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Leonard1971
IP属地：湖南
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2024-11-22
据传，传说中的金砖币采用银本位。
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2024-11-20
金砖币据传采用银本位，概率很大。
白银超级周期即将到来，揭秘背后原因！
白银研究所发布报告，称白银超级周期即将到来，其背后的原因包括俄乌冲突升级引发市场避险情绪、工业需求日益增长、去美元化、美联储开启降息周期。
白银超级周期即将到来，揭秘背后原因！
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2024-09-10
看看7大成分股的大股东或CEO减持，肯定空啊
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2024-06-21
$高通(QCOM)$
。日线级别的 “黄昏之星”。
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2023-10-12
$白银主连 2312(SImain)$
今晚美CPI必然爆表，原因是重新修正回医保计算方式。大家自己查查影响有多大。必然回归
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2023-10-12
$白银主连 2312(SImain)$
今晚美CPI必然爆表，原因是修正因新冠疫情减低的美国医保费用，CPI必然飙升。
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2023-10-12
$欧元主连 2312(EURmain)$
今晚北京时间20点30，美公布CPI，必然爆表！ 原因是美国医保费用的重新计价，前面因为新冠豁免的部分医保费用大幅回归就在今晚。矫枉过正，所以今晚CPI必然爆表。
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2023-08-23
$道琼斯指数2309(YM2309)$
空09道琼，多09A50,前者是做趋势向下破位成立，后者是做政策底成立预期。前后手数比值为 -2:7
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2020-04-30
看来预测成功一半了 下面看5月20日之前 蔡森的涨幅测算法还是牛的。
@Leonard1971：
$蔚来(NIO)$蔚来四月底之前摸四元 五月中旬五元 试用台湾蔡森的W底涨幅测算法
$蔚来(NIO)$蔚来四月底之前摸四元 五月中旬五元 试用台湾蔡森的W底涨幅测算法
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Leonard1971
Leonard1971
·
2020-04-17
$蔚来(NIO)$
蔚来四月底之前摸四元 五月中旬五元 试用台湾蔡森的W底涨幅测算法
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src=\"https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240807/sy_2024080711481037.jpg\"/><br/><br/><h2>促成白银超级周期的因素</h2><br/><b>①俄乌冲突导致地缘局势紧张，白银工业需求增长</b><br/><br/>近期俄乌冲突升级，投资者纷纷寻找更多的财富保值方式。根据白银研究所委托的一份报告，白银在当下动荡时期是一项理想的投资工具，是一种可靠的“对抗通胀、货币贬值和系统性金融不稳定的对冲工具”。<br/><br/>报告指出：“白银作为一种有形资产，兼具稳定性和增长潜力，不仅是避险资产，还因其在工业应用中的日益增长而备受关注。白银与股票和债券等传统资产的相关性较低，因此是优秀的多元化和避险工具。”<br/><br/>报告指出：“希望通过多元化增强投资组合的机构投资者，应当考虑投资白银的优势。地缘政治环境的脆弱性增加以及政府财政状况的恶化，使白银作为对抗通胀和货币贬值的工具更具吸引力。这些潜在的长期因素已经慢慢积累了几十年。”<br/><br/>作者写道，“然而，潜在的结构性压力开始转变，这在当前环境下利好白银。<b>此外，来自电子产品、可再生能源和汽车行业对白银的需求增加，使其成为长期工业趋势的受益者</b>。”<br/><br/>报告提到，全球对白银的需求预计将在2024年达到12亿盎司以上，突显了“白银对于机构投资组合的持久吸引力和战略重要性。”<br/><br/>报告补充道：“白银需求激增还得益于工业消费的持续强劲增长，预计2024年将创下新纪录，同时珠宝和银器需求也在恢复。预计白银需求的增加将伴随着供应的限制，<b>供应预计将下降1%至10亿盎司，2024年将出现2653万盎司的赤字。</b>”<br/><br/>作者指出，将白银纳入投资策略，投资者不仅可以利用其工业效用，还可以发挥其作为避险资产的作用，从而确保投资组合的平衡与韧性。<br/><br/>作者进一步解释，白银作为工业金属和贵金属的双重需求，使其“既从经济复苏中受益，促进了工业用途，同时也因为金融市场的不确定性维持了强劲的投资流入。”<br/><br/>作者说道，“这种多样化的需求特点，<b>使得白银表现优于其他依赖单一需求来源的大宗商品，例如仅用于工业用途或仅作为对冲通胀的工具。</b>”<br/><br/><b>②去美元化推动银价近期上涨</b><br/><br/>白银价格近期上涨的一个重要因素是去美元化的持续趋势，该趋势在今年金砖国家年度峰会上成为焦点。<br/><br/>报告指出，“许多国家和大型国际投资者逐渐远离美元作为主要储备货币，这一趋势已经持续了多年。从历史上看，白银和黄金一直是主要的货币储备资产。白银作为货币已有两千多年的历史，它对投资者来说是一项重要的避险资产。”<br/><br/>报告还将2008年全球金融危机，和疫情期间实施的大规模刺激计划纳入考量，这些计划向市场注入了大量流动性。<br/><br/>报告称：“在全球金融危机和新冠疫情期间，量化宽松向金融系统注入了大量流动性。这些措施导致了重大长期影响，包括市场扭曲、不平等加剧和债务水平上升。这些后果至今仍在塑造经济政策和金融市场动态。”<br/><br/><img src=\"https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20241120/sy_2024112014052117.jpeg\"/><br/><br/>（联邦基金利率与白银价格走势：近两轮宽松周期分析）<br/><br/><b>③美联储开启降息，通常会导致银价上涨</b><br/><br/><b>另一个推动白银价格的因素是美联储开始降息的周期，而历史上降息周期通常会导致银价上涨。</b><br/><br/>报告对白银超级周期进行了展望，指出：“与受微观经济因素影响更大的短期波动相比，超级周期的持续时间通常要长得多。这些周期中的价格上涨可能持续10年甚至20年，形成20年至40年以上的完整周期。”<br/><br/><img src=\"https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20241120/sy_2024112014062292.jpeg\"/><br/><br/>（通胀调整后的银价走势：历史关键事件解读）<br/><br/>报告称：“<b>如果当前的牛市继续演变为我们预期的下一个金属超级周期，那么投资需求和工业需求将在未来几年内持续增长。</b>”<br/>作者补充道：“此外，这一周期可能因显著的供应限制而被放大。更严格的监管环境、更长的许可时间，以及在多个地区对勘探和矿山开发的直接限制，正在阻碍生产商满足不断增长的白银需求。”<br/><br/>作者提醒到：“因此，我们可以预期在整个周期中，白银价格波动会加剧。新采矿项目的缓慢推进，加上地缘政治风险和环境问题，可能导致长期供应短缺。这为能够成功应对监管挑战的项目带来了投资机会，特别是在对勘探和采矿活动更为友好的地区。”<br/><br/><h2>白银的战略优势</h2><br/>作者指出：“由于白银兼具工业金属和市场不稳定时期避险资产的双重角色，它作为机构投资者的战略资产具有突出的优势。白银与股票和债券等传统资产的相关性较低，提供了强大的多元化效益。”<br/><br/>作者补充道：“从历史上看，<b>白银在经济和地缘政治危机时期证明了其价值，是对抗通胀、货币贬值和系统性金融不稳定的可靠对冲工具。</b>白银已作为一种货币储备形式存在了两千多年，在传统储备货币（如美元）面临挑战的当下世界中，白银再次成为价值储存的重要选择。”<br/><br/>作者总结道：“当前全球环境正在经历一场由多个因素驱动的结构性转变，包括日益紧张的地缘政治、经济脆弱性加剧，以及许多政府财政状况的恶化。这些压力正在重塑全球金融体系，投资者越来越倾向于寻找免受对手方风险和政治干预的资产，而白银在这种环境下是一个重要选项。”<br/><br/><img src=\"https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20241120/sy_2024112014030382.png\"/><br/><br/>（<span>现货白银</span>日线图，来源易汇通）<br/><br/>北京时间11月20日14:48，<span>现货白银</span>报31.05美元/盎司\n </div></body></html>","source":"fx678_fut","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>白银超级周期即将到来，揭秘背后原因！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n白银超级周期即将到来，揭秘背后原因！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-20 14:49 北京时间 <a href=https://news.fx678.com//202411201411589082.shtml><strong>知秋</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>汇通财经APP讯——白银研究所最近发布报告，称多种因素共同促成白银超级周期。这些因素包括俄乌冲突升级引发市场避险情绪、工业需求日益增长、去美元化、美联储开启降息周期。 促成白银超级周期的因素①俄乌冲突导致地缘局势紧张，白银工业需求增长近期俄乌冲突升级，投资者纷纷寻找更多的财富保值方式。根据白银研究所委托的一份报告，白银在当下动荡时期是一项理想的投资工具，是一种可靠的“对抗通胀、货币贬值和系统性金融...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://news.fx678.com//202411201411589082.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://upload.fx678img.com/upload/ht/20240807/sy_2024080711481037.jpg","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://news.fx678.com//202411201411589082.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2484548571","content_text":"汇通财经APP讯——白银研究所最近发布报告，称多种因素共同促成白银超级周期。这些因素包括俄乌冲突升级引发市场避险情绪、工业需求日益增长、去美元化、美联储开启降息周期。 促成白银超级周期的因素①俄乌冲突导致地缘局势紧张，白银工业需求增长近期俄乌冲突升级，投资者纷纷寻找更多的财富保值方式。根据白银研究所委托的一份报告，白银在当下动荡时期是一项理想的投资工具，是一种可靠的“对抗通胀、货币贬值和系统性金融不稳定的对冲工具”。报告指出：“白银作为一种有形资产，兼具稳定性和增长潜力，不仅是避险资产，还因其在工业应用中的日益增长而备受关注。白银与股票和债券等传统资产的相关性较低，因此是优秀的多元化和避险工具。”报告指出：“希望通过多元化增强投资组合的机构投资者，应当考虑投资白银的优势。地缘政治环境的脆弱性增加以及政府财政状况的恶化，使白银作为对抗通胀和货币贬值的工具更具吸引力。这些潜在的长期因素已经慢慢积累了几十年。”作者写道，“然而，潜在的结构性压力开始转变，这在当前环境下利好白银。此外，来自电子产品、可再生能源和汽车行业对白银的需求增加，使其成为长期工业趋势的受益者。”报告提到，全球对白银的需求预计将在2024年达到12亿盎司以上，突显了“白银对于机构投资组合的持久吸引力和战略重要性。”报告补充道：“白银需求激增还得益于工业消费的持续强劲增长，预计2024年将创下新纪录，同时珠宝和银器需求也在恢复。预计白银需求的增加将伴随着供应的限制，供应预计将下降1%至10亿盎司，2024年将出现2653万盎司的赤字。”作者指出，将白银纳入投资策略，投资者不仅可以利用其工业效用，还可以发挥其作为避险资产的作用，从而确保投资组合的平衡与韧性。作者进一步解释，白银作为工业金属和贵金属的双重需求，使其“既从经济复苏中受益，促进了工业用途，同时也因为金融市场的不确定性维持了强劲的投资流入。”作者说道，“这种多样化的需求特点，使得白银表现优于其他依赖单一需求来源的大宗商品，例如仅用于工业用途或仅作为对冲通胀的工具。”②去美元化推动银价近期上涨白银价格近期上涨的一个重要因素是去美元化的持续趋势，该趋势在今年金砖国家年度峰会上成为焦点。报告指出，“许多国家和大型国际投资者逐渐远离美元作为主要储备货币，这一趋势已经持续了多年。从历史上看，白银和黄金一直是主要的货币储备资产。白银作为货币已有两千多年的历史，它对投资者来说是一项重要的避险资产。”报告还将2008年全球金融危机，和疫情期间实施的大规模刺激计划纳入考量，这些计划向市场注入了大量流动性。报告称：“在全球金融危机和新冠疫情期间，量化宽松向金融系统注入了大量流动性。这些措施导致了重大长期影响，包括市场扭曲、不平等加剧和债务水平上升。这些后果至今仍在塑造经济政策和金融市场动态。”（联邦基金利率与白银价格走势：近两轮宽松周期分析）③美联储开启降息，通常会导致银价上涨另一个推动白银价格的因素是美联储开始降息的周期，而历史上降息周期通常会导致银价上涨。报告对白银超级周期进行了展望，指出：“与受微观经济因素影响更大的短期波动相比，超级周期的持续时间通常要长得多。这些周期中的价格上涨可能持续10年甚至20年，形成20年至40年以上的完整周期。”（通胀调整后的银价走势：历史关键事件解读）报告称：“如果当前的牛市继续演变为我们预期的下一个金属超级周期，那么投资需求和工业需求将在未来几年内持续增长。”作者补充道：“此外，这一周期可能因显著的供应限制而被放大。更严格的监管环境、更长的许可时间，以及在多个地区对勘探和矿山开发的直接限制，正在阻碍生产商满足不断增长的白银需求。”作者提醒到：“因此，我们可以预期在整个周期中，白银价格波动会加剧。新采矿项目的缓慢推进，加上地缘政治风险和环境问题，可能导致长期供应短缺。这为能够成功应对监管挑战的项目带来了投资机会，特别是在对勘探和采矿活动更为友好的地区。”白银的战略优势作者指出：“由于白银兼具工业金属和市场不稳定时期避险资产的双重角色，它作为机构投资者的战略资产具有突出的优势。白银与股票和债券等传统资产的相关性较低，提供了强大的多元化效益。”作者补充道：“从历史上看，白银在经济和地缘政治危机时期证明了其价值，是对抗通胀、货币贬值和系统性金融不稳定的可靠对冲工具。白银已作为一种货币储备形式存在了两千多年，在传统储备货币（如美元）面临挑战的当下世界中，白银再次成为价值储存的重要选择。”作者总结道：“当前全球环境正在经历一场由多个因素驱动的结构性转变，包括日益紧张的地缘政治、经济脆弱性加剧，以及许多政府财政状况的恶化。这些压力正在重塑全球金融体系，投资者越来越倾向于寻找免受对手方风险和政治干预的资产，而白银在这种环境下是一个重要选项。”（现货白银日线图，来源易汇通）北京时间11月20日14:48，现货白银报31.05美元/盎司","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SImain":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":347708521398336,"gmtCreate":1725911746550,"gmtModify":1725911748951,"author":{"id":"3471922569243446","authorId":"3471922569243446","name":"Leonard1971","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1f0f2ae32c4e8d82df34a3a5e20117","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3471922569243446","idStr":"3471922569243446"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看看7大成分股的大股东或CEO减持，肯定空啊","listText":"看看7大成分股的大股东或CEO减持，肯定空啊","text":"看看7大成分股的大股东或CEO减持，肯定空啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347708521398336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":319079485747416,"gmtCreate":1718915466021,"gmtModify":1718915467461,"author":{"id":"3471922569243446","authorId":"3471922569243446","name":"Leonard1971","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1f0f2ae32c4e8d82df34a3a5e20117","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3471922569243446","idStr":"3471922569243446"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$高通(QCOM)$ </a> 。日线级别的 “黄昏之星”。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$高通(QCOM)$ </a> 。日线级别的 “黄昏之星”。","text":"$高通(QCOM)$ 。日线级别的 “黄昏之星”。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319079485747416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":229760266809448,"gmtCreate":1697112432946,"gmtModify":1697112434314,"author":{"id":"3471922569243446","authorId":"3471922569243446","name":"Leonard1971","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab1f0f2ae32c4e8d82df34a3a5e20117","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3471922569243446","idStr":"3471922569243446"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/SImain\">$白银主连 2312(SImain)$ </a>今晚美CPI必然爆表，原因是重新修正回医保计算方式。大家自己查查影响有多大。必然回归","listText":"<a 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