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JS64

JS64

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2021-12-25

K

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-22

Ok

3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘，值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote>

2021-12-21

Ok

Qutoutiao Clocks 14.6% Revenue Decline In Q3 Due To Challenging Macro, Industry Headwinds<blockquote>由于具有挑战性的宏观和行业阻力，趣头条第三季度收入下降 14.6%</blockquote>

2021-12-20

Agreed

@boonchong:$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$Dear Investors... Take a look at the shareholdings. Only 2.64% are held by institutional investors, big boys . Bulk of it rest on the fate of the public..i.e retail Investors like us. If any negative news or comments inside the Grab camp, we will see a major upset on the share price... Think back, if this stock is good enough, why our Temasek holdings and those big banks not securing these deals???

2021-12-17

Nice

Intel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO 可能是一个绝妙的举动</blockquote>

2021-12-12

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-10

Nice

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2021-12-10

Isn’t athleisure booming because of covid?

Lululemon warns of hit to athleisure demand from new COVID-19 variants<blockquote>Lululemon 警告新的 COVID-19 变种会打击运动休闲需求</blockquote>

2021-12-09

Nice

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2021-11-26

Bad

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-25

Ok

Fed Minutes Reflect Intensifying Inflation Debate. Here’s Why It Matters.<blockquote>美联储会议纪要反映了通胀辩论的加剧。这就是为什么它很重要。</blockquote>

2021-11-23

Ok

Aadi Bioscience Shares Rally On FDA Approval For Its First Product For Rare Form Cancer<blockquote>FDA 批准其首款治疗罕见癌症的产品，Aadi Bioscience 股价上涨</blockquote>

2021-11-17

Ok

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2021-11-15

Wow

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2021-11-14

Ok

Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>

2021-11-09

Well done

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-08

How to find compounders1. Find growth companies2. Find good management3. Buy and keep adding as it goes up

2021-11-08

Ok

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2021-11-07

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-07

Nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

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11:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘，值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157657338","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Each has an excellent future, and a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy them at lower prices.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Airbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.</li>  <li>Apple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.</li>  <li>Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.</li> </ul> Stock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>爱彼迎现在的生意可以说比疫情之前更好。</li><li>苹果的iPhone正在为其生态系统吸引新客户。</li><li>亚马逊利润更高的细分市场增长更快。</li></ul>股市崩盘几乎不可能准确预测。然而，投资者可以通过在投资组合中预留额外现金来为崩盘做好准备。这样，如果市场崩盘，投资者手头就有现金，并准备用它以较低的价格购买优质股票。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,<b>Airbnb</b>(NASDAQ:ABNB),<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), and&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面，如果2022年出现股市崩盘，<b>爱彼迎</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：ABNB）<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL），以及<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）是您可以立即购买的三只股票。让我们仔细看看为什么每只股票都值得在您的投资组合中占有一席之地。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3131619f7941ecc473ad8787d0fa380d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b></blockquote></p><p> The worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the&nbsp;coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球旅行的促进者，爱彼迎正在从冠状病毒疫情造成的破坏中稳步恢复。经过两年的增长，Airbnb 的收入在 2020 年下降了 30%，至 34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Thankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>值得庆幸的是，已经开发出了几种针对新冠肺炎的有效疫苗，这使得人们更愿意在2021年再次旅行。因此，爱彼迎的销售额正在反弹。在截至 9 月 30 日的最近一个财政季度中，收入比 2019 年大流行前的可比季度增长了 36%。更令人印象深刻的是，第三季度净利润从 2019 年第三季度的 2.67 亿美元增至 8.34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is gaining traction&nbsp;in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在利润丰厚的旅游和度假行业越来越受欢迎，年销售额可能超过 1 万亿美元。与不太可定制的酒店相比，人们通常可以在Airbnb的平台上找到更适合他们需求的住宿地点。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb 的股票交易价格与自由现金流比为 59，为全年最低水平，股市崩盘可能会导致其以更低的价格出售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> Unlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.</p><p><blockquote>与爱彼迎不同，自疫情爆发以来，苹果的业务一直蓬勃发展。该公司的产品对在家工作、学习和娱乐的人来说更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> But that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>但这并不是推动苹果销量增长的唯一因素。这家科技巨头在更新iPhone等传统产品方面做得非常出色，以保持消费者兴趣的方式。最新的 iPhone 更新将该产品在截至 9 月 25 日的最新财年的销售额从一年前的 1380 亿美元增加到 1920 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>苹果多年来已经证明了这种能力。仅在过去十年中，其收入就以12.9%的复合年增长率增长。对于苹果这样规模、2021 财年销售额达 3660 亿美元的公司来说，这是一项艰巨的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，其产品的销售正在将客户带入其生态系统——一旦有了苹果，消费者往往会留下来。事实上，2021 年其服务部门的销售额总计 540 亿美元，这些销售额产生的利润率高于其产品。</blockquote></p><p> One of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is&nbsp;approaching a $3 trillion market cap&nbsp;and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票唯一的缺点之一是其价格。该公司的市值接近 3 万亿美元，交易价格与自由现金流比为 31，接近过去十年的高点。股市崩盘可能会缓解一些估值担忧，并让您以较低的价格购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Sales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.</p><p><blockquote>在线零售商巨头亚马逊的销售额在整个疫情期间一直在飙升。当数亿人因害怕感染 COVID-19 而避免亲自购物时，该公司挺身而出并交付了货物。事实上，从2019财年到2020财年，亚马逊的销售额增长了超过1000亿美元。销售额同比增长 37.6%，推动营业利润从 145 亿美元增至 229 亿美元。亚马逊在疫情期间获得了数百万客户，毫无疑问，他们中的许多人将在很长一段时间后留下来。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊利润更高的部门增长速度超过了公司整体增长速度。在截至9月30日的最近一个季度，亚马逊网络服务部门（为企业提供云计算）的收入同比增长39%，达到161亿美元，而包括广告收入在内的类别增长49%，达到81亿美元。事实上，自2020年Q2以来，广告收入类别几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater&nbsp;advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正乘着多重顺风，包括增加在线购物以及增加在线广告。这些趋势可能会推动未来几年的销售增长。亚马逊的股票并不便宜，市盈率为239，市盈率为66，但股市崩盘可能会给投资者一个以较低价格买入的机会。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Airbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb、苹果和亚马逊都是优秀的企业，在几年内前景光明。如果 2022 年股市崩盘导致这些股票下跌，投资者应该抓住机会买入它们。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘，值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘，值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 11:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Airbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.</li>  <li>Apple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.</li>  <li>Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.</li> </ul> Stock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>爱彼迎现在的生意可以说比疫情之前更好。</li><li>苹果的iPhone正在为其生态系统吸引新客户。</li><li>亚马逊利润更高的细分市场增长更快。</li></ul>股市崩盘几乎不可能准确预测。然而，投资者可以通过在投资组合中预留额外现金来为崩盘做好准备。这样，如果市场崩盘，投资者手头就有现金，并准备用它以较低的价格购买优质股票。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,<b>Airbnb</b>(NASDAQ:ABNB),<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), and&nbsp;<b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN)&nbsp;are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面，如果2022年出现股市崩盘，<b>爱彼迎</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：ABNB）<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL），以及<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）是您可以立即购买的三只股票。让我们仔细看看为什么每只股票都值得在您的投资组合中占有一席之地。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3131619f7941ecc473ad8787d0fa380d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b></blockquote></p><p> The worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the&nbsp;coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球旅行的促进者，爱彼迎正在从冠状病毒疫情造成的破坏中稳步恢复。经过两年的增长，Airbnb 的收入在 2020 年下降了 30%，至 34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Thankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>值得庆幸的是，已经开发出了几种针对新冠肺炎的有效疫苗，这使得人们更愿意在2021年再次旅行。因此，爱彼迎的销售额正在反弹。在截至 9 月 30 日的最近一个财政季度中，收入比 2019 年大流行前的可比季度增长了 36%。更令人印象深刻的是，第三季度净利润从 2019 年第三季度的 2.67 亿美元增至 8.34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is gaining traction&nbsp;in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在利润丰厚的旅游和度假行业越来越受欢迎，年销售额可能超过 1 万亿美元。与不太可定制的酒店相比，人们通常可以在Airbnb的平台上找到更适合他们需求的住宿地点。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb 的股票交易价格与自由现金流比为 59，为全年最低水平，股市崩盘可能会导致其以更低的价格出售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> Unlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.</p><p><blockquote>与爱彼迎不同，自疫情爆发以来，苹果的业务一直蓬勃发展。该公司的产品对在家工作、学习和娱乐的人来说更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> But that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>但这并不是推动苹果销量增长的唯一因素。这家科技巨头在更新iPhone等传统产品方面做得非常出色，以保持消费者兴趣的方式。最新的 iPhone 更新将该产品在截至 9 月 25 日的最新财年的销售额从一年前的 1380 亿美元增加到 1920 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>苹果多年来已经证明了这种能力。仅在过去十年中，其收入就以12.9%的复合年增长率增长。对于苹果这样规模、2021 财年销售额达 3660 亿美元的公司来说，这是一项艰巨的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，其产品的销售正在将客户带入其生态系统——一旦有了苹果，消费者往往会留下来。事实上，2021 年其服务部门的销售额总计 540 亿美元，这些销售额产生的利润率高于其产品。</blockquote></p><p> One of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is&nbsp;approaching a $3 trillion market cap&nbsp;and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票唯一的缺点之一是其价格。该公司的市值接近 3 万亿美元，交易价格与自由现金流比为 31，接近过去十年的高点。股市崩盘可能会缓解一些估值担忧，并让您以较低的价格购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Sales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.</p><p><blockquote>在线零售商巨头亚马逊的销售额在整个疫情期间一直在飙升。当数亿人因害怕感染 COVID-19 而避免亲自购物时，该公司挺身而出并交付了货物。事实上，从2019财年到2020财年，亚马逊的销售额增长了超过1000亿美元。销售额同比增长 37.6%，推动营业利润从 145 亿美元增至 229 亿美元。亚马逊在疫情期间获得了数百万客户，毫无疑问，他们中的许多人将在很长一段时间后留下来。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊利润更高的部门增长速度超过了公司整体增长速度。在截至9月30日的最近一个季度，亚马逊网络服务部门（为企业提供云计算）的收入同比增长39%，达到161亿美元，而包括广告收入在内的类别增长49%，达到81亿美元。事实上，自2020年Q2以来，广告收入类别几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater&nbsp;advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正乘着多重顺风，包括增加在线购物以及增加在线广告。这些趋势可能会推动未来几年的销售增长。亚马逊的股票并不便宜，市盈率为239，市盈率为66，但股市崩盘可能会给投资者一个以较低价格买入的机会。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Airbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb、苹果和亚马逊都是优秀的企业，在几年内前景光明。如果 2022 年股市崩盘导致这些股票下跌，投资者应该抓住机会买入它们。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/3-stocks-to-buy-in-stockmarket-crash-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/3-stocks-to-buy-in-stockmarket-crash-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157657338","content_text":"Key Points\n\nAirbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.\nApple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.\nAmazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.\n\nStock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.\nIn that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,Airbnb(NASDAQ:ABNB),Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), and Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nAirbnb\nThe worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.\nThankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.\nThe company is gaining traction in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.\nAirbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.\nApple\nUnlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.\nBut that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.\nApple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.\nWhat's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.\nOne of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is approaching a $3 trillion market cap and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.\nAmazon\nSales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.\nInterestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.\nAmazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.\nAirbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these stocks lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ABNB":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693771094,"gmtCreate":1640090685828,"gmtModify":1640090686039,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693771094","repostId":"2193154385","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2193154385","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1640088530,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2193154385?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 20:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Qutoutiao Clocks 14.6% Revenue Decline In Q3 Due To Challenging Macro, Industry Headwinds<blockquote>由于具有挑战性的宏观和行业阻力，趣头条第三季度收入下降 14.6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193154385","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"\n","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Mobile content platform operator&nbsp;<b>Qutoutiao Inc&nbsp;</b>(NASDAQ:QTT)&nbsp;reported a third-quarter&nbsp;FY21 revenue decline of 14.6% year-on-year to $149.8 million.</li>  <li>Advertising and marketing revenues decreased 15.4% Y/Y to $139.6 million due to the tightening regulatory environment in the internet and technology sector.</li>  <li><b>Drivers:&nbsp;</b>Combined average MAUs declined 1.7% Y/Y to 118.5 million. Combined average DAUs reduced 33.2% Y/Y to 26.5 million. The average daily time spent per DAU was 51.9 minutes, compared to 55.3 minutes in Q3 2020.</li>  <li><b>Margins:&nbsp;</b>The gross margin expanded 510 bps to 72.2%. The non-GAAP operating loss margin deteriorated to (53.4)% versus (9.7)% last year.</li>  <li>Non-GAAP net loss per ADS<b>&nbsp;</b>was $(2.82).</li>  <li>Qutoutiao held $133.8 million in cash and equivalents.</li>  <li>\"We have observed challenging macro environment and industry headwinds in the third quarter of 2021,\" said Eric Siliang Tan, Chairman, and CEO of Qutoutiao.</li>  <li>\"We will focus more on long term sustainability of our business in the coming quarters and years, away from the previous emphasis on growth in the earlier development stages of the company.\"</li>  <li><b>Outlook:</b>&nbsp;Qutoutiao sees Q4 revenues of RMB850 million - RMB900 million, equaling $131.92 million - $139.68 million.</li>  <li><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;QTT shares closed lower by 4.17% at $2.99 on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>移动内容平台运营商<b>趣头条公司</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：QTT）公布 2021 财年第三季度收入同比下降 14.6%，至 1.498 亿美元。</li><li>由于互联网和技术行业监管环境收紧，广告和营销收入同比下降15.4%至1.396亿美元。</li><li><b>司机：</b>合并平均MAU同比下降1.7%至1.185亿。综合平均 DAU 同比下降 33.2%，至 2650 万个。每个DAU的平均每天花费时间为51.9分钟，而2020年第三季度为55.3分钟。</li><li><b>保证金：</b>毛利率扩大510个基点至72.2%。非 GAAP 运营亏损率从去年的 (9.7%)% 恶化至 (53.4%)%。</li><li>非 GAAP 每股 ADS 净亏损<b> </b>是$(2.82)。</li><li>趣头条持有1.338亿美元现金及等价物。</li><li>趣头条董事长兼首席执行官谭思良表示：“我们在 2021 年第三季度观察到了充满挑战的宏观环境和行业阻力。”</li><li>“未来几个季度和几年，我们将更加关注业务的长期可持续性，而不是之前在公司早期发展阶段对增长的重视。”</li><li><b>展望：</b>趣头条预计第四季度营收为人民币8.5亿元至人民币9亿元，相当于1.3192亿美元至1.3968亿美元。</li><li><b>价格行为：</b>QTT 股价周一收盘下跌 4.17%，至 2.99 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Qutoutiao Clocks 14.6% Revenue Decline In Q3 Due To Challenging Macro, Industry Headwinds<blockquote>由于具有挑战性的宏观和行业阻力，趣头条第三季度收入下降 14.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQutoutiao Clocks 14.6% Revenue Decline In Q3 Due To Challenging Macro, Industry Headwinds<blockquote>由于具有挑战性的宏观和行业阻力，趣头条第三季度收入下降 14.6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-21 20:08</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Mobile content platform operator&nbsp;<b>Qutoutiao Inc&nbsp;</b>(NASDAQ:QTT)&nbsp;reported a third-quarter&nbsp;FY21 revenue decline of 14.6% year-on-year to $149.8 million.</li>  <li>Advertising and marketing revenues decreased 15.4% Y/Y to $139.6 million due to the tightening regulatory environment in the internet and technology sector.</li>  <li><b>Drivers:&nbsp;</b>Combined average MAUs declined 1.7% Y/Y to 118.5 million. Combined average DAUs reduced 33.2% Y/Y to 26.5 million. The average daily time spent per DAU was 51.9 minutes, compared to 55.3 minutes in Q3 2020.</li>  <li><b>Margins:&nbsp;</b>The gross margin expanded 510 bps to 72.2%. The non-GAAP operating loss margin deteriorated to (53.4)% versus (9.7)% last year.</li>  <li>Non-GAAP net loss per ADS<b>&nbsp;</b>was $(2.82).</li>  <li>Qutoutiao held $133.8 million in cash and equivalents.</li>  <li>\"We have observed challenging macro environment and industry headwinds in the third quarter of 2021,\" said Eric Siliang Tan, Chairman, and CEO of Qutoutiao.</li>  <li>\"We will focus more on long term sustainability of our business in the coming quarters and years, away from the previous emphasis on growth in the earlier development stages of the company.\"</li>  <li><b>Outlook:</b>&nbsp;Qutoutiao sees Q4 revenues of RMB850 million - RMB900 million, equaling $131.92 million - $139.68 million.</li>  <li><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;QTT shares closed lower by 4.17% at $2.99 on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>移动内容平台运营商<b>趣头条公司</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：QTT）公布 2021 财年第三季度收入同比下降 14.6%，至 1.498 亿美元。</li><li>由于互联网和技术行业监管环境收紧，广告和营销收入同比下降15.4%至1.396亿美元。</li><li><b>司机：</b>合并平均MAU同比下降1.7%至1.185亿。综合平均 DAU 同比下降 33.2%，至 2650 万个。每个DAU的平均每天花费时间为51.9分钟，而2020年第三季度为55.3分钟。</li><li><b>保证金：</b>毛利率扩大510个基点至72.2%。非 GAAP 运营亏损率从去年的 (9.7%)% 恶化至 (53.4%)%。</li><li>非 GAAP 每股 ADS 净亏损<b> </b>是$(2.82)。</li><li>趣头条持有1.338亿美元现金及等价物。</li><li>趣头条董事长兼首席执行官谭思良表示：“我们在 2021 年第三季度观察到了充满挑战的宏观环境和行业阻力。”</li><li>“未来几个季度和几年，我们将更加关注业务的长期可持续性，而不是之前在公司早期发展阶段对增长的重视。”</li><li><b>展望：</b>趣头条预计第四季度营收为人民币8.5亿元至人民币9亿元，相当于1.3192亿美元至1.3968亿美元。</li><li><b>价格行为：</b>QTT 股价周一收盘下跌 4.17%，至 2.99 美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QTT":"趣头条"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2193154385","content_text":"Mobile content platform operator Qutoutiao Inc (NASDAQ:QTT) reported a third-quarter FY21 revenue decline of 14.6% year-on-year to $149.8 million.\nAdvertising and marketing revenues decreased 15.4% Y/Y to $139.6 million due to the tightening regulatory environment in the internet and technology sector.\nDrivers: Combined average MAUs declined 1.7% Y/Y to 118.5 million. Combined average DAUs reduced 33.2% Y/Y to 26.5 million. The average daily time spent per DAU was 51.9 minutes, compared to 55.3 minutes in Q3 2020.\nMargins: The gross margin expanded 510 bps to 72.2%. The non-GAAP operating loss margin deteriorated to (53.4)% versus (9.7)% last year.\nNon-GAAP net loss per ADS was $(2.82).\nQutoutiao held $133.8 million in cash and equivalents.\n\"We have observed challenging macro environment and industry headwinds in the third quarter of 2021,\" said Eric Siliang Tan, Chairman, and CEO of Qutoutiao.\n\"We will focus more on long term sustainability of our business in the coming quarters and years, away from the previous emphasis on growth in the earlier development stages of the company.\"\nOutlook: Qutoutiao sees Q4 revenues of RMB850 million - RMB900 million, equaling $131.92 million - $139.68 million.\nPrice Action: QTT shares closed lower by 4.17% at $2.99 on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QTT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693862802,"gmtCreate":1640002855497,"gmtModify":1640002855752,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Agreed","listText":"Agreed","text":"Agreed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693862802","repostId":"602316495","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":602316495,"gmtCreate":1638971636644,"gmtModify":1639005258564,"author":{"id":"3580625969745490","authorId":"3580625969745490","name":"boonchong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49aa77ad0af13cd80f20edbad1234522","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580625969745490","authorIdStr":"3580625969745490"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>Dear Investors... Take a look at the shareholdings.&nbsp; &nbsp;Only 2.64% are held by institutional investors, big boys . Bulk of it rest on the fate of the public..i.e retail Investors like us.&nbsp; &nbsp;If any negative news or comments inside the Grab camp, we will see a major upset on the share price... Think back, if this stock is good enough, why our Temasek holdings and those big banks not securing these deals???","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>Dear Investors... Take a look at the shareholdings.&nbsp; &nbsp;Only 2.64% are held by institutional investors, big boys . Bulk of it rest on the fate of the public..i.e retail Investors like us.&nbsp; &nbsp;If any negative news or comments inside the Grab camp, we will see a major upset on the share price... Think back, if this stock is good enough, why our Temasek holdings and those big banks not securing these deals???","text":"$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$Dear Investors... Take a look at the shareholdings. Only 2.64% are held by institutional investors, big boys . Bulk of it rest on the fate of the public..i.e retail Investors like us. If any negative news or comments inside the Grab camp, we will see a major upset on the share price... Think back, if this stock is good enough, why our Temasek holdings and those big banks not securing these deals???","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28b926054b9d06ef16a2486a64b429fd","width":"720","height":"1600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602316495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690450319,"gmtCreate":1639703679783,"gmtModify":1639703680042,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690450319","repostId":"1169026598","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169026598","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639698567,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169026598?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO 可能是一个绝妙的举动</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169026598","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIntel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious gr","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious growth plans. In this note, we will discuss the logic of this transaction.</li>  <li>Mobileye is one of the leading players in autonomous vehicle technology, which means it should command a much higher multiple than Intel.</li>  <li>At ~9x Price-to-FCF, Intel is massively undervalued, and as such Mobileye's valuation is suppressed. The IPO is likely to act as a significant value unlocking event for Intel.</li>  <li>According to my analysis, Mobileye could quite easily fetch a valuation of $50-100B in the current market environment. Hence, Intel could raise a significant sum by selling just a minor stake.</li>  <li>Even after the IPO, Intel will continue to control Mobileye with a majority stake, and Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, will be shaping Mobileye's future as the Chairman of its Board. Hence, Intel is getting the best of both worlds with this deal. I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</li>  <li>Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Beating the Market get exclusive access to our model portfolio.</li> </ul> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔将于 2022 年中期通过 IPO 分拆 Mobileye，为其雄心勃勃的增长计划筹集资金。在本说明中，我们将讨论此交易的逻辑。</li><li>Mobileye 是自动驾驶汽车技术领域的领先企业之一，这意味着它的市盈率应该比英特尔高得多。</li><li>英特尔的市盈率约为 9 倍，被严重低估，因此 Mobileye 的估值受到抑制。此次IPO可能会成为英特尔的一个重要价值释放事件。</li><li>根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye可以很容易地获得50-100B美元的估值。因此，英特尔只需出售少量股份就可以筹集一大笔钱。</li><li>即使在 IPO 之后，英特尔仍将继续以多数股权控制 Mobileye，英特尔首席执行官帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 将作为董事会主席塑造 Mobileye 的未来。因此，英特尔通过这笔交易获得了两全其美的结果。我以 50 美元的价格强力买入英特尔。</li><li>寻找像这样的创意组合？击败市场的成员可以独家访问我们的模型组合。</li></ul><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite the astounding rally in chip stocks over the last 18-24 months, Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) valuation (~12x P/FCF) continues to remain depressed. The semiconductor supply shortage is showing no signs of abating, with Intel selling all that it could make. In 2021, Intel is set to generate record revenues and operating cash flows. Although Intel is facing margin pressures due to heightened competition, its business fundamentals remain strong. Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are robust. An inflationary environment is supposed to be supportive of cash flow machines like Intel. Hence, the weak price action in Intel is puzzling (even after considering Intel's manufacturing woes over the last few years).</p><p><blockquote>尽管芯片股在过去 18-24 个月中出现了惊人的反弹，但英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）的估值（约 12 倍市盈率/自由现金流）仍然低迷。半导体供应短缺没有缓解的迹象，英特尔出售了所有能生产的产品。2021年，英特尔将产生创纪录的收入和运营现金流。尽管英特尔因竞争加剧而面临利润率压力，但其业务基本面依然强劲。英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流生成非常强劲。通货膨胀环境应该有利于英特尔等现金流机器。因此，英特尔疲软的价格走势令人费解（即使考虑到英特尔过去几年的制造困境）。</blockquote></p><p> In today's note, we will focus our discussion on Intel's upcoming spinoff Mobileye, which is likely to act as a value unlocking catalyst for this chip giant.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的报告中，我们将重点讨论英特尔即将推出的衍生产品 Mobileye，该产品可能会成为这家芯片巨头价值解锁的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Let's begin our analysis by deciphering the logic behind an IPO for Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从解读 Mobileye IPO 背后的逻辑开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding The Motivation Behind Intel's Mobileye Spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解英特尔分拆 Mobileye 背后的动机</b></blockquote></p><p> Soon after rejoining Intel as CEO, Pat Gelsinger outlined an aggressive hybrid-sourcing and foundry plan to take the semiconductor giant back to its past glory (after some woeful execution from previous management). On paper, Pat's strategy is very simple. Intel will outsource next-gen chip manufacturing to foundries like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), which would enable them to compete against rivals like AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). While Intel is working toward fixing its manufacturing woes and regaining the technological lead at the node level, the company also is opening up its manufacturing plants in the Western Hemisphere for other companies (i.e., entering the foundry business).</p><p><blockquote>在重新加入英特尔担任首席执行官后不久，帕特·基辛格概述了一项积极的混合采购和代工计划，旨在让这家半导体巨头重返昔日的辉煌（在前任管理层进行了一些糟糕的执行之后）。从纸面上看，帕特的策略非常简单。英特尔将把下一代芯片制造外包给台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）等代工厂，这将使他们能够与 AMD（纳斯达克股票代码：AMD）和英伟达（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）等竞争对手竞争。虽然英特尔正在努力解决其制造困境，并在节点层面重新获得技术领先地位，但该公司也在向其他公司开放其在西半球的制造工厂（即进入代工业务）。</blockquote></p><p> The semiconductor industry is undergoing a painful supply crisis that has had far-reaching impacts across multiple industries. With the EV revolution, the demand for automotive chips is set to explode higher. Hence, the chip shortage could last for years and years. Only a handful of companies can solve this crisis, and Intel is probably the only company that could help abate this semiconductor shortage in the Western Hemisphere.</p><p><blockquote>半导体行业正在经历一场痛苦的供应危机，这场危机对多个行业产生了深远影响。随着电动汽车革命，对汽车芯片的需求将会爆炸式增长。因此，芯片短缺可能会持续很多年。只有少数几家公司能够解决这场危机，而英特尔可能是唯一一家能够帮助缓解西半球半导体短缺问题的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has put forward an aggressive growth plan for Intel, which could see the company growing at ~10-12% CAGR from 2023-2027. However, Pat's plan is highly capital intensive, and so Intel needs more capital.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 为英特尔提出了一项积极的增长计划，预计该公司从 2023 年到 2027 年的复合年增长率将达到约 10-12%。然而，帕特的计划是高度资本密集型的，因此英特尔需要更多的资本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/469130405b455b41aba450a41af1ccd1\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Intel is set to enter a heavy capex-spending cycle with plans to increase capex for 2022 to ~$25B-$28B. With Intel's stock trading close to record low valuation (by P/FCF) from the past 10 years, raising capital through fresh equity issuance would be highly dilutionary for Intel's shareholders. Intel is one of the most-hated stocks on Wall Street, and the management certainly is not interested in alienating more of its investor base. Hence, a capital raise through equity is ruled out.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔将进入一个繁重的资本支出周期，计划将 2022 年的资本支出增加到约 $25B-$28B。由于英特尔股票交易接近过去10年的历史最低估值（按市盈率计算），通过新的股票发行筹集资金对英特尔股东来说将是高度稀释的。英特尔是华尔街最令人憎恨的股票之一，管理层当然没有兴趣疏远更多的投资者基础。因此，排除了通过股权融资的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Another way to raise capital would be through debt issuance, and Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are strong enough to allow for more debt. However, Intel's margins are set to come under pressure due to a potential price war with the likes of AMD, and with increased CAPEX-spending, Intel's free cash flows may suffer too in the near term. Hence, Intel's management could be unwilling to raise more capital via debt (which already stands at ~$40B).</p><p><blockquote>另一种筹集资金的方式是通过发债，而英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流产生足够强劲，可以承担更多债务。然而，由于与 AMD 等公司潜在的价格战，英特尔的利润率将面临压力，而且随着资本支出的增加，英特尔的自由现金流在短期内也可能受到影响。因此，英特尔管理层可能不愿意通过债务筹集更多资本（债务已经达到约 40B 美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Asset monetization was probably the only viable alternative for raising capital to fund Intel's growth plan. And if we look at Intel's business, Mobileye is probably the most under-appreciated asset buried under a steep conglomerate discount. Mobileye is a category-leading business in autonomous driving (one of the hottest spaces in the market), and it would undoubtedly command a much higher trading multiple in the current market environment than what Intel paid for it back in 2017. Hence, the Mobileye spinoff is a very sound and logical decision from Intel's management.</p><p><blockquote>资产货币化可能是筹集资金为英特尔增长计划提供资金的唯一可行选择。如果我们看看英特尔的业务，Mobileye 可能是被企业集团大幅折扣掩盖的最被低估的资产。Mobileye是自动驾驶领域的领先企业（市场上最热门的领域之一），在当前的市场环境下，它的交易倍数无疑会比英特尔在2017年支付的价格高得多。因此，Mobileye分拆是英特尔管理层做出的一个非常明智和合乎逻辑的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pat Says Mobileye Is Comparable To Tesla! Is It Though?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>帕特说Mobileye堪比特斯拉!是吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2017, Intel acquired Mobileye for an eye-watering sum of ~$15.3B. Since this acquisition, Mobileye has delivered significant revenue growth, achieved numerous technical innovations, and invested capital toward solving the most critical problems in the scaled deployment of autonomous driving technology. Unlike most IPOs, Mobileye is already a highly-profitable company. Hence, Intel could get a big return on its investment by selling a minority stake in Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年，英特尔以约 15.3B 美元的惊人价格收购了 Mobileye。自此次收购以来，Mobileye实现了显著的收入增长，实现了众多技术创新，并投入资金解决了自动驾驶技术大规模部署中最关键的问题。与大多数 IPO 不同，Mobileye 已经是一家高利润的公司。因此，英特尔可以通过出售Mobileye的少数股权获得丰厚的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p> In the last 12 months, Mobileye has generated revenues of $1.36B, with operating profits coming in at $471M (operating margin of ~35%). Also, Mobileye achieved the milestone of delivering its 100 millionth EyeQ SOC, unveiled its production robotaxi (network coming live in 2022) and won 41 new ADAS and full self-driving programs with 30 legacy automakers. In a nutshell, Mobileye has taken tremendous strides both from a technical and financial standpoint.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月，Mobileye 的收入为 13.6 亿美元，营业利润为 4.71 亿美元（营业利润率约为 35%）。此外，Mobileye 实现了交付第 1 亿台 EyeQ SOC 的里程碑，推出了量产版 robotaxi（网络将于 2022 年上线），并与 30 家传统汽车制造商合作赢得了 41 个新的 ADAS 和全自动驾驶项目。简而言之，Mobileye 从技术和财务角度都取得了巨大的进步。</blockquote></p><p> Since Mobileye has always operated as an independent subsidiary within Intel, the separation won't be hard. The strategic partnership with Intel will remain in place, and higher visibility should enable Mobileye to win more partners across the globe. With its robotaxi network set to go live in 2022, Mobileye is probably going to be the first to market in L3/L4 AV technology.</p><p><blockquote>由于 Mobileye 一直作为英特尔内部的独立子公司运营，因此分离并不困难。与英特尔的战略合作伙伴关系将继续存在，更高的知名度将使Mobileye能够在全球赢得更多合作伙伴。随着其机器人出租车网络将于2022年上线，Mobileye可能会成为第一个推出L3/L4 AV技术的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is truly at an inflection point, and its future looks as bright as ever. Some critics would say that Intel is selling its future to chase the past. However, we must acknowledge the realities around us. The hype around autonomous driving and EVs has never been higher, and Mobileye's spectacular growth story is buried under Intel's umbrella. By bringing Mobileye to the public markets as a standalone entity, Intel is likely to receive a cash boost (at a rich trading multiple), whilst it will also maintain its majority stake (control) in the company.</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye确实处于拐点，它的未来看起来一如既往地光明。一些批评者会说，英特尔正在出卖自己的未来来追逐过去。然而，我们必须承认我们周围的现实。围绕自动驾驶和电动汽车的炒作从未如此之高，Mobileye 惊人的增长故事被埋没在英特尔的保护伞下。通过将 Mobileye 作为一个独立实体推向公开市场，英特尔可能会获得现金增长（以丰富的交易倍数），同时还将保持其在该公司的多数股权（控制权）。</blockquote></p><p> Although Pat compared Mobileye to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) due to its AV technology (and future Robotaxi business), I think it's more comparable to Nvidia. For the purpose of this note, we shall create a guesstimate for Mobileye's valuation using trading multiples for both Tesla and Nvidia. Due to its relatively small size, I would expect Mobileye to command a higher multiple than these companies.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Pat 因其 AV 技术（以及未来的机器人出租车业务）而将 Mobileye 与特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）进行了比较，但我认为它与 Nvidia 更具可比性。出于本说明的目的，我们将使用特斯拉和英伟达的交易倍数来创建 Mobileye 估值的猜测。由于其规模相对较小，我预计 Mobileye 的市盈率会高于这些公司。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through the lens of relative valuation, Mobileye's IPO could be valued anywhere in the range of ~$50B to $70B. However, let us also determine Mobileye's absolute valuation using its financials.</p><p><blockquote>从相对估值的角度来看，Mobileye 的 IPO 估值可能在约 $50B 到 $70B 之间。然而，让我们也利用 Mobileye 的财务数据来确定其绝对估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimating Mobileye's Fair Value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计 Mobileye 的公允价值</b></blockquote></p><p> To determine Mobileye's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:</p><p><blockquote>为厘定Mobileye的公允价值，我们将采用我们专有的估值模型。以下是它需要的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 4, the model accounts for dividends.</li> </ul> <b>Assumptions:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在第一步中，我们使用传统的DCF模型，自由现金流被我们（股东）的资本成本贴现。</li><li></li><li>在步骤2中，该模型考虑了流通股变化（回购/稀释）的影响。</li><li></li><li>在第三步中，我们在十年结束时对未来增长前景进行估值正常化。然后，我们使用今天的股价和 10 年底的预计股价得出 CAGR。如果这比市场有足够的优势，我们就会投资。如果没有，我们等待更好的切入点。</li><li></li><li>在步骤4中，模型考虑了股息。</li></ul><b>假设：</b></blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is a rapidly-growing, highly-profitable business. With a massive TAM and leading ADAS &amp; Autonomous Vehicle [AV] technology, Mobileye is set to ride an enormous secular growth trend as the shift to autonomous-driving EVs accelerates over the 2020s. Hence, a 10-year CAGR growth rate of 25% could be highly conservative. As the MoovitAV robotaxi network grows, Mobileye's margins are likely to head higher. Therefore, Mobileye's FCF margin could quite comfortably hover at more than 30% when the business matures, and growth slows down (not going to happen for another decade or two).</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye是一项快速增长、高利润的业务。凭借庞大的TAM和领先的ADAS和自动驾驶汽车[AV]技术，随着2020年代向自动驾驶电动汽车的加速转变，Mobileye将迎来巨大的长期增长趋势。因此，25%的10年CAGR增长率可能是高度保守的。随着 MoovitAV 机器人出租车网络的发展，Mobileye 的利润率可能会更高。因此，当业务成熟且增长放缓时，Mobileye 的自由现金流利润率可以相当轻松地徘徊在 30% 以上（这种情况在未来一二十年内不会发生）。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Mobileye is worth ~$15 per share or ~$60B market cap. The assumptions utilized in this valuation exercise are conservative, which means Mobileye could be worth even more than $60B.</p><p><blockquote>如您所见，Mobileye 每股价值约 15 美元，市值约为 60B 美元。本次估值工作中使用的假设是保守的，这意味着 Mobileye 的价值可能超过 $60B。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If Mobileye's 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate were to be in the 30%-50% range (instead of our estimate of 25%), Mobileye's fair value would come out to be ~$88B to ~$340B. At a $1T valuation, Tesla's implied 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate is ~50%. Since Mobileye is growing from a much smaller base, and considering the fact that it could become the industry standard for AV technology (by leveraging existing relationships with legacy automakers like Ford, BMW, and many others), I would imagine Mobileye has a better chance of delivering such hyper-growth than Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>如果 Mobileye 的 10 年 CAGR 收入增长率在 30%-50% 范围内（而不是我们估计的 25%），则 Mobileye 的公允价值将达到约 $88B 至约 $340B。按 1 万美元估值计算，特斯拉隐含 10 年复合年增长率收入增长率约为 50%。由于 Mobileye 的基础要小得多，并且考虑到它可能成为 AV 技术的行业标准（通过利用与福特、宝马等传统汽车制造商的现有关系），我认为 Mobileye 比特斯拉更有机会实现这种高速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Even after the spinoff of Mobileye, Intel would generate revenues of ~$73B in 2022 with virtually zero impact on its cash flow generation. Although Intel will lose one of its key assets in this transaction (not really, as Intel will still control Mobileye through a majority stake), the proceeds will help Intel's management execute its ambitious growth plans. Using conservative estimates, Intel (minus Mobileye) is still worth ~$70 per share (~$280B market cap) (this valuation exercise is available in my previous articles on Intel). Therefore, the Mobileye spinoff is very likely to unlock hidden value for Intel's shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 Mobileye 分拆之后，英特尔在 2022 年仍将产生约 73B 美元的收入，对其现金流产生的影响几乎为零。尽管英特尔将在此次交易中失去一项关键资产（实际上并非如此，因为英特尔仍将通过多数股权控制 Mobileye），但所得收益将帮助英特尔管理层执行其雄心勃勃的增长计划。根据保守估计，英特尔（减去 Mobileye）每股仍价值约 70 美元（市值约 280B 美元）（此估值练习可在我之前关于英特尔的文章中找到）。因此，Mobileye 分拆很可能为英特尔股东释放隐藏的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> With Intel's market cap hovering at just about $200B, raising capital through stock issuance is not viable. Although Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation remain robust, the company is entering a heavy capex-spending cycle, which makes an additional debt raise troublesome. Mobileye is one of the faster-growing business lines at Intel. However, selling a small piece of it could yield a massive sum for Intel, which could be utilized toward Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plan for the company. According to my analysis, Mobileye could fetch a valuation of $50B-$100B in the current market environment, and I think Intel will end up raising ~$10B-$15B from the Mobileye IPO while retaining control of the company. I like this move from Intel's management as I can see significant value unlocking from this spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>由于英特尔的市值徘徊在2000亿美元左右，通过发行股票筹集资金是不可行的。尽管英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流生成仍然强劲，但该公司正在进入一个沉重的资本支出周期，这使得额外的债务筹集变得麻烦。Mobileye是英特尔发展最快的业务线之一。然而，出售其中的一小部分可能会为英特尔带来一大笔钱，这笔钱可以用于帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的公司增长计划。根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye 的估值可能达到 500 亿美元至 1000 亿美元，我认为英特尔最终将从 Mobileye IPO 中筹集约 100 亿美元至 150 亿美元，同时保留对公司的控制权。我喜欢英特尔管理层的这一举措，因为我可以看到这次分拆带来的巨大价值。</blockquote></p><p> Intel is a deeply undervalued cash cow that pays out a healthy, growing dividend. With the Mobileye IPO set to unlock some of Intel's hidden value, I expect to see big capital appreciation in Intel over the next 12-24 months. Therefore, I continue to rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔是一头被严重低估的摇钱树，支付健康、不断增长的股息。随着 Mobileye IPO 将释放英特尔的一些隐藏价值，我预计英特尔将在未来 12-24 个月内大幅增值。因此，我继续给予英特尔 50 美元的强力买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> Key Takeaway: I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>关键要点：我以 50 美元的价格强力买入英特尔。</blockquote></p><p> Thanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.</p><p><blockquote>感谢您的阅读，祝您投资愉快。请在下面的评论区分享您的想法、担忧和/或问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1638401102509","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO 可能是一个绝妙的举动</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO 可能是一个绝妙的举动</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 07:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious growth plans. In this note, we will discuss the logic of this transaction.</li>  <li>Mobileye is one of the leading players in autonomous vehicle technology, which means it should command a much higher multiple than Intel.</li>  <li>At ~9x Price-to-FCF, Intel is massively undervalued, and as such Mobileye's valuation is suppressed. The IPO is likely to act as a significant value unlocking event for Intel.</li>  <li>According to my analysis, Mobileye could quite easily fetch a valuation of $50-100B in the current market environment. Hence, Intel could raise a significant sum by selling just a minor stake.</li>  <li>Even after the IPO, Intel will continue to control Mobileye with a majority stake, and Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, will be shaping Mobileye's future as the Chairman of its Board. Hence, Intel is getting the best of both worlds with this deal. I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</li>  <li>Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Beating the Market get exclusive access to our model portfolio.</li> </ul> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔将于 2022 年中期通过 IPO 分拆 Mobileye，为其雄心勃勃的增长计划筹集资金。在本说明中，我们将讨论此交易的逻辑。</li><li>Mobileye 是自动驾驶汽车技术领域的领先企业之一，这意味着它的市盈率应该比英特尔高得多。</li><li>英特尔的市盈率约为 9 倍，被严重低估，因此 Mobileye 的估值受到抑制。此次IPO可能会成为英特尔的一个重要价值释放事件。</li><li>根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye可以很容易地获得50-100B美元的估值。因此，英特尔只需出售少量股份就可以筹集一大笔钱。</li><li>即使在 IPO 之后，英特尔仍将继续以多数股权控制 Mobileye，英特尔首席执行官帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 将作为董事会主席塑造 Mobileye 的未来。因此，英特尔通过这笔交易获得了两全其美的结果。我以 50 美元的价格强力买入英特尔。</li><li>寻找像这样的创意组合？击败市场的成员可以独家访问我们的模型组合。</li></ul><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite the astounding rally in chip stocks over the last 18-24 months, Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) valuation (~12x P/FCF) continues to remain depressed. The semiconductor supply shortage is showing no signs of abating, with Intel selling all that it could make. In 2021, Intel is set to generate record revenues and operating cash flows. Although Intel is facing margin pressures due to heightened competition, its business fundamentals remain strong. Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are robust. An inflationary environment is supposed to be supportive of cash flow machines like Intel. Hence, the weak price action in Intel is puzzling (even after considering Intel's manufacturing woes over the last few years).</p><p><blockquote>尽管芯片股在过去 18-24 个月中出现了惊人的反弹，但英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）的估值（约 12 倍市盈率/自由现金流）仍然低迷。半导体供应短缺没有缓解的迹象，英特尔出售了所有能生产的产品。2021年，英特尔将产生创纪录的收入和运营现金流。尽管英特尔因竞争加剧而面临利润率压力，但其业务基本面依然强劲。英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流生成非常强劲。通货膨胀环境应该有利于英特尔等现金流机器。因此，英特尔疲软的价格走势令人费解（即使考虑到英特尔过去几年的制造困境）。</blockquote></p><p> In today's note, we will focus our discussion on Intel's upcoming spinoff Mobileye, which is likely to act as a value unlocking catalyst for this chip giant.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的报告中，我们将重点讨论英特尔即将推出的衍生产品 Mobileye，该产品可能会成为这家芯片巨头价值解锁的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Let's begin our analysis by deciphering the logic behind an IPO for Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从解读 Mobileye IPO 背后的逻辑开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding The Motivation Behind Intel's Mobileye Spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解英特尔分拆 Mobileye 背后的动机</b></blockquote></p><p> Soon after rejoining Intel as CEO, Pat Gelsinger outlined an aggressive hybrid-sourcing and foundry plan to take the semiconductor giant back to its past glory (after some woeful execution from previous management). On paper, Pat's strategy is very simple. Intel will outsource next-gen chip manufacturing to foundries like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), which would enable them to compete against rivals like AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). While Intel is working toward fixing its manufacturing woes and regaining the technological lead at the node level, the company also is opening up its manufacturing plants in the Western Hemisphere for other companies (i.e., entering the foundry business).</p><p><blockquote>在重新加入英特尔担任首席执行官后不久，帕特·基辛格概述了一项积极的混合采购和代工计划，旨在让这家半导体巨头重返昔日的辉煌（在前任管理层进行了一些糟糕的执行之后）。从纸面上看，帕特的策略非常简单。英特尔将把下一代芯片制造外包给台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）等代工厂，这将使他们能够与 AMD（纳斯达克股票代码：AMD）和英伟达（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）等竞争对手竞争。虽然英特尔正在努力解决其制造困境，并在节点层面重新获得技术领先地位，但该公司也在向其他公司开放其在西半球的制造工厂（即进入代工业务）。</blockquote></p><p> The semiconductor industry is undergoing a painful supply crisis that has had far-reaching impacts across multiple industries. With the EV revolution, the demand for automotive chips is set to explode higher. Hence, the chip shortage could last for years and years. Only a handful of companies can solve this crisis, and Intel is probably the only company that could help abate this semiconductor shortage in the Western Hemisphere.</p><p><blockquote>半导体行业正在经历一场痛苦的供应危机，这场危机对多个行业产生了深远影响。随着电动汽车革命，对汽车芯片的需求将会爆炸式增长。因此，芯片短缺可能会持续很多年。只有少数几家公司能够解决这场危机，而英特尔可能是唯一一家能够帮助缓解西半球半导体短缺问题的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has put forward an aggressive growth plan for Intel, which could see the company growing at ~10-12% CAGR from 2023-2027. However, Pat's plan is highly capital intensive, and so Intel needs more capital.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 为英特尔提出了一项积极的增长计划，预计该公司从 2023 年到 2027 年的复合年增长率将达到约 10-12%。然而，帕特的计划是高度资本密集型的，因此英特尔需要更多的资本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/469130405b455b41aba450a41af1ccd1\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Intel is set to enter a heavy capex-spending cycle with plans to increase capex for 2022 to ~$25B-$28B. With Intel's stock trading close to record low valuation (by P/FCF) from the past 10 years, raising capital through fresh equity issuance would be highly dilutionary for Intel's shareholders. Intel is one of the most-hated stocks on Wall Street, and the management certainly is not interested in alienating more of its investor base. Hence, a capital raise through equity is ruled out.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔将进入一个繁重的资本支出周期，计划将 2022 年的资本支出增加到约 $25B-$28B。由于英特尔股票交易接近过去10年的历史最低估值（按市盈率计算），通过新的股票发行筹集资金对英特尔股东来说将是高度稀释的。英特尔是华尔街最令人憎恨的股票之一，管理层当然没有兴趣疏远更多的投资者基础。因此，排除了通过股权融资的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Another way to raise capital would be through debt issuance, and Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are strong enough to allow for more debt. However, Intel's margins are set to come under pressure due to a potential price war with the likes of AMD, and with increased CAPEX-spending, Intel's free cash flows may suffer too in the near term. Hence, Intel's management could be unwilling to raise more capital via debt (which already stands at ~$40B).</p><p><blockquote>另一种筹集资金的方式是通过发债，而英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流产生足够强劲，可以承担更多债务。然而，由于与 AMD 等公司潜在的价格战，英特尔的利润率将面临压力，而且随着资本支出的增加，英特尔的自由现金流在短期内也可能受到影响。因此，英特尔管理层可能不愿意通过债务筹集更多资本（债务已经达到约 40B 美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Asset monetization was probably the only viable alternative for raising capital to fund Intel's growth plan. And if we look at Intel's business, Mobileye is probably the most under-appreciated asset buried under a steep conglomerate discount. Mobileye is a category-leading business in autonomous driving (one of the hottest spaces in the market), and it would undoubtedly command a much higher trading multiple in the current market environment than what Intel paid for it back in 2017. Hence, the Mobileye spinoff is a very sound and logical decision from Intel's management.</p><p><blockquote>资产货币化可能是筹集资金为英特尔增长计划提供资金的唯一可行选择。如果我们看看英特尔的业务，Mobileye 可能是被企业集团大幅折扣掩盖的最被低估的资产。Mobileye是自动驾驶领域的领先企业（市场上最热门的领域之一），在当前的市场环境下，它的交易倍数无疑会比英特尔在2017年支付的价格高得多。因此，Mobileye分拆是英特尔管理层做出的一个非常明智和合乎逻辑的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pat Says Mobileye Is Comparable To Tesla! Is It Though?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>帕特说Mobileye堪比特斯拉!是吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2017, Intel acquired Mobileye for an eye-watering sum of ~$15.3B. Since this acquisition, Mobileye has delivered significant revenue growth, achieved numerous technical innovations, and invested capital toward solving the most critical problems in the scaled deployment of autonomous driving technology. Unlike most IPOs, Mobileye is already a highly-profitable company. Hence, Intel could get a big return on its investment by selling a minority stake in Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年，英特尔以约 15.3B 美元的惊人价格收购了 Mobileye。自此次收购以来，Mobileye实现了显著的收入增长，实现了众多技术创新，并投入资金解决了自动驾驶技术大规模部署中最关键的问题。与大多数 IPO 不同，Mobileye 已经是一家高利润的公司。因此，英特尔可以通过出售Mobileye的少数股权获得丰厚的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p> In the last 12 months, Mobileye has generated revenues of $1.36B, with operating profits coming in at $471M (operating margin of ~35%). Also, Mobileye achieved the milestone of delivering its 100 millionth EyeQ SOC, unveiled its production robotaxi (network coming live in 2022) and won 41 new ADAS and full self-driving programs with 30 legacy automakers. In a nutshell, Mobileye has taken tremendous strides both from a technical and financial standpoint.</p><p><blockquote>过去 12 个月，Mobileye 的收入为 13.6 亿美元，营业利润为 4.71 亿美元（营业利润率约为 35%）。此外，Mobileye 实现了交付第 1 亿台 EyeQ SOC 的里程碑，推出了量产版 robotaxi（网络将于 2022 年上线），并与 30 家传统汽车制造商合作赢得了 41 个新的 ADAS 和全自动驾驶项目。简而言之，Mobileye 从技术和财务角度都取得了巨大的进步。</blockquote></p><p> Since Mobileye has always operated as an independent subsidiary within Intel, the separation won't be hard. The strategic partnership with Intel will remain in place, and higher visibility should enable Mobileye to win more partners across the globe. With its robotaxi network set to go live in 2022, Mobileye is probably going to be the first to market in L3/L4 AV technology.</p><p><blockquote>由于 Mobileye 一直作为英特尔内部的独立子公司运营，因此分离并不困难。与英特尔的战略合作伙伴关系将继续存在，更高的知名度将使Mobileye能够在全球赢得更多合作伙伴。随着其机器人出租车网络将于2022年上线，Mobileye可能会成为第一个推出L3/L4 AV技术的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is truly at an inflection point, and its future looks as bright as ever. Some critics would say that Intel is selling its future to chase the past. However, we must acknowledge the realities around us. The hype around autonomous driving and EVs has never been higher, and Mobileye's spectacular growth story is buried under Intel's umbrella. By bringing Mobileye to the public markets as a standalone entity, Intel is likely to receive a cash boost (at a rich trading multiple), whilst it will also maintain its majority stake (control) in the company.</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye确实处于拐点，它的未来看起来一如既往地光明。一些批评者会说，英特尔正在出卖自己的未来来追逐过去。然而，我们必须承认我们周围的现实。围绕自动驾驶和电动汽车的炒作从未如此之高，Mobileye 惊人的增长故事被埋没在英特尔的保护伞下。通过将 Mobileye 作为一个独立实体推向公开市场，英特尔可能会获得现金增长（以丰富的交易倍数），同时还将保持其在该公司的多数股权（控制权）。</blockquote></p><p> Although Pat compared Mobileye to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) due to its AV technology (and future Robotaxi business), I think it's more comparable to Nvidia. For the purpose of this note, we shall create a guesstimate for Mobileye's valuation using trading multiples for both Tesla and Nvidia. Due to its relatively small size, I would expect Mobileye to command a higher multiple than these companies.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Pat 因其 AV 技术（以及未来的机器人出租车业务）而将 Mobileye 与特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）进行了比较，但我认为它与 Nvidia 更具可比性。出于本说明的目的，我们将使用特斯拉和英伟达的交易倍数来创建 Mobileye 估值的猜测。由于其规模相对较小，我预计 Mobileye 的市盈率会高于这些公司。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through the lens of relative valuation, Mobileye's IPO could be valued anywhere in the range of ~$50B to $70B. However, let us also determine Mobileye's absolute valuation using its financials.</p><p><blockquote>从相对估值的角度来看，Mobileye 的 IPO 估值可能在约 $50B 到 $70B 之间。然而，让我们也利用 Mobileye 的财务数据来确定其绝对估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimating Mobileye's Fair Value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计 Mobileye 的公允价值</b></blockquote></p><p> To determine Mobileye's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:</p><p><blockquote>为厘定Mobileye的公允价值，我们将采用我们专有的估值模型。以下是它需要的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 4, the model accounts for dividends.</li> </ul> <b>Assumptions:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在第一步中，我们使用传统的DCF模型，自由现金流被我们（股东）的资本成本贴现。</li><li></li><li>在步骤2中，该模型考虑了流通股变化（回购/稀释）的影响。</li><li></li><li>在第三步中，我们在十年结束时对未来增长前景进行估值正常化。然后，我们使用今天的股价和 10 年底的预计股价得出 CAGR。如果这比市场有足够的优势，我们就会投资。如果没有，我们等待更好的切入点。</li><li></li><li>在步骤4中，模型考虑了股息。</li></ul><b>假设：</b></blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is a rapidly-growing, highly-profitable business. With a massive TAM and leading ADAS &amp; Autonomous Vehicle [AV] technology, Mobileye is set to ride an enormous secular growth trend as the shift to autonomous-driving EVs accelerates over the 2020s. Hence, a 10-year CAGR growth rate of 25% could be highly conservative. As the MoovitAV robotaxi network grows, Mobileye's margins are likely to head higher. Therefore, Mobileye's FCF margin could quite comfortably hover at more than 30% when the business matures, and growth slows down (not going to happen for another decade or two).</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye是一项快速增长、高利润的业务。凭借庞大的TAM和领先的ADAS和自动驾驶汽车[AV]技术，随着2020年代向自动驾驶电动汽车的加速转变，Mobileye将迎来巨大的长期增长趋势。因此，25%的10年CAGR增长率可能是高度保守的。随着 MoovitAV 机器人出租车网络的发展，Mobileye 的利润率可能会更高。因此，当业务成熟且增长放缓时，Mobileye 的自由现金流利润率可以相当轻松地徘徊在 30% 以上（这种情况在未来一二十年内不会发生）。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Mobileye is worth ~$15 per share or ~$60B market cap. The assumptions utilized in this valuation exercise are conservative, which means Mobileye could be worth even more than $60B.</p><p><blockquote>如您所见，Mobileye 每股价值约 15 美元，市值约为 60B 美元。本次估值工作中使用的假设是保守的，这意味着 Mobileye 的价值可能超过 $60B。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If Mobileye's 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate were to be in the 30%-50% range (instead of our estimate of 25%), Mobileye's fair value would come out to be ~$88B to ~$340B. At a $1T valuation, Tesla's implied 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate is ~50%. Since Mobileye is growing from a much smaller base, and considering the fact that it could become the industry standard for AV technology (by leveraging existing relationships with legacy automakers like Ford, BMW, and many others), I would imagine Mobileye has a better chance of delivering such hyper-growth than Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>如果 Mobileye 的 10 年 CAGR 收入增长率在 30%-50% 范围内（而不是我们估计的 25%），则 Mobileye 的公允价值将达到约 $88B 至约 $340B。按 1 万美元估值计算，特斯拉隐含 10 年复合年增长率收入增长率约为 50%。由于 Mobileye 的基础要小得多，并且考虑到它可能成为 AV 技术的行业标准（通过利用与福特、宝马等传统汽车制造商的现有关系），我认为 Mobileye 比特斯拉更有机会实现这种高速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Even after the spinoff of Mobileye, Intel would generate revenues of ~$73B in 2022 with virtually zero impact on its cash flow generation. Although Intel will lose one of its key assets in this transaction (not really, as Intel will still control Mobileye through a majority stake), the proceeds will help Intel's management execute its ambitious growth plans. Using conservative estimates, Intel (minus Mobileye) is still worth ~$70 per share (~$280B market cap) (this valuation exercise is available in my previous articles on Intel). Therefore, the Mobileye spinoff is very likely to unlock hidden value for Intel's shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 Mobileye 分拆之后，英特尔在 2022 年仍将产生约 73B 美元的收入，对其现金流产生的影响几乎为零。尽管英特尔将在此次交易中失去一项关键资产（实际上并非如此，因为英特尔仍将通过多数股权控制 Mobileye），但所得收益将帮助英特尔管理层执行其雄心勃勃的增长计划。根据保守估计，英特尔（减去 Mobileye）每股仍价值约 70 美元（市值约 280B 美元）（此估值练习可在我之前关于英特尔的文章中找到）。因此，Mobileye 分拆很可能为英特尔股东释放隐藏的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> With Intel's market cap hovering at just about $200B, raising capital through stock issuance is not viable. Although Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation remain robust, the company is entering a heavy capex-spending cycle, which makes an additional debt raise troublesome. Mobileye is one of the faster-growing business lines at Intel. However, selling a small piece of it could yield a massive sum for Intel, which could be utilized toward Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plan for the company. According to my analysis, Mobileye could fetch a valuation of $50B-$100B in the current market environment, and I think Intel will end up raising ~$10B-$15B from the Mobileye IPO while retaining control of the company. I like this move from Intel's management as I can see significant value unlocking from this spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>由于英特尔的市值徘徊在2000亿美元左右，通过发行股票筹集资金是不可行的。尽管英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流生成仍然强劲，但该公司正在进入一个沉重的资本支出周期，这使得额外的债务筹集变得麻烦。Mobileye是英特尔发展最快的业务线之一。然而，出售其中的一小部分可能会为英特尔带来一大笔钱，这笔钱可以用于帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的公司增长计划。根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye 的估值可能达到 500 亿美元至 1000 亿美元，我认为英特尔最终将从 Mobileye IPO 中筹集约 100 亿美元至 150 亿美元，同时保留对公司的控制权。我喜欢英特尔管理层的这一举措，因为我可以看到这次分拆带来的巨大价值。</blockquote></p><p> Intel is a deeply undervalued cash cow that pays out a healthy, growing dividend. With the Mobileye IPO set to unlock some of Intel's hidden value, I expect to see big capital appreciation in Intel over the next 12-24 months. Therefore, I continue to rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔是一头被严重低估的摇钱树，支付健康、不断增长的股息。随着 Mobileye IPO 将释放英特尔的一些隐藏价值，我预计英特尔将在未来 12-24 个月内大幅增值。因此，我继续给予英特尔 50 美元的强力买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> Key Takeaway: I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>关键要点：我以 50 美元的价格强力买入英特尔。</blockquote></p><p> Thanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.</p><p><blockquote>感谢您的阅读，祝您投资愉快。请在下面的评论区分享您的想法、担忧和/或问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474906-intel-mobileye-ipo-masterstroke\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474906-intel-mobileye-ipo-masterstroke","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169026598","content_text":"Summary\n\nIntel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious growth plans. In this note, we will discuss the logic of this transaction.\nMobileye is one of the leading players in autonomous vehicle technology, which means it should command a much higher multiple than Intel.\nAt ~9x Price-to-FCF, Intel is massively undervalued, and as such Mobileye's valuation is suppressed. The IPO is likely to act as a significant value unlocking event for Intel.\nAccording to my analysis, Mobileye could quite easily fetch a valuation of $50-100B in the current market environment. Hence, Intel could raise a significant sum by selling just a minor stake.\nEven after the IPO, Intel will continue to control Mobileye with a majority stake, and Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, will be shaping Mobileye's future as the Chairman of its Board. Hence, Intel is getting the best of both worlds with this deal. I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.\nLooking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Beating the Market get exclusive access to our model portfolio.\n\nIntroduction\nDespite the astounding rally in chip stocks over the last 18-24 months, Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) valuation (~12x P/FCF) continues to remain depressed. The semiconductor supply shortage is showing no signs of abating, with Intel selling all that it could make. In 2021, Intel is set to generate record revenues and operating cash flows. Although Intel is facing margin pressures due to heightened competition, its business fundamentals remain strong. Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are robust. An inflationary environment is supposed to be supportive of cash flow machines like Intel. Hence, the weak price action in Intel is puzzling (even after considering Intel's manufacturing woes over the last few years).\nIn today's note, we will focus our discussion on Intel's upcoming spinoff Mobileye, which is likely to act as a value unlocking catalyst for this chip giant.\nLet's begin our analysis by deciphering the logic behind an IPO for Mobileye.\nUnderstanding The Motivation Behind Intel's Mobileye Spinoff\nSoon after rejoining Intel as CEO, Pat Gelsinger outlined an aggressive hybrid-sourcing and foundry plan to take the semiconductor giant back to its past glory (after some woeful execution from previous management). On paper, Pat's strategy is very simple. Intel will outsource next-gen chip manufacturing to foundries like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), which would enable them to compete against rivals like AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). While Intel is working toward fixing its manufacturing woes and regaining the technological lead at the node level, the company also is opening up its manufacturing plants in the Western Hemisphere for other companies (i.e., entering the foundry business).\n\nThe semiconductor industry is undergoing a painful supply crisis that has had far-reaching impacts across multiple industries. With the EV revolution, the demand for automotive chips is set to explode higher. Hence, the chip shortage could last for years and years. Only a handful of companies can solve this crisis, and Intel is probably the only company that could help abate this semiconductor shortage in the Western Hemisphere.\nPat Gelsinger has put forward an aggressive growth plan for Intel, which could see the company growing at ~10-12% CAGR from 2023-2027. However, Pat's plan is highly capital intensive, and so Intel needs more capital.\n\nIntel is set to enter a heavy capex-spending cycle with plans to increase capex for 2022 to ~$25B-$28B. With Intel's stock trading close to record low valuation (by P/FCF) from the past 10 years, raising capital through fresh equity issuance would be highly dilutionary for Intel's shareholders. Intel is one of the most-hated stocks on Wall Street, and the management certainly is not interested in alienating more of its investor base. Hence, a capital raise through equity is ruled out.\nAnother way to raise capital would be through debt issuance, and Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are strong enough to allow for more debt. However, Intel's margins are set to come under pressure due to a potential price war with the likes of AMD, and with increased CAPEX-spending, Intel's free cash flows may suffer too in the near term. Hence, Intel's management could be unwilling to raise more capital via debt (which already stands at ~$40B).\nAsset monetization was probably the only viable alternative for raising capital to fund Intel's growth plan. And if we look at Intel's business, Mobileye is probably the most under-appreciated asset buried under a steep conglomerate discount. Mobileye is a category-leading business in autonomous driving (one of the hottest spaces in the market), and it would undoubtedly command a much higher trading multiple in the current market environment than what Intel paid for it back in 2017. Hence, the Mobileye spinoff is a very sound and logical decision from Intel's management.\nPat Says Mobileye Is Comparable To Tesla! Is It Though?\nIn 2017, Intel acquired Mobileye for an eye-watering sum of ~$15.3B. Since this acquisition, Mobileye has delivered significant revenue growth, achieved numerous technical innovations, and invested capital toward solving the most critical problems in the scaled deployment of autonomous driving technology. Unlike most IPOs, Mobileye is already a highly-profitable company. Hence, Intel could get a big return on its investment by selling a minority stake in Mobileye.\nIn the last 12 months, Mobileye has generated revenues of $1.36B, with operating profits coming in at $471M (operating margin of ~35%). Also, Mobileye achieved the milestone of delivering its 100 millionth EyeQ SOC, unveiled its production robotaxi (network coming live in 2022) and won 41 new ADAS and full self-driving programs with 30 legacy automakers. In a nutshell, Mobileye has taken tremendous strides both from a technical and financial standpoint.\nSince Mobileye has always operated as an independent subsidiary within Intel, the separation won't be hard. The strategic partnership with Intel will remain in place, and higher visibility should enable Mobileye to win more partners across the globe. With its robotaxi network set to go live in 2022, Mobileye is probably going to be the first to market in L3/L4 AV technology.\nMobileye is truly at an inflection point, and its future looks as bright as ever. Some critics would say that Intel is selling its future to chase the past. However, we must acknowledge the realities around us. The hype around autonomous driving and EVs has never been higher, and Mobileye's spectacular growth story is buried under Intel's umbrella. By bringing Mobileye to the public markets as a standalone entity, Intel is likely to receive a cash boost (at a rich trading multiple), whilst it will also maintain its majority stake (control) in the company.\nAlthough Pat compared Mobileye to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) due to its AV technology (and future Robotaxi business), I think it's more comparable to Nvidia. For the purpose of this note, we shall create a guesstimate for Mobileye's valuation using trading multiples for both Tesla and Nvidia. Due to its relatively small size, I would expect Mobileye to command a higher multiple than these companies.\nLooking through the lens of relative valuation, Mobileye's IPO could be valued anywhere in the range of ~$50B to $70B. However, let us also determine Mobileye's absolute valuation using its financials.\nEstimating Mobileye's Fair Value\nTo determine Mobileye's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:\n\nIn step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.\n\nIn step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).\n\nIn step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.\n\nIn step 4, the model accounts for dividends.\n\nAssumptions:\nMobileye is a rapidly-growing, highly-profitable business. With a massive TAM and leading ADAS & Autonomous Vehicle [AV] technology, Mobileye is set to ride an enormous secular growth trend as the shift to autonomous-driving EVs accelerates over the 2020s. Hence, a 10-year CAGR growth rate of 25% could be highly conservative. As the MoovitAV robotaxi network grows, Mobileye's margins are likely to head higher. Therefore, Mobileye's FCF margin could quite comfortably hover at more than 30% when the business matures, and growth slows down (not going to happen for another decade or two).\nAs you can see, Mobileye is worth ~$15 per share or ~$60B market cap. The assumptions utilized in this valuation exercise are conservative, which means Mobileye could be worth even more than $60B.\nIf Mobileye's 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate were to be in the 30%-50% range (instead of our estimate of 25%), Mobileye's fair value would come out to be ~$88B to ~$340B. At a $1T valuation, Tesla's implied 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate is ~50%. Since Mobileye is growing from a much smaller base, and considering the fact that it could become the industry standard for AV technology (by leveraging existing relationships with legacy automakers like Ford, BMW, and many others), I would imagine Mobileye has a better chance of delivering such hyper-growth than Tesla.\nEven after the spinoff of Mobileye, Intel would generate revenues of ~$73B in 2022 with virtually zero impact on its cash flow generation. Although Intel will lose one of its key assets in this transaction (not really, as Intel will still control Mobileye through a majority stake), the proceeds will help Intel's management execute its ambitious growth plans. Using conservative estimates, Intel (minus Mobileye) is still worth ~$70 per share (~$280B market cap) (this valuation exercise is available in my previous articles on Intel). Therefore, the Mobileye spinoff is very likely to unlock hidden value for Intel's shareholders.\nConcluding Thoughts\nWith Intel's market cap hovering at just about $200B, raising capital through stock issuance is not viable. Although Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation remain robust, the company is entering a heavy capex-spending cycle, which makes an additional debt raise troublesome. Mobileye is one of the faster-growing business lines at Intel. However, selling a small piece of it could yield a massive sum for Intel, which could be utilized toward Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plan for the company. According to my analysis, Mobileye could fetch a valuation of $50B-$100B in the current market environment, and I think Intel will end up raising ~$10B-$15B from the Mobileye IPO while retaining control of the company. I like this move from Intel's management as I can see significant value unlocking from this spinoff.\nIntel is a deeply undervalued cash cow that pays out a healthy, growing dividend. With the Mobileye IPO set to unlock some of Intel's hidden value, I expect to see big capital appreciation in Intel over the next 12-24 months. Therefore, I continue to rate Intel a strong buy at $50.\nKey Takeaway: I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.\nThanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605789919,"gmtCreate":1639263740454,"gmtModify":1639263740760,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605789919","repostId":"2190673267","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605906258,"gmtCreate":1639098366744,"gmtModify":1639098366935,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605906258","repostId":"1120676537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605901337,"gmtCreate":1639098142932,"gmtModify":1639101281543,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Isn’t athleisure booming because of covid?","listText":"Isn’t athleisure booming because of covid?","text":"Isn’t athleisure booming because of covid?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605901337","repostId":"1137405832","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137405832","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639097512,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137405832?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 08:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Lululemon warns of hit to athleisure demand from new COVID-19 variants<blockquote>Lululemon 警告新的 COVID-19 变种会打击运动休闲需求</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137405832","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) -Lululemon Athletica Inc warned on Thursday that the spread of new coronavirus variants co","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Lululemon Athletica Inc warned on Thursday that the spread of new coronavirus variants could lead to a slowdown in demand for athleisure clothing, even as it raised its full-year revenue and profit forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-Lululemon Athletica Inc.周四警告称，新型冠状病毒变种的传播可能导致运动休闲服装需求放缓，尽管该公司上调了全年收入和利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> People stuck at home during the lockdowns last year ditched dressier clothes for hoodies and leggings, benefiting Lululemon, Aerie, Athleta, and prompting others, including Kim Kardashian's shapewear brand Skims, to enter the fray.</p><p><blockquote>去年封锁期间被困在家里的人们放弃了更考究的衣服，转而选择连帽衫和打底裤，这让 Lululemon、Aerie、Athleta 受益，并促使包括金·卡戴珊 (Kim Kardashian) 的塑身衣品牌 Skims 在内的其他人加入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Athleisure apparel makers are still booking sales benefits, but Lululemon said the pandemic worsening due to COVID-19 variants could further impact supply chain issues and lead to temporary closures of some or all of its stores.</p><p><blockquote>运动休闲服装制造商仍在预订销售优惠，但 Lululemon 表示，由于 COVID-19 变种而导致的疫情恶化可能会进一步影响供应链问题，并导致部分或全部商店暂时关闭。</blockquote></p><p> The new Omicron coronavirus variant first detected in southern Africa and Hong Kong has triggered uncertainty over the reopening of the global economy.</p><p><blockquote>在南部非洲和中国香港首次发现的新型奥密克戎冠状病毒变种引发了全球经济重新开放的不确定性。</blockquote></p><p> Lululemon has already had to shift some production out of Vietnam due to pandemic-led factory closures over the summer, use pricier air freight more and prioritize production for key holiday styles to tackle supply-chain bottlenecks.</p><p><blockquote>由于大流行导致的夏季工厂关闭，Lululemon 已经不得不将部分生产转移出越南，更多地使用更昂贵的空运，并优先生产关键假日风格，以解决供应链瓶颈。</blockquote></p><p> \"Demand for our brand is outpacing supply, and our business could have been even stronger without the supply chain challenges,\" Chief Executive Officer Calvin McDonald told analysts, adding that inventory challenges affected the launch of some new clothing collections.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官卡尔文·麦克唐纳 (Calvin McDonald) 对分析师表示：“对我们品牌的需求超过了供应，如果没有供应链挑战，我们的业务可能会更加强劲。”他补充说，库存挑战影响了一些新服装系列的推出。</blockquote></p><p> Lululemon's shares fell 2% to $408 in extended trading, as the company also slashed sales outlook for its Mirror home-fitness platform.</p><p><blockquote>Lululemon 的股价在盘后交易中下跌 2%，至 408 美元，因为该公司还下调了其 Mirror 家庭健身平台的销售前景。</blockquote></p><p> The company's factories in Vietnam have reopened, but lingering effects of the shutdowns have caused delays in delivery of some holiday and fall products, McDonald said.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳表示，该公司在越南的工厂已经重新开业，但停工的挥之不去的影响导致一些假日和秋季产品的交付延迟。</blockquote></p><p> However, Lululemon raised its fiscal 2021 revenue forecast to between $6.25 billion and $6.29 billion, largely in line with estimates.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Lululemon 将 2021 财年收入预测上调至 62.5 亿美元至 62.9 亿美元之间，基本符合预期。</blockquote></p><p> The company's revenue rose to $1.45 billion in the third quarter, compared with estimates of $1.44 billion. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.62 per share, beating estimates of $1.41.</p><p><blockquote>该公司第三季度收入升至14.5亿美元，而预期为14.4亿美元。调整后，该公司每股收益为 1.62 美元，高于预期的 1.41 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lululemon warns of hit to athleisure demand from new COVID-19 variants<blockquote>Lululemon 警告新的 COVID-19 变种会打击运动休闲需求</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLululemon warns of hit to athleisure demand from new COVID-19 variants<blockquote>Lululemon 警告新的 COVID-19 变种会打击运动休闲需求</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 08:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Lululemon Athletica Inc warned on Thursday that the spread of new coronavirus variants could lead to a slowdown in demand for athleisure clothing, even as it raised its full-year revenue and profit forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-Lululemon Athletica Inc.周四警告称，新型冠状病毒变种的传播可能导致运动休闲服装需求放缓，尽管该公司上调了全年收入和利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> People stuck at home during the lockdowns last year ditched dressier clothes for hoodies and leggings, benefiting Lululemon, Aerie, Athleta, and prompting others, including Kim Kardashian's shapewear brand Skims, to enter the fray.</p><p><blockquote>去年封锁期间被困在家里的人们放弃了更考究的衣服，转而选择连帽衫和打底裤，这让 Lululemon、Aerie、Athleta 受益，并促使包括金·卡戴珊 (Kim Kardashian) 的塑身衣品牌 Skims 在内的其他人加入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Athleisure apparel makers are still booking sales benefits, but Lululemon said the pandemic worsening due to COVID-19 variants could further impact supply chain issues and lead to temporary closures of some or all of its stores.</p><p><blockquote>运动休闲服装制造商仍在预订销售优惠，但 Lululemon 表示，由于 COVID-19 变种而导致的疫情恶化可能会进一步影响供应链问题，并导致部分或全部商店暂时关闭。</blockquote></p><p> The new Omicron coronavirus variant first detected in southern Africa and Hong Kong has triggered uncertainty over the reopening of the global economy.</p><p><blockquote>在南部非洲和中国香港首次发现的新型奥密克戎冠状病毒变种引发了全球经济重新开放的不确定性。</blockquote></p><p> Lululemon has already had to shift some production out of Vietnam due to pandemic-led factory closures over the summer, use pricier air freight more and prioritize production for key holiday styles to tackle supply-chain bottlenecks.</p><p><blockquote>由于大流行导致的夏季工厂关闭，Lululemon 已经不得不将部分生产转移出越南，更多地使用更昂贵的空运，并优先生产关键假日风格，以解决供应链瓶颈。</blockquote></p><p> \"Demand for our brand is outpacing supply, and our business could have been even stronger without the supply chain challenges,\" Chief Executive Officer Calvin McDonald told analysts, adding that inventory challenges affected the launch of some new clothing collections.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官卡尔文·麦克唐纳 (Calvin McDonald) 对分析师表示：“对我们品牌的需求超过了供应，如果没有供应链挑战，我们的业务可能会更加强劲。”他补充说，库存挑战影响了一些新服装系列的推出。</blockquote></p><p> Lululemon's shares fell 2% to $408 in extended trading, as the company also slashed sales outlook for its Mirror home-fitness platform.</p><p><blockquote>Lululemon 的股价在盘后交易中下跌 2%，至 408 美元，因为该公司还下调了其 Mirror 家庭健身平台的销售前景。</blockquote></p><p> The company's factories in Vietnam have reopened, but lingering effects of the shutdowns have caused delays in delivery of some holiday and fall products, McDonald said.</p><p><blockquote>麦当劳表示，该公司在越南的工厂已经重新开业，但停工的挥之不去的影响导致一些假日和秋季产品的交付延迟。</blockquote></p><p> However, Lululemon raised its fiscal 2021 revenue forecast to between $6.25 billion and $6.29 billion, largely in line with estimates.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Lululemon 将 2021 财年收入预测上调至 62.5 亿美元至 62.9 亿美元之间，基本符合预期。</blockquote></p><p> The company's revenue rose to $1.45 billion in the third quarter, compared with estimates of $1.44 billion. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.62 per share, beating estimates of $1.41.</p><p><blockquote>该公司第三季度收入升至14.5亿美元，而预期为14.4亿美元。调整后，该公司每股收益为 1.62 美元，高于预期的 1.41 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lululemon-raises-annual-revenue-forecast-211352959.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LULU":"lululemon athletica"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lululemon-raises-annual-revenue-forecast-211352959.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137405832","content_text":"(Reuters) -Lululemon Athletica Inc warned on Thursday that the spread of new coronavirus variants could lead to a slowdown in demand for athleisure clothing, even as it raised its full-year revenue and profit forecasts.\nPeople stuck at home during the lockdowns last year ditched dressier clothes for hoodies and leggings, benefiting Lululemon, Aerie, Athleta, and prompting others, including Kim Kardashian's shapewear brand Skims, to enter the fray.\nAthleisure apparel makers are still booking sales benefits, but Lululemon said the pandemic worsening due to COVID-19 variants could further impact supply chain issues and lead to temporary closures of some or all of its stores.\nThe new Omicron coronavirus variant first detected in southern Africa and Hong Kong has triggered uncertainty over the reopening of the global economy.\nLululemon has already had to shift some production out of Vietnam due to pandemic-led factory closures over the summer, use pricier air freight more and prioritize production for key holiday styles to tackle supply-chain bottlenecks.\n\"Demand for our brand is outpacing supply, and our business could have been even stronger without the supply chain challenges,\" Chief Executive Officer Calvin McDonald told analysts, adding that inventory challenges affected the launch of some new clothing collections.\nLululemon's shares fell 2% to $408 in extended trading, as the company also slashed sales outlook for its Mirror home-fitness platform.\nThe company's factories in Vietnam have reopened, but lingering effects of the shutdowns have caused delays in delivery of some holiday and fall products, McDonald said.\nHowever, Lululemon raised its fiscal 2021 revenue forecast to between $6.25 billion and $6.29 billion, largely in line with estimates.\nThe company's revenue rose to $1.45 billion in the third quarter, compared with estimates of $1.44 billion. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.62 per share, beating estimates of $1.41.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LULU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602692487,"gmtCreate":1639012270775,"gmtModify":1639012271002,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602692487","repostId":"1103976773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877319824,"gmtCreate":1637887309577,"gmtModify":1637887309758,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Bad","listText":"Bad","text":"Bad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877319824","repostId":"1161077924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874274722,"gmtCreate":1637798001086,"gmtModify":1637798001223,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874274722","repostId":"1127113461","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127113461","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637797584,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127113461?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 07:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Minutes Reflect Intensifying Inflation Debate. Here’s Why It Matters.<blockquote>美联储会议纪要反映了通胀辩论的加剧。这就是为什么它很重要。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127113461","media":"Barrons","summary":"Federal Reserve officials debated at their latest meeting accelerating the pace of reductions in the","content":"<p>Federal Reserve officials debated at their latest meeting accelerating the pace of reductions in their emergency bond purchases. Based on minutes released today of the Federal Open Market Committee’s Nov. 2-3 meeting, the conversation reflected growing discomfort with inflation, which is both greater and more persistent than officials had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在最近一次会议上讨论了加快减少紧急债券购买的步伐。根据今天公布的联邦公开市场委员会（Federal Open Market Committee）11 月 2 日至 3 日会议纪要，会谈反映出人们对通货膨胀日益增长的不安，通货膨胀比官员们预期的要严重得多，也更持久。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed initiated the purchase of $120 billion a month of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities in response to the pandemic, and signaled in recent months that it planned to start trimming its buying; the tapering process began this month. The latest minutes from the Fed’s policy-setting arm shed light on a debate that is crucial for the path of monetary policy at a time when President Joe Biden is mulling nominations for several vacant seats at the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>为应对疫情，美联储开始每月购买1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款支持证券，并在最近几个月表示计划开始削减购买；缩减过程于本月开始。美联储政策制定部门的最新会议纪要揭示了一场对货币政策道路至关重要的辩论，而此时乔-拜登总统正在考虑提名中央银行的几个空缺席位。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reiterate officials’ view that rising prices are connected to reopening bottlenecks, and thus, are temporary. However, the minutes also suggest officials have become less sure in their assessment that inflation is transitory.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要重申了官员们的观点，即价格上涨与瓶颈重新打开有关，因此是暂时的。然而，会议纪要也表明，官员们对通胀是暂时的评估变得不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> “Participants generally saw the current elevated level of inflation as largely reflecting factors that were likely to be transitory but judged that inflation pressures could take longer to subside than they had previously assessed,” the minutes say.</p><p><blockquote>“会议纪要说：”与会者普遍认为，目前通胀水平的上升在很大程度上反映了可能是暂时的因素，但他们判断通胀压力可能需要比他们之前评估的更长的时间才能消退。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, “transitory” may represent a longer timeframe than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，“暂时性”可以表示比先前预期的更长的时间帧。</blockquote></p><p> The Delta wave of Covid-19 intensified the impediments to supply chains and had helped sustain the high level of goods demand, adding to the upward pressure on prices. The minutes state: “Participants also observed that increases in energy prices, stronger rates of nominal wage growth, and higher housing rental costs had been forces adding to inflation,” with some participants highlighting the fact that price increases had become more widespread.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎的三角洲浪潮加剧了供应链的障碍，并有助于维持高水平的商品需求，增加了价格的上行压力。会议纪要指出： “与会者还指出，能源价格上涨、名义工资增长率上升和住房租金成本上升都是加剧通货膨胀的力量”，一些与会者强调了物价上涨变得更加普遍的事实。</blockquote></p><p> As such, some participants suggested that reducing the pace of asset purchases by more than $15 billion each month could be warranted. The key takeaway: speeding up the taper process would put the FOMC “in a better position to make adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, particularly in light of inflation pressures,” the minutes state.</p><p><blockquote>因此，一些与会者建议，每月将资产购买速度降低150亿美元以上是合理的。关键要点： 会议纪要指出，加快缩减规模进程将使联邦公开市场委员会 “能够更好地调整联邦基金利率的目标区间，尤其是在通胀压力的情况下”。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell has worked hard to convince markets that tapering doesn’t start the clock on interest-rate increases, but the minutes suggest some members want to raise rates sooner than planned.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）一直在努力说服市场，缩减规模并不会启动加息的时钟，但会议纪要显示，一些委员希望比计划更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the minutes show that while participants expect “significant inflation pressures to last for longer than they previously expected,” they still generally continue to anticipate that the inflation rate will diminish significantly during 2022 as supply and demand imbalances thaw.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，会议纪要显示，虽然与会者预计 “巨大的通胀压力将比他们之前预期的持续时间更长”，但他们仍然普遍预计，随着供需失衡的解冻，2022 年通胀率将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p> The FOMC next meets on December 14-15, after the November jobs report and consumer price index are released. How the labor market looks–in particular, if weak participation continues to push up wages–and whether consumer prices continue to climb will shape those discussions. At this point, investors are pricing in a June 2022 liftoff for interest rates, but an accelerated taper timeline could bring forward the first rate increase.</p><p><blockquote>FOMC 下次会议将于 12 月 14 日至 15 日举行，此前 11 月就业报告和消费者价格指数发布。劳动力市场的前景——特别是，疲软的参与是否继续推高工资——以及消费者价格是否继续攀升将影响这些讨论。目前，投资者预计 2022 年 6 月加息，但缩减规模的加速时间表可能会提前首次加息。</blockquote></p><p> While the bar for an acceleration in the tapering of asset purchases is high, “it looks reasonably likely to be cleared should we see another solid payroll report and inflation data release in December,” says&nbsp;Bob Miller, head of Americas fundamental fixed income at&nbsp;BlackRock.</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德（BlackRock）美洲基本面固定收益业务主管鲍勃-米勒（Bob Miller）表示，虽然加速缩减资产购买规模的门槛很高，但“如果我们在 12 月份看到另一份稳健的就业报告和通胀数据发布，这一门槛似乎很有可能被清除”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Minutes Reflect Intensifying Inflation Debate. Here’s Why It Matters.<blockquote>美联储会议纪要反映了通胀辩论的加剧。这就是为什么它很重要。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Minutes Reflect Intensifying Inflation Debate. Here’s Why It Matters.<blockquote>美联储会议纪要反映了通胀辩论的加剧。这就是为什么它很重要。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-25 07:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Federal Reserve officials debated at their latest meeting accelerating the pace of reductions in their emergency bond purchases. Based on minutes released today of the Federal Open Market Committee’s Nov. 2-3 meeting, the conversation reflected growing discomfort with inflation, which is both greater and more persistent than officials had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员在最近一次会议上讨论了加快减少紧急债券购买的步伐。根据今天公布的联邦公开市场委员会（Federal Open Market Committee）11 月 2 日至 3 日会议纪要，会谈反映出人们对通货膨胀日益增长的不安，通货膨胀比官员们预期的要严重得多，也更持久。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed initiated the purchase of $120 billion a month of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities in response to the pandemic, and signaled in recent months that it planned to start trimming its buying; the tapering process began this month. The latest minutes from the Fed’s policy-setting arm shed light on a debate that is crucial for the path of monetary policy at a time when President Joe Biden is mulling nominations for several vacant seats at the central bank.</p><p><blockquote>为应对疫情，美联储开始每月购买1200亿美元的国债和抵押贷款支持证券，并在最近几个月表示计划开始削减购买；缩减过程于本月开始。美联储政策制定部门的最新会议纪要揭示了一场对货币政策道路至关重要的辩论，而此时乔-拜登总统正在考虑提名中央银行的几个空缺席位。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reiterate officials’ view that rising prices are connected to reopening bottlenecks, and thus, are temporary. However, the minutes also suggest officials have become less sure in their assessment that inflation is transitory.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要重申了官员们的观点，即价格上涨与瓶颈重新打开有关，因此是暂时的。然而，会议纪要也表明，官员们对通胀是暂时的评估变得不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> “Participants generally saw the current elevated level of inflation as largely reflecting factors that were likely to be transitory but judged that inflation pressures could take longer to subside than they had previously assessed,” the minutes say.</p><p><blockquote>“会议纪要说：”与会者普遍认为，目前通胀水平的上升在很大程度上反映了可能是暂时的因素，但他们判断通胀压力可能需要比他们之前评估的更长的时间才能消退。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, “transitory” may represent a longer timeframe than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，“暂时性”可以表示比先前预期的更长的时间帧。</blockquote></p><p> The Delta wave of Covid-19 intensified the impediments to supply chains and had helped sustain the high level of goods demand, adding to the upward pressure on prices. The minutes state: “Participants also observed that increases in energy prices, stronger rates of nominal wage growth, and higher housing rental costs had been forces adding to inflation,” with some participants highlighting the fact that price increases had become more widespread.</p><p><blockquote>新冠肺炎的三角洲浪潮加剧了供应链的障碍，并有助于维持高水平的商品需求，增加了价格的上行压力。会议纪要指出： “与会者还指出，能源价格上涨、名义工资增长率上升和住房租金成本上升都是加剧通货膨胀的力量”，一些与会者强调了物价上涨变得更加普遍的事实。</blockquote></p><p> As such, some participants suggested that reducing the pace of asset purchases by more than $15 billion each month could be warranted. The key takeaway: speeding up the taper process would put the FOMC “in a better position to make adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, particularly in light of inflation pressures,” the minutes state.</p><p><blockquote>因此，一些与会者建议，每月将资产购买速度降低150亿美元以上是合理的。关键要点： 会议纪要指出，加快缩减规模进程将使联邦公开市场委员会 “能够更好地调整联邦基金利率的目标区间，尤其是在通胀压力的情况下”。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chair Jerome Powell has worked hard to convince markets that tapering doesn’t start the clock on interest-rate increases, but the minutes suggest some members want to raise rates sooner than planned.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）一直在努力说服市场，缩减规模并不会启动加息的时钟，但会议纪要显示，一些委员希望比计划更早加息。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the minutes show that while participants expect “significant inflation pressures to last for longer than they previously expected,” they still generally continue to anticipate that the inflation rate will diminish significantly during 2022 as supply and demand imbalances thaw.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，会议纪要显示，虽然与会者预计 “巨大的通胀压力将比他们之前预期的持续时间更长”，但他们仍然普遍预计，随着供需失衡的解冻，2022 年通胀率将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p> The FOMC next meets on December 14-15, after the November jobs report and consumer price index are released. How the labor market looks–in particular, if weak participation continues to push up wages–and whether consumer prices continue to climb will shape those discussions. At this point, investors are pricing in a June 2022 liftoff for interest rates, but an accelerated taper timeline could bring forward the first rate increase.</p><p><blockquote>FOMC 下次会议将于 12 月 14 日至 15 日举行，此前 11 月就业报告和消费者价格指数发布。劳动力市场的前景——特别是，疲软的参与是否继续推高工资——以及消费者价格是否继续攀升将影响这些讨论。目前，投资者预计 2022 年 6 月加息，但缩减规模的加速时间表可能会提前首次加息。</blockquote></p><p> While the bar for an acceleration in the tapering of asset purchases is high, “it looks reasonably likely to be cleared should we see another solid payroll report and inflation data release in December,” says&nbsp;Bob Miller, head of Americas fundamental fixed income at&nbsp;BlackRock.</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德（BlackRock）美洲基本面固定收益业务主管鲍勃-米勒（Bob Miller）表示，虽然加速缩减资产购买规模的门槛很高，但“如果我们在 12 月份看到另一份稳健的就业报告和通胀数据发布，这一门槛似乎很有可能被清除”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-reflect-intensifying-inflation-debate-heres-why-it-matters-51637787437?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-minutes-reflect-intensifying-inflation-debate-heres-why-it-matters-51637787437?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127113461","content_text":"Federal Reserve officials debated at their latest meeting accelerating the pace of reductions in their emergency bond purchases. Based on minutes released today of the Federal Open Market Committee’s Nov. 2-3 meeting, the conversation reflected growing discomfort with inflation, which is both greater and more persistent than officials had anticipated.\nThe Fed initiated the purchase of $120 billion a month of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities in response to the pandemic, and signaled in recent months that it planned to start trimming its buying; the tapering process began this month. The latest minutes from the Fed’s policy-setting arm shed light on a debate that is crucial for the path of monetary policy at a time when President Joe Biden is mulling nominations for several vacant seats at the central bank.\nThe minutes reiterate officials’ view that rising prices are connected to reopening bottlenecks, and thus, are temporary. However, the minutes also suggest officials have become less sure in their assessment that inflation is transitory.\n“Participants generally saw the current elevated level of inflation as largely reflecting factors that were likely to be transitory but judged that inflation pressures could take longer to subside than they had previously assessed,” the minutes say.\nIn other words, “transitory” may represent a longer timeframe than previously expected.\nThe Delta wave of Covid-19 intensified the impediments to supply chains and had helped sustain the high level of goods demand, adding to the upward pressure on prices. The minutes state: “Participants also observed that increases in energy prices, stronger rates of nominal wage growth, and higher housing rental costs had been forces adding to inflation,” with some participants highlighting the fact that price increases had become more widespread.\nAs such, some participants suggested that reducing the pace of asset purchases by more than $15 billion each month could be warranted. The key takeaway: speeding up the taper process would put the FOMC “in a better position to make adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, particularly in light of inflation pressures,” the minutes state.\nFed Chair Jerome Powell has worked hard to convince markets that tapering doesn’t start the clock on interest-rate increases, but the minutes suggest some members want to raise rates sooner than planned.\nEven so, the minutes show that while participants expect “significant inflation pressures to last for longer than they previously expected,” they still generally continue to anticipate that the inflation rate will diminish significantly during 2022 as supply and demand imbalances thaw.\nThe FOMC next meets on December 14-15, after the November jobs report and consumer price index are released. How the labor market looks–in particular, if weak participation continues to push up wages–and whether consumer prices continue to climb will shape those discussions. At this point, investors are pricing in a June 2022 liftoff for interest rates, but an accelerated taper timeline could bring forward the first rate increase.\nWhile the bar for an acceleration in the tapering of asset purchases is high, “it looks reasonably likely to be cleared should we see another solid payroll report and inflation data release in December,” says Bob Miller, head of Americas fundamental fixed income at BlackRock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1124,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875555642,"gmtCreate":1637673387920,"gmtModify":1637673388022,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875555642","repostId":"1197163617","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197163617","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637671759,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1197163617?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 20:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Aadi Bioscience Shares Rally On FDA Approval For Its First Product For Rare Form Cancer<blockquote>FDA 批准其首款治疗罕见癌症的产品，Aadi Bioscience 股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197163617","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The FDA has approved Aadi Bioscience Inc's Fyarro (sirolimus protein-bound particles for injectable ","content":"<p><div> The FDA has approved Aadi Bioscience Inc's Fyarro (sirolimus protein-bound particles for injectable suspension) (albumin-bound) for perivascular epithelioid cell tumor (PEComa).   The approval marks ...</p><p><blockquote><div>FDA 已批准 Aadi Bioscience Inc. 的 Fyarro（用于注射用混悬液的西罗莫司蛋白结合颗粒）（白蛋白结合）用于血管周围上皮样细胞肿瘤 (PEComa)。批准标志……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24244830/aadi-bioscience-shares-rally-on-fda-approval-for-its-first-product-for-rare-form-cancer\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24244830/aadi-bioscience-shares-rally-on-fda-approval-for-its-first-product-for-rare-form-cancer\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Aadi Bioscience Shares Rally On FDA Approval For Its First Product For Rare Form Cancer<blockquote>FDA 批准其首款治疗罕见癌症的产品，Aadi Bioscience 股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAadi Bioscience Shares Rally On FDA Approval For Its First Product For Rare Form Cancer<blockquote>FDA 批准其首款治疗罕见癌症的产品，Aadi Bioscience 股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-23 20:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The FDA has approved Aadi Bioscience Inc's Fyarro (sirolimus protein-bound particles for injectable suspension) (albumin-bound) for perivascular epithelioid cell tumor (PEComa).   The approval marks ...</p><p><blockquote><div>FDA 已批准 Aadi Bioscience Inc. 的 Fyarro（用于注射用混悬液的西罗莫司蛋白结合颗粒）（白蛋白结合）用于血管周围上皮样细胞肿瘤 (PEComa)。批准标志……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24244830/aadi-bioscience-shares-rally-on-fda-approval-for-its-first-product-for-rare-form-cancer\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24244830/aadi-bioscience-shares-rally-on-fda-approval-for-its-first-product-for-rare-form-cancer\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24244830/aadi-bioscience-shares-rally-on-fda-approval-for-its-first-product-for-rare-form-cancer\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/21/11/24244830/aadi-bioscience-shares-rally-on-fda-approval-for-its-first-product-for-rare-form-cancer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197163617","content_text":"The FDA has approved Aadi Bioscience Inc's Fyarro (sirolimus protein-bound particles for injectable suspension) (albumin-bound) for perivascular epithelioid cell tumor (PEComa).\n\n\nThe approval marks the first and only therapy for adult patients for locally advanced unresectable or metastatic malignant PEComa.\nPEComa is a family of rare tumors that form in the soft tissues of the stomach, intestines, lungs, female reproductive organs, and genitourinary organs.\nIn Phase 2 registrational AMPECT trial, the overall response rate was 39% (12/31), with two patients achieving a Complete Response after prolonged follow-up.\nThe median duration of response has not been reached, with a median follow-up of 36 months.\nAmong responders, 92% had a response lasting greater than or equal to 6 months; 67% had a response lasting up to 12 months, and 58% had a response lasting up to 2 years.\nPrice Action: AADI shares are up 42.6% at $36.39 during the premarket session on the last check Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AADI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871443837,"gmtCreate":1637108448737,"gmtModify":1637108449061,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871443837","repostId":"2184988176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873645679,"gmtCreate":1636941653040,"gmtModify":1636941653143,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873645679","repostId":"1175866532","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873340887,"gmtCreate":1636864629361,"gmtModify":1636864629491,"author":{"id":"3582972798563668","authorId":"3582972798563668","name":"JS64","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad519f92a203874c41d7d11080b13d18","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582972798563668","authorIdStr":"3582972798563668"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873340887","repostId":"1159096163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159096163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636851053,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1159096163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159096163","media":"Barrons","summary":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce","content":"<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie &amp; Fitch 的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie's（股票代码：ANF）曾经是商场的主打产品，凭借鲜明、性感的广告和黑暗、充满香水的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在 2017 年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的持续下降给该品牌的未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的购物中心和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎又要夺走另一个受害者了。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但是在去葬礼的路上发生了一件令人惊讶的事情：阿伯克龙比享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨 (Fran Horowitz) 的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调其 Hollister 品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 7 月 31 日的第二财季中，该公司的收入同比增长了 24%，比大流行前的水平增长了 3%。随着购物者将现金涌回商店，其股价今年上涨了 120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨在接受采访时说：”品牌认知是一件很难扭转的事情，重建消费者的信任需要时间。<i>巴伦</i>. “因此，在 2021 年，我们很高兴地说，我们显然看到了所有这些辛勤工作的奇妙成果”。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅从深渊中挣脱出来，还利用大流行病带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌，销售额飙升，股价上涨，这得益于强劲的市场和消费者争先恐后地花掉大流行储蓄。许多大型商场零售商的股价都飙升，包括梅西百货（M）、诺德斯特龙（JWN）、著名鞋类母公司 Caleres（加州）和 Signet Jewelers（SIG），这些公司在过去 12 个月中都上涨了至少 100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会（National Retail Federation）的数据，消费者可支出 8510 亿美元，比去年创纪录的 7770 亿美元增长了 9.5%，是过去五年平均增长率 4.4% 的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售恢复正常之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意想不到的复兴，再次印证了不少品牌对实体店力量的信心。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们仍在继续大力押注实体未来。随着对实体店的投资继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题显而易见。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌入网上。亚马逊 (AMZN) 和沃尔玛 (WMT) 等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>“Columbia Threadneedle Investments 零售分析师 Mari Shor 说：”投资者的情绪--尤其是短期对冲基金类型的投资者--对该集团的情绪刚刚变得非常负面。“我只是认为，投资者并没有真正给公司或消费者带来怀疑的好处”。</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔说，投资者的疑虑源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存下来。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会来关闭表现不佳的门店，并专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上变得更好，并将销售策略转变为随时随地瞄准消费者，无论是在线、移动还是店内。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司希望在连接数字和店内运营的同时推动增长的一个例子是，Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。根据全国零售联合会的估计，这个假日季在线和其他非实体店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“Global X 负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗-帕兰德拉尼（Pedro Palandrani）说：”我们认为，大流行病不仅加速了电子商务在全球的普及，还扩大了市场。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在其数字战略上投入了数亿美元，强调从数字体验到店内体验的平稳过渡，并采取了改进公司网站、实行店内退货和网上购物提货等举措。霍洛维茨说，大流行病的到来促使 Abercrombie 关闭了全球 130 家门店和 50% 的品牌旗舰店，使过去 10 年关闭的门店总数达到约 500 家，同时战略性地开设了几家重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”商店固然重要，但必须有合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济性。“如果你把它和数字技术结合在一起，那就等于神奇了”。</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B. Riley Securities 分析师苏珊·安德森 (Susan Anderson) 表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效方式，而且还可以作为在线取货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，甚至像Warby Parker（WRBY）这样的在线零售商也扩大了他们的实体存在，以适应购物者的偏好。“安德森说：”消费者希望随时随地购物。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。购物中心和实体店在精通数字的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>根据BHDP今年早些时候委托一家以零售为专长的设计公司对1000名购物者进行的调查，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁的购物者也回到了商场，试穿产品，使用店内促销，并进行退货。德勤美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯 (Rod Sides) 表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人口统计的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间战略的转变使许多零售商在今年重新开放购物中心和市中心时处于更有利的地位，购物者渴望打开他们的钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者意外地变得兴奋起来。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用的下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤（Deloitte）的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假日季比去年多花费 15%，平均每户花费 2624 美元，这在很大程度上推动了假日季的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>“穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）说：”你有很多现金，而且有相当数量的需求被压抑。</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9 月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至 6250 亿美元，比 10 月份增长 0.7%，同比增长 13.9%。仅零售额就比 8 月份增长了 0.8%。“花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡-克拉克（Veronica Clark）说：”我们原本预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会总裁兼首席执行官马修·谢伊 (Matthew Shay) 在 10 月份的媒体吹风会上表示，零售商在进入假日季时比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测本季美国零售额将增长 7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品行业将出现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商 Burberry Group (BRBY.UK) 上周表示，2022 财年上半年的可比销售额增长了 37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach 母公司 Tapestry (TPR) 公布的第一财季收益好于预期，上调了 2022 年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩说：“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地承受了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表”。Wolfe Research 看好 Nordstrom 和 Tapestry 等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“几乎所有美国消费者支出的主要驱动因素都青睐高端市场”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，越来越多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai 商场交通统计数据显示，10 月份室内商场的客流量比 2019 年增长了 3%，室外商场的客流量增长了 5%，这也是商场商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团（SPG）的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿地区泰森斯角中心（Tysons Corner Center）高级营销经理林赛-佩塔克（Lindsay Petak）说：”随着越来越多的人全面接种疫苗，再加上由于供应链问题，许多人在即将到来的假期提前购物，自 7 月以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。该购物中心由 Macerich (MAC) 所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的库存上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金（XRT）上涨了85%，而标普500上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品 ETF (RCD) 今年的表现优于标普500 5 个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>“NRF 的 Shay 说：”我们已经看到，一旦经济重新开放，百货商店、服装和非必需品零售商就会真正反弹。“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店一直是节日期间的热门目的地......今年，百货商店仍然是人们购物的首选场所”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与网上商店有所不同，但它们会一直存在下去。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>零售业复兴是否具有长期可持续性尚未定论。零售商在远离常态的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更加具有投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师珍妮-斯蒂奇特（Janine Stichter）说：”我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为现在整个行业有太多的复杂性。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度将表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“霍洛维茨说：”供应链问题是真实存在的。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在第二季度财报看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，预计对销售的影响不大，运费通胀的影响更大。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克说，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者提前开始购物--这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月可能会有所下降。“她说：”支出并不一定会减弱很多，只是几个月的分布情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter 表示，另一方面，低库存将赋予零售商更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修-福雷斯特（Matthew Forester）说，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“他说：”总体而言，美国经济显然正在放缓。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这也是很可能发生的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他说，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出欣喜若狂。他说，虽然下降可能并不 “可怕”，但与现在的消费者支出水平相比，仍将有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿伯克龙比正在其实体店的帮助下度过逆风。该公司正计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单路由到商店，并与 Uber、Shipt 和 Postmates 合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司 American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) 最近宣布收购 Quiet Logistics，这是一家在市中心附近运营自动化配送中心的运营商，就在几周前，AirTerra 专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨说：”我们将继续努力。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商继续前进，末日预言者可能不得不推迟预言零售世界末日。目前，人们的情绪很明确：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又凉了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShoppers Are Heading to Malls Again. These Stocks Are Good Bets.<blockquote>购物者再次前往购物中心。这些股票是不错的选择。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for&nbsp;Abercrombie &amp; Fitch&nbsp;seemed dire.</p><p><blockquote>当疫情袭击美国经济时，Abercrombie &amp; Fitch 的前景似乎很糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Once a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie's（股票代码：ANF）曾经是商场的主打产品，凭借鲜明、性感的广告和黑暗、充满香水的商店俘获了青少年的心和钱包，但其股价在 2017 年创下新低。购物者对该品牌的厌恶和商场客流量的持续下降给该品牌的未来蒙上了阴影。然后，在2020年3月，冠状病毒开始关闭全国各地的购物中心和商店。</blockquote></p><p> The retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.</p><p><blockquote>零售业的末日似乎又要夺走另一个受害者了。</blockquote></p><p> But something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.</p><p><blockquote>但是在去葬礼的路上发生了一件令人惊讶的事情：阿伯克龙比享受了自2000年代全盛时期以来最好的一年。在首席执行官弗兰·霍洛维茨 (Fran Horowitz) 的领导下，该公司进行了品牌重塑，发布了更具包容性的信息，并将重点转向年轻专业人士，同时针对青少年微调其 Hollister 品牌。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.</p><p><blockquote>在截至 7 月 31 日的第二财季中，该公司的收入同比增长了 24%，比大流行前的水平增长了 3%。随着购物者将现金涌回商店，其股价今年上涨了 120%。</blockquote></p><p> “Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with <i>Barron’s</i>. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨在接受采访时说：”品牌认知是一件很难扭转的事情，重建消费者的信任需要时间。<i>巴伦</i>. “因此，在 2021 年，我们很高兴地说，我们显然看到了所有这些辛勤工作的奇妙成果”。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 并不是唯一一个进入新增长期的零售品牌。在过去的一年里，许多美国零售商不仅从深渊中挣脱出来，还利用大流行病带来的宏观经济变化，推动自己进入了意想不到的复兴。</blockquote></p><p> Brands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including&nbsp;Macy’s&nbsp;(M),Nordstrom&nbsp;(JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres&nbsp;(CAL), and&nbsp;Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>成功将实体业务与数字战略相结合的品牌，销售额飙升，股价上涨，这得益于强劲的市场和消费者争先恐后地花掉大流行储蓄。许多大型商场零售商的股价都飙升，包括梅西百货（M）、诺德斯特龙（JWN）、著名鞋类母公司 Caleres（加州）和 Signet Jewelers（SIG），这些公司在过去 12 个月中都上涨了至少 100%。</blockquote></p><p> These companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司现在准备从可能创纪录的假期中获益。根据全国零售联合会（National Retail Federation）的数据，消费者可支出 8510 亿美元，比去年创纪录的 7770 亿美元增长了 9.5%，是过去五年平均增长率 4.4% 的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> No one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.</p><p><blockquote>没有人知道这场派对是否会持续下去，或者这些商店是否只是在捕捉未来可能发生的销售。在零售销售恢复正常之前，企业需要应对一系列供应链和通胀压力，这些压力可能会抑制假日销售。</blockquote></p><p> But the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.</p><p><blockquote>但意想不到的复兴，再次印证了不少品牌对实体店力量的信心。虽然他们仍在大力投资在线业务，但他们仍在继续大力押注实体未来。随着对实体店的投资继续，许多人曾经预期的实体零售商的消亡似乎不再那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57cd1db2ff23484eff85f5e6ad64d7c8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Wealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>富裕家庭计划在这个假期平均花费2624美元，比去年增加15%。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as&nbsp;Amazon.com&nbsp;(AMZN) and&nbsp;Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.</p><p><blockquote>大流行病对零售商来说并不理想，但它提供了一些独特的机会。问题显而易见。人们害怕亲自购物。购物者——甚至婴儿潮一代——以意想不到的数量涌入网上。亚马逊 (AMZN) 和沃尔玛 (WMT) 等零售巨头经历了有史以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p> “The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”</p><p><blockquote>“Columbia Threadneedle Investments 零售分析师 Mari Shor 说：”投资者的情绪--尤其是短期对冲基金类型的投资者--对该集团的情绪刚刚变得非常负面。“我只是认为，投资者并没有真正给公司或消费者带来怀疑的好处”。</blockquote></p><p> Shor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.</p><p><blockquote>肖尔说，投资者的疑虑源于这样一种观念，即传统零售商，无论是大流行前还是大流行后，都无法生存下来。</blockquote></p><p> But the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.</p><p><blockquote>但疫情给了零售商一个难得的机会来关闭表现不佳的门店，并专注于优秀的门店。许多零售商还专注于在网上变得更好，并将销售策略转变为随时随地瞄准消费者，无论是在线、移动还是店内。</blockquote></p><p> In one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司希望在连接数字和店内运营的同时推动增长的一个例子是，Saks Fifth Avenue 的母公司剥离了其电子商务部门，该部门目前预计将上市，目标估值为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，这种方法至关重要。根据全国零售联合会的估计，这个假日季在线和其他非实体店销售额预计将增长11%至15%，可能达到2260亿美元的高位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>“Global X 负责电子商务的研究分析师佩德罗-帕兰德拉尼（Pedro Palandrani）说：”我们认为，大流行病不仅加速了电子商务在全球的普及，还扩大了市场。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在其数字战略上投入了数亿美元，强调从数字体验到店内体验的平稳过渡，并采取了改进公司网站、实行店内退货和网上购物提货等举措。霍洛维茨说，大流行病的到来促使 Abercrombie 关闭了全球 130 家门店和 50% 的品牌旗舰店，使过去 10 年关闭的门店总数达到约 500 家，同时战略性地开设了几家重要的新店。</blockquote></p><p> “Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”商店固然重要，但必须有合适的规模、合适的位置和合适的经济性。“如果你把它和数字技术结合在一起，那就等于神奇了”。</blockquote></p><p> Not only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.</p><p><blockquote>B. Riley Securities 分析师苏珊·安德森 (Susan Anderson) 表示，实体店不仅是吸引亲自购物者的经济高效方式，而且还可以作为在线取货和退货以及本地运输的重要配送中心。近年来，甚至像Warby Parker（WRBY）这样的在线零售商也扩大了他们的实体存在，以适应购物者的偏好。“安德森说：”消费者希望随时随地购物。</blockquote></p><p> That behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.</p><p><blockquote>这种行为会以意想不到的方式演变。购物中心和实体店在精通数字的青少年和年轻人中越来越受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.</p><p><blockquote>根据BHDP今年早些时候委托一家以零售为专长的设计公司对1000名购物者进行的调查，55%的14至17岁青少年表示他们现在在室内购物中心购物，90%的人计划明年去购物中心。接受调查的18至24岁的购物者也回到了商场，试穿产品，使用店内促销，并进行退货。德勤美国零售和分销副主席罗德·赛德斯 (Rod Sides) 表示，这种转变导致零售商放弃了对特定人口统计的旧观点和假设。</blockquote></p><p> The shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间战略的转变使许多零售商在今年重新开放购物中心和市中心时处于更有利的地位，购物者渴望打开他们的钱包。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，一些消费者意外地变得兴奋起来。他们获得了刺激付款，从旅行费用的下降中节省下来，并看到市场飙升。如今，所有收入水平的消费者储蓄都处于或接近创纪录水平。德勤（Deloitte）的一项年度研究发现，富裕家庭计划在这个假日季比去年多花费 15%，平均每户花费 2624 美元，这在很大程度上推动了假日季的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.</p><p><blockquote>“穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）首席经济学家马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）说：”你有很多现金，而且有相当数量的需求被压抑。</blockquote></p><p> Retail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国人口普查局的数据，9 月份零售和食品服务销售额估计增至 6250 亿美元，比 10 月份增长 0.7%，同比增长 13.9%。仅零售额就比 8 月份增长了 0.8%。“花旗集团经济学家维罗妮卡-克拉克（Veronica Clark）说：”我们原本预计9月份会出现一些回调，但我们没有。</blockquote></p><p> Retailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly&nbsp;Mastercard&nbsp;spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.</p><p><blockquote>全国零售联合会总裁兼首席执行官马修·谢伊 (Matthew Shay) 在 10 月份的媒体吹风会上表示，零售商在进入假日季时比十年前健康得多。万事达卡年度支出指数预测本季美国零售额将增长 7.4%，其中服装、百货商店、珠宝和奢侈品行业将出现显着增长。</blockquote></p><p> Luxury retailer&nbsp;Burberry Group&nbsp;(BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And&nbsp;Tapestry&nbsp;(TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.</p><p><blockquote>以格子呢面料和围巾闻名的奢侈品零售商 Burberry Group (BRBY.UK) 上周表示，2022 财年上半年的可比销售额增长了 37%，全价销售额正以两位数的速度增长。Coach 母公司 Tapestry (TPR) 公布的第一财季收益好于预期，上调了 2022 年销售额和利润预期。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师看好零售业，考恩说：“许多奢侈品牌已经成功地承受了价格上涨，并可能受益于美国和国际上历史上强劲的消费者资产负债表”。Wolfe Research 看好 Nordstrom 和 Tapestry 等公司，分析师在一份报告中写道，“几乎所有美国消费者支出的主要驱动因素都青睐高端市场”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，越来越多的美国人开始来到购物中心。Placer.ai 商场交通统计数据显示，10 月份室内商场的客流量比 2019 年增长了 3%，室外商场的客流量增长了 5%，这也是商场商店库存飙升的原因之一。拥有这些购物中心的西蒙地产集团（SPG）的股价在2021年上涨了约90%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.</p><p><blockquote>“华盛顿地区泰森斯角中心（Tysons Corner Center）高级营销经理林赛-佩塔克（Lindsay Petak）说：”随着越来越多的人全面接种疫苗，再加上由于供应链问题，许多人在即将到来的假期提前购物，自 7 月以来，我们看到客流量稳步上升。该购物中心由 Macerich (MAC) 所有，该公司的股价今年也几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> All of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P Retail&nbsp;exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&amp;P 500 rose 33%. The&nbsp;Invesco S&amp;P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都加剧了遭受重创的零售商多年来的库存上涨。过去一年，SPDR S&amp;P零售交易所交易基金（XRT）上涨了85%，而标普500上涨了33%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品 ETF (RCD) 今年的表现优于标普500 5 个百分点，这表明投资者仍然看好零售销售。</blockquote></p><p> “We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”</p><p><blockquote>“NRF 的 Shay 说：”我们已经看到，一旦经济重新开放，百货商店、服装和非必需品零售商就会真正反弹。“根据我们所做的消费者调查工作，百货商店一直是节日期间的热门目的地......今年，百货商店仍然是人们购物的首选场所”。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，分析师和投资者仍然对实体店所扮演的角色充满信心，实体店可能看起来与网上商店有所不同，但它们会一直存在下去。</blockquote></p><p> The verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.</p><p><blockquote>零售业复兴是否具有长期可持续性尚未定论。零售商在远离常态的宏观经济环境中运营，这使得任何猜测都更加具有投机性。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.</p><p><blockquote>“杰富瑞（Jefferies）分析师珍妮-斯蒂奇特（Janine Stichter）说：”我认为我们还没有正常的洞察力，因为现在整个行业有太多的复杂性。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>企业正在努力应对持续的供应链担忧、通胀压力和持续的劳动力短缺，尽管所有迹象都表明假日季度将表现强劲，但这些问题可能会影响盈利。“霍洛维茨说：”供应链问题是真实存在的。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>Abercrombie 在第二季度财报看涨期权中表示，由于供应链限制，预计对销售的影响不大，运费通胀的影响更大。</blockquote></p><p> To ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的克拉克说，为了缓解供应链压力，零售商鼓励消费者提前开始购物--这一趋势可能会扭曲年终销售数据。如果购物者提前购买礼物，与往年相比，11月和12月可能会有所下降。“她说：”支出并不一定会减弱很多，只是几个月的分布情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.</p><p><blockquote>Stichter 表示，另一方面，低库存将赋予零售商更高的定价权，有助于抵消供应链中断。波士顿学院经济学家萨沙·托米奇表示，虽然这对零售商有利，但可能会进一步推高价格。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行洛克伍德顾问公司首席投资官马修-福雷斯特（Matthew Forester）说，无论风险如何，强劲的业绩都不会永远持续下去。“他说：”总体而言，美国经济显然正在放缓。“明年我们将放缓。此外，随着我们恢复趋势增长，这也是很可能发生的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> The economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.</p><p><blockquote>他说，随着刺激措施的继续减少，经济最终将退出欣喜若狂。他说，虽然下降可能并不 “可怕”，但与现在的消费者支出水平相比，仍将有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> Abercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.</p><p><blockquote>然而，阿伯克龙比正在其实体店的帮助下度过逆风。该公司正计划在商店放置更多库存，并将电子商务订单路由到商店，并与 Uber、Shipt 和 Postmates 合作提供当天送达服务。</blockquote></p><p> Other retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.</p><p><blockquote>其他零售商已经将供应链解决方案掌握在自己手中。特种服装公司 American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) 最近宣布收购 Quiet Logistics，这是一家在市中心附近运营自动化配送中心的运营商，就在几周前，AirTerra 专注于中英里物流（将产品从仓库运送到零售店）。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.</p><p><blockquote>“霍洛维茨说：”我们将继续努力。</blockquote></p><p> As retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. The mall has become cool again.</p><p><blockquote>随着零售商继续前进，末日预言者可能不得不推迟预言零售世界末日。目前，人们的情绪很明确：消费者正在重新发现实体购物的乐趣。商场又凉了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TPR":"Tapestry Inc.","ANF":"爱芬奇","BRBY.UK":"巴宝莉","BBRYF":"Burberry Group Plc","SIG":"西格内特珠宝","AMZN":"亚马逊","RCD":"READY CAPITAL CORPORATION 9.00% SENIOR NOTES DUE 2029","JWN":"诺德斯特龙","WMT":"沃尔玛","CAL":"Caleres鞋业","M":"梅西百货"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/macys-abercrombie-simon-property-retail-stocks-51636674171?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159096163","content_text":"By the time the pandemic hit the U.S. economy, the outlook for Abercrombie & Fitch seemed dire.\nOnce a mall staple that captured the hearts and wallets of teenagers with stark, sexy advertising and dark, perfume-drenched stores, Abercrombie’s (ticker: ANF) stock price hit fresh lows in 2017. Shoppers’ distaste for the brand and a steady decrease in mall traffic clouded its future. Then, in March of 2020, the coronavirus began closing malls and stores across the country.\nThe retail apocalypse, it seemed, was about to claim another victim.\nBut something surprising happened on the way to the funeral: Abercrombie enjoyed one of its best years since its 2000s heyday. Under CEO Fran Horowitz, the company rebranded, putting out a more inclusive message and pivoting its focus toward young professionals while fine-tuning its Hollister brand for teenagers.\nRevenue increased 24% year over year in the company’s fiscal second quarter ended July 31, and 3% from prepandemic levels. Its stock is up 120% this year as shoppers flush with cash flock back to stores.\n“Perception of a brand is a hard thing to turn, and it takes time in order to build back trust with your consumer,” Horowitz says in an interview with Barron’s. “So, here we are happy to say in 2021 that we are seeing, obviously, the wonderful effects of all of that hard work.”\nAbercrombie isn’t the only retail brand that is coming into a new period of growth. Over the past year, many of America’s retailers have not only clawed their way out of the abyss, but have harnessed macroeconomic changes ushered in by the pandemic to propel themselves into an unexpected renaissance.\nBrands that successfully merged their bricks-and-mortar operations with digital strategies are seeing sales soar and stock prices rise, lifted by a strong market and consumers champing at the bit to spend their pandemic savings. The stock prices of many major mall-based retailers have soared, including Macy’s (M),Nordstrom (JWN), Famous Footwear parent Caleres (CAL), and Signet Jewelers (SIG), which all gained at least 100% in the past 12 months.\nThese companies are now poised to reap the benefits of a potentially record-setting holiday season. Consumers could spend $851 billion, a 9.5% increase from last year’s record $777 billion and more than twice the 4.4% average increase over the past five years, according to the National Retail Federation.\nNo one knows whether the party will last or whether these stores are simply capturing sales that would have happened in the future. Before retail sales normalize, companies need to navigate a host of supply-chain and inflationary pressures that could put a damper on holiday sales.\nBut the unexpected revival has reaffirmed the faith of many brands in the power of the physical stores. While still heavily investing in online operations, they are continuing to bet big on a bricks-and-mortar future. And as investments in physical stores continue, the demise of the bricks-and-mortar retailer that many once expected no longer seems so certain.\nWealthy households plan to spend an average $2,624 this holiday season, 15% more than last year.\nThe pandemic wasn’t exactly ideal for retailers, but it offered some unique opportunities. The problems were obvious. People were afraid to shop in person. Shoppers—even baby boomers—flocked online in unexpected numbers. Retail behemoths such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) saw their best year ever.\n“The investor sentiment—especially from short term, hedge fund type investors—had just turned very negative on the group,” Columbia Threadneedle Investments retail analyst Mari Shor says. “I just think that investors weren’t really giving the companies, or the consumers, the benefit of the doubt.”\nShor says the doubt among investors was rooted in the notion that traditional retailers, both prepandemic and postpandemic, wouldn’t make it out alive.\nBut the pandemic gave retailers the rare chance to close poorly performing locations and focus on great ones. Many retailers also focused on getting better online, and shifted their sales strategies to target consumers wherever and whenever they wanted to shop—whether online, mobile, or in-store.\nIn one example of a company looking to fuel growth while connecting digital and in-store operations, the parent company of Saks Fifth Avenue spun out its e-commerce arm, which is now expected to go public with a target valuation of $6 billion.\nSuch approaches proved critical. Online and other non-store sales are expected to increase between 11% and 15% this holiday season, potentially reaching a high of $226 billion, according to National Retail Federation estimates.\n“We’d like to think that the pandemic not only accelerated the adoption of e-commerce around the world but also expanded the market,” says Pedro Palandrani, a research analyst at Global X who covers e-commerce.\nAbercrombie invested hundreds of millions of dollars in its digital strategy, emphasizing smooth transitions from digital to in-store experiences with initiatives such as improving the company’s website and instituting in-store returns and pickups for online purchases. The arrival of the pandemic prompted Abercrombie to close 130 stores worldwide and 50% of the brand’s flagships, bringing total store closures in the past 10 years to about 500, while strategically opening a few key new stores, Horowitz says.\n“Stores matter, but they have to be the right size, the right location, and the right economics,” she says. “You put that together with the digital and it equals magic.”\nNot only are physical stores cost-effective ways to draw in-person shoppers, but they also can serve as crucial distribution centers for online pickups and returns, as well as local shipping, says B. Riley Securities analyst Susan Anderson. In recent years, even online retailers such as Warby Parker (WRBY) have expanded their physical presence to accommodate shopper preferences. “The consumer wants to shop when and where they want to,” Anderson says.\nThat behavior can evolve in unexpected ways. Malls and physical stores are growing in popularity among digitally savvy teenagers and young adults.\nAccording to a survey of 1,000 shoppers earlier this year commissioned by BHDP, a design firm that counts retail among its specialties, 55% of 14-to-17 year olds say they are now shopping at indoor malls, and 90% plan to head to a mall in the next year. The 18-to-24-year-old shoppers surveyed are also back at the mall, trying on products, using in-store promotions, and making returns. Such shifts have led retailers to ditch old views and assumptions about specific demographics, says Rod Sides, vice chairman of U.S. retail and distribution at Deloitte.\nThe shifts in strategy during the pandemic put many retailers in a better position for the reopening of malls and downtowns this year—and shoppers were eager to open their wallets.\nDuring the pandemic, some consumers became unexpectedly flush. They got stimulus payments, saved up from a decline in travel expenses, and saw the markets soar. Today, consumer savings at all income levels are at or near a record. Wealthy households are planning to spend 15% more than last year this holiday season, averaging $2,624 per household and driving much of the season’s growth, an annual Deloitte study found.\n“You got a lot of cash and there’s a fair amount of pent-up demand,” says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.\nRetail and food-services sales increased to an estimated $625 billion in September, up 0.7% from October and 13.9% year over year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Sales in retail alone rose 0.8% from August. “We were expecting that you’d see some pullback in September, and we didn’t,” says Citigroup economist Veronica Clark.\nRetailers are much healthier than they were a decade ago heading into the holiday season, Matthew Shay, president and CEO of the National Retail Federation, said in a media briefing in October. A yearly Mastercard spending index forecasts U.S. retail sales to increase 7.4% this season, with significant gains in apparel, department stores, jewelry, and luxury items.\nLuxury retailer Burberry Group (BRBY.UK), known for its tartan fabric and scarves, said this past week that comparable sales for its first half of fiscal 2022 rose 37%, and that full-price sales are growing at a double-digit rate. And Tapestry (TPR), the parent company of Coach, posted better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings, raising its outlook for 2022 sales and profits.\nSome analysts are bullish on the retail sector, with Cowen saying that “many of the luxury brands have successfully been able to take price increases and will likely benefit from the historically strong consumer balance sheets in the U.S. and internationally.” Wolfe Research favors Nordstrom and Tapestry, among others, with analysts writing in a note that “nearly all the major drivers of U.S. consumer spending favor the high end.”\nMeanwhile, more Americans started coming out to the mall. Placer.ai mall-traffic statistics show that foot traffic for indoor malls was up 3% in October compared with 2019 levels, and traffic for outdoor malls was up 5%—one of the reasons mall stores are seeing their stocks soar. Simon Property Group (SPG), which owns the malls themselves, saw its stock gain about 90% in 2021.\n“With the combination of more individuals becoming fully vaccinated, paired with many shopping early for the coming holiday season due to supply-chain concerns, we have seen a steady rise in foot traffic since July,” says Lindsay Petak, senior marketing manager for Tysons Corner Center in the Washington region. The mall is owned by Macerich (MAC), which also has seen its share price nearly double this year.\nAll of this added to a stock run-up for the ages for beaten-down retailers. Over the past year, the SPDR S&P Retail exchanged-trade fund (XRT) was up 85%, while the S&P 500 rose 33%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) has outperformed the S&P 500 by five percentage points this year, a sign that investors remain bullish on retail sales.\n“We’ve seen department stores and apparel and discretionary retailers really bounce back as soon as the economy reopened,” the NRF’s Shay says. “Department stores are always a popular destination for the holiday season, based on the consumer survey work we do....They continue to be at the top of the list of the places people shop this year.”\nAll that said, analysts and investors alike remain confident of the role physical stores play, which might look different from their online counterparts, but they’re here to stay.\nThe verdict on whether the retail renaissance is sustainable in the long term isn’t in yet. Retailers are operating in a macroeconomic environment far from the norm, making any guesses even more speculative.\n“I don’t think we have normal insight yet because there are just too many complexities throughout the business right now,” says Jefferies analyst Janine Stichter.\nCompanies are struggling to manage ongoing supply-chain concerns, inflationary pressures, and a persistent labor shortage, which are likely to bite into earnings despite all signs pointing to a strong holiday quarter. “The supply-chain issues, they’re real,” Horowitz says.\nAbercrombie is assuming a modest impact on sales due to supply-chain constraints, with even bigger impacts coming from freight inflation, the company said in its second-quarter earnings call.\nTo ease supply-chain pressures, retailers are encouraging consumers to start their shopping early—a trend that could skew end-of-year sales data, Citigroup’s Clark says. If shoppers pull their gift-buying forward, there could be a decline in November and December compared with previous years. “It’s not necessarily that spending is much weaker; it’s just that the distribution over months is different,” she says.\nOn the flip side, low inventories will give retailers higher pricing power that can help offset supply-chain disruptions, Stichter says. While beneficial to retailers, this could drive prices up even more, says Sasha Tomic, an economist at Boston College.\nWhatever the risks, strong performance won’t last forever, says Matthew Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “The U.S. economy, overall, is clearly slowing down,” he says. “And we’re going to slow down into the next year. Plus, as we get back to trend growth, that’s just what’s likely to happen.”\nThe economy will eventually exit its euphoria as stimulus continues to dwindle, he says. And while the comedown might not be “terrible,” he says, it will still be a decline from where consumer spending is now.\nAbercrombie, though, is powering through the headwinds with the help of its bricks-and-mortar stores. The company is planning to position more inventory in stores, and is routing e-commerce orders to stores as well as partnering with Uber, Shipt, and Postmates to offer same-day delivery.\nOther retailers have taken supply-chain solutions in their own hands. Specialty-apparel company American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) recently announced it was acquiring Quiet Logistics, an operator of automated distribution centers near city centers, just weeks after it bought AirTerra, which focuses on middle-mile logistics—the delivery of products from a warehouse to a retail store.\n“We’re going to just continue at it,” Horowitz says.\nAs retailers forge ahead, doomsayers might have to hold off on heralding a retail apocalypse. For now, the sentiment is clear: Consumers are rediscovering the joys of bricks-and-mortar shopping. 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Find growth companies2. Find good management3. Buy and keep adding as it goes up","listText":"How to find compounders1. Find growth companies2. Find good management3. Buy and keep adding as it goes up","text":"How to find compounders1. Find growth companies2. Find good management3. 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like n comment thanks!","listText":"Hello like n comment thanks!","text":"Hello like n comment 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07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171558890","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio","content":"<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","TOST":"Toast, Inc.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","HLTH":"TEMA HEALTHCARE AI ETF","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","FRSH":"Freshworks","SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. 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