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2021-06-24

Nice

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2021-06-10

Up up up

U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>

2021-06-10

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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2021-06-09

Like please

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2021-06-09

Latest

UPS Issues 2023 Profit Guidance, Pledges to Be Carbon Neutral by 2050<blockquote>UPS 发布 2023 年利润指引，承诺到 2050 年实现碳中和</blockquote>

2021-06-08

Nice

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-06-07

Nice

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2021-06-07

Please like

Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>

2021-06-05

Yes

U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>

2021-06-04

Interesting

ARKX Will Be ARK's Most Resilient ETF During The Coming Great Valuation Reset<blockquote>在即将到来的重大估值重置期间，ARKX 将成为 ARK 最具弹性的 ETF</blockquote>

2021-06-03

Go go disney

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2021-06-02

Wow

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2021-06-01

Like and comment please

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2021-05-31

Like and comment

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2021-05-29

Welcome back

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2021-05-28

Not bad

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2021-05-28

How I wish I'm so lucky as him

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2021-05-26

Comment please

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2021-05-26

Nice

China’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote>

2021-05-25

Why

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up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183991965","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"AEMD":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1988,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189200039,"gmtCreate":1623263807221,"gmtModify":1634035208272,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189200039","repostId":"1141275388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189149824,"gmtCreate":1623249183368,"gmtModify":1634035351590,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189149824","repostId":"1188697627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189935217,"gmtCreate":1623238680239,"gmtModify":1634035506102,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189935217","repostId":"1106010387","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106010387","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623238545,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106010387?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-09 19:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UPS Issues 2023 Profit Guidance, Pledges to Be Carbon Neutral by 2050<blockquote>UPS 发布 2023 年利润指引，承诺到 2050 年实现碳中和</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106010387","media":"The Street","summary":"Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our busines","content":"<p>  Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our business, and what matters most to our stakeholders,” said CEO Carol Tomé.  United Parcel Service&nbsp;(<b>UPS</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;published 2023 financial targets Wednesday, forecasting full year revenues of around $100 billion, as the world's largest delivery group aims to be 'carbon neutral' by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>我们的战略重点正在不断发展，以反映客户和业务不断变化的需求，以及对我们的利益相关者来说最重要的事情。”联合包裹服务（<b>哎呀</b>) -Get 周三发布了 2023 年财务目标报告，预计全年收入约为 1000 亿美元，因为这家全球最大的快递集团的目标是到 2050 年实现“碳中和”。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement publish ahead of its annual investor day presentation in Atlanta, UPS, which held back from providing full-year guidance following record first quarter earnings in April, said 2023 revenues should range between $98 billion and $102 billion this year -- an 18.2% increase from 2020 levels -- with&nbsp;consolidated operating margins of between 12.7% and 13.7%.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 在亚特兰大举行年度投资者日发布会之前发表的一份声明中表示，2023 年收入应在 980 亿美元至 1020 亿美元之间。该公司在 4 月份创纪录的第一季度收益后，没有提供全年指引。今年——比 2020 年水平增长 18.2%，综合营业利润率在 12.7% 至 13.7% 之间。</blockquote></p><p> UPS also unveiled a series of company-wide ESG targets, including a pledge to be carbon neutral across \"1, 2 and 3 emissions in its global operations\" by 2050, with a 50% reduction in CO2 per package delivered from its small package operations and all of its facilities powered by renewable electricity.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 还公布了一系列全公司范围的 ESG 目标，包括承诺到 2050 年实现“全球运营中的 1、2 和 3 个排放”的碳中和，其小型包裹运营和所有由可再生电力供电的设施交付的每个包裹的二氧化碳排放量减少 50%。</blockquote></p><p> “We are creating a new UPS, rooted in the values of the company. Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our business, and what matters most to our stakeholders,” said CEO Carol Tomé.</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在创造一个新的 UPS，植根于公司的价值观。我们的战略重点正在不断发展，以反映客户和业务不断变化的需求，以及对我们的利益相关者最重要的事情，”首席执行官卡罗尔-托梅（Carol Tomé）说。</blockquote></p><p> UPS shares were marked 0.4% lower in pre-market trading Wednesday to indicate an opening bell price of $209.00 each, a move that would trim the stock's year-to-date gain to around 24.2%.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 股价在周三盘前交易中下跌 0.4%，开盘价为每股 209.00 美元，此举将使该股年初至今的涨幅缩减至 24.2% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> UPS, which partnered with the U.S. government in delivering COIVD-19 vaccines around the country, posted a near tripling of adjusted earnings in its fiscal first quarter under new CEO&nbsp;Tomé&nbsp;, with a bottom line of $2.77 per share on revenues of $22.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 与美国政府合作在全国范围内提供 COVD-19 疫苗，在新任首席执行官 Tomé 的领导下，其第一财季调整后收益几乎增加了两倍，每股净利润为 2.77 美元，收入为 229 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UPS Issues 2023 Profit Guidance, Pledges to Be Carbon Neutral by 2050<blockquote>UPS 发布 2023 年利润指引，承诺到 2050 年实现碳中和</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUPS Issues 2023 Profit Guidance, Pledges to Be Carbon Neutral by 2050<blockquote>UPS 发布 2023 年利润指引，承诺到 2050 年实现碳中和</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-09 19:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our business, and what matters most to our stakeholders,” said CEO Carol Tomé.  United Parcel Service&nbsp;(<b>UPS</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;published 2023 financial targets Wednesday, forecasting full year revenues of around $100 billion, as the world's largest delivery group aims to be 'carbon neutral' by 2050.</p><p><blockquote>我们的战略重点正在不断发展，以反映客户和业务不断变化的需求，以及对我们的利益相关者来说最重要的事情。”联合包裹服务（<b>哎呀</b>) -Get 周三发布了 2023 年财务目标报告，预计全年收入约为 1000 亿美元，因为这家全球最大的快递集团的目标是到 2050 年实现“碳中和”。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement publish ahead of its annual investor day presentation in Atlanta, UPS, which held back from providing full-year guidance following record first quarter earnings in April, said 2023 revenues should range between $98 billion and $102 billion this year -- an 18.2% increase from 2020 levels -- with&nbsp;consolidated operating margins of between 12.7% and 13.7%.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 在亚特兰大举行年度投资者日发布会之前发表的一份声明中表示，2023 年收入应在 980 亿美元至 1020 亿美元之间。该公司在 4 月份创纪录的第一季度收益后，没有提供全年指引。今年——比 2020 年水平增长 18.2%，综合营业利润率在 12.7% 至 13.7% 之间。</blockquote></p><p> UPS also unveiled a series of company-wide ESG targets, including a pledge to be carbon neutral across \"1, 2 and 3 emissions in its global operations\" by 2050, with a 50% reduction in CO2 per package delivered from its small package operations and all of its facilities powered by renewable electricity.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 还公布了一系列全公司范围的 ESG 目标，包括承诺到 2050 年实现“全球运营中的 1、2 和 3 个排放”的碳中和，其小型包裹运营和所有由可再生电力供电的设施交付的每个包裹的二氧化碳排放量减少 50%。</blockquote></p><p> “We are creating a new UPS, rooted in the values of the company. Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our business, and what matters most to our stakeholders,” said CEO Carol Tomé.</p><p><blockquote>“我们正在创造一个新的 UPS，植根于公司的价值观。我们的战略重点正在不断发展，以反映客户和业务不断变化的需求，以及对我们的利益相关者最重要的事情，”首席执行官卡罗尔-托梅（Carol Tomé）说。</blockquote></p><p> UPS shares were marked 0.4% lower in pre-market trading Wednesday to indicate an opening bell price of $209.00 each, a move that would trim the stock's year-to-date gain to around 24.2%.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 股价在周三盘前交易中下跌 0.4%，开盘价为每股 209.00 美元，此举将使该股年初至今的涨幅缩减至 24.2% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> UPS, which partnered with the U.S. government in delivering COIVD-19 vaccines around the country, posted a near tripling of adjusted earnings in its fiscal first quarter under new CEO&nbsp;Tomé&nbsp;, with a bottom line of $2.77 per share on revenues of $22.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>UPS 与美国政府合作在全国范围内提供 COVD-19 疫苗，在新任首席执行官 Tomé 的领导下，其第一财季调整后收益几乎增加了两倍，每股净利润为 2.77 美元，收入为 229 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/ups-issues-2023-profit-guidance-pledges-carbon-neutral-by-2050\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPS":"联合包裹"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/ups-issues-2023-profit-guidance-pledges-carbon-neutral-by-2050","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106010387","content_text":"Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our business, and what matters most to our stakeholders,” said CEO Carol Tomé.\n\nUnited Parcel Service (UPS) -Get Report published 2023 financial targets Wednesday, forecasting full year revenues of around $100 billion, as the world's largest delivery group aims to be 'carbon neutral' by 2050.\nIn a statement publish ahead of its annual investor day presentation in Atlanta, UPS, which held back from providing full-year guidance following record first quarter earnings in April, said 2023 revenues should range between $98 billion and $102 billion this year -- an 18.2% increase from 2020 levels -- with consolidated operating margins of between 12.7% and 13.7%.\nUPS also unveiled a series of company-wide ESG targets, including a pledge to be carbon neutral across \"1, 2 and 3 emissions in its global operations\" by 2050, with a 50% reduction in CO2 per package delivered from its small package operations and all of its facilities powered by renewable electricity.\n“We are creating a new UPS, rooted in the values of the company. Our strategic priorities are evolving to reflect the changing needs of our customers and our business, and what matters most to our stakeholders,” said CEO Carol Tomé.\nUPS shares were marked 0.4% lower in pre-market trading Wednesday to indicate an opening bell price of $209.00 each, a move that would trim the stock's year-to-date gain to around 24.2%.\nUPS, which partnered with the U.S. government in delivering COIVD-19 vaccines around the country, posted a near tripling of adjusted earnings in its fiscal first quarter under new CEO Tomé , with a bottom line of $2.77 per share on revenues of $22.9 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117473136,"gmtCreate":1623159462025,"gmtModify":1634036335499,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117473136","repostId":"1134112696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134112696","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623153084,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134112696?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134112696","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 8) U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the o","content":"<p>(June 8)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.</p><p><blockquote>（6月8日）美国周二股票期货涨跌互现，由于投资者等待贸易赤字规模数据，道琼斯指数在开盘时有望不温不火地下滑。</blockquote></p><p>Futures tied to the broad S&amp;P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500综合指数挂钩的期货在涨跌之间波动。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌 0.2%。周一， 蓝筹股指数短暂攀升至历史新高， 收盘下跌0.4%。纳斯达克 100 指数期货小幅上涨 0.2%，表明科技股涨幅疲软。</blockquote></p><p>At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:52，道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 18 点，跌幅 0.05%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 5.25 点，跌幅 0.12%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 56.25 点，跌幅 0.41%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34abbee54469fe0e570dce762d9a8f6a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>At 7:52 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 7:52</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Stocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个交易日，由于美国经济快速反弹以及华盛顿和美联储的大力支持，股市一直在区间波动，指数徘徊在创纪录水平附近。最近几周的市场走势缓解了对通货膨胀的担忧。投资者表示，他们正在接受一段动荡的交易时期，同时等待有关消费者价格大幅上涨是否会转瞬即逝的新线索。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国4月份贸易逆差从上月创纪录的750亿美元收窄至689亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易数据公布后，股指期货持平至小幅走高。</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f387907a1739ecc654e10c7d6dc8135\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>At 8:33 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 8:33</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>1)&nbsp;Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）缝合固定（SFIX）</b>– Stitch Fix 第一季度每股亏损 18 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 27 美分。这家在线服装造型公司的收入高于预期。Stitch Fix 还发布了乐观的预测，其活跃客户群与一年前相比增长了 20%。股价在盘前交易中飙升 14.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>2)&nbsp;Contango Oil &amp; Gas(MCF) </b>– The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) 石油和天然气期货 (MCF)</b>– 该能源生产商同意通过全股票交易与 KKR (KKR) 的独立能源业务合并。合并后的公司初始市值约为48亿美元。Contango 股价在盘前交易中上涨 10.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3)&nbsp;Coupa Software(COUP) </b>– Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Coupa软件（COUP）</b>– Coupa 公布的季度收益为每股 7 美分，而华尔街预测为每股亏损 19 美分。收入超出预期，这家财务软件公司也发布了乐观的前景。尽管数据乐观，Coupa 股价在盘前交易中仍下跌 9.2%。</blockquote></p><p><b>4)&nbsp;Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) 雷神工业 (THO)</b>– 这家休闲车制造商的第三财季营收和利润均超出预期，其股价在盘前上涨 3.4%。与一年前相比，销售额增加了一倍多，该公司表示没有看到需求放缓的迹象。</blockquote></p><p><b>5)&nbsp;Chico’s FAS(CHS) </b>– Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>5) 奇科的FAS(CHS)</b>- Chico's 在盘前大涨 6.6%，此前这家服装零售商表示正在采取一切适当措施改善业绩并增加股东价值。该声明是对激进投资者巴林顿资本（Barington Capital）致管理层的一封信的回应。另外，Chico's 公布的季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>6)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY)</b> – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.</p><p><blockquote><b>6) 快速（FSLY）</b>- 这家云计算公司的股价在盘前下跌了 1.7%，但较之前的低点有所回落，原因是互联网中断影响了快速备份的网站。停电发生后不久，Fastly 表示已经发现了问题，并正在实施修复措施。</blockquote></p><p><b>7)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 该汽车制造商 5 月份在该市场交付了 33,463 辆中国制造的汽车，比 4 月份生产受到维护停工影响时增长了 29%。特斯拉盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>8)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC)</b> – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 在社交媒体推动电影院运营商股价上涨的情况下，AMC 内部人士一直在抛售股票。根据分析公司 InsiderScore 对内部人士文件进行的一项研究，自 5 月 28 日以来，已有 7 名 AMC 内部人士出售了部分股份，其中 9 名内部人士在本季度进行了出售，但首席执行官亚当·阿伦 (Adam Aron) 不在其中。2020年没有AMC内幕销售。AMC 盘前上涨 4.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>9)&nbsp;Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b> – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.</p><p><blockquote><b>9) Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b>– Marvell 第一季度的营收和利润均超出华尔街预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.5%。这家芯片制造商还预计其本季度收入将首次超过 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>10)&nbsp;Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) </b>– The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</p><p><blockquote><b>10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)</b>- 这家饮料公司宣布代表食品生产商和 Keurig Dr Pepper 股东亿滋国际（MDLZ）二次发行 2800 万股普通股后，其股价在盘前下跌了 3.6%。Keurig Dr Pepper 不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>11)&nbsp;Vail Resorts(MTN) </b>– Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>11) 韦尔度假村（MTN）</b>– 维尔度假村每股收益超出预期 18 美分，季度利润为每股 6.72 美元。该度假村运营商也看到了收入的最高预测。Vail 表示，与 2019 年大流行前的业绩相比，通行证销售额按单位计算增长了 50%，按美元计算增长了 33%，因为该公司将季票销售价格下调了 20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>12)&nbsp;Etsy(ETSY)</b> – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>12) Etsy（Etsy）</b>– Etsy 宣布私下发行 10 亿美元的可转换优先票据，在线工艺品市场计划将所得款项用于股票回购和一般企业用途。Etsy在盘前交易中下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自2008年以来，这是股票方向的最大信号。以下是它告诉投资者现在的方向。</b></blockquote></p><p>The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，现在的夏季平静是真实的，因为股市催化剂似乎很少。继上个月 5 月份的数据令市场感到恐惧之后，周四的消费者价格更新可能会带来下一次更新。</blockquote></p><p>With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.</p><p><blockquote>随着 equitiesSPX,-0.08% 在从 COVID-19 大流行低迷中令人兴奋的复苏中徘徊在历史高位，投资者想知道各国央行何时以及如何开始应对全球通胀飙升的迹象。由于并非所有股票在复苏的不同阶段都是一样的，因此许多人理所当然地想知道他们押注的股票是否正确。</blockquote></p><p>They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides our<b>call of the day</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold 集团首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）表示，他们应该首先关注自 2008 年以来最可靠的股市走向指标--10 年期债券收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y，1.541%。<b>今日看涨期权</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份报告中告诉客户，自 2008-09 年金融危机以来，“债券市场一直在决定，或者至少是巧合地发出信号”，哪些股票组将成为赢家和输家。对于周期性、成长型投资、小盘股等几个热门主题来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p>For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:</p><p><blockquote>例如，他通过下面的图表展示了公用事业和必需品或低波动性投资等防御性行业如何只有在债券收益率下降时表现良好：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c7d981e160fe9dea266dbe88c5eb97\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p>So should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，因此，如果目前徘徊在 1.561% 的 10 年期国债收益率再次达到 2%，该集团可能会表现不佳。但他补充说，如果经济面临过热压力，收益率将上升，历史表明，波动性最大的股票往往是赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森指出，下面的小盘股、周期性行业和新兴市场图表 “在收益率上升造成股市混乱的时期，这些市场往往是赢家”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ad9970b8d52f5524ef4da54113986a\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d5f3bc8075fad7b17676c51ffadaed\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The Leuthold Group</p><p><blockquote>洛伊特霍尔德集团</blockquote></p><p>And the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>这位策略师是确实看到收益率上升的人之一。</blockquote></p><p>“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>“尽管通胀预期不断升级，但最近 10 年期国债收益率却停滞不前，这令人费解。此外，如果收益率继续横盘整理或回撤近期部分涨幅，包括成长型股票在内的防御性投资很可能会成为股市的领头羊，”保尔森写道。</blockquote></p><p>He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”</p><p><blockquote>他预计该收益率将再次走高，可能在 2021 年底前将其推高至 2% 以上。这意味着 “股票投资者应该听从债券市场的信息，驾驶一些快速的‘周期性’股票汽车!”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-08 19:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 8)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.</p><p><blockquote>（6月8日）美国周二股票期货涨跌互现，由于投资者等待贸易赤字规模数据，道琼斯指数在开盘时有望不温不火地下滑。</blockquote></p><p>Futures tied to the broad S&amp;P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500综合指数挂钩的期货在涨跌之间波动。道琼斯工业平均指数期货下跌 0.2%。周一， 蓝筹股指数短暂攀升至历史新高， 收盘下跌0.4%。纳斯达克 100 指数期货小幅上涨 0.2%，表明科技股涨幅疲软。</blockquote></p><p>At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 7:52，道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 18 点，跌幅 0.05%，标普500电子迷你指数上涨 5.25 点，跌幅 0.12%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 56.25 点，跌幅 0.41%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34abbee54469fe0e570dce762d9a8f6a\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"528\"><span>At 7:52 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 7:52</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Stocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个交易日，由于美国经济快速反弹以及华盛顿和美联储的大力支持，股市一直在区间波动，指数徘徊在创纪录水平附近。最近几周的市场走势缓解了对通货膨胀的担忧。投资者表示，他们正在接受一段动荡的交易时期，同时等待有关消费者价格大幅上涨是否会转瞬即逝的新线索。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国4月份贸易逆差从上月创纪录的750亿美元收窄至689亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易数据公布后，股指期货持平至小幅走高。</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f387907a1739ecc654e10c7d6dc8135\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>At 8:33 a.m. ET</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国东部时间上午 8:33</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>1)&nbsp;Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）缝合固定（SFIX）</b>– Stitch Fix 第一季度每股亏损 18 美分，低于分析师预期的每股亏损 27 美分。这家在线服装造型公司的收入高于预期。Stitch Fix 还发布了乐观的预测，其活跃客户群与一年前相比增长了 20%。股价在盘前交易中飙升 14.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>2)&nbsp;Contango Oil &amp; Gas(MCF) </b>– The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) 石油和天然气期货 (MCF)</b>– 该能源生产商同意通过全股票交易与 KKR (KKR) 的独立能源业务合并。合并后的公司初始市值约为48亿美元。Contango 股价在盘前交易中上涨 10.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>3)&nbsp;Coupa Software(COUP) </b>– Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Coupa软件（COUP）</b>– Coupa 公布的季度收益为每股 7 美分，而华尔街预测为每股亏损 19 美分。收入超出预期，这家财务软件公司也发布了乐观的前景。尽管数据乐观，Coupa 股价在盘前交易中仍下跌 9.2%。</blockquote></p><p><b>4)&nbsp;Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.</p><p><blockquote><b>4) 雷神工业 (THO)</b>– 这家休闲车制造商的第三财季营收和利润均超出预期，其股价在盘前上涨 3.4%。与一年前相比，销售额增加了一倍多，该公司表示没有看到需求放缓的迹象。</blockquote></p><p><b>5)&nbsp;Chico’s FAS(CHS) </b>– Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>5) 奇科的FAS(CHS)</b>- Chico's 在盘前大涨 6.6%，此前这家服装零售商表示正在采取一切适当措施改善业绩并增加股东价值。该声明是对激进投资者巴林顿资本（Barington Capital）致管理层的一封信的回应。另外，Chico's 公布的季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>6)&nbsp;Fastly(FSLY)</b> – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.</p><p><blockquote><b>6) 快速（FSLY）</b>- 这家云计算公司的股价在盘前下跌了 1.7%，但较之前的低点有所回落，原因是互联网中断影响了快速备份的网站。停电发生后不久，Fastly 表示已经发现了问题，并正在实施修复措施。</blockquote></p><p><b>7)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>– 该汽车制造商 5 月份在该市场交付了 33,463 辆中国制造的汽车，比 4 月份生产受到维护停工影响时增长了 29%。特斯拉盘前上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>8)&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC)</b> – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 在社交媒体推动电影院运营商股价上涨的情况下，AMC 内部人士一直在抛售股票。根据分析公司 InsiderScore 对内部人士文件进行的一项研究，自 5 月 28 日以来，已有 7 名 AMC 内部人士出售了部分股份，其中 9 名内部人士在本季度进行了出售，但首席执行官亚当·阿伦 (Adam Aron) 不在其中。2020年没有AMC内幕销售。AMC 盘前上涨 4.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>9)&nbsp;Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b> – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.</p><p><blockquote><b>9) Marvell Technology(MRVL)</b>– Marvell 第一季度的营收和利润均超出华尔街预期，股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.5%。这家芯片制造商还预计其本季度收入将首次超过 10 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>10)&nbsp;Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) </b>– The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.</p><p><blockquote><b>10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP)</b>- 这家饮料公司宣布代表食品生产商和 Keurig Dr Pepper 股东亿滋国际（MDLZ）二次发行 2800 万股普通股后，其股价在盘前下跌了 3.6%。Keurig Dr Pepper 不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>11)&nbsp;Vail Resorts(MTN) </b>– Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.</p><p><blockquote><b>11) 韦尔度假村（MTN）</b>– 维尔度假村每股收益超出预期 18 美分，季度利润为每股 6.72 美元。该度假村运营商也看到了收入的最高预测。Vail 表示，与 2019 年大流行前的业绩相比，通行证销售额按单位计算增长了 50%，按美元计算增长了 33%，因为该公司将季票销售价格下调了 20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>12)&nbsp;Etsy(ETSY)</b> – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>12) Etsy（Etsy）</b>– Etsy 宣布私下发行 10 亿美元的可转换优先票据，在线工艺品市场计划将所得款项用于股票回购和一般企业用途。Etsy在盘前交易中下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自2008年以来，这是股票方向的最大信号。以下是它告诉投资者现在的方向。</b></blockquote></p><p>The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.</p><p><blockquote>对于投资者来说，现在的夏季平静是真实的，因为股市催化剂似乎很少。继上个月 5 月份的数据令市场感到恐惧之后，周四的消费者价格更新可能会带来下一次更新。</blockquote></p><p>With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.</p><p><blockquote>随着 equitiesSPX,-0.08% 在从 COVID-19 大流行低迷中令人兴奋的复苏中徘徊在历史高位，投资者想知道各国央行何时以及如何开始应对全球通胀飙升的迹象。由于并非所有股票在复苏的不同阶段都是一样的，因此许多人理所当然地想知道他们押注的股票是否正确。</blockquote></p><p>They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides our<b>call of the day</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold 集团首席投资策略师吉姆-保尔森（Jim Paulsen）表示，他们应该首先关注自 2008 年以来最可靠的股市走向指标--10 年期债券收益率 TMUBMUSD10Y，1.541%。<b>今日看涨期权</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份报告中告诉客户，自 2008-09 年金融危机以来，“债券市场一直在决定，或者至少是巧合地发出信号”，哪些股票组将成为赢家和输家。对于周期性、成长型投资、小盘股等几个热门主题来说尤其如此。</blockquote></p><p>For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:</p><p><blockquote>例如，他通过下面的图表展示了公用事业和必需品或低波动性投资等防御性行业如何只有在债券收益率下降时表现良好：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c7d981e160fe9dea266dbe88c5eb97\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p>So should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，因此，如果目前徘徊在 1.561% 的 10 年期国债收益率再次达到 2%，该集团可能会表现不佳。但他补充说，如果经济面临过热压力，收益率将上升，历史表明，波动性最大的股票往往是赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森指出，下面的小盘股、周期性行业和新兴市场图表 “在收益率上升造成股市混乱的时期，这些市场往往是赢家”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ad9970b8d52f5524ef4da54113986a\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>The Leuthold Group</i></p><p><blockquote><i>洛伊特霍尔德集团</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13d5f3bc8075fad7b17676c51ffadaed\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"929\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The Leuthold Group</p><p><blockquote>洛伊特霍尔德集团</blockquote></p><p>And the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.</p><p><blockquote>这位策略师是确实看到收益率上升的人之一。</blockquote></p><p>“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>“尽管通胀预期不断升级，但最近 10 年期国债收益率却停滞不前，这令人费解。此外，如果收益率继续横盘整理或回撤近期部分涨幅，包括成长型股票在内的防御性投资很可能会成为股市的领头羊，”保尔森写道。</blockquote></p><p>He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”</p><p><blockquote>他预计该收益率将再次走高，可能在 2021 年底前将其推高至 2% 以上。这意味着 “股票投资者应该听从债券市场的信息，驾驶一些快速的‘周期性’股票汽车!”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134112696","content_text":"(June 8) U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday, putting the Dow on course for a tepid slide at the opening bell as investors awaited data on the scale of the trade deficit.Futures tied to the broad S&P 500 index wavered between gains and losses. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures ticked 0.2% lower. On Monday,the blue-chip index briefly climbed into record territorybefore ending the session down 0.4%. Nasdaq-100 futures edged up 0.2%, pointing to subdued gains for technology stocks.At 7:52 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.25 points, or 0.12%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 56.25 points, or 0.41%.At 7:52 a.m. ETStocks have been range bound in recent sessions, with indexes hovering close to record levels due to a rapidly rebounding U.S. economy and significant levels of support from Washington and the Federal Reserve. The market’s moves in recent weeks have moderated amidinflation concerns. Investors say they are settling in for a period of choppy trading while they await fresh clues on whether a sharp rise in consumer prices will prove to be fleeting.U.S. trade deficit narrows to $68.9 billion in April from record $75 billion in prior month.Stock-index futures remain flat to slightly higher after trade data.At 8:33 a.m. ETStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:1) Stitch Fix(SFIX) – Stitch Fix lost 18 cents per share for its first quarter, smaller than the 27 cents a share loss that analysts were anticipating. The online clothing styling company's revenue came in above estimates. Stitch Fix also issued an upbeat forecast, amid 20% growth in its active client base compared to a year ago. Shares soared 14.8% in premarket action.2) Contango Oil & Gas(MCF) – The energy producer agreed to combine withKKR's(KKR) Independence Energy business in an all-stock deal. The combined company will have an initial market capitalization of about $4.8 billion. Contango shares jumped 10.3% in premarket trading.3) Coupa Software(COUP) – Coupa reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, compared to Wall Street forecasts for a 19 cents per share loss. Revenue beat estimates, and the financial software company also issued an upbeat outlook. Despite the upbeat numbers, Coupa shares tumbled 9.2% in premarket trading.4) Thor Industries(THO) – The recreational vehicle maker's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after it beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its fiscal third quarter. Sales more than doubled compared to a year ago, and the company said it sees no signs of demand slowing.5) Chico’s FAS(CHS) – Chico’s surged 6.6% in the premarket after the apparel retailer said it was taking all appropriate steps to improve performance and increase shareholder value. The statement was in response to a letter sent to management by activist investor Barington Capital. Separately, Chico’s reported quarterly earnings and sales that topped Wall Street forecasts.6) Fastly(FSLY) – The cloud computing company’s shares fell 1.7% in the premarket, but came off earlier lows stemming froman internet outageimpacting Fastly-backed websites. Shortly after the outage hit, Fastly said it had identified the issue and that a fix was being implemented.7) Tesla(TSLA) – The automaker delivered 33,463 China-made vehicles in that market in May, up 29% from April when production was impacted by a maintenance shutdown. Tesla rose 3% in the premarket.8) AMC Entertainment(AMC) – AMC insiders have been selling shares amid a social media-fueled rally in the movie theater operator’s stock. According to a study of insider filings done by analytics firm InsiderScore, seven AMC insiders have sold parts of their stakes since May 28, among nine who have executed sales this quarter though CEO Adam Aron is not among them. There were no AMC insider sales in 2020. AMC added 4.3% in the premarket.9) Marvell Technology(MRVL) – Marvell shares jumped 5.5% in premarket trading after it beat Wall Street estimates on both the top and bottom lines for its first quarter. The chip maker also expects its current-quarter revenue will surpass $1 billion for the first time.10) Keurig Dr Pepper(KDP) – The beverage company’s stock lost 3.6% in the premarket after it announced a secondary offering of 28 million common stock shares, to be sold on behalf of food producer and Keurig Dr Pepper shareholderMondelez(MDLZ). Keurig Dr Pepper will not receive any proceeds from the offering.11) Vail Resorts(MTN) – Vail Resorts beat estimates by 18 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $6.72 per share. The resort operator also saw revenue top forecasts. Vail said pass sales were up 50% by units and 33% by dollars compared to pre-pandemic results in 2019, as the company slashed season pass sale prices by 20%.12) Etsy(ETSY) – Etsy announced a private offering of $1 billion in convertible senior notes, with the online crafts marketplace planning to use the proceeds to fund stock buybacks and for general corporate purposes. Etsy fell 1.9% in premarket trading.Since 2008, this has been the biggest signal for stock direction. Here’s where it’s telling investors to go now.The summer lull is real for investors right now, as stock catalysts seem few and far between. Thursday’s update on consumer prices could bring the next one, after May dataspooked markets last month.With equitiesSPX,-0.08%hovering at record highs amid a mind-blowing recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic slump, investors want to know when and how central banks will start responding to signs of surging global inflation. And as not all stocks are built alike for different stages of a recovery, many rightly want to know if they are betting on the right ones.They should start by keeping an eye on what has been the most reliable indicator for stock direction since 2008 — the 10-year bond yieldTMUBMUSD10Y,1.541%,according to The Leuthold Group’s chief investment strategist, Jim Paulsen, who provides ourcall of the day.Since the 2008-09 financial crisis, “the bond market has been determining, or at least coincidentally signaling” which groups of stocks will be the winners and losers, he told clients in a note. That has been particularly true for several popular themes including cyclicals, growth investing, small-caps, etc.For example, via the below charts he showed how defensive sectors, such as utilities and staples or low-volatility investments, only do well when bond yields are headed lower:The Leuthold GroupSo should the yield on the 10-year, currently hovering at 1.561%, make another run at 2%, that group is likely to underperform, he said. But if the economy is headed for overheat pressures and yields are set to rise, history has shown the most volatile stocks are often winner, he added.Paulsen pointed to the below charts of small-cap stocks, cyclical sectors and emerging markets that are “often the winners during periods in which rising yields cause stock market mayhem.”The Leuthold GroupThe Leuthold GroupAnd the strategist is among those who do indeed see yields rising.“The recent pause in the 10-year yield despite escalating inflation expectations has been puzzling. Moreover, if yields continue to trend sideways or retrace part of their recent advance, defensive investments, including growth stocks, will likely be stock market leaders,” wrote Paulsen.He expects another leg higher for that yield, pushing it above 2%, likely by the end of 2021. And that means “stock investors should heed the bond market’s message and drive a few of those fast ‘cyclical’ stock cars!”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114687049,"gmtCreate":1623072780281,"gmtModify":1634037281326,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114687049","repostId":"1126396501","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1933,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115268531,"gmtCreate":1623012183923,"gmtModify":1634096318827,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115268531","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112834950,"gmtCreate":1622859547370,"gmtModify":1634097298525,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112834950","repostId":"1106312903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106312903","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622855773,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106312903?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106312903","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental h","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速，其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，根据MAUs，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，截至2021年3月31日，在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值，但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>（任务）计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利且增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据，通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利，为 1,000 多名客户提供服务，到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年，该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买，平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. IPO Week Ahead: Digital Payments, Mental Health Services, And More In A Diverse 8 IPO<blockquote>美国 IPO 前一周：数字支付、心理健康服务等多元化 8 IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</li>  <li>Payments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.</li>  <li>Chinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.</li> </ul> Eight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</li><li>支付平台 Marqeta 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。</li><li>中国在线招聘平台看准计划以82亿美元的市值筹集8.64亿美元。</li></ul>目前有八次IPO计划筹集37亿美元，涉及数字支付、心理健康服务等。</blockquote></p><p> Payments platform&nbsp;<b>Marqeta</b>(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.</p><p><blockquote>支付平台<b>市场</b>(MQ) 计划以 124 亿美元的市值筹集 10 亿美元。该公司的平台允许企业启动和管理自己的卡计划，向客户或最终用户发行卡，以及授权和结算交易。Marqeta 发展迅速，其客户中包括 Affirm (AFRM) 和 DoorDash (DASH) 等品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online recruitment platform&nbsp;<b>Kanzhun</b>(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线招聘平台<b>看准</b>(BZ) 计划以 82 亿美元的市值筹集 8.64 亿美元。看准的核心产品BOSS直聘是一个移动原生平台，促进求职者和企业客户之间的直接聊天。该公司声称，根据MAUs，它是2020年中国最大的在线招聘平台。</blockquote></p><p> Mental health services provider&nbsp;<b>LifeStance Health</b>(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>心理健康服务提供者<b>LifeStance健康</b>(LFST) 计划以 61 亿美元的市值筹集 6.4 亿美元。LifeStance表示，它已经建立了美国最大的门诊心理健康平台之一，截至2021年3月31日，在27个州的73个MSA雇佣了3300多名持牌心理健康临床医生。尽管息税前利润在2021年第一季度变为负值，但该公司仍表现出增长。</blockquote></p><p> Israel’s&nbsp;<b>monday.com</b>(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.</p><p><blockquote>以色列的<b>星期一网</b>(MNDY) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 4.9 亿美元。monday.com允许组织轻松构建适合其需求的软件应用程序和工作管理工具。截至2021年3月31日，它为190多个国家200多个行业的近128,000名客户提供服务。Salesforce 和 Zoom 计划同时投资 1.5 亿美元进行私募。</blockquote></p><p> BPO vendor&nbsp;<b>TaskUs</b>(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>BPO供应商<b>口袋</b>（任务）计划以25亿美元的市值筹集3.04亿美元。TaskUs是一家数字商业服务外包商，提供数字客户体验服务、内容安全服务和人工智能运营。截至2020年12月31日，该公司盈利且增长强劲，拥有100多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> Data-driven marketing platform&nbsp;<b>Zeta Global</b>(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>数据驱动营销平台<b>泽塔全球</b>(ZETA) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。该公司的 Zeta 营销平台利用身份数据，通过电子邮件、社交媒体、网络、聊天、联网电视、视频和其他渠道锁定、联系和吸引消费者。Zeta 盈利，为 1,000 多名客户提供服务，到 2020 年将提供大约 5 亿次广告展示。</blockquote></p><p> Online luxury goods marketplace&nbsp;<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.</p><p><blockquote>在线奢侈品市场<b>1stDibs</b>(DIBS) 计划以 7.73 亿美元的市值筹集 1.12 亿美元。1stDibs连接古董、古董和当代家具、家居装饰、珠宝、手表、艺术和时尚的买家和卖家。2020 年，该市场在过去一年中有超过 58,000 名买家进行了购买，平均每年总购买金额超过 5,500 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Chinese online tutoring platform&nbsp;<b>Zhangmen Education</b>(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>中文在线辅导平台<b>掌门教育</b>(ZME) 计划以 19 亿美元的市值筹集 4300 万美元。掌门教育表示，自2017年以来，按收入计算，它一直是中国最大的在线K-12辅导服务提供商，2020年市场份额为32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d771f02e44d9d489ff772f1577280332\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"666\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Street research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.</p><p><blockquote>预计将对 6 家公司进行街头调查，多达 11 家公司的禁售期将到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至2021年6月3日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌6.0%，而标普500上涨11.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括Zoom Video (ZM) 和优步 (UBER)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 1.1%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.5%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Nexi 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TASK":"TaskUs Inc.","MNDY":"Monday.com Ltd.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DIBS":"1stdibs.com Inc.","ZETA":"Zeta Global Holdings Corp.","ZME":"掌门教育",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BZ":"BOSS直聘","MQ":"Marqeta, Inc.","LFST":"LifeStance Health Group, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82421/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-payments-mental-health-services-and-more-in-a-div","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106312903","content_text":"Summary\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap.\n\nEight IPOs are currently slated to raise $3.7 billion, featuring digital payments, mental health services, and more.\nPayments platform Marqeta(MQ) plans to raise $1.0 billion at a $12.4 billion market cap. The company's platform allows businesses to launch and manage their own card programs, issue cards to their customers or end users, and authorize and settle transactions. Marqeta is fast growing and counts names like Affirm (AFRM) and DoorDash (DASH) among its customers.\nChinese online recruitment platform Kanzhun(BZ) plans to raise $864 million at an $8.2 billion market cap. Kanzhun's core product, BOSS Zhipin, is a mobile-native platform that promotes direct chats between job seekers and enterprise clients. The company claims it was the largest online recruitment platform in China by MAUs in 2020.\nMental health services provider LifeStance Health(LFST) plans to raise $640 million at a $6.1 billion market cap. LifeStance states that it has built one of the nation's largest outpatient mental health platforms, employing over 3,300 licensed mental health clinicians across 73 MSAs in 27 states as of March 31, 2021. The company has demonstrated growth, though EBIT turned negative in the 1Q21.\nIsrael’s monday.com(MNDY) plans to raise $490 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. monday.com allows organizations to easily build software applications and work management tools that fit their needs. As of March 31, 2021, it served nearly 128,000 customers across over 200 industries in more than 190 countries. Salesforce and Zoom plan to invest a combined $150 million in a concurrent private placement.\nBPO vendor TaskUs(TASK) plans to raise $304 million at a $2.5 billion market cap. TaskUs is a digital business services outsourcer, providing digital customer experience services, content security services, and artificial intelligence operations. Profitable with strong growth, the company had over 100 clients as of December 31, 2020.\nData-driven marketing platform Zeta Global(ZETA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company’s Zeta Marketing Platform uses identity data to target, connect, and engage consumers across email, social media, web, chat, connected TV, video, and other channels. Zeta is profitable and serves more than 1,000 customers, delivering roughly 500 million ad impressions in 2020.\nOnline luxury goods marketplace 1stDibs(DIBS) plans to raise $112 million at a $773 million market cap. 1stDibs connects buyers and sellers of vintage, antique, and contemporary furniture, home decor, jewelry, watches, art, and fashion. In 2020, the marketplace had more than 58,000 buyers who had made a purchase in the past year, with an average aggregate purchase per year of over $5,500.\nChinese online tutoring platform Zhangmen Education(ZME) plans to raise $43 million at a $1.9 billion market cap. Zhangmen Education states that it has been the largest online K-12 tutoring service provider in China by revenue since 2017, claiming a 32% market share in 2020.\n\nStreet research is expected for six companies, and lock-up periods will be expiring for up to 11 companies.\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 6/3/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 6.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 11.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Zoom Video (ZM) and Uber (UBER). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 1.1% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.5%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Nexi and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LFST":0.9,"ZME":0.9,"MNDY":0.9,"MQ":0.9,"TASK":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DIBS":0.9,"ZETA":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"BZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116521025,"gmtCreate":1622812946767,"gmtModify":1634097775266,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Interesting&nbsp;","text":"Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116521025","repostId":"1129306378","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129306378","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622807232,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129306378?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ARKX Will Be ARK's Most Resilient ETF During The Coming Great Valuation Reset<blockquote>在即将到来的重大估值重置期间，ARKX 将成为 ARK 最具弹性的 ETF</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129306378","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nInitial jobless claims is an important metric to follow because the Fed will taper and rais","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Initial jobless claims is an important metric to follow because the Fed will taper and raise interest rates when substantial progress is made towards maximum employment and 2% normalized inflation.</li>  <li>May's jobless claim (385,000) came in lower than consensus estimates (393,000), which suggests that substantial progress has been made and a great valuation reset will likely follow.</li>  <li>One way to mitigate devaluation during the great reset is to rotate into cash- or value-oriented stocks because companies with visible earnings sustain less devaluation from higher required return.</li>  <li>This article found that ARKX is most resilient to devaluation&nbsp;compared to other ARK ETFs&nbsp;because its holdings have the highest margin of safety (lowest PS ratio and PE ratio).</li>  <li>However, investors should note that ARKX has higher liquidity risk when interest rates rise due to higher exposure to aviation and negative net interest income.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe701ac0b2ef85e4c0d697823b9c964a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"461\"><span>Photo by ra2studio/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首次申请失业救济人数是一个重要的指标，因为当在实现最大就业和 2% 正常化通胀方面取得实质性进展时，美联储将缩减利率并提高利率。</li><li>5 月份申请失业救济人数（385,000 人）低于市场普遍预期（393,000 人），这表明已经取得了实质性进展，随后可能会进行重大估值调整。</li><li>在大重置期间减轻贬值的一种方法是转向现金或价值导向型股票，因为具有可见收益的公司由于所需回报较高，贬值幅度较小。</li><li>本文发现，与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 最能抵御贬值，因为其持有的资产具有最高的安全边际（最低的 PS 比率和 PE 比率）。</li><li>然而，投资者应注意，由于航空风险较高和净利息收入为负，当利率上升时，ARKX 具有较高的流动性风险。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 ra2studio/iStock 提供，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> Unemployment is a very closely monitored metric because of its significant implication on the stock market. According to Jerome Powell's&nbsp;guidance, the Fed will only consider tapering QE and increasing interest rates after substantial progress towards maximum employment and a normalized 2% inflation rate.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是一个受到密切监控的指标，因为它对股票市场有着重大影响。根据杰罗姆·鲍威尔的指导，美联储只有在实现最大就业和2%通胀率正常化取得实质性进展后，才会考虑缩减量化宽松和提高利率。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts&nbsp;are speculating that the Fed will taper and increase interest rates as soon as this&nbsp;year-end. The initial jobless claims in May may have just validated their prediction. The jobless claim numbers&nbsp;released&nbsp;on Thursday are considered to be substantial progress for 2 reasons. Firstly, it fell below 400,000 for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic. Secondly, the number (385,000) came lower than the consensus estimate (393,000).</p><p><blockquote>分析师猜测，美联储最快将在今年年底缩减和加息规模。5月份的首次申请失业救济人数可能刚刚证实了他们的预测。周四公布的失业救济人数被认为是实质性进展，原因有二。首先，自 Covid-19 大流行以来首次跌破 40 万。其次，这一数字（385,000）低于普遍估计（393,000）。</blockquote></p><p> If the analysts' predictions are realized, the great valuation that we all fear will very likely follow. In such circumstances, value-oriented stocks with strong and visible earnings will be more resilient than growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师的预测成真，我们都担心的大估值很可能会随之而来。在这种情况下，盈利强劲且可见的价值导向型股票将比成长型股票更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Cathie Wood ARK ETFs are known to focus on innovation and growth. She&nbsp;said&nbsp;that:</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，Cathie Wood ARK ETF 专注于创新和增长。她说：</blockquote></p><p>   I do believe if rates were to take a sharp turn up, that we would see a valuation reset and our portfolios would be prime candidates for that valuation reset of course.  However, at that time, the ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF(BATS:ARKX)has not been established yet. Therefore, ARKX may not be one of the prime candidates for a valuation reset. Furthermore, Cathie Wood said that investors could find many value-oriented stocks in ARKX. This should mean that ARKX should be more resilient than the other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>我确实相信，如果利率大幅上升，我们将看到估值重置，而我们的投资组合当然将是估值重置的主要候选者。然而，当时方舟太空探索与创新ETF（BATS:ARKX）尚未成立。因此，ARKX 可能不是估值重置的主要候选者之一。此外，Cathie Wood表示，投资者可以在ARKX中找到许多价值导向的股票。这意味着 ARKX 应该比其他 ARK ETF 更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, this article examines how resilient ARKX is compared to the other ARK ETFs during a valuation reset.</p><p><blockquote>因此，本文研究了 ARKX 在估值重置期间与其他 ARK ETF 相比的弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1: Initial Jobless Claims</p><p><blockquote>图表 1：首次申请失业救济人数</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0522f63354ea6311fae61781d375935\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"><span>Source:CNBC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What is ARKX in the eyes of its creator?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在它的创造者眼中，ARKX是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> According to&nbsp;Cathie Wood, ARKX is currently mainly connectivity and precision agriculture with autonomous tractors and drones. These applications are powered by a common technology, a constellation of satellites. Other than connectivity and precision agriculture, hypersonic flights are also what ARKX is very interested in, and the involved companies tend to be value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>据 Cathie Wood 介绍，ARKX 目前主要从事连接和精准农业，配备自动驾驶拖拉机和无人机。这些应用是由一种共同的技术——卫星星座——驱动的。除了互联互通和精准农业，高超音速飞行也是ARKX非常感兴趣的，涉及的公司往往是价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, ARKX's holdings are built around companies involved in those supply chains. ARKX's holdings as of 3rd June 2021 are presented in Table 1.</p><p><blockquote>因此，ARKX 的持股是围绕参与这些供应链的公司建立的。ARKX截至2021年6月3日的持股情况如表1所示。</blockquote></p><p> Table 1: ARKX's holdings as of 3rd June 2021</p><p><blockquote>表 1:ARKX 截至 2021 年 6 月 3 日的持股情况</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1ff2f8e3046c7211d1b9738878e7c64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"495\"><span>Source:ARK Invest</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：方舟投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>How do we examine a fund's resilience?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们如何检查基金的弹性？</b></blockquote></p><p> We're going to examine ARKX's resilience using the following metrics:</p><p><blockquote>我们将使用以下指标来检查 ARKX 的弹性：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Distribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Distribution of P/E ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Net interest income of each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Operating cash flow of each fund's top 10 holdings</li> </ul> These metrics are chosen using the following rationale:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>各基金前10大重仓股中盈利公司分布情况</li><li>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</li><li>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</li><li>各基金前10大持仓的净利息收入</li><li>各基金前10大持仓的经营现金流量</li></ul>这些指标的选择依据如下：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>Profitable companies are less prone to valuation reset. Therefore, funds that hold more profitable companies are less prone to valuation reset as well. P/E and P/S ratios are chosen as a measurement of valuation.</li>  <li>Net interest income shows how much interest expense is incurred by the company. In contrast, companies with positive operating cash flow are less likely to borrow money when the cost of capital is expensive. Free cash flow isn't used because free cash flow can be derived from the sale of assets or financing.</li> </ul> <b>How resilient is ARKX in a valuation reset compared to other ARK ETFs?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>盈利的公司不太可能进行估值重置。因此，持有更多盈利公司的基金也不太可能进行估值重置。市盈率和市盈率被选为估值的衡量标准。</li><li>净利息收入显示公司产生了多少利息支出。相比之下，当资本成本昂贵时，经营现金流为正的公司不太可能借钱。不使用自由现金流，因为自由现金流可以从资产出售或融资中获得。</li></ul><b>与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 在估值重置方面的弹性如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大重仓股中盈利公司分布情况</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 to Chart 5 illustrates the PE ratio of ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. PE ratios of loss-making companies are not applicable. The distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings is presented in Table 2. We can observe that only 66% of ARKX's top 10 holdings are profitable. This is incomplete as the degree of profitability relative to its valuation is not considered.</p><p><blockquote>图 2 至图 5 显示了 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的市盈率。亏损公司的市盈率不适用。各基金前10大重仓股中盈利公司分布如表2所示。我们可以观察到，ARKX 前 10 名持股中只有 66% 是盈利的。这是不完整的，因为没有考虑相对于其估值的盈利程度。</blockquote></p><p> Table 2: Distribution of Profitable Companies</p><p><blockquote>表2：盈利公司分布</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Funds</td>    <td>Distribution of Profitable Companies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKX</td>    <td>66%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKK/ARKW]]</td>    <td>60%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKQ</td>    <td>80%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKF</td>    <td>70%</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: Author, YCharts</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>资金</td><td>盈利公司分布</td></tr><tr><td>方舟</td><td>66%</td></tr><tr><td>方舟/方舟]]</td><td>60%</td></tr><tr><td>阿克克</td><td>80%</td></tr><tr><td>阿克夫</td><td>70%</td></tr></tbody></table>资料来源：作者，YCharts</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</b></blockquote></p><p> PE ratio reflects a company's degree of profitability relative to its valuation. Our perspective changed when we consider the PE ratio of the funds' top 10 holdings. We observed that the PE ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings is significantly lower than other ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. This implies that ARKX's holdings have the highest margin of safety, such that ARKX is the least prone to sharp decline compared to other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>市盈率反映了公司相对于其估值的盈利程度。当我们考虑基金前 10 只持股的市盈率时，我们的观点发生了变化。我们观察到，ARKX 前 10 名持股的市盈率明显低于其他 ARK ETF 前 10 名持股。这意味着 ARKX 的持有量具有最高的安全边际，因此与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 最不容易出现大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 2: PE ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 2：ARKX 前 10 大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d8c0516a04a4a867dc54427ef34c0d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3: PE ratio of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表3：ARKK/ARKW前10大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a88c68635ccc1bf173eab00cc98edf\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4: PE ratio of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 4：ARKQ 前 10 大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/754341910a51fce58308754d87316cba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 5: PE ratio of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图5：ARKF前10大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce029b11165323683df57983ffce549d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"564\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Distribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the loss-making companies from ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings are not considered when analyzing PE ratio, we examine their PS ratio for a more robust comparison. Chart 6 to Chart 9 represents the PS ratio of ARK ETF's top 10 holdings.</p><p><blockquote>由于在分析市盈率时没有考虑 ARK ETF 前 10 名持股中的亏损公司，因此我们检查了它们的市盈率，以进行更可靠的比较。图 6 至图 9 代表 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> The conclusion from the PS ratio comparison aligns with the PE ratio comparison. ARKX's top 10 holdings have the lowest PS ratio than the top 10 holdings of other ARK ETFs. This also implies that ARKX has the highest margin of safety compared to other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>PS比率比较的结论与PE比率比较一致。与其他 ARK ETF 的前 10 名持股相比，ARKX 的前 10 名持股的市盈率最低。这也意味着与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 具有最高的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 6: PS ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 6：ARKX 前 10 名持股的 PS 比率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52762a7f513a9d130f9afd83ee2f5318\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 7: PS ratio of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 7：ARKK/ARKW 前 10 名持股的市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb55b54a5fe68eec46705578de503ef\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 8: PS ratio of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 8：ARKQ 前 10 名持股的 PS 比率</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f640f1c7f7ade55aa406911da9db2374\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 9: PS ratio of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 9：ARKF 前 10 名持股的 PS 比率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6451ac91204829c35c47989cb4f6a696\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"561\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Net interest income of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大持仓的净利息收入</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 10 to Chart 13 represents the net interest income of ARK ETF's top 10 holdings. The higher the net interest income, the better. This is because higher interest rates will boost both interest income and interest expense.</p><p><blockquote>图 10 至图 13 代表 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的净利息收入。净利息收入越高越好。这是因为较高的利率将增加利息收入和利息支出。</blockquote></p><p> ARKX's top 10 holdings have the worse net interest income, where only 1 of the 10 companies enjoys positive net interest income. We found that this is due to higher exposure to aviation-related companies. For instance, Boeing (BA) has taken a $13.8bil loan to help deal with cash burns due to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>ARKX 前 10 名持股公司的净利息收入最差，10 家公司中只有 1 家公司的净利息收入为正。我们发现这是由于对航空相关公司的敞口较高所致。例如，波音公司 (BA) 已获得 138 亿美元贷款，以帮助应对疫情造成的现金消耗。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Nevertheless, ARKX's holdings are likely to suffer more interest expense (and decreased earnings) as the Fed&nbsp;starts&nbsp;selling corporate bonds and raise interest rates. If interest rates become too burdensome, these holdings might even face higher liquidity risks than other ARK ETFs' holdings. Therefore, ARKX is not as resilient to rising interest rates compared to other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着美联储开始出售公司债券并提高利率，ARKX 持有的股票可能会遭受更多利息支出（以及收益下降）。如果利率变得过于沉重，这些持有的资产甚至可能面临比其他 ARK ETF 持有的资产更高的流动性风险。因此，与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 对利率上升的弹性不如其他 ARK ETF。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 10: Net Interest Income of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 10：ARKX 前 10 名持股的净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aae97de917f8f8453ddc2122842575c3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 11: Net Interest Income of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 11：ARKK/ARKW 十大持股净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91020c77a6f72b41e4e2f751d792cc9b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 12: Net Interest Income of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 12：ARKQ 前 10 名持股的净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3127f54419a06a34266c0ff575b051e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"561\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 13: Net Interest Income of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 13：ARKF 前 10 名持股的净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4078bb131d967717ec7b7b8abe6c2fc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Operating cash flow of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大持仓的经营现金流量</b></blockquote></p><p> In terms of cash flow from operating activities, the top 10 holdings of ARK ETFs have similar performance, except Boeing. This means that ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings can generate cash flow from its core business. Hence it is less likely that the companies will require debt for operation when interest rates rise. No standout winner in this category.</p><p><blockquote>在经营活动现金流方面，除波音外，前10大持仓方舟ETF的表现相似。这意味着方舟ETF的前10大持股可以从其核心业务中产生现金流。因此，当利率上升时，公司不太可能需要债务来运营。这个类别没有突出的赢家。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 14: Operating cash flow of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 14：ARKX 前 10 名持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97cfa80d6884328c6b12398286388af1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 15: Operating cash flow of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 15：ARKK/ARKW 前 10 名持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865551e5dfc447955b74b3a08dddffaf\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 16: Operating cash flow of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 16：ARKQ 十大持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51cc4f2b3d1d067ae8a19638c12c534b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"561\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 17: Operating cash flow of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 17：ARKF 十大持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6e8f179f43f3be1ad1efc323a038e7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"564\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion and final remark</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论和结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> May's initial jobless claims can be considered as the substantial progress the Fed is referring to. A great valuation will likely follow in the event of the Fed's taper tantrum and rising interest rates. Therefore, it is important to rotate into cash- or value-oriented stock as companies with visible earnings will sustain less devaluation from higher required returns.</p><p><blockquote>五月的首次申请失业救济人数可以被视为美联储所指的实质性进展。如果美联储出现缩减规模和加息，估值可能会很高。因此，转向现金或价值导向型股票非常重要，因为具有可见收益的公司将因较高的所需回报而减少贬值。</blockquote></p><p> Cathie Wood claimed that ARKX has a lot of value-oriented companies. This is true, as evident from the PS ratio and PE ratio of ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. Therefore, ARKX is indeed more resilient to devaluation from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 声称 ARKX 有很多以价值为导向的公司。这是事实，从 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的市盈率和市盈率就可以看出这一点。因此，ARKX 确实更能抵御利率上升带来的贬值。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors should note that ARKX's holdings are more prone to liquidity risks as its holdings are more exposed to aviation-related companies such as Boeing.</p><p><blockquote>不过，投资者应该注意，ARKX的持股更容易面临流动性风险，因为其持股更多的是波音等航空相关公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ARKX Will Be ARK's Most Resilient ETF During The Coming Great Valuation Reset<blockquote>在即将到来的重大估值重置期间，ARKX 将成为 ARK 最具弹性的 ETF</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nARKX Will Be ARK's Most Resilient ETF During The Coming Great Valuation Reset<blockquote>在即将到来的重大估值重置期间，ARKX 将成为 ARK 最具弹性的 ETF</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 19:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Initial jobless claims is an important metric to follow because the Fed will taper and raise interest rates when substantial progress is made towards maximum employment and 2% normalized inflation.</li>  <li>May's jobless claim (385,000) came in lower than consensus estimates (393,000), which suggests that substantial progress has been made and a great valuation reset will likely follow.</li>  <li>One way to mitigate devaluation during the great reset is to rotate into cash- or value-oriented stocks because companies with visible earnings sustain less devaluation from higher required return.</li>  <li>This article found that ARKX is most resilient to devaluation&nbsp;compared to other ARK ETFs&nbsp;because its holdings have the highest margin of safety (lowest PS ratio and PE ratio).</li>  <li>However, investors should note that ARKX has higher liquidity risk when interest rates rise due to higher exposure to aviation and negative net interest income.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe701ac0b2ef85e4c0d697823b9c964a\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"461\"><span>Photo by ra2studio/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首次申请失业救济人数是一个重要的指标，因为当在实现最大就业和 2% 正常化通胀方面取得实质性进展时，美联储将缩减利率并提高利率。</li><li>5 月份申请失业救济人数（385,000 人）低于市场普遍预期（393,000 人），这表明已经取得了实质性进展，随后可能会进行重大估值调整。</li><li>在大重置期间减轻贬值的一种方法是转向现金或价值导向型股票，因为具有可见收益的公司由于所需回报较高，贬值幅度较小。</li><li>本文发现，与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 最能抵御贬值，因为其持有的资产具有最高的安全边际（最低的 PS 比率和 PE 比率）。</li><li>然而，投资者应注意，由于航空风险较高和净利息收入为负，当利率上升时，ARKX 具有较高的流动性风险。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 ra2studio/iStock 提供，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> Unemployment is a very closely monitored metric because of its significant implication on the stock market. According to Jerome Powell's&nbsp;guidance, the Fed will only consider tapering QE and increasing interest rates after substantial progress towards maximum employment and a normalized 2% inflation rate.</p><p><blockquote>失业率是一个受到密切监控的指标，因为它对股票市场有着重大影响。根据杰罗姆·鲍威尔的指导，美联储只有在实现最大就业和2%通胀率正常化取得实质性进展后，才会考虑缩减量化宽松和提高利率。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts&nbsp;are speculating that the Fed will taper and increase interest rates as soon as this&nbsp;year-end. The initial jobless claims in May may have just validated their prediction. The jobless claim numbers&nbsp;released&nbsp;on Thursday are considered to be substantial progress for 2 reasons. Firstly, it fell below 400,000 for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic. Secondly, the number (385,000) came lower than the consensus estimate (393,000).</p><p><blockquote>分析师猜测，美联储最快将在今年年底缩减和加息规模。5月份的首次申请失业救济人数可能刚刚证实了他们的预测。周四公布的失业救济人数被认为是实质性进展，原因有二。首先，自 Covid-19 大流行以来首次跌破 40 万。其次，这一数字（385,000）低于普遍估计（393,000）。</blockquote></p><p> If the analysts' predictions are realized, the great valuation that we all fear will very likely follow. In such circumstances, value-oriented stocks with strong and visible earnings will be more resilient than growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师的预测成真，我们都担心的大估值很可能会随之而来。在这种情况下，盈利强劲且可见的价值导向型股票将比成长型股票更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Cathie Wood ARK ETFs are known to focus on innovation and growth. She&nbsp;said&nbsp;that:</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，Cathie Wood ARK ETF 专注于创新和增长。她说：</blockquote></p><p>   I do believe if rates were to take a sharp turn up, that we would see a valuation reset and our portfolios would be prime candidates for that valuation reset of course.  However, at that time, the ARK Space Exploration &amp; Innovation ETF(BATS:ARKX)has not been established yet. Therefore, ARKX may not be one of the prime candidates for a valuation reset. Furthermore, Cathie Wood said that investors could find many value-oriented stocks in ARKX. This should mean that ARKX should be more resilient than the other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>我确实相信，如果利率大幅上升，我们将看到估值重置，而我们的投资组合当然将是估值重置的主要候选者。然而，当时方舟太空探索与创新ETF（BATS:ARKX）尚未成立。因此，ARKX 可能不是估值重置的主要候选者之一。此外，Cathie Wood表示，投资者可以在ARKX中找到许多价值导向的股票。这意味着 ARKX 应该比其他 ARK ETF 更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, this article examines how resilient ARKX is compared to the other ARK ETFs during a valuation reset.</p><p><blockquote>因此，本文研究了 ARKX 在估值重置期间与其他 ARK ETF 相比的弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1: Initial Jobless Claims</p><p><blockquote>图表 1：首次申请失业救济人数</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0522f63354ea6311fae61781d375935\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"><span>Source:CNBC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：CNBC</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What is ARKX in the eyes of its creator?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在它的创造者眼中，ARKX是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> According to&nbsp;Cathie Wood, ARKX is currently mainly connectivity and precision agriculture with autonomous tractors and drones. These applications are powered by a common technology, a constellation of satellites. Other than connectivity and precision agriculture, hypersonic flights are also what ARKX is very interested in, and the involved companies tend to be value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>据 Cathie Wood 介绍，ARKX 目前主要从事连接和精准农业，配备自动驾驶拖拉机和无人机。这些应用是由一种共同的技术——卫星星座——驱动的。除了互联互通和精准农业，高超音速飞行也是ARKX非常感兴趣的，涉及的公司往往是价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, ARKX's holdings are built around companies involved in those supply chains. ARKX's holdings as of 3rd June 2021 are presented in Table 1.</p><p><blockquote>因此，ARKX 的持股是围绕参与这些供应链的公司建立的。ARKX截至2021年6月3日的持股情况如表1所示。</blockquote></p><p> Table 1: ARKX's holdings as of 3rd June 2021</p><p><blockquote>表 1:ARKX 截至 2021 年 6 月 3 日的持股情况</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1ff2f8e3046c7211d1b9738878e7c64\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"495\"><span>Source:ARK Invest</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：方舟投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>How do we examine a fund's resilience?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们如何检查基金的弹性？</b></blockquote></p><p> We're going to examine ARKX's resilience using the following metrics:</p><p><blockquote>我们将使用以下指标来检查 ARKX 的弹性：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Distribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Distribution of P/E ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Net interest income of each fund's top 10 holdings</li>  <li>Operating cash flow of each fund's top 10 holdings</li> </ul> These metrics are chosen using the following rationale:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>各基金前10大重仓股中盈利公司分布情况</li><li>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</li><li>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</li><li>各基金前10大持仓的净利息收入</li><li>各基金前10大持仓的经营现金流量</li></ul>这些指标的选择依据如下：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>Profitable companies are less prone to valuation reset. Therefore, funds that hold more profitable companies are less prone to valuation reset as well. P/E and P/S ratios are chosen as a measurement of valuation.</li>  <li>Net interest income shows how much interest expense is incurred by the company. In contrast, companies with positive operating cash flow are less likely to borrow money when the cost of capital is expensive. Free cash flow isn't used because free cash flow can be derived from the sale of assets or financing.</li> </ul> <b>How resilient is ARKX in a valuation reset compared to other ARK ETFs?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>盈利的公司不太可能进行估值重置。因此，持有更多盈利公司的基金也不太可能进行估值重置。市盈率和市盈率被选为估值的衡量标准。</li><li>净利息收入显示公司产生了多少利息支出。相比之下，当资本成本昂贵时，经营现金流为正的公司不太可能借钱。不使用自由现金流，因为自由现金流可以从资产出售或融资中获得。</li></ul><b>与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 在估值重置方面的弹性如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大重仓股中盈利公司分布情况</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 to Chart 5 illustrates the PE ratio of ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. PE ratios of loss-making companies are not applicable. The distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings is presented in Table 2. We can observe that only 66% of ARKX's top 10 holdings are profitable. This is incomplete as the degree of profitability relative to its valuation is not considered.</p><p><blockquote>图 2 至图 5 显示了 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的市盈率。亏损公司的市盈率不适用。各基金前10大重仓股中盈利公司分布如表2所示。我们可以观察到，ARKX 前 10 名持股中只有 66% 是盈利的。这是不完整的，因为没有考虑相对于其估值的盈利程度。</blockquote></p><p> Table 2: Distribution of Profitable Companies</p><p><blockquote>表2：盈利公司分布</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Funds</td>    <td>Distribution of Profitable Companies</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKX</td>    <td>66%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKK/ARKW]]</td>    <td>60%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKQ</td>    <td>80%</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>ARKF</td>    <td>70%</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> Source: Author, YCharts</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td>资金</td><td>盈利公司分布</td></tr><tr><td>方舟</td><td>66%</td></tr><tr><td>方舟/方舟]]</td><td>60%</td></tr><tr><td>阿克克</td><td>80%</td></tr><tr><td>阿克夫</td><td>70%</td></tr></tbody></table>资料来源：作者，YCharts</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</b></blockquote></p><p> PE ratio reflects a company's degree of profitability relative to its valuation. Our perspective changed when we consider the PE ratio of the funds' top 10 holdings. We observed that the PE ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings is significantly lower than other ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. This implies that ARKX's holdings have the highest margin of safety, such that ARKX is the least prone to sharp decline compared to other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>市盈率反映了公司相对于其估值的盈利程度。当我们考虑基金前 10 只持股的市盈率时，我们的观点发生了变化。我们观察到，ARKX 前 10 名持股的市盈率明显低于其他 ARK ETF 前 10 名持股。这意味着 ARKX 的持有量具有最高的安全边际，因此与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 最不容易出现大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 2: PE ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 2：ARKX 前 10 大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d8c0516a04a4a867dc54427ef34c0d6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3: PE ratio of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表3：ARKK/ARKW前10大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a88c68635ccc1bf173eab00cc98edf\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4: PE ratio of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 4：ARKQ 前 10 大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/754341910a51fce58308754d87316cba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 5: PE ratio of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图5：ARKF前10大持股市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce029b11165323683df57983ffce549d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"564\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Distribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大重仓股市盈率分布</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the loss-making companies from ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings are not considered when analyzing PE ratio, we examine their PS ratio for a more robust comparison. Chart 6 to Chart 9 represents the PS ratio of ARK ETF's top 10 holdings.</p><p><blockquote>由于在分析市盈率时没有考虑 ARK ETF 前 10 名持股中的亏损公司，因此我们检查了它们的市盈率，以进行更可靠的比较。图 6 至图 9 代表 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的市盈率。</blockquote></p><p> The conclusion from the PS ratio comparison aligns with the PE ratio comparison. ARKX's top 10 holdings have the lowest PS ratio than the top 10 holdings of other ARK ETFs. This also implies that ARKX has the highest margin of safety compared to other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>PS比率比较的结论与PE比率比较一致。与其他 ARK ETF 的前 10 名持股相比，ARKX 的前 10 名持股的市盈率最低。这也意味着与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 具有最高的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 6: PS ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 6：ARKX 前 10 名持股的 PS 比率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52762a7f513a9d130f9afd83ee2f5318\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 7: PS ratio of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 7：ARKK/ARKW 前 10 名持股的市盈率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddb55b54a5fe68eec46705578de503ef\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 8: PS ratio of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 8：ARKQ 前 10 名持股的 PS 比率</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f640f1c7f7ade55aa406911da9db2374\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"556\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 9: PS ratio of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 9：ARKF 前 10 名持股的 PS 比率</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6451ac91204829c35c47989cb4f6a696\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"561\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Net interest income of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大持仓的净利息收入</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 10 to Chart 13 represents the net interest income of ARK ETF's top 10 holdings. The higher the net interest income, the better. This is because higher interest rates will boost both interest income and interest expense.</p><p><blockquote>图 10 至图 13 代表 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的净利息收入。净利息收入越高越好。这是因为较高的利率将增加利息收入和利息支出。</blockquote></p><p> ARKX's top 10 holdings have the worse net interest income, where only 1 of the 10 companies enjoys positive net interest income. We found that this is due to higher exposure to aviation-related companies. For instance, Boeing (BA) has taken a $13.8bil loan to help deal with cash burns due to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>ARKX 前 10 名持股公司的净利息收入最差，10 家公司中只有 1 家公司的净利息收入为正。我们发现这是由于对航空相关公司的敞口较高所致。例如，波音公司 (BA) 已获得 138 亿美元贷款，以帮助应对疫情造成的现金消耗。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Nevertheless, ARKX's holdings are likely to suffer more interest expense (and decreased earnings) as the Fed&nbsp;starts&nbsp;selling corporate bonds and raise interest rates. If interest rates become too burdensome, these holdings might even face higher liquidity risks than other ARK ETFs' holdings. Therefore, ARKX is not as resilient to rising interest rates compared to other ARK ETFs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，随着美联储开始出售公司债券并提高利率，ARKX 持有的股票可能会遭受更多利息支出（以及收益下降）。如果利率变得过于沉重，这些持有的资产甚至可能面临比其他 ARK ETF 持有的资产更高的流动性风险。因此，与其他 ARK ETF 相比，ARKX 对利率上升的弹性不如其他 ARK ETF。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 10: Net Interest Income of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 10：ARKX 前 10 名持股的净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aae97de917f8f8453ddc2122842575c3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 11: Net Interest Income of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 11：ARKK/ARKW 十大持股净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91020c77a6f72b41e4e2f751d792cc9b\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 12: Net Interest Income of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 12：ARKQ 前 10 名持股的净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3127f54419a06a34266c0ff575b051e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"561\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 13: Net Interest Income of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 13：ARKF 前 10 名持股的净利息收入</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4078bb131d967717ec7b7b8abe6c2fc7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Operating cash flow of each fund's top 10 holdings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>各基金前10大持仓的经营现金流量</b></blockquote></p><p> In terms of cash flow from operating activities, the top 10 holdings of ARK ETFs have similar performance, except Boeing. This means that ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings can generate cash flow from its core business. Hence it is less likely that the companies will require debt for operation when interest rates rise. No standout winner in this category.</p><p><blockquote>在经营活动现金流方面，除波音外，前10大持仓方舟ETF的表现相似。这意味着方舟ETF的前10大持股可以从其核心业务中产生现金流。因此，当利率上升时，公司不太可能需要债务来运营。这个类别没有突出的赢家。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 14: Operating cash flow of ARKX's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 14：ARKX 前 10 名持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97cfa80d6884328c6b12398286388af1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"538\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 15: Operating cash flow of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 15：ARKK/ARKW 前 10 名持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865551e5dfc447955b74b3a08dddffaf\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"555\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 16: Operating cash flow of ARKQ's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 16：ARKQ 十大持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51cc4f2b3d1d067ae8a19638c12c534b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"561\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Chart 17: Operating cash flow of ARKF's top 10 holdings</p><p><blockquote>图表 17：ARKF 十大持股的经营现金流</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6e8f179f43f3be1ad1efc323a038e7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"564\"><span>Sources: YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion and final remark</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论和结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> May's initial jobless claims can be considered as the substantial progress the Fed is referring to. A great valuation will likely follow in the event of the Fed's taper tantrum and rising interest rates. Therefore, it is important to rotate into cash- or value-oriented stock as companies with visible earnings will sustain less devaluation from higher required returns.</p><p><blockquote>五月的首次申请失业救济人数可以被视为美联储所指的实质性进展。如果美联储出现缩减规模和加息，估值可能会很高。因此，转向现金或价值导向型股票非常重要，因为具有可见收益的公司将因较高的所需回报而减少贬值。</blockquote></p><p> Cathie Wood claimed that ARKX has a lot of value-oriented companies. This is true, as evident from the PS ratio and PE ratio of ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. Therefore, ARKX is indeed more resilient to devaluation from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood 声称 ARKX 有很多以价值为导向的公司。这是事实，从 ARK ETF 前 10 只持股的市盈率和市盈率就可以看出这一点。因此，ARKX 确实更能抵御利率上升带来的贬值。</blockquote></p><p> However, investors should note that ARKX's holdings are more prone to liquidity risks as its holdings are more exposed to aviation-related companies such as Boeing.</p><p><blockquote>不过，投资者应该注意，ARKX的持股更容易面临流动性风险，因为其持股更多的是波音等航空相关公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433079-arkx-ark-most-resilient-etf-great-valuation-reset\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKX":"ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433079-arkx-ark-most-resilient-etf-great-valuation-reset","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129306378","content_text":"Summary\n\nInitial jobless claims is an important metric to follow because the Fed will taper and raise interest rates when substantial progress is made towards maximum employment and 2% normalized inflation.\nMay's jobless claim (385,000) came in lower than consensus estimates (393,000), which suggests that substantial progress has been made and a great valuation reset will likely follow.\nOne way to mitigate devaluation during the great reset is to rotate into cash- or value-oriented stocks because companies with visible earnings sustain less devaluation from higher required return.\nThis article found that ARKX is most resilient to devaluation compared to other ARK ETFs because its holdings have the highest margin of safety (lowest PS ratio and PE ratio).\nHowever, investors should note that ARKX has higher liquidity risk when interest rates rise due to higher exposure to aviation and negative net interest income.\n\nPhoto by ra2studio/iStock via Getty Images\nBackground\nUnemployment is a very closely monitored metric because of its significant implication on the stock market. According to Jerome Powell's guidance, the Fed will only consider tapering QE and increasing interest rates after substantial progress towards maximum employment and a normalized 2% inflation rate.\nAnalysts are speculating that the Fed will taper and increase interest rates as soon as this year-end. The initial jobless claims in May may have just validated their prediction. The jobless claim numbers released on Thursday are considered to be substantial progress for 2 reasons. Firstly, it fell below 400,000 for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic. Secondly, the number (385,000) came lower than the consensus estimate (393,000).\nIf the analysts' predictions are realized, the great valuation that we all fear will very likely follow. In such circumstances, value-oriented stocks with strong and visible earnings will be more resilient than growth stocks.\nCathie Wood ARK ETFs are known to focus on innovation and growth. She said that:\n\n I do believe if rates were to take a sharp turn up, that we would see a valuation reset and our portfolios would be prime candidates for that valuation reset of course.\n\nHowever, at that time, the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF(BATS:ARKX)has not been established yet. Therefore, ARKX may not be one of the prime candidates for a valuation reset. Furthermore, Cathie Wood said that investors could find many value-oriented stocks in ARKX. This should mean that ARKX should be more resilient than the other ARK ETFs.\nTherefore, this article examines how resilient ARKX is compared to the other ARK ETFs during a valuation reset.\nChart 1: Initial Jobless Claims\nSource:CNBC\nWhat is ARKX in the eyes of its creator?\nAccording to Cathie Wood, ARKX is currently mainly connectivity and precision agriculture with autonomous tractors and drones. These applications are powered by a common technology, a constellation of satellites. Other than connectivity and precision agriculture, hypersonic flights are also what ARKX is very interested in, and the involved companies tend to be value stocks.\nTherefore, ARKX's holdings are built around companies involved in those supply chains. ARKX's holdings as of 3rd June 2021 are presented in Table 1.\nTable 1: ARKX's holdings as of 3rd June 2021\nSource:ARK Invest\nHow do we examine a fund's resilience?\nWe're going to examine ARKX's resilience using the following metrics:\n\nDistribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings\nDistribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings\nDistribution of P/E ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings\nNet interest income of each fund's top 10 holdings\nOperating cash flow of each fund's top 10 holdings\n\nThese metrics are chosen using the following rationale:\n\nProfitable companies are less prone to valuation reset. Therefore, funds that hold more profitable companies are less prone to valuation reset as well. P/E and P/S ratios are chosen as a measurement of valuation.\nNet interest income shows how much interest expense is incurred by the company. In contrast, companies with positive operating cash flow are less likely to borrow money when the cost of capital is expensive. Free cash flow isn't used because free cash flow can be derived from the sale of assets or financing.\n\nHow resilient is ARKX in a valuation reset compared to other ARK ETFs?\nDistribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings\nChart 2 to Chart 5 illustrates the PE ratio of ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. PE ratios of loss-making companies are not applicable. The distribution of profitable companies in each fund's top 10 holdings is presented in Table 2. We can observe that only 66% of ARKX's top 10 holdings are profitable. This is incomplete as the degree of profitability relative to its valuation is not considered.\nTable 2: Distribution of Profitable Companies\n\n\n\nFunds\nDistribution of Profitable Companies\n\n\nARKX\n66%\n\n\nARKK/ARKW]]\n60%\n\n\nARKQ\n80%\n\n\nARKF\n70%\n\n\n\nSource: Author, YCharts\nDistribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings\nPE ratio reflects a company's degree of profitability relative to its valuation. Our perspective changed when we consider the PE ratio of the funds' top 10 holdings. We observed that the PE ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings is significantly lower than other ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. This implies that ARKX's holdings have the highest margin of safety, such that ARKX is the least prone to sharp decline compared to other ARK ETFs.\nChart 2: PE ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 3: PE ratio of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 4: PE ratio of ARKQ's top 10 holdings\n\nChart 5: PE ratio of ARKF's top 10 holdings\nSources: YCharts\nDistribution of P/S ratio of each fund's top 10 holdings\nSince the loss-making companies from ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings are not considered when analyzing PE ratio, we examine their PS ratio for a more robust comparison. Chart 6 to Chart 9 represents the PS ratio of ARK ETF's top 10 holdings.\nThe conclusion from the PS ratio comparison aligns with the PE ratio comparison. ARKX's top 10 holdings have the lowest PS ratio than the top 10 holdings of other ARK ETFs. This also implies that ARKX has the highest margin of safety compared to other ARK ETFs.\nChart 6: PS ratio of ARKX's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 7: PS ratio of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 8: PS ratio of ARKQ's top 10 holdings\n\nChart 9: PS ratio of ARKF's top 10 holdings\nSources: YCharts\nNet interest income of each fund's top 10 holdings\nChart 10 to Chart 13 represents the net interest income of ARK ETF's top 10 holdings. The higher the net interest income, the better. This is because higher interest rates will boost both interest income and interest expense.\nARKX's top 10 holdings have the worse net interest income, where only 1 of the 10 companies enjoys positive net interest income. We found that this is due to higher exposure to aviation-related companies. For instance, Boeing (BA) has taken a $13.8bil loan to help deal with cash burns due to the pandemic.\nNevertheless, ARKX's holdings are likely to suffer more interest expense (and decreased earnings) as the Fed starts selling corporate bonds and raise interest rates. If interest rates become too burdensome, these holdings might even face higher liquidity risks than other ARK ETFs' holdings. Therefore, ARKX is not as resilient to rising interest rates compared to other ARK ETFs.\nChart 10: Net Interest Income of ARKX's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 11: Net Interest Income of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 12: Net Interest Income of ARKQ's top 10 holdings\n\nChart 13: Net Interest Income of ARKF's top 10 holdings\nSources: YCharts\nOperating cash flow of each fund's top 10 holdings\nIn terms of cash flow from operating activities, the top 10 holdings of ARK ETFs have similar performance, except Boeing. This means that ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings can generate cash flow from its core business. Hence it is less likely that the companies will require debt for operation when interest rates rise. No standout winner in this category.\nChart 14: Operating cash flow of ARKX's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 15: Operating cash flow of ARKK/ARKW's top 10 holdings\nData by YCharts\nChart 16: Operating cash flow of ARKQ's top 10 holdings\n\nChart 17: Operating cash flow of ARKF's top 10 holdings\nSources: YCharts\nConclusion and final remark\nMay's initial jobless claims can be considered as the substantial progress the Fed is referring to. A great valuation will likely follow in the event of the Fed's taper tantrum and rising interest rates. Therefore, it is important to rotate into cash- or value-oriented stock as companies with visible earnings will sustain less devaluation from higher required returns.\nCathie Wood claimed that ARKX has a lot of value-oriented companies. This is true, as evident from the PS ratio and PE ratio of ARK ETFs' top 10 holdings. Therefore, ARKX is indeed more resilient to devaluation from rising interest rates.\nHowever, investors should note that ARKX's holdings are more prone to liquidity risks as its holdings are more exposed to aviation-related companies such as Boeing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111706495,"gmtCreate":1622696581217,"gmtModify":1634099029860,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go go disney","listText":"Go go disney","text":"Go go 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please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136490910","repostId":"2138113421","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136800755,"gmtCreate":1622002724077,"gmtModify":1634184756941,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136800755","repostId":"1182975704","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182975704","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621990601,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1182975704?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 08:56","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"China’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182975704","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\nChina’s","content":"<p>  The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.  China’s yuan has strengthened to a near-three-year high, boosted by a falling dollar despite attempts by the central bank to keep the currency in check.</p><p><blockquote>该国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，提振了货币。尽管中国央行试图控制人民币汇率，但受美元贬值的提振，人民币汇率已升至近三年来的最高点。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan has been buoyed in recent months by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, and by a rush of international investment into China’s relatively high-yielding markets. The currency has also gained amid abroader bout of dollar weakness.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，中国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，以及国际投资涌入中国相对高收益的市场，都提振了人民币。在美元走软的情况下，该货币也有所上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the offshore yuan strengthened below 6.4 per dollar, as Chinese stocks jumped thanks partly to a surge in foreign buying.</p><p><blockquote>周二，离岸人民币兑美元汇率升至 6.4 以下，中国股市上涨，部分原因是外国买盘激增。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing would want to see slower yuan appreciationto support the economy, which is still fairly dependent on selling goods abroad, said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets. While Chinese exports have surged since last year,a rallying yuan pressures exportersby making their goods more expensive when priced in dollars.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）亚洲外汇策略主管阿尔文·谭（Alvin Tan）表示，北京希望看到人民币升值放缓，以支持经济，因为经济仍然相当依赖海外销售商品。尽管中国出口自去年以来激增，但人民币升值给出口商带来了压力，使他们的商品以美元计价时更加昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Tan said the People’s Bank of China had been “leaning against the strength” of the currency by setting weaker-than-expected reference rates for onshore yuan trading for the past month.</p><p><blockquote>谭先生说，过去一个月，中国人民银行一直在 “倾向于 ”人民币走强，为在岸人民币交易设定了低于预期的参考利率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ef4ee3cc184ea84391adcdbe43b304\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"428\">The central bank fixes a daily midpoint for the onshore yuan, and only allows trading up to 2 percentage points above or below this level. This is part of a so-called managed floating-exchange-rate system based on the yuan’s value against a basket of currencies.</p><p><blockquote>央行为在岸人民币固定一个每日中点，只允许在该水平上下2个百分点以内进行交易。这是所谓有管理的浮动汇率制度的一部分，该制度基于人民币对一篮子货币的价值。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan is likely to stay between 6.4 and 6.5 to a dollar, while further appreciation could prompt stronger central bank action, said Paul Sandhu, head of multiasset quant solutions for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行资产管理公司（BNP Paribas Asset Management）亚太区多资产量化解决方案主管保罗·桑杜（Paul Sandhu）表示，人民币兑美元汇率可能维持在6.4至6.5之间，而进一步升值可能会促使央行采取更强有力的行动。</blockquote></p><p> “The government is quite happy with the range it is sitting at. If it breaks 6.4 and stays there for some time, they may move in to do something,” Mr. Sandhu said.</p><p><blockquote>“桑杜先生说：”政府对目前的范围非常满意。如果它打破了 6.4 的标准，并在那里停留一段时间，他们可能会采取行动。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday in Hong Kong, the offshore yuan rallied about 0.2% to 6.3988 to the dollar, a level last hit in June 2018. The dollar weakened, with theICEU.S. Dollar Index declining nearly 0.3% to 89.61, its lowest since early January.</p><p><blockquote>周二在香港，离岸人民币兑美元汇率上涨约0.2%，至6.3988，这是2018年6月上次触及的水平。美元走弱，美国美元指数下跌近0.3%，至89.61，为1月初以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> China’s CSI 300 index, a gauge of the biggest shares listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen, jumped 3.2%. Net foreign buying of mainland Chinese shares through Stock Connect, a trading link with Hong Kong, hit a record daily high of 21.7 billion yuan, or the equivalent of $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>中国沪深 300 指数（衡量在上海或深圳上市的最大股票的指标）上涨了 3.2%。外国通过与香港的交易链接——股票互联互通净买入中国大陆股票，创下单日新高，达到217亿元人民币，相当于34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday’s yuan strength was also likely due in part to the coming month-end, before which exporters normally sell earnings in foreign currency to buy yuan, said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research atAustralia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚和新西兰银行集团（Australia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore）亚洲研究主管Khoon Goh表示，周二人民币走强的部分原因可能是即将到来的月底，在此之前，出口商通常会出售外币收益来购买人民币。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank is eager to promote the idea that the currency won’t be volatile, but that it also won’t be a one-way bet for investors. On Sunday, a senior central-bank official said the yuan will remain “basically stable.” Liu Guoqiang, a deputy governor, said fluctuations in either direction will become the norm, with the exchange rate depending on supply and demand, and changes in global financial markets.</p><p><blockquote>央行急于宣传货币不会波动，但对投资者来说，货币也不会是单向押注。周日，一位央行高级官员表示，人民币将保持 “基本稳定”。副行长刘国强表示，任一方向的波动都将成为常态，汇率取决于供求关系和全球金融市场的变化。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Liu also said the current exchange-rate system was suitable for China. A researcher at the central bank recently called for China to stop controlling the rate to promote greater international use of the yuan. Another suggested the yuan should be allowed to rally, to offset rising prices for imported commodities.</p><p><blockquote>刘先生还表示，目前的汇率制度适合中国。中国央行的一名研究员最近呼吁中国停止控制汇率，以促进人民币在国际上的更大使用。另一个人建议允许人民币升值，以抵消进口商品价格上涨的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 08:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.  China’s yuan has strengthened to a near-three-year high, boosted by a falling dollar despite attempts by the central bank to keep the currency in check.</p><p><blockquote>该国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，提振了货币。尽管中国央行试图控制人民币汇率，但受美元贬值的提振，人民币汇率已升至近三年来的最高点。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan has been buoyed in recent months by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, and by a rush of international investment into China’s relatively high-yielding markets. The currency has also gained amid abroader bout of dollar weakness.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，中国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，以及国际投资涌入中国相对高收益的市场，都提振了人民币。在美元走软的情况下，该货币也有所上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the offshore yuan strengthened below 6.4 per dollar, as Chinese stocks jumped thanks partly to a surge in foreign buying.</p><p><blockquote>周二，离岸人民币兑美元汇率升至 6.4 以下，中国股市上涨，部分原因是外国买盘激增。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing would want to see slower yuan appreciationto support the economy, which is still fairly dependent on selling goods abroad, said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets. While Chinese exports have surged since last year,a rallying yuan pressures exportersby making their goods more expensive when priced in dollars.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）亚洲外汇策略主管阿尔文·谭（Alvin Tan）表示，北京希望看到人民币升值放缓，以支持经济，因为经济仍然相当依赖海外销售商品。尽管中国出口自去年以来激增，但人民币升值给出口商带来了压力，使他们的商品以美元计价时更加昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Tan said the People’s Bank of China had been “leaning against the strength” of the currency by setting weaker-than-expected reference rates for onshore yuan trading for the past month.</p><p><blockquote>谭先生说，过去一个月，中国人民银行一直在 “倾向于 ”人民币走强，为在岸人民币交易设定了低于预期的参考利率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ef4ee3cc184ea84391adcdbe43b304\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"428\">The central bank fixes a daily midpoint for the onshore yuan, and only allows trading up to 2 percentage points above or below this level. This is part of a so-called managed floating-exchange-rate system based on the yuan’s value against a basket of currencies.</p><p><blockquote>央行为在岸人民币固定一个每日中点，只允许在该水平上下2个百分点以内进行交易。这是所谓有管理的浮动汇率制度的一部分，该制度基于人民币对一篮子货币的价值。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan is likely to stay between 6.4 and 6.5 to a dollar, while further appreciation could prompt stronger central bank action, said Paul Sandhu, head of multiasset quant solutions for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行资产管理公司（BNP Paribas Asset Management）亚太区多资产量化解决方案主管保罗·桑杜（Paul Sandhu）表示，人民币兑美元汇率可能维持在6.4至6.5之间，而进一步升值可能会促使央行采取更强有力的行动。</blockquote></p><p> “The government is quite happy with the range it is sitting at. If it breaks 6.4 and stays there for some time, they may move in to do something,” Mr. Sandhu said.</p><p><blockquote>“桑杜先生说：”政府对目前的范围非常满意。如果它打破了 6.4 的标准，并在那里停留一段时间，他们可能会采取行动。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday in Hong Kong, the offshore yuan rallied about 0.2% to 6.3988 to the dollar, a level last hit in June 2018. The dollar weakened, with theICEU.S. Dollar Index declining nearly 0.3% to 89.61, its lowest since early January.</p><p><blockquote>周二在香港，离岸人民币兑美元汇率上涨约0.2%，至6.3988，这是2018年6月上次触及的水平。美元走弱，美国美元指数下跌近0.3%，至89.61，为1月初以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> China’s CSI 300 index, a gauge of the biggest shares listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen, jumped 3.2%. Net foreign buying of mainland Chinese shares through Stock Connect, a trading link with Hong Kong, hit a record daily high of 21.7 billion yuan, or the equivalent of $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>中国沪深 300 指数（衡量在上海或深圳上市的最大股票的指标）上涨了 3.2%。外国通过与香港的交易链接——股票互联互通净买入中国大陆股票，创下单日新高，达到217亿元人民币，相当于34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday’s yuan strength was also likely due in part to the coming month-end, before which exporters normally sell earnings in foreign currency to buy yuan, said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research atAustralia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚和新西兰银行集团（Australia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore）亚洲研究主管Khoon Goh表示，周二人民币走强的部分原因可能是即将到来的月底，在此之前，出口商通常会出售外币收益来购买人民币。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank is eager to promote the idea that the currency won’t be volatile, but that it also won’t be a one-way bet for investors. On Sunday, a senior central-bank official said the yuan will remain “basically stable.” Liu Guoqiang, a deputy governor, said fluctuations in either direction will become the norm, with the exchange rate depending on supply and demand, and changes in global financial markets.</p><p><blockquote>央行急于宣传货币不会波动，但对投资者来说，货币也不会是单向押注。周日，一位央行高级官员表示，人民币将保持 “基本稳定”。副行长刘国强表示，任一方向的波动都将成为常态，汇率取决于供求关系和全球金融市场的变化。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Liu also said the current exchange-rate system was suitable for China. A researcher at the central bank recently called for China to stop controlling the rate to promote greater international use of the yuan. Another suggested the yuan should be allowed to rally, to offset rising prices for imported commodities.</p><p><blockquote>刘先生还表示，目前的汇率制度适合中国。中国央行的一名研究员最近呼吁中国停止控制汇率，以促进人民币在国际上的更大使用。另一个人建议允许人民币升值，以抵消进口商品价格上涨的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-yuan-hits-strongest-level-in-nearly-three-years-11621950836?cx_testId=200&cx_testVariant=cx_10&cx_artPos=1#cxrecs_s\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-yuan-hits-strongest-level-in-nearly-three-years-11621950836?cx_testId=200&cx_testVariant=cx_10&cx_artPos=1#cxrecs_s","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182975704","content_text":"The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\nChina’s yuan has strengthened to a near-three-year high, boosted by a falling dollar despite attempts by the central bank to keep the currency in check.\nThe yuan has been buoyed in recent months by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, and by a rush of international investment into China’s relatively high-yielding markets. The currency has also gained amid abroader bout of dollar weakness.\nOn Tuesday, the offshore yuan strengthened below 6.4 per dollar, as Chinese stocks jumped thanks partly to a surge in foreign buying.\nBeijing would want to see slower yuan appreciationto support the economy, which is still fairly dependent on selling goods abroad, said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets. While Chinese exports have surged since last year,a rallying yuan pressures exportersby making their goods more expensive when priced in dollars.\nMr. Tan said the People’s Bank of China had been “leaning against the strength” of the currency by setting weaker-than-expected reference rates for onshore yuan trading for the past month.\nThe central bank fixes a daily midpoint for the onshore yuan, and only allows trading up to 2 percentage points above or below this level. This is part of a so-called managed floating-exchange-rate system based on the yuan’s value against a basket of currencies.\nThe yuan is likely to stay between 6.4 and 6.5 to a dollar, while further appreciation could prompt stronger central bank action, said Paul Sandhu, head of multiasset quant solutions for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management.\n“The government is quite happy with the range it is sitting at. If it breaks 6.4 and stays there for some time, they may move in to do something,” Mr. Sandhu said.\nOn Tuesday in Hong Kong, the offshore yuan rallied about 0.2% to 6.3988 to the dollar, a level last hit in June 2018. The dollar weakened, with theICEU.S. Dollar Index declining nearly 0.3% to 89.61, its lowest since early January.\nChina’s CSI 300 index, a gauge of the biggest shares listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen, jumped 3.2%. Net foreign buying of mainland Chinese shares through Stock Connect, a trading link with Hong Kong, hit a record daily high of 21.7 billion yuan, or the equivalent of $3.4 billion.\nTuesday’s yuan strength was also likely due in part to the coming month-end, before which exporters normally sell earnings in foreign currency to buy yuan, said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research atAustralia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore.\nThe central bank is eager to promote the idea that the currency won’t be volatile, but that it also won’t be a one-way bet for investors. On Sunday, a senior central-bank official said the yuan will remain “basically stable.” Liu Guoqiang, a deputy governor, said fluctuations in either direction will become the norm, with the exchange rate depending on supply and demand, and changes in global financial markets.\nMr. Liu also said the current exchange-rate system was suitable for China. A researcher at the central bank recently called for China to stop controlling the rate to promote greater international use of the yuan. Another suggested the yuan should be allowed to rally, to offset rising prices for imported commodities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138891449,"gmtCreate":1621923354481,"gmtModify":1634185451870,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138891449","repostId":"1120952556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":115268531,"gmtCreate":1623012183923,"gmtModify":1634096318827,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115268531","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍然存在重大缺点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在 Seeking Alpha 上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group 的股价已下跌约 30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整后 EBITDA 指引疲软（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的远期市盈率仍接近 100 倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock Editories，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>这个<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，ZG已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向 iHome 业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与 ZG 的抵押贷款部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门融合得很好。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG 似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一句话——很可怜。此外，第二季度指引疲软，该公司计划今年额外招聘 2,000 名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理性</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com的人，看看当前的“Zestimate”对我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家来说是多少。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量中排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与 Realtor.com 争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow 集团在房地产网站市场（至少根据独特访问量指标）的份额增加了 3 倍多：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一个页面然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的比较。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的类似网站评级中肯定还有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们可以说rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大和市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的……观点和活动需要转化为利润，这就是 Zillow 集团与其相当高的估值相比陷入困境的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow 于 5 月 4 日发布了第一季度每股收益报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP 每股净利润为 0.20 美元，超出预期 0.13 美元。收入为 12.2 亿美元，比上年增长 1.2 亿美元，同比增长 8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序的流量强劲，平均每月用户数量为 2.21 亿（同比增长 15%），第一季度访问量为 25 亿次（同比增长 19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>Q1 最有趣的细分市场是 iHome（或 ZG 评级“Zillow 提供的”），因为它约占收入的 57%，并且是 Zillow 指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）仅为平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome 业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向 iHome 几乎削弱了公司的主要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着 Zillow 的广告收入将面临更大的压力，而广告收入通常来自其 iHome 部门现在正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率仅为 4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前进</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow 第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导总额调整后 EBITDA（1.28 亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>会大幅下降</b>第一季度交付的调整后 EBITDA 总额为 1.81 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在 SEC 10-Q 文件中找到）为 259,346,000 股（同比增长高达 23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股份数量将继续增长至约 2.655 亿股（基于上述指引）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后 EBITDA 下降，完全稀释股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近进行了调整（请注意，自我 3 月份发表 Seeking Alpha 文章以来，该股已下跌约 30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7x。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>就 Zillow 的增长前景（或非增长）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较……）考虑到第二季度指引疲软。此外，我不清楚什么催化剂将是改善该公司未来极低的利润率。尤其是考虑到<b>Zillow 计划今年增聘 2,000 名员工</b>，使其员工人数增加了约40%。在我看来，当谈到提高利润率时，员工人数的增长将是一个重大的阻力。也就是说，Zillow 在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向 iHome 也意味着 ZG 现在面临着更多的宏观风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买 Zillow Group 的风险是一个近乎完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于 ZG 的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价是完美的，而且自那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了 30%，现在我将简单地给 ZG 一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>商品消息是，Zillow 的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成 5.51 亿美元的股票发行后，该季度末拥有 47 亿美元现金（高于 2020 年底的 39 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为 22.59 亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末2.655亿股稀释后的流通股，该公司的净现金估计为每股9.19美元。Zillow 可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接接触房地产市场而导致的较高风险状况。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可以瞬息万变，并可能抓住ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结与结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 Zillow 的第一季度报告无疑在连续基础上有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其已证明的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎完全不正常。尽管房地产市场火爆且高度升值，但第二季度调整后 EBITDA 环比下降……嗯，我就是看不懂现在的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对它感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以 ZG 的五年价格图表作为结尾，并指出我的 50 美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来发布的每股收益报告并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前的110美元水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3196,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138891449,"gmtCreate":1621923354481,"gmtModify":1634185451870,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138891449","repostId":"1120952556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189149824,"gmtCreate":1623249183368,"gmtModify":1634035351590,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189149824","repostId":"1188697627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195337632,"gmtCreate":1621256929226,"gmtModify":1634193003751,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gogogo upupup","listText":"Gogogo upupup","text":"Gogogo upupup","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195337632","repostId":"2135423622","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135423622","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620919983,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2135423622?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-13 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store?<blockquote>Sea Limited 将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135423622","media":"Zacks","summary":"Sea Limited is set to release first-quarter 2021 results on May 18.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ","content":"<p><b>Sea Limited</b> is set to release first-quarter 2021 results on May 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b>将于 5 月 18 日发布 2021 年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss has been unchanged at 39 cents per share over the past 30 days. Sea Limited reported a loss of 52 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Zacks 对过去 30 天亏损的一致估计保持不变，为每股 39 美分。Sea Limited 报告去年同期每股亏损 52 美分。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, the consensus mark for revenues is currently pegged at $2.07 billion, indicating 126.3% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，目前共识的收入为 20.7 亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长了 126.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, the negative earnings surprise being 28.11%.</p><p><blockquote>在过去四个季度中，该公司的盈利均低于 Zacks 的一致预期，负盈利意外率为 28.11%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://s1.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/p0a6QJGVjEXjGMHRhxA3FQ--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/zacks.com/9703312fd832439273a763c00c7c8255\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Sea Limited Sponsored ADR price-eps-surprise | Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Sea Limited 赞助 ADR 价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Sea Limited 保荐 ADR 价格-每股收益-惊喜 | Sea Limited 保荐 ADR 报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看在宣布这一消息之前情况如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors at Play for Q1 Results</h3>Sea Limited’s digital entertainment (Garena) and e-commerce businesses are expected to have continued to capitalize on the coronavirus outbreak and the holiday season in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><h3>影响第一季度业绩的因素</h3>Sea Limited 的数字娱乐（Garena）和电子商务业务预计将在第一季度继续利用冠状病毒爆发和假日季。</blockquote></p><p>Garena is likely to have benefited from the continued popularity of <i>Free Fire</i>. Per Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a> data, the game was the eighth top-grossing mobile game worldwide in March 2021. It was also the third most-downloaded game in March 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Garena 可能受益于<i>自由射击</i>.对于传感器<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">塔楼</a>数据显示，该游戏是2021年3月全球票房第八高的手机游戏。它也是2021年3月下载量第三大的游戏。</blockquote></p><p>In fact, <i>Free Fire</i> overtook <i>PUBG Mobile</i> from <b>Tencent</b> TCEHY and <b>Activision</b>’s ATVI <i>Call of Duty: Mobile</i> as the top mobile Battle Royale game by player spending in the United States during first-quarter 2021.</p><p><blockquote>其实，<i>自由射击</i>超越<i>绝地求生手游</i>来自<b>腾讯控股</b>TCEHY和<b>动视</b>阿特维<i>值班看涨期权：移动</i>2021年第一季度美国玩家支出最高的移动大逃杀游戏。</blockquote></p><p>Garena <i>Free Fire</i> generated roughly revenues of $100 million, up 4.5% year over year, per Sensor Tower data.</p><p><blockquote>加雷纳<i>自由射击</i>根据传感器塔数据，产生的收入约为 1 亿美元，同比增长 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, the company’s e-commerce segment is likely to have gained traction from a strong uptick in Shopee, its online shopping platform. Additionally, SeaMoney’s strengthening integration with Shopee is expected to have aided Sea’s digital financial services business.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司的电子商务部门很可能因其在线购物平台 Shopee 的强劲增长而获得动力。此外，SeaMoney 加强与 Shopee 的整合预计将有助于 Sea 的数字金融服务业务。</blockquote></p><p>However, higher expenses related to the expansion of e-commerce services, and continued efforts to integrate the company’s mobile wallet services with the Shopee platform across different markets, are expected to have negatively impacted profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与电子商务服务扩张相关的费用增加，以及公司在不同市场将移动钱包服务与 Shopee 平台整合的持续努力，预计将对即将公布的季度的盈利能力产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store?<blockquote>Sea Limited 将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store?<blockquote>Sea Limited 将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-13 23:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Sea Limited</b> is set to release first-quarter 2021 results on May 18.</p><p><blockquote><b>海有限公司</b>将于 5 月 18 日发布 2021 年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss has been unchanged at 39 cents per share over the past 30 days. Sea Limited reported a loss of 52 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Zacks 对过去 30 天亏损的一致估计保持不变，为每股 39 美分。Sea Limited 报告去年同期每股亏损 52 美分。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, the consensus mark for revenues is currently pegged at $2.07 billion, indicating 126.3% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，目前共识的收入为 20.7 亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长了 126.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, the negative earnings surprise being 28.11%.</p><p><blockquote>在过去四个季度中，该公司的盈利均低于 Zacks 的一致预期，负盈利意外率为 28.11%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://s1.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/p0a6QJGVjEXjGMHRhxA3FQ--/cT03NTthcHBpZD15dmlkZW9mZWVkczs-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/zacks.com/9703312fd832439273a763c00c7c8255\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Sea Limited Sponsored ADR price-eps-surprise | Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Sea Limited 赞助 ADR 价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Sea Limited 保荐 ADR 价格-每股收益-惊喜 | Sea Limited 保荐 ADR 报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看在宣布这一消息之前情况如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors at Play for Q1 Results</h3>Sea Limited’s digital entertainment (Garena) and e-commerce businesses are expected to have continued to capitalize on the coronavirus outbreak and the holiday season in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><h3>影响第一季度业绩的因素</h3>Sea Limited 的数字娱乐（Garena）和电子商务业务预计将在第一季度继续利用冠状病毒爆发和假日季。</blockquote></p><p>Garena is likely to have benefited from the continued popularity of <i>Free Fire</i>. Per Sensor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">Tower</a> data, the game was the eighth top-grossing mobile game worldwide in March 2021. It was also the third most-downloaded game in March 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Garena 可能受益于<i>自由射击</i>.对于传感器<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWR.AU\">塔楼</a>数据显示，该游戏是2021年3月全球票房第八高的手机游戏。它也是2021年3月下载量第三大的游戏。</blockquote></p><p>In fact, <i>Free Fire</i> overtook <i>PUBG Mobile</i> from <b>Tencent</b> TCEHY and <b>Activision</b>’s ATVI <i>Call of Duty: Mobile</i> as the top mobile Battle Royale game by player spending in the United States during first-quarter 2021.</p><p><blockquote>其实，<i>自由射击</i>超越<i>绝地求生手游</i>来自<b>腾讯控股</b>TCEHY和<b>动视</b>阿特维<i>值班看涨期权：移动</i>2021年第一季度美国玩家支出最高的移动大逃杀游戏。</blockquote></p><p>Garena <i>Free Fire</i> generated roughly revenues of $100 million, up 4.5% year over year, per Sensor Tower data.</p><p><blockquote>加雷纳<i>自由射击</i>根据传感器塔数据，产生的收入约为 1 亿美元，同比增长 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, the company’s e-commerce segment is likely to have gained traction from a strong uptick in Shopee, its online shopping platform. Additionally, SeaMoney’s strengthening integration with Shopee is expected to have aided Sea’s digital financial services business.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司的电子商务部门很可能因其在线购物平台 Shopee 的强劲增长而获得动力。此外，SeaMoney 加强与 Shopee 的整合预计将有助于 Sea 的数字金融服务业务。</blockquote></p><p>However, higher expenses related to the expansion of e-commerce services, and continued efforts to integrate the company’s mobile wallet services with the Shopee platform across different markets, are expected to have negatively impacted profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>然而，与电子商务服务扩张相关的费用增加，以及公司在不同市场将移动钱包服务与 Shopee 平台整合的持续努力，预计将对即将公布的季度的盈利能力产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1546613/sea-limited-se-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-store?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID01-txt-1546613\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1546613/sea-limited-se-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-store?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID01-txt-1546613","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135423622","content_text":"Sea Limited is set to release first-quarter 2021 results on May 18.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for loss has been unchanged at 39 cents per share over the past 30 days. Sea Limited reported a loss of 52 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.Moreover, the consensus mark for revenues is currently pegged at $2.07 billion, indicating 126.3% growth from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.The company’s earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the trailing four quarters, the negative earnings surprise being 28.11%.Sea Limited Sponsored ADR Price and EPS SurpriseSea Limited Sponsored ADR price-eps-surprise | Sea Limited Sponsored ADR QuoteLet’s see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.Factors at Play for Q1 ResultsSea Limited’s digital entertainment (Garena) and e-commerce businesses are expected to have continued to capitalize on the coronavirus outbreak and the holiday season in the first quarter.Garena is likely to have benefited from the continued popularity of Free Fire. Per Sensor Tower data, the game was the eighth top-grossing mobile game worldwide in March 2021. It was also the third most-downloaded game in March 2021.In fact, Free Fire overtook PUBG Mobile from Tencent TCEHY and Activision’s ATVI Call of Duty: Mobile as the top mobile Battle Royale game by player spending in the United States during first-quarter 2021.Garena Free Fire generated roughly revenues of $100 million, up 4.5% year over year, per Sensor Tower data.Moreover, the company’s e-commerce segment is likely to have gained traction from a strong uptick in Shopee, its online shopping platform. Additionally, SeaMoney’s strengthening integration with Shopee is expected to have aided Sea’s digital financial services business.However, higher expenses related to the expansion of e-commerce services, and continued efforts to integrate the company’s mobile wallet services with the Shopee platform across different markets, are expected to have negatively impacted profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374081649,"gmtCreate":1619402097881,"gmtModify":1634273772780,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"TSLA","listText":"TSLA","text":"TSLA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374081649","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378749084,"gmtCreate":1619064599348,"gmtModify":1634288812613,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good read","listText":"Good read","text":"Good read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378749084","repostId":"2129808688","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119111472,"gmtCreate":1622526335496,"gmtModify":1634100798506,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119111472","repostId":"2140645742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136800755,"gmtCreate":1622002724077,"gmtModify":1634184756941,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136800755","repostId":"1182975704","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182975704","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621990601,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1182975704?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-26 08:56","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"China’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182975704","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\nChina’s","content":"<p>  The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.  China’s yuan has strengthened to a near-three-year high, boosted by a falling dollar despite attempts by the central bank to keep the currency in check.</p><p><blockquote>该国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，提振了货币。尽管中国央行试图控制人民币汇率，但受美元贬值的提振，人民币汇率已升至近三年来的最高点。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan has been buoyed in recent months by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, and by a rush of international investment into China’s relatively high-yielding markets. The currency has also gained amid abroader bout of dollar weakness.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，中国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，以及国际投资涌入中国相对高收益的市场，都提振了人民币。在美元走软的情况下，该货币也有所上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the offshore yuan strengthened below 6.4 per dollar, as Chinese stocks jumped thanks partly to a surge in foreign buying.</p><p><blockquote>周二，离岸人民币兑美元汇率升至 6.4 以下，中国股市上涨，部分原因是外国买盘激增。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing would want to see slower yuan appreciationto support the economy, which is still fairly dependent on selling goods abroad, said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets. While Chinese exports have surged since last year,a rallying yuan pressures exportersby making their goods more expensive when priced in dollars.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）亚洲外汇策略主管阿尔文·谭（Alvin Tan）表示，北京希望看到人民币升值放缓，以支持经济，因为经济仍然相当依赖海外销售商品。尽管中国出口自去年以来激增，但人民币升值给出口商带来了压力，使他们的商品以美元计价时更加昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Tan said the People’s Bank of China had been “leaning against the strength” of the currency by setting weaker-than-expected reference rates for onshore yuan trading for the past month.</p><p><blockquote>谭先生说，过去一个月，中国人民银行一直在 “倾向于 ”人民币走强，为在岸人民币交易设定了低于预期的参考利率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ef4ee3cc184ea84391adcdbe43b304\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"428\">The central bank fixes a daily midpoint for the onshore yuan, and only allows trading up to 2 percentage points above or below this level. This is part of a so-called managed floating-exchange-rate system based on the yuan’s value against a basket of currencies.</p><p><blockquote>央行为在岸人民币固定一个每日中点，只允许在该水平上下2个百分点以内进行交易。这是所谓有管理的浮动汇率制度的一部分，该制度基于人民币对一篮子货币的价值。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan is likely to stay between 6.4 and 6.5 to a dollar, while further appreciation could prompt stronger central bank action, said Paul Sandhu, head of multiasset quant solutions for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行资产管理公司（BNP Paribas Asset Management）亚太区多资产量化解决方案主管保罗·桑杜（Paul Sandhu）表示，人民币兑美元汇率可能维持在6.4至6.5之间，而进一步升值可能会促使央行采取更强有力的行动。</blockquote></p><p> “The government is quite happy with the range it is sitting at. If it breaks 6.4 and stays there for some time, they may move in to do something,” Mr. Sandhu said.</p><p><blockquote>“桑杜先生说：”政府对目前的范围非常满意。如果它打破了 6.4 的标准，并在那里停留一段时间，他们可能会采取行动。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday in Hong Kong, the offshore yuan rallied about 0.2% to 6.3988 to the dollar, a level last hit in June 2018. The dollar weakened, with theICEU.S. Dollar Index declining nearly 0.3% to 89.61, its lowest since early January.</p><p><blockquote>周二在香港，离岸人民币兑美元汇率上涨约0.2%，至6.3988，这是2018年6月上次触及的水平。美元走弱，美国美元指数下跌近0.3%，至89.61，为1月初以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> China’s CSI 300 index, a gauge of the biggest shares listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen, jumped 3.2%. Net foreign buying of mainland Chinese shares through Stock Connect, a trading link with Hong Kong, hit a record daily high of 21.7 billion yuan, or the equivalent of $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>中国沪深 300 指数（衡量在上海或深圳上市的最大股票的指标）上涨了 3.2%。外国通过与香港的交易链接——股票互联互通净买入中国大陆股票，创下单日新高，达到217亿元人民币，相当于34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday’s yuan strength was also likely due in part to the coming month-end, before which exporters normally sell earnings in foreign currency to buy yuan, said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research atAustralia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚和新西兰银行集团（Australia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore）亚洲研究主管Khoon Goh表示，周二人民币走强的部分原因可能是即将到来的月底，在此之前，出口商通常会出售外币收益来购买人民币。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank is eager to promote the idea that the currency won’t be volatile, but that it also won’t be a one-way bet for investors. On Sunday, a senior central-bank official said the yuan will remain “basically stable.” Liu Guoqiang, a deputy governor, said fluctuations in either direction will become the norm, with the exchange rate depending on supply and demand, and changes in global financial markets.</p><p><blockquote>央行急于宣传货币不会波动，但对投资者来说，货币也不会是单向押注。周日，一位央行高级官员表示，人民币将保持 “基本稳定”。副行长刘国强表示，任一方向的波动都将成为常态，汇率取决于供求关系和全球金融市场的变化。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Liu also said the current exchange-rate system was suitable for China. A researcher at the central bank recently called for China to stop controlling the rate to promote greater international use of the yuan. Another suggested the yuan should be allowed to rally, to offset rising prices for imported commodities.</p><p><blockquote>刘先生还表示，目前的汇率制度适合中国。中国央行的一名研究员最近呼吁中国停止控制汇率，以促进人民币在国际上的更大使用。另一个人建议允许人民币升值，以抵消进口商品价格上涨的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina’s Yuan Hits Strongest Level in Nearly Three Years<blockquote>人民币汇率触及近三年来最强水平</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 08:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.  China’s yuan has strengthened to a near-three-year high, boosted by a falling dollar despite attempts by the central bank to keep the currency in check.</p><p><blockquote>该国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，提振了货币。尽管中国央行试图控制人民币汇率，但受美元贬值的提振，人民币汇率已升至近三年来的最高点。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan has been buoyed in recent months by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, and by a rush of international investment into China’s relatively high-yielding markets. The currency has also gained amid abroader bout of dollar weakness.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，中国从冠状病毒大流行中迅速复苏，以及国际投资涌入中国相对高收益的市场，都提振了人民币。在美元走软的情况下，该货币也有所上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the offshore yuan strengthened below 6.4 per dollar, as Chinese stocks jumped thanks partly to a surge in foreign buying.</p><p><blockquote>周二，离岸人民币兑美元汇率升至 6.4 以下，中国股市上涨，部分原因是外国买盘激增。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing would want to see slower yuan appreciationto support the economy, which is still fairly dependent on selling goods abroad, said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets. While Chinese exports have surged since last year,a rallying yuan pressures exportersby making their goods more expensive when priced in dollars.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）亚洲外汇策略主管阿尔文·谭（Alvin Tan）表示，北京希望看到人民币升值放缓，以支持经济，因为经济仍然相当依赖海外销售商品。尽管中国出口自去年以来激增，但人民币升值给出口商带来了压力，使他们的商品以美元计价时更加昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Tan said the People’s Bank of China had been “leaning against the strength” of the currency by setting weaker-than-expected reference rates for onshore yuan trading for the past month.</p><p><blockquote>谭先生说，过去一个月，中国人民银行一直在 “倾向于 ”人民币走强，为在岸人民币交易设定了低于预期的参考利率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7ef4ee3cc184ea84391adcdbe43b304\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"428\">The central bank fixes a daily midpoint for the onshore yuan, and only allows trading up to 2 percentage points above or below this level. This is part of a so-called managed floating-exchange-rate system based on the yuan’s value against a basket of currencies.</p><p><blockquote>央行为在岸人民币固定一个每日中点，只允许在该水平上下2个百分点以内进行交易。这是所谓有管理的浮动汇率制度的一部分，该制度基于人民币对一篮子货币的价值。</blockquote></p><p> The yuan is likely to stay between 6.4 and 6.5 to a dollar, while further appreciation could prompt stronger central bank action, said Paul Sandhu, head of multiasset quant solutions for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行资产管理公司（BNP Paribas Asset Management）亚太区多资产量化解决方案主管保罗·桑杜（Paul Sandhu）表示，人民币兑美元汇率可能维持在6.4至6.5之间，而进一步升值可能会促使央行采取更强有力的行动。</blockquote></p><p> “The government is quite happy with the range it is sitting at. If it breaks 6.4 and stays there for some time, they may move in to do something,” Mr. Sandhu said.</p><p><blockquote>“桑杜先生说：”政府对目前的范围非常满意。如果它打破了 6.4 的标准，并在那里停留一段时间，他们可能会采取行动。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday in Hong Kong, the offshore yuan rallied about 0.2% to 6.3988 to the dollar, a level last hit in June 2018. The dollar weakened, with theICEU.S. Dollar Index declining nearly 0.3% to 89.61, its lowest since early January.</p><p><blockquote>周二在香港，离岸人民币兑美元汇率上涨约0.2%，至6.3988，这是2018年6月上次触及的水平。美元走弱，美国美元指数下跌近0.3%，至89.61，为1月初以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> China’s CSI 300 index, a gauge of the biggest shares listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen, jumped 3.2%. Net foreign buying of mainland Chinese shares through Stock Connect, a trading link with Hong Kong, hit a record daily high of 21.7 billion yuan, or the equivalent of $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>中国沪深 300 指数（衡量在上海或深圳上市的最大股票的指标）上涨了 3.2%。外国通过与香港的交易链接——股票互联互通净买入中国大陆股票，创下单日新高，达到217亿元人民币，相当于34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tuesday’s yuan strength was also likely due in part to the coming month-end, before which exporters normally sell earnings in foreign currency to buy yuan, said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research atAustralia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚和新西兰银行集团（Australia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore）亚洲研究主管Khoon Goh表示，周二人民币走强的部分原因可能是即将到来的月底，在此之前，出口商通常会出售外币收益来购买人民币。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank is eager to promote the idea that the currency won’t be volatile, but that it also won’t be a one-way bet for investors. On Sunday, a senior central-bank official said the yuan will remain “basically stable.” Liu Guoqiang, a deputy governor, said fluctuations in either direction will become the norm, with the exchange rate depending on supply and demand, and changes in global financial markets.</p><p><blockquote>央行急于宣传货币不会波动，但对投资者来说，货币也不会是单向押注。周日，一位央行高级官员表示，人民币将保持 “基本稳定”。副行长刘国强表示，任一方向的波动都将成为常态，汇率取决于供求关系和全球金融市场的变化。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Liu also said the current exchange-rate system was suitable for China. A researcher at the central bank recently called for China to stop controlling the rate to promote greater international use of the yuan. Another suggested the yuan should be allowed to rally, to offset rising prices for imported commodities.</p><p><blockquote>刘先生还表示，目前的汇率制度适合中国。中国央行的一名研究员最近呼吁中国停止控制汇率，以促进人民币在国际上的更大使用。另一个人建议允许人民币升值，以抵消进口商品价格上涨的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-yuan-hits-strongest-level-in-nearly-three-years-11621950836?cx_testId=200&cx_testVariant=cx_10&cx_artPos=1#cxrecs_s\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-yuan-hits-strongest-level-in-nearly-three-years-11621950836?cx_testId=200&cx_testVariant=cx_10&cx_artPos=1#cxrecs_s","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182975704","content_text":"The currency has been buoyed by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\nChina’s yuan has strengthened to a near-three-year high, boosted by a falling dollar despite attempts by the central bank to keep the currency in check.\nThe yuan has been buoyed in recent months by the country’s rapid recovery from the coronavirus pandemic, and by a rush of international investment into China’s relatively high-yielding markets. The currency has also gained amid abroader bout of dollar weakness.\nOn Tuesday, the offshore yuan strengthened below 6.4 per dollar, as Chinese stocks jumped thanks partly to a surge in foreign buying.\nBeijing would want to see slower yuan appreciationto support the economy, which is still fairly dependent on selling goods abroad, said Alvin Tan, head of Asia foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets. While Chinese exports have surged since last year,a rallying yuan pressures exportersby making their goods more expensive when priced in dollars.\nMr. Tan said the People’s Bank of China had been “leaning against the strength” of the currency by setting weaker-than-expected reference rates for onshore yuan trading for the past month.\nThe central bank fixes a daily midpoint for the onshore yuan, and only allows trading up to 2 percentage points above or below this level. This is part of a so-called managed floating-exchange-rate system based on the yuan’s value against a basket of currencies.\nThe yuan is likely to stay between 6.4 and 6.5 to a dollar, while further appreciation could prompt stronger central bank action, said Paul Sandhu, head of multiasset quant solutions for Asia-Pacific at BNP Paribas Asset Management.\n“The government is quite happy with the range it is sitting at. If it breaks 6.4 and stays there for some time, they may move in to do something,” Mr. Sandhu said.\nOn Tuesday in Hong Kong, the offshore yuan rallied about 0.2% to 6.3988 to the dollar, a level last hit in June 2018. The dollar weakened, with theICEU.S. Dollar Index declining nearly 0.3% to 89.61, its lowest since early January.\nChina’s CSI 300 index, a gauge of the biggest shares listed in either Shanghai or Shenzhen, jumped 3.2%. Net foreign buying of mainland Chinese shares through Stock Connect, a trading link with Hong Kong, hit a record daily high of 21.7 billion yuan, or the equivalent of $3.4 billion.\nTuesday’s yuan strength was also likely due in part to the coming month-end, before which exporters normally sell earnings in foreign currency to buy yuan, said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research atAustralia and New Zealand Banking GroupLtd.in Singapore.\nThe central bank is eager to promote the idea that the currency won’t be volatile, but that it also won’t be a one-way bet for investors. On Sunday, a senior central-bank official said the yuan will remain “basically stable.” Liu Guoqiang, a deputy governor, said fluctuations in either direction will become the norm, with the exchange rate depending on supply and demand, and changes in global financial markets.\nMr. Liu also said the current exchange-rate system was suitable for China. A researcher at the central bank recently called for China to stop controlling the rate to promote greater international use of the yuan. Another suggested the yuan should be allowed to rally, to offset rising prices for imported commodities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101885482,"gmtCreate":1619877243846,"gmtModify":1634209345215,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101885482","repostId":"1142063705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197057801,"gmtCreate":1621413453803,"gmtModify":1634189348405,"author":{"id":"3582116859622415","authorId":"3582116859622415","name":"barracuda","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26e2e477ed079a946a485ca83ebef3e7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582116859622415","authorIdStr":"3582116859622415"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good to know","listText":"Good to know","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197057801","repostId":"1158638540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158638540","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621409180,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158638540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 15:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Things to Know Ahead of the Squarespace’s Direct Listing<blockquote>Squarespace 直接上市前需要了解的 4 件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158638540","media":"Barrons","summary":"The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.Now Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.The company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-comme","content":"<p>The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>疫情促使许多小企业首次获得在线店面，创造了一股电子商务浪潮，帮助网站创建平台Squarespace Inc.加速了其收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Now Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.</p><p><blockquote>现在，Squarespace将测试作为一家上市公司的电子商务势头的弹性。其股票定于周三开始在纽约证券交易所直接上市，股票代码为 SQSP。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-commerce functions and marketing capabilities. Squarespace aims to work with small businesses that have limited web expertise as well as “large brands” that need greater flexibility to customize based on their needs.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供各种网站创建工具，包括域名、电子商务功能和营销功能。Squarespace 的目标是与网络专业知识有限的小型企业以及需要更大灵活性来根据自身需求进行定制的 “大品牌 ”合作。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace sees itself playing into a number of trends, including a growing need for businesses to maintain direct relationships with their customers and an increased emphasis on do-it-yourself solutions that are “rapidly displacing expensive agencies and making equivalent design quality out-of-the-box, accessible and easy-to-use for all,” the company said in&nbsp;its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中表示，Squarespace 认为自己正在顺应多种趋势，包括企业越来越需要与客户保持直接关系，以及越来越重视 DIY 解决方案，这些解决方案 “正在迅速取代昂贵的代理机构，使同等的设计质量开箱即用，人人都能获得且易于使用”。</blockquote></p><p> The company raised $300 million in a March funding round that gave the company an enterprise valuation of $10 billion, and is not raising any new funding as it lists. Here is what else you need to know about the company.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在3月份的一轮融资中筹集了3亿美元，使该公司的企业估值达到100亿美元，并且没有像它所说的那样筹集任何新的资金。以下是您需要了解的关于该公司的其他信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Growing Revenue, Shrinking Profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入增长，利润萎缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace posted $621 million in revenue during 2020, up from $485 million a year earlier. Revenue was up 28% in the latest fiscal year, ahead of the 24% growth rate seen in the prior period.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 2020 年的收入为 6.21 亿美元，高于去年同期的 4.85 亿美元。上一财年收入增长了 28%，高于上一财年 24% 的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company classifies 94% of its revenue as subscription-based. Squarespace added about 700,000 new unique subscriptions in 2020 and the company disclosed that more than two thirds of total subscriptions are annual.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将 94% 的收入归类为基于订阅的收入。Squarespace在2020年增加了约70万个新的独特订阅，该公司透露，超过三分之二的总订阅是年度订阅。</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of Squarespace’s revenue last year came from the U.S., while the rest was international.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 去年约 70% 的收入来自美国，其余来自国际。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace was profitable last year, recording about $30.6 million in net income, though profits were down from $58.2 million in 2019. The company’s “fundamentals highlight a rare combo of profitability and growth at scale,” wrote MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace去年实现盈利，净利润约为3060万美元，但利润低于2019年的5820万美元。MKM Partners 分析师罗希特-库尔卡尼（Rohit Kulkarni）写道，该公司的 “基本面凸显了盈利能力和规模增长的罕见组合”。</blockquote></p><p> Despite a string of profitability on an annual basis, Squarespace generated a net loss of $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2021 compared with a loss of $1.1 million a year earlier. The company posted profits in each of the last three quarters of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>尽管年度盈利，Squarespace 在 2021 年第一季度净亏损 1010 万美元，而去年同期亏损 110 万美元。该公司在2020年最后三个季度的每个季度都公布了利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Aplenty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争充足</b></blockquote></p><p> The company competes with a variety of different players across the e-commerce industry, according to its filing. Squarespace counts web-creation platforms like&nbsp;Wix.com&nbsp;(ticker: WIX) and Square’s (SQ) Weebly among its competition, along with e-commerce powerhouse&nbsp;Shopify&nbsp;(ticker: SHOP),&nbsp;which lets businesses set up online shops.</p><p><blockquote>根据其文件，该公司与电子商务行业的各种不同参与者竞争。Squarespace 的竞争对手包括 Wix.com（股票代码：WIX）和 Square 的 Weebly 等网络创建平台，以及让企业开设网上商店的电子商务巨头 Shopify（股票代码：SHOP）。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace also calls out competitors like GoDaddy (GDDY) that offer domain-name tools, as well as those providing email-marketing and scheduling functions, while arguing that its own “comprehensive, all-in-one platform, multichannel commerce capabilities” are an asset.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 还评级了 GoDaddy (GDDY) 等提供域名工具的竞争对手，以及提供电子邮件营销和日程安排功能的竞争对手，同时认为自己的 “全面、一体化平台、多渠道商务能力 ”是一项资产。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies analyst Brent Thill notes that Wix is larger than Squarespace, with revenue of $989 million last year versus $621 million for Squarespace. In addition, Squarespace’s revenue last year was similar to what Wix posted in 2018, but Wix was posting faster growth at that scale, and without the benefit of the pandemic-driven acceleration in e-commerce more broadly, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies 分析师 Brent Thill 指出，Wix 比 Squarespace 更大，去年的收入为 9.89 亿美元，而 Squarespace 的收入为 6.21 亿美元。此外，Squarespace 去年的收入与 Wix 2018 年的收入相似，但 Wix 在这一规模上的增长速度更快，而且没有受益于大流行病推动的更广泛的电子商务加速发展，他写道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On the Menu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在菜单上</b></blockquote></p><p> SquareSpace recently closed its $415 million acquisition of Tock, a company focused on the restaurant and hospitality industries. Tock’s services allow businesses to manage reservations, takeout, event ticketing and more.</p><p><blockquote>SquareSpace最近完成了对Tock的4.15亿美元收购，Tock是一家专注于餐饮和酒店业的公司。Tock 的服务允许企业管理预订、外卖、活动票务等。</blockquote></p><p> This part of the business may position SquareSpace against more tech giants, suggested MKM’s Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>MKM 的 Kulkarni 表示，这部分业务可能会让 SquareSpace 与更多科技巨头竞争。</blockquote></p><p> “SquareSpace’s offering with Tock faces competition from delivery services such as Uber Eats (UBER),DoorDash&nbsp;(DASH) and&nbsp;Grubhub&nbsp;(GRUB),&nbsp;along with other restaurant [customer-relationship management] services such as TouchBistro and Toast,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”SquareSpace 与 Tock 合作的产品面临着来自 Uber Eats (UBER)、DoorDash (DASH) 和 Grubhub (GRUB) 等外卖服务以及 TouchBistro 和 Toast 等其他餐厅[客户关系管理]服务的竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the acquisition is an example of one way Squarespace has “smartly diversified into selling not just physical goods online but also adding calendar/scheduling capabilities (restaurant or gym reservations), content sales, and subscriptions,” he continued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，此次收购也是 Squarespace “巧妙多元化的一个例子，不仅在网上销售实体商品，还增加了日历/日程安排功能（餐厅或健身房预订）、内容销售和订阅”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Marketing Bucks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>营销资金</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace’s marketing and sales costs are growing far faster than its revenue. The company incurred $3.1 million in such expenses last year, up from $1.7 million in 2019, making for a 45% increase, whereas revenue was up 28% in the same span.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 的营销和销售成本增长速度远远快于收入增长速度。该公司去年的此类费用为 310 万美元，高于 2019 年的 170 万美元，增长了 45%，而同期收入增长了 28%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company’s podcast advertisements may be familiar to frequent listeners, though Squarespace notes in its prospectus that it advertises its services broadly, using “online keyword search, sponsorships and celebrity endorsements, television, podcasts, print and online advertising, email and social media marketing.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Squarespace 在招股说明书中指出，该公司广泛宣传其服务，使用 “在线关键词搜索、赞助和名人代言、电视、播客、平面广告和在线广告、电子邮件和社交媒体营销 ”，但该公司的播客广告可能对经常收听的听众并不陌生。</blockquote></p><p> Among its risk factors, Squarespace points to the possibility that Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google could change its algorithm or raise the costs of its search-engine-marketing tools.</p><p><blockquote>在风险因素中，Squarespace 指出Alphabet（GOOGL）旗下的谷歌有可能改变其算法或提高其搜索引擎营销工具的成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Things to Know Ahead of the Squarespace’s Direct Listing<blockquote>Squarespace 直接上市前需要了解的 4 件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Things to Know Ahead of the Squarespace’s Direct Listing<blockquote>Squarespace 直接上市前需要了解的 4 件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 15:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>疫情促使许多小企业首次获得在线店面，创造了一股电子商务浪潮，帮助网站创建平台Squarespace Inc.加速了其收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Now Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.</p><p><blockquote>现在，Squarespace将测试作为一家上市公司的电子商务势头的弹性。其股票定于周三开始在纽约证券交易所直接上市，股票代码为 SQSP。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-commerce functions and marketing capabilities. Squarespace aims to work with small businesses that have limited web expertise as well as “large brands” that need greater flexibility to customize based on their needs.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供各种网站创建工具，包括域名、电子商务功能和营销功能。Squarespace 的目标是与网络专业知识有限的小型企业以及需要更大灵活性来根据自身需求进行定制的 “大品牌 ”合作。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace sees itself playing into a number of trends, including a growing need for businesses to maintain direct relationships with their customers and an increased emphasis on do-it-yourself solutions that are “rapidly displacing expensive agencies and making equivalent design quality out-of-the-box, accessible and easy-to-use for all,” the company said in&nbsp;its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中表示，Squarespace 认为自己正在顺应多种趋势，包括企业越来越需要与客户保持直接关系，以及越来越重视 DIY 解决方案，这些解决方案 “正在迅速取代昂贵的代理机构，使同等的设计质量开箱即用，人人都能获得且易于使用”。</blockquote></p><p> The company raised $300 million in a March funding round that gave the company an enterprise valuation of $10 billion, and is not raising any new funding as it lists. Here is what else you need to know about the company.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在3月份的一轮融资中筹集了3亿美元，使该公司的企业估值达到100亿美元，并且没有像它所说的那样筹集任何新的资金。以下是您需要了解的关于该公司的其他信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Growing Revenue, Shrinking Profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入增长，利润萎缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace posted $621 million in revenue during 2020, up from $485 million a year earlier. Revenue was up 28% in the latest fiscal year, ahead of the 24% growth rate seen in the prior period.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 2020 年的收入为 6.21 亿美元，高于去年同期的 4.85 亿美元。上一财年收入增长了 28%，高于上一财年 24% 的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company classifies 94% of its revenue as subscription-based. Squarespace added about 700,000 new unique subscriptions in 2020 and the company disclosed that more than two thirds of total subscriptions are annual.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将 94% 的收入归类为基于订阅的收入。Squarespace在2020年增加了约70万个新的独特订阅，该公司透露，超过三分之二的总订阅是年度订阅。</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of Squarespace’s revenue last year came from the U.S., while the rest was international.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 去年约 70% 的收入来自美国，其余来自国际。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace was profitable last year, recording about $30.6 million in net income, though profits were down from $58.2 million in 2019. The company’s “fundamentals highlight a rare combo of profitability and growth at scale,” wrote MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace去年实现盈利，净利润约为3060万美元，但利润低于2019年的5820万美元。MKM Partners 分析师罗希特-库尔卡尼（Rohit Kulkarni）写道，该公司的 “基本面凸显了盈利能力和规模增长的罕见组合”。</blockquote></p><p> Despite a string of profitability on an annual basis, Squarespace generated a net loss of $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2021 compared with a loss of $1.1 million a year earlier. The company posted profits in each of the last three quarters of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>尽管年度盈利，Squarespace 在 2021 年第一季度净亏损 1010 万美元，而去年同期亏损 110 万美元。该公司在2020年最后三个季度的每个季度都公布了利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Aplenty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争充足</b></blockquote></p><p> The company competes with a variety of different players across the e-commerce industry, according to its filing. Squarespace counts web-creation platforms like&nbsp;Wix.com&nbsp;(ticker: WIX) and Square’s (SQ) Weebly among its competition, along with e-commerce powerhouse&nbsp;Shopify&nbsp;(ticker: SHOP),&nbsp;which lets businesses set up online shops.</p><p><blockquote>根据其文件，该公司与电子商务行业的各种不同参与者竞争。Squarespace 的竞争对手包括 Wix.com（股票代码：WIX）和 Square 的 Weebly 等网络创建平台，以及让企业开设网上商店的电子商务巨头 Shopify（股票代码：SHOP）。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace also calls out competitors like GoDaddy (GDDY) that offer domain-name tools, as well as those providing email-marketing and scheduling functions, while arguing that its own “comprehensive, all-in-one platform, multichannel commerce capabilities” are an asset.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 还评级了 GoDaddy (GDDY) 等提供域名工具的竞争对手，以及提供电子邮件营销和日程安排功能的竞争对手，同时认为自己的 “全面、一体化平台、多渠道商务能力 ”是一项资产。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies analyst Brent Thill notes that Wix is larger than Squarespace, with revenue of $989 million last year versus $621 million for Squarespace. In addition, Squarespace’s revenue last year was similar to what Wix posted in 2018, but Wix was posting faster growth at that scale, and without the benefit of the pandemic-driven acceleration in e-commerce more broadly, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies 分析师 Brent Thill 指出，Wix 比 Squarespace 更大，去年的收入为 9.89 亿美元，而 Squarespace 的收入为 6.21 亿美元。此外，Squarespace 去年的收入与 Wix 2018 年的收入相似，但 Wix 在这一规模上的增长速度更快，而且没有受益于大流行病推动的更广泛的电子商务加速发展，他写道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On the Menu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在菜单上</b></blockquote></p><p> SquareSpace recently closed its $415 million acquisition of Tock, a company focused on the restaurant and hospitality industries. Tock’s services allow businesses to manage reservations, takeout, event ticketing and more.</p><p><blockquote>SquareSpace最近完成了对Tock的4.15亿美元收购，Tock是一家专注于餐饮和酒店业的公司。Tock 的服务允许企业管理预订、外卖、活动票务等。</blockquote></p><p> This part of the business may position SquareSpace against more tech giants, suggested MKM’s Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>MKM 的 Kulkarni 表示，这部分业务可能会让 SquareSpace 与更多科技巨头竞争。</blockquote></p><p> “SquareSpace’s offering with Tock faces competition from delivery services such as Uber Eats (UBER),DoorDash&nbsp;(DASH) and&nbsp;Grubhub&nbsp;(GRUB),&nbsp;along with other restaurant [customer-relationship management] services such as TouchBistro and Toast,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”SquareSpace 与 Tock 合作的产品面临着来自 Uber Eats (UBER)、DoorDash (DASH) 和 Grubhub (GRUB) 等外卖服务以及 TouchBistro 和 Toast 等其他餐厅[客户关系管理]服务的竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the acquisition is an example of one way Squarespace has “smartly diversified into selling not just physical goods online but also adding calendar/scheduling capabilities (restaurant or gym reservations), content sales, and subscriptions,” he continued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，此次收购也是 Squarespace “巧妙多元化的一个例子，不仅在网上销售实体商品，还增加了日历/日程安排功能（餐厅或健身房预订）、内容销售和订阅”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Marketing Bucks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>营销资金</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace’s marketing and sales costs are growing far faster than its revenue. The company incurred $3.1 million in such expenses last year, up from $1.7 million in 2019, making for a 45% increase, whereas revenue was up 28% in the same span.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 的营销和销售成本增长速度远远快于收入增长速度。该公司去年的此类费用为 310 万美元，高于 2019 年的 170 万美元，增长了 45%，而同期收入增长了 28%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company’s podcast advertisements may be familiar to frequent listeners, though Squarespace notes in its prospectus that it advertises its services broadly, using “online keyword search, sponsorships and celebrity endorsements, television, podcasts, print and online advertising, email and social media marketing.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Squarespace 在招股说明书中指出，该公司广泛宣传其服务，使用 “在线关键词搜索、赞助和名人代言、电视、播客、平面广告和在线广告、电子邮件和社交媒体营销 ”，但该公司的播客广告可能对经常收听的听众并不陌生。</blockquote></p><p> Among its risk factors, Squarespace points to the possibility that Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google could change its algorithm or raise the costs of its search-engine-marketing tools.</p><p><blockquote>在风险因素中，Squarespace 指出Alphabet（GOOGL）旗下的谷歌有可能改变其算法或提高其搜索引擎营销工具的成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/squarespace-direct-listing-51621376597?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQSP":"Squarespace Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/squarespace-direct-listing-51621376597?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158638540","content_text":"The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.\nNow Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.\nThe company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-commerce functions and marketing capabilities. Squarespace aims to work with small businesses that have limited web expertise as well as “large brands” that need greater flexibility to customize based on their needs.\nSquarespace sees itself playing into a number of trends, including a growing need for businesses to maintain direct relationships with their customers and an increased emphasis on do-it-yourself solutions that are “rapidly displacing expensive agencies and making equivalent design quality out-of-the-box, accessible and easy-to-use for all,” the company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.\nThe company raised $300 million in a March funding round that gave the company an enterprise valuation of $10 billion, and is not raising any new funding as it lists. Here is what else you need to know about the company.\nGrowing Revenue, Shrinking Profits\nSquarespace posted $621 million in revenue during 2020, up from $485 million a year earlier. Revenue was up 28% in the latest fiscal year, ahead of the 24% growth rate seen in the prior period.\nThe company classifies 94% of its revenue as subscription-based. Squarespace added about 700,000 new unique subscriptions in 2020 and the company disclosed that more than two thirds of total subscriptions are annual.\nAbout 70% of Squarespace’s revenue last year came from the U.S., while the rest was international.\nSquarespace was profitable last year, recording about $30.6 million in net income, though profits were down from $58.2 million in 2019. The company’s “fundamentals highlight a rare combo of profitability and growth at scale,” wrote MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni.\nDespite a string of profitability on an annual basis, Squarespace generated a net loss of $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2021 compared with a loss of $1.1 million a year earlier. The company posted profits in each of the last three quarters of 2020.\nCompetition Aplenty\nThe company competes with a variety of different players across the e-commerce industry, according to its filing. Squarespace counts web-creation platforms like Wix.com (ticker: WIX) and Square’s (SQ) Weebly among its competition, along with e-commerce powerhouse Shopify (ticker: SHOP), which lets businesses set up online shops.\nSquarespace also calls out competitors like GoDaddy (GDDY) that offer domain-name tools, as well as those providing email-marketing and scheduling functions, while arguing that its own “comprehensive, all-in-one platform, multichannel commerce capabilities” are an asset.\nJefferies analyst Brent Thill notes that Wix is larger than Squarespace, with revenue of $989 million last year versus $621 million for Squarespace. In addition, Squarespace’s revenue last year was similar to what Wix posted in 2018, but Wix was posting faster growth at that scale, and without the benefit of the pandemic-driven acceleration in e-commerce more broadly, he wrote.\nOn the Menu\nSquareSpace recently closed its $415 million acquisition of Tock, a company focused on the restaurant and hospitality industries. Tock’s services allow businesses to manage reservations, takeout, event ticketing and more.\nThis part of the business may position SquareSpace against more tech giants, suggested MKM’s Kulkarni.\n“SquareSpace’s offering with Tock faces competition from delivery services such as Uber Eats (UBER),DoorDash (DASH) and Grubhub (GRUB), along with other restaurant [customer-relationship management] services such as TouchBistro and Toast,” he wrote.\nAt the same time, the acquisition is an example of one way Squarespace has “smartly diversified into selling not just physical goods online but also adding calendar/scheduling capabilities (restaurant or gym reservations), content sales, and subscriptions,” he continued.\nMarketing Bucks\nSquarespace’s marketing and sales costs are growing far faster than its revenue. The company incurred $3.1 million in such expenses last year, up from $1.7 million in 2019, making for a 45% increase, whereas revenue was up 28% in the same span.\nThe company’s podcast advertisements may be familiar to frequent listeners, though Squarespace notes in its prospectus that it advertises its services broadly, using “online keyword search, sponsorships and celebrity endorsements, television, podcasts, print and online advertising, email and social media marketing.”\nAmong its risk factors, Squarespace points to the possibility that Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google could change its algorithm or raise the costs of its search-engine-marketing tools.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQSP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}