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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-25
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-24
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  外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退
  美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。　　美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。
  外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-23
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-22
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  Tesla Stock Has Wiped Out Its Post-Hertz Gains. But Here Are 4 Catalysts to Drive Shares Higher.
  Tesla stock is always an adventure and recent trading testifies to that idea. Shares have given up a
  Tesla Stock Has Wiped Out Its Post-Hertz Gains. But Here Are 4 Catalysts to Drive Shares Higher.
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-21
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-20
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  Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes
  Summary With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a
  Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-18
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-17
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-16
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- TheTraDerTheTraDer
  ·2021-12-15
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07:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2193614027","media":"新浪美股","summary":"美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。　　美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">默沙东</a>公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9537031f9733064edb283fb8f9c6a0\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高</b></p>\n<p>美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。</p>\n<p>美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，调整通胀因素后，11月份商品和服务购买额增幅与10月的0.7%基本持平。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。</p>\n<p>受供应链遇阻的消息影响，许多美国人今年开始假期购物的时间早于往年，一定程度上解释了前一个月消费支出增长强劲的原因。</p>\n<p>但消费者也面临着数十年来最猛烈的通胀。消费者在超市和加油站的购买力变弱，可用于购买非必需消费品的钱减少了。而且omicron变异株也可能遏制服务支出的反弹。</p>\n<p>美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）较前月增长0.6%，同比增长5.7%，创下1982年以来最高水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a86ad7d405d41f26eaf4efacca793d2\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群</b></p>\n<p>默沙东的Covid-19口服药获得美国监管机构批准，在omicron变异株导致病例激增之际，为高风险患者提供了另一种居家治疗选择。</p>\n<p>在默沙东的molnupiravir获得紧急使用授权之前，美国周三已经批准了辉瑞公司的新冠口服药Paxlovid。它们带来新的希望，以免感染病例激增压垮美国的医院系统。</p>\n<p>默沙东与Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP共同开发的molnupiravir用于治疗18岁及以上年龄有重症风险的非住院Covid患者。一项研究表明，它使轻中度成年人的住院或死亡风险降低了30%。</p>\n<p>Molnupiravir的工作原理是在遗传物质中引入错误，最终阻止病毒复制，但可能会影响正在生长的人类细胞。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47825ae9cb248adf0684313ca0fcd911\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株</b></p>\n<p>英国政府表示，新冠病毒变异毒株omicron似乎比迄今为止的其他毒株严重性更低，但传染力更强。英国单日新增病例再创纪录，逼近12万例。</p>\n<p>英国卫生安全局（HSA）周四表示，omicron的感染者住院的可能性比德尔塔感染者低50-70%，急诊可能性也低31-45%。</p>\n<p>然而，HSA的数据显示，加强针虽然能够增强保护，但对omicron保护力消退的速度比对德尔塔更快，第三剂接种的10周后降低了15-25%。</p>\n<p>该机构还警告说，由于omicron变异株传染性高，仍然有可能出现大量重症患者，从而令医疗体系不堪重负。</p>\n<p>英国单日新增新冠病例连续第二天创纪录 与月初时相比增加一倍以上。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50a628b9ea053ca28dd813c14d90b043\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位</b></p>\n<p>美国上周首次申请失业救济人数几无变动，表明随着劳动力市场继续复苏，裁员人数处于历史低位。</p>\n<p>美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至12月18日当周首次申领失业救济人数报20.5万人，与前值持平。经济学家预期中值为20.5万人。</p>\n<p>截至12月11日当周持续申领失业金人数降至186万。</p>\n<p>该报告凸显了近几个月岗位流失数量较低的情况，雇主侧重于吸引和留住工人，以跟上消费者需求的步伐。申请量总体上与疫情前的水平一致，反映了美国劳动力市场吃紧。</p>\n<p>随着劳动力市场的改善，申领失业金人数持续走低，最近几周由于在假日季调整原始数据引发一些波动，情况尤其是如此。申请人数在截至12月4日当周触及了52年低点18.8万人。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/358ab600ca8986e711edbb28f92d581b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞</b></p>\n<p>美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。</p>\n<p>萨默斯表示，美联储迟迟未发现通胀风险，在应对通胀问题上反应过慢可能导致经济大幅滑坡。</p>\n<p>“如果我们可以在过热的情况下可持续地管理经济，那的确棒极了，但1970年代我们得到了教训，即经济过热不仅带来高通胀，而且通胀还会不断上升，”萨默斯说。 “这就是为什么我担心我们已经到了在不触发衰退情况下难以降低通胀的地步”。</p>\n<p>美国的通胀率已经达到里根以来的最高水平，许多人开始更接近萨默斯的观点。美联储本月转向转向鹰派，计划比9月份时预期的水平更快收紧货币政策。</p>\n<p><b>通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险</b></p>\n<p>一位准确预测了今年债市通胀预期上升的交易员称，美国通胀率势将因经济增长而进一步上升，并可能在2022年一季度超出大多数分析师的预期。</p>\n<p>Bank of Ireland Group Plc在柏林的通胀交易台负责人Semin Soher Power预测，明年一季度美国消费者价格指数（CPI）同比涨幅将超过7%，高于11月的6.8%，也高于分析师对一季度6.3%的预估中值。</p>\n<p>她于周四接受采访时表示，通胀压力“现在更多是由经济增长带来的”，而不单纯是能源价格上涨或经济重启的结果。她表示，市场和央行都在意识到这一点，迹象之一是美联储不再用“暂时性”来描述通胀压力。</p>\n<p>对于美联储转鹰，市场提高了加息次数预测，不过对较长期内加息幅度的预期还是低于美联储点阵图显示的预测中值。交易员们似乎相信央行政策将有助于控制通胀，反映市场通胀预期的盈亏平衡通胀率在近几周回落。</p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条：萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-24 07:03 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n\n\n2、默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n\n\n3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n\n\n4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n\n\n5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n\n\n6、通胀交易员认为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-12-24/doc-ikyamrmz0841670.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2193614027","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n\n\n2、默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n\n\n3、英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n\n\n4、美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n\n\n5、萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n\n\n6、通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险\n\n\n美国经通胀调整消费支出增长停滞 PCE同比升幅接近40年最高\n美国经通胀因素调整的消费者支出11月增长停滞，因为近四十年来最快的物价涨幅侵蚀了消费者购买力。\n美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，调整通胀因素后，11月份商品和服务购买额增幅与10月的0.7%基本持平。未经通胀因素调整的名义支出增长0.6%，与经济学家调查得出的预期中值相符。\n受供应链遇阻的消息影响，许多美国人今年开始假期购物的时间早于往年，一定程度上解释了前一个月消费支出增长强劲的原因。\n但消费者也面临着数十年来最猛烈的通胀。消费者在超市和加油站的购买力变弱，可用于购买非必需消费品的钱减少了。而且omicron变异株也可能遏制服务支出的反弹。\n美联储青睐的通胀指标个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）较前月增长0.6%，同比增长5.7%，创下1982年以来最高水平。\n\n默沙东公司的新冠口服药获得美国批准用于高风险人群\n默沙东的Covid-19口服药获得美国监管机构批准，在omicron变异株导致病例激增之际，为高风险患者提供了另一种居家治疗选择。\n在默沙东的molnupiravir获得紧急使用授权之前，美国周三已经批准了辉瑞公司的新冠口服药Paxlovid。它们带来新的希望，以免感染病例激增压垮美国的医院系统。\n默沙东与Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP共同开发的molnupiravir用于治疗18岁及以上年龄有重症风险的非住院Covid患者。一项研究表明，它使轻中度成年人的住院或死亡风险降低了30%。\nMolnupiravir的工作原理是在遗传物质中引入错误，最终阻止病毒复制，但可能会影响正在生长的人类细胞。美国食品药品管理局表示，在给药之前应告知孕妇对胎儿的潜在风险。\n\n英国称omicron感染者住院风险比德尔塔低70% 传染性强于迄今任何毒株\n英国政府表示，新冠病毒变异毒株omicron似乎比迄今为止的其他毒株严重性更低，但传染力更强。英国单日新增病例再创纪录，逼近12万例。\n英国卫生安全局（HSA）周四表示，omicron的感染者住院的可能性比德尔塔感染者低50-70%，急诊可能性也低31-45%。\n然而，HSA的数据显示，加强针虽然能够增强保护，但对omicron保护力消退的速度比对德尔塔更快，第三剂接种的10周后降低了15-25%。\n该机构还警告说，由于omicron变异株传染性高，仍然有可能出现大量重症患者，从而令医疗体系不堪重负。\n英国单日新增新冠病例连续第二天创纪录 与月初时相比增加一倍以上。\n\n美国上周首次申领失业救济人数几无变动 仍处于低位\n美国上周首次申请失业救济人数几无变动，表明随着劳动力市场继续复苏，裁员人数处于历史低位。\n美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至12月18日当周首次申领失业救济人数报20.5万人，与前值持平。经济学家预期中值为20.5万人。\n截至12月11日当周持续申领失业金人数降至186万。\n该报告凸显了近几个月岗位流失数量较低的情况，雇主侧重于吸引和留住工人，以跟上消费者需求的步伐。申请量总体上与疫情前的水平一致，反映了美国劳动力市场吃紧。\n随着劳动力市场的改善，申领失业金人数持续走低，最近几周由于在假日季调整原始数据引发一些波动，情况尤其是如此。申请人数在截至12月4日当周触及了52年低点18.8万人。\n\n萨默斯警告美国或很快陷入衰退 此后将出现长期停滞\n美国前财政部长劳伦斯·萨默斯警告称，未来几年美国经济将进入一个考验期，衰退后可能陷入长期停滞。\n萨默斯表示，美联储迟迟未发现通胀风险，在应对通胀问题上反应过慢可能导致经济大幅滑坡。\n“如果我们可以在过热的情况下可持续地管理经济，那的确棒极了，但1970年代我们得到了教训，即经济过热不仅带来高通胀，而且通胀还会不断上升，”萨默斯说。 “这就是为什么我担心我们已经到了在不触发衰退情况下难以降低通胀的地步”。\n美国的通胀率已经达到里根以来的最高水平，许多人开始更接近萨默斯的观点。美联储本月转向转向鹰派，计划比9月份时预期的水平更快收紧货币政策。\n通胀交易员认为2022年初美国通胀率有突破7%的风险\n一位准确预测了今年债市通胀预期上升的交易员称，美国通胀率势将因经济增长而进一步上升，并可能在2022年一季度超出大多数分析师的预期。\nBank of Ireland Group Plc在柏林的通胀交易台负责人Semin Soher Power预测，明年一季度美国消费者价格指数（CPI）同比涨幅将超过7%，高于11月的6.8%，也高于分析师对一季度6.3%的预估中值。\n她于周四接受采访时表示，通胀压力“现在更多是由经济增长带来的”，而不单纯是能源价格上涨或经济重启的结果。她表示，市场和央行都在意识到这一点，迹象之一是美联储不再用“暂时性”来描述通胀压力。\n对于美联储转鹰，市场提高了加息次数预测，不过对较长期内加息幅度的预期还是低于美联储点阵图显示的预测中值。交易员们似乎相信央行政策将有助于控制通胀，反映市场通胀预期的盈亏平衡通胀率在近几周回落。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"HSA":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691532594,"gmtCreate":1640219440197,"gmtModify":1640219440466,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691532594","repostId":"2193211354","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691830141,"gmtCreate":1640160996083,"gmtModify":1640160996406,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691830141","repostId":"1143847122","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143847122","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640155595,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143847122?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 14:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Has Wiped Out Its Post-Hertz Gains. But Here Are 4 Catalysts to Drive Shares Higher.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143847122","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla stock is always an adventure and recent trading testifies to that idea. Shares have given up a","content":"<p></p>\n<p>Tesla&nbsp;stock is always an adventure and recent trading testifies to that idea. Shares have given up all the gains after a deal with&nbsp;Hertz&nbsp;sent the company’s market capitalization north of $1 trillion.</p>\n<p>The stock looks to have settled down on Tuesday. That could give investors time to catch their breath and think about what’s next.</p>\n<p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed&nbsp;higher about 4.3% at $938.53 a share. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose&nbsp;1.78% and 1.6%, respectively.</p>\n<p>At $930, Tesla stock would be up more than 31% year to date. Bulls, however, probably aren’t feeling elated. The path to get to a price can sometimes matter more than the actual level.</p>\n<p>Bulls did get a jolt after Tesla stock crossed a market capitalization of $1 trillion in late October, the day Hertz (HTZ) ordered 100,000 vehicles for its rental car fleet. It was another sign that electric vehicles were going mainstream.</p>\n<p>Tesla marched all the way to $1,243.49 on Nov 4. Then stock sales from CEO Elon Musk, the demise of President Biden’s <a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/tesla-ev-stocks-manchin-51640016294\" target=\"_blank\">Build Back Better</a> bill, which included EV purchase tax credits, and fears of inflation and higher interest rates sent shares back below $900 on Monday. That is about $10 below where they before the Hertz news came to light.</p>\n<p>The good news looking ahead starts out with all the bad news. It looks like Musk is done—or nearly done—selling stock. That removes an overhang. And the Build Back Better bill is no longer reflected fully in Tesla and other EV stocks.</p>\n<p>With the new starting point, bulls will be looking at four big catalysts to drive shares higher in coming months.</p>\n<p>For starters, deliveries and earnings always matter. Tesla will report fourth-quarter deliveries in the first couple of days in January. A number around 270,000 will give Tesla about 900,000 deliveries for all of 2021. That should be seen as a good result. If deliveries are strong, the stock should rally into the fourth-quarter earnings report, due about three weeks after delivery results are issued.</p>\n<p><i>Barron’s</i> found Tesla stock has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 seven out of the past nine times in the span between reporting deliveries and reporting quarterly earnings. Tesla stock gained about 12% from Oct. 1, the day before third-quarter deliveries were announced, and Oct. 20, the day before third-quarter earnings were released. The S&amp;P 500 rose about 4% over the same span.</p>\n<p>When fourth-quarter results are posted, investors expect Musk to be back on the quarterly conference call; he skipped the third-quarter call. That could mean a product announcement is coming. The announcement might deal with Cybertruck or Semi truck delivery dates. Musk could talk about the next big model—a lower-cost EV for the compact segment of the car market.</p>\n<p>After all that, investors will be following the production ramp-up at the company’s new assembly plants in Germany and Texas. The German facility will give Tesla the ability to produce more Model Y crossover vehicles, locally, for the European market. The Texas plant will make Model Y crossover vehicles as well as the Cybertruck.</p>\n<p>The fourth big deal bulls will be watching for is an update about 4680 battery cells. These are larger batteries that Tesla believes will lower costs. Those batteries should start making it into Tesla vehicles some time in 2022.</p>\n<p>Bears, of course, are looking for things too. And they tend to feel that stock-market elation in the other direction. They likely aren’t upset that Tesla shares are falling. The bear case for Tesla these days is over-valuation in the face of new competition. More EV models are coming to the U.S. market in 2022, which should challenge Tesla in terms of share.</p>\n<p>Tesla has roughly 70% of the U.S. market for EVs, but it can’t maintain that forever. The important thing for bulls in 2022 will be to see every car that Tesla makes is sold, regardless of how other models do.</p>\n<p>Tesla stock rose more than 740% in 2019. The company’s market cap in 2021 crossed $1 trillion. It’s looking like 2022 will be just as interesting as the prior two years.</p>\n<p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Has Wiped Out Its Post-Hertz Gains. But Here Are 4 Catalysts to Drive Shares Higher.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Has Wiped Out Its Post-Hertz Gains. But Here Are 4 Catalysts to Drive Shares Higher.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-22 14:46 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-tsla-stock-catalysts-hertz-51640096049?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla stock is always an adventure and recent trading testifies to that idea. Shares have given up all the gains after a deal with Hertz sent the company’s market capitalization north of $1 trillion.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-tsla-stock-catalysts-hertz-51640096049?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-tsla-stock-catalysts-hertz-51640096049?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143847122","content_text":"Tesla stock is always an adventure and recent trading testifies to that idea. Shares have given up all the gains after a deal with Hertz sent the company’s market capitalization north of $1 trillion.\nThe stock looks to have settled down on Tuesday. That could give investors time to catch their breath and think about what’s next.\nTesla (ticker: TSLA) stock closed higher about 4.3% at $938.53 a share. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.78% and 1.6%, respectively.\nAt $930, Tesla stock would be up more than 31% year to date. Bulls, however, probably aren’t feeling elated. The path to get to a price can sometimes matter more than the actual level.\nBulls did get a jolt after Tesla stock crossed a market capitalization of $1 trillion in late October, the day Hertz (HTZ) ordered 100,000 vehicles for its rental car fleet. It was another sign that electric vehicles were going mainstream.\nTesla marched all the way to $1,243.49 on Nov 4. Then stock sales from CEO Elon Musk, the demise of President Biden’s Build Back Better bill, which included EV purchase tax credits, and fears of inflation and higher interest rates sent shares back below $900 on Monday. That is about $10 below where they before the Hertz news came to light.\nThe good news looking ahead starts out with all the bad news. It looks like Musk is done—or nearly done—selling stock. That removes an overhang. And the Build Back Better bill is no longer reflected fully in Tesla and other EV stocks.\nWith the new starting point, bulls will be looking at four big catalysts to drive shares higher in coming months.\nFor starters, deliveries and earnings always matter. Tesla will report fourth-quarter deliveries in the first couple of days in January. A number around 270,000 will give Tesla about 900,000 deliveries for all of 2021. That should be seen as a good result. If deliveries are strong, the stock should rally into the fourth-quarter earnings report, due about three weeks after delivery results are issued.\nBarron’s found Tesla stock has outperformed the S&P 500 seven out of the past nine times in the span between reporting deliveries and reporting quarterly earnings. Tesla stock gained about 12% from Oct. 1, the day before third-quarter deliveries were announced, and Oct. 20, the day before third-quarter earnings were released. The S&P 500 rose about 4% over the same span.\nWhen fourth-quarter results are posted, investors expect Musk to be back on the quarterly conference call; he skipped the third-quarter call. That could mean a product announcement is coming. The announcement might deal with Cybertruck or Semi truck delivery dates. Musk could talk about the next big model—a lower-cost EV for the compact segment of the car market.\nAfter all that, investors will be following the production ramp-up at the company’s new assembly plants in Germany and Texas. The German facility will give Tesla the ability to produce more Model Y crossover vehicles, locally, for the European market. The Texas plant will make Model Y crossover vehicles as well as the Cybertruck.\nThe fourth big deal bulls will be watching for is an update about 4680 battery cells. These are larger batteries that Tesla believes will lower costs. Those batteries should start making it into Tesla vehicles some time in 2022.\nBears, of course, are looking for things too. And they tend to feel that stock-market elation in the other direction. They likely aren’t upset that Tesla shares are falling. The bear case for Tesla these days is over-valuation in the face of new competition. More EV models are coming to the U.S. market in 2022, which should challenge Tesla in terms of share.\nTesla has roughly 70% of the U.S. market for EVs, but it can’t maintain that forever. The important thing for bulls in 2022 will be to see every car that Tesla makes is sold, regardless of how other models do.\nTesla stock rose more than 740% in 2019. The company’s market cap in 2021 crossed $1 trillion. It’s looking like 2022 will be just as interesting as the prior two years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693578426,"gmtCreate":1640054719456,"gmtModify":1640055253591,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693578426","repostId":"2193761136","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693311608,"gmtCreate":1639970031527,"gmtModify":1639970031791,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693311608","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li>\n <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li>\n <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li>\n <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li>\n <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by&nbsp;more than 220x&nbsp;since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p>\n<p>And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to&nbsp;$30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in&nbsp;July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p>\n<p>While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over&nbsp;faster erosion of value on future gains&nbsp;and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p>\n<p>With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p>\n<p><b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p>\n<p>Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p>\n<p><b>Key Developments in Products</b></p>\n<p>iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by&nbsp;attracting switchers&nbsp;from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by&nbsp;strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like&nbsp;Verizon&nbsp;and&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend&nbsp;more than $700 billion&nbsp;over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p>\n<p>Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the&nbsp;all-new M1-powered iMac&nbsp;earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the&nbsp;reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro&nbsp;in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped&nbsp;over 3.2 million units&nbsp;of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a&nbsp;$224.3 billion&nbsp;and$600 billion&nbsp;market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p>\n<p>Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to&nbsp;strengthen its in-house chip development capacity&nbsp;will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p>\n<p><b>Key Developments in Services</b></p>\n<p>On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include&nbsp;Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the&nbsp;Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a&nbsp;projected value of $61 billion&nbsp;over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the&nbsp;Apple One bundle&nbsp;is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p>\n<p>Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of&nbsp;more than $400 billion&nbsp;over the next five years. With AAPL hosting&nbsp;one of the largest and most used app stores&nbsp;in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite&nbsp;mounting global regulatory scrutiny&nbsp;over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing&nbsp;legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in&nbsp;delaying App Store changes&nbsp;ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in&nbsp;September&nbsp;as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p>\n<p>Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by&nbsp;at most $4 billion per year&nbsp;which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p>\n<p><b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p>\n<p>Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a&nbsp;VR headset and AR glasses&nbsp;by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p>\n<p>Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an&nbsp;$800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p>\n<p>Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of&nbsp;a self-driving electric car&nbsp;is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of&nbsp;more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p>\n<p>While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by&nbsp;at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p>\n<p>Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our&nbsp;most recent analysis&nbsp;on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p>\n<p>Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p>The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p>\n<p>The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p>\n<p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-20 10:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699614488,"gmtCreate":1639791489866,"gmtModify":1639791490175,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699614488","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690703639,"gmtCreate":1639705937302,"gmtModify":1639705937302,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690703639","repostId":"2192920942","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690905619,"gmtCreate":1639618705172,"gmtModify":1639618705516,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690905619","repostId":"2191994940","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607691150,"gmtCreate":1639530461978,"gmtModify":1639530462280,"author":{"id":"3564699872563563","authorId":"3564699872563563","name":"TheTraDer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a7106d89a292fc159261f2863dcc3a9","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564699872563563","authorIdStr":"3564699872563563"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607691150","repostId":"2191784951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}