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SilenceMoon
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IP属地:江苏
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
03-12
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
不跌到200以下还不是最好的机会。
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-11-13
Doge??!!
市场消息:特朗普称马斯克和美国企业家维韦克·拉马斯瓦米将领导政府效率部
特朗普表示,马斯克将与美国企业家维韦克·拉马斯瓦米合作,领导拟成立的政府效率部门(简称DOGE)特朗普表示,政府效率部门(DOGE)将为拆解政府官僚机构铺平道路,削减多余的监管,削减浪费开支,并重组联邦机构。
市场消息:特朗普称马斯克和美国企业家维韦克·拉马斯瓦米将领导政府效率部
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-11-04
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
UVIX: An Instrument For Day Trading Only
MoMo Productions/DigitalVision via Getty Images Thesis The title could have been 'Avoid Avoid Avoid' when retail investors are concerned. There are some financial instruments that regular retail inves
UVIX: An Instrument For Day Trading Only
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-10-11
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
虽然投资者预期太高,太急了,但是特斯拉这技术绝对是领先全世界的
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-08-02
等到他的13代14代i5i7i9芯片爆雷的事情在三季度财报里体现出来再看看会跌倒多少吧
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-07-26
$NQ100指数主连 2409(NQmain)$
再跌个几天再看吧
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-06-20
$美光科技(MU)$
年底至少190-220
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-06-18
要是有个功能能实时分享自己的持仓股票的收益率就好了
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-06-16
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
全球“抱团”美股,美股“抱团”AI
过去一个月内,全球约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其中高达94%投向了美国资产;一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。
全球“抱团”美股,美股“抱团”AI
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SilenceMoon
SilenceMoon
·
2024-06-11
$苹果(AAPL)$
新界面丑得可以把乔布斯气活了
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不跌到200以下还不是最好的机会。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/412602958233792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370408871624784,"gmtCreate":1731458972577,"gmtModify":1731458974634,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Doge??!!","listText":"Doge??!!","text":"Doge??!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370408871624784","repostId":"1103173983","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103173983","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1731458367,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103173983?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-13 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08:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>特朗普表示,马斯克将与美国企业家维韦克·拉马斯瓦米合作,领导拟成立的政府效率部门(简称DOGE)。</p><p>特朗普表示,政府效率部门(DOGE)将为拆解政府官僚机构铺平道路,削减多余的监管,削减浪费开支,并重组联邦机构。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54942b02db4e584de862ea105db3e03","relate_stocks":{"TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103173983","content_text":"特朗普表示,马斯克将与美国企业家维韦克·拉马斯瓦米合作,领导拟成立的政府效率部门(简称DOGE)。特朗普表示,政府效率部门(DOGE)将为拆解政府官僚机构铺平道路,削减多余的监管,削减浪费开支,并重组联邦机构。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.1,"TSLL":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367199536525512,"gmtCreate":1730689955523,"gmtModify":1730689957256,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367199536525512","repostId":"2461572754","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2461572754","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1724424180,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2461572754?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-08-23 22:43","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"UVIX: An Instrument For Day Trading Only","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2461572754","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"MoMo Productions/DigitalVision via Getty Images Thesis The title could have been 'Avoid Avoid Avoid' when retail investors are concerned. There are some financial instruments that regular retail inves","content":"<html><body><p><figure><picture> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"1024px\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) calc(100vw - 36px), (max-width: 1024px) calc(100vw - 132px), (max-width: 1200px) calc(66.6vw - 72px), 600px\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w750\" srcset=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w1536 1536w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w1280 1280w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w1080 1080w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w750 750w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w640 640w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w480 480w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w320 320w, https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg?io=getty-c-w240 240w\" width=\"1536px\"/> </picture><figcaption> <p>MoMo Productions/DigitalVision via Getty Images</p></figcaption></figure></p> <h2>Thesis</h2> <p>The title could have been 'Avoid Avoid Avoid' when retail investors are concerned. There are some financial instruments that regular retail investors should never touch, and we believe <span>2x Long VIX Futures ETF (<span>BATS:UVIX</span><span>) is one of them. With the recent bout of volatility seen in the beginning of August, certain market participants have started to believe volatility as an asset class is attractive again. While certain instruments could provide for a hedge, or a long-term holding, other instruments are not only loss-generating long-term, but specifically set up for day trading, especially when analyzed in depth.</span></span></p> <p>In this article we are going to have a closer look at UVIX, its composition and structure, and articulate why buy-and-hold retail investors should avoid this name which is only suitable in our view for day trading.</p> <h3>Composition - a leveraged ETF</h3> <p>As per its own literature, UVIX is a leveraged exchange traded fund:</p> <blockquote><p><em>The 2x Long VIX Futures ETF is a leveraged VIX-linked ETF that seeks to provide daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond generally to twice the performance of the Long VIX Futures Index (Ticker: LONGVOL).</em></p></blockquote> <p>Kindly keep in mind that leveraged products as a whole are much more risky, and generally not suitable for long-term holders, but rather for people with a shorter time horizon in mind as FINRA highlights:</p> <blockquote><p><em>The objective of a geared ETP with a daily reset is to provide that degree of leveraged or inverse exposure for that single period and, importantly, not over longer (or shorter) periods. (Similarly, a geared ETP with a monthly objective is designed to provide that leveraged or inverse exposure for a specified monthly period.) Holding a geared ETP for a period that is shorter or longer than its objective can lead to performance that may deviate significantly from the daily objective.</em></p></blockquote> <p>Now that we have established the leveraged nature of the fund, let us look at the fundamentals and understand what the Long VIX Futures Index actually does:</p> <blockquote><p><em>The Long VIX Futures Index expresses the daily performance of a theoretical portfolio of first and second month VIX futures contracts that are rolled daily. The Index determines its daily settlement price from the Time Weighted Average Price (TWAP) of its theoretical portfolio over the last 15 minutes of the regular equity trading session.</em></p></blockquote> <p>So an investor long this index would be long volatility via the first and second months futures contracts on the VIX. As we have seen from the recent VIX performance, VIX futures tend to 'smooth-out' extreme spikes since they represent a longer-term take on the market:</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/8/23/saupload_7376fdb0c745e65e97a5692acb576ccc.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>In the above graph, we have plotted the VIX index against the CBOE Dynamic Long VIX Futures Index, and we can clearly see how futures are much less volatile than the VIX itself.</p> <h3>The 'roll' effect compounded </h3> <p>In a market that does not change, rolling futures (i.e. moving to the next futures contract as the current one expires) has a negative effect on profits. The higher the 'roll cost', the more negative the long-term performance. When you use leverage like UVIX does, the effect is astounding:</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/8/23/saupload_3490c82b568d125e4f9091ccaca84ecd.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>The fund has lost -99% in the past three years. Yes, you read that correctly. If you would have bought this name as a 'portfolio hedge' in the beginning of 2022, you would be almost completely wiped-out.</p> <p>There is no clearer chart on why a retail investor should stay away from this name from a buy-and-hold perspective. At the end of the day UVIX is a leveraged expression of a trade which has a significant negative roll cost.</p> <p>While the August 5, 2024 VIX spike moved the name to positive territory for the year, it has now re-traced the entire move and is down -64% for the year:</p> <p><figure><img height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2024/8/23/saupload_0f2d2e32130ed1bffbf7418ddc4d0f78.png\" width=\"635\"/><figcaption>Data by YCharts</figcaption></figure></p> <p>The above chart shows the day-trading or short-term trading possibilities embedded in this name, but also the need to hold the name for only very short time-frames with tight targets and stop-losses.</p> <h3>An instrument for day-traders only</h3> <p>From a day-trading perspective, the fund offers significant upside on overall down days in the equity market when volatility moves higher. As an example, on August 22, 2024 the S&P 500 was down -0.78%, while UVIX was up +8% as volatility moved higher.</p> <p>This ETF can be very profitable for day traders as it represents a very volatile instrument via its return profile and leveraged nature. However, that is where the benefits stop. When trading this name investors have to set-up clear targets for the VIX futures they are following, and exit the name within a pre-defined time-frame. As we saw from its 2024 total return graph, the name is a value destroyer if held long term.</p> <p>An investor can find the risk metrics for the name under the 'Risk' tab on the Seeking Alpha platform, and the ETF comes with a 149% annualized volatility versus a 12% one for the S&P 500. </p> <h2>Conclusion</h2> <div></div> <p>UVIX is an exchange traded fund that represents a 2x take on VIX futures. The instrument is meant to replicate the front month VIX futures on a daily basis only, and represents a long-term value destroyer, being down -99% in the past three years. The name is not a buy-and-hold instrument, but a security to be used by day traders and sophisticated investors only. The fund can provide substantial daily returns if the market is timed correctly and the name exited. With an annualized volatility of 149%, UVIX squarely positions itself in the speculative instruments category, and regular retail investors should avoid this name completely. In our mind the name is only palatable for sophisticated day-traders who look for high beta securities in down markets.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UVIX: An Instrument For Day Trading Only</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUVIX: An Instrument For Day Trading Only\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-08-23 22:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4716836-uvix-an-instrument-for-day-trading-only><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>MoMo Productions/DigitalVision via Getty Images Thesis The title could have been 'Avoid Avoid Avoid' when retail investors are concerned. There are some financial instruments that regular retail ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4716836-uvix-an-instrument-for-day-trading-only\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1300319630/image_1300319630.jpg","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF","UVXY":"1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF","SVXY":"0.5倍做空波动率指数短期期货ETF","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","UVIX":"两倍做多波动率指数期货ETF","VXX":"短期VIX期货ETN","TVIX":"二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN","FDN":"First Trust Dow Jones Internet I"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4716836-uvix-an-instrument-for-day-trading-only","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2461572754","content_text":"MoMo Productions/DigitalVision via Getty Images Thesis The title could have been 'Avoid Avoid Avoid' when retail investors are concerned. There are some financial instruments that regular retail investors should never touch, and we believe 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (BATS:UVIX) is one of them. With the recent bout of volatility seen in the beginning of August, certain market participants have started to believe volatility as an asset class is attractive again. While certain instruments could provide for a hedge, or a long-term holding, other instruments are not only loss-generating long-term, but specifically set up for day trading, especially when analyzed in depth. In this article we are going to have a closer look at UVIX, its composition and structure, and articulate why buy-and-hold retail investors should avoid this name which is only suitable in our view for day trading. Composition - a leveraged ETF As per its own literature, UVIX is a leveraged exchange traded fund: The 2x Long VIX Futures ETF is a leveraged VIX-linked ETF that seeks to provide daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond generally to twice the performance of the Long VIX Futures Index (Ticker: LONGVOL). Kindly keep in mind that leveraged products as a whole are much more risky, and generally not suitable for long-term holders, but rather for people with a shorter time horizon in mind as FINRA highlights: The objective of a geared ETP with a daily reset is to provide that degree of leveraged or inverse exposure for that single period and, importantly, not over longer (or shorter) periods. (Similarly, a geared ETP with a monthly objective is designed to provide that leveraged or inverse exposure for a specified monthly period.) Holding a geared ETP for a period that is shorter or longer than its objective can lead to performance that may deviate significantly from the daily objective. Now that we have established the leveraged nature of the fund, let us look at the fundamentals and understand what the Long VIX Futures Index actually does: The Long VIX Futures Index expresses the daily performance of a theoretical portfolio of first and second month VIX futures contracts that are rolled daily. The Index determines its daily settlement price from the Time Weighted Average Price (TWAP) of its theoretical portfolio over the last 15 minutes of the regular equity trading session. So an investor long this index would be long volatility via the first and second months futures contracts on the VIX. As we have seen from the recent VIX performance, VIX futures tend to 'smooth-out' extreme spikes since they represent a longer-term take on the market: Data by YCharts In the above graph, we have plotted the VIX index against the CBOE Dynamic Long VIX Futures Index, and we can clearly see how futures are much less volatile than the VIX itself. The 'roll' effect compounded In a market that does not change, rolling futures (i.e. moving to the next futures contract as the current one expires) has a negative effect on profits. The higher the 'roll cost', the more negative the long-term performance. When you use leverage like UVIX does, the effect is astounding: Data by YCharts The fund has lost -99% in the past three years. Yes, you read that correctly. If you would have bought this name as a 'portfolio hedge' in the beginning of 2022, you would be almost completely wiped-out. There is no clearer chart on why a retail investor should stay away from this name from a buy-and-hold perspective. At the end of the day UVIX is a leveraged expression of a trade which has a significant negative roll cost. While the August 5, 2024 VIX spike moved the name to positive territory for the year, it has now re-traced the entire move and is down -64% for the year: Data by YCharts The above chart shows the day-trading or short-term trading possibilities embedded in this name, but also the need to hold the name for only very short time-frames with tight targets and stop-losses. An instrument for day-traders only From a day-trading perspective, the fund offers significant upside on overall down days in the equity market when volatility moves higher. As an example, on August 22, 2024 the S&P 500 was down -0.78%, while UVIX was up +8% as volatility moved higher. This ETF can be very profitable for day traders as it represents a very volatile instrument via its return profile and leveraged nature. However, that is where the benefits stop. When trading this name investors have to set-up clear targets for the VIX futures they are following, and exit the name within a pre-defined time-frame. As we saw from its 2024 total return graph, the name is a value destroyer if held long term. An investor can find the risk metrics for the name under the 'Risk' tab on the Seeking Alpha platform, and the ETF comes with a 149% annualized volatility versus a 12% one for the S&P 500. Conclusion UVIX is an exchange traded fund that represents a 2x take on VIX futures. The instrument is meant to replicate the front month VIX futures on a daily basis only, and represents a long-term value destroyer, being down -99% in the past three years. The name is not a buy-and-hold instrument, but a security to be used by day traders and sophisticated investors only. The fund can provide substantial daily returns if the market is timed correctly and the name exited. With an annualized volatility of 149%, UVIX squarely positions itself in the speculative instruments category, and regular retail investors should avoid this name completely. In our mind the name is only palatable for sophisticated day-traders who look for high beta securities in down markets.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FDN":0.9,"VIXmain":0.6,"SVXY":0.6,"TVIX":0.9,"UVIX":1,"UVXY":0.6,"VIXY":0.6,"VXX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358919623999528,"gmtCreate":1728634775129,"gmtModify":1728634776527,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 虽然投资者预期太高,太急了,但是特斯拉这技术绝对是领先全世界的","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 虽然投资者预期太高,太急了,但是特斯拉这技术绝对是领先全世界的","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 虽然投资者预期太高,太急了,但是特斯拉这技术绝对是领先全世界的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358919623999528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334042617081904,"gmtCreate":1722586417283,"gmtModify":1722586550123,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"等到他的13代14代i5i7i9芯片爆雷的事情在三季度财报里体现出来再看看会跌倒多少吧","listText":"等到他的13代14代i5i7i9芯片爆雷的事情在三季度财报里体现出来再看看会跌倒多少吧","text":"等到他的13代14代i5i7i9芯片爆雷的事情在三季度财报里体现出来再看看会跌倒多少吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334042617081904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":331645169725536,"gmtCreate":1721974964852,"gmtModify":1721974966062,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2409(NQmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 再跌个几天再看吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2409(NQmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 再跌个几天再看吧","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2409(NQmain)$ 再跌个几天再看吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/331645169725536","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318786536530144,"gmtCreate":1718842432130,"gmtModify":1718842433563,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$ </a> 年底至少190-220","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$ </a> 年底至少190-220","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ 年底至少190-220","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318786536530144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318156578054360,"gmtCreate":1718713488853,"gmtModify":1718713490895,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"要是有个功能能实时分享自己的持仓股票的收益率就好了","listText":"要是有个功能能实时分享自己的持仓股票的收益率就好了","text":"要是有个功能能实时分享自己的持仓股票的收益率就好了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318156578054360","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":317449495142656,"gmtCreate":1718541369362,"gmtModify":1718541370909,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/317449495142656","repostId":"2443943580","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2443943580","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1718506695,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2443943580?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-06-16 10:58","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"全球“抱团”美股,美股“抱团”AI","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2443943580","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"过去一个月内,全球约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其中高达94%投向了美国资产;一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>过去一个月内,全球约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其中高达94%投向了美国资产;一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。</p></blockquote><p>尽管美国面临债务问题和大选带来的政治分歧,但在欧洲选举压力、日央行再度推迟公布缩表细节致使日元汇率风险不减的双重夹击下,<strong>全球投资者纷纷“抱团”美国股债。</strong></p><p>本周,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数的涨幅创下过去15个月最高周涨幅。同时,美国长期国债收益率也上升至3.5%,创下了2024年的最佳表现。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ef34ff6711c3e7e16c7c84e0a47cfa0\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>来到美股市场,随着<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>三家“3万亿巨头”市值轮番创下历史新高,<strong>AI/科技相关公司则成为资金抱团的“首要目标”。</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>投资研究所高级全球市场策略师Sameer Samana表示:</p><blockquote><p>“美国拥有一批在全球其他地方无可匹敌的AI/科技相关公司......</p><p>(因此,美国市场对全球投资者的吸引力)可能会持续一段时间,直到这些因素发生变化,或者出现合适的替代品。”</p></blockquote><p>投资公司Research Affiliates的股票策略首席投资官Que Nguyen则认为,<strong>在最大科技公司所占权重极高的背景下,追逐美国股票的收益也存在风险:</strong></p><blockquote><p>“我们已经进入了一个大公司变得更大的时代,目前尚不清楚这种情况是否能维持下去......</p><p>美国大公司主导地位将面临挑战,面临来自较小公司或海外竞争对手的潜在威胁。”</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_4203434702\">全球投资者“抱团”美国股债</h2><p>尽管美联储暗示将放缓加息步伐、 激烈的美国大选带来诸多不确定性,但全球投资者仍纷纷涌入美国市场。</p><p>道明证券 (TD Securities) 整理的EPFR Global数据显示,过去一个月内,约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其<strong>中高达94%投向了美国资产,尤其是科技股领域,且衡量投资者对美国股票偏好的指标徘徊在三年高位。</strong></p><p><strong>国际投资者对于美国信贷市场同样兴趣高涨。</strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APO\">阿波罗全球管理</a>公司首席经济学家Torsten Slok表示,2024年第一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。</p><p>在除美国以外的全球市场,MSCI全球指数(不包括美国)下跌超过2%。日本央行对债券购买计划缺乏详细说明,给日元带来了压力;欧洲的情况更加糟糕,在法国马克龙决定提前举行选举后,法国股市出现了两年多来的最大跌幅,抹去了2024年的所有涨幅。</p><p>投资公司Berenberg资产策略主管Ulrich Urbahn表示:</p><blockquote><p>“美国拥有最大、最具创新性的公司,盈利增长强劲,同时也受益于该国目前的‘避险地位’......</p><p>势头会催生势头。FOMO(错失恐惧症)显然也是一个原因。”</p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2e6b27d7c8369dd43441c90263262c4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"549\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_387380327\">美股“抱团”AI,市场“头重脚轻”</h2><p>来到美股市场,<strong>AI/科技相关公司则成为资金抱团的“首要目标”。</strong>根据EPFR Global 和美国银行汇编的数据,本周美股科技板块流入资金达21 亿美元,为3月份以来的最高水平。</p><p>数据显示,在美国长期股票型共同基金中,今年唯一一个行业敞口增加的领域便是科技。根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCS\">巴克莱银行</a>策略师Venu Krishna等人编制的数据,银行、医疗保健和非必需消费品公司在这些投资组合中的低配比例不断增加。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cce480a83f91d1405e111636c2631db1\" tg-width=\"948\" tg-height=\"641\"/></p><p>与此同时,在Mag 7概念逐渐被人忘却,所占的权重极高的苹果、微软、英伟达三家“3万亿巨头”搭台唱戏的背景下,美股市场的“集中度风险”似乎也在不断提升,市场分化现象越来越明显。金融博客Zerohedge评论称:</p><blockquote><p>“现在似乎重要的只有前三大科技公司——苹果、微软和英伟达——它们的市值几乎相同,都约为3.2万亿美元...... 实际上,现在再也没有什么比这三家公司更重要的了 ”</p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6b8feff598f80da3621f2220432dd5\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"561\"/></p><p>数据显示,尽管标普指数在本周连续四次创下历史新高,但等权重标普在过去4个月内没有任何变化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bc56112596b8123fa8d714ab25d68b8\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"561\"/></p><p>这种现象不止存在于科技股与非科技的对比中。即使在科技领域内,也存在惊人的分歧——<strong>例如,周四纳指有72%的成分股收盘走低,创下新低的股票数量是创下新高的股票数量的两倍多,但当日纳指仍创下了新高</strong>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5edf7ff9126ea11442766d3e8f3e7e62\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p><p>而等权重的纳斯达克指数在过去10天中有9天表现不佳。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02283989078b48a685b0c02d93144c7d\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"564\"/></p><p>美国资产的集中势头,也给那些遵循地理多样化策略的投资者带来了麻烦。彭博编制的数据显示,在644只专注于国际资产的ETF中,只有不到7%的基金跑赢了标普500指数。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>全球“抱团”美股,美股“抱团”AI</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n全球“抱团”美股,美股“抱团”AI\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-16 10:58 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3717297><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>过去一个月内,全球约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其中高达94%投向了美国资产;一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。尽管美国面临债务问题和大选带来的政治分歧,但在欧洲选举压力、日央行再度推迟公布缩表细节致使日元汇率风险不减的双重夹击下,全球投资者纷纷“抱团”美国股债。本周,标普500指数的涨幅创下过去15个月最高周涨幅。同时,美国长期国债收益率也上升至3.5%,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3717297\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3717297","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2443943580","content_text":"过去一个月内,全球约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其中高达94%投向了美国资产;一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。尽管美国面临债务问题和大选带来的政治分歧,但在欧洲选举压力、日央行再度推迟公布缩表细节致使日元汇率风险不减的双重夹击下,全球投资者纷纷“抱团”美国股债。本周,标普500指数的涨幅创下过去15个月最高周涨幅。同时,美国长期国债收益率也上升至3.5%,创下了2024年的最佳表现。来到美股市场,随着苹果、微软、英伟达三家“3万亿巨头”市值轮番创下历史新高,AI/科技相关公司则成为资金抱团的“首要目标”。富国银行投资研究所高级全球市场策略师Sameer Samana表示:“美国拥有一批在全球其他地方无可匹敌的AI/科技相关公司......(因此,美国市场对全球投资者的吸引力)可能会持续一段时间,直到这些因素发生变化,或者出现合适的替代品。”投资公司Research Affiliates的股票策略首席投资官Que Nguyen则认为,在最大科技公司所占权重极高的背景下,追逐美国股票的收益也存在风险:“我们已经进入了一个大公司变得更大的时代,目前尚不清楚这种情况是否能维持下去......美国大公司主导地位将面临挑战,面临来自较小公司或海外竞争对手的潜在威胁。”全球投资者“抱团”美国股债尽管美联储暗示将放缓加息步伐、 激烈的美国大选带来诸多不确定性,但全球投资者仍纷纷涌入美国市场。道明证券 (TD Securities) 整理的EPFR Global数据显示,过去一个月内,约有300亿美元新资金流入股票基金,其中高达94%投向了美国资产,尤其是科技股领域,且衡量投资者对美国股票偏好的指标徘徊在三年高位。国际投资者对于美国信贷市场同样兴趣高涨。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家Torsten Slok表示,2024年第一季度,海外投资者购入了1870亿美元美国公司债券,同比增长61%。在除美国以外的全球市场,MSCI全球指数(不包括美国)下跌超过2%。日本央行对债券购买计划缺乏详细说明,给日元带来了压力;欧洲的情况更加糟糕,在法国马克龙决定提前举行选举后,法国股市出现了两年多来的最大跌幅,抹去了2024年的所有涨幅。投资公司Berenberg资产策略主管Ulrich Urbahn表示:“美国拥有最大、最具创新性的公司,盈利增长强劲,同时也受益于该国目前的‘避险地位’......势头会催生势头。FOMO(错失恐惧症)显然也是一个原因。”美股“抱团”AI,市场“头重脚轻”来到美股市场,AI/科技相关公司则成为资金抱团的“首要目标”。根据EPFR Global 和美国银行汇编的数据,本周美股科技板块流入资金达21 亿美元,为3月份以来的最高水平。数据显示,在美国长期股票型共同基金中,今年唯一一个行业敞口增加的领域便是科技。根据巴克莱银行策略师Venu Krishna等人编制的数据,银行、医疗保健和非必需消费品公司在这些投资组合中的低配比例不断增加。与此同时,在Mag 7概念逐渐被人忘却,所占的权重极高的苹果、微软、英伟达三家“3万亿巨头”搭台唱戏的背景下,美股市场的“集中度风险”似乎也在不断提升,市场分化现象越来越明显。金融博客Zerohedge评论称:“现在似乎重要的只有前三大科技公司——苹果、微软和英伟达——它们的市值几乎相同,都约为3.2万亿美元...... 实际上,现在再也没有什么比这三家公司更重要的了 ”数据显示,尽管标普指数在本周连续四次创下历史新高,但等权重标普在过去4个月内没有任何变化。这种现象不止存在于科技股与非科技的对比中。即使在科技领域内,也存在惊人的分歧——例如,周四纳指有72%的成分股收盘走低,创下新低的股票数量是创下新高的股票数量的两倍多,但当日纳指仍创下了新高。而等权重的纳斯达克指数在过去10天中有9天表现不佳。美国资产的集中势头,也给那些遵循地理多样化策略的投资者带来了麻烦。彭博编制的数据显示,在644只专注于国际资产的ETF中,只有不到7%的基金跑赢了标普500指数。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.61,"MSFT":0.61,"NVDA":0.61}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315644909912112,"gmtCreate":1718092661067,"gmtModify":1718092664755,"author":{"id":"3476157925784149","authorId":"3476157925784149","name":"SilenceMoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c12e37e047e024932ea6014b33016a68","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476157925784149","authorIdStr":"3476157925784149"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 新界面丑得可以把乔布斯气活了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 新界面丑得可以把乔布斯气活了","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 新界面丑得可以把乔布斯气活了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/315644909912112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}