社区
首页
集团介绍
社区
资讯
行情
学堂
TigerAI
登录
注册
命运的奇迹
IP属地：湖北
+关注
帖子 · 32
帖子 · 32
关注 · 0
关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0
粉丝 · 0
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-09-16
基金投顾的服务费老高了，日计息月计提，年化近1%，还有申购赎回费，还让人长期持有价值投资，裤子都亏没了，现在的世道有口饭吃都不错了
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
3,584
回复
评论
点赞
8
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-05-12
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
明天A股走独立行情，上证站上3100，庆祝美股下跌
看
3,330
回复
1
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-05-04
总之就是今年波动会很大
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
1,951
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-04-25
下个季度，上证下跌到2800，然后会把原因归咎到美联储加息
上证指数失守3000点关口，日内跌近3%
4月25日讯，上证指数失守3000点关口，为2020年7月以来首次，日内跌近3%。目前两市下跌个股4300余只，近三百股跌超9%，恒瑞医药、新华保险、招商银行等权重均跌超7%。
上证指数失守3000点关口，日内跌近3%
看
2,622
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-04-21
你问美国衰退了，对中国是好事还是坏事？那必须得是大好事啊，衰退程度越强越好，你又问那美国这次会衰退吗？那必须不会衰退啊，这一波弄得全球到处是饥荒 战乱 瘟疫，历史上的人祸都齐了，玩的就是这么溜👄
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
3,532
回复
7
点赞
12
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-04-06
我不相信美国信用了，没准未来某一天直接没收[笑哭]
今晚，这纪要全球关注，重要细节或披露！
美联储面对着近40年以来的超级通胀，或将采取更为强硬的措施。今晚即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要除了加息信息外，缩表（QT）细节也将披露。分析预计，本次缩表速度要比上次2017年的步伐要快，并且会议纪
今晚，这纪要全球关注，重要细节或披露！
看
2,387
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2022-02-28
这一代西方政治家比他们的前辈差远了，思想野蛮落后，只会递刀子，难怪欧洲分裂的小国越来越多
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
3,567
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2021-06-16
明天就加息，吓死你们[龇牙]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
3,575
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2021-05-19
美国在等外部环境变化，达到理想的状态再配合
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
3,034
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
命运的奇迹
命运的奇迹
·
2021-03-24
人造黄金，**人不屑一顾[生气]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
2,256
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
加载更多
热议股票
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3516225459255306","uuid":"3516225459255306","gmtCreate":1553131437961,"gmtModify":1553131437961,"name":"命运的奇迹","pinyin":"mydqjmingyundeqiji","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2,"headSize":21,"tweetSize":32,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":2,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":3,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.09.11","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.88%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.06.28","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"湖北","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":663419763,"gmtCreate":1663326042552,"gmtModify":1663326045845,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"基金投顾的服务费老高了，日计息月计提，年化近1%，还有申购赎回费，还让人长期持有价值投资，裤子都亏没了，现在的世道有口饭吃都不错了","listText":"基金投顾的服务费老高了，日计息月计提，年化近1%，还有申购赎回费，还让人长期持有价值投资，裤子都亏没了，现在的世道有口饭吃都不错了","text":"基金投顾的服务费老高了，日计息月计提，年化近1%，还有申购赎回费，还让人长期持有价值投资，裤子都亏没了，现在的世道有口饭吃都不错了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/663419763","repostId":"1173309635","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612278432,"gmtCreate":1652370540027,"gmtModify":1652370540027,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>明天A股走独立行情，上证站上3100，庆祝美股下跌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>明天A股走独立行情，上证站上3100，庆祝美股下跌","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$明天A股走独立行情，上证站上3100，庆祝美股下跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612278432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616811198,"gmtCreate":1651667405118,"gmtModify":1651667405118,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"总之就是今年波动会很大","listText":"总之就是今年波动会很大","text":"总之就是今年波动会很大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616811198","repostId":"1161787838","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618332983,"gmtCreate":1650864696248,"gmtModify":1650865511640,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"下个季度，上证下跌到2800，然后会把原因归咎到美联储加息","listText":"下个季度，上证下跌到2800，然后会把原因归咎到美联储加息","text":"下个季度，上证下跌到2800，然后会把原因归咎到美联储加息","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618332983","repostId":"1163130860","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163130860","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1650864263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163130860?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-25 13:24","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"上证指数失守3000点关口，日内跌近3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163130860","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月25日讯，上证指数失守3000点关口，为2020年7月以来首次，日内跌近3%。目前两市下跌个股4300余只，近三百股跌超9%，恒瑞医药、新华保险、招商银行等权重均跌超7%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月25日讯，上证指数失守3000点关口，为2020年7月以来首次，日内跌近3%。目前两市下跌个股4300余只，近三百股跌超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">恒瑞医药</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601336\">新华保险</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">招商银行</a>等权重均跌超7%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b8253d801df70d9308dc63e91dd7b50\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>上证指数失守3000点关口，日内跌近3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n上证指数失守3000点关口，日内跌近3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-25 13:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月25日讯，上证指数失守3000点关口，为2020年7月以来首次，日内跌近3%。目前两市下跌个股4300余只，近三百股跌超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">恒瑞医药</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601336\">新华保险</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600036\">招商银行</a>等权重均跌超7%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b8253d801df70d9308dc63e91dd7b50\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a10424fe3b1f29e8d28fdc0dc474e86","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","510030":"价值ETF","510050":"上证50ETF","512550":"富时A50ETF嘉实","YXI":"ProShares做空FTSE中国50ETF","000300.SH":"沪深300","FXP":"二倍做空富时中国50ETF-ProShares","000016.SH":"上证50","000001.SH":"上证指数","XPP":"二倍做多富时中国50ETF(ProShares)"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163130860","content_text":"4月25日讯，上证指数失守3000点关口，为2020年7月以来首次，日内跌近3%。目前两市下跌个股4300余只，近三百股跌超9%，恒瑞医药、新华保险、招商银行等权重均跌超7%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"510030":0.9,"510050":0.9,"512550":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9,"000016.SH":0.9,"000300.SH":0.9,"CNmain":0.9,"FXP":0.9,"XPP":0.9,"YXI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":611676977,"gmtCreate":1650475776994,"gmtModify":1650477484514,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"你问美国衰退了，对中国是好事还是坏事？那必须得是大好事啊，衰退程度越强越好，你又问那美国这次会衰退吗？那必须不会衰退啊，这一波弄得全球到处是饥荒 战乱 瘟疫，历史上的人祸都齐了，玩的就是这么溜👄","listText":"你问美国衰退了，对中国是好事还是坏事？那必须得是大好事啊，衰退程度越强越好，你又问那美国这次会衰退吗？那必须不会衰退啊，这一波弄得全球到处是饥荒 战乱 瘟疫，历史上的人祸都齐了，玩的就是这么溜👄","text":"你问美国衰退了，对中国是好事还是坏事？那必须得是大好事啊，衰退程度越强越好，你又问那美国这次会衰退吗？那必须不会衰退啊，这一波弄得全球到处是饥荒 战乱 瘟疫，历史上的人祸都齐了，玩的就是这么溜👄","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611676977","repostId":"2228947480","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":619647764,"gmtCreate":1649255062368,"gmtModify":1649255438059,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我不相信美国信用了，没准未来某一天直接没收[笑哭] ","listText":"我不相信美国信用了，没准未来某一天直接没收[笑哭] ","text":"我不相信美国信用了，没准未来某一天直接没收[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619647764","repostId":"1193196959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193196959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1649242666,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193196959?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-06 18:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"今晚，这纪要全球关注，重要细节或披露！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193196959","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储面对着近40年以来的超级通胀，或将采取更为强硬的措施。今晚即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要除了加息信息外，缩表（QT）细节也将披露。分析预计，本次缩表速度要比上次2017年的步伐要快，并且会议纪","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美联储面对着近40年以来的超级通胀，或将采取更为强硬的措施。</p><p>今晚即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要除了加息信息外，缩表（QT）细节也将披露。</p><p>分析预计，本次缩表速度要比上次2017年的步伐要快，并且会议纪要还可能包括到期美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券（MBS）的每月减持上限。</p><p><b>01、最早可能从5月开始缩表</b></p><p>昨日，未来的美联储二号人物布雷纳德强调了，美联储将“迅速”缩减资产负债表，最早从5月份开始。此外，缩表速度将比上一轮2017-19年缩减周期快得多。</p><p>在此之前，美联储主席鲍威尔指出，3月FOMC会议对资产负债表的若干参数取得了“非凡进展”，最早可能从5月缩表。缩表框架将与2017年至2019年的缩表类似，不过进展速度会更快，开启时间点也会比上次“早得多”。</p><p>上一轮缩表周期中，速度从每月100亿美元开始，每三个月增加100亿美元，直至达到每个月500亿美元。</p><p>Amherst-Pierpont Securities LLC首席经济学家Stephen Stanley表示，美联储将有一个全面的计划，并于5月份正式宣布。由于美国通胀如此之高，缩表眼下十分紧迫。</p><p><b>02、每月缩减规模可能达1000亿美元</b></p><p>据彭博社报道：</p><blockquote>经济学家普遍预计，<b>每月缩减规模可能会达1000亿美元，未来3年每年减少约1万亿美元。</b></blockquote><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Michael Feroli估计，美国国债和MBS的缩减上限分别为600亿美元和300亿美元；</blockquote><blockquote>而Evercore ISI分析师Krishna Guha预计，分别为500亿美元和300亿美元；</blockquote><blockquote>德意志银行则预计分别为600亿美元和450亿美元。</blockquote><blockquote>对于国库券，美联储则不会设定赎回上限，而是允许其在到期时滚动。</blockquote><p>彭博经济学家指出，预计会议纪要中的讨论将表明，政策制定者即将敲定资产负债表决选计划。会议记录将包含多种缩减情景，从较慢到较快不等。</p><p>考虑到资产负债表变动可能产生的不确定性，<b>大多数美联储官员可能偏向于一条渐进的被动缩减路径。</b>三年之后，美联储资产负债水平将接近疫情前的水平。因此，每月缩减上限在800亿美元到1000亿美元之间。</p><p><b>03、美联储是否会在5月加息50个基点？</b></p><p>虽然资产负债表细节将是会议纪要的重点，但市场也将仔细审视上一次会议中有关加息的讨论，以了解美联储是否会在5月份加息50个基点。</p><p>Grant Thornton首席经济学家Diane Swonk指出，缩减目标是让选择“更像是一种背景衡量”。美联储更愿意把加息作为收紧货币政策的主要工具。如果有必要，美联储将为资产负债表的调整敞开大门，但现在重点仍在加息上。</p><p>目前，掉期市场预计，美联储将开始一次性加息超过25个基点，就像它在3月份会议上所做的那样，5月份会议加息50个基点的可能性约为86%。</p><p>总体而言，市场预期美联储将在今年未来六次会议上进一步加息约222个基点，高于周一预测的213个基点。</p><p><b>04、海外债券抛售加剧</b></p><p>布雷纳德的加速缩表言论，加剧了海外债市的恐慌。</p><p>周三，美债延续跌势，10年期国债收益率上升6个基点，报2.614%，超过2019年4月份峰值2.6121%。周二，该国债收益率飙升约16个基点，创2020年3月疫情爆发以来的最大涨幅。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cb70d0c35f435d6004c4556e973ba0\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>澳大利亚10年期国债收益率周二攀升13个基点，一度至2.978%，创2015年以来的最高水平。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e13cd21c154545e4fcb49ea210f9a4\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>欧洲各国主权债券的收益率昨日也有所上升。周三，新西兰10年期国债收益率飙升10个基点，至3.35%。</p><p>日本国债收益率也小幅走高，不过在日本央行上周出手捍卫10年期国债收益率上限0.25%的目标后，日本国债收益率的走势比全球市场更为温和。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c8b9a56b02fed0f04018135b89a411f\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"531\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>道明证券驻新加坡的亚太利率策略师Prashant Newnaha表示：“美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在下次讲话时不太可能淡化布雷纳德的强硬立场，<b>在下周公布CPI数据之前，债市继续抛售</b>，另外，美元兑日元汇率走高可能会促使日本投资者抛售外国债券。”</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>今晚，这纪要全球关注，重要细节或披露！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n今晚，这纪要全球关注，重要细节或披露！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-06 18:57 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GBcgFSU2C3kgWfTVdnbOvw><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储面对着近40年以来的超级通胀，或将采取更为强硬的措施。今晚即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要除了加息信息外，缩表（QT）细节也将披露。分析预计，本次缩表速度要比上次2017年的步伐要快，并且会议纪要还可能包括到期美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券（MBS）的每月减持上限。01、最早可能从5月开始缩表昨日，未来的美联储二号人物布雷纳德强调了，美联储将“迅速”缩减资产负债表，最早从5月份开始。此外，缩表...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GBcgFSU2C3kgWfTVdnbOvw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GBcgFSU2C3kgWfTVdnbOvw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1193196959","content_text":"美联储面对着近40年以来的超级通胀，或将采取更为强硬的措施。今晚即将公布的美联储FOMC会议纪要除了加息信息外，缩表（QT）细节也将披露。分析预计，本次缩表速度要比上次2017年的步伐要快，并且会议纪要还可能包括到期美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券（MBS）的每月减持上限。01、最早可能从5月开始缩表昨日，未来的美联储二号人物布雷纳德强调了，美联储将“迅速”缩减资产负债表，最早从5月份开始。此外，缩表速度将比上一轮2017-19年缩减周期快得多。在此之前，美联储主席鲍威尔指出，3月FOMC会议对资产负债表的若干参数取得了“非凡进展”，最早可能从5月缩表。缩表框架将与2017年至2019年的缩表类似，不过进展速度会更快，开启时间点也会比上次“早得多”。上一轮缩表周期中，速度从每月100亿美元开始，每三个月增加100亿美元，直至达到每个月500亿美元。Amherst-Pierpont Securities LLC首席经济学家Stephen Stanley表示，美联储将有一个全面的计划，并于5月份正式宣布。由于美国通胀如此之高，缩表眼下十分紧迫。02、每月缩减规模可能达1000亿美元据彭博社报道：经济学家普遍预计，每月缩减规模可能会达1000亿美元，未来3年每年减少约1万亿美元。摩根大通分析师Michael Feroli估计，美国国债和MBS的缩减上限分别为600亿美元和300亿美元；而Evercore ISI分析师Krishna Guha预计，分别为500亿美元和300亿美元；德意志银行则预计分别为600亿美元和450亿美元。对于国库券，美联储则不会设定赎回上限，而是允许其在到期时滚动。彭博经济学家指出，预计会议纪要中的讨论将表明，政策制定者即将敲定资产负债表决选计划。会议记录将包含多种缩减情景，从较慢到较快不等。考虑到资产负债表变动可能产生的不确定性，大多数美联储官员可能偏向于一条渐进的被动缩减路径。三年之后，美联储资产负债水平将接近疫情前的水平。因此，每月缩减上限在800亿美元到1000亿美元之间。03、美联储是否会在5月加息50个基点？虽然资产负债表细节将是会议纪要的重点，但市场也将仔细审视上一次会议中有关加息的讨论，以了解美联储是否会在5月份加息50个基点。Grant Thornton首席经济学家Diane Swonk指出，缩减目标是让选择“更像是一种背景衡量”。美联储更愿意把加息作为收紧货币政策的主要工具。如果有必要，美联储将为资产负债表的调整敞开大门，但现在重点仍在加息上。目前，掉期市场预计，美联储将开始一次性加息超过25个基点，就像它在3月份会议上所做的那样，5月份会议加息50个基点的可能性约为86%。总体而言，市场预期美联储将在今年未来六次会议上进一步加息约222个基点，高于周一预测的213个基点。04、海外债券抛售加剧布雷纳德的加速缩表言论，加剧了海外债市的恐慌。周三，美债延续跌势，10年期国债收益率上升6个基点，报2.614%，超过2019年4月份峰值2.6121%。周二，该国债收益率飙升约16个基点，创2020年3月疫情爆发以来的最大涨幅。澳大利亚10年期国债收益率周二攀升13个基点，一度至2.978%，创2015年以来的最高水平。欧洲各国主权债券的收益率昨日也有所上升。周三，新西兰10年期国债收益率飙升10个基点，至3.35%。日本国债收益率也小幅走高，不过在日本央行上周出手捍卫10年期国债收益率上限0.25%的目标后，日本国债收益率的走势比全球市场更为温和。道明证券驻新加坡的亚太利率策略师Prashant Newnaha表示：“美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在下次讲话时不太可能淡化布雷纳德的强硬立场，在下周公布CPI数据之前，债市继续抛售，另外，美元兑日元汇率走高可能会促使日本投资者抛售外国债券。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":636473756,"gmtCreate":1646063366676,"gmtModify":1646064000534,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这一代西方政治家比他们的前辈差远了，思想野蛮落后，只会递刀子，难怪欧洲分裂的小国越来越多","listText":"这一代西方政治家比他们的前辈差远了，思想野蛮落后，只会递刀子，难怪欧洲分裂的小国越来越多","text":"这一代西方政治家比他们的前辈差远了，思想野蛮落后，只会递刀子，难怪欧洲分裂的小国越来越多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/636473756","repostId":"1160731669","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":163017306,"gmtCreate":1623853405205,"gmtModify":1623853405205,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"明天就加息，吓死你们[龇牙] ","listText":"明天就加息，吓死你们[龇牙] ","text":"明天就加息，吓死你们[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163017306","repostId":"1110862709","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":194651383,"gmtCreate":1621379603542,"gmtModify":1621379603542,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美国在等外部环境变化，达到理想的状态再配合","listText":"美国在等外部环境变化，达到理想的状态再配合","text":"美国在等外部环境变化，达到理想的状态再配合","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194651383","repostId":"2136946979","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351344652,"gmtCreate":1616569716676,"gmtModify":1616569716676,"author":{"id":"3516225459255306","authorId":"3516225459255306","name":"命运的奇迹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6e63f649d0576b7bd0335b1833e8284","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516225459255306","authorIdStr":"3516225459255306"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人造黄金，**人不屑一顾[生气] ","listText":"人造黄金，**人不屑一顾[生气] ","text":"人造黄金，**人不屑一顾[生气]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351344652","repostId":"1113003122","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}