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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-11
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-10
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  Morgan Stanley is still calling for a 10%-20% crash — protect yourself this way
  Slowing growth and tightening financial conditions. That makes Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief i
  Morgan Stanley is still calling for a 10%-20% crash — protect yourself this way
  734 评论
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-08
  $ChemoCentryx(CCXI)$全部人瞄准50就卖。我看大家还是做好心里准备。空军要来了。。。
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-05
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-05
  cry cry
  @keatwong：
  [流泪] [流泪] [流泪]
  [流泪] [流泪] [流泪]
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-05
  [流泪] [流泪] [流泪]
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-05
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  Udemy files for U.S. IPO as remote learning shift drives revenue surge
  Oct 5 (Reuters) - Online learning platform Udemy Inc on Tuesday filed regulatory paperwork for an in
  Udemy files for U.S. IPO as remote learning shift drives revenue surge
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-01
  nice
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-10-01
  [开心]
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- keatwongkeatwong
  ·2021-09-29
  [微笑]
  QQQ: Market-Implied Outlook To Early 2022
  Summary Options prices can be used to calculate the consensus outlook for QQQ, referred to as the m
  QQQ: Market-Implied Outlook To Early 2022
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financials.</p>\n<p>Let's take a quick look at a few possible plays from those areas — one of them could be worth buying withyour spare change.</p>\n<p>1. Financials: Bank of America (BAC)</p>\n<p>Over the last decade, Bank of America has streamlined and refined its business practices and operations to rise from one of the lowest rated banks in the country to the second-largest bank by assets (roughly $2.3 trillion in total assets). With assets of $3 trillion, JPMorgan Chase is the biggest.</p>\n<p>As the economy continues to recover from the pandemic and inflation continues to surge, interest rates are likely to rise, putting the bank is in a good position to continue its success. Banks benefit from higher rates through a wider \"spread\" — the difference in interest that they pay to customers and what they earn by investing.</p>\n<p>And despite not quite hitting its earning mark last quarter, Bank of America delivered shareholders a dividend hike — upping its yield 17% from 18 cents to 21 cents per share. Currently, the shares offer a dividend yield of 1.9%.</p>\n<p>2. Consumer Staples: PepsiCo (PEP)</p>\n<p>Pepsico is so much more than a major cola and soda brand. Most consumers will be aware that Mountain Dew and Gatorade fall under the Pepsico umbrella.</p>\n<p>But this food and beverage juggernaut also owns Frito-Lay, Quaker Foods, Tropicana, SodaStream and dozens of other brands across the world.</p>\n<p>With everyone spending so much time at home, snack food consumption went way up during the pandemic — which was great news for Pepsi. In July, the company reported that net sales rose more than 20% year over year to $19.22 billion — nicely above expectations of $18 billion.</p>\n<p>And the company is passing on some of those sweet (or salty, depending on your taste) dollars to shareholders through healthy dividends, which have been steadily increasing over the years. Over the past ten years, Pepsico's dividend has grown at a compounded rate of 7.7% versus 6.1% from its main rival Coca-Cola.</p>\n<p>Pepsico shares offer a dividend yield of 2.8%.</p>\n<p>3. Health care: Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ)</p>\n<p>Between its business in medical devices, pharmaceuticals and consumer packaged goods, Johnson &amp; Johnson has become a household name.</p>\n<p>And more than that, its numerous subsidiaries including Band-Aid, Tylenol, Neutrogena, Listerine and Clean &amp; Clear could stand on their own as successful brands.</p>\n<p>JNJ’s diverse holdings in the health care segment ensures it’s able to ride out any economic slumps. And with a handful of industry-leading drugs for immunology and cancer treatment under its Janssen Pharamceutica arm, there’s a good deal of growth opportunity for JNJ.</p>\n<p>The company’s Q2 results were buoyed by $12.59 billion in revenue from its COVID-19 shot over the year — with global sales of $164 million in the second quarter alone.</p>\n<p>JNJ shared its success with shareholders through a dividend of $1.06 in the third quarter, up from $1.01 six months before.</p>\n<p>The stock currently has a dividend yield of 2.7%.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley is still calling for a 10%-20% crash — protect yourself this way</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley is still calling for a 10%-20% crash — protect yourself this way\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-09 21:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-still-calling-10-120000250.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Slowing growth and tightening financial conditions.\nThat makes Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief investment officer, nervous.\n“In short, higher real rates should mean lower equity prices,\" Wilson ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-still-calling-10-120000250.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JNJ":"强生","BAC":"美国银行","PEP":"百事可乐"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-still-calling-10-120000250.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190298937","content_text":"Slowing growth and tightening financial conditions.\nThat makes Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s chief investment officer, nervous.\n“In short, higher real rates should mean lower equity prices,\" Wilson wrote last week in a note to clients. \"Secondarily, they may also mean value over growth even as the overall equity market goes lower.\"\nWilson also said in a recent interview that the firm's call for a 10%-20% correction would be led by tech stocks as earnings estimates are too high.\nWithin that context, Wilson advised investors to favor defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, and financials.\nLet's take a quick look at a few possible plays from those areas — one of them could be worth buying withyour spare change.\n1. Financials: Bank of America (BAC)\nOver the last decade, Bank of America has streamlined and refined its business practices and operations to rise from one of the lowest rated banks in the country to the second-largest bank by assets (roughly $2.3 trillion in total assets). With assets of $3 trillion, JPMorgan Chase is the biggest.\nAs the economy continues to recover from the pandemic and inflation continues to surge, interest rates are likely to rise, putting the bank is in a good position to continue its success. Banks benefit from higher rates through a wider \"spread\" — the difference in interest that they pay to customers and what they earn by investing.\nAnd despite not quite hitting its earning mark last quarter, Bank of America delivered shareholders a dividend hike — upping its yield 17% from 18 cents to 21 cents per share. Currently, the shares offer a dividend yield of 1.9%.\n2. Consumer Staples: PepsiCo (PEP)\nPepsico is so much more than a major cola and soda brand. Most consumers will be aware that Mountain Dew and Gatorade fall under the Pepsico umbrella.\nBut this food and beverage juggernaut also owns Frito-Lay, Quaker Foods, Tropicana, SodaStream and dozens of other brands across the world.\nWith everyone spending so much time at home, snack food consumption went way up during the pandemic — which was great news for Pepsi. In July, the company reported that net sales rose more than 20% year over year to $19.22 billion — nicely above expectations of $18 billion.\nAnd the company is passing on some of those sweet (or salty, depending on your taste) dollars to shareholders through healthy dividends, which have been steadily increasing over the years. Over the past ten years, Pepsico's dividend has grown at a compounded rate of 7.7% versus 6.1% from its main rival Coca-Cola.\nPepsico shares offer a dividend yield of 2.8%.\n3. Health care: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)\nBetween its business in medical devices, pharmaceuticals and consumer packaged goods, Johnson & Johnson has become a household name.\nAnd more than that, its numerous subsidiaries including Band-Aid, Tylenol, Neutrogena, Listerine and Clean & Clear could stand on their own as successful brands.\nJNJ’s diverse holdings in the health care segment ensures it’s able to ride out any economic slumps. And with a handful of industry-leading drugs for immunology and cancer treatment under its Janssen Pharamceutica arm, there’s a good deal of growth opportunity for JNJ.\nThe company’s Q2 results were buoyed by $12.59 billion in revenue from its COVID-19 shot over the year — with global sales of $164 million in the second quarter alone.\nJNJ shared its success with shareholders through a dividend of $1.06 in the third quarter, up from $1.01 six months before.\nThe stock currently has a dividend yield of 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCXI\">$ChemoCentryx(CCXI)$</a>全部人瞄准50就卖。我看大家还是做好心里准备。空军要来了。。。","text":"$ChemoCentryx(CCXI)$全部人瞄准50就卖。我看大家还是做好心里准备。空军要来了。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821308373","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820768548,"gmtCreate":1633435127641,"gmtModify":1633435127920,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820768548","repostId":"2173138389","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820768157,"gmtCreate":1633435083163,"gmtModify":1633435083468,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"cry cry","listText":"cry cry","text":"cry cry","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820768157","repostId":"820761229","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":820761229,"gmtCreate":1633435028164,"gmtModify":1633435028450,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/066184daf94fc67b6c3ff045277518a5","width":"1080","height":"3269"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820761229","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820761229,"gmtCreate":1633435028164,"gmtModify":1633435028450,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/066184daf94fc67b6c3ff045277518a5","width":"1080","height":"3269"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820761229","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820763408,"gmtCreate":1633434917646,"gmtModify":1633434917955,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820763408","repostId":"1151029217","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151029217","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633434588,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151029217?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 19:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Udemy files for U.S. IPO as remote learning shift drives revenue surge","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151029217","media":"Reuters","summary":"Oct 5 (Reuters) - Online learning platform Udemy Inc on Tuesday filed regulatory paperwork for an in","content":"<p>Oct 5 (Reuters) - Online learning platform Udemy Inc on Tuesday filed regulatory paperwork for an initial public offering (IPO) in the United States, revealing a surge in revenue last year driven by the pandemic-led accelerated shift toward remote learning.</p>\n<p>The San Francisco-based company's revenue grew 55.6% to $429.9 million in 2020 from a year earlier, its filing showed. Udemy incurred a net loss of $77.6 million over the same period.</p>\n<p>The company, which did not share the terms for its offering, was valued at $3.3 billion during a financing round in November last year. It is expected to go public at a much higher valuation.</p>\n<p>Udemy is the latest in a string of online education companies looking to list their shares in New York, after Coursera Inc and Nerdy Inc went public earlier this year.</p>\n<p>As of June 30, about 42% of Fortune 100 companies used Udemy Business (UB), the company's corporate learning service, according to its filing. UB revenue more than doubled last year as global business leaders increasingly require employees to pick up new skills.</p>\n<p>Udemy, which provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages across more than 180 countries, launched a direct-to-consumer subscription earlier this year, an offering that is still in beta testing mode.</p>\n<p>With a roughly $200 billion market opportunity, Udemy, which has more than 44 million learners on its platform, expects its estimated addressable market to grow in multiples due to the transition to online learning.</p>\n<p>It competes with the likes of Pluralsight, Skillsoft Corp and LinkedIn Learning in its corporate training offering and with Coursera and edX in its consumer-facing marketplace.</p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley and J.P. Morgan are the lead underwriters for the IPO, after which the company plans to list on the Nasdaq under the symbol \"UDMY.\"</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Udemy files for U.S. IPO as remote learning shift drives revenue surge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUdemy files for U.S. IPO as remote learning shift drives revenue surge\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-05 19:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-online-learning-platform-udemy-103740377.html><strong>Reuters</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oct 5 (Reuters) - Online learning platform Udemy Inc on Tuesday filed regulatory paperwork for an initial public offering (IPO) in the United States, revealing a surge in revenue last year driven by ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-online-learning-platform-udemy-103740377.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-online-learning-platform-udemy-103740377.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151029217","content_text":"Oct 5 (Reuters) - Online learning platform Udemy Inc on Tuesday filed regulatory paperwork for an initial public offering (IPO) in the United States, revealing a surge in revenue last year driven by the pandemic-led accelerated shift toward remote learning.\nThe San Francisco-based company's revenue grew 55.6% to $429.9 million in 2020 from a year earlier, its filing showed. Udemy incurred a net loss of $77.6 million over the same period.\nThe company, which did not share the terms for its offering, was valued at $3.3 billion during a financing round in November last year. It is expected to go public at a much higher valuation.\nUdemy is the latest in a string of online education companies looking to list their shares in New York, after Coursera Inc and Nerdy Inc went public earlier this year.\nAs of June 30, about 42% of Fortune 100 companies used Udemy Business (UB), the company's corporate learning service, according to its filing. UB revenue more than doubled last year as global business leaders increasingly require employees to pick up new skills.\nUdemy, which provides over 183,000 courses in 75 languages across more than 180 countries, launched a direct-to-consumer subscription earlier this year, an offering that is still in beta testing mode.\nWith a roughly $200 billion market opportunity, Udemy, which has more than 44 million learners on its platform, expects its estimated addressable market to grow in multiples due to the transition to online learning.\nIt competes with the likes of Pluralsight, Skillsoft Corp and LinkedIn Learning in its corporate training offering and with Coursera and edX in its consumer-facing marketplace.\nMorgan Stanley and J.P. Morgan are the lead underwriters for the IPO, after which the company plans to list on the Nasdaq under the symbol \"UDMY.\"","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864682206,"gmtCreate":1633097840798,"gmtModify":1633097841029,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864682206","repostId":"2172968717","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864686616,"gmtCreate":1633097784218,"gmtModify":1633097787861,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864686616","repostId":"1118501905","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862704615,"gmtCreate":1632909318651,"gmtModify":1632909318847,"author":{"id":"3575785607031015","authorId":"3575785607031015","name":"keatwong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b440c303dc2a35e0a2c45f896a7d779f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575785607031015","authorIdStr":"3575785607031015"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862704615","repostId":"1150995392","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150995392","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632909198,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150995392?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 17:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"QQQ: Market-Implied Outlook To Early 2022","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150995392","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nOptions prices can be used to calculate the consensus outlook for QQQ, referred to as the m","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Options prices can be used to calculate the consensus outlook for QQQ, referred to as the market-implied outlook.</li>\n <li>The market-implied outlook for QQQ was bullish at the start of 2021, but suggested that SPY offered a superior risk-return tradeoff.</li>\n <li>The updated market-implied outlook for QQQ into early 2022 is bullish, with moderate volatility.</li>\n <li>These results suggest the current elevated volatility, largely driven by fear of rising interest rates, is likely to be temporary.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/432ed786a1c4dfdf56017543577ebc72\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1026\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Massimo Giachetti/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The Invesco QQQ ETF&nbsp;(NASDAQ:QQQ)&nbsp;is in an interesting place. The all-time high close for QQQ was $382.11 on September 7, 2021. At the current price of $360.81, QQQ is 54% above the pre-COVID 2020 high close of $234.64 on February 14, 2020. The trailing total returns for QQQ over longer periods are very high. The 3- and 5-year annualized total returns are 26.76% per year and 26.59% per year, respectively.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5866620d906e1fdbbbb095b7d343a3fa\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"139\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Trailing total returns for QQQ (Source: Morningstar)</span></p>\n<p>QQQ, a growth-oriented index, has benefitted from several major trends over the past decade. First,growth stocks have absolutely dominated value stocks. Second, technological innovation is changing the world in dramatic ways, making the prospects for many names in the QQQ look like long-term winners. Third,low and falling interest rates and bond yields&nbsp;over the past decade (and longer) have provided a major tailwind for growth stocks.</p>\n<p>The value of a stock represents the net present value (NPV) of projected future earnings. The NPV is sensitive to the discount rate applied to those future earnings and the discount rate is determined by interest rates (low interest rates equate to low discount rates and vice versa). The further earnings are expected to occur in the future, the more sensitive a stock’s valuation is to interest rates. In effect, growth stocks have longer duration than value stocks, so growth stocks are more sensitive to interest rates. Higher P/E ratios can be justified when interest rates are low, for the same reasons.</p>\n<p>The market is currently struggling with expectations on rates and bond yields. The Fed is signaling increasing concern about inflation, which is driving up bond yields. QQQ has been declining, as expected.</p>\n<p>I closely monitor the prices of options on indexes in managing my portfolio. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying index (QQQ, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For those who are unfamiliar with the concept, I have written an&nbsp;overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.</p>\n<p>When I calculated the&nbsp;12-month market-implied outlook in January 2021, the results indicated a bullish view for QQQ. The probabilities of positive returns were consistently higher than for negative returns. In early March 2021, I&nbsp;compared the market-implied outlooks&nbsp;for major equity asset classes, and I got a bullish outlook for QQQ, but I also found that the S&amp;P 500 offered a more favorable risk-return outlook to early 2022 than QQQ.</p>\n<p>For the YTD, QQQ has a total return of&nbsp;18.46%&nbsp;and SPY has returned&nbsp;19.56%. The market-implied outlooks for developed international stocks (calculated using options on EFA), emerging markets (using options on EEM), and small cap stocks (using options on IWM) were less favorable than those for QQQ and SPY. EFA, EEM, and IWM have YTD total returns of&nbsp;11.5%,-0.65%, and&nbsp;16.24%, respectively.</p>\n<p>With the increasing concerns about interest rates, and the QQQ having lost some momentum since reaching its all-time high, I have recalculated the market-implied outlook for QQQ.</p>\n<p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for QQQ</b></p>\n<p>I have analyzed call and put options on QQQ at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022, to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.76 months (from now until that expiration date). I have also analyzed options expiring on March 18, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 5.6 months. I have chosen these two expiration dates to give a view into early 2022 and to get a sense of whether the outlook gets more or less favorable as we move through the first quarter.</p>\n<p>A key metric for the market-implied outlook is to see how closely the theoretical prices of options, as calculated from the market-implied outlook, matches the market prices of those options. The goal in calculating the market-implied outlook is to minimize the differences. For both expiration dates, the average difference between the theoretical and market prices of the options is within 0.2% of the market prices of the options. This is a very good agreement and adds confidence in the market-implied outlook.</p>\n<p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is in the form of a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and price return on the horizontal.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7973b66311844822a875f58a6f3230bd\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for QQQ for the 3.76-month period from now until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p>\n<p>The market-implied outlook from now until January 21, 2022 is consistent with what we expect to see for a stock index. The probability distribution is negatively skewed, meaning that the probability of large negative returns is higher than for large positive returns of the same magnitude. There is an 8.5% chance of having a return of -20% or worse between now and January 21, 2022, as compared to a 1.7% chance of having a return of +20% or greater.</p>\n<p>There is a 61.5% probability of having a price return that is greater than zero, however. The peak probability corresponds to a price return of +6.25% over the next 3.76 months. The estimated volatility of QQQ for the 3.76-month period is 13.6%, or 24.3% annualized.</p>\n<p>This is a bullish outlook from now until January 21, 2022. With a peak-probability return of +6.25% and volatility (standard deviation of return) of 13.6%, this is a decent risk-return tradeoff.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/303255af18c88f690ba822dc8b72f81b\" tg-width=\"618\" tg-height=\"356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Market-implied price return probabilities for QQQ for the 5.6-month period from now until March 18, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)</span></p>\n<p>Looking out to March 18, 2022, calculating the market-implied outlook using options that expire on that date, the view is consistent with the results to January 21, 2022. The distribution is negatively skewed, with annualized volatility of 24.8% (16.9% for the 5.6-month period). The peak probability corresponds to a price return of +8.7%. There is an estimated 60% probability of having a price return that is greater than zero for this period.</p>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<p>The market-implied outlook for QQQ to early 2022 offers a favorable risk-return proposition. The maximum-probability price return from now until January 21, 2022 is +6.25%, with annualized volatility of 24.3%. For context, these results may be compared to the equivalent values I calculated for the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 (SPY) on September 12th: maximum-probability price return of +5% and annualized volatility of 20%. These values were calculated using options expiring on January 21, 2022. The options prices suggest that QQQ offers a higher projected return at higher risk, as expected. The market-implied outlook for QQQ to March has a maximum probability corresponding to a price return of +8.7%, with 24.8% annualized volatility.</p>\n<p>While the outlook for QQQ derived from options prices is bullish, it is important to remember the difference between a probabilistic outlook (which predicts the probabilities of a wide range of outcomes) and a point outlook (one which predicts a single value). While the market-implied outlook for QQQ is favorable, there is a projected 40% chance of losing money between now and early 2022.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ: Market-Implied Outlook To Early 2022</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ: Market-Implied Outlook To Early 2022\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-29 17:53 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457585-qqq-market-implied-outlook-to-early-2022><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nOptions prices can be used to calculate the consensus outlook for QQQ, referred to as the market-implied outlook.\nThe market-implied outlook for QQQ was bullish at the start of 2021, but ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457585-qqq-market-implied-outlook-to-early-2022\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457585-qqq-market-implied-outlook-to-early-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150995392","content_text":"Summary\n\nOptions prices can be used to calculate the consensus outlook for QQQ, referred to as the market-implied outlook.\nThe market-implied outlook for QQQ was bullish at the start of 2021, but suggested that SPY offered a superior risk-return tradeoff.\nThe updated market-implied outlook for QQQ into early 2022 is bullish, with moderate volatility.\nThese results suggest the current elevated volatility, largely driven by fear of rising interest rates, is likely to be temporary.\n\nMassimo Giachetti/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) is in an interesting place. The all-time high close for QQQ was $382.11 on September 7, 2021. At the current price of $360.81, QQQ is 54% above the pre-COVID 2020 high close of $234.64 on February 14, 2020. The trailing total returns for QQQ over longer periods are very high. The 3- and 5-year annualized total returns are 26.76% per year and 26.59% per year, respectively.\nTrailing total returns for QQQ (Source: Morningstar)\nQQQ, a growth-oriented index, has benefitted from several major trends over the past decade. First,growth stocks have absolutely dominated value stocks. Second, technological innovation is changing the world in dramatic ways, making the prospects for many names in the QQQ look like long-term winners. Third,low and falling interest rates and bond yields over the past decade (and longer) have provided a major tailwind for growth stocks.\nThe value of a stock represents the net present value (NPV) of projected future earnings. The NPV is sensitive to the discount rate applied to those future earnings and the discount rate is determined by interest rates (low interest rates equate to low discount rates and vice versa). The further earnings are expected to occur in the future, the more sensitive a stock’s valuation is to interest rates. In effect, growth stocks have longer duration than value stocks, so growth stocks are more sensitive to interest rates. Higher P/E ratios can be justified when interest rates are low, for the same reasons.\nThe market is currently struggling with expectations on rates and bond yields. The Fed is signaling increasing concern about inflation, which is driving up bond yields. QQQ has been declining, as expected.\nI closely monitor the prices of options on indexes in managing my portfolio. The price of an option represents the market’s consensus estimate for the probability that the price of the underlying index (QQQ, in this case) will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing calls and puts at a range of strike prices and a common expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic outlook for the underlying security that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For those who are unfamiliar with the concept, I have written an overview post, including links to the relevant financial literature.\nWhen I calculated the 12-month market-implied outlook in January 2021, the results indicated a bullish view for QQQ. The probabilities of positive returns were consistently higher than for negative returns. In early March 2021, I compared the market-implied outlooks for major equity asset classes, and I got a bullish outlook for QQQ, but I also found that the S&P 500 offered a more favorable risk-return outlook to early 2022 than QQQ.\nFor the YTD, QQQ has a total return of 18.46% and SPY has returned 19.56%. The market-implied outlooks for developed international stocks (calculated using options on EFA), emerging markets (using options on EEM), and small cap stocks (using options on IWM) were less favorable than those for QQQ and SPY. EFA, EEM, and IWM have YTD total returns of 11.5%,-0.65%, and 16.24%, respectively.\nWith the increasing concerns about interest rates, and the QQQ having lost some momentum since reaching its all-time high, I have recalculated the market-implied outlook for QQQ.\nMarket-Implied Outlook for QQQ\nI have analyzed call and put options on QQQ at a range of strike prices, all expiring on January 21, 2022, to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 3.76 months (from now until that expiration date). I have also analyzed options expiring on March 18, 2022 to generate the market-implied outlook for the next 5.6 months. I have chosen these two expiration dates to give a view into early 2022 and to get a sense of whether the outlook gets more or less favorable as we move through the first quarter.\nA key metric for the market-implied outlook is to see how closely the theoretical prices of options, as calculated from the market-implied outlook, matches the market prices of those options. The goal in calculating the market-implied outlook is to minimize the differences. For both expiration dates, the average difference between the theoretical and market prices of the options is within 0.2% of the market prices of the options. This is a very good agreement and adds confidence in the market-implied outlook.\nThe standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is in the form of a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and price return on the horizontal.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for QQQ for the 3.76-month period from now until January 21, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nThe market-implied outlook from now until January 21, 2022 is consistent with what we expect to see for a stock index. The probability distribution is negatively skewed, meaning that the probability of large negative returns is higher than for large positive returns of the same magnitude. There is an 8.5% chance of having a return of -20% or worse between now and January 21, 2022, as compared to a 1.7% chance of having a return of +20% or greater.\nThere is a 61.5% probability of having a price return that is greater than zero, however. The peak probability corresponds to a price return of +6.25% over the next 3.76 months. The estimated volatility of QQQ for the 3.76-month period is 13.6%, or 24.3% annualized.\nThis is a bullish outlook from now until January 21, 2022. With a peak-probability return of +6.25% and volatility (standard deviation of return) of 13.6%, this is a decent risk-return tradeoff.\nMarket-implied price return probabilities for QQQ for the 5.6-month period from now until March 18, 2022 (Source: Author’s calculations using options quotes from ETrade)\nLooking out to March 18, 2022, calculating the market-implied outlook using options that expire on that date, the view is consistent with the results to January 21, 2022. The distribution is negatively skewed, with annualized volatility of 24.8% (16.9% for the 5.6-month period). The peak probability corresponds to a price return of +8.7%. There is an estimated 60% probability of having a price return that is greater than zero for this period.\nSummary\nThe market-implied outlook for QQQ to early 2022 offers a favorable risk-return proposition. The maximum-probability price return from now until January 21, 2022 is +6.25%, with annualized volatility of 24.3%. For context, these results may be compared to the equivalent values I calculated for the S&P 500 (SPY) on September 12th: maximum-probability price return of +5% and annualized volatility of 20%. These values were calculated using options expiring on January 21, 2022. The options prices suggest that QQQ offers a higher projected return at higher risk, as expected. The market-implied outlook for QQQ to March has a maximum probability corresponding to a price return of +8.7%, with 24.8% annualized volatility.\nWhile the outlook for QQQ derived from options prices is bullish, it is important to remember the difference between a probabilistic outlook (which predicts the probabilities of a wide range of outcomes) and a point outlook (one which predicts a single value). While the market-implied outlook for QQQ is favorable, there is a projected 40% chance of losing money between now and early 2022.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":822,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}