社区
首页
集团介绍
社区
资讯
行情
学堂
TigerAI
登录
注册
dabaozi
IP属地：广东
+关注
帖子 · 14
帖子 · 14
关注 · 0
关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0
粉丝 · 0
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
05-01
$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$
马后炮
看
138
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
05-01
$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$
看
57
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
01-16
$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$
看
398
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-12-26
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
就是看多
看
600
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-10-13
一盒片仔癀.治好我的———————
看
1,118
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-09-26
空空空 空仓挂机
看
1,243
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-09-26
The other way around, CICC was right
中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜
【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，
中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜
看
609
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-09-26
不是坏就是傻[开心]
中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜
【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，
中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜
看
448
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-09-26
当然啦，空罗素[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]
标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些
【标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些】金十数据9月21日讯，投资咨询公司Motley Fool金融博主Bram Berkowitz：美国经济的未来仍然很不确定。利率的下降幅度
标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些
看
603
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
dabaozi
dabaozi
·
2024-09-26
$罗素2000指数2412(RTY2412)$
[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] 没啥看头
看
1,073
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
加载更多
热议股票
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3499784603067712","uuid":"3499784603067712","gmtCreate":1596512699075,"gmtModify":1677482213759,"name":"dabaozi","pinyin":"dabaozi","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":28,"tweetSize":14,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":3,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.09.12","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"广东","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":7,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":430416919855504,"gmtCreate":1746104206498,"gmtModify":1746104207718,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 马后炮","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 马后炮","text":"$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$ 马后炮","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430416919855504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":430601013522792,"gmtCreate":1746104197000,"gmtModify":1746104197833,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GCmain\">$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> ","text":"$黄金主连 2506(GCmain)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430601013522792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":57,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":392951100735728,"gmtCreate":1736959299156,"gmtModify":1736959300087,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XAUUSD.FOREX\">$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XAUUSD.FOREX\">$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> ","text":"$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392951100735728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385821422309384,"gmtCreate":1735222434202,"gmtModify":1735222435770,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 就是看多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 就是看多","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 就是看多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385821422309384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359429585350928,"gmtCreate":1728759396590,"gmtModify":1728759404583,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一盒片仔癀.治好我的———————","listText":"一盒片仔癀.治好我的———————","text":"一盒片仔癀.治好我的———————","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1e078ed47003968cb6a5f4ab57d5d58"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359429585350928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":353298701885528,"gmtCreate":1727291341422,"gmtModify":1727291343573,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"空空空 空仓挂机","listText":"空空空 空仓挂机","text":"空空空 空仓挂机","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353298701885528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":353295606374656,"gmtCreate":1727290588296,"gmtModify":1727290590230,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The other way around, CICC was right","listText":"The other way around, CICC was right","text":"The other way around, CICC was right","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353295606374656","repostId":"2468759073","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2468759073","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1726715687,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2468759073?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-19 11:14","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468759073","media":"金十财经","summary":"【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，","content":"<html><body><p>【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，分子资产表现不佳(如铜、美股和周期板块等)；但降息后待宽松效果逐步显现，分子资产逐渐开始跑赢。中金公司也提醒，将历史经验简单平均的最大问题是掩盖了每次降息周期的差异。目前来看，美联储50bp起步的“非常规”降息，短期依然会使得市场担心美国未来的增长是否会面临更大压力。因此在美债和黄金还无法证伪这一预期下，仍可能有一定持有机会但短期空间有限，如果后续数据证实经济压力不大，那么这些资产应该适时退出；相比之下，更为确定的是直接受益于美联储降息的短债、逐步修复的地产链(甚至拉动中国相关出口链)以及铜，但目前仍需要等待后续几个数据验证。</p></body></html>","source":"live_jinshicaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-19 11:14 北京时间 <a href=https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2><strong>金十财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，分子资产表现不佳(如铜、美股和周期板块等)；但降息后待宽松效果逐步显现，分子资产逐渐开始跑赢。中金公司也提醒，将历史经验简单平均的最大问题是掩盖了每次降息周期的差异。目前来看，美联储50bp起步的“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159831":"黄金","518880":"黄金ETF","601995":"中金公司","USVN":"US TREASURY 7 YEAR NOTE ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","HK0000934320.USD":"GF USD MONEY MARKET FUND CLASS C (USD) ACCUMULATION","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","UTHY":"US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF","UTRE":"US Treasury 3 Year Note ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","03908":"中金公司","UTWY":"US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF","OEX":"标普100","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UFIV":"US Treasury 5 Year Note ETF"},"source_url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/f5f2058a289c339806071539ba3edf4a","article_id":"2468759073","content_text":"【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，分子资产表现不佳(如铜、美股和周期板块等)；但降息后待宽松效果逐步显现，分子资产逐渐开始跑赢。中金公司也提醒，将历史经验简单平均的最大问题是掩盖了每次降息周期的差异。目前来看，美联储50bp起步的“非常规”降息，短期依然会使得市场担心美国未来的增长是否会面临更大压力。因此在美债和黄金还无法证伪这一预期下，仍可能有一定持有机会但短期空间有限，如果后续数据证实经济压力不大，那么这些资产应该适时退出；相比之下，更为确定的是直接受益于美联储降息的短债、逐步修复的地产链(甚至拉动中国相关出口链)以及铜，但目前仍需要等待后续几个数据验证。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1,"518880":0.6,"601995":1,".SPX":0.6,"03908":1,"BND":1,"DUST":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"GCmain":1,"HGmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"RTYmain":1,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"TNmain":1,"UBmain":1,"ZBmain":1,"ZFmain":1,"ZNmain":1,"ZTmain":1,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GOVT":0.6,"IEF":0.6,"IEI":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPY":1,"SSO":0.6,"TLT":0.6,"UFIV":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"USVN":1,"UTHY":1,"UTRE":1,"UTWY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353270283923696,"gmtCreate":1727290468983,"gmtModify":1727301083083,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不是坏就是傻[开心] ","listText":"不是坏就是傻[开心] ","text":"不是坏就是傻[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353270283923696","repostId":"2468759073","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2468759073","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1726715687,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2468759073?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-19 11:14","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468759073","media":"金十财经","summary":"【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，","content":"<html><body><p>【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，分子资产表现不佳(如铜、美股和周期板块等)；但降息后待宽松效果逐步显现，分子资产逐渐开始跑赢。中金公司也提醒，将历史经验简单平均的最大问题是掩盖了每次降息周期的差异。目前来看，美联储50bp起步的“非常规”降息，短期依然会使得市场担心美国未来的增长是否会面临更大压力。因此在美债和黄金还无法证伪这一预期下，仍可能有一定持有机会但短期空间有限，如果后续数据证实经济压力不大，那么这些资产应该适时退出；相比之下，更为确定的是直接受益于美联储降息的短债、逐步修复的地产链(甚至拉动中国相关出口链)以及铜，但目前仍需要等待后续几个数据验证。</p></body></html>","source":"live_jinshicaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-19 11:14 北京时间 <a href=https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2><strong>金十财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，分子资产表现不佳(如铜、美股和周期板块等)；但降息后待宽松效果逐步显现，分子资产逐渐开始跑赢。中金公司也提醒，将历史经验简单平均的最大问题是掩盖了每次降息周期的差异。目前来看，美联储50bp起步的“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159831":"黄金","518880":"黄金ETF","601995":"中金公司","USVN":"US TREASURY 7 YEAR NOTE ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","HK0000934320.USD":"GF USD MONEY MARKET FUND CLASS C (USD) ACCUMULATION","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","UTHY":"US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF","UTRE":"US Treasury 3 Year Note ETF","SH":"标普500反向ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","03908":"中金公司","UTWY":"US Treasury 20 Year Bond ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF","OEX":"标普100","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","UFIV":"US Treasury 5 Year Note ETF"},"source_url":"https://flash-api.jin10.com/get_flash_list?channel=2","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/f5f2058a289c339806071539ba3edf4a","article_id":"2468759073","content_text":"【中金公司：美联储“非常规”降息有望利好短债、地产链和铜】金十数据9月19日讯，中金公司表示，从历次美联储降息的一般性规律看，以简单平均方式，降息前，分母资产(如美债、黄金、罗素2000等)表现较好，分子资产表现不佳(如铜、美股和周期板块等)；但降息后待宽松效果逐步显现，分子资产逐渐开始跑赢。中金公司也提醒，将历史经验简单平均的最大问题是掩盖了每次降息周期的差异。目前来看，美联储50bp起步的“非常规”降息，短期依然会使得市场担心美国未来的增长是否会面临更大压力。因此在美债和黄金还无法证伪这一预期下，仍可能有一定持有机会但短期空间有限，如果后续数据证实经济压力不大，那么这些资产应该适时退出；相比之下，更为确定的是直接受益于美联储降息的短债、逐步修复的地产链(甚至拉动中国相关出口链)以及铜，但目前仍需要等待后续几个数据验证。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159831":1,"518880":0.6,"601995":1,".SPX":0.6,"03908":1,"BND":1,"DUST":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"GCmain":1,"HGmain":1,"MGCmain":1,"RTYmain":1,"SGCmain":0.6,"SGUmain":0.6,"TNmain":1,"UBmain":1,"ZBmain":1,"ZFmain":1,"ZNmain":1,"ZTmain":1,"GDX":0.6,"GLD":0.6,"GOVT":0.6,"IEF":0.6,"IEI":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"NUGT":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPY":1,"SSO":0.6,"TLT":0.6,"UFIV":1,"US10Y.BOND":1,"US12M.BOND":1,"US2Y.BOND":1,"US30Y.BOND":1,"US3Y.BOND":1,"US5Y.BOND":1,"US6M.BOND":1,"US7Y.BOND":1,"US912797GW17.BOND":0.6,"US912797HE00.BOND":0.6,"USVN":1,"UTHY":1,"UTRE":1,"UTWY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":353270079611200,"gmtCreate":1727290420336,"gmtModify":1727290423202,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"当然啦，空罗素[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] ","listText":"当然啦，空罗素[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心] ","text":"当然啦，空罗素[开心] [开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353270079611200","repostId":"2469964347","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2469964347","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1726928656,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2469964347?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-21 22:24","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2469964347","media":"美港电讯","summary":"【标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些】金十数据9月21日讯，投资咨询公司Motley Fool金融博主Bram Berkowitz：美国经济的未来仍然很不确定。利率的下降幅度","content":"<html><body><p>【标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些】金十数据9月21日讯，投资咨询公司Motley Fool金融博主Bram Berkowitz：美国经济的未来仍然很不确定。利率的下降幅度可能大于或小于投资者的预期，鉴于所有经济指标都指向衰退，最终可能出现衰退。因此，对于这个分析，我认为重要的是要看看每个指数在经济衰退和利率下降时的表现。自1984年罗素2000指数发布以来，标普500指数和罗素2000指数在衰退期间的表现相当相似，前者表现略好些。</p></body></html>","source":"live_meigang","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-21 22:24 北京时间 <a href=https://www.ushknews.com/><strong>美港电讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些】金十数据9月21日讯，投资咨询公司Motley Fool金融博主Bram Berkowitz：美国经济的未来仍然很不确定。利率的下降幅度可能大于或小于投资者的预期，鉴于所有经济指标都指向衰退，最终可能出现衰退。因此，对于这个分析，我认为重要的是要看看每个指数在经济衰退和利率下降时的表现。自1984年罗素2000指数发布以来，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.ushknews.com/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159940":"金融","161125":"标普500","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4588":"碎股","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","HK0000934320.USD":"GF USD MONEY MARKET FUND CLASS C (USD) ACCUMULATION","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SH":"标普500反向ETF","OEX":"标普100","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://www.ushknews.com/","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2469964347","content_text":"【标普500和罗素2000在衰退和降息环境下的表现：前者略好些】金十数据9月21日讯，投资咨询公司Motley Fool金融博主Bram Berkowitz：美国经济的未来仍然很不确定。利率的下降幅度可能大于或小于投资者的预期，鉴于所有经济指标都指向衰退，最终可能出现衰退。因此，对于这个分析，我认为重要的是要看看每个指数在经济衰退和利率下降时的表现。自1984年罗素2000指数发布以来，标普500指数和罗素2000指数在衰退期间的表现相当相似，前者表现略好些。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159940":1,"161125":1,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":1,"RTYmain":1,"TNmain":1,"UBmain":1,"ZBmain":1,"ZFmain":1,"ZNmain":1,"ZTmain":1,"IVV":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPY":1,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"VOO":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":353294666297600,"gmtCreate":1727290358784,"gmtModify":1727301077798,"author":{"id":"3499784603067712","authorId":"3499784603067712","name":"dabaozi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eab9fbd479ff43c9609e04bfb4e6ffe9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3499784603067712","authorIdStr":"3499784603067712"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/RTY2412\">$罗素2000指数2412(RTY2412)$</a> [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] 没啥看头","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/RTY2412\">$罗素2000指数2412(RTY2412)$</a> [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] 没啥看头","text":"$罗素2000指数2412(RTY2412)$ [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] 没啥看头","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb56493c99223e1d7a8fcc4004ecd808","width":"4032","height":"3024"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353294666297600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}