+关注
Jcbduck
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
140
关注
3
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
Jcbduck
2021-12-22
$NVDA(NVDA)$
is good
Jcbduck
2021-10-31
great game!
@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Jcbduck
2021-09-14
As
@KYHBKO:Investment as a part timer
Jcbduck
2021-09-11
Good
Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>
Jcbduck
2021-09-07
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-27
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-22
Best
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-20
Thats it
Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
Jcbduck
2021-08-19
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-13
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-09
Like
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-06
Like
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-04
Like
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-02
Like
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-08-01
Good stuff
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-07-30
Good job
Atlassian stock Popped 26% as results, outlook beat Street view<blockquote>业绩公布后,Atlassian 股价上涨 26%,前景好于街景</blockquote>
Jcbduck
2021-07-29
Good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-07-28
good
抱歉,原内容已删除
Jcbduck
2021-07-27
Like
CD&R Seeks Equity Partners for Improved Morrison Offer<blockquote>CD&R 寻求股权合作伙伴以改进莫里森的报价</blockquote>
Jcbduck
2021-07-25
Great
GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站:比赛远未结束</blockquote>
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582623610923489","uuid":"3582623610923489","gmtCreate":1619530260385,"gmtModify":1623384602007,"name":"Jcbduck","pinyin":"jcbduck","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":140,"tweetSize":60,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.04.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.05.15","exceedPercentage":"93.64%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.11","exceedPercentage":"93.15%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":691873488,"gmtCreate":1640175825025,"gmtModify":1640175995155,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVDA(NVDA)$</a>is good","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$NVDA(NVDA)$</a>is good","text":"$NVDA(NVDA)$is good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691873488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2983,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840745947,"gmtCreate":1635694954834,"gmtModify":1635694955111,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"great game! ","listText":"great game! ","text":"great game!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840745947","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886754266,"gmtCreate":1631627803155,"gmtModify":1631889166617,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"As","listText":"As","text":"As","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886754266","repostId":"888380732","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":888380732,"gmtCreate":1631436064326,"gmtModify":1631505700467,"author":{"id":"3574381076586256","authorId":"3574381076586256","name":"KYHBKO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3bcbc7f9a10836dea92afc94bf39b5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574381076586256","authorIdStr":"3574381076586256"},"themes":[],"title":"Investment as a part timer","htmlText":"I am not a full time trader and thus, this should not be taken as financial advice and do not apply to the full time professionals.I have been meddling with investment since 2019. Started this as a newbie, I made many mistakes - pressed sell when it was meant to buy, using excessive leverage, investing in stocks without proper research, allowing my emotions to take over my entry and exit plan … … all these are necessary “school fees” that we pay so that we can be more successful overtime. (And I am still paying some of these recurring fees)It is important not to spend money meant for neccessities and essentials on trading. We should have a property and have enough for the monthly family needs. Previously, I was spending late nights to trade the US market. It was affecting my family r","listText":"I am not a full time trader and thus, this should not be taken as financial advice and do not apply to the full time professionals.I have been meddling with investment since 2019. Started this as a newbie, I made many mistakes - pressed sell when it was meant to buy, using excessive leverage, investing in stocks without proper research, allowing my emotions to take over my entry and exit plan … … all these are necessary “school fees” that we pay so that we can be more successful overtime. (And I am still paying some of these recurring fees)It is important not to spend money meant for neccessities and essentials on trading. We should have a property and have enough for the monthly family needs. Previously, I was spending late nights to trade the US market. It was affecting my family r","text":"I am not a full time trader and thus, this should not be taken as financial advice and do not apply to the full time professionals.I have been meddling with investment since 2019. Started this as a newbie, I made many mistakes - pressed sell when it was meant to buy, using excessive leverage, investing in stocks without proper research, allowing my emotions to take over my entry and exit plan … … all these are necessary “school fees” that we pay so that we can be more successful overtime. (And I am still paying some of these recurring fees)It is important not to spend money meant for neccessities and essentials on trading. We should have a property and have enough for the monthly family needs. Previously, I was spending late nights to trade the US market. It was affecting my family r","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888380732","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881247174,"gmtCreate":1631352121398,"gmtModify":1631889166629,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881247174","repostId":"1147045390","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147045390","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631321547,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147045390?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-11 08:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147045390","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30%","content":"<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序提供替代支付方式,这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商 Epic Games 提起的一起案件中,美国地区法官 Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers 发布了一项永久禁令,要求苹果(股票代码:AAPL)允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里抽取 30% 的佣金。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪机构 SensorTower 的数据显示,2020 年,苹果从 App Store 获得的总收入为 723 亿美元,费用估计为 217 亿美元,约占苹果总收入的 7%。其中包括美国 210 亿美元的支出,产生约 63 亿美元的费用,约占年化收入的 2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower 估计,2020 年 App Store 的手机游戏支出为 476 亿美元,产生的费用为 143 亿美元,略低于苹果总收入的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司 Loup Capital 的董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩-蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计,App Store 约占公司利润的 14%。但他认为周五的裁决风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>明斯特认为大多数应用程序开发者将留在苹果系统内。他认为总收入 “最多 ”会受到 2% 的阻力,利润可能会受到 4% 的影响。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”在这些变化的第一年之后,app store 的增长率将恢复正常。“底线是,这最多只是一年的逆风,并不会改变苹果未来 5 年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI 分析师 Amit Daryanani 在一份研究报告中表示,这一裁决对苹果来说是一个挫折,但最终的影响可能是可控的,因为苹果有其他方式从商店创收,包括其不断增长的店内广告业务。他还指出,苹果实际上在案件中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利: 法官驳回了 Epic 关于 App Store 非法垄断的说法。Daryanani 估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为 2% 至 4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什分析师丹·艾夫斯告诉<i>巴伦</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到 3% 到 4% 的影响,并将这种风险描述为 “四舍五入误差”。虽然艾夫斯表示,华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜,但这一混合决定消除了该股的悬而未决的问题,投资者可能会放心地搁置这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他说,这一裁决对 Spotify Technology 和 Match Group 等公司来说是积极的,而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌 3.3%,至 148.97 美元,而 Spotify 和 March 分别上涨 0.7% 和 4.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Apple’s Risk Is Limited<blockquote>为什么苹果的风险有限</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-11 08:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.</p><p><blockquote>周五的裁决要求苹果允许开发者为通过苹果应用商店下载的应用程序提供替代支付方式,这给其收入和利润带来了真实但有限的风险。</blockquote></p><p> In a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.</p><p><blockquote>在堡垒之夜发行商 Epic Games 提起的一起案件中,美国地区法官 Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers 发布了一项永久禁令,要求苹果(股票代码:AAPL)允许开发者选择在其应用程序中包含替代支付方式的链接。苹果自己的支付系统从大型开发商那里抽取 30% 的佣金。</blockquote></p><p> Data from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.</p><p><blockquote>应用追踪机构 SensorTower 的数据显示,2020 年,苹果从 App Store 获得的总收入为 723 亿美元,费用估计为 217 亿美元,约占苹果总收入的 7%。其中包括美国 210 亿美元的支出,产生约 63 亿美元的费用,约占年化收入的 2%。</blockquote></p><p> SensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.</p><p><blockquote>SensorTower 估计,2020 年 App Store 的手机游戏支出为 476 亿美元,产生的费用为 143 亿美元,略低于苹果总收入的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.</p><p><blockquote>风险投资公司 Loup Capital 的董事总经理、长期跟踪苹果的前卖方分析师吉恩-蒙斯特(Gene Munster)估计,App Store 约占公司利润的 14%。但他认为周五的裁决风险有限。</blockquote></p><p> Munster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.</p><p><blockquote>明斯特认为大多数应用程序开发者将留在苹果系统内。他认为总收入 “最多 ”会受到 2% 的阻力,利润可能会受到 4% 的影响。</blockquote></p><p> “After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”在这些变化的第一年之后,app store 的增长率将恢复正常。“底线是,这最多只是一年的逆风,并不会改变苹果未来 5 年的发展方向。”</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI 分析师 Amit Daryanani 在一份研究报告中表示,这一裁决对苹果来说是一个挫折,但最终的影响可能是可控的,因为苹果有其他方式从商店创收,包括其不断增长的店内广告业务。他还指出,苹果实际上在案件中的一个更大问题上取得了胜利: 法官驳回了 Epic 关于 App Store 非法垄断的说法。Daryanani 估计苹果每股收益面临的风险为 2% 至 4%。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told <i>Barron’s</i> he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什分析师丹·艾夫斯告诉<i>巴伦</i>他认为最坏的情况是收入受到 3% 到 4% 的影响,并将这种风险描述为 “四舍五入误差”。虽然艾夫斯表示,华尔街原本预计苹果会全面获胜,但这一混合决定消除了该股的悬而未决的问题,投资者可能会放心地搁置这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> The ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>他说,这一裁决对 Spotify Technology 和 Match Group 等公司来说是积极的,而不是对苹果的负面影响。苹果股价周五下跌 3.3%,至 148.97 美元,而 Spotify 和 March 分别上涨 0.7% 和 4.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-app-store-epic-51631304007?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147045390","content_text":"Apple faces real, but limited, risk to its revenue and profits from Friday’s ruling that requires it to allow developers to offer alternative payment methods for purchases made in apps downloaded through the Apple app store.\nIn a case filed by Fortnite publisher Epic Games, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers issued a permanent injunction that requires Apple (ticker: AAPL) to allow developers the option to include links to alternative payment methods in their apps. Apple’s own payment system takes a 30% cut from large developers.\nData from the app tracker SensorTower shows that in calendar 2020, Apple had overall revenue from the App Store of $72.3 billion, generating an estimated $21.7 billion in fees, or about 7% of Apple’s overall revenues. That includes $21 billion in spending in the U.S., generating about $6.3 billion in fees, or about 2% of annualized revenues.\nSensorTower estimates that mobile-game spending in the App Store in calendar 2020 was $47.6 billion, generating $14.3 billion in fees, or a little under 5% of Apple’s total revenues.\nGene Munster, managing director of the venture firm Loup Capital and a former sell-side analyst with a long history of tracking Apple, estimated that the App Store accounts for about 14% of the company’s profits. But he sees limited risk from Friday’s ruling.\nMunster thinks most app developers will stay inside of the Apple system. He sees “at most” a 2% headwind to overall revenue, and a potential 4% hit to profits.\n“After the first year of these changes, app store growth rates will return to normal,” he said. “Bottom line, it’s at most a one-year headwind and does not change the big picture of where Apple is going over the next 5 years.”\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani said in a research note that the ruling is a setback for Apple, but that the eventual impact is likely to be manageable, given Apple has alternative ways to generate revenue from the store, including its growing in-store ad business. And he noted that Apple actually got a win on a bigger issue in the case: The judge rejected Epic’s assertion that the App Store is an illegal monopoly. Daryanani estimated the risk to Apple’s per-share earnings at 2% to 4%.\nWedbush analyst Dan Ives told Barron’s he thinks the worst-case scenario is a 3% to 4% hit to revenues, describing the risk as a “rounding error.” While Ives said the Street had expected an across-the-board win for Apple, the mixed decision removes an overhang on the stock and that investors are likely relieved to put the issue to rest.\nThe ruling is more a positive for companies like Spotify Technology and Match Group than it is a negative for Apple, he said. Apple stock fell 3.3% to $148.97 on Friday, while Spotify and March gained 0.7% and 4.2%, respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880920212,"gmtCreate":1631011451936,"gmtModify":1631889166641,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880920212","repostId":"1155596683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819584179,"gmtCreate":1630077580691,"gmtModify":1704955688387,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819584179","repostId":"1111790802","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832214344,"gmtCreate":1629638271288,"gmtModify":1631883953406,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best","listText":"Best","text":"Best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832214344","repostId":"2161743804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836138087,"gmtCreate":1629463307449,"gmtModify":1631889166668,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Thats it","listText":"Thats it","text":"Thats it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836138087","repostId":"1180862486","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180862486","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629460028,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1180862486?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180862486","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and t","content":"<p>(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>(8月20日)美国股指期货周五下跌,因对经济复苏放缓和货币刺激可能缩减的担忧损害了与经济相关的行业,并使道琼斯指数和标普500指数有望迎来自 6 月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 07:52,道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 139 点,跌幅 0.40%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌 16.5 点,跌幅 0.37%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 24 点,跌幅 0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股 5.32 美元,而市场普遍预期为 4.58 美元,其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%,因为该公司还因农业设备需求强劲而上调了全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> 2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚部储物柜</a>– 运动鞋和服装制造商 Foot Locker 公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后,其股价在盘前飙升 6.2%。Foot Locker 调整后每股收益为 2.21 美元,而市场普遍预期为 1.01 美元,可比商店销售额增长了 6.9%。分析师此前预计薪酬销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">带扣</a>– 这家时尚配饰零售商的季度收益为每股 1.04 美元,超出预期 18 美分,收入高于预期,因为该公司受益于更多的现场购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司</a>– 这家音乐流媒体服务宣布,其董事会批准了 10 亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官保罗-沃格尔(Paul Vogel)表示,此举表明了公司对业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify 盘前上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>– 这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期 13 美分,调整后季度利润为每股 1.90 美元,收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还给出了好于预期的前景,但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>– 这家折扣零售商公布的季度利润为每股 1.39 美元,超过了 98 美分的市场普遍预期,并且收入也好于预期。然而,其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测,该股在盘前交易中下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>– 首席执行官亚历克斯·戈尔斯基 (Alex Gorsky) 于 1 月 3 日宣布计划辞职,由公司资深人士华金·杜阿托 (Joaquin Duato) 接任,戈尔斯基 (Gorsky) 担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>- 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.1%,收复了周四 9.5% 跌幅的一小部分,该跌幅曾使其股价跌至上市以来的最低点。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>– 该软件制造商宣布以 12.75 亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台 Frame.io。此次收购将用于扩展 Adobe Create Cloud 软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- Petco 在周四上涨 3.6% 的基础上,盘前上涨 2.1%,瑞士信贷将这家宠物用品零售商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示,在 Petco 发布乐观的财报后,它对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>- 汇丰银行将化肥生产商的评级从 “持有”上调至 “买入”,原因是预计化肥价格上涨将带来好处。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在外汇中,</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险,该指数继续在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的上行空间上延伸。隔夜,由于欧洲市场情绪受到早盘交易的影响,DXY 指数触及 93.500 点,随后最多升至 93.684 点。从技术角度来看,该指数在 93.900 点附近遇到阻力,该阻力在 2020 年第三季度和第四季度多次成为上限。除此之外,突破心理关口 94.000 可能会为 94.300(2020 年 11 月 4 日高点)、94.500 附近的阻力位打开大门,随后是 94.650 和 94.807 的 100 和 200 WMAs - 尽管这些距离还有一段距离。不利的一面是,昨天的低点为 93.214,心理低点为 93.000,而 21 日均线(92.674)和 50 日均线(92.377)则位于其下方。未来,国家方面的日历是空的,但价格走势可能会受到风险基调的影响。顺便提一下,美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品方面,</b>由于对新冠疫情的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调,WTI 和布伦特原油期货的基础再次走软。在前者中,隔夜会议延长了新西兰全国范围内的封锁,澳大利亚悉尼的限制措施也延长至9月底。除此之外,该综合体和整个市场的消息流一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下,情绪和三角洲的困境可能会占据主导地位。WTI回到63美元/桶(高点64.04美元/桶),布伦特回到66美元/桶(高点66.93美元/桶)。在其他地方,现货黄金和白银各不相同,但在更大的计划中保持持平,分别高于1775美元/盎司和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时,基本金属从昨天的剧烈抛售中略有反弹,但基准LME铜价在触及上限后仍低于9,000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 19:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>(8月20日)美国股指期货周五下跌,因对经济复苏放缓和货币刺激可能缩减的担忧损害了与经济相关的行业,并使道琼斯指数和标普500指数有望迎来自 6 月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 07:52,道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 139 点,跌幅 0.40%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌 16.5 点,跌幅 0.37%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 24 点,跌幅 0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股 5.32 美元,而市场普遍预期为 4.58 美元,其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%,因为该公司还因农业设备需求强劲而上调了全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> 2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚部储物柜</a>– 运动鞋和服装制造商 Foot Locker 公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后,其股价在盘前飙升 6.2%。Foot Locker 调整后每股收益为 2.21 美元,而市场普遍预期为 1.01 美元,可比商店销售额增长了 6.9%。分析师此前预计薪酬销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">带扣</a>– 这家时尚配饰零售商的季度收益为每股 1.04 美元,超出预期 18 美分,收入高于预期,因为该公司受益于更多的现场购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司</a>– 这家音乐流媒体服务宣布,其董事会批准了 10 亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官保罗-沃格尔(Paul Vogel)表示,此举表明了公司对业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify 盘前上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>– 这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期 13 美分,调整后季度利润为每股 1.90 美元,收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还给出了好于预期的前景,但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>– 这家折扣零售商公布的季度利润为每股 1.39 美元,超过了 98 美分的市场普遍预期,并且收入也好于预期。然而,其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测,该股在盘前交易中下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>– 首席执行官亚历克斯·戈尔斯基 (Alex Gorsky) 于 1 月 3 日宣布计划辞职,由公司资深人士华金·杜阿托 (Joaquin Duato) 接任,戈尔斯基 (Gorsky) 担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>- 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.1%,收复了周四 9.5% 跌幅的一小部分,该跌幅曾使其股价跌至上市以来的最低点。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>– 该软件制造商宣布以 12.75 亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台 Frame.io。此次收购将用于扩展 Adobe Create Cloud 软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- Petco 在周四上涨 3.6% 的基础上,盘前上涨 2.1%,瑞士信贷将这家宠物用品零售商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示,在 Petco 发布乐观的财报后,它对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>- 汇丰银行将化肥生产商的评级从 “持有”上调至 “买入”,原因是预计化肥价格上涨将带来好处。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在外汇中,</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险,该指数继续在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的上行空间上延伸。隔夜,由于欧洲市场情绪受到早盘交易的影响,DXY 指数触及 93.500 点,随后最多升至 93.684 点。从技术角度来看,该指数在 93.900 点附近遇到阻力,该阻力在 2020 年第三季度和第四季度多次成为上限。除此之外,突破心理关口 94.000 可能会为 94.300(2020 年 11 月 4 日高点)、94.500 附近的阻力位打开大门,随后是 94.650 和 94.807 的 100 和 200 WMAs - 尽管这些距离还有一段距离。不利的一面是,昨天的低点为 93.214,心理低点为 93.000,而 21 日均线(92.674)和 50 日均线(92.377)则位于其下方。未来,国家方面的日历是空的,但价格走势可能会受到风险基调的影响。顺便提一下,美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品方面,</b>由于对新冠疫情的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调,WTI 和布伦特原油期货的基础再次走软。在前者中,隔夜会议延长了新西兰全国范围内的封锁,澳大利亚悉尼的限制措施也延长至9月底。除此之外,该综合体和整个市场的消息流一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下,情绪和三角洲的困境可能会占据主导地位。WTI回到63美元/桶(高点64.04美元/桶),布伦特回到66美元/桶(高点66.93美元/桶)。在其他地方,现货黄金和白银各不相同,但在更大的计划中保持持平,分别高于1775美元/盎司和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时,基本金属从昨天的剧烈抛售中略有反弹,但基准LME铜价在触及上限后仍低于9,000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180862486","content_text":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.\nAt 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) John Deere – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.\n2) Foot Locker – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.\n3) Buckle – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.\n4) Spotify Technology S.A. – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.\n5) Applied Materials – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.\n6) Ross – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.\n7) Johnson & Johnson – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.\n8) Lordstown Motors Corp. – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.\n9) Adobe – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.\n10) Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.\n11) Mosaic – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.\nIn FX,the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.\nIn commodities,WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838978583,"gmtCreate":1629370126742,"gmtModify":1631889166682,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good ","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838978583","repostId":"2160656907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894791296,"gmtCreate":1628854224015,"gmtModify":1631889166691,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894791296","repostId":"2159294386","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898220952,"gmtCreate":1628502261276,"gmtModify":1631889166704,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898220952","repostId":"1127340198","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893961054,"gmtCreate":1628230121078,"gmtModify":1631889166715,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893961054","repostId":"1192335227","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890818002,"gmtCreate":1628091058506,"gmtModify":1631889166726,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890818002","repostId":"1119448743","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804924355,"gmtCreate":1627917334177,"gmtModify":1631891346992,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804924355","repostId":"1122733391","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805004204,"gmtCreate":1627817781908,"gmtModify":1631891346996,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good stuff","listText":"Good stuff","text":"Good stuff","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805004204","repostId":"1147877145","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806262554,"gmtCreate":1627658697878,"gmtModify":1631891346999,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good job","listText":"Good job","text":"Good job","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806262554","repostId":"1158096627","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158096627","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627654347,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158096627?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 22:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Atlassian stock Popped 26% as results, outlook beat Street view<blockquote>业绩公布后,Atlassian 股价上涨 26%,前景好于街景</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158096627","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Atlassian Corp. shares surged 26% in Friday morning trading after the business collaboration softwar","content":"<p>Atlassian Corp. shares surged 26% in Friday morning trading after the business collaboration software company's results and outlook topped the Wall Street consensus. </p><p><blockquote>商业协作软件公司 Atlassian Corp. 的业绩和前景超出了华尔街的共识,该公司股价在周五早盘交易中飙升 26%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8f240e071d442c98a8269476186fd9a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company reported a fiscal fourth-quarter loss of $213.1 million, or 85 cents a share, compared with a loss of $385.2 million, or $1.56 a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were 24 cents a share, compared with 25 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $559.5 million from $430.5 million in the year-ago quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 18 cents a share on revenue of $471.6 million. Atlassian forecast adjusted earnings of 38 cents to 39 cents a share on revenue of $575 million to $590 million for the first quarter. Analysts had estimated 30 cents a share on revenue of $539.1 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司公布第四财季亏损2.131亿美元,即每股85美分,而去年同期亏损3.852亿美元,即每股1.56美元。调整后收益(不包括股票薪酬费用和其他项目)为每股 24 美分,而去年同期为每股 25 美分。收入从去年同期的 4.305 亿美元增至 5.595 亿美元。FactSet 调查的分析师预测每股收益为 18 美分,营收为 4.716 亿美元。Atlassian 预测调整后的每股收益为 38 美分至 39 美分,第一季度营收为 5.75 亿美元至 5.9 亿美元。分析师此前预计每股收益 30 美分,营收为 5.391 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlassian stock price target raised to $370 from $310 at Mizuho.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗将 Atlassian 的目标股价从 310 美元上调至 370 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Atlassian stock Popped 26% as results, outlook beat Street view<blockquote>业绩公布后,Atlassian 股价上涨 26%,前景好于街景</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAtlassian stock Popped 26% as results, outlook beat Street view<blockquote>业绩公布后,Atlassian 股价上涨 26%,前景好于街景</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-30 22:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Atlassian Corp. shares surged 26% in Friday morning trading after the business collaboration software company's results and outlook topped the Wall Street consensus. </p><p><blockquote>商业协作软件公司 Atlassian Corp. 的业绩和前景超出了华尔街的共识,该公司股价在周五早盘交易中飙升 26%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8f240e071d442c98a8269476186fd9a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company reported a fiscal fourth-quarter loss of $213.1 million, or 85 cents a share, compared with a loss of $385.2 million, or $1.56 a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were 24 cents a share, compared with 25 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $559.5 million from $430.5 million in the year-ago quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 18 cents a share on revenue of $471.6 million. Atlassian forecast adjusted earnings of 38 cents to 39 cents a share on revenue of $575 million to $590 million for the first quarter. Analysts had estimated 30 cents a share on revenue of $539.1 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司公布第四财季亏损2.131亿美元,即每股85美分,而去年同期亏损3.852亿美元,即每股1.56美元。调整后收益(不包括股票薪酬费用和其他项目)为每股 24 美分,而去年同期为每股 25 美分。收入从去年同期的 4.305 亿美元增至 5.595 亿美元。FactSet 调查的分析师预测每股收益为 18 美分,营收为 4.716 亿美元。Atlassian 预测调整后的每股收益为 38 美分至 39 美分,第一季度营收为 5.75 亿美元至 5.9 亿美元。分析师此前预计每股收益 30 美分,营收为 5.391 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlassian stock price target raised to $370 from $310 at Mizuho.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗将 Atlassian 的目标股价从 310 美元上调至 370 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TEAM":"Atlassian Corporation PLC"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158096627","content_text":"Atlassian Corp. shares surged 26% in Friday morning trading after the business collaboration software company's results and outlook topped the Wall Street consensus. \n\nThe company reported a fiscal fourth-quarter loss of $213.1 million, or 85 cents a share, compared with a loss of $385.2 million, or $1.56 a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were 24 cents a share, compared with 25 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $559.5 million from $430.5 million in the year-ago quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 18 cents a share on revenue of $471.6 million. Atlassian forecast adjusted earnings of 38 cents to 39 cents a share on revenue of $575 million to $590 million for the first quarter. Analysts had estimated 30 cents a share on revenue of $539.1 million.\nAtlassian stock price target raised to $370 from $310 at Mizuho.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TEAM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808044431,"gmtCreate":1627547152823,"gmtModify":1631891347006,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808044431","repostId":"1163351522","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803497805,"gmtCreate":1627454566107,"gmtModify":1631891347012,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803497805","repostId":"2154418789","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809195807,"gmtCreate":1627351288309,"gmtModify":1631891347009,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809195807","repostId":"1102983589","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102983589","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627349230,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1102983589?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 09:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CD&R Seeks Equity Partners for Improved Morrison Offer<blockquote>CD&R 寻求股权合作伙伴以改进莫里森的报价</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102983589","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Clayton Dubilier & Rice is speaking with potential equity partners as it prepares an ","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Clayton Dubilier & Rice is speaking with potential equity partners as it prepares an improved offer for British grocery chain Wm Morrison Supermarkets Plc, people with knowledge of the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博)-Clayton Dubilier&Rice正在与潜在的股权合作伙伴进行洽谈,因为它正在为英国杂货连锁店Wm Morrison Supermarkets Plc准备一个改进的报价,这些人了解……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cd-r-seeks-equity-partners-170313043.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cd-r-seeks-equity-partners-170313043.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CD&R Seeks Equity Partners for Improved Morrison Offer<blockquote>CD&R 寻求股权合作伙伴以改进莫里森的报价</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCD&R Seeks Equity Partners for Improved Morrison Offer<blockquote>CD&R 寻求股权合作伙伴以改进莫里森的报价</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 09:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Clayton Dubilier & Rice is speaking with potential equity partners as it prepares an improved offer for British grocery chain Wm Morrison Supermarkets Plc, people with knowledge of the ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博)-Clayton Dubilier&Rice正在与潜在的股权合作伙伴进行洽谈,因为它正在为英国杂货连锁店Wm Morrison Supermarkets Plc准备一个改进的报价,这些人了解……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cd-r-seeks-equity-partners-170313043.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cd-r-seeks-equity-partners-170313043.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cd-r-seeks-equity-partners-170313043.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRWSF":"WM Morrison Supermarkets Plc."},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cd-r-seeks-equity-partners-170313043.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102983589","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Clayton Dubilier & Rice is speaking with potential equity partners as it prepares an improved offer for British grocery chain Wm Morrison Supermarkets Plc, people with knowledge of the matter said.\nThe buyout firm is in discussions to team up with some of the investors in its funds -- known as limited partners -- on a fresh bid, the people said. CD&R is considering making an increased offer as soon as the coming days, according to the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private.\nPrivate equity firms often partner with a large pension manager or sovereign wealth fund on major acquisitions to reduce the amount of capital they have to commit themselves. Under British takeover rules, CD&R has until Aug. 9 to decide whether to make a rival bid for the supermarket chain.\nMorrison has already accepted a 6.3 billion-pound ($8.7 billion) proposal from Fortress Investment Group. Earlier this month, investment firm Apollo Global Management Inc. said it was in talks to join the Fortress bid and wouldn’t make a separate offer for Britain’s fourth-largest grocer.\nBNP Paribas SA has joined Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. as an adviser to CD&R and will help provide financing for the potential acquisition, the people said. Deliberations are ongoing, and there’s no certainty CD&R will submit a new proposal, according to the people.\nRepresentatives for CD&R, Morrison and BNP Paribas declined to comment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRWSF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177882229,"gmtCreate":1627195740161,"gmtModify":1631891347014,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582623610923489","authorIdStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177882229","repostId":"1107345366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107345366","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627176839,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107345366?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站:比赛远未结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107345366","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce pla","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li> <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li> <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li> <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经进行了自我改造,逐步成为一个主要的电子商务公司。</li><li>我们认为,如果管理团队能够成功执行其新的电子商务支点,该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外,鉴于 Reddit 社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力,我们建议空头特别关注该社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有立足之地,但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)在 1 月份飙升至每股 480 美元的平流层水平,其背后的投机热情已大大消退,因为该股最后一次交易价格为 178 美元,比 1 月份狂热期间的 ATH 下跌了 63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见,即这只股票似乎被严重高估了(华尔街的平均目标价为 37.5 美元),但我们也想强调的是,我们认为目前还没有一个能够全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素的估值模型,因此不会大胆地向对 meme 股票感兴趣的投资者宣布远离 GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为 Marketer 在 6 月份最近的一篇文章中概述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了 GME 等 Reddit 论坛上 meme 股票背后的潜在需求:</blockquote></p><p> Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early. We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health (CLOV) 卖空者认为该股被高估,按市值计算损失减少了 4.38 亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失了超过 50 亿美元。让市场感到困惑 “迷惑”--也就是说,这只是有趣的。r/WallStreetBets 上的 Reddit 帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的喜悦而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为膨胀的股价可以让早期投资的少数幸运儿实现利润最大化。我们认为,接受过基本面分析培训的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型,因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的,但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中,我们将更深入地了解支撑 GME 业务的关键基本驱动因素,以及我们认为 Reddit 社区对 GME 等模因股票的参与和影响将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来,游戏驿站发生了什么变化?</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME 最近任命了亚马逊 (AMZN) 的两名资深高管:Matt Furlong 和 Mike Recupero 分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官,这是董事长 Ryan Cohen 对 GME 商业模式进行战略改造的一部分,旨在转向成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止,新管理层的指导可能很少,但团队肯定已经迅速着手工作,建立必要的基础,逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务公司,因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心,最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施,使该公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩 (Ryan Cohen) 还明确表示,公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其检修计划的复杂细节,而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判团队,他强调:</blockquote></p><p> You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words. However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一个大游戏,做出一堆崇高的承诺,或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略....我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来,我们希望你们根据我们的行动而不是我们的言语来评判游戏驿站。然而,正如 WedBush Securities 最近所阐述的那样,华尔街几乎不相信瑞安-科恩或公司的战略: “我认为这已经从他身上溜走了。我认为他的自尊心挡住了去路,现在他要向所有人证明(他)知道自己在做什么。如果说有什么策略,那他竟然没有告诉我们,真是令人震惊。我们五个月前就应该听说了。这是什么秘密?”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到,该公司似乎已经能够在 21 年第四季度和 22 年第一季度阻止收入下降的趋势(GME 对其财年的定义与其 CY 不同),这发生在新管理层到位之前很久。该公司 21 年第四季度的收入为 $2.12B,是过去 3 年的强劲季度,而 22 年第一季度的收入同比增长 25%。因此,当我们在 LTM 基础上绘制它时,我们认为在地平线上有希望,也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开端。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域,特别是该公司履行中心的建设,这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM EBIT 利润率趋势。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个值得关注的领域,但我们认为这是一个值得关注的领域,因为我们再次观察到 LTM 趋势有所改善,因为该公司公布的 LTM 息税前利润率为 -3.5% 2022 年第一季度,而 LTM 息税前利润率为 -4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司还没有走出困境,但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂,至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>债务股本比率。来源:Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM 杠杆 FCF 保证金。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股权发行,以支撑其资产负债表。因此,该公司的债务股本比率已显着改善至5.5%,债务余额仅为4810万美元,而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元(截至21年5月1日,在两次股权发行之前,共筹集了1.677亿美元,在削减债务之前)。此外,该公司也从未真正流失过现金,因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康,同时最近一个季度还将其 LTM 杠杆自由现金流利润率提高到 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此,我们认为,如果管理层能够成功推进,GME 看起来处于有利地位,可以利用其新的电子商务支点的战略改革。虽然我们目前对 GME 的未来路线图还不太确定,但 Reddit 社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司,因为我们将详细介绍 Reddit 社区如何继续成为一股非常重要的力量,在他们寻求提振公司股价的过程中,甚至连 Ryan Cohen 都特意向 Reddit 社区致敬:</blockquote></p><p> We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day. <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票,你们每天都激励我们想得更远、更努力、更长时间。<b>Reddit社区在2020年增长了25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长。来源:eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到 Reddit 在 2020 年实现了非常显着的增长,其平台上的用户同比增长 25.9%,Marketer 还预计 Reddit 社区在 2021 年将增长 14.4%,达到 4330 万用户。我们认为,Reddit 越来越受欢迎,这将继续维持投资者对 GME 等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国人口分布,按世代划分。数据来源:美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信,Reddit 无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素,这也导致了 Robinhood (HOOD) 等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度,该平台 2020 年的平均年龄为 31 岁。根据2019年的人口普查,这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内,千禧一代出生于1981年至1996年之间(25至40岁),占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,我们还可以观察到,千禧一代投资者对股票感兴趣,而这些股票并不是典型投资者应该持有的 “安全稳定 ”股票。从上文可以看出,我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Apex Clearing 的一份报告,特斯拉(TSLA)在 21 年第一季度的千禧一代投资组合中持股最多,持股比例为 28.3%,我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。AAPL 以 14.5% 的份额位居第二,而 GME 也以 5.2% 的份额位居前四,这支持了我们的观点,即千禧一代投资者的动机不仅仅是基本面和估值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中,我们可以观察到许多其他例子,这些例子证实了这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣,例如英伟达 (NVDA)、AMC院线 (AMC) 等另一只模因股票、丘吉尔资本公司 (CCIV),其第三大持股;蔚来(蔚来)、Palantir(PLTR),甚至 Square(SQ),我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票归类为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此,我们认为广大投资者群体需要明白,有大量且不断增长的投资者群体,他们对基本面和估值的理解和期望肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的大相径庭。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为,这个市场肯定比我们所知道的要大得多,也复杂得多,只是不可能用同样的基本面分析和估值方法对 GME 这样的 meme 股票进行估值,然后说它们被高估了,老实说,我们认为这个过程在 meme 股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析 Reddit 意见</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至 2 月 21 日,游戏驿站在美国、英国和加拿大做空后,Reddit 上个人投资者的看法(按年龄划分)。数据来源:布伦瑞克</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查,我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性,尤其是在18-29岁年龄组的年轻投资者中。约 14% 的投资者 “相信 Reddit 是一种媒体替代品”,在年轻投资者中,这一比例甚至飙升至 31%。此外,相当比例(25%)的年轻投资者也参加了 GME 机会,而 20% 的年轻投资者认为 GME 活动 “代表了市场力量的根本性转移”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者,但我们认为投资者的比例肯定大到足以引起一般投资界的惊讶,因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是前进中不可忽视的力量。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>使用 Reddit 调查美国、英国和加拿大问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源:布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对 Reddit 的平均信任得分。数据来源:布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>即使在机构投资者中,我们也可以观察到 Reddit 的影响力越来越大,因为 27% 的机构投资者使用 Reddit 来 “调查问题”,尽管他们对该平台的信任度从 2019 年的平均得分 3.5 分明显下降到 2021 年的 2.0 分,但这一比例比前几年有了明显增加。我们认为,这表明机构投资者认为 Reddit 在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大,但与前面显示的个人投资者相比,他们并不认为这些论坛上发生的事情对他们 “发达 ”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对 Reddit wallstreetbets 社区成员的态度。数据来源:布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 48% 的机构投资者认为 Redditors “可能会有短期影响力,但他们无法维持”,但 27% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇,13% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 能够组建一支军队,击败华尔街一些最聪明的头脑的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此,我们毫不奇怪地发现,这些机构投资者中有 20% 对 Redditors 的 “市场操纵 ”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权分解。来源:Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源:Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来,我们认为像 GME 这样的备忘录股票将继续在 Reddit 论坛上占据重要地位,并继续成为他们与街头抗争的 “旗舰 ”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有 GME 股票的最大份额,占总持股量的 45.1%。有趣的是,仍有相当一部分(36.4%)的机构投资者仍然持有 GME,其中包括 GME 的最大股东:贝莱德(Blackrock),该公司拥有 GME 12.36% 的股票。虽然 GME 在 21 年第二季度的机构资本大量流出 19.3 亿美元,但其股价仍远高于 2021 年第一个交易日 17.25 美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移做空的流通量百分比。资料来源:Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,尽管空头流通量百分比已从 1 月份的 41.96% 大幅下降至 6 月底的 “仅 ”14.18%,这是 2021 年两周以来最低的记录,但价格仍在持续。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了 45.1% 的散户投资者持有 GME 股票外,瑞安-科恩(Ryan Cohen)还持有 12.13% 的股份,这使他成为 GME 股票的第二大股东,仅次于贝莱德(Blackrock),尽管他在 12 月 20 日购买的最后一批 127.4 万股股票的价格约为 14.24 美元,如果考虑到 GME 的最新收盘价 178.85 美元,这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在年初目睹的狂热以来,GME 已经稳定下来,似乎已经形成了上升趋势,支撑位在之前的 130 美元至 160 美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣。根据我们的价格行为分析,我们预计买家将继续强力捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有 GME 头寸的投资者,我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内进行入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>斯坦汉姆资产管理公司(Stenham Asset Management)表示,虽然我们确信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去,但我们认为该股在零售社区中引起了难以置信的巨大购买兴趣,这动摇了机构投资者的基础:</blockquote></p><p> \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.” In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下,如果你不衡量和管理你在人群和散户兴趣方面的空头风险,你就是在疏忽,”我们认为,一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了 Reddit 社区日益增长的影响力: “[我们]绝对会关注 WSB 等论坛,我们正在密切关注。”在游戏驿站,我们认为这场比赛肯定还远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站:比赛远未结束</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站:比赛远未结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 09:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li> <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li> <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li> <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经进行了自我改造,逐步成为一个主要的电子商务公司。</li><li>我们认为,如果管理团队能够成功执行其新的电子商务支点,该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外,鉴于 Reddit 社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力,我们建议空头特别关注该社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有立足之地,但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)在 1 月份飙升至每股 480 美元的平流层水平,其背后的投机热情已大大消退,因为该股最后一次交易价格为 178 美元,比 1 月份狂热期间的 ATH 下跌了 63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见,即这只股票似乎被严重高估了(华尔街的平均目标价为 37.5 美元),但我们也想强调的是,我们认为目前还没有一个能够全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素的估值模型,因此不会大胆地向对 meme 股票感兴趣的投资者宣布远离 GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为 Marketer 在 6 月份最近的一篇文章中概述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了 GME 等 Reddit 论坛上 meme 股票背后的潜在需求:</blockquote></p><p> Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early. We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health (CLOV) 卖空者认为该股被高估,按市值计算损失减少了 4.38 亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失了超过 50 亿美元。让市场感到困惑 “迷惑”--也就是说,这只是有趣的。r/WallStreetBets 上的 Reddit 帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的喜悦而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为膨胀的股价可以让早期投资的少数幸运儿实现利润最大化。我们认为,接受过基本面分析培训的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型,因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的,但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中,我们将更深入地了解支撑 GME 业务的关键基本驱动因素,以及我们认为 Reddit 社区对 GME 等模因股票的参与和影响将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来,游戏驿站发生了什么变化?</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME 最近任命了亚马逊 (AMZN) 的两名资深高管:Matt Furlong 和 Mike Recupero 分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官,这是董事长 Ryan Cohen 对 GME 商业模式进行战略改造的一部分,旨在转向成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止,新管理层的指导可能很少,但团队肯定已经迅速着手工作,建立必要的基础,逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务公司,因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心,最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施,使该公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩 (Ryan Cohen) 还明确表示,公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其检修计划的复杂细节,而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判团队,他强调:</blockquote></p><p> You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words. However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一个大游戏,做出一堆崇高的承诺,或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略....我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来,我们希望你们根据我们的行动而不是我们的言语来评判游戏驿站。然而,正如 WedBush Securities 最近所阐述的那样,华尔街几乎不相信瑞安-科恩或公司的战略: “我认为这已经从他身上溜走了。我认为他的自尊心挡住了去路,现在他要向所有人证明(他)知道自己在做什么。如果说有什么策略,那他竟然没有告诉我们,真是令人震惊。我们五个月前就应该听说了。这是什么秘密?”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到,该公司似乎已经能够在 21 年第四季度和 22 年第一季度阻止收入下降的趋势(GME 对其财年的定义与其 CY 不同),这发生在新管理层到位之前很久。该公司 21 年第四季度的收入为 $2.12B,是过去 3 年的强劲季度,而 22 年第一季度的收入同比增长 25%。因此,当我们在 LTM 基础上绘制它时,我们认为在地平线上有希望,也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开端。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域,特别是该公司履行中心的建设,这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM EBIT 利润率趋势。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个值得关注的领域,但我们认为这是一个值得关注的领域,因为我们再次观察到 LTM 趋势有所改善,因为该公司公布的 LTM 息税前利润率为 -3.5% 2022 年第一季度,而 LTM 息税前利润率为 -4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司还没有走出困境,但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂,至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>债务股本比率。来源:Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM 杠杆 FCF 保证金。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股权发行,以支撑其资产负债表。因此,该公司的债务股本比率已显着改善至5.5%,债务余额仅为4810万美元,而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元(截至21年5月1日,在两次股权发行之前,共筹集了1.677亿美元,在削减债务之前)。此外,该公司也从未真正流失过现金,因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康,同时最近一个季度还将其 LTM 杠杆自由现金流利润率提高到 1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此,我们认为,如果管理层能够成功推进,GME 看起来处于有利地位,可以利用其新的电子商务支点的战略改革。虽然我们目前对 GME 的未来路线图还不太确定,但 Reddit 社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司,因为我们将详细介绍 Reddit 社区如何继续成为一股非常重要的力量,在他们寻求提振公司股价的过程中,甚至连 Ryan Cohen 都特意向 Reddit 社区致敬:</blockquote></p><p> We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day. <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票,你们每天都激励我们想得更远、更努力、更长时间。<b>Reddit社区在2020年增长了25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长。来源:eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到 Reddit 在 2020 年实现了非常显着的增长,其平台上的用户同比增长 25.9%,Marketer 还预计 Reddit 社区在 2021 年将增长 14.4%,达到 4330 万用户。我们认为,Reddit 越来越受欢迎,这将继续维持投资者对 GME 等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国人口分布,按世代划分。数据来源:美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们相信,Reddit 无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素,这也导致了 Robinhood (HOOD) 等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度,该平台 2020 年的平均年龄为 31 岁。根据2019年的人口普查,这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内,千禧一代出生于1981年至1996年之间(25至40岁),占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,我们还可以观察到,千禧一代投资者对股票感兴趣,而这些股票并不是典型投资者应该持有的 “安全稳定 ”股票。从上文可以看出,我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Apex Clearing 的一份报告,特斯拉(TSLA)在 21 年第一季度的千禧一代投资组合中持股最多,持股比例为 28.3%,我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。AAPL 以 14.5% 的份额位居第二,而 GME 也以 5.2% 的份额位居前四,这支持了我们的观点,即千禧一代投资者的动机不仅仅是基本面和估值。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中,我们可以观察到许多其他例子,这些例子证实了这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣,例如英伟达 (NVDA)、AMC院线 (AMC) 等另一只模因股票、丘吉尔资本公司 (CCIV),其第三大持股;蔚来(蔚来)、Palantir(PLTR),甚至 Square(SQ),我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票归类为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此,我们认为广大投资者群体需要明白,有大量且不断增长的投资者群体,他们对基本面和估值的理解和期望肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的大相径庭。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为,这个市场肯定比我们所知道的要大得多,也复杂得多,只是不可能用同样的基本面分析和估值方法对 GME 这样的 meme 股票进行估值,然后说它们被高估了,老实说,我们认为这个过程在 meme 股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析 Reddit 意见</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至 2 月 21 日,游戏驿站在美国、英国和加拿大做空后,Reddit 上个人投资者的看法(按年龄划分)。数据来源:布伦瑞克</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查,我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性,尤其是在18-29岁年龄组的年轻投资者中。约 14% 的投资者 “相信 Reddit 是一种媒体替代品”,在年轻投资者中,这一比例甚至飙升至 31%。此外,相当比例(25%)的年轻投资者也参加了 GME 机会,而 20% 的年轻投资者认为 GME 活动 “代表了市场力量的根本性转移”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者,但我们认为投资者的比例肯定大到足以引起一般投资界的惊讶,因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是前进中不可忽视的力量。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>使用 Reddit 调查美国、英国和加拿大问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源:布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对 Reddit 的平均信任得分。数据来源:布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>即使在机构投资者中,我们也可以观察到 Reddit 的影响力越来越大,因为 27% 的机构投资者使用 Reddit 来 “调查问题”,尽管他们对该平台的信任度从 2019 年的平均得分 3.5 分明显下降到 2021 年的 2.0 分,但这一比例比前几年有了明显增加。我们认为,这表明机构投资者认为 Reddit 在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大,但与前面显示的个人投资者相比,他们并不认为这些论坛上发生的事情对他们 “发达 ”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对 Reddit wallstreetbets 社区成员的态度。数据来源:布伦瑞克</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然 48% 的机构投资者认为 Redditors “可能会有短期影响力,但他们无法维持”,但 27% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇,13% 的机构投资者对 Redditors 能够组建一支军队,击败华尔街一些最聪明的头脑的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此,我们毫不奇怪地发现,这些机构投资者中有 20% 对 Redditors 的 “市场操纵 ”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权分解。来源:Simply Wall St</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源:Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来,我们认为像 GME 这样的备忘录股票将继续在 Reddit 论坛上占据重要地位,并继续成为他们与街头抗争的 “旗舰 ”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有 GME 股票的最大份额,占总持股量的 45.1%。有趣的是,仍有相当一部分(36.4%)的机构投资者仍然持有 GME,其中包括 GME 的最大股东:贝莱德(Blackrock),该公司拥有 GME 12.36% 的股票。虽然 GME 在 21 年第二季度的机构资本大量流出 19.3 亿美元,但其股价仍远高于 2021 年第一个交易日 17.25 美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移做空的流通量百分比。资料来源:Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,尽管空头流通量百分比已从 1 月份的 41.96% 大幅下降至 6 月底的 “仅 ”14.18%,这是 2021 年两周以来最低的记录,但价格仍在持续。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了 45.1% 的散户投资者持有 GME 股票外,瑞安-科恩(Ryan Cohen)还持有 12.13% 的股份,这使他成为 GME 股票的第二大股东,仅次于贝莱德(Blackrock),尽管他在 12 月 20 日购买的最后一批 127.4 万股股票的价格约为 14.24 美元,如果考虑到 GME 的最新收盘价 178.85 美元,这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在年初目睹的狂热以来,GME 已经稳定下来,似乎已经形成了上升趋势,支撑位在之前的 130 美元至 160 美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的买入兴趣。根据我们的价格行为分析,我们预计买家将继续强力捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有 GME 头寸的投资者,我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内进行入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>斯坦汉姆资产管理公司(Stenham Asset Management)表示,虽然我们确信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去,但我们认为该股在零售社区中引起了难以置信的巨大购买兴趣,这动摇了机构投资者的基础:</blockquote></p><p> \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.” In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下,如果你不衡量和管理你在人群和散户兴趣方面的空头风险,你就是在疏忽,”我们认为,一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了 Reddit 社区日益增长的影响力: “[我们]绝对会关注 WSB 等论坛,我们正在密切关注。”在游戏驿站,我们认为这场比赛肯定还远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107345366","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.\nWe think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.\nIn addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.\nWhile we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nThe speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.\nWhile we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.\nWe thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:\n\n Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.\n\nWe think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.\nIn this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.\nWhat Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?\nGME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"\nWhile the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.\nRyan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:\n\n You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.\n\nHowever, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”\nQuarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nLTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.\nLTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhile the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.\nDebt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St\nLTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nThe company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.\nTherefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:\n\n We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.\n\nThe Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020\nUS social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer\nInvestors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.\nPopulation distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau\nWe believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.\nImportantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.\nAccording to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.\nAmong the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.\nTherefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.\nWe think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.\nAnalyzing the Reddit Opinion\nIndividual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick\nAccording to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.\nShare of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nAverage trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nWe could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.\nInstitutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick\nWhile 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.\nLooking Ahead\nOwnership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St\nInstitutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat\nMoving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.\nPercentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat\nImportantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.\nOther than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.\nPrice Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nEver since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.\nWhile we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:\n\n \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”\n\nIn GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":172881195,"gmtCreate":1626951487617,"gmtModify":1631891347024,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172881195","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154103177,"gmtCreate":1625485860399,"gmtModify":1633940288837,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like pls","listText":"Comment and like pls","text":"Comment and like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154103177","repostId":"1157317474","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893961054,"gmtCreate":1628230121078,"gmtModify":1631889166715,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893961054","repostId":"1192335227","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155109418,"gmtCreate":1625382114934,"gmtModify":1633941046137,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155109418","repostId":"1160702483","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152390788,"gmtCreate":1625268815944,"gmtModify":1633942009432,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152390788","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173190658,"gmtCreate":1626626923674,"gmtModify":1631893894739,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great news","listText":"Great news","text":"Great news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173190658","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162668144,"gmtCreate":1624061729688,"gmtModify":1634023455850,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162668144","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储发布 6 月份货币政策声明时,银行股上涨,该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四,他们是市场上最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借款和长期借出来赚钱,并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时,银行利润率通常会改善,而当发生相反情况时,利润就会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议结束后,10 年期国债收益率大幅反弹,上涨 0.071%,至 1.569%,而两年期国债收益率上涨 0.038 个百分点,至 0.203%,两者之间的利差为 1.366 个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业,特别是银行股,成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。PDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) 上涨 0.9%,摩根大通 (JPM) 上涨 0.7%,尽管标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.5%,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 0.8%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,市场已经改变了主意。10年期收益率已降至1.498%,而两年期收益率已升至0.238%,差距为1.26个百分点。所谓的收益率曲线变平对于银行等对利率敏感的行业来说是个坏消息。SPDR S&P Bank ETF 周四下跌 4.5%,周五盘前交易中下跌 1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%,周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%,道琼斯指数期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要背离市场?要想让收益率持续上升,经济需要表现出正在快速复苏。否则,投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长会重演。Evercore ISI 策略师丹尼斯·德布舍尔 (Dennis DeBusschere) 表示,由于周四申请失业救济人数大幅下降,并在六周下降后首次出现上升,市场决定关注后者,而不是前者。“他写道:”与之前所有人的想法相比,经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派,同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那样强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前,银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储发布 6 月份货币政策声明时,银行股上涨,该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四,他们是市场上最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借款和长期借出来赚钱,并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时,银行利润率通常会改善,而当发生相反情况时,利润就会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议结束后,10 年期国债收益率大幅反弹,上涨 0.071%,至 1.569%,而两年期国债收益率上涨 0.038 个百分点,至 0.203%,两者之间的利差为 1.366 个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业,特别是银行股,成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。PDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) 上涨 0.9%,摩根大通 (JPM) 上涨 0.7%,尽管标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.5%,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 0.8%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而,市场已经改变了主意。10年期收益率已降至1.498%,而两年期收益率已升至0.238%,差距为1.26个百分点。所谓的收益率曲线变平对于银行等对利率敏感的行业来说是个坏消息。SPDR S&P Bank ETF 周四下跌 4.5%,周五盘前交易中下跌 1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%,周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%,道琼斯指数期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要背离市场?要想让收益率持续上升,经济需要表现出正在快速复苏。否则,投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长会重演。Evercore ISI 策略师丹尼斯·德布舍尔 (Dennis DeBusschere) 表示,由于周四申请失业救济人数大幅下降,并在六周下降后首次出现上升,市场决定关注后者,而不是前者。“他写道:”与之前所有人的想法相比,经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派,同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那样强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前,银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","MS":"摩根士丹利","WFC":"富国银行","C":"花旗","GS":"高盛","JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"MS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"C":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832214344,"gmtCreate":1629638271288,"gmtModify":1631883953406,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Best","listText":"Best","text":"Best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832214344","repostId":"2161743804","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149834225,"gmtCreate":1625713600767,"gmtModify":1631893894830,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Stocks are volatile","listText":"Stocks are volatile","text":"Stocks are volatile","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149834225","repostId":"1176865752","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124957454,"gmtCreate":1624723359478,"gmtModify":1633949283742,"author":{"id":"3582623610923489","authorId":"3582623610923489","name":"Jcbduck","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b312b4fd97df52da46b59506df7179","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582623610923489","idStr":"3582623610923489"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great, please like","listText":"Great, please like","text":"Great, please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124957454","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}