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牛牛牛股
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牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2020-02-28
$爱奇艺(IQ)$这份财报看起来中规中矩,和百度前期上调预期差不多,收入增长了6.8%左右,略高于前期给的指引,这个和年底几部大剧上映有关系,亏损有一定的控制,但仅是对比上年度,还有上一季度,和19年1-2季度比还是亏损放大了。另外最主要的一个指标,付费会员,1.069亿,环比增长1百万,这个有点太少了,原来预测起码增长个4-5%左右是要有的,这个从另一个侧面反应用户数量天花板其实可能没那么高(优爱腾芒会员争夺激烈),这可能是这个份财报最大的硬伤,在庆余年,剑灵山等热播剧下,没有实质性变化,值得关注。一季度展望,因为疫情,所以有一定增长,还没下滑,这个算好一点消息,但实际增长幅度有限,可以从另一个方面看出,可能疫情带来的会员增长并没有看上去那么美好(还是优爱腾芒 西瓜的争夺),一季度上了几个热门剧,成本可能会摊销增加,广告业务相信是彻底挂了,不会有太好的表现。会员增长,同比环比角度看,持续降低,一季度可能会跌破同比20%,所以管理层说要新年度降低促销,力争提高arpu,也是一定程度能反应出这个迹象,增长放缓,竞争激烈,再多花钱抢用户,性价比不高,但可能会造成用户流失或转移阵地(优腾 芒),话说芒果最近不错,前两天看的霹雳娇娃优爱腾都要收钱(2.5元好像),芒果免费,大有追赶的架势,其实不可小觑的,芒果毕竟背靠广电,纯圈内人,今年看芒果的内容丰富起来了,综艺 自制,能力还有的,关键还盈利,这些都是爱奇艺的竞争对手,对今年的走势,持谨慎态度,大多分析师给予的今年收入增长目标是在20%左右,感觉很有难度和挑战啊目前形式不明朗,股价从估值模型角度来看,有所偏离,区域合理价值的高位,多关注风险吧
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牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2019-04-05
$汽车之家(ATHM)30倍的PE对应一家商业模型稳定,行业成熟的企业,估值不便宜了,但中概股同我大A股一样,有什么道理可以讲呢
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牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-12-29
$微博(WB)$大爷的,阴跌了半年
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牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-06-15
$虎牙(HUYA)$没有空盘了,怎么还往下走了啊
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牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-06-12
保证金率调整
$虎牙(HUYA)$有人看到虎牙的保证金率调整了嘛,做多最空都降了很多呀,这样就不是那么容易爆仓了啊
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保证金率调整
牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-06-07
虎牙财报造假,涉嫌刷数据
$虎牙(HUYA)$新闻报道,虎牙财报涉嫌造假,刷数据,这算利空嘛,好怕怕啊
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虎牙财报造假,涉嫌刷数据
牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-05-19
尽情跌吧
$易车网(BITA)$快跌快跌使劲跌啊,做空好爽
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尽情跌吧
牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-04-25
估值不好计算啊
$搜狗(SOGO)$财报看起来其实还行,就是成本有点高,但不管怎么说公司还是持续在盈利,营收保持30%以上的高增长 对于一家手握11亿美元现金的公司,是目前市值的三分之一,这个还真不知道市场怎么给估值
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估值不好计算啊
牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-01-22
卖空盘平仓较多
$陌陌(MOMO)$看起来现在卖空盘被平仓很多,卖空池剩余已经上升到了600w的额度,比上周的400w左右平掉了200w股,多头短期爬坡成功,现在就看财报前的阻力位30能否突破成功 另外就是今天早些时候,招银国际发布评级报告,再次给予陌陌买入评级,但是TP较12月给的下降,表明了,现在投行对陌陌付费用户增长,以及目前一季度的表现还存有疑虑,短期来看,四季报前,应该会在30上下震荡可能交大,再有就是看陌陌上线答题的玩法参与度有多高 近期陌陌推出了较多玩法,说实话,个人还是比较看好这种互动小游戏,最好能出一个类似跳一跳的小爆款 技术角度,这两天有效突破,庄家在搜集筹码拉升阶段,看这两天的表现 总体来看,总体向好,但不确定因素还存在,管理层要是能稍微透漏点风声是最好的催化剂。
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卖空盘平仓较多
牛牛牛股
牛牛牛股
·
2018-01-08
咱们也发一个,这个算是利好的吧
$陌陌(MOMO)$ 好的
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咱们也发一个,这个算是利好的吧
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$爱奇艺(IQ)$这份财报看起来中规中矩,和百度前期上调预期差不多,收入增长了6.8%左右,略高于前期给的指引,这个和年底几部大剧上映有关系,亏损有一定的控制,但仅是对比上年度,还有上一季度,和19年1-2季度比还是亏损放大了。另外最主要的一个指标,付费会员,1.069亿,环比增长1百万,这个有点太少了,原来预测起码增长个4-5%左右是要有的,这个从另一个侧面反应用户数量天花板其实可能没那么高(优爱腾芒会员争夺激烈),这可能是这个份财报最大的硬伤,在庆余年,剑灵山等热播剧下,没有实质性变化,值得关注。一季度展望,因为疫情,所以有一定增长,还没下滑,这个算好一点消息,但实际增长幅度有限,可以从另一个方面看出,可能疫情带来的会员增长并没有看上去那么美好(还是优爱腾芒 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