SK19的个人主页 - 老虎社区

SK19

SK19

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

5关注

15粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-09-30

💪💪💪

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-22

💪💪💪

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-25

💪💪💪

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-23

💪💪💪

NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价涨近3%创新高</blockquote>

2021-12-10

It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…

The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote>

2021-11-20

💪💪💪

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-12

💪💪💪

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-05

💪💪💪

Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-11-21

💪💪💪

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-20

💪💪💪

Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading<blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3577755293052640","uuid":"3577755293052640","gmtCreate":1614663551244,"gmtModify":1619574401550,"name":"SK19","pinyin":"sk19","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":15,"headSize":5,"tweetSize":285,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.10.20","exceedPercentage":"80.17%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-1","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资经理虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到10万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8dfc27c1ee0e25db1c93e9d0b641101","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f43908c142f8a33c78f5bdf0e2897488","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82165ff19cb8a786e8919f92acee5213","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.10.07","exceedPercentage":"60.11%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":691016403,"gmtCreate":1640097589633,"gmtModify":1640097599209,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The institution players’&nbsp;playground…","listText":"The institution players’&nbsp;playground…","text":"The institution players’ playground…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691016403","repostId":"2192181330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691036555,"gmtCreate":1640096651038,"gmtModify":1640096651215,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691036555","repostId":"2192215184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693080159,"gmtCreate":1639927780373,"gmtModify":1639927780585,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693080159","repostId":"2192903795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699565927,"gmtCreate":1639842269534,"gmtModify":1639842269713,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699565927","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699569355,"gmtCreate":1639841391551,"gmtModify":1639841391726,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip 💪💪💪","listText":"Buy the dip 💪💪💪","text":"Buy the dip 💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699569355","repostId":"1156042491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156042491","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639708576,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156042491?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>AMD、高通和Skyworks股价为何暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156042491","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nIt's Thursday, and semiconductor stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of Adva","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> It's Thursday, and&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of&nbsp;<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD)have already lost 5.37%,&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>(NASDAQ:QCOM)is down 5.88%, and&nbsp;<b>Skyworks Solutions</b>(NASDAQ:SWKS)is taking it particularly hard on the chin -- down 8.47%.</p><p><blockquote>今天是周四，半导体股陷入恐慌。截至下午4点美国东部时间，股份<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD）已经下跌了5.37%，<b>Qualcomm</b>（纳斯达克：QCOM）下跌5.88%，<b>Skyworks解决方案</b>（纳斯达克：SWKS）的表现尤其糟糕，下跌了8.47%。</blockquote></p><p> I blame&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>&nbsp;for all of the above.</p><p><blockquote>我责怪<b>苹果</b>对于以上所有内容。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors in chips stocks today have only a choice between bad short-term news and potentially worse long-term news, I fear. In the short term, the bad news is this:</p><p><blockquote>我担心，如今芯片股的投资者只能在糟糕的短期消息和可能更糟糕的长期消息之间做出选择。短期来看，坏消息是这样的：</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 smartphones are in short supply this holiday season, according to a report from an analyst at&nbsp;<b>KeyBanc Capital Markets</b>, relayed byThe Fly. Indeed, demand for the devices has outstripped supply since Thanksgiving. And despite reports that&nbsp;things had been getting better earlier this month&nbsp;as the delta COVID-19 pandemic switched over into an omicron COVID-19 pandemic, KeyBanc analyst John Vinh now observes that \"the majority of stores\" he has surveyed report not having&nbsp;<i>any</i>&nbsp;iPhone 13 Pro or Max phones in stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据分析师的报告，iPhone 13智能手机在这个假期供不应求<b>KeyBanc资本市场</b>，由苍蝇接力。事实上，自感恩节以来，对这些设备的需求已经超过了供应。尽管有报道称，本月早些时候，随着三角洲COVID-19大流行转变为奥密克戎COVID-19大流行，情况有所好转，但KeyBanc分析师John Vinh现在观察到，他调查的“大多数商店”报告没有<i>任何</i>iPhone 13 Pro或Max手机有货。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, he concludes that this news is ultimately only neutral for companies including AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks that supply chips for Apple devices -- but neutral isn't good. While suppliers can presumably charge Apple premium prices in a time of constrained chip supply, fewer iPhone sales still logically implies fewer chips being sold to build those Apple products.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，他的结论是，这一消息最终只对AMD、高通和Skyworks等为苹果设备供应芯片的公司是中立的，但中立并不好。虽然在芯片供应紧张的情况下，供应商可能会向苹果收取溢价，但iPhone销量减少在逻辑上仍然意味着用于制造这些苹果产品的芯片减少。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, you have to figure that, at some point, Apple is going to get upset at its inability to obtain all the chips it wants. This, combined with the company's already-confirmed belief that it can&nbsp;design better chips itself&nbsp;than it can buy from third-party chipmakers, creates&nbsp;a longer-term risk&nbsp;of semiconductor companies losing Apple (and eventually, companies other than Apple) as dependable customers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，你必须明白，在某个时候，苹果将会因为无法获得它想要的所有芯片而感到不安。这一点，再加上该公司已经证实的信念，即它可以自己设计比从第三方芯片制造商那里购买更好的芯片，这就造成了半导体公司失去苹果（最终失去苹果以外的公司）作为可靠客户的长期风险。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, we note that Bloomberg is reporting today that Apple has begun hiring engineers skilled in building wireless communication chips, with the aim of \"eventually\" replacing suppliers&nbsp;<b>Broadcom</b>&nbsp;and Skyworks with wireless chips Apple designs in-house.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面，我们注意到彭博社今天报道说，苹果已经开始招聘擅长制造无线通信芯片的工程师，目的是“最终”取代供应商<b>Broadcom</b>Skyworks采用苹果内部设计的无线芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Now, you might not think that bad news for Skyworks would necessarily affect companies like AMD and Qualcomm -- and today, Skyworks<i>is</i>in fact faring worse than the others. One reason: A decision by Apple to design its own wireless chips appears to be part of the same story that saw Apple oust&nbsp;<b>Intel</b>&nbsp;as its favored chip supplier&nbsp;last year.</p><p><blockquote>现在，您可能不会认为Skyworks的坏消息一定会影响AMD和高通等公司——而今天，Skyworks<i>是</i>事实上比其他人过得更糟。原因之一：苹果设计自己的无线芯片的决定似乎是导致苹果下台的同一故事的一部分<b>英特尔</b>作为其去年青睐的芯片供应商。</blockquote></p><p> More and more frequently, it appears that Apple -- and eventually other companies -- may be deciding that it's better to design their chips in-house than buy off the shelf. Long term, that's a threat to all dedicated semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>越来越多的情况是，苹果——最终还有其他公司——可能会决定在内部设计芯片比购买现成的芯片更好。从长远来看，这对所有专注的半导体公司都是一个威胁。</blockquote></p><p> And it's why pretty much everyone associated with the chip industry&nbsp;is going down.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么几乎所有与芯片行业相关的人都在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>AMD、高通和Skyworks股价为何暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks Stocks Crashed<blockquote>AMD、高通和Skyworks股价为何暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> It's Thursday, and&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of&nbsp;<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD)have already lost 5.37%,&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>(NASDAQ:QCOM)is down 5.88%, and&nbsp;<b>Skyworks Solutions</b>(NASDAQ:SWKS)is taking it particularly hard on the chin -- down 8.47%.</p><p><blockquote>今天是周四，半导体股陷入恐慌。截至下午4点美国东部时间，股份<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD）已经下跌了5.37%，<b>Qualcomm</b>（纳斯达克：QCOM）下跌5.88%，<b>Skyworks解决方案</b>（纳斯达克：SWKS）的表现尤其糟糕，下跌了8.47%。</blockquote></p><p> I blame&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>&nbsp;for all of the above.</p><p><blockquote>我责怪<b>苹果</b>对于以上所有内容。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors in chips stocks today have only a choice between bad short-term news and potentially worse long-term news, I fear. In the short term, the bad news is this:</p><p><blockquote>我担心，如今芯片股的投资者只能在糟糕的短期消息和可能更糟糕的长期消息之间做出选择。短期来看，坏消息是这样的：</blockquote></p><p> iPhone 13 smartphones are in short supply this holiday season, according to a report from an analyst at&nbsp;<b>KeyBanc Capital Markets</b>, relayed byThe Fly. Indeed, demand for the devices has outstripped supply since Thanksgiving. And despite reports that&nbsp;things had been getting better earlier this month&nbsp;as the delta COVID-19 pandemic switched over into an omicron COVID-19 pandemic, KeyBanc analyst John Vinh now observes that \"the majority of stores\" he has surveyed report not having&nbsp;<i>any</i>&nbsp;iPhone 13 Pro or Max phones in stock.</p><p><blockquote>根据分析师的报告，iPhone 13智能手机在这个假期供不应求<b>KeyBanc资本市场</b>，由苍蝇接力。事实上，自感恩节以来，对这些设备的需求已经超过了供应。尽管有报道称，本月早些时候，随着三角洲COVID-19大流行转变为奥密克戎COVID-19大流行，情况有所好转，但KeyBanc分析师John Vinh现在观察到，他调查的“大多数商店”报告没有<i>任何</i>iPhone 13 Pro或Max手机有货。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, he concludes that this news is ultimately only neutral for companies including AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks that supply chips for Apple devices -- but neutral isn't good. While suppliers can presumably charge Apple premium prices in a time of constrained chip supply, fewer iPhone sales still logically implies fewer chips being sold to build those Apple products.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，他的结论是，这一消息最终只对AMD、高通和Skyworks等为苹果设备供应芯片的公司是中立的，但中立并不好。虽然在芯片供应紧张的情况下，供应商可能会向苹果收取溢价，但iPhone销量减少在逻辑上仍然意味着用于制造这些苹果产品的芯片减少。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> At the same time, you have to figure that, at some point, Apple is going to get upset at its inability to obtain all the chips it wants. This, combined with the company's already-confirmed belief that it can&nbsp;design better chips itself&nbsp;than it can buy from third-party chipmakers, creates&nbsp;a longer-term risk&nbsp;of semiconductor companies losing Apple (and eventually, companies other than Apple) as dependable customers.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，你必须明白，在某个时候，苹果将会因为无法获得它想要的所有芯片而感到不安。这一点，再加上该公司已经证实的信念，即它可以自己设计比从第三方芯片制造商那里购买更好的芯片，这就造成了半导体公司失去苹果（最终失去苹果以外的公司）作为可靠客户的长期风险。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, we note that Bloomberg is reporting today that Apple has begun hiring engineers skilled in building wireless communication chips, with the aim of \"eventually\" replacing suppliers&nbsp;<b>Broadcom</b>&nbsp;and Skyworks with wireless chips Apple designs in-house.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面，我们注意到彭博社今天报道说，苹果已经开始招聘擅长制造无线通信芯片的工程师，目的是“最终”取代供应商<b>Broadcom</b>Skyworks采用苹果内部设计的无线芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Now, you might not think that bad news for Skyworks would necessarily affect companies like AMD and Qualcomm -- and today, Skyworks<i>is</i>in fact faring worse than the others. One reason: A decision by Apple to design its own wireless chips appears to be part of the same story that saw Apple oust&nbsp;<b>Intel</b>&nbsp;as its favored chip supplier&nbsp;last year.</p><p><blockquote>现在，您可能不会认为Skyworks的坏消息一定会影响AMD和高通等公司——而今天，Skyworks<i>是</i>事实上比其他人过得更糟。原因之一：苹果设计自己的无线芯片的决定似乎是导致苹果下台的同一故事的一部分<b>英特尔</b>作为其去年青睐的芯片供应商。</blockquote></p><p> More and more frequently, it appears that Apple -- and eventually other companies -- may be deciding that it's better to design their chips in-house than buy off the shelf. Long term, that's a threat to all dedicated semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>越来越多的情况是，苹果——最终还有其他公司——可能会决定在内部设计芯片比购买现成的芯片更好。从长远来看，这对所有专注的半导体公司都是一个威胁。</blockquote></p><p> And it's why pretty much everyone associated with the chip industry&nbsp;is going down.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么几乎所有与芯片行业相关的人都在走下坡路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/why-amd-qualcomm-and-skyworks-stocks-just-crashed/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通","AMD":"美国超微公司","SWKS":"思佳讯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/16/why-amd-qualcomm-and-skyworks-stocks-just-crashed/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156042491","content_text":"What happened\nIt's Thursday, and semiconductor stocks are in a funk. As of 4 p.m. ET, shares of Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD)have already lost 5.37%, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)is down 5.88%, and Skyworks Solutions(NASDAQ:SWKS)is taking it particularly hard on the chin -- down 8.47%.\nI blame Apple for all of the above.\nSo what\nInvestors in chips stocks today have only a choice between bad short-term news and potentially worse long-term news, I fear. In the short term, the bad news is this:\niPhone 13 smartphones are in short supply this holiday season, according to a report from an analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets, relayed byThe Fly. Indeed, demand for the devices has outstripped supply since Thanksgiving. And despite reports that things had been getting better earlier this month as the delta COVID-19 pandemic switched over into an omicron COVID-19 pandemic, KeyBanc analyst John Vinh now observes that \"the majority of stores\" he has surveyed report not having any iPhone 13 Pro or Max phones in stock.\nGranted, he concludes that this news is ultimately only neutral for companies including AMD, Qualcomm, and Skyworks that supply chips for Apple devices -- but neutral isn't good. While suppliers can presumably charge Apple premium prices in a time of constrained chip supply, fewer iPhone sales still logically implies fewer chips being sold to build those Apple products.\nNow what\nAt the same time, you have to figure that, at some point, Apple is going to get upset at its inability to obtain all the chips it wants. This, combined with the company's already-confirmed belief that it can design better chips itself than it can buy from third-party chipmakers, creates a longer-term risk of semiconductor companies losing Apple (and eventually, companies other than Apple) as dependable customers.\nIn that regard, we note that Bloomberg is reporting today that Apple has begun hiring engineers skilled in building wireless communication chips, with the aim of \"eventually\" replacing suppliers Broadcom and Skyworks with wireless chips Apple designs in-house.\nNow, you might not think that bad news for Skyworks would necessarily affect companies like AMD and Qualcomm -- and today, Skyworksisin fact faring worse than the others. One reason: A decision by Apple to design its own wireless chips appears to be part of the same story that saw Apple oust Intel as its favored chip supplier last year.\nMore and more frequently, it appears that Apple -- and eventually other companies -- may be deciding that it's better to design their chips in-house than buy off the shelf. Long term, that's a threat to all dedicated semiconductor companies.\nAnd it's why pretty much everyone associated with the chip industry is going down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SWKS":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690970773,"gmtCreate":1639626662025,"gmtModify":1639626665550,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690970773","repostId":"1117904160","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117904160","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639620135,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117904160?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022年蔚来日：12月18日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的13件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117904160","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about.\nLet’s ","content":"<p><div> Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about. Let’s dive into all the latest news that traders of NIO stock need to know about today.  First off, it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>蔚来（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）日即将来临，投资者有很多值得兴奋的事情。让我们深入了解蔚来股票交易者今天需要了解的所有最新消息。首先，它...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022年蔚来日：12月18日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的13件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Day 2022: 13 Things for Nio Stock Investors to Expect on Dec. 18<blockquote>2022年蔚来日：12月18日蔚来股票投资者值得期待的13件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 10:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about. Let’s dive into all the latest news that traders of NIO stock need to know about today.  First off, it ...</p><p><blockquote><div>蔚来（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）日即将来临，投资者有很多值得兴奋的事情。让我们深入了解蔚来股票交易者今天需要了解的所有最新消息。首先，它...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/nio-day-2022-13-things-for-nio-stock-investors-to-expect-on-dec-18/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117904160","content_text":"Nio(NYSE:NIO) Day is quickly approaching and there’s a lot for investors to be excited about.\nLet’s dive into all the latest news that traders of NIO stock need to know about today.\n\nFirst off, it looks like Nio Day will see the company revealing several new electric vehicles (EVs).\nThat includes a possible two new vehicle models, as well as a new vehicle brand.\nCurrent rumors claim one of the new vehicles in the ET5.\nThis is a mid-size sedan that will likely compete with other EVs on the market at a lower price than the ET7.\nTalk about the ET5 continues to heat up today after the EV company shared an image on its website.\nThis shows the outline of a still-unnamed vehicle from the company and many believe it to be the ET5.\nThere’s also talk of a potential ET(, which would be a sports coupe.\n\n\nOther rumors claim we might see the company reveal a multipurpose EV as well during the event.\nOf course, investors will have to wait until Nio Day before they can truly know what the next EVs from the company are.\nLuckily, that’s not too far away.\nNio will hold its special event on December 18, which is this Saturday.\nThe reveal event will take place at the Olympic Sports Center in Suzhou, China.\nNow we just have to wait for Nio Day to get here and confirm or bust all these rumors!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690970269,"gmtCreate":1639626604830,"gmtModify":1639626605035,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690970269","repostId":"1139829157","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139829157","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639621783,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139829157?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 10:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股票最终上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139829157","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nFor five long days, it looked like Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock could do no right-- the sh","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> For five long days, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock&nbsp;could do no right-- the share price just kept dropping as investors sought out cheaper ways to play&nbsp;the global semiconductor shortage.</p><p><blockquote>在漫长的五天里，看起来<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA）股票表现不佳——随着投资者寻找更便宜的方式来应对全球半导体短缺，股价不断下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That ended Wednesday morning when traders latched on to some positive commentary from an analyst at KeyBanc. As of 4 p.m. ET, Nvidia stock was up&nbsp;7.49%.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，当交易员抓住KeyBanc分析师的一些积极评论时，这种情况结束了。截至美国东部时间下午4点，英伟达股价上涨7.</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> What did KeyBanc analyst John Vinn say to stop the slide? Not a lot, actually -- but apparently, enough.</p><p><blockquote>KeyBanc分析师John Vinn说了什么来阻止下滑？实际上，不是很多，但显然，足够了。</blockquote></p><p> As&nbsp;StreetInsider.com&nbsp;reports, the bank's \"November cloud instance tracker\" is showing strong demand for cloud computing services (and Nvidia's semiconductors help with those). Specifically, \"instances\" of cloud computing services being used grew by 29% year over year in November, and by 6% in comparison to October. The news was best for&nbsp;<b>Microsoft</b>'s(NASDAQ:MSFT)Azure business, and&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>'s(NASDAQ:AMZN)AWS, both of which grew faster than average year over year.</p><p><blockquote>正如StreetInsider.com报道的那样，该银行的“11月云实例跟踪”显示了对云计算服务的强劲需求（英伟达的半导体在这方面提供了帮助）。具体来说，11月份使用的云计算服务“实例”同比增长29%，与10月份相比增长6%。这个消息最适合<b>微软</b>（纳斯达克：MSFT）的Azure业务，以及<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）的AWS，两者的同比增长都快于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the chipmakers, KeyBanc was most optimistic about&nbsp;<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD), whose chips largely power Microsoft's Azure, and less so about&nbsp;<b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:INTC), noting that Intel's processor deployments grew 4% month over month and 22% year over year across all major cloud services providers -- below the averages.</p><p><blockquote>从芯片制造商来看，KeyBanc最看好<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD），其芯片主要为微软的Azure提供动力，而不是<b>英特尔</b>（纳斯达克：INTC）指出，英特尔在所有主要云服务提供商中的处理器部署量环比增长4%，同比增长22%，低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> And Nvidia? That's the strange thing. According to KeyBanc, the&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;company's \"instances\" number grew only 25% year over year -- good, but still below average. And Nvidia's growth was only 1% sequentially from October.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达呢？这就是奇怪的地方。根据KeyBanc的数据，这家半导体公司的“实例”数量同比仅增长25%——不错，但仍低于平均水平。英伟达较10月份环比增长仅为1%。</blockquote></p><p> In the final analysis, KeyBanc declared these results positive for AMD, \"moderately negative\" for Intel, and only neutral for Nvidia. That wasn't great news, but it seems to have been at least enough to stop the sell-off of Nvidia's shares.</p><p><blockquote>归根结底，KeyBanc宣布这些结果对AMD是积极的，对英特尔是“适度负面的”，对英伟达只有中性的。这不是一个好消息，但似乎至少足以阻止英伟达股票的抛售。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股票最终上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Stock Finally Popped<blockquote>为什么英伟达股票最终上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 10:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> For five long days, it looked like&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock&nbsp;could do no right-- the share price just kept dropping as investors sought out cheaper ways to play&nbsp;the global semiconductor shortage.</p><p><blockquote>在漫长的五天里，看起来<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA）股票表现不佳——随着投资者寻找更便宜的方式来应对全球半导体短缺，股价不断下跌。</blockquote></p><p> That ended Wednesday morning when traders latched on to some positive commentary from an analyst at KeyBanc. As of 4 p.m. ET, Nvidia stock was up&nbsp;7.49%.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，当交易员抓住KeyBanc分析师的一些积极评论时，这种情况结束了。截至美国东部时间下午4点，英伟达股价上涨7.</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> What did KeyBanc analyst John Vinn say to stop the slide? Not a lot, actually -- but apparently, enough.</p><p><blockquote>KeyBanc分析师John Vinn说了什么来阻止下滑？实际上，不是很多，但显然，足够了。</blockquote></p><p> As&nbsp;StreetInsider.com&nbsp;reports, the bank's \"November cloud instance tracker\" is showing strong demand for cloud computing services (and Nvidia's semiconductors help with those). Specifically, \"instances\" of cloud computing services being used grew by 29% year over year in November, and by 6% in comparison to October. The news was best for&nbsp;<b>Microsoft</b>'s(NASDAQ:MSFT)Azure business, and&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>'s(NASDAQ:AMZN)AWS, both of which grew faster than average year over year.</p><p><blockquote>正如StreetInsider.com报道的那样，该银行的“11月云实例跟踪”显示了对云计算服务的强劲需求（英伟达的半导体在这方面提供了帮助）。具体来说，11月份使用的云计算服务“实例”同比增长29%，与10月份相比增长6%。这个消息最适合<b>微软</b>（纳斯达克：MSFT）的Azure业务，以及<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）的AWS，两者的同比增长都快于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the chipmakers, KeyBanc was most optimistic about&nbsp;<b>Advanced Micro Devices</b>(NASDAQ:AMD), whose chips largely power Microsoft's Azure, and less so about&nbsp;<b>Intel</b>(NASDAQ:INTC), noting that Intel's processor deployments grew 4% month over month and 22% year over year across all major cloud services providers -- below the averages.</p><p><blockquote>从芯片制造商来看，KeyBanc最看好<b>先进微设备公司</b>（纳斯达克：AMD），其芯片主要为微软的Azure提供动力，而不是<b>英特尔</b>（纳斯达克：INTC）指出，英特尔在所有主要云服务提供商中的处理器部署量环比增长4%，同比增长22%，低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> And Nvidia? That's the strange thing. According to KeyBanc, the&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;company's \"instances\" number grew only 25% year over year -- good, but still below average. And Nvidia's growth was only 1% sequentially from October.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达呢？这就是奇怪的地方。根据KeyBanc的数据，这家半导体公司的“实例”数量同比仅增长25%——不错，但仍低于平均水平。英伟达较10月份环比增长仅为1%。</blockquote></p><p> In the final analysis, KeyBanc declared these results positive for AMD, \"moderately negative\" for Intel, and only neutral for Nvidia. That wasn't great news, but it seems to have been at least enough to stop the sell-off of Nvidia's shares.</p><p><blockquote>归根结底，KeyBanc宣布这些结果对AMD是积极的，对英特尔是“适度负面的”，对英伟达只有中性的。这不是一个好消息，但似乎至少足以阻止英伟达股票的抛售。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/15/why-nvidia-stock-finally-popped-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/15/why-nvidia-stock-finally-popped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139829157","content_text":"What happened\nFor five long days, it looked like Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA)stock could do no right-- the share price just kept dropping as investors sought out cheaper ways to play the global semiconductor shortage.\nThat ended Wednesday morning when traders latched on to some positive commentary from an analyst at KeyBanc. As of 4 p.m. ET, Nvidia stock was up 7.49%.\nSo what\nWhat did KeyBanc analyst John Vinn say to stop the slide? Not a lot, actually -- but apparently, enough.\nAs StreetInsider.com reports, the bank's \"November cloud instance tracker\" is showing strong demand for cloud computing services (and Nvidia's semiconductors help with those). Specifically, \"instances\" of cloud computing services being used grew by 29% year over year in November, and by 6% in comparison to October. The news was best for Microsoft's(NASDAQ:MSFT)Azure business, and Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)AWS, both of which grew faster than average year over year.\nLooking at the chipmakers, KeyBanc was most optimistic about Advanced Micro Devices(NASDAQ:AMD), whose chips largely power Microsoft's Azure, and less so about Intel(NASDAQ:INTC), noting that Intel's processor deployments grew 4% month over month and 22% year over year across all major cloud services providers -- below the averages.\nNow what\nAnd Nvidia? That's the strange thing. According to KeyBanc, the semiconductor company's \"instances\" number grew only 25% year over year -- good, but still below average. And Nvidia's growth was only 1% sequentially from October.\nIn the final analysis, KeyBanc declared these results positive for AMD, \"moderately negative\" for Intel, and only neutral for Nvidia. That wasn't great news, but it seems to have been at least enough to stop the sell-off of Nvidia's shares.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607367206,"gmtCreate":1639491882801,"gmtModify":1639491882958,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅","listText":"Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅","text":"Seems to me a market play to drive down its price while taking profit 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607367206","repostId":"1193701389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193701389","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639460770,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193701389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>英伟达股价为何持续下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193701389","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Nvidia has been a big gainer, but now other, smaller chip stocks look cheaper.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;company&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>&nbsp;dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌——截至收盘下跌6.8%——连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息，至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看，这个消息并不好。CNBC今天早上报道称，持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求总体上对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息，但该网络指出，“半导体是越来越多产品的幕后黑手”，但“用芯片制造的东西并不只是使用一个芯片。”因此，即使是有幸获得其所需的所有Nvidia芯片的PC制造商，如果无法获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片，也可能无法销售其PC。或者，如果制造商知道无法获得其他芯片，它可能一开始就不会购买Nvidia芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。不过，更大的风险可能是其飞涨的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at&nbsp;<b>JPMorgan</b>, at&nbsp;<b>UBS</b>, at&nbsp;<b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and&nbsp;<b>Evercore</b>&nbsp;ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>&nbsp;for its earnings upside, Evercore picked&nbsp;<b>Micron</b>&nbsp;as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on&nbsp;<b>Broadcom</b>&nbsp;based on demand for its products,TheFly.com&nbsp;reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，分析师<b>摩根大通</b>，和<b>瑞银</b>，和<b>巴克莱银行</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>，R.W.贝尔德，和<b>Evercore</b>ISI列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商，英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>Qualcomm</b>由于其盈利上升，Evercore选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票，巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>Broadcom</b>根据对其产品的需求，TheFly.com今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia股票的售价是往绩市盈率的93倍。美光科技的市盈率不到17倍；高通为23倍，博通为47倍。很明显，为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达相对更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to&nbsp;cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively&nbsp;cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是，为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票奖金并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>英伟达股价为何持续下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>英伟达股价为何持续下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;company&nbsp;<b>Nvidia</b>&nbsp;dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌——截至收盘下跌6.8%——连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息，至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看，这个消息并不好。CNBC今天早上报道称，持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求总体上对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息，但该网络指出，“半导体是越来越多产品的幕后黑手”，但“用芯片制造的东西并不只是使用一个芯片。”因此，即使是有幸获得其所需的所有Nvidia芯片的PC制造商，如果无法获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片，也可能无法销售其PC。或者，如果制造商知道无法获得其他芯片，它可能一开始就不会购买Nvidia芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。不过，更大的风险可能是其飞涨的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at&nbsp;<b>JPMorgan</b>, at&nbsp;<b>UBS</b>, at&nbsp;<b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and&nbsp;<b>Evercore</b>&nbsp;ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended&nbsp;<b>Qualcomm</b>&nbsp;for its earnings upside, Evercore picked&nbsp;<b>Micron</b>&nbsp;as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on&nbsp;<b>Broadcom</b>&nbsp;based on demand for its products,TheFly.com&nbsp;reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，分析师<b>摩根大通</b>，和<b>瑞银</b>，和<b>巴克莱银行</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>，R.W.贝尔德，和<b>Evercore</b>ISI列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商，英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>Qualcomm</b>由于其盈利上升，Evercore选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票，巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>Broadcom</b>根据对其产品的需求，TheFly.com今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia股票的售价是往绩市盈率的93倍。美光科技的市盈率不到17倍；高通为23倍，博通为47倍。很明显，为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达相对更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to&nbsp;cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively&nbsp;cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是，为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票奖金并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193701389","content_text":"What happened\nShares of semiconductor company Nvidia dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSo what\nFrom a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.\nAlthough high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.\nNow what\nThat's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.\nThis morning, analysts at JPMorgan, at UBS, at Barclays,Citigroup, R.W. Baird, and Evercore ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended Qualcomm for its earnings upside, Evercore picked Micron as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on Broadcom based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.\nNvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.\nAnd it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607900288,"gmtCreate":1639466921670,"gmtModify":1639466935669,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607900288","repostId":"1114636896","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114636896","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639439509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114636896?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114636896","media":"Barrons","summary":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is ","content":"<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;crossed into bear-market territory&nbsp;today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领导者特斯拉的股价今天进入熊市区域。这种说法在技术上是正确的，但也有点累。就个人而言，股票没有熊市或牛市。这些条款应该留给整个市场。尽管如此，大型股的大幅下跌还是值得注意的，让投资者想知道接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;both closed down 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价收盘下跌5%，至966.41美元。标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数均收跌0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p><p><blockquote>根据已发行股票数量（不包括管理层股票期权）计算，周一的下跌使该公司的市值跌破1万亿美元。股价较11月4日收盘高点1,229.91美元下跌21%。股价较盘中高点1,243.49美元下跌22%。</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p><p><blockquote>熊市应该从收盘高点还是盘中高点来衡量是华尔街争论的焦点。但同样，在这种情况下，争论并不重要，因为个股没有牛市和熊市。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p><p><blockquote>对于个人投资者来说，是否是熊市并不是重点。下跌20%的痛苦是真实的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票最后一次收于熊市区域是在2021年2月。（是的，<i>巴伦周刊</i>当时也写过关于单股熊市的文章。）当时，利率正在上升，高估值的科技股承受了压力。较高的利率对增长较快的公司股票估值的损害大于增长缓慢的成熟公司的股票估值——这正是较高利率的数学计算方式。</blockquote></p><p> Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该股花了大约六个月的时间才恢复到旧高点。如果这种情况再次发生，看涨的投资者将等到2022年6月才能看到特斯拉股价触及1,300美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p><p><blockquote>对于多头来说，这将是一个漫长的等待，虽然没有办法知道这种情况是否会发生，但未来几个月有很多事情可能会影响该股。看涨和看跌的特斯拉投资者将关注德国和德克萨斯两家新工厂的启动、这些新工厂对利润率的影响、特斯拉Cybertruck的开始交付以及美国电动汽车的整体增长、欧洲和中国。</blockquote></p><p> With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p><p><blockquote>随之而来的是，这引发了一个问题：为什么股价陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>可能有两件事在起作用。首先，首席执行官埃隆·马斯克仍在出售股票。它创造了一个悬垂。一些多头可能会等到大规模抛售结束后再买入。马斯克至少还有500万或600万股与他即将到期的股票期权相关的股票可供出售。他可能会在2021年底完成出售，但他可能会在完成后发布推文。按照目前的速度，我们预计到年底。</blockquote></p><p> Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p><p><blockquote>其次，还有马斯克被《时代》杂志评为年度人物的问题。亚马逊。com(AMZN)创始人杰夫·贝索斯(Mark Zuckerberg)在1999年获得了这一殊荣，当时该股股价接近多年来的峰值。亚马逊股价继续下滑，一些投资者认为特斯拉股价也可能出现同样的情况。</blockquote></p><p> The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，亚马逊与特斯拉的比较并不完全匹配。当这两家公司的高管赢得《时代》杂志的殊荣时，它们正处于截然不同的发展阶段。亚马逊当时的市值为270亿美元。特斯拉的市值目前徘徊在1万亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，这仍然是一种信念，交易者时不时会做一些奇怪的事情，无论是否合理。当股票上涨或下跌时，无论出于何种原因，动量交易者都会顺势而为。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is in a Bear Market Again. What’s Next for Musk’s EV Firm.<blockquote>特斯拉股票再次陷入熊市。马斯克电动汽车公司的下一步是什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of electric-vehicle leader&nbsp;Tesla&nbsp;crossed into bear-market territory&nbsp;today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领导者特斯拉的股价今天进入熊市区域。这种说法在技术上是正确的，但也有点累。就个人而言，股票没有熊市或牛市。这些条款应该留给整个市场。尽管如此，大型股的大幅下跌还是值得注意的，让投资者想知道接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;both closed down 0.9%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价收盘下跌5%，至966.41美元。标普500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数均收跌0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> The Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.</p><p><blockquote>根据已发行股票数量（不包括管理层股票期权）计算，周一的下跌使该公司的市值跌破1万亿美元。股价较11月4日收盘高点1,229.91美元下跌21%。股价较盘中高点1,243.49美元下跌22%。</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.</p><p><blockquote>熊市应该从收盘高点还是盘中高点来衡量是华尔街争论的焦点。但同样，在这种情况下，争论并不重要，因为个股没有牛市和熊市。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.</p><p><blockquote>对于个人投资者来说，是否是熊市并不是重点。下跌20%的痛苦是真实的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, <i>Barron’s</i> wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票最后一次收于熊市区域是在2021年2月。（是的，<i>巴伦周刊</i>当时也写过关于单股熊市的文章。）当时，利率正在上升，高估值的科技股承受了压力。较高的利率对增长较快的公司股票估值的损害大于增长缓慢的成熟公司的股票估值——这正是较高利率的数学计算方式。</blockquote></p><p> Back then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该股花了大约六个月的时间才恢复到旧高点。如果这种情况再次发生，看涨的投资者将等到2022年6月才能看到特斯拉股价触及1,300美元。</blockquote></p><p> That would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.</p><p><blockquote>对于多头来说，这将是一个漫长的等待，虽然没有办法知道这种情况是否会发生，但未来几个月有很多事情可能会影响该股。看涨和看跌的特斯拉投资者将关注德国和德克萨斯两家新工厂的启动、这些新工厂对利润率的影响、特斯拉Cybertruck的开始交付以及美国电动汽车的整体增长、欧洲和中国。</blockquote></p><p> With all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.</p><p><blockquote>随之而来的是，这引发了一个问题：为什么股价陷入困境。</blockquote></p><p> Two things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>可能有两件事在起作用。首先，首席执行官埃隆·马斯克仍在出售股票。它创造了一个悬垂。一些多头可能会等到大规模抛售结束后再买入。马斯克至少还有500万或600万股与他即将到期的股票期权相关的股票可供出售。他可能会在2021年底完成出售，但他可能会在完成后发布推文。按照目前的速度，我们预计到年底。</blockquote></p><p> Second, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.</p><p><blockquote>其次，还有马斯克被《时代》杂志评为年度人物的问题。亚马逊。com(AMZN)创始人杰夫·贝索斯(Mark Zuckerberg)在1999年获得了这一殊荣，当时该股股价接近多年来的峰值。亚马逊股价继续下滑，一些投资者认为特斯拉股价也可能出现同样的情况。</blockquote></p><p> The Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，亚马逊与特斯拉的比较并不完全匹配。当这两家公司的高管赢得《时代》杂志的殊荣时，它们正处于截然不同的发展阶段。亚马逊当时的市值为270亿美元。特斯拉的市值目前徘徊在1万亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，这仍然是一种信念，交易者时不时会做一些奇怪的事情，无论是否合理。当股票上涨或下跌时，无论出于何种原因，动量交易者都会顺势而为。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-bear-musk-51639436863?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114636896","content_text":"Shares of electric-vehicle leader Tesla crossed into bear-market territory today. That statement is technically true, but also a little tiring. Stocks, individually, don’t have bear or bull markets. That terms should be reserved for, well, the overall market. Still, the big dip in a mega-cap stock is noteworthy leaving investors wondering what might come next.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed down 5% at $966.41. The S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed down 0.9%.\nThe Monday dip sent the company’s market cap below $1 trillion based on the number of shares outstanding, excluding management stock options. Shares are down 21% from the Nov. 4 closing high of $1,229.91. Shares are down 22% from the intraday high of $1,243.49.\nWhether or not bear markets should be measured from a closing high or an intraday high is the source of debate on Wall Street. But again, the debate doesn’t really matter in this instance because individual stocks don’t have bull and bear markets.\nWhether it’s a bear market or not isn’t the point for individual investors. The pain of a 20% drop is real.\nOne of the last times Tesla stock closed in bear-market territory was February 2021. (Yes, Barron’s wrote about the single stock bear market then, too.) Back then, interest rates were rising and highly valued tech stocks took it on the chin. Higher rates hurt the valuation of shares of faster-growing companies more than those of slow-growing mature companies—that’s just the way the math of higher interest rates works out.\nBack then it took about six months for the stock to retake its old highs. If that were to happen again, bullish investors would be waiting until June 2022 to see Tesla stock hit $1,300.\nThat would be a long wait for bulls, and while there is no way to know if that scenario will even unfold, there is a lot going on that could move the stock in the coming couple of months. Bullish and bearish Tesla investors will be watching for the startup of two new plants in Germany and Texas, the impact of those new plants on profit margins, the start of deliveries of the Tesla Cybertruck and the overall growth of EVs in the U.S., Europe, and China.\nWith all that coming, it raising the question of why the shares are struggling.\nTwo things might be at work. First, CEO Elon Musk is still selling stock. It creates an overhang. Some bulls might wait to buy until the large sales are over. Musk has at least 5 million or 6 million shares left to sell associated with his expiring stock options. He will probably be done selling by the end of 2021, but he might just Tweet out when he’s done. At current pace, we figure by year-end.\nSecond, there is the issue of Musk being named Time’s Person of the Year.Amazon.com (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos won that distinction in 1999, near a multiyear peak in that stock. Amazon shares went on to slide, and some investors think Tesla stock could do the same.\nThe Amazon comparison with Tesla doesn’t quite match up, however. The two companies are at very different stages of development when their top executives won Time’s distinction. Amazon had a market capitalization of $27 billion back then. Tesla’s market cap is now hovering around $1 trillion.\nStill, it’s a belief, and traders do odd things from time to time, justified or not. When stocks move upward, or downward, momentum traders will jump on the trend for whatever reason.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604901836,"gmtCreate":1639294327730,"gmtModify":1639294327926,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604901836","repostId":"2190679207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605321458,"gmtCreate":1639117258693,"gmtModify":1639117258863,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A&nbsp;perfect storm is brewing…","listText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A&nbsp;perfect storm is brewing…","text":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605321458","repostId":"1173696854","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173696854","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639100666,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173696854?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173696854","media":"Fortune","summary":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will be","content":"<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。那不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测，我们需要了解美联储如何创造不可持续的繁荣，以及为什么下一次萧条可能就在眼前。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的是。正如物理学家尼尔斯·玻尔（Niels Bohr）所说：“预测是非常困难的，尤其是如果它是关于未来的。”尽管如此，我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分来权衡。美联储的通胀政策使我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币即将出现：我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who&nbsp;warned the public&nbsp;that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果一只狗可以拥有加密货币，为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢？他在1976年春天警告公众，由于美联储的通胀政策，价格即将加速上涨？</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%，1977年上涨6.5%，1978年上涨7.6%，1979年上涨11.3%，1980年上涨13.5%。谈论金钱是正确的！</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内肆虐，时任总统吉米·卡特于1979年任命前银行家和美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克来阻止多年的价格螺旋式上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981年消费者价格上涨10.3%，揭示了在美联储紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前，通胀势头如何持续一段时间。1982年物价上涨6.1%，1983年上涨3.2%，1986年（奇迹中的奇迹）仅上涨1.9%，一年前沃尔克卸任美联储主席，由艾伦·格林斯潘接任。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed&nbsp;raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现当时由于高通胀预期而被认为不太可能实现的目标，沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率（银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率）提高到22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑所必需的紧缩货币政策的代价是连续的衰退：1980年的短暂衰退，然后是1981-1982年的另一次衰退。可以说，发生了一次长期衰退，实际上持续了三年，从1980年1月到1982年11月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>周期性衰退的最佳领先指标之一是失业率，失业率在1980年经济衰退前几个月的1979年5月达到周期性底部（5.6%），直到1982年11月才达到峰值（10.8%）。失业率一直在下降，直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b>&nbsp;has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the&nbsp;historical pattern&nbsp;reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前，<b>失业率</b>自2020年初的封锁高峰以来一直在下降，并已达到历史上标志着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率，但历史模式表明，当失业率接近3%然后上升时，衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b>&nbsp;is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛关注的金融指标之一，预示着通常在一年内出现衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下，收益率曲线是向上倾斜的，就像今天一样，当短期利率低于长期利率时，反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was&nbsp;virtually inverted&nbsp;at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济“过热”时，它往往会提高联邦基金利率以冷却价格通胀，这种情况发生在2000年互联网泡沫和2007年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂，表明经济衰退将在2020年某个时候开始。然而，为应对新冠肺炎而实施的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退，而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein&nbsp;jected $4 trillion&nbsp;of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在经济正处于另一次周期性上升，因为美联储注入了4万亿美元的流动性来“模拟”经济。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）最近一次会议上，决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说，即使通胀率最近同比突破6%，美联储仍将继续踩在货币踏板上。过去，通胀加速会敲响美联储加息的警钟，以抑制通胀压力和预期。目前，美联储的想法是价格通胀是“暂时性的”，因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我无畏的预测是：2022年通胀将加速。然后，公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议以及媒体报道强调物价如何摧毁普通家庭的购买力，可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在1971年那样实施工资价格控制，以在1972年连任竞选前消除通货膨胀的刺痛。如果国会不赋予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力，他可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制，我预计美联储将在2022年某个时候提高联邦基金利率，并在2023年继续收紧。因此，下一次衰退可能会在2023年秋季开始，但不会晚于一年后。如果衰退没有如期开始，只意味着它被推迟了，而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Fortune</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。那不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测，我们需要了解美联储如何创造不可持续的繁荣，以及为什么下一次萧条可能就在眼前。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的是。正如物理学家尼尔斯·玻尔（Niels Bohr）所说：“预测是非常困难的，尤其是如果它是关于未来的。”尽管如此，我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分来权衡。美联储的通胀政策使我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币即将出现：我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who&nbsp;warned the public&nbsp;that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果一只狗可以拥有加密货币，为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢？他在1976年春天警告公众，由于美联储的通胀政策，价格即将加速上涨？</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%，1977年上涨6.5%，1978年上涨7.6%，1979年上涨11.3%，1980年上涨13.5%。谈论金钱是正确的！</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内肆虐，时任总统吉米·卡特于1979年任命前银行家和美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克来阻止多年的价格螺旋式上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981年消费者价格上涨10.3%，揭示了在美联储紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前，通胀势头如何持续一段时间。1982年物价上涨6.1%，1983年上涨3.2%，1986年（奇迹中的奇迹）仅上涨1.9%，一年前沃尔克卸任美联储主席，由艾伦·格林斯潘接任。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed&nbsp;raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现当时由于高通胀预期而被认为不太可能实现的目标，沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率（银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率）提高到22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑所必需的紧缩货币政策的代价是连续的衰退：1980年的短暂衰退，然后是1981-1982年的另一次衰退。可以说，发生了一次长期衰退，实际上持续了三年，从1980年1月到1982年11月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>周期性衰退的最佳领先指标之一是失业率，失业率在1980年经济衰退前几个月的1979年5月达到周期性底部（5.6%），直到1982年11月才达到峰值（10.8%）。失业率一直在下降，直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b>&nbsp;has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the&nbsp;historical pattern&nbsp;reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前，<b>失业率</b>自2020年初的封锁高峰以来一直在下降，并已达到历史上标志着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率，但历史模式表明，当失业率接近3%然后上升时，衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b>&nbsp;is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛关注的金融指标之一，预示着通常在一年内出现衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下，收益率曲线是向上倾斜的，就像今天一样，当短期利率低于长期利率时，反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was&nbsp;virtually inverted&nbsp;at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济“过热”时，它往往会提高联邦基金利率以冷却价格通胀，这种情况发生在2000年互联网泡沫和2007年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂，表明经济衰退将在2020年某个时候开始。然而，为应对新冠肺炎而实施的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退，而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein&nbsp;jected $4 trillion&nbsp;of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在经济正处于另一次周期性上升，因为美联储注入了4万亿美元的流动性来“模拟”经济。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）最近一次会议上，决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说，即使通胀率最近同比突破6%，美联储仍将继续踩在货币踏板上。过去，通胀加速会敲响美联储加息的警钟，以抑制通胀压力和预期。目前，美联储的想法是价格通胀是“暂时性的”，因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我无畏的预测是：2022年通胀将加速。然后，公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议以及媒体报道强调物价如何摧毁普通家庭的购买力，可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在1971年那样实施工资价格控制，以在1972年连任竞选前消除通货膨胀的刺痛。如果国会不赋予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力，他可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制，我预计美联储将在2022年某个时候提高联邦基金利率，并在2023年继续收紧。因此，下一次衰退可能会在2023年秋季开始，但不会晚于一年后。如果衰退没有如期开始，只意味着它被推迟了，而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html\">Fortune</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173696854","content_text":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.\nA caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.\nIf a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?\nConsumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!\nAs inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.\nTo accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.\nPinpointing the moment\nOne of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.\nCurrently,the unemployment rate has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.\n\nThe yield curve is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.\nWhen the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.\nNow the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.\nMy fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.\nWithout price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602493232,"gmtCreate":1639053017435,"gmtModify":1639053018179,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602493232","repostId":"2190503698","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190503698","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639038865,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190503698?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 16:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”：华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190503698","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve an","content":"<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示，“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点，近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示：“美联储可能收紧政策，波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示，“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”，尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞，这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升，即使自上周以来有所回落，仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示，VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30，原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“这是一个重大转变，给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示，美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性，通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期，从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&amp;P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心，如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策，对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示，在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后，标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示，明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅，“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，她还预计波动性会增加，包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示，“从现在到2022年上半年，股市的大部分上涨应该会实现，届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&amp;P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测，高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&amp;P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&amp;P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告，高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时，摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测，美股基准指数明年将升至5050点，部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示，加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同，而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&amp;P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示，该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测，该指数明年将收于4,800点，低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend&nbsp;are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道：“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限，”他们表示。他们认为，“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长，但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&amp;P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱，美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示，该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示：“不幸的是，我们看到今天与2000年（科技泡沫顶峰）有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&amp;P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&amp;P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观，导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示，即使盈利预期增长，2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&amp;P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示：“我们预计标普500将区间震荡，扣除通胀因素后，债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益，为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&amp;P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表，显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&amp;P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示，“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”，但根据她的报告，该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示：“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司，但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性，我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为，“这表明投资者应该转向选股，远离被动指数基金，”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称，预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道：“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期，这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch，在“中期”，他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示，持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力，该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF&nbsp;were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示，随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准，并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”，免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示，根据周三午盘交易，iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道，2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”，以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道，自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示：“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题，而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀，特别是在明年下半年，不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示，在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后，市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示，尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模，可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程，但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示，普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次，低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示：“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道，“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡，名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计，收益率曲线将变陡，利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压，“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示：“在美国，我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示，该行策略师预计，到明年年底，10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示：“我们的观点是，2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，“从大多数方面来看，2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”：华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”：华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示，“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点，近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示：“美联储可能收紧政策，波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示，“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”，尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞，这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升，即使自上周以来有所回落，仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示，VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30，原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示：“这是一个重大转变，给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示，美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性，通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期，从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&amp;P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心，如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策，对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示，在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后，标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示，明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅，“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示，她还预计波动性会增加，包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示，“从现在到2022年上半年，股市的大部分上涨应该会实现，届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&amp;P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测，高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&amp;P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&amp;P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告，高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时，摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测，美股基准指数明年将升至5050点，部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示，加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同，而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&amp;P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示，该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测，该指数明年将收于4,800点，低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend&nbsp;are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道：“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限，”他们表示。他们认为，“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长，但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&amp;P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱，美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示，该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示：“不幸的是，我们看到今天与2000年（科技泡沫顶峰）有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&amp;P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&amp;P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观，导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示，即使盈利预期增长，2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&amp;P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示：“我们预计标普500将区间震荡，扣除通胀因素后，债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益，为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&amp;P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表，显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&amp;P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示，“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”，但根据她的报告，该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示：“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司，但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性，我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为，“这表明投资者应该转向选股，远离被动指数基金，”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称，预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道：“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期，这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch，在“中期”，他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示，持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力，该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF&nbsp;were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示，随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准，并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”，免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示，根据周三午盘交易，iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道，2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”，以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道，自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示：“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题，而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀，特别是在明年下半年，不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示，在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后，市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示，尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模，可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程，但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示，普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次，低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示：“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道，“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡，名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计，收益率曲线将变陡，利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压，“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示：“在美国，我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示，该行策略师预计，到明年年底，10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示：“我们的观点是，2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示，“从大多数方面来看，2022年将是关键的一年，全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决，商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","MS":"摩根士丹利","IDNA":"iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","OEX":"标普100","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2190503698","content_text":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says Morgan Stanley's Lisa Shalett\n‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say\nThe recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.\n\"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.\n\"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.\nSome investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.\nThe U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.\nGoodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.\n\"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.\nWall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.\nGoldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.\nMeanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.\n\"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"\nBank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.\n\"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.\nMorgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.\n\"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"\nThe core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"\nMORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021\nThe chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.\n\"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"\nIn Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.\nJPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.\n\"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .\nCiti's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.\nImmunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.\nTwo other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.\n\"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"\nThe market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.\nWhile the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.\n\"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.\nMorgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"\n\"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.\n\"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.\nAccording to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SH":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"MS":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"END":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"IDNA":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602196368,"gmtCreate":1638978605148,"gmtModify":1638978605332,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602196368","repostId":"2189631254","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606275924,"gmtCreate":1638889283724,"gmtModify":1638889283918,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606275924","repostId":"2189476639","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606224357,"gmtCreate":1638887756690,"gmtModify":1638887757497,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606224357","repostId":"1100817933","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100817933","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638873659,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100817933?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 18:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>奥密克戎担忧缓解美股期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100817933","media":"Wall Street Journal","summary":"U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would be milder than previously thought.</p><p><blockquote>美股期货攀升，因投资者押注奥密克戎变种Covid-19的影响将比此前想象的温和。</blockquote></p><p> Futures for the S&amp;P 500 gained 1.1% Tuesday. The&nbsp;index jumped Monday, recouping nearly all its losses for last week. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.7% Tuesday, and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周二上涨1.1%。该指数周一上涨，几乎收复了上周的所有跌幅。以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数合约周二上涨1.7%，道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Hopes that the new strain will have a less pronounced impact on travel and consumer confidence have bolstered stocks this week. Scientists and vaccine makers are still assessing the severity of Omicron and how well existing vaccines may work against it. Lower trading volumes in the lead-up to the holidays are likely to cause exaggerated moves in either direction, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>人们希望新毒株对旅行和消费者信心的影响不太明显，这提振了本周的股市。科学家和疫苗制造商仍在评估奥密克戎的严重程度以及现有疫苗对其的效果。分析师表示，假期前交易量下降可能会导致两个方向的过度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re in this period where investors are grappling for any news they can find and that, coupled with low liquidity, is leading to some big moves,” said Hugh Gimber, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司策略师休·金伯表示：“我们正处于这样一个时期，投资者正在努力寻找他们能找到的任何消息，再加上流动性较低，导致了一些重大举措。”</blockquote></p><p> China’s efforts to inject liquidity into the financial system has also helped reassured investors that the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy will be managed, Mr. Gimber said. On Monday, the People’s Bank of China said it would&nbsp;reduce the reserve requirement ratio for banks&nbsp;by 0.5 percentage point to 8.4%, starting Dec. 15. This would unleash about 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to around $188 billion, into the financial system.</p><p><blockquote>金伯表示，中国向金融体系注入流动性的努力也有助于让投资者放心，这个世界第二大经济体的放缓将得到控制。周一，中国人民银行表示，将从12月15日起将银行存款准备金率下调0.5个百分点至8.4%。这将向金融体系释放约1.2万亿元人民币，相当于约1880亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese property developers listed in Hong Kong were broadly higher on the plans, which could assist China’s debt-laden real-estate sector.&nbsp;Sunac China Holdings&nbsp;surged more than 15%, while&nbsp;China Aoyuan Groupgained more than 10%.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些计划，在香港上市的中国房地产开发商的股价普遍走高，这可能会帮助中国负债累累的房地产行业。融创中国控股飙升超过15%，中国奥园集团上涨超过10%。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong’s broader Hang Seng Index gained 2.7%, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rallied 1.9% and South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>香港恒生指数上涨2.7%，上证综指小幅上涨0.2%。日本日经225指数上涨1.9%，韩国综合指数上涨0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude futures, the benchmark in global oil markets, rose 1.8% to $74.41 a barrel, as fears of renewed Covid-related lockdowns recede.</p><p><blockquote>全球石油市场基准布伦特原油期货上涨1.8%，至每桶74.41美元，因对新冠疫情相关封锁的担忧消退。</blockquote></p><p> In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note ticked up to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.433% Monday. Yields rise when prices fall.</p><p><blockquote>在债券市场，基准10年期国债收益率从周一的1.433%升至周二的1.443%。当价格下跌时，收益率上升。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, rose 2.6% to $51,307.04 as it continued to recover from&nbsp;a weekend selloff.</p><p><blockquote>全球市值最大的加密货币比特币上涨2.6%，至51,307.04美元，继续从周末的抛售中恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>奥密克戎担忧缓解美股期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock futures, oil prices and Treasury yields rose as Omicron fears eased<blockquote>奥密克戎担忧缓解美股期货、油价和国债收益率上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 18:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would be milder than previously thought.</p><p><blockquote>美股期货攀升，因投资者押注奥密克戎变种Covid-19的影响将比此前想象的温和。</blockquote></p><p> Futures for the S&amp;P 500 gained 1.1% Tuesday. The&nbsp;index jumped Monday, recouping nearly all its losses for last week. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.7% Tuesday, and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500期货周二上涨1.1%。该指数周一上涨，几乎收复了上周的所有跌幅。以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数合约周二上涨1.7%，道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Hopes that the new strain will have a less pronounced impact on travel and consumer confidence have bolstered stocks this week. Scientists and vaccine makers are still assessing the severity of Omicron and how well existing vaccines may work against it. Lower trading volumes in the lead-up to the holidays are likely to cause exaggerated moves in either direction, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>人们希望新毒株对旅行和消费者信心的影响不太明显，这提振了本周的股市。科学家和疫苗制造商仍在评估奥密克戎的严重程度以及现有疫苗对其的效果。分析师表示，假期前交易量下降可能会导致两个方向的过度波动。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re in this period where investors are grappling for any news they can find and that, coupled with low liquidity, is leading to some big moves,” said Hugh Gimber, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司策略师休·金伯表示：“我们正处于这样一个时期，投资者正在努力寻找他们能找到的任何消息，再加上流动性较低，导致了一些重大举措。”</blockquote></p><p> China’s efforts to inject liquidity into the financial system has also helped reassured investors that the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy will be managed, Mr. Gimber said. On Monday, the People’s Bank of China said it would&nbsp;reduce the reserve requirement ratio for banks&nbsp;by 0.5 percentage point to 8.4%, starting Dec. 15. This would unleash about 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to around $188 billion, into the financial system.</p><p><blockquote>金伯表示，中国向金融体系注入流动性的努力也有助于让投资者放心，这个世界第二大经济体的放缓将得到控制。周一，中国人民银行表示，将从12月15日起将银行存款准备金率下调0.5个百分点至8.4%。这将向金融体系释放约1.2万亿元人民币，相当于约1880亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese property developers listed in Hong Kong were broadly higher on the plans, which could assist China’s debt-laden real-estate sector.&nbsp;Sunac China Holdings&nbsp;surged more than 15%, while&nbsp;China Aoyuan Groupgained more than 10%.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些计划，在香港上市的中国房地产开发商的股价普遍走高，这可能会帮助中国负债累累的房地产行业。融创中国控股飙升超过15%，中国奥园集团上涨超过10%。</blockquote></p><p> Hong Kong’s broader Hang Seng Index gained 2.7%, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rallied 1.9% and South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>香港恒生指数上涨2.7%，上证综指小幅上涨0.2%。日本日经225指数上涨1.9%，韩国综合指数上涨0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Elsewhere, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>其他方面，泛大陆斯托克欧洲600指数上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude futures, the benchmark in global oil markets, rose 1.8% to $74.41 a barrel, as fears of renewed Covid-related lockdowns recede.</p><p><blockquote>全球石油市场基准布伦特原油期货上涨1.8%，至每桶74.41美元，因对新冠疫情相关封锁的担忧消退。</blockquote></p><p> In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note ticked up to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.433% Monday. Yields rise when prices fall.</p><p><blockquote>在债券市场，基准10年期国债收益率从周一的1.433%升至周二的1.443%。当价格下跌时，收益率上升。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, rose 2.6% to $51,307.04 as it continued to recover from&nbsp;a weekend selloff.</p><p><blockquote>全球市值最大的加密货币比特币上涨2.6%，至51,307.04美元，继续从周末的抛售中恢复。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-07-2021-11638866220?mod=markets_lead_pos2\">Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stock-markets-dow-update-12-07-2021-11638866220?mod=markets_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100817933","content_text":"U.S. stock futures climbed as investors bet that the impact of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 would be milder than previously thought.\nFutures for the S&P 500 gained 1.1% Tuesday. The index jumped Monday, recouping nearly all its losses for last week. Contracts for the tech-focused Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.7% Tuesday, and futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8%.\nHopes that the new strain will have a less pronounced impact on travel and consumer confidence have bolstered stocks this week. Scientists and vaccine makers are still assessing the severity of Omicron and how well existing vaccines may work against it. Lower trading volumes in the lead-up to the holidays are likely to cause exaggerated moves in either direction, analysts say.\n“We’re in this period where investors are grappling for any news they can find and that, coupled with low liquidity, is leading to some big moves,” said Hugh Gimber, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.\nChina’s efforts to inject liquidity into the financial system has also helped reassured investors that the slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy will be managed, Mr. Gimber said. On Monday, the People’s Bank of China said it would reduce the reserve requirement ratio for banks by 0.5 percentage point to 8.4%, starting Dec. 15. This would unleash about 1.2 trillion yuan, equivalent to around $188 billion, into the financial system.\nShares of Chinese property developers listed in Hong Kong were broadly higher on the plans, which could assist China’s debt-laden real-estate sector. Sunac China Holdings surged more than 15%, while China Aoyuan Groupgained more than 10%.\nHong Kong’s broader Hang Seng Index gained 2.7%, while China’s Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rallied 1.9% and South Korea’s Kospi added 0.6%.\nElsewhere, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 1.2%.\nBrent crude futures, the benchmark in global oil markets, rose 1.8% to $74.41 a barrel, as fears of renewed Covid-related lockdowns recede.\nIn bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note ticked up to 1.443% Tuesday from 1.433% Monday. Yields rise when prices fall.\nBitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value, rose 2.6% to $51,307.04 as it continued to recover from a weekend selloff.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606225052,"gmtCreate":1638887699671,"gmtModify":1638887699859,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606225052","repostId":"1153880755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153880755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638867395,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153880755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 16:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4只最安全的股息股票将帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153880755","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Apple and four other tech stalwarts are well insulated from inflation.","content":"<p>Rising inflation is wreaking havoc on many high-growth stocks as investors fret over higher costs and reduced future valuations. Higher interest rates, which counter inflation, are also sparking fears of an economic slowdown and causing investors to rotate from dividend stocks toward lower-risk bonds.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者担心成本上升和未来估值下降，通胀上升正在对许多高增长股票造成严重破坏。对抗通胀的利率上升也引发了人们对经济放缓的担忧，并导致投资者从股息股票转向风险较低的债券。</blockquote></p><p> Faced with&nbsp;these challenges, it might seem like a bad idea to buy dividend-paying tech stocks. However, these four tech dividend stocks should remain resilient and easily withstand the upcoming inflation-related challenges.</p><p><blockquote>面对这些挑战，购买派息科技股似乎是个坏主意。然而，这四只科技股息股应该保持弹性，并轻松抵御即将到来的通胀相关挑战。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3710057a11169b9e18f5bf46888ca7fb\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Apple.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：苹果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;only pays a forward dividend yield of 0.5%, but its lowpayout ratioof 15% indicates there's still plenty of room for much higher payments. Apple's stock price has risen nearly 270% over the past three years, but it still doesn't look terribly expensive at 29 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>仅支付0.5%的远期股息收益率，但其15%的低派息率表明仍有很大的空间来支付更高的股息。苹果的股价在过去三年里上涨了近270%，但29倍的预期市盈率看起来仍然不是很贵。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is an inflation-resistant company for two simple reasons. First, it has the clout to negotiate more favorable prices from its suppliers. Second, it probably won't lose a lot of its loyal customers if it charges higher prices for its hardware since they're already firmly locked into its software ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家抗通胀公司，原因很简单，有两个。首先，它有能力从供应商那里谈判更优惠的价格。其次，如果它对硬件收取更高的价格，它可能不会失去很多忠实客户，因为他们已经牢牢地锁定在其软件生态系统中。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has also consistently executed big stock buybacks, which have reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 22% over the past five years. Spending more cash on those buybacks, which boosts the value of its remaining shares, is a better strategy than letting its cash stagnate in an inflationary environment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果还持续执行大规模股票回购，过去五年使其流通股减少了近22%。在这些回购上花费更多现金，从而提高其剩余股票的价值，是比让现金在通胀环境中停滞不前更好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Apple will face a&nbsp;near-term slowdown&nbsp;as it grapples with supply chain constraints, but its long-term outlook is still bright. Its services ecosystem continues to expand, and it will eventually expand into new next-gen markets like augmented reality, virtual reality, and connected cars.</p><p><blockquote>由于努力应对供应链限制，苹果将面临近期经济放缓，但其长期前景仍然光明。其服务生态系统不断扩展，最终将扩展到增强现实、虚拟现实和联网汽车等新的下一代市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Verizon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.威瑞森</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon</b>&nbsp;pays a forward dividend yield of 5%. The telecom giant has raised that dividend annually for 15 straight years, and it's spent less than half of its earnings per share on those payments over the past 12 months. The stock also trades at just nine times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>Verizon</b>支付5%的远期股息率。这家电信巨头已连续15年每年提高股息，在过去12个月里，它在这些支付上的支出不到每股收益的一半。该股的预期市盈率也仅为九倍。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, Verizon seems like a lackluster investment. It's declined more than 10% over the past three years as the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;has risen nearly 70%.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，Verizon似乎是一项乏善可陈的投资。过去三年下降了10%以上<b>标普500</b>已上涨近70%。</blockquote></p><p> However, Verizon's stock will likely remain stable as rising inflation and higher interest rates rattle the markets. As the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., Verizon can likely pass on most of its higher costs onto consumers without significantly increasing its churn rates. It's also a more streamlined company than&nbsp;<b>AT&amp;T</b>, which is still trying toundo the damageof the debt-fueled expansions of its media and pay-TV ecosystems.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着通胀上升和利率上升扰乱市场，Verizon的股价可能会保持稳定。作为美国最大的无线运营商，Verizon可能会将大部分较高的成本转嫁给消费者，而不会显着增加其流失率。它也是一家比<b>AT&amp;T</b>该公司仍在努力弥补债务推动的媒体和付费电视生态系统扩张造成的损害。</blockquote></p><p> Verizon's stable returns, sticky ecosystem, high dividend, and low valuation will all make it an ideal safe-haven stock in an inflationary market.</p><p><blockquote>Verizon稳定的回报、粘性生态系统、高股息和低估值都将使其成为通胀市场中理想的避险股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Qualcomm</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.高通</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Qualcomm</b>, one of the world's largest mobile chipmakers, pays a forward dividend yield of 1.5%. It's raised its annual payout over the past two years, and it's only spent about a third of its earnings on its dividends over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote><b>Qualcomm</b>是全球最大的移动芯片制造商之一，支付1.5%的远期股息率。过去两年，该公司提高了年度派息，而过去12个月，该公司仅将收益的三分之一左右用于股息。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's two main businesses are both well-insulated from inflation. Its Snapdragon system on chips (SoCs), which bundle together a mobile CPU, GPU, and baseband modem, power most of the world's high-end smartphones. They can also be found in&nbsp;virtual reality headsets, cars, and drones. The secular growth of those markets will give Qualcomm plenty of pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>高通的两项主要业务都很好地抵御了通货膨胀。其骁龙片上系统（SoC）将移动CPU、GPU和基带调制解调器捆绑在一起，为世界上大多数高端智能手机提供动力。它们也可以在虚拟现实耳机、汽车和无人机中找到。这些市场的长期增长将赋予高通充足的定价权。</blockquote></p><p> Its licensing business, which leverages its portfolio of wireless patents to earn a cut of every smartphone sold worldwide, also generates a stable stream of high-margin revenue. It then plows a large portion of that excess cash into big buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>其授权业务利用其无线专利组合从全球销售的每部智能手机中赚取分成，也产生了稳定的高利润收入流。然后，它将大部分多余现金投入到大规模回购和股息中。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's stock has already risen more than 200% as investors have recognized those long-term strengths, but it still looks cheap at 17 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者认识到这些长期优势，高通的股价已经上涨了200%以上，但预计市盈率为17倍，看起来仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Texas Instruments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.德州仪器</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Texas Instruments</b>&nbsp;manufactures a wide range of analog and embedded chips for consumer electronics, cars, industrial machines, and other markets. These chips aren't as powerful as Qualcomm's mobile chips, but they're just as essential and less capital-intensive to produce.</p><p><blockquote><b>德州仪器</b>为消费电子、汽车、工业机器和其他市场制造各种模拟和嵌入式芯片。这些芯片不如高通的移动芯片强大，但它们同样重要，生产资本密集度更低。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike Qualcomm, which outsources the production of its chips to third-party foundries, TI manufactures its own chips in-house. That business model insulates it from the ongoing chip shortage, and its cost-cutting migration from 200mm to 300mm wafers over the past few years enabled it to significantly reduce its own manufacturing costs and boost its gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>与将芯片生产外包给第三方代工厂的高通不同，TI在内部制造自己的芯片。这种商业模式使其免受持续芯片短缺的影响，过去几年其从200毫米晶圆到300毫米晶圆的成本削减迁移使其能够显着降低自身制造成本并提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> TI's business is naturally resistant to inflation since it has much better control over its own supply chain and operating expenses than other chipmakers, and it generates plenty of excess cash for buybacks and dividends. It reduced its number of outstanding shares by 46% between 2004 and 2020, and it's raised its dividend annually for 18 straight years. It currently pays a forward dividend yield of 2.4%, which is supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 52%.</p><p><blockquote>TI的业务自然能够抵抗通货膨胀，因为它比其他芯片制造商更好地控制自己的供应链和运营费用，并且它产生大量多余现金用于回购和股息。2004年至2020年间，该公司已发行股票数量减少了46%，并连续18年每年提高股息。它目前支付2.4%的远期股息收益率，并得到52%的可持续派息率的支持。</blockquote></p><p> TI's stock has more than doubled over the past three years, but it still trades at 23 times forward earnings. That reasonable valuation, along with its healthy yield and stable business, makes TI a reliable and inflation-resistant tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>TI的股价在过去三年中上涨了一倍多，但其预期市盈率仍为23倍。合理的估值，加上其健康的收益率和稳定的业务，使TI成为一只可靠且抗通胀的科技股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4只最安全的股息股票将帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 of the Safest Dividend Stocks That'll Help You Crush Inflation<blockquote>4只最安全的股息股票将帮助您抑制通货膨胀</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 16:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rising inflation is wreaking havoc on many high-growth stocks as investors fret over higher costs and reduced future valuations. Higher interest rates, which counter inflation, are also sparking fears of an economic slowdown and causing investors to rotate from dividend stocks toward lower-risk bonds.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者担心成本上升和未来估值下降，通胀上升正在对许多高增长股票造成严重破坏。对抗通胀的利率上升也引发了人们对经济放缓的担忧，并导致投资者从股息股票转向风险较低的债券。</blockquote></p><p> Faced with&nbsp;these challenges, it might seem like a bad idea to buy dividend-paying tech stocks. However, these four tech dividend stocks should remain resilient and easily withstand the upcoming inflation-related challenges.</p><p><blockquote>面对这些挑战，购买派息科技股似乎是个坏主意。然而，这四只科技股息股应该保持弹性，并轻松抵御即将到来的通胀相关挑战。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3710057a11169b9e18f5bf46888ca7fb\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Apple.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：苹果。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b>&nbsp;only pays a forward dividend yield of 0.5%, but its lowpayout ratioof 15% indicates there's still plenty of room for much higher payments. Apple's stock price has risen nearly 270% over the past three years, but it still doesn't look terribly expensive at 29 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b>仅支付0.5%的远期股息收益率，但其15%的低派息率表明仍有很大的空间来支付更高的股息。苹果的股价在过去三年里上涨了近270%，但29倍的预期市盈率看起来仍然不是很贵。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is an inflation-resistant company for two simple reasons. First, it has the clout to negotiate more favorable prices from its suppliers. Second, it probably won't lose a lot of its loyal customers if it charges higher prices for its hardware since they're already firmly locked into its software ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家抗通胀公司，原因很简单，有两个。首先，它有能力从供应商那里谈判更优惠的价格。其次，如果它对硬件收取更高的价格，它可能不会失去很多忠实客户，因为他们已经牢牢地锁定在其软件生态系统中。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has also consistently executed big stock buybacks, which have reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 22% over the past five years. Spending more cash on those buybacks, which boosts the value of its remaining shares, is a better strategy than letting its cash stagnate in an inflationary environment.</p><p><blockquote>苹果还持续执行大规模股票回购，过去五年使其流通股减少了近22%。在这些回购上花费更多现金，从而提高其剩余股票的价值，是比让现金在通胀环境中停滞不前更好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Apple will face a&nbsp;near-term slowdown&nbsp;as it grapples with supply chain constraints, but its long-term outlook is still bright. Its services ecosystem continues to expand, and it will eventually expand into new next-gen markets like augmented reality, virtual reality, and connected cars.</p><p><blockquote>由于努力应对供应链限制，苹果将面临近期经济放缓，但其长期前景仍然光明。其服务生态系统不断扩展，最终将扩展到增强现实、虚拟现实和联网汽车等新的下一代市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Verizon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.威瑞森</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Verizon</b>&nbsp;pays a forward dividend yield of 5%. The telecom giant has raised that dividend annually for 15 straight years, and it's spent less than half of its earnings per share on those payments over the past 12 months. The stock also trades at just nine times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>Verizon</b>支付5%的远期股息率。这家电信巨头已连续15年每年提高股息，在过去12个月里，它在这些支付上的支出不到每股收益的一半。该股的预期市盈率也仅为九倍。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, Verizon seems like a lackluster investment. It's declined more than 10% over the past three years as the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;has risen nearly 70%.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，Verizon似乎是一项乏善可陈的投资。过去三年下降了10%以上<b>标普500</b>已上涨近70%。</blockquote></p><p> However, Verizon's stock will likely remain stable as rising inflation and higher interest rates rattle the markets. As the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., Verizon can likely pass on most of its higher costs onto consumers without significantly increasing its churn rates. It's also a more streamlined company than&nbsp;<b>AT&amp;T</b>, which is still trying toundo the damageof the debt-fueled expansions of its media and pay-TV ecosystems.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着通胀上升和利率上升扰乱市场，Verizon的股价可能会保持稳定。作为美国最大的无线运营商，Verizon可能会将大部分较高的成本转嫁给消费者，而不会显着增加其流失率。它也是一家比<b>AT&amp;T</b>该公司仍在努力弥补债务推动的媒体和付费电视生态系统扩张造成的损害。</blockquote></p><p> Verizon's stable returns, sticky ecosystem, high dividend, and low valuation will all make it an ideal safe-haven stock in an inflationary market.</p><p><blockquote>Verizon稳定的回报、粘性生态系统、高股息和低估值都将使其成为通胀市场中理想的避险股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Qualcomm</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.高通</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Qualcomm</b>, one of the world's largest mobile chipmakers, pays a forward dividend yield of 1.5%. It's raised its annual payout over the past two years, and it's only spent about a third of its earnings on its dividends over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote><b>Qualcomm</b>是全球最大的移动芯片制造商之一，支付1.5%的远期股息率。过去两年，该公司提高了年度派息，而过去12个月，该公司仅将收益的三分之一左右用于股息。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's two main businesses are both well-insulated from inflation. Its Snapdragon system on chips (SoCs), which bundle together a mobile CPU, GPU, and baseband modem, power most of the world's high-end smartphones. They can also be found in&nbsp;virtual reality headsets, cars, and drones. The secular growth of those markets will give Qualcomm plenty of pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>高通的两项主要业务都很好地抵御了通货膨胀。其骁龙片上系统（SoC）将移动CPU、GPU和基带调制解调器捆绑在一起，为世界上大多数高端智能手机提供动力。它们也可以在虚拟现实耳机、汽车和无人机中找到。这些市场的长期增长将赋予高通充足的定价权。</blockquote></p><p> Its licensing business, which leverages its portfolio of wireless patents to earn a cut of every smartphone sold worldwide, also generates a stable stream of high-margin revenue. It then plows a large portion of that excess cash into big buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>其授权业务利用其无线专利组合从全球销售的每部智能手机中赚取分成，也产生了稳定的高利润收入流。然后，它将大部分多余现金投入到大规模回购和股息中。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm's stock has already risen more than 200% as investors have recognized those long-term strengths, but it still looks cheap at 17 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者认识到这些长期优势，高通的股价已经上涨了200%以上，但预计市盈率为17倍，看起来仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Texas Instruments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.德州仪器</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Texas Instruments</b>&nbsp;manufactures a wide range of analog and embedded chips for consumer electronics, cars, industrial machines, and other markets. These chips aren't as powerful as Qualcomm's mobile chips, but they're just as essential and less capital-intensive to produce.</p><p><blockquote><b>德州仪器</b>为消费电子、汽车、工业机器和其他市场制造各种模拟和嵌入式芯片。这些芯片不如高通的移动芯片强大，但它们同样重要，生产资本密集度更低。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike Qualcomm, which outsources the production of its chips to third-party foundries, TI manufactures its own chips in-house. That business model insulates it from the ongoing chip shortage, and its cost-cutting migration from 200mm to 300mm wafers over the past few years enabled it to significantly reduce its own manufacturing costs and boost its gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>与将芯片生产外包给第三方代工厂的高通不同，TI在内部制造自己的芯片。这种商业模式使其免受持续芯片短缺的影响，过去几年其从200毫米晶圆到300毫米晶圆的成本削减迁移使其能够显着降低自身制造成本并提高毛利率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> TI's business is naturally resistant to inflation since it has much better control over its own supply chain and operating expenses than other chipmakers, and it generates plenty of excess cash for buybacks and dividends. It reduced its number of outstanding shares by 46% between 2004 and 2020, and it's raised its dividend annually for 18 straight years. It currently pays a forward dividend yield of 2.4%, which is supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 52%.</p><p><blockquote>TI的业务自然能够抵抗通货膨胀，因为它比其他芯片制造商更好地控制自己的供应链和运营费用，并且它产生大量多余现金用于回购和股息。2004年至2020年间，该公司已发行股票数量减少了46%，并连续18年每年提高股息。它目前支付2.4%的远期股息收益率，并得到52%的可持续派息率的支持。</blockquote></p><p> TI's stock has more than doubled over the past three years, but it still trades at 23 times forward earnings. That reasonable valuation, along with its healthy yield and stable business, makes TI a reliable and inflation-resistant tech stock.</p><p><blockquote>TI的股价在过去三年中上涨了一倍多，但其预期市盈率仍为23倍。合理的估值，加上其健康的收益率和稳定的业务，使TI成为一只可靠且抗通胀的科技股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/06/safe-dividend-stocks-that-help-crush-inflation/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","TXN":"德州仪器","VZ":"Verizon Comms","QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/06/safe-dividend-stocks-that-help-crush-inflation/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153880755","content_text":"Rising inflation is wreaking havoc on many high-growth stocks as investors fret over higher costs and reduced future valuations. Higher interest rates, which counter inflation, are also sparking fears of an economic slowdown and causing investors to rotate from dividend stocks toward lower-risk bonds.\nFaced with these challenges, it might seem like a bad idea to buy dividend-paying tech stocks. However, these four tech dividend stocks should remain resilient and easily withstand the upcoming inflation-related challenges.\nImage source: Apple.\n1. Apple\nApple only pays a forward dividend yield of 0.5%, but its lowpayout ratioof 15% indicates there's still plenty of room for much higher payments. Apple's stock price has risen nearly 270% over the past three years, but it still doesn't look terribly expensive at 29 times forward earnings.\nApple is an inflation-resistant company for two simple reasons. First, it has the clout to negotiate more favorable prices from its suppliers. Second, it probably won't lose a lot of its loyal customers if it charges higher prices for its hardware since they're already firmly locked into its software ecosystem.\nApple has also consistently executed big stock buybacks, which have reduced its outstanding shares by nearly 22% over the past five years. Spending more cash on those buybacks, which boosts the value of its remaining shares, is a better strategy than letting its cash stagnate in an inflationary environment.\nApple will face a near-term slowdown as it grapples with supply chain constraints, but its long-term outlook is still bright. Its services ecosystem continues to expand, and it will eventually expand into new next-gen markets like augmented reality, virtual reality, and connected cars.\n2. Verizon\nVerizon pays a forward dividend yield of 5%. The telecom giant has raised that dividend annually for 15 straight years, and it's spent less than half of its earnings per share on those payments over the past 12 months. The stock also trades at just nine times forward earnings.\nAt first glance, Verizon seems like a lackluster investment. It's declined more than 10% over the past three years as the S&P 500 has risen nearly 70%.\nHowever, Verizon's stock will likely remain stable as rising inflation and higher interest rates rattle the markets. As the largest wireless carrier in the U.S., Verizon can likely pass on most of its higher costs onto consumers without significantly increasing its churn rates. It's also a more streamlined company than AT&T, which is still trying toundo the damageof the debt-fueled expansions of its media and pay-TV ecosystems.\nVerizon's stable returns, sticky ecosystem, high dividend, and low valuation will all make it an ideal safe-haven stock in an inflationary market.\n3. Qualcomm\nQualcomm, one of the world's largest mobile chipmakers, pays a forward dividend yield of 1.5%. It's raised its annual payout over the past two years, and it's only spent about a third of its earnings on its dividends over the past 12 months.\nQualcomm's two main businesses are both well-insulated from inflation. Its Snapdragon system on chips (SoCs), which bundle together a mobile CPU, GPU, and baseband modem, power most of the world's high-end smartphones. They can also be found in virtual reality headsets, cars, and drones. The secular growth of those markets will give Qualcomm plenty of pricing power.\nIts licensing business, which leverages its portfolio of wireless patents to earn a cut of every smartphone sold worldwide, also generates a stable stream of high-margin revenue. It then plows a large portion of that excess cash into big buybacks and dividends.\nQualcomm's stock has already risen more than 200% as investors have recognized those long-term strengths, but it still looks cheap at 17 times forward earnings.\n4. Texas Instruments\nTexas Instruments manufactures a wide range of analog and embedded chips for consumer electronics, cars, industrial machines, and other markets. These chips aren't as powerful as Qualcomm's mobile chips, but they're just as essential and less capital-intensive to produce.\nUnlike Qualcomm, which outsources the production of its chips to third-party foundries, TI manufactures its own chips in-house. That business model insulates it from the ongoing chip shortage, and its cost-cutting migration from 200mm to 300mm wafers over the past few years enabled it to significantly reduce its own manufacturing costs and boost its gross margins.\nTI's business is naturally resistant to inflation since it has much better control over its own supply chain and operating expenses than other chipmakers, and it generates plenty of excess cash for buybacks and dividends. It reduced its number of outstanding shares by 46% between 2004 and 2020, and it's raised its dividend annually for 18 straight years. It currently pays a forward dividend yield of 2.4%, which is supported by a sustainable payout ratio of 52%.\nTI's stock has more than doubled over the past three years, but it still trades at 23 times forward earnings. That reasonable valuation, along with its healthy yield and stable business, makes TI a reliable and inflation-resistant tech stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VZ":0.9,"TXN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"QCOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608435473,"gmtCreate":1638774435717,"gmtModify":1638774435815,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖","listText":"The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖","text":"The game is well played… and most people only know half of the story, that shares are sold 🤖","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608435473","repostId":"1105188334","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":855,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608335272,"gmtCreate":1638621650753,"gmtModify":1638621650886,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608335272","repostId":"2188523759","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1095,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608335676,"gmtCreate":1638621606109,"gmtModify":1638621606206,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪","listText":"Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪","text":"Let’s wait for a while longer 💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608335676","repostId":"2188853578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603568874,"gmtCreate":1638428923829,"gmtModify":1638428924149,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577755293052640","idStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603568874","repostId":"2188049563","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":865189217,"gmtCreate":1632960994614,"gmtModify":1632961021221,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865189217","repostId":"2171300933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172930017,"gmtCreate":1626925678439,"gmtModify":1633769661261,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172930017","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":672,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868303065,"gmtCreate":1632585034357,"gmtModify":1632654851495,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868303065","repostId":"2169615117","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":835595536,"gmtCreate":1629726129125,"gmtModify":1633682916345,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835595536","repostId":"1105547841","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105547841","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629726022,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105547841?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价涨近3%创新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105547841","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high in Monday morning trading.","content":"<p>NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价周一早盘上涨近3%，再创新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8075cefb2210baeb244ede722b51d9bc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价涨近3%创新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high<blockquote>英伟达股价涨近3%创新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-23 21:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价周一早盘上涨近3%，再创新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8075cefb2210baeb244ede722b51d9bc\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105547841","content_text":"NVIDIA shares rose nearly 3% to a new high in Monday morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":605321458,"gmtCreate":1639117258693,"gmtModify":1639117258863,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A&nbsp;perfect storm is brewing…","listText":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A&nbsp;perfect storm is brewing…","text":"It is no longer based on pure economics…A perfect storm is brewing…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605321458","repostId":"1173696854","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173696854","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639100666,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173696854?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173696854","media":"Fortune","summary":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will be","content":"<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。那不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测，我们需要了解美联储如何创造不可持续的繁荣，以及为什么下一次萧条可能就在眼前。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的是。正如物理学家尼尔斯·玻尔（Niels Bohr）所说：“预测是非常困难的，尤其是如果它是关于未来的。”尽管如此，我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分来权衡。美联储的通胀政策使我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币即将出现：我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who&nbsp;warned the public&nbsp;that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果一只狗可以拥有加密货币，为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢？他在1976年春天警告公众，由于美联储的通胀政策，价格即将加速上涨？</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%，1977年上涨6.5%，1978年上涨7.6%，1979年上涨11.3%，1980年上涨13.5%。谈论金钱是正确的！</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内肆虐，时任总统吉米·卡特于1979年任命前银行家和美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克来阻止多年的价格螺旋式上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981年消费者价格上涨10.3%，揭示了在美联储紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前，通胀势头如何持续一段时间。1982年物价上涨6.1%，1983年上涨3.2%，1986年（奇迹中的奇迹）仅上涨1.9%，一年前沃尔克卸任美联储主席，由艾伦·格林斯潘接任。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed&nbsp;raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现当时由于高通胀预期而被认为不太可能实现的目标，沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率（银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率）提高到22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑所必需的紧缩货币政策的代价是连续的衰退：1980年的短暂衰退，然后是1981-1982年的另一次衰退。可以说，发生了一次长期衰退，实际上持续了三年，从1980年1月到1982年11月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>周期性衰退的最佳领先指标之一是失业率，失业率在1980年经济衰退前几个月的1979年5月达到周期性底部（5.6%），直到1982年11月才达到峰值（10.8%）。失业率一直在下降，直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b>&nbsp;has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the&nbsp;historical pattern&nbsp;reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前，<b>失业率</b>自2020年初的封锁高峰以来一直在下降，并已达到历史上标志着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率，但历史模式表明，当失业率接近3%然后上升时，衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b>&nbsp;is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛关注的金融指标之一，预示着通常在一年内出现衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下，收益率曲线是向上倾斜的，就像今天一样，当短期利率低于长期利率时，反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was&nbsp;virtually inverted&nbsp;at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济“过热”时，它往往会提高联邦基金利率以冷却价格通胀，这种情况发生在2000年互联网泡沫和2007年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂，表明经济衰退将在2020年某个时候开始。然而，为应对新冠肺炎而实施的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退，而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein&nbsp;jected $4 trillion&nbsp;of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在经济正处于另一次周期性上升，因为美联储注入了4万亿美元的流动性来“模拟”经济。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）最近一次会议上，决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说，即使通胀率最近同比突破6%，美联储仍将继续踩在货币踏板上。过去，通胀加速会敲响美联储加息的警钟，以抑制通胀压力和预期。目前，美联储的想法是价格通胀是“暂时性的”，因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我无畏的预测是：2022年通胀将加速。然后，公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议以及媒体报道强调物价如何摧毁普通家庭的购买力，可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在1971年那样实施工资价格控制，以在1972年连任竞选前消除通货膨胀的刺痛。如果国会不赋予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力，他可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制，我预计美联储将在2022年某个时候提高联邦基金利率，并在2023年继续收紧。因此，下一次衰退可能会在2023年秋季开始，但不会晚于一年后。如果衰退没有如期开始，只意味着它被推迟了，而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst<blockquote>下一次衰退：“一切泡沫”何时破裂</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Fortune</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 09:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.</p><p><blockquote>20XX年10月。那不是错别字。为了对下一次衰退何时开始做出最佳猜测，我们需要了解美联储如何创造不可持续的繁荣，以及为什么下一次萧条可能就在眼前。</blockquote></p><p> A caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.</p><p><blockquote>需要注意的是。正如物理学家尼尔斯·玻尔（Niels Bohr）所说：“预测是非常困难的，尤其是如果它是关于未来的。”尽管如此，我会无所畏惧地用我的10美分来权衡。美联储的通胀政策使我的两美分增加了五倍。也许下一个加密货币即将出现：我的10美分。</blockquote></p><p> If a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who&nbsp;warned the public&nbsp;that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?</p><p><blockquote>如果一只狗可以拥有加密货币，为什么一位退休的金融学教授不能拥有加密货币呢？他在1976年春天警告公众，由于美联储的通胀政策，价格即将加速上涨？</blockquote></p><p> Consumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!</p><p><blockquote>1976年消费价格上涨5.7%，1977年上涨6.5%，1978年上涨7.6%，1979年上涨11.3%，1980年上涨13.5%。谈论金钱是正确的！</blockquote></p><p> As inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.</p><p><blockquote>由于通货膨胀在他的总统任期内肆虐，时任总统吉米·卡特于1979年任命前银行家和美国财政部官员保罗·沃尔克来阻止多年的价格螺旋式上升。沃尔克取得了惊人的成功。1981年消费者价格上涨10.3%，揭示了在美联储紧缩货币政策杀死通胀巨龙之前，通胀势头如何持续一段时间。1982年物价上涨6.1%，1983年上涨3.2%，1986年（奇迹中的奇迹）仅上涨1.9%，一年前沃尔克卸任美联储主席，由艾伦·格林斯潘接任。</blockquote></p><p> To accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed&nbsp;raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现当时由于高通胀预期而被认为不太可能实现的目标，沃尔克领导的美联储在1980年12月之前将联邦基金利率（银行相互借入隔夜贷款的利率）提高到22%。沃尔克为阻止美元下滑所必需的紧缩货币政策的代价是连续的衰退：1980年的短暂衰退，然后是1981-1982年的另一次衰退。可以说，发生了一次长期衰退，实际上持续了三年，从1980年1月到1982年11月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinpointing the moment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>精确定位时刻</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.</p><p><blockquote>周期性衰退的最佳领先指标之一是失业率，失业率在1980年经济衰退前几个月的1979年5月达到周期性底部（5.6%），直到1982年11月才达到峰值（10.8%）。失业率一直在下降，直到1990年下一次裁员开始加速。</blockquote></p><p> Currently,<b>the unemployment rate</b>&nbsp;has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the&nbsp;historical pattern&nbsp;reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.</p><p><blockquote>目前，<b>失业率</b>自2020年初的封锁高峰以来一直在下降，并已达到历史上标志着周期性繁荣结束的水平。封锁无疑扭曲了失业率，但历史模式表明，当失业率接近3%然后上升时，衰退将很快开始。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/746377b702eacfdfaa019222f8161b85\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>The yield curve</b>&nbsp;is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益率曲线</b>是最广泛关注的金融指标之一，预示着通常在一年内出现衰退。收益率曲线揭示了短期和长期利率之间的关系。通常情况下，收益率曲线是向上倾斜的，就像今天一样，当短期利率低于长期利率时，反映了金融市场中大量的流动性。</blockquote></p><p> When the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was&nbsp;virtually inverted&nbsp;at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储担心经济“过热”时，它往往会提高联邦基金利率以冷却价格通胀，这种情况发生在2000年互联网泡沫和2007年房地产泡沫破裂之前。收益率曲线在2019年底几乎倒挂，表明经济衰退将在2020年某个时候开始。然而，为应对新冠肺炎而实施的封锁导致了2020年初的经济衰退，而不是典型的周期性衰退。</blockquote></p><p> Now the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein&nbsp;jected $4 trillion&nbsp;of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.</p><p><blockquote>现在经济正处于另一次周期性上升，因为美联储注入了4万亿美元的流动性来“模拟”经济。在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）最近一次会议上，决定将每月购买量从1200亿美元减少到1050亿美元。换句话说，即使通胀率最近同比突破6%，美联储仍将继续踩在货币踏板上。过去，通胀加速会敲响美联储加息的警钟，以抑制通胀压力和预期。目前，美联储的想法是价格通胀是“暂时性的”，因此不必收紧货币政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> My fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我无畏的预测是：2022年通胀将加速。然后，公众对物价飞涨的强烈抗议以及媒体报道强调物价如何摧毁普通家庭的购买力，可能会导致拜登政府像尼克松总统在1971年那样实施工资价格控制，以在1972年连任竞选前消除通货膨胀的刺痛。如果国会不赋予拜登实施价格控制的法定权力，他可以使用行政命令。</blockquote></p><p> Without price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.</p><p><blockquote>如果没有价格控制，我预计美联储将在2022年某个时候提高联邦基金利率，并在2023年继续收紧。因此，下一次衰退可能会在2023年秋季开始，但不会晚于一年后。如果衰退没有如期开始，只意味着它被推迟了，而不是被消除了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html\">Fortune</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/next-recession-everything-bubble-burst-120100109.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173696854","content_text":"In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner.\nA caveat is in order. As physicist Niels Bohr exclaimed, “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Nevertheless, I will weigh in fearlessly with my 10 cents. The Fed’s inflationary policies have increased my two cents fivefold. Maybe the next cryptocurrency is on the horizon: My 10 Cents.\nIf a dog can have a crypto, why can’t a retired finance professor who warned the public that prices were about to accelerate due to the Fed’s inflationary policies in the spring of 1976 have one?\nConsumerprices rose5.7% in 1976, 6.5% in 1977, 7.6% in 1978, 11.3% in 1979 and 13.5% in 1980. Talk about being right on the money!\nAs inflation was galloping throughout his presidency, then President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker, a former banker and U.S. Treasury official, in 1979 to halt the multiyear price spiral. Volcker succeeded spectacularly. Consumer prices rose 10.3% in 1981, revealing how inflation momentum can continue for a while before the Fed’s tight money policies slay the inflation dragon. In 1982, prices rose 6.1%, 3.2% in 1983, and (miracle of miracles) only 1.9% in 1986, a year before Volcker stepped down as Fed chairman and was replaced by Alan Greenspan.\nTo accomplish what was considered at the time improbable due to high inflation expectations, the Volcker-led Fed raised the Fed Funds Rate–the rate banks borrow from each other for overnight loans–to 22% by December 1980. The cost of Volcker’s tight monetary policies necessary to halt the dollar’s slide was back-to-back recessions: a short downturn 1980 and then another one, 1981-1982. A case can be made that one long recession occurred that in effect lasted three years, from January 1980 to November 1982.\nPinpointing the moment\nOne of the best leading indicators of a cyclical downturn is the unemployment rate, which reached a cyclical bottom in May 1979 (5.6%) several months before the 1980 recession and didn’t peak until November 1982 (10.8%). The unemployment rate declined until the next upturn in layoffs began to accelerate in 1990.\nCurrently,the unemployment rate has been declining from the lockdown peak of early 2020 and has reached levels that historically have signaled the beginning of the end of a cyclical boom. Lockdowns have undoubtedly distorted the unemployment rate, but the historical pattern reveals that when the unemployment rate nears three percent and then turns up, a recession will soon begin.\n\nThe yield curve is one of the most widely followed financial indicators that portend a recession usually within a year. The yield curve reveals the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates. Typically, the yield curve is upward sloping, like today, when short-term rates are below long-term rates, reflecting a substantial amount of liquidity in the financial markets.\nWhen the Fed becomes concerned that the economy is “overheating,” it tends to raise the Fed Funds Rate to cool down price inflation, which occurred prior to the bursting of both the 2000 dotcom bubble and the 2007 housing bubble. The yield curve was virtually inverted at the end of 2019, suggesting that a recession would begin sometime in 2020. However, the lockdowns in response to COVID-19 caused an economic downturn in early 2020, not a typical cyclical recession.\nNow the economy is in another cyclical upswing because the Federal Reservein jected $4 trillion of liquidity to “simulate” the economy. At the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), it was decided to reduce monthly purchases from $120 billion to $105 billion. In other words, the Fed will continue to have its foot on the monetary pedal even as the inflation rate recently topped 6% year over year. In the past accelerating inflation would set off alarm bells at the Fed to raise interest rates to dampen inflationary pressure and expectations. Currently, the thinking at the Fed is that price inflation is “transitory” and therefore monetary policy does not have to be tightened.\nMy fearless forecast, therefore, is: Inflation accelerates in 2022. Then, the public outcry over skyrocketing prices and the media reports highlighting how prices are decimating the average family’s purchasing power may cause the Biden administration to impose wage-price controls as President Nixon did in 1971 to take the sting out of inflation before his 1972 reelection campaign. Biden could use an executive order if Congress doesn’t give him statutory authority to impose price controls.\nWithout price controls, I expect the Fed to raise the Fed Funds Rate, sometime in 2022 and to continue tightening in 2023. Thus, the next recession could begin in the fall of 2023, but no later than a year later. If the recession does not begin on schedule, it only means it has been postponed, not eliminated.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876743667,"gmtCreate":1637369072547,"gmtModify":1637369072852,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876743667","repostId":"2184842262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879963802,"gmtCreate":1636677063499,"gmtModify":1636677071467,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879963802","repostId":"1174358718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846724972,"gmtCreate":1636116134522,"gmtModify":1636116301576,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846724972","repostId":"1156660858","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156660858","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636113788,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156660858?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 20:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156660858","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of s","content":"<p>Futures tracking the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of strong earnings reports and Pfizer, while investors looked to monthly employment data for clues on the pace of economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>受一批强劲财报和辉瑞的提振，跟踪标普500和纳斯达克指数的期货周五创下历史新高，而投资者则从月度就业数据中寻找经济增长步伐的线索。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.15%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.15%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:00，道指e-mini上涨54点，涨幅0.15%，标普500 e-mini上涨10.75点，涨幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨23.75点，涨幅0.15%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e1332bf1b10c768776f84a7da4d481e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Travel stocks rose following the news, with American Airline , United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, cruise operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise rising between 2% and 4%.</p><p><blockquote>消息传出后，旅游股上涨，美国航空、联合航空、达美航空、邮轮运营商嘉年华公司和挪威邮轮上涨2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October while the unemployment rate fell to 4.6%, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 450,000. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五报告称，10月份美国经济新增就业岗位超出预期，失业率降至4.6%。当月非农就业人数增加53.1万人，而道琼斯估计为45万人。失业率预计将小幅下降至4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on Friday on the social policy and climate-change bill and a bipartisan infrastructure bill.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国众议院预计将于周五就社会政策和气候变化法案以及两党基础设施法案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer(PFE)</b> – The drug maker's shares surged 10.4% in premarket trading after a study showed that its experimental Covid-19 antiviral pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by nearly 90%. Pfizer said it will ask regulators to approve the pill as soon as possible.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞(PFE)</b>-一项研究显示，该制药商的实验性Covid-19抗病毒药物可将住院和死亡风险降低近90%，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中飙升10.4%。辉瑞表示，将要求监管机构尽快批准该药物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b> – The sports betting company’s stock slid 10% in the premarket after it reported a wider-than-expected loss and revenue that fell short of Street forecasts. DraftKings did raise the midpoint of its fiscal 2021 revenue guidance and said it expected a strong 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b>–这家体育博彩公司公布亏损超出预期且收入低于华尔街预测，该公司股价在盘前下跌10%。DraftKings确实提高了2021财年收入指引的中点，并表示预计2022财年将表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA)&nbsp;</b>–&nbsp;Nvidia shares rose&nbsp;3% in premarket trading Friday&nbsp;after a 12% rise yesterday.Well Fargo Securities analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating on Nvidia and bumped up the price target from $245 to $320.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>-英伟达股价继昨天上涨12%后，周五盘前交易中上涨3%。富国证券分析师Aaron Rakers重申了对英伟达的跑赢大盘评级，并将目标价从245美元上调至320美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Peloton(PTON)</b> – Peloton tumbled 33% in the premarket after the fitness equipment maker slashed its full-year sales forecast by $1 billion, amid slowing demand for bikes and treadmills. Peloton also reported a quarterly loss of $1.21 per share, wider than the $1.07 loss expected by analysts, and revenue fell short of estimates as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>Peloton(PTON)</b>-由于自行车和跑步机需求放缓，健身器材制造商Peloton将全年销售额预测下调了10亿美元，盘前股价暴跌33%。Peloton还报告季度每股亏损1.21美元，高于分析师预期的1.07美元，营收也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expedia(EXPE)</b> – Expedia earned an adjusted $3.53 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $1.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was also higher than expected, with the travel services company benefiting from the surge in travel demand. Expedia soared 13.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Expedia(EXPE)</b>-Expedia最近一个季度调整后每股收益为3.53美元，远高于市场普遍预期的1.65美元。收入也高于预期，这家旅游服务公司受益于旅行需求的激增。Expedia在盘前交易中飙升13.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb(ABNB)</b> – Airbnb rallied 5.9% in the premarket as the travel-demand surge lifted sales and earnings beyond Wall Street forecasts. Airbnb earned $1.22 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $0.75 consensus estimate, with sales coming in at a record high. The company also said it expects a strong holiday season.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎(ABNB)</b>-爱彼迎盘前上涨5.9%，因旅游需求激增推动销售额和盈利超出华尔街预期。爱彼迎最近一个季度每股收益1.22美元，超过市场普遍预期的0.75美元，销售额创历史新高。该公司还表示，预计假期将会很强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Uber Technologies(UBER) </b>– Uber reported its first profitable quarter on an adjusted basis, thanks to upbeat performances by its ride-sharing and food delivery services. It did post an overall loss due to the drop in value of its stake in China ride-hailing company&nbsp;Didi(DIDI). Uber rose 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>优步科技(UBER)</b>-由于拼车和送餐服务的乐观表现，优步报告了调整后的第一个盈利季度。由于其在中国网约车公司滴滴（DIDI）的股份价值下跌，该公司确实出现了整体亏损。Uber在盘前交易中上涨2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinterest(PINS)</b> – Pinterest came in 5 cents above estimates with an adjusted quarterly profit of 28 cents per share, and the image-sharing site operator’s revenue also topped analyst forecasts. It is also predicting an upbeat current quarter as the online retailer spends more on holiday season ads. Pinterest jumped 3.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pinterest(PINS)</b>-Pinterest调整后季度利润为每股28美分，比预期高出5美分，这家图像共享网站运营商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还预测，随着这家在线零售商在假日广告上的支出增加，本季度将会乐观。Pinterest在盘前股价上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square(SQ)</b> -Square matched estimates with quarterly earnings of 37 cents per share, while the mobile payments company’s revenue missed forecasts. Square did see a nearly 60% rise in profit from a year earlier, thanks in large part to a surge in bitcoin transactions, but the stock dropped 3.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>平方(SQ)</b>-Square的季度收益为每股37美分，符合预期，而这家移动支付公司的收入未达到预期。Square的利润确实较上年同期增长了近60%，这在很大程度上要归功于比特币交易的激增，但该股在盘前交易中下跌了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canopy Growth(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer lost 3 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 20-cent loss expected by analysts. However, revenue fell short of estimates and the company flagged slower-than-expected revenue growth for the second half of fiscal 2022. The stock fell 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>-这家加拿大大麻生产商最近一个季度每股亏损3美分，小于分析师预期的20美分亏损。然而，收入低于预期，该公司表示2022财年下半年的收入增长低于预期。该股盘前下跌2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – Shake Shack reported a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, 1 cent less than Wall Street had anticipated, but the restaurant chain’s sales missed analyst forecasts. Despite the revenue miss, Shake Shack rallied 7.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b>-Shake Shack公布季度每股亏损5美分，比华尔街预期少1美分，但该连锁餐厅的销售额未达到分析师预期。尽管营收未达预期，Shake Shack盘前仍上涨7.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canada Goose(GOOS)</b> – The outerwear maker reported an unexpected profit for its latest quarter along with better-than-expected revenue, and also raised its full-year forecast. Canada Goose also said it’s seeing an indication of a strong winter season, and shares jumped 7.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大鹅(GOOS)</b>-这家外套制造商公布了最近一个季度的意外利润以及好于预期的收入，并上调了全年预期。Canada Goose还表示，它看到了冬季强劲的迹象，股价在盘前上涨了7.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV) </b>– Live Nation shares rallied 5.4% in premarket action after the event promoter returned to profit amid a sales surge as live events returned. Results exceeded analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote><b>现场国家娱乐(LYV)</b>-Live Nation股价在盘前上涨5.4%，此前随着现场活动回归，销售额激增，活动主办方恢复盈利。结果超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lions Gate Entertainment(LGF)</b> – The movie and tv studio is considering a sale or spin-off of its Starz premium cable channel, saying it sees the potential to unlock significant shareholder value. The stock surged 15.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>狮门娱乐(LGF)</b>-该电影和电视工作室正在考虑出售或分拆其Starz付费有线频道，称其看到了释放巨大股东价值的潜力。该股盘前飙升15.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-05 20:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures tracking the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of strong earnings reports and Pfizer, while investors looked to monthly employment data for clues on the pace of economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>受一批强劲财报和辉瑞的提振，跟踪标普500和纳斯达克指数的期货周五创下历史新高，而投资者则从月度就业数据中寻找经济增长步伐的线索。</blockquote></p><p> At 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.15%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.15%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午08:00，道指e-mini上涨54点，涨幅0.15%，标普500 e-mini上涨10.75点，涨幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨23.75点，涨幅0.15%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e1332bf1b10c768776f84a7da4d481e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Travel stocks rose following the news, with American Airline , United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, cruise operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise rising between 2% and 4%.</p><p><blockquote>消息传出后，旅游股上涨，美国航空、联合航空、达美航空、邮轮运营商嘉年华公司和挪威邮轮上涨2%至4%。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October while the unemployment rate fell to 4.6%, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 450,000. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五报告称，10月份美国经济新增就业岗位超出预期，失业率降至4.6%。当月非农就业人数增加53.1万人，而道琼斯估计为45万人。失业率预计将小幅下降至4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on Friday on the social policy and climate-change bill and a bipartisan infrastructure bill.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，美国众议院预计将于周五就社会政策和气候变化法案以及两党基础设施法案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer(PFE)</b> – The drug maker's shares surged 10.4% in premarket trading after a study showed that its experimental Covid-19 antiviral pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by nearly 90%. Pfizer said it will ask regulators to approve the pill as soon as possible.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞(PFE)</b>-一项研究显示，该制药商的实验性Covid-19抗病毒药物可将住院和死亡风险降低近90%，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中飙升10.4%。辉瑞表示，将要求监管机构尽快批准该药物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b> – The sports betting company’s stock slid 10% in the premarket after it reported a wider-than-expected loss and revenue that fell short of Street forecasts. DraftKings did raise the midpoint of its fiscal 2021 revenue guidance and said it expected a strong 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings(DKNG)</b>–这家体育博彩公司公布亏损超出预期且收入低于华尔街预测，该公司股价在盘前下跌10%。DraftKings确实提高了2021财年收入指引的中点，并表示预计2022财年将表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA)&nbsp;</b>–&nbsp;Nvidia shares rose&nbsp;3% in premarket trading Friday&nbsp;after a 12% rise yesterday.Well Fargo Securities analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating on Nvidia and bumped up the price target from $245 to $320.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>-英伟达股价继昨天上涨12%后，周五盘前交易中上涨3%。富国证券分析师Aaron Rakers重申了对英伟达的跑赢大盘评级，并将目标价从245美元上调至320美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Peloton(PTON)</b> – Peloton tumbled 33% in the premarket after the fitness equipment maker slashed its full-year sales forecast by $1 billion, amid slowing demand for bikes and treadmills. Peloton also reported a quarterly loss of $1.21 per share, wider than the $1.07 loss expected by analysts, and revenue fell short of estimates as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>Peloton(PTON)</b>-由于自行车和跑步机需求放缓，健身器材制造商Peloton将全年销售额预测下调了10亿美元，盘前股价暴跌33%。Peloton还报告季度每股亏损1.21美元，高于分析师预期的1.07美元，营收也低于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expedia(EXPE)</b> – Expedia earned an adjusted $3.53 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $1.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was also higher than expected, with the travel services company benefiting from the surge in travel demand. Expedia soared 13.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Expedia(EXPE)</b>-Expedia最近一个季度调整后每股收益为3.53美元，远高于市场普遍预期的1.65美元。收入也高于预期，这家旅游服务公司受益于旅行需求的激增。Expedia在盘前交易中飙升13.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb(ABNB)</b> – Airbnb rallied 5.9% in the premarket as the travel-demand surge lifted sales and earnings beyond Wall Street forecasts. Airbnb earned $1.22 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $0.75 consensus estimate, with sales coming in at a record high. The company also said it expects a strong holiday season.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎(ABNB)</b>-爱彼迎盘前上涨5.9%，因旅游需求激增推动销售额和盈利超出华尔街预期。爱彼迎最近一个季度每股收益1.22美元，超过市场普遍预期的0.75美元，销售额创历史新高。该公司还表示，预计假期将会很强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Uber Technologies(UBER) </b>– Uber reported its first profitable quarter on an adjusted basis, thanks to upbeat performances by its ride-sharing and food delivery services. It did post an overall loss due to the drop in value of its stake in China ride-hailing company&nbsp;Didi(DIDI). Uber rose 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>优步科技(UBER)</b>-由于拼车和送餐服务的乐观表现，优步报告了调整后的第一个盈利季度。由于其在中国网约车公司滴滴（DIDI）的股份价值下跌，该公司确实出现了整体亏损。Uber在盘前交易中上涨2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinterest(PINS)</b> – Pinterest came in 5 cents above estimates with an adjusted quarterly profit of 28 cents per share, and the image-sharing site operator’s revenue also topped analyst forecasts. It is also predicting an upbeat current quarter as the online retailer spends more on holiday season ads. Pinterest jumped 3.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pinterest(PINS)</b>-Pinterest调整后季度利润为每股28美分，比预期高出5美分，这家图像共享网站运营商的收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还预测，随着这家在线零售商在假日广告上的支出增加，本季度将会乐观。Pinterest在盘前股价上涨3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square(SQ)</b> -Square matched estimates with quarterly earnings of 37 cents per share, while the mobile payments company’s revenue missed forecasts. Square did see a nearly 60% rise in profit from a year earlier, thanks in large part to a surge in bitcoin transactions, but the stock dropped 3.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>平方(SQ)</b>-Square的季度收益为每股37美分，符合预期，而这家移动支付公司的收入未达到预期。Square的利润确实较上年同期增长了近60%，这在很大程度上要归功于比特币交易的激增，但该股在盘前交易中下跌了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canopy Growth(CGC)</b> – The Canadian cannabis producer lost 3 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 20-cent loss expected by analysts. However, revenue fell short of estimates and the company flagged slower-than-expected revenue growth for the second half of fiscal 2022. The stock fell 2.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>-这家加拿大大麻生产商最近一个季度每股亏损3美分，小于分析师预期的20美分亏损。然而，收入低于预期，该公司表示2022财年下半年的收入增长低于预期。该股盘前下跌2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – Shake Shack reported a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, 1 cent less than Wall Street had anticipated, but the restaurant chain’s sales missed analyst forecasts. Despite the revenue miss, Shake Shack rallied 7.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b>-Shake Shack公布季度每股亏损5美分，比华尔街预期少1美分，但该连锁餐厅的销售额未达到分析师预期。尽管营收未达预期，Shake Shack盘前仍上涨7.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canada Goose(GOOS)</b> – The outerwear maker reported an unexpected profit for its latest quarter along with better-than-expected revenue, and also raised its full-year forecast. Canada Goose also said it’s seeing an indication of a strong winter season, and shares jumped 7.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大鹅(GOOS)</b>-这家外套制造商公布了最近一个季度的意外利润以及好于预期的收入，并上调了全年预期。Canada Goose还表示，它看到了冬季强劲的迹象，股价在盘前上涨了7.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV) </b>– Live Nation shares rallied 5.4% in premarket action after the event promoter returned to profit amid a sales surge as live events returned. Results exceeded analyst estimates.</p><p><blockquote><b>现场国家娱乐(LYV)</b>-Live Nation股价在盘前上涨5.4%，此前随着现场活动回归，销售额激增，活动主办方恢复盈利。结果超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lions Gate Entertainment(LGF)</b> – The movie and tv studio is considering a sale or spin-off of its Starz premium cable channel, saying it sees the potential to unlock significant shareholder value. The stock surged 15.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>狮门娱乐(LGF)</b>-该电影和电视工作室正在考虑出售或分拆其Starz付费有线频道，称其看到了释放巨大股东价值的潜力。该股盘前飙升15.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PFE":"辉瑞","SHAK":"Shake Shack Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","EXPE":"Expedia",".DJI":"道琼斯","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","UBER":"优步","NVDA":"英伟达","LYV":"Live Nation Entertainment","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation","GOOS":"加拿大鹅","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156660858","content_text":"Futures tracking the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes hit a record high on Friday, boosted by a batch of strong earnings reports and Pfizer, while investors looked to monthly employment data for clues on the pace of economic growth.\nAt 08:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 54 points, or 0.15%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.23%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.15%.\n\nTravel stocks rose following the news, with American Airline , United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, cruise operators Carnival Corp and Norwegian Cruise rising between 2% and 4%.\nThe U.S. economy added more jobs than expected in October while the unemployment rate fell to 4.6%, the Labor Department reported Friday.Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 for the month, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 450,000. The unemployment rate had been expected to edge down to 4.7%.\nMeanwhile, the U.S. House of Representatives is expected to vote on Friday on the social policy and climate-change bill and a bipartisan infrastructure bill.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nPfizer(PFE) – The drug maker's shares surged 10.4% in premarket trading after a study showed that its experimental Covid-19 antiviral pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by nearly 90%. Pfizer said it will ask regulators to approve the pill as soon as possible.\nDraftKings(DKNG) – The sports betting company’s stock slid 10% in the premarket after it reported a wider-than-expected loss and revenue that fell short of Street forecasts. DraftKings did raise the midpoint of its fiscal 2021 revenue guidance and said it expected a strong 2022.\nNvidia(NVDA) – Nvidia shares rose 3% in premarket trading Friday after a 12% rise yesterday.Well Fargo Securities analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating on Nvidia and bumped up the price target from $245 to $320.\nPeloton(PTON) – Peloton tumbled 33% in the premarket after the fitness equipment maker slashed its full-year sales forecast by $1 billion, amid slowing demand for bikes and treadmills. Peloton also reported a quarterly loss of $1.21 per share, wider than the $1.07 loss expected by analysts, and revenue fell short of estimates as well.\nExpedia(EXPE) – Expedia earned an adjusted $3.53 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $1.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was also higher than expected, with the travel services company benefiting from the surge in travel demand. Expedia soared 13.7% in premarket trading.\nAirbnb(ABNB) – Airbnb rallied 5.9% in the premarket as the travel-demand surge lifted sales and earnings beyond Wall Street forecasts. Airbnb earned $1.22 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $0.75 consensus estimate, with sales coming in at a record high. The company also said it expects a strong holiday season.\nUber Technologies(UBER) – Uber reported its first profitable quarter on an adjusted basis, thanks to upbeat performances by its ride-sharing and food delivery services. It did post an overall loss due to the drop in value of its stake in China ride-hailing company Didi(DIDI). Uber rose 2.5% in premarket trading.\nPinterest(PINS) – Pinterest came in 5 cents above estimates with an adjusted quarterly profit of 28 cents per share, and the image-sharing site operator’s revenue also topped analyst forecasts. It is also predicting an upbeat current quarter as the online retailer spends more on holiday season ads. Pinterest jumped 3.8% in premarket action.\nSquare(SQ) -Square matched estimates with quarterly earnings of 37 cents per share, while the mobile payments company’s revenue missed forecasts. Square did see a nearly 60% rise in profit from a year earlier, thanks in large part to a surge in bitcoin transactions, but the stock dropped 3.5% in premarket trading.\nCanopy Growth(CGC) – The Canadian cannabis producer lost 3 cents per share for its latest quarter, smaller than the 20-cent loss expected by analysts. However, revenue fell short of estimates and the company flagged slower-than-expected revenue growth for the second half of fiscal 2022. The stock fell 2.7% in the premarket.\nShake Shack(SHAK) – Shake Shack reported a quarterly loss of 5 cents per share, 1 cent less than Wall Street had anticipated, but the restaurant chain’s sales missed analyst forecasts. Despite the revenue miss, Shake Shack rallied 7.6% in the premarket.\nCanada Goose(GOOS) – The outerwear maker reported an unexpected profit for its latest quarter along with better-than-expected revenue, and also raised its full-year forecast. Canada Goose also said it’s seeing an indication of a strong winter season, and shares jumped 7.4% in the premarket.\nLive Nation Entertainment(LYV) – Live Nation shares rallied 5.4% in premarket action after the event promoter returned to profit amid a sales surge as live events returned. Results exceeded analyst estimates.\nLions Gate Entertainment(LGF) – The movie and tv studio is considering a sale or spin-off of its Starz premium cable channel, saying it sees the potential to unlock significant shareholder value. The stock surged 15.1% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"EXPE":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"LGF":0.9,"SHAK":0.9,"GOOS":0.9,"PINS":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"LYV":0.9,"CGC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"PTON":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872821262,"gmtCreate":1637480142904,"gmtModify":1637480142986,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872821262","repostId":"2184828468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859263526,"gmtCreate":1634701081491,"gmtModify":1634701145966,"author":{"id":"3577755293052640","authorId":"3577755293052640","name":"SK19","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee6b25332525b16399562f21677fa1cd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577755293052640","authorIdStr":"3577755293052640"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"💪💪💪","listText":"💪💪💪","text":"💪💪💪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859263526","repostId":"1154729060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154729060","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634700852,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154729060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading<blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154729060","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The Hang Seng Index rises 1.5% while The Hang Se","content":"<p>Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The&nbsp;Hang&nbsp;Seng&nbsp;Index&nbsp;rises&nbsp;1.5%&nbsp;while The Hang Seng Technology Index jumps 3%.</p><p><blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升。恒生指数上涨1.</blockquote></p><p> Tencent,Alibaba,Meituan,JD.com,Xiaomi,Bilibili,Netease,Kuaishou&nbsp;climb between&nbsp;2% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股、阿里巴巴-SW、美团-W、京东、小米、哔哩哔哩、网易、快手涨幅在2%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50fb6256ddbebea08837e1e9a9619c97\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading<blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading<blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-20 11:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The&nbsp;Hang&nbsp;Seng&nbsp;Index&nbsp;rises&nbsp;1.5%&nbsp;while The Hang Seng Technology Index jumps 3%.</p><p><blockquote>香港股市在周三的交易中飙升。恒生指数上涨1.</blockquote></p><p> Tencent,Alibaba,Meituan,JD.com,Xiaomi,Bilibili,Netease,Kuaishou&nbsp;climb between&nbsp;2% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股、阿里巴巴-SW、美团-W、京东、小米、哔哩哔哩、网易、快手涨幅在2%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50fb6256ddbebea08837e1e9a9619c97\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154729060","content_text":"Hong Kong shares are soaring in Wednesday's trading.The Hang Seng Index rises 1.5% while The Hang Seng Technology Index jumps 3%.\nTencent,Alibaba,Meituan,JD.com,Xiaomi,Bilibili,Netease,Kuaishou climb between 2% and 9%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSTECH":0.9,"HSI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}