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6 Dividend Funds for Long-Term Investors

Barrons2021-01-22

Although dividend stocks lagged behind flashier tech stocks during the pandemic last year, their “long-term investment case remains solid.”

So concludes Amy Arnott, a portfolio strategist atMorningstar,in a recent note. A lot of the mutual funds that specialize in these stocks “really suffered from not having as much tech exposure” as other funds did, Arnott tellsBarron’s. These equity income funds, Arnott adds, also took a hit owing to the manydividend cuts and suspensionslast year as companies tried to preserve cash.

From Feb. 19 of last year, when the market peaked at what was then a record high, through March 23, the average stock dividend fund had a return of minus 36.6%, versus minus 33.5% for the S&P 500, according to Morningstar. The MSCI USA High Dividend Yield Index notched a slightly better result, with a gross return of minus 32.6% over that stretch.

Looking at the full year, theTechnology Select Sector SPDR Fund(ticker: XLK), a proxy for large technology companies, returned 43.6% in 2020, well above theS&P 500’s18.4% result or theS&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats’ 8.7% return.

Beaten but Not BrokenDespite recent underperformance, the long-term case for dividend funds

Fund or Index / Ticker 1-Year Return Dividend Yield AUM (bil) Net Expense Ratio
Columbia Dividend Income / GSFTX 9.2% 1.7% $28.9 0.69%
Franklin Equity Income / FISEX 6.2 2.2 2.8 0.86
JPMorgan Equity Income / OIEIX 4.8 2.3 37.5 0.98
T. Rowe Price Dividend Growth / PRDGX 12.3 1.1 18 0.63
Vanguard Dividend Growth / VDIGX 8.5 1.8 47.4 0.27
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation / VIG 13.0 1.9 53.2 0.06
S&P 500 16.7 1.5 NA NA

Note: Returns as of Jan. 15. NA=Not applicable

Sources: Morningstar; Bloomberg; company reports

However, Arnott argues that dividend stocks have acquitted themselves better during various other challenging periods—performance levels they may well return to in future rough patches. Over the 41 five-year rolling periods from 1976 through 2020, dividend stocks outpaced the broader market in 25 of those spans. But as with so much else during the pandemic, 2020 was an aberration for dividend stocks.

“They’ve typically fared best during periods of slow economic growth and sluggish market returns, such as the early part of the [2000s] and in the 1980s, when stagflation dragged down market returns,” Arnott observed in her Jan. 11 note.

In contrast, dividend stocks trailed the broader market through much of the 1990s when the tech-stock bubble inflated. They “tend to fare worst during more ebullient times, such as 1995-99 and the generally strong period from 2016 through 2020,” she wrote.

Arnott also looked at the trailing 20-year returns and volatility, as measured by standard deviation, for dividend stocks. The MSCI USA High Dividend Yield Index had a 20-year annual return of 7.89%, versus 7.49% for the S&P 500. That dividend index also was less volatile over that period, with a standard deviation of 13.23, nearly two percentage points better than the broader market’s 15.08.

“Stocks with above-average dividends have generally held up relatively well in previous market downturns,” Arnott wrote, pointing to the fourth quarter of 1987, the early 2000s, and the fourth quarter of 2018 as examples.

To supplement Arnott’s observations,Barron’slooked at some of the equity income funds we have written about in recent years. None of these funds have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 12 months.

Nearly all of them, however, have finished in the top half of the Morningstar category when measured by three- and five-year returns—and many have strong performance over even longer periods as well.

The T. Rowe Price Dividend Growth Fund (PRDGX), which tries togenerate income and capital appreciation, has a one-year return of 12.3%, ranking second among the funds included in the accompanying table.

As of Dec. 31, the portfolio’s top sector weighting was technology at 22.2%, followed by health care at 16.5%, and financials at 12.8%. Its top two holdings wereMicrosoft(MSFT), which yields 1%, andApple(AAPL), which yields 0.6%. Neither stock has a big yield. But Microsoft has returned about 36% over the past year, dividends included, and Apple has gained about 67%.

TheColumbia Dividend Income Fund(GSFTX) has a one-year return of 9.2%. A fourth-quarter tailwind forthe fundwas an overweight position in bank stocks such asBank of America(BAC), which yields 2.2%, andJPMorgan Chase(JPM), 2.7%.

“The segment benefited from the quarter’s rotation into value,” according to the fund managers’ commentary on the company’s website, adding that bank stocks helped as well.

The JPMorgan Equity Income Fund(OIEIX) had a tougher time of it, with a return of 4.8% over the past 12 months, placing it in the middle of the pack among its peers.

Under longtime lead managerClare Hart, the portfolio has placed in the top half of its Morningstar peer group over the past three and five years and in the top 10% over the past 10 and 15 years. “Underperformance was predominantly a function of what we don’t own rather than what we do,” according to an assessment of the fund’s fourth-quarter performance by Hart and one of her colleagues, Jamie Steinhardt.

The managers also pointed out thatBest Buy(BBY) andHome Depot(HD) “gave back some of their gains [despite] both companies reporting double-digit earnings growth.”

The fund did benefit from financial holdings such as Bank of America.

Actively managed funds aren’t the only option for investors. There are various ETFs, which typically hew to an index and don’t have a manager actively buying and selling stocks.

TheVanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF(VIG) has a one-year return of 13%, tops among the funds included in the table, helped by an ultralow expense ratio of 0.06%.

The fund, which tries to track the Nasdaq US Dividend Achievers Select Index, recently held 212 stocks with a median market capitalization of about $158 billion, giving it a large-cap bent.

As of Dec. 31, its biggest sector weighting was consumer discretionary at 22.8%, followed by industrials at 20.8%, and health care at 14.9%. Technology clocked in at 12.5%—showing that a dividend stock fund doesn’t have to have a big tech overweighting to perform well right now.

“The bottom line is that every down market is different, and dividend-oriented stocks won’t excel in every one,” Arnott wrote in her note’s conclusion. “Overall, though, they tend to hold up a bit better than average during times of market turbulence and have generated attractive risk-adjusted returns over longer periods.”

免责声明:本文观点仅代表作者个人观点,不构成本平台的投资建议,本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证,亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

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评论9

  • HENG
    ·2021-01-25
    👍👍
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  • 70b027b3
    ·2021-01-24
    Great info!
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    • adriel
      zom
      2021-01-26
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  • Wapapapow
    ·2021-01-24
    Good
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  • SANTANA
    ·2021-01-24
    Good! Was looking for this. Thanks for share
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  • TiggyTrader
    ·2021-01-23
    It was a good read, very informative. 
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  • Hashreen
    ·2021-01-23
    Good
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  • Donn
    ·2021-01-23
    Good read
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    • Sooyx
      Yes. agreed
      2021-01-23
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  • Darr3ny3o
    ·2021-01-22
    Let’s go
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  • bluefun
    ·2021-01-22
    More prefer growth stock instead of dividend to get better return with little capital 🙃
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    • Donn
      Diversifying is good also. Haha
      2021-01-23
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