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Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham says US stocks are in a 'magnificent bubble' even crazier than in 1929 — here are 3 of his safe haven selections

MoneyWise2021-11-04

Jeremy Grantham, legendary investor and a pioneer of index fund investing, has added his voice to the chorus of financial wizards who expect today’s runaway stock market to soon hit the wall.

Grantham recently told CNBC that equities in the U.S. are in a “magnificent bubble,” larger even than those in 1929 and 2000, which kicked off the Great Depression and signaled the end of the dotcom bubble, respectively.

Grantham’s worth listening to.

He predicted the dotcom collapse and the 2008 meltdown of the real estate market. He’s also in charge of about $60 billion as the investment chief at asset management firm Grantham, Mayo, & Otterloo.

Even though the market has surged further since Grantham’s comments, let’s look at a few safe haven stocks in GMO’s portfolio. One of them might be worth buying with some of your spare pennies.

UnitedHealth (UNH)

UnitedHealth’s dividend payout, currently $1.45 per share, and the performance of its shares, which are up almost 30% this year, make the company an attractive buy right now.

But the insurance and healthcare leader is well positioned to weather any long-term financial tumult as well.

Regardless of what happens to the economy, Americans are still going to need healthcare, and millions of them are already UnitedHealth customers.

UnitedHealth is a diversified company. In addition to its thriving insurance business, it also provides software and information technology to a number of clinics and hospitals.

As the medical tech space continues to grow, so should UnitedHealth’s profits.

U.S. Bancorp (USB)

U.S. Bancorp is the parent company of U.S. Bank, one of the country’s largest banking institutions.

Betting on bank stock might seem counterintuitive when a stock market correction is expected to hammer investors’ finances. But banks tend to do well in rising interest rate environments: As rates increase, the profit margin, or spread, earned by banks widens.

Rather than turning itself into a casino through the kinds of risky derivative plays that tanked some of its competitors in 2007-2008, U.S. Bancorp has instead been focused on innovating and providing digital service for its customers.

The increased efficiency and lower operating costs that result should be music to investors’ ears.

Since the beginning of 2021, U.S. Bancorp stock has risen by almost 32%. Of course, if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of U.S. Bancorp just for signing up.

Coca-Cola (KO)

There may no longer be any actual coke in Coke, but the company’s shares are still pretty addictive.

Despite the push for more healthy food and beverage consumption, Coca-Cola’s dominance of the soft drink market remains unmatched.

But the company’s offerings extend far beyond liquid sugar.

Coke also sells popular bottled water brands Dasani and Smartwater, big-name juices like Minute Maid and Simply, and international coffee products Costa and Georgia.

What makes Coca-Cola an interesting defensive play is the company’s consistently impressive profit margin, which has averaged 23.6% over the last decade. That’s largely the result of Coke’s ability to tinker with portion sizes and prices and having the capital to invest in greater productivity.

A faltering stock market shouldn’t change any of those dynamics.

This year, Coke’s quarterly dividend payout hit $0.42, almost double what it was in 2011.

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评论28

  • HuatKueh313
    ·2021-11-04
    Like pls
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  • nctony
    ·2021-11-04
    Can anyone explain by posting this what they could get??? Investment always have risk,that every investors notice. Mostly everything is in up trend. So how don't invest ??? Noise!!![生气] 
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  • koolgal
    ·2021-11-04
    There's always going to be doom and gloom predictions but the important thing is stay invested and diversify your portfolio into various asset classes to minimise the fallout, should it happens. 🎊🎉🎊
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    • koolgal
      My pleasure
      2021-11-04
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    • 滚股怪
      Thanks
      2021-11-04
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    • koolgal
      You have a good point 👍😊
      2021-11-04
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    查看更多 1 条评论
  • Ck38
    ·2021-11-04
    Pls like
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  • beanbun
    ·2021-11-04
    when
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  • Ivanami
    ·2021-11-04
    No matter what, always stay invested even ifnot all in! 
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  • james_l
    ·2021-11-04
    United health are coke are good diversification in investsments
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  • 41a25b3d
    ·2021-11-04
    .
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  • AngieAbcde
    ·2021-11-04
    Bubble bubble bubble when will u burst
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  • Desna10
    ·2021-11-04
    A few are bubbles but mostly is inflation
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  • KitKat
    ·2021-11-04
    It is difficult to time the market. Managing your credit and liquidity risk based on valuation matrics make sense. Exiting the market does not. Key importance is the ability to withstand the downturn.
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    • PagRobinson
      This is what economists have been trying to figure out for more than 100 years. Finally, they come to the conclusion that stock prices walk randomly. It is too difficult to predict the stock price and avoid risks perfectly. What we can do is to reduce risks by diversifying investment as much as possible.
      2021-11-05
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    • DaisyMoore
      That's true. This is what many economists and professional investors in financial institutions want to find out. But in fact, this is difficult to do, otherwise all the money in the market will go to one person's wallet.
      2021-11-05
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    • WCS1981
      Ya fundamentally good stocks should recover. If you did not manage to lock in profit before a market crash, it will be fine if you can hold till it recovers.
      2021-11-04
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  • drandy
    ·2021-11-04
    Not sure if what he says is true or not but markets can't continue to go up forever. There will be a time when it will come down. The question is when & will we be prepared. 
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  • Assassin85
    ·2021-11-04
    Will the bubble affect the small stock I buy?
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    • 41a25b3d
      .
      2021-11-04
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  • adisaat
    ·2021-11-04
    U noe what i learn. Never trust them. Lol
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  • Wei L
    ·2021-11-04
    Though it may be holding some truth in what Jeremy had mentioned about the ‘uglier’ crashed earlier on but investment is all about risk management and one’s portfolio management. So personally I believe the time in the market is better than timing the market 😉
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  • SGboy
    ·2021-11-04
    Even people in the street know the US stock is sky high for  no of years, but everyone still move in, because the Big boy still holding on.
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  • pixiu88
    ·2021-11-04
    Different eras - can’t compare. This era is defined by near-zero i/r, industrial revolution 4.0, behaviour-changing tech forces, and so on. 1920s - c’mon
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  • JCKL488
    ·2021-11-04
    I love KO
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  • Abbas99m
    ·2021-11-04
    Really?
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    • 滚股怪
      Ts
      2021-11-04
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    • JackTL
      can go?
      2021-11-04
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  • DQ6
    ·2021-11-04
    When retail investors starts to gain profit they say it is a bubble to crash. When they earn money but in an illegal way they say is fine. Remember housing bubble in 2008? All banks say housing was triple A bond and will never crash. The rest is history. 
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    • Cockatoo
      ✌️
      2021-11-04
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