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哟小老板皮的不谈
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-12-01
$蔚来(NIO)$
李斌25号开的财报会，肯定是知道11月交付量的。敢说能盈利，肯定是测算过。选择相信。 乐道11月交付11794台，环比下跌32%，说明混动大六座确实能抢纯电份额，L90累积订单应该消耗殆尽。能换电的乐道只不过和混动打平手。12月要看广州车展的造势能否转化为实质性的销量。另外26Q1期待L80表现，这个7座改5座的巨型suv，不知道会给出怎样的定位。 ES8肉眼观察出现交付延迟，11月估计10300台左右，12月能否继续扩产是未知数，但失败基本上就是死路一条了。5566共计约8000，差强人意。 放眼12月，蔚来至少要挤出8k台销量净增，环比增长20%+，才能赶上交付指引。挑战不小，看李斌如何应对。我预估是：es8扩产至1.5万台交付（加速消耗累积订单，否则第二年还要折腾补贴越卖越亏，也符合增加毛利&拉高均价的预期），乐道+3k（承接广州车展热度+增配促销），L60稳定5-6k，小虫子+500左右。 欢迎讨论
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-11-18
$金山云(KC)$
财报没发呢，老鼠仓已经干起来了？
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398
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1
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-11-14
$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$
建仓价给到65左右，准备先sell put以免到时候忘了
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907
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-11-12
$蔚来(NIO)$
估计是被当成meme股一起杀了🤣
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809
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-11-05
$多邻国(DUOL)$
悲观来看虽然增长放缓应该不及预期，但不是没有增长。市盈率应该可以维持在70到80倍来看，跌到240左右是比较合理的。财报前一个flag。当然如果意外超预期涨了，那皆大欢喜。
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-10-14
$阿斯麦(ASML)$
谁买到了？这针插的
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-08-20
$Figma(FIG)$
越是热度高的IPO，越是要耐心等待回调到位。保持看好figma，择时入。
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-07-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
看到650，起飞
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2025-07-19
$蔚来(NIO)$
刚顶上来就涨不动了吗？奶奶的冲啊
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哟小老板皮的不谈
哟小老板皮的不谈
·
2024-11-15
$蔚来(NIO)$
下跌了就开始骂了[开心]
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乐道11月交付11794台，环比下跌32%，说明混动大六座确实能抢纯电份额，L90累积订单应该消耗殆尽。能换电的乐道只不过和混动打平手。12月要看广州车展的造势能否转化为实质性的销量。另外26Q1期待L80表现，这个7座改5座的巨型suv，不知道会给出怎样的定位。 ES8肉眼观察出现交付延迟，11月估计10300台左右，12月能否继续扩产是未知数，但失败基本上就是死路一条了。5566共计约8000，差强人意。 放眼12月，蔚来至少要挤出8k台销量净增，环比增长20%+，才能赶上交付指引。挑战不小，看李斌如何应对。我预估是：es8扩产至1.5万台交付（加速消耗累积订单，否则第二年还要折腾补贴越卖越亏，也符合增加毛利&拉高均价的预期），乐道+3k（承接广州车展热度+增配促销），L60稳定5-6k，小虫子+500左右。 欢迎讨论","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506137995461016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3465562202699365","authorId":"3465562202699365","name":"tan_7418","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e33a4923de538ce7c3979cc3139b0b49","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3465562202699365","idStr":"3465562202699365"},"content":"乐道这个品牌本来就是最大的难点，一堆人看新产品牛逼收点订单就得意忘形的吹子品牌战略，跟L60一毛一样。 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财报没发呢，老鼠仓已经干起来了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/501254289969264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":499873341076216,"gmtCreate":1763064806051,"gmtModify":1763064807787,"author":{"id":"3544330455077536","authorId":"3544330455077536","name":"哟小老板皮的不谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/897dea46aef1f77136727bff10df46ef","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544330455077536","idStr":"3544330455077536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ </a> 建仓价给到65左右，准备先sell put以免到时候忘了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKLO\">$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ </a> 建仓价给到65左右，准备先sell put以免到时候忘了","text":"$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ 建仓价给到65左右，准备先sell put以免到时候忘了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499873341076216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":499449319403560,"gmtCreate":1762961331118,"gmtModify":1762961332869,"author":{"id":"3544330455077536","authorId":"3544330455077536","name":"哟小老板皮的不谈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/897dea46aef1f77136727bff10df46ef","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3544330455077536","idStr":"3544330455077536"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$ </a> 估计是被当成meme股一起杀了🤣","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$ </a> 估计是被当成meme股一起杀了🤣","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 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