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2021-08-08

The underlying is still diversification regardless

How 10 of the world’s smartest investors can help you build your perfect portfolio<blockquote>全球 10 位最聪明的投资者如何帮助您建立完美的投资组合</blockquote>

2021-07-13

It’s raining meatballs!

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2021-07-13

So much faith in Tesla

ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote>

2021-07-01

Basically, review review review

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2021-06-30

What goes up, must come down 📈📉

Investors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote>

2021-06-30

Back to the big boys of automobiles

Tesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote>

2021-06-27

Sexy vs boring, why not both?

Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>

2021-06-26

“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]

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2021-06-24

How many Tesla cars in Tibet?

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2021-06-23

In the long running

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2021-06-16

Like what Buffett said, “be fearful when others are greedy”

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2021-06-16

AAPL is way ahead of its competition

Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Battery swap powering NIO on

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2021-06-15

Silver, oil and copper?

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2021-06-13

Good article! Hit every head of the nails

Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>

2021-06-11

Good news

Global Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote>

2021-06-11

Seems bright

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2021-06-11

This is so exciting!

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2021-06-10

Good leads

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2021-06-10

If you smellllalalalalalalala… what the Rock…. issss cooookinggggggg 🤨

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underlying is still diversification regardless","listText":"The underlying is still diversification regardless","text":"The underlying is still diversification regardless","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891289216","repostId":"1183941926","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183941926","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628255252,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183941926?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 21:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How 10 of the world’s smartest investors can help you build your perfect portfolio<blockquote>全球 10 位最聪明的投资者如何帮助您建立完美的投资组合</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183941926","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Listen to Jeremy Siegel, Charles Ellis, Jack Bogle, Robert Shiller and others.The other four are portfolio managers, investors and bestselling authors who have sold millions of investment books, including The Vanguard Group’s founder Jack Bogle; the “Bond Guru,” Marty Leibowitz; the “Wisest Man on Wall Street” and Greenwich Associates founder Charles Ellis; and the “Wizard of Wharton,” Jeremy Siegel.As the creator of the first index mutual fund, Bogle’s portfolio was all about stock and bond ind","content":"<p>  <b>Listen to Jeremy Siegel, Charles Ellis, Jack Bogle, Robert Shiller and others.</b>  Is there a Perfect Portfolio for investors?</p><p><blockquote><b>听听杰里米·西格尔、查尔斯·埃利斯、杰克·博格尔、罗伯特·席勒等人的声音。</b>投资者有没有完美的投资组合？</blockquote></p><p> We posed this question to 10 of the most respected pioneers in the investment community. Six have Nobel Prizes in Economics: Harry Markowitz, the founder of Modern Portfolio Theory, the basis of the modern investment portfolio; his protégé William Sharpe, creator of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the beta risk measure that changed how we think about risk and reward in the financial markets; Eugene Fama, who developed the Efficient Market Hypothesis; Myron Scholes and Robert Merton, two of the co-creators of the Black-Scholes/Merton option pricing model; and Robert Shiller, the behavioral economist whose work challenged the notion of market efficiency.</p><p><blockquote>我们向投资界最受尊敬的10位先驱提出了这个问题。6人获得诺贝尔经济学奖：现代投资组合理论的创始人哈里·马科维茨，现代投资组合的基础；他的门徒威廉·夏普 (William Sharpe)，资本资产定价模型 (CAPM) 和贝塔风险度量的创始人，改变了我们对金融市场风险和回报的看法；尤金·法马，他提出了有效市场假说；布莱克-斯科尔斯/默顿期权定价模型的两位共同创始人迈伦·斯科尔斯和罗伯特·默顿；还有行为经济学家罗伯特·席勒，他的工作挑战了市场效率的概念。</blockquote></p><p> The other four are portfolio managers, investors and bestselling authors who have sold millions of investment books, including The Vanguard Group’s founder Jack Bogle; the “Bond Guru,” Marty Leibowitz; the “Wisest Man on Wall Street” and Greenwich Associates founder Charles Ellis; and the “Wizard of Wharton,” Jeremy Siegel.</p><p><blockquote>另外四位是投资组合经理、投资者和畅销书作家，他们已售出数百万本投资书籍，其中包括先锋集团创始人杰克-博格尔（Jack Bogle）；“邦德大师”马蒂-莱博维茨；“华尔街最聪明的人”、格林威治联合公司创始人查尔斯-埃利斯；还有 “沃顿商学院巫师 ”杰里米-西格尔。</blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise that there isn’t consensus among their suggestions, given their varied backgrounds and interests. The different viewpoints of these financial luminaries illustrate the complexity of portfolio management—one size clearly doesn’t fit all.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于他们的背景和兴趣各不相同，他们的建议没有达成共识也就不足为奇了。这些金融名人的不同观点说明了投资组合管理的复杂性--一个尺寸显然不适合所有人。</blockquote></p><p> Think of the Perfect Portfolios of our experts as building blocks for your own Perfect Portfolio, collectively capable of accommodating the goals and constraints of all investors, if used in the right combination.</p><p><blockquote>将我们专家的完美投资组合视为您自己的完美投资组合的基石，如果结合使用得当，这些投资组合能够满足所有投资者的目标和限制。</blockquote></p><p> Markowitz suggests that first and foremost, you should diversify. Focus only on portfolios of securities, and in particular, those that have the highest level of expected returns for a given level of risk, Markowitz’s famous efficient frontier. The same concept applies across asset classes like bonds, real estate and commodities. The key for the investor is to find securities and asset classes with low correlations to each other, so that movements in one are not necessarily reflected in the others.</p><p><blockquote>马科维茨建议，首先也是最重要的，你应该多元化。只关注证券投资组合，尤其是那些在给定风险水平下具有最高预期回报水平的证券投资组合，即马科维茨著名的有效前沿。同样的概念也适用于债券、房地产和大宗商品等资产类别。对投资者来说，关键是找到彼此相关性较低的证券和资产类别，这样其中一个类别的变动就不一定反映在其他类别中。</blockquote></p><p> Sharpe’s Perfect Portfolio is just what his famous Capital Asset Pricing Model suggests: investing in the market as a whole. Sharpe recommends a U.S. total stock market fund, a non-U.S. total stock market fund, a U.S. total bond market fund, and a non-U.S. total bond market fund.</p><p><blockquote>夏普的完美投资组合正是他著名的资本资产定价模型所暗示的：投资于整个市场。夏普推荐美国总股票市场基金、非美国总股票市场基金、美国总债券市场基金和非美国总债券市场基金。</blockquote></p><p> Fama and his collaborator Ken French created a model that starts with Sharpe’s CAPM and augments it with two other factors. One captures the difference in returns between value and growth stocks, while the other captures the difference between stocks in companies with small and large market capitalizations. Fama suggests tilting your diversified portfolio toward value stocks and small-cap stocks, both of which tend to do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>Fama 和他的合作者 Ken French 创建了一个模型，该模型从夏普的 CAPM 开始，然后添加了另外两个因素。一个捕捉了价值股和成长型股票之间的回报差异，而另一个捕捉了小市值和大市值公司股票之间的差异。Fama 建议您将多元化投资组合倾向于价值股和小盘股，这两种股票随着时间的推移往往会表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> As the creator of the first index mutual fund, Bogle’s portfolio was all about stock and bond index funds, such as Vanguard’s ETF that tracks the S&amp;P 500 index SPX, +0.60%. His mantra was to lower your costs through index funds and not take actions that might destroy value: “Don’t do something, just stand there!”</p><p><blockquote>作为第一只指数共同基金的创始人，博格尔的投资组合全部是股票和债券指数基金，例如先锋集团追踪标普500指数 SPX 的 ETF，涨幅为 0.60%。他的口头禅是通过指数基金降低成本，不要采取可能破坏价值的行动： “什么都不做，就站在那里!”</blockquote></p><p> For Scholes, the Perfect Portfolio is about risk management. Your investment success will depend most on avoiding the downside “tail risks,” rare but severe stock market downturns such as the financial crisis of 2007–2009 or the COVID-19 pandemic, while capitalizing on the positive “tail gains.”</p><p><blockquote>对于斯科尔斯来说，完美的投资组合就是风险管理。您的投资成功在很大程度上取决于避免下行的 “尾部风险”，即罕见但严重的股市低迷，如 2007-2009 年的金融危机或 COVID-19 大流行病，同时利用积极的 “尾部收益 ”。</blockquote></p><p> Pay attention to what the derivatives markets such as the VIX volatility index VIX, -1.39% are telling you. For example, when the VIX is at a level below its historical average, you may feel more comfortable investing a greater proportion of your assets in risky stocks.</p><p><blockquote>注意衍生品市场，如VIX波动率指数VIX，-1.39%告诉你什么。例如，当 VIX 处于低于历史平均水平的水平时，您可能会更愿意将更大比例的资产投资于风险股票。</blockquote></p><p> For Merton, ultimately, the Perfect Portfolio should be your very own risk-free asset, like the inflation-protected government bond TIPS. For your retirement goal, ideally you would take your savings at retirement, and buy an annuity that would provide a lifetime income to meet your anticipated needs.</p><p><blockquote>对于默顿来说，最终，完美的投资组合应该是你自己的无风险资产，就像通胀保值政府债券提示一样。对于你的退休目标，理想情况下，你会在退休时拿出你的储蓄，购买一份年金，提供一生的收入来满足你的预期需求。</blockquote></p><p> Leibowitz’s Perfect Portfolio is about the amount of risk you can personally bear. Be prepared to try to make some tough judgment calls, and consider all of your circumstances, including potential life events, current taxes and estate taxes. In addition to equities, you should include bonds to reduce its overall volatility. Have a contingency plan to deal with serious adverse events.</p><p><blockquote>莱博维茨的完美投资组合是关于你个人能够承受的风险大小。准备好尝试做出一些艰难的判断评级，并考虑您的所有情况，包括潜在的生活事件、当前税收和遗产税。除了股票，你还应该包括债券，以降低其整体波动性。有应对严重不良事件的应急预案。</blockquote></p><p> For Shiller, your Perfect Portfolio should be widely diversified, not only across major asset classes, but internationally as well. Place a heavier than typical weight in stocks around the world, where Shiller’s CAPE ratios—that is, cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratios—are relatively low.</p><p><blockquote>对于席勒来说，你的完美投资组合应该广泛多元化，不仅是主要资产类别，而且是国际上的。对世界各地的股票给予比通常更重的权重，因为这些地区的席勒开普比率--即周期性调整后的市盈率--相对较低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For Ellis, one of the original advocates of passive investing, your Perfect Portfolio should of course include index funds, especially if you want to have a good chance of being in the top 20% of funds over the next 20 years. You should invest in bond index funds and low-cost international index funds, such as the MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) index. Pay attention to your taxes.</p><p><blockquote>对于被动投资的最初倡导者之一埃利斯来说，你的完美投资组合当然应该包括指数基金，特别是如果你想在未来20年内有很好的机会进入前20%的基金。您应该投资债券指数基金和低成本国际指数基金，例如 MSCI EAFE（欧洲、澳大拉西亚和远东）指数。注意你的税收。</blockquote></p><p> And Siegel encourages you to have reasonable expectations in line with financial history, no surprise for the author of the bestselling “Stocks for the Long Run”. The longer your investment horizon, the greater proportion of your Perfect Portfolio should be in stocks. Consider developing-country stocks. For fixed-income investments, consider TIPS.</p><p><blockquote>西格尔鼓励你有符合金融历史的合理预期，这对于畅销书《长期股票》的作者来说并不奇怪。你的投资期限越长，你的完美投资组合中股票的比例就应该越大。考虑发展中国家的股票。对于固定收益投资，请考虑提示。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, as you build your Perfect Portfolio, reflect on your degree of risk aversion, your earning power, the magnitude of your current and future desired wealth, and the magnitude of your current and future financial needs. To assist you, we have created a four-question survey to help you discover where you fit in among 16 types of investors. It then points you toward your Perfect Portfolio and an action that may help you achieve it.</p><p><blockquote>最后，当你建立你的完美投资组合时，反思你的风险厌恶程度、你的赚钱能力、你当前和未来期望财富的大小，以及你当前和未来财务需求的大小。为了帮助您，我们创建了一个四个问题的调查，以帮助您发现自己在 16 种类型的投资者中的位置。然后，它会给你指明你的完美投资组合和一个可能帮助你实现它的行动。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How 10 of the world’s smartest investors can help you build your perfect portfolio<blockquote>全球 10 位最聪明的投资者如何帮助您建立完美的投资组合</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow 10 of the world’s smartest investors can help you build your perfect portfolio<blockquote>全球 10 位最聪明的投资者如何帮助您建立完美的投资组合</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 21:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Listen to Jeremy Siegel, Charles Ellis, Jack Bogle, Robert Shiller and others.</b>  Is there a Perfect Portfolio for investors?</p><p><blockquote><b>听听杰里米·西格尔、查尔斯·埃利斯、杰克·博格尔、罗伯特·席勒等人的声音。</b>投资者有没有完美的投资组合？</blockquote></p><p> We posed this question to 10 of the most respected pioneers in the investment community. Six have Nobel Prizes in Economics: Harry Markowitz, the founder of Modern Portfolio Theory, the basis of the modern investment portfolio; his protégé William Sharpe, creator of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the beta risk measure that changed how we think about risk and reward in the financial markets; Eugene Fama, who developed the Efficient Market Hypothesis; Myron Scholes and Robert Merton, two of the co-creators of the Black-Scholes/Merton option pricing model; and Robert Shiller, the behavioral economist whose work challenged the notion of market efficiency.</p><p><blockquote>我们向投资界最受尊敬的10位先驱提出了这个问题。6人获得诺贝尔经济学奖：现代投资组合理论的创始人哈里·马科维茨，现代投资组合的基础；他的门徒威廉·夏普 (William Sharpe)，资本资产定价模型 (CAPM) 和贝塔风险度量的创始人，改变了我们对金融市场风险和回报的看法；尤金·法马，他提出了有效市场假说；布莱克-斯科尔斯/默顿期权定价模型的两位共同创始人迈伦·斯科尔斯和罗伯特·默顿；还有行为经济学家罗伯特·席勒，他的工作挑战了市场效率的概念。</blockquote></p><p> The other four are portfolio managers, investors and bestselling authors who have sold millions of investment books, including The Vanguard Group’s founder Jack Bogle; the “Bond Guru,” Marty Leibowitz; the “Wisest Man on Wall Street” and Greenwich Associates founder Charles Ellis; and the “Wizard of Wharton,” Jeremy Siegel.</p><p><blockquote>另外四位是投资组合经理、投资者和畅销书作家，他们已售出数百万本投资书籍，其中包括先锋集团创始人杰克-博格尔（Jack Bogle）；“邦德大师”马蒂-莱博维茨；“华尔街最聪明的人”、格林威治联合公司创始人查尔斯-埃利斯；还有 “沃顿商学院巫师 ”杰里米-西格尔。</blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise that there isn’t consensus among their suggestions, given their varied backgrounds and interests. The different viewpoints of these financial luminaries illustrate the complexity of portfolio management—one size clearly doesn’t fit all.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于他们的背景和兴趣各不相同，他们的建议没有达成共识也就不足为奇了。这些金融名人的不同观点说明了投资组合管理的复杂性--一个尺寸显然不适合所有人。</blockquote></p><p> Think of the Perfect Portfolios of our experts as building blocks for your own Perfect Portfolio, collectively capable of accommodating the goals and constraints of all investors, if used in the right combination.</p><p><blockquote>将我们专家的完美投资组合视为您自己的完美投资组合的基石，如果结合使用得当，这些投资组合能够满足所有投资者的目标和限制。</blockquote></p><p> Markowitz suggests that first and foremost, you should diversify. Focus only on portfolios of securities, and in particular, those that have the highest level of expected returns for a given level of risk, Markowitz’s famous efficient frontier. The same concept applies across asset classes like bonds, real estate and commodities. The key for the investor is to find securities and asset classes with low correlations to each other, so that movements in one are not necessarily reflected in the others.</p><p><blockquote>马科维茨建议，首先也是最重要的，你应该多元化。只关注证券投资组合，尤其是那些在给定风险水平下具有最高预期回报水平的证券投资组合，即马科维茨著名的有效前沿。同样的概念也适用于债券、房地产和大宗商品等资产类别。对投资者来说，关键是找到彼此相关性较低的证券和资产类别，这样其中一个类别的变动就不一定反映在其他类别中。</blockquote></p><p> Sharpe’s Perfect Portfolio is just what his famous Capital Asset Pricing Model suggests: investing in the market as a whole. Sharpe recommends a U.S. total stock market fund, a non-U.S. total stock market fund, a U.S. total bond market fund, and a non-U.S. total bond market fund.</p><p><blockquote>夏普的完美投资组合正是他著名的资本资产定价模型所暗示的：投资于整个市场。夏普推荐美国总股票市场基金、非美国总股票市场基金、美国总债券市场基金和非美国总债券市场基金。</blockquote></p><p> Fama and his collaborator Ken French created a model that starts with Sharpe’s CAPM and augments it with two other factors. One captures the difference in returns between value and growth stocks, while the other captures the difference between stocks in companies with small and large market capitalizations. Fama suggests tilting your diversified portfolio toward value stocks and small-cap stocks, both of which tend to do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>Fama 和他的合作者 Ken French 创建了一个模型，该模型从夏普的 CAPM 开始，然后添加了另外两个因素。一个捕捉了价值股和成长型股票之间的回报差异，而另一个捕捉了小市值和大市值公司股票之间的差异。Fama 建议您将多元化投资组合倾向于价值股和小盘股，这两种股票随着时间的推移往往会表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> As the creator of the first index mutual fund, Bogle’s portfolio was all about stock and bond index funds, such as Vanguard’s ETF that tracks the S&amp;P 500 index SPX, +0.60%. His mantra was to lower your costs through index funds and not take actions that might destroy value: “Don’t do something, just stand there!”</p><p><blockquote>作为第一只指数共同基金的创始人，博格尔的投资组合全部是股票和债券指数基金，例如先锋集团追踪标普500指数 SPX 的 ETF，涨幅为 0.60%。他的口头禅是通过指数基金降低成本，不要采取可能破坏价值的行动： “什么都不做，就站在那里!”</blockquote></p><p> For Scholes, the Perfect Portfolio is about risk management. Your investment success will depend most on avoiding the downside “tail risks,” rare but severe stock market downturns such as the financial crisis of 2007–2009 or the COVID-19 pandemic, while capitalizing on the positive “tail gains.”</p><p><blockquote>对于斯科尔斯来说，完美的投资组合就是风险管理。您的投资成功在很大程度上取决于避免下行的 “尾部风险”，即罕见但严重的股市低迷，如 2007-2009 年的金融危机或 COVID-19 大流行病，同时利用积极的 “尾部收益 ”。</blockquote></p><p> Pay attention to what the derivatives markets such as the VIX volatility index VIX, -1.39% are telling you. For example, when the VIX is at a level below its historical average, you may feel more comfortable investing a greater proportion of your assets in risky stocks.</p><p><blockquote>注意衍生品市场，如VIX波动率指数VIX，-1.39%告诉你什么。例如，当 VIX 处于低于历史平均水平的水平时，您可能会更愿意将更大比例的资产投资于风险股票。</blockquote></p><p> For Merton, ultimately, the Perfect Portfolio should be your very own risk-free asset, like the inflation-protected government bond TIPS. For your retirement goal, ideally you would take your savings at retirement, and buy an annuity that would provide a lifetime income to meet your anticipated needs.</p><p><blockquote>对于默顿来说，最终，完美的投资组合应该是你自己的无风险资产，就像通胀保值政府债券提示一样。对于你的退休目标，理想情况下，你会在退休时拿出你的储蓄，购买一份年金，提供一生的收入来满足你的预期需求。</blockquote></p><p> Leibowitz’s Perfect Portfolio is about the amount of risk you can personally bear. Be prepared to try to make some tough judgment calls, and consider all of your circumstances, including potential life events, current taxes and estate taxes. In addition to equities, you should include bonds to reduce its overall volatility. Have a contingency plan to deal with serious adverse events.</p><p><blockquote>莱博维茨的完美投资组合是关于你个人能够承受的风险大小。准备好尝试做出一些艰难的判断评级，并考虑您的所有情况，包括潜在的生活事件、当前税收和遗产税。除了股票，你还应该包括债券，以降低其整体波动性。有应对严重不良事件的应急预案。</blockquote></p><p> For Shiller, your Perfect Portfolio should be widely diversified, not only across major asset classes, but internationally as well. Place a heavier than typical weight in stocks around the world, where Shiller’s CAPE ratios—that is, cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratios—are relatively low.</p><p><blockquote>对于席勒来说，你的完美投资组合应该广泛多元化，不仅是主要资产类别，而且是国际上的。对世界各地的股票给予比通常更重的权重，因为这些地区的席勒开普比率--即周期性调整后的市盈率--相对较低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For Ellis, one of the original advocates of passive investing, your Perfect Portfolio should of course include index funds, especially if you want to have a good chance of being in the top 20% of funds over the next 20 years. You should invest in bond index funds and low-cost international index funds, such as the MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) index. Pay attention to your taxes.</p><p><blockquote>对于被动投资的最初倡导者之一埃利斯来说，你的完美投资组合当然应该包括指数基金，特别是如果你想在未来20年内有很好的机会进入前20%的基金。您应该投资债券指数基金和低成本国际指数基金，例如 MSCI EAFE（欧洲、澳大拉西亚和远东）指数。注意你的税收。</blockquote></p><p> And Siegel encourages you to have reasonable expectations in line with financial history, no surprise for the author of the bestselling “Stocks for the Long Run”. The longer your investment horizon, the greater proportion of your Perfect Portfolio should be in stocks. Consider developing-country stocks. For fixed-income investments, consider TIPS.</p><p><blockquote>西格尔鼓励你有符合金融历史的合理预期，这对于畅销书《长期股票》的作者来说并不奇怪。你的投资期限越长，你的完美投资组合中股票的比例就应该越大。考虑发展中国家的股票。对于固定收益投资，请考虑提示。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, as you build your Perfect Portfolio, reflect on your degree of risk aversion, your earning power, the magnitude of your current and future desired wealth, and the magnitude of your current and future financial needs. To assist you, we have created a four-question survey to help you discover where you fit in among 16 types of investors. It then points you toward your Perfect Portfolio and an action that may help you achieve it.</p><p><blockquote>最后，当你建立你的完美投资组合时，反思你的风险厌恶程度、你的赚钱能力、你当前和未来期望财富的大小，以及你当前和未来财务需求的大小。为了帮助您，我们创建了一个四个问题的调查，以帮助您发现自己在 16 种类型的投资者中的位置。然后，它会给你指明你的完美投资组合和一个可能帮助你实现它的行动。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-10-of-the-worlds-smartest-investors-can-help-you-build-your-perfect-portfolio-11628177690?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-10-of-the-worlds-smartest-investors-can-help-you-build-your-perfect-portfolio-11628177690?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183941926","content_text":"Listen to Jeremy Siegel, Charles Ellis, Jack Bogle, Robert Shiller and others.\n\nIs there a Perfect Portfolio for investors?\nWe posed this question to 10 of the most respected pioneers in the investment community. Six have Nobel Prizes in Economics: Harry Markowitz, the founder of Modern Portfolio Theory, the basis of the modern investment portfolio; his protégé William Sharpe, creator of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the beta risk measure that changed how we think about risk and reward in the financial markets; Eugene Fama, who developed the Efficient Market Hypothesis; Myron Scholes and Robert Merton, two of the co-creators of the Black-Scholes/Merton option pricing model; and Robert Shiller, the behavioral economist whose work challenged the notion of market efficiency.\nThe other four are portfolio managers, investors and bestselling authors who have sold millions of investment books, including The Vanguard Group’s founder Jack Bogle; the “Bond Guru,” Marty Leibowitz; the “Wisest Man on Wall Street” and Greenwich Associates founder Charles Ellis; and the “Wizard of Wharton,” Jeremy Siegel.\nIt’s no surprise that there isn’t consensus among their suggestions, given their varied backgrounds and interests. The different viewpoints of these financial luminaries illustrate the complexity of portfolio management—one size clearly doesn’t fit all.\nThink of the Perfect Portfolios of our experts as building blocks for your own Perfect Portfolio, collectively capable of accommodating the goals and constraints of all investors, if used in the right combination.\nMarkowitz suggests that first and foremost, you should diversify. Focus only on portfolios of securities, and in particular, those that have the highest level of expected returns for a given level of risk, Markowitz’s famous efficient frontier. The same concept applies across asset classes like bonds, real estate and commodities. The key for the investor is to find securities and asset classes with low correlations to each other, so that movements in one are not necessarily reflected in the others.\nSharpe’s Perfect Portfolio is just what his famous Capital Asset Pricing Model suggests: investing in the market as a whole. Sharpe recommends a U.S. total stock market fund, a non-U.S. total stock market fund, a U.S. total bond market fund, and a non-U.S. total bond market fund.\nFama and his collaborator Ken French created a model that starts with Sharpe’s CAPM and augments it with two other factors. One captures the difference in returns between value and growth stocks, while the other captures the difference between stocks in companies with small and large market capitalizations. Fama suggests tilting your diversified portfolio toward value stocks and small-cap stocks, both of which tend to do well over time.\nAs the creator of the first index mutual fund, Bogle’s portfolio was all about stock and bond index funds, such as Vanguard’s ETF that tracks the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.60%. His mantra was to lower your costs through index funds and not take actions that might destroy value: “Don’t do something, just stand there!”\nFor Scholes, the Perfect Portfolio is about risk management. Your investment success will depend most on avoiding the downside “tail risks,” rare but severe stock market downturns such as the financial crisis of 2007–2009 or the COVID-19 pandemic, while capitalizing on the positive “tail gains.”\nPay attention to what the derivatives markets such as the VIX volatility index VIX, -1.39% are telling you. For example, when the VIX is at a level below its historical average, you may feel more comfortable investing a greater proportion of your assets in risky stocks.\nFor Merton, ultimately, the Perfect Portfolio should be your very own risk-free asset, like the inflation-protected government bond TIPS. For your retirement goal, ideally you would take your savings at retirement, and buy an annuity that would provide a lifetime income to meet your anticipated needs.\nLeibowitz’s Perfect Portfolio is about the amount of risk you can personally bear. Be prepared to try to make some tough judgment calls, and consider all of your circumstances, including potential life events, current taxes and estate taxes. In addition to equities, you should include bonds to reduce its overall volatility. Have a contingency plan to deal with serious adverse events.\nFor Shiller, your Perfect Portfolio should be widely diversified, not only across major asset classes, but internationally as well. Place a heavier than typical weight in stocks around the world, where Shiller’s CAPE ratios—that is, cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratios—are relatively low.\nFor Ellis, one of the original advocates of passive investing, your Perfect Portfolio should of course include index funds, especially if you want to have a good chance of being in the top 20% of funds over the next 20 years. You should invest in bond index funds and low-cost international index funds, such as the MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) index. Pay attention to your taxes.\nAnd Siegel encourages you to have reasonable expectations in line with financial history, no surprise for the author of the bestselling “Stocks for the Long Run”. The longer your investment horizon, the greater proportion of your Perfect Portfolio should be in stocks. Consider developing-country stocks. For fixed-income investments, consider TIPS.\nFinally, as you build your Perfect Portfolio, reflect on your degree of risk aversion, your earning power, the magnitude of your current and future desired wealth, and the magnitude of your current and future financial needs. To assist you, we have created a four-question survey to help you discover where you fit in among 16 types of investors. It then points you toward your Perfect Portfolio and an action that may help you achieve it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145958035,"gmtCreate":1626187217027,"gmtModify":1633929236713,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It’s raining meatballs!","listText":"It’s raining meatballs!","text":"It’s raining meatballs!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145958035","repostId":"2151561465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142625229,"gmtCreate":1626147701161,"gmtModify":1633929640155,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"So much faith in Tesla","listText":"So much faith in Tesla","text":"So much faith in Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142625229","repostId":"1126477651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126477651","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626143204,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126477651?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 10:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126477651","media":"investors","summary":"Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Si","content":"<p>Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Six ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch are Coinbase, DraftKings, Square, Teladoc Health, Tesla and Zoom Video.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 的 ARK Invest ETF 是 2020 年股市大幅上涨后最热门的基金之一。值得购买和关注的六只方舟投资股票是比特币基地、DraftKings、Square、Teladoc Health、特斯拉和Zoom Video。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK ETFs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟ETF</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARK Invest investment company's flagship fund is ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). The ARKK ETF focuses on companies that exhibit \"disruptive innovation,\" a technologically enabled new product or service that potentially changes the way the world works.</p><p><blockquote>方舟投资公司的旗舰基金是方舟创新ETF（ARKK）。ARKK ETF 专注于表现出“颠覆性创新”的公司，这是一种技术支持的新产品或服务，有可能改变世界的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK Innovation ETF surged more than 152% in 2020, handily beating the Nasdaq's hefty 43.6% return.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Innovation ETF 在 2020 年飙升超过 152%，轻松击败纳斯达克 43.6% 的高额回报率。</blockquote></p><p> Other ARK ETFs include Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics (ARKQ), Next Generation Internet (ARKW), Genomic Revolution (ARKG), Fintech Innovation (ARKF) and the recently debuted Space Exploration and Innovation (ARKX).</p><p><blockquote>其他 ARK ETF 包括自主技术与机器人 (ARKQ)、下一代互联网 (ARKW)、基因组革命 (ARKG)、金融科技创新 (ARKF) 以及最近推出的太空探索与创新 (ARKX)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How To Invest Like Cathie Wood: Focus On Game Changers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何像凯西·伍德一样投资：关注游戏规则改变者</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARKK fund's huge gain in 2020 resulted from big stock success stories in cutting-edge tech areas: DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage and blockchain technology.</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金在2020年的巨额利润来自尖端技术领域的巨大股票成功故事：DNA测序、机器人、人工智能、储能和区块链技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"Disruptive innovation is often not priced correctly by traditional investment strategies because people may not understand how big the ultimate opportunities are going to be. They aren't sizing the opportunity and they aren't analyzing the disruption,\" Wood, the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, commented on the company's website.</p><p><blockquote>“传统投资策略往往无法正确定价颠覆性创新，因为人们可能不了解最终的机会有多大。他们没有评估机会的规模，也没有分析颠覆性，”伍德，创始人兼首席执行官 ARK Invest 在该公司网站上评论道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资股票值得购买和关注</b></blockquote></p><p> Amid the current stock market uptrend — according to IBD's market outlook — investors should focus on buying top stocks breaking out past correct buy points.</p><p><blockquote>在当前股市上升趋势中——根据IBD的市场展望——投资者应该专注于购买突破正确买入点的顶级股票。</blockquote></p><p> ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch, and their tickers, include Coinbase Global (COIN), DraftKings (DKNG), Square (SQ), Tesla (TSLA), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Zoom Video (ZM).</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest 值得购买和关注的股票及其股票包括 Coinbase Global (COIN)、DraftKings (DKNG)、Square (SQ)、特斯拉 (TSLA)、Teladoc Health (TDOC) 和Zoom Video (ZM)。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2efd07a268f9aa66a2a2690cf2ee3ba\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Coinbase IPO</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地首次公开募股</b></blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase debuted on April 14, pricing at $250 a share. Coinbase stock closed its first day of trading 328.28, up 31.3%, for a valuation of $87.3 billion. Investors should wait for an IPO base to form before jumping into the hot IPO stock.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币交易所比特币基地于4月14日首次亮相，定价为每股250美元。Coinbase 股价首日收于 328.28 点，上涨 31.3%，估值为 873 亿美元。投资者应该等待 IPO 基础形成后再跳入热门 IPO 股票。</blockquote></p><p> The new stake in Coinbase represents another one of the Ark Invest stocks that offers more exposure to cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase 的新股份代表了 Ark Invest 的另一只股票，该股票提供了更多加密货币敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase fell 2.45% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>比特币基地周一下跌 2.45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings股票</b></blockquote></p><p> DraftKings is an online sports platform that allows users to play daily fantasy games and win cash prizes. The company is poised to take advantage of the expanding legalization of digital sports betting across the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings是一个在线体育平台，允许用户玩日常幻想游戏并赢得现金奖励。该公司准备利用美国数字体育博彩不断扩大的合法化。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings stock is above its 50-day moving average, but back above the long-term 200-day line. It could form a base once the stock can recover from its downtrend. There is no buy point at this time. Shares are about 31% off their 52-week high.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings 股价高于 50 日移动平均线，但回到长期 200 日线上方。一旦该股能够从下跌趋势中恢复过来，它可能会形成一个基础。此时没有买入点。股价较 52 周高点下跌约 31%。</blockquote></p><p> The sports-betting leader is one of the newest ARK Invest stocks. On March 8, ARK Invest disclosed a new position of 748,000 shares for the ARKK ETF.</p><p><blockquote>体育博彩领导者是最新的方舟投资股票之一。3月8日，ARK Invest披露了ARKK ETF的748,000股新头寸。</blockquote></p><p> DKNG stock rose 0.1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>DKNG 股票周一上涨 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Zoom Video is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with a cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video是现代企业视频通信领域的领导者，拥有一个跨移动、桌面和房间系统的视频和音频会议、聊天和网络研讨会云平台。</blockquote></p><p> On June 1, Zoom reported adjusted EPS of $1.32 on sales of $956.2 million, beating estimates. Earnings soared 560%, while sales rocketed 191% vs. the year-ago period.</p><p><blockquote>6 月 1 日，Zoom 公布调整后每股收益为 1.32 美元，销售额为 9.562 亿美元，超出预期。与去年同期相比，盈利飙升 560%，销售额飙升 191%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares lost 1.55% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>周一股价下跌 1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This Cathie Wood Stock Pick Nears A New Buy Point</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Cathie Wood 精选股票接近新的买入点</b></blockquote></p><p> Square is a digital payments and cryptocurrency leader. Recently, Square disclosed a new $170 million investment in Bitcoin on top of its $50 million purchase in October. Bitcoin represents 5% of total company assets.</p><p><blockquote>Square是数字支付和加密货币的领导者。最近，Square 披露了在 10 月份斥资 5000 万美元收购的基础上，又在比特币投资了 1.7 亿美元。比特币占公司总资产的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock is forming a consolidation with a 283.29 buy point. Shares are about 12% away from the buy point. Despite soaring more than 700% from the coronavirus bear market lows, SQ stock's base is still early stage.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股票正在形成盘整，买入点为 283.29。股价距离买入点约 12%。尽管从冠状病毒熊市低点飙升了 700% 以上，但 SQ 股票的基础仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> According to IBD Stock Checkup, Square stock shows a 97 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating helps investors easily measure the quality of a stock's fundamental and technical metrics.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查，Square 股票的 IBD 综合评级为 97 分（满分 99 分）。IBD 综合评级有助于投资者轻松衡量股票基本面和技术指标的质量。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock was up 0.6% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股价周一上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Tesla Is One Of The Top ARK Invest Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么特斯拉是方舟投资的顶级股票之一</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is one of the top ARK Invest stocks, with whopping 10% weighting in the ARKK ETF portfolio. In mid-January, ARK Invest unveiled its 2025 price target on Tesla stock of $3,000 a share.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票是 ARK 顶级投资股票之一，在 ARKK ETF 投资组合中的权重高达 10%。1 月中旬，ARK Invest 公布了特斯拉股票 2025 年目标股价为每股 3,000 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock surged 4.35% Monday. The EV giant is finding support around its key 50- and 200-day moving averages. A strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一飙升4.35%。这家电动汽车巨头正在其关键的 50 天和 200 天移动平均线附近寻找支撑。这些水平的强劲支撑将利好该股的前景。</blockquote></p><p> A new base could be forming, but the stock is far away from any new buy point. Shares reclaimed their 50-day line in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>新的基础可能正在形成，但该股距离任何新的买入点还很远。最近几周，股价收复了 50 日线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teladoc Health Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Teladoc 健康股票</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Teladoc Health provides on-demand health care services, such as nonemergency doctor's appointments, online. More doctors and patients are opting for telemedicine due to Covid-19. Teladoc is one of the biggest ARK Invest stocks, with an over-6% portfolio weighting in the ARKK portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health在线提供按需医疗保健服务，如非紧急医生预约。由于新冠肺炎，越来越多的医生和患者选择远程医疗。Teladoc 是最大的 ARK 投资股票之一，在 ARKK 投资组合中的投资组合权重超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> TDOC stock is trading nearly 50% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.65% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>TDOC 股价较 52 周高点下跌近 50%。周一股价下跌 1.65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 10:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Six ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch are Coinbase, DraftKings, Square, Teladoc Health, Tesla and Zoom Video.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 的 ARK Invest ETF 是 2020 年股市大幅上涨后最热门的基金之一。值得购买和关注的六只方舟投资股票是比特币基地、DraftKings、Square、Teladoc Health、特斯拉和Zoom Video。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK ETFs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟ETF</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARK Invest investment company's flagship fund is ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). The ARKK ETF focuses on companies that exhibit \"disruptive innovation,\" a technologically enabled new product or service that potentially changes the way the world works.</p><p><blockquote>方舟投资公司的旗舰基金是方舟创新ETF（ARKK）。ARKK ETF 专注于表现出“颠覆性创新”的公司，这是一种技术支持的新产品或服务，有可能改变世界的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK Innovation ETF surged more than 152% in 2020, handily beating the Nasdaq's hefty 43.6% return.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Innovation ETF 在 2020 年飙升超过 152%，轻松击败纳斯达克 43.6% 的高额回报率。</blockquote></p><p> Other ARK ETFs include Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics (ARKQ), Next Generation Internet (ARKW), Genomic Revolution (ARKG), Fintech Innovation (ARKF) and the recently debuted Space Exploration and Innovation (ARKX).</p><p><blockquote>其他 ARK ETF 包括自主技术与机器人 (ARKQ)、下一代互联网 (ARKW)、基因组革命 (ARKG)、金融科技创新 (ARKF) 以及最近推出的太空探索与创新 (ARKX)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How To Invest Like Cathie Wood: Focus On Game Changers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何像凯西·伍德一样投资：关注游戏规则改变者</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARKK fund's huge gain in 2020 resulted from big stock success stories in cutting-edge tech areas: DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage and blockchain technology.</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金在2020年的巨额利润来自尖端技术领域的巨大股票成功故事：DNA测序、机器人、人工智能、储能和区块链技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"Disruptive innovation is often not priced correctly by traditional investment strategies because people may not understand how big the ultimate opportunities are going to be. They aren't sizing the opportunity and they aren't analyzing the disruption,\" Wood, the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, commented on the company's website.</p><p><blockquote>“传统投资策略往往无法正确定价颠覆性创新，因为人们可能不了解最终的机会有多大。他们没有评估机会的规模，也没有分析颠覆性，”伍德，创始人兼首席执行官 ARK Invest 在该公司网站上评论道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资股票值得购买和关注</b></blockquote></p><p> Amid the current stock market uptrend — according to IBD's market outlook — investors should focus on buying top stocks breaking out past correct buy points.</p><p><blockquote>在当前股市上升趋势中——根据IBD的市场展望——投资者应该专注于购买突破正确买入点的顶级股票。</blockquote></p><p> ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch, and their tickers, include Coinbase Global (COIN), DraftKings (DKNG), Square (SQ), Tesla (TSLA), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Zoom Video (ZM).</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest 值得购买和关注的股票及其股票包括 Coinbase Global (COIN)、DraftKings (DKNG)、Square (SQ)、特斯拉 (TSLA)、Teladoc Health (TDOC) 和Zoom Video (ZM)。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2efd07a268f9aa66a2a2690cf2ee3ba\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Coinbase IPO</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地首次公开募股</b></blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase debuted on April 14, pricing at $250 a share. Coinbase stock closed its first day of trading 328.28, up 31.3%, for a valuation of $87.3 billion. Investors should wait for an IPO base to form before jumping into the hot IPO stock.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币交易所比特币基地于4月14日首次亮相，定价为每股250美元。Coinbase 股价首日收于 328.28 点，上涨 31.3%，估值为 873 亿美元。投资者应该等待 IPO 基础形成后再跳入热门 IPO 股票。</blockquote></p><p> The new stake in Coinbase represents another one of the Ark Invest stocks that offers more exposure to cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase 的新股份代表了 Ark Invest 的另一只股票，该股票提供了更多加密货币敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase fell 2.45% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>比特币基地周一下跌 2.45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings股票</b></blockquote></p><p> DraftKings is an online sports platform that allows users to play daily fantasy games and win cash prizes. The company is poised to take advantage of the expanding legalization of digital sports betting across the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings是一个在线体育平台，允许用户玩日常幻想游戏并赢得现金奖励。该公司准备利用美国数字体育博彩不断扩大的合法化。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings stock is above its 50-day moving average, but back above the long-term 200-day line. It could form a base once the stock can recover from its downtrend. There is no buy point at this time. Shares are about 31% off their 52-week high.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings 股价高于 50 日移动平均线，但回到长期 200 日线上方。一旦该股能够从下跌趋势中恢复过来，它可能会形成一个基础。此时没有买入点。股价较 52 周高点下跌约 31%。</blockquote></p><p> The sports-betting leader is one of the newest ARK Invest stocks. On March 8, ARK Invest disclosed a new position of 748,000 shares for the ARKK ETF.</p><p><blockquote>体育博彩领导者是最新的方舟投资股票之一。3月8日，ARK Invest披露了ARKK ETF的748,000股新头寸。</blockquote></p><p> DKNG stock rose 0.1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>DKNG 股票周一上涨 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Zoom Video is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with a cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video是现代企业视频通信领域的领导者，拥有一个跨移动、桌面和房间系统的视频和音频会议、聊天和网络研讨会云平台。</blockquote></p><p> On June 1, Zoom reported adjusted EPS of $1.32 on sales of $956.2 million, beating estimates. Earnings soared 560%, while sales rocketed 191% vs. the year-ago period.</p><p><blockquote>6 月 1 日，Zoom 公布调整后每股收益为 1.32 美元，销售额为 9.562 亿美元，超出预期。与去年同期相比，盈利飙升 560%，销售额飙升 191%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares lost 1.55% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>周一股价下跌 1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This Cathie Wood Stock Pick Nears A New Buy Point</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Cathie Wood 精选股票接近新的买入点</b></blockquote></p><p> Square is a digital payments and cryptocurrency leader. Recently, Square disclosed a new $170 million investment in Bitcoin on top of its $50 million purchase in October. Bitcoin represents 5% of total company assets.</p><p><blockquote>Square是数字支付和加密货币的领导者。最近，Square 披露了在 10 月份斥资 5000 万美元收购的基础上，又在比特币投资了 1.7 亿美元。比特币占公司总资产的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock is forming a consolidation with a 283.29 buy point. Shares are about 12% away from the buy point. Despite soaring more than 700% from the coronavirus bear market lows, SQ stock's base is still early stage.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股票正在形成盘整，买入点为 283.29。股价距离买入点约 12%。尽管从冠状病毒熊市低点飙升了 700% 以上，但 SQ 股票的基础仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> According to IBD Stock Checkup, Square stock shows a 97 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating helps investors easily measure the quality of a stock's fundamental and technical metrics.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查，Square 股票的 IBD 综合评级为 97 分（满分 99 分）。IBD 综合评级有助于投资者轻松衡量股票基本面和技术指标的质量。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock was up 0.6% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股价周一上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Tesla Is One Of The Top ARK Invest Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么特斯拉是方舟投资的顶级股票之一</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is one of the top ARK Invest stocks, with whopping 10% weighting in the ARKK ETF portfolio. In mid-January, ARK Invest unveiled its 2025 price target on Tesla stock of $3,000 a share.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票是 ARK 顶级投资股票之一，在 ARKK ETF 投资组合中的权重高达 10%。1 月中旬，ARK Invest 公布了特斯拉股票 2025 年目标股价为每股 3,000 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock surged 4.35% Monday. The EV giant is finding support around its key 50- and 200-day moving averages. A strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一飙升4.35%。这家电动汽车巨头正在其关键的 50 天和 200 天移动平均线附近寻找支撑。这些水平的强劲支撑将利好该股的前景。</blockquote></p><p> A new base could be forming, but the stock is far away from any new buy point. Shares reclaimed their 50-day line in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>新的基础可能正在形成，但该股距离任何新的买入点还很远。最近几周，股价收复了 50 日线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teladoc Health Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Teladoc 健康股票</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Teladoc Health provides on-demand health care services, such as nonemergency doctor's appointments, online. More doctors and patients are opting for telemedicine due to Covid-19. Teladoc is one of the biggest ARK Invest stocks, with an over-6% portfolio weighting in the ARKK portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health在线提供按需医疗保健服务，如非紧急医生预约。由于新冠肺炎，越来越多的医生和患者选择远程医疗。Teladoc 是最大的 ARK 投资股票之一，在 ARKK 投资组合中的投资组合权重超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> TDOC stock is trading nearly 50% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.65% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>TDOC 股价较 52 周高点下跌近 50%。周一股价下跌 1.65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/research/ark-invest-stocks/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKX":"ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internet ETF","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/research/ark-invest-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126477651","content_text":"Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Six ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch are Coinbase, DraftKings, Square, Teladoc Health, Tesla and Zoom Video.\nARK ETFs\nThe ARK Invest investment company's flagship fund is ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). The ARKK ETF focuses on companies that exhibit \"disruptive innovation,\" a technologically enabled new product or service that potentially changes the way the world works.\nThe ARK Innovation ETF surged more than 152% in 2020, handily beating the Nasdaq's hefty 43.6% return.\nOther ARK ETFs include Autonomous Technology & Robotics (ARKQ), Next Generation Internet (ARKW), Genomic Revolution (ARKG), Fintech Innovation (ARKF) and the recently debuted Space Exploration and Innovation (ARKX).\nHow To Invest Like Cathie Wood: Focus On Game Changers\nThe ARKK fund's huge gain in 2020 resulted from big stock success stories in cutting-edge tech areas: DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage and blockchain technology.\n\"Disruptive innovation is often not priced correctly by traditional investment strategies because people may not understand how big the ultimate opportunities are going to be. They aren't sizing the opportunity and they aren't analyzing the disruption,\" Wood, the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, commented on the company's website.\nARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch\nAmid the current stock market uptrend — according to IBD's market outlook — investors should focus on buying top stocks breaking out past correct buy points.\nARK Invest stocks to buy and watch, and their tickers, include Coinbase Global (COIN), DraftKings (DKNG), Square (SQ), Tesla (TSLA), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Zoom Video (ZM).\n\nCoinbase IPO\nCryptocurrency exchange Coinbase debuted on April 14, pricing at $250 a share. Coinbase stock closed its first day of trading 328.28, up 31.3%, for a valuation of $87.3 billion. Investors should wait for an IPO base to form before jumping into the hot IPO stock.\nThe new stake in Coinbase represents another one of the Ark Invest stocks that offers more exposure to cryptocurrencies.\nCoinbase fell 2.45% Monday.\nDraftKings Stock\nDraftKings is an online sports platform that allows users to play daily fantasy games and win cash prizes. The company is poised to take advantage of the expanding legalization of digital sports betting across the U.S.\nDraftKings stock is above its 50-day moving average, but back above the long-term 200-day line. It could form a base once the stock can recover from its downtrend. There is no buy point at this time. Shares are about 31% off their 52-week high.\nThe sports-betting leader is one of the newest ARK Invest stocks. On March 8, ARK Invest disclosed a new position of 748,000 shares for the ARKK ETF.\nDKNG stock rose 0.1% Monday.\nZoom Video Stock\nZoom Video is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with a cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems.\nOn June 1, Zoom reported adjusted EPS of $1.32 on sales of $956.2 million, beating estimates. Earnings soared 560%, while sales rocketed 191% vs. the year-ago period.\nShares lost 1.55% Monday.\nThis Cathie Wood Stock Pick Nears A New Buy Point\nSquare is a digital payments and cryptocurrency leader. Recently, Square disclosed a new $170 million investment in Bitcoin on top of its $50 million purchase in October. Bitcoin represents 5% of total company assets.\nSquare stock is forming a consolidation with a 283.29 buy point. Shares are about 12% away from the buy point. Despite soaring more than 700% from the coronavirus bear market lows, SQ stock's base is still early stage.\nAccording to IBD Stock Checkup, Square stock shows a 97 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating helps investors easily measure the quality of a stock's fundamental and technical metrics.\nSquare stock was up 0.6% Monday.\nWhy Tesla Is One Of The Top ARK Invest Stocks\nTesla stock is one of the top ARK Invest stocks, with whopping 10% weighting in the ARKK ETF portfolio. In mid-January, ARK Invest unveiled its 2025 price target on Tesla stock of $3,000 a share.\nTesla stock surged 4.35% Monday. The EV giant is finding support around its key 50- and 200-day moving averages. A strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.\nA new base could be forming, but the stock is far away from any new buy point. Shares reclaimed their 50-day line in recent weeks.\nTeladoc Health Stock\nTeladoc Health provides on-demand health care services, such as nonemergency doctor's appointments, online. More doctors and patients are opting for telemedicine due to Covid-19. Teladoc is one of the biggest ARK Invest stocks, with an over-6% portfolio weighting in the ARKK portfolio.\nTDOC stock is trading nearly 50% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.65% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKG":0.9,"ARKX":0.9,"ARKW":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158926771,"gmtCreate":1625124763893,"gmtModify":1633944532014,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Basically, review review review","listText":"Basically, review review review","text":"Basically, review review review","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158926771","repostId":"1198389317","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153568606,"gmtCreate":1625035908305,"gmtModify":1633945580608,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What goes up, must come down 📈📉","listText":"What goes up, must come down 📈📉","text":"What goes up, must come down 📈📉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153568606","repostId":"1153724402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153724402","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625034985,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153724402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 14:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153724402","media":"Barrons","summary":"Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now invest","content":"<p>Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now investors are signaling weak confidence in stocks from here.</p><p><blockquote>许多策略师预计今年剩余时间股市不会大幅上涨。现在投资者从这里发出对股市信心薄弱的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Strategists do expect a weak market for the coming quarters. Their average price target on the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is a touch above $4,150, according to&nbsp;Citigroup&nbsp;data. That’s a roughly 3% drop from the index’s current level. Even the more-bullish strategists aren’t exactly giving a vote of confidence to the market;Jefferies recently raised its price target on the index to $4,350, which represents a mere gain of about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>策略师确实预计未来几个季度市场疲软。根据花旗集团的数据，他们对标普500指数的平均目标价略高于 4,150 美元。这比该指数目前的水平下降了约 3%。即使是比较乐观的策略师也没有对市场投下信任票；杰富瑞最近将该指数的目标价上调至 4,350 美元，仅上涨约 1%。</blockquote></p><p> But what’s more worrisome is that investors—the people who actually buy and sell shares, and move the market—are also now pessimistic on stocks. Citi’s survey of almost 70 institutional funds shows that on average money managers see the S&amp;P 500 price target falling to $4,269 by the end of this year. That’s a 0.6% drop from here. Just over a quarter of survey respondents said the top two risks are inflation, and a Federal Reserve policy mistake. Less than 10% of participants said the biggest risks lie elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>但更令人担忧的是，投资者--实际买卖股票、推动市场的人--现在也对股票持悲观态度。花旗对近 70 家机构基金的调查显示，平均而言，基金经理预计到今年年底，标普500的目标股价将降至 4269 美元。这比这里下降了 0.6%。略高于四分之一的受访者表示，两大风险是通货膨胀和美联储政策失误。不到10%的参与者表示最大的风险在于其他地方。</blockquote></p><p> That finding is consistent with recent market behavior and commentary. If&nbsp;recent inflation&nbsp;is persistent enough, it&nbsp;could wipe off more than 15% from the S&amp;P 500, as higher inflation erodes the value of future profits. If the Fed, in response, hikes interest rates too quickly, it could dent growth—and recently the stocks that are most sensitive to the perceived health of the economy&nbsp;have underperformed.</p><p><blockquote>这一发现与最近的市场行为和评论一致。如果最近的通胀足够持续，它可能会从标普500中抹去 15% 以上，因为更高的通胀会侵蚀未来利润的价值。如果美联储作为回应过快加息，可能会削弱经济增长——最近对经济健康状况最敏感的股票表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> One point of optimism, though, is that the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 hit several new highs this week, indicating that it still has more juice. To be sure,technical analysis shows the index could rise at least 3%&nbsp;from here—and maybe it can. Stocks could conceivably keep rising in the short-term.</p><p><blockquote>不过，乐观的一点是，标普500本周创下了几个新高，表明它仍然有更多的活力。可以肯定的是， 技术分析表明该指数可能会从这里上涨至少 3%——也许确实如此。可以想象，短期内股市可能会继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But investors are nervous about looming risks that could bring stocks down by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者对迫在眉睫的风险感到紧张，这些风险可能会导致股市在年底前下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 14:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now investors are signaling weak confidence in stocks from here.</p><p><blockquote>许多策略师预计今年剩余时间股市不会大幅上涨。现在投资者从这里发出对股市信心薄弱的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Strategists do expect a weak market for the coming quarters. Their average price target on the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is a touch above $4,150, according to&nbsp;Citigroup&nbsp;data. That’s a roughly 3% drop from the index’s current level. Even the more-bullish strategists aren’t exactly giving a vote of confidence to the market;Jefferies recently raised its price target on the index to $4,350, which represents a mere gain of about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>策略师确实预计未来几个季度市场疲软。根据花旗集团的数据，他们对标普500指数的平均目标价略高于 4,150 美元。这比该指数目前的水平下降了约 3%。即使是比较乐观的策略师也没有对市场投下信任票；杰富瑞最近将该指数的目标价上调至 4,350 美元，仅上涨约 1%。</blockquote></p><p> But what’s more worrisome is that investors—the people who actually buy and sell shares, and move the market—are also now pessimistic on stocks. Citi’s survey of almost 70 institutional funds shows that on average money managers see the S&amp;P 500 price target falling to $4,269 by the end of this year. That’s a 0.6% drop from here. Just over a quarter of survey respondents said the top two risks are inflation, and a Federal Reserve policy mistake. Less than 10% of participants said the biggest risks lie elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>但更令人担忧的是，投资者--实际买卖股票、推动市场的人--现在也对股票持悲观态度。花旗对近 70 家机构基金的调查显示，平均而言，基金经理预计到今年年底，标普500的目标股价将降至 4269 美元。这比这里下降了 0.6%。略高于四分之一的受访者表示，两大风险是通货膨胀和美联储政策失误。不到10%的参与者表示最大的风险在于其他地方。</blockquote></p><p> That finding is consistent with recent market behavior and commentary. If&nbsp;recent inflation&nbsp;is persistent enough, it&nbsp;could wipe off more than 15% from the S&amp;P 500, as higher inflation erodes the value of future profits. If the Fed, in response, hikes interest rates too quickly, it could dent growth—and recently the stocks that are most sensitive to the perceived health of the economy&nbsp;have underperformed.</p><p><blockquote>这一发现与最近的市场行为和评论一致。如果最近的通胀足够持续，它可能会从标普500中抹去 15% 以上，因为更高的通胀会侵蚀未来利润的价值。如果美联储作为回应过快加息，可能会削弱经济增长——最近对经济健康状况最敏感的股票表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> One point of optimism, though, is that the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 hit several new highs this week, indicating that it still has more juice. To be sure,technical analysis shows the index could rise at least 3%&nbsp;from here—and maybe it can. Stocks could conceivably keep rising in the short-term.</p><p><blockquote>不过，乐观的一点是，标普500本周创下了几个新高，表明它仍然有更多的活力。可以肯定的是， 技术分析表明该指数可能会从这里上涨至少 3%——也许确实如此。可以想象，短期内股市可能会继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But investors are nervous about looming risks that could bring stocks down by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者对迫在眉睫的风险感到紧张，这些风险可能会导致股市在年底前下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/investors-turning-bearish-on-s-p-500-stocks-51625002300?mod=hp_LEAD_3_B_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/investors-turning-bearish-on-s-p-500-stocks-51625002300?mod=hp_LEAD_3_B_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153724402","content_text":"Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now investors are signaling weak confidence in stocks from here.\nStrategists do expect a weak market for the coming quarters. Their average price target on the S&P 500 index is a touch above $4,150, according to Citigroup data. That’s a roughly 3% drop from the index’s current level. Even the more-bullish strategists aren’t exactly giving a vote of confidence to the market;Jefferies recently raised its price target on the index to $4,350, which represents a mere gain of about 1%.\nBut what’s more worrisome is that investors—the people who actually buy and sell shares, and move the market—are also now pessimistic on stocks. Citi’s survey of almost 70 institutional funds shows that on average money managers see the S&P 500 price target falling to $4,269 by the end of this year. That’s a 0.6% drop from here. Just over a quarter of survey respondents said the top two risks are inflation, and a Federal Reserve policy mistake. Less than 10% of participants said the biggest risks lie elsewhere.\nThat finding is consistent with recent market behavior and commentary. If recent inflation is persistent enough, it could wipe off more than 15% from the S&P 500, as higher inflation erodes the value of future profits. If the Fed, in response, hikes interest rates too quickly, it could dent growth—and recently the stocks that are most sensitive to the perceived health of the economy have underperformed.\nOne point of optimism, though, is that the S&P 500 hit several new highs this week, indicating that it still has more juice. To be sure,technical analysis shows the index could rise at least 3% from here—and maybe it can. Stocks could conceivably keep rising in the short-term.\nBut investors are nervous about looming risks that could bring stocks down by year-end.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153569944,"gmtCreate":1625035676288,"gmtModify":1633945583540,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Back to the big boys of automobiles","listText":"Back to the big boys of automobiles","text":"Back to the big boys of automobiles","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153569944","repostId":"2147558864","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2147558864","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1625035341,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2147558864?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2147558864","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.\n","content":"<p>Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车、通用汽车和其他三家汽车制造商跻身瑞士银行瑞银最喜欢的电动汽车股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c016bc1ae9557413b5f6cc887e878cfe\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"797\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Tesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, remains the undisputed leader in electric-vehicles, but faces growing pressure on multiple fronts, UBS said.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞银表示，由首席执行官埃隆·马斯克领导的特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域无可争议的领导者，但在多个方面面临着越来越大的压力。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla remains the world-leader in electric-vehicles but is under increasing pressure in China, with better opportunities emerging among other automakers for investors keen to play the growing trend, UBS said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银周二表示，特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域的全球领导者，但在中国面临越来越大的压力，其他汽车制造商为热衷于把握增长趋势的投资者提供了更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at the Swiss bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(UBS)$</a> cut their price target on Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> stock by 10%, from $730 to $660, citing pressure in China, as well as delays to Tesla's self-driving product and launch of the Model Y in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士银行分析师<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(瑞银)$</a>下调特斯拉目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(特斯拉)$</a>股价下跌 10%，从 730 美元涨至 660 美元，原因是中国的压力，以及特斯拉自动驾驶产品和 Model Y 在欧洲推出的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our key concern shorter-term is that Tesla's demand momentum in China is slowing, and our checks on the ground suggest that BEVs [Battery Electric Vehicles] from domestic brands are gaining further ground vs. Tesla, which may trigger additional pricing action by Tesla and consequently lower gross margins,\" analyst Patrick Hummel said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们短期内的主要担忧是特斯拉在华的需求势头正在放缓，我们的实地检查表明，国产品牌的纯电动汽车（纯电动汽车）相对于特斯拉正在进一步取得进展，这可能会引发特斯拉的额外定价行动，从而降低毛利率，”分析师 Patrick Hummel 表示。</blockquote></p><p> \"The EV launches from competitors with high range, charging performance and attractive value-for-money, could continue to weigh on the value the market is willing to assign to Tesla's long-term growth,\" Hummel added.</p><p><blockquote>胡梅尔补充道：“竞争对手推出的电动汽车具有高续航里程、充电性能和有吸引力的性价比，可能会继续影响市场愿意赋予特斯拉长期增长的价值。”</blockquote></p><p> In China, the pioneering electric-vehicle company led by Elon Musk faces stiff competition from domestic manufacturers like NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, BYD , and XPeng <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>, which all show strong positive momentum, UBS said.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，由埃隆·马斯克领导的电动汽车先驱公司面临着来自蔚来等国内制造商的激烈竞争<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(蔚来)$</a>、比亚迪和小鹏<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>瑞银表示，所有这些都显示出强劲的积极势头。</blockquote></p><p> Now that most of the major automakers have decided to go all-in on electric-vehicles, with ambitious targets for new product lines a recurring theme among the world's largest car companies, UBS identifies four factors likely to drive outperformance in auto stocks.</p><p><blockquote>现在，大多数主要汽车制造商都决定全力发展电动汽车，新产品线的雄心勃勃的目标成为全球最大汽车公司反复出现的主题，瑞银确定了可能推动汽车股表现优异的四个因素。</blockquote></p><p> They are: a strong EV sales curve, a crystallized portfolio value, excellent regional and segmental exposure, and an ability to pass on higher commodity prices.</p><p><blockquote>它们是：强劲的电动汽车销售曲线、具体化的投资组合价值、出色的区域和细分市场敞口，以及转嫁更高大宗商品价格的能力。</blockquote></p><p> Using these factors, the analysts at UBS found that Volkswagen XE:VOW (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CXE%3AVOW;onlineSignificance=prominent), the EV leader in Europe and Tesla's fiercest competitor scored best.</p><p><blockquote>利用这些因素，瑞银分析师发现欧洲电动汽车领导者和特斯拉最激烈的竞争对手大众汽车 XE:VOW（#phrase-company?ref=company%7CXE%3AVOW；onlineSignificance=prominent）得分最高。</blockquote></p><p> UBS raised its target price for GM stock--which it rates a buy--to $79 from $75, with the target price for Volkswagen being EUR300 ($357). GM stock is currently trading around $59, while shares in Volkswagen were trading for more than EUR216--implying that both companies could provide attractive returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银将通用汽车股票的目标价（评级为买入）从 75 美元上调至 79 美元，大众汽车的目标价为 300 欧元（357 美元）。通用汽车的股价目前约为 59 美元，而大众汽车的股价则超过 216 欧元，这意味着两家公司都可以为投资者提供有吸引力的回报。</blockquote></p><p> South Korea's Hyundai is another company that could emerge as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the best re-rating stories as the market comes to realize the value of its assets, UBS said. France's Renault and China's Li Auto <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(LI)$</a> rounded out the list of UBS' five most-favoured EV stocks. The bank also raised its target price on Ford <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>, which it rates neutral, to $16 from $13.</p><p><blockquote>韩国现代汽车是另一家可能成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>瑞银表示，随着市场意识到其资产价值，这是最好的重新评级故事之一。法国雷诺和中国理想汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(李)$</a>完成了瑞银最受欢迎的五只电动汽车股票名单。该银行还提高了福特的目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F) $</a>将其评级为中性，从 13 美元上调至 16 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The team at UBS took a hard look at the industry landscape in the wake of its latest electric-vehicle consumer survey, involving more than 11,000 participants in the world's largest EV markets. The results show that \"EV mass adoption is an unstoppable trend with rapidly accelerating momentum,\" the team concluded, with 43% of consumers likely to consider buying a fully-electric car--up from 37% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银团队在最新的电动汽车消费者调查中仔细审视了行业格局，该调查涉及全球最大电动汽车市场的 11,000 多名参与者。该团队总结道，结果显示“电动汽车的大规模采用是一个不可阻挡的趋势，而且势头正在迅速加速”，43% 的消费者可能会考虑购买全电动汽车，高于一年前的 37%。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time, fully-electric vehicles are preferred over plug-in hybrids, with keenness for EVs accelerating fastest among American consumers, UBS said. In the wake of the survey, UBS raised its sales forecast for China to 2.5 million EVs in 2021, up from 1.9 million, with a view that EVs will make up 20% of the car market globally by 2025 and 50% by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银表示，全电动汽车首次比插电式混合动力汽车更受欢迎，美国消费者对电动汽车的热情增长最快。调查结束后，瑞银将2021年中国电动汽车销量预测从190万辆上调至250万辆，预计到2025年电动汽车将占全球汽车市场的20%，到2030年将占50%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still the \"undisputed leader\" in UBS' books. The recent consumer survey was \"solid across the board for Tesla,\" Hummel said, though \"momentum in the quarters ahead is likely more in favor of competitors with a busier launch pipeline.\" In conclusion: Tesla's lead is shrinking, and investors would be well advised to seek out other opportunities for high-growth plays.</p><p><blockquote>在瑞银的账面上，特斯拉仍然是“无可争议的领导者”。胡梅尔表示，最近的消费者调查“对特斯拉来说全面稳健”，尽管“未来几个季度的势头可能更有利于拥有更繁忙上市渠道的竞争对手”。总之：特斯拉的领先优势正在缩小，建议投资者寻找其他高增长机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 14:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车、通用汽车和其他三家汽车制造商跻身瑞士银行瑞银最喜欢的电动汽车股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c016bc1ae9557413b5f6cc887e878cfe\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"797\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Tesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, remains the undisputed leader in electric-vehicles, but faces growing pressure on multiple fronts, UBS said.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞银表示，由首席执行官埃隆·马斯克领导的特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域无可争议的领导者，但在多个方面面临着越来越大的压力。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla remains the world-leader in electric-vehicles but is under increasing pressure in China, with better opportunities emerging among other automakers for investors keen to play the growing trend, UBS said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银周二表示，特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域的全球领导者，但在中国面临越来越大的压力，其他汽车制造商为热衷于把握增长趋势的投资者提供了更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at the Swiss bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(UBS)$</a> cut their price target on Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> stock by 10%, from $730 to $660, citing pressure in China, as well as delays to Tesla's self-driving product and launch of the Model Y in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士银行分析师<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(瑞银)$</a>下调特斯拉目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(特斯拉)$</a>股价下跌 10%，从 730 美元涨至 660 美元，原因是中国的压力，以及特斯拉自动驾驶产品和 Model Y 在欧洲推出的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our key concern shorter-term is that Tesla's demand momentum in China is slowing, and our checks on the ground suggest that BEVs [Battery Electric Vehicles] from domestic brands are gaining further ground vs. Tesla, which may trigger additional pricing action by Tesla and consequently lower gross margins,\" analyst Patrick Hummel said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们短期内的主要担忧是特斯拉在华的需求势头正在放缓，我们的实地检查表明，国产品牌的纯电动汽车（纯电动汽车）相对于特斯拉正在进一步取得进展，这可能会引发特斯拉的额外定价行动，从而降低毛利率，”分析师 Patrick Hummel 表示。</blockquote></p><p> \"The EV launches from competitors with high range, charging performance and attractive value-for-money, could continue to weigh on the value the market is willing to assign to Tesla's long-term growth,\" Hummel added.</p><p><blockquote>胡梅尔补充道：“竞争对手推出的电动汽车具有高续航里程、充电性能和有吸引力的性价比，可能会继续影响市场愿意赋予特斯拉长期增长的价值。”</blockquote></p><p> In China, the pioneering electric-vehicle company led by Elon Musk faces stiff competition from domestic manufacturers like NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, BYD , and XPeng <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>, which all show strong positive momentum, UBS said.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，由埃隆·马斯克领导的电动汽车先驱公司面临着来自蔚来等国内制造商的激烈竞争<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(蔚来)$</a>、比亚迪和小鹏<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>瑞银表示，所有这些都显示出强劲的积极势头。</blockquote></p><p> Now that most of the major automakers have decided to go all-in on electric-vehicles, with ambitious targets for new product lines a recurring theme among the world's largest car companies, UBS identifies four factors likely to drive outperformance in auto stocks.</p><p><blockquote>现在，大多数主要汽车制造商都决定全力发展电动汽车，新产品线的雄心勃勃的目标成为全球最大汽车公司反复出现的主题，瑞银确定了可能推动汽车股表现优异的四个因素。</blockquote></p><p> They are: a strong EV sales curve, a crystallized portfolio value, excellent regional and segmental exposure, and an ability to pass on higher commodity prices.</p><p><blockquote>它们是：强劲的电动汽车销售曲线、具体化的投资组合价值、出色的区域和细分市场敞口，以及转嫁更高大宗商品价格的能力。</blockquote></p><p> Using these factors, the analysts at UBS found that Volkswagen XE:VOW (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CXE%3AVOW;onlineSignificance=prominent), the EV leader in Europe and Tesla's fiercest competitor scored best.</p><p><blockquote>利用这些因素，瑞银分析师发现欧洲电动汽车领导者和特斯拉最激烈的竞争对手大众汽车 XE:VOW（#phrase-company?ref=company%7CXE%3AVOW；onlineSignificance=prominent）得分最高。</blockquote></p><p> UBS raised its target price for GM stock--which it rates a buy--to $79 from $75, with the target price for Volkswagen being EUR300 ($357). GM stock is currently trading around $59, while shares in Volkswagen were trading for more than EUR216--implying that both companies could provide attractive returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银将通用汽车股票的目标价（评级为买入）从 75 美元上调至 79 美元，大众汽车的目标价为 300 欧元（357 美元）。通用汽车的股价目前约为 59 美元，而大众汽车的股价则超过 216 欧元，这意味着两家公司都可以为投资者提供有吸引力的回报。</blockquote></p><p> South Korea's Hyundai is another company that could emerge as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the best re-rating stories as the market comes to realize the value of its assets, UBS said. France's Renault and China's Li Auto <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(LI)$</a> rounded out the list of UBS' five most-favoured EV stocks. The bank also raised its target price on Ford <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>, which it rates neutral, to $16 from $13.</p><p><blockquote>韩国现代汽车是另一家可能成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>瑞银表示，随着市场意识到其资产价值，这是最好的重新评级故事之一。法国雷诺和中国理想汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(李)$</a>完成了瑞银最受欢迎的五只电动汽车股票名单。该银行还提高了福特的目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F) $</a>将其评级为中性，从 13 美元上调至 16 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The team at UBS took a hard look at the industry landscape in the wake of its latest electric-vehicle consumer survey, involving more than 11,000 participants in the world's largest EV markets. The results show that \"EV mass adoption is an unstoppable trend with rapidly accelerating momentum,\" the team concluded, with 43% of consumers likely to consider buying a fully-electric car--up from 37% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银团队在最新的电动汽车消费者调查中仔细审视了行业格局，该调查涉及全球最大电动汽车市场的 11,000 多名参与者。该团队总结道，结果显示“电动汽车的大规模采用是一个不可阻挡的趋势，而且势头正在迅速加速”，43% 的消费者可能会考虑购买全电动汽车，高于一年前的 37%。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time, fully-electric vehicles are preferred over plug-in hybrids, with keenness for EVs accelerating fastest among American consumers, UBS said. In the wake of the survey, UBS raised its sales forecast for China to 2.5 million EVs in 2021, up from 1.9 million, with a view that EVs will make up 20% of the car market globally by 2025 and 50% by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银表示，全电动汽车首次比插电式混合动力汽车更受欢迎，美国消费者对电动汽车的热情增长最快。调查结束后，瑞银将2021年中国电动汽车销量预测从190万辆上调至250万辆，预计到2025年电动汽车将占全球汽车市场的20%，到2030年将占50%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still the \"undisputed leader\" in UBS' books. The recent consumer survey was \"solid across the board for Tesla,\" Hummel said, though \"momentum in the quarters ahead is likely more in favor of competitors with a busier launch pipeline.\" In conclusion: Tesla's lead is shrinking, and investors would be well advised to seek out other opportunities for high-growth plays.</p><p><blockquote>在瑞银的账面上，特斯拉仍然是“无可争议的领导者”。胡梅尔表示，最近的消费者调查“对特斯拉来说全面稳健”，尽管“未来几个季度的势头可能更有利于拥有更繁忙上市渠道的竞争对手”。总之：特斯拉的领先优势正在缩小，建议投资者寻找其他高增长机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-is-under-pressure-from-nio-but-these-are-the-best-electric-vehicle-investments-right-now-says-ubs-11624980469?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"USB":"美国合众银行","HYMLY":"Hyundai Motor Co., Ltd.","GM":"通用汽车","F":"福特汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏集团","002594":"比亚迪","LI":"理想汽车","01211":"比亚迪股份"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-is-under-pressure-from-nio-but-these-are-the-best-electric-vehicle-investments-right-now-says-ubs-11624980469?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2147558864","content_text":"Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.\nTesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, remains the undisputed leader in electric-vehicles, but faces growing pressure on multiple fronts, UBS said.\nTesla remains the world-leader in electric-vehicles but is under increasing pressure in China, with better opportunities emerging among other automakers for investors keen to play the growing trend, UBS said on Tuesday.\nAnalysts at the Swiss bank $(UBS)$ cut their price target on Tesla $(TSLA)$ stock by 10%, from $730 to $660, citing pressure in China, as well as delays to Tesla's self-driving product and launch of the Model Y in Europe.\n\"Our key concern shorter-term is that Tesla's demand momentum in China is slowing, and our checks on the ground suggest that BEVs [Battery Electric Vehicles] from domestic brands are gaining further ground vs. Tesla, which may trigger additional pricing action by Tesla and consequently lower gross margins,\" analyst Patrick Hummel said.\n\"The EV launches from competitors with high range, charging performance and attractive value-for-money, could continue to weigh on the value the market is willing to assign to Tesla's long-term growth,\" Hummel added.\nIn China, the pioneering electric-vehicle company led by Elon Musk faces stiff competition from domestic manufacturers like NIO $(NIO)$, BYD , and XPeng $(XPEV)$, which all show strong positive momentum, UBS said.\nNow that most of the major automakers have decided to go all-in on electric-vehicles, with ambitious targets for new product lines a recurring theme among the world's largest car companies, UBS identifies four factors likely to drive outperformance in auto stocks.\nThey are: a strong EV sales curve, a crystallized portfolio value, excellent regional and segmental exposure, and an ability to pass on higher commodity prices.\nUsing these factors, the analysts at UBS found that Volkswagen XE:VOW (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CXE%3AVOW;onlineSignificance=prominent), the EV leader in Europe and Tesla's fiercest competitor scored best.\nUBS raised its target price for GM stock--which it rates a buy--to $79 from $75, with the target price for Volkswagen being EUR300 ($357). GM stock is currently trading around $59, while shares in Volkswagen were trading for more than EUR216--implying that both companies could provide attractive returns to investors.\nSouth Korea's Hyundai is another company that could emerge as one of the best re-rating stories as the market comes to realize the value of its assets, UBS said. France's Renault and China's Li Auto $(LI)$ rounded out the list of UBS' five most-favoured EV stocks. The bank also raised its target price on Ford $(F)$, which it rates neutral, to $16 from $13.\nThe team at UBS took a hard look at the industry landscape in the wake of its latest electric-vehicle consumer survey, involving more than 11,000 participants in the world's largest EV markets. The results show that \"EV mass adoption is an unstoppable trend with rapidly accelerating momentum,\" the team concluded, with 43% of consumers likely to consider buying a fully-electric car--up from 37% a year ago.\nFor the first time, fully-electric vehicles are preferred over plug-in hybrids, with keenness for EVs accelerating fastest among American consumers, UBS said. In the wake of the survey, UBS raised its sales forecast for China to 2.5 million EVs in 2021, up from 1.9 million, with a view that EVs will make up 20% of the car market globally by 2025 and 50% by 2030.\nTesla is still the \"undisputed leader\" in UBS' books. The recent consumer survey was \"solid across the board for Tesla,\" Hummel said, though \"momentum in the quarters ahead is likely more in favor of competitors with a busier launch pipeline.\" In conclusion: Tesla's lead is shrinking, and investors would be well advised to seek out other opportunities for high-growth plays.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"GM":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"HYMLY":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"01211":0.9,"002594":0.9,"LI":0.9,"F":0.9,"USB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124675009,"gmtCreate":1624764834101,"gmtModify":1633948896640,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sexy vs boring, why not both?","listText":"Sexy vs boring, why not both?","text":"Sexy vs boring, why not both?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124675009","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford  launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO  will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在增进对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机遇的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特公司（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临另一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后给出最终结论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特与蔚来：全球电动汽车市场之争正在升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司都将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场展开较量。福特的车队还没有以电动汽车为重点，但这种情况将会改变： 福特感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，因此表示将加快其电气化计划，在 2025 年前投资 300 亿美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求投资 220 亿美元用于零排放汽车。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年，其全球销量的 40% 将是电动汽车，皮卡车销量的 33% 将是电动汽车。目前，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的 1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在 2040 年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020 年，中国购买了全球 41% 的电动汽车。去年，中国买家购买了 130 万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求促进电动汽车的普及，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是全球第三大插电式电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速迎头赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对欧洲范围内充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来正处于进军欧洲市场的风口浪尖，希望在竞争准备就绪之前扩大其在世界第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>中国政府是蔚来汽车工业电气化的推动者： 中国政府希望到 2025 年，电动汽车在新车销售中所占份额达到 20%，这将推动电动汽车在中国本土市场的普及。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场将迎来世界上最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，电动汽车销量将超过全球所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长和更有利的监管框架，这里的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有百年的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品阵容中只有一款与蔚来相比的全电动汽车：野马 Mach-E SUV。2022 年，福特将开始销售全电动 F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑车SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来只专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了一个非常小且明确的利基市场，这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商希望实现的速度更快地提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国是特斯拉（TSLA）的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也是蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议斥资 300 亿美元用于车队电气化，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>这里的赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化与BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在这个市场中的重要性，随着时间的推移，这个市场只会变得更加竞争，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个相关领域大力投资，这个领域可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场的主导地位：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司 SK Innovation 成立一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池芯和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加快电池交付速度，年产量约为 60 GWh，足以满足福特到 2030 年预计年能源需求的 25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并组建了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特不同的是，蔚来的电池投资战略围绕着电池订阅模式，也称为 “电池即服务 ”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了一个强大的长期收入机会。在这种 “BaaS” 模式下，用户购买蔚来电动汽车可获得 7 万元人民币的初始折扣，折合 1.08 万美元，并可签约包月租赁 70 千瓦时的可充电电池。然后可以在蔚来的换电站更换电池，这些换电站在中国大多数大城市都有。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于前期折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和随着时间的推移更好的性能。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩，为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入流。“BaaS ”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/换电站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户绑定到蔚来，从而潜在地增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特和蔚来增加资本配置，它们有望从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这应该会推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车比内燃机乘用车更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建部分商业模式，蔚来可能会比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德提供的信息，自 2014 年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降 70%，并且本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS ”模式是天才之作，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年 5 亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特 5 月份的销量同比增长 4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比激增 184%，福特 5 月份售出了创纪录的 10,364 辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified 和 Explorer Hybrid 的销量分别同比增长 125% 和 132%，显示出强劲的客户吸引力。蔚来上个月交付了 6,711 辆汽车，其中包括 3,017 辆 ES6、1,412 辆 ES8 和 2,282 辆 EC6。5 月份总交付量同比增长 95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销量是蔚来汽车的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来之间的估值差异就像黑夜和白天之间的差异。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别实现了爆炸式增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量增长将达到中低位数。福特预计到 2025 财年（基准年：2020 财年）收入将增长 33%，蔚来将增长 808%!</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售增长的这些差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言是这样。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近 100%，由于蔚来只销售电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销量之比远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来有更大的风险……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。与福特相比，蔚来的全球总销售额增长潜力更大，因为它的营收基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，与可以依赖全球服务和分销网络的福特相比，由于生产缺陷导致的召回对于蔚来来说将是一个更大的挑战。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓，将对财务状况造成更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最终判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更 “性感 ”的汽车制造商。在中国和欧洲的强劲采用率和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，堪称天才。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着该汽车制造商车队电气化，电动汽车销量的比例也将不断增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果你相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，又不喜欢太大的风险，那就买福特吧。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在增进对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机遇的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特公司（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临另一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后给出最终结论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特与蔚来：全球电动汽车市场之争正在升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司都将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场展开较量。福特的车队还没有以电动汽车为重点，但这种情况将会改变： 福特感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，因此表示将加快其电气化计划，在 2025 年前投资 300 亿美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求投资 220 亿美元用于零排放汽车。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年，其全球销量的 40% 将是电动汽车，皮卡车销量的 33% 将是电动汽车。目前，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的 1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在 2040 年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020 年，中国购买了全球 41% 的电动汽车。去年，中国买家购买了 130 万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求促进电动汽车的普及，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是全球第三大插电式电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速迎头赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对欧洲范围内充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来正处于进军欧洲市场的风口浪尖，希望在竞争准备就绪之前扩大其在世界第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>中国政府是蔚来汽车工业电气化的推动者： 中国政府希望到 2025 年，电动汽车在新车销售中所占份额达到 20%，这将推动电动汽车在中国本土市场的普及。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场将迎来世界上最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，电动汽车销量将超过全球所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长和更有利的监管框架，这里的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有百年的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品阵容中只有一款与蔚来相比的全电动汽车：野马 Mach-E SUV。2022 年，福特将开始销售全电动 F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑车SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来只专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了一个非常小且明确的利基市场，这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商希望实现的速度更快地提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国是特斯拉（TSLA）的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也是蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议斥资 300 亿美元用于车队电气化，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>这里的赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化与BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在这个市场中的重要性，随着时间的推移，这个市场只会变得更加竞争，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个相关领域大力投资，这个领域可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场的主导地位：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司 SK Innovation 成立一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池芯和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加快电池交付速度，年产量约为 60 GWh，足以满足福特到 2030 年预计年能源需求的 25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并组建了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特不同的是，蔚来的电池投资战略围绕着电池订阅模式，也称为 “电池即服务 ”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了一个强大的长期收入机会。在这种 “BaaS” 模式下，用户购买蔚来电动汽车可获得 7 万元人民币的初始折扣，折合 1.08 万美元，并可签约包月租赁 70 千瓦时的可充电电池。然后可以在蔚来的换电站更换电池，这些换电站在中国大多数大城市都有。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于前期折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和随着时间的推移更好的性能。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩，为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入流。“BaaS ”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/换电站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户绑定到蔚来，从而潜在地增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特和蔚来增加资本配置，它们有望从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这应该会推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车比内燃机乘用车更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建部分商业模式，蔚来可能会比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德提供的信息，自 2014 年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降 70%，并且本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS ”模式是天才之作，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年 5 亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特 5 月份的销量同比增长 4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比激增 184%，福特 5 月份售出了创纪录的 10,364 辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified 和 Explorer Hybrid 的销量分别同比增长 125% 和 132%，显示出强劲的客户吸引力。蔚来上个月交付了 6,711 辆汽车，其中包括 3,017 辆 ES6、1,412 辆 ES8 和 2,282 辆 EC6。5 月份总交付量同比增长 95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销量是蔚来汽车的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来之间的估值差异就像黑夜和白天之间的差异。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别实现了爆炸式增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量增长将达到中低位数。福特预计到 2025 财年（基准年：2020 财年）收入将增长 33%，蔚来将增长 808%!</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售增长的这些差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言是这样。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近 100%，由于蔚来只销售电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销量之比远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来有更大的风险……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。与福特相比，蔚来的全球总销售额增长潜力更大，因为它的营收基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，与可以依赖全球服务和分销网络的福特相比，由于生产缺陷导致的召回对于蔚来来说将是一个更大的挑战。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓，将对财务状况造成更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最终判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更 “性感 ”的汽车制造商。在中国和欧洲的强劲采用率和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，堪称天才。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着该汽车制造商车队电气化，电动汽车销量的比例也将不断增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果你相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，又不喜欢太大的风险，那就买福特吧。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125711491,"gmtCreate":1624693080013,"gmtModify":1633949491523,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]&nbsp;","text":"“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125711491","repostId":"1100072036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128382423,"gmtCreate":1624501995962,"gmtModify":1634005177788,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"How many Tesla cars in Tibet?","listText":"How many Tesla cars in Tibet?","text":"How many Tesla cars in Tibet?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128382423","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121089449,"gmtCreate":1624444251381,"gmtModify":1634006083274,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"In the long running","listText":"In the long running","text":"In the long running","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121089449","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169137518,"gmtCreate":1623821023734,"gmtModify":1634027562840,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like what Buffett said, “be fearful when others are greedy”","listText":"Like what Buffett said, “be fearful when others are greedy”","text":"Like what Buffett said, “be fearful when others are greedy”","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169137518","repostId":"1182315358","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169044466,"gmtCreate":1623810475455,"gmtModify":1634027757572,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"AAPL is way&nbsp;ahead of its competition","listText":"AAPL is way&nbsp;ahead of its competition","text":"AAPL is way ahead of its competition","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169044466","repostId":"1109582645","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109582645","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623808952,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109582645?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109582645","media":"TheStreet","summary":"After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even following stron","content":"<p>After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even&nbsp;following strong quarterly results, famed bear Rod Hall at Goldman Sachs threw in the towel and&nbsp;changed his position on AAPLfrom sell to neutral. Last week, he gave an interview to CNBC and further elaborated on his decision.</p><p><blockquote>即使在强劲的季度业绩之后，高盛著名的熊市罗德·霍尔 (bear Rod Hall) 仍因坚持对苹果股票的悲观情绪而成为人们关注的焦点，但他认输了，并将他对 AAPL 的立场从卖出改为中性。上周，他接受了 CNBC 的采访，并进一步阐述了他的决定。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven takes a closer look at this bear’s journey from highly skeptical to timidly optimistic about Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仔细研究了这位熊市对苹果股票从高度怀疑到胆怯乐观的历程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone at the center of the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熊壳中心的iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> At the core of Goldman Sachs’ sell rating on Apple stock was the Cupertino company's challenges at meeting iPhone sales growth metrics going forward. Rod Hall explained it:</p><p><blockquote>高盛给予苹果股票卖出评级的核心是这家库比蒂诺公司在未来实现 iPhone 销售增长指标方面面临的挑战。罗德·霍尔解释道：</blockquote></p><p>   “Apple continues to show strong execution, but we see fundamentals more likely to disappoint in 2021 as the long-anticipated 5G iPhone fails to meet optimistic consensus expectations and services revenue growth slows.”  To be fair, Apple’s most recent financial results had been far from exhilarating ahead of Goldman’s stock rating upgrade. The Cupertino company's main revenue generator, the iPhone, had produced timid results in 2020, making some wonder if smartphone sales would disappoint&nbsp;at the start of the 5G cycle.</p><p><blockquote>“苹果继续表现出强劲的执行力，但我们认为，由于期待已久的 5G iPhone 未能达到乐观的共识预期，服务收入增长放缓，2021 年的基本面更有可能令人失望。”平心而论，在高盛上调股票评级之前，苹果最近的财务业绩远非令人鼓舞。这家库比蒂诺公司的主要收入来源iPhone在2020年的业绩表现不佳，这让一些人怀疑智能手机销售是否会在5G周期开始时令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> The plateauing in smartphone sales preceded the pandemic year. Based on data from third party-research companies Gartner and Strategy Analytics, 187 million iPhones were sold in 2019, fewer than the 217 million of 2018. And from 2019 to 2020, there was an unprecedented decrease in iPhone revenues: from $142 billion to $138 billion last year.</p><p><blockquote>智能手机销量在疫情年之前就已趋于稳定。根据第三方研究公司Gartner和Strategy Analytics的数据，2019年iPhone的销量为1.87亿部，低于2018年的2.17亿部。而从2019年到2020年，iPhone的收入出现了前所未有的下降：从去年的1420亿美元降至1380亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, and based on recent trends, Rod Hall’s bearishness towards the iPhone seemed reasonably justifiable. What had been missing to tip Apple stock over, in the analyst’s view, was a negative catalyst. He believed that the COVID-19 pandemic could be it.</p><p><blockquote>因此，从最近的趋势来看，罗德-霍尔对 iPhone 的看跌似乎是有道理的。在这位分析师看来，苹果股市上涨所缺少的是一个负面催化剂。他认为新冠肺炎疫情可能就是它。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89631d8083d43e0daee7828d45e7a67a\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone quarterly revenue ($bn).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone季度收入（十亿美元）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>When Goldman Sachs fell off the horse</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当高盛从马背上摔下来</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s rating change on AAPL came in April, after&nbsp;the Cupertino company crushed expectations&nbsp;and released a blowout earnings report. Fiscal second quarter 2021 marked a turning point in iPhone 12 sales, after Apple faced delays&nbsp;in the launch of the new device.</p><p><blockquote>高盛在 4 月份改变了对 AAPL 的评级，此前这家库比蒂诺公司超出了预期，发布了一份井喷的财报。在苹果面临新设备推出延迟后，2021 财年第二财季标志着 iPhone 12 销售的转折点。</blockquote></p><p> Apple reported iPhone revenues of $47.9 billion versus Wall Street’s consensus $41.5 billion. Year-over-year, the top-line increase was a staggering $19 billion, representing growth of 65%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布的 iPhone 营收为 479 亿美元，而华尔街普遍预期为 415 亿美元。与去年同期相比，营收增长了惊人的 190 亿美元，增长了 65%。</blockquote></p><p> These numbers probably caught Goldman’s Rod Hall flat-footed.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字可能让高盛的罗德-霍尔措手不及。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Goldman Sachs sees Apple going forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛如何看待苹果的未来</b></blockquote></p><p> According to Goldman, the neutral position on AAPL is justified by one key metric: revenues per user. The analyst believes that growth in this metric should be in line with U.S. GDP. He points out that Apple's revenues per user have remained static in recent years, only rising during the pandemic due to stay-at-home trends.</p><p><blockquote>高盛表示，对 AAPL 的中立立场有一个关键指标是合理的：每用户收入。该分析师认为，这一指标的增长应该与美国GDP保持一致。他指出，苹果的每用户收入近年来一直保持不变，只是在疫情期间由于居家趋势而有所上升。</blockquote></p><p> On the bullish side of the argument, Rod Hall sees the importance of privacy, and thinks that Apple could benefit from increased demand for being an advocate of user data protection. On the bearish side, the analyst remains skeptical that the services segment will grow as much as expected, and that only about 20% to 25% of active users will pay for Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>从乐观的角度来看，Rod Hall看到了隐私的重要性，并认为苹果可以从成为用户数据保护倡导者的日益增长的需求中受益。从悲观的角度来看，分析师仍然怀疑服务领域能否像预期那样增长，并且只有大约 20% 至 25% 的活跃用户会为苹果服务付费。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven's take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Rod Hall has not been the first and will not be the last on Wall Street to be proven wrong on a stock rating. Goldman Sachs' position was contrarian, and bold for the same reason. Yet, the Apple Maven believes that Rod Hall’s cautious stance could still be a bit too conservative.</p><p><blockquote>罗德·霍尔并不是华尔街第一个也不会是最后一个在股票评级上被证明是错误的人。出于同样的原因，高盛的立场是逆向的，而且大胆。然而，这位苹果专家认为，罗德-霍尔的谨慎立场可能仍然有点过于保守。</blockquote></p><p> While stay-at-home trends may have distorted fiscal 2020 and early 2021 results, the 5G cycle, the M1 architecture, the expansion of the services portfolio and resilient consumer spending in general may still help to boost Apple's revenue-per-user metric – Goldman’s key concern.</p><p><blockquote>虽然居家办公的趋势可能会扭曲 2020 财年和 2021 年初的业绩，但 5G 周期、M1 架构、服务组合的扩张以及总体有弹性的消费者支出仍可能有助于提升苹果的每用户收入指标--高盛的主要关注点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Goldman Sachs Changed Its Mind On Apple Stock<blockquote>高盛为何改变对苹果股票的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even&nbsp;following strong quarterly results, famed bear Rod Hall at Goldman Sachs threw in the towel and&nbsp;changed his position on AAPLfrom sell to neutral. Last week, he gave an interview to CNBC and further elaborated on his decision.</p><p><blockquote>即使在强劲的季度业绩之后，高盛著名的熊市罗德·霍尔 (bear Rod Hall) 仍因坚持对苹果股票的悲观情绪而成为人们关注的焦点，但他认输了，并将他对 AAPL 的立场从卖出改为中性。上周，他接受了 CNBC 的采访，并进一步阐述了他的决定。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Maven takes a closer look at this bear’s journey from highly skeptical to timidly optimistic about Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>这位苹果专家仔细研究了这位熊市对苹果股票从高度怀疑到胆怯乐观的历程。</blockquote></p><p> <b>iPhone at the center of the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熊壳中心的iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> At the core of Goldman Sachs’ sell rating on Apple stock was the Cupertino company's challenges at meeting iPhone sales growth metrics going forward. Rod Hall explained it:</p><p><blockquote>高盛给予苹果股票卖出评级的核心是这家库比蒂诺公司在未来实现 iPhone 销售增长指标方面面临的挑战。罗德·霍尔解释道：</blockquote></p><p>   “Apple continues to show strong execution, but we see fundamentals more likely to disappoint in 2021 as the long-anticipated 5G iPhone fails to meet optimistic consensus expectations and services revenue growth slows.”  To be fair, Apple’s most recent financial results had been far from exhilarating ahead of Goldman’s stock rating upgrade. The Cupertino company's main revenue generator, the iPhone, had produced timid results in 2020, making some wonder if smartphone sales would disappoint&nbsp;at the start of the 5G cycle.</p><p><blockquote>“苹果继续表现出强劲的执行力，但我们认为，由于期待已久的 5G iPhone 未能达到乐观的共识预期，服务收入增长放缓，2021 年的基本面更有可能令人失望。”平心而论，在高盛上调股票评级之前，苹果最近的财务业绩远非令人鼓舞。这家库比蒂诺公司的主要收入来源iPhone在2020年的业绩表现不佳，这让一些人怀疑智能手机销售是否会在5G周期开始时令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> The plateauing in smartphone sales preceded the pandemic year. Based on data from third party-research companies Gartner and Strategy Analytics, 187 million iPhones were sold in 2019, fewer than the 217 million of 2018. And from 2019 to 2020, there was an unprecedented decrease in iPhone revenues: from $142 billion to $138 billion last year.</p><p><blockquote>智能手机销量在疫情年之前就已趋于稳定。根据第三方研究公司Gartner和Strategy Analytics的数据，2019年iPhone的销量为1.87亿部，低于2018年的2.17亿部。而从2019年到2020年，iPhone的收入出现了前所未有的下降：从去年的1420亿美元降至1380亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, and based on recent trends, Rod Hall’s bearishness towards the iPhone seemed reasonably justifiable. What had been missing to tip Apple stock over, in the analyst’s view, was a negative catalyst. He believed that the COVID-19 pandemic could be it.</p><p><blockquote>因此，从最近的趋势来看，罗德-霍尔对 iPhone 的看跌似乎是有道理的。在这位分析师看来，苹果股市上涨所缺少的是一个负面催化剂。他认为新冠肺炎疫情可能就是它。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89631d8083d43e0daee7828d45e7a67a\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Figure 1: iPhone quarterly revenue ($bn).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：iPhone季度收入（十亿美元）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>When Goldman Sachs fell off the horse</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当高盛从马背上摔下来</b></blockquote></p><p> Goldman’s rating change on AAPL came in April, after&nbsp;the Cupertino company crushed expectations&nbsp;and released a blowout earnings report. Fiscal second quarter 2021 marked a turning point in iPhone 12 sales, after Apple faced delays&nbsp;in the launch of the new device.</p><p><blockquote>高盛在 4 月份改变了对 AAPL 的评级，此前这家库比蒂诺公司超出了预期，发布了一份井喷的财报。在苹果面临新设备推出延迟后，2021 财年第二财季标志着 iPhone 12 销售的转折点。</blockquote></p><p> Apple reported iPhone revenues of $47.9 billion versus Wall Street’s consensus $41.5 billion. Year-over-year, the top-line increase was a staggering $19 billion, representing growth of 65%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公布的 iPhone 营收为 479 亿美元，而华尔街普遍预期为 415 亿美元。与去年同期相比，营收增长了惊人的 190 亿美元，增长了 65%。</blockquote></p><p> These numbers probably caught Goldman’s Rod Hall flat-footed.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字可能让高盛的罗德-霍尔措手不及。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Goldman Sachs sees Apple going forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛如何看待苹果的未来</b></blockquote></p><p> According to Goldman, the neutral position on AAPL is justified by one key metric: revenues per user. The analyst believes that growth in this metric should be in line with U.S. GDP. He points out that Apple's revenues per user have remained static in recent years, only rising during the pandemic due to stay-at-home trends.</p><p><blockquote>高盛表示，对 AAPL 的中立立场有一个关键指标是合理的：每用户收入。该分析师认为，这一指标的增长应该与美国GDP保持一致。他指出，苹果的每用户收入近年来一直保持不变，只是在疫情期间由于居家趋势而有所上升。</blockquote></p><p> On the bullish side of the argument, Rod Hall sees the importance of privacy, and thinks that Apple could benefit from increased demand for being an advocate of user data protection. On the bearish side, the analyst remains skeptical that the services segment will grow as much as expected, and that only about 20% to 25% of active users will pay for Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>从乐观的角度来看，Rod Hall看到了隐私的重要性，并认为苹果可以从成为用户数据保护倡导者的日益增长的需求中受益。从悲观的角度来看，分析师仍然怀疑服务领域能否像预期那样增长，并且只有大约 20% 至 25% 的活跃用户会为苹果服务付费。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven's take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> Rod Hall has not been the first and will not be the last on Wall Street to be proven wrong on a stock rating. Goldman Sachs' position was contrarian, and bold for the same reason. Yet, the Apple Maven believes that Rod Hall’s cautious stance could still be a bit too conservative.</p><p><blockquote>罗德·霍尔并不是华尔街第一个也不会是最后一个在股票评级上被证明是错误的人。出于同样的原因，高盛的立场是逆向的，而且大胆。然而，这位苹果专家认为，罗德-霍尔的谨慎立场可能仍然有点过于保守。</blockquote></p><p> While stay-at-home trends may have distorted fiscal 2020 and early 2021 results, the 5G cycle, the M1 architecture, the expansion of the services portfolio and resilient consumer spending in general may still help to boost Apple's revenue-per-user metric – Goldman’s key concern.</p><p><blockquote>虽然居家办公的趋势可能会扭曲 2020 财年和 2021 年初的业绩，但 5G 周期、M1 架构、服务组合的扩张以及总体有弹性的消费者支出仍可能有助于提升苹果的每用户收入指标--高盛的主要关注点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/why-goldman-sachs-changed-its-mind-on-apple-stock\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/news/why-goldman-sachs-changed-its-mind-on-apple-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109582645","content_text":"After being on the spotlight for latching on to his pessimism over Apple stock, even following strong quarterly results, famed bear Rod Hall at Goldman Sachs threw in the towel and changed his position on AAPLfrom sell to neutral. Last week, he gave an interview to CNBC and further elaborated on his decision.\nThe Apple Maven takes a closer look at this bear’s journey from highly skeptical to timidly optimistic about Apple shares.\niPhone at the center of the bear case\nAt the core of Goldman Sachs’ sell rating on Apple stock was the Cupertino company's challenges at meeting iPhone sales growth metrics going forward. Rod Hall explained it:\n\n “Apple continues to show strong execution, but we see fundamentals more likely to disappoint in 2021 as the long-anticipated 5G iPhone fails to meet optimistic consensus expectations and services revenue growth slows.”\n\nTo be fair, Apple’s most recent financial results had been far from exhilarating ahead of Goldman’s stock rating upgrade. The Cupertino company's main revenue generator, the iPhone, had produced timid results in 2020, making some wonder if smartphone sales would disappoint at the start of the 5G cycle.\nThe plateauing in smartphone sales preceded the pandemic year. Based on data from third party-research companies Gartner and Strategy Analytics, 187 million iPhones were sold in 2019, fewer than the 217 million of 2018. And from 2019 to 2020, there was an unprecedented decrease in iPhone revenues: from $142 billion to $138 billion last year.\nTherefore, and based on recent trends, Rod Hall’s bearishness towards the iPhone seemed reasonably justifiable. What had been missing to tip Apple stock over, in the analyst’s view, was a negative catalyst. He believed that the COVID-19 pandemic could be it.\nFigure 1: iPhone quarterly revenue ($bn).\nWhen Goldman Sachs fell off the horse\nGoldman’s rating change on AAPL came in April, after the Cupertino company crushed expectations and released a blowout earnings report. Fiscal second quarter 2021 marked a turning point in iPhone 12 sales, after Apple faced delays in the launch of the new device.\nApple reported iPhone revenues of $47.9 billion versus Wall Street’s consensus $41.5 billion. Year-over-year, the top-line increase was a staggering $19 billion, representing growth of 65%.\nThese numbers probably caught Goldman’s Rod Hall flat-footed.\nHow Goldman Sachs sees Apple going forward\nAccording to Goldman, the neutral position on AAPL is justified by one key metric: revenues per user. The analyst believes that growth in this metric should be in line with U.S. GDP. He points out that Apple's revenues per user have remained static in recent years, only rising during the pandemic due to stay-at-home trends.\nOn the bullish side of the argument, Rod Hall sees the importance of privacy, and thinks that Apple could benefit from increased demand for being an advocate of user data protection. On the bearish side, the analyst remains skeptical that the services segment will grow as much as expected, and that only about 20% to 25% of active users will pay for Apple services.\nThe Apple Maven's take\nRod Hall has not been the first and will not be the last on Wall Street to be proven wrong on a stock rating. Goldman Sachs' position was contrarian, and bold for the same reason. Yet, the Apple Maven believes that Rod Hall’s cautious stance could still be a bit too conservative.\nWhile stay-at-home trends may have distorted fiscal 2020 and early 2021 results, the 5G cycle, the M1 architecture, the expansion of the services portfolio and resilient consumer spending in general may still help to boost Apple's revenue-per-user metric – Goldman’s key concern.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187471261,"gmtCreate":1623763468953,"gmtModify":1634028751135,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Battery swap powering NIO on","listText":"Battery swap powering NIO on","text":"Battery swap powering NIO on","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187471261","repostId":"1146386859","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184723863,"gmtCreate":1623726053352,"gmtModify":1634029495350,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Silver, oil and&nbsp;copper?","listText":"Silver, oil and&nbsp;copper?","text":"Silver, oil and copper?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184723863","repostId":"1126364171","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182814144,"gmtCreate":1623562383788,"gmtModify":1634031638456,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good article! Hit every head of the nails","listText":"Good article! Hit every head of the nails","text":"Good article! Hit every head of the nails","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182814144","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平，足以撼动股市，可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的相反。在此之前，我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%？好吧，期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯（Franziska Palmas）说：”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计，到今年年底，10年期国债收益率为2.25%，到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》（Predicting the Markets）一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司（Yardeni Research）负责人埃德-亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）说：”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测：”鉴于经济的表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应，从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”，这意味着标普500 SPX 指数（+0.19%）、道琼斯工业平均指数（+0.04%）和纳斯达克综合指数（+0.35%）等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时，要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生，以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌，或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的，有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多，从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，该指数的市盈率（P/E）将降至 18-19，接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说：”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取守势，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也受到利率上升的打击，这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方，”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说：”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品，尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%，是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说：”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车，然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说：”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此，不要持有债券，因为当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通 JPM（-0.07%）和美国银行 BAC（+0.41%）的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被骗了--通货膨胀是股市投资者的一大风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什 (Michael Brush) 就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足够高的水平，足以撼动股市，可能导致高达 15% 的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都将扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，将通货膨胀率推至5%的13年来新高。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的相反。在此之前，我们先来看看今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，10 年期国债收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% 升至 1.7%？好吧，期待重复。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“凯投宏观经济学家弗兰齐斯卡-帕尔马斯（Franziska Palmas）说：”我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。她的研究小组预计，到今年年底，10年期国债收益率为2.25%，到2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>这将比目前的 1.5% 水平有很大的进步。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Fed渐缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）淡化了央行缩减债券购买规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。联邦公开市场委员会是制定货币政策的美联储部门。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>“《预测市场》（Predicting the Markets）一书的作者、亚德尼研究公司（Yardeni Research）负责人埃德-亚德尼（Ed Yardeni）说：”在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔将越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得'实质性进一步进展'。鲍威尔曾多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得 “实质性进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼预测：”鉴于经济的表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。缩减规模是指美联储减少债券购买。这收紧了货币供应，从而抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会在股市中引发 “缩减规模狂潮”，这意味着标普500 SPX 指数（+0.19%）、道琼斯工业平均指数（+0.04%）和纳斯达克综合指数（+0.35%）等指数将大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑如何应对债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩可能导致的抛售时，要记住的关键是为什么这些事情会发生，以及历史告诉我们股票如何表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减收益率和不断上升的债券收益率会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌，或者充其量是横盘波动。但随后随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了困境并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩政策的发生是有充分理由的，有助于企业——强劲的经济增长。这将收益推高很多，从而将估值重置为较低的水平——回到投资者感到舒适的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>“Leuthold 市场策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）说：”缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，让市场走高。这是一个健康的发展”。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场烟火，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将把标普500的收益推至年底的220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，该指数的市盈率（P/E）将降至 18-19，接近或低于 1990 年以来的平均水平。“他说：”这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 不要采取“防御”策略</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的 “稳定”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取守势，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性的名字会带来收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也受到利率上升的打击，这会降低股息以及支付股息的股票和债券的价值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最好方法是将你的投资组合与过热的经济联系起来。这是利润增长和利润杠杆最好的地方，”保尔森说。“防守是得不到的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 选择受益于增长的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济快速增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着工业股、基础材料消费品、小盘股和国际股票等周期性股票。“保尔森说：”增长放缓的消费品和公用事业将跟不上市场的增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议 Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17% 和 Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在 2020 年 9 月和 2019 年 11 月温习股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。我仍然喜欢并拥有这两款产品，尽管它们分别上涨了 48% 和 157%，是标普500的两到四倍。最近的内部买入证实他们正在买入并持有当前水平附近。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。林德布拉德提供前往异国情调的专门邮轮探险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要出货</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购可能很有诱惑力。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握正确的时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“亚德尼说：”你必须做出两个明智的决定。“你必须在纠错前下车，然后再决定什么时候回来。我不知道有多少人能坚持这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器经常出局后再也进不来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“保尔森说：”试图避免更正可能会给自己带来麻烦。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到 2% 或更高。因此，不要持有债券，因为当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌--除非你只是打算持有到期以获得收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 理财</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着 10 年期国债的长期利率上升速度比短期利率快得多。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年 8 月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通 JPM（-0.07%）和美国银行 BAC（+0.41%）的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得拥有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1060,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181180175,"gmtCreate":1623378381897,"gmtModify":1634033989628,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181180175","repostId":"1193863762","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193863762","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623334800,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193863762?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193863762","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"(June 10) Semiconductor stocks rose in morning trading.\nRelated: Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer","content":"<p>(June 10)&nbsp;Semiconductor&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）半导体股早盘上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Related:&nbsp;Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer Says to Own Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>相关：半导体观察名单：吉姆·克莱默表示将拥有英伟达、AMD 和博通</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb703ee8165d2dc48c5550db47dfebc7\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates, the global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% thisyear to ~$527B.</p><p><blockquote>根据世界半导体贸易统计估计，全球半导体市场将从2020年的6.8%上升到今年的19.7%，达到约527B美元。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant growth contributors are Memory with 31.7%, followed by Sensors with 22.4% and, Analog with 21.7%. All other major product categories are also expected to show double-digit growth rates, except Optoelectronics with 9.8% and MOS Micro with 8.1%.</p><p><blockquote>增长最显著的贡献者是存储器，占31.7%，其次是传感器，占22.4%，模拟，占21.7%。除光电子9.8%和MOS微8.1%外，所有其他主要产品类别预计也将呈现两位数的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Asia Pacific (incl. China) is forecasted to show the most robust growth rate with 23.5%, followed by Europe with 21.1%, Japan 12.7%, and the Americas with 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，亚太地区（包括中国）预计将呈现最强劲的增长率，达到23.5%，其次是欧洲（21.1%）、日本（12.7%）和美洲（11.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category. All regions are expected again to show favorable growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>2022年，在存储器类别两位数增长的推动下，全球半导体市场预计将增长8.8%，达到5730亿美元。预计所有地区都将再次显示出有利的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Related stocks YTD returns: NXP Semiconductor(NASDAQ:NXPI)&nbsp;+24.7%, On Semiconducter(NASDAQ:ON)&nbsp;+14.85%, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)&nbsp;+14.4%,&nbsp; and, TSMC(NYSE:TSM)&nbsp;+6.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相关股票年初至今回报率：恩智浦半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：NXPI）+24.7%，安森美半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：ON）+14.85%，英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）+14.4%，台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）+6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> ETFs:SMH,SOXL,SOXX,XSD,USD,SOXS,PSI,FTXL,SSG.</p><p><blockquote>ETF：SMH、SOXL、SOXXX、XSD、USD、SOXS、PSI、FTXL、SSG。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 22:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 10)&nbsp;Semiconductor&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）半导体股早盘上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Related:&nbsp;Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer Says to Own Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>相关：半导体观察名单：吉姆·克莱默表示将拥有英伟达、AMD 和博通</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb703ee8165d2dc48c5550db47dfebc7\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates, the global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% thisyear to ~$527B.</p><p><blockquote>根据世界半导体贸易统计估计，全球半导体市场将从2020年的6.8%上升到今年的19.7%，达到约527B美元。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant growth contributors are Memory with 31.7%, followed by Sensors with 22.4% and, Analog with 21.7%. All other major product categories are also expected to show double-digit growth rates, except Optoelectronics with 9.8% and MOS Micro with 8.1%.</p><p><blockquote>增长最显著的贡献者是存储器，占31.7%，其次是传感器，占22.4%，模拟，占21.7%。除光电子9.8%和MOS微8.1%外，所有其他主要产品类别预计也将呈现两位数的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Asia Pacific (incl. China) is forecasted to show the most robust growth rate with 23.5%, followed by Europe with 21.1%, Japan 12.7%, and the Americas with 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，亚太地区（包括中国）预计将呈现最强劲的增长率，达到23.5%，其次是欧洲（21.1%）、日本（12.7%）和美洲（11.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category. All regions are expected again to show favorable growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>2022年，在存储器类别两位数增长的推动下，全球半导体市场预计将增长8.8%，达到5730亿美元。预计所有地区都将再次显示出有利的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Related stocks YTD returns: NXP Semiconductor(NASDAQ:NXPI)&nbsp;+24.7%, On Semiconducter(NASDAQ:ON)&nbsp;+14.85%, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)&nbsp;+14.4%,&nbsp; and, TSMC(NYSE:TSM)&nbsp;+6.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相关股票年初至今回报率：恩智浦半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：NXPI）+24.7%，安森美半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：ON）+14.85%，英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）+14.4%，台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）+6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> ETFs:SMH,SOXL,SOXX,XSD,USD,SOXS,PSI,FTXL,SSG.</p><p><blockquote>ETF：SMH、SOXL、SOXXX、XSD、USD、SOXS、PSI、FTXL、SSG。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3704878-global-semiconductor-annual-sales-projected-to-increase-about-20-percentage-in-2021-and-9-percentage-in-2022\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","ON":"安森美半导体","NXPI":"恩智浦","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3704878-global-semiconductor-annual-sales-projected-to-increase-about-20-percentage-in-2021-and-9-percentage-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193863762","content_text":"(June 10) Semiconductor stocks rose in morning trading.\nRelated: Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer Says to Own Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom\n\nAccording to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates, the global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% thisyear to ~$527B.\nThe most significant growth contributors are Memory with 31.7%, followed by Sensors with 22.4% and, Analog with 21.7%. All other major product categories are also expected to show double-digit growth rates, except Optoelectronics with 9.8% and MOS Micro with 8.1%.\nIn 2021, Asia Pacific (incl. China) is forecasted to show the most robust growth rate with 23.5%, followed by Europe with 21.1%, Japan 12.7%, and the Americas with 11.1%.\nFor 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category. All regions are expected again to show favorable growth rates.\nRelated stocks YTD returns: NXP Semiconductor(NASDAQ:NXPI) +24.7%, On Semiconducter(NASDAQ:ON) +14.85%, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) +14.4%,  and, TSMC(NYSE:TSM) +6.3%.\nETFs:SMH,SOXL,SOXX,XSD,USD,SOXS,PSI,FTXL,SSG.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ON":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"NXPI":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181114065,"gmtCreate":1623378271357,"gmtModify":1634033991017,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Seems bright","listText":"Seems bright","text":"Seems bright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181114065","repostId":"1127823989","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181118954,"gmtCreate":1623378102378,"gmtModify":1634033993795,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"This is so exciting!","listText":"This is so exciting!","text":"This is so exciting!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181118954","repostId":"1147547408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189494785,"gmtCreate":1623284368047,"gmtModify":1634035034588,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good leads","listText":"Good leads","text":"Good leads","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189494785","repostId":"1141925795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189495264,"gmtCreate":1623284328158,"gmtModify":1634035035788,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"If you smellllalalalalalalala… what the Rock…. issss cooookinggggggg 🤨","listText":"If you smellllalalalalalalala… what the Rock…. issss cooookinggggggg 🤨","text":"If you smellllalalalalalalala… what the Rock…. issss cooookinggggggg 🤨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189495264","repostId":"1145830147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":128382423,"gmtCreate":1624501995962,"gmtModify":1634005177788,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"How many Tesla cars in Tibet?","listText":"How many Tesla cars in Tibet?","text":"How many Tesla cars in Tibet?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128382423","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116595045,"gmtCreate":1622810002687,"gmtModify":1634097811001,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Give a like on my comment for the big AAPL tree","listText":"Give a like on my comment for the big AAPL tree","text":"Give a like on my comment for the big AAPL tree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116595045","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145958035,"gmtCreate":1626187217027,"gmtModify":1633929236713,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It’s raining meatballs!","listText":"It’s raining meatballs!","text":"It’s raining meatballs!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145958035","repostId":"2151561465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142625229,"gmtCreate":1626147701161,"gmtModify":1633929640155,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"So much faith in Tesla","listText":"So much faith in Tesla","text":"So much faith in Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142625229","repostId":"1126477651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126477651","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626143204,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126477651?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 10:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126477651","media":"investors","summary":"Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Si","content":"<p>Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Six ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch are Coinbase, DraftKings, Square, Teladoc Health, Tesla and Zoom Video.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 的 ARK Invest ETF 是 2020 年股市大幅上涨后最热门的基金之一。值得购买和关注的六只方舟投资股票是比特币基地、DraftKings、Square、Teladoc Health、特斯拉和Zoom Video。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK ETFs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟ETF</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARK Invest investment company's flagship fund is ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). The ARKK ETF focuses on companies that exhibit \"disruptive innovation,\" a technologically enabled new product or service that potentially changes the way the world works.</p><p><blockquote>方舟投资公司的旗舰基金是方舟创新ETF（ARKK）。ARKK ETF 专注于表现出“颠覆性创新”的公司，这是一种技术支持的新产品或服务，有可能改变世界的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK Innovation ETF surged more than 152% in 2020, handily beating the Nasdaq's hefty 43.6% return.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Innovation ETF 在 2020 年飙升超过 152%，轻松击败纳斯达克 43.6% 的高额回报率。</blockquote></p><p> Other ARK ETFs include Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics (ARKQ), Next Generation Internet (ARKW), Genomic Revolution (ARKG), Fintech Innovation (ARKF) and the recently debuted Space Exploration and Innovation (ARKX).</p><p><blockquote>其他 ARK ETF 包括自主技术与机器人 (ARKQ)、下一代互联网 (ARKW)、基因组革命 (ARKG)、金融科技创新 (ARKF) 以及最近推出的太空探索与创新 (ARKX)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How To Invest Like Cathie Wood: Focus On Game Changers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何像凯西·伍德一样投资：关注游戏规则改变者</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARKK fund's huge gain in 2020 resulted from big stock success stories in cutting-edge tech areas: DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage and blockchain technology.</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金在2020年的巨额利润来自尖端技术领域的巨大股票成功故事：DNA测序、机器人、人工智能、储能和区块链技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"Disruptive innovation is often not priced correctly by traditional investment strategies because people may not understand how big the ultimate opportunities are going to be. They aren't sizing the opportunity and they aren't analyzing the disruption,\" Wood, the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, commented on the company's website.</p><p><blockquote>“传统投资策略往往无法正确定价颠覆性创新，因为人们可能不了解最终的机会有多大。他们没有评估机会的规模，也没有分析颠覆性，”伍德，创始人兼首席执行官 ARK Invest 在该公司网站上评论道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资股票值得购买和关注</b></blockquote></p><p> Amid the current stock market uptrend — according to IBD's market outlook — investors should focus on buying top stocks breaking out past correct buy points.</p><p><blockquote>在当前股市上升趋势中——根据IBD的市场展望——投资者应该专注于购买突破正确买入点的顶级股票。</blockquote></p><p> ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch, and their tickers, include Coinbase Global (COIN), DraftKings (DKNG), Square (SQ), Tesla (TSLA), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Zoom Video (ZM).</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest 值得购买和关注的股票及其股票包括 Coinbase Global (COIN)、DraftKings (DKNG)、Square (SQ)、特斯拉 (TSLA)、Teladoc Health (TDOC) 和Zoom Video (ZM)。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2efd07a268f9aa66a2a2690cf2ee3ba\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Coinbase IPO</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地首次公开募股</b></blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase debuted on April 14, pricing at $250 a share. Coinbase stock closed its first day of trading 328.28, up 31.3%, for a valuation of $87.3 billion. Investors should wait for an IPO base to form before jumping into the hot IPO stock.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币交易所比特币基地于4月14日首次亮相，定价为每股250美元。Coinbase 股价首日收于 328.28 点，上涨 31.3%，估值为 873 亿美元。投资者应该等待 IPO 基础形成后再跳入热门 IPO 股票。</blockquote></p><p> The new stake in Coinbase represents another one of the Ark Invest stocks that offers more exposure to cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase 的新股份代表了 Ark Invest 的另一只股票，该股票提供了更多加密货币敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase fell 2.45% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>比特币基地周一下跌 2.45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings股票</b></blockquote></p><p> DraftKings is an online sports platform that allows users to play daily fantasy games and win cash prizes. The company is poised to take advantage of the expanding legalization of digital sports betting across the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings是一个在线体育平台，允许用户玩日常幻想游戏并赢得现金奖励。该公司准备利用美国数字体育博彩不断扩大的合法化。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings stock is above its 50-day moving average, but back above the long-term 200-day line. It could form a base once the stock can recover from its downtrend. There is no buy point at this time. Shares are about 31% off their 52-week high.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings 股价高于 50 日移动平均线，但回到长期 200 日线上方。一旦该股能够从下跌趋势中恢复过来，它可能会形成一个基础。此时没有买入点。股价较 52 周高点下跌约 31%。</blockquote></p><p> The sports-betting leader is one of the newest ARK Invest stocks. On March 8, ARK Invest disclosed a new position of 748,000 shares for the ARKK ETF.</p><p><blockquote>体育博彩领导者是最新的方舟投资股票之一。3月8日，ARK Invest披露了ARKK ETF的748,000股新头寸。</blockquote></p><p> DKNG stock rose 0.1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>DKNG 股票周一上涨 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Zoom Video is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with a cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video是现代企业视频通信领域的领导者，拥有一个跨移动、桌面和房间系统的视频和音频会议、聊天和网络研讨会云平台。</blockquote></p><p> On June 1, Zoom reported adjusted EPS of $1.32 on sales of $956.2 million, beating estimates. Earnings soared 560%, while sales rocketed 191% vs. the year-ago period.</p><p><blockquote>6 月 1 日，Zoom 公布调整后每股收益为 1.32 美元，销售额为 9.562 亿美元，超出预期。与去年同期相比，盈利飙升 560%，销售额飙升 191%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares lost 1.55% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>周一股价下跌 1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This Cathie Wood Stock Pick Nears A New Buy Point</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Cathie Wood 精选股票接近新的买入点</b></blockquote></p><p> Square is a digital payments and cryptocurrency leader. Recently, Square disclosed a new $170 million investment in Bitcoin on top of its $50 million purchase in October. Bitcoin represents 5% of total company assets.</p><p><blockquote>Square是数字支付和加密货币的领导者。最近，Square 披露了在 10 月份斥资 5000 万美元收购的基础上，又在比特币投资了 1.7 亿美元。比特币占公司总资产的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock is forming a consolidation with a 283.29 buy point. Shares are about 12% away from the buy point. Despite soaring more than 700% from the coronavirus bear market lows, SQ stock's base is still early stage.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股票正在形成盘整，买入点为 283.29。股价距离买入点约 12%。尽管从冠状病毒熊市低点飙升了 700% 以上，但 SQ 股票的基础仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> According to IBD Stock Checkup, Square stock shows a 97 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating helps investors easily measure the quality of a stock's fundamental and technical metrics.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查，Square 股票的 IBD 综合评级为 97 分（满分 99 分）。IBD 综合评级有助于投资者轻松衡量股票基本面和技术指标的质量。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock was up 0.6% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股价周一上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Tesla Is One Of The Top ARK Invest Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么特斯拉是方舟投资的顶级股票之一</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is one of the top ARK Invest stocks, with whopping 10% weighting in the ARKK ETF portfolio. In mid-January, ARK Invest unveiled its 2025 price target on Tesla stock of $3,000 a share.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票是 ARK 顶级投资股票之一，在 ARKK ETF 投资组合中的权重高达 10%。1 月中旬，ARK Invest 公布了特斯拉股票 2025 年目标股价为每股 3,000 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock surged 4.35% Monday. The EV giant is finding support around its key 50- and 200-day moving averages. A strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一飙升4.35%。这家电动汽车巨头正在其关键的 50 天和 200 天移动平均线附近寻找支撑。这些水平的强劲支撑将利好该股的前景。</blockquote></p><p> A new base could be forming, but the stock is far away from any new buy point. Shares reclaimed their 50-day line in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>新的基础可能正在形成，但该股距离任何新的买入点还很远。最近几周，股价收复了 50 日线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teladoc Health Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Teladoc 健康股票</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Teladoc Health provides on-demand health care services, such as nonemergency doctor's appointments, online. More doctors and patients are opting for telemedicine due to Covid-19. Teladoc is one of the biggest ARK Invest stocks, with an over-6% portfolio weighting in the ARKK portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health在线提供按需医疗保健服务，如非紧急医生预约。由于新冠肺炎，越来越多的医生和患者选择远程医疗。Teladoc 是最大的 ARK 投资股票之一，在 ARKK 投资组合中的投资组合权重超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> TDOC stock is trading nearly 50% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.65% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>TDOC 股价较 52 周高点下跌近 50%。周一股价下跌 1.65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch: 6 Stocks That Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs Own; Tesla Surges<blockquote>值得购买和关注的方舟投资股票：Cathie Wood 的方舟 ETF 拥有的 6 只股票；特斯拉激增</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 10:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Six ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch are Coinbase, DraftKings, Square, Teladoc Health, Tesla and Zoom Video.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 的 ARK Invest ETF 是 2020 年股市大幅上涨后最热门的基金之一。值得购买和关注的六只方舟投资股票是比特币基地、DraftKings、Square、Teladoc Health、特斯拉和Zoom Video。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK ETFs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟ETF</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARK Invest investment company's flagship fund is ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). The ARKK ETF focuses on companies that exhibit \"disruptive innovation,\" a technologically enabled new product or service that potentially changes the way the world works.</p><p><blockquote>方舟投资公司的旗舰基金是方舟创新ETF（ARKK）。ARKK ETF 专注于表现出“颠覆性创新”的公司，这是一种技术支持的新产品或服务，有可能改变世界的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK Innovation ETF surged more than 152% in 2020, handily beating the Nasdaq's hefty 43.6% return.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Innovation ETF 在 2020 年飙升超过 152%，轻松击败纳斯达克 43.6% 的高额回报率。</blockquote></p><p> Other ARK ETFs include Autonomous Technology &amp; Robotics (ARKQ), Next Generation Internet (ARKW), Genomic Revolution (ARKG), Fintech Innovation (ARKF) and the recently debuted Space Exploration and Innovation (ARKX).</p><p><blockquote>其他 ARK ETF 包括自主技术与机器人 (ARKQ)、下一代互联网 (ARKW)、基因组革命 (ARKG)、金融科技创新 (ARKF) 以及最近推出的太空探索与创新 (ARKX)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How To Invest Like Cathie Wood: Focus On Game Changers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何像凯西·伍德一样投资：关注游戏规则改变者</b></blockquote></p><p> The ARKK fund's huge gain in 2020 resulted from big stock success stories in cutting-edge tech areas: DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage and blockchain technology.</p><p><blockquote>ARKK基金在2020年的巨额利润来自尖端技术领域的巨大股票成功故事：DNA测序、机器人、人工智能、储能和区块链技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"Disruptive innovation is often not priced correctly by traditional investment strategies because people may not understand how big the ultimate opportunities are going to be. They aren't sizing the opportunity and they aren't analyzing the disruption,\" Wood, the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, commented on the company's website.</p><p><blockquote>“传统投资策略往往无法正确定价颠覆性创新，因为人们可能不了解最终的机会有多大。他们没有评估机会的规模，也没有分析颠覆性，”伍德，创始人兼首席执行官 ARK Invest 在该公司网站上评论道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch</b></p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资股票值得购买和关注</b></blockquote></p><p> Amid the current stock market uptrend — according to IBD's market outlook — investors should focus on buying top stocks breaking out past correct buy points.</p><p><blockquote>在当前股市上升趋势中——根据IBD的市场展望——投资者应该专注于购买突破正确买入点的顶级股票。</blockquote></p><p> ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch, and their tickers, include Coinbase Global (COIN), DraftKings (DKNG), Square (SQ), Tesla (TSLA), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Zoom Video (ZM).</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest 值得购买和关注的股票及其股票包括 Coinbase Global (COIN)、DraftKings (DKNG)、Square (SQ)、特斯拉 (TSLA)、Teladoc Health (TDOC) 和Zoom Video (ZM)。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2efd07a268f9aa66a2a2690cf2ee3ba\" tg-width=\"440\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Coinbase IPO</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地首次公开募股</b></blockquote></p><p> Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase debuted on April 14, pricing at $250 a share. Coinbase stock closed its first day of trading 328.28, up 31.3%, for a valuation of $87.3 billion. Investors should wait for an IPO base to form before jumping into the hot IPO stock.</p><p><blockquote>加密货币交易所比特币基地于4月14日首次亮相，定价为每股250美元。Coinbase 股价首日收于 328.28 点，上涨 31.3%，估值为 873 亿美元。投资者应该等待 IPO 基础形成后再跳入热门 IPO 股票。</blockquote></p><p> The new stake in Coinbase represents another one of the Ark Invest stocks that offers more exposure to cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase 的新股份代表了 Ark Invest 的另一只股票，该股票提供了更多加密货币敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase fell 2.45% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>比特币基地周一下跌 2.45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings股票</b></blockquote></p><p> DraftKings is an online sports platform that allows users to play daily fantasy games and win cash prizes. The company is poised to take advantage of the expanding legalization of digital sports betting across the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings是一个在线体育平台，允许用户玩日常幻想游戏并赢得现金奖励。该公司准备利用美国数字体育博彩不断扩大的合法化。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings stock is above its 50-day moving average, but back above the long-term 200-day line. It could form a base once the stock can recover from its downtrend. There is no buy point at this time. Shares are about 31% off their 52-week high.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings 股价高于 50 日移动平均线，但回到长期 200 日线上方。一旦该股能够从下跌趋势中恢复过来，它可能会形成一个基础。此时没有买入点。股价较 52 周高点下跌约 31%。</blockquote></p><p> The sports-betting leader is one of the newest ARK Invest stocks. On March 8, ARK Invest disclosed a new position of 748,000 shares for the ARKK ETF.</p><p><blockquote>体育博彩领导者是最新的方舟投资股票之一。3月8日，ARK Invest披露了ARKK ETF的748,000股新头寸。</blockquote></p><p> DKNG stock rose 0.1% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>DKNG 股票周一上涨 0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Zoom Video is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with a cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video是现代企业视频通信领域的领导者，拥有一个跨移动、桌面和房间系统的视频和音频会议、聊天和网络研讨会云平台。</blockquote></p><p> On June 1, Zoom reported adjusted EPS of $1.32 on sales of $956.2 million, beating estimates. Earnings soared 560%, while sales rocketed 191% vs. the year-ago period.</p><p><blockquote>6 月 1 日，Zoom 公布调整后每股收益为 1.32 美元，销售额为 9.562 亿美元，超出预期。与去年同期相比，盈利飙升 560%，销售额飙升 191%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares lost 1.55% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>周一股价下跌 1.55%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This Cathie Wood Stock Pick Nears A New Buy Point</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Cathie Wood 精选股票接近新的买入点</b></blockquote></p><p> Square is a digital payments and cryptocurrency leader. Recently, Square disclosed a new $170 million investment in Bitcoin on top of its $50 million purchase in October. Bitcoin represents 5% of total company assets.</p><p><blockquote>Square是数字支付和加密货币的领导者。最近，Square 披露了在 10 月份斥资 5000 万美元收购的基础上，又在比特币投资了 1.7 亿美元。比特币占公司总资产的5%。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock is forming a consolidation with a 283.29 buy point. Shares are about 12% away from the buy point. Despite soaring more than 700% from the coronavirus bear market lows, SQ stock's base is still early stage.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股票正在形成盘整，买入点为 283.29。股价距离买入点约 12%。尽管从冠状病毒熊市低点飙升了 700% 以上，但 SQ 股票的基础仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> According to IBD Stock Checkup, Square stock shows a 97 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating helps investors easily measure the quality of a stock's fundamental and technical metrics.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD 股票检查，Square 股票的 IBD 综合评级为 97 分（满分 99 分）。IBD 综合评级有助于投资者轻松衡量股票基本面和技术指标的质量。</blockquote></p><p> Square stock was up 0.6% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>Square 股价周一上涨 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Tesla Is One Of The Top ARK Invest Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么特斯拉是方舟投资的顶级股票之一</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is one of the top ARK Invest stocks, with whopping 10% weighting in the ARKK ETF portfolio. In mid-January, ARK Invest unveiled its 2025 price target on Tesla stock of $3,000 a share.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票是 ARK 顶级投资股票之一，在 ARKK ETF 投资组合中的权重高达 10%。1 月中旬，ARK Invest 公布了特斯拉股票 2025 年目标股价为每股 3,000 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock surged 4.35% Monday. The EV giant is finding support around its key 50- and 200-day moving averages. A strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一飙升4.35%。这家电动汽车巨头正在其关键的 50 天和 200 天移动平均线附近寻找支撑。这些水平的强劲支撑将利好该股的前景。</blockquote></p><p> A new base could be forming, but the stock is far away from any new buy point. Shares reclaimed their 50-day line in recent weeks.</p><p><blockquote>新的基础可能正在形成，但该股距离任何新的买入点还很远。最近几周，股价收复了 50 日线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teladoc Health Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Teladoc 健康股票</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Teladoc Health provides on-demand health care services, such as nonemergency doctor's appointments, online. More doctors and patients are opting for telemedicine due to Covid-19. Teladoc is one of the biggest ARK Invest stocks, with an over-6% portfolio weighting in the ARKK portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>Teladoc Health在线提供按需医疗保健服务，如非紧急医生预约。由于新冠肺炎，越来越多的医生和患者选择远程医疗。Teladoc 是最大的 ARK 投资股票之一，在 ARKK 投资组合中的投资组合权重超过 6%。</blockquote></p><p> TDOC stock is trading nearly 50% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.65% Monday.</p><p><blockquote>TDOC 股价较 52 周高点下跌近 50%。周一股价下跌 1.65%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/research/ark-invest-stocks/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKX":"ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internet ETF","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/research/ark-invest-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126477651","content_text":"Cathie Wood's ARK Invest ETFs are some of the hottest funds after 2020's huge stock market gains. Six ARK Invest stocks to buy and watch are Coinbase, DraftKings, Square, Teladoc Health, Tesla and Zoom Video.\nARK ETFs\nThe ARK Invest investment company's flagship fund is ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK). The ARKK ETF focuses on companies that exhibit \"disruptive innovation,\" a technologically enabled new product or service that potentially changes the way the world works.\nThe ARK Innovation ETF surged more than 152% in 2020, handily beating the Nasdaq's hefty 43.6% return.\nOther ARK ETFs include Autonomous Technology & Robotics (ARKQ), Next Generation Internet (ARKW), Genomic Revolution (ARKG), Fintech Innovation (ARKF) and the recently debuted Space Exploration and Innovation (ARKX).\nHow To Invest Like Cathie Wood: Focus On Game Changers\nThe ARKK fund's huge gain in 2020 resulted from big stock success stories in cutting-edge tech areas: DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage and blockchain technology.\n\"Disruptive innovation is often not priced correctly by traditional investment strategies because people may not understand how big the ultimate opportunities are going to be. They aren't sizing the opportunity and they aren't analyzing the disruption,\" Wood, the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, commented on the company's website.\nARK Invest Stocks To Buy And Watch\nAmid the current stock market uptrend — according to IBD's market outlook — investors should focus on buying top stocks breaking out past correct buy points.\nARK Invest stocks to buy and watch, and their tickers, include Coinbase Global (COIN), DraftKings (DKNG), Square (SQ), Tesla (TSLA), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Zoom Video (ZM).\n\nCoinbase IPO\nCryptocurrency exchange Coinbase debuted on April 14, pricing at $250 a share. Coinbase stock closed its first day of trading 328.28, up 31.3%, for a valuation of $87.3 billion. Investors should wait for an IPO base to form before jumping into the hot IPO stock.\nThe new stake in Coinbase represents another one of the Ark Invest stocks that offers more exposure to cryptocurrencies.\nCoinbase fell 2.45% Monday.\nDraftKings Stock\nDraftKings is an online sports platform that allows users to play daily fantasy games and win cash prizes. The company is poised to take advantage of the expanding legalization of digital sports betting across the U.S.\nDraftKings stock is above its 50-day moving average, but back above the long-term 200-day line. It could form a base once the stock can recover from its downtrend. There is no buy point at this time. Shares are about 31% off their 52-week high.\nThe sports-betting leader is one of the newest ARK Invest stocks. On March 8, ARK Invest disclosed a new position of 748,000 shares for the ARKK ETF.\nDKNG stock rose 0.1% Monday.\nZoom Video Stock\nZoom Video is the leader in modern enterprise video communications, with a cloud platform for video and audio conferencing, chat, and webinars across mobile, desktop, and room systems.\nOn June 1, Zoom reported adjusted EPS of $1.32 on sales of $956.2 million, beating estimates. Earnings soared 560%, while sales rocketed 191% vs. the year-ago period.\nShares lost 1.55% Monday.\nThis Cathie Wood Stock Pick Nears A New Buy Point\nSquare is a digital payments and cryptocurrency leader. Recently, Square disclosed a new $170 million investment in Bitcoin on top of its $50 million purchase in October. Bitcoin represents 5% of total company assets.\nSquare stock is forming a consolidation with a 283.29 buy point. Shares are about 12% away from the buy point. Despite soaring more than 700% from the coronavirus bear market lows, SQ stock's base is still early stage.\nAccording to IBD Stock Checkup, Square stock shows a 97 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating. The IBD Composite Rating helps investors easily measure the quality of a stock's fundamental and technical metrics.\nSquare stock was up 0.6% Monday.\nWhy Tesla Is One Of The Top ARK Invest Stocks\nTesla stock is one of the top ARK Invest stocks, with whopping 10% weighting in the ARKK ETF portfolio. In mid-January, ARK Invest unveiled its 2025 price target on Tesla stock of $3,000 a share.\nTesla stock surged 4.35% Monday. The EV giant is finding support around its key 50- and 200-day moving averages. A strong show of support at these levels would be bullish for the stock's prospects.\nA new base could be forming, but the stock is far away from any new buy point. Shares reclaimed their 50-day line in recent weeks.\nTeladoc Health Stock\nTeladoc Health provides on-demand health care services, such as nonemergency doctor's appointments, online. More doctors and patients are opting for telemedicine due to Covid-19. Teladoc is one of the biggest ARK Invest stocks, with an over-6% portfolio weighting in the ARKK portfolio.\nTDOC stock is trading nearly 50% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.65% Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKG":0.9,"ARKX":0.9,"ARKW":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153568606,"gmtCreate":1625035908305,"gmtModify":1633945580608,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What goes up, must come down 📈📉","listText":"What goes up, must come down 📈📉","text":"What goes up, must come down 📈📉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153568606","repostId":"1153724402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153724402","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625034985,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153724402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 14:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153724402","media":"Barrons","summary":"Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now invest","content":"<p>Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now investors are signaling weak confidence in stocks from here.</p><p><blockquote>许多策略师预计今年剩余时间股市不会大幅上涨。现在投资者从这里发出对股市信心薄弱的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Strategists do expect a weak market for the coming quarters. Their average price target on the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is a touch above $4,150, according to&nbsp;Citigroup&nbsp;data. That’s a roughly 3% drop from the index’s current level. Even the more-bullish strategists aren’t exactly giving a vote of confidence to the market;Jefferies recently raised its price target on the index to $4,350, which represents a mere gain of about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>策略师确实预计未来几个季度市场疲软。根据花旗集团的数据，他们对标普500指数的平均目标价略高于 4,150 美元。这比该指数目前的水平下降了约 3%。即使是比较乐观的策略师也没有对市场投下信任票；杰富瑞最近将该指数的目标价上调至 4,350 美元，仅上涨约 1%。</blockquote></p><p> But what’s more worrisome is that investors—the people who actually buy and sell shares, and move the market—are also now pessimistic on stocks. Citi’s survey of almost 70 institutional funds shows that on average money managers see the S&amp;P 500 price target falling to $4,269 by the end of this year. That’s a 0.6% drop from here. Just over a quarter of survey respondents said the top two risks are inflation, and a Federal Reserve policy mistake. Less than 10% of participants said the biggest risks lie elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>但更令人担忧的是，投资者--实际买卖股票、推动市场的人--现在也对股票持悲观态度。花旗对近 70 家机构基金的调查显示，平均而言，基金经理预计到今年年底，标普500的目标股价将降至 4269 美元。这比这里下降了 0.6%。略高于四分之一的受访者表示，两大风险是通货膨胀和美联储政策失误。不到10%的参与者表示最大的风险在于其他地方。</blockquote></p><p> That finding is consistent with recent market behavior and commentary. If&nbsp;recent inflation&nbsp;is persistent enough, it&nbsp;could wipe off more than 15% from the S&amp;P 500, as higher inflation erodes the value of future profits. If the Fed, in response, hikes interest rates too quickly, it could dent growth—and recently the stocks that are most sensitive to the perceived health of the economy&nbsp;have underperformed.</p><p><blockquote>这一发现与最近的市场行为和评论一致。如果最近的通胀足够持续，它可能会从标普500中抹去 15% 以上，因为更高的通胀会侵蚀未来利润的价值。如果美联储作为回应过快加息，可能会削弱经济增长——最近对经济健康状况最敏感的股票表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> One point of optimism, though, is that the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 hit several new highs this week, indicating that it still has more juice. To be sure,technical analysis shows the index could rise at least 3%&nbsp;from here—and maybe it can. Stocks could conceivably keep rising in the short-term.</p><p><blockquote>不过，乐观的一点是，标普500本周创下了几个新高，表明它仍然有更多的活力。可以肯定的是， 技术分析表明该指数可能会从这里上涨至少 3%——也许确实如此。可以想象，短期内股市可能会继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But investors are nervous about looming risks that could bring stocks down by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者对迫在眉睫的风险感到紧张，这些风险可能会导致股市在年底前下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors Are Turning Bearish on S&P 500 Stocks<blockquote>投资者开始看跌标普500股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 14:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now investors are signaling weak confidence in stocks from here.</p><p><blockquote>许多策略师预计今年剩余时间股市不会大幅上涨。现在投资者从这里发出对股市信心薄弱的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Strategists do expect a weak market for the coming quarters. Their average price target on the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;is a touch above $4,150, according to&nbsp;Citigroup&nbsp;data. That’s a roughly 3% drop from the index’s current level. Even the more-bullish strategists aren’t exactly giving a vote of confidence to the market;Jefferies recently raised its price target on the index to $4,350, which represents a mere gain of about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>策略师确实预计未来几个季度市场疲软。根据花旗集团的数据，他们对标普500指数的平均目标价略高于 4,150 美元。这比该指数目前的水平下降了约 3%。即使是比较乐观的策略师也没有对市场投下信任票；杰富瑞最近将该指数的目标价上调至 4,350 美元，仅上涨约 1%。</blockquote></p><p> But what’s more worrisome is that investors—the people who actually buy and sell shares, and move the market—are also now pessimistic on stocks. Citi’s survey of almost 70 institutional funds shows that on average money managers see the S&amp;P 500 price target falling to $4,269 by the end of this year. That’s a 0.6% drop from here. Just over a quarter of survey respondents said the top two risks are inflation, and a Federal Reserve policy mistake. Less than 10% of participants said the biggest risks lie elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>但更令人担忧的是，投资者--实际买卖股票、推动市场的人--现在也对股票持悲观态度。花旗对近 70 家机构基金的调查显示，平均而言，基金经理预计到今年年底，标普500的目标股价将降至 4269 美元。这比这里下降了 0.6%。略高于四分之一的受访者表示，两大风险是通货膨胀和美联储政策失误。不到10%的参与者表示最大的风险在于其他地方。</blockquote></p><p> That finding is consistent with recent market behavior and commentary. If&nbsp;recent inflation&nbsp;is persistent enough, it&nbsp;could wipe off more than 15% from the S&amp;P 500, as higher inflation erodes the value of future profits. If the Fed, in response, hikes interest rates too quickly, it could dent growth—and recently the stocks that are most sensitive to the perceived health of the economy&nbsp;have underperformed.</p><p><blockquote>这一发现与最近的市场行为和评论一致。如果最近的通胀足够持续，它可能会从标普500中抹去 15% 以上，因为更高的通胀会侵蚀未来利润的价值。如果美联储作为回应过快加息，可能会削弱经济增长——最近对经济健康状况最敏感的股票表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> One point of optimism, though, is that the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 hit several new highs this week, indicating that it still has more juice. To be sure,technical analysis shows the index could rise at least 3%&nbsp;from here—and maybe it can. Stocks could conceivably keep rising in the short-term.</p><p><blockquote>不过，乐观的一点是，标普500本周创下了几个新高，表明它仍然有更多的活力。可以肯定的是， 技术分析表明该指数可能会从这里上涨至少 3%——也许确实如此。可以想象，短期内股市可能会继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But investors are nervous about looming risks that could bring stocks down by year-end.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者对迫在眉睫的风险感到紧张，这些风险可能会导致股市在年底前下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/investors-turning-bearish-on-s-p-500-stocks-51625002300?mod=hp_LEAD_3_B_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/investors-turning-bearish-on-s-p-500-stocks-51625002300?mod=hp_LEAD_3_B_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153724402","content_text":"Many strategists haven’t expected big gains in the stock market for the rest of the year. Now investors are signaling weak confidence in stocks from here.\nStrategists do expect a weak market for the coming quarters. Their average price target on the S&P 500 index is a touch above $4,150, according to Citigroup data. That’s a roughly 3% drop from the index’s current level. Even the more-bullish strategists aren’t exactly giving a vote of confidence to the market;Jefferies recently raised its price target on the index to $4,350, which represents a mere gain of about 1%.\nBut what’s more worrisome is that investors—the people who actually buy and sell shares, and move the market—are also now pessimistic on stocks. Citi’s survey of almost 70 institutional funds shows that on average money managers see the S&P 500 price target falling to $4,269 by the end of this year. That’s a 0.6% drop from here. Just over a quarter of survey respondents said the top two risks are inflation, and a Federal Reserve policy mistake. Less than 10% of participants said the biggest risks lie elsewhere.\nThat finding is consistent with recent market behavior and commentary. If recent inflation is persistent enough, it could wipe off more than 15% from the S&P 500, as higher inflation erodes the value of future profits. If the Fed, in response, hikes interest rates too quickly, it could dent growth—and recently the stocks that are most sensitive to the perceived health of the economy have underperformed.\nOne point of optimism, though, is that the S&P 500 hit several new highs this week, indicating that it still has more juice. To be sure,technical analysis shows the index could rise at least 3% from here—and maybe it can. Stocks could conceivably keep rising in the short-term.\nBut investors are nervous about looming risks that could bring stocks down by year-end.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125711491,"gmtCreate":1624693080013,"gmtModify":1633949491523,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]&nbsp;","listText":"“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]&nbsp;","text":"“Musk tweeting, again” [LOL]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125711491","repostId":"1100072036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181180175,"gmtCreate":1623378381897,"gmtModify":1634033989628,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181180175","repostId":"1193863762","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193863762","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623334800,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193863762?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 22:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Global Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193863762","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"(June 10) Semiconductor stocks rose in morning trading.\nRelated: Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer","content":"<p>(June 10)&nbsp;Semiconductor&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）半导体股早盘上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Related:&nbsp;Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer Says to Own Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>相关：半导体观察名单：吉姆·克莱默表示将拥有英伟达、AMD 和博通</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb703ee8165d2dc48c5550db47dfebc7\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates, the global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% thisyear to ~$527B.</p><p><blockquote>根据世界半导体贸易统计估计，全球半导体市场将从2020年的6.8%上升到今年的19.7%，达到约527B美元。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant growth contributors are Memory with 31.7%, followed by Sensors with 22.4% and, Analog with 21.7%. All other major product categories are also expected to show double-digit growth rates, except Optoelectronics with 9.8% and MOS Micro with 8.1%.</p><p><blockquote>增长最显著的贡献者是存储器，占31.7%，其次是传感器，占22.4%，模拟，占21.7%。除光电子9.8%和MOS微8.1%外，所有其他主要产品类别预计也将呈现两位数的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Asia Pacific (incl. China) is forecasted to show the most robust growth rate with 23.5%, followed by Europe with 21.1%, Japan 12.7%, and the Americas with 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，亚太地区（包括中国）预计将呈现最强劲的增长率，达到23.5%，其次是欧洲（21.1%）、日本（12.7%）和美洲（11.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category. All regions are expected again to show favorable growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>2022年，在存储器类别两位数增长的推动下，全球半导体市场预计将增长8.8%，达到5730亿美元。预计所有地区都将再次显示出有利的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Related stocks YTD returns: NXP Semiconductor(NASDAQ:NXPI)&nbsp;+24.7%, On Semiconducter(NASDAQ:ON)&nbsp;+14.85%, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)&nbsp;+14.4%,&nbsp; and, TSMC(NYSE:TSM)&nbsp;+6.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相关股票年初至今回报率：恩智浦半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：NXPI）+24.7%，安森美半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：ON）+14.85%，英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）+14.4%，台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）+6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> ETFs:SMH,SOXL,SOXX,XSD,USD,SOXS,PSI,FTXL,SSG.</p><p><blockquote>ETF：SMH、SOXL、SOXXX、XSD、USD、SOXS、PSI、FTXL、SSG。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal Semiconductor annual sales projected to increase 19.7% in 2021, 8.8% in 2022<blockquote>2021年全球半导体年销售额预计增长19.7%，2022年增长8.8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 22:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 10)&nbsp;Semiconductor&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月10日）半导体股早盘上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Related:&nbsp;Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer Says to Own Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1163875762\" target=\"_blank\"><b>相关：半导体观察名单：吉姆·克莱默表示将拥有英伟达、AMD 和博通</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb703ee8165d2dc48c5550db47dfebc7\" tg-width=\"303\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> According to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates, the global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% thisyear to ~$527B.</p><p><blockquote>根据世界半导体贸易统计估计，全球半导体市场将从2020年的6.8%上升到今年的19.7%，达到约527B美元。</blockquote></p><p> The most significant growth contributors are Memory with 31.7%, followed by Sensors with 22.4% and, Analog with 21.7%. All other major product categories are also expected to show double-digit growth rates, except Optoelectronics with 9.8% and MOS Micro with 8.1%.</p><p><blockquote>增长最显著的贡献者是存储器，占31.7%，其次是传感器，占22.4%，模拟，占21.7%。除光电子9.8%和MOS微8.1%外，所有其他主要产品类别预计也将呈现两位数的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> In 2021, Asia Pacific (incl. China) is forecasted to show the most robust growth rate with 23.5%, followed by Europe with 21.1%, Japan 12.7%, and the Americas with 11.1%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年，亚太地区（包括中国）预计将呈现最强劲的增长率，达到23.5%，其次是欧洲（21.1%）、日本（12.7%）和美洲（11.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> For 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category. All regions are expected again to show favorable growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>2022年，在存储器类别两位数增长的推动下，全球半导体市场预计将增长8.8%，达到5730亿美元。预计所有地区都将再次显示出有利的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Related stocks YTD returns: NXP Semiconductor(NASDAQ:NXPI)&nbsp;+24.7%, On Semiconducter(NASDAQ:ON)&nbsp;+14.85%, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)&nbsp;+14.4%,&nbsp; and, TSMC(NYSE:TSM)&nbsp;+6.3%.</p><p><blockquote>相关股票年初至今回报率：恩智浦半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：NXPI）+24.7%，安森美半导体（纳斯达克股票代码：ON）+14.85%，英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）+14.4%，台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）+6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> ETFs:SMH,SOXL,SOXX,XSD,USD,SOXS,PSI,FTXL,SSG.</p><p><blockquote>ETF：SMH、SOXL、SOXXX、XSD、USD、SOXS、PSI、FTXL、SSG。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3704878-global-semiconductor-annual-sales-projected-to-increase-about-20-percentage-in-2021-and-9-percentage-in-2022\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","ON":"安森美半导体","NXPI":"恩智浦","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3704878-global-semiconductor-annual-sales-projected-to-increase-about-20-percentage-in-2021-and-9-percentage-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193863762","content_text":"(June 10) Semiconductor stocks rose in morning trading.\nRelated: Semiconductor Watchlist: Jim Cramer Says to Own Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom\n\nAccording to World Semiconductor Trade Statistics estimates, the global semiconductor market will rise from 6.8% in 2020 to 19.7% thisyear to ~$527B.\nThe most significant growth contributors are Memory with 31.7%, followed by Sensors with 22.4% and, Analog with 21.7%. All other major product categories are also expected to show double-digit growth rates, except Optoelectronics with 9.8% and MOS Micro with 8.1%.\nIn 2021, Asia Pacific (incl. China) is forecasted to show the most robust growth rate with 23.5%, followed by Europe with 21.1%, Japan 12.7%, and the Americas with 11.1%.\nFor 2022, the global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 8.8% to $573B, driven by double-digit growth of the Memory category. All regions are expected again to show favorable growth rates.\nRelated stocks YTD returns: NXP Semiconductor(NASDAQ:NXPI) +24.7%, On Semiconducter(NASDAQ:ON) +14.85%, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) +14.4%,  and, TSMC(NYSE:TSM) +6.3%.\nETFs:SMH,SOXL,SOXX,XSD,USD,SOXS,PSI,FTXL,SSG.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ON":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"NXPI":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189493320,"gmtCreate":1623284135560,"gmtModify":1634035040971,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More see-saws to come&nbsp;during reflation","listText":"More see-saws to come&nbsp;during reflation","text":"More see-saws to come during reflation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189493320","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AEMD":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153569944,"gmtCreate":1625035676288,"gmtModify":1633945583540,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Back to the big boys of automobiles","listText":"Back to the big boys of automobiles","text":"Back to the big boys of automobiles","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153569944","repostId":"2147558864","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2147558864","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1625035341,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2147558864?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2147558864","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.\n","content":"<p>Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车、通用汽车和其他三家汽车制造商跻身瑞士银行瑞银最喜欢的电动汽车股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c016bc1ae9557413b5f6cc887e878cfe\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"797\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Tesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, remains the undisputed leader in electric-vehicles, but faces growing pressure on multiple fronts, UBS said.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞银表示，由首席执行官埃隆·马斯克领导的特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域无可争议的领导者，但在多个方面面临着越来越大的压力。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla remains the world-leader in electric-vehicles but is under increasing pressure in China, with better opportunities emerging among other automakers for investors keen to play the growing trend, UBS said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银周二表示，特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域的全球领导者，但在中国面临越来越大的压力，其他汽车制造商为热衷于把握增长趋势的投资者提供了更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at the Swiss bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(UBS)$</a> cut their price target on Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> stock by 10%, from $730 to $660, citing pressure in China, as well as delays to Tesla's self-driving product and launch of the Model Y in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士银行分析师<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(瑞银)$</a>下调特斯拉目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(特斯拉)$</a>股价下跌 10%，从 730 美元涨至 660 美元，原因是中国的压力，以及特斯拉自动驾驶产品和 Model Y 在欧洲推出的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our key concern shorter-term is that Tesla's demand momentum in China is slowing, and our checks on the ground suggest that BEVs [Battery Electric Vehicles] from domestic brands are gaining further ground vs. Tesla, which may trigger additional pricing action by Tesla and consequently lower gross margins,\" analyst Patrick Hummel said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们短期内的主要担忧是特斯拉在华的需求势头正在放缓，我们的实地检查表明，国产品牌的纯电动汽车（纯电动汽车）相对于特斯拉正在进一步取得进展，这可能会引发特斯拉的额外定价行动，从而降低毛利率，”分析师 Patrick Hummel 表示。</blockquote></p><p> \"The EV launches from competitors with high range, charging performance and attractive value-for-money, could continue to weigh on the value the market is willing to assign to Tesla's long-term growth,\" Hummel added.</p><p><blockquote>胡梅尔补充道：“竞争对手推出的电动汽车具有高续航里程、充电性能和有吸引力的性价比，可能会继续影响市场愿意赋予特斯拉长期增长的价值。”</blockquote></p><p> In China, the pioneering electric-vehicle company led by Elon Musk faces stiff competition from domestic manufacturers like NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, BYD , and XPeng <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>, which all show strong positive momentum, UBS said.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，由埃隆·马斯克领导的电动汽车先驱公司面临着来自蔚来等国内制造商的激烈竞争<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(蔚来)$</a>、比亚迪和小鹏<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>瑞银表示，所有这些都显示出强劲的积极势头。</blockquote></p><p> Now that most of the major automakers have decided to go all-in on electric-vehicles, with ambitious targets for new product lines a recurring theme among the world's largest car companies, UBS identifies four factors likely to drive outperformance in auto stocks.</p><p><blockquote>现在，大多数主要汽车制造商都决定全力发展电动汽车，新产品线的雄心勃勃的目标成为全球最大汽车公司反复出现的主题，瑞银确定了可能推动汽车股表现优异的四个因素。</blockquote></p><p> They are: a strong EV sales curve, a crystallized portfolio value, excellent regional and segmental exposure, and an ability to pass on higher commodity prices.</p><p><blockquote>它们是：强劲的电动汽车销售曲线、具体化的投资组合价值、出色的区域和细分市场敞口，以及转嫁更高大宗商品价格的能力。</blockquote></p><p> Using these factors, the analysts at UBS found that Volkswagen XE:VOW (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CXE%3AVOW;onlineSignificance=prominent), the EV leader in Europe and Tesla's fiercest competitor scored best.</p><p><blockquote>利用这些因素，瑞银分析师发现欧洲电动汽车领导者和特斯拉最激烈的竞争对手大众汽车 XE:VOW（#phrase-company?ref=company%7CXE%3AVOW；onlineSignificance=prominent）得分最高。</blockquote></p><p> UBS raised its target price for GM stock--which it rates a buy--to $79 from $75, with the target price for Volkswagen being EUR300 ($357). GM stock is currently trading around $59, while shares in Volkswagen were trading for more than EUR216--implying that both companies could provide attractive returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银将通用汽车股票的目标价（评级为买入）从 75 美元上调至 79 美元，大众汽车的目标价为 300 欧元（357 美元）。通用汽车的股价目前约为 59 美元，而大众汽车的股价则超过 216 欧元，这意味着两家公司都可以为投资者提供有吸引力的回报。</blockquote></p><p> South Korea's Hyundai is another company that could emerge as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the best re-rating stories as the market comes to realize the value of its assets, UBS said. France's Renault and China's Li Auto <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(LI)$</a> rounded out the list of UBS' five most-favoured EV stocks. The bank also raised its target price on Ford <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>, which it rates neutral, to $16 from $13.</p><p><blockquote>韩国现代汽车是另一家可能成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>瑞银表示，随着市场意识到其资产价值，这是最好的重新评级故事之一。法国雷诺和中国理想汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(李)$</a>完成了瑞银最受欢迎的五只电动汽车股票名单。该银行还提高了福特的目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F) $</a>将其评级为中性，从 13 美元上调至 16 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The team at UBS took a hard look at the industry landscape in the wake of its latest electric-vehicle consumer survey, involving more than 11,000 participants in the world's largest EV markets. The results show that \"EV mass adoption is an unstoppable trend with rapidly accelerating momentum,\" the team concluded, with 43% of consumers likely to consider buying a fully-electric car--up from 37% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银团队在最新的电动汽车消费者调查中仔细审视了行业格局，该调查涉及全球最大电动汽车市场的 11,000 多名参与者。该团队总结道，结果显示“电动汽车的大规模采用是一个不可阻挡的趋势，而且势头正在迅速加速”，43% 的消费者可能会考虑购买全电动汽车，高于一年前的 37%。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time, fully-electric vehicles are preferred over plug-in hybrids, with keenness for EVs accelerating fastest among American consumers, UBS said. In the wake of the survey, UBS raised its sales forecast for China to 2.5 million EVs in 2021, up from 1.9 million, with a view that EVs will make up 20% of the car market globally by 2025 and 50% by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银表示，全电动汽车首次比插电式混合动力汽车更受欢迎，美国消费者对电动汽车的热情增长最快。调查结束后，瑞银将2021年中国电动汽车销量预测从190万辆上调至250万辆，预计到2025年电动汽车将占全球汽车市场的20%，到2030年将占50%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still the \"undisputed leader\" in UBS' books. The recent consumer survey was \"solid across the board for Tesla,\" Hummel said, though \"momentum in the quarters ahead is likely more in favor of competitors with a busier launch pipeline.\" In conclusion: Tesla's lead is shrinking, and investors would be well advised to seek out other opportunities for high-growth plays.</p><p><blockquote>在瑞银的账面上，特斯拉仍然是“无可争议的领导者”。胡梅尔表示，最近的消费者调查“对特斯拉来说全面稳健”，尽管“未来几个季度的势头可能更有利于拥有更繁忙上市渠道的竞争对手”。总之：特斯拉的领先优势正在缩小，建议投资者寻找其他高增长机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla is under pressure from Nio, but these are the best EV investments right now, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，特斯拉面临来自蔚来的压力，但这些是目前最好的电动汽车投资</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 14:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车、通用汽车和其他三家汽车制造商跻身瑞士银行瑞银最喜欢的电动汽车股票名单。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c016bc1ae9557413b5f6cc887e878cfe\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"797\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Tesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, remains the undisputed leader in electric-vehicles, but faces growing pressure on multiple fronts, UBS said.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>瑞银表示，由首席执行官埃隆·马斯克领导的特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域无可争议的领导者，但在多个方面面临着越来越大的压力。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla remains the world-leader in electric-vehicles but is under increasing pressure in China, with better opportunities emerging among other automakers for investors keen to play the growing trend, UBS said on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银周二表示，特斯拉仍然是电动汽车领域的全球领导者，但在中国面临越来越大的压力，其他汽车制造商为热衷于把握增长趋势的投资者提供了更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at the Swiss bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(UBS)$</a> cut their price target on Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> stock by 10%, from $730 to $660, citing pressure in China, as well as delays to Tesla's self-driving product and launch of the Model Y in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士银行分析师<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">$(瑞银)$</a>下调特斯拉目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(特斯拉)$</a>股价下跌 10%，从 730 美元涨至 660 美元，原因是中国的压力，以及特斯拉自动驾驶产品和 Model Y 在欧洲推出的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our key concern shorter-term is that Tesla's demand momentum in China is slowing, and our checks on the ground suggest that BEVs [Battery Electric Vehicles] from domestic brands are gaining further ground vs. Tesla, which may trigger additional pricing action by Tesla and consequently lower gross margins,\" analyst Patrick Hummel said.</p><p><blockquote>“我们短期内的主要担忧是特斯拉在华的需求势头正在放缓，我们的实地检查表明，国产品牌的纯电动汽车（纯电动汽车）相对于特斯拉正在进一步取得进展，这可能会引发特斯拉的额外定价行动，从而降低毛利率，”分析师 Patrick Hummel 表示。</blockquote></p><p> \"The EV launches from competitors with high range, charging performance and attractive value-for-money, could continue to weigh on the value the market is willing to assign to Tesla's long-term growth,\" Hummel added.</p><p><blockquote>胡梅尔补充道：“竞争对手推出的电动汽车具有高续航里程、充电性能和有吸引力的性价比，可能会继续影响市场愿意赋予特斯拉长期增长的价值。”</blockquote></p><p> In China, the pioneering electric-vehicle company led by Elon Musk faces stiff competition from domestic manufacturers like NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>, BYD , and XPeng <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>, which all show strong positive momentum, UBS said.</p><p><blockquote>在中国，由埃隆·马斯克领导的电动汽车先驱公司面临着来自蔚来等国内制造商的激烈竞争<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(蔚来)$</a>、比亚迪和小鹏<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">$(XPEV)$</a>瑞银表示，所有这些都显示出强劲的积极势头。</blockquote></p><p> Now that most of the major automakers have decided to go all-in on electric-vehicles, with ambitious targets for new product lines a recurring theme among the world's largest car companies, UBS identifies four factors likely to drive outperformance in auto stocks.</p><p><blockquote>现在，大多数主要汽车制造商都决定全力发展电动汽车，新产品线的雄心勃勃的目标成为全球最大汽车公司反复出现的主题，瑞银确定了可能推动汽车股表现优异的四个因素。</blockquote></p><p> They are: a strong EV sales curve, a crystallized portfolio value, excellent regional and segmental exposure, and an ability to pass on higher commodity prices.</p><p><blockquote>它们是：强劲的电动汽车销售曲线、具体化的投资组合价值、出色的区域和细分市场敞口，以及转嫁更高大宗商品价格的能力。</blockquote></p><p> Using these factors, the analysts at UBS found that Volkswagen XE:VOW (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CXE%3AVOW;onlineSignificance=prominent), the EV leader in Europe and Tesla's fiercest competitor scored best.</p><p><blockquote>利用这些因素，瑞银分析师发现欧洲电动汽车领导者和特斯拉最激烈的竞争对手大众汽车 XE:VOW（#phrase-company?ref=company%7CXE%3AVOW；onlineSignificance=prominent）得分最高。</blockquote></p><p> UBS raised its target price for GM stock--which it rates a buy--to $79 from $75, with the target price for Volkswagen being EUR300 ($357). GM stock is currently trading around $59, while shares in Volkswagen were trading for more than EUR216--implying that both companies could provide attractive returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银将通用汽车股票的目标价（评级为买入）从 75 美元上调至 79 美元，大众汽车的目标价为 300 欧元（357 美元）。通用汽车的股价目前约为 59 美元，而大众汽车的股价则超过 216 欧元，这意味着两家公司都可以为投资者提供有吸引力的回报。</blockquote></p><p> South Korea's Hyundai is another company that could emerge as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the best re-rating stories as the market comes to realize the value of its assets, UBS said. France's Renault and China's Li Auto <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(LI)$</a> rounded out the list of UBS' five most-favoured EV stocks. The bank also raised its target price on Ford <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F)$</a>, which it rates neutral, to $16 from $13.</p><p><blockquote>韩国现代汽车是另一家可能成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>瑞银表示，随着市场意识到其资产价值，这是最好的重新评级故事之一。法国雷诺和中国理想汽车<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$(李)$</a>完成了瑞银最受欢迎的五只电动汽车股票名单。该银行还提高了福特的目标价<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$(F) $</a>将其评级为中性，从 13 美元上调至 16 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The team at UBS took a hard look at the industry landscape in the wake of its latest electric-vehicle consumer survey, involving more than 11,000 participants in the world's largest EV markets. The results show that \"EV mass adoption is an unstoppable trend with rapidly accelerating momentum,\" the team concluded, with 43% of consumers likely to consider buying a fully-electric car--up from 37% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银团队在最新的电动汽车消费者调查中仔细审视了行业格局，该调查涉及全球最大电动汽车市场的 11,000 多名参与者。该团队总结道，结果显示“电动汽车的大规模采用是一个不可阻挡的趋势，而且势头正在迅速加速”，43% 的消费者可能会考虑购买全电动汽车，高于一年前的 37%。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time, fully-electric vehicles are preferred over plug-in hybrids, with keenness for EVs accelerating fastest among American consumers, UBS said. In the wake of the survey, UBS raised its sales forecast for China to 2.5 million EVs in 2021, up from 1.9 million, with a view that EVs will make up 20% of the car market globally by 2025 and 50% by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银表示，全电动汽车首次比插电式混合动力汽车更受欢迎，美国消费者对电动汽车的热情增长最快。调查结束后，瑞银将2021年中国电动汽车销量预测从190万辆上调至250万辆，预计到2025年电动汽车将占全球汽车市场的20%，到2030年将占50%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still the \"undisputed leader\" in UBS' books. The recent consumer survey was \"solid across the board for Tesla,\" Hummel said, though \"momentum in the quarters ahead is likely more in favor of competitors with a busier launch pipeline.\" In conclusion: Tesla's lead is shrinking, and investors would be well advised to seek out other opportunities for high-growth plays.</p><p><blockquote>在瑞银的账面上，特斯拉仍然是“无可争议的领导者”。胡梅尔表示，最近的消费者调查“对特斯拉来说全面稳健”，尽管“未来几个季度的势头可能更有利于拥有更繁忙上市渠道的竞争对手”。总之：特斯拉的领先优势正在缩小，建议投资者寻找其他高增长机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-is-under-pressure-from-nio-but-these-are-the-best-electric-vehicle-investments-right-now-says-ubs-11624980469?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"USB":"美国合众银行","HYMLY":"Hyundai Motor Co., Ltd.","GM":"通用汽车","F":"福特汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏集团","002594":"比亚迪","LI":"理想汽车","01211":"比亚迪股份"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-is-under-pressure-from-nio-but-these-are-the-best-electric-vehicle-investments-right-now-says-ubs-11624980469?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2147558864","content_text":"Volkswagen, GM, and three other carmakers round out the list of Swiss bank UBS' favorite EV stocks.\nTesla, led by CEO Elon Musk, remains the undisputed leader in electric-vehicles, but faces growing pressure on multiple fronts, UBS said.\nTesla remains the world-leader in electric-vehicles but is under increasing pressure in China, with better opportunities emerging among other automakers for investors keen to play the growing trend, UBS said on Tuesday.\nAnalysts at the Swiss bank $(UBS)$ cut their price target on Tesla $(TSLA)$ stock by 10%, from $730 to $660, citing pressure in China, as well as delays to Tesla's self-driving product and launch of the Model Y in Europe.\n\"Our key concern shorter-term is that Tesla's demand momentum in China is slowing, and our checks on the ground suggest that BEVs [Battery Electric Vehicles] from domestic brands are gaining further ground vs. Tesla, which may trigger additional pricing action by Tesla and consequently lower gross margins,\" analyst Patrick Hummel said.\n\"The EV launches from competitors with high range, charging performance and attractive value-for-money, could continue to weigh on the value the market is willing to assign to Tesla's long-term growth,\" Hummel added.\nIn China, the pioneering electric-vehicle company led by Elon Musk faces stiff competition from domestic manufacturers like NIO $(NIO)$, BYD , and XPeng $(XPEV)$, which all show strong positive momentum, UBS said.\nNow that most of the major automakers have decided to go all-in on electric-vehicles, with ambitious targets for new product lines a recurring theme among the world's largest car companies, UBS identifies four factors likely to drive outperformance in auto stocks.\nThey are: a strong EV sales curve, a crystallized portfolio value, excellent regional and segmental exposure, and an ability to pass on higher commodity prices.\nUsing these factors, the analysts at UBS found that Volkswagen XE:VOW (#phrase-company?ref=COMPANY%7CXE%3AVOW;onlineSignificance=prominent), the EV leader in Europe and Tesla's fiercest competitor scored best.\nUBS raised its target price for GM stock--which it rates a buy--to $79 from $75, with the target price for Volkswagen being EUR300 ($357). GM stock is currently trading around $59, while shares in Volkswagen were trading for more than EUR216--implying that both companies could provide attractive returns to investors.\nSouth Korea's Hyundai is another company that could emerge as one of the best re-rating stories as the market comes to realize the value of its assets, UBS said. France's Renault and China's Li Auto $(LI)$ rounded out the list of UBS' five most-favoured EV stocks. The bank also raised its target price on Ford $(F)$, which it rates neutral, to $16 from $13.\nThe team at UBS took a hard look at the industry landscape in the wake of its latest electric-vehicle consumer survey, involving more than 11,000 participants in the world's largest EV markets. The results show that \"EV mass adoption is an unstoppable trend with rapidly accelerating momentum,\" the team concluded, with 43% of consumers likely to consider buying a fully-electric car--up from 37% a year ago.\nFor the first time, fully-electric vehicles are preferred over plug-in hybrids, with keenness for EVs accelerating fastest among American consumers, UBS said. In the wake of the survey, UBS raised its sales forecast for China to 2.5 million EVs in 2021, up from 1.9 million, with a view that EVs will make up 20% of the car market globally by 2025 and 50% by 2030.\nTesla is still the \"undisputed leader\" in UBS' books. The recent consumer survey was \"solid across the board for Tesla,\" Hummel said, though \"momentum in the quarters ahead is likely more in favor of competitors with a busier launch pipeline.\" In conclusion: Tesla's lead is shrinking, and investors would be well advised to seek out other opportunities for high-growth plays.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"GM":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"HYMLY":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"01211":0.9,"002594":0.9,"LI":0.9,"F":0.9,"USB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181114065,"gmtCreate":1623378271357,"gmtModify":1634033991017,"author":{"id":"3581982942860939","authorId":"3581982942860939","name":"SimS","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581982942860939","authorIdStr":"3581982942860939"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Seems bright","listText":"Seems bright","text":"Seems bright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181114065","repostId":"1127823989","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}