Eleewin的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Eleewin

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

4关注

4粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-10-04

Pls like

OPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote>

2021-08-15

Please like

Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>

2021-10-13

Pls like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-01

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-09

Please like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-25

Please like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-12

Pls like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-10

Pls like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-22

Please like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-15

Pls like

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582976108435272","uuid":"3582976108435272","gmtCreate":1619883085566,"gmtModify":1619883085566,"name":"Eleewin","pinyin":"eleewin","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":4,"headSize":4,"tweetSize":35,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.10.18","exceedPercentage":"80.56%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.09.17","exceedPercentage":"80.27%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.16","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.05.10","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":854759320,"gmtCreate":1635486183667,"gmtModify":1635486183858,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854759320","repostId":"855173944","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":855173944,"gmtCreate":1635345851064,"gmtModify":1635415689713,"author":{"id":"3564213570679693","authorId":"3564213570679693","name":"青铜王小五","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bf5670ec7879eca09ce09fd2d15a2d1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564213570679693","authorIdStr":"3564213570679693"},"themes":[],"title":"微软22Q1财报背后的一个小细节","htmlText":"今早的信息流被微软精湛的财技轰炸了：22Q1收入同比增长22%，净利润同比增长48%。听到这个消息，我先是心里偷偷喊了句\"微软牛逼，股价真是又高又硬\"，但随后又觉得有些奇怪，净利润大幅高于收入，往往意味着利润率大幅改善，而微软各个业务利润率都挺高的，改善的空间按理说应该没那么大。晚上回来翻了翻微软的财报，终于找到了答案。原来是微软在22Q1期间，从海外的一家公司向美国总部转移了一份无形资产，带来了33亿美元的税收减免。这33亿在国际通用会计标准(GAAP)下会被计入企业当期的净利润，网上现在盛传的消息便是采用了GAAP统计口径下的净利润。微软在财报中也提供了非国际通用会计标准(non-GAAP)的数据，并在其中扣除了这33亿美元的净利润，给投资者作为企业真实经营状况的参考。扣除这部分一次性利润后，微软净利润增长27%，符合今年9月在【定量看微软】一文中的分析：大概率微软净利润增速会高于收入增速一大截。这样分析之后，其实微软22Q1的财报看起来没有太多惊喜，增长上中规中矩，和之前的预期(18%+5.5%)相差不多，整体还是非常稳健的。如果要找一个亮点的话，就是智能云本季度收入同比增长31%，继续担当微软的增长引擎。除此之外，微软给出下季度的收入增长指引为同比16.5%~18.5%，基于微软增长引擎是智能云和生产力流程，净利润增速超过20%应该是没什么问题的，依然稳健。基于这份财报，我对微软24年财报后的合理价值的推测暂时不做更改：预期三年复合18%增长(考虑加税)，合理估值30~35倍，对应市值3.3万亿上下。以当前2.4万亿的市值(对应320)来估算，当前买入预期年化收益率为12%，也还不错。","listText":"今早的信息流被微软精湛的财技轰炸了：22Q1收入同比增长22%，净利润同比增长48%。听到这个消息，我先是心里偷偷喊了句\"微软牛逼，股价真是又高又硬\"，但随后又觉得有些奇怪，净利润大幅高于收入，往往意味着利润率大幅改善，而微软各个业务利润率都挺高的，改善的空间按理说应该没那么大。晚上回来翻了翻微软的财报，终于找到了答案。原来是微软在22Q1期间，从海外的一家公司向美国总部转移了一份无形资产，带来了33亿美元的税收减免。这33亿在国际通用会计标准(GAAP)下会被计入企业当期的净利润，网上现在盛传的消息便是采用了GAAP统计口径下的净利润。微软在财报中也提供了非国际通用会计标准(non-GAAP)的数据，并在其中扣除了这33亿美元的净利润，给投资者作为企业真实经营状况的参考。扣除这部分一次性利润后，微软净利润增长27%，符合今年9月在【定量看微软】一文中的分析：大概率微软净利润增速会高于收入增速一大截。这样分析之后，其实微软22Q1的财报看起来没有太多惊喜，增长上中规中矩，和之前的预期(18%+5.5%)相差不多，整体还是非常稳健的。如果要找一个亮点的话，就是智能云本季度收入同比增长31%，继续担当微软的增长引擎。除此之外，微软给出下季度的收入增长指引为同比16.5%~18.5%，基于微软增长引擎是智能云和生产力流程，净利润增速超过20%应该是没什么问题的，依然稳健。基于这份财报，我对微软24年财报后的合理价值的推测暂时不做更改：预期三年复合18%增长(考虑加税)，合理估值30~35倍，对应市值3.3万亿上下。以当前2.4万亿的市值(对应320)来估算，当前买入预期年化收益率为12%，也还不错。","text":"今早的信息流被微软精湛的财技轰炸了：22Q1收入同比增长22%，净利润同比增长48%。听到这个消息，我先是心里偷偷喊了句\"微软牛逼，股价真是又高又硬\"，但随后又觉得有些奇怪，净利润大幅高于收入，往往意味着利润率大幅改善，而微软各个业务利润率都挺高的，改善的空间按理说应该没那么大。晚上回来翻了翻微软的财报，终于找到了答案。原来是微软在22Q1期间，从海外的一家公司向美国总部转移了一份无形资产，带来了33亿美元的税收减免。这33亿在国际通用会计标准(GAAP)下会被计入企业当期的净利润，网上现在盛传的消息便是采用了GAAP统计口径下的净利润。微软在财报中也提供了非国际通用会计标准(non-GAAP)的数据，并在其中扣除了这33亿美元的净利润，给投资者作为企业真实经营状况的参考。扣除这部分一次性利润后，微软净利润增长27%，符合今年9月在【定量看微软】一文中的分析：大概率微软净利润增速会高于收入增速一大截。这样分析之后，其实微软22Q1的财报看起来没有太多惊喜，增长上中规中矩，和之前的预期(18%+5.5%)相差不多，整体还是非常稳健的。如果要找一个亮点的话，就是智能云本季度收入同比增长31%，继续担当微软的增长引擎。除此之外，微软给出下季度的收入增长指引为同比16.5%~18.5%，基于微软增长引擎是智能云和生产力流程，净利润增速超过20%应该是没什么问题的，依然稳健。基于这份财报，我对微软24年财报后的合理价值的推测暂时不做更改：预期三年复合18%增长(考虑加税)，合理估值30~35倍，对应市值3.3万亿上下。以当前2.4万亿的市值(对应320)来估算，当前买入预期年化收益率为12%，也还不错。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855173944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852081696,"gmtCreate":1635222767176,"gmtModify":1635222864472,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852081696","repostId":"2178271194","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858041044,"gmtCreate":1634956342506,"gmtModify":1634956342638,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858041044","repostId":"1172683205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853430600,"gmtCreate":1634828126414,"gmtModify":1634828140310,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853430600","repostId":"1169791492","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169791492","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634823027,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169791492?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points<blockquote>股市小幅低开，道指下跌66点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169791492","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 21) Stocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points. S&P 500 down 0.2% at 4,529.38, Nasdaq ","content":"<p>(Oct 21)&nbsp;Stocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points.&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 down 0.2% at 4,529.38,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite off 0.2% at 15,097.18.</p><p><blockquote>（10月21日）股市小幅低开，道指下跌66点。标准普尔500指数下跌0.2%，报4,529.38点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数下跌0.2%，至15,097.18点。</blockquote></p><p> Among earnings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> is down on&nbsp;tech services revenue concerns, while Tesla is edging down as&nbsp;analysts dig in on margins.</p><p><blockquote>在收益中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>由于科技服务收入担忧，股价下跌，而随着分析师对利润率的深入研究，特斯拉股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> AT&amp;T is gaining,&nbsp;shrugging off a revenue miss.</p><p><blockquote>AT&amp;T正在上涨，摆脱了收入下滑的影响。</blockquote></p><p> So far, investors are rewarding sales beats in Q3 earnings rather than profit beats. Margin declines are being punished, but&nbsp;upside dividend surprises are boosting stocks, according to UBS.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，投资者奖励的是第三季度盈利的销售增长，而不是利润增长。瑞银表示，利润率下降正在受到惩罚，但股息意外上行正在提振股市。</blockquote></p><p> On the economic front, jobless claims fell again to another post-pandemic low.</p><p><blockquote>经济方面，初请失业金人数再次降至疫情后的新低。</blockquote></p><p> The Philly Fed manufacturing index fell more than expected, with prices remaining elevated. But firms are still optimistic about growth.</p><p><blockquote>费城联储制造业指数跌幅超预期，物价仍处于高位。但企业仍然对增长持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> The 10-year Treasury yield is up 2 basis points to 1.66%.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率上涨2个基点至1.66%。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are few dysfunctional worries in equities at the moment as even with the pandemic moving back onto investors’ radars, the resurgence in risk appetite showed no sign of diminishing yesterday,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid writes. \"It’s an impressive turnaround from where the narrative was just a few weeks ago, when the index had fallen by over -5% from its peak as concerns from Evergrande to a debt ceiling crunch set the agenda.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的吉姆·里德写道：“目前股市几乎没有出现功能失调的担忧，因为即使疫情重新引起投资者的关注，风险偏好的复苏昨天也没有显示出减弱的迹象。”“与几周前的说法相比，这是一个令人印象深刻的转变，当时由于恒大对债务上限紧缩的担忧成为议程，该指数较峰值下跌了-5%以上。”</blockquote></p><p> \"But the removal of both risks from the immediate horizon along with another round of positive earnings reports have swept away those anxieties,\" Reid says. \"And this has come even as investors have become increasingly sceptical about the transitory inflation narrative, as well as fresh signs that Covid-19 might be a serious issue once again this winter.\"</p><p><blockquote>里德表示：“但这两种风险的消除以及另一轮积极的盈利报告已经消除了这些焦虑。”“尽管投资者对暂时性通胀的说法越来越持怀疑态度，而且有新迹象表明Covid-19可能在今年冬天再次成为一个严重问题。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points<blockquote>股市小幅低开，道指下跌66点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points<blockquote>股市小幅低开，道指下跌66点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-21 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct 21)&nbsp;Stocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points.&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 down 0.2% at 4,529.38,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite off 0.2% at 15,097.18.</p><p><blockquote>（10月21日）股市小幅低开，道指下跌66点。标准普尔500指数下跌0.2%，报4,529.38点，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数下跌0.2%，至15,097.18点。</blockquote></p><p> Among earnings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> is down on&nbsp;tech services revenue concerns, while Tesla is edging down as&nbsp;analysts dig in on margins.</p><p><blockquote>在收益中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>由于科技服务收入担忧，股价下跌，而随着分析师对利润率的深入研究，特斯拉股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> AT&amp;T is gaining,&nbsp;shrugging off a revenue miss.</p><p><blockquote>AT&amp;T正在上涨，摆脱了收入下滑的影响。</blockquote></p><p> So far, investors are rewarding sales beats in Q3 earnings rather than profit beats. Margin declines are being punished, but&nbsp;upside dividend surprises are boosting stocks, according to UBS.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，投资者奖励的是第三季度盈利的销售增长，而不是利润增长。瑞银表示，利润率下降正在受到惩罚，但股息意外上行正在提振股市。</blockquote></p><p> On the economic front, jobless claims fell again to another post-pandemic low.</p><p><blockquote>经济方面，初请失业金人数再次降至疫情后的新低。</blockquote></p><p> The Philly Fed manufacturing index fell more than expected, with prices remaining elevated. But firms are still optimistic about growth.</p><p><blockquote>费城联储制造业指数跌幅超预期，物价仍处于高位。但企业仍然对增长持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p> The 10-year Treasury yield is up 2 basis points to 1.66%.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率上涨2个基点至1.66%。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are few dysfunctional worries in equities at the moment as even with the pandemic moving back onto investors’ radars, the resurgence in risk appetite showed no sign of diminishing yesterday,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid writes. \"It’s an impressive turnaround from where the narrative was just a few weeks ago, when the index had fallen by over -5% from its peak as concerns from Evergrande to a debt ceiling crunch set the agenda.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行的吉姆·里德写道：“目前股市几乎没有出现功能失调的担忧，因为即使疫情重新引起投资者的关注，风险偏好的复苏昨天也没有显示出减弱的迹象。”“与几周前的说法相比，这是一个令人印象深刻的转变，当时由于恒大对债务上限紧缩的担忧成为议程，该指数较峰值下跌了-5%以上。”</blockquote></p><p> \"But the removal of both risks from the immediate horizon along with another round of positive earnings reports have swept away those anxieties,\" Reid says. \"And this has come even as investors have become increasingly sceptical about the transitory inflation narrative, as well as fresh signs that Covid-19 might be a serious issue once again this winter.\"</p><p><blockquote>里德表示：“但这两种风险的消除以及另一轮积极的盈利报告已经消除了这些焦虑。”“尽管投资者对暂时性通胀的说法越来越持怀疑态度，而且有新迹象表明Covid-19可能在今年冬天再次成为一个严重问题。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169791492","content_text":"(Oct 21) Stocks open slightly lower, with Dow down 66 points. S&P 500 down 0.2% at 4,529.38, Nasdaq Composite off 0.2% at 15,097.18.\nAmong earnings, IBM is down on tech services revenue concerns, while Tesla is edging down as analysts dig in on margins.\nAT&T is gaining, shrugging off a revenue miss.\nSo far, investors are rewarding sales beats in Q3 earnings rather than profit beats. Margin declines are being punished, but upside dividend surprises are boosting stocks, according to UBS.\nOn the economic front, jobless claims fell again to another post-pandemic low.\nThe Philly Fed manufacturing index fell more than expected, with prices remaining elevated. But firms are still optimistic about growth.\nThe 10-year Treasury yield is up 2 basis points to 1.66%.\n\"There are few dysfunctional worries in equities at the moment as even with the pandemic moving back onto investors’ radars, the resurgence in risk appetite showed no sign of diminishing yesterday,\" Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid writes. \"It’s an impressive turnaround from where the narrative was just a few weeks ago, when the index had fallen by over -5% from its peak as concerns from Evergrande to a debt ceiling crunch set the agenda.\"\n\"But the removal of both risks from the immediate horizon along with another round of positive earnings reports have swept away those anxieties,\" Reid says. \"And this has come even as investors have become increasingly sceptical about the transitory inflation narrative, as well as fresh signs that Covid-19 might be a serious issue once again this winter.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853093807,"gmtCreate":1634739917543,"gmtModify":1634739917686,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853093807","repostId":"1152302737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152302737","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634736641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152302737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock market opens tentatively higher ahead of Fed Beige Book<blockquote>美联储褐皮书发布前美国股市试探性高开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152302737","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 20) Stocks traded slightly higher Wednesday as investors eyed a batch of stronger-than-expected","content":"<p>(Oct 20)&nbsp;Stocks traded slightly higher Wednesday as investors eyed a batch of stronger-than-expected earnings results with increasing optimism over the trajectory of corporate profits, even in the face of ongoing supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>（10月20日）股市周三小幅走高，投资者看到一批强于预期的盈利结果，对企业利润轨迹越来越乐观，即使面临持续的供应链限制。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 gained about 0.2% just after the opening bell. The blue-chip index closed out a fifth straight session in positive territory on Tuesday, marking its longest winning streak since August.</p><p><blockquote>标普500开盘后上涨约0.2%。该蓝筹股指数周二连续第五个交易日收高，创下自8月份以来最长的连涨纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc fell 19.3% after a report from Politico said the company faces significant hurdles in proving it can manufacture its experimental COVID-19 vaccine that meets regulators’ quality standards, resulting in production delays.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc股价下跌19.3%，此前Politico的一份报告称，该公司在证明其能够生产符合监管机构质量标准的实验性COVID-19疫苗方面面临重大障碍，导致生产延迟。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a1d075d53e550deb563849714e43b3b\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (BTC) prices rose above $64,000 and closed in on an all-time high. The cryptocurrency held onto gains from earlier this week, after the first-ever Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund, or the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BITO\">ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF</a> (BITO), rose by nearly 5% in its public debut on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（BTC）价格升至64,000美元以上，收于历史新高。在有史以来第一只比特币期货交易所交易基金（或<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BITO\">ProShares比特币策略ETF</a>（BITO）在上市时上涨近5%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>周二证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> fell in early trading despite posting&nbsp;third-quarter earnings and subscriber growth&nbsp;that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIRI\">Air</a> Lines (UAL) shares rose after the carrierdelivered a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss&nbsp;and revenue that topped expectations, albeit while remaining some 32% below 2019 levels.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>尽管公布的第三季度收益和用户增长超出了华尔街的预期，但早盘交易仍下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIRI\">空气</a>Lines(UAL)的季度亏损小于预期，收入超出预期，但仍比2019年水平低约32%，该公司股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> These better-than-feared earnings results — in addition to those from earlier reporters including the big banks last week, and Procter &amp; Gamble and Johnson &amp; Johnson earlier this week — have helped assuage traders' concerns that corporate profits would slow dramatically after a second-quarter surge. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been nervously monitoring&nbsp;inflation data showing prices jumping by the most in decades, on top of a myriad reports over persistent labor and materials shortages and delivery issues. All of these factors were expected to weigh heavily on corporate profits.</p><p><blockquote>除了上周大银行以及本周早些时候宝洁和强生等早期记者发布的财报之外，这些好于预期的财报结果有助于缓解交易员对企业利润在第二季度飙升后将大幅放缓的担忧。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我一直在紧张地监测通胀数据，这些数据显示价格出现了几十年来的最大涨幅，此外还有大量有关劳动力和材料持续短缺以及交付问题的报道。所有这些因素预计都将严重影响企业利润。</blockquote></p><p> \"We think investors have been too pessimistic on earnings expectations,\" Jon Adams, BMO Capital Markets senior investment strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live.\"It does look like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> was likely the peak, but Q3 is going to be strong, probably above 30% year-over-year [growth].\"</p><p><blockquote>BMO资本市场高级投资策略师Jon Adams对雅虎财经直播表示：“我们认为投资者对盈利预期过于悲观。看起来确实像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>可能是峰值，但第三季度将会强劲，同比[增长]可能会超过30%。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We think the strength will continue into the fourth quarter, we're not overly concerned about profit margins,\" Adams added. \"We are closely monitoring supply chain issues and increasing wage pressures but still think that profit margins are at healthy levels, and that there's more upside to come.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为这种强势将持续到第四季度，我们并不过度担心利润率，”亚当斯补充道。“我们正在密切关注供应链问题和不断增加的工资压力，但仍然认为利润率处于健康水平，并且还有更多上涨空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Other pundits also suggested price pressures may begin to ease over the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>其他专家还表示，未来几个季度价格压力可能会开始缓解。</blockquote></p><p> \"I do think that as these supply chain issues subside throughout the course of 2022, we're also going to start to see inflation moderate from these elevated levels,\" Meera Pandit, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management,&nbsp;told Yahoo Finance Live. \"It won't be completely transitory. Things like housing, things like food – we've seen wages come a little bit higher. So we're going to see higher inflation than we did during the last expansion. But it's going to come down and moderate from these levels.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司全球市场策略师米拉·潘迪特(Meera Pandit)对雅虎财经直播表示：“我确实认为，随着这些供应链问题在2022年得到缓解，我们也将开始看到通胀从较高水平放缓。”“这不会完全是暂时的。像住房、像食品这样的东西——我们已经看到工资上涨了一点。因此，我们将看到比上次扩张期间更高的通胀。但它会从这些水平下降和缓和。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock market opens tentatively higher ahead of Fed Beige Book<blockquote>美联储褐皮书发布前美国股市试探性高开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock market opens tentatively higher ahead of Fed Beige Book<blockquote>美联储褐皮书发布前美国股市试探性高开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-20 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct 20)&nbsp;Stocks traded slightly higher Wednesday as investors eyed a batch of stronger-than-expected earnings results with increasing optimism over the trajectory of corporate profits, even in the face of ongoing supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>（10月20日）股市周三小幅走高，投资者看到一批强于预期的盈利结果，对企业利润轨迹越来越乐观，即使面临持续的供应链限制。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 gained about 0.2% just after the opening bell. The blue-chip index closed out a fifth straight session in positive territory on Tuesday, marking its longest winning streak since August.</p><p><blockquote>标普500开盘后上涨约0.2%。该蓝筹股指数周二连续第五个交易日收高，创下自8月份以来最长的连涨纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc fell 19.3% after a report from Politico said the company faces significant hurdles in proving it can manufacture its experimental COVID-19 vaccine that meets regulators’ quality standards, resulting in production delays.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc股价下跌19.3%，此前Politico的一份报告称，该公司在证明其能够生产符合监管机构质量标准的实验性COVID-19疫苗方面面临重大障碍，导致生产延迟。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a1d075d53e550deb563849714e43b3b\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"563\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin (BTC) prices rose above $64,000 and closed in on an all-time high. The cryptocurrency held onto gains from earlier this week, after the first-ever Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund, or the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BITO\">ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF</a> (BITO), rose by nearly 5% in its public debut on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>比特币（BTC）价格升至64,000美元以上，收于历史新高。在有史以来第一只比特币期货交易所交易基金（或<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BITO\">ProShares比特币策略ETF</a>（BITO）在上市时上涨近5%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>周二证券交易所。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> fell in early trading despite posting&nbsp;third-quarter earnings and subscriber growth&nbsp;that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIRI\">Air</a> Lines (UAL) shares rose after the carrierdelivered a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss&nbsp;and revenue that topped expectations, albeit while remaining some 32% below 2019 levels.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>尽管公布的第三季度收益和用户增长超出了华尔街的预期，但早盘交易仍下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIRI\">空气</a>Lines(UAL)的季度亏损小于预期，收入超出预期，但仍比2019年水平低约32%，该公司股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> These better-than-feared earnings results — in addition to those from earlier reporters including the big banks last week, and Procter &amp; Gamble and Johnson &amp; Johnson earlier this week — have helped assuage traders' concerns that corporate profits would slow dramatically after a second-quarter surge. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been nervously monitoring&nbsp;inflation data showing prices jumping by the most in decades, on top of a myriad reports over persistent labor and materials shortages and delivery issues. All of these factors were expected to weigh heavily on corporate profits.</p><p><blockquote>除了上周大银行以及本周早些时候宝洁和强生等早期记者发布的财报之外，这些好于预期的财报结果有助于缓解交易员对企业利润在第二季度飙升后将大幅放缓的担忧。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我一直在紧张地监测通胀数据，这些数据显示价格出现了几十年来的最大涨幅，此外还有大量有关劳动力和材料持续短缺以及交付问题的报道。所有这些因素预计都将严重影响企业利润。</blockquote></p><p> \"We think investors have been too pessimistic on earnings expectations,\" Jon Adams, BMO Capital Markets senior investment strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live.\"It does look like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> was likely the peak, but Q3 is going to be strong, probably above 30% year-over-year [growth].\"</p><p><blockquote>BMO资本市场高级投资策略师Jon Adams对雅虎财经直播表示：“我们认为投资者对盈利预期过于悲观。看起来确实像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>可能是峰值，但第三季度将会强劲，同比[增长]可能会超过30%。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We think the strength will continue into the fourth quarter, we're not overly concerned about profit margins,\" Adams added. \"We are closely monitoring supply chain issues and increasing wage pressures but still think that profit margins are at healthy levels, and that there's more upside to come.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为这种强势将持续到第四季度，我们并不过度担心利润率，”亚当斯补充道。“我们正在密切关注供应链问题和不断增加的工资压力，但仍然认为利润率处于健康水平，并且还有更多上涨空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Other pundits also suggested price pressures may begin to ease over the coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>其他专家还表示，未来几个季度价格压力可能会开始缓解。</blockquote></p><p> \"I do think that as these supply chain issues subside throughout the course of 2022, we're also going to start to see inflation moderate from these elevated levels,\" Meera Pandit, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management,&nbsp;told Yahoo Finance Live. \"It won't be completely transitory. Things like housing, things like food – we've seen wages come a little bit higher. So we're going to see higher inflation than we did during the last expansion. But it's going to come down and moderate from these levels.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司全球市场策略师米拉·潘迪特(Meera Pandit)对雅虎财经直播表示：“我确实认为，随着这些供应链问题在2022年得到缓解，我们也将开始看到通胀从较高水平放缓。”“这不会完全是暂时的。像住房、像食品这样的东西——我们已经看到工资上涨了一点。因此，我们将看到比上次扩张期间更高的通胀。但它会从这些水平下降和缓和。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152302737","content_text":"(Oct 20) Stocks traded slightly higher Wednesday as investors eyed a batch of stronger-than-expected earnings results with increasing optimism over the trajectory of corporate profits, even in the face of ongoing supply chain constraints.\nThe S&P 500 gained about 0.2% just after the opening bell. The blue-chip index closed out a fifth straight session in positive territory on Tuesday, marking its longest winning streak since August.\nShares of Novavax Inc fell 19.3% after a report from Politico said the company faces significant hurdles in proving it can manufacture its experimental COVID-19 vaccine that meets regulators’ quality standards, resulting in production delays.\n\nBitcoin (BTC) prices rose above $64,000 and closed in on an all-time high. The cryptocurrency held onto gains from earlier this week, after the first-ever Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund, or the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), rose by nearly 5% in its public debut on the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday.\nShares of Netflix fell in early trading despite posting third-quarter earnings and subscriber growth that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. United Air Lines (UAL) shares rose after the carrierdelivered a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and revenue that topped expectations, albeit while remaining some 32% below 2019 levels.\nThese better-than-feared earnings results — in addition to those from earlier reporters including the big banks last week, and Procter & Gamble and Johnson & Johnson earlier this week — have helped assuage traders' concerns that corporate profits would slow dramatically after a second-quarter surge. Investors have been nervously monitoring inflation data showing prices jumping by the most in decades, on top of a myriad reports over persistent labor and materials shortages and delivery issues. All of these factors were expected to weigh heavily on corporate profits.\n\"We think investors have been too pessimistic on earnings expectations,\" Jon Adams, BMO Capital Markets senior investment strategist,told Yahoo Finance Live.\"It does look like Q2 was likely the peak, but Q3 is going to be strong, probably above 30% year-over-year [growth].\"\n\"We think the strength will continue into the fourth quarter, we're not overly concerned about profit margins,\" Adams added. \"We are closely monitoring supply chain issues and increasing wage pressures but still think that profit margins are at healthy levels, and that there's more upside to come.\"\nOther pundits also suggested price pressures may begin to ease over the coming quarters.\n\"I do think that as these supply chain issues subside throughout the course of 2022, we're also going to start to see inflation moderate from these elevated levels,\" Meera Pandit, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, told Yahoo Finance Live. \"It won't be completely transitory. Things like housing, things like food – we've seen wages come a little bit higher. So we're going to see higher inflation than we did during the last expansion. But it's going to come down and moderate from these levels.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824203836,"gmtCreate":1634311789554,"gmtModify":1634311789704,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824203836","repostId":"2175117376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826761469,"gmtCreate":1634055215037,"gmtModify":1634055215197,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826761469","repostId":"1163435173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826943024,"gmtCreate":1633968157636,"gmtModify":1633968157636,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826943024","repostId":"2174120900","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821751779,"gmtCreate":1633795580309,"gmtModify":1633795580309,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821751779","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823622375,"gmtCreate":1633619423372,"gmtModify":1633619423481,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823622375","repostId":"2173944807","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820113738,"gmtCreate":1633358222467,"gmtModify":1633358243800,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820113738","repostId":"1124678234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124678234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633357992,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124678234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 22:33","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"OPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124678234","media":"WSJ","summary":"OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured st","content":"<p>OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured steps, delegates said Monday, deciding against opening the taps more widely and driving crude prices to their highest levels since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>代表们周一表示，欧佩克和以俄罗斯为首的产油国集团同意继续有节制地增产，决定不更广泛地打开水龙头，将原油价格推至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> The decision sent oil prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 3% to $78.13. Brent, the international gauge, rose more than 3% to $81.77 a barrel. Rises in oil prices recently had some market watchers expecting OPEC and its Russia-led allies to lift production more significantly.</p><p><blockquote>这一决定导致油价大幅上涨。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油上涨3%，至78.13美元。国际指标布伦特原油上涨超过3%，至每桶81.77美元。最近油价上涨让一些市场观察人士预计欧佩克及其以俄罗斯为首的盟友将更大幅度地提高产量。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia said the group, which calls itself OPEC+, would lift its collective output by 400,000 barrels a day in monthly installments, part of a previously agreed plan to return output to pre-Covid-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>相反，石油输出国组织和俄国表示，该组织（评级为OPEC+）将每月分期付款将其集体产量提高40万桶/日，这是此前商定的将产量恢复到Covid-19之前水平的计划的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Early last year, the two groups abandoned a price war that had weakened prices and cut back sharply on their combined output, as the coronavirus shut down economies and drove down demand for crude. As economies started to open back up, OPEC+ began returning that oil to market. It more recently agreed to add about 400,000 a barrel a day of crude each month, seeking to return production to pre-Covid 19 levels by next year.</p><p><blockquote>去年年初，由于冠状病毒导致经济关闭并压低了原油需求，这两个集团放弃了削弱价格的价格战，并大幅削减了总产量。随着经济开始重新开放，欧佩克+开始将石油重返市场。最近，它同意每月增加约40万桶/日的原油，寻求在明年之前将产量恢复到Covid 19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>OPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-04 22:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured steps, delegates said Monday, deciding against opening the taps more widely and driving crude prices to their highest levels since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>代表们周一表示，欧佩克和以俄罗斯为首的产油国集团同意继续有节制地增产，决定不更广泛地打开水龙头，将原油价格推至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> The decision sent oil prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 3% to $78.13. Brent, the international gauge, rose more than 3% to $81.77 a barrel. Rises in oil prices recently had some market watchers expecting OPEC and its Russia-led allies to lift production more significantly.</p><p><blockquote>这一决定导致油价大幅上涨。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油上涨3%，至78.13美元。国际指标布伦特原油上涨超过3%，至每桶81.77美元。最近油价上涨让一些市场观察人士预计欧佩克及其以俄罗斯为首的盟友将更大幅度地提高产量。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia said the group, which calls itself OPEC+, would lift its collective output by 400,000 barrels a day in monthly installments, part of a previously agreed plan to return output to pre-Covid-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>相反，石油输出国组织和俄国表示，该组织（评级为OPEC+）将每月分期付款将其集体产量提高40万桶/日，这是此前商定的将产量恢复到Covid-19之前水平的计划的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Early last year, the two groups abandoned a price war that had weakened prices and cut back sharply on their combined output, as the coronavirus shut down economies and drove down demand for crude. As economies started to open back up, OPEC+ began returning that oil to market. It more recently agreed to add about 400,000 a barrel a day of crude each month, seeking to return production to pre-Covid 19 levels by next year.</p><p><blockquote>去年年初，由于冠状病毒导致经济关闭并压低了原油需求，这两个集团放弃了削弱价格的价格战，并大幅削减了总产量。随着经济开始重新开放，欧佩克+开始将石油重返市场。最近，它同意每月增加约40万桶/日的原油，寻求在明年之前将产量恢复到Covid 19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/opec-russias-gradual-oil-hike-pushes-prices-to-seven-year-high-11633356803?siteid=yhoof2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/opec-russias-gradual-oil-hike-pushes-prices-to-seven-year-high-11633356803?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124678234","content_text":"OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured steps, delegates said Monday, deciding against opening the taps more widely and driving crude prices to their highest levels since 2014.\nThe decision sent oil prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 3% to $78.13. Brent, the international gauge, rose more than 3% to $81.77 a barrel. Rises in oil prices recently had some market watchers expecting OPEC and its Russia-led allies to lift production more significantly.\nInstead, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia said the group, which calls itself OPEC+, would lift its collective output by 400,000 barrels a day in monthly installments, part of a previously agreed plan to return output to pre-Covid-19 levels.\nEarly last year, the two groups abandoned a price war that had weakened prices and cut back sharply on their combined output, as the coronavirus shut down economies and drove down demand for crude. As economies started to open back up, OPEC+ began returning that oil to market. It more recently agreed to add about 400,000 a barrel a day of crude each month, seeking to return production to pre-Covid 19 levels by next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867836373,"gmtCreate":1633235089019,"gmtModify":1633235089120,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867836373","repostId":"2172964606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864097983,"gmtCreate":1633041034872,"gmtModify":1633041035022,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864097983","repostId":"1197813728","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865784465,"gmtCreate":1633019981770,"gmtModify":1633019981883,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865784465","repostId":"2171895899","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862827683,"gmtCreate":1632871274407,"gmtModify":1632871274407,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862827683","repostId":"1106892312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106892312","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632870830,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106892312?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These high-flying stocks of 2021 dropped the most on Tuesday<blockquote>这些2021年飞涨的股票周二跌幅最大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106892312","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Stocks hit especially hard include Moderna, Nvidia and Google holding company Alphabet.\n\nThe Federal","content":"<p>  <b>Stocks hit especially hard include Moderna, Nvidia and Google holding company Alphabet.</b>  The Federal Reserve’s signaled policy change is having a predictable effect — pushing stock prices lower as bond yields become more attractive.</p><p><blockquote><b>受打击尤其严重的股票包括Moderna、英伟达和谷歌控股公司Alphabet。</b>美联储发出的政策变化信号正在产生可预见的影响——随着债券收益率变得更具吸引力，推动股价走低。</blockquote></p><p> This reverses some very strong action for U.S. stocks — at least for a day. Below is a list of 10 stocks that had increased at least 50% for 2021 through Sept. 27, but were pulled back the most on Sept. 28.</p><p><blockquote>这扭转了美国股市的一些非常强劲的走势——至少在一天内是这样。以下列出了截至9月27日2021年涨幅至少50%但在9月28日回调幅度最大的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIAdeclined 1.6%, while the S&amp;P 500 IndexSPXfell 2%. The Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMPfared worst, tumbling 2.8%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌1.6%，标普500指数SPX下跌2%。纳斯达克综合指数表现最差，下跌2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notesBX:TMUBMUSD10Yincreased by 5 basis points to 1.55%. That was up from 1.33% only a week earlier.</p><p><blockquote>10年期美国国债收益率BX：TMUBMUSD10Y上涨5个基点至1.55%。这一比例仅高于一周前的1.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Combined, there are 523 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq-100NDXindexes. Among these stocks, 50 had risen at least 50% so far in 2021 through Sept. 27, excluding dividends, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 10 that declined the most on Sept. 28 — actually 11 stocks, as two common-share classes of Alphabet Inc.GOOGLGOOGare included:</p><p><blockquote>标普500和纳斯达克-100NDXindex总共有523只股票。FactSet提供的数据显示，截至9月27日，其中50只股票在2021年迄今已上涨至少50%（不包括股息）。以下是9月28日跌幅最大的10只股票——实际上是11只股票，其中包括Alphabet公司的两个普通股类别：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e62aed3304cd811cf41ce390e38c41c\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"713\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83133c4cfdb3554d40f750a60c91892c\" tg-width=\"1101\" tg-height=\"291\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Click the tickers for more about each company. Clickhere&nbsp;for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the quote page.</p><p><blockquote>单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。点击此处获取孙铁麟·基尔戈的详细指南，了解报价页面上免费提供的大量信息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These high-flying stocks of 2021 dropped the most on Tuesday<blockquote>这些2021年飞涨的股票周二跌幅最大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese high-flying stocks of 2021 dropped the most on Tuesday<blockquote>这些2021年飞涨的股票周二跌幅最大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stocks hit especially hard include Moderna, Nvidia and Google holding company Alphabet.</b>  The Federal Reserve’s signaled policy change is having a predictable effect — pushing stock prices lower as bond yields become more attractive.</p><p><blockquote><b>受打击尤其严重的股票包括Moderna、英伟达和谷歌控股公司Alphabet。</b>美联储发出的政策变化信号正在产生可预见的影响——随着债券收益率变得更具吸引力，推动股价走低。</blockquote></p><p> This reverses some very strong action for U.S. stocks — at least for a day. Below is a list of 10 stocks that had increased at least 50% for 2021 through Sept. 27, but were pulled back the most on Sept. 28.</p><p><blockquote>这扭转了美国股市的一些非常强劲的走势——至少在一天内是这样。以下列出了截至9月27日2021年涨幅至少50%但在9月28日回调幅度最大的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIAdeclined 1.6%, while the S&amp;P 500 IndexSPXfell 2%. The Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMPfared worst, tumbling 2.8%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌1.6%，标普500指数SPX下跌2%。纳斯达克综合指数表现最差，下跌2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notesBX:TMUBMUSD10Yincreased by 5 basis points to 1.55%. That was up from 1.33% only a week earlier.</p><p><blockquote>10年期美国国债收益率BX：TMUBMUSD10Y上涨5个基点至1.55%。这一比例仅高于一周前的1.33%。</blockquote></p><p> Combined, there are 523 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq-100NDXindexes. Among these stocks, 50 had risen at least 50% so far in 2021 through Sept. 27, excluding dividends, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 10 that declined the most on Sept. 28 — actually 11 stocks, as two common-share classes of Alphabet Inc.GOOGLGOOGare included:</p><p><blockquote>标普500和纳斯达克-100NDXindex总共有523只股票。FactSet提供的数据显示，截至9月27日，其中50只股票在2021年迄今已上涨至少50%（不包括股息）。以下是9月28日跌幅最大的10只股票——实际上是11只股票，其中包括Alphabet公司的两个普通股类别：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e62aed3304cd811cf41ce390e38c41c\" tg-width=\"1106\" tg-height=\"713\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83133c4cfdb3554d40f750a60c91892c\" tg-width=\"1101\" tg-height=\"291\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Click the tickers for more about each company. Clickhere&nbsp;for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the quote page.</p><p><blockquote>单击股票代码了解有关每家公司的更多信息。点击此处获取孙铁麟·基尔戈的详细指南，了解报价页面上免费提供的大量信息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-high-flying-stocks-of-2021-have-dropped-the-most-today-11632846406?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-high-flying-stocks-of-2021-have-dropped-the-most-today-11632846406?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106892312","content_text":"Stocks hit especially hard include Moderna, Nvidia and Google holding company Alphabet.\n\nThe Federal Reserve’s signaled policy change is having a predictable effect — pushing stock prices lower as bond yields become more attractive.\nThis reverses some very strong action for U.S. stocks — at least for a day. Below is a list of 10 stocks that had increased at least 50% for 2021 through Sept. 27, but were pulled back the most on Sept. 28.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIAdeclined 1.6%, while the S&P 500 IndexSPXfell 2%. The Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMPfared worst, tumbling 2.8%.\nThe yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notesBX:TMUBMUSD10Yincreased by 5 basis points to 1.55%. That was up from 1.33% only a week earlier.\nCombined, there are 523 stocks in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100NDXindexes. Among these stocks, 50 had risen at least 50% so far in 2021 through Sept. 27, excluding dividends, according to data provided by FactSet. Here are the 10 that declined the most on Sept. 28 — actually 11 stocks, as two common-share classes of Alphabet Inc.GOOGLGOOGare included:\nClick the tickers for more about each company. Clickhere for Tomi Kilgore’s detailed guide to the wealth of information available for free on the quote page.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866170816,"gmtCreate":1632750536135,"gmtModify":1632798116803,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866170816","repostId":"1183248288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861428481,"gmtCreate":1632532857143,"gmtModify":1632710734262,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861428481","repostId":"2170619785","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861600975,"gmtCreate":1632489078497,"gmtModify":1632718284980,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861600975","repostId":"2169690557","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869727151,"gmtCreate":1632323479073,"gmtModify":1632801211668,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869727151","repostId":"1146187405","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":358,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887526148,"gmtCreate":1632068750384,"gmtModify":1632803038357,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887526148","repostId":"2168089015","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":820113738,"gmtCreate":1633358222467,"gmtModify":1633358243800,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820113738","repostId":"1124678234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124678234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633357992,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124678234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 22:33","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"OPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124678234","media":"WSJ","summary":"OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured st","content":"<p>OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured steps, delegates said Monday, deciding against opening the taps more widely and driving crude prices to their highest levels since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>代表们周一表示，欧佩克和以俄罗斯为首的产油国集团同意继续有节制地增产，决定不更广泛地打开水龙头，将原油价格推至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> The decision sent oil prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 3% to $78.13. Brent, the international gauge, rose more than 3% to $81.77 a barrel. Rises in oil prices recently had some market watchers expecting OPEC and its Russia-led allies to lift production more significantly.</p><p><blockquote>这一决定导致油价大幅上涨。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油上涨3%，至78.13美元。国际指标布伦特原油上涨超过3%，至每桶81.77美元。最近油价上涨让一些市场观察人士预计欧佩克及其以俄罗斯为首的盟友将更大幅度地提高产量。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia said the group, which calls itself OPEC+, would lift its collective output by 400,000 barrels a day in monthly installments, part of a previously agreed plan to return output to pre-Covid-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>相反，石油输出国组织和俄国表示，该组织（评级为OPEC+）将每月分期付款将其集体产量提高40万桶/日，这是此前商定的将产量恢复到Covid-19之前水平的计划的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Early last year, the two groups abandoned a price war that had weakened prices and cut back sharply on their combined output, as the coronavirus shut down economies and drove down demand for crude. As economies started to open back up, OPEC+ began returning that oil to market. It more recently agreed to add about 400,000 a barrel a day of crude each month, seeking to return production to pre-Covid 19 levels by next year.</p><p><blockquote>去年年初，由于冠状病毒导致经济关闭并压低了原油需求，这两个集团放弃了削弱价格的价格战，并大幅削减了总产量。随着经济开始重新开放，欧佩克+开始将石油重返市场。最近，它同意每月增加约40万桶/日的原油，寻求在明年之前将产量恢复到Covid 19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>OPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOPEC, Russia Stick to Oil-Output Plan, Pushing Prices to Seven-Year High<blockquote>欧佩克和俄罗斯坚持石油产量计划，推动油价升至七年高点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-04 22:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured steps, delegates said Monday, deciding against opening the taps more widely and driving crude prices to their highest levels since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>代表们周一表示，欧佩克和以俄罗斯为首的产油国集团同意继续有节制地增产，决定不更广泛地打开水龙头，将原油价格推至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> The decision sent oil prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 3% to $78.13. Brent, the international gauge, rose more than 3% to $81.77 a barrel. Rises in oil prices recently had some market watchers expecting OPEC and its Russia-led allies to lift production more significantly.</p><p><blockquote>这一决定导致油价大幅上涨。美国基准西德克萨斯中质原油上涨3%，至78.13美元。国际指标布伦特原油上涨超过3%，至每桶81.77美元。最近油价上涨让一些市场观察人士预计欧佩克及其以俄罗斯为首的盟友将更大幅度地提高产量。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia said the group, which calls itself OPEC+, would lift its collective output by 400,000 barrels a day in monthly installments, part of a previously agreed plan to return output to pre-Covid-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>相反，石油输出国组织和俄国表示，该组织（评级为OPEC+）将每月分期付款将其集体产量提高40万桶/日，这是此前商定的将产量恢复到Covid-19之前水平的计划的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Early last year, the two groups abandoned a price war that had weakened prices and cut back sharply on their combined output, as the coronavirus shut down economies and drove down demand for crude. As economies started to open back up, OPEC+ began returning that oil to market. It more recently agreed to add about 400,000 a barrel a day of crude each month, seeking to return production to pre-Covid 19 levels by next year.</p><p><blockquote>去年年初，由于冠状病毒导致经济关闭并压低了原油需求，这两个集团放弃了削弱价格的价格战，并大幅削减了总产量。随着经济开始重新开放，欧佩克+开始将石油重返市场。最近，它同意每月增加约40万桶/日的原油，寻求在明年之前将产量恢复到Covid 19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/opec-russias-gradual-oil-hike-pushes-prices-to-seven-year-high-11633356803?siteid=yhoof2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/opec-russias-gradual-oil-hike-pushes-prices-to-seven-year-high-11633356803?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124678234","content_text":"OPEC and a Russia-led group of oil producers agreed to continue increasing production in measured steps, delegates said Monday, deciding against opening the taps more widely and driving crude prices to their highest levels since 2014.\nThe decision sent oil prices sharply higher. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, rose 3% to $78.13. Brent, the international gauge, rose more than 3% to $81.77 a barrel. Rises in oil prices recently had some market watchers expecting OPEC and its Russia-led allies to lift production more significantly.\nInstead, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Russia said the group, which calls itself OPEC+, would lift its collective output by 400,000 barrels a day in monthly installments, part of a previously agreed plan to return output to pre-Covid-19 levels.\nEarly last year, the two groups abandoned a price war that had weakened prices and cut back sharply on their combined output, as the coronavirus shut down economies and drove down demand for crude. As economies started to open back up, OPEC+ began returning that oil to market. It more recently agreed to add about 400,000 a barrel a day of crude each month, seeking to return production to pre-Covid 19 levels by next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":897489272,"gmtCreate":1628957527396,"gmtModify":1631889789094,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897489272","repostId":"1149823415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149823415","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628909753,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149823415?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149823415","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，通过这些增强功能，该公司还“目标是将Unity航班之间的周转飞行时间减少4至5周，而VSS Unity最多7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆来建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河的股票会在哪里？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li>  <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li>  <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li>  <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望，维珍银河财报后下跌超过30%。</li><li>然而，我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁，以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后，我们为正在考虑增加维珍银河投资的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在5月份，当我们发表关于维珍银河(SPCE)的上一篇文章（链接到本文所附文章）时，我们明确强调，我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观，因为我们认为这些预测夸大了市场根据我们咨询多个来源的研究，未来10年亚轨道太空旅游的机会在很大程度上，我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from&nbsp;late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后，华尔街日报下调了近期预测，因为该公司最近表示，他们预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始提供商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“延迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们将为目前考虑增加该股投资的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>对维珍银河平均共识估计的修正</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates &amp; Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5月份的普遍收入估计和8月份的普遍收入估计。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模（5月至8月估计数之间）。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地收集到，近期共识预期较5月份影响21年至25年的预测有所下调。然而，我们认为投资者需要注意的是，华尔街从CY26大幅上调了其预期，以反映SPCE在最近的盈利看涨期权中强调的强劲需求，我们认为这表明了该公司对强劲收入跑道的信心长期，我们将在后续章节中详细讨论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>私人商业全收入服务预计从2022年第三季度开始</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自8月5日发布财报以来，SPCE的价值已下跌约33%，我们认为这主要是由于VSS Unity和VSS Unity拟议的关键增强功能导致其商业服务推出“延迟”而带来的近期阻力。母舰VMS Eve将显着增加飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于Unity 23与意大利空军的创收飞行完成后将进行的增强，该公司预计仅从2022年第三季度末开始其私人商业全面收入服务，我们认为这可能会让投资者大吃一惊，因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于2022年开始，但他们预计不会晚于第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性，而忽视了预计将显着改善VMS Eve周转时间的增强功能的重要性，以至于维珍银河强调：</blockquote></p><p>   These enhancements  <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.  In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强功能<i>可能允许Eve在主要维护检查之间飞行100次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间的10个航班间隔有所增加。在早期商业服务期间，当我们正在制造更多母舰时，这将是一个非常重要的成功因素。此外，该公司还强调，通过这些增强功能，该公司还“目标是将Unity航班之间的周转飞行时间减少4至5周，而VSS Unity最多7至8周。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一消息感到失望，因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级，摩根士丹利还强调：“在这个繁重的维护期间，维珍银河在2022年夏季之前都无法进行任何太空飞行。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有航班。我们当然不担心，因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性：</blockquote></p><p>   These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and  <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\"  If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve相当稳健的修改。但是，我们为Eve的增强期增加范围和时间的原因是，在此增强期之后，我们将从Eve获得的飞行率是我们计划建立的。在主要检查和我们现在所做的之间，这几乎是10倍。这将使我们能够更频繁地飞行Eve，并且<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们将从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.“如果投资者能够清楚地收集该公司在上述句子中使用的语言，那么该公司显然这样做是因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲，我们认为这可能超出了该公司最初的计划。因此，虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关妙招，但它无疑让该公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应，并且该公司明确表示，他们看到了如此强劲的需求，因此需要开放正如首席执行官迈克尔·科尔格拉齐尔(Michael Colglazier)所阐明的那样，尽快列出优先事项清单：</blockquote></p><p>   Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.  We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们在网站上看到的巨大需求，我很高兴地宣布，我们将很快为希望成为下一个的未来太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的太空人转换过程结束后，我们将首先向这个列表提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供...我们对整个潜在市场充满信心，对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应就表明了这一点。所以我们不会全部吸收，但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此，该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对供应明显严重受限的情况下的需求。他们在短期内会做的下一件最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改，以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝索斯蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多迫不及待想上VSS Unity的客户吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket&nbsp;holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的，想到该公司期待这么多迫不及待地加入的客户，真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司Hemisphere Ventures的管理合伙人丽莎·里奇(Lisa Rich)明确表示：“……这些年来，我遇到了很多维珍（银河）的持票人。顺便说一句，他们每个人都告诉我，由于他们多年来分享的经历，他们花在等待上的25万美元已经收回了10倍。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解，多年来，由600名致力于维珍银河飞行服务的未来宇航员组成的社区形成了一个紧密团结的团体，正如该公司所强调的那样：“我认为在现有的未来宇航员之外可能不为人所知的一件事是维珍银河的秘密武器之一，那就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人，他们将这600人聚集成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调，这些客户真正重视实现飞行体验的旅程，因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生过渡之旅”。他们看到了维珍银河所做的事情的巨大价值，以至于该公司强调，他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要考虑的[优先事项]并且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，该公司还强调，他们已经向通过该公司“一小步”计划注册的1000多名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售，每个座位的价格从45万美元起，远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为，这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”，因为他们拥有该公司煞费苦心建立的强大而紧密的宇航员社区的经验：“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时，我认为他们会回来，我认为人们分享这些经验是非常自然的<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说这是多么美妙，还会给人类航天的概念带来常态。因此，当我们将这群人引入时，他们的终身价值是全面的需求，并在他们走出去分享他们所做的事情时继续增加总的潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强劲的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到，如果该公司仅依靠VSS Unity或VSS Imagine机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场，这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计，如果不对VMS Eve进行修改，该公司最初的600名未来宇航员社区的工作至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏（修改前）是最多10个收入航班，总共60名乘客。到2023年，该公司每年最多只能飞行24至36次航班，这将允许他们最多飞行144至216名宇航员。因此，到2025年，维珍银河可能至少还需要2年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单，我们认为到那时，至少其中一些人会去蓝色起源。因此，最初的节奏真的不起作用，特别是该公司准备很快为Unity 22公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表，他们需要快速完成1600名未来宇航员的工作，这在短期内将通过Eve的修改来解决，因为它允许SPCE在主要检查之间多飞行10倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此，他们宣布将制造下一代Delta级车辆，“能够每隔一周启动一次”。随着时间的推移，此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the&nbsp;$500M equity&nbsp;offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集5亿美元股票发行的部分原因是，他们已准备好开始开发和制造Delta级车辆，这将非常有助于满足其长期产能和节奏，VSS Unity和VSS想象永远无法充分满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是，该公司强调，通过提高达美级的产量和产能，他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆，正如维珍银河强调的那样：“...这就是为什么我们如此专注于用下一代母舰获得达美级。这是我们真正获得效率的地方。这是我们获得规模的地方。这是你真正看到流通的地方，因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础，便于我们沟通，也便于我们在未来为效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将成为这里的游戏名称，维珍银河清楚地认识到，对于该公司来说，以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营以与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture&nbsp;and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游，但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前也强调的那样：“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了亚轨道太空旅游，摩根士丹利强调，“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务，假设技术快速发展，到2040年，太空市场的规模将扩大两倍，年销售额将超过1万亿美元。实现例行登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游。”</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景，但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域，这将是决定维珍银河领导地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一件事是肯定的。两家公司预计，随着生产规模的扩大和技术的改进，亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此，维珍银河在这个市场中的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆来建立这些优势，而蓝色起源则忙于其整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游变得更加容易，而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此，我们认为该公司的达美级计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要，并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast &amp; Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast &amp; CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd EBITDA趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全面收入服务的推出推迟到22年第三季度，但华尔街预计该公司将从2024财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要，因为它展示了公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力，目前只有BORGN和SPCE是明显的领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，到2030年底，估值看起来仍然昂贵，为18.5倍，比航空航天和国防同行13.61倍的平均水平高出36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street的平均目标价。来源：TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观，平均目标价为35.55美元，仅比上一收盘价高出13.5%，因为分析师关注SPCE将其收入服务转移到2022年第三季度的近期“阻力”，我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋，但我们对维珍银河看似昂贵的估值并不那么确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE股价走势及趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于SPCE的估值昂贵，我们认为SPCE不适合长期投资者，但我们认为头寸交易者仍可能发现该股潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE在50周移动平均线动态支撑位上受到强有力的支撑，该支撑位自2020年以来一直保持强劲，包括最近5月份出现的下行错误突破（熊市陷阱）。因此，我们希望，一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决，热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我们为长期投资者给予SPCE中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149823415","content_text":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.\nHowever, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.\nWe would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.\nLastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.\n\nNastco/iStock via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nBack in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.\nSince then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.\nThis article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.\nLastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.\nRevisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates\nMay's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nScale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nInvestors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.\nPrivate Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22\nSPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.\nAs a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.\nHowever, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:\n\n These enhancements\n could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.\n\nIn addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"\nThe Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"\nSure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:\n\n These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and\n that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today.\"\n\nIf investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:\n\n Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.\n\nWe are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).\nAre There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?\nYes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"\nInvestors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"\nThe company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"\nImportantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.\nVirgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience.And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"\nStrong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage\nAstute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.\nBased on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.\nThe initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.\nHowever, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.\nPart of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.\nCrucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"\nCompeting Against Blue Origin\nWe think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.\nWhile we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”\nWe think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"\nTherefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.\nOne thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.\nVirgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.\nFree Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations\nEBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nDespite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.\nHowever, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.\nStreet's mean price target. Source: TIKR\nThe Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.\nWhile we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.\nSPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWhile we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.\nSPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.\nIn summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":826761469,"gmtCreate":1634055215037,"gmtModify":1634055215197,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826761469","repostId":"1163435173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864097983,"gmtCreate":1633041034872,"gmtModify":1633041035022,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864097983","repostId":"1197813728","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889239684,"gmtCreate":1631149817848,"gmtModify":1631889789086,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889239684","repostId":"2166392072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837267631,"gmtCreate":1629894869423,"gmtModify":1631889789088,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837267631","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":826943024,"gmtCreate":1633968157636,"gmtModify":1633968157636,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826943024","repostId":"2174120900","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821751779,"gmtCreate":1633795580309,"gmtModify":1633795580309,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821751779","repostId":"1167388174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832926006,"gmtCreate":1629562815805,"gmtModify":1631889789093,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like&nbsp;","listText":"Please like&nbsp;","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832926006","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824203836,"gmtCreate":1634311789554,"gmtModify":1634311789704,"author":{"id":"3582976108435272","authorId":"3582976108435272","name":"Eleewin","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582976108435272","authorIdStr":"3582976108435272"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824203836","repostId":"2175117376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}