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WayneSing

WayneSing

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2021-12-03

ok

Stocks gain on Friday to close out volatile week triggered by omicron fears<blockquote>周五股市上涨，结束了因奥密克戎担忧引发的动荡一周</blockquote>

2021-11-25

ok

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2021-11-11

ok

Boeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote>

2021-10-30

ok

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2021-10-28

ok

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2021-10-26

ok

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2021-10-18

oh

Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&T、Netflix、ASML、Snap和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-10-15

ok

This Earnings Season Was Supposed to Be Terrible. It’s Turning Out Pretty Good.<blockquote>这个财报季应该很糟糕。结果还不错。</blockquote>

2021-09-22

ncie

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2021-09-15

good read guys!

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2021-09-15

ok

Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-09-08

ok

Here's Why Clover Health Soared on Tuesday<blockquote>这就是 Clover Health 周二飙升的原因</blockquote>

2021-09-07

ok

Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>

2021-09-06

ok

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2021-09-05

ok

Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>

2021-09-03

that’s good to hear

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2021-09-01

props to those who held this pre soar

Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>

2021-08-28

also good to bet with crypto!

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2021-08-26

ok

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2021-08-25

buy the index seems like a good bet now

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638541913,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1115309845?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks gain on Friday to close out volatile week triggered by omicron fears<blockquote>周五股市上涨，结束了因奥密克戎担忧引发的动荡一周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115309845","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks rose in early trading Friday, looking past a disappointing November jobs report, as the marke","content":"<p>Stocks rose in early trading Friday, looking past a disappointing November jobs report, as the market nears the end of a roller-coaster week driven by Covid omicron variant developments.</p><p><blockquote>周五早盘交易中，股市上涨，回顾了令人失望的 11 月就业报告，因为市场接近由新冠病毒奥密克戎变体发展推动的过山车周的尾声。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 100 points. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.43% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约100点。标普500上涨0.43%，以科技为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f06b0aca63dcdc023083815943f6832a\" tg-width=\"1057\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> RLX Technology stock tumbled 6%&nbsp;as&nbsp;its&nbsp;Q3&nbsp;<b>Net revenues</b>&nbsp;decreased by 34%.</p><p><blockquote>RLX科技第三季度股价下跌 6%<b>净收入</b>下降了34%。</blockquote></p><p> Marvell Technology shares soared 20% after delivering a better-than-expected earnings report and outlook.</p><p><blockquote>Marvell Technology 发布好于预期的收益报告和展望后，股价飙升 20%。</blockquote></p><p> DocuSign shares tumbled 35% on Weak Sales Forecast.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售预测疲软，DocuSign 股价暴跌 35%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks gain on Friday to close out volatile week triggered by omicron fears<blockquote>周五股市上涨，结束了因奥密克戎担忧引发的动荡一周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks gain on Friday to close out volatile week triggered by omicron fears<blockquote>周五股市上涨，结束了因奥密克戎担忧引发的动荡一周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-03 22:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks rose in early trading Friday, looking past a disappointing November jobs report, as the market nears the end of a roller-coaster week driven by Covid omicron variant developments.</p><p><blockquote>周五早盘交易中，股市上涨，回顾了令人失望的 11 月就业报告，因为市场接近由新冠病毒奥密克戎变体发展推动的过山车周的尾声。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 100 points. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.43% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约100点。标普500上涨0.43%，以科技为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f06b0aca63dcdc023083815943f6832a\" tg-width=\"1057\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> RLX Technology stock tumbled 6%&nbsp;as&nbsp;its&nbsp;Q3&nbsp;<b>Net revenues</b>&nbsp;decreased by 34%.</p><p><blockquote>RLX科技第三季度股价下跌 6%<b>净收入</b>下降了34%。</blockquote></p><p> Marvell Technology shares soared 20% after delivering a better-than-expected earnings report and outlook.</p><p><blockquote>Marvell Technology 发布好于预期的收益报告和展望后，股价飙升 20%。</blockquote></p><p> DocuSign shares tumbled 35% on Weak Sales Forecast.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售预测疲软，DocuSign 股价暴跌 35%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115309845","content_text":"Stocks rose in early trading Friday, looking past a disappointing November jobs report, as the market nears the end of a roller-coaster week driven by Covid omicron variant developments.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 100 points. The S&P 500 rose 0.43% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3%.\n\nRLX Technology stock tumbled 6% as its Q3 Net revenues decreased by 34%.\nMarvell Technology shares soared 20% after delivering a better-than-expected earnings report and outlook.\nDocuSign shares tumbled 35% on Weak Sales Forecast.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874511163,"gmtCreate":1637800712463,"gmtModify":1637800712589,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874511163","repostId":"2186363038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870225069,"gmtCreate":1636624269578,"gmtModify":1636624269715,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870225069","repostId":"1116507826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116507826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636623954,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116507826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Boeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116507826","media":"Reuters","summary":"Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits fil","content":"<p>Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits filed by families of the 157 people killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash, according to a filing in U.S. District Court in Chicago.</p><p><blockquote>根据芝加哥美国地方法院提交的一份文件，波音公司 (BA.N) 周三同意承认 2019 年埃塞俄比亚航空公司 737 MAX 坠机事故中 157 名遇难者家属提起的诉讼中的补偿性损害赔偿责任。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the agreement between Boeing and the families, lawyers for the victims will not seek punitive damages and Boeing will not challenge the lawsuits being filed in Illinois.</p><p><blockquote>由于波音公司和家属之间的协议，受害者的律师不会寻求惩罚性赔偿，波音公司也不会对伊利诺伊州提起的诉讼提出质疑。</blockquote></p><p> \"Boeing is committed to ensuring that all families who lost loved ones in the accidents are fully and fairly compensated for their loss,\" the planemaker said in a statement on Wednesday. \"By accepting responsibility, Boeing’s agreement with the families allows the parties to focus their efforts on determining the appropriate compensation for each family.\"</p><p><blockquote>该飞机制造商在周三的一份声明中表示：“波音公司致力于确保所有在事故中失去亲人的家庭都能获得充分、公平的损失赔偿。”“通过承担责任，波音公司与这些家庭达成的协议允许双方集中精力为每个家庭确定适当的赔偿”。</blockquote></p><p> Lawyers for the victims noted in a statement that Boeing admitted under the agreement \"that the 737 MAX had an unsafe condition, and that it will not attempt to blame anyone else\" for the crash.</p><p><blockquote>遇难者律师在一份声明中指出，波音公司根据协议承认“737 MAX 存在不安全状况，并且不会试图将坠机事件归咎于任何人”。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is a significant milestone for the families in their pursuit of justice against Boeing, as it will ensure they are all treated equitably and eligible to recover full damages under Illinois law while creating a pathway for them to proceed to a final resolution, whether through settlements or trial,\" the lawyers said.</p><p><blockquote>“对于这些家属来说，这是他们向波音公司寻求正义的一个重要里程碑，因为这将确保他们都得到公平对待，并有资格根据伊利诺伊州法律获得全额赔偿，同时为他们创造一条道路，无论是通过和解还是审判，”律师们说。</blockquote></p><p> They added the compensation \"will serve to hold Boeing fully accountable for the deaths of the 157 people who perished.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们补充说，赔偿“将使波音公司对 157 名遇难者的死亡承担全部责任”。</blockquote></p><p> A judge has set a hearing for next Tuesday on the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>法官已将该协议的听证会定于下周二举行。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing's best-selling plane was grounded for 20 months after 346 people died in two 737 MAX crashes - in Indonesia in 2018 and in Ethiopia in 2019. The plane returned to service after Boeing made significant software and training improvements.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司最畅销的飞机在 2018 年印度尼西亚和 2019 年埃塞俄比亚发生的两起 737 MAX 坠机事故造成 346 人死亡后停飞了 20 个月。在波音公司对软件和培训进行重大改进后，这架飞机重新投入使用。</blockquote></p><p> The crashes already have cost Boeing some $20 billion. In January, Boeing agreed to a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice including $2.5 billion in fines and compensation stemming from the 737 MAX crashes, including the Lion Air crash in October 2018.</p><p><blockquote>这些坠机事件已经给波音公司造成了约 200 亿美元的损失。一月份，波音公司同意与美国达成延期起诉协议。司法部包括因 737 MAX 坠机事件（包括 2018 年 10 月狮航坠机事件）而产生的 25 亿美元罚款和赔偿。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview, U.S. consumer activist Ralph Nader criticized the deal since it will prevent lawyers from questioning current and former Boeing senior executives and pursuing the punitive damage claims. Nader’s niece was among 157 victims.</p><p><blockquote>美国消费者维权人士拉尔夫·纳德（Ralph Nader）在接受采访时批评了这笔交易，因为它将阻止律师质疑波音公司现任和前任高管并寻求惩罚性损害赔偿索赔。纳德的侄女是 157 名受害者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Under the deal with Boeing, the victims' families also agreed to dismiss claims against Rosemount Aerospace, a company that made sensors for the 737 MAX, and Raytheon Technologies Corp's(RTX.N)Rockwell Collins, the parent of Rosemount and a key supplier for the MAX.</p><p><blockquote>根据与波音公司达成的协议，遇难者家属还同意驳回对罗斯蒙特航空航天公司（一家为 737 MAX 制造传感器的公司）和雷神技术公司 (RTX.N) 罗克韦尔柯林斯公司（罗斯蒙特的母公司，也是 MAX 的主要供应商）的索赔。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-11 17:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits filed by families of the 157 people killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash, according to a filing in U.S. District Court in Chicago.</p><p><blockquote>根据芝加哥美国地方法院提交的一份文件，波音公司 (BA.N) 周三同意承认 2019 年埃塞俄比亚航空公司 737 MAX 坠机事故中 157 名遇难者家属提起的诉讼中的补偿性损害赔偿责任。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the agreement between Boeing and the families, lawyers for the victims will not seek punitive damages and Boeing will not challenge the lawsuits being filed in Illinois.</p><p><blockquote>由于波音公司和家属之间的协议，受害者的律师不会寻求惩罚性赔偿，波音公司也不会对伊利诺伊州提起的诉讼提出质疑。</blockquote></p><p> \"Boeing is committed to ensuring that all families who lost loved ones in the accidents are fully and fairly compensated for their loss,\" the planemaker said in a statement on Wednesday. \"By accepting responsibility, Boeing’s agreement with the families allows the parties to focus their efforts on determining the appropriate compensation for each family.\"</p><p><blockquote>该飞机制造商在周三的一份声明中表示：“波音公司致力于确保所有在事故中失去亲人的家庭都能获得充分、公平的损失赔偿。”“通过承担责任，波音公司与这些家庭达成的协议允许双方集中精力为每个家庭确定适当的赔偿”。</blockquote></p><p> Lawyers for the victims noted in a statement that Boeing admitted under the agreement \"that the 737 MAX had an unsafe condition, and that it will not attempt to blame anyone else\" for the crash.</p><p><blockquote>遇难者律师在一份声明中指出，波音公司根据协议承认“737 MAX 存在不安全状况，并且不会试图将坠机事件归咎于任何人”。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is a significant milestone for the families in their pursuit of justice against Boeing, as it will ensure they are all treated equitably and eligible to recover full damages under Illinois law while creating a pathway for them to proceed to a final resolution, whether through settlements or trial,\" the lawyers said.</p><p><blockquote>“对于这些家属来说，这是他们向波音公司寻求正义的一个重要里程碑，因为这将确保他们都得到公平对待，并有资格根据伊利诺伊州法律获得全额赔偿，同时为他们创造一条道路，无论是通过和解还是审判，”律师们说。</blockquote></p><p> They added the compensation \"will serve to hold Boeing fully accountable for the deaths of the 157 people who perished.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们补充说，赔偿“将使波音公司对 157 名遇难者的死亡承担全部责任”。</blockquote></p><p> A judge has set a hearing for next Tuesday on the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>法官已将该协议的听证会定于下周二举行。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing's best-selling plane was grounded for 20 months after 346 people died in two 737 MAX crashes - in Indonesia in 2018 and in Ethiopia in 2019. The plane returned to service after Boeing made significant software and training improvements.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司最畅销的飞机在 2018 年印度尼西亚和 2019 年埃塞俄比亚发生的两起 737 MAX 坠机事故造成 346 人死亡后停飞了 20 个月。在波音公司对软件和培训进行重大改进后，这架飞机重新投入使用。</blockquote></p><p> The crashes already have cost Boeing some $20 billion. In January, Boeing agreed to a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice including $2.5 billion in fines and compensation stemming from the 737 MAX crashes, including the Lion Air crash in October 2018.</p><p><blockquote>这些坠机事件已经给波音公司造成了约 200 亿美元的损失。一月份，波音公司同意与美国达成延期起诉协议。司法部包括因 737 MAX 坠机事件（包括 2018 年 10 月狮航坠机事件）而产生的 25 亿美元罚款和赔偿。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview, U.S. consumer activist Ralph Nader criticized the deal since it will prevent lawyers from questioning current and former Boeing senior executives and pursuing the punitive damage claims. Nader’s niece was among 157 victims.</p><p><blockquote>美国消费者维权人士拉尔夫·纳德（Ralph Nader）在接受采访时批评了这笔交易，因为它将阻止律师质疑波音公司现任和前任高管并寻求惩罚性损害赔偿索赔。纳德的侄女是 157 名受害者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Under the deal with Boeing, the victims' families also agreed to dismiss claims against Rosemount Aerospace, a company that made sensors for the 737 MAX, and Raytheon Technologies Corp's(RTX.N)Rockwell Collins, the parent of Rosemount and a key supplier for the MAX.</p><p><blockquote>根据与波音公司达成的协议，遇难者家属还同意驳回对罗斯蒙特航空航天公司（一家为 737 MAX 制造传感器的公司）和雷神技术公司 (RTX.N) 罗克韦尔柯林斯公司（罗斯蒙特的母公司，也是 MAX 的主要供应商）的索赔。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/boeing-moves-settle-lawsuits-over-ethiopian-airlines-737-max-crash-2021-11-10/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/world/boeing-moves-settle-lawsuits-over-ethiopian-airlines-737-max-crash-2021-11-10/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116507826","content_text":"Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits filed by families of the 157 people killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash, according to a filing in U.S. District Court in Chicago.\nAs a result of the agreement between Boeing and the families, lawyers for the victims will not seek punitive damages and Boeing will not challenge the lawsuits being filed in Illinois.\n\"Boeing is committed to ensuring that all families who lost loved ones in the accidents are fully and fairly compensated for their loss,\" the planemaker said in a statement on Wednesday. \"By accepting responsibility, Boeing’s agreement with the families allows the parties to focus their efforts on determining the appropriate compensation for each family.\"\nLawyers for the victims noted in a statement that Boeing admitted under the agreement \"that the 737 MAX had an unsafe condition, and that it will not attempt to blame anyone else\" for the crash.\n\"This is a significant milestone for the families in their pursuit of justice against Boeing, as it will ensure they are all treated equitably and eligible to recover full damages under Illinois law while creating a pathway for them to proceed to a final resolution, whether through settlements or trial,\" the lawyers said.\nThey added the compensation \"will serve to hold Boeing fully accountable for the deaths of the 157 people who perished.\"\nA judge has set a hearing for next Tuesday on the agreement.\nBoeing's best-selling plane was grounded for 20 months after 346 people died in two 737 MAX crashes - in Indonesia in 2018 and in Ethiopia in 2019. The plane returned to service after Boeing made significant software and training improvements.\nThe crashes already have cost Boeing some $20 billion. In January, Boeing agreed to a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice including $2.5 billion in fines and compensation stemming from the 737 MAX crashes, including the Lion Air crash in October 2018.\nIn an interview, U.S. consumer activist Ralph Nader criticized the deal since it will prevent lawyers from questioning current and former Boeing senior executives and pursuing the punitive damage claims. Nader’s niece was among 157 victims.\nUnder the deal with Boeing, the victims' families also agreed to dismiss claims against Rosemount Aerospace, a company that made sensors for the 737 MAX, and Raytheon Technologies Corp's(RTX.N)Rockwell Collins, the parent of Rosemount and a key supplier for the MAX.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840057791,"gmtCreate":1635571653218,"gmtModify":1635571653340,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840057791","repostId":"2179241322","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855763536,"gmtCreate":1635402791959,"gmtModify":1635402792081,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855763536","repostId":"2178237269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852027962,"gmtCreate":1635225916439,"gmtModify":1635225916825,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852027962","repostId":"2178339424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850832433,"gmtCreate":1634569802973,"gmtModify":1634569803449,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"oh","listText":"oh","text":"oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850832433","repostId":"1185155570","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185155570","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634511079,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185155570?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185155570","media":"Barrons","summary":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. ","content":"<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的加剧，72 家标普500公司本周公布了财报。几家美国大银行上周开局强劲。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业等知名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>宝洁公司（Albertsons）和道富银行（State Street）将在周一大放异彩。宝洁公司（Procter &amp; Gamble）、哈里伯顿公司（Halliburton）和强生公司（Johnson &amp; Johnson）是周二上午的亮点，Netflix 和美国联合航空公司（United Airlines Holdings）将在收盘后紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，威瑞森通信公司、IBM 和特斯拉将受到最多的关注。美国电话电报公司、美国航空集团、西南航空和 Chipotle Mexican Grill 将于周四发布报告，随后美国运通、斯伦贝谢和霍尼韦尔国际公司将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有人都从前几个月的水平回落了。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新发布的褐皮书（描述了美国各地的经济状况），以及 9 月份的两项房地产市场指标： 美国人口普查局（Census Bureau）将于周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）将于周四报告现房销售情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10/18星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继 8 月份上涨 0.4% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.20%。预计 9 月份的产能利用率为 76.5%，与 8 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为 162.3 万套，而 8 月份为 161.5 万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Halliburton、Procter &amp; Gamble、Johnson &amp; Johnson、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、Interactive Brokers Group、Netflix、ManpowerGroup、Dover 和加拿大国家铁路公司等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布关于中央银行 12 个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、百健、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、威瑞森通信、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM 和 Anthem 讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份的现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的年销量为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、Genuine Parts、西南航空、Valero Energy、黑石、Quest Diagnostics、Snap安、拖拉机供应、巴克莱银行、丹纳赫、美国电话电报公司、纽柯、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、美泰和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从 9 月份的 30.7 降至 10 月份的 24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继 8 月份上涨 0.90% 之后，预计上涨 0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10/22星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI的普遍预期为60.3，而服务业PMI预计为54.7，而9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>惠而浦、霍尼韦尔、Cleveland-Cliffs、塞拉尼斯、HCA Healthcare、斯伦贝谢、希捷科技控股公司、VF公司和美国运通主办了评级投资者会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, AT&T, Netflix, ASML, Snap and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>特斯拉、AT&amp;T、Netflix、ASML、Snap和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-18 06:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Seventy-two&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report earnings this week,&nbsp;as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights&nbsp;will include&nbsp;results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.</p><p><blockquote>随着第三季度财报季的加剧，72 家标普500公司本周公布了财报。几家美国大银行上周开局强劲。本周的财报亮点将包括电信、必需消费品、能源、科技、医疗保健和航空业等知名公司的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685ba1e7f4763c12a3c0159fc2469ded\" tg-width=\"1878\" tg-height=\"2461\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Albertsons and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter &amp; Gamble,Halliburton,and&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by&nbsp;Netflix&nbsp;and&nbsp;United Airlines Holdings&nbsp;after the market closes.</p><p><blockquote>宝洁公司（Albertsons）和道富银行（State Street）将在周一大放异彩。宝洁公司（Procter &amp; Gamble）、哈里伯顿公司（Halliburton）和强生公司（Johnson &amp; Johnson）是周二上午的亮点，Netflix 和美国联合航空公司（United Airlines Holdings）将在收盘后紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&amp;T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and&nbsp;Chipotle Mexican Grill&nbsp;report on Thursday, then&nbsp;American Express,Schlumberger,and&nbsp;Honeywell International&nbsp;close the week on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，威瑞森通信公司、IBM 和特斯拉将受到最多的关注。美国电话电报公司、美国航空集团、西南航空和 Chipotle Mexican Grill 将于周四发布报告，随后美国运通、斯伦贝谢和霍尼韦尔国际公司将于周五收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and&nbsp;IHS Markit’s&nbsp;Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济数据亮点包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会9月份领先经济指数和周五公布的IHS Markit 10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。所有人都从前几个月的水平回落了。</blockquote></p><p> Other releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布的其他数据包括美联储最新发布的褐皮书（描述了美国各地的经济状况），以及 9 月份的两项房地产市场指标： 美国人口普查局（Census Bureau）将于周二报告新的住宅建设数据，全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors）将于周四报告现房销售情况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 10/18</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10/18星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布9月份工业生产数据。继 8 月份上涨 0.4% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.20%。预计 9 月份的产能利用率为 76.5%，与 8 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> Albertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>艾伯森、飞利浦、Steel Dynamics和道富银行等公司发布了季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 10/19</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 10/19</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告9月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为 162.3 万套，而 8 月份为 161.5 万套。</blockquote></p><p> Halliburton, Procter &amp; Gamble, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Halliburton、Procter &amp; Gamble、Johnson &amp; Johnson、Synchrony、Travelers、Philip Morris International、Kansas City Southern、WD-40、Interactive Brokers Group、Netflix、ManpowerGroup、Dover 和加拿大国家铁路公司等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 10/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三10/20</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>发布关于中央银行 12 个地区当前经济状况的褐皮书。</blockquote></p><p> Abbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.</p><p><blockquote>雅培实验室、百健、NextEra Energy、ASML Holding、纳斯达克、加拿大太平洋铁路、威瑞森通信、CSX、Lam Research、特斯拉、IBM 和 Anthem 讨论季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 10/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 10/21</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告9月份的现房销售情况。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的年销量为610万套，而8月份为588万套。</blockquote></p><p> Dow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&amp;T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>陶氏化学、自由港麦克莫兰、Genuine Parts、西南航空、Valero Energy、黑石、Quest Diagnostics、Snap安、拖拉机供应、巴克莱银行、丹纳赫、美国电话电报公司、纽柯、美国航空集团、AutoNation、Valero Energy、SL Green Realty、英特尔、Snap、Boston Beer、美泰和Chipotle Mexican Grill在评级举办财报会议，讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Philadelphia Fed</b>&nbsp;diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.</p><p><blockquote><b>费城联储</b>衡量整体制造业活动的扩散指数预计将从 9 月份的 30.7 降至 10 月份的 24。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议委员会</b>发布9月份领先经济指数。继 8 月份上涨 0.90% 之后，预计上涨 0.50%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 10/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10/22星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b>&nbsp;the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>10月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业PMI的普遍预期为60.3，而服务业PMI预计为54.7，而9月份分别为60.7和54.9。</blockquote></p><p> Whirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>惠而浦、霍尼韦尔、Cleveland-Cliffs、塞拉尼斯、HCA Healthcare、斯伦贝谢、希捷科技控股公司、VF公司和美国运通主办了评级投资者会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LUV":"西南航空","INTC":"英特尔",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UAL":"联合大陆航空","HAL":"哈里伯顿","T":"At&T","TSLA":"特斯拉","NFLX":"奈飞",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AXP":"美国运通","IBM":"IBM","AAL":"美国航空",".DJI":"道琼斯","CMG":"墨式烧烤","JNJ":"强生"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-at-t-netflix-chipotle-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51634497206?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185155570","content_text":"Seventy-two S&P 500 companies report earnings this week, as third-quarter earnings season ramps up. Several big U.S. banks got things off to a strong start last week. This week’s earnings highlights will include results from notable companies in telecom, consumer staples, energy, technology, health care, and the airline industry.\n\nAlbertsons and State Street get the ball rolling on Monday.Procter & Gamble,Halliburton,and Johnson & Johnson are Tuesday morning’s highlights, followed by Netflix and United Airlines Holdings after the market closes.\nOn Wednesday,Verizon Communications,IBM,and Tesla will get the most attention.AT&T, American Airlines Group,Southwest Airlines,and Chipotle Mexican Grill report on Thursday, then American Express,Schlumberger,and Honeywell International close the week on Friday.\nEconomic data highlights this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday and IHS Markit’s Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October on Friday. All are seen easing back from their prior months’ levels.\nOther releases this week include the Federal Reserve’s most recent Beige Book, describing economic conditions across the U.S., and a pair of September housing-market indicators: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data on Tuesday and the National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales on Thursday.\nMonday 10/18\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for a 0.20% rise after a 0.4% increase in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.5% for September, roughly in line with August’s 76.4%.\nAlbertsons, Philips, Steel Dynamics, and State Street are among companies releasing quarterly financial results.\nTuesday 10/19\nThe Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.623 million housing starts, compared with 1.615 million in August.\nHalliburton, Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson, Synchrony, Travelers, Philip Morris International, Kansas City Southern, WD-40, Interactive Brokers Group, Netflix, ManpowerGroup, Dover, and Canadian National Railway are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nWednesday 10/20\nThe Federal Reserve releases its beige book about current economic conditions across the central bank’s 12 districts.\nAbbott Laboratories, Biogen, NextEra Energy, ASML Holding, Nasdaq, Canadian Pacific Railway, Verizon Communications, CSX, Lam Research, Tesla, IBM, and Anthem discuss quarterly financial results.\nThursday 10/21\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.10 million homes sold, compared with 5.88 million homes in August.\nDow, Freeport-McMoRan, Genuine Parts, Southwest Airlines, Valero Energy, Blackstone, Quest Diagnostics, Snap-on, Tractor Supply, Barclays, Danaher, AT&T, Nucor, American Airlines Group, AutoNation, Valero Energy, SL Green Realty, Intel, Snap, Boston Beer, Mattel, and Chipotle Mexican Grill host earnings conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Philadelphia Fed diffusion index, a measure of overall manufacturing activity, is expected to fall to 24 in October from September’s 30.7 reading.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Expectations are for a 0.50% rise, after August’s 0.90% gain.\nFriday 10/22\nIHS Markit releases the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for October. Consensus estimate for the Manufacturing PMI is 60.3, while the Services PMI is expected to be 54.7, compared with 60.7 and 54.9, respectively, in September.\nWhirlpool, Honeywell, Cleveland-Cliffs, Celanese, HCA Healthcare, Schlumberger, Seagate Technology Holdings, VF Corp., and American Express host investor conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"IBM":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"UAL":0.9,"LUV":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"CMG":0.9,"HAL":0.9,"T":0.9,"INTC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AXP":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824344299,"gmtCreate":1634285248355,"gmtModify":1634285248516,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824344299","repostId":"1123139232","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123139232","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634284219,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1123139232?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 15:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Earnings Season Was Supposed to Be Terrible. It’s Turning Out Pretty Good.<blockquote>这个财报季应该很糟糕。结果还不错。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123139232","media":"Barrons","summary":"Earnings are beating estimates, stocks are soaring, and analysts are quickly raising numbers.\nThe ag","content":"<p> Earnings are beating estimates, stocks are soaring, and analysts are quickly raising numbers.</p><p><blockquote>盈利超出预期，股市飙升，分析师正在迅速提高数字。</blockquote></p><p> The aggregate earnings per share result on the S&amp;P 500 had beaten estimates by 11.7% coming into Thursday, according to Credit Suisse. Almost three quarters of companies reporting so far have posted better-then-expected numbers.</p><p><blockquote>根据瑞士信贷的数据，截至周四，标普500的每股总收益比预期高出 11.7%。迄今为止，近四分之三的报告公司公布的数据好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The surprisingly robust profits underscore that analysts still are getting a handle on the economy as it continues to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic. A year ago, many companies were being ravaged by lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的强劲利润强调，随着经济继续从 Covid-19 大流行中复苏，分析师仍在掌控经济。一年前，许多公司都受到了封锁的重创。</blockquote></p><p> Now many are seeing surging revenue and net income. Sales and EPS on the S&amp;P 500 this quarter are currently expected to rise about 14% and 26% year-over-year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>现在，许多人看到收入和净利润激增。目前预计标普500本季度销售额和每股收益将分别同比增长约14%和26%。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings this quarter weren’t supposed to be this good. The market was expecting lesser earnings beats, just 4% above estimates as recently as Tuesday. After all, analysts have already revised earnings estimates up significantly&nbsp;this year, as companies were beating by more than 15% earlier in the year. Plus, supply chain constraints and labor shortages are bringing costs higher for companies.</p><p><blockquote>本季度的盈利本不该这么好。市场预计盈利好转幅度较小，仅比周二的预期高出 4%。毕竟，分析师已经大幅上调了今年的盈利预期，因为今年早些时候公司的盈利表现超过了 15%。此外，供应链限制和劳动力短缺给企业带来了更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, a big reason earnings are outperforming are the financials, which had beaten estimates by 22% into Thursday.Banks have posted impressive results all week. Still, even excluding financials, S&amp;P 500 companies were beating profit forecasts by about 5% as of Thursday morning.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，盈利跑赢大盘的一个重要原因是财务状况，截至周四，财务状况已超出预期 22%。银行整周都公布了令人印象深刻的业绩。尽管如此，即使不包括金融公司，截至周四上午，标普500公司的利润仍超出预期约 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Share prices are being lifted by the earnings beats.Citigroup&nbsp;(C), Morgan Stanley (MS) and&nbsp;Bank of America&nbsp;(BAC) were all up between 0.7% and 4.5% after earnings, as these banks freed up billions of dollars each that had previously been reserved to absorb potential loan losses. Elsewhere, Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) and&nbsp;Walgreens Boots Alliance&nbsp;(WBA) beat profit expectations, with their stocks rising 0.6% and 7.4%, respectively.Fastenal&nbsp;(FAST) beat estimates and saw its stock rise 3% after earnings. Key to its story: Analysts said the company raised prices enough&nbsp;to offset higher transportation and product costs.</p><p><blockquote>盈利超出预期推高了股价。花旗集团 (C)、摩根士丹利 (MS) 和美国银行 (BAC) 财报公布后均上涨 0.7% 至 4.5%，因为这些银行各自释放了数十亿美元之前预留用于吸收潜在的贷款损失。其他方面，达美乐披萨 (DPZ) 和沃尔格林博姿联盟 (WBA) 的利润超出预期，其股价分别上涨 0.6% 和 7.4%。Fastenal (FAST) 的利润超出预期，财报公布后股价上涨 3%。其故事的关键：分析师表示，该公司提高的价格足以抵消更高的运输和产品成本。</blockquote></p><p> It isn’t just companies reporting earnings that investors are rewarding — the broader market is slipping into relief-rally mode. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.7%. While less than a tenth of companies on the index will have reported by the end of this week, more than 90% of its stocks were rallying Thursday, according to FactSet. Investors seem to be anticipating that earnings will be stronger for companies that haven’t reported yet.</p><p><blockquote>投资者回报的不仅仅是公布财报的公司，更广泛的市场正在滑入缓解反弹模式。标普500上涨1.7%。FactSet 的数据显示，虽然到本周末，该指数中不到十分之一的公司将发布财报，但超过 90% 的股票周四上涨。投资者似乎预计，尚未公布财报的公司的盈利将会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, investors will still have to keep a close eye on profit margins. Supply and labor limitations are still a concern — and not every company is like Fastenal. “The focus remains on margin sustainability in this era of rapidly-rising costs,” writes Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，投资者仍需密切关注利润率。供应和劳动力限制仍然令人担忧，而且并非每家公司都像 Fastenal 一样。“富国银行股票战略主管克里斯托弗-哈维（Christopher Harvey）写道：”在这个成本快速上升的时代，重点仍然是利润率的可持续性。</blockquote></p><p> The point is that earnings look fine — so far.</p><p><blockquote>关键是，到目前为止，盈利看起来不错。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Earnings Season Was Supposed to Be Terrible. It’s Turning Out Pretty Good.<blockquote>这个财报季应该很糟糕。结果还不错。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Earnings Season Was Supposed to Be Terrible. It’s Turning Out Pretty Good.<blockquote>这个财报季应该很糟糕。结果还不错。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 15:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> Earnings are beating estimates, stocks are soaring, and analysts are quickly raising numbers.</p><p><blockquote>盈利超出预期，股市飙升，分析师正在迅速提高数字。</blockquote></p><p> The aggregate earnings per share result on the S&amp;P 500 had beaten estimates by 11.7% coming into Thursday, according to Credit Suisse. Almost three quarters of companies reporting so far have posted better-then-expected numbers.</p><p><blockquote>根据瑞士信贷的数据，截至周四，标普500的每股总收益比预期高出 11.7%。迄今为止，近四分之三的报告公司公布的数据好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The surprisingly robust profits underscore that analysts still are getting a handle on the economy as it continues to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic. A year ago, many companies were being ravaged by lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的强劲利润强调，随着经济继续从 Covid-19 大流行中复苏，分析师仍在掌控经济。一年前，许多公司都受到了封锁的重创。</blockquote></p><p> Now many are seeing surging revenue and net income. Sales and EPS on the S&amp;P 500 this quarter are currently expected to rise about 14% and 26% year-over-year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>现在，许多人看到收入和净利润激增。目前预计标普500本季度销售额和每股收益将分别同比增长约14%和26%。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings this quarter weren’t supposed to be this good. The market was expecting lesser earnings beats, just 4% above estimates as recently as Tuesday. After all, analysts have already revised earnings estimates up significantly&nbsp;this year, as companies were beating by more than 15% earlier in the year. Plus, supply chain constraints and labor shortages are bringing costs higher for companies.</p><p><blockquote>本季度的盈利本不该这么好。市场预计盈利好转幅度较小，仅比周二的预期高出 4%。毕竟，分析师已经大幅上调了今年的盈利预期，因为今年早些时候公司的盈利表现超过了 15%。此外，供应链限制和劳动力短缺给企业带来了更高的成本。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, a big reason earnings are outperforming are the financials, which had beaten estimates by 22% into Thursday.Banks have posted impressive results all week. Still, even excluding financials, S&amp;P 500 companies were beating profit forecasts by about 5% as of Thursday morning.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，盈利跑赢大盘的一个重要原因是财务状况，截至周四，财务状况已超出预期 22%。银行整周都公布了令人印象深刻的业绩。尽管如此，即使不包括金融公司，截至周四上午，标普500公司的利润仍超出预期约 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Share prices are being lifted by the earnings beats.Citigroup&nbsp;(C), Morgan Stanley (MS) and&nbsp;Bank of America&nbsp;(BAC) were all up between 0.7% and 4.5% after earnings, as these banks freed up billions of dollars each that had previously been reserved to absorb potential loan losses. Elsewhere, Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) and&nbsp;Walgreens Boots Alliance&nbsp;(WBA) beat profit expectations, with their stocks rising 0.6% and 7.4%, respectively.Fastenal&nbsp;(FAST) beat estimates and saw its stock rise 3% after earnings. Key to its story: Analysts said the company raised prices enough&nbsp;to offset higher transportation and product costs.</p><p><blockquote>盈利超出预期推高了股价。花旗集团 (C)、摩根士丹利 (MS) 和美国银行 (BAC) 财报公布后均上涨 0.7% 至 4.5%，因为这些银行各自释放了数十亿美元之前预留用于吸收潜在的贷款损失。其他方面，达美乐披萨 (DPZ) 和沃尔格林博姿联盟 (WBA) 的利润超出预期，其股价分别上涨 0.6% 和 7.4%。Fastenal (FAST) 的利润超出预期，财报公布后股价上涨 3%。其故事的关键：分析师表示，该公司提高的价格足以抵消更高的运输和产品成本。</blockquote></p><p> It isn’t just companies reporting earnings that investors are rewarding — the broader market is slipping into relief-rally mode. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.7%. While less than a tenth of companies on the index will have reported by the end of this week, more than 90% of its stocks were rallying Thursday, according to FactSet. Investors seem to be anticipating that earnings will be stronger for companies that haven’t reported yet.</p><p><blockquote>投资者回报的不仅仅是公布财报的公司，更广泛的市场正在滑入缓解反弹模式。标普500上涨1.7%。FactSet 的数据显示，虽然到本周末，该指数中不到十分之一的公司将发布财报，但超过 90% 的股票周四上涨。投资者似乎预计，尚未公布财报的公司的盈利将会更加强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, investors will still have to keep a close eye on profit margins. Supply and labor limitations are still a concern — and not every company is like Fastenal. “The focus remains on margin sustainability in this era of rapidly-rising costs,” writes Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，投资者仍需密切关注利润率。供应和劳动力限制仍然令人担忧，而且并非每家公司都像 Fastenal 一样。“富国银行股票战略主管克里斯托弗-哈维（Christopher Harvey）写道：”在这个成本快速上升的时代，重点仍然是利润率的可持续性。</blockquote></p><p> The point is that earnings look fine — so far.</p><p><blockquote>关键是，到目前为止，盈利看起来不错。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/this-earnings-season-was-supposed-to-be-terrible-its-turning-out-pretty-good-51634242091?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/this-earnings-season-was-supposed-to-be-terrible-its-turning-out-pretty-good-51634242091?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123139232","content_text":"Earnings are beating estimates, stocks are soaring, and analysts are quickly raising numbers.\nThe aggregate earnings per share result on the S&P 500 had beaten estimates by 11.7% coming into Thursday, according to Credit Suisse. Almost three quarters of companies reporting so far have posted better-then-expected numbers.\nThe surprisingly robust profits underscore that analysts still are getting a handle on the economy as it continues to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic. A year ago, many companies were being ravaged by lockdowns.\nNow many are seeing surging revenue and net income. Sales and EPS on the S&P 500 this quarter are currently expected to rise about 14% and 26% year-over-year, respectively.\nEarnings this quarter weren’t supposed to be this good. The market was expecting lesser earnings beats, just 4% above estimates as recently as Tuesday. After all, analysts have already revised earnings estimates up significantly this year, as companies were beating by more than 15% earlier in the year. Plus, supply chain constraints and labor shortages are bringing costs higher for companies.\nTo be sure, a big reason earnings are outperforming are the financials, which had beaten estimates by 22% into Thursday.Banks have posted impressive results all week. Still, even excluding financials, S&P 500 companies were beating profit forecasts by about 5% as of Thursday morning.\nShare prices are being lifted by the earnings beats.Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (MS) and Bank of America (BAC) were all up between 0.7% and 4.5% after earnings, as these banks freed up billions of dollars each that had previously been reserved to absorb potential loan losses. Elsewhere, Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) and Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) beat profit expectations, with their stocks rising 0.6% and 7.4%, respectively.Fastenal (FAST) beat estimates and saw its stock rise 3% after earnings. Key to its story: Analysts said the company raised prices enough to offset higher transportation and product costs.\nIt isn’t just companies reporting earnings that investors are rewarding — the broader market is slipping into relief-rally mode. The S&P 500 rose 1.7%. While less than a tenth of companies on the index will have reported by the end of this week, more than 90% of its stocks were rallying Thursday, according to FactSet. Investors seem to be anticipating that earnings will be stronger for companies that haven’t reported yet.\nGoing forward, investors will still have to keep a close eye on profit margins. Supply and labor limitations are still a concern — and not every company is like Fastenal. “The focus remains on margin sustainability in this era of rapidly-rising costs,” writes Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo.\nThe point is that earnings look fine — so far.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869612939,"gmtCreate":1632279409021,"gmtModify":1632801522606,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ncie","listText":"ncie","text":"ncie","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869612939","repostId":"2169324976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882787141,"gmtCreate":1631721463083,"gmtModify":1631885383959,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good read guys!&nbsp;","listText":"good read guys!&nbsp;","text":"good read guys!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882787141","repostId":"2167859607","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882545555,"gmtCreate":1631711807677,"gmtModify":1631885383971,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882545555","repostId":"1112301233","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112301233","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631707868,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112301233?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112301233","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut t","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施提前削减的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和企业税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午 08:00，美国标普500 e-mini 上涨 4.25 点，即 0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 10 点，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 21.75 点，涨幅 0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc&nbsp;rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在盘前交易中上涨约 0.2%，此前在上一交易日暴跌 1%，原因是对其 Phone 13 和新款 iPad mini 的发布反应有些冷淡。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the&nbsp;state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9点15分分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出将上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软（MSFT）</b>– 微软宣布将股息提高 11%，将季度派息从每股 56 美分提高到 62 美分，并宣布了一项 600 亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯</b>- 这家烧烤制造商的股价在盘前大涨 2%，这是该公司自 8 月份上市以来的首份季度报告。韦伯的销售额同比增长了 19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村 (WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙 (LVS)</b>- 随着监管机构开始为期 45 天的考虑对澳门博彩业实施更严格监管，与澳门相关的赌场股票在盘前交易中暴跌。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心 “持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌 5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌 4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA)&nbsp;–&nbsp;</b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA） –</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b>&nbsp;<b>–</b>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs Group&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;is buying specialty lender&nbsp;GreenSky&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基（GSKY）</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团 (Goldman Sachs Group Inc.) 将以 22 亿美元收购专业贷款机构 GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步推动其从华尔街巨头转型为主街巨头。 GreenSky 股价在盘前交易中上涨 45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy&nbsp;Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for&nbsp;Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>- 据熟悉内情的人士在接受 CNBC 记者大卫-费伯（David Faber）采访时透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空（KSU）的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司（CP）收购堪萨斯城南方公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价为 “优越 ”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药（雨）</b>- 该制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买 140 万剂 Regeneron 的 Covid-19 抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的剂量总数接近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨 2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>– 百胜中国警告称，Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株的传播将导致其第三季度利润受到 50% 至 60% 的打击。这家餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价在盘前交易中下跌 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>思杰系统(CTXS)</b>– 据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix 盘前上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>洞洞鞋</b>- 继周二上涨 8.5% 之后，Crocs 在盘前交易中上涨了 1.1%。在此之前，这家制鞋商在投资者日上预计全年收入将好于预期，并宣布了一项加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>技能软件（技能）</b>– 这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after&nbsp;Amazon(AMZN) and&nbsp;Deliveroo&nbsp;announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖（GRUB）</b>- 亚马逊（AMZN）和户户送宣布合作，将在英国为亚马逊 Prime 会员提供免费送餐服务后，这家食品配送服务的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>- 在美国食品和药物管理局（FDA）授予该公司治疗亨廷顿舞蹈症的实验性疗法快速通道资格后，该制药商的股价在盘前上涨了 3.3%。Sage 预计将在 2021 年底前开始该疗法的 2 期试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技（SOFI）</b>- 瑞穗开始给予 “买入 ”评级，目标价为 28 美元，而周二收盘价为 14.50 美元，该金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了 3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi 正在成为一家拥有下一代功能的 “成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-15 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三小幅走高，因对货币刺激措施提前削减的担忧有所缓解，尽管经济复苏放缓和企业税上调的不确定性打压了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午 08:00，美国标普500 e-mini 上涨 4.25 点，即 0.1%。道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨 10 点，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数上涨 21.75 点，涨幅 0.14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42cc0404895138a163950b81a2d5277c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc&nbsp;rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在盘前交易中上涨约 0.2%，此前在上一交易日暴跌 1%，原因是对其 Phone 13 和新款 iPad mini 的发布反应有些冷淡。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the&nbsp;state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将在上午9点15分分析美国工业生产数据，以寻找有关经济复苏状况的线索。经济学家预测8月份产出将上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Microsoft(MSFT)</b> – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>微软（MSFT）</b>– 微软宣布将股息提高 11%，将季度派息从每股 56 美分提高到 62 美分，并宣布了一项 600 亿美元的股票回购计划。微软盘前上涨 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯</b>- 这家烧烤制造商的股价在盘前大涨 2%，这是该公司自 8 月份上市以来的首份季度报告。韦伯的销售额同比增长了 19%，该公司预计全年销售额将大大高于华尔街目前的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS)</b> – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.</p><p><blockquote><b>永利度假村 (WYNN)、拉斯维加斯金沙 (LVS)</b>- 随着监管机构开始为期 45 天的考虑对澳门博彩业实施更严格监管，与澳门相关的赌场股票在盘前交易中暴跌。官员们表示，他们希望这个世界上最大的赌博中心 “持续健康发展”，但投资者担心潜在变化的影响。永利盘前下跌 5.3%，拉斯维加斯金沙集团下跌 4.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nikola(NKLA)&nbsp;–&nbsp;</b>IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>尼古拉（NKLA） –</b>依维柯和尼古拉在德国乌尔姆开设了电动重型卡车合资制造工厂。尼古拉股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GreenSky(GSKY)</b>&nbsp;<b>–</b>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs Group&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;is buying specialty lender&nbsp;GreenSky&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>格林斯基（GSKY）</b> <b>–</b>高盛集团 (Goldman Sachs Group Inc.) 将以 22 亿美元收购专业贷款机构 GreenSky Inc.，希望这笔交易能够进一步推动其从华尔街巨头转型为主街巨头。 GreenSky 股价在盘前交易中上涨 45%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Canadian National Railway(CNI)</b> – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy&nbsp;Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for&nbsp;Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”</p><p><blockquote><b>加拿大国家铁路（CNI）</b>- 据熟悉内情的人士在接受 CNBC 记者大卫-费伯（David Faber）采访时透露，加拿大国民航空不会提高收购堪萨斯城南方航空（KSU）的报价。这将为加拿大太平洋铁路公司（CP）收购堪萨斯城南方公司扫清道路，此前堪萨斯城南方公司董事会宣布加拿大太平洋铁路公司的最新报价为 “优越 ”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)</b> – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>再生元制药（雨）</b>- 该制药商宣布，美国政府将额外购买 140 万剂 Regeneron 的 Covid-19 抗体鸡尾酒。这将使政府购买的剂量总数接近300万剂。再生元在盘前交易中上涨 2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yum China(YUMC) </b>– Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>百胜中国(YUMC)</b>– 百胜中国警告称，Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株的传播将导致其第三季度利润受到 50% 至 60% 的打击。这家餐厅运营商表示，由于中国爆发德尔塔变异毒株疫情，8月份不得不关闭或限制500多家餐厅的服务。百胜中国股价在盘前交易中下跌 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Citrix Systems(CTXS) </b>– Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>思杰系统(CTXS)</b>– 据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露，思杰正在与顾问合作，考虑出售该公司的可能性。这家工作场所软件制造商将在未来几周内评估人们对该公司的潜在兴趣，并可能决定保持独立。Citrix 盘前上涨 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crocs(CROX) </b>– Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.</p><p><blockquote><b>洞洞鞋</b>- 继周二上涨 8.5% 之后，Crocs 在盘前交易中上涨了 1.1%。在此之前，这家制鞋商在投资者日上预计全年收入将好于预期，并宣布了一项加速股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skillsoft(SKIL) </b>– The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.</p><p><blockquote><b>技能软件（技能）</b>– 这家企业数字学习项目提供商在公布最新季度收入和预订量好于预期并上调全年指引后，盘前股价上涨 4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Just Eat Takeaway(GRUB) </b>– The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after&nbsp;Amazon(AMZN) and&nbsp;Deliveroo&nbsp;announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.</p><p><blockquote><b>就吃外卖（GRUB）</b>- 亚马逊（AMZN）和户户送宣布合作，将在英国为亚马逊 Prime 会员提供免费送餐服务后，这家食品配送服务的股价在盘前交易中下跌了 3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote><b>Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>- 在美国食品和药物管理局（FDA）授予该公司治疗亨廷顿舞蹈症的实验性疗法快速通道资格后，该制药商的股价在盘前上涨了 3.3%。Sage 预计将在 2021 年底前开始该疗法的 2 期试验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>SoFi Technologies(SOFI) </b>– The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.</p><p><blockquote><b>索菲科技（SOFI）</b>- 瑞穗开始给予 “买入 ”评级，目标价为 28 美元，而周二收盘价为 14.50 美元，该金融科技公司的股价在盘前上涨了 3%。瑞穗表示，SoFi 正在成为一家拥有下一代功能的 “成熟的超级应用新银行”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","MSFT":"微软","REGN":"再生元制药公司","CROX":"卡骆驰","LVS":"金沙集团","WYNN":"永利度假村","AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","YUMC":"百胜中国","SKIL":"Skillsoft Corp.","GSKY":"Greensky Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112301233","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday on easing fears of an earlier-than-expected cut to monetary stimulus, even though a slowing economic recovery and uncertainty over higher corporate taxes weighed on sentiment.\nU.S. S&P 500 E-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.1% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 10 points, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.14%.\n\nApple Inc rose around 0.2% in premarket trading, after tumbling 1% in the last session on a somewhat lukewarm response to the unveiling of its Phone 13 and a new iPad mini.\nInvestors will parse data on U.S. industrial production at 9:15 a.m. for clues about the state of the economic recovery. Economists forecast that output rose in August.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nMicrosoft(MSFT) – Microsoft announced an 11% dividend hike, raising its quarterly payout to 62 cents per share from 56 cents, as well as announcing a $60 billion stock buyback program. Microsoft added 1.3% in the premarket.\nWeber(WEBR) – The grill maker’s stock jumped 2% in the premarket, following its first quarterly report since going public in August. Weber’s sales rose 19% from a year earlier, and the company projected full-year sales largely above current Wall Street forecasts.\nWynn Resorts(WYNN),Las Vegas Sands(LVS) – Macau-related casino stocks tumbled in premarket trading as regulators begin a 45-day period of considering tighter regulations on Macau’s gaming industry. Officials say they want “sustained and healthy development” in the world’s biggest gambling hub, but investors are worried over the impact of potential changes. Wynn fell 5.3% in the premarket while Las Vegas Sands slid 4.8%.\nNikola(NKLA) – IVECO and Nikola inaugurated joint-venture manufacturing facility for electric heavy-duty trucks in Ulm, Germany.Nikola shares jumped 3.6% in premarket trading.\nGreenSky(GSKY) – Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is buying specialty lender GreenSky Inc. for $2.2 billion, striking a deal it hopes will further its reinvention from Wall Street powerhouse to Main Street player.GreenSky stock Popped 45% in premarket trading.\nCanadian National Railway(CNI) – Canadian National will not improve its offer to buy Kansas City Southern(KSU), according to people familiar with the situation who spoke to CNBC’s David Faber. That would clear the way for Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) to buy Kansas City Southern, after Kansas City Southern’s board declared Canadian Pacific’s latest offer as “superior.”\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN) – The drugmaker announced that the U.S. government would buy an additional 1.4 million doses of Regeneron’s Covid-19 antibody cocktail. That will bring the total number of doses purchased by the government to nearly 3 million. Regeneron rose 2.7% in premarket trading.\nYum China(YUMC) – Yum China warned that the spread of the Covid-19 delta variant would result in a 50% to 60% hit to its third-quarter profit. The restaurant operator said it had to close or limit service at more than 500 restaurants in August due to the delta variant outbreak in China. Yum China shares tumbled 4.5% in premarket action.\nCitrix Systems(CTXS) – Citrix is working with advisers to consider a possible sale of the company, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. The maker of workplace software will gauge potential interest in the company over the next few weeks and could decide to remain independent. Citrix rallied 5% in the premarket.\nCrocs(CROX) – Crocs added 1.1% in premarket trading following Tuesday’s 8.5% gain. That came after the shoe maker’s Investor Day where it projected better-than-expected full-year revenue and announced an accelerated share repurchase program.\nSkillsoft(SKIL) – The provider of corporate digital learning programs jumped 4.5% in the premarket after reporting better-than-expected revenue and bookings for its latest quarter as well as raising its full-year guidance.\nJust Eat Takeaway(GRUB) – The food delivery service’s stock slid 3.2% in premarket trading after Amazon(AMZN) and Deliveroo announced a partnership that will offer free food delivery in the U.K. to Amazon Prime members.\nSage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drug maker’s shares rallied 3.3% in the premarket after the FDA granted fast-track status to the company’s experimental treatment for Huntington’s disease. Sage expects to start a phase 2 trial for the treatment before the end of 2021.\nSoFi Technologies(SOFI) – The fintech company’s stock added 3% in premarket action after Mizuho began coverage with a “buy” rating and a $28 price target compared with Tuesday’s close of $14.50. Mizuho said SoFi is becoming a “full-fledged, super-app neo-bank” with next-generation capabilities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SAGE":0.9,"CROX":0.9,"CNI":0.9,"CTXS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"WYNN":0.9,"GSKY":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"YUMC":0.9,"REGN":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"LVS":0.9,"GRUB":0.9,"WEBR":0.9,"SKIL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880427048,"gmtCreate":1631074627284,"gmtModify":1631885383983,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880427048","repostId":"1165955664","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165955664","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631070854,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165955664?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 11:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's Why Clover Health Soared on Tuesday<blockquote>这就是 Clover Health 周二飙升的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165955664","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The volatile Medicare stock is rising sharply.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Clover Health</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV), the Medicare insurance technology company, has had a volatile history since going public through a Chamath Palihapitiya-backedSPAC, and it is on the move on Tuesday. As of closed, the stock was higher by more than 22%.</p><p><blockquote><b>三叶草健康</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）是一家医疗保险技术公司，自通过 Chamath Palihapitiya 支持的 SPAC 上市以来，其历史一直不稳定，该公司将于周二搬迁。截至收盘，该股上涨超过22%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Surprisingly enough, the move is coming without any company-specific news. But recall that this isn't the first time we've seen Clover skyrocket without a good business-related reason. In June, the stock jumped from about $9 to more than $28 over the course of three trading sessions as part of a \"meme stock\" craze that also saw fellow meme stocks&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:GME)&nbsp;move sharply higher.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，此举没有任何公司特定的消息。但请记住，这不是我们第一次看到三叶草在没有良好商业相关原因的情况下暴涨。6 月份，该股在三个交易日内从约 9 美元跃升至 28 美元以上，这是“模因股票”热潮的一部分，其他模因股票也出现了上涨<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）和<b>游戏驿站</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GME）大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cefaccb4bd2699e8503418d9241ae4d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Well, there's a good reason to believe that today's move is similar in nature. On the Wallstreetbets Reddit group, Clover was the most frequently mentioned stock on Tuesday. Several other meme stocks, including AMC, were higher as well.</p><p><blockquote>嗯，有充分的理由相信今天的举动本质上是相似的。在 Wallstreetbets Reddit 群组上，Clover 是周二最常被提及的股票。包括 AMC 在内的其他几只模因股票也走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned, last time Clover started to rise without any news, the move lasted for about three days and resulted in the stock price more than tripling. So it's entirely possible that this move could be sustained for some time.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，上次三叶草在没有任何消息的情况下开始上涨，这一举动持续了大约三天，导致股价上涨了两倍多。因此，这一举动完全有可能持续一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also worth mentioning that once the steam ran out of the last rally, the stock fell back to Earth rather quickly. So this is definitely a situation in which investors should tread carefully. The best course of action for long-term investors who own shares and believe in Clover Health's long-term potential is likely to do nothing at all.</p><p><blockquote>然而，还值得一提的是，一旦上次反弹的动力耗尽，该股就很快回落。所以这绝对是投资者应该谨慎行事的情况。对于拥有股票并相信 Clover Health 长期潜力的长期投资者来说，最好的行动方案可能是什么都不做。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why Clover Health Soared on Tuesday<blockquote>这就是 Clover Health 周二飙升的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why Clover Health Soared on Tuesday<blockquote>这就是 Clover Health 周二飙升的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 11:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Clover Health</b>(NASDAQ:CLOV), the Medicare insurance technology company, has had a volatile history since going public through a Chamath Palihapitiya-backedSPAC, and it is on the move on Tuesday. As of closed, the stock was higher by more than 22%.</p><p><blockquote><b>三叶草健康</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CLOV）是一家医疗保险技术公司，自通过 Chamath Palihapitiya 支持的 SPAC 上市以来，其历史一直不稳定，该公司将于周二搬迁。截至收盘，该股上涨超过22%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Surprisingly enough, the move is coming without any company-specific news. But recall that this isn't the first time we've seen Clover skyrocket without a good business-related reason. In June, the stock jumped from about $9 to more than $28 over the course of three trading sessions as part of a \"meme stock\" craze that also saw fellow meme stocks&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:GME)&nbsp;move sharply higher.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，此举没有任何公司特定的消息。但请记住，这不是我们第一次看到三叶草在没有良好商业相关原因的情况下暴涨。6 月份，该股在三个交易日内从约 9 美元跃升至 28 美元以上，这是“模因股票”热潮的一部分，其他模因股票也出现了上涨<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）和<b>游戏驿站</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GME）大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cefaccb4bd2699e8503418d9241ae4d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Well, there's a good reason to believe that today's move is similar in nature. On the Wallstreetbets Reddit group, Clover was the most frequently mentioned stock on Tuesday. Several other meme stocks, including AMC, were higher as well.</p><p><blockquote>嗯，有充分的理由相信今天的举动本质上是相似的。在 Wallstreetbets Reddit 群组上，Clover 是周二最常被提及的股票。包括 AMC 在内的其他几只模因股票也走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned, last time Clover started to rise without any news, the move lasted for about three days and resulted in the stock price more than tripling. So it's entirely possible that this move could be sustained for some time.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，上次三叶草在没有任何消息的情况下开始上涨，这一举动持续了大约三天，导致股价上涨了两倍多。因此，这一举动完全有可能持续一段时间。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's also worth mentioning that once the steam ran out of the last rally, the stock fell back to Earth rather quickly. So this is definitely a situation in which investors should tread carefully. The best course of action for long-term investors who own shares and believe in Clover Health's long-term potential is likely to do nothing at all.</p><p><blockquote>然而，还值得一提的是，一旦上次反弹的动力耗尽，该股就很快回落。所以这绝对是投资者应该谨慎行事的情况。对于拥有股票并相信 Clover Health 长期潜力的长期投资者来说，最好的行动方案可能是什么都不做。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/07/heres-why-clover-health-is-soaring-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/07/heres-why-clover-health-is-soaring-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165955664","content_text":"What happened\nClover Health(NASDAQ:CLOV), the Medicare insurance technology company, has had a volatile history since going public through a Chamath Palihapitiya-backedSPAC, and it is on the move on Tuesday. As of closed, the stock was higher by more than 22%.\nSo what\nSurprisingly enough, the move is coming without any company-specific news. But recall that this isn't the first time we've seen Clover skyrocket without a good business-related reason. In June, the stock jumped from about $9 to more than $28 over the course of three trading sessions as part of a \"meme stock\" craze that also saw fellow meme stocks AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) and GameStop(NYSE:GME) move sharply higher.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nWell, there's a good reason to believe that today's move is similar in nature. On the Wallstreetbets Reddit group, Clover was the most frequently mentioned stock on Tuesday. Several other meme stocks, including AMC, were higher as well.\nNow what\nAs mentioned, last time Clover started to rise without any news, the move lasted for about three days and resulted in the stock price more than tripling. So it's entirely possible that this move could be sustained for some time.\nHowever, it's also worth mentioning that once the steam ran out of the last rally, the stock fell back to Earth rather quickly. So this is definitely a situation in which investors should tread carefully. The best course of action for long-term investors who own shares and believe in Clover Health's long-term potential is likely to do nothing at all.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":691,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880110875,"gmtCreate":1631024511797,"gmtModify":1631885383993,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880110875","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊!在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 20%，连续七个月上涨，并一路创下 50 多个新高。此外，去年市场从 2020 年 3 月的低点反弹了 68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨速度。刺激支出已见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。更重要的是，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。对于越来越昂贵的股票持有者来说，这些都不太可能满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，做好准备迎接波动性下跌，这相互矛盾地推动巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。“Nuveen 全球股票首席投资官赛拉-马利克（Saira Malik）说：”万物反弹已经过去。“这不会是一股急剧上涨的经济潮流，让所有船只都离开这里”。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识。<i>巴伦</i>最近咨询过。所有人都看到标普500在周四收盘价 4536 点附近收盘。他们的平均目标：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>与最近的趋势相比，明年的涨幅也显得微不足道。该集团预计 2022 年标普500将再增长 6%，升至 4,800 左右。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的 21 倍，债券收益率很低，现金收益率在考虑通货膨胀因素后几乎为零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察家建议关注 “优质 ”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、停滞不前的备忘录股和数字世界的狗狗币。在股票中，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不佳，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅反弹是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免 Covid 大流行病造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美国央行每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并将投资者推向包括股票在内的风险更高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买规模，此举可能会动摇各种风险资产。“摩根士丹利（atMorgan Stanley）首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师迈克-威尔逊（Mike Wilson）说：”对我们来说，这很简单：缩减规模就是收紧规模。“这是（美联储）远离最大限度宽松的第一步。他们这次对此非常精打细算，但底线是这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>战略家们指出，政府的刺激支出也达到了顶峰。每周 300 美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于 9 月 6 日到期。尽管国会似乎可能会在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激计划相比，近期经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约 5500 亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分摊多年。基础设施刺激措施将在短期内对占美国国内生产总值增长近 70% 的消费支出的提振作用，远不及去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>民主党批准的预算法案只应遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施的支出，以及其他政党优先事项。国会可能会投票提高对企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这笔支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他充满政治色彩的问题同样可能导致股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计支出法案，以避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>十月关闭。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要局限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本看法并不包括新一波会破坏经济增长的封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是最近通货膨胀一直非常火爆。美国消费者价格指数在 6 月和 7 月均以年化 5.4% 的速度上涨--美联储的评级是暂时的，尽管其他人并不确定。战略家们站在鲍威尔一边；他们预计明年通货膨胀率将大幅下降。他们的预测降幅在 2.5% 至 3.5% 之间，他们认为这对消费者和企业来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，高于 2.5% 的通胀率，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着现在超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德多资产策略集团（BlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group）收入投资主管迈克尔-弗雷德里克斯（Michael Fredericks）说：”我们认为通胀将继续高于金融危机以来的水平，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们就很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。“因此，债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将是逐步发生的。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比目前的水平高出约 35 个基点，即百分之一个百分点，但低于 2021 年 3 月高点时达到的 1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10 年期国债收益率可能达到 2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不算大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股市来说意义更大。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会给股票估值带来压力，原因有二。收益率较高的债券会给股票带来竞争，如果按较高的利率贴现，公司未来的收益在目前就毫无价值。尽管如此，2% 左右的 10 年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至 Covid 之前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师也认为标普500持有的市盈率远高于其 30 年平均水平 16 倍远期市盈率。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破了 23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要 10 年期国债收益率保持在 2% 范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够保持在高位。在收益率大幅上升或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力之前，回到 16 倍的长期平均水平是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>他表示，如果收益率飙升至 2% 或 2.25% 以上，投资者可能会开始更认真地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">状态</a>Street'schief 投资组合策略师 Gaurav Mallik： “我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10 年期国债收益率）超过 2%，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出股市的估值风险是不对称的： “他说：”考虑到增长放缓和我们在周期中的位置，市盈率不太可能上升，而且很有可能下降 10% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，如果 16 到 23 倍的远期市盈率是这个范围，“你已经处于这个范围的高端了。潜在的风险大于回报”。</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率的压缩，这使得利润增长之路更加重要。在经历了去年的盈利低迷之后，策略师平均预计标普500今年的盈利将跃升 46%，达到约 204 美元。随后，2022 年可能会上涨 9%，达到约 222.50 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是 2022 年联邦企业税率的提高。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定，投资者有望听到更多关于潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25% 的联邦企业利润率可能是一个妥协数字，高于 2018 年以来的 21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的 28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约 5%。随着民主党和解法案的临近，该指数可能会下降类似的幅度，但影响应仅限于最初的修正。与 2017 年 12 月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>撇开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应忽视大局： 美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。“马利克说：”周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长至少将持续到 2022 年，我们希望偏向具有这种风险敞口的资产。</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将非常火爆。当国内生产总值增长高于平均水平时，价值就会战胜增长，周期性股票会战胜防御性股票。”- Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场 道富银行策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和技术。这种方法既包括银行和矿业等经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）美国股票策略主管洛里-卡尔瓦西纳（Lori Calvasina）同样采取杠铃策略，同时投资周期性和成长性。她喜欢的行业是能源、金融和科技。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔瓦西纳说：”金融和能源领域的估值仍然比成长型行业（如科技或非必需消费品）更具吸引力。“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的 Covid 浪潮......今明两年我们将迎来火热的经济，传统上，当 GDP 增长高于平均水平时，价值战胜增长，周期性战胜防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是至关重要的，尤其是进入 2022 年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔瓦西纳说：”历史的剧本是，从经济衰退中走出来，往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量超越业绩，然后领导层会回到高质量。“但从低质量到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师倾向于经济敏感股票和稳定增长股票的组合，包括科技股。金融股应该表现良好，尤其是在债券收益率上升的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管具有质量属性的股票今年夏天的表现优于大盘，但根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析认为，自去年11月首次报道积极的疫苗消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德（BlackRock）的弗雷德里克斯（Fredericks）说：”我们正在进入一个周期中期环境，此时潜在的经济增长依然强劲，但势头开始放缓。“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤为出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融业，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的必需消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>该公司的股票策略主管克里斯托弗-哈维（Christopher Harvey）认为，大流行后的受益者和防御性敞口相结合才是最佳选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票--在今年秋季市场不确定或压力时期，这些股票的表现应该会优于平均水平--并且 “Covid贝塔值 ”较高，即对大流行病的好消息或坏消息敏感。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师不得不将这些股票评级相当于买入。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>“哈维说：”近期存在经济不确定性、利率不确定性和 Covid 风险，一般来说，9 月前后我们正处于一年中季节性疲软的时期。“如果我们能在低体积和高 Covid beta 之间取得平衡，我们就能减轻即将到来的许多不确定性和波动性，这些催化剂的时间安排。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望有这种[重新开放的风险敞口]”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的高Covid贝塔值低波动性股票名单包括苹果公司（AAPL）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">伊克维亚</a>控股公司 (IQV) 和马斯科 (MAS)。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。景顺 KBW 银行交易所交易基金 (KBWB) 为美国该行业提供广泛的投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“哈维说：”我们喜欢估值[和]信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且 Covid 贝塔系数也更高。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>更便宜的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股票市场的其他大部分相反，更高的利率将成为银行的推动力，然后银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>威尔逊说。“如今，与其他行业相比，医疗保健行业每单位增长的成本要低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，医疗保健行业为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”Health insurerHumana (HUM) 将威尔逊的 “新鲜资金买入清单”评级为买入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen 的 Malik 也将目光投向了医疗保健行业，即制药和生物技术行业，以获得价格相对较低的增长机会。她指出，Seagen (SGEN) 专注于肿瘤药物，可能是制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维 (ABBV)，该公司的远期市盈率为 8 倍，股息收益率为 4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层可以限制损害，并看到这家价值 2000 亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都经历了艰难的时期。Seagen 上周下跌超过 8%，至 152 美元左右，原因是有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官最近出售了大量股票。周三，艾伯维股价下跌 7%，至 112.27 美元，此前美国食品和药物管理局要求 JAK 抑制剂贴上新的警告标签，JAK 抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，包括以下成分之一<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生公司 (JNJ) 和思科系统公司 (CSCO) 是其他通过<i>巴伦</i>质量属性屏幕。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳步上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点回落，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊!在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 20%，连续七个月上涨，并一路创下 50 多个新高。此外，去年市场从 2020 年 3 月的低点反弹了 68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨速度。刺激支出已见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。更重要的是，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。对于越来越昂贵的股票持有者来说，这些都不太可能满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，做好准备迎接波动性下跌，这相互矛盾地推动巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。“Nuveen 全球股票首席投资官赛拉-马利克（Saira Malik）说：”万物反弹已经过去。“这不会是一股急剧上涨的经济潮流，让所有船只都离开这里”。</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识。<i>巴伦</i>最近咨询过。所有人都看到标普500在周四收盘价 4536 点附近收盘。他们的平均目标：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>与最近的趋势相比，明年的涨幅也显得微不足道。该集团预计 2022 年标普500将再增长 6%，升至 4,800 左右。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的 21 倍，债券收益率很低，现金收益率在考虑通货膨胀因素后几乎为零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察家建议关注 “优质 ”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、停滞不前的备忘录股和数字世界的狗狗币。在股票中，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不佳，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅反弹是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免 Covid 大流行病造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美国央行每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并将投资者推向包括股票在内的风险更高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买规模，此举可能会动摇各种风险资产。“摩根士丹利（atMorgan Stanley）首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师迈克-威尔逊（Mike Wilson）说：”对我们来说，这很简单：缩减规模就是收紧规模。“这是（美联储）远离最大限度宽松的第一步。他们这次对此非常精打细算，但底线是这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>战略家们指出，政府的刺激支出也达到了顶峰。每周 300 美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于 9 月 6 日到期。尽管国会似乎可能会在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激计划相比，近期经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约 5500 亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分摊多年。基础设施刺激措施将在短期内对占美国国内生产总值增长近 70% 的消费支出的提振作用，远不及去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>民主党批准的预算法案只应遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施的支出，以及其他政党优先事项。国会可能会投票提高对企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这笔支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他充满政治色彩的问题同样可能导致股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计支出法案，以避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>十月关闭。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要局限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本看法并不包括新一波会破坏经济增长的封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是最近通货膨胀一直非常火爆。美国消费者价格指数在 6 月和 7 月均以年化 5.4% 的速度上涨--美联储的评级是暂时的，尽管其他人并不确定。战略家们站在鲍威尔一边；他们预计明年通货膨胀率将大幅下降。他们的预测降幅在 2.5% 至 3.5% 之间，他们认为这对消费者和企业来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，高于 2.5% 的通胀率，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着现在超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德多资产策略集团（BlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group）收入投资主管迈克尔-弗雷德里克斯（Michael Fredericks）说：”我们认为通胀将继续高于金融危机以来的水平，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们就很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。“因此，债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将是逐步发生的。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比目前的水平高出约 35 个基点，即百分之一个百分点，但低于 2021 年 3 月高点时达到的 1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10 年期国债收益率可能达到 2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不算大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股市来说意义更大。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会给股票估值带来压力，原因有二。收益率较高的债券会给股票带来竞争，如果按较高的利率贴现，公司未来的收益在目前就毫无价值。尽管如此，2% 左右的 10 年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至 Covid 之前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师也认为标普500持有的市盈率远高于其 30 年平均水平 16 倍远期市盈率。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破了 23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要 10 年期国债收益率保持在 2% 范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够保持在高位。在收益率大幅上升或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力之前，回到 16 倍的长期平均水平是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>他表示，如果收益率飙升至 2% 或 2.25% 以上，投资者可能会开始更认真地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">状态</a>Street'schief 投资组合策略师 Gaurav Mallik： “我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10 年期国债收益率）超过 2%，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出股市的估值风险是不对称的： “他说：”考虑到增长放缓和我们在周期中的位置，市盈率不太可能上升，而且很有可能下降 10% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，如果 16 到 23 倍的远期市盈率是这个范围，“你已经处于这个范围的高端了。潜在的风险大于回报”。</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率的压缩，这使得利润增长之路更加重要。在经历了去年的盈利低迷之后，策略师平均预计标普500今年的盈利将跃升 46%，达到约 204 美元。随后，2022 年可能会上涨 9%，达到约 222.50 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是 2022 年联邦企业税率的提高。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定，投资者有望听到更多关于潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25% 的联邦企业利润率可能是一个妥协数字，高于 2018 年以来的 21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的 28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约 5%。随着民主党和解法案的临近，该指数可能会下降类似的幅度，但影响应仅限于最初的修正。与 2017 年 12 月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>撇开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应忽视大局： 美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。“马利克说：”周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长至少将持续到 2022 年，我们希望偏向具有这种风险敞口的资产。</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将非常火爆。当国内生产总值增长高于平均水平时，价值就会战胜增长，周期性股票会战胜防御性股票。”- Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场 道富银行策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和技术。这种方法既包括银行和矿业等经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场（RBC Capital Markets）美国股票策略主管洛里-卡尔瓦西纳（Lori Calvasina）同样采取杠铃策略，同时投资周期性和成长性。她喜欢的行业是能源、金融和科技。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔瓦西纳说：”金融和能源领域的估值仍然比成长型行业（如科技或非必需消费品）更具吸引力。“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的 Covid 浪潮......今明两年我们将迎来火热的经济，传统上，当 GDP 增长高于平均水平时，价值战胜增长，周期性战胜防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是至关重要的，尤其是进入 2022 年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔瓦西纳说：”历史的剧本是，从经济衰退中走出来，往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量超越业绩，然后领导层会回到高质量。“但从低质量到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师倾向于经济敏感股票和稳定增长股票的组合，包括科技股。金融股应该表现良好，尤其是在债券收益率上升的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管具有质量属性的股票今年夏天的表现优于大盘，但根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析认为，自去年11月首次报道积极的疫苗消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>“贝莱德（BlackRock）的弗雷德里克斯（Fredericks）说：”我们正在进入一个周期中期环境，此时潜在的经济增长依然强劲，但势头开始放缓。“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤为出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融业，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的必需消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>该公司的股票策略主管克里斯托弗-哈维（Christopher Harvey）认为，大流行后的受益者和防御性敞口相结合才是最佳选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票--在今年秋季市场不确定或压力时期，这些股票的表现应该会优于平均水平--并且 “Covid贝塔值 ”较高，即对大流行病的好消息或坏消息敏感。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师不得不将这些股票评级相当于买入。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>“哈维说：”近期存在经济不确定性、利率不确定性和 Covid 风险，一般来说，9 月前后我们正处于一年中季节性疲软的时期。“如果我们能在低体积和高 Covid beta 之间取得平衡，我们就能减轻即将到来的许多不确定性和波动性，这些催化剂的时间安排。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望有这种[重新开放的风险敞口]”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的高Covid贝塔值低波动性股票名单包括苹果公司（AAPL）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">伊克维亚</a>控股公司 (IQV) 和马斯科 (MAS)。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。景顺 KBW 银行交易所交易基金 (KBWB) 为美国该行业提供广泛的投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“哈维说：”我们喜欢估值[和]信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且 Covid 贝塔系数也更高。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>更便宜的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股票市场的其他大部分相反，更高的利率将成为银行的推动力，然后银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>威尔逊说。“如今，与其他行业相比，医疗保健行业每单位增长的成本要低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，医疗保健行业为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”Health insurerHumana (HUM) 将威尔逊的 “新鲜资金买入清单”评级为买入<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen 的 Malik 也将目光投向了医疗保健行业，即制药和生物技术行业，以获得价格相对较低的增长机会。她指出，Seagen (SGEN) 专注于肿瘤药物，可能是制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维 (ABBV)，该公司的远期市盈率为 8 倍，股息收益率为 4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层可以限制损害，并看到这家价值 2000 亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都经历了艰难的时期。Seagen 上周下跌超过 8%，至 152 美元左右，原因是有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官最近出售了大量股票。周三，艾伯维股价下跌 7%，至 112.27 美元，此前美国食品和药物管理局要求 JAK 抑制剂贴上新的警告标签，JAK 抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，包括以下成分之一<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生公司 (JNJ) 和思科系统公司 (CSCO) 是其他通过<i>巴伦</i>质量属性屏幕。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳步上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点回落，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817634513,"gmtCreate":1630939280132,"gmtModify":1631885384007,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817634513","repostId":"1121396906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814214660,"gmtCreate":1630823197650,"gmtModify":1631885384019,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814214660","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德（Vance Howard）的 HCM 战术增长基金（Tactical Growwth Fund）会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。，有一个量化系统，发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详细介绍。（其中：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但霍华德分享了很多细节，你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上，出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，那么如果你单独行动，就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好，你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说：”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“霍华德说：”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%，他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果买盘是积极的，无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定，就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多内容见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场，却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时，HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号，然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场，在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点，我们就能获得更高的回报，生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的，因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说：”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格（Marty Zweig）经典著作《华尔街的胜利》（Winning on Wall Street）的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道：”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易，那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF，击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解，我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术，他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品， -0.30%， 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司， -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT（-0.00%）和苹果APL（+0.42%），以及亚马逊.comAMZN（+0.43%）和特斯拉TSLA（+0.16%）。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF： HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%，HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后，该基金强势回归，实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德（Vance Howard）的 HCM 战术增长基金（Tactical Growwth Fund）会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。，有一个量化系统，发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详细介绍。（其中：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但霍华德分享了很多细节，你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上，出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，那么如果你单独行动，就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好，你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说：”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“霍华德说：”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%，他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果买盘是积极的，无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定，就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多内容见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场，却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时，HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号，然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场，在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点，我们就能获得更高的回报，生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的，因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说：”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格（Marty Zweig）经典著作《华尔街的胜利》（Winning on Wall Street）的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道：”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易，那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF，击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解，我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术，他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品， -0.30%， 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司， -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT（-0.00%）和苹果APL（+0.42%），以及亚马逊.comAMZN（+0.43%）和特斯拉TSLA（+0.16%）。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF： HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%，HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后，该基金强势回归，实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815197728,"gmtCreate":1630653607664,"gmtModify":1631885384028,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"that’s good to hear","listText":"that’s good to hear","text":"that’s good to hear","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815197728","repostId":"2164829818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816804041,"gmtCreate":1630484548283,"gmtModify":1631885384041,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"props to those who held this pre soar","listText":"props to those who held this pre soar","text":"props to those who held this pre soar","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816804041","repostId":"1110460683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110460683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630483823,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1110460683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-01 16:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110460683","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased","content":"<p>Skillz&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a32486a8be6b6f805078c68af182e17\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock&nbsp;yesterday,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;was&nbsp;up&nbsp;11.14%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>一位Reddit用户发帖称，他们昨天购买了480万美元的Skillz股票，该股周二上涨11.14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSkillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-01 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Skillz&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a32486a8be6b6f805078c68af182e17\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock&nbsp;yesterday,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;was&nbsp;up&nbsp;11.14%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>一位Reddit用户发帖称，他们昨天购买了480万美元的Skillz股票，该股周二上涨11.14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110460683","content_text":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock yesterday, and the stock was up 11.14% on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813359821,"gmtCreate":1630136746863,"gmtModify":1704956464461,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"also good to bet with crypto!","listText":"also good to bet with crypto!","text":"also good to bet with crypto!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813359821","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810495293,"gmtCreate":1629990359212,"gmtModify":1704954319950,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810495293","repostId":"1186610229","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837324649,"gmtCreate":1629858639681,"gmtModify":1631889292497,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"buy the index seems like a good bet now","listText":"buy the index seems like a good bet now","text":"buy the index seems like a good bet now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837324649","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":114197120,"gmtCreate":1623055953860,"gmtModify":1634095797236,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"comment and like thanks","listText":"comment and like thanks","text":"comment and like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114197120","repostId":"1112319097","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112620841,"gmtCreate":1622867045983,"gmtModify":1634097196255,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment thanks","listText":"like and comment thanks","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112620841","repostId":"1148130971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148130971","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622866524,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148130971?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股票能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148130971","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fas","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li>  <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li>  <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来汽车的股价在过去一年中飙升了 816% 以上，在 3 月初成长型股票抛售之前，于 2 月初达到近 62 美元的峰值。</li><li>公司的创新方法和海外扩张战略，加上全球电气化和自动化市场情绪不断增长，预计将提升公司估值。</li><li>我们相信，随着自动驾驶成为现实，全球电动汽车销量持续增长，蔚来汽车的股价到 2025 年将飙升至 160 美元以上。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Drew Angerer/Getty Images 新闻来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a&nbsp;price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NIO）是一个中国本土电动汽车（“EV”）品牌，最近才开始向欧洲进行海外扩张，但近年来，它已经在电动汽车领域的狂热投资者中获得了极大的国际关注。自蔚来在 2018 年年中首次交付以来，只有短短三年时间，但许多人已经在猜测其股价能否达到与行业领导者特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）类似的高度。尽管考虑到特斯拉目前的交易价格超过每股 600 美元，市值超过 6000 亿美元，这有点牵强，但我们确实相信蔚来在 2025 年之前有潜力突破每股 100 美元。就连华尔街分析师也对该公司的未来保持乐观，他们将目标价定为接近 60 美元，根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元（6 月 1 日）计算，该公司的上涨潜力超过 35%。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来成立于2014年，迄今已在华销售和交付超过10万辆汽车。该公司拥有五款零排放、全电池供电的车型，从跑车到豪华轿车和全尺寸 SUV。除了汽车之外，蔚来还因其在创新技术方面取得的重大进展而闻名，包括最先进的电池解决方案、人工智能和自动驾驶。该公司最近还将其全球扩张计划变为现实，第一家海外蔚来商店将于2021年第三季度在挪威奥斯陆开业。我们认为，股价达到 100 美元不再是 “是否 ”的问题，而是 “何时 ”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>创新技术的开拓者</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the&nbsp;181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles&nbsp;currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are&nbsp;more than 226 battery swapping stations&nbsp;across China, with more on the way following a recent&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来一直表现出令人不安的创新者的特征。该品牌因其在电池更换技术 “Power Swap ”方面的突破而广为人知，该技术为蔚来车主提供了一种快速便捷的解决方案，以解决电动汽车通常行驶里程有限的问题。类似于加油站，Power Swap是一种电池交换站，可以在三分钟内将没电的电池换成充满电的电池；充满电的电池可使蔚来汽车行驶435英里，是目前市场上电动汽车181英里平均行驶里程的两倍多。蔚来车主可选择订阅「电池即服务」（「BaaS」）套餐，这是一项按月订阅服务，可根据个人需求为蔚来车主提供灵活的电池升级选择。该公司目前提供标准的 75 kWh 电池，充满电后可行驶 310 英里；以及增强型 100 kWh 电池，充满电后可行驶 435 英里；在BaaS下，两者都可供蔚来所有者按月选择。迄今为止，全国已有超过226个换电站，随着蔚来和中石化最近签署战略合作伙伴协议，更多的换电站正在建设中。蔚来的汽车还兼容本地竞争对手小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）在中国 164 个城市的 1140 个汽车充电站，这进一步增强了其为蔚来车主提供的现有充电基础设施网络。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of&nbsp;EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s&nbsp;NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p><p><blockquote>除了长期维持蔚来电动汽车所需的发达基础设施网络外，该公司还一直在努力完善其自动驾驶和人工智能技术，以便在更广泛的电动汽车和科技领域保持竞争力。蔚来自2016年以来一直在对其自动驾驶系统进行测试，2018年在北京公共道路上进行了首次测试。该公司对客运未来的承诺也体现在他们开发的 EVE 上，这是该品牌的自动驾驶概念车，由蔚来的 NOMI AI（全球首个车载人工智能）提供豪华、舒适和安全的体验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently&nbsp;partnered with Mobileye&nbsp;– an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p><p><blockquote>为了进一步推进其在自动驾驶技术方面的进展，蔚来最近与英特尔旗下（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）公司 Mobileye 合作，开发不需要人工交互的驾驶自动化（即 “4 级 ”自动驾驶）并将其商业化。他们的合作有望加速蔚来推出 “自动驾驶即服务 ”（ADaaS）套餐，该套餐是其自动驾驶技术 “蔚来自动驾驶 ”（NAD）的月度订阅。然而，与特斯拉的 “全自动驾驶 ”套件类似，预计将于 2022 年推出的 NAD 技术尚未使蔚来汽车能够在没有人工干预的情况下驾驶，但它确实将蔚来推向了与行业领导者特斯拉不相上下的位置。蔚来用户可以选择订阅ADaaS，每月订阅费为人民币680元。目前上路的蔚来汽车超过 102,000 辆，新的订阅套餐预计将带来 8.4 亿元人民币（1.32 亿美元）的增量年销售额；假设大多数现有蔚来车主都注册了这项服务，那么在这项服务推出时，额外的收入来源估计约为 100 亿元人民币（16 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an&nbsp;estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在自动驾驶技术方面的持续发展有望在不久的将来使公司及其股东受益匪浅。到2025年，全球自动驾驶汽车市场将成为增长最快、需求量最大的细分市场之一，估计价值达1.6万亿美元。如果占据该市场 6% 的份额，蔚来现有 670 亿美元的市值将至少增加 1000 亿美元，使其每股价值超过 100 美元。考虑到蔚来是目前极少数在自动驾驶领域取得切实成果的纯电动汽车制造商之一，并且正在积极增长海外销量，我们有信心该公司有能力占领上述6%以上的市场份额，并轻松实现到2025年每股价格超过100美元。结合全球消费者偏好向电气化和自动化的转变，我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将达到约 300,000 辆，总收入将达到约 1,400 亿元人民币（220 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部预测（NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first&nbsp;overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway&nbsp;in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the&nbsp;ES8, which currently retails at a&nbsp;starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the&nbsp;ET7, to follow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>推动蔚来股价突破 100 美元的另一个催化剂是他们正在进行的海外扩张努力。蔚来一直透露其全球扩张的意图，尤其是在美国和欧洲，作为其成为行业领导者计划的一部分。蔚来将于9月在挪威奥斯陆开设其首个海外销售和服务中心。2022 年，该品牌在挪威的足迹将进一步扩大，蔚来将在卑尔根、斯塔万格、特隆赫姆和克里斯蒂安桑开设四家门店。除了直销和服务中心外，蔚来还将为欧洲推出完整的充电地图，首先是挪威的四个蔚来换电站，为蔚来的新车主提供该品牌赖以取得成功的便利和续航里程。蔚来的旗舰 SUV ES8 目前的起售价约为 6.7 万美元，将是首款引入欧洲市场的车型，随后该品牌最新的全尺寸轿车 ET7 将于 2022 年推出。</blockquote></p><p> With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在中国豪华电动汽车市场拥有良好的销售记录，其规格可与全球知名的特斯拉相媲美，因此没有理由不在海外取得成功。如前所述，蔚来车辆充满电后的续航里程可达 435 英里，对于那些正在寻找可靠伴侣陪伴他们进行日常通勤和长途旅行的欧美潜在车主来说，这是一个理想的选择。蔚来的外观和内饰设计也是现代、豪华的，可与欧洲和北美人口的偏好相媲美。结合多样化的产品线和价格范围，蔚来有能力满足全球范围内对电动汽车日益增长的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的历史表现</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a&nbsp;capital injection of RMB 7 billion&nbsp;(approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its&nbsp;IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>就在一年多前，尽管汽车销售仍在继续，但由于流动性问题，蔚来的股价还是创下了不到 2 美元的历史新低。2020 年年中，中国合肥市政府出手相救，注资 70 亿元人民币（约合 10 亿美元）。该安排导致“蔚来中国”成立，作为持有蔚来所有核心业务和资产的运营实体；蔚来目前持有蔚来中国 90.36% 的股权，“合肥战略投资者”财团持有剩余 9.64% 的股权。这种合作关系成为公司的生命线；额外的资本为公司的运营和汽车销售带来了显著改善，这反映在公司强劲的财务业绩和 2020 年夏季股价的上升趋势上。到 2020 年第二季度末，蔚来的股价平均反弹了近 20%，总收入环比增长了 171%。该公司股价在 2020 年第三季度上涨了两倍多，平均达到 15.40 美元，并继续攀升至第四季度的平均水平 38.70 美元。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日的最新季度末，蔚来的平均股价为 50.97 美元，2 月份达到近 62 美元的峰值，是其 2018 年 IPO 价格的 10 倍多。如今，该公司的市值超过 670 亿美元，超过了在纽约证券交易所首次亮相时的 10 亿美元市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the&nbsp;growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the&nbsp;recently renewed manufacturing agreement&nbsp;with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p><p><blockquote>自今年早些时候股价在 2 月底成长型股票抛售之前达到顶峰以来，蔚来的基本面也一直在稳步改善。2021年的交付量继续呈指数级加速，第一季度交付量超过20,000辆，占2020年总交付量的近50%。该公司继续展现出光明的前景，4 月份交付了超过 7,100 辆汽车，同比增长超过 125%。蔚来在2021年第一季度还保持了经营活动的正现金流，这得益于更高的交付量和有效的成本管理措施，使其毛利率提高到19.5%，与特斯拉等行业领导者相当第一季度毛利率为21%。如上所述，我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将接近 300,000 辆，相当于总收入约为 1,400 亿元人民币（220 亿美元）（每股 18.60 美元）。近期与合营企业「江淮汽车集团」（「江淮汽车集团」）重续的制造协议进一步证实了我们对2025财年的整车销售预测，该协议将目前的年产能由100,000辆增加至240,000辆；目前正在合肥兴建的「NeoPark」预计年产能将增加100万台，进一步支持我们对蔚来继续致力于发展业务的积极前景。考虑到行业同行特斯拉目前的市盈率为 16.43 倍，年收入约为 420 亿美元（第一季度收入年化为 103.89 亿美元），同样的比例应用于蔚来预测的 2025 财年总收入，预计市盈率将达到 8.7 倍，股价将超过 160 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来与李和 XPEV</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Finviz</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>我们还将蔚来目前的市盈率与国内同行进行了比较，以确定蔚来股价超过 100 美元的时间表。蔚来目前的市盈率约为14.88倍，而国内行业同行理想汽车（纳斯达克股票代码：LI）和XPEV目前的市盈率分别为14.46倍和21.31倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到蔚来的技术、收入、全球足迹和现金流都强于李和XPEV，前者的交易倍数应该远高于后两者。即使蔚来的市盈率达到 18.1 倍（XPEV 的中点），也将推动该公司目前的股价升至 51.50 美元，根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元（6 月 1 日）计算，这意味着 22% 的上涨潜力。根据我们对蔚来 2025 财年收入的预测为 1400 亿元人民币（220 亿美元），即每股 18.60 美元，即使是 18.1 倍的一半也足以让蔚来的股价在 2025 年突破 160 美元；我们相信，蔚来的交易倍数是可以实现的，因为运营现金和届时实现的技术进步将使他们在电动汽车行业走上持续长期增长的轨道，预计这种增长将持续到 2030 年及以后品牌的 4 级自动驾驶技术开发完成并商业化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务风险与挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned in one of my&nbsp;previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s&nbsp;denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前一篇关于蔚来的文章中提到的，《外国公司问责法》（“Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act”）仍然是公司股价面临的最重大威胁之一。目前，中国的公共会计师事务所不符合SEC要求的PCAOB检查规则，2020年12月HFCA法案的颁布要求这些公共会计师事务所在颁布之日起三年内遵守PCAOB检查要求；否则，上述公司审计的所有上市公司都将面临退市风险。蔚来目前正在接受普华永道中天会计师事务所（PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP）的审计，该事务所已被列入 PCAOB 的拒绝准入名单。如果中国当局和 PCAOB 不能尽快就进行检查达成协议，从纽约证券交易所退市的潜在威胁可能会对投资者起到威慑作用，并最终导致蔚来股价长期下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来业务面临的另一个迫在眉睫的挑战是全球芯片供应持续短缺。随着汽车行业越来越依赖芯片来管理车辆的各项功能，汽车制造商的需求和芯片制造商的供应之间的差距正在扩大。蔚来也不例外，受到持续芯片供应危机的影响——2021年3月，蔚来停止了江淮蔚来制造工厂的生产活动五个工作日，以调整生产水平。然而，该公司继续有效地应对这种情况，正如他们逐月增加的交付数量所证明的那样；在蔚来最新发布的 4 月份交付更新新闻稿中，该公司继续满足市场需求，交付了 7100 多辆汽车，同比增长 125%。</blockquote></p><p> Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，电动汽车领域的竞争也愈演愈烈。由于对气候变化的担忧日益加剧，加上传统汽油动力汽车和电动汽车之间的价格平价，消费者对电动汽车的态度在过去十年中发生了巨大变化。随着第三方原始设备制造商更容易获得汽车电池解决方案，新兴电动汽车制造商的准入门槛也显着降低；新进入者现在更热衷于参与不断增长的电动汽车行业的盈利机会，因为初始投资变得比 2003 年特斯拉更加合理，当时电动汽车对许多人来说仍然只是一个概念。除了新进入者之外，福特（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）等传统汽油燃料汽车制造商也开始将全电池驱动汽车纳入其车队，以满足不断变化的消费者需求并在汽车行业保持竞争力。然而，我们相信蔚来拥有在新的竞争格局中长期取得成功所需的品牌、客户体验、生产战略、人才和商业模式（在此进一步分析）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已经在中国国内市场建立了强大的品牌形象，中国国内市场是目前增长最快的电动汽车市场之一，2020年占全球电动汽车销量的40%以上。结合他们在生产优质电动汽车、建设创新充电基础设施、在自动驾驶技术开发方面取得突破性进展以及执行海外扩张战略方面的成熟能力，蔚来正在有效地缩小他们与特斯拉在全球范围内电动汽车领域的差距。我们相信，由于汽车行业对电气化和自动化的需求不断增长，未来五年将是这家电动汽车和科技公司的转型时代，而蔚来已经证明在这方面表现出色。其持续成就的价值将很快反映在其股价上，对于那些希望从即将到来的绿色转型和自动化时代中获利的人来说，它们是一个值得选择的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股票能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股票能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是一个“何时”而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 12:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li>  <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li>  <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来汽车的股价在过去一年中飙升了 816% 以上，在 3 月初成长型股票抛售之前，于 2 月初达到近 62 美元的峰值。</li><li>公司的创新方法和海外扩张战略，加上全球电气化和自动化市场情绪不断增长，预计将提升公司估值。</li><li>我们相信，随着自动驾驶成为现实，全球电动汽车销量持续增长，蔚来汽车的股价到 2025 年将飙升至 160 美元以上。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Drew Angerer/Getty Images 新闻来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a&nbsp;price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NIO）是一个中国本土电动汽车（“EV”）品牌，最近才开始向欧洲进行海外扩张，但近年来，它已经在电动汽车领域的狂热投资者中获得了极大的国际关注。自蔚来在 2018 年年中首次交付以来，只有短短三年时间，但许多人已经在猜测其股价能否达到与行业领导者特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）类似的高度。尽管考虑到特斯拉目前的交易价格超过每股 600 美元，市值超过 6000 亿美元，这有点牵强，但我们确实相信蔚来在 2025 年之前有潜力突破每股 100 美元。就连华尔街分析师也对该公司的未来保持乐观，他们将目标价定为接近 60 美元，根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元（6 月 1 日）计算，该公司的上涨潜力超过 35%。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来成立于2014年，迄今已在华销售和交付超过10万辆汽车。该公司拥有五款零排放、全电池供电的车型，从跑车到豪华轿车和全尺寸 SUV。除了汽车之外，蔚来还因其在创新技术方面取得的重大进展而闻名，包括最先进的电池解决方案、人工智能和自动驾驶。该公司最近还将其全球扩张计划变为现实，第一家海外蔚来商店将于2021年第三季度在挪威奥斯陆开业。我们认为，股价达到 100 美元不再是 “是否 ”的问题，而是 “何时 ”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>创新技术的开拓者</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the&nbsp;181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles&nbsp;currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are&nbsp;more than 226 battery swapping stations&nbsp;across China, with more on the way following a recent&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来一直表现出令人不安的创新者的特征。该品牌因其在电池更换技术 “Power Swap ”方面的突破而广为人知，该技术为蔚来车主提供了一种快速便捷的解决方案，以解决电动汽车通常行驶里程有限的问题。类似于加油站，Power Swap是一种电池交换站，可以在三分钟内将没电的电池换成充满电的电池；充满电的电池可使蔚来汽车行驶435英里，是目前市场上电动汽车181英里平均行驶里程的两倍多。蔚来车主可选择订阅「电池即服务」（「BaaS」）套餐，这是一项按月订阅服务，可根据个人需求为蔚来车主提供灵活的电池升级选择。该公司目前提供标准的 75 kWh 电池，充满电后可行驶 310 英里；以及增强型 100 kWh 电池，充满电后可行驶 435 英里；在BaaS下，两者都可供蔚来所有者按月选择。迄今为止，全国已有超过226个换电站，随着蔚来和中石化最近签署战略合作伙伴协议，更多的换电站正在建设中。蔚来的汽车还兼容本地竞争对手小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）在中国 164 个城市的 1140 个汽车充电站，这进一步增强了其为蔚来车主提供的现有充电基础设施网络。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of&nbsp;EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s&nbsp;NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p><p><blockquote>除了长期维持蔚来电动汽车所需的发达基础设施网络外，该公司还一直在努力完善其自动驾驶和人工智能技术，以便在更广泛的电动汽车和科技领域保持竞争力。蔚来自2016年以来一直在对其自动驾驶系统进行测试，2018年在北京公共道路上进行了首次测试。该公司对客运未来的承诺也体现在他们开发的 EVE 上，这是该品牌的自动驾驶概念车，由蔚来的 NOMI AI（全球首个车载人工智能）提供豪华、舒适和安全的体验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently&nbsp;partnered with Mobileye&nbsp;– an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p><p><blockquote>为了进一步推进其在自动驾驶技术方面的进展，蔚来最近与英特尔旗下（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）公司 Mobileye 合作，开发不需要人工交互的驾驶自动化（即 “4 级 ”自动驾驶）并将其商业化。他们的合作有望加速蔚来推出 “自动驾驶即服务 ”（ADaaS）套餐，该套餐是其自动驾驶技术 “蔚来自动驾驶 ”（NAD）的月度订阅。然而，与特斯拉的 “全自动驾驶 ”套件类似，预计将于 2022 年推出的 NAD 技术尚未使蔚来汽车能够在没有人工干预的情况下驾驶，但它确实将蔚来推向了与行业领导者特斯拉不相上下的位置。蔚来用户可以选择订阅ADaaS，每月订阅费为人民币680元。目前上路的蔚来汽车超过 102,000 辆，新的订阅套餐预计将带来 8.4 亿元人民币（1.32 亿美元）的增量年销售额；假设大多数现有蔚来车主都注册了这项服务，那么在这项服务推出时，额外的收入来源估计约为 100 亿元人民币（16 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an&nbsp;estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在自动驾驶技术方面的持续发展有望在不久的将来使公司及其股东受益匪浅。到2025年，全球自动驾驶汽车市场将成为增长最快、需求量最大的细分市场之一，估计价值达1.6万亿美元。如果占据该市场 6% 的份额，蔚来现有 670 亿美元的市值将至少增加 1000 亿美元，使其每股价值超过 100 美元。考虑到蔚来是目前极少数在自动驾驶领域取得切实成果的纯电动汽车制造商之一，并且正在积极增长海外销量，我们有信心该公司有能力占领上述6%以上的市场份额，并轻松实现到2025年每股价格超过100美元。结合全球消费者偏好向电气化和自动化的转变，我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将达到约 300,000 辆，总收入将达到约 1,400 亿元人民币（220 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部预测（NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first&nbsp;overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway&nbsp;in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the&nbsp;ES8, which currently retails at a&nbsp;starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the&nbsp;ET7, to follow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>推动蔚来股价突破 100 美元的另一个催化剂是他们正在进行的海外扩张努力。蔚来一直透露其全球扩张的意图，尤其是在美国和欧洲，作为其成为行业领导者计划的一部分。蔚来将于9月在挪威奥斯陆开设其首个海外销售和服务中心。2022 年，该品牌在挪威的足迹将进一步扩大，蔚来将在卑尔根、斯塔万格、特隆赫姆和克里斯蒂安桑开设四家门店。除了直销和服务中心外，蔚来还将为欧洲推出完整的充电地图，首先是挪威的四个蔚来换电站，为蔚来的新车主提供该品牌赖以取得成功的便利和续航里程。蔚来的旗舰 SUV ES8 目前的起售价约为 6.7 万美元，将是首款引入欧洲市场的车型，随后该品牌最新的全尺寸轿车 ET7 将于 2022 年推出。</blockquote></p><p> With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在中国豪华电动汽车市场拥有良好的销售记录，其规格可与全球知名的特斯拉相媲美，因此没有理由不在海外取得成功。如前所述，蔚来车辆充满电后的续航里程可达 435 英里，对于那些正在寻找可靠伴侣陪伴他们进行日常通勤和长途旅行的欧美潜在车主来说，这是一个理想的选择。蔚来的外观和内饰设计也是现代、豪华的，可与欧洲和北美人口的偏好相媲美。结合多样化的产品线和价格范围，蔚来有能力满足全球范围内对电动汽车日益增长的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的历史表现</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a&nbsp;capital injection of RMB 7 billion&nbsp;(approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its&nbsp;IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>就在一年多前，尽管汽车销售仍在继续，但由于流动性问题，蔚来的股价还是创下了不到 2 美元的历史新低。2020 年年中，中国合肥市政府出手相救，注资 70 亿元人民币（约合 10 亿美元）。该安排导致“蔚来中国”成立，作为持有蔚来所有核心业务和资产的运营实体；蔚来目前持有蔚来中国 90.36% 的股权，“合肥战略投资者”财团持有剩余 9.64% 的股权。这种合作关系成为公司的生命线；额外的资本为公司的运营和汽车销售带来了显著改善，这反映在公司强劲的财务业绩和 2020 年夏季股价的上升趋势上。到 2020 年第二季度末，蔚来的股价平均反弹了近 20%，总收入环比增长了 171%。该公司股价在 2020 年第三季度上涨了两倍多，平均达到 15.40 美元，并继续攀升至第四季度的平均水平 38.70 美元。截至 2021 年 3 月 31 日的最新季度末，蔚来的平均股价为 50.97 美元，2 月份达到近 62 美元的峰值，是其 2018 年 IPO 价格的 10 倍多。如今，该公司的市值超过 670 亿美元，超过了在纽约证券交易所首次亮相时的 10 亿美元市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the&nbsp;growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the&nbsp;recently renewed manufacturing agreement&nbsp;with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p><p><blockquote>自今年早些时候股价在 2 月底成长型股票抛售之前达到顶峰以来，蔚来的基本面也一直在稳步改善。2021年的交付量继续呈指数级加速，第一季度交付量超过20,000辆，占2020年总交付量的近50%。该公司继续展现出光明的前景，4 月份交付了超过 7,100 辆汽车，同比增长超过 125%。蔚来在2021年第一季度还保持了经营活动的正现金流，这得益于更高的交付量和有效的成本管理措施，使其毛利率提高到19.5%，与特斯拉等行业领导者相当第一季度毛利率为21%。如上所述，我们预计到 2025 财年汽车销量将接近 300,000 辆，相当于总收入约为 1,400 亿元人民币（220 亿美元）（每股 18.60 美元）。近期与合营企业「江淮汽车集团」（「江淮汽车集团」）重续的制造协议进一步证实了我们对2025财年的整车销售预测，该协议将目前的年产能由100,000辆增加至240,000辆；目前正在合肥兴建的「NeoPark」预计年产能将增加100万台，进一步支持我们对蔚来继续致力于发展业务的积极前景。考虑到行业同行特斯拉目前的市盈率为 16.43 倍，年收入约为 420 亿美元（第一季度收入年化为 103.89 亿美元），同样的比例应用于蔚来预测的 2025 财年总收入，预计市盈率将达到 8.7 倍，股价将超过 160 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来与李和 XPEV</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Finviz</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>我们还将蔚来目前的市盈率与国内同行进行了比较，以确定蔚来股价超过 100 美元的时间表。蔚来目前的市盈率约为14.88倍，而国内行业同行理想汽车（纳斯达克股票代码：LI）和XPEV目前的市盈率分别为14.46倍和21.31倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到蔚来的技术、收入、全球足迹和现金流都强于李和XPEV，前者的交易倍数应该远高于后两者。即使蔚来的市盈率达到 18.1 倍（XPEV 的中点），也将推动该公司目前的股价升至 51.50 美元，根据最新交易股价 42.34 美元（6 月 1 日）计算，这意味着 22% 的上涨潜力。根据我们对蔚来 2025 财年收入的预测为 1400 亿元人民币（220 亿美元），即每股 18.60 美元，即使是 18.1 倍的一半也足以让蔚来的股价在 2025 年突破 160 美元；我们相信，蔚来的交易倍数是可以实现的，因为运营现金和届时实现的技术进步将使他们在电动汽车行业走上持续长期增长的轨道，预计这种增长将持续到 2030 年及以后品牌的 4 级自动驾驶技术开发完成并商业化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务风险与挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned in one of my&nbsp;previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s&nbsp;denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前一篇关于蔚来的文章中提到的，《外国公司问责法》（“Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act”）仍然是公司股价面临的最重大威胁之一。目前，中国的公共会计师事务所不符合SEC要求的PCAOB检查规则，2020年12月HFCA法案的颁布要求这些公共会计师事务所在颁布之日起三年内遵守PCAOB检查要求；否则，上述公司审计的所有上市公司都将面临退市风险。蔚来目前正在接受普华永道中天会计师事务所（PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP）的审计，该事务所已被列入 PCAOB 的拒绝准入名单。如果中国当局和 PCAOB 不能尽快就进行检查达成协议，从纽约证券交易所退市的潜在威胁可能会对投资者起到威慑作用，并最终导致蔚来股价长期下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来业务面临的另一个迫在眉睫的挑战是全球芯片供应持续短缺。随着汽车行业越来越依赖芯片来管理车辆的各项功能，汽车制造商的需求和芯片制造商的供应之间的差距正在扩大。蔚来也不例外，受到持续芯片供应危机的影响——2021年3月，蔚来停止了江淮蔚来制造工厂的生产活动五个工作日，以调整生产水平。然而，该公司继续有效地应对这种情况，正如他们逐月增加的交付数量所证明的那样；在蔚来最新发布的 4 月份交付更新新闻稿中，该公司继续满足市场需求，交付了 7100 多辆汽车，同比增长 125%。</blockquote></p><p> Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，电动汽车领域的竞争也愈演愈烈。由于对气候变化的担忧日益加剧，加上传统汽油动力汽车和电动汽车之间的价格平价，消费者对电动汽车的态度在过去十年中发生了巨大变化。随着第三方原始设备制造商更容易获得汽车电池解决方案，新兴电动汽车制造商的准入门槛也显着降低；新进入者现在更热衷于参与不断增长的电动汽车行业的盈利机会，因为初始投资变得比 2003 年特斯拉更加合理，当时电动汽车对许多人来说仍然只是一个概念。除了新进入者之外，福特（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）等传统汽油燃料汽车制造商也开始将全电池驱动汽车纳入其车队，以满足不断变化的消费者需求并在汽车行业保持竞争力。然而，我们相信蔚来拥有在新的竞争格局中长期取得成功所需的品牌、客户体验、生产战略、人才和商业模式（在此进一步分析）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已经在中国国内市场建立了强大的品牌形象，中国国内市场是目前增长最快的电动汽车市场之一，2020年占全球电动汽车销量的40%以上。结合他们在生产优质电动汽车、建设创新充电基础设施、在自动驾驶技术开发方面取得突破性进展以及执行海外扩张战略方面的成熟能力，蔚来正在有效地缩小他们与特斯拉在全球范围内电动汽车领域的差距。我们相信，由于汽车行业对电气化和自动化的需求不断增长，未来五年将是这家电动汽车和科技公司的转型时代，而蔚来已经证明在这方面表现出色。其持续成就的价值将很快反映在其股价上，对于那些希望从即将到来的绿色转型和自动化时代中获利的人来说，它们是一个值得选择的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148130971","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.\nWe believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.\n\nPhoto by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nDespite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).\nFounded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.\nA Trailblazer in Innovative Technology\nSource:ir.nio.com\nNIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.\nIn addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.\nTo further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.\nNIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).\nSource: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nGlobal Expansion\nSource: ir.nio.com\nAnother catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.\nWith a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.\nNIO’s Historical Performance\nJust a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.\nSource: Author, with data from ir.nio.com\nNIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.\nNIO vs. LI and XPEV\nSource: Finviz\nWe have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.\nConsidering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.\nBusiness Risks and Challenges\nAs mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.\nAnother imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.\nCompetition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.\nConclusion\nNIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171822007,"gmtCreate":1626738195109,"gmtModify":1631893957317,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"overall good opportunity to buy at a discount, load up stocks and hold!","listText":"overall good opportunity to buy at a discount, load up stocks and hold!","text":"overall good opportunity to buy at a discount, load up stocks and hold!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171822007","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173843706,"gmtCreate":1626654680405,"gmtModify":1631893957327,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173843706","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137984615,"gmtCreate":1622285509137,"gmtModify":1634102517067,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment pls","listText":"like and comment pls","text":"like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137984615","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119802684,"gmtCreate":1622533319648,"gmtModify":1634100754667,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"like and comment thanks","listText":"like and comment thanks","text":"like and comment thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119802684","repostId":"1155065396","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131187135,"gmtCreate":1621836262727,"gmtModify":1634186200676,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"comment to my post please thanks","listText":"comment to my post please thanks","text":"comment to my post please thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131187135","repostId":"1142753520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142753520","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621816950,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142753520?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 08:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Previews For The Week<blockquote>本周 IPO 预览</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142753520","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make","content":"<p>With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make an impact through their public offerings.According to Benzinga Pro, these enticing companies are scheduled to trade publicly this week.</p><p><blockquote>随着新的一周的开始，一批新公司希望通过公开募股产生影响，令人兴奋。据 Benzinga Pro 报道，这些诱人的公司计划于本周公开交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>FIGS, Inc</b>(NYSE:FIGS) will be trading publicly starting on May 27, 2021 at 05:00 AM. The company's price band is set between $16.0 and $19.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. FIGS, Inc will be offering 22,500,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.5.</p><p><blockquote><b>无花果公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FIGS）将于2021年5月27日上午05:00开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 16.0 美元至 19.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。FIGS, Inc 将以每股 17.5 美元的价格发行 22,500,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>FLYWIRE CORPORATION</b>(NASDAQ:FLYW) becomes publicly listed starting on May 26, 2021 at 06:32 AM. The company has a price range set between $22.0 and $24.0 with a 180-day lockup period. FLYWIRE CORPORATION will be offering 8,700,000 shares at a per-share value of $22.99.</p><p><blockquote><b>飞线公司</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：FLYW）将于2021年5月26日上午06:32开始公开上市。该公司的价格范围为 22.0 美元至 24.0 美元，锁定期为 180 天。FLYWIRE CORPORATION 将以每股 22.99 美元的价格发行 8,700,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Paymentus Holdings, Inc.</b>(NYSE:PAY) will be trading publicly starting on May 26, 2021 at 04:37 AM. The company's price band is set between $19.0 and $21.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. will be offering 10,000,000 shares at a per-share value of $20.0.</p><p><blockquote><b>支付控股公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PAY）将于2021年5月26日凌晨04:37开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 19.0 美元至 21.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。Paymentus Holdings, Inc. 将以每股 20.0 美元的价格发行 10,000,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc</b>(TSX:NBLY) will be trading publicly starting on May 25, 2021 at 05:25 AM. Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc will be offering 10,295,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days.</p><p><blockquote><b>邻居药房公司</b>（TSX:NBLY）将于2021年5月25日上午05:25开始公开交易。Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc 将以每股 17.0 美元的价格发行 10,295,000 股股票，内部人士锁定期为 180 天。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Are IPOs?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是IPO？</b></blockquote></p><p>An initial public offering, or IPO, is the transitional process of a private company deciding to go public and offer shares to investors on an exchange. Typically, IPOs offer companies the ability to build capital. Before a company becomes publicly listed, it must meet SEC requirements and work with investment banks through audits to determine pricing, offering date, and other important data points before the offering.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股（IPO）是私营公司决定上市并在交易所向投资者发行股票的过渡过程。通常，首次公开募股为公司提供了积累资本的能力。一家公司在公开上市之前，必须满足SEC的要求，并通过审计与投资银行合作，以确定定价、发行日期和发行前的其他重要数据点。</blockquote></p><p>Companies and investment banks will work to establish a price range that the stock is expected to sell between. This is known as an offering range. Once a company goes public, its stock comes with an opening price. The insider lock-up period is usually a set number of days after an IPO where company insiders, or employees with a 10% or higher stake in their company, cannot sell shares.</p><p><blockquote>公司和投资银行将努力确定股票预计出售的价格范围。这被称为产品范围。一旦一家公司上市，其股票就会有一个开盘价。内部人士锁定期通常是IPO后的固定天数，在此期间，公司内部人士或持有公司10%或以上股份的员工不能出售股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Previews For The Week<blockquote>本周 IPO 预览</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Previews For The Week<blockquote>本周 IPO 预览</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-24 08:42</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make an impact through their public offerings.According to Benzinga Pro, these enticing companies are scheduled to trade publicly this week.</p><p><blockquote>随着新的一周的开始，一批新公司希望通过公开募股产生影响，令人兴奋。据 Benzinga Pro 报道，这些诱人的公司计划于本周公开交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>FIGS, Inc</b>(NYSE:FIGS) will be trading publicly starting on May 27, 2021 at 05:00 AM. The company's price band is set between $16.0 and $19.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. FIGS, Inc will be offering 22,500,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.5.</p><p><blockquote><b>无花果公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FIGS）将于2021年5月27日上午05:00开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 16.0 美元至 19.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。FIGS, Inc 将以每股 17.5 美元的价格发行 22,500,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>FLYWIRE CORPORATION</b>(NASDAQ:FLYW) becomes publicly listed starting on May 26, 2021 at 06:32 AM. The company has a price range set between $22.0 and $24.0 with a 180-day lockup period. FLYWIRE CORPORATION will be offering 8,700,000 shares at a per-share value of $22.99.</p><p><blockquote><b>飞线公司</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：FLYW）将于2021年5月26日上午06:32开始公开上市。该公司的价格范围为 22.0 美元至 24.0 美元，锁定期为 180 天。FLYWIRE CORPORATION 将以每股 22.99 美元的价格发行 8,700,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Paymentus Holdings, Inc.</b>(NYSE:PAY) will be trading publicly starting on May 26, 2021 at 04:37 AM. The company's price band is set between $19.0 and $21.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. will be offering 10,000,000 shares at a per-share value of $20.0.</p><p><blockquote><b>支付控股公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PAY）将于2021年5月26日凌晨04:37开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 19.0 美元至 21.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。Paymentus Holdings, Inc. 将以每股 20.0 美元的价格发行 10,000,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc</b>(TSX:NBLY) will be trading publicly starting on May 25, 2021 at 05:25 AM. Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc will be offering 10,295,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days.</p><p><blockquote><b>邻居药房公司</b>（TSX:NBLY）将于2021年5月25日上午05:25开始公开交易。Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc 将以每股 17.0 美元的价格发行 10,295,000 股股票，内部人士锁定期为 180 天。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Are IPOs?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是IPO？</b></blockquote></p><p>An initial public offering, or IPO, is the transitional process of a private company deciding to go public and offer shares to investors on an exchange. Typically, IPOs offer companies the ability to build capital. Before a company becomes publicly listed, it must meet SEC requirements and work with investment banks through audits to determine pricing, offering date, and other important data points before the offering.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股（IPO）是私营公司决定上市并在交易所向投资者发行股票的过渡过程。通常，首次公开募股为公司提供了积累资本的能力。一家公司在公开上市之前，必须满足SEC的要求，并通过审计与投资银行合作，以确定定价、发行日期和发行前的其他重要数据点。</blockquote></p><p>Companies and investment banks will work to establish a price range that the stock is expected to sell between. This is known as an offering range. Once a company goes public, its stock comes with an opening price. The insider lock-up period is usually a set number of days after an IPO where company insiders, or employees with a 10% or higher stake in their company, cannot sell shares.</p><p><blockquote>公司和投资银行将努力确定股票预计出售的价格范围。这被称为产品范围。一旦一家公司上市，其股票就会有一个开盘价。内部人士锁定期通常是IPO后的固定天数，在此期间，公司内部人士或持有公司10%或以上股份的员工不能出售股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PAY":"Paymentus Holdings, Inc.","FIGS":"FIGS, Inc.","FLYW":"Flywire Corp."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142753520","content_text":"With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make an impact through their public offerings.According to Benzinga Pro, these enticing companies are scheduled to trade publicly this week.FIGS, Inc(NYSE:FIGS) will be trading publicly starting on May 27, 2021 at 05:00 AM. The company's price band is set between $16.0 and $19.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. FIGS, Inc will be offering 22,500,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.5.FLYWIRE CORPORATION(NASDAQ:FLYW) becomes publicly listed starting on May 26, 2021 at 06:32 AM. The company has a price range set between $22.0 and $24.0 with a 180-day lockup period. FLYWIRE CORPORATION will be offering 8,700,000 shares at a per-share value of $22.99.Paymentus Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:PAY) will be trading publicly starting on May 26, 2021 at 04:37 AM. The company's price band is set between $19.0 and $21.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. will be offering 10,000,000 shares at a per-share value of $20.0.Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc(TSX:NBLY) will be trading publicly starting on May 25, 2021 at 05:25 AM. Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc will be offering 10,295,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days.What Are IPOs?An initial public offering, or IPO, is the transitional process of a private company deciding to go public and offer shares to investors on an exchange. Typically, IPOs offer companies the ability to build capital. Before a company becomes publicly listed, it must meet SEC requirements and work with investment banks through audits to determine pricing, offering date, and other important data points before the offering.Companies and investment banks will work to establish a price range that the stock is expected to sell between. This is known as an offering range. Once a company goes public, its stock comes with an opening price. The insider lock-up period is usually a set number of days after an IPO where company insiders, or employees with a 10% or higher stake in their company, cannot sell shares.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FLYW":0.9,"PAY":0.9,"FIGS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":656,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":870225069,"gmtCreate":1636624269578,"gmtModify":1636624269715,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870225069","repostId":"1116507826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116507826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636623954,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116507826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Boeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116507826","media":"Reuters","summary":"Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits fil","content":"<p>Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits filed by families of the 157 people killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash, according to a filing in U.S. District Court in Chicago.</p><p><blockquote>根据芝加哥美国地方法院提交的一份文件，波音公司 (BA.N) 周三同意承认 2019 年埃塞俄比亚航空公司 737 MAX 坠机事故中 157 名遇难者家属提起的诉讼中的补偿性损害赔偿责任。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the agreement between Boeing and the families, lawyers for the victims will not seek punitive damages and Boeing will not challenge the lawsuits being filed in Illinois.</p><p><blockquote>由于波音公司和家属之间的协议，受害者的律师不会寻求惩罚性赔偿，波音公司也不会对伊利诺伊州提起的诉讼提出质疑。</blockquote></p><p> \"Boeing is committed to ensuring that all families who lost loved ones in the accidents are fully and fairly compensated for their loss,\" the planemaker said in a statement on Wednesday. \"By accepting responsibility, Boeing’s agreement with the families allows the parties to focus their efforts on determining the appropriate compensation for each family.\"</p><p><blockquote>该飞机制造商在周三的一份声明中表示：“波音公司致力于确保所有在事故中失去亲人的家庭都能获得充分、公平的损失赔偿。”“通过承担责任，波音公司与这些家庭达成的协议允许双方集中精力为每个家庭确定适当的赔偿”。</blockquote></p><p> Lawyers for the victims noted in a statement that Boeing admitted under the agreement \"that the 737 MAX had an unsafe condition, and that it will not attempt to blame anyone else\" for the crash.</p><p><blockquote>遇难者律师在一份声明中指出，波音公司根据协议承认“737 MAX 存在不安全状况，并且不会试图将坠机事件归咎于任何人”。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is a significant milestone for the families in their pursuit of justice against Boeing, as it will ensure they are all treated equitably and eligible to recover full damages under Illinois law while creating a pathway for them to proceed to a final resolution, whether through settlements or trial,\" the lawyers said.</p><p><blockquote>“对于这些家属来说，这是他们向波音公司寻求正义的一个重要里程碑，因为这将确保他们都得到公平对待，并有资格根据伊利诺伊州法律获得全额赔偿，同时为他们创造一条道路，无论是通过和解还是审判，”律师们说。</blockquote></p><p> They added the compensation \"will serve to hold Boeing fully accountable for the deaths of the 157 people who perished.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们补充说，赔偿“将使波音公司对 157 名遇难者的死亡承担全部责任”。</blockquote></p><p> A judge has set a hearing for next Tuesday on the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>法官已将该协议的听证会定于下周二举行。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing's best-selling plane was grounded for 20 months after 346 people died in two 737 MAX crashes - in Indonesia in 2018 and in Ethiopia in 2019. The plane returned to service after Boeing made significant software and training improvements.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司最畅销的飞机在 2018 年印度尼西亚和 2019 年埃塞俄比亚发生的两起 737 MAX 坠机事故造成 346 人死亡后停飞了 20 个月。在波音公司对软件和培训进行重大改进后，这架飞机重新投入使用。</blockquote></p><p> The crashes already have cost Boeing some $20 billion. In January, Boeing agreed to a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice including $2.5 billion in fines and compensation stemming from the 737 MAX crashes, including the Lion Air crash in October 2018.</p><p><blockquote>这些坠机事件已经给波音公司造成了约 200 亿美元的损失。一月份，波音公司同意与美国达成延期起诉协议。司法部包括因 737 MAX 坠机事件（包括 2018 年 10 月狮航坠机事件）而产生的 25 亿美元罚款和赔偿。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview, U.S. consumer activist Ralph Nader criticized the deal since it will prevent lawyers from questioning current and former Boeing senior executives and pursuing the punitive damage claims. Nader’s niece was among 157 victims.</p><p><blockquote>美国消费者维权人士拉尔夫·纳德（Ralph Nader）在接受采访时批评了这笔交易，因为它将阻止律师质疑波音公司现任和前任高管并寻求惩罚性损害赔偿索赔。纳德的侄女是 157 名受害者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Under the deal with Boeing, the victims' families also agreed to dismiss claims against Rosemount Aerospace, a company that made sensors for the 737 MAX, and Raytheon Technologies Corp's(RTX.N)Rockwell Collins, the parent of Rosemount and a key supplier for the MAX.</p><p><blockquote>根据与波音公司达成的协议，遇难者家属还同意驳回对罗斯蒙特航空航天公司（一家为 737 MAX 制造传感器的公司）和雷神技术公司 (RTX.N) 罗克韦尔柯林斯公司（罗斯蒙特的母公司，也是 MAX 的主要供应商）的索赔。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing to compensate victims in Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash<blockquote>波音公司将赔偿埃塞俄比亚航空 737 MAX 坠机事故遇难者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-11 17:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits filed by families of the 157 people killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash, according to a filing in U.S. District Court in Chicago.</p><p><blockquote>根据芝加哥美国地方法院提交的一份文件，波音公司 (BA.N) 周三同意承认 2019 年埃塞俄比亚航空公司 737 MAX 坠机事故中 157 名遇难者家属提起的诉讼中的补偿性损害赔偿责任。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the agreement between Boeing and the families, lawyers for the victims will not seek punitive damages and Boeing will not challenge the lawsuits being filed in Illinois.</p><p><blockquote>由于波音公司和家属之间的协议，受害者的律师不会寻求惩罚性赔偿，波音公司也不会对伊利诺伊州提起的诉讼提出质疑。</blockquote></p><p> \"Boeing is committed to ensuring that all families who lost loved ones in the accidents are fully and fairly compensated for their loss,\" the planemaker said in a statement on Wednesday. \"By accepting responsibility, Boeing’s agreement with the families allows the parties to focus their efforts on determining the appropriate compensation for each family.\"</p><p><blockquote>该飞机制造商在周三的一份声明中表示：“波音公司致力于确保所有在事故中失去亲人的家庭都能获得充分、公平的损失赔偿。”“通过承担责任，波音公司与这些家庭达成的协议允许双方集中精力为每个家庭确定适当的赔偿”。</blockquote></p><p> Lawyers for the victims noted in a statement that Boeing admitted under the agreement \"that the 737 MAX had an unsafe condition, and that it will not attempt to blame anyone else\" for the crash.</p><p><blockquote>遇难者律师在一份声明中指出，波音公司根据协议承认“737 MAX 存在不安全状况，并且不会试图将坠机事件归咎于任何人”。</blockquote></p><p> \"This is a significant milestone for the families in their pursuit of justice against Boeing, as it will ensure they are all treated equitably and eligible to recover full damages under Illinois law while creating a pathway for them to proceed to a final resolution, whether through settlements or trial,\" the lawyers said.</p><p><blockquote>“对于这些家属来说，这是他们向波音公司寻求正义的一个重要里程碑，因为这将确保他们都得到公平对待，并有资格根据伊利诺伊州法律获得全额赔偿，同时为他们创造一条道路，无论是通过和解还是审判，”律师们说。</blockquote></p><p> They added the compensation \"will serve to hold Boeing fully accountable for the deaths of the 157 people who perished.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们补充说，赔偿“将使波音公司对 157 名遇难者的死亡承担全部责任”。</blockquote></p><p> A judge has set a hearing for next Tuesday on the agreement.</p><p><blockquote>法官已将该协议的听证会定于下周二举行。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing's best-selling plane was grounded for 20 months after 346 people died in two 737 MAX crashes - in Indonesia in 2018 and in Ethiopia in 2019. The plane returned to service after Boeing made significant software and training improvements.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司最畅销的飞机在 2018 年印度尼西亚和 2019 年埃塞俄比亚发生的两起 737 MAX 坠机事故造成 346 人死亡后停飞了 20 个月。在波音公司对软件和培训进行重大改进后，这架飞机重新投入使用。</blockquote></p><p> The crashes already have cost Boeing some $20 billion. In January, Boeing agreed to a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice including $2.5 billion in fines and compensation stemming from the 737 MAX crashes, including the Lion Air crash in October 2018.</p><p><blockquote>这些坠机事件已经给波音公司造成了约 200 亿美元的损失。一月份，波音公司同意与美国达成延期起诉协议。司法部包括因 737 MAX 坠机事件（包括 2018 年 10 月狮航坠机事件）而产生的 25 亿美元罚款和赔偿。</blockquote></p><p> In an interview, U.S. consumer activist Ralph Nader criticized the deal since it will prevent lawyers from questioning current and former Boeing senior executives and pursuing the punitive damage claims. Nader’s niece was among 157 victims.</p><p><blockquote>美国消费者维权人士拉尔夫·纳德（Ralph Nader）在接受采访时批评了这笔交易，因为它将阻止律师质疑波音公司现任和前任高管并寻求惩罚性损害赔偿索赔。纳德的侄女是 157 名受害者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Under the deal with Boeing, the victims' families also agreed to dismiss claims against Rosemount Aerospace, a company that made sensors for the 737 MAX, and Raytheon Technologies Corp's(RTX.N)Rockwell Collins, the parent of Rosemount and a key supplier for the MAX.</p><p><blockquote>根据与波音公司达成的协议，遇难者家属还同意驳回对罗斯蒙特航空航天公司（一家为 737 MAX 制造传感器的公司）和雷神技术公司 (RTX.N) 罗克韦尔柯林斯公司（罗斯蒙特的母公司，也是 MAX 的主要供应商）的索赔。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/boeing-moves-settle-lawsuits-over-ethiopian-airlines-737-max-crash-2021-11-10/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/world/boeing-moves-settle-lawsuits-over-ethiopian-airlines-737-max-crash-2021-11-10/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116507826","content_text":"Boeing Co(BA.N)agreed on Wednesday to acknowledge liability for compensatory damages in lawsuits filed by families of the 157 people killed in the 2019 Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX crash, according to a filing in U.S. District Court in Chicago.\nAs a result of the agreement between Boeing and the families, lawyers for the victims will not seek punitive damages and Boeing will not challenge the lawsuits being filed in Illinois.\n\"Boeing is committed to ensuring that all families who lost loved ones in the accidents are fully and fairly compensated for their loss,\" the planemaker said in a statement on Wednesday. \"By accepting responsibility, Boeing’s agreement with the families allows the parties to focus their efforts on determining the appropriate compensation for each family.\"\nLawyers for the victims noted in a statement that Boeing admitted under the agreement \"that the 737 MAX had an unsafe condition, and that it will not attempt to blame anyone else\" for the crash.\n\"This is a significant milestone for the families in their pursuit of justice against Boeing, as it will ensure they are all treated equitably and eligible to recover full damages under Illinois law while creating a pathway for them to proceed to a final resolution, whether through settlements or trial,\" the lawyers said.\nThey added the compensation \"will serve to hold Boeing fully accountable for the deaths of the 157 people who perished.\"\nA judge has set a hearing for next Tuesday on the agreement.\nBoeing's best-selling plane was grounded for 20 months after 346 people died in two 737 MAX crashes - in Indonesia in 2018 and in Ethiopia in 2019. The plane returned to service after Boeing made significant software and training improvements.\nThe crashes already have cost Boeing some $20 billion. In January, Boeing agreed to a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice including $2.5 billion in fines and compensation stemming from the 737 MAX crashes, including the Lion Air crash in October 2018.\nIn an interview, U.S. consumer activist Ralph Nader criticized the deal since it will prevent lawyers from questioning current and former Boeing senior executives and pursuing the punitive damage claims. Nader’s niece was among 157 victims.\nUnder the deal with Boeing, the victims' families also agreed to dismiss claims against Rosemount Aerospace, a company that made sensors for the 737 MAX, and Raytheon Technologies Corp's(RTX.N)Rockwell Collins, the parent of Rosemount and a key supplier for the MAX.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814214660,"gmtCreate":1630823197650,"gmtModify":1631885384019,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814214660","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德（Vance Howard）的 HCM 战术增长基金（Tactical Growwth Fund）会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。，有一个量化系统，发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详细介绍。（其中：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但霍华德分享了很多细节，你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上，出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，那么如果你单独行动，就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好，你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说：”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“霍华德说：”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%，他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果买盘是积极的，无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定，就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多内容见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场，却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时，HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号，然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场，在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点，我们就能获得更高的回报，生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的，因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说：”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格（Marty Zweig）经典著作《华尔街的胜利》（Winning on Wall Street）的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道：”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易，那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF，击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解，我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术，他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品， -0.30%， 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司， -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT（-0.00%）和苹果APL（+0.42%），以及亚马逊.comAMZN（+0.43%）和特斯拉TSLA（+0.16%）。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF： HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%，HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后，该基金强势回归，实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场，该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德（Vance Howard）的 HCM 战术增长基金（Tactical Growwth Fund）会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。，有一个量化系统，发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详细介绍。（其中：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但霍华德分享了很多细节，你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上，出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，那么如果你单独行动，就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好，你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说：”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“霍华德说：”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%，他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果买盘是积极的，无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定，就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多内容见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场，却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时，HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号，然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场，在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点，我们就能获得更高的回报，生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的，因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说：”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格（Marty Zweig）经典著作《华尔街的胜利》（Winning on Wall Street）的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道：”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易，那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF，击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解，我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术，他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品， -0.30%， 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司， -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT（-0.00%）和苹果APL（+0.42%），以及亚马逊.comAMZN（+0.43%）和特斯拉TSLA（+0.16%）。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF： HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%，HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后，该基金强势回归，实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816804041,"gmtCreate":1630484548283,"gmtModify":1631885384041,"author":{"id":"3584427442291849","authorId":"3584427442291849","name":"WayneSing","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ba5be2ddf8347d41eed59a863adfe57","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3584427442291849","idStr":"3584427442291849"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"props to those who held this pre soar","listText":"props to those who held this pre soar","text":"props to those who held this pre soar","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816804041","repostId":"1110460683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110460683","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630483823,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1110460683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-01 16:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110460683","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased","content":"<p>Skillz&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a32486a8be6b6f805078c68af182e17\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock&nbsp;yesterday,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;was&nbsp;up&nbsp;11.14%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>一位Reddit用户发帖称，他们昨天购买了480万美元的Skillz股票，该股周二上涨11.14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSkillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.<blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-01 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Skillz&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surged&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Skillz 股价在盘前交易中飙升超过 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a32486a8be6b6f805078c68af182e17\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"601\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock&nbsp;yesterday,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;was&nbsp;up&nbsp;11.14%&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>一位Reddit用户发帖称，他们昨天购买了480万美元的Skillz股票，该股周二上涨11.14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110460683","content_text":"Skillz shares surged more than 7% in premarket trading.\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock yesterday, and the stock was up 11.14% on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}