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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·02-05
  暴跌！历史总是惊人的相似！！！
  702 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2024-07-26
  账户还剩200美金，应该买什么[财迷]
  1,242 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2024-03-17
  会加息[财迷]
  涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？
  日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？
  涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？
  1,520 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2024-03-03
  美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]
  1,841 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2024-01-18
  老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷] [笑哭] [捂脸]
  2,663 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2024-01-03
  有没有精通编程的虎友哈[捂脸] [笑哭] [开心]
  2,704 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2024-01-01
  再见2023！你好2024！
  2,269 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2023-12-28
  理想汽车哦哦哦呜呜呜
  2,217 评论
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2023-12-28
  [财迷] [开心] [微笑]
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- 睡着容易但是醒来真的好难睡着容易但是醒来真的好难
  ·2023-12-27
  有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$
  3,803 2
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14:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2419169437","media":"金十数据","summary":"日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？</p></blockquote><p>日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%！虽然低于工会要求的5.85%，但仍是自1991年（5.66%）后33年来的最高值，也远超去年3.8%的幅度。日本央行一直担忧薪资-物价无法螺旋式上涨的话，结束通缩时间未成熟，加息时间未到。但是，<strong>此次加薪幅度远超去年，日媒也疯狂出来打预防针，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？</strong></p><p>媒体放风后，市场还是在“三月息变”和“四月再议”之间摇摆不定。三月加还是不加？</p><blockquote><p><strong>A. 加息。</strong></p><p><strong>B. 不加。</strong></p></blockquote><p><strong>欢迎评论区留言，日本央行利率决议后，将随机抽取一位答中的幸运用户，赠送一个月的精英会员体验券！</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a467f66a701cd8b2f5bc081b95cd623\" tg-width=\"1792\" tg-height=\"1024\"/></p><p>关于日本央行3月的利率决议，日媒已经率先放风，从这些报道中，可以看出一些渐进式变化：</p><p>据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的<strong>支持加强——</strong>知情人士称日本央行<strong>考虑3月加息——</strong>消息人士称日本央行<strong>加息步伐将缓慢</strong>，避免损害经济——日本央行将<strong>讨论退出</strong>负利率政策——日本央行<strong>正在安排下周加息</strong>，关注周五薪资谈判的初步结果——<strong>日本央行正在做出最后安排，准备在下周的政策制定会议上结束负利率政策——</strong>日本央行下周势在必行，<strong>将把利率上调至0%—0.1%区间 。</strong></p><blockquote><p><strong>日媒是怎么一步步道出日本央行的心态变化的？</strong></p></blockquote><p>3月12日是“据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的支持加强”，也就是说，<strong>有官员开始改变自己的观点</strong>。随后消息人士爆出日本央行考虑加息。<strong>从支持力度变大到开始考虑，</strong>加息意愿开始发酵。同日，消息人士再称，日本央行加息步伐将缓慢，避免损害经济。即日本央行已经在<strong>考虑“要怎么加息”而不是“要不要加息了”</strong>，有种加息势在必行的意味。</p><p>13日，“春斗”中大企业集中公布涨薪幅度，多数都创30年来新高，14日凌晨日经新闻深夜再次出来<strong>强化预期</strong>，说日本央行下周会讨论退出负利率，日元小幅走高了20点。14日“春斗”首轮谈判结果出炉前一日，日本时事通讯社报道称，日本央行在“安排下周加息”，日元短线拉升了50点，<strong>从讨论加息到安排加息</strong>，又又进了一步，看来是已公布的涨薪幅度让其很满意了。</p><p>15日<strong>薪资涨幅出结果后，加息最后一块拼图合上，</strong>日媒爆料日本央行<strong>为加息做最后安排了。</strong>16日凌晨，日媒称日本央行下周<strong>将把利率上调至0%-0.1%区间 ，</strong>以<strong>几乎肯定的口吻</strong>爆出日本央行的具体加息目标。</p><p>这样子的一番循序渐进引导把3月加息的期待值抬得很高，怪不得美银也从预期4月加息转向3月了。<strong>不过，加息时间早则三月，晚则四月，市场仍然看法不一。</strong></p><blockquote><p>野村证券策略师Naka Matsuzawa认为，日本央行本次将全面改变其政策框架。</p></blockquote><p>包含五方面：1)将政策利率目标从-0.10%上调至0-0.10%；2)取消收益率曲线控制，同时取消10年期国债收益率目标；3)暂停ETF购买； 4) 推迟继续增加货币基础的承诺；5)引入新的量化目标(从每月购买6万亿日元日本国债开始)。最后两点合在一起意味着日本央行将很快开始量化紧缩。</p><p>如果本次日本央行真的加息，市场会有什么反应？Matsuzawa认为，<strong>市场的直接反应应该是温和的，</strong>因为日本央行与市场就下一步正常化的行动进行了良好的沟通。话虽如此，市场尚未消化日本央行将以多快的速度缩减日本国债购买规模，这可能导致日元走高、日本国债收益率上升和股价下跌。投资者对股票的偏好也将从出口类股转向内需驱动型股。</p><p>也有观点认为日本央行的脚步不会那么快。</p><blockquote><p>日本道富<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/B73.SI\">环球投资</a>顾问首席投资官Kensuke Niihara认为，日本央行一直在建设性地引导市场应对即将到来的政策变化，我们一直预计政策变化将于4月份开始。</p></blockquote><p>但是，30多年来最高的涨薪幅度得到了大企业的认可。再加上日本央行对潜在通胀的评估，这些事态发展大大<strong>提高了3月份采取政策行动的可能性</strong>。我们预计，到今年年底，政策利率将走出负增长区间，达到0.10%。</p><p><strong>道富环球的评估显示，日元被严重低估，我们长期看多日元。</strong>美联储和日本央行在政策方向上可能出现的分歧，将支持日元走强。然而，我们认为日本央行在退出负利率政策后将维持宽松的货币政策，因此我们预计对包括日元在内的市场的影响将是有限的。</p><p>如果美联储进入一个稳定的超过100-150个基点的降息周期，或者日本工资上涨、经济增长强劲到足以支持日本央行多次加息，日元可能会有意义地升值。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2553f02ec2534f043c634fbec57aa45\" tg-width=\"1556\" tg-height=\"702\"/></p><p>最后回顾一下，日本央行自2016年1月29日引入负利率政策，将商业银行存放在日本央行的超额准备金存款利率从之前的0.1%降至-0.1%。自此，日本进入“负利率”时代，并持续至今。如果日本央行本次真的宣布加息，是<strong>长达17年来首次上调利率，全球始于的21世纪10年代的负利率时代也将画上句号</strong>。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-03-16 14:12 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=134304&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%！虽然低于工会要求的5.85%，但仍是自1991年（5.66%）后33年来的最高值，也远超去年3.8%的幅度。日本央行一直担忧薪资-物价无法螺旋式上涨的话，结束通缩时间未成熟，加息时间未到。但是，此次加薪幅度远超去年，日媒也疯狂出来打预防针，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=134304&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f3e58ed98c4dddad279d0d2da1f5467","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=134304&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2419169437","content_text":"日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%！虽然低于工会要求的5.85%，但仍是自1991年（5.66%）后33年来的最高值，也远超去年3.8%的幅度。日本央行一直担忧薪资-物价无法螺旋式上涨的话，结束通缩时间未成熟，加息时间未到。但是，此次加薪幅度远超去年，日媒也疯狂出来打预防针，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？媒体放风后，市场还是在“三月息变”和“四月再议”之间摇摆不定。三月加还是不加？A. 加息。B. 不加。欢迎评论区留言，日本央行利率决议后，将随机抽取一位答中的幸运用户，赠送一个月的精英会员体验券！关于日本央行3月的利率决议，日媒已经率先放风，从这些报道中，可以看出一些渐进式变化：据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的支持加强——知情人士称日本央行考虑3月加息——消息人士称日本央行加息步伐将缓慢，避免损害经济——日本央行将讨论退出负利率政策——日本央行正在安排下周加息，关注周五薪资谈判的初步结果——日本央行正在做出最后安排，准备在下周的政策制定会议上结束负利率政策——日本央行下周势在必行，将把利率上调至0%—0.1%区间 。日媒是怎么一步步道出日本央行的心态变化的？3月12日是“据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的支持加强”，也就是说，有官员开始改变自己的观点。随后消息人士爆出日本央行考虑加息。从支持力度变大到开始考虑，加息意愿开始发酵。同日，消息人士再称，日本央行加息步伐将缓慢，避免损害经济。即日本央行已经在考虑“要怎么加息”而不是“要不要加息了”，有种加息势在必行的意味。13日，“春斗”中大企业集中公布涨薪幅度，多数都创30年来新高，14日凌晨日经新闻深夜再次出来强化预期，说日本央行下周会讨论退出负利率，日元小幅走高了20点。14日“春斗”首轮谈判结果出炉前一日，日本时事通讯社报道称，日本央行在“安排下周加息”，日元短线拉升了50点，从讨论加息到安排加息，又又进了一步，看来是已公布的涨薪幅度让其很满意了。15日薪资涨幅出结果后，加息最后一块拼图合上，日媒爆料日本央行为加息做最后安排了。16日凌晨，日媒称日本央行下周将把利率上调至0%-0.1%区间 ，以几乎肯定的口吻爆出日本央行的具体加息目标。这样子的一番循序渐进引导把3月加息的期待值抬得很高，怪不得美银也从预期4月加息转向3月了。不过，加息时间早则三月，晚则四月，市场仍然看法不一。野村证券策略师Naka Matsuzawa认为，日本央行本次将全面改变其政策框架。包含五方面：1)将政策利率目标从-0.10%上调至0-0.10%；2)取消收益率曲线控制，同时取消10年期国债收益率目标；3)暂停ETF购买； 4) 推迟继续增加货币基础的承诺；5)引入新的量化目标(从每月购买6万亿日元日本国债开始)。最后两点合在一起意味着日本央行将很快开始量化紧缩。如果本次日本央行真的加息，市场会有什么反应？Matsuzawa认为，市场的直接反应应该是温和的，因为日本央行与市场就下一步正常化的行动进行了良好的沟通。话虽如此，市场尚未消化日本央行将以多快的速度缩减日本国债购买规模，这可能导致日元走高、日本国债收益率上升和股价下跌。投资者对股票的偏好也将从出口类股转向内需驱动型股。也有观点认为日本央行的脚步不会那么快。日本道富环球投资顾问首席投资官Kensuke Niihara认为，日本央行一直在建设性地引导市场应对即将到来的政策变化，我们一直预计政策变化将于4月份开始。但是，30多年来最高的涨薪幅度得到了大企业的认可。再加上日本央行对潜在通胀的评估，这些事态发展大大提高了3月份采取政策行动的可能性。我们预计，到今年年底，政策利率将走出负增长区间，达到0.10%。道富环球的评估显示，日元被严重低估，我们长期看多日元。美联储和日本央行在政策方向上可能出现的分歧，将支持日元走强。然而，我们认为日本央行在退出负利率政策后将维持宽松的货币政策，因此我们预计对包括日元在内的市场的影响将是有限的。如果美联储进入一个稳定的超过100-150个基点的降息周期，或者日本工资上涨、经济增长强劲到足以支持日本央行多次加息，日元可能会有意义地升值。最后回顾一下，日本央行自2016年1月29日引入负利率政策，将商业银行存放在日本央行的超额准备金存款利率从之前的0.1%降至-0.1%。自此，日本进入“负利率”时代，并持续至今。如果日本央行本次真的宣布加息，是长达17年来首次上调利率，全球始于的21世纪10年代的负利率时代也将画上句号。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":280345888387352,"gmtCreate":1709465297951,"gmtModify":1709465300348,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3483248347836416","authorIdStr":"3483248347836416"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/280345888387352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":264409696112752,"gmtCreate":1705575633653,"gmtModify":1705577420828,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3483248347836416","authorIdStr":"3483248347836416"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷] 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