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oneplus374
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2021-12-01
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What Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets
Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX Higher U.S. rates could trigger capital
What Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets
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The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also
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like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603022928","repostId":"1136781080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136781080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638341251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136781080?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 14:47","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"What Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136781080","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX\nHigher U.S. rates could trigger capital","content":"<ul>\n <li>Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX</li>\n <li>Higher U.S. rates could trigger capital flows out of region</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Jerome Powell sent a stir through global markets Tuesday, paving the way for quicker-than-expected U.S. hikes, which would ripple through rate-sensitive Asian assets.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve Chair told Congress that policymakers will discuss whether to wrap up bond purchases a few months earlier and retired the word “transitory” from his commentary on inflation. Higher U.S. rates would have a significant impact on Asian assets if capital flows to America. A stronger greenback has implications for Asia’s export-heavy companies and economies and the dollar-denominated debt of the region’s sovereign and corporate borrowers.</p>\n<p>Still, Asia stocks and currencies are rallying Wednesday with some strategists saying Powell’s comments about a faster taper weren’t unexpected. His nod toward the uncertainty caused by the omicron variant has also blunted the hawkish tone, according to Tomo Kinoshita, global market strategist at Invesco Asset Management.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5fb6c8c29a959328a059ba71b72f5f\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Here are the thoughts of Asia watchers on what Powell’s shift means for the region’s markets:</p>\n<p><b>Deferring to the Dollar</b></p>\n<p>“Prospects of quicker taper and higher U.S. rates will stress test the allure of higher returns in EM Asia and as a consequence the ‘stickiness’ of funds parked in this part of the world,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd in Singapore.</p>\n<p>“We have long maintained that the outcome will be ‘KokomoFed,’ that gets there fast and then takes it slow after,” he said, referring to a Beach Boys song. “And this in turn will prompt a ‘Kokomo dollar,’ whereby the bias is for the dollar to be skewed to strength.”</p>\n<p><b>Bad for High Beta</b></p>\n<p>“The threat of faster tapering is bad news for high-beta markets such as EM,” said Sue Trinh, managing director for global macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management in Hong Kong.</p>\n<p>“Yet we have been of the view that Asia is well-placed within EM to withstand any potential monetary volatility -- inflation in Asia more contained and Asia is less reliant on foreign capital than other EM,” she said. “The not-so-good news for Asia is that the region is far too reliant on foreign demand to absorb its exports.”</p>\n<p><b>Risk Asset Pressure</b></p>\n<p>“Expect more pressure on risk assets in general, including Asian equities,” said Alvin T. Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.</p>\n<p>“However, Asian FX have held up really well in this latest risk-off bout, and that was because the whole market was furiously loading up on U.S. dollars right into the omicron news,” he added. “So it is U.S. dollars that are being unwound this time. In that way it has been an unusual ‘risk-off’ experience, though JPY has behaved more conventionally.”</p>\n<p><b>Focus on Renminbi</b></p>\n<p>“We expect the Thai baht to be most at risk, especially since it has an additional negative that the re-emergence of Covid-19 concerns will potentially further set back the return of tourism,” said Terence Wu, a foreign-exchange strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore.</p>\n<p>“More importantly, we will be watching closely developments in the renminbi. The RMB has been strong on a basket basis, and that has sheltered the Asian currencies. Should the RMB start to show signs of weakness, expect the flow-through of dollar strength to the EM Asian currencies to be stronger.”</p>\n<p><b>China Chance</b></p>\n<p>“Extreme dollar strength because of higher U.S. interest rates is a headwind for Asia and EM equities, but China and large Asean markets such as Indonesia could still outperform western markets in 2022 because of reversion to mean,” said Michael Rainer Preiss, portfolio strategist at Golden Equator Wealth. “China already had a big correction and the valuation argument for China equities is getting stronger.”</p>\n<p><b>Mixed Asian FX</b></p>\n<p>“While Powell’s comments suggest the Fed could bring forward their rate hike to as soon as the middle of 2022, the dollar failed to rally on the back of this.,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. “This is likely because the Fed Chair’s statement is only matching market expectations.”</p>\n<p>“The impact on Asian FX will likely be mixed. With export growth still strong in the region, as shown by today’s stronger than expected Korean numbers, currencies of export driven economies like KRW, CNH and SGD will fare well. Prospects for higher U.S. yields could weigh slightly on IDR due to reduced foreign bond inflows. THB will be more influenced by how the Omicron variant may affect Thailand’s tourism reopening.”</p>\n<p><b>Thin Spreads</b></p>\n<p>The spread cushion on Asian dollar bonds from rising Treasury yields is “thin at best” with valuations near multi-year tights, with the exception of China’s property issuers, according to Ek Pon Tay, BNP Paribas Asset Management’s senior portfolio manager in Singapore.</p>\n<p>Tay recommends investors overweight investment-grade rated China property credits as these issuers are likely to survive in the event of a prolonged sector downturn and valuations offer ample spread cushion versus others.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-01 14:47 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-powell-s-hawkish-transition-could-mean-for-asian-markets><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX\nHigher U.S. rates could trigger capital flows out of region\n\nJerome Powell sent a stir through global markets Tuesday, paving the way for ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-powell-s-hawkish-transition-could-mean-for-asian-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-powell-s-hawkish-transition-could-mean-for-asian-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136781080","content_text":"Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX\nHigher U.S. rates could trigger capital flows out of region\n\nJerome Powell sent a stir through global markets Tuesday, paving the way for quicker-than-expected U.S. hikes, which would ripple through rate-sensitive Asian assets.\nThe Federal Reserve Chair told Congress that policymakers will discuss whether to wrap up bond purchases a few months earlier and retired the word “transitory” from his commentary on inflation. Higher U.S. rates would have a significant impact on Asian assets if capital flows to America. A stronger greenback has implications for Asia’s export-heavy companies and economies and the dollar-denominated debt of the region’s sovereign and corporate borrowers.\nStill, Asia stocks and currencies are rallying Wednesday with some strategists saying Powell’s comments about a faster taper weren’t unexpected. His nod toward the uncertainty caused by the omicron variant has also blunted the hawkish tone, according to Tomo Kinoshita, global market strategist at Invesco Asset Management.\n\nHere are the thoughts of Asia watchers on what Powell’s shift means for the region’s markets:\nDeferring to the Dollar\n“Prospects of quicker taper and higher U.S. rates will stress test the allure of higher returns in EM Asia and as a consequence the ‘stickiness’ of funds parked in this part of the world,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd in Singapore.\n“We have long maintained that the outcome will be ‘KokomoFed,’ that gets there fast and then takes it slow after,” he said, referring to a Beach Boys song. “And this in turn will prompt a ‘Kokomo dollar,’ whereby the bias is for the dollar to be skewed to strength.”\nBad for High Beta\n“The threat of faster tapering is bad news for high-beta markets such as EM,” said Sue Trinh, managing director for global macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management in Hong Kong.\n“Yet we have been of the view that Asia is well-placed within EM to withstand any potential monetary volatility -- inflation in Asia more contained and Asia is less reliant on foreign capital than other EM,” she said. “The not-so-good news for Asia is that the region is far too reliant on foreign demand to absorb its exports.”\nRisk Asset Pressure\n“Expect more pressure on risk assets in general, including Asian equities,” said Alvin T. Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.\n“However, Asian FX have held up really well in this latest risk-off bout, and that was because the whole market was furiously loading up on U.S. dollars right into the omicron news,” he added. “So it is U.S. dollars that are being unwound this time. In that way it has been an unusual ‘risk-off’ experience, though JPY has behaved more conventionally.”\nFocus on Renminbi\n“We expect the Thai baht to be most at risk, especially since it has an additional negative that the re-emergence of Covid-19 concerns will potentially further set back the return of tourism,” said Terence Wu, a foreign-exchange strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore.\n“More importantly, we will be watching closely developments in the renminbi. The RMB has been strong on a basket basis, and that has sheltered the Asian currencies. Should the RMB start to show signs of weakness, expect the flow-through of dollar strength to the EM Asian currencies to be stronger.”\nChina Chance\n“Extreme dollar strength because of higher U.S. interest rates is a headwind for Asia and EM equities, but China and large Asean markets such as Indonesia could still outperform western markets in 2022 because of reversion to mean,” said Michael Rainer Preiss, portfolio strategist at Golden Equator Wealth. “China already had a big correction and the valuation argument for China equities is getting stronger.”\nMixed Asian FX\n“While Powell’s comments suggest the Fed could bring forward their rate hike to as soon as the middle of 2022, the dollar failed to rally on the back of this.,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. “This is likely because the Fed Chair’s statement is only matching market expectations.”\n“The impact on Asian FX will likely be mixed. With export growth still strong in the region, as shown by today’s stronger than expected Korean numbers, currencies of export driven economies like KRW, CNH and SGD will fare well. Prospects for higher U.S. yields could weigh slightly on IDR due to reduced foreign bond inflows. THB will be more influenced by how the Omicron variant may affect Thailand’s tourism reopening.”\nThin Spreads\nThe spread cushion on Asian dollar bonds from rising Treasury yields is “thin at best” with valuations near multi-year tights, with the exception of China’s property issuers, according to Ek Pon Tay, BNP Paribas Asset Management’s senior portfolio manager in Singapore.\nTay recommends investors overweight investment-grade rated China property credits as these issuers are likely to survive in the event of a prolonged sector downturn and valuations offer ample spread cushion versus others.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854568467,"gmtCreate":1635468636079,"gmtModify":1635468637197,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854568467","repostId":"2179291938","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821032693,"gmtCreate":1633671936971,"gmtModify":1633671938328,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like pls","listText":"like pls","text":"like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821032693","repostId":"1138936175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829992402,"gmtCreate":1633448297350,"gmtModify":1633448314053,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829992402","repostId":"2173151429","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860417857,"gmtCreate":1632197835679,"gmtModify":1632802119523,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860417857","repostId":"1102179356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860895464,"gmtCreate":1632150283958,"gmtModify":1632802489442,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860895464","repostId":"1194891884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194891884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632091615,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194891884?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194891884","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also","content":"<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p>\n<p>Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p>\n<p><b>Monday 9/20</b></p>\n<p>Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p>\n<p>Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p>\n<p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p>\n<p><b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p>\n<p>Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p>\n<p>Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p>\n<p><b>The FOMC announces</b> its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p>\n<p>General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p>\n<p>Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.</p>\n<p><b>TheBank of Japan</b> announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p>\n<p><b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.</p>\n<p><b>Thursday 9/23</b></p>\n<p>Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p>\n<p>Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p>\n<p><b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p>\n<p><b>Friday 9/24</b></p>\n<p>Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-20 06:46 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe","CRM":"赛富时",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FDX":"联邦快递",".DJI":"道琼斯","COST":"好市多","NKE":"耐克",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194891884","content_text":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\nLennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.\nEconomic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.\nMonday 9/20\nLennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.\nMerck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.\nTuesday 9/21\nAdobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.\nBiogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.\nThe Census Bureau reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.\nWednesday 9/22\nThe FOMC announces its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.\nGeneral Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.\nBoston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.\nTheBank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.\nThursday 9/23\nAccenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.\nSalesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.\nFriday 9/24\nKansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"COST":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884764717,"gmtCreate":1631935215539,"gmtModify":1632805223326,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884764717","repostId":"2168716185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884189633,"gmtCreate":1631867223822,"gmtModify":1632805699574,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884189633","repostId":"1176866095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884189044,"gmtCreate":1631867198688,"gmtModify":1632805699816,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884189044","repostId":"1189843549","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189843549","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631864545,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189843549?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-17 15:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD Stock: Strong Momentum And Path To Strong Compounded Annual Returns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189843549","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIn the dark days of 2015 and 2016, AMD traded for less than $3 and the company was loaded d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In the dark days of 2015 and 2016, AMD traded for less than $3 and the company was loaded down with junk bonds.</li>\n <li>Today, AMD's tech is getting positive reviews, the balance sheet is cleaned up, and there are big opportunities to continue grabbing market share in data centers.</li>\n <li>AMD just raised revenue and margin guidance, with some analysts expecting AMD to earn as much as $7 per share by 2024.</li>\n <li>Why momentum investing works and how to execute it with AMD.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad09afc88b98d84d101279ec2e71adec\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., better known as AMD, is one of the most popular NASDAQ stocks over the past few years with young investors, many of whom are into cryptocurrency and/or gaming. CEO Lisa Su took over in 2014, bringing both world-class engineering knowledge and business street smarts to the company. AMD quickly diversified into new product lines and has since gotten plenty of positive press for offering performance at a reasonable price. If you look at a long-run price graph of AMD, you'll see that it's a very boom and bust stock, obviously, the semiconductor business is cyclical, but the previous management had a habit of overleveraging the company, causing returns to be lower than they would be otherwise because much of the return went to creditors and not shareholders. Now AMD has a bunch of positive momentum, both in the share price and the business. Will AMD keep winning? I believe so, and I'll explain why.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79d63abb98a3a3779a37169300fade7a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<ul>\n <li>In the past, lack of diversification and too much leverage forced AMD to raise capital during down cycles through junk bonds, often via convertible debt. Convertible debt is expensive because it generally pays interest and dilutes shareholders. As a general rule, convertible debt is generally preferred by savvy high-net-worth investors and institutions while retail investors tend to assume the common stock represents the whole company (it doesn't) and allow Wall Street to take free shots at them. Convertible debt tends to be issued by companies with low credit ratings and/or speculative business prospects. AMD and other chip companies like Micron (MU) have greatly improved their financial position over time, leading to the convertible debt no longer being necessary in many cases. The new generation of management teams at semiconductors has figured out how to manage risk and leverage better, allowing them to firmly take advantage of one of the biggest growth opportunities for any industry in the 21st century. You can get around the problem of overleverage, in general, by investing in the stocks of companies that have at least investment-grade credit ratings (research showst he returns tend to be better anyway for companies with strong credit ratings). AMD's hard work in diversifying the business and reducing debt has paid off, and the company now has an investment-grade credit rating. I would expect the markets to offer AMD capital at lower and lower rates relative to the market at large, bringing a virtuous circle that should act as a great tailwind going forward.</li>\n <li>AMD has announced that they are acquiring chipmaker Xilinx (XLNX), and the consensus opinion seems to be that it's a good deal from a strategic standpoint (some deal analysis here). The deal may or may not actually close though, and Chinese regulators need to approve the deal. If the deal doesn't close, I don't view it as posing a large price risk to AMD, but it would be a nice kicker.</li>\n <li>The party may just be getting started. A recent piece in Barron's suggested that AMD could earn over $7 per share in 2024 if the company reinvests some of its profit in the business.</li>\n <li>Management may be being fairly conservative with their earnings guidance, as evidenced by how much the company has crushed earnings estimates in recent quarters. Most analysts only have estimates going out to 2023, but they do have AMD growing earnings by 20+ percent annually each year. I think these estimates are too low, and AMD stock should appreciate more or less in line with earnings growth. $3.50 in 2022 earnings and a 36x multiple would imply a 12-month price target of roughly $126 for AMD (20 percent upside), with more upside to come if they can get the supply chain caught up.</li>\n <li>AMD believes data centers are a $30 billion-plus annual total-addressable-market opportunity. As was noted on the mostrecent conference call, AMD is steadily pulling market share for the server category, which includes data centers. The idea here is that AMD has built superior technology than Intel (INTC) over the past few years, forcing Intel to play catch-up (which takes a long time in the tech space) and giving AMD a chance to press its advantage.</li>\n <li>AMD outsources manufacturing to Taiwan, which does create risk for the company if the China/Taiwan geopolitical situation changes. Additionally, the Xilinx acquisition requires Chinese approval, meaning that AMD has risk from a couple of different angles from China. So far, thechip shortage has somewhat constrained AMD's ability to supply the market, with lead times higher there than with their competitors. On the flip side, if the chip shortage does ease, this could be a positive catalyst for the company.</li>\n <li>Intel is the elephant in the semiconductor industry, but AMD has outmaneuvered Intel at every turn so far since Lisa Su took over. Intel stock offers a much lower price to earnings multiple than AMD, but lower growth prospects.Recent newsis that Intel is willing to cut server CPU prices to win business back, but the AMD chips compare favorably on performance and energy consumption. Winning semiconductor market share is more than cutting prices, if you sell cheap chips that are inefficient and cause your customers to have to spend more on electricity, then cutting prices isn't going to help you as much as you think. Due to the ongoing carrying costs of data centers, AMD can win market share by building technology alone, no matter what pricing strategy their competitors do.</li>\n <li>There are macro and micro risks to AMD. The macro risks are well-known and mainly relate to geopolitics, supply chain issues, and the global economy at large. The micro issues with AMD often relate to its perpetual status as the underdog. Intel, for example, has a greater market share and more R&D resources, but AMD has gained an advantage in technology over them. To win in the market, AMD must press this advantage and reinvest in R&D. After all, investing in technology is high-risk, high-reward. Winning tech companies make fortunes for their investors while losing ones tend to be forgotten to history. This is one reason why momentum investing and technology stocks go hand in hand.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>AMD Stock Forecast</b></p>\n<p>Academic research generally holds that investors underreact to success when pricing the stocks of winning businesses. This has to do with behavioral finance factors, like investors taking their profits and spending them while holding losing stocks (known as the disposition effect), as well as business factors (good managements tend to keep winning). This leads to returns above 20 percent annually for winning stocks in many cases. While the semiconductor business is cyclical, meaning that AMD shareholders may want to sell when the cycle inevitably turns again, AMD is one of the cleanest momentum stocks on the market right now.</p>\n<p>I wouldn't be surprised in the least if the company rises another 20-25 percent from here in the next 12 months. If the Barron's earnings call is correct, AMD should trade close to $200 by 2024 if the PE can remain at least in the 28-30x range, for an annual compound return of roughly 25 percent. While there are risks related to the semiconductor cycle, geopolitics, and competition, AMD seems to be one of the best buys in tech today.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD Stock: Strong Momentum And Path To Strong Compounded Annual Returns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD Stock: Strong Momentum And Path To Strong Compounded Annual Returns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-17 15:42 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455692-amd-stock-strong-momentum-and-path-to-strong-compounded-annual-returns><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIn the dark days of 2015 and 2016, AMD traded for less than $3 and the company was loaded down with junk bonds.\nToday, AMD's tech is getting positive reviews, the balance sheet is cleaned up,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455692-amd-stock-strong-momentum-and-path-to-strong-compounded-annual-returns\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455692-amd-stock-strong-momentum-and-path-to-strong-compounded-annual-returns","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189843549","content_text":"Summary\n\nIn the dark days of 2015 and 2016, AMD traded for less than $3 and the company was loaded down with junk bonds.\nToday, AMD's tech is getting positive reviews, the balance sheet is cleaned up, and there are big opportunities to continue grabbing market share in data centers.\nAMD just raised revenue and margin guidance, with some analysts expecting AMD to earn as much as $7 per share by 2024.\nWhy momentum investing works and how to execute it with AMD.\n\nvchal/iStock via Getty Images\nAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc., better known as AMD, is one of the most popular NASDAQ stocks over the past few years with young investors, many of whom are into cryptocurrency and/or gaming. CEO Lisa Su took over in 2014, bringing both world-class engineering knowledge and business street smarts to the company. AMD quickly diversified into new product lines and has since gotten plenty of positive press for offering performance at a reasonable price. If you look at a long-run price graph of AMD, you'll see that it's a very boom and bust stock, obviously, the semiconductor business is cyclical, but the previous management had a habit of overleveraging the company, causing returns to be lower than they would be otherwise because much of the return went to creditors and not shareholders. Now AMD has a bunch of positive momentum, both in the share price and the business. Will AMD keep winning? I believe so, and I'll explain why.\nData by YCharts\n\nIn the past, lack of diversification and too much leverage forced AMD to raise capital during down cycles through junk bonds, often via convertible debt. Convertible debt is expensive because it generally pays interest and dilutes shareholders. As a general rule, convertible debt is generally preferred by savvy high-net-worth investors and institutions while retail investors tend to assume the common stock represents the whole company (it doesn't) and allow Wall Street to take free shots at them. Convertible debt tends to be issued by companies with low credit ratings and/or speculative business prospects. AMD and other chip companies like Micron (MU) have greatly improved their financial position over time, leading to the convertible debt no longer being necessary in many cases. The new generation of management teams at semiconductors has figured out how to manage risk and leverage better, allowing them to firmly take advantage of one of the biggest growth opportunities for any industry in the 21st century. You can get around the problem of overleverage, in general, by investing in the stocks of companies that have at least investment-grade credit ratings (research showst he returns tend to be better anyway for companies with strong credit ratings). AMD's hard work in diversifying the business and reducing debt has paid off, and the company now has an investment-grade credit rating. I would expect the markets to offer AMD capital at lower and lower rates relative to the market at large, bringing a virtuous circle that should act as a great tailwind going forward.\nAMD has announced that they are acquiring chipmaker Xilinx (XLNX), and the consensus opinion seems to be that it's a good deal from a strategic standpoint (some deal analysis here). The deal may or may not actually close though, and Chinese regulators need to approve the deal. If the deal doesn't close, I don't view it as posing a large price risk to AMD, but it would be a nice kicker.\nThe party may just be getting started. A recent piece in Barron's suggested that AMD could earn over $7 per share in 2024 if the company reinvests some of its profit in the business.\nManagement may be being fairly conservative with their earnings guidance, as evidenced by how much the company has crushed earnings estimates in recent quarters. Most analysts only have estimates going out to 2023, but they do have AMD growing earnings by 20+ percent annually each year. I think these estimates are too low, and AMD stock should appreciate more or less in line with earnings growth. $3.50 in 2022 earnings and a 36x multiple would imply a 12-month price target of roughly $126 for AMD (20 percent upside), with more upside to come if they can get the supply chain caught up.\nAMD believes data centers are a $30 billion-plus annual total-addressable-market opportunity. As was noted on the mostrecent conference call, AMD is steadily pulling market share for the server category, which includes data centers. The idea here is that AMD has built superior technology than Intel (INTC) over the past few years, forcing Intel to play catch-up (which takes a long time in the tech space) and giving AMD a chance to press its advantage.\nAMD outsources manufacturing to Taiwan, which does create risk for the company if the China/Taiwan geopolitical situation changes. Additionally, the Xilinx acquisition requires Chinese approval, meaning that AMD has risk from a couple of different angles from China. So far, thechip shortage has somewhat constrained AMD's ability to supply the market, with lead times higher there than with their competitors. On the flip side, if the chip shortage does ease, this could be a positive catalyst for the company.\nIntel is the elephant in the semiconductor industry, but AMD has outmaneuvered Intel at every turn so far since Lisa Su took over. Intel stock offers a much lower price to earnings multiple than AMD, but lower growth prospects.Recent newsis that Intel is willing to cut server CPU prices to win business back, but the AMD chips compare favorably on performance and energy consumption. Winning semiconductor market share is more than cutting prices, if you sell cheap chips that are inefficient and cause your customers to have to spend more on electricity, then cutting prices isn't going to help you as much as you think. Due to the ongoing carrying costs of data centers, AMD can win market share by building technology alone, no matter what pricing strategy their competitors do.\nThere are macro and micro risks to AMD. The macro risks are well-known and mainly relate to geopolitics, supply chain issues, and the global economy at large. The micro issues with AMD often relate to its perpetual status as the underdog. Intel, for example, has a greater market share and more R&D resources, but AMD has gained an advantage in technology over them. To win in the market, AMD must press this advantage and reinvest in R&D. After all, investing in technology is high-risk, high-reward. Winning tech companies make fortunes for their investors while losing ones tend to be forgotten to history. This is one reason why momentum investing and technology stocks go hand in hand.\n\nAMD Stock Forecast\nAcademic research generally holds that investors underreact to success when pricing the stocks of winning businesses. This has to do with behavioral finance factors, like investors taking their profits and spending them while holding losing stocks (known as the disposition effect), as well as business factors (good managements tend to keep winning). This leads to returns above 20 percent annually for winning stocks in many cases. While the semiconductor business is cyclical, meaning that AMD shareholders may want to sell when the cycle inevitably turns again, AMD is one of the cleanest momentum stocks on the market right now.\nI wouldn't be surprised in the least if the company rises another 20-25 percent from here in the next 12 months. If the Barron's earnings call is correct, AMD should trade close to $200 by 2024 if the PE can remain at least in the 28-30x range, for an annual compound return of roughly 25 percent. While there are risks related to the semiconductor cycle, geopolitics, and competition, AMD seems to be one of the best buys in tech today.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886292356,"gmtCreate":1631592004375,"gmtModify":1631889869621,"author":{"id":"3573639773544520","authorId":"3573639773544520","name":"oneplus374","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573639773544520","authorIdStr":"3573639773544520"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"please like!","listText":"please like!","text":"please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886292356","repostId":"1178276551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178276551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631574947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178276551?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178276551","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p>\n<p>Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p>\n<p>“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p>\n<p>Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p>\n<p>The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p>\n<p>“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p>\n<p>Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p>\n<p>Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p>\n<p>Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p>\n<p>Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-14 07:15 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178276551","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.\nInvestors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.\n“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”\nMarket participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.\nGoldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.\nThe Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.\n“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”\nOther key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.\nShares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.\nCoinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.\nSalesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}