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- Terry.TTerry.T
  ·2024-12-18
  2020年的时候也是一堆专家这么预测，可惜特斯拉市值还是去到了6000多亿并稳定在5500亿左右。[冷漠]
  期权女巫 | 特斯拉暴涨83%，期权市场是幕后推手？分析师称背后或是伽玛挤压，涨势恐难持续
  数据显示，特斯拉股价的波动主要源自期权市场活动，而非公司基本面。自2020年以来，特斯拉的看跌期权交易量通常是看涨期权交易量的四倍。看涨期权需求的增加迫使市场做市商购买特斯拉股票，以对冲出售这些期权的风险，进而推动了股价上涨。然而，约翰逊警告称，特斯拉股价的上涨可能不会持续下去。要使这些期权的持有者获利，特斯拉股价必须在周五前上涨至503.95美元，约为8.8%的涨幅。
  期权女巫 | 特斯拉暴涨83%，期权市场是幕后推手？分析师称背后或是伽玛挤压，涨势恐难持续
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- Terry.TTerry.T
  ·2022-01-04
  $哔哩哔哩(BILI)$这B站破40指日可待[贱笑] [贱笑]
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- Terry.TTerry.T
  ·2021-12-20
  $哔哩哔哩(BILI)$赶快抛掉吧，国家对短视频出台的“不允许直接从原片剪辑短视频”政策将会是压倒骆驼的最后一根稻草。早晚跌破发行价
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Inc.提供的产品。他认为，像周度期权和0DTE期权（当天到期期权）这样的产品，已经大大改变了市场，可能导致了特斯拉股价的波动。</p><p>数据显示，特斯拉股价的波动主要源自期权市场活动，而非公司基本面。自2020年以来，特斯拉的看跌期权交易量通常是看涨期权交易量的四倍。然而，在2024年10月24日特斯拉财报发布后，以及2024年11月5日特朗普当选后，市场上看涨期权的需求显著增加。</p><p>看涨期权需求的增加迫使市场做市商购买特斯拉股票，以对冲出售这些期权的风险，进而推动了股价上涨。然而，约翰逊警告称，特斯拉股价的上涨可能不会持续下去。他指出，特斯拉1个月期看涨期权的隐含波动率为71.4961%，这表明散户投资者和对冲基金在这些期权上的日内交易变得成本过高。</p><p>2024年12月20日，特斯拉最活跃的期权是当周五到期的500美元行权价看涨期权，目前价格为7.53美元。要使这些期权的持有者获利，特斯拉股价必须在周五前上涨至507.53美元。如果股价未达到这个水平，看涨期权将全部失效，这可能导致股价回调，因为看涨期权的交易者会平仓。<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA%2020241220%20500.0%20CALL\" title=\"$TSLA 20241220 500.0 CALL$\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">$TSLA 20241220 500.0 CALL$</a></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e1f6b98abc8ce36b36822bcc856b575f\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2044\"/></p><p>约翰逊还指出，像 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 这样的股票也出现了期权交易量激增与股价大幅波动之间的关联。</p><p>从特斯拉的基本面来看，约翰逊认为公司在多个市场面临挑战。在中国，尽管折扣促销推动了特斯拉汽车的需求，但这些销售可能接近盈亏平衡的毛利水平。在美国，特斯拉在需求方面遇到困难，尤其是Model Y和Cybertruck车型。在欧洲，尽管第四季度销量较第三季度有所增长，但年销量预计会出现下滑。</p><p>约翰逊总结认为，特斯拉股价可能即将出现反转，因为看涨期权的交易者开始平仓，这将迫使做市商调整其“delta对冲”，可能导致特斯拉股价大幅下跌。</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权女巫 | 特斯拉暴涨83%，期权市场是幕后推手？分析师称背后或是伽玛挤压，涨势恐难持续</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权女巫 | 特斯拉暴涨83%，期权市场是幕后推手？分析师称背后或是伽玛挤压，涨势恐难持续\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-18 13:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 近期股价暴涨引发了关注，GLG Research的分析师戈登·约翰逊（Gordon Johnson）质疑这种涨幅是来自于期权“伽玛挤压”（gamma squeeze），而非公司基本面的改善。自2024年10月23日特斯拉发布好于预期的三季度财报以来，股价已上涨了116.7%。十月份以来已升83%。这一股价暴涨被认为与特朗普当选总统和埃隆·马斯克与新政府的密切关系有关。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b29496f1668d216fe05fa1ffab5d12d8\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>约翰逊认为特斯拉股价表现可能是由期权市场的变化所影响，特别是CBOE Global Markets Inc.提供的产品。他认为，像周度期权和0DTE期权（当天到期期权）这样的产品，已经大大改变了市场，可能导致了特斯拉股价的波动。</p><p>数据显示，特斯拉股价的波动主要源自期权市场活动，而非公司基本面。自2020年以来，特斯拉的看跌期权交易量通常是看涨期权交易量的四倍。然而，在2024年10月24日特斯拉财报发布后，以及2024年11月5日特朗普当选后，市场上看涨期权的需求显著增加。</p><p>看涨期权需求的增加迫使市场做市商购买特斯拉股票，以对冲出售这些期权的风险，进而推动了股价上涨。然而，约翰逊警告称，特斯拉股价的上涨可能不会持续下去。他指出，特斯拉1个月期看涨期权的隐含波动率为71.4961%，这表明散户投资者和对冲基金在这些期权上的日内交易变得成本过高。</p><p>2024年12月20日，特斯拉最活跃的期权是当周五到期的500美元行权价看涨期权，目前价格为7.53美元。要使这些期权的持有者获利，特斯拉股价必须在周五前上涨至507.53美元。如果股价未达到这个水平，看涨期权将全部失效，这可能导致股价回调，因为看涨期权的交易者会平仓。<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA%2020241220%20500.0%20CALL\" title=\"$TSLA 20241220 500.0 CALL$\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"\">$TSLA 20241220 500.0 CALL$</a></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e1f6b98abc8ce36b36822bcc856b575f\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2044\"/></p><p>约翰逊还指出，像 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 这样的股票也出现了期权交易量激增与股价大幅波动之间的关联。</p><p>从特斯拉的基本面来看，约翰逊认为公司在多个市场面临挑战。在中国，尽管折扣促销推动了特斯拉汽车的需求，但这些销售可能接近盈亏平衡的毛利水平。在美国，特斯拉在需求方面遇到困难，尤其是Model Y和Cybertruck车型。在欧洲，尽管第四季度销量较第三季度有所增长，但年销量预计会出现下滑。</p><p>约翰逊总结认为，特斯拉股价可能即将出现反转，因为看涨期权的交易者开始平仓，这将迫使做市商调整其“delta对冲”，可能导致特斯拉股价大幅下跌。</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157274227","content_text":"特斯拉 近期股价暴涨引发了关注，GLG Research的分析师戈登·约翰逊（Gordon Johnson）质疑这种涨幅是来自于期权“伽玛挤压”（gamma squeeze），而非公司基本面的改善。自2024年10月23日特斯拉发布好于预期的三季度财报以来，股价已上涨了116.7%。十月份以来已升83%。这一股价暴涨被认为与特朗普当选总统和埃隆·马斯克与新政府的密切关系有关。约翰逊认为特斯拉股价表现可能是由期权市场的变化所影响，特别是CBOE Global Markets Inc.提供的产品。他认为，像周度期权和0DTE期权（当天到期期权）这样的产品，已经大大改变了市场，可能导致了特斯拉股价的波动。数据显示，特斯拉股价的波动主要源自期权市场活动，而非公司基本面。自2020年以来，特斯拉的看跌期权交易量通常是看涨期权交易量的四倍。然而，在2024年10月24日特斯拉财报发布后，以及2024年11月5日特朗普当选后，市场上看涨期权的需求显著增加。看涨期权需求的增加迫使市场做市商购买特斯拉股票，以对冲出售这些期权的风险，进而推动了股价上涨。然而，约翰逊警告称，特斯拉股价的上涨可能不会持续下去。他指出，特斯拉1个月期看涨期权的隐含波动率为71.4961%，这表明散户投资者和对冲基金在这些期权上的日内交易变得成本过高。2024年12月20日，特斯拉最活跃的期权是当周五到期的500美元行权价看涨期权，目前价格为7.53美元。要使这些期权的持有者获利，特斯拉股价必须在周五前上涨至507.53美元。如果股价未达到这个水平，看涨期权将全部失效，这可能导致股价回调，因为看涨期权的交易者会平仓。$TSLA 20241220 500.0 CALL$约翰逊还指出，像 英伟达 这样的股票也出现了期权交易量激增与股价大幅波动之间的关联。从特斯拉的基本面来看，约翰逊认为公司在多个市场面临挑战。在中国，尽管折扣促销推动了特斯拉汽车的需求，但这些销售可能接近盈亏平衡的毛利水平。在美国，特斯拉在需求方面遇到困难，尤其是Model Y和Cybertruck车型。在欧洲，尽管第四季度销量较第三季度有所增长，但年销量预计会出现下滑。约翰逊总结认为，特斯拉股价可能即将出现反转，因为看涨期权的交易者开始平仓，这将迫使做市商调整其“delta对冲”，可能导致特斯拉股价大幅下跌。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695969692,"gmtCreate":1641301588996,"gmtModify":1641301588996,"author":{"id":"3549663450766693","authorId":"3549663450766693","name":"Terry.T","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/456152e82cc9ffccf56c6416ac8ebadd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549663450766693","authorIdStr":"3549663450766693"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>这B站破40指日可待[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>这B站破40指日可待[贱笑]&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$这B站破40指日可待[贱笑] [贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695969692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693694079,"gmtCreate":1640011317553,"gmtModify":1640011317553,"author":{"id":"3549663450766693","authorId":"3549663450766693","name":"Terry.T","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/456152e82cc9ffccf56c6416ac8ebadd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549663450766693","authorIdStr":"3549663450766693"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$</a>赶快抛掉吧，国家对短视频出台的“不允许直接从原片剪辑短视频”政策将会是压倒骆驼的最后一根稻草。早晚跌破发行价","listText":"<a 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