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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-12-17
  Wow
  Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>
  U.S. Stock futures headed for a lower open Friday morning after a rout in technology stocks during T
  Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-11-30
  $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$what should i do?
  2,620 3
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-11-17
  $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$What should i do?
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-09-05
  Like and comment back please
  Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>
  Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do
  Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>
  2,595 1
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-09-05
  Okkmmmkkkkkkk
  2,865 评论
  点赞
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-09-05
  $BlackBerry(BB)$Okkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk
  1,785 评论
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-08-30
  Help like and comment please
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-08-29
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-08-29
  Oskiskdidididifififfifififiififififi
  1,768 评论
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- xralphedxralphed
  ·2021-08-27
  Help like and comment back please
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639746084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138605449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138605449","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. Stock futures headed for a lower open Friday morning after a rout in technology stocks during T","content":"<p>U.S.&nbsp;Stock futures headed for a lower open Friday morning after a rout in technology stocks during Thursday's regular trading day, as investors turned away from growth stocks in anticipation of tighter monetary policy next year.</p><p><blockquote>周四常规交易日科技股暴跌后，美国股指期货周五早盘低开，因投资者预期明年货币政策收紧而远离成长型股。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 117 points, or 0.33%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 24 points, or 0.52%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 153.5 points, or 0.97%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/120d112226a9ec4591babf844729ca58\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"376\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fed&nbsp;could hike interest rates three times next year.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道指e-mini下跌117点，跌幅0.33%，标普500 e-mini下跌24点，跌幅0.52%，纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌153.5点，跌幅0.97%。本周投资者的主要关注点仍然集中在美联储对明年货币政策的最新展望上，央行周中发布的预测表明美联储明年可能加息三次。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">Darden Restaurants</a></b> – The parent of Olive Garden, Longhorn Steakhouse and other restaurant chains beat estimates by 5 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.48 per share and revenue that also topped forecasts. Same-restaurant sales jumped 34.4%, higher than the 32.6% consensus estimate compiled by StreetAccount, and Darden issued an upbeat forecast. Separately, Darden announced that CEO Eugene Lee will retire in May 2022, to be replaced by current President and Chief Operating Officer Ricardo Cardenas. Darden fell 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">达顿餐厅</a></b>–Olive Garden、Longhorn Steakhouse和其他连锁餐厅的母公司超出预期5美分，季度收益为每股1.48美元，收入也超出预期。同店销售额增长34.4%，高于StreetAccount编制的32.6%的普遍预期，达顿发布了乐观预测。另外，达顿宣布首席执行官Eugene Lee将于2022年5月退休，由现任总裁兼首席运营官Ricardo Cardenas接任。达顿盘前下跌5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WGO\">Winnebago</a></b> – The recreational vehicle maker added 3.4% in premarket trading after a sizable bottom-line beat for its fiscal first quarter. Winnebago earned $3.51 per share, compared with the consensus estimate of $2.26 and revenue that also came in above analyst forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WGO\">温尼贝戈</a></b>-这家休闲车制造商在第一财季盈利大幅增长后，盘前交易股价上涨3.4%。温尼贝戈每股收益3.51美元，而市场普遍预期为2.26美元，营收也高于分析师预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a></b> – The delivery service’s shares rallied 5.9% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. FedEx earned an adjusted $4.83 per share, beating the $4.28 consensus estimate, with higher shipping rates helping to make up for increased expenses.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a></b>-该快递服务公司最近一个季度的营收和利润超出预期，盘前上涨5.9%。联邦快递调整后每股收益为4.83美元，超过市场普遍预期的4.28美元，运费上涨有助于弥补支出的增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive, Inc.</a></b> – The electric vehicle maker lost $1.23 billion for the third quarter stemming from expenses to begin production of its electric pickup truck. It was Rivian’s first quarterly report since going public, and revenue was $1 million from its first deliveries. The stock tumbled 7.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian汽车公司。</a></b>-这家电动汽车制造商第三季度亏损12.3亿美元，原因是开始生产电动皮卡车的费用。这是Rivian上市以来的第一份季度报告，首次交付的收入为100万美元。该股在盘前交易中下跌7.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPAY\">Bottomline</a></b> – Bottomline shares soared 15.1% in the premarket after the fintech company agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Thoma Bravo for $57 per share in cash, or $2.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPAY\">底线</a></b>–在这家金融科技公司同意被私募股权公司Thoma Bravo以每股57美元现金（即26亿美元）收购后，Bottomline股价在盘前飙升15.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner</a></b> – The healthcare information-technology company’s stock soared 18.9% in premarket trading after the Wall Street Journal reported that&nbsp;Oracle(ORCL) was in talks to buy Cerner in a potential $30 billion deal. Oracle fell 4.6%.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a></b>–在《华尔街日报》报道甲骨文(ORCL)正在洽谈以300亿美元的潜在交易收购Cerner后，这家医疗保健信息技术公司的股价在盘前交易中飙升18.9%。甲骨文跌4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> – <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shares fell 2.1% in the premarket after the CDC recommended that adults receive the&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE) or&nbsp;Moderna(MRNA) Covid-19 vaccines rather than the J&amp;J shot. The CDC cited new data showing higher levels of a blood clotting condition than previously thought, although that condition remains rare.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>–<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>在CDC建议成年人接种辉瑞(PFE)或Moderna(MRNA)Covid-19疫苗而不是强生疫苗后，股价在盘前下跌2.1%。疾病预防控制中心引用的新数据显示，凝血状况的水平比之前想象的要高，尽管这种情况仍然很少见。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a></b> – The “buy now pay later” company’s stock fell 2.3% in the premarket after the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau said it was launching an inquiry into firms that offer such plans.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">确认控股公司。</a></b>–在消费者金融保护局表示正在对提供此类计划的公司展开调查后，这家“先买后付”公司的股价在盘前下跌2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b> – The drug maker’s stock rose 1.3% in premarket action on a Financial Times report that the European Medicines Agency may approve its Covid-19 vaccine for emergency use as early as next week.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>–英国《金融时报》报道称，欧洲药品管理局最早可能于下周批准其Covid-19疫苗紧急使用，该制药商股价在盘前上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">U.S. Steel</a></b> – The steel maker’s stock slid 4.4% in the premarket after the company issued lower-than-expected current-quarter guidance, with higher expenses and cautious customer buying patterns offsetting improved steel pricing.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">美国钢铁公司</a></b>-该钢铁制造商的股价在盘前下跌4.4%，此前该公司发布了低于预期的本季度指引，费用增加和谨慎的客户购买模式抵消了钢铁定价的改善。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCS\">Steelcase</a></b> – The office furniture maker reported lower-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter, with Steelcase saying its results have been impacted by supply chain issues and higher costs. Steelcase fell 4.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCS\">Steelcase</a></b>-这家办公家具制造商公布的第三季度利润和收入低于预期，Steelcase表示其业绩受到供应链问题和成本上升的影响。Steelcase在盘前交易中下跌4.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 21:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;Stock futures headed for a lower open Friday morning after a rout in technology stocks during Thursday's regular trading day, as investors turned away from growth stocks in anticipation of tighter monetary policy next year.</p><p><blockquote>周四常规交易日科技股暴跌后，美国股指期货周五早盘低开，因投资者预期明年货币政策收紧而远离成长型股。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 117 points, or 0.33%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 24 points, or 0.52%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 153.5 points, or 0.97%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/120d112226a9ec4591babf844729ca58\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"376\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fed&nbsp;could hike interest rates three times next year.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道指e-mini下跌117点，跌幅0.33%，标普500 e-mini下跌24点，跌幅0.52%，纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌153.5点，跌幅0.97%。本周投资者的主要关注点仍然集中在美联储对明年货币政策的最新展望上，央行周中发布的预测表明美联储明年可能加息三次。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">Darden Restaurants</a></b> – The parent of Olive Garden, Longhorn Steakhouse and other restaurant chains beat estimates by 5 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.48 per share and revenue that also topped forecasts. Same-restaurant sales jumped 34.4%, higher than the 32.6% consensus estimate compiled by StreetAccount, and Darden issued an upbeat forecast. Separately, Darden announced that CEO Eugene Lee will retire in May 2022, to be replaced by current President and Chief Operating Officer Ricardo Cardenas. Darden fell 5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DRI\">达顿餐厅</a></b>–Olive Garden、Longhorn Steakhouse和其他连锁餐厅的母公司超出预期5美分，季度收益为每股1.48美元，收入也超出预期。同店销售额增长34.4%，高于StreetAccount编制的32.6%的普遍预期，达顿发布了乐观预测。另外，达顿宣布首席执行官Eugene Lee将于2022年5月退休，由现任总裁兼首席运营官Ricardo Cardenas接任。达顿盘前下跌5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WGO\">Winnebago</a></b> – The recreational vehicle maker added 3.4% in premarket trading after a sizable bottom-line beat for its fiscal first quarter. Winnebago earned $3.51 per share, compared with the consensus estimate of $2.26 and revenue that also came in above analyst forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WGO\">温尼贝戈</a></b>-这家休闲车制造商在第一财季盈利大幅增长后，盘前交易股价上涨3.4%。温尼贝戈每股收益3.51美元，而市场普遍预期为2.26美元，营收也高于分析师预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a></b> – The delivery service’s shares rallied 5.9% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. FedEx earned an adjusted $4.83 per share, beating the $4.28 consensus estimate, with higher shipping rates helping to make up for increased expenses.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a></b>-该快递服务公司最近一个季度的营收和利润超出预期，盘前上涨5.9%。联邦快递调整后每股收益为4.83美元，超过市场普遍预期的4.28美元，运费上涨有助于弥补支出的增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian Automotive, Inc.</a></b> – The electric vehicle maker lost $1.23 billion for the third quarter stemming from expenses to begin production of its electric pickup truck. It was Rivian’s first quarterly report since going public, and revenue was $1 million from its first deliveries. The stock tumbled 7.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\">Rivian汽车公司。</a></b>-这家电动汽车制造商第三季度亏损12.3亿美元，原因是开始生产电动皮卡车的费用。这是Rivian上市以来的第一份季度报告，首次交付的收入为100万美元。该股在盘前交易中下跌7.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPAY\">Bottomline</a></b> – Bottomline shares soared 15.1% in the premarket after the fintech company agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Thoma Bravo for $57 per share in cash, or $2.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPAY\">底线</a></b>–在这家金融科技公司同意被私募股权公司Thoma Bravo以每股57美元现金（即26亿美元）收购后，Bottomline股价在盘前飙升15.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner</a></b> – The healthcare information-technology company’s stock soared 18.9% in premarket trading after the Wall Street Journal reported that&nbsp;Oracle(ORCL) was in talks to buy Cerner in a potential $30 billion deal. Oracle fell 4.6%.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a></b>–在《华尔街日报》报道甲骨文(ORCL)正在洽谈以300亿美元的潜在交易收购Cerner后，这家医疗保健信息技术公司的股价在盘前交易中飙升18.9%。甲骨文跌4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> – <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson &amp; Johnson</a></b> shares fell 2.1% in the premarket after the CDC recommended that adults receive the&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE) or&nbsp;Moderna(MRNA) Covid-19 vaccines rather than the J&amp;J shot. The CDC cited new data showing higher levels of a blood clotting condition than previously thought, although that condition remains rare.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>–<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a></b>在CDC建议成年人接种辉瑞(PFE)或Moderna(MRNA)Covid-19疫苗而不是强生疫苗后，股价在盘前下跌2.1%。疾病预防控制中心引用的新数据显示，凝血状况的水平比之前想象的要高，尽管这种情况仍然很少见。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a></b> – The “buy now pay later” company’s stock fell 2.3% in the premarket after the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau said it was launching an inquiry into firms that offer such plans.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">确认控股公司。</a></b>–在消费者金融保护局表示正在对提供此类计划的公司展开调查后，这家“先买后付”公司的股价在盘前下跌2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b> – The drug maker’s stock rose 1.3% in premarket action on a Financial Times report that the European Medicines Agency may approve its Covid-19 vaccine for emergency use as early as next week.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b>–英国《金融时报》报道称，欧洲药品管理局最早可能于下周批准其Covid-19疫苗紧急使用，该制药商股价在盘前上涨1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">U.S. Steel</a></b> – The steel maker’s stock slid 4.4% in the premarket after the company issued lower-than-expected current-quarter guidance, with higher expenses and cautious customer buying patterns offsetting improved steel pricing.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">美国钢铁公司</a></b>-该钢铁制造商的股价在盘前下跌4.4%，此前该公司发布了低于预期的本季度指引，费用增加和谨慎的客户购买模式抵消了钢铁定价的改善。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCS\">Steelcase</a></b> – The office furniture maker reported lower-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter, with Steelcase saying its results have been impacted by supply chain issues and higher costs. Steelcase fell 4.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCS\">Steelcase</a></b>-这家办公家具制造商公布的第三季度利润和收入低于预期，Steelcase表示其业绩受到供应链问题和成本上升的影响。Steelcase在盘前交易中下跌4.4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138605449","content_text":"U.S. Stock futures headed for a lower open Friday morning after a rout in technology stocks during Thursday's regular trading day, as investors turned away from growth stocks in anticipation of tighter monetary policy next year.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 117 points, or 0.33%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 24 points, or 0.52%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 153.5 points, or 0.97%.Investors' main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve's updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank's projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fed could hike interest rates three times next year.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket: \nDarden Restaurants – The parent of Olive Garden, Longhorn Steakhouse and other restaurant chains beat estimates by 5 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.48 per share and revenue that also topped forecasts. Same-restaurant sales jumped 34.4%, higher than the 32.6% consensus estimate compiled by StreetAccount, and Darden issued an upbeat forecast. Separately, Darden announced that CEO Eugene Lee will retire in May 2022, to be replaced by current President and Chief Operating Officer Ricardo Cardenas. Darden fell 5% in the premarket.\nWinnebago – The recreational vehicle maker added 3.4% in premarket trading after a sizable bottom-line beat for its fiscal first quarter. Winnebago earned $3.51 per share, compared with the consensus estimate of $2.26 and revenue that also came in above analyst forecasts.\nFedEx – The delivery service’s shares rallied 5.9% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for its latest quarter. FedEx earned an adjusted $4.83 per share, beating the $4.28 consensus estimate, with higher shipping rates helping to make up for increased expenses.\nRivian Automotive, Inc. – The electric vehicle maker lost $1.23 billion for the third quarter stemming from expenses to begin production of its electric pickup truck. It was Rivian’s first quarterly report since going public, and revenue was $1 million from its first deliveries. The stock tumbled 7.9% in premarket trading.\nBottomline – Bottomline shares soared 15.1% in the premarket after the fintech company agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Thoma Bravo for $57 per share in cash, or $2.6 billion.\nCerner – The healthcare information-technology company’s stock soared 18.9% in premarket trading after the Wall Street Journal reported that Oracle(ORCL) was in talks to buy Cerner in a potential $30 billion deal. Oracle fell 4.6%.\nJohnson & Johnson – Johnson & Johnson shares fell 2.1% in the premarket after the CDC recommended that adults receive the Pfizer(PFE) or Moderna(MRNA) Covid-19 vaccines rather than the J&J shot. The CDC cited new data showing higher levels of a blood clotting condition than previously thought, although that condition remains rare.\nAffirm Holdings, Inc. – The “buy now pay later” company’s stock fell 2.3% in the premarket after the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau said it was launching an inquiry into firms that offer such plans.\nNovavax – The drug maker’s stock rose 1.3% in premarket action on a Financial Times report that the European Medicines Agency may approve its Covid-19 vaccine for emergency use as early as next week.\nU.S. Steel – The steel maker’s stock slid 4.4% in the premarket after the company issued lower-than-expected current-quarter guidance, with higher expenses and cautious customer buying patterns offsetting improved steel pricing.\nSteelcase – The office furniture maker reported lower-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter, with Steelcase saying its results have been impacted by supply chain issues and higher costs. Steelcase fell 4.4% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609653239,"gmtCreate":1638282018430,"gmtModify":1638282018529,"author":{"id":"3569295655221877","authorId":"3569295655221877","name":"xralphed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ac77e27d44c5f8e58ba70bc5980c6c4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569295655221877","idStr":"3569295655221877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>what should i do?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>what should i do?","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$what should i do?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/063cc822813f246666d300eccf455cb2","width":"1242","height":"2448"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609653239","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878322524,"gmtCreate":1637152480392,"gmtModify":1637152480495,"author":{"id":"3569295655221877","authorId":"3569295655221877","name":"xralphed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ac77e27d44c5f8e58ba70bc5980c6c4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569295655221877","idStr":"3569295655221877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>What should i do?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$</a>What should i do?&nbsp;","text":"$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$What should i do?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e8daa3c06426bbbc4eb2e38b5dec91f","width":"1242","height":"2448"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878322524","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814590094,"gmtCreate":1630837654918,"gmtModify":1632905626755,"author":{"id":"3569295655221877","authorId":"3569295655221877","name":"xralphed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ac77e27d44c5f8e58ba70bc5980c6c4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569295655221877","idStr":"3569295655221877"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment back please","listText":"Like and comment back please","text":"Like and comment back please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814590094","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个非常看好历史新高股票的量化系统击败市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b>  Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯·霍华德(Vance Howard)的HCM战术增长基金在谨慎的情况下让您进出股市。到目前为止，他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经得到了回报。</b>想象一下，当你坐下来享受生活时，你有一台赚钱机器在股市中收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>那是每个人的梦想，对吧？投资者万斯·霍华德认为他已经找到了。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德和他的一小队计算机程序员在佐治亚州罗斯威尔的资本管理公司工作。，有一个量化系统，张贴巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund&nbsp;HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000&nbsp;benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据，他的HCM战术增长基金HCMGX,+0.35%在过去五年中的年化增长率比罗素1000基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出8.5-10.4个百分点。这不是一个小壮举，不仅因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场并不容易。他的HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%)和HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%基金也表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点，我在下面详述。（其中包括：潜在的长期表现不佳和定期的税单。）但首先，我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么？</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化分析师从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节，但正如你将看到的，霍华德分享了很多。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于“马的感觉”的好建议——考虑到他对市场富有感染力的热情，以及他三十年的职业经验，这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12只交易所交易基金(ETF)和四只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课：不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化让我们注定要失败。为了生存，我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪，以便在长时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场中，对恐惧和贪婪的情绪采取行动总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出，顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样，我们被设定为相信和人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马，如果你单干，你更有可能被捕食者吃掉。这里的问题是，成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——让我们变得愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕的事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入一个人群时，你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占了上风。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做得好，你必须抵制这些倾向。“个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是变得情绪化，”霍华德说。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课：有一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>驱除情绪，要有一个系统。“不要怀疑它，”霍华德说。“这可以防止你被大流行或阿富汗吓出市场。”他评级了他的系统HCM-购买线。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——通常在市场上运行良好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先，霍华德没有使用标准普尔500SPX（-0.03%）或道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA（-0.21%），而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时，他卖出35%。如果下跌6.5%，他就再卖出35%。他很少100%现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果买入线为正，无论如何我们都会长期持有，”他说。“我们通过让数学来决定，将所有情感从等式中剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前，情况看涨。（更多信息见下文。）</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统还必须告诉你什么时候回去。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“这就是大多数人搞砸的地方，”他说。“他们退出市场，不知道什么时候才能重新进入。”当他的定制指数连续六个交易日高于其移动平均线时，HCM-买入线会发出买入信号，然后继续高于这六天触及的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个评级精确市场顶部或底部的系统。相反，买入线让霍华德在85%的时间里远离低迷的市场，在85%的好时光里远离。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“如果我们能够始终如一地做到这一点，我们就会获得更高的回报和更少的生活压力，”他说。“在一盘糟糕的磁带中全力以赴一点也不好玩。”</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢，但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定能让他出局。他经常买入那些回调。快速反弹是有意义的，因为从底部恢复往往会很快。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine消除了整个过程中的所有情绪，”霍华德说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课：不要和磁带作对</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂·茨威格经典著作《在华尔街获胜》中的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须站在市场的正确一边，”霍华德表示同意。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中做多，那是很痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“有时候，不赔钱才是你想要的，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样，不要仅仅因为市场创下新高就变得谨慎——就像现在这样。你应该喜欢新高，因为这是市场力量的标志，可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第四课：保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的，霍华德不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说令人耳目一新，因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“你不必交易疯狂的东西，”他说。“你可以交易普通的ETF并击败所有人。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课：如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做长。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-购买线非常积极。我们100%参与，”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。它变得相当令人兴奋。我们认为它不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有现金都在观望。“如果新冠疫情有所缓解，我们可能会看到大幅反弹。我们可能会以一个伟大的秋季[季节]结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德也使用动量指标来选择股票和ETF。对于行业，他倾向于以下几点。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健，可通过iShares US HealthcareIYH(-0.04%)和ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL(+0.12%)ETF进行交易。他变得更加看好生物技术，他通过iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB进行投资，-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and&nbsp;iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC(-0.30%)进行交易的非必需消费品，以及通过US Global JetsJETS(-1.17%)进行交易的航空公司。他还喜欢通过Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ(+0.31%)、iShares US TechnologyIYW(+0.50%)进行科技投资和iShares半导体SOXX，+0.75%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK，+0.07%的小盘股。以及SPDR Bloomberg Barclays可转换证券CWB，+0.64%和iShares可转换债券ICVT，+0.37%的可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个人名称，他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果AAPL(+0.42%)，以及亚马逊MAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>另请考虑Howard的两只ETF：HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH，+0.62%和HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH，+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌1%-3%时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的HCM战术增长基金自2015年推出以来，曾连续两年表现不佳，涨幅为1.5%至8.8%。随后，该基金卷土重来，实现了上述非常积极的五年优异表现。投资他的系统需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说，每个经理人，包括沃伦·巴菲特，都可能有一段时间表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于赔率游戏中，”他说。“即使在赔率游戏中，你也可能会遇到一两手糟糕的牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率，战术增长每年140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景中会得到很大的提成。因此，如果您购买霍华德的基金，您可能希望在避税账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected 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