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RK888

RK888

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2021-12-11

😿

Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote>

2021-12-02

K

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-10

😀

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2021-11-09

👍

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2021-11-08

Like

US to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote>

2021-11-06

Okay

U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote>

2021-11-03

👏

Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>

2021-11-01

Like

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2021-10-30

Great

Entrada jumped over 30% in morning trading,above its IPO price at 20 dollars per share<blockquote>Entrada在早盘交易中上涨了30%以上，高于每股20美元的IPO价格</blockquote>

2021-10-29

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Almost -50%

2021-10-29

👍

GlobalFoundries shares opened around $46.7, or 0.64% below $47 IPO price.<blockquote>GlobalFoundries股价开盘价约为46.7美元，较47美元的IPO价格低0.64%。</blockquote>

2021-10-27

Like please

Doomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote>

2021-10-24

👍

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2021-10-23

👍

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2021-10-22

👍

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2021-10-21

Like

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2021-10-20

👍

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2021-10-19

Like

Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-10-18

Like

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2021-10-17

👍

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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading<blockquote>Grab股价早盘再下跌9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-10 23:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价继昨天下跌超过9%后，早盘又下跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/963eb8dd73ce8daa0d852d63f0bcc276\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134450838","content_text":"Grab shares dropped another 9% in morning trading after falling more than 9% yesterday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603816319,"gmtCreate":1638397680171,"gmtModify":1638397680711,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603816319","repostId":"2188680355","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847357726,"gmtCreate":1636497522114,"gmtModify":1636497522616,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😀","listText":"😀","text":"😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847357726","repostId":"1192599264","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844183576,"gmtCreate":1636411067570,"gmtModify":1636411068047,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍&nbsp;","listText":"👍&nbsp;","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844183576","repostId":"1140971872","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845149540,"gmtCreate":1636323591557,"gmtModify":1636323591987,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845149540","repostId":"2181409167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2181409167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636262820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2181409167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-07 13:27","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"US to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2181409167","media":"BusinessDay","summary":"Biden wants the cartel to pump more oil to bring down prices and keep the post-Covid economic recovery on course","content":"<p><div> The US warned this week that Opec+ is at risk of impairing the world’s economic recovery by failing to put more oil into the global market, signalling that its efforts to ease high crude prices aren’t...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国本周警告称，石油输出国组织+未能向全球市场注入更多石油，有可能损害世界经济复苏，这表明其缓解高原油价格的努力没有成功...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"businessday_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS to Opec+: ‘This isn’t the end’ of effort to ease oil prices<blockquote>美国对欧佩克+：缓解油价努力的“这还不是结束”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">BusinessDay</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-07 13:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The US warned this week that Opec+ is at risk of impairing the world’s economic recovery by failing to put more oil into the global market, signalling that its efforts to ease high crude prices aren’t...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国本周警告称，石油输出国组织+未能向全球市场注入更多石油，有可能损害世界经济复苏，这表明其缓解高原油价格的努力没有成功...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/\">BusinessDay</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.businesslive.co.za/bt/business-and-economy/2021-11-07-us-to-opec-this-isnt-the-end-of-effort-to-ease-oil-prices/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2181409167","content_text":"The US warned this week that Opec+ is at risk of impairing the world’s economic recovery by failing to put more oil into the global market, signalling that its efforts to ease high crude prices aren’t over.Hours after Saudi Arabia and its allies in Opec+ — the 14 members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries plus 10 non-members, including Russia — approved a 400,000 barrel-a-day output hike for December, the White House reiterated that it will consider “the full range of tools” to protect the economy.Other major consumers also say the Opec+ decision, at a meeting of the cartel this week, is not enough to sustain the post-Covid economic recovery, with the US asking for as much as double that amount. “They have the capacity and the power now to act and make sure this critical moment of global recovery is not impaired,” White House spokesperson Karine Jean-Pierre said.The US operates in “a competitive free market system”, she said, and Opec+ “is what impacts global oil prices, which is what has an effect on gas [petrol] prices at home”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842347768,"gmtCreate":1636150429043,"gmtModify":1636150429510,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;","listText":"Okay&nbsp;","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842347768","repostId":"1136116425","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136116425","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636104081,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136116425?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136116425","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00 a.m.\nAt that time,the regu","content":"<p>Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00&nbsp;a.m.</p><p><blockquote>亲爱的老虎们，美国夏令时于2021年11月7日周日凌晨2点结束。</blockquote></p><p> At that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. </p><p><blockquote>届时，美股常规交易时段将提前一小时，即北京时间下午22:30至凌晨5:00。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e441a1a98d5230fc31d6f1652e577bde\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Hours</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易时间</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~&nbsp;5:00 the next day</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：9:30~16:00；北京时间/SGT：22:30~次日5:00</blockquote></p><p> <b>pre-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易前</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;22:30</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：4:00~9:30；北京时间/SGT：17:00~22:30</blockquote></p><p> <b>post-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易后</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;9:00</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：16:00~20:00；北京时间/SGT：5:00~9:00</blockquote></p><p> (Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)</p><p><blockquote>（注：夏令时总是从三月的第二个星期日开始，到十一月的第一个星期日结束）</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时将于2021年11月7日星期日结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-05 17:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00&nbsp;a.m.</p><p><blockquote>亲爱的老虎们，美国夏令时于2021年11月7日周日凌晨2点结束。</blockquote></p><p> At that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. </p><p><blockquote>届时，美股常规交易时段将提前一小时，即北京时间下午22:30至凌晨5:00。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e441a1a98d5230fc31d6f1652e577bde\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Hours</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易时间</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~&nbsp;5:00 the next day</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：9:30~16:00；北京时间/SGT：22:30~次日5:00</blockquote></p><p> <b>pre-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易前</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;22:30</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：4:00~9:30；北京时间/SGT：17:00~22:30</blockquote></p><p> <b>post-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易后</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;9:00</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：16:00~20:00；北京时间/SGT：5:00~9:00</blockquote></p><p> (Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)</p><p><blockquote>（注：夏令时总是从三月的第二个星期日开始，到十一月的第一个星期日结束）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136116425","content_text":"Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00 a.m.\nAt that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. \n\nTrading Hours\nU.S. Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~ 5:00 the next day\npre-trade\nU.S. Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00 ~ 22:30\npost-trade\nU.S. Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00 ~ 9:00\n(Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841349353,"gmtCreate":1635892705334,"gmtModify":1635892705467,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👏","listText":"👏","text":"👏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841349353","repostId":"2180020937","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2180020937","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635846331,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2180020937?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2180020937","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted tw","content":"<p>Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很高。你不妨从中获利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/143c38befb27f09743294aafaffbe94a\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>该国的高通胀率已成为华尔街的严重担忧。</blockquote></p><p> But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.</p><p><blockquote>但对于普通投资者来说幸运的是，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在应对这种环境方面拥有丰富的经验。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪70年代管理了一个股票投资组合，度过了两位数的通胀率时期，并就消费者价格飙升时持有什么股票提出了很多建议。</blockquote></p><p> In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.</p><p><blockquote>在1981年致伯克希尔股东的一封信中，巴菲特强调了使企业能够很好地适应通货膨胀环境的两个特征：1）能够轻松提高价格，2）能够在不花费太多的情况下承接更多业务。为了做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，瞄准投资有定价权的轻资产业务。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.</p><p><blockquote>让我们快速浏览一下符合这一描述的三家公司。其中一个（或全部）可能值得用你的闲钱购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐克(NKE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a24fd7cb9b4e01313c7bb848af6da9d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TY Lim/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>泰·林/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.</p><p><blockquote>耐克是全球鞋类巨头，拥有很高的客户忠诚度。</blockquote></p><p> Customers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.</p><p><blockquote>顾客愿意花高价购买与勒布朗·詹姆斯和迈克尔·乔丹等知名运动员相关的标志性装备。</blockquote></p><p> Despite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临通胀压力，耐克仍继续扩大毛利率，并实现远高于30%的稳健股本回报率。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还在日益数字化、直接面向消费者的商业模式中获取其产品的全价。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，到2025年，数字销售可能会继续从目前占收入的20%增长到业务的40%左右。价格上涨最早可能在明年开始。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，利润率可能会继续扩大，即使运营成本随着通货膨胀而上升。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，耐克股价已上涨约19%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果(AAPL)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22460a66469a2da0380edd32d454c84\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Vytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>维陶塔斯·基莱蒂斯/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Global demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>全球对苹果高端硬件的需求正在增长，其高利润苹果服务的采用率也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Strong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.</p><p><blockquote>强大的品牌形象、用户友好性和各种完全集成的产品是不会很快消失的强大属性。</blockquote></p><p> Customers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.</p><p><blockquote>客户无法生活在苹果生态系统之外。随着通胀飙升，这让这家科技巨头在定价方面有更多的自由。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最新的M1芯片将逐渐取代每台Mac中的英特尔CPU，突显了其不断创新的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，苹果有能力将不断上升的成本转嫁给全球消费者群体，而不会大幅损失销量。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.</p><p><blockquote>Warren Buffett允许苹果在Berkshire Hathaway的投资组合中增长到40%，这是有充分理由的：该业务在所有经济周期中都保持利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年迄今已上涨约13%，交易价格接近每股150美元。但如果你对目前的水平犹豫不决，一些应用程序可能会给你一份免费的苹果，只是为了注册。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Levi Strauss &amp; Co. (LEVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>李维斯公司（LEVI）</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71b31165e275a966ad050139a054c73a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.</p><p><blockquote>作为牛仔布行业的市场领导者，李维斯最近一直在全力以赴。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，其知名品牌和灵活的商业模式使管理层能够在不牺牲定价权的情况下增加营收。</blockquote></p><p> In the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.</p><p><blockquote>最近一个季度，收入增长了41%，调整后毛利率提高了390个基点，达到57.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，管理层早在2020年就开始主动调整通胀定价。</blockquote></p><p> The company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还从24个不同的国家采购原材料。这种供应链多元化为李维斯在危机时期提供了足够的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Levi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Levi股价在2021年上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ultimate 'forever asset'?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终极“永久资产”？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d520eb27cdf18f25a787cd9145eb1b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过，他最喜欢的持有期是永远。</blockquote></p><p> But forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.</p><p><blockquote>但永远是一段很长的时间，由于公司兴衰，通过从不出售股票来增加财富可能不是最好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> But there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.</p><p><blockquote>但可能有一个通胀避风港值得永远持有——美国农田。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> No matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.</p><p><blockquote>无论消费价格攀升得多高或多快，人们仍然需要吃饭。而恰好巴菲特的好朋友比尔·盖茨是美国最大的农田私人所有者。</blockquote></p><p> These days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.</p><p><blockquote>如今，新平台允许你通过入股你选择的农场来投资美国农田。</blockquote></p><p> You’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.</p><p><blockquote>你将从租赁费和农作物销售中获得现金收入。当然，除此之外，你还会从任何长期升值中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <i>This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>本文仅提供信息，不应被解释为建议。它没有任何形式的担保。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-02 17:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很高。你不妨从中获利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/143c38befb27f09743294aafaffbe94a\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>该国的高通胀率已成为华尔街的严重担忧。</blockquote></p><p> But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.</p><p><blockquote>但对于普通投资者来说幸运的是，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在应对这种环境方面拥有丰富的经验。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪70年代管理了一个股票投资组合，度过了两位数的通胀率时期，并就消费者价格飙升时持有什么股票提出了很多建议。</blockquote></p><p> In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.</p><p><blockquote>在1981年致伯克希尔股东的一封信中，巴菲特强调了使企业能够很好地适应通货膨胀环境的两个特征：1）能够轻松提高价格，2）能够在不花费太多的情况下承接更多业务。为了做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，瞄准投资有定价权的轻资产业务。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.</p><p><blockquote>让我们快速浏览一下符合这一描述的三家公司。其中一个（或全部）可能值得用你的闲钱购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐克(NKE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a24fd7cb9b4e01313c7bb848af6da9d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TY Lim/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>泰·林/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.</p><p><blockquote>耐克是全球鞋类巨头，拥有很高的客户忠诚度。</blockquote></p><p> Customers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.</p><p><blockquote>顾客愿意花高价购买与勒布朗·詹姆斯和迈克尔·乔丹等知名运动员相关的标志性装备。</blockquote></p><p> Despite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临通胀压力，耐克仍继续扩大毛利率，并实现远高于30%的稳健股本回报率。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还在日益数字化、直接面向消费者的商业模式中获取其产品的全价。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，到2025年，数字销售可能会继续从目前占收入的20%增长到业务的40%左右。价格上涨最早可能在明年开始。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，利润率可能会继续扩大，即使运营成本随着通货膨胀而上升。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，耐克股价已上涨约19%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果(AAPL)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22460a66469a2da0380edd32d454c84\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Vytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>维陶塔斯·基莱蒂斯/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Global demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>全球对苹果高端硬件的需求正在增长，其高利润苹果服务的采用率也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Strong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.</p><p><blockquote>强大的品牌形象、用户友好性和各种完全集成的产品是不会很快消失的强大属性。</blockquote></p><p> Customers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.</p><p><blockquote>客户无法生活在苹果生态系统之外。随着通胀飙升，这让这家科技巨头在定价方面有更多的自由。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最新的M1芯片将逐渐取代每台Mac中的英特尔CPU，突显了其不断创新的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，苹果有能力将不断上升的成本转嫁给全球消费者群体，而不会大幅损失销量。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.</p><p><blockquote>Warren Buffett允许苹果在Berkshire Hathaway的投资组合中增长到40%，这是有充分理由的：该业务在所有经济周期中都保持利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年迄今已上涨约13%，交易价格接近每股150美元。但如果你对目前的水平犹豫不决，一些应用程序可能会给你一份免费的苹果，只是为了注册。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Levi Strauss &amp; Co. (LEVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>李维斯公司（LEVI）</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71b31165e275a966ad050139a054c73a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.</p><p><blockquote>作为牛仔布行业的市场领导者，李维斯最近一直在全力以赴。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，其知名品牌和灵活的商业模式使管理层能够在不牺牲定价权的情况下增加营收。</blockquote></p><p> In the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.</p><p><blockquote>最近一个季度，收入增长了41%，调整后毛利率提高了390个基点，达到57.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，管理层早在2020年就开始主动调整通胀定价。</blockquote></p><p> The company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还从24个不同的国家采购原材料。这种供应链多元化为李维斯在危机时期提供了足够的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Levi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Levi股价在2021年上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ultimate 'forever asset'?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终极“永久资产”？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d520eb27cdf18f25a787cd9145eb1b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过，他最喜欢的持有期是永远。</blockquote></p><p> But forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.</p><p><blockquote>但永远是一段很长的时间，由于公司兴衰，通过从不出售股票来增加财富可能不是最好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> But there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.</p><p><blockquote>但可能有一个通胀避风港值得永远持有——美国农田。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> No matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.</p><p><blockquote>无论消费价格攀升得多高或多快，人们仍然需要吃饭。而恰好巴菲特的好朋友比尔·盖茨是美国最大的农田私人所有者。</blockquote></p><p> These days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.</p><p><blockquote>如今，新平台允许你通过入股你选择的农场来投资美国农田。</blockquote></p><p> You’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.</p><p><blockquote>你将从租赁费和农作物销售中获得现金收入。当然，除此之外，你还会从任何长期升值中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <i>This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>本文仅提供信息，不应被解释为建议。它没有任何形式的担保。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://moneywise.com/investing/stocks/warren-buffett-inflation-stocks\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","LEVI":"李维斯","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://moneywise.com/investing/stocks/warren-buffett-inflation-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2180020937","content_text":"Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.\n\nHigh inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.\nBut fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.\nBuffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.\nIn a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.\nIn other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.\nLet’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.\nNike (NKE)\nTY Lim/Shutterstock\nNike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.\nCustomers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.\nDespite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.\nThe company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.\nManagement believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.\nAmazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.\nNike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.\nApple (AAPL)\nVytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock\nGlobal demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.\nStrong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.\nCustomers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.\nThe company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.\nApple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.\nWarren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.\nApple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.\nLevi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)\ndean bertoncelj/Shutterstock\nA market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.\nSpecifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.\nIn the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.\nIn fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.\nThe company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.\nLevi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.\nThe ultimate 'forever asset'?\nMNStudio/Shutterstock\nWarren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.\nBut forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.\nBut there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.\nNo matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.\nThese days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.\nYou’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.\nThis article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.B":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"LEVI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849065320,"gmtCreate":1635716056764,"gmtModify":1635716078404,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849065320","repostId":"1104228860","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857277624,"gmtCreate":1635543864703,"gmtModify":1635543864878,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857277624","repostId":"1170077439","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170077439","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635521388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170077439?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Entrada jumped over 30% in morning trading,above its IPO price at 20 dollars per share<blockquote>Entrada在早盘交易中上涨了30%以上，高于每股20美元的IPO价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170077439","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Entrada jumped over 30% in morning trading,above its IPO price at 20 dollars per share.Entrada, which is working to develop therapeutics for rare neuromuscular diseases such as Duchenne muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy type 1, said it believes the proceeds, coupled with its existing resources, will be sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital-spending needs into the second quarter of 2024.","content":"<p>Entrada&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;over&nbsp;30%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading,above&nbsp;its&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;price&nbsp;at&nbsp;20&nbsp;dollars&nbsp;per&nbsp;share.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7b5af9ada5c6d243935e675a495b080\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"570\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Entrada, which is working to develop therapeutics for rare neuromuscular diseases such as Duchenne muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy type 1, said it believes the proceeds, coupled with its existing resources, will be sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital-spending needs into the second quarter of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>Entrada在早盘交易中上涨了30%以上，高于每股20美元的IPO价格。Entrada正致力于开发杜氏肌营养不良症和1型强直性肌营养不良症等罕见神经肌肉疾病的治疗方法，该公司表示，相信所得款项加上现有资源，将足以满足其运营费用和资本支出需求。2024年第二季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Entrada jumped over 30% in morning trading,above its IPO price at 20 dollars per share<blockquote>Entrada在早盘交易中上涨了30%以上，高于每股20美元的IPO价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEntrada jumped over 30% in morning trading,above its IPO price at 20 dollars per share<blockquote>Entrada在早盘交易中上涨了30%以上，高于每股20美元的IPO价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-29 23:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Entrada&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;over&nbsp;30%&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading,above&nbsp;its&nbsp;IPO&nbsp;price&nbsp;at&nbsp;20&nbsp;dollars&nbsp;per&nbsp;share.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7b5af9ada5c6d243935e675a495b080\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"570\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Entrada, which is working to develop therapeutics for rare neuromuscular diseases such as Duchenne muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy type 1, said it believes the proceeds, coupled with its existing resources, will be sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital-spending needs into the second quarter of 2024.</p><p><blockquote>Entrada在早盘交易中上涨了30%以上，高于每股20美元的IPO价格。Entrada正致力于开发杜氏肌营养不良症和1型强直性肌营养不良症等罕见神经肌肉疾病的治疗方法，该公司表示，相信所得款项加上现有资源，将足以满足其运营费用和资本支出需求。2024年第二季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TRDA":"Entrada Therapeutics, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170077439","content_text":"Entrada jumped over 30% in morning trading,above its IPO price at 20 dollars per share.Entrada, which is working to develop therapeutics for rare neuromuscular diseases such as Duchenne muscular dystrophy and myotonic dystrophy type 1, said it believes the proceeds, coupled with its existing resources, will be sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital-spending needs into the second quarter of 2024.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TRDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857359114,"gmtCreate":1635510448809,"gmtModify":1635510449181,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Almost -50%&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Almost -50%&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Almost -50%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3debef1495ae092f3223a43953704cbb","width":"1125","height":"2196"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857359114","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854643407,"gmtCreate":1635457801088,"gmtModify":1635457857413,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854643407","repostId":"1124317794","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124317794","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635436379,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124317794?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-28 23:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GlobalFoundries shares opened around $46.7, or 0.64% below $47 IPO price.<blockquote>GlobalFoundries股价开盘价约为46.7美元，较47美元的IPO价格低0.64%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124317794","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"GlobalFoundries shares opened around $46.7, or 0.64% below $47 IPO price.\n\nGlobalFoundries employs 3","content":"<p>GlobalFoundries shares&nbsp;opened around $46.7, or&nbsp;0.64% below $47 IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries股价开盘约为46.7美元，较47美元的IPO价格低0.64%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/545a1e9fb33e8ba9887b041d337cb1bb\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> GlobalFoundries employs 3,000 people at its Fab 8 campus in Saratoga County, home to its headquarters and its most advanced chip factory.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries在萨拉托加县的Fab 8园区拥有3,000名员工，这里是其总部和最先进的芯片工厂所在地。</blockquote></p><p> Until now, GlobalFoundries has been privately owned by the government of Abu Dhabi through a sovereign wealth fund known as Mubadala Investment Co.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，GlobalFoundries一直由阿布扎比政府通过一家名为Mubadala Investment Co的主权财富基金私有。</blockquote></p><p> Looking to diversify its oil-focused economy, Abu Dhabi provided much of the initial investment to create GlobalFoundries more than a decade ago as a spinoff from Advanced Micro Devices into a so-called foundry that would not only make AMD's chips but also chips for other companies.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现以石油为重点的经济多元化，阿布扎比提供了大部分初始投资，十多年前创建了GlobalFoundries，该公司从Advanced Micro Devices分拆为一家所谓的代工厂，不仅生产AMD的芯片，还为其他公司生产芯片。</blockquote></p><p> GlobalFoundries essentially took AMD's factories around the world off its hands and then built Fab 8 at the Luther Forest Technology Campus in Malta. The facility is the company's most advanced chip factory. GlobalFoundries is planning a second one at the Fab 8 site within the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries基本上接管了AMD在世界各地的工厂，然后在马耳他的Luther Forest技术园区建造了Fab 8。该工厂是该公司最先进的芯片工厂。GlobalFoundries计划在未来几年内在Fab 8工厂建造第二座工厂。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Tom Caulfield, a native New Yorker, also moved the company's headquarters from Silicon Valley to Malta earlier this year, a move that U.S. Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer has been asking the company to do for years.</p><p><blockquote>土生土长的纽约人、首席执行官汤姆·考尔菲尔德（Tom Caulfield）也在今年早些时候将公司总部从硅谷迁至马耳他，美国参议院多数党领袖查尔斯·舒默（Charles Schumer）多年来一直要求该公司这样做。</blockquote></p><p> GlobalFoundries also took over the chipmaking operations of IBM as well, although that deal ended up in a recent legal battle, with IBM accusing GlobalFoundries of falling short on its promises under the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries还接管了IBM的芯片制造业务，尽管该交易在最近的一场法律诉讼中结束，IBM指责GlobalFoundries未能履行协议中的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of GlobalFoundries from startup to global chip foundry coincides with the consolidation of the chip industry, leaving only a few major players that still own and operate chip factories, or fabs, that can cost up to $10 billion each.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries从初创公司到全球芯片代工厂的崛起恰逢芯片行业的整合，只剩下少数主要参与者仍然拥有和运营芯片工厂或晶圆厂，每个工厂的成本可能高达100亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The other major manufacturers are Intel, Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., or TSMC, all of which are substantially larger than GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>其他主要制造商是英特尔、三星和台积电公司（TSMC），它们的规模都比格芯大得多。</blockquote></p><p> However, GlobalFoundries has important Department of Defense contracts.</p><p><blockquote>然而，格芯拥有国防部的重要合同。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GlobalFoundries shares opened around $46.7, or 0.64% below $47 IPO price.<blockquote>GlobalFoundries股价开盘价约为46.7美元，较47美元的IPO价格低0.64%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobalFoundries shares opened around $46.7, or 0.64% below $47 IPO price.<blockquote>GlobalFoundries股价开盘价约为46.7美元，较47美元的IPO价格低0.64%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-28 23:52</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>GlobalFoundries shares&nbsp;opened around $46.7, or&nbsp;0.64% below $47 IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries股价开盘约为46.7美元，较47美元的IPO价格低0.64%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/545a1e9fb33e8ba9887b041d337cb1bb\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"624\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> GlobalFoundries employs 3,000 people at its Fab 8 campus in Saratoga County, home to its headquarters and its most advanced chip factory.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries在萨拉托加县的Fab 8园区拥有3,000名员工，这里是其总部和最先进的芯片工厂所在地。</blockquote></p><p> Until now, GlobalFoundries has been privately owned by the government of Abu Dhabi through a sovereign wealth fund known as Mubadala Investment Co.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，GlobalFoundries一直由阿布扎比政府通过一家名为Mubadala Investment Co的主权财富基金私有。</blockquote></p><p> Looking to diversify its oil-focused economy, Abu Dhabi provided much of the initial investment to create GlobalFoundries more than a decade ago as a spinoff from Advanced Micro Devices into a so-called foundry that would not only make AMD's chips but also chips for other companies.</p><p><blockquote>为了实现以石油为重点的经济多元化，阿布扎比提供了大部分初始投资，十多年前创建了GlobalFoundries，该公司从Advanced Micro Devices分拆为一家所谓的代工厂，不仅生产AMD的芯片，还为其他公司生产芯片。</blockquote></p><p> GlobalFoundries essentially took AMD's factories around the world off its hands and then built Fab 8 at the Luther Forest Technology Campus in Malta. The facility is the company's most advanced chip factory. GlobalFoundries is planning a second one at the Fab 8 site within the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries基本上接管了AMD在世界各地的工厂，然后在马耳他的Luther Forest技术园区建造了Fab 8。该工厂是该公司最先进的芯片工厂。GlobalFoundries计划在未来几年内在Fab 8工厂建造第二座工厂。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Tom Caulfield, a native New Yorker, also moved the company's headquarters from Silicon Valley to Malta earlier this year, a move that U.S. Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer has been asking the company to do for years.</p><p><blockquote>土生土长的纽约人、首席执行官汤姆·考尔菲尔德（Tom Caulfield）也在今年早些时候将公司总部从硅谷迁至马耳他，美国参议院多数党领袖查尔斯·舒默（Charles Schumer）多年来一直要求该公司这样做。</blockquote></p><p> GlobalFoundries also took over the chipmaking operations of IBM as well, although that deal ended up in a recent legal battle, with IBM accusing GlobalFoundries of falling short on its promises under the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries还接管了IBM的芯片制造业务，尽管该交易在最近的一场法律诉讼中结束，IBM指责GlobalFoundries未能履行协议中的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of GlobalFoundries from startup to global chip foundry coincides with the consolidation of the chip industry, leaving only a few major players that still own and operate chip factories, or fabs, that can cost up to $10 billion each.</p><p><blockquote>GlobalFoundries从初创公司到全球芯片代工厂的崛起恰逢芯片行业的整合，只剩下少数主要参与者仍然拥有和运营芯片工厂或晶圆厂，每个工厂的成本可能高达100亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The other major manufacturers are Intel, Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., or TSMC, all of which are substantially larger than GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>其他主要制造商是英特尔、三星和台积电公司（TSMC），它们的规模都比格芯大得多。</blockquote></p><p> However, GlobalFoundries has important Department of Defense contracts.</p><p><blockquote>然而，格芯拥有国防部的重要合同。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124317794","content_text":"GlobalFoundries shares opened around $46.7, or 0.64% below $47 IPO price.\n\nGlobalFoundries employs 3,000 people at its Fab 8 campus in Saratoga County, home to its headquarters and its most advanced chip factory.\nUntil now, GlobalFoundries has been privately owned by the government of Abu Dhabi through a sovereign wealth fund known as Mubadala Investment Co.\nLooking to diversify its oil-focused economy, Abu Dhabi provided much of the initial investment to create GlobalFoundries more than a decade ago as a spinoff from Advanced Micro Devices into a so-called foundry that would not only make AMD's chips but also chips for other companies.\nGlobalFoundries essentially took AMD's factories around the world off its hands and then built Fab 8 at the Luther Forest Technology Campus in Malta. The facility is the company's most advanced chip factory. GlobalFoundries is planning a second one at the Fab 8 site within the next few years.\nCEO Tom Caulfield, a native New Yorker, also moved the company's headquarters from Silicon Valley to Malta earlier this year, a move that U.S. Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer has been asking the company to do for years.\nGlobalFoundries also took over the chipmaking operations of IBM as well, although that deal ended up in a recent legal battle, with IBM accusing GlobalFoundries of falling short on its promises under the agreement.\nThe rise of GlobalFoundries from startup to global chip foundry coincides with the consolidation of the chip industry, leaving only a few major players that still own and operate chip factories, or fabs, that can cost up to $10 billion each.\nThe other major manufacturers are Intel, Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., or TSMC, all of which are substantially larger than GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, GlobalFoundries has important Department of Defense contracts.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GFS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852244412,"gmtCreate":1635287879770,"gmtModify":1635287880237,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Like please&nbsp;","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852244412","repostId":"1162410055","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162410055","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635261442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162410055?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Doomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162410055","media":"Reuters","summary":"Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing ca","content":"<p>Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing carbon emissions in line with the Paris Agreement should be a key tenet of their business agenda.</p><p><blockquote>从大众到日产和福特，汽车和卡车制造商都接受了这样一种说法，即根据《巴黎协定》减少碳排放应该是其商业议程的一个关键原则。</blockquote></p><p> Are they doing enough? Research shows their goals are still a far cry from what is needed, but the jury is out on whether automakers alone are responsible for the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>他们做得够吗？研究表明，他们的目标与需求仍相去甚远，但汽车制造商是否独自应对短缺负责还没有定论。</blockquote></p><p> While some say carmakers should plan to make their fleets carbon-neutral whatever the circumstances, companies argue that their ability to transition to electric vehicles (EV) is dependent on conditions outside their direct control.</p><p><blockquote>虽然有人说汽车制造商应该计划在任何情况下使其车队实现碳中和，但公司认为，他们向电动汽车(EV)过渡的能力取决于他们直接控制之外的条件。</blockquote></p><p> Consultancy firm Boston Consulting Group said in a report released last week that at least 90% of new passenger vehicles and 70% of trucks must be electric by 2030 in order to meet climate targets, echoing environmental groups like Greenpeace.</p><p><blockquote>咨询公司波士顿咨询集团在上周发布的一份报告中表示，为了实现气候目标，到2030年，至少90%的新乘用车和70%的卡车必须是电动的，这与绿色和平组织等环保组织相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> But among major auto brands, very few - among them Geely's Volvo and VW's Bentley - have set goals for 100% EV production by then, with most arguing that they cannot take full accountability for a transition to electric vehicles without the market conditions to remain profitable in the process.</p><p><blockquote>但在主要汽车品牌中，很少有品牌——包括吉利旗下的沃尔沃和大众旗下的宾利——设定了届时100%电动汽车生产的目标，大多数品牌认为，如果没有市场条件来保持盈利，他们就无法对向电动汽车的过渡承担全部责任在这个过程中。</blockquote></p><p> German luxury carmaker Daimler, for example, has refrained from stating it will produce only electric vehicles by 2030 no matter what - instead it has emphasised it will be \"ready to go all electric ... where market conditions allow.\"</p><p><blockquote>例如，德国豪华汽车制造商戴姆勒没有表示无论如何都将在2030年只生产电动汽车，而是强调将“准备好在市场条件允许的情况下实现全电动化”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We will lead from the front. Is it realistic to turn 100% of the market by 2030? It would be a stretch,\" Daimler's CEO Ola Kaellenius told Reuters in an interview, adding he hoped to see countries and economic regions do their bit at the COP26 summit by synchronising their plans for electric vehicle rollouts.</p><p><blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官Ola Kaellenius在接受路透社采访时表示：“我们将从前线引领。到2030年实现100%的市场份额现实吗？这将是一个延伸。”他补充说，他希望看到各国和经济地区尽自己的一份力量在COP26峰会上同步电动汽车推广计划。</blockquote></p><p> Charging infrastructure is just one of many challenges standing between the auto industry, estimated by the International Energy Agency to be responsible for around 18% of all carbon emissions worldwide, and climate neutrality.</p><p><blockquote>充电基础设施只是汽车行业与气候中和之间面临的众多挑战之一，据国际能源署估计，汽车行业约占全球碳排放量的18%。</blockquote></p><p> Others include getting rid of dirty fossil-fuel powered cars still on the roads, reducing emissions in battery production, and building storage systems for renewable energy to ensure the electricity used to charge electric cars is from renewable sources.</p><p><blockquote>其他措施包括淘汰仍在路上行驶的肮脏的化石燃料动力汽车，减少电池生产中的排放，以及建立可再生能源存储系统，以确保用于电动汽车充电的电力来自可再生能源。</blockquote></p><p> TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE?</p><p><blockquote>太少，太晚？</blockquote></p><p> Under carbon reduction policies already agreed by governments and automakers, global CO2 emissions from vehicles are still set to rise over time, research by the International Council on Clean Transportation shows.</p><p><blockquote>国际清洁运输理事会的研究表明，根据政府和汽车制造商已经商定的减碳政策，全球汽车排放的二氧化碳仍将随着时间的推移不断上升。</blockquote></p><p> If policies under discussion are implemented, the growth trajectory stabilises but still does not fall, it said, highlighting growing demand for cars, buses and trucks in coming years due to population growth and increased economic activity in emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，如果正在讨论的政策得到实施，增长轨迹将会稳定，但仍不会下降，突显出由于人口增长和新兴市场经济活动的增加，未来几年对汽车、公共汽车和卡车的需求将不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> While one in five vehicles sold in Europe last quarter were electrified, the share is much lower in the United States at around 2%. EVs are an even tinier slice of sales in less rich markets such as Latin America or Southeast Asia.</p><p><blockquote>虽然上季度欧洲销售的汽车中有五分之一是电动汽车，但美国的这一比例要低得多，约为2%。在拉丁美洲或东南亚等不太富裕的市场，电动汽车在销量中所占的份额甚至更小。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers and governments must also find answers for labour unions who are worried that a rapid shift to EVs will put thousands of workers out of their jobs.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商和政府还必须为工会找到答案，工会担心快速转向电动汽车将导致数千名工人失业。</blockquote></p><p> This includes German unions demanding clarity from Stellantis on its plans for Opel plants, and U.S. President Joe Biden facing pressure from the U.S. United Auto Workers' union to provide more state support during the EV transition.</p><p><blockquote>其中包括德国工会要求Stellantis明确其欧宝工厂计划，以及美国总统乔·拜登面临美国汽车工人联合会的压力，要求其在电动汽车转型期间提供更多国家支持。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of factors involved ... we try to project a realistic picture,\" a spokesperson for Germany's BMW said. \"But if certain conditions change fundamentally, we will of course have to re-examine our climate goals.\"</p><p><blockquote>德国宝马发言人表示：“涉及很多因素……我们试图描绘出一幅现实的画面。”“但如果某些条件发生根本性变化，我们当然必须重新审视我们的气候目标。”</blockquote></p><p> CARBON EMITTER</p><p><blockquote>碳排放体</blockquote></p><p> The majority of a vehicle's emissions do not come from the manufacturing process, but from the fuel used to power it - be it electricity, petrol, or diesel.</p><p><blockquote>汽车的大部分排放不是来自制造过程，而是来自用于驱动它的燃料——无论是电力、汽油还是柴油。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of electric vehicles, the process of making batteries is also a significant carbon emitter, with a Volkswagen ID.3 for example generating nearly twice the emissions of a diesel equivalent in the production phase, according to company calculations.</p><p><blockquote>就电动汽车而言，电池制造过程也是一个重要的碳排放者，根据公司计算，例如大众ID.3在生产阶段产生的排放量几乎是柴油车的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> While carmakers are increasingly investing in producing batteries in a more environmentally friendly way, controlling the source of energy flowing into electric cars is much harder.</p><p><blockquote>虽然汽车制造商越来越多地投资以更环保的方式生产电池，但控制流入电动汽车的能源来源要困难得多。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers like VW and Tesla are growing their offering of residential storage systems for clients to power vehicles through mechanisms like solar panels on their roofs – but the question of who is responsible for sourcing and distributing energy in public spaces is more contentious.</p><p><blockquote>大众和特斯拉等汽车制造商正在增加为客户提供的住宅存储系统，通过屋顶太阳能电池板等机制为车辆提供动力，但谁负责在公共场所采购和分配能源的问题更具争议。</blockquote></p><p> Even if automakers invest in public charging stations, ongoing problems with storage of renewable energy could force energy providers to rely on coal and natural gas to meet short-term demand, as recent volatility in energy markets has shown.</p><p><blockquote>即使汽车制造商投资公共充电站，可再生能源储存方面持续存在的问题也可能迫使能源供应商依赖煤炭和天然气来满足短期需求，正如最近能源市场的波动所表明的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Lobby groups such as the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association and the U.S.-based Alliance for Automotive Innovation have urged states to invest in renewable-based charging infrastructure, from public-private investments to fully state-funded projects.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲汽车制造商协会和美国汽车创新联盟等游说团体敦促各州投资可再生能源充电基础设施，从公私投资到完全由国家资助的项目。</blockquote></p><p> But some environmental groups argue that relying on taxpayer funds is unfair as the networks would disproportionately benefit car companies and owners, as opposed to spending on public transport.</p><p><blockquote>但一些环保组织认为，依赖纳税人资金是不公平的，因为与公共交通支出相比，这些网络将使汽车公司和车主不成比例地受益。</blockquote></p><p> Another lingering problem is the diesel and gas cars still driving on roads beyond 2030, which will bump up the industry's emissions well beyond the limit necessary to stay within the Paris Agreements' bounds, researchers have said.</p><p><blockquote>研究人员表示，另一个挥之不去的问题是柴油和汽油汽车在2030年之后仍在道路上行驶，这将使该行业的排放量远远超过保持在《巴黎协定》范围内所需的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Even if half of all new cars sold in 2035 were zero emission – which climate goals set by BMW, General Motors and Nissan would account for – some 70% of vehicles on roads would still be burning fossil fuels, Boston Consulting has said.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿咨询公司表示，即使2035年售出的所有新车中有一半是零排放的（宝马、通用汽车和日产设定的气候目标将占这一比例），道路上约70%的车辆仍将燃烧化石燃料。</blockquote></p><p> \"Even economies in the vanguard of the climate-change fight are therefore likely to fall short of decarbonisation targets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，即使是气候变化斗争的先锋经济体也可能达不到脱碳目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Doomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 23:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing carbon emissions in line with the Paris Agreement should be a key tenet of their business agenda.</p><p><blockquote>从大众到日产和福特，汽车和卡车制造商都接受了这样一种说法，即根据《巴黎协定》减少碳排放应该是其商业议程的一个关键原则。</blockquote></p><p> Are they doing enough? Research shows their goals are still a far cry from what is needed, but the jury is out on whether automakers alone are responsible for the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>他们做得够吗？研究表明，他们的目标与需求仍相去甚远，但汽车制造商是否独自应对短缺负责还没有定论。</blockquote></p><p> While some say carmakers should plan to make their fleets carbon-neutral whatever the circumstances, companies argue that their ability to transition to electric vehicles (EV) is dependent on conditions outside their direct control.</p><p><blockquote>虽然有人说汽车制造商应该计划在任何情况下使其车队实现碳中和，但公司认为，他们向电动汽车(EV)过渡的能力取决于他们直接控制之外的条件。</blockquote></p><p> Consultancy firm Boston Consulting Group said in a report released last week that at least 90% of new passenger vehicles and 70% of trucks must be electric by 2030 in order to meet climate targets, echoing environmental groups like Greenpeace.</p><p><blockquote>咨询公司波士顿咨询集团在上周发布的一份报告中表示，为了实现气候目标，到2030年，至少90%的新乘用车和70%的卡车必须是电动的，这与绿色和平组织等环保组织相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> But among major auto brands, very few - among them Geely's Volvo and VW's Bentley - have set goals for 100% EV production by then, with most arguing that they cannot take full accountability for a transition to electric vehicles without the market conditions to remain profitable in the process.</p><p><blockquote>但在主要汽车品牌中，很少有品牌——包括吉利旗下的沃尔沃和大众旗下的宾利——设定了届时100%电动汽车生产的目标，大多数品牌认为，如果没有市场条件来保持盈利，他们就无法对向电动汽车的过渡承担全部责任在这个过程中。</blockquote></p><p> German luxury carmaker Daimler, for example, has refrained from stating it will produce only electric vehicles by 2030 no matter what - instead it has emphasised it will be \"ready to go all electric ... where market conditions allow.\"</p><p><blockquote>例如，德国豪华汽车制造商戴姆勒没有表示无论如何都将在2030年只生产电动汽车，而是强调将“准备好在市场条件允许的情况下实现全电动化”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We will lead from the front. Is it realistic to turn 100% of the market by 2030? It would be a stretch,\" Daimler's CEO Ola Kaellenius told Reuters in an interview, adding he hoped to see countries and economic regions do their bit at the COP26 summit by synchronising their plans for electric vehicle rollouts.</p><p><blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官Ola Kaellenius在接受路透社采访时表示：“我们将从前线引领。到2030年实现100%的市场份额现实吗？这将是一个延伸。”他补充说，他希望看到各国和经济地区尽自己的一份力量在COP26峰会上同步电动汽车推广计划。</blockquote></p><p> Charging infrastructure is just one of many challenges standing between the auto industry, estimated by the International Energy Agency to be responsible for around 18% of all carbon emissions worldwide, and climate neutrality.</p><p><blockquote>充电基础设施只是汽车行业与气候中和之间面临的众多挑战之一，据国际能源署估计，汽车行业约占全球碳排放量的18%。</blockquote></p><p> Others include getting rid of dirty fossil-fuel powered cars still on the roads, reducing emissions in battery production, and building storage systems for renewable energy to ensure the electricity used to charge electric cars is from renewable sources.</p><p><blockquote>其他措施包括淘汰仍在路上行驶的肮脏的化石燃料动力汽车，减少电池生产中的排放，以及建立可再生能源存储系统，以确保用于电动汽车充电的电力来自可再生能源。</blockquote></p><p> TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE?</p><p><blockquote>太少，太晚？</blockquote></p><p> Under carbon reduction policies already agreed by governments and automakers, global CO2 emissions from vehicles are still set to rise over time, research by the International Council on Clean Transportation shows.</p><p><blockquote>国际清洁运输理事会的研究表明，根据政府和汽车制造商已经商定的减碳政策，全球汽车排放的二氧化碳仍将随着时间的推移不断上升。</blockquote></p><p> If policies under discussion are implemented, the growth trajectory stabilises but still does not fall, it said, highlighting growing demand for cars, buses and trucks in coming years due to population growth and increased economic activity in emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，如果正在讨论的政策得到实施，增长轨迹将会稳定，但仍不会下降，突显出由于人口增长和新兴市场经济活动的增加，未来几年对汽车、公共汽车和卡车的需求将不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> While one in five vehicles sold in Europe last quarter were electrified, the share is much lower in the United States at around 2%. EVs are an even tinier slice of sales in less rich markets such as Latin America or Southeast Asia.</p><p><blockquote>虽然上季度欧洲销售的汽车中有五分之一是电动汽车，但美国的这一比例要低得多，约为2%。在拉丁美洲或东南亚等不太富裕的市场，电动汽车在销量中所占的份额甚至更小。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers and governments must also find answers for labour unions who are worried that a rapid shift to EVs will put thousands of workers out of their jobs.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商和政府还必须为工会找到答案，工会担心快速转向电动汽车将导致数千名工人失业。</blockquote></p><p> This includes German unions demanding clarity from Stellantis on its plans for Opel plants, and U.S. President Joe Biden facing pressure from the U.S. United Auto Workers' union to provide more state support during the EV transition.</p><p><blockquote>其中包括德国工会要求Stellantis明确其欧宝工厂计划，以及美国总统乔·拜登面临美国汽车工人联合会的压力，要求其在电动汽车转型期间提供更多国家支持。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of factors involved ... we try to project a realistic picture,\" a spokesperson for Germany's BMW said. \"But if certain conditions change fundamentally, we will of course have to re-examine our climate goals.\"</p><p><blockquote>德国宝马发言人表示：“涉及很多因素……我们试图描绘出一幅现实的画面。”“但如果某些条件发生根本性变化，我们当然必须重新审视我们的气候目标。”</blockquote></p><p> CARBON EMITTER</p><p><blockquote>碳排放体</blockquote></p><p> The majority of a vehicle's emissions do not come from the manufacturing process, but from the fuel used to power it - be it electricity, petrol, or diesel.</p><p><blockquote>汽车的大部分排放不是来自制造过程，而是来自用于驱动它的燃料——无论是电力、汽油还是柴油。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of electric vehicles, the process of making batteries is also a significant carbon emitter, with a Volkswagen ID.3 for example generating nearly twice the emissions of a diesel equivalent in the production phase, according to company calculations.</p><p><blockquote>就电动汽车而言，电池制造过程也是一个重要的碳排放者，根据公司计算，例如大众ID.3在生产阶段产生的排放量几乎是柴油车的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> While carmakers are increasingly investing in producing batteries in a more environmentally friendly way, controlling the source of energy flowing into electric cars is much harder.</p><p><blockquote>虽然汽车制造商越来越多地投资以更环保的方式生产电池，但控制流入电动汽车的能源来源要困难得多。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers like VW and Tesla are growing their offering of residential storage systems for clients to power vehicles through mechanisms like solar panels on their roofs – but the question of who is responsible for sourcing and distributing energy in public spaces is more contentious.</p><p><blockquote>大众和特斯拉等汽车制造商正在增加为客户提供的住宅存储系统，通过屋顶太阳能电池板等机制为车辆提供动力，但谁负责在公共场所采购和分配能源的问题更具争议。</blockquote></p><p> Even if automakers invest in public charging stations, ongoing problems with storage of renewable energy could force energy providers to rely on coal and natural gas to meet short-term demand, as recent volatility in energy markets has shown.</p><p><blockquote>即使汽车制造商投资公共充电站，可再生能源储存方面持续存在的问题也可能迫使能源供应商依赖煤炭和天然气来满足短期需求，正如最近能源市场的波动所表明的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Lobby groups such as the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association and the U.S.-based Alliance for Automotive Innovation have urged states to invest in renewable-based charging infrastructure, from public-private investments to fully state-funded projects.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲汽车制造商协会和美国汽车创新联盟等游说团体敦促各州投资可再生能源充电基础设施，从公私投资到完全由国家资助的项目。</blockquote></p><p> But some environmental groups argue that relying on taxpayer funds is unfair as the networks would disproportionately benefit car companies and owners, as opposed to spending on public transport.</p><p><blockquote>但一些环保组织认为，依赖纳税人资金是不公平的，因为与公共交通支出相比，这些网络将使汽车公司和车主不成比例地受益。</blockquote></p><p> Another lingering problem is the diesel and gas cars still driving on roads beyond 2030, which will bump up the industry's emissions well beyond the limit necessary to stay within the Paris Agreements' bounds, researchers have said.</p><p><blockquote>研究人员表示，另一个挥之不去的问题是柴油和汽油汽车在2030年之后仍在道路上行驶，这将使该行业的排放量远远超过保持在《巴黎协定》范围内所需的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Even if half of all new cars sold in 2035 were zero emission – which climate goals set by BMW, General Motors and Nissan would account for – some 70% of vehicles on roads would still be burning fossil fuels, Boston Consulting has said.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿咨询公司表示，即使2035年售出的所有新车中有一半是零排放的（宝马、通用汽车和日产设定的气候目标将占这一比例），道路上约70%的车辆仍将燃烧化石燃料。</blockquote></p><p> \"Even economies in the vanguard of the climate-change fight are therefore likely to fall short of decarbonisation targets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，即使是气候变化斗争的先锋经济体也可能达不到脱碳目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analysis-doomed-fail-carmakers-climate-150857734.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analysis-doomed-fail-carmakers-climate-150857734.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162410055","content_text":"Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing carbon emissions in line with the Paris Agreement should be a key tenet of their business agenda.\nAre they doing enough? Research shows their goals are still a far cry from what is needed, but the jury is out on whether automakers alone are responsible for the shortfall.\nWhile some say carmakers should plan to make their fleets carbon-neutral whatever the circumstances, companies argue that their ability to transition to electric vehicles (EV) is dependent on conditions outside their direct control.\nConsultancy firm Boston Consulting Group said in a report released last week that at least 90% of new passenger vehicles and 70% of trucks must be electric by 2030 in order to meet climate targets, echoing environmental groups like Greenpeace.\nBut among major auto brands, very few - among them Geely's Volvo and VW's Bentley - have set goals for 100% EV production by then, with most arguing that they cannot take full accountability for a transition to electric vehicles without the market conditions to remain profitable in the process.\nGerman luxury carmaker Daimler, for example, has refrained from stating it will produce only electric vehicles by 2030 no matter what - instead it has emphasised it will be \"ready to go all electric ... where market conditions allow.\"\n\"We will lead from the front. Is it realistic to turn 100% of the market by 2030? It would be a stretch,\" Daimler's CEO Ola Kaellenius told Reuters in an interview, adding he hoped to see countries and economic regions do their bit at the COP26 summit by synchronising their plans for electric vehicle rollouts.\nCharging infrastructure is just one of many challenges standing between the auto industry, estimated by the International Energy Agency to be responsible for around 18% of all carbon emissions worldwide, and climate neutrality.\nOthers include getting rid of dirty fossil-fuel powered cars still on the roads, reducing emissions in battery production, and building storage systems for renewable energy to ensure the electricity used to charge electric cars is from renewable sources.\nTOO LITTLE, TOO LATE?\nUnder carbon reduction policies already agreed by governments and automakers, global CO2 emissions from vehicles are still set to rise over time, research by the International Council on Clean Transportation shows.\nIf policies under discussion are implemented, the growth trajectory stabilises but still does not fall, it said, highlighting growing demand for cars, buses and trucks in coming years due to population growth and increased economic activity in emerging markets.\nWhile one in five vehicles sold in Europe last quarter were electrified, the share is much lower in the United States at around 2%. EVs are an even tinier slice of sales in less rich markets such as Latin America or Southeast Asia.\nAutomakers and governments must also find answers for labour unions who are worried that a rapid shift to EVs will put thousands of workers out of their jobs.\nThis includes German unions demanding clarity from Stellantis on its plans for Opel plants, and U.S. President Joe Biden facing pressure from the U.S. United Auto Workers' union to provide more state support during the EV transition.\n\"There are a lot of factors involved ... we try to project a realistic picture,\" a spokesperson for Germany's BMW said. \"But if certain conditions change fundamentally, we will of course have to re-examine our climate goals.\"\nCARBON EMITTER\nThe majority of a vehicle's emissions do not come from the manufacturing process, but from the fuel used to power it - be it electricity, petrol, or diesel.\nIn the case of electric vehicles, the process of making batteries is also a significant carbon emitter, with a Volkswagen ID.3 for example generating nearly twice the emissions of a diesel equivalent in the production phase, according to company calculations.\nWhile carmakers are increasingly investing in producing batteries in a more environmentally friendly way, controlling the source of energy flowing into electric cars is much harder.\nAutomakers like VW and Tesla are growing their offering of residential storage systems for clients to power vehicles through mechanisms like solar panels on their roofs – but the question of who is responsible for sourcing and distributing energy in public spaces is more contentious.\nEven if automakers invest in public charging stations, ongoing problems with storage of renewable energy could force energy providers to rely on coal and natural gas to meet short-term demand, as recent volatility in energy markets has shown.\nLobby groups such as the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association and the U.S.-based Alliance for Automotive Innovation have urged states to invest in renewable-based charging infrastructure, from public-private investments to fully state-funded projects.\nBut some environmental groups argue that relying on taxpayer funds is unfair as the networks would disproportionately benefit car companies and owners, as opposed to spending on public transport.\nAnother lingering problem is the diesel and gas cars still driving on roads beyond 2030, which will bump up the industry's emissions well beyond the limit necessary to stay within the Paris Agreements' bounds, researchers have said.\nEven if half of all new cars sold in 2035 were zero emission – which climate goals set by BMW, General Motors and Nissan would account for – some 70% of vehicles on roads would still be burning fossil fuels, Boston Consulting has said.\n\"Even economies in the vanguard of the climate-change fight are therefore likely to fall short of decarbonisation targets.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858154039,"gmtCreate":1635026092508,"gmtModify":1635026092940,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858154039","repostId":"2177121214","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1011,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851700161,"gmtCreate":1634939751962,"gmtModify":1634939752431,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍&nbsp;","listText":"👍&nbsp;","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851700161","repostId":"2177167834","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853757499,"gmtCreate":1634854504129,"gmtModify":1634854504631,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853757499","repostId":"2177666454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853927562,"gmtCreate":1634769413289,"gmtModify":1634769414801,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853927562","repostId":"1181418547","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859159657,"gmtCreate":1634681824728,"gmtModify":1634681833575,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859159657","repostId":"1113211293","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850684599,"gmtCreate":1634596631230,"gmtModify":1634596631696,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850684599","repostId":"1185155570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185155570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634511079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185155570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185155570","media":"Barrons","summary":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. ","content":"<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-18 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的临近，本周有72家标准普尔500指数公司公布了财报。美国几家大型银行上周开局良好。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业著名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森(Albertsons)和道富银行(State Street)将于周一启动。宝洁(Procter&amp;Gamble)、哈里伯顿(Halliburton)和强生(Johnson&amp;Johnson)是周二上午的亮点，收盘后紧随其后的是Netflix和联合航空控股(United Airlines Holdings)。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Verizon Communications、IBM和特斯拉将受到最多关注。AT&amp;T、美国航空集团、西南航空和Chipotle Mexican Grill将于周四发布报告，然后美国运通、Schlumberger和Honeywell International将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有这些都较前几个月的水平有所回落。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新的褐皮书，描述了美国各地的经济状况，以及两个9月份的房地产市场指标：人口普查局（Census Bureau）周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）周四报告现房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一10/18</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继8月份增长0.4%后，经济学家预计增长0.20%。预计9月份产能利用率为76.5%，与8月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为162.3万套，8月为161.5万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>哈里伯顿、宝洁、强生、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、盈透证券集团、Netflix、万宝盛华、Dover和加拿大国家铁路等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布了关于央行12个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、Biogen、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、Verizon Communications、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM和Anthem讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、原厂零件、西南航空、Valero Energy、Blackstone、Quest Diagnostics、Snap-on、Tractor Supply、Barclays、Danaher、AT&amp;T、Nucor、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、Mattel和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从9月份的30.7降至10月份的24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继8月份上涨0.90%后，预计上涨0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五10/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI普遍预期为60.3，服务业PMI预计为54.7，9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Whirlpool、Honeywell、Cleveland-Cliffs、Celanese、HCA Healthcare、Schlumberger、Seagate Technology Holdings、VF Corp.和American Express在评级举办投资者大会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM","T":"At&T","INTC":"英特尔","UAL":"联合大陆航空",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TSLA":"特斯拉","NFLX":"奈飞","CMG":"墨式烧烤","LUV":"西南航空",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","HAL":"哈里伯顿","AXP":"美国运通","JNJ":"强生","AAL":"美国航空"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185155570","content_text":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights will include results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.\n\nAlbertsons and State Street get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter & Gamble,Halliburton,and Johnson & Johnson are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by Netflix and United Airlines Holdings after the market closes.\nOn Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and Chipotle Mexican Grill report on Thursday, then American Express,Schlumberger,and Honeywell International close the week on Friday.\nEconomic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.\nOther releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.\nMonday 10/18\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.\nAlbertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.\nTuesday 10/19\nThe Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.\nHalliburton, Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nWednesday 10/20\nThe Federal Reserve releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.\nAbbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.\nThursday 10/21\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.\nDow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Philadelphia Fed diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.\nFriday 10/22\nIHS Markit releases the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.\nWhirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"AXP":0.9,"LUV":0.9,"CMG":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"IBM":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"HAL":0.9,"INTC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"T":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827581131,"gmtCreate":1634509432493,"gmtModify":1634509432959,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827581131","repostId":"2175146556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827388599,"gmtCreate":1634420223721,"gmtModify":1634420235638,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584063721837527","idStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827388599","repostId":"2175146556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":818731292,"gmtCreate":1630448521716,"gmtModify":1633678077245,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818731292","repostId":"2164869989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155210641,"gmtCreate":1625439058883,"gmtModify":1633940801671,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155210641","repostId":"1124717185","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124717185","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625371001,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124717185?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124717185","media":"investors","summary":"The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key","content":"<p>The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.</p><p><blockquote>供求规律表面上看起来很简单，但对于想要利用重大价格波动的股票投资者来说，理解其中的细微差别是关键。</blockquote></p><p> Supply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.</p><p><blockquote>供求是商业和经济学的基本原则之一。最近的一个简单例子是，在与Covid相关的短缺中，木材价格如何飙升。</blockquote></p><p> In the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.</p><p><blockquote>在股市上，随着需求的增加，被大资金视为最佳定位的公司的股价将被推高。当这种情况发生时，供应也将受到限制，因为持有者将更不愿意出售他们的股票。因此，供给和需求是IBD的Can Slim投资方法中的S，也是投资者角系列第四篇的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Legendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"</p><p><blockquote>IBD传奇创始人威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)在他的经典著作《如何在股票中赚钱》中写道，供求关系“比华尔街所有分析师的意见更重要，无论他们上过什么学校，他们获得了什么学位，或者他们的智商有多高。”</blockquote></p><p> Float Size Matters</p><p><blockquote>浮子大小很重要</blockquote></p><p> A key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>要记住的关键点是您关注的股票的流通量是大还是小：可供交易的股票数量。锁定一只股票供应量较少的股票意味着你可能会陷入疯狂，无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，投资拥有大量流通股的大盘股意味着该股票更难做出大动作。从好的方面来说，这也可以减轻胃部的压力。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.</p><p><blockquote>理想的情况是找到一个快乐的媒介——一只拥有强劲盈利增长的股票，并且仍在通过提供新产品和服务进行扩张的股票。还要寻找一个吸引机构投资者注意的。尽管如此，任何资本规模的公司的股票都可以被苗条的投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p> Other encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.</p><p><blockquote>其他值得关注的令人鼓舞的迹象是公司正在回购股票，这减少了市场上的股票供应。</blockquote></p><p> How do you measure demand?</p><p><blockquote>你如何衡量需求？</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.</p><p><blockquote>正如研究股票时经常出现的情况一样，图表是关键。看日均交易量。股票交易数量远高于或低于正常水平的天数是一个关键指标。</blockquote></p><p> When a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.</p><p><blockquote>当股价在交易量大的情况下飙升时，这是机构需求的明显迹象。这是一个关键指标，表明占股市大部分交易的共同基金经理和其他大额买家正在抢购股票。这种积累是价格大幅波动的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> Piggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.</p><p><blockquote>对于聪明的投资者来说，利用这种行动是一种行之有效的成功方式。但请务必仔细研究价格图表，以找到突破适当基础或从关键图表水平反弹的股票。当股票达到买入点时，理想情况下成交量将比平均水平高出至少40%。</blockquote></p><p> The IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查是另一个关键工具。在供应和需求部分，您可以找到所有关键相关标准的通过或失败评级。</blockquote></p><p> That includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.</p><p><blockquote>这包括有关股票市值及其累积/分配评级的信息，该评级衡量过去13周的机构买卖情况。此外，拥有股票的基金的百分比变化以及基金所有权增加的季度数。寻找在所有这些领域亮起绿灯的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 11:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.</p><p><blockquote>供求规律表面上看起来很简单，但对于想要利用重大价格波动的股票投资者来说，理解其中的细微差别是关键。</blockquote></p><p> Supply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.</p><p><blockquote>供求是商业和经济学的基本原则之一。最近的一个简单例子是，在与Covid相关的短缺中，木材价格如何飙升。</blockquote></p><p> In the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.</p><p><blockquote>在股市上，随着需求的增加，被大资金视为最佳定位的公司的股价将被推高。当这种情况发生时，供应也将受到限制，因为持有者将更不愿意出售他们的股票。因此，供给和需求是IBD的Can Slim投资方法中的S，也是投资者角系列第四篇的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Legendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"</p><p><blockquote>IBD传奇创始人威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)在他的经典著作《如何在股票中赚钱》中写道，供求关系“比华尔街所有分析师的意见更重要，无论他们上过什么学校，他们获得了什么学位，或者他们的智商有多高。”</blockquote></p><p> Float Size Matters</p><p><blockquote>浮子大小很重要</blockquote></p><p> A key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>要记住的关键点是您关注的股票的流通量是大还是小：可供交易的股票数量。锁定一只股票供应量较少的股票意味着你可能会陷入疯狂，无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，投资拥有大量流通股的大盘股意味着该股票更难做出大动作。从好的方面来说，这也可以减轻胃部的压力。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.</p><p><blockquote>理想的情况是找到一个快乐的媒介——一只拥有强劲盈利增长的股票，并且仍在通过提供新产品和服务进行扩张的股票。还要寻找一个吸引机构投资者注意的。尽管如此，任何资本规模的公司的股票都可以被苗条的投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p> Other encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.</p><p><blockquote>其他值得关注的令人鼓舞的迹象是公司正在回购股票，这减少了市场上的股票供应。</blockquote></p><p> How do you measure demand?</p><p><blockquote>你如何衡量需求？</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.</p><p><blockquote>正如研究股票时经常出现的情况一样，图表是关键。看日均交易量。股票交易数量远高于或低于正常水平的天数是一个关键指标。</blockquote></p><p> When a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.</p><p><blockquote>当股价在交易量大的情况下飙升时，这是机构需求的明显迹象。这是一个关键指标，表明占股市大部分交易的共同基金经理和其他大额买家正在抢购股票。这种积累是价格大幅波动的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> Piggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.</p><p><blockquote>对于聪明的投资者来说，利用这种行动是一种行之有效的成功方式。但请务必仔细研究价格图表，以找到突破适当基础或从关键图表水平反弹的股票。当股票达到买入点时，理想情况下成交量将比平均水平高出至少40%。</blockquote></p><p> The IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查是另一个关键工具。在供应和需求部分，您可以找到所有关键相关标准的通过或失败评级。</blockquote></p><p> That includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.</p><p><blockquote>这包括有关股票市值及其累积/分配评级的信息，该评级衡量过去13周的机构买卖情况。此外，拥有股票的基金的百分比变化以及基金所有权增加的季度数。寻找在所有这些领域亮起绿灯的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/heres-how-the-laws-of-supply-and-demand-lead-to-major-moves-for-growth-stocks/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/heres-how-the-laws-of-supply-and-demand-lead-to-major-moves-for-growth-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124717185","content_text":"The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.\nSupply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.\nIn the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.\nLegendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"\nFloat Size Matters\nA key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.\nOn the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.\nThe ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.\nOther encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.\nHow do you measure demand?\nAs is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.\nWhen a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.\nPiggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.\nThe IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.\nThat includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":350,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":841349353,"gmtCreate":1635892705334,"gmtModify":1635892705467,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👏","listText":"👏","text":"👏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841349353","repostId":"2180020937","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2180020937","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635846331,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2180020937?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2180020937","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted tw","content":"<p>Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很高。你不妨从中获利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/143c38befb27f09743294aafaffbe94a\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>该国的高通胀率已成为华尔街的严重担忧。</blockquote></p><p> But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.</p><p><blockquote>但对于普通投资者来说幸运的是，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在应对这种环境方面拥有丰富的经验。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪70年代管理了一个股票投资组合，度过了两位数的通胀率时期，并就消费者价格飙升时持有什么股票提出了很多建议。</blockquote></p><p> In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.</p><p><blockquote>在1981年致伯克希尔股东的一封信中，巴菲特强调了使企业能够很好地适应通货膨胀环境的两个特征：1）能够轻松提高价格，2）能够在不花费太多的情况下承接更多业务。为了做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，瞄准投资有定价权的轻资产业务。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.</p><p><blockquote>让我们快速浏览一下符合这一描述的三家公司。其中一个（或全部）可能值得用你的闲钱购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐克(NKE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a24fd7cb9b4e01313c7bb848af6da9d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TY Lim/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>泰·林/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.</p><p><blockquote>耐克是全球鞋类巨头，拥有很高的客户忠诚度。</blockquote></p><p> Customers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.</p><p><blockquote>顾客愿意花高价购买与勒布朗·詹姆斯和迈克尔·乔丹等知名运动员相关的标志性装备。</blockquote></p><p> Despite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临通胀压力，耐克仍继续扩大毛利率，并实现远高于30%的稳健股本回报率。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还在日益数字化、直接面向消费者的商业模式中获取其产品的全价。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，到2025年，数字销售可能会继续从目前占收入的20%增长到业务的40%左右。价格上涨最早可能在明年开始。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，利润率可能会继续扩大，即使运营成本随着通货膨胀而上升。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，耐克股价已上涨约19%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果(AAPL)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22460a66469a2da0380edd32d454c84\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Vytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>维陶塔斯·基莱蒂斯/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Global demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>全球对苹果高端硬件的需求正在增长，其高利润苹果服务的采用率也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Strong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.</p><p><blockquote>强大的品牌形象、用户友好性和各种完全集成的产品是不会很快消失的强大属性。</blockquote></p><p> Customers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.</p><p><blockquote>客户无法生活在苹果生态系统之外。随着通胀飙升，这让这家科技巨头在定价方面有更多的自由。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最新的M1芯片将逐渐取代每台Mac中的英特尔CPU，突显了其不断创新的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，苹果有能力将不断上升的成本转嫁给全球消费者群体，而不会大幅损失销量。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.</p><p><blockquote>Warren Buffett允许苹果在Berkshire Hathaway的投资组合中增长到40%，这是有充分理由的：该业务在所有经济周期中都保持利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年迄今已上涨约13%，交易价格接近每股150美元。但如果你对目前的水平犹豫不决，一些应用程序可能会给你一份免费的苹果，只是为了注册。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Levi Strauss &amp; Co. (LEVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>李维斯公司（LEVI）</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71b31165e275a966ad050139a054c73a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.</p><p><blockquote>作为牛仔布行业的市场领导者，李维斯最近一直在全力以赴。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，其知名品牌和灵活的商业模式使管理层能够在不牺牲定价权的情况下增加营收。</blockquote></p><p> In the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.</p><p><blockquote>最近一个季度，收入增长了41%，调整后毛利率提高了390个基点，达到57.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，管理层早在2020年就开始主动调整通胀定价。</blockquote></p><p> The company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还从24个不同的国家采购原材料。这种供应链多元化为李维斯在危机时期提供了足够的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Levi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Levi股价在2021年上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ultimate 'forever asset'?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终极“永久资产”？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d520eb27cdf18f25a787cd9145eb1b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过，他最喜欢的持有期是永远。</blockquote></p><p> But forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.</p><p><blockquote>但永远是一段很长的时间，由于公司兴衰，通过从不出售股票来增加财富可能不是最好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> But there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.</p><p><blockquote>但可能有一个通胀避风港值得永远持有——美国农田。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> No matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.</p><p><blockquote>无论消费价格攀升得多高或多快，人们仍然需要吃饭。而恰好巴菲特的好朋友比尔·盖茨是美国最大的农田私人所有者。</blockquote></p><p> These days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.</p><p><blockquote>如今，新平台允许你通过入股你选择的农场来投资美国农田。</blockquote></p><p> You’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.</p><p><blockquote>你将从租赁费和农作物销售中获得现金收入。当然，除此之外，你还会从任何长期升值中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <i>This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>本文仅提供信息，不应被解释为建议。它没有任何形式的担保。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-02 17:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很高。你不妨从中获利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/143c38befb27f09743294aafaffbe94a\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>该国的高通胀率已成为华尔街的严重担忧。</blockquote></p><p> But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.</p><p><blockquote>但对于普通投资者来说幸运的是，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在应对这种环境方面拥有丰富的经验。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪70年代管理了一个股票投资组合，度过了两位数的通胀率时期，并就消费者价格飙升时持有什么股票提出了很多建议。</blockquote></p><p> In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.</p><p><blockquote>在1981年致伯克希尔股东的一封信中，巴菲特强调了使企业能够很好地适应通货膨胀环境的两个特征：1）能够轻松提高价格，2）能够在不花费太多的情况下承接更多业务。为了做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，瞄准投资有定价权的轻资产业务。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.</p><p><blockquote>让我们快速浏览一下符合这一描述的三家公司。其中一个（或全部）可能值得用你的闲钱购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐克(NKE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a24fd7cb9b4e01313c7bb848af6da9d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TY Lim/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>泰·林/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.</p><p><blockquote>耐克是全球鞋类巨头，拥有很高的客户忠诚度。</blockquote></p><p> Customers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.</p><p><blockquote>顾客愿意花高价购买与勒布朗·詹姆斯和迈克尔·乔丹等知名运动员相关的标志性装备。</blockquote></p><p> Despite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临通胀压力，耐克仍继续扩大毛利率，并实现远高于30%的稳健股本回报率。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还在日益数字化、直接面向消费者的商业模式中获取其产品的全价。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，到2025年，数字销售可能会继续从目前占收入的20%增长到业务的40%左右。价格上涨最早可能在明年开始。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，利润率可能会继续扩大，即使运营成本随着通货膨胀而上升。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，耐克股价已上涨约19%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果(AAPL)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22460a66469a2da0380edd32d454c84\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Vytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>维陶塔斯·基莱蒂斯/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Global demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>全球对苹果高端硬件的需求正在增长，其高利润苹果服务的采用率也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Strong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.</p><p><blockquote>强大的品牌形象、用户友好性和各种完全集成的产品是不会很快消失的强大属性。</blockquote></p><p> Customers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.</p><p><blockquote>客户无法生活在苹果生态系统之外。随着通胀飙升，这让这家科技巨头在定价方面有更多的自由。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最新的M1芯片将逐渐取代每台Mac中的英特尔CPU，突显了其不断创新的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，苹果有能力将不断上升的成本转嫁给全球消费者群体，而不会大幅损失销量。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.</p><p><blockquote>Warren Buffett允许苹果在Berkshire Hathaway的投资组合中增长到40%，这是有充分理由的：该业务在所有经济周期中都保持利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年迄今已上涨约13%，交易价格接近每股150美元。但如果你对目前的水平犹豫不决，一些应用程序可能会给你一份免费的苹果，只是为了注册。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Levi Strauss &amp; Co. (LEVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>李维斯公司（LEVI）</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71b31165e275a966ad050139a054c73a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.</p><p><blockquote>作为牛仔布行业的市场领导者，李维斯最近一直在全力以赴。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，其知名品牌和灵活的商业模式使管理层能够在不牺牲定价权的情况下增加营收。</blockquote></p><p> In the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.</p><p><blockquote>最近一个季度，收入增长了41%，调整后毛利率提高了390个基点，达到57.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，管理层早在2020年就开始主动调整通胀定价。</blockquote></p><p> The company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还从24个不同的国家采购原材料。这种供应链多元化为李维斯在危机时期提供了足够的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Levi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Levi股价在2021年上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ultimate 'forever asset'?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终极“永久资产”？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d520eb27cdf18f25a787cd9145eb1b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过，他最喜欢的持有期是永远。</blockquote></p><p> But forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.</p><p><blockquote>但永远是一段很长的时间，由于公司兴衰，通过从不出售股票来增加财富可能不是最好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> But there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.</p><p><blockquote>但可能有一个通胀避风港值得永远持有——美国农田。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> No matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.</p><p><blockquote>无论消费价格攀升得多高或多快，人们仍然需要吃饭。而恰好巴菲特的好朋友比尔·盖茨是美国最大的农田私人所有者。</blockquote></p><p> These days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.</p><p><blockquote>如今，新平台允许你通过入股你选择的农场来投资美国农田。</blockquote></p><p> You’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.</p><p><blockquote>你将从租赁费和农作物销售中获得现金收入。当然，除此之外，你还会从任何长期升值中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <i>This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>本文仅提供信息，不应被解释为建议。它没有任何形式的担保。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://moneywise.com/investing/stocks/warren-buffett-inflation-stocks\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","LEVI":"李维斯","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://moneywise.com/investing/stocks/warren-buffett-inflation-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2180020937","content_text":"Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.\n\nHigh inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.\nBut fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.\nBuffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.\nIn a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.\nIn other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.\nLet’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.\nNike (NKE)\nTY Lim/Shutterstock\nNike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.\nCustomers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.\nDespite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.\nThe company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.\nManagement believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.\nAmazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.\nNike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.\nApple (AAPL)\nVytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock\nGlobal demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.\nStrong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.\nCustomers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.\nThe company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.\nApple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.\nWarren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.\nApple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.\nLevi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)\ndean bertoncelj/Shutterstock\nA market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.\nSpecifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.\nIn the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.\nIn fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.\nThe company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.\nLevi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.\nThe ultimate 'forever asset'?\nMNStudio/Shutterstock\nWarren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.\nBut forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.\nBut there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.\nNo matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.\nThese days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.\nYou’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.\nThis article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.B":0.9,"NKE":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"LEVI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866294573,"gmtCreate":1632783551992,"gmtModify":1632797930411,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866294573","repostId":"2170624172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":835748286,"gmtCreate":1629758921845,"gmtModify":1633682746059,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835748286","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824597104,"gmtCreate":1634336101012,"gmtModify":1634336101423,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like pls&nbsp;","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824597104","repostId":"2175117376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":899288313,"gmtCreate":1628200527032,"gmtModify":1633752794906,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899288313","repostId":"2157430168","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821863383,"gmtCreate":1633731988752,"gmtModify":1633731989180,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821863383","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买给零售股带来了动力。</b>没有什么比十月的一点动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要让他们的消极影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得考虑的行业之一的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详细信息和链接见下面的简历），以在市场上进行逆向“评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其负面，但本周下跌足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的逆向信号。（我就不指名道姓了。）而他们的消极在我的书里是看涨信号的事实，并不意味着我认为他们是密集的。只是高调的媒体评论员是共识海绵。这是一种职业危害——作为投资者，我们可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体发言人，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最疲软的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，这个惨淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的1月至5月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从10月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11月和12月可能会表现强劲。那是十月底完成的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，病例数和住院人数急剧下降。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季COVID流感季节。所以，今年期待同样的事情并不太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有已经接种疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.修正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>入夏以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动回调。罗素2000RUT,+0.14%8月份下跌超过10%，这是回调的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。嘉信理财首席投资策略师Liz Ann Sonders指出，截至10月初，90%或更多的标准普尔500SPX(-0.05%)和纳斯达克综合指数(-0.28%)股票已较2021年高点下跌至少10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当所有人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。大多数时候，市场有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这种方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.家庭结构强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于放弃了父母的地下室——如果这种陈词滥调有任何真实性的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>事实是：他们正在进入婚姻和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，所以他们有足够的信心投入到住房所有权。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万个家庭组成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满这些新房子。这是一个内置的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者害怕，锁定和装载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源可以推动经济增长。一个是上面提到的家庭结构。另一个原因是公司库存水平较低——它们必须大量补货。但对我来说，最大的因素是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：消费者感到害怕。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情的继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数衡量，8月份消费者信心处于大流行开始以来的最低水平。9月份有所上升，但仍处于低位。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是6%-7%左右的长期平均水平的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要错误地认为这只是富人因为股市而变得更富。房价也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比为1985年以来最低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“消费者感到害怕，并且充满了未开发的购买力，”保尔森说。他表示：“这种悲观心态加上购买力过剩，从历史上看，市场出现了稳健的上涨，但很少出现下跌。”“这个比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我建议选择零售股。他们表现不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将Bath&amp;Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%视为一家拥有护城河且交易折扣的零售商。这家身体护理和家用香水零售商获得四星级评级，因为其股票交易价格远低于晨星公司对该名称79美元的“公允价值”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师Jaime Katz列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领导地位以及30%的平均投资资本回报率，远高于其8%的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX(+1.83%)的投资组合经理埃里克·马歇尔(Eric Marshall)看好服装零售商American Eagle OutfittersAEO(0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌了35%以上。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的Aerie品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过2美元，这使得American Eagle股票的预期市盈率约为13倍，非常便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一双热情的手。据晨星公司称，他的Hodges小型股基金今年上涨了31%，比小型混合基金和罗素2000指数基准高出12至18个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%，该公司销售运动和户外休闲用品。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的大流行销售帮助该公司降低了高债务水平。分析师担心大流行引发的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对亚马逊MAMZN(0.03%)和沃尔玛WMT(0.03%)的力量感到敬畏，但Motley Fool零售行业分析师Asit Sharma更青睐掌握“直接面向消费者”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合——包括在店内提货网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马说：“零售业常年受到负面评价，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在关闭所有实体店。”但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供出色的店内体验和独特的产品，这是这两家零售巨头无法真正提供的。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma引用了Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢该公司在面料方面投入自己的研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马还青睐Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮品”和户外设备。对于较大的股票名称，请考虑受欢迎的零售巨头TargetTGT，-0.24%，因其“一切都在一个屋檐下”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买给零售股带来了动力。</b>没有什么比十月的一点动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要让他们的消极影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得考虑的行业之一的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详细信息和链接见下面的简历），以在市场上进行逆向“评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其负面，但本周下跌足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的逆向信号。（我就不指名道姓了。）而他们的消极在我的书里是看涨信号的事实，并不意味着我认为他们是密集的。只是高调的媒体评论员是共识海绵。这是一种职业危害——作为投资者，我们可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体发言人，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最疲软的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，这个惨淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的1月至5月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从10月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11月和12月可能会表现强劲。那是十月底完成的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，病例数和住院人数急剧下降。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季COVID流感季节。所以，今年期待同样的事情并不太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有已经接种疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.修正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>入夏以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动回调。罗素2000RUT,+0.14%8月份下跌超过10%，这是回调的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。嘉信理财首席投资策略师Liz Ann Sonders指出，截至10月初，90%或更多的标准普尔500SPX(-0.05%)和纳斯达克综合指数(-0.28%)股票已较2021年高点下跌至少10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当所有人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。大多数时候，市场有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这种方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.家庭结构强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于放弃了父母的地下室——如果这种陈词滥调有任何真实性的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>事实是：他们正在进入婚姻和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，所以他们有足够的信心投入到住房所有权。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万个家庭组成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满这些新房子。这是一个内置的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者害怕，锁定和装载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源可以推动经济增长。一个是上面提到的家庭结构。另一个原因是公司库存水平较低——它们必须大量补货。但对我来说，最大的因素是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：消费者感到害怕。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情的继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数衡量，8月份消费者信心处于大流行开始以来的最低水平。9月份有所上升，但仍处于低位。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是6%-7%左右的长期平均水平的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要错误地认为这只是富人因为股市而变得更富。房价也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比为1985年以来最低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“消费者感到害怕，并且充满了未开发的购买力，”保尔森说。他表示：“这种悲观心态加上购买力过剩，从历史上看，市场出现了稳健的上涨，但很少出现下跌。”“这个比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我建议选择零售股。他们表现不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将Bath&amp;Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%视为一家拥有护城河且交易折扣的零售商。这家身体护理和家用香水零售商获得四星级评级，因为其股票交易价格远低于晨星公司对该名称79美元的“公允价值”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师Jaime Katz列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领导地位以及30%的平均投资资本回报率，远高于其8%的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX(+1.83%)的投资组合经理埃里克·马歇尔(Eric Marshall)看好服装零售商American Eagle OutfittersAEO(0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌了35%以上。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的Aerie品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过2美元，这使得American Eagle股票的预期市盈率约为13倍，非常便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一双热情的手。据晨星公司称，他的Hodges小型股基金今年上涨了31%，比小型混合基金和罗素2000指数基准高出12至18个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%，该公司销售运动和户外休闲用品。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的大流行销售帮助该公司降低了高债务水平。分析师担心大流行引发的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对亚马逊MAMZN(0.03%)和沃尔玛WMT(0.03%)的力量感到敬畏，但Motley Fool零售行业分析师Asit Sharma更青睐掌握“直接面向消费者”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合——包括在店内提货网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马说：“零售业常年受到负面评价，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在关闭所有实体店。”但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供出色的店内体验和独特的产品，这是这两家零售巨头无法真正提供的。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma引用了Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢该公司在面料方面投入自己的研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马还青睐Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮品”和户外设备。对于较大的股票名称，请考虑受欢迎的零售巨头TargetTGT，-0.24%，因其“一切都在一个屋檐下”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869373494,"gmtCreate":1632263987818,"gmtModify":1632801741324,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869373494","repostId":"1154232593","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154232593","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632236324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154232593?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-21 22:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow erases a 343-point rebound and turns red<blockquote>道指抹去343点反弹并翻红</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154232593","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 21) After yesterday afternoon's surge higher, futures markets overnight extended the momentum,","content":"<p>(Sept 21)&nbsp;After yesterday afternoon's surge higher, futures markets overnight extended the momentum, lifting US markets up over 1% at their peak around the European open (remember, much of Asian liquidity is on holiday still).</p><p><blockquote>（9月21日）在昨天下午飙升后，期货市场隔夜延续了这一势头，推动美国市场在欧洲开盘前后的峰值上涨超过1%（请记住，大部分亚洲流动性仍在度假）。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, things have gone downhill and the selling pressure since the US opened has sent Small Caps, S&amp;P, Dow, and Nasdaq into the red for the day...</p><p><blockquote>从那以后，事情开始走下坡路，自美国开盘以来的抛售压力导致小盘股、S&amp;P、道琼斯和纳斯达克当天出现亏损...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/098e0b3b1c0255545ee40a5e5ac19c60\" tg-width=\"1232\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow erases a 343-point rebound and turns red<blockquote>道指抹去343点反弹并翻红</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-21 22:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 21)&nbsp;After yesterday afternoon's surge higher, futures markets overnight extended the momentum, lifting US markets up over 1% at their peak around the European open (remember, much of Asian liquidity is on holiday still).</p><p><blockquote>（9月21日）在昨天下午飙升后，期货市场隔夜延续了这一势头，推动美国市场在欧洲开盘前后的峰值上涨超过1%（请记住，大部分亚洲流动性仍在度假）。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, things have gone downhill and the selling pressure since the US opened has sent Small Caps, S&amp;P, Dow, and Nasdaq into the red for the day...</p><p><blockquote>从那以后，事情开始走下坡路，自美国开盘以来的抛售压力导致小盘股、S&amp;P、道琼斯和纳斯达克当天出现亏损...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/098e0b3b1c0255545ee40a5e5ac19c60\" tg-width=\"1232\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154232593","content_text":"(Sept 21) After yesterday afternoon's surge higher, futures markets overnight extended the momentum, lifting US markets up over 1% at their peak around the European open (remember, much of Asian liquidity is on holiday still).\nSince then, things have gone downhill and the selling pressure since the US opened has sent Small Caps, S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq into the red for the day...","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880632672,"gmtCreate":1631053858596,"gmtModify":1631890847121,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍&nbsp;","listText":"👍&nbsp;","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880632672","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896071565,"gmtCreate":1628549110757,"gmtModify":1633746354734,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896071565","repostId":"1128238834","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128238834","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628521549,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128238834?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 23:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128238834","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for it","content":"<p>Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月9日-一位知情人士周一表示，投资银行杰富瑞金融集团(Jefferies Financial Group Inc)大幅提高了银行家的薪资，这反映了其他华尔街银行的薪资趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.</p><p><blockquote>该银行在美国的第一年分析师现在的年薪将从85,000美元提高到11万美元。该消息人士称，二年级分析师的年薪将从9万美元增至12.5万美元。该消息人士无权就此事公开发言，并要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> Salaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士补充说，员工的工资从12.5万美元提高到15万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》当天早些时候报道了新的薪酬标准，该标准自7月1日起生效，此前华尔街主要公司也采取了类似举措，以吸引和留住顶尖人才，因为交易活动继续以前所未有的速度进行。</blockquote></p><p> Banks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一组一年级分析师在三月份的一项内部调查中抱怨工作时间长和“不切实际的最后期限”后，银行也一直在向年轻员工提供激励措施。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团和拉扎德有限公司也提高了银行家的薪酬。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestment bank Jefferies raises pay for analysts - source<blockquote>投资银行杰富瑞提高分析师薪酬——消息人士</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 23:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月9日-一位知情人士周一表示，投资银行杰富瑞金融集团(Jefferies Financial Group Inc)大幅提高了银行家的薪资，这反映了其他华尔街银行的薪资趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.</p><p><blockquote>该银行在美国的第一年分析师现在的年薪将从85,000美元提高到11万美元。该消息人士称，二年级分析师的年薪将从9万美元增至12.5万美元。该消息人士无权就此事公开发言，并要求匿名。</blockquote></p><p> Salaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士补充说，员工的工资从12.5万美元提高到15万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》当天早些时候报道了新的薪酬标准，该标准自7月1日起生效，此前华尔街主要公司也采取了类似举措，以吸引和留住顶尖人才，因为交易活动继续以前所未有的速度进行。</blockquote></p><p> Banks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.</p><p><blockquote>高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.)的一组一年级分析师在三月份的一项内部调查中抱怨工作时间长和“不切实际的最后期限”后，银行也一直在向年轻员工提供激励措施。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团、摩根士丹利、瑞银集团和拉扎德有限公司也提高了银行家的薪酬。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/jefferies-analyst-compensation/investment-bank-jefferies-raises-pay-for-analysts-source-idUSL4N2PG2U4\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/jefferies-analyst-compensation/investment-bank-jefferies-raises-pay-for-analysts-source-idUSL4N2PG2U4","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128238834","content_text":"Aug 9 (Reuters) - Investment bank Jefferies Financial Group Inc has markedly boosted salaries for its bankers, a source close to the matter said on Monday, mirroring a pay-scale trend by other Wall Street lenders.\nThe bank’s first-year analysts in the United States will now earn $110,000 annually, up from $85,000. Second-year analysts will make $125,000 per year, up from $90,000, said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter and asked for anonymity.\nSalaries of associates were raised to $150,000 from $125,000, the source added.\nThe new pay scale, which was reported earlier in the day by the Wall Street Journal, has been in effect since July 1 and follows similar moves by major Wall Street firms to attract and retain top talent as dealmaking activity continues at an unprecedented pace.\nBanks have also been introducing incentives to younger staff after a group of first-year analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc complained of long hours and “unrealistic deadlines” in an internal survey in March.\nCitigroup Inc, Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG , and Lazard Ltd have also raised pay for their bankers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":852244412,"gmtCreate":1635287879770,"gmtModify":1635287880237,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Like please&nbsp;","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852244412","repostId":"1162410055","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162410055","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635261442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162410055?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Doomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162410055","media":"Reuters","summary":"Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing ca","content":"<p>Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing carbon emissions in line with the Paris Agreement should be a key tenet of their business agenda.</p><p><blockquote>从大众到日产和福特，汽车和卡车制造商都接受了这样一种说法，即根据《巴黎协定》减少碳排放应该是其商业议程的一个关键原则。</blockquote></p><p> Are they doing enough? Research shows their goals are still a far cry from what is needed, but the jury is out on whether automakers alone are responsible for the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>他们做得够吗？研究表明，他们的目标与需求仍相去甚远，但汽车制造商是否独自应对短缺负责还没有定论。</blockquote></p><p> While some say carmakers should plan to make their fleets carbon-neutral whatever the circumstances, companies argue that their ability to transition to electric vehicles (EV) is dependent on conditions outside their direct control.</p><p><blockquote>虽然有人说汽车制造商应该计划在任何情况下使其车队实现碳中和，但公司认为，他们向电动汽车(EV)过渡的能力取决于他们直接控制之外的条件。</blockquote></p><p> Consultancy firm Boston Consulting Group said in a report released last week that at least 90% of new passenger vehicles and 70% of trucks must be electric by 2030 in order to meet climate targets, echoing environmental groups like Greenpeace.</p><p><blockquote>咨询公司波士顿咨询集团在上周发布的一份报告中表示，为了实现气候目标，到2030年，至少90%的新乘用车和70%的卡车必须是电动的，这与绿色和平组织等环保组织相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> But among major auto brands, very few - among them Geely's Volvo and VW's Bentley - have set goals for 100% EV production by then, with most arguing that they cannot take full accountability for a transition to electric vehicles without the market conditions to remain profitable in the process.</p><p><blockquote>但在主要汽车品牌中，很少有品牌——包括吉利旗下的沃尔沃和大众旗下的宾利——设定了届时100%电动汽车生产的目标，大多数品牌认为，如果没有市场条件来保持盈利，他们就无法对向电动汽车的过渡承担全部责任在这个过程中。</blockquote></p><p> German luxury carmaker Daimler, for example, has refrained from stating it will produce only electric vehicles by 2030 no matter what - instead it has emphasised it will be \"ready to go all electric ... where market conditions allow.\"</p><p><blockquote>例如，德国豪华汽车制造商戴姆勒没有表示无论如何都将在2030年只生产电动汽车，而是强调将“准备好在市场条件允许的情况下实现全电动化”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We will lead from the front. Is it realistic to turn 100% of the market by 2030? It would be a stretch,\" Daimler's CEO Ola Kaellenius told Reuters in an interview, adding he hoped to see countries and economic regions do their bit at the COP26 summit by synchronising their plans for electric vehicle rollouts.</p><p><blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官Ola Kaellenius在接受路透社采访时表示：“我们将从前线引领。到2030年实现100%的市场份额现实吗？这将是一个延伸。”他补充说，他希望看到各国和经济地区尽自己的一份力量在COP26峰会上同步电动汽车推广计划。</blockquote></p><p> Charging infrastructure is just one of many challenges standing between the auto industry, estimated by the International Energy Agency to be responsible for around 18% of all carbon emissions worldwide, and climate neutrality.</p><p><blockquote>充电基础设施只是汽车行业与气候中和之间面临的众多挑战之一，据国际能源署估计，汽车行业约占全球碳排放量的18%。</blockquote></p><p> Others include getting rid of dirty fossil-fuel powered cars still on the roads, reducing emissions in battery production, and building storage systems for renewable energy to ensure the electricity used to charge electric cars is from renewable sources.</p><p><blockquote>其他措施包括淘汰仍在路上行驶的肮脏的化石燃料动力汽车，减少电池生产中的排放，以及建立可再生能源存储系统，以确保用于电动汽车充电的电力来自可再生能源。</blockquote></p><p> TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE?</p><p><blockquote>太少，太晚？</blockquote></p><p> Under carbon reduction policies already agreed by governments and automakers, global CO2 emissions from vehicles are still set to rise over time, research by the International Council on Clean Transportation shows.</p><p><blockquote>国际清洁运输理事会的研究表明，根据政府和汽车制造商已经商定的减碳政策，全球汽车排放的二氧化碳仍将随着时间的推移不断上升。</blockquote></p><p> If policies under discussion are implemented, the growth trajectory stabilises but still does not fall, it said, highlighting growing demand for cars, buses and trucks in coming years due to population growth and increased economic activity in emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，如果正在讨论的政策得到实施，增长轨迹将会稳定，但仍不会下降，突显出由于人口增长和新兴市场经济活动的增加，未来几年对汽车、公共汽车和卡车的需求将不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> While one in five vehicles sold in Europe last quarter were electrified, the share is much lower in the United States at around 2%. EVs are an even tinier slice of sales in less rich markets such as Latin America or Southeast Asia.</p><p><blockquote>虽然上季度欧洲销售的汽车中有五分之一是电动汽车，但美国的这一比例要低得多，约为2%。在拉丁美洲或东南亚等不太富裕的市场，电动汽车在销量中所占的份额甚至更小。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers and governments must also find answers for labour unions who are worried that a rapid shift to EVs will put thousands of workers out of their jobs.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商和政府还必须为工会找到答案，工会担心快速转向电动汽车将导致数千名工人失业。</blockquote></p><p> This includes German unions demanding clarity from Stellantis on its plans for Opel plants, and U.S. President Joe Biden facing pressure from the U.S. United Auto Workers' union to provide more state support during the EV transition.</p><p><blockquote>其中包括德国工会要求Stellantis明确其欧宝工厂计划，以及美国总统乔·拜登面临美国汽车工人联合会的压力，要求其在电动汽车转型期间提供更多国家支持。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of factors involved ... we try to project a realistic picture,\" a spokesperson for Germany's BMW said. \"But if certain conditions change fundamentally, we will of course have to re-examine our climate goals.\"</p><p><blockquote>德国宝马发言人表示：“涉及很多因素……我们试图描绘出一幅现实的画面。”“但如果某些条件发生根本性变化，我们当然必须重新审视我们的气候目标。”</blockquote></p><p> CARBON EMITTER</p><p><blockquote>碳排放体</blockquote></p><p> The majority of a vehicle's emissions do not come from the manufacturing process, but from the fuel used to power it - be it electricity, petrol, or diesel.</p><p><blockquote>汽车的大部分排放不是来自制造过程，而是来自用于驱动它的燃料——无论是电力、汽油还是柴油。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of electric vehicles, the process of making batteries is also a significant carbon emitter, with a Volkswagen ID.3 for example generating nearly twice the emissions of a diesel equivalent in the production phase, according to company calculations.</p><p><blockquote>就电动汽车而言，电池制造过程也是一个重要的碳排放者，根据公司计算，例如大众ID.3在生产阶段产生的排放量几乎是柴油车的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> While carmakers are increasingly investing in producing batteries in a more environmentally friendly way, controlling the source of energy flowing into electric cars is much harder.</p><p><blockquote>虽然汽车制造商越来越多地投资以更环保的方式生产电池，但控制流入电动汽车的能源来源要困难得多。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers like VW and Tesla are growing their offering of residential storage systems for clients to power vehicles through mechanisms like solar panels on their roofs – but the question of who is responsible for sourcing and distributing energy in public spaces is more contentious.</p><p><blockquote>大众和特斯拉等汽车制造商正在增加为客户提供的住宅存储系统，通过屋顶太阳能电池板等机制为车辆提供动力，但谁负责在公共场所采购和分配能源的问题更具争议。</blockquote></p><p> Even if automakers invest in public charging stations, ongoing problems with storage of renewable energy could force energy providers to rely on coal and natural gas to meet short-term demand, as recent volatility in energy markets has shown.</p><p><blockquote>即使汽车制造商投资公共充电站，可再生能源储存方面持续存在的问题也可能迫使能源供应商依赖煤炭和天然气来满足短期需求，正如最近能源市场的波动所表明的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Lobby groups such as the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association and the U.S.-based Alliance for Automotive Innovation have urged states to invest in renewable-based charging infrastructure, from public-private investments to fully state-funded projects.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲汽车制造商协会和美国汽车创新联盟等游说团体敦促各州投资可再生能源充电基础设施，从公私投资到完全由国家资助的项目。</blockquote></p><p> But some environmental groups argue that relying on taxpayer funds is unfair as the networks would disproportionately benefit car companies and owners, as opposed to spending on public transport.</p><p><blockquote>但一些环保组织认为，依赖纳税人资金是不公平的，因为与公共交通支出相比，这些网络将使汽车公司和车主不成比例地受益。</blockquote></p><p> Another lingering problem is the diesel and gas cars still driving on roads beyond 2030, which will bump up the industry's emissions well beyond the limit necessary to stay within the Paris Agreements' bounds, researchers have said.</p><p><blockquote>研究人员表示，另一个挥之不去的问题是柴油和汽油汽车在2030年之后仍在道路上行驶，这将使该行业的排放量远远超过保持在《巴黎协定》范围内所需的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Even if half of all new cars sold in 2035 were zero emission – which climate goals set by BMW, General Motors and Nissan would account for – some 70% of vehicles on roads would still be burning fossil fuels, Boston Consulting has said.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿咨询公司表示，即使2035年售出的所有新车中有一半是零排放的（宝马、通用汽车和日产设定的气候目标将占这一比例），道路上约70%的车辆仍将燃烧化石燃料。</blockquote></p><p> \"Even economies in the vanguard of the climate-change fight are therefore likely to fall short of decarbonisation targets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，即使是气候变化斗争的先锋经济体也可能达不到脱碳目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Doomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoomed to fail? How carmakers' climate vows fall short - and who's to blame<blockquote>注定要失败？汽车制造商的气候誓言如何落空——谁该受到责备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 23:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing carbon emissions in line with the Paris Agreement should be a key tenet of their business agenda.</p><p><blockquote>从大众到日产和福特，汽车和卡车制造商都接受了这样一种说法，即根据《巴黎协定》减少碳排放应该是其商业议程的一个关键原则。</blockquote></p><p> Are they doing enough? Research shows their goals are still a far cry from what is needed, but the jury is out on whether automakers alone are responsible for the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>他们做得够吗？研究表明，他们的目标与需求仍相去甚远，但汽车制造商是否独自应对短缺负责还没有定论。</blockquote></p><p> While some say carmakers should plan to make their fleets carbon-neutral whatever the circumstances, companies argue that their ability to transition to electric vehicles (EV) is dependent on conditions outside their direct control.</p><p><blockquote>虽然有人说汽车制造商应该计划在任何情况下使其车队实现碳中和，但公司认为，他们向电动汽车(EV)过渡的能力取决于他们直接控制之外的条件。</blockquote></p><p> Consultancy firm Boston Consulting Group said in a report released last week that at least 90% of new passenger vehicles and 70% of trucks must be electric by 2030 in order to meet climate targets, echoing environmental groups like Greenpeace.</p><p><blockquote>咨询公司波士顿咨询集团在上周发布的一份报告中表示，为了实现气候目标，到2030年，至少90%的新乘用车和70%的卡车必须是电动的，这与绿色和平组织等环保组织相呼应。</blockquote></p><p> But among major auto brands, very few - among them Geely's Volvo and VW's Bentley - have set goals for 100% EV production by then, with most arguing that they cannot take full accountability for a transition to electric vehicles without the market conditions to remain profitable in the process.</p><p><blockquote>但在主要汽车品牌中，很少有品牌——包括吉利旗下的沃尔沃和大众旗下的宾利——设定了届时100%电动汽车生产的目标，大多数品牌认为，如果没有市场条件来保持盈利，他们就无法对向电动汽车的过渡承担全部责任在这个过程中。</blockquote></p><p> German luxury carmaker Daimler, for example, has refrained from stating it will produce only electric vehicles by 2030 no matter what - instead it has emphasised it will be \"ready to go all electric ... where market conditions allow.\"</p><p><blockquote>例如，德国豪华汽车制造商戴姆勒没有表示无论如何都将在2030年只生产电动汽车，而是强调将“准备好在市场条件允许的情况下实现全电动化”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We will lead from the front. Is it realistic to turn 100% of the market by 2030? It would be a stretch,\" Daimler's CEO Ola Kaellenius told Reuters in an interview, adding he hoped to see countries and economic regions do their bit at the COP26 summit by synchronising their plans for electric vehicle rollouts.</p><p><blockquote>戴姆勒首席执行官Ola Kaellenius在接受路透社采访时表示：“我们将从前线引领。到2030年实现100%的市场份额现实吗？这将是一个延伸。”他补充说，他希望看到各国和经济地区尽自己的一份力量在COP26峰会上同步电动汽车推广计划。</blockquote></p><p> Charging infrastructure is just one of many challenges standing between the auto industry, estimated by the International Energy Agency to be responsible for around 18% of all carbon emissions worldwide, and climate neutrality.</p><p><blockquote>充电基础设施只是汽车行业与气候中和之间面临的众多挑战之一，据国际能源署估计，汽车行业约占全球碳排放量的18%。</blockquote></p><p> Others include getting rid of dirty fossil-fuel powered cars still on the roads, reducing emissions in battery production, and building storage systems for renewable energy to ensure the electricity used to charge electric cars is from renewable sources.</p><p><blockquote>其他措施包括淘汰仍在路上行驶的肮脏的化石燃料动力汽车，减少电池生产中的排放，以及建立可再生能源存储系统，以确保用于电动汽车充电的电力来自可再生能源。</blockquote></p><p> TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE?</p><p><blockquote>太少，太晚？</blockquote></p><p> Under carbon reduction policies already agreed by governments and automakers, global CO2 emissions from vehicles are still set to rise over time, research by the International Council on Clean Transportation shows.</p><p><blockquote>国际清洁运输理事会的研究表明，根据政府和汽车制造商已经商定的减碳政策，全球汽车排放的二氧化碳仍将随着时间的推移不断上升。</blockquote></p><p> If policies under discussion are implemented, the growth trajectory stabilises but still does not fall, it said, highlighting growing demand for cars, buses and trucks in coming years due to population growth and increased economic activity in emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，如果正在讨论的政策得到实施，增长轨迹将会稳定，但仍不会下降，突显出由于人口增长和新兴市场经济活动的增加，未来几年对汽车、公共汽车和卡车的需求将不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> While one in five vehicles sold in Europe last quarter were electrified, the share is much lower in the United States at around 2%. EVs are an even tinier slice of sales in less rich markets such as Latin America or Southeast Asia.</p><p><blockquote>虽然上季度欧洲销售的汽车中有五分之一是电动汽车，但美国的这一比例要低得多，约为2%。在拉丁美洲或东南亚等不太富裕的市场，电动汽车在销量中所占的份额甚至更小。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers and governments must also find answers for labour unions who are worried that a rapid shift to EVs will put thousands of workers out of their jobs.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商和政府还必须为工会找到答案，工会担心快速转向电动汽车将导致数千名工人失业。</blockquote></p><p> This includes German unions demanding clarity from Stellantis on its plans for Opel plants, and U.S. President Joe Biden facing pressure from the U.S. United Auto Workers' union to provide more state support during the EV transition.</p><p><blockquote>其中包括德国工会要求Stellantis明确其欧宝工厂计划，以及美国总统乔·拜登面临美国汽车工人联合会的压力，要求其在电动汽车转型期间提供更多国家支持。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of factors involved ... we try to project a realistic picture,\" a spokesperson for Germany's BMW said. \"But if certain conditions change fundamentally, we will of course have to re-examine our climate goals.\"</p><p><blockquote>德国宝马发言人表示：“涉及很多因素……我们试图描绘出一幅现实的画面。”“但如果某些条件发生根本性变化，我们当然必须重新审视我们的气候目标。”</blockquote></p><p> CARBON EMITTER</p><p><blockquote>碳排放体</blockquote></p><p> The majority of a vehicle's emissions do not come from the manufacturing process, but from the fuel used to power it - be it electricity, petrol, or diesel.</p><p><blockquote>汽车的大部分排放不是来自制造过程，而是来自用于驱动它的燃料——无论是电力、汽油还是柴油。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of electric vehicles, the process of making batteries is also a significant carbon emitter, with a Volkswagen ID.3 for example generating nearly twice the emissions of a diesel equivalent in the production phase, according to company calculations.</p><p><blockquote>就电动汽车而言，电池制造过程也是一个重要的碳排放者，根据公司计算，例如大众ID.3在生产阶段产生的排放量几乎是柴油车的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> While carmakers are increasingly investing in producing batteries in a more environmentally friendly way, controlling the source of energy flowing into electric cars is much harder.</p><p><blockquote>虽然汽车制造商越来越多地投资以更环保的方式生产电池，但控制流入电动汽车的能源来源要困难得多。</blockquote></p><p> Automakers like VW and Tesla are growing their offering of residential storage systems for clients to power vehicles through mechanisms like solar panels on their roofs – but the question of who is responsible for sourcing and distributing energy in public spaces is more contentious.</p><p><blockquote>大众和特斯拉等汽车制造商正在增加为客户提供的住宅存储系统，通过屋顶太阳能电池板等机制为车辆提供动力，但谁负责在公共场所采购和分配能源的问题更具争议。</blockquote></p><p> Even if automakers invest in public charging stations, ongoing problems with storage of renewable energy could force energy providers to rely on coal and natural gas to meet short-term demand, as recent volatility in energy markets has shown.</p><p><blockquote>即使汽车制造商投资公共充电站，可再生能源储存方面持续存在的问题也可能迫使能源供应商依赖煤炭和天然气来满足短期需求，正如最近能源市场的波动所表明的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Lobby groups such as the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association and the U.S.-based Alliance for Automotive Innovation have urged states to invest in renewable-based charging infrastructure, from public-private investments to fully state-funded projects.</p><p><blockquote>欧洲汽车制造商协会和美国汽车创新联盟等游说团体敦促各州投资可再生能源充电基础设施，从公私投资到完全由国家资助的项目。</blockquote></p><p> But some environmental groups argue that relying on taxpayer funds is unfair as the networks would disproportionately benefit car companies and owners, as opposed to spending on public transport.</p><p><blockquote>但一些环保组织认为，依赖纳税人资金是不公平的，因为与公共交通支出相比，这些网络将使汽车公司和车主不成比例地受益。</blockquote></p><p> Another lingering problem is the diesel and gas cars still driving on roads beyond 2030, which will bump up the industry's emissions well beyond the limit necessary to stay within the Paris Agreements' bounds, researchers have said.</p><p><blockquote>研究人员表示，另一个挥之不去的问题是柴油和汽油汽车在2030年之后仍在道路上行驶，这将使该行业的排放量远远超过保持在《巴黎协定》范围内所需的限制。</blockquote></p><p> Even if half of all new cars sold in 2035 were zero emission – which climate goals set by BMW, General Motors and Nissan would account for – some 70% of vehicles on roads would still be burning fossil fuels, Boston Consulting has said.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿咨询公司表示，即使2035年售出的所有新车中有一半是零排放的（宝马、通用汽车和日产设定的气候目标将占这一比例），道路上约70%的车辆仍将燃烧化石燃料。</blockquote></p><p> \"Even economies in the vanguard of the climate-change fight are therefore likely to fall short of decarbonisation targets.\"</p><p><blockquote>“因此，即使是气候变化斗争的先锋经济体也可能达不到脱碳目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analysis-doomed-fail-carmakers-climate-150857734.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analysis-doomed-fail-carmakers-climate-150857734.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162410055","content_text":"Car and truck makers from Volkswagen to Nissan and Ford have embraced the narrative that reducing carbon emissions in line with the Paris Agreement should be a key tenet of their business agenda.\nAre they doing enough? Research shows their goals are still a far cry from what is needed, but the jury is out on whether automakers alone are responsible for the shortfall.\nWhile some say carmakers should plan to make their fleets carbon-neutral whatever the circumstances, companies argue that their ability to transition to electric vehicles (EV) is dependent on conditions outside their direct control.\nConsultancy firm Boston Consulting Group said in a report released last week that at least 90% of new passenger vehicles and 70% of trucks must be electric by 2030 in order to meet climate targets, echoing environmental groups like Greenpeace.\nBut among major auto brands, very few - among them Geely's Volvo and VW's Bentley - have set goals for 100% EV production by then, with most arguing that they cannot take full accountability for a transition to electric vehicles without the market conditions to remain profitable in the process.\nGerman luxury carmaker Daimler, for example, has refrained from stating it will produce only electric vehicles by 2030 no matter what - instead it has emphasised it will be \"ready to go all electric ... where market conditions allow.\"\n\"We will lead from the front. Is it realistic to turn 100% of the market by 2030? It would be a stretch,\" Daimler's CEO Ola Kaellenius told Reuters in an interview, adding he hoped to see countries and economic regions do their bit at the COP26 summit by synchronising their plans for electric vehicle rollouts.\nCharging infrastructure is just one of many challenges standing between the auto industry, estimated by the International Energy Agency to be responsible for around 18% of all carbon emissions worldwide, and climate neutrality.\nOthers include getting rid of dirty fossil-fuel powered cars still on the roads, reducing emissions in battery production, and building storage systems for renewable energy to ensure the electricity used to charge electric cars is from renewable sources.\nTOO LITTLE, TOO LATE?\nUnder carbon reduction policies already agreed by governments and automakers, global CO2 emissions from vehicles are still set to rise over time, research by the International Council on Clean Transportation shows.\nIf policies under discussion are implemented, the growth trajectory stabilises but still does not fall, it said, highlighting growing demand for cars, buses and trucks in coming years due to population growth and increased economic activity in emerging markets.\nWhile one in five vehicles sold in Europe last quarter were electrified, the share is much lower in the United States at around 2%. EVs are an even tinier slice of sales in less rich markets such as Latin America or Southeast Asia.\nAutomakers and governments must also find answers for labour unions who are worried that a rapid shift to EVs will put thousands of workers out of their jobs.\nThis includes German unions demanding clarity from Stellantis on its plans for Opel plants, and U.S. President Joe Biden facing pressure from the U.S. United Auto Workers' union to provide more state support during the EV transition.\n\"There are a lot of factors involved ... we try to project a realistic picture,\" a spokesperson for Germany's BMW said. \"But if certain conditions change fundamentally, we will of course have to re-examine our climate goals.\"\nCARBON EMITTER\nThe majority of a vehicle's emissions do not come from the manufacturing process, but from the fuel used to power it - be it electricity, petrol, or diesel.\nIn the case of electric vehicles, the process of making batteries is also a significant carbon emitter, with a Volkswagen ID.3 for example generating nearly twice the emissions of a diesel equivalent in the production phase, according to company calculations.\nWhile carmakers are increasingly investing in producing batteries in a more environmentally friendly way, controlling the source of energy flowing into electric cars is much harder.\nAutomakers like VW and Tesla are growing their offering of residential storage systems for clients to power vehicles through mechanisms like solar panels on their roofs – but the question of who is responsible for sourcing and distributing energy in public spaces is more contentious.\nEven if automakers invest in public charging stations, ongoing problems with storage of renewable energy could force energy providers to rely on coal and natural gas to meet short-term demand, as recent volatility in energy markets has shown.\nLobby groups such as the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association and the U.S.-based Alliance for Automotive Innovation have urged states to invest in renewable-based charging infrastructure, from public-private investments to fully state-funded projects.\nBut some environmental groups argue that relying on taxpayer funds is unfair as the networks would disproportionately benefit car companies and owners, as opposed to spending on public transport.\nAnother lingering problem is the diesel and gas cars still driving on roads beyond 2030, which will bump up the industry's emissions well beyond the limit necessary to stay within the Paris Agreements' bounds, researchers have said.\nEven if half of all new cars sold in 2035 were zero emission – which climate goals set by BMW, General Motors and Nissan would account for – some 70% of vehicles on roads would still be burning fossil fuels, Boston Consulting has said.\n\"Even economies in the vanguard of the climate-change fight are therefore likely to fall short of decarbonisation targets.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859159657,"gmtCreate":1634681824728,"gmtModify":1634681833575,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859159657","repostId":"1113211293","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864097136,"gmtCreate":1633041061166,"gmtModify":1633041061623,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment&nbsp;","listText":"Comment&nbsp;","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864097136","repostId":"1143063659","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":888889565,"gmtCreate":1631487335157,"gmtModify":1631890847087,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888889565","repostId":"2166290377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814448207,"gmtCreate":1630882012409,"gmtModify":1631890847136,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814448207","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814134708,"gmtCreate":1630793961504,"gmtModify":1631890847154,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay&nbsp;","listText":"Okay&nbsp;","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814134708","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158702873,"gmtCreate":1625180790092,"gmtModify":1633942924430,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy?&nbsp;","listText":"Buy?&nbsp;","text":"Buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158702873","repostId":"1102868765","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102868765","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625153533,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102868765?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock Price: How It Can Climb Up To 30%<blockquote>亚马逊股价：如何攀升至30%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102868765","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Prime Day is over, but Amazon’s growth story continues. The Amazon Maven scans the latest Wall Street research reports and explains how some analysts see Amazon stock rising another 30%.Still, a few analysts believe that AMZN could still climb 30% from current levels. Following the important sales event on the e-commerce giant’s calendar, the Amazon Maven looks at the most recent opinions issued by Wall Street experts and assesses the bull case.At the highest level, Amazon makes money through tw","content":"<p>Prime Day is over, but Amazon’s growth story continues. The Amazon Maven scans the latest Wall Street research reports and explains how some analysts see Amazon stock rising another 30%.</p><p><blockquote>Prime Day已经结束，但亚马逊的增长故事仍在继续。亚马逊专家扫描了最新的华尔街研究报告，并解释了一些分析师如何看待亚马逊股票再上涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> Prime Day,Amazon’s “summer Black Friday”, has come and gone. Wall Street did not seem overlyconfidentthat this year’s event will be a game changer for Amazon stock, which may explain why share price has remained stuck trading around $3,450 since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的“夏季黑色星期五”Prime Day来了又走了。华尔街似乎并不太相信今年的事件将改变亚马逊股票的游戏规则，这或许可以解释为什么股价自6月中旬以来一直停留在3,450美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a few analysts believe that AMZN could still climb 30% from current levels. Following the important sales event on the e-commerce giant’s calendar, the Amazon Maven looks at the most recent opinions issued by Wall Street experts and assesses the bull case.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，一些分析师认为AMZN仍可能较当前水平上涨30%。在这家电子商务巨头日历上的重要销售活动之后，亚马逊专家会查看华尔街专家发表的最新意见，并评估牛市情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2e16a19c3807906131ed6e06652087\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\"><span>Figure 1: Amazon's logo.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：亚马逊的logo。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Strength in e-commerce and cloud</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电子商务和云领域的实力</b></blockquote></p><p> At the highest level, Amazon makes money through two distinct businesses: e-commerce and cloud. Good news for the Seattle-based company and its shareholders, these industries have been growing fast lately – and Amazon enjoys an enviable position of market leadership in both.</p><p><blockquote>在最高层面上，亚马逊通过两个截然不同的业务赚钱：电子商务和云。对于这家总部位于西雅图的公司及其股东来说，这是个好消息，这些行业最近增长迅速，而亚马逊在这两个行业都享有令人羡慕的市场领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America, whose analyst believes that Amazon stock can rise 27% from here,seems to know at least one key ingredient&nbsp;to Amazon’s success on the e-commerce side: its delivery system. Justin Post thinks that Amazon will grow its fulfillment footprint by 40% this year alone, the equivalent of Walmart’s entire distribution center space.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的分析师认为亚马逊股价可以从这里上涨27%，该银行似乎至少知道亚马逊在电子商务方面取得成功的一个关键因素：其配送系统。贾斯汀·波斯特认为，仅今年一年，亚马逊的配送足迹就将增长40%，相当于沃尔玛的整个配送中心空间。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Post’s research aligns with the findings of Jefferies’ Brent Till, who has a $4,200 price target on AMZN.According&nbsp;to him, Amazon’s fulfilment capacity should rise about 50% in the next one to two years. The expanded infrastructure could allow Amazon to move to breakeven same-day delivery, and to compete better by bringing last-mile delivery in-house.</p><p><blockquote>波斯特的研究与杰富瑞(Jefferies)的布伦特·蒂尔(Brent Till)的发现一致，蒂尔对亚马逊的目标价为4,200美元。据他称，亚马逊的履行能力在未来一到两年内应该会增长约50%。扩大后的基础设施可以让亚马逊转向盈亏平衡的当日送达，并通过将最后一英里送达内部来更好地竞争。</blockquote></p><p> The improved distribution system may help Amazon with another of its businesses that could use a boost: groceries. Loop Capitalreportsthat over 50% of Prime subscribers order groceries online, of which three-fourths use either Amazon or Whole Foods (an Amazon subsidiary) only. Some of the perceived issues with fresh produce availability could be addressed with a better delivery network.</p><p><blockquote>改进的分销系统可能会帮助亚马逊发展另一项可能需要提振的业务：食品杂货。Loop Capital报告称，超过50%的Prime订户在线订购杂货，其中四分之三仅使用亚马逊或全食超市（亚马逊子公司）。一些与新鲜农产品供应有关的问题可以通过更好的配送网络来解决。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, cloud has not been a hot topic of conversation among analysts lately. But&nbsp;the Amazon Maven recently pointed out&nbsp;how the cloud infrastructure space (IaaS) grew at a dizzying 41% pace in 2020 – and Amazon remains the undisputed king of cloud, controlling 40% of the IaaS market.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，云最近并不是分析师谈论的热门话题。但亚马逊专家最近指出，云基础设施领域（IaaS）在2020年以令人眼花缭乱的41%的速度增长——亚马逊仍然是无可争议的云之王，控制着40%的IaaS市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not stellar, not terrible either</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不出色，也不可怕</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, and despite Amazon’s Prime Day 2021 not being a center-stage argument in most analysts’ investment theses, one bull still sees reasons to be excited. Evercore ISI has a $4,500 price target on AMZN, suggesting 30% upside from end-of-June share price.</p><p><blockquote>最后，尽管亚马逊2021年Prime Day并不是大多数分析师投资论点的中心论点，但一位多头仍然认为有理由感到兴奋。Evercore ISI对AMZN的目标价为4,500美元，较6月底股价上涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> The research shop noted that Amazon sold more than 250 million items on Prime Day, which represents a compounded annual increase of more than 20% over 2019. Considering that a pandemic and a flash recession took place within these past 24 months, Prime Day unit sales growth did not look bad at all.</p><p><blockquote>该研究机构指出，亚马逊在Prime Day售出了超过2.5亿件商品，比2019年复合年增长率超过20%。考虑到过去24个月内发生了大流行和经济衰退，Prime Day单位销售增长看起来一点也不差。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock Price: How It Can Climb Up To 30%<blockquote>亚马逊股价：如何攀升至30%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock Price: How It Can Climb Up To 30%<blockquote>亚马逊股价：如何攀升至30%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 23:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Prime Day is over, but Amazon’s growth story continues. The Amazon Maven scans the latest Wall Street research reports and explains how some analysts see Amazon stock rising another 30%.</p><p><blockquote>Prime Day已经结束，但亚马逊的增长故事仍在继续。亚马逊专家扫描了最新的华尔街研究报告，并解释了一些分析师如何看待亚马逊股票再上涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> Prime Day,Amazon’s “summer Black Friday”, has come and gone. Wall Street did not seem overlyconfidentthat this year’s event will be a game changer for Amazon stock, which may explain why share price has remained stuck trading around $3,450 since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的“夏季黑色星期五”Prime Day来了又走了。华尔街似乎并不太相信今年的事件将改变亚马逊股票的游戏规则，这或许可以解释为什么股价自6月中旬以来一直停留在3,450美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a few analysts believe that AMZN could still climb 30% from current levels. Following the important sales event on the e-commerce giant’s calendar, the Amazon Maven looks at the most recent opinions issued by Wall Street experts and assesses the bull case.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，一些分析师认为AMZN仍可能较当前水平上涨30%。在这家电子商务巨头日历上的重要销售活动之后，亚马逊专家会查看华尔街专家发表的最新意见，并评估牛市情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da2e16a19c3807906131ed6e06652087\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\"><span>Figure 1: Amazon's logo.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：亚马逊的logo。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Strength in e-commerce and cloud</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电子商务和云领域的实力</b></blockquote></p><p> At the highest level, Amazon makes money through two distinct businesses: e-commerce and cloud. Good news for the Seattle-based company and its shareholders, these industries have been growing fast lately – and Amazon enjoys an enviable position of market leadership in both.</p><p><blockquote>在最高层面上，亚马逊通过两个截然不同的业务赚钱：电子商务和云。对于这家总部位于西雅图的公司及其股东来说，这是个好消息，这些行业最近增长迅速，而亚马逊在这两个行业都享有令人羡慕的市场领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America, whose analyst believes that Amazon stock can rise 27% from here,seems to know at least one key ingredient&nbsp;to Amazon’s success on the e-commerce side: its delivery system. Justin Post thinks that Amazon will grow its fulfillment footprint by 40% this year alone, the equivalent of Walmart’s entire distribution center space.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的分析师认为亚马逊股价可以从这里上涨27%，该银行似乎至少知道亚马逊在电子商务方面取得成功的一个关键因素：其配送系统。贾斯汀·波斯特认为，仅今年一年，亚马逊的配送足迹就将增长40%，相当于沃尔玛的整个配送中心空间。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Post’s research aligns with the findings of Jefferies’ Brent Till, who has a $4,200 price target on AMZN.According&nbsp;to him, Amazon’s fulfilment capacity should rise about 50% in the next one to two years. The expanded infrastructure could allow Amazon to move to breakeven same-day delivery, and to compete better by bringing last-mile delivery in-house.</p><p><blockquote>波斯特的研究与杰富瑞(Jefferies)的布伦特·蒂尔(Brent Till)的发现一致，蒂尔对亚马逊的目标价为4,200美元。据他称，亚马逊的履行能力在未来一到两年内应该会增长约50%。扩大后的基础设施可以让亚马逊转向盈亏平衡的当日送达，并通过将最后一英里送达内部来更好地竞争。</blockquote></p><p> The improved distribution system may help Amazon with another of its businesses that could use a boost: groceries. Loop Capitalreportsthat over 50% of Prime subscribers order groceries online, of which three-fourths use either Amazon or Whole Foods (an Amazon subsidiary) only. Some of the perceived issues with fresh produce availability could be addressed with a better delivery network.</p><p><blockquote>改进的分销系统可能会帮助亚马逊发展另一项可能需要提振的业务：食品杂货。Loop Capital报告称，超过50%的Prime订户在线订购杂货，其中四分之三仅使用亚马逊或全食超市（亚马逊子公司）。一些与新鲜农产品供应有关的问题可以通过更好的配送网络来解决。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, cloud has not been a hot topic of conversation among analysts lately. But&nbsp;the Amazon Maven recently pointed out&nbsp;how the cloud infrastructure space (IaaS) grew at a dizzying 41% pace in 2020 – and Amazon remains the undisputed king of cloud, controlling 40% of the IaaS market.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，云最近并不是分析师谈论的热门话题。但亚马逊专家最近指出，云基础设施领域（IaaS）在2020年以令人眼花缭乱的41%的速度增长——亚马逊仍然是无可争议的云之王，控制着40%的IaaS市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not stellar, not terrible either</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不出色，也不可怕</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, and despite Amazon’s Prime Day 2021 not being a center-stage argument in most analysts’ investment theses, one bull still sees reasons to be excited. Evercore ISI has a $4,500 price target on AMZN, suggesting 30% upside from end-of-June share price.</p><p><blockquote>最后，尽管亚马逊2021年Prime Day并不是大多数分析师投资论点的中心论点，但一位多头仍然认为有理由感到兴奋。Evercore ISI对AMZN的目标价为4,500美元，较6月底股价上涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> The research shop noted that Amazon sold more than 250 million items on Prime Day, which represents a compounded annual increase of more than 20% over 2019. Considering that a pandemic and a flash recession took place within these past 24 months, Prime Day unit sales growth did not look bad at all.</p><p><blockquote>该研究机构指出，亚马逊在Prime Day售出了超过2.5亿件商品，比2019年复合年增长率超过20%。考虑到过去24个月内发生了大流行和经济衰退，Prime Day单位销售增长看起来一点也不差。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-price-how-it-can-climb-up-to-30\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-price-how-it-can-climb-up-to-30","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102868765","content_text":"Prime Day is over, but Amazon’s growth story continues. The Amazon Maven scans the latest Wall Street research reports and explains how some analysts see Amazon stock rising another 30%.\nPrime Day,Amazon’s “summer Black Friday”, has come and gone. Wall Street did not seem overlyconfidentthat this year’s event will be a game changer for Amazon stock, which may explain why share price has remained stuck trading around $3,450 since mid-June.\nStill, a few analysts believe that AMZN could still climb 30% from current levels. Following the important sales event on the e-commerce giant’s calendar, the Amazon Maven looks at the most recent opinions issued by Wall Street experts and assesses the bull case.\nFigure 1: Amazon's logo.\nStrength in e-commerce and cloud\nAt the highest level, Amazon makes money through two distinct businesses: e-commerce and cloud. Good news for the Seattle-based company and its shareholders, these industries have been growing fast lately – and Amazon enjoys an enviable position of market leadership in both.\nBank of America, whose analyst believes that Amazon stock can rise 27% from here,seems to know at least one key ingredient to Amazon’s success on the e-commerce side: its delivery system. Justin Post thinks that Amazon will grow its fulfillment footprint by 40% this year alone, the equivalent of Walmart’s entire distribution center space.\nMr. Post’s research aligns with the findings of Jefferies’ Brent Till, who has a $4,200 price target on AMZN.According to him, Amazon’s fulfilment capacity should rise about 50% in the next one to two years. The expanded infrastructure could allow Amazon to move to breakeven same-day delivery, and to compete better by bringing last-mile delivery in-house.\nThe improved distribution system may help Amazon with another of its businesses that could use a boost: groceries. Loop Capitalreportsthat over 50% of Prime subscribers order groceries online, of which three-fourths use either Amazon or Whole Foods (an Amazon subsidiary) only. Some of the perceived issues with fresh produce availability could be addressed with a better delivery network.\nOn the other hand, cloud has not been a hot topic of conversation among analysts lately. But the Amazon Maven recently pointed out how the cloud infrastructure space (IaaS) grew at a dizzying 41% pace in 2020 – and Amazon remains the undisputed king of cloud, controlling 40% of the IaaS market.\nNot stellar, not terrible either\nLastly, and despite Amazon’s Prime Day 2021 not being a center-stage argument in most analysts’ investment theses, one bull still sees reasons to be excited. Evercore ISI has a $4,500 price target on AMZN, suggesting 30% upside from end-of-June share price.\nThe research shop noted that Amazon sold more than 250 million items on Prime Day, which represents a compounded annual increase of more than 20% over 2019. Considering that a pandemic and a flash recession took place within these past 24 months, Prime Day unit sales growth did not look bad at all.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":849065320,"gmtCreate":1635716056764,"gmtModify":1635716078404,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849065320","repostId":"1104228860","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822407368,"gmtCreate":1634163158007,"gmtModify":1634163158185,"author":{"id":"3584063721837527","authorId":"3584063721837527","name":"RK888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c94493ec39af6df82d06fcfa8afb3483","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584063721837527","authorIdStr":"3584063721837527"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822407368","repostId":"2175157695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}