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哆頭散幹的ZHAO

Live beautifully, dream passionately, love completely. 诗里寻画

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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·12-19
  没啥问题，符合预期
  全票通过！日本央行迎三十年最猛加息，日元跌穿156关口
  若经济和物价前景实现将继续加息
  全票通过！日本央行迎三十年最猛加息，日元跌穿156关口
  146 评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·11-25
  $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$ 数据不同的软件统计的差距这么大吗
  950 2
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·09-17
  $BILI 20251017 29.0 CALL$
  1,130 1
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·08-27
  $BLI.HK 20250929 225.00 CALL$ 希望挺大。可以坚持一下。
  1.04万评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·08-27
  $TSLA 20251003 465.0 CALL$
  1,381 评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·08-27
  $PEN.HK 20250929 97.50 CALL$
  1,306 评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·08-22
  $XPEV 20251017 26.0 CALL$
  1,287 评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·04-10
  $恒生指数主连 2504(HSImain)$ 新中国第一代人，打了三辈人的仗，立国！第二代人，吃了三辈人的苦，强国！第三代人，加了三辈人的班，富国！一代人有一代人的上甘岭，先辈们不跪，我辈亦不跪！
  1,698 评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·03-11
  $TSLA 20250404 380.0 CALL$
  2,089 评论
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- 哆頭散幹的ZHAO哆頭散幹的ZHAO
  ·03-11
  $XPEV 20250314 18.0 CALL$
  2,247 评论
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诗里寻画","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/680b394f124f82540c0239ffcf851f9e","hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/048415ce28efe522291a14d3d3db53be","hatId":"1623055251447_head_frame","hatName":"goods_96_name","vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2927,"headSize":104,"tweetSize":1288,"questionSize":4,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":4,"name":"文化虎","nameTw":"文化虎","represent":"学有所成","factor":"发布30条非转发主帖,其中3条优质帖","iconColor":"8867FB","bgColor":"BDC5FF"},"themeCounts":15,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":148,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.09.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc-2","templateUuid":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc","name":"知识探索家","description":"观看学堂课程满20节","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63cc10a4789c3eaa019b225a55136cf9","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f0cbf3ae1b0a4593ddb3434df74ce0","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.05","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2006},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.35%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.55%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":6,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba"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12:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"全票通过！日本央行迎三十年最猛加息，日元跌穿156关口","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592132059","media":"格隆汇","summary":"若经济和物价前景实现将继续加息","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>若经济和物价前景实现将继续加息</p></blockquote><p>一场全球金融风暴来袭！</p><p>日本央行将基准利率从0.5%上调至0.75%，符合市场预期。</p><p>这也是日本近30年来最高的政策利率水平。</p><p>不过，早在这个月初日本行长植田和男已经在讲话中“预告”加息，但它仍像一颗重磅炸弹，搅动了全球市场。</p><p>受此影响，美元兑日元突破156，日内涨0.38%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aa562bfe98b43066c576c6d45271b69\" tg-width=\"843\" tg-height=\"522\"/></p><p>日经225指数小幅走高，现涨1.52%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4574b56b6fbbe9ccad20f62a4df2e6\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"517\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_4167855107\" style=\"text-align: left;\">利率水平创30年来新高</h2><p>根据声明，<strong>日本央行以全票通过加息25个基点，</strong>将短期利率上调至0.75%，利率水平创30年来新高。</p><p><strong>这也是2025年1月以后，日本央行11个月来再次进行加息。</strong></p><p>日本央行指出，日本经济已温和复苏，但仍存在一些疲软迹象，劳动力市场状况持续紧张，企业利润总体上将维持在高位。</p><p>考虑到春季工资谈判中劳资双方的立场等因素，企业明年极有可能继续稳步提高工资。</p><p>尽管围绕美国经济和各经济体贸易政策影响的不确定性仍然存在，但相关不确定性已有所下降。</p><p>在价格方面，随着企业持续将工资上涨转嫁至销售价格，基线情境实现的可能性一直在上升。</p><p>鉴于上述情形，日本央行预计，从可持续、稳定实现2%价格稳定目标的角度出发，适度调整货币宽松程度是适当的。</p><p><strong>在政策利率调整后，实际利率预计仍将保持显著的负值，宽松的金融环境将继续有力支撑经济活动。</strong></p><p>至于未来的货币政策，鉴于当前实际利率处于显著偏低水平，若2025年10月展望报告所示的经济活动与价格前景得以实现，日本央行将随着经济活动和物价的改善，继续上调政策利率并调整货币宽松程度。</p><p>围绕2%的价格稳定目标，日本央行将从可持续、稳定实现该目标的角度出发，根据经济活动、物价以及金融状况的变化，适时实施货币政策。</p><p>业内人士分析指出，日本央行加息25个基点的决定获得一致通过，突显了政策制定者们普遍认同在当前条件下有理由向货币政策正常化再迈进一步。</p><p>日本央行暗示了其对于进一步收紧政策的有条件开放态度。</p><p>总体而言，日本央行传达的信息很明确：<strong>货币政策正常化正在推进，但央行仍致力于以缓慢、审慎且依赖数据的方式推进，并未预设未来的加息路径。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_3805101777\" style=\"text-align: left;\">核心物价维持高位</h2><p>当地时间19日，日本总务省发布的最新数据显示，<strong>日本11月全国核心CPI同比上涨3.0%，连续第44个月高于日本央行设定的2%政策目标。</strong></p><p>整体CPI同比涨幅从上月的3.0%降至2.9%，符合分析师预期。</p><p>进一步剔除生鲜食品和燃料成本后的核心CPI同比上涨3.0%，也显示出了基础通胀的韧性。</p><p>这一趋势强化了日本通胀背景已从过去二十年的通缩环境发生根本性转变的观点。</p><p>目前的通胀不仅源于外部能源市场的波动，更反映了企业定价行为和国内需求的持续变化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccf673e76d4efadeb33035638ab99948\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"385\"/></p><p>业内人士指出，持续且广泛的高通胀数据，尤其是物价上涨已经很明显从能源食品传导至更广泛领域，进一步强化了市场对于日本央行将在今日的货币政策会议上决定加息的预期。</p><p>值得一提的是，这份数据仅在日本央行议息决议公布前几小时。</p><p>此前经济学家一同预测，日本央行将把基准利率上调至0.75%。在日本央行持续推动货币政策向中性立场靠拢的背景下，今日公布的CPI数据或将让投资者未来聚焦在2026年的加息节奏上。</p><p>日本央行在去年就结束了持续多年的超宽松货币政策，并在今年1月进行了首次加息。</p><p><strong>面对长期高于目标的通胀数据，越来越多的政策委员会成员表示支持进一步调整政策，以避免在应对物价稳定风险上行动滞后。</strong></p><p>此外，北京时间14:30日本央行行长植田和男将发表讲话。植田和男或许会适当更多让物价放缓的安抚信号。</p><p>10月日本央行发布的最新经济展望报告中预测，未来随着食品通胀压力放缓，核心通胀指标将在2026年4月开始的新财年上半年回落至2%以下。</p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n全票通过！日本央行迎三十年最猛加息，日元跌穿156关口\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-19 12:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/3403700><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>若经济和物价前景实现将继续加息一场全球金融风暴来袭！日本央行将基准利率从0.5%上调至0.75%，符合市场预期。这也是日本近30年来最高的政策利率水平。不过，早在这个月初日本行长植田和男已经在讲话中“预告”加息，但它仍像一颗重磅炸弹，搅动了全球市场。受此影响，美元兑日元突破156，日内涨0.38%。日经225指数小幅走高，现涨1.52%。利率水平创30年来新高根据声明，日本央行以全票通过加息25个...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/3403700\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a776c140c974f82a6266f110184e005e","relate_stocks":{"YCS":"日元ETF-ProShares两倍做空","FXY":"日元ETF-CurrencyShares"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/3403700","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2592132059","content_text":"若经济和物价前景实现将继续加息一场全球金融风暴来袭！日本央行将基准利率从0.5%上调至0.75%，符合市场预期。这也是日本近30年来最高的政策利率水平。不过，早在这个月初日本行长植田和男已经在讲话中“预告”加息，但它仍像一颗重磅炸弹，搅动了全球市场。受此影响，美元兑日元突破156，日内涨0.38%。日经225指数小幅走高，现涨1.52%。利率水平创30年来新高根据声明，日本央行以全票通过加息25个基点，将短期利率上调至0.75%，利率水平创30年来新高。这也是2025年1月以后，日本央行11个月来再次进行加息。日本央行指出，日本经济已温和复苏，但仍存在一些疲软迹象，劳动力市场状况持续紧张，企业利润总体上将维持在高位。考虑到春季工资谈判中劳资双方的立场等因素，企业明年极有可能继续稳步提高工资。尽管围绕美国经济和各经济体贸易政策影响的不确定性仍然存在，但相关不确定性已有所下降。在价格方面，随着企业持续将工资上涨转嫁至销售价格，基线情境实现的可能性一直在上升。鉴于上述情形，日本央行预计，从可持续、稳定实现2%价格稳定目标的角度出发，适度调整货币宽松程度是适当的。在政策利率调整后，实际利率预计仍将保持显著的负值，宽松的金融环境将继续有力支撑经济活动。至于未来的货币政策，鉴于当前实际利率处于显著偏低水平，若2025年10月展望报告所示的经济活动与价格前景得以实现，日本央行将随着经济活动和物价的改善，继续上调政策利率并调整货币宽松程度。围绕2%的价格稳定目标，日本央行将从可持续、稳定实现该目标的角度出发，根据经济活动、物价以及金融状况的变化，适时实施货币政策。业内人士分析指出，日本央行加息25个基点的决定获得一致通过，突显了政策制定者们普遍认同在当前条件下有理由向货币政策正常化再迈进一步。日本央行暗示了其对于进一步收紧政策的有条件开放态度。总体而言，日本央行传达的信息很明确：货币政策正常化正在推进，但央行仍致力于以缓慢、审慎且依赖数据的方式推进，并未预设未来的加息路径。核心物价维持高位当地时间19日，日本总务省发布的最新数据显示，日本11月全国核心CPI同比上涨3.0%，连续第44个月高于日本央行设定的2%政策目标。整体CPI同比涨幅从上月的3.0%降至2.9%，符合分析师预期。进一步剔除生鲜食品和燃料成本后的核心CPI同比上涨3.0%，也显示出了基础通胀的韧性。这一趋势强化了日本通胀背景已从过去二十年的通缩环境发生根本性转变的观点。目前的通胀不仅源于外部能源市场的波动，更反映了企业定价行为和国内需求的持续变化。业内人士指出，持续且广泛的高通胀数据，尤其是物价上涨已经很明显从能源食品传导至更广泛领域，进一步强化了市场对于日本央行将在今日的货币政策会议上决定加息的预期。值得一提的是，这份数据仅在日本央行议息决议公布前几小时。此前经济学家一同预测，日本央行将把基准利率上调至0.75%。在日本央行持续推动货币政策向中性立场靠拢的背景下，今日公布的CPI数据或将让投资者未来聚焦在2026年的加息节奏上。日本央行在去年就结束了持续多年的超宽松货币政策，并在今年1月进行了首次加息。面对长期高于目标的通胀数据，越来越多的政策委员会成员表示支持进一步调整政策，以避免在应对物价稳定风险上行动滞后。此外，北京时间14:30日本央行行长植田和男将发表讲话。植田和男或许会适当更多让物价放缓的安抚信号。10月日本央行发布的最新经济展望报告中预测，未来随着食品通胀压力放缓，核心通胀指标将在2026年4月开始的新财年上半年回落至2%以下。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YCS":0.6,"JPYmain":1.5,"MJYmain":0.6,"FXY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":146,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":503783379943792,"gmtCreate":1764016534956,"gmtModify":1764016547896,"author":{"id":"3485438763111677","authorId":"3485438763111677","name":"哆頭散幹的ZHAO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/680b394f124f82540c0239ffcf851f9e","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3485438763111677","idStr":"3485438763111677"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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