个人中心 - 老虎社区

賭聖

IP属地：未知

帖子 · 51帖子 · 51
关注 · 0关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0粉丝 · 0

- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-12-20
  $Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$Utilization 100% ..
  1,965 5
  7
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-11-11
  $ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$看外国论坛说BlackRock 增加 $WISH 股份 201%
  1,309 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-11-11
  $ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$怎突然吃了伟哥？
  1,511 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-11-11
  $ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$发生什么事，打算抄底的！
  1,222 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-11-11
  $ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$晚上抄底
  1,431 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-11-10
  $ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$怎么突然涨了？
  616 评论
  1
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-08-28
  好
  一文看透美联储处境，为什么鲍威尔选择“鸽声”是必然的？
  对于美联储来说，实施该机构历史上最宽松的货币政策已经很艰难，同样对于退出来说可能是更艰难的任务。美联储当下首要任务是缩减QE，这个是共识，其目前每月购买1200亿美元左右的债券，以刺激需求并压低长期
  一文看透美联储处境，为什么鲍威尔选择“鸽声”是必然的？
  1,794 评论
  4
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-08-28
  $Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$short squeeze coming next week
  709 评论
  7
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-08-23
  拿分走人⋯^_^
  992 评论
  点赞
  分享
  举报
- 賭聖賭聖
  ·2021-07-15
  $ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$股票有漲有跌，跌📉的時候小叮噹會出現，一大堆不懂哪來的數據。
  1,796 2
  2
  分享
  举报

热议股票

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3568106623403849","uuid":"3568106623403849","gmtCreate":1605012768087,"gmtModify":1608547130110,"name":"賭聖","pinyin":"賭聖賭聖","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":9,"headSize":31,"tweetSize":51,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.22%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.26","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.06%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":693634004,"gmtCreate":1640012058601,"gmtModify":1640012058776,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBIG\">$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>Utilization 100% ..&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBIG\">$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>Utilization 100% ..&nbsp;","text":"$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$Utilization 100% ..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693634004","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870790600,"gmtCreate":1636645279499,"gmtModify":1636645735235,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>看外国论坛说BlackRock 增加 $WISH 股份 201%","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>看外国论坛说BlackRock 增加 $WISH 股份 201%","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$看外国论坛说BlackRock 增加 $WISH 股份 201%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870790600","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870484505,"gmtCreate":1636642423874,"gmtModify":1636643908493,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>怎突然吃了伟哥？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>怎突然吃了伟哥？","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$怎突然吃了伟哥？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870484505","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870485194,"gmtCreate":1636642375449,"gmtModify":1636642389905,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>发生什么事，打算抄底的！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>发生什么事，打算抄底的！","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$发生什么事，打算抄底的！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870485194","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870279338,"gmtCreate":1636627889941,"gmtModify":1636627890192,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>晚上抄底","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>晚上抄底","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$晚上抄底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870279338","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847402230,"gmtCreate":1636541612721,"gmtModify":1636541612981,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>怎么突然涨了？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>怎么突然涨了？","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$怎么突然涨了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847402230","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":819423937,"gmtCreate":1630095871429,"gmtModify":1704955856670,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819423937","repostId":"1178241811","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178241811","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1630077932,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178241811?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-27 23:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一文看透美联储处境，为什么鲍威尔选择“鸽声”是必然的？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178241811","media":"Wind万得","summary":"对于美联储来说，实施该机构历史上最宽松的货币政策已经很艰难，同样对于退出来说可能是更艰难的任务。\n美联储当下首要任务是缩减QE，这个是共识，其目前每月购买1200亿美元左右的债券，以刺激需求并压低长期","content":"<p>对于美联储来说，实施该机构历史上最宽松的货币政策已经很艰难，同样对于退出来说可能是更艰难的任务。</p>\n<p>美联储当下首要任务是缩减QE，这个是共识，其目前每月购买1200亿美元左右的债券，以刺激需求并压低长期利率。在那之后，货币政策道路变得更加崎岖。在某种程度上，美联储将寻求将短期利率从近零的锚点上调高，自2020年3月以来一直处于这一水平。美联储在2015-18年试图恢复正常利率的最后一次尝试并没有取得好结果，因为它不得不在经济下滑的中期停止加息。</p>\n<p>因此，市场这次至少有一点紧张是可以原谅的，美联储也非常理解。美联储不仅必须扭转其有史以来最激进的宽松政策，而且必须精准地扭转，并希望在这一过程中不会破坏任何金融和经济的稳定性。</p>\n<p>事实上，美国经济仍处于从疫情最严重时期强劲复苏的过程中。疫情造成了美国历史上最严重但持续时间最短的经济衰退。但反弹似乎目前正在停滞。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>经济意外指数(Citi Economic Surprise Index)在7月中旬创下历史新高。但该指数现在已跌至2020年6月的水平。这一点美联储是看得到的。</p>\n<p>美联储官员自己也预计，在货币和财政政策都将收紧的情况下，未来几年的经济增长将明显放缓。这引发了更多关于鲍威尔和他的同僚能否正确退出的问题。</p>\n<p>如此低的利率令美联储官员感到恐慌，因为在危机时期，他们几乎没有放松政策的回旋余地。这大约是在疫情危机开始时的基金利率水平，从美联储在2018年12月结束上次加息周期时的2.25%-2.5%目标区间大幅下降。</p>\n<p>从沟通的角度来看，如何处理这一切将落在鲍威尔的肩上，从实际机制的角度来看，则落在其他联邦公开市场委员会成员的肩上。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>财富管理(Deutsche Bank Wealth Management)美洲投资总监Deepak Puri表示，\"缩减购债规模很重要，因为这不仅是衡量美联储可信度的一个很好的指标，也是衡量其沟通能力、策略的好坏和透明度的一个很好的指标。\"“2013年，美联储在如何就缩减量化宽松进行沟通方面就犯了错误。”</p>\n<p>道明证券(TD Securities)的Misra指出，美联储已经从早些时候的事件中吸取了教训，因此会选择逐步缩减购债规模。2013年时任美联储主席伯南克(Ben Bernanke)的声明被视为突然，导致利率飙升，股市连续数月走低。</p>\n<p>“从某种意义上说，他们做得很好，他们真的在努力不让市场感到意外。这避免了他们在2013年犯的错误。花旗美国消费者财富管理投资策略主管Shawn Snyder表示。“但他们目前的处境有点艰难，因为delta变种不确定性很高。”</p>\n<p>卡普兰和圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长布拉德(James Bullard)等地区总裁的鹰派倾向不断上升，与莱尔•布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)和旧金山联邦储备银行行长玛丽•戴利(Mary Daly)等更为鸽派的成员产生了冲突。在这一点上，鲍威尔需要一个较“鸽派”声音来“修复四分五裂”的美联储。</p>\n<p>最重要的是，鲍威尔和其他几位美联储官员将在2月份重新提名，而拜登还没有公布他的偏好。鲍威尔在经历了之前几年一些事情后，已经知道了被逼着保持低利率是什么感觉。但在某种程度上，随着经济和疫情形势的变化，他仍将不得不考虑一些其它因素。费城联邦储备银行前总裁普洛瑟(Charles Plosser)表示市场都担心美联储的独立性位置，鲍威尔处在一个微妙的位置。</p>\n<p>鲍威尔在2020年的杰克逊霍尔演讲中概述了美联储在看待通胀方面的政策转变。新框架反映了实现全面和包容性就业的愿望，即使这意味着通胀加剧。一些人指责这项政策导致了今年价格的飙升。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一文看透美联储处境，为什么鲍威尔选择“鸽声”是必然的？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一文看透美联储处境，为什么鲍威尔选择“鸽声”是必然的？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-27 23:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>对于美联储来说，实施该机构历史上最宽松的货币政策已经很艰难，同样对于退出来说可能是更艰难的任务。</p>\n<p>美联储当下首要任务是缩减QE，这个是共识，其目前每月购买1200亿美元左右的债券，以刺激需求并压低长期利率。在那之后，货币政策道路变得更加崎岖。在某种程度上，美联储将寻求将短期利率从近零的锚点上调高，自2020年3月以来一直处于这一水平。美联储在2015-18年试图恢复正常利率的最后一次尝试并没有取得好结果，因为它不得不在经济下滑的中期停止加息。</p>\n<p>因此，市场这次至少有一点紧张是可以原谅的，美联储也非常理解。美联储不仅必须扭转其有史以来最激进的宽松政策，而且必须精准地扭转，并希望在这一过程中不会破坏任何金融和经济的稳定性。</p>\n<p>事实上，美国经济仍处于从疫情最严重时期强劲复苏的过程中。疫情造成了美国历史上最严重但持续时间最短的经济衰退。但反弹似乎目前正在停滞。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>经济意外指数(Citi Economic Surprise Index)在7月中旬创下历史新高。但该指数现在已跌至2020年6月的水平。这一点美联储是看得到的。</p>\n<p>美联储官员自己也预计，在货币和财政政策都将收紧的情况下，未来几年的经济增长将明显放缓。这引发了更多关于鲍威尔和他的同僚能否正确退出的问题。</p>\n<p>如此低的利率令美联储官员感到恐慌，因为在危机时期，他们几乎没有放松政策的回旋余地。这大约是在疫情危机开始时的基金利率水平，从美联储在2018年12月结束上次加息周期时的2.25%-2.5%目标区间大幅下降。</p>\n<p>从沟通的角度来看，如何处理这一切将落在鲍威尔的肩上，从实际机制的角度来看，则落在其他联邦公开市场委员会成员的肩上。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>财富管理(Deutsche Bank Wealth Management)美洲投资总监Deepak Puri表示，\"缩减购债规模很重要，因为这不仅是衡量美联储可信度的一个很好的指标，也是衡量其沟通能力、策略的好坏和透明度的一个很好的指标。\"“2013年，美联储在如何就缩减量化宽松进行沟通方面就犯了错误。”</p>\n<p>道明证券(TD Securities)的Misra指出，美联储已经从早些时候的事件中吸取了教训，因此会选择逐步缩减购债规模。2013年时任美联储主席伯南克(Ben Bernanke)的声明被视为突然，导致利率飙升，股市连续数月走低。</p>\n<p>“从某种意义上说，他们做得很好，他们真的在努力不让市场感到意外。这避免了他们在2013年犯的错误。花旗美国消费者财富管理投资策略主管Shawn Snyder表示。“但他们目前的处境有点艰难，因为delta变种不确定性很高。”</p>\n<p>卡普兰和圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长布拉德(James Bullard)等地区总裁的鹰派倾向不断上升，与莱尔•布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)和旧金山联邦储备银行行长玛丽•戴利(Mary Daly)等更为鸽派的成员产生了冲突。在这一点上，鲍威尔需要一个较“鸽派”声音来“修复四分五裂”的美联储。</p>\n<p>最重要的是，鲍威尔和其他几位美联储官员将在2月份重新提名，而拜登还没有公布他的偏好。鲍威尔在经历了之前几年一些事情后，已经知道了被逼着保持低利率是什么感觉。但在某种程度上，随着经济和疫情形势的变化，他仍将不得不考虑一些其它因素。费城联邦储备银行前总裁普洛瑟(Charles Plosser)表示市场都担心美联储的独立性位置，鲍威尔处在一个微妙的位置。</p>\n<p>鲍威尔在2020年的杰克逊霍尔演讲中概述了美联储在看待通胀方面的政策转变。新框架反映了实现全面和包容性就业的愿望，即使这意味着通胀加剧。一些人指责这项政策导致了今年价格的飙升。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5f96d5449880181797d6f852693cd97","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DOG":"道指反向ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178241811","content_text":"对于美联储来说，实施该机构历史上最宽松的货币政策已经很艰难，同样对于退出来说可能是更艰难的任务。\n美联储当下首要任务是缩减QE，这个是共识，其目前每月购买1200亿美元左右的债券，以刺激需求并压低长期利率。在那之后，货币政策道路变得更加崎岖。在某种程度上，美联储将寻求将短期利率从近零的锚点上调高，自2020年3月以来一直处于这一水平。美联储在2015-18年试图恢复正常利率的最后一次尝试并没有取得好结果，因为它不得不在经济下滑的中期停止加息。\n因此，市场这次至少有一点紧张是可以原谅的，美联储也非常理解。美联储不仅必须扭转其有史以来最激进的宽松政策，而且必须精准地扭转，并希望在这一过程中不会破坏任何金融和经济的稳定性。\n事实上，美国经济仍处于从疫情最严重时期强劲复苏的过程中。疫情造成了美国历史上最严重但持续时间最短的经济衰退。但反弹似乎目前正在停滞。花旗经济意外指数(Citi Economic Surprise Index)在7月中旬创下历史新高。但该指数现在已跌至2020年6月的水平。这一点美联储是看得到的。\n美联储官员自己也预计，在货币和财政政策都将收紧的情况下，未来几年的经济增长将明显放缓。这引发了更多关于鲍威尔和他的同僚能否正确退出的问题。\n如此低的利率令美联储官员感到恐慌，因为在危机时期，他们几乎没有放松政策的回旋余地。这大约是在疫情危机开始时的基金利率水平，从美联储在2018年12月结束上次加息周期时的2.25%-2.5%目标区间大幅下降。\n从沟通的角度来看，如何处理这一切将落在鲍威尔的肩上，从实际机制的角度来看，则落在其他联邦公开市场委员会成员的肩上。\n德意志银行财富管理(Deutsche Bank Wealth Management)美洲投资总监Deepak Puri表示，\"缩减购债规模很重要，因为这不仅是衡量美联储可信度的一个很好的指标，也是衡量其沟通能力、策略的好坏和透明度的一个很好的指标。\"“2013年，美联储在如何就缩减量化宽松进行沟通方面就犯了错误。”\n道明证券(TD Securities)的Misra指出，美联储已经从早些时候的事件中吸取了教训，因此会选择逐步缩减购债规模。2013年时任美联储主席伯南克(Ben Bernanke)的声明被视为突然，导致利率飙升，股市连续数月走低。\n“从某种意义上说，他们做得很好，他们真的在努力不让市场感到意外。这避免了他们在2013年犯的错误。花旗美国消费者财富管理投资策略主管Shawn Snyder表示。“但他们目前的处境有点艰难，因为delta变种不确定性很高。”\n卡普兰和圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长布拉德(James Bullard)等地区总裁的鹰派倾向不断上升，与莱尔•布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)和旧金山联邦储备银行行长玛丽•戴利(Mary Daly)等更为鸽派的成员产生了冲突。在这一点上，鲍威尔需要一个较“鸽派”声音来“修复四分五裂”的美联储。\n最重要的是，鲍威尔和其他几位美联储官员将在2月份重新提名，而拜登还没有公布他的偏好。鲍威尔在经历了之前几年一些事情后，已经知道了被逼着保持低利率是什么感觉。但在某种程度上，随着经济和疫情形势的变化，他仍将不得不考虑一些其它因素。费城联邦储备银行前总裁普洛瑟(Charles Plosser)表示市场都担心美联储的独立性位置，鲍威尔处在一个微妙的位置。\n鲍威尔在2020年的杰克逊霍尔演讲中概述了美联储在看待通胀方面的政策转变。新框架反映了实现全面和包容性就业的愿望，即使这意味着通胀加剧。一些人指责这项政策导致了今年价格的飙升。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":819465161,"gmtCreate":1630093143553,"gmtModify":1704955849060,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBIG\">$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>short squeeze coming next week&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBIG\">$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$</a>short squeeze coming next week&nbsp;","text":"$Vinco Ventures, Inc.(BBIG)$short squeeze coming next week","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819465161","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835633428,"gmtCreate":1629709373664,"gmtModify":1631889664242,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"拿分走人⋯^_^","listText":"拿分走人⋯^_^","text":"拿分走人⋯^_^","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5d971b4b6818347ae11a61f7977b599","width":"1125","height":"3400"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835633428","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":992,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":147204196,"gmtCreate":1626358201115,"gmtModify":1631889664253,"author":{"id":"3568106623403849","authorId":"3568106623403849","name":"賭聖","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f83706748ec93d60539a48f926aebae","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568106623403849","authorIdStr":"3568106623403849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>股票有漲有跌，跌📉的時候小叮噹會出現，一大堆不懂哪來的數據。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$</a>股票有漲有跌，跌📉的時候小叮噹會出現，一大堆不懂哪來的數據。","text":"$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$股票有漲有跌，跌📉的時候小叮噹會出現，一大堆不懂哪來的數據。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147204196","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}