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寂寞一根烟.
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
03-01
$美国超微公司(AMD)$
为什么能垃圾到这种地步
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697
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1
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
01-09
$布鲁可(00325)$
真是好家伙，中签率低的令人发指，只有顶头锤能必中一手
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954
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
01-08
$布鲁可(00325)$
为何还不公布
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974
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-12-24
谷歌为什么是A？
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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1
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-12-18
$草姬集团(02593)$
这么高的热度，能翻倍不
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1
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-09-19
什么乱七八糟的，发新闻是一点都不负责啊，港交所这才两百出头就能说历史新高了，还五百多……
异动解读 | 政策利好流动性升温 北水重临港股添力港交所触及新高
香港证券交易所股价今日盘中大涨5.06%,报收503.4港元,创历史新高,港交所市值一度突破4.5万亿港元。港交所股价大涨主要受到以下几方面利好因素影响:. 这一政策有利于提高市场流动性,促进交易,作为市场运营商的港交所将可获益。北水资金作为港股市场主力军之一,其资金流入加大了对港交所股价的支撑力度。这对港交所的业务收入和盈利都是利好所在。
异动解读 | 政策利好流动性升温 北水重临港股添力港交所触及新高
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-07-02
$中赣通信(02545)$
**中的战斗机
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-06-28
$天聚地合(02479)$
最后半小时是几个意思……
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-06-28
$嘀嗒出行(02559)$
最后十分钟是几个意思……
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寂寞一根烟.
寂寞一根烟.
·
2024-06-21
不是四巫日吗怎么变成三巫了？
事关5万亿美元！三巫日来袭，美股期权到期规模或为史上最大
有分析指出，虽然美股期权集中到期一直提振股市，但下周初可能会开启“疲软窗口”，预计SPX测试5400点，随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能，“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”是可能的情况。
事关5万亿美元！三巫日来袭，美股期权到期规模或为史上最大
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真是好家伙，中签率低的令人发指，只有顶头锤能必中一手","text":"$布鲁可(00325)$ 真是好家伙，中签率低的令人发指，只有顶头锤能必中一手","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390745399992424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390354828669080,"gmtCreate":1736319979240,"gmtModify":1736320376886,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00325\">$布鲁可(00325)$ </a> 为何还不公布","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00325\">$布鲁可(00325)$ </a> 为何还不公布","text":"$布鲁可(00325)$ 为何还不公布","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390354828669080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":385028259242200,"gmtCreate":1735021109420,"gmtModify":1735021111190,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"谷歌为什么是A？","listText":"谷歌为什么是A？","text":"谷歌为什么是A？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385028259242200","repostId":"1116900173","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4185147880990592","authorId":"4185147880990592","name":"TechPhil","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d20daa88e7bc2963137f73c600b1284","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4185147880990592","authorIdStr":"4185147880990592"},"content":"因为Alphabet","text":"因为Alphabet","html":"因为Alphabet"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":382868359565656,"gmtCreate":1734509074506,"gmtModify":1734509075682,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02593\">$草姬集团(02593)$ </a> 这么高的热度，能翻倍不","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02593\">$草姬集团(02593)$ </a> 这么高的热度，能翻倍不","text":"$草姬集团(02593)$ 这么高的热度，能翻倍不","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382868359565656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351106511077664,"gmtCreate":1726729896476,"gmtModify":1726732252483,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"什么乱七八糟的，发新闻是一点都不负责啊，港交所这才两百出头就能说历史新高了，还五百多……","listText":"什么乱七八糟的，发新闻是一点都不负责啊，港交所这才两百出头就能说历史新高了，还五百多……","text":"什么乱七八糟的，发新闻是一点都不负责啊，港交所这才两百出头就能说历史新高了，还五百多……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351106511077664","repostId":"1177991545","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177991545","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"异动解读","id":"1092702339","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1726715576,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177991545?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-19 11:12","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"异动解读 | 政策利好流动性升温 北水重临港股添力港交所触及新高","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177991545","media":"异动解读","summary":"香港证券交易所股价今日盘中大涨5.06%,报收503.4港元,创历史新高,港交所市值一度突破4.5万亿港元。港交所股价大涨主要受到以下几方面利好因素影响:. 这一政策有利于提高市场流动性,促进交易,作为市场运营商的港交所将可获益。北水资金作为港股市场主力军之一,其资金流入加大了对港交所股价的支撑力度。这对港交所的业务收入和盈利都是利好所在。","content":"<p>香港证券交易所(00388.HK)股价今日盘中大涨5.06%,报收503.4港元,创历史新高,港交所市值一度突破4.5万亿港元。港交所股价大涨主要受到以下几方面利好因素影响:\n</p>\n\n<p>第一,港交所拟分两阶段收窄个别券种最低买卖差价,首阶段将股价介乎10元至50元的证券最低上落价位下调50%至60%。这一政策有利于提高市场流动性,促进交易,作为市场运营商的港交所将可获益。香港证监会等行业组织普遍对此政策表示赞同。\n</p>\n\n<p>第二,在本周假期后,内地北水资金今日重归港股市场,为港股市场增添交投活跃度。北水资金作为港股市场主力军之一,其资金流入加大了对港交所股价的支撑力度。\n</p>\n\n<p>第三,北水资金未来还料将大规模净买入阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等重磅股,有望进一步推动港股交投热度。这对港交所的业务收入和盈利都是利好所在。\n</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>异动解读 | 政策利好流动性升温 北水重临港股添力港交所触及新高</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n异动解读 | 政策利好流动性升温 北水重临港股添力港交所触及新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092702339\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">异动解读 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-09-19 11:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>香港证券交易所(00388.HK)股价今日盘中大涨5.06%,报收503.4港元,创历史新高,港交所市值一度突破4.5万亿港元。港交所股价大涨主要受到以下几方面利好因素影响:\n</p>\n\n<p>第一,港交所拟分两阶段收窄个别券种最低买卖差价,首阶段将股价介乎10元至50元的证券最低上落价位下调50%至60%。这一政策有利于提高市场流动性,促进交易,作为市场运营商的港交所将可获益。香港证监会等行业组织普遍对此政策表示赞同。\n</p>\n\n<p>第二,在本周假期后,内地北水资金今日重归港股市场,为港股市场增添交投活跃度。北水资金作为港股市场主力军之一,其资金流入加大了对港交所股价的支撑力度。\n</p>\n\n<p>第三,北水资金未来还料将大规模净买入阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等重磅股,有望进一步推动港股交投热度。这对港交所的业务收入和盈利都是利好所在。\n</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177991545","content_text":"香港证券交易所(00388.HK)股价今日盘中大涨5.06%,报收503.4港元,创历史新高,港交所市值一度突破4.5万亿港元。港交所股价大涨主要受到以下几方面利好因素影响:\n\n第一,港交所拟分两阶段收窄个别券种最低买卖差价,首阶段将股价介乎10元至50元的证券最低上落价位下调50%至60%。这一政策有利于提高市场流动性,促进交易,作为市场运营商的港交所将可获益。香港证监会等行业组织普遍对此政策表示赞同。\n\n第二,在本周假期后,内地北水资金今日重归港股市场,为港股市场增添交投活跃度。北水资金作为港股市场主力军之一,其资金流入加大了对港交所股价的支撑力度。\n\n第三,北水资金未来还料将大规模净买入阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等重磅股,有望进一步推动港股交投热度。这对港交所的业务收入和盈利都是利好所在。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00388":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":323192842944608,"gmtCreate":1719913653052,"gmtModify":1719913654534,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02545\">$中赣通信(02545)$ </a> **中的战斗机","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02545\">$中赣通信(02545)$ </a> **中的战斗机","text":"$中赣通信(02545)$ **中的战斗机","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323192842944608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":321759665672528,"gmtCreate":1719563671971,"gmtModify":1719569344939,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02479\">$天聚地合(02479)$ </a>最后半小时是几个意思……","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02479\">$天聚地合(02479)$ </a>最后半小时是几个意思……","text":"$天聚地合(02479)$ 最后半小时是几个意思……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321759665672528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":321758281871496,"gmtCreate":1719563413833,"gmtModify":1719569301943,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02559\">$嘀嗒出行(02559)$ </a>最后十分钟是几个意思……","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02559\">$嘀嗒出行(02559)$ </a>最后十分钟是几个意思……","text":"$嘀嗒出行(02559)$ 最后十分钟是几个意思……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321758281871496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":319266996297992,"gmtCreate":1718975991768,"gmtModify":1718975994509,"author":{"id":"3495752422317040","authorId":"3495752422317040","name":"寂寞一根烟.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9971fed0c28a4b06e1b594a3fb63b53","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495752422317040","authorIdStr":"3495752422317040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不是四巫日吗怎么变成三巫了？","listText":"不是四巫日吗怎么变成三巫了？","text":"不是四巫日吗怎么变成三巫了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319266996297992","repostId":"2445247576","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2445247576","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1718904871,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2445247576?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-06-21 01:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"事关5万亿美元！三巫日来袭，美股期权到期规模或为史上最大","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2445247576","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"有分析指出，虽然美股期权集中到期一直提振股市，但下周初可能会开启“疲软窗口”，预计SPX测试5400点，随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能，“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”是可能的情况。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>有分析指出，虽然美股期权集中到期一直提振股市，但下周初可能会开启“疲软窗口”，预计SPX测试5400点，随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能，“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”是可能的情况。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>据高盛分析师John Marshall估计，本周五三巫日美股的期权到期规模将是有史以来最大的一次，到期期权的名义价值将超过5.1万亿美元，</strong>这超过了去年12月时的规模，当时的4.9万亿美元创下历史最高记录。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上述可能的创纪录规模受个股期权推动，据高盛估算，本次个股期权的名义价值有望达到创纪录的8700亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三巫日是指指数期货、指数期权及个股期权同时到期。这种情形每季度发生一次，常令美国股市的波动性显著升高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周五将到期的期权代表的名义价值相当于罗素3000指数市值的9.3%。这一比例高于绝大多数月份，仅次于2023年12月。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>近一半的标普500期权仍然是末日期权。当前散户交投仍然非常活跃，标普500指数SPX的1手期权和末日1手期权交易在总交易中的比例仍然很高。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>指数期权和个股期权的看涨期权交易量有所增加，个股期权的看跌期权的交易量有所下降。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">虽然期权活动的大部分增加是由于散户们参与了大型科技股的狂欢、以及对冲基金追逐回报，但值得注意的是，今年二季度的财报季异常，股票在财报日的波动幅度比过去八个季度更大，股票在财报日的平均波动幅度为±4.6%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报日与非财报日的波动比例4.2，上升到了2018年第三季度以来的最高水平。这是实际波动性的情况，而期权市场高估了财报日的波动性，定价为±5.8%的波动，高于长期平均水平的±5.1%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>虽然期权集中到期OPEX一直支持美国股市，但SpotGamma的分析指出，下周初将开启一个“疲软窗口”。预计期权到期后，标普500指数的正gamma将减少约三分之一，从下周一开始，市场将更加自由地波动。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">需要说明的是，正gamma头寸可以起到稳定市场的作用，因为在价格波动时，这些头寸会迫使持有者进行买低卖高的操作，从而减少市场波动性。当基础资产价格上升时，正gamma会增加delta，从而增加期权价值；当基础资产价格下降时，正gamma会减少delta，从而减缓期权价值的下降。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpotGamma注意到，在标普500指数的5550点有大量头寸积累，这表明SPX的看涨墙可能会走高，这将提高交易区间上限（目前为5500点）。这种增长是由于——SPX每天稳步上升；新的头寸被加在更高的点位；主要单只股票的巨大波动也拉高了指数。<strong>然而，在期权到期后，预计将出现疲软，并测试5400点。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7be77a3d67b2ed71f39c7185c435ef19\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"269\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SpotGamma还指出，<strong>随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能。</strong>此外，很少看到未平仓合约>140。这种单只股票的波动性会滋生不稳定性。不太可能从“股价上涨，波动率上涨”的极端行情，转变为“股价持平，波动率下降”的情况，<strong>更可能的情况是“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”。</strong></p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>事关5万亿美元！三巫日来袭，美股期权到期规模或为史上最大</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n事关5万亿美元！三巫日来袭，美股期权到期规模或为史上最大\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-21 01:34 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3717734><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>有分析指出，虽然美股期权集中到期一直提振股市，但下周初可能会开启“疲软窗口”，预计SPX测试5400点，随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能，“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”是可能的情况。据高盛分析师John Marshall估计，本周五三巫日美股的期权到期规模将是有史以来最大的一次，到期期权的名义价值将超过5.1万亿美元，这超过了去年12月时的规模，当时的4.9...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3717734\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdbc36c472e9111b866ca5d8849abc61","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4588":"碎股"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3717734","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2445247576","content_text":"有分析指出，虽然美股期权集中到期一直提振股市，但下周初可能会开启“疲软窗口”，预计SPX测试5400点，随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能，“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”是可能的情况。据高盛分析师John Marshall估计，本周五三巫日美股的期权到期规模将是有史以来最大的一次，到期期权的名义价值将超过5.1万亿美元，这超过了去年12月时的规模，当时的4.9万亿美元创下历史最高记录。上述可能的创纪录规模受个股期权推动，据高盛估算，本次个股期权的名义价值有望达到创纪录的8700亿美元。三巫日是指指数期货、指数期权及个股期权同时到期。这种情形每季度发生一次，常令美国股市的波动性显著升高。周五将到期的期权代表的名义价值相当于罗素3000指数市值的9.3%。这一比例高于绝大多数月份，仅次于2023年12月。近一半的标普500期权仍然是末日期权。当前散户交投仍然非常活跃，标普500指数SPX的1手期权和末日1手期权交易在总交易中的比例仍然很高。指数期权和个股期权的看涨期权交易量有所增加，个股期权的看跌期权的交易量有所下降。虽然期权活动的大部分增加是由于散户们参与了大型科技股的狂欢、以及对冲基金追逐回报，但值得注意的是，今年二季度的财报季异常，股票在财报日的波动幅度比过去八个季度更大，股票在财报日的平均波动幅度为±4.6%。财报日与非财报日的波动比例4.2，上升到了2018年第三季度以来的最高水平。这是实际波动性的情况，而期权市场高估了财报日的波动性，定价为±5.8%的波动，高于长期平均水平的±5.1%。虽然期权集中到期OPEX一直支持美国股市，但SpotGamma的分析指出，下周初将开启一个“疲软窗口”。预计期权到期后，标普500指数的正gamma将减少约三分之一，从下周一开始，市场将更加自由地波动。需要说明的是，正gamma头寸可以起到稳定市场的作用，因为在价格波动时，这些头寸会迫使持有者进行买低卖高的操作，从而减少市场波动性。当基础资产价格上升时，正gamma会增加delta，从而增加期权价值；当基础资产价格下降时，正gamma会减少delta，从而减缓期权价值的下降。SpotGamma注意到，在标普500指数的5550点有大量头寸积累，这表明SPX的看涨墙可能会走高，这将提高交易区间上限（目前为5500点）。这种增长是由于——SPX每天稳步上升；新的头寸被加在更高的点位；主要单只股票的巨大波动也拉高了指数。然而，在期权到期后，预计将出现疲软，并测试5400点。SpotGamma还指出，随着周五期权到期，英伟达将失去约一半的gamma，这可能会抑制其动能。此外，很少看到未平仓合约>140。这种单只股票的波动性会滋生不稳定性。不太可能从“股价上涨，波动率上涨”的极端行情，转变为“股价持平，波动率下降”的情况，更可能的情况是“股价下跌，波动率保持高位”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1.1,".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}