton also reported a quarterly loss of $1.21 per share, wider than the $1.07 loss expected by analysts, and revenue fell short of estimates as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>排(PTON)</b>– 由于自行车和跑步机需求放缓,这家健身器材制造商将全年销售预期下调了 10 亿美元,Peloton 在盘前暴跌 33%。Peloton 还公布季度亏损每股 1.21 美元,高于分析师预期的 1.07 美元亏损,收入也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expedia(EXPE)</b> – Expedia earned an adjusted $3.53 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $1.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was also higher than expected, with the travel services company benefiting from the surge in travel demand. Expedia soared 13.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Expedia</b>– Expedia 最新季度调整后每股收益为 3.53 美元,远高于市场普遍预期的 1.65 美元。收入也高于预期,这家旅游服务公司受益于旅游需求的激增。Expedia 在盘前交易中飙升 13.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb(ABNB)</b> – Airbnb rallied 5.9% in the premarket as the travel-demand surge lifted sales and earnings beyond Wall Street forecasts. Airbnb earned $1.22 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $0.75 consensus estimate, with sales coming in at a record high. The company also said it expects a strong holiday season.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎(ABNB)</b>– 由于旅游需求激增提振销售额和盈利超出华尔街预期,爱彼迎在盘前上涨 5.9%。爱彼迎最新季度每股收益为 1.22 美元,超过市场普遍预期的 0.75 美元,销售额创历史新高。该公司还表示,预计假日季将非常强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Uber Technologies(UBER) </b>– Uber reported its first profitable quarter on an adjusted basis, thanks to upbeat performances by its ride-sharing and food delivery services. It did post an overall loss due to the drop in value of its stake in China ride-hailing company Didi(DIDI). Uber rose 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>优步科技(UBER)</b>– Uber 公布了调整后的第一个季度盈利,这得益于其拼车和送餐服务的乐观表现。由于其持有的中国网约车公司滴滴(DIDI)股份价值下降,该公司确实出现了整体亏损。Uber 在盘前交易中上涨 2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinterest(PINS)</b> – Pinterest came in 5 cents above estimates with an adjusted quarterly profit of 28 cents per share, and the image-sharing site operator’s revenue also topped analyst forecasts. It is also predicting an upbeat current quarter as the online retailer spends more on holiday season ads. Pinterest jumped 3.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pinterest(针)</b>- Pinterest的调整后季度利润为每股 28 美分,比预期高出 5 美分,这家图片共享网站运营商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还预测本季度将乐观,因为这家在线零售商在假日广告上的支出增加。Pinterest在盘前交易中上涨 3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square(SQ)</b> -Square matched estimates with quarterly earnings of 37 cents per share, while the mobile payments company’s revenue missed forecasts. Square did see a nearly 60% rise in profit from a year earlier, thanks in large part to a surge in bitcoin transactions, but the stock dropped 3.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>正方形</b>-Square 的季度收益为每股 37 美分,符合预期,而这家移动支付公司的收入低于预期。Square 的利润确实比去年同期增长了近 60%,这在很大程度上要归功于比特币交易的激增,但该股在盘前交易中下跌了 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canopy Growth(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer lost 3 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 20-cent loss expected by analysts. However, revenue fell short of estimates and the company flagged slower-than-expected revenue growth for the second half of fiscal 2022. The stock fell 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>– 这家加拿大大麻生产商最近一个季度每股亏损 3 美分,低于分析师预期的 20 美分亏损。然而,收入低于预期,该公司 2022 财年下半年的收入增长低于预期。该股盘前下跌2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – Shake Shack reported a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, 1 cent less than Wall Street had anticipated, but the restaurant chain’s sales missed analyst forecasts. Despite the revenue miss, Shake Shack rallied 7.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>摇晃小屋(摇晃)</b>- Shake Shack 公布的季度亏损为每股 5 美分,比华尔街预期少 1 美分,但这家连锁餐厅的销售额低于分析师的预测。尽管收入低迷,Shake Shack 在盘前仍上涨了 7.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canada Goose(GOOS)</b> – The outerwear maker reported an unexpected profit for its latest quarter along with better-than-expected revenue, and also raised its full-year forecast. Canada Goose also said it’s seeing an indication of a strong winter season, and shares jumped 7.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大鹅</b>– 这家外套制造商公布了最新季度的意外利润以及好于预期的收入,并上调了全年预测。Canada Goose 还表示,它看到了冬季强劲的迹象,股价在盘前大涨 7.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV) </b>– Live Nation shares rallied 5.4% in premarket action after the event promoter returned to profit amid a sales surge as live events returned. Results exceeded analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote><b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV)</b>– 随着现场活动的回归,活动发起人在销售额激增的情况下恢复盈利,Live Nation 股价在盘前上涨 5.4%。结果超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lions Gate Entertainment(LGF)</b> – The movie and tv studio is considering a sale or spin-off of its Starz premium cable channel, saying it sees the potential to unlock significant shareholder value. The stock surged 15.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>狮门娱乐 (LGF)</b>– 这家电影和电视工作室正在考虑出售或分拆其 Starz 付费有线电视频道,并表示它看到了释放巨大股东价值的潜力。该股盘前飙升15.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","GOOS":"加拿大鹅","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation","NVDA":"英伟达",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","LYV":"Live Nation Entertainment","PFE":"辉瑞","UBER":"优步",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SHAK":"Shake Shack Inc","EXPE":"Expedia"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156660858","content_text":"Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of strong earnings reports and Pfizer, while investors looked to monthly employment data for clues on the pace of economic growth.\nAt 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.15%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.15%.\n\nTravel stocks rose following the news, with American Airline , United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, cruise operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise rising between 2% and 4%.\nThe U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October while the unemployment rate fell to 4.6%, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 450,000. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 4.7%.\nMeanwhile, the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on Friday on the social policy and climate-change bill and a bipartisan infrastructure bill.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nPfizer(PFE) – The drug maker's shares surged 10.4% in premarket trading after a study showed that its experimental Covid-19 antiviral pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by nearly 90%. Pfizer said it will ask regulators to approve the pill as soon as possible.\nDraftKings(DKNG) – The sports betting company’s stock slid 10% in the premarket after it reported a wider-than-expected loss and revenue that fell short of Street forecasts. DraftKings did raise the midpoint of its fiscal 2021 revenue guidance and said it expected a strong 2022.\nNvidia(NVDA) – Nvidia shares rose 3% in premarket trading Friday after a 12% rise yesterday.Well Fargo Securities analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating on Nvidia and bumped up the price target from $245 to $320.\nPeloton(PTON) – Peloton tumbled 33% in the premarket after the fitness equipment maker slashed its full-year sales forecast by $1 billion, amid slowing demand for bikes and treadmills. Peloton also reported a quarterly loss of $1.21 per share, wider than the $1.07 loss expected by analysts, and revenue fell short of estimates as well.\nExpedia(EXPE) – Expedia earned an adjusted $3.53 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $1.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was also higher than expected, with the travel services company benefiting from the surge in travel demand. Expedia soared 13.7% in premarket trading.\nAirbnb(ABNB) – Airbnb rallied 5.9% in the premarket as the travel-demand surge lifted sales and earnings beyond Wall Street forecasts. Airbnb earned $1.22 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $0.75 consensus estimate, with sales coming in at a record high. The company also said it expects a strong holiday season.\nUber Technologies(UBER) – Uber reported its first profitable quarter on an adjusted basis, thanks to upbeat performances by its ride-sharing and food delivery services. It did post an overall loss due to the drop in value of its stake in China ride-hailing company Didi(DIDI). Uber rose 2.5% in premarket trading.\nPinterest(PINS) – Pinterest came in 5 cents above estimates with an adjusted quarterly profit of 28 cents per share, and the image-sharing site operator’s revenue also topped analyst forecasts. It is also predicting an upbeat current quarter as the online retailer spends more on holiday season ads. Pinterest jumped 3.8% in premarket action.\nSquare(SQ) -Square matched estimates with quarterly earnings of 37 cents per share, while the mobile payments company’s revenue missed forecasts. Square did see a nearly 60% rise in profit from a year earlier, thanks in large part to a surge in bitcoin transactions, but the stock dropped 3.5% in premarket trading.\nCanopy Growth(CGC) – The Canadian cannabis producer lost 3 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 20-cent loss expected by analysts. However, revenue fell short of estimates and the company flagged slower-than-expected revenue growth for the second half of fiscal 2022. The stock fell 2.7% in the premarket.\nShake Shack(SHAK) – Shake Shack reported a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, 1 cent less than Wall Street had anticipated, but the restaurant chain’s sales missed analyst forecasts. Despite the revenue miss, Shake Shack rallied 7.6% in the premarket.\nCanada Goose(GOOS) – The outerwear maker reported an unexpected profit for its latest quarter along with better-than-expected revenue, and also raised its full-year forecast. Canada Goose also said it’s seeing an indication of a strong winter season, and shares jumped 7.4% in the premarket.\nLive Nation Entertainment(LYV) – Live Nation shares rallied 5.4% in premarket action after the event promoter returned to profit amid a sales surge as live events returned. Results exceeded analyst estimates.\nLions Gate Entertainment(LGF) – The movie and tv studio is considering a sale or spin-off of its Starz premium cable channel, saying it sees the potential to unlock significant shareholder value. The stock surged 15.1% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"EXPE":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"LYV":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PINS":0.9,"CGC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"GOOS":0.9,"LGF":0.9,"PTON":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"SHAK":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872821262,"gmtCreate":1637480142904,"gmtModify":1637480142986,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872821262","repostId":"2184828468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859263526,"gmtCreate":1634701081491,"gmtModify":1634701145966,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859263526","repostId":"1154729060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154729060","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634700852,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154729060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading<blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154729060","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The Hang Seng Index rises 1.5% while The Hang Se","content":"<p>Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The Hang Seng Index rises 1.5% while The Hang Seng Technology Index jumps 3%.</p><p><blockquote>香港股市周三交易中飙升。恒生指数上涨1.5%,恒生科技指数上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent,Alibaba,Meituan,JD.com,Xiaomi,Bilibili,Netease,Kuaishou climb between 2% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯、阿里巴巴、美团、京东、小米、哔哩哔哩、网易、快手涨幅在2%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50fb6256ddbebea08837e1e9a9619c97\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading<blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-20 11:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The Hang Seng Index rises 1.5% while The Hang Seng Technology Index jumps 3%.</p><p><blockquote>香港股市周三交易中飙升。恒生指数上涨1.5%,恒生科技指数上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent,Alibaba,Meituan,JD.com,Xiaomi,Bilibili,Netease,Kuaishou climb between 2% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯、阿里巴巴、美团、京东、小米、哔哩哔哩、网易、快手涨幅在2%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50fb6256ddbebea08837e1e9a9619c97\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSI":"恒生指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154729060","content_text":"Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The Hang Seng Index rises 1.5% while The Hang Seng Technology Index jumps 3%.\nTencent,Alibaba,Meituan,JD.com,Xiaomi,Bilibili,Netease,Kuaishou climb between 2% and 9%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}