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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-02-07
  Good
  Roblox Stock: Don't Miss The Chance To Buy, With 1 Caveat
  SummaryRoblox is the leading user-generated gaming metaverse platform with over 220M monthly active
  Roblox Stock: Don't Miss The Chance To Buy, With 1 Caveat
  1,302 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-02-07
  Good
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,245 评论
  2
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-02-06
  Good
  PayPal stock still offers 'four silver linings' after 'epic' selloff, says analyst
  Improving engagement trends are encouraging given strategic 'pivot,' Mizuho saysPayPal recently anno
  PayPal stock still offers 'four silver linings' after 'epic' selloff, says analyst
  1,815 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-02-05
  Good
  Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?
  SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account
  Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?
  1,528 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-02-02
  Good
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,395 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-01-31
  OMy....
  盘前 | 恐慌指数拉升！股指期货全线转跌
  1月31日，美股三大股指期货全线转跌，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.76%；纳斯达克100指数期货跌0.16%；标普500指数期货跌0.57%。恐慌指数VIX涨5.57% ，现报29.2盘前行情奈飞盘前涨超
  盘前 | 恐慌指数拉升！股指期货全线转跌
  1,736 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-01-30
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,337 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-01-25
  Good
  Pre-Bell｜Kohl’s Soared 27.3%; Unilever Surged 6.6%
  U.S. stock index futures slid on Monday after a bruising selloff last week, as geopolitical tensions
  Pre-Bell｜Kohl’s Soared 27.3%; Unilever Surged 6.6%
  1,438 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-01-23
  Good
  Why Netflix's Growth Story May Not Be over as Wall Street Frets Subscriber Woes
  Netflix (NFLX) shares plunged more than 20% on Friday — its biggest decline since October 2014 — aft
  Why Netflix's Growth Story May Not Be over as Wall Street Frets Subscriber Woes
  1,341 评论
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- NP_YTNP_YT
  ·2022-01-20
  Noted
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,446 评论
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13:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roblox Stock: Don't Miss The Chance To Buy, With 1 Caveat","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190967225","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryRoblox is the leading user-generated gaming metaverse platform with over 220M monthly active ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Roblox is the leading user-generated gaming metaverse platform with over 220M monthly active users.</li><li>Roblox is still investing heavily to further its metaverse ambitions.</li><li>However, RBLX stock suffered from the tech correction. Roblox also suffered from revelations of child pornography and sexual grooming.</li><li>We discuss why we think Roblox stock is still a buy, but with a caveat.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/206190681150a5af30b3c692daeff67d\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1025\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>tolgart/E+ via Getty Images</span></p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>The gaming metaverse for younger gamers, Roblox Corporation (RBLX), recently saw its stock hit its all-time lows. It came after the stock staged a sharp momentum spike on its way to its all-time highs in November. But, we knew that the spike was not sustainable and needed to be digested eventually. The recent growth stocks correction was the perfect opportunity for sellers to burst its bubble and sent RBLX stock tumbling to its lowest levels since its listing in Mar&#39;21.</p><p>The consensus price targets have also been revised downwards, reflecting the multiples compressions across growth stocks. Moreover, its China metaverse initiative has also hit a snag in January, as its partnership with Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) looks to have been paused.</p><p>Moreover, it was also hit by a recent report from The Bear Cave, discussing issues relating to child pornography and sexual grooming in the platform. Even though Roblox attempted to address the matter speedily, the damage has been done.</p><p>Nonetheless, we believe that the Roblox platform remains a critical entry point to the multi-trillion dollar metaverse opportunity. We have also covered its underlying thesis and key financial metrics in a previous article.</p><p>We discuss why investors can now seize the opportunity from the recent pessimism and add RBLX stock.</p><p><b>Gaming Leadership and User-Generated Content is Roblox&#39;s Key Competitive Advantage</b></p><p>VP of Metaverse Content at Meta Platforms (FB) Jason Rubin emphasized at a recent conference (edited):</p><blockquote>Gaming is definitely a core part of the metaverse. Gaming created the game engine, right? For a long time, the game engine was the only major tool for real-time 3D graphics. Obviously, there was simulation and other things universities were doing, but for consumers, for the most part, it was gaming.<i>People like to play. We were born as children and we love to play. We never give it up</i>.<i>So, gaming becomes a great way to get people to spend a significant amount of time together</i>. And it gives people a way to build an identity system and do other things and invest in things together. And then I think adjacencies start forming because the people are there, and the possibilities are there. (VentureBeat)</blockquote><p>Roblox is arguably the largest user-generated gaming platform with over 220M monthly active users (MAU) (as of October 2021 according to R-Track) and almost 50M daily active users (DAU). While Epic Games has 194M users on PC, its December MAU peaked at 62M, way below Roblox&#39;s numbers. Therefore, Roblox is undoubtedly closer than Epic, its metaverse gaming arch-rival in reaching its proverbial target of 1B users.</p><p>Moreover, Roblox continues to be at the top of the global mobile gaming charts by MAU, downloads, and revenue. App Annie data confirmed Roblox as the #3 gaming platform by MAU in the AMER region in 2021.Sensor Tower rated Roblox as #5 in overall downloads and #3 by App Store downloads in December 2021. Furthermore, it rated Roblox as #3 in overall revenue in the same month. Therefore, we wish to impress upon our readers that Roblox is a massive global platform that&#39;s far from falling over the cliff. It may have been listed for less than a year, but it has been building its gaming metaverse experiences over the last seventeen years. Roblox CEO David Baszucki, a.k.a. Builderman, emphasized:</p><blockquote>When Erik Cassel and I started Roblox, we envisioned a new category of human co-experience where people could play, learn, and work together in digital worlds.<i>Seventeen years later, Roblox is increasingly an essential part of people&#39;s lives.</i>With tens of millions of daily active users and billions of monthly engagement hours,<i>we are moving closer toward our mission of connecting a billion people on our platform</i>. (Roblox)</blockquote><p>Moreover, in January, Roblox shared a gamut of meaningful data points that showed that the company has been making tremendous progress in building its creator ecosystem. Readers should note that the crux of Roblox&#39;s incredible leadership is the strength of its UGC platform. We believe that UGC is foundational to experiences in the virtual worlds we would experience in the metaverse. Consequently, Roblox remains well ahead in this aspect, given its UGC leadership.</p><p>Not only is its developer ecosystem highly robust, but it&#39;s also geographically diversified, across 170 countries.The largest number of developers come from the US, Brazil, Russia, the Philippines, and the UK. Therefore, Roblox has a global creator ecosystem serving experiences (as Roblox calls it) to a global community.</p><p>Notably, the company emphasized that its creator ecosystem has continued to grow rapidly over the past year. Roblox highlighted (edited):</p><blockquote>This community has already become a driving force in pioneering a more inclusive metaverse, and<i>it&#39;s incredible to see a triple-digit percentage surge year over year</i>in the number of new creators that have used our free immersive creation engine Roblox Studio for the first time. The number of female creators using Roblox Studio for the first time grew 353% YoY, compared to 323% growth for new male creators. (Roblox)</blockquote><p><b>Roblox is Investing Aggressively in the Metaverse</b></p><p>Even though Roblox has been building its metaversal experiences over the last seventeen years, it&#39;s not resting on its laurels. The company has continued to enhance its infrastructure and technology while attracting the most recognizable fashion, sports brands, and musicians to its platform. It included &#34;Gucci (OTCPK:PPRUF), Nike (NKE), and Vans, who took their first steps into digital experiences with Roblox. Similarly, artists such as KSI, Tai Verdes, Twenty One Pilots, and Zara Larsson brought their performances and music directly to fans in immersive, interactive experiences.&#34; Therefore, these forays would allow Roblox tremendous opportunities to monetize beyond its customary gaming experiences.</p><p>Moreover, the company has also been actively recruiting the best talents to bring on board. As a result, it will also be paying top-dollar. For example, Insider reported that Roblox added the &#34;metaverse&#34; term to all its open roles for hire. The top-tier employees can also command above $400K in base salary. Notably, these are all positions to help drive the company forward in its metaverse strategy; as CTO Daniel Sturman emphasized, &#34;all roles are geared towards enabling the metaverse experiences.&#34;</p><p>Therefore, we believe that Roblox remains solidly positioned to leverage its gaming metaverse leadership to invest further to cement its lead against its arch-rivals.</p><p><b>RBLX Stock is a Buy Now with a Caveat</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7022cfda4bb9128bb4c44fa69c517e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>RBLX stock price action (TradingView)</span></p><p>Readers can refer to the chart above that November&#39;s bull trap has been digested from the steep correction that brought it from its all-time highs to its all-time lows. But, we must highlight that the market must dissipate the momentum spike for RBLX stock to recover. Such spikes are never healthy for any stock, and we have been plenty of spikes from many growth stocks in November/December that has also been digested. As the market makers collapsed RBLX stock to its all-time lows, but it has also given the stock a chance to stage its next rally.</p><p>But, our caveat concerns the recent report by The Bear Cave. The details have been quite disturbing, even though it&#39;s not the first time such concerns have surfaced. We believe that management will do its best to eradicate such harmful content and creators over time. However, it&#39;s still important for investors to monitor these developments closely.</p><p>Consequently,<i>we reiterate our Buy rating on RBLX stock</i>.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roblox Stock: Don't Miss The Chance To Buy, With 1 Caveat</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoblox Stock: Don't Miss The Chance To Buy, With 1 Caveat\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-07 13:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484696-roblox-rblx-stock-dont-miss-chance-buy-caveat><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryRoblox is the leading user-generated gaming metaverse platform with over 220M monthly active users.Roblox is still investing heavily to further its metaverse ambitions.However, RBLX stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484696-roblox-rblx-stock-dont-miss-chance-buy-caveat\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484696-roblox-rblx-stock-dont-miss-chance-buy-caveat","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190967225","content_text":"SummaryRoblox is the leading user-generated gaming metaverse platform with over 220M monthly active users.Roblox is still investing heavily to further its metaverse ambitions.However, RBLX stock suffered from the tech correction. Roblox also suffered from revelations of child pornography and sexual grooming.We discuss why we think Roblox stock is still a buy, but with a caveat.tolgart/E+ via Getty ImagesInvestment ThesisThe gaming metaverse for younger gamers, Roblox Corporation (RBLX), recently saw its stock hit its all-time lows. It came after the stock staged a sharp momentum spike on its way to its all-time highs in November. But, we knew that the spike was not sustainable and needed to be digested eventually. The recent growth stocks correction was the perfect opportunity for sellers to burst its bubble and sent RBLX stock tumbling to its lowest levels since its listing in Mar'21.The consensus price targets have also been revised downwards, reflecting the multiples compressions across growth stocks. Moreover, its China metaverse initiative has also hit a snag in January, as its partnership with Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) looks to have been paused.Moreover, it was also hit by a recent report from The Bear Cave, discussing issues relating to child pornography and sexual grooming in the platform. Even though Roblox attempted to address the matter speedily, the damage has been done.Nonetheless, we believe that the Roblox platform remains a critical entry point to the multi-trillion dollar metaverse opportunity. We have also covered its underlying thesis and key financial metrics in a previous article.We discuss why investors can now seize the opportunity from the recent pessimism and add RBLX stock.Gaming Leadership and User-Generated Content is Roblox's Key Competitive AdvantageVP of Metaverse Content at Meta Platforms (FB) Jason Rubin emphasized at a recent conference (edited):Gaming is definitely a core part of the metaverse. Gaming created the game engine, right? For a long time, the game engine was the only major tool for real-time 3D graphics. Obviously, there was simulation and other things universities were doing, but for consumers, for the most part, it was gaming.People like to play. We were born as children and we love to play. We never give it up.So, gaming becomes a great way to get people to spend a significant amount of time together. And it gives people a way to build an identity system and do other things and invest in things together. And then I think adjacencies start forming because the people are there, and the possibilities are there. (VentureBeat)Roblox is arguably the largest user-generated gaming platform with over 220M monthly active users (MAU) (as of October 2021 according to R-Track) and almost 50M daily active users (DAU). While Epic Games has 194M users on PC, its December MAU peaked at 62M, way below Roblox's numbers. Therefore, Roblox is undoubtedly closer than Epic, its metaverse gaming arch-rival in reaching its proverbial target of 1B users.Moreover, Roblox continues to be at the top of the global mobile gaming charts by MAU, downloads, and revenue. App Annie data confirmed Roblox as the #3 gaming platform by MAU in the AMER region in 2021.Sensor Tower rated Roblox as #5 in overall downloads and #3 by App Store downloads in December 2021. Furthermore, it rated Roblox as #3 in overall revenue in the same month. Therefore, we wish to impress upon our readers that Roblox is a massive global platform that's far from falling over the cliff. It may have been listed for less than a year, but it has been building its gaming metaverse experiences over the last seventeen years. Roblox CEO David Baszucki, a.k.a. Builderman, emphasized:When Erik Cassel and I started Roblox, we envisioned a new category of human co-experience where people could play, learn, and work together in digital worlds.Seventeen years later, Roblox is increasingly an essential part of people's lives.With tens of millions of daily active users and billions of monthly engagement hours,we are moving closer toward our mission of connecting a billion people on our platform. (Roblox)Moreover, in January, Roblox shared a gamut of meaningful data points that showed that the company has been making tremendous progress in building its creator ecosystem. Readers should note that the crux of Roblox's incredible leadership is the strength of its UGC platform. We believe that UGC is foundational to experiences in the virtual worlds we would experience in the metaverse. Consequently, Roblox remains well ahead in this aspect, given its UGC leadership.Not only is its developer ecosystem highly robust, but it's also geographically diversified, across 170 countries.The largest number of developers come from the US, Brazil, Russia, the Philippines, and the UK. Therefore, Roblox has a global creator ecosystem serving experiences (as Roblox calls it) to a global community.Notably, the company emphasized that its creator ecosystem has continued to grow rapidly over the past year. Roblox highlighted (edited):This community has already become a driving force in pioneering a more inclusive metaverse, andit's incredible to see a triple-digit percentage surge year over yearin the number of new creators that have used our free immersive creation engine Roblox Studio for the first time. The number of female creators using Roblox Studio for the first time grew 353% YoY, compared to 323% growth for new male creators. (Roblox)Roblox is Investing Aggressively in the MetaverseEven though Roblox has been building its metaversal experiences over the last seventeen years, it's not resting on its laurels. The company has continued to enhance its infrastructure and technology while attracting the most recognizable fashion, sports brands, and musicians to its platform. It included \"Gucci (OTCPK:PPRUF), Nike (NKE), and Vans, who took their first steps into digital experiences with Roblox. Similarly, artists such as KSI, Tai Verdes, Twenty One Pilots, and Zara Larsson brought their performances and music directly to fans in immersive, interactive experiences.\" Therefore, these forays would allow Roblox tremendous opportunities to monetize beyond its customary gaming experiences.Moreover, the company has also been actively recruiting the best talents to bring on board. As a result, it will also be paying top-dollar. For example, Insider reported that Roblox added the \"metaverse\" term to all its open roles for hire. The top-tier employees can also command above $400K in base salary. Notably, these are all positions to help drive the company forward in its metaverse strategy; as CTO Daniel Sturman emphasized, \"all roles are geared towards enabling the metaverse experiences.\"Therefore, we believe that Roblox remains solidly positioned to leverage its gaming metaverse leadership to invest further to cement its lead against its arch-rivals.RBLX Stock is a Buy Now with a CaveatRBLX stock price action (TradingView)Readers can refer to the chart above that November's bull trap has been digested from the steep correction that brought it from its all-time highs to its all-time lows. But, we must highlight that the market must dissipate the momentum spike for RBLX stock to recover. Such spikes are never healthy for any stock, and we have been plenty of spikes from many growth stocks in November/December that has also been digested. As the market makers collapsed RBLX stock to its all-time lows, but it has also given the stock a chance to stage its next rally.But, our caveat concerns the recent report by The Bear Cave. The details have been quite disturbing, even though it's not the first time such concerns have surfaced. We believe that management will do its best to eradicate such harmful content and creators over time. However, it's still important for investors to monitor these developments closely.Consequently,we reiterate our Buy rating on RBLX stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633532608,"gmtCreate":1644214309333,"gmtModify":1644214309565,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633532608","repostId":"1139709004","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633237574,"gmtCreate":1644110275593,"gmtModify":1644110275866,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633237574","repostId":"2209524346","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2209524346","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1644028119,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2209524346?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-05 10:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal stock still offers 'four silver linings' after 'epic' selloff, says analyst","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2209524346","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Improving engagement trends are encouraging given strategic 'pivot,' Mizuho saysPayPal recently anno","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Improving engagement trends are encouraging given strategic &#39;pivot,&#39; Mizuho says</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e30cb2b6a29715f9c2a44811c5aa446\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PayPal recently announced a new strategy on user-growth that prioritizes “higher-value” accounts over less engaged ones.</span></p><p>Shares of PayPal Holdings Inc. have been pummeled in recent days after the e-commerce company gave a disappointing forecast and announced a change in its business strategy, but one analyst still sees shine in PayPal&#39;s story.</p><p>Mizuho&#39;s Dan Dolev wrote Friday that PayPal&#39;s (PYPL) narrative has &#34;four silver linings&#34; despite the &#34;epic de-rating&#34; of PayPal&#39;s stock. The shares fell 22.9% on the week of PayPal&#39;s holiday-quarter earnings report, and they&#39;re off nearly 60% from the company&#39;s all-time closing high of $308.53 established in July 2021.</p><p>Dolev was encouraged that PayPal&#39;s total payment volume per user appears to have bottomed in the third-quarter as fourth-quarter trends improved. The metric captured the value of transactions going through PayPal&#39;s platform, measured on a per-user basis while excluding merchant accounts.</p><p>&#34;Our analysis shows that PYPL&#39;s share price (lagged by one quarter) closely tracks incremental TPV per user,&#34; he wrote, noting about $70 in TPV per user in the fourth quarter, up from $68 in the third. &#34;If this metric continues to improve, the stock is likely to follow, in our view.&#34;</p><p>Further, Dolev saw improvement in PayPal&#39;s take rate when excluding <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> volumes. The ex-eBay take rate, which represents the cut that the company gets of each transaction, rose to 2.03% in the fourth quarter, up from 1.98% in the third quarter and 1.95% in the second quarter, he noted.</p><p>Incremental growth in TPV, when excluding eBay and peer-to-peer volumes, improved as well from the third quarter to hit $55 billion, Dolev noted. While that number came in below the second-quarter high, it was better than PayPal&#39;s performance in each quarter of 2020.</p><p>Finally, PayPal showed more incremental transactions per active account in the fourth quarter than it did in the third quarter, according to Dolev.</p><p>&#34;Better engagement trends bode well for PYPL, especially given the company&#39;s pivot on user strategy,&#34; he wrote. &#34;Since PYPL is weighting its focus more towards customer retention and improving engagement of existing customers, this metric is becoming increasingly important.&#34;</p><p>Dolev kept a buy rating on PayPal&#39;s shares, though he reduced his price target to $175 from $200 in Friday&#39;s note to clients.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal stock still offers 'four silver linings' after 'epic' selloff, says analyst</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal stock still offers 'four silver linings' after 'epic' selloff, says analyst\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-05 10:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/paypal-stock-still-offers-four-silver-linings-after-epic-selloff-says-analyst-11643980171?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Improving engagement trends are encouraging given strategic 'pivot,' Mizuho saysPayPal recently announced a new strategy on user-growth that prioritizes “higher-value” accounts over less engaged ones....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/paypal-stock-still-offers-four-silver-linings-after-epic-selloff-says-analyst-11643980171?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/paypal-stock-still-offers-four-silver-linings-after-epic-selloff-says-analyst-11643980171?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2209524346","content_text":"Improving engagement trends are encouraging given strategic 'pivot,' Mizuho saysPayPal recently announced a new strategy on user-growth that prioritizes “higher-value” accounts over less engaged ones.Shares of PayPal Holdings Inc. have been pummeled in recent days after the e-commerce company gave a disappointing forecast and announced a change in its business strategy, but one analyst still sees shine in PayPal's story.Mizuho's Dan Dolev wrote Friday that PayPal's (PYPL) narrative has \"four silver linings\" despite the \"epic de-rating\" of PayPal's stock. The shares fell 22.9% on the week of PayPal's holiday-quarter earnings report, and they're off nearly 60% from the company's all-time closing high of $308.53 established in July 2021.Dolev was encouraged that PayPal's total payment volume per user appears to have bottomed in the third-quarter as fourth-quarter trends improved. The metric captured the value of transactions going through PayPal's platform, measured on a per-user basis while excluding merchant accounts.\"Our analysis shows that PYPL's share price (lagged by one quarter) closely tracks incremental TPV per user,\" he wrote, noting about $70 in TPV per user in the fourth quarter, up from $68 in the third. \"If this metric continues to improve, the stock is likely to follow, in our view.\"Further, Dolev saw improvement in PayPal's take rate when excluding eBay volumes. The ex-eBay take rate, which represents the cut that the company gets of each transaction, rose to 2.03% in the fourth quarter, up from 1.98% in the third quarter and 1.95% in the second quarter, he noted.Incremental growth in TPV, when excluding eBay and peer-to-peer volumes, improved as well from the third quarter to hit $55 billion, Dolev noted. While that number came in below the second-quarter high, it was better than PayPal's performance in each quarter of 2020.Finally, PayPal showed more incremental transactions per active account in the fourth quarter than it did in the third quarter, according to Dolev.\"Better engagement trends bode well for PYPL, especially given the company's pivot on user strategy,\" he wrote. \"Since PYPL is weighting its focus more towards customer retention and improving engagement of existing customers, this metric is becoming increasingly important.\"Dolev kept a buy rating on PayPal's shares, though he reduced his price target to $175 from $200 in Friday's note to clients.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633203693,"gmtCreate":1644062273346,"gmtModify":1644062273582,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633203693","repostId":"1196927717","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196927717","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644033090,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196927717?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-05 11:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196927717","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.</li><li>Revenue growth in Palantir’s core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized through the first three quarters of 2021 compared to 2020.</li><li>During 2021, Palantir fundamentally transformed its go-to-market strategy. The company is now using its cash to aggressively invest in other companies (Investees) who agree to purchase Palantir’s software.</li><li>Management continues to guide for 30% sales growth through mid-decade. However, Palantir’s 3-phase business model hints at sales trending lower excluding its Investee sales.</li><li>Palantir offers extraordinary long-term growth potential which should place it on the watchlist of all growth investors. The investment case rests on the fulcrum between opportunity and red flags.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd7a77abaec0ea0aa58eebb9ce4b9606\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1187\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>agawa288/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p>I am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a neutral risk/reward rating as the long-term growth opportunity is counterbalanced by near-term red flags. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, a number of notable red flags warrant caution. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error.</p><p><b>Risk/Reward Rating: Neutral</b></p><p>Palantir has an unusual business model compared to its peers in the enterprise software sector in regard to how it acquires and grows its customer base. The company categorizes its customers according to three phases of development or cohorts: (1) Acquire, (2) Expand, and (3) Scale. While they are generic terms that are applicable to all businesses, they are unique in the case of Palantir due to how the company approaches its customers.</p><p><b>Customer Detail</b></p><p>Palantir defines a customer in the Acquire cohort as one that has generated less than $100,000 of revenue as of year-end while being unprofitable to Palantir. The Expand cohort is characterized by a customer that generated more than $100,000 of sales yet remained unprofitable. Finally, the Scale cohort is defined as a customer that has generated more than $100,000 of revenue while being a profitable relationship for Palantir during the year.</p><p>The following tables were compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. The first table displays Palantir’s 2020 sales from each of the client cohorts which were categorized at the end of 2020 (2020 Revenue). In the 2021 Annualized column, you will find the sales of each of these 2020 customer cohorts through Q3 2021 annualized. In the second set of tables, I have compiled key details regarding Palantir’s largest customers over the past twelve months, as well as critical details pertaining to customers that are new to Palantir in 2021 which are not yet assigned to a cohort. Cohort categorization occurs at the end of each year.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e38ee31a1d6e826d2d02216e39ac570\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"151\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4dc61112528e104ef0d3a8dc80f89d1\" tg-width=\"581\" tg-height=\"481\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>For ease of comparison, I have color-coded the information that is related. One of the dominant realities for Palantir is its concentrated customer base, which is highlighted in blue. Palantir has only 203 customers, with the top 20 accounting for 58% of sales.</p><p>By definition, Palantir’s largest customers are in the Scale cohort. Through the first three quarters of 2021, the Scale cohort (categorized as such at the end of 2020) is growing at an annualized rate of 20%. Given that this group accounts for 86% of Palantir’s revenue, it will be challenging to move the sales growth needle materially above 20% without explosive growth from the other two cohorts or a material acceleration from the Scale cohort. It should be noted that management is guiding to 30% annual sales growth through mid-decade.</p><p>The 2020 year-end Acquire and Expand cohorts are highlighted in yellow in the upper table. New customers in 2021 will not be assigned to a cohort until the year-end Palantir report. I have highlighted the pertinent 2021 new customer data in yellow for easy comparison to the 2020 Acquire and Expand customer cohorts. I view the 2021 new customer sales performance excluding sales to Investees to be a sustainable core growth rate. The Investee customer acquisition strategy is extraordinarily unusual and carries an exceedingly high capital risk which introduces reputational and, therefore, brand risk.</p><p>Please note that Investee here refers to customers that Palantir has purchased the stock of in return for the Investee using Palantir’s software. Meaning, the revenue from Investees is a reciprocation of Palantir investing in the shares of these customers. In this respect, these are not arm’s-length transactions. I believe the new client numbers excluding sales to Investees is an important data point for ascertaining a purely market-based new customer growth rate.</p><p>Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021 compared to the $20.6 million of sales from the Acquire and Expand cohorts of 2020. While this is not a perfect comparison for sales growth from new customers, it is a fair estimation. As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company’s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.</p><p><b>Investees</b></p><p>It is important to step back and review Palantir’s investments in Investees as this is an extraordinarily unusual go-to-market strategy for customer acquisition. The above numbers, which suggest revenue growth is trending toward 20%, place Palantir’s use of its balance sheet cash to fund new customers in a new light. The following tables were compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q. The first table lists companies that Palantir has funded as of the end of Q3 2021. The second table displays Palantir’s investment commitments to new companies that are not yet funded.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dda111182479c1fbaddc642369e4bd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"264\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have conducted a cursory review of each of the above companies. The common theme is that they are all early-stage companies in the most popular growth sectors. These sectors include EVs, robotics, flying electric vehicles, satellite services and drug discovery. None of the Investees appears to offer enough appreciation potential in its own right to move the needle materially for Palantir’s valuation. Palantir’s ownership stake ranges from 0.4% to 1.6%.</p><p>It remains unclear how much of each company’s funding can be spent on Palantir’s software. Furthermore, it is not clear if the $19 million of revenue through Q3 2021 from these companies is sustainable.</p><p>I have highlighted in blue Palantir’s total investment of $150 million in the seven companies. The yellow highlighted cell represents the current valuation of the investments. Palantir is now down approximately $64 million on these seven companies alone. This highlights an extreme risk for this method of customer acquisition as the capital losses to date dwarf the revenue generated. There are other private company investments not listed above, however, Palantir does not break out the details. They are included in other assets on Palantir’s balance sheet which amounted to $116 million as of Q3 2021.</p><p>The following table displays Palantir’s commitments to invest in new companies as of Q3 2021. I have highlighted in yellow the two companies that Palantir funded subsequent to the end of Q3 2021.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06664e25242d0bacb6f2a64a7a80228\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in blue the total funding commitment for new investments as of Q3 2021. This is $252 million on top of the $150 million completed prior to the end of Q3. While I have not looked into these particular companies, they appear similar to the first seven investments reviewed above. Meaning, they appear to carry extreme capital risk with upside potential that is likely to be minimal when compared to the valuation upside inherent in Palantir’s software business. It should be noted that recent valuations were extreme and continue to contract rapidly. As a result, the timing risk for capital loss is also heightened by making the investments at the top of the VC/IPO cycle.</p><p><b>Financial Performance</b></p><p>Turning to Palantir’s recent performance, I have chosen to view sales growth excluding the Investees as this is the most likely sustainable growth trajectory. The following table was compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. I made an adjustment by removing Investee revenue to arrive at a net revenue figure.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b09c2f2aada9cb30c8b720be23d096e2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"156\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted in yellow the 29% revenue growth in Q3 2021 after removing the Investee revenue. Investees added 6.5% to growth in Q3. Year-to-date, the Investee revenue accounted for 1.7% revenue growth. The 29% growth rate is already decelerating beneath the company’s 30% growth guidance through mid-decade. Keep in mind that the Investee revenue stream will grow with additional funding of Palantir’s investment commitments. Regardless, growth is decelerating rapidly at 29% in Q3 compared to 41% year-to-date excluding these non-arm’s-length sales.</p><p><b>Geographic &amp; Segment Sales</b></p><p>The sales slowdown is being led by France, which contracted 22% through the first three quarters of 2021 (highlighted in orange below). It should be noted that Palantir has had a material relationship with Airbus and the airline industry. This could be a negative read through for an important client and industry. While the US remained the best performer in Q3 2021, growth is slowing rapidly as is evidenced by the blue highlighted cells below. The table was compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b19bc17658ff1b951eec789ec95deddd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In addition to France, the rest of the world is also slowing rapidly, from 45% through the first nine months of the year to 20% in Q3 2021. Please note that these are reported sales without any adjustments. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and highlights that the large sales slowdown in Q3 occurred in the Government segment. Please keep in mind that the Investee revenue is included in the figures below and added approximately 6.5% to the Q3 growth rate in the Commercial segment.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a553cc3913c2af281262da7b15bdc3c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In summary, the Commercial segment is growing revenue rather steadily, approximately 29% excluding the Investee revenue. However, the Government segment is decelerating rapidly, from 57% through the first nine months of 2021 to 34% in Q3.</p><p><b>Gross Profit &amp; KPI</b></p><p>Palantir’s unusual customer acquisition strategy predates the shift to Investees. The company’s sales and marketing expenses appear to be quite similar to the cost of goods sold for other companies. This is the case because Palantir offers prospective customers free pilot programs as opposed to requiring payment upfront for use of its software. Sales and marketing personnel execute the pilot programs and coordinate solution development in order to generate sales. The following quote from the Q3 2021 10-Q summarizes the situation:</p><blockquote>Sales and marketing costs primarily include salaries, stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for our sales force and personnel involved in executing on pilots and customer growth activities...</blockquote><p>As a result, I view the sales and marketing expense in the case of Palantir to be a cost of goods sold and reduction to gross margin. While this categorization does not affect the bottom line, it does serve to place the reported 78% gross margin in context.</p><p>I believe this perspective on sales and marketing expense is helpful in thinking about Palantir’s business model in relation to other companies and relative valuations that rely on gross profit margins. The following table was compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q and displays the reported cost of revenue and sales and marketing expense adjusted by removing the related stock-based compensation expense from each line item.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55c5e5fcea6102ca9d0542c130ee1d15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that the adjusted gross profit growth has slowed considerably to 25% in Q3 (highlighted in blue in the lower portion of the table) compared to 59% through the first nine months of 2021 (highlighted in yellow). The cost of sales is rising rapidly in Q3 2021 compared to the first nine months of the year.</p><p>Palantir utilizes one KPI or Key Performance Indicator to judge performance and inform decision-making, which is referred to as Contribution Margin. It is similar to my adjusted gross margin figure above as can be seen in the following table compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc4e966e16c27ea17f99ccb08a18957\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>Notice that the contribution row is remarkably similar to my adjusted gross profit row in the previous table. Additionally, the growth rate deceleration is similar, as can be seen in the highlighted cells. While 37% is materially different from my estimate of 25% growth, the step change lower from 64% is of similar amplitude.</p><p><b>Operating Income</b></p><p>Turning to operating income, I have adjusted the reported figures once again by removing stock option-related expenses as well as one-off expenses pertaining to the direct listing IPO in 2020. The overriding message is once again one of rapid deceleration. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and displays operating expenses excluding sales and marketing expenses, as well as my adjusted operating income estimate.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5f344c289a598ec7824067b39c04f09\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"479\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>In the lower section of the table, notice the incredible deceleration in adjusted operating income to 40% growth in Q3 of 2021 compared to 266% growth through the first nine months of the year. General and administrative expenses accelerated rapidly in Q3 2021, while Palantir materially reduced research and development investment to just 5% growth in Q3.</p><p>The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&amp;D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale. As customer needs are identified by sales and marketing, research and development expenses should respond to increased future sales potential. This does not appear to be happening at the moment.</p><p>As of Q3 2021, Palantir is annualizing at an adjusted operating income run rate of approximately $300 to $320 million, or about $.16 per share. This is a before-tax operating income figure. The primary takeaway from the operating income front is that profitability is slowing rapidly. This provides additional color for the unusual Investee customer acquisition strategy being deployed.</p><p><b>Consensus Growth Estimates</b></p><p>If Palantir is producing at a $320 million adjusted annual operating income run rate and it was taxed at a normalized 25% rate, the current earnings power would be in the $240 million range or $.12 per diluted share. With this information and the growth deceleration outlined above, we can begin to put consensus earnings estimates into context. The following table was compiled from Seeking Alpha and displays consensus earnings and revenue estimates through 2023.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/022fd2d18964776a3e20294c7917548f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"241\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdox</span></p><p>I have highlighted the 2022 consensus estimates for earnings and sales growth. Notice that the 39% consensus earnings growth estimate for 2022 is in line with the 40% operating income growth posted in Q3 of 2021. Additionally, the sales growth estimate of 30% is just above the 29% adjusted sales growth in Q3 2021 excluding sales to Investees.</p><p>The 39% earnings growth expected for 2022 appears to be at material risk of being too high given the rapid slowdown in operating income to 40% in Q3 2021 compared to 266% through the first nine months of the year. This trajectory would likely place earnings growth for 2022 well below 39%.</p><p>The 30% sales growth estimate for 2022 looks to be achievable given Palantir’s aggressive investment strategy in regard to Investees who then purchase Palantir software. I believe the market will tend to discount Investee sales as I have. Excluding these sales, the revenue growth trajectory appears to be trending closer to 20% than 30% for 2022, which opens the door to further growth disappointment.</p><p>Looking to consensus estimates for 2023, the expected growth rates are remarkably similar to 2022. This straight-line growth forecast through 2023 adds to the risk that consensus estimates could be too high over the coming years. The current trajectory points to growth materially below that expected for 2022 and 2023.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>Palantir is trading at 87x the consensus earnings estimate for 2021 and 62x that for 2022. Please keep in mind that these are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings estimates. On a GAAP basis, Palantir continues to produce at a loss. The reported loss in Q3 2021 was $92 million and was $352 million through the first nine months of 2021.</p><p>Using the non-GAAP earnings estimates, 87x current year earnings and 62x forward earnings are extreme valuations from a historical market perspective. That said, they are within the realm of possibility for a growth stock in recent years. When viewed against Palantir’s rapidly slowing sales and operating income growth rates, as well as the heightened risk that consensus estimates may be too high, the current valuation multiples on consensus estimates offer little margin for error.</p><p>On the sales front, Palantir is valued at 17x the consensus 2021 revenue estimate and 13x that for 2022. These are extreme price-to-sales multiples for a large-cap company from a historical perspective. My estimate of core sales growth trending toward 20% excluding Investee revenue suggests that these valuation multiples on sales also offer little margin for error.</p><p>The valuation risks are further elevated when combined with the rapidly slowing operating income growth. Furthermore, as can be seen in my adjusted gross margin figure growing at 25% as of Q3 2021, the Palantir business model may not be supportive of a historically extreme price-to-sales valuation.</p><p><b>Technicals</b></p><p>While the fundamental backdrop points toward little margin for error and subdued excess return potential, the technical setup suggests more meaningful upside return potential. The following 3-year weekly chart offers a bird’s eye view of the potential technical return spectrum. I have highlighted the key resistance levels with orange horizontal lines and the primary support level with a green line.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9aaa4f2a36fa507e420c9353d0cd91c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Palantir 3-year weekly chart. (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)</span></p><p>The return potential to the nearest resistance levels of $19 and $22 is 43% and 65%, respectively. On the downside, the nearest support lies at the IPO price range near $10. The downside return potential to this level is -25%. It should be noted that Palantir’s short trading history of 16 months limits the usefulness of technical analysis. Additionally, with no trading history beneath the IPO price, it is unclear where support will be found if the $10 level is breached to the downside.</p><p>To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate. This valuation is twice that of the current market averages and would place Palantir shares at $8. This represents -40% downside risk from current levels.</p><p>If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility. To estimate the downside risk potential if estimates are too high, I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir’s current annual run rate for fully-taxed, non-GAAP profitability. If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021) on top of my estimate of $.12 for the current annual run rate of adjusted earnings after tax, the shares could trade down to $6. This would represent downside risk of -55%.</p><p>The following daily chart provides a closer look at the technical backdrop.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32fdab79f60368696ab122ff81b60a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>The technical picture suggests heavy resistance between $19 and $22. Given the unrelenting downtrend over the past three months, a near-term bounce is likely. That said, the upside technical potential combined with the downside fundamental potential leaves the shares with a balanced potential return spectrum of 65% to -55% over the near term.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>All told, Palantir should be placed on the watchlist for high-risk growth investors. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, with notable red flags in the mix, caution is in order. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error. The resulting symmetry between risk and reward results in a neutral rating.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Red Flag Or Opportunity?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-05 11:51 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.Revenue growth in Palantir’s core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4484295-palantir-red-flag-or-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196927717","content_text":"SummaryPalantir has only 203 total customers as of Q3 2021, while just 20 of those customers account for 58% of total revenue.Revenue growth in Palantir’s core client cohort slowed to 20% annualized through the first three quarters of 2021 compared to 2020.During 2021, Palantir fundamentally transformed its go-to-market strategy. The company is now using its cash to aggressively invest in other companies (Investees) who agree to purchase Palantir’s software.Management continues to guide for 30% sales growth through mid-decade. However, Palantir’s 3-phase business model hints at sales trending lower excluding its Investee sales.Palantir offers extraordinary long-term growth potential which should place it on the watchlist of all growth investors. The investment case rests on the fulcrum between opportunity and red flags.agawa288/iStock via Getty ImagesI am assigning Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) a neutral risk/reward rating as the long-term growth opportunity is counterbalanced by near-term red flags. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, a number of notable red flags warrant caution. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error.Risk/Reward Rating: NeutralPalantir has an unusual business model compared to its peers in the enterprise software sector in regard to how it acquires and grows its customer base. The company categorizes its customers according to three phases of development or cohorts: (1) Acquire, (2) Expand, and (3) Scale. While they are generic terms that are applicable to all businesses, they are unique in the case of Palantir due to how the company approaches its customers.Customer DetailPalantir defines a customer in the Acquire cohort as one that has generated less than $100,000 of revenue as of year-end while being unprofitable to Palantir. The Expand cohort is characterized by a customer that generated more than $100,000 of sales yet remained unprofitable. Finally, the Scale cohort is defined as a customer that has generated more than $100,000 of revenue while being a profitable relationship for Palantir during the year.The following tables were compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. The first table displays Palantir’s 2020 sales from each of the client cohorts which were categorized at the end of 2020 (2020 Revenue). In the 2021 Annualized column, you will find the sales of each of these 2020 customer cohorts through Q3 2021 annualized. In the second set of tables, I have compiled key details regarding Palantir’s largest customers over the past twelve months, as well as critical details pertaining to customers that are new to Palantir in 2021 which are not yet assigned to a cohort. Cohort categorization occurs at the end of each year.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxSource: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxFor ease of comparison, I have color-coded the information that is related. One of the dominant realities for Palantir is its concentrated customer base, which is highlighted in blue. Palantir has only 203 customers, with the top 20 accounting for 58% of sales.By definition, Palantir’s largest customers are in the Scale cohort. Through the first three quarters of 2021, the Scale cohort (categorized as such at the end of 2020) is growing at an annualized rate of 20%. Given that this group accounts for 86% of Palantir’s revenue, it will be challenging to move the sales growth needle materially above 20% without explosive growth from the other two cohorts or a material acceleration from the Scale cohort. It should be noted that management is guiding to 30% annual sales growth through mid-decade.The 2020 year-end Acquire and Expand cohorts are highlighted in yellow in the upper table. New customers in 2021 will not be assigned to a cohort until the year-end Palantir report. I have highlighted the pertinent 2021 new customer data in yellow for easy comparison to the 2020 Acquire and Expand customer cohorts. I view the 2021 new customer sales performance excluding sales to Investees to be a sustainable core growth rate. The Investee customer acquisition strategy is extraordinarily unusual and carries an exceedingly high capital risk which introduces reputational and, therefore, brand risk.Please note that Investee here refers to customers that Palantir has purchased the stock of in return for the Investee using Palantir’s software. Meaning, the revenue from Investees is a reciprocation of Palantir investing in the shares of these customers. In this respect, these are not arm’s-length transactions. I believe the new client numbers excluding sales to Investees is an important data point for ascertaining a purely market-based new customer growth rate.Similar to the Scale cohort growth rate annualizing at 20% in 2021, the new customer sales growth rate is annualizing at 22% through Q3 2021 compared to the $20.6 million of sales from the Acquire and Expand cohorts of 2020. While this is not a perfect comparison for sales growth from new customers, it is a fair estimation. As a result, Palantir appears to be trending toward an underlying sales growth rate closer to 20% than the company’s 30% sales growth guidance through mid-decade.InvesteesIt is important to step back and review Palantir’s investments in Investees as this is an extraordinarily unusual go-to-market strategy for customer acquisition. The above numbers, which suggest revenue growth is trending toward 20%, place Palantir’s use of its balance sheet cash to fund new customers in a new light. The following tables were compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q. The first table lists companies that Palantir has funded as of the end of Q3 2021. The second table displays Palantir’s investment commitments to new companies that are not yet funded.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have conducted a cursory review of each of the above companies. The common theme is that they are all early-stage companies in the most popular growth sectors. These sectors include EVs, robotics, flying electric vehicles, satellite services and drug discovery. None of the Investees appears to offer enough appreciation potential in its own right to move the needle materially for Palantir’s valuation. Palantir’s ownership stake ranges from 0.4% to 1.6%.It remains unclear how much of each company’s funding can be spent on Palantir’s software. Furthermore, it is not clear if the $19 million of revenue through Q3 2021 from these companies is sustainable.I have highlighted in blue Palantir’s total investment of $150 million in the seven companies. The yellow highlighted cell represents the current valuation of the investments. Palantir is now down approximately $64 million on these seven companies alone. This highlights an extreme risk for this method of customer acquisition as the capital losses to date dwarf the revenue generated. There are other private company investments not listed above, however, Palantir does not break out the details. They are included in other assets on Palantir’s balance sheet which amounted to $116 million as of Q3 2021.The following table displays Palantir’s commitments to invest in new companies as of Q3 2021. I have highlighted in yellow the two companies that Palantir funded subsequent to the end of Q3 2021.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in blue the total funding commitment for new investments as of Q3 2021. This is $252 million on top of the $150 million completed prior to the end of Q3. While I have not looked into these particular companies, they appear similar to the first seven investments reviewed above. Meaning, they appear to carry extreme capital risk with upside potential that is likely to be minimal when compared to the valuation upside inherent in Palantir’s software business. It should be noted that recent valuations were extreme and continue to contract rapidly. As a result, the timing risk for capital loss is also heightened by making the investments at the top of the VC/IPO cycle.Financial PerformanceTurning to Palantir’s recent performance, I have chosen to view sales growth excluding the Investees as this is the most likely sustainable growth trajectory. The following table was compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC. I made an adjustment by removing Investee revenue to arrive at a net revenue figure.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted in yellow the 29% revenue growth in Q3 2021 after removing the Investee revenue. Investees added 6.5% to growth in Q3. Year-to-date, the Investee revenue accounted for 1.7% revenue growth. The 29% growth rate is already decelerating beneath the company’s 30% growth guidance through mid-decade. Keep in mind that the Investee revenue stream will grow with additional funding of Palantir’s investment commitments. Regardless, growth is decelerating rapidly at 29% in Q3 compared to 41% year-to-date excluding these non-arm’s-length sales.Geographic & Segment SalesThe sales slowdown is being led by France, which contracted 22% through the first three quarters of 2021 (highlighted in orange below). It should be noted that Palantir has had a material relationship with Airbus and the airline industry. This could be a negative read through for an important client and industry. While the US remained the best performer in Q3 2021, growth is slowing rapidly as is evidenced by the blue highlighted cells below. The table was compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q filed with the SEC.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn addition to France, the rest of the world is also slowing rapidly, from 45% through the first nine months of the year to 20% in Q3 2021. Please note that these are reported sales without any adjustments. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and highlights that the large sales slowdown in Q3 occurred in the Government segment. Please keep in mind that the Investee revenue is included in the figures below and added approximately 6.5% to the Q3 growth rate in the Commercial segment.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn summary, the Commercial segment is growing revenue rather steadily, approximately 29% excluding the Investee revenue. However, the Government segment is decelerating rapidly, from 57% through the first nine months of 2021 to 34% in Q3.Gross Profit & KPIPalantir’s unusual customer acquisition strategy predates the shift to Investees. The company’s sales and marketing expenses appear to be quite similar to the cost of goods sold for other companies. This is the case because Palantir offers prospective customers free pilot programs as opposed to requiring payment upfront for use of its software. Sales and marketing personnel execute the pilot programs and coordinate solution development in order to generate sales. The following quote from the Q3 2021 10-Q summarizes the situation:Sales and marketing costs primarily include salaries, stock-based compensation expense, and benefits for our sales force and personnel involved in executing on pilots and customer growth activities...As a result, I view the sales and marketing expense in the case of Palantir to be a cost of goods sold and reduction to gross margin. While this categorization does not affect the bottom line, it does serve to place the reported 78% gross margin in context.I believe this perspective on sales and marketing expense is helpful in thinking about Palantir’s business model in relation to other companies and relative valuations that rely on gross profit margins. The following table was compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q and displays the reported cost of revenue and sales and marketing expense adjusted by removing the related stock-based compensation expense from each line item.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that the adjusted gross profit growth has slowed considerably to 25% in Q3 (highlighted in blue in the lower portion of the table) compared to 59% through the first nine months of 2021 (highlighted in yellow). The cost of sales is rising rapidly in Q3 2021 compared to the first nine months of the year.Palantir utilizes one KPI or Key Performance Indicator to judge performance and inform decision-making, which is referred to as Contribution Margin. It is similar to my adjusted gross margin figure above as can be seen in the following table compiled from Palantir’s Q3 2021 10-Q.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxNotice that the contribution row is remarkably similar to my adjusted gross profit row in the previous table. Additionally, the growth rate deceleration is similar, as can be seen in the highlighted cells. While 37% is materially different from my estimate of 25% growth, the step change lower from 64% is of similar amplitude.Operating IncomeTurning to operating income, I have adjusted the reported figures once again by removing stock option-related expenses as well as one-off expenses pertaining to the direct listing IPO in 2020. The overriding message is once again one of rapid deceleration. The following table was compiled from the same SEC filing and displays operating expenses excluding sales and marketing expenses, as well as my adjusted operating income estimate.Source: Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxIn the lower section of the table, notice the incredible deceleration in adjusted operating income to 40% growth in Q3 of 2021 compared to 266% growth through the first nine months of the year. General and administrative expenses accelerated rapidly in Q3 2021, while Palantir materially reduced research and development investment to just 5% growth in Q3.The research and development investment slowdown could be a negative read through for sales growth as R&D is an integral part of the sales process. Research and development expenses should track the sales cycle through the three customer phases: Acquire, Expand, and Scale. As customer needs are identified by sales and marketing, research and development expenses should respond to increased future sales potential. This does not appear to be happening at the moment.As of Q3 2021, Palantir is annualizing at an adjusted operating income run rate of approximately $300 to $320 million, or about $.16 per share. This is a before-tax operating income figure. The primary takeaway from the operating income front is that profitability is slowing rapidly. This provides additional color for the unusual Investee customer acquisition strategy being deployed.Consensus Growth EstimatesIf Palantir is producing at a $320 million adjusted annual operating income run rate and it was taxed at a normalized 25% rate, the current earnings power would be in the $240 million range or $.12 per diluted share. With this information and the growth deceleration outlined above, we can begin to put consensus earnings estimates into context. The following table was compiled from Seeking Alpha and displays consensus earnings and revenue estimates through 2023.Source: Seeking Alpha. Created by Brian Kapp, stoxdoxI have highlighted the 2022 consensus estimates for earnings and sales growth. Notice that the 39% consensus earnings growth estimate for 2022 is in line with the 40% operating income growth posted in Q3 of 2021. Additionally, the sales growth estimate of 30% is just above the 29% adjusted sales growth in Q3 2021 excluding sales to Investees.The 39% earnings growth expected for 2022 appears to be at material risk of being too high given the rapid slowdown in operating income to 40% in Q3 2021 compared to 266% through the first nine months of the year. This trajectory would likely place earnings growth for 2022 well below 39%.The 30% sales growth estimate for 2022 looks to be achievable given Palantir’s aggressive investment strategy in regard to Investees who then purchase Palantir software. I believe the market will tend to discount Investee sales as I have. Excluding these sales, the revenue growth trajectory appears to be trending closer to 20% than 30% for 2022, which opens the door to further growth disappointment.Looking to consensus estimates for 2023, the expected growth rates are remarkably similar to 2022. This straight-line growth forecast through 2023 adds to the risk that consensus estimates could be too high over the coming years. The current trajectory points to growth materially below that expected for 2022 and 2023.ValuationPalantir is trading at 87x the consensus earnings estimate for 2021 and 62x that for 2022. Please keep in mind that these are non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) earnings estimates. On a GAAP basis, Palantir continues to produce at a loss. The reported loss in Q3 2021 was $92 million and was $352 million through the first nine months of 2021.Using the non-GAAP earnings estimates, 87x current year earnings and 62x forward earnings are extreme valuations from a historical market perspective. That said, they are within the realm of possibility for a growth stock in recent years. When viewed against Palantir’s rapidly slowing sales and operating income growth rates, as well as the heightened risk that consensus estimates may be too high, the current valuation multiples on consensus estimates offer little margin for error.On the sales front, Palantir is valued at 17x the consensus 2021 revenue estimate and 13x that for 2022. These are extreme price-to-sales multiples for a large-cap company from a historical perspective. My estimate of core sales growth trending toward 20% excluding Investee revenue suggests that these valuation multiples on sales also offer little margin for error.The valuation risks are further elevated when combined with the rapidly slowing operating income growth. Furthermore, as can be seen in my adjusted gross margin figure growing at 25% as of Q3 2021, the Palantir business model may not be supportive of a historically extreme price-to-sales valuation.TechnicalsWhile the fundamental backdrop points toward little margin for error and subdued excess return potential, the technical setup suggests more meaningful upside return potential. The following 3-year weekly chart offers a bird’s eye view of the potential technical return spectrum. I have highlighted the key resistance levels with orange horizontal lines and the primary support level with a green line.Palantir 3-year weekly chart. (Created by Brian Kapp using a chart from Barchart.com)The return potential to the nearest resistance levels of $19 and $22 is 43% and 65%, respectively. On the downside, the nearest support lies at the IPO price range near $10. The downside return potential to this level is -25%. It should be noted that Palantir’s short trading history of 16 months limits the usefulness of technical analysis. Additionally, with no trading history beneath the IPO price, it is unclear where support will be found if the $10 level is breached to the downside.To estimate downside potential beneath $10, I apply an earnings multiple of 40x the 2022 non-GAAP consensus earnings estimate. This valuation is twice that of the current market averages and would place Palantir shares at $8. This represents -40% downside risk from current levels.If the 39% consensus earnings estimate for 2022 is too high, further downside from $8 is in the realm of possibility. To estimate the downside risk potential if estimates are too high, I apply the same 40x non-GAAP earnings to my estimate of Palantir’s current annual run rate for fully-taxed, non-GAAP profitability. If earnings growth comes in at 25% for 2022 (my estimate of adjusted gross profit growth as of Q3 2021) on top of my estimate of $.12 for the current annual run rate of adjusted earnings after tax, the shares could trade down to $6. This would represent downside risk of -55%.The following daily chart provides a closer look at the technical backdrop.The technical picture suggests heavy resistance between $19 and $22. Given the unrelenting downtrend over the past three months, a near-term bounce is likely. That said, the upside technical potential combined with the downside fundamental potential leaves the shares with a balanced potential return spectrum of 65% to -55% over the near term.SummaryAll told, Palantir should be placed on the watchlist for high-risk growth investors. The long-term opportunity lies in becoming a foundational enterprise operating system capable of integrating structured and unstructured data for real-time intelligence. However, with notable red flags in the mix, caution is in order. The primary red flags include slowing sales, an unusual go-to-market shift, rapidly decelerating profitability, and an elevated valuation which offers limited margin for error. The resulting symmetry between risk and reward results in a neutral rating.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633367335,"gmtCreate":1643780426861,"gmtModify":1643780496986,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633367335","repostId":"2208351732","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633903844,"gmtCreate":1643634693337,"gmtModify":1643634695404,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OMy....","listText":"OMy....","text":"OMy....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633903844","repostId":"1175691930","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175691930","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1643631356,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175691930?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-31 20:15","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"盘前 | 恐慌指数拉升！股指期货全线转跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175691930","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月31日，美股三大股指期货全线转跌，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.76%；纳斯达克100指数期货跌0.16%；标普500指数期货跌0.57%。恐慌指数VIX涨5.57% ，现报29.2盘前行情奈飞盘前涨超","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>1月31日，美股三大股指期货全线转跌，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.76%；纳斯达克100指数期货跌0.16%；标普500指数期货跌0.57%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5313bcd98b9d0f41eaa8fafeeadf2c55\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"183\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>恐慌指数VIX涨5.57% ，现报29.2</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb1f67f76f0c9dc2c05b54a852c3b9a0\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"822\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>盘前行情</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>盘前涨超3%，美国SEC一份文件显示，联合首席执行官回购51440股，涉资2000万美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯医药</a>盘前涨超4%，此前消息，与以色列达成协议，提供500万剂新冠肺炎疫苗。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat</a>盘前涨超4%，巴克莱将其从减配上调到超配，目标价从70美元上调至80美元。</p><p><b>欧洲市场</b></p><p>欧洲主要股指少数转跌，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.29%，英国富时100跌0.01%，法国CAC40跌0.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51c402aa5a783f72065015a42a473da3\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>原油</b></p><p>原油期货涨幅收窄，截止发稿，WTI原油涨0.36%，报87.13美元/桶；布伦特原油涨0.41%，报88.88美元/桶。</p><p>油价近期持续保持强势，基本面格局仍未有改观。俄乌局势引而未发，OPEC+增产始终未能达到目标，尽管油价前期已经消化这些影响，但空头仍然有所忌惮，未敢轻易入场做空。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb1f29f3ac33742d568c22c01b4abda5\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"825\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d60ec872235f85150241a1de272c23a\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"822\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>黄金</b></p><p>黄金期货日内走高，截止发稿，涨0.3%，报1791.9美元/盎司。</p><p>基本面美联储带来的压力有望继续发酵，市场开始消化加息四次以上的可能性，尤其在日内风险情绪尚可的情况下，金价下行的机会将更大。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/193fcfac001eb18816336ee50f1ddd4d\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"825\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前 | 恐慌指数拉升！股指期货全线转跌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前 | 恐慌指数拉升！股指期货全线转跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-31 20:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月31日，美股三大股指期货全线转跌，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.76%；纳斯达克100指数期货跌0.16%；标普500指数期货跌0.57%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5313bcd98b9d0f41eaa8fafeeadf2c55\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"183\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>恐慌指数VIX涨5.57% ，现报29.2</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb1f67f76f0c9dc2c05b54a852c3b9a0\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"822\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>盘前行情</b></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>盘前涨超3%，美国SEC一份文件显示，联合首席执行官回购51440股，涉资2000万美元。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯医药</a>盘前涨超4%，此前消息，与以色列达成协议，提供500万剂新冠肺炎疫苗。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYND\">Beyond Meat</a>盘前涨超4%，巴克莱将其从减配上调到超配，目标价从70美元上调至80美元。</p><p><b>欧洲市场</b></p><p>欧洲主要股指少数转跌，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.29%，英国富时100跌0.01%，法国CAC40跌0.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51c402aa5a783f72065015a42a473da3\" tg-width=\"822\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>原油</b></p><p>原油期货涨幅收窄，截止发稿，WTI原油涨0.36%，报87.13美元/桶；布伦特原油涨0.41%，报88.88美元/桶。</p><p>油价近期持续保持强势，基本面格局仍未有改观。俄乌局势引而未发，OPEC+增产始终未能达到目标，尽管油价前期已经消化这些影响，但空头仍然有所忌惮，未敢轻易入场做空。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb1f29f3ac33742d568c22c01b4abda5\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"825\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d60ec872235f85150241a1de272c23a\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"822\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>黄金</b></p><p>黄金期货日内走高，截止发稿，涨0.3%，报1791.9美元/盎司。</p><p>基本面美联储带来的压力有望继续发酵，市场开始消化加息四次以上的可能性，尤其在日内风险情绪尚可的情况下，金价下行的机会将更大。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/193fcfac001eb18816336ee50f1ddd4d\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"825\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175691930","content_text":"1月31日，美股三大股指期货全线转跌，截至发稿，道指期货跌0.76%；纳斯达克100指数期货跌0.16%；标普500指数期货跌0.57%。恐慌指数VIX涨5.57% ，现报29.2盘前行情奈飞盘前涨超3%，美国SEC一份文件显示，联合首席执行官回购51440股，涉资2000万美元。诺瓦瓦克斯医药盘前涨超4%，此前消息，与以色列达成协议，提供500万剂新冠肺炎疫苗。Beyond Meat盘前涨超4%，巴克莱将其从减配上调到超配，目标价从70美元上调至80美元。欧洲市场欧洲主要股指少数转跌，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.29%，英国富时100跌0.01%，法国CAC40跌0.3%。原油原油期货涨幅收窄，截止发稿，WTI原油涨0.36%，报87.13美元/桶；布伦特原油涨0.41%，报88.88美元/桶。油价近期持续保持强势，基本面格局仍未有改观。俄乌局势引而未发，OPEC+增产始终未能达到目标，尽管油价前期已经消化这些影响，但空头仍然有所忌惮，未敢轻易入场做空。黄金黄金期货日内走高，截止发稿，涨0.3%，报1791.9美元/盎司。基本面美联储带来的压力有望继续发酵，市场开始消化加息四次以上的可能性，尤其在日内风险情绪尚可的情况下，金价下行的机会将更大。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633010237,"gmtCreate":1643550799618,"gmtModify":1643550799881,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633010237","repostId":"2207803183","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630758439,"gmtCreate":1643063271704,"gmtModify":1643063271940,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630758439","repostId":"1120647228","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120647228","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1643028586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120647228?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-24 20:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Kohl’s Soared 27.3%; Unilever Surged 6.6%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120647228","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures slid on Monday after a bruising selloff last week, as geopolitical tensions","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures slid on Monday after a bruising selloff last week, as geopolitical tensions in Ukraine roiled risk appetite ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 08:31 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 228 points, or 0.67%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 46.75 points, or 1.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 218.75 points, or 1.52%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab508374f513e29226f0cd25657a2e0c\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"158\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p>Kohl’s (KSS) – Kohl’s soared 27.3% in premarket trading as takeover interest in the retailer ramps up. Starboard-backed Acacia Research is offering $64 per share for Kohl’s, compared to Friday’s close of $46.84 a share. People familiar with the matter say private-equity firm Sycamore Partners has reached out with a potential offer of at least $65 per share.</p><p>Snap (SNAP) – Snap shares slid 5.3% in the premarket after it was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Wedbush, which sees various headwinds impacting the social media network operator’s revenue growth.</p><p>Philips (PHG) – Philips slid 4.2% in premarket action after the Dutch health technology company reported falling profit due in part to supply chain issues that are expected to persist in coming months. Philips did predict a strong recovery in sales for the second half of the year.</p><p>Peloton (PTON) – Activist investor Blackwells Capital is calling on Peloton to fire its CEO and seek a sale of the company. The fitness equipment maker’s stock is down more than 80% from its all-time high, as it struggles to deal with rapidly changing supply-and-demand dynamics. Peloton fell 2% in premarket trading.</p><p>Halliburton (HAL) – Halliburton rose 1.5% in the premarket after the oilfield services company beat top and bottom line estimates for the fourth quarter. Halliburton earned 36 cents per share, 2 cents a share above estimates. Demand for the company’s services jumped as oil prices rose. Halliburton also raised its quarterly dividend to 12 cents per share from 4.5 cents a share.</p><p>Unilever (UL) – Unilever surged 6.6% in the premarket following reports that Nelson Peltz’s Trian Partners has built up a stake in the consumer products giant. The size of the stake could not be determined, and Trian said it did not comment on market rumors when contacted by CNBC.</p><p>Fox Corp. (FOXA) – Fox added 1.6% in premarket trading after UBS upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” UBS said among traditional media companies, Fox is among the best poised to benefit from an acceleration in sports betting, and also pointed to Fox’s strong position among pay-TV providers.</p><p>Discover Financial (DFS) – Discover Financial was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which cites several factors including the financial services company’s valuation. Discover gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p>Coinbase (COIN) – The cryptocurrency exchange operator’s shares tumbled 7.8% in the premarket, reflecting the downward move in crypto over the weekend and this morning, with Bitcoin touching its lowest level since July. Microstrategy (MSTR) – the business analytics company that holds several billion dollars in bitcoin – plunged 12.2%.</p><p>Comcast (CMCSA) – The NBCUniversal and CNBC parent was upgraded to “outperform” from “sector perform” at RBC Capital, which thinks that subscriber growth concerns have been overblown. Comcast added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p>Blackwells Capital to push stationary-bike maker to explore a sale, sources say. An activist investor wants Peloton Interactive Inc. to fire its chief executive and explore a sale after the stationary-bike maker’s stock plummeted more than 80% from its high, as growth slowed.</p><p>American banking giant JPMorgan has merged most of its European Union businesses into a single entity in Germany, it said on Monday, seeking to make its business in the bloc more competitive after Britain&#39;s departure.</p><p>U.S. department store Kohl&#39;s Corp may soon receive a second takeover offer as private equity firm. Sycamore Partners has reached out to Kohl&#39;s about a potential offer that would value the company around $9 billion, one source said. The firm is willing to pay at least $65 a share in cash for the company, the source said.</p><p>Accell Group, the maker of bicycle brands such as Sparta and Batavus, has agreed to an all-cash takeover by a consortium led by KKR that values the company at 1.56 billion euros ($1.77 billion), it said in a statement on Monday.</p><p>Wynn Resorts is looking to unload its online sports-betting business at a steep discount as the fledgling niche faces painful losses from stiff taxes and costly promotions needed to lure customers.</p><p>A stake that Nelson Peltz’s activist hedge fund has built in Unilever Plc is adding to pressure on the Dove soap maker’s chief executive officer, Alan Jope, after Jope’s failed bid to buy a consumer-health unit from GlaxoSmithKline Plc.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Kohl’s Soared 27.3%; Unilever Surged 6.6%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Kohl’s Soared 27.3%; Unilever Surged 6.6%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-24 20:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock index futures slid on Monday after a bruising selloff last week, as geopolitical tensions in Ukraine roiled risk appetite ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 08:31 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 228 points, or 0.67%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 46.75 points, or 1.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 218.75 points, or 1.52%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab508374f513e29226f0cd25657a2e0c\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"158\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p>Kohl’s (KSS) – Kohl’s soared 27.3% in premarket trading as takeover interest in the retailer ramps up. Starboard-backed Acacia Research is offering $64 per share for Kohl’s, compared to Friday’s close of $46.84 a share. People familiar with the matter say private-equity firm Sycamore Partners has reached out with a potential offer of at least $65 per share.</p><p>Snap (SNAP) – Snap shares slid 5.3% in the premarket after it was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Wedbush, which sees various headwinds impacting the social media network operator’s revenue growth.</p><p>Philips (PHG) – Philips slid 4.2% in premarket action after the Dutch health technology company reported falling profit due in part to supply chain issues that are expected to persist in coming months. Philips did predict a strong recovery in sales for the second half of the year.</p><p>Peloton (PTON) – Activist investor Blackwells Capital is calling on Peloton to fire its CEO and seek a sale of the company. The fitness equipment maker’s stock is down more than 80% from its all-time high, as it struggles to deal with rapidly changing supply-and-demand dynamics. Peloton fell 2% in premarket trading.</p><p>Halliburton (HAL) – Halliburton rose 1.5% in the premarket after the oilfield services company beat top and bottom line estimates for the fourth quarter. Halliburton earned 36 cents per share, 2 cents a share above estimates. Demand for the company’s services jumped as oil prices rose. Halliburton also raised its quarterly dividend to 12 cents per share from 4.5 cents a share.</p><p>Unilever (UL) – Unilever surged 6.6% in the premarket following reports that Nelson Peltz’s Trian Partners has built up a stake in the consumer products giant. The size of the stake could not be determined, and Trian said it did not comment on market rumors when contacted by CNBC.</p><p>Fox Corp. (FOXA) – Fox added 1.6% in premarket trading after UBS upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” UBS said among traditional media companies, Fox is among the best poised to benefit from an acceleration in sports betting, and also pointed to Fox’s strong position among pay-TV providers.</p><p>Discover Financial (DFS) – Discover Financial was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which cites several factors including the financial services company’s valuation. Discover gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p>Coinbase (COIN) – The cryptocurrency exchange operator’s shares tumbled 7.8% in the premarket, reflecting the downward move in crypto over the weekend and this morning, with Bitcoin touching its lowest level since July. Microstrategy (MSTR) – the business analytics company that holds several billion dollars in bitcoin – plunged 12.2%.</p><p>Comcast (CMCSA) – The NBCUniversal and CNBC parent was upgraded to “outperform” from “sector perform” at RBC Capital, which thinks that subscriber growth concerns have been overblown. Comcast added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p>Blackwells Capital to push stationary-bike maker to explore a sale, sources say. An activist investor wants Peloton Interactive Inc. to fire its chief executive and explore a sale after the stationary-bike maker’s stock plummeted more than 80% from its high, as growth slowed.</p><p>American banking giant JPMorgan has merged most of its European Union businesses into a single entity in Germany, it said on Monday, seeking to make its business in the bloc more competitive after Britain&#39;s departure.</p><p>U.S. department store Kohl&#39;s Corp may soon receive a second takeover offer as private equity firm. Sycamore Partners has reached out to Kohl&#39;s about a potential offer that would value the company around $9 billion, one source said. The firm is willing to pay at least $65 a share in cash for the company, the source said.</p><p>Accell Group, the maker of bicycle brands such as Sparta and Batavus, has agreed to an all-cash takeover by a consortium led by KKR that values the company at 1.56 billion euros ($1.77 billion), it said in a statement on Monday.</p><p>Wynn Resorts is looking to unload its online sports-betting business at a steep discount as the fledgling niche faces painful losses from stiff taxes and costly promotions needed to lure customers.</p><p>A stake that Nelson Peltz’s activist hedge fund has built in Unilever Plc is adding to pressure on the Dove soap maker’s chief executive officer, Alan Jope, after Jope’s failed bid to buy a consumer-health unit from GlaxoSmithKline Plc.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120647228","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures slid on Monday after a bruising selloff last week, as geopolitical tensions in Ukraine roiled risk appetite ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week.Market SnapshotAt 08:31 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 228 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 46.75 points, or 1.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 218.75 points, or 1.52%.Pre-Market MoversKohl’s (KSS) – Kohl’s soared 27.3% in premarket trading as takeover interest in the retailer ramps up. Starboard-backed Acacia Research is offering $64 per share for Kohl’s, compared to Friday’s close of $46.84 a share. People familiar with the matter say private-equity firm Sycamore Partners has reached out with a potential offer of at least $65 per share.Snap (SNAP) – Snap shares slid 5.3% in the premarket after it was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Wedbush, which sees various headwinds impacting the social media network operator’s revenue growth.Philips (PHG) – Philips slid 4.2% in premarket action after the Dutch health technology company reported falling profit due in part to supply chain issues that are expected to persist in coming months. Philips did predict a strong recovery in sales for the second half of the year.Peloton (PTON) – Activist investor Blackwells Capital is calling on Peloton to fire its CEO and seek a sale of the company. The fitness equipment maker’s stock is down more than 80% from its all-time high, as it struggles to deal with rapidly changing supply-and-demand dynamics. Peloton fell 2% in premarket trading.Halliburton (HAL) – Halliburton rose 1.5% in the premarket after the oilfield services company beat top and bottom line estimates for the fourth quarter. Halliburton earned 36 cents per share, 2 cents a share above estimates. Demand for the company’s services jumped as oil prices rose. Halliburton also raised its quarterly dividend to 12 cents per share from 4.5 cents a share.Unilever (UL) – Unilever surged 6.6% in the premarket following reports that Nelson Peltz’s Trian Partners has built up a stake in the consumer products giant. The size of the stake could not be determined, and Trian said it did not comment on market rumors when contacted by CNBC.Fox Corp. (FOXA) – Fox added 1.6% in premarket trading after UBS upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” UBS said among traditional media companies, Fox is among the best poised to benefit from an acceleration in sports betting, and also pointed to Fox’s strong position among pay-TV providers.Discover Financial (DFS) – Discover Financial was upgraded to “overweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which cites several factors including the financial services company’s valuation. Discover gained 1.1% in premarket trading.Coinbase (COIN) – The cryptocurrency exchange operator’s shares tumbled 7.8% in the premarket, reflecting the downward move in crypto over the weekend and this morning, with Bitcoin touching its lowest level since July. Microstrategy (MSTR) – the business analytics company that holds several billion dollars in bitcoin – plunged 12.2%.Comcast (CMCSA) – The NBCUniversal and CNBC parent was upgraded to “outperform” from “sector perform” at RBC Capital, which thinks that subscriber growth concerns have been overblown. Comcast added 1.1% in the premarket.Market NewsBlackwells Capital to push stationary-bike maker to explore a sale, sources say. An activist investor wants Peloton Interactive Inc. to fire its chief executive and explore a sale after the stationary-bike maker’s stock plummeted more than 80% from its high, as growth slowed.American banking giant JPMorgan has merged most of its European Union businesses into a single entity in Germany, it said on Monday, seeking to make its business in the bloc more competitive after Britain's departure.U.S. department store Kohl's Corp may soon receive a second takeover offer as private equity firm. Sycamore Partners has reached out to Kohl's about a potential offer that would value the company around $9 billion, one source said. The firm is willing to pay at least $65 a share in cash for the company, the source said.Accell Group, the maker of bicycle brands such as Sparta and Batavus, has agreed to an all-cash takeover by a consortium led by KKR that values the company at 1.56 billion euros ($1.77 billion), it said in a statement on Monday.Wynn Resorts is looking to unload its online sports-betting business at a steep discount as the fledgling niche faces painful losses from stiff taxes and costly promotions needed to lure customers.A stake that Nelson Peltz’s activist hedge fund has built in Unilever Plc is adding to pressure on the Dove soap maker’s chief executive officer, Alan Jope, after Jope’s failed bid to buy a consumer-health unit from GlaxoSmithKline Plc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630268707,"gmtCreate":1642913585082,"gmtModify":1642913585405,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630268707","repostId":"2205024969","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2205024969","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642896748,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2205024969?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-23 08:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Netflix's Growth Story May Not Be over as Wall Street Frets Subscriber Woes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2205024969","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Netflix (NFLX) shares plunged more than 20% on Friday — its biggest decline since October 2014 — aft","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Netflix (NFLX) shares plunged more than 20% on Friday — its biggest decline since October 2014 — after the streaming giant reported slowing subscriber growth in the fourth quarter, amid an already crowded streaming landscape.</p><p>The platform added a relatively weak 8.3 million subscribers in Q4, and forecasted a net add of only 2.5 million subscribers in the current quarter, compared to 3.98 million during the first quarter last year. But top media analysts have argued that this is not time to panic.</p><p>&#34;This is not over,&#34; LightShed Partners&#39; Rich Greenfield told Yahoo Finance Live this week. &#34;The reality is that we&#39;re still very early in the streaming conversion from linear TV to streaming television.&#34;</p><p>The analyst dismissed the notion that Netflix has hit some sort of a ceiling, noting that the company&#39;s roughly 222 million subscribers hasn&#39;t even touched the service.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s probably 600 to 800 million homes with high enough quality broadband to support Netflix streaming, or any streaming service,&#34; he explained.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s still lots of growth to go [but unfortunately] it isn&#39;t always the pretty straight line that the market would like,&#34; Greenfield added.</p><p>In 2021, the stock underperformed the S&amp;P 500 (^GSPC)<b> </b>after a blockbuster 2020 that saw streaming players soar on the wings of COVID-19 inspired &#34;stay at home&#34; trades.</p><p>Fueled by the shift to remote work and online school, subscriber numbers surged by a record 25.9 million additions in the first half of that turbulent year, before dropping off significantly as the effects that bolstered the &#34;stay at home&#34; trade ran its course.</p><p>Bank of America, which lowered its price target to $605 but reiterated its &#34;Buy&#34; rating, suggested that Netflix&#39;s earnings report could shift Wall Street&#39;s mindset moving forward.</p><blockquote>&#34;[Netflix] is actually very confident in the next several years. It&#39;s Wall Street that has no confidence...&#34;Richard Greenfield, Lightshed Partners</blockquote><p>&#34;Investor attention is likely to shift beyond a singular focus on subscribers to the potential long term profitability of these streaming businesses,&#34; the bank said in a new note published on Friday.</p><p>&#34;Streaming industry growth will be largely driven by international markets as it appears the U.S. is approaching peak penetration levels,&#34; the note continued, adding that &#34;large incumbents such as Amazon and Netflix will retain a top tier position along with Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery.&#34;</p><p>Netflix has re-focused its attention on international markets with BofA seeing &#34;continued growth in Asia&#34; as a key driver in 2022.</p><h2><b>&#39;More shots on goal than anyone else&#39;</b></h2><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bce7b57044a7e1beea07ebf2ce9846d5\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"549\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Squid Game (Courtesy: Netflix)</p><p>Netflix has already set the tone for the upcoming year, hiking its U.S. basic plan by $1 to $9.99 per month. A standard plan now costs $15.49 (up from $13.99.), and the company&#39;s premium plan increased to $19.99 per month from $17.99.</p><p>Netflix COO Greg Peters said during its earnings call that &#34;customers are willing to pay for great entertainment,&#34; with fan favorite originals including &#34;Ozark,&#34; &#34;Bridgerton,&#34; &#34;Stranger Things&#34; and &#34;The Crown&#34; all set to make triumphant returns this year.</p><p>And compared to other streamers, LightShed&#39;s Greenfield credited Netflix with taking &#34;more shots on goal than anyone else.&#34; He cited the surprise success of &#34;Squid Game&#34; as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> recent example, with a record 142 million people watched the hit South Korean show in its first four weeks.</p><p>&#34;Nobody had &#39;Squid Game&#39; as the breakout hit that was going to fuel Q4 a year ago,&#34; the analyst said, surmising that Netflix will surprise people this year due to &#34;the amount of shots on goal that they&#39;re taking.&#34;</p><p>Still, Netflix acknowledged that competition may be &#34;affecting marginal growth some&#34; during its earnings call on Thursday night. While the company still leads in paid users — Amazon Prime Video has 175 million subscribers and Disney’s Hulu, Disney+, and ESPN+ have a total of 179 million subscribers — other streaming peers are quickly catching up.</p><p>Despite the competition, Greenfield reiterated that Netflix is uniquely positioned thanks, in large part, to its commitment to content.</p><p>&#34;There is certainly a fear that if Netflix doesn&#39;t have enough content to continue to grow subscribers, imagine what everyone else has to do, the analyst said. Competitors &#34;are spending far, far less than Netflix.&#34;</p><p>Greenfield argued investors should breathe a sigh of relief knowing that the streamer is continuing to spend billions of dollars on content around the globe.</p><p>&#34;If Netflix was telling you, &#39;Look, it doesn&#39;t make sense to spend more money&#39; [then] that&#39;s a really negative sign...but, instead, they&#39;re investing more in content all over the world,&#34; Greenfield explained. The company is &#34;actually very confident in the next several years. It&#39;s Wall Street that has no confidence in that and is just worried that this growth story.&#34;</p><p>Bank of America agreed that content spending will remain a focus point in the space, warning that &#34;sub-scale providers will struggle to keep up with the dramatic increases in content spending and will ultimately need to find additional partners to reach the scale required to compete on a global scale.&#34;</p></body></html>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Netflix's Growth Story May Not Be over as Wall Street Frets Subscriber Woes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Netflix's Growth Story May Not Be over as Wall Street Frets Subscriber Woes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-23 08:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-plummets-on-subscriber-miss-but-top-analyst-says-growth-story-is-not-over-180553375.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Netflix (NFLX) shares plunged more than 20% on Friday — its biggest decline since October 2014 — after the streaming giant reported slowing subscriber growth in the fourth quarter, amid an already ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-plummets-on-subscriber-miss-but-top-analyst-says-growth-story-is-not-over-180553375.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4566":"资本集团","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","DIS":"迪士尼","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","NFLX":"奈飞","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/netflix-plummets-on-subscriber-miss-but-top-analyst-says-growth-story-is-not-over-180553375.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2205024969","content_text":"Netflix (NFLX) shares plunged more than 20% on Friday — its biggest decline since October 2014 — after the streaming giant reported slowing subscriber growth in the fourth quarter, amid an already crowded streaming landscape.The platform added a relatively weak 8.3 million subscribers in Q4, and forecasted a net add of only 2.5 million subscribers in the current quarter, compared to 3.98 million during the first quarter last year. But top media analysts have argued that this is not time to panic.\"This is not over,\" LightShed Partners' Rich Greenfield told Yahoo Finance Live this week. \"The reality is that we're still very early in the streaming conversion from linear TV to streaming television.\"The analyst dismissed the notion that Netflix has hit some sort of a ceiling, noting that the company's roughly 222 million subscribers hasn't even touched the service.\"There's probably 600 to 800 million homes with high enough quality broadband to support Netflix streaming, or any streaming service,\" he explained.\"There's still lots of growth to go [but unfortunately] it isn't always the pretty straight line that the market would like,\" Greenfield added.In 2021, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 (^GSPC) after a blockbuster 2020 that saw streaming players soar on the wings of COVID-19 inspired \"stay at home\" trades.Fueled by the shift to remote work and online school, subscriber numbers surged by a record 25.9 million additions in the first half of that turbulent year, before dropping off significantly as the effects that bolstered the \"stay at home\" trade ran its course.Bank of America, which lowered its price target to $605 but reiterated its \"Buy\" rating, suggested that Netflix's earnings report could shift Wall Street's mindset moving forward.\"[Netflix] is actually very confident in the next several years. It's Wall Street that has no confidence...\"Richard Greenfield, Lightshed Partners\"Investor attention is likely to shift beyond a singular focus on subscribers to the potential long term profitability of these streaming businesses,\" the bank said in a new note published on Friday.\"Streaming industry growth will be largely driven by international markets as it appears the U.S. is approaching peak penetration levels,\" the note continued, adding that \"large incumbents such as Amazon and Netflix will retain a top tier position along with Disney and Warner Bros. Discovery.\"Netflix has re-focused its attention on international markets with BofA seeing \"continued growth in Asia\" as a key driver in 2022.'More shots on goal than anyone else'Squid Game (Courtesy: Netflix)Netflix has already set the tone for the upcoming year, hiking its U.S. basic plan by $1 to $9.99 per month. A standard plan now costs $15.49 (up from $13.99.), and the company's premium plan increased to $19.99 per month from $17.99.Netflix COO Greg Peters said during its earnings call that \"customers are willing to pay for great entertainment,\" with fan favorite originals including \"Ozark,\" \"Bridgerton,\" \"Stranger Things\" and \"The Crown\" all set to make triumphant returns this year.And compared to other streamers, LightShed's Greenfield credited Netflix with taking \"more shots on goal than anyone else.\" He cited the surprise success of \"Squid Game\" as one recent example, with a record 142 million people watched the hit South Korean show in its first four weeks.\"Nobody had 'Squid Game' as the breakout hit that was going to fuel Q4 a year ago,\" the analyst said, surmising that Netflix will surprise people this year due to \"the amount of shots on goal that they're taking.\"Still, Netflix acknowledged that competition may be \"affecting marginal growth some\" during its earnings call on Thursday night. While the company still leads in paid users — Amazon Prime Video has 175 million subscribers and Disney’s Hulu, Disney+, and ESPN+ have a total of 179 million subscribers — other streaming peers are quickly catching up.Despite the competition, Greenfield reiterated that Netflix is uniquely positioned thanks, in large part, to its commitment to content.\"There is certainly a fear that if Netflix doesn't have enough content to continue to grow subscribers, imagine what everyone else has to do, the analyst said. Competitors \"are spending far, far less than Netflix.\"Greenfield argued investors should breathe a sigh of relief knowing that the streamer is continuing to spend billions of dollars on content around the globe.\"If Netflix was telling you, 'Look, it doesn't make sense to spend more money' [then] that's a really negative sign...but, instead, they're investing more in content all over the world,\" Greenfield explained. The company is \"actually very confident in the next several years. It's Wall Street that has no confidence in that and is just worried that this growth story.\"Bank of America agreed that content spending will remain a focus point in the space, warning that \"sub-scale providers will struggle to keep up with the dramatic increases in content spending and will ultimately need to find additional partners to reach the scale required to compete on a global scale.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630992523,"gmtCreate":1642656986704,"gmtModify":1642656986997,"author":{"id":"3572043809285615","authorId":"3572043809285615","name":"NP_YT","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572043809285615","authorIdStr":"3572043809285615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630992523","repostId":"2204320050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}