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- natmunchesnatmunches
  ·2021-06-23
  Like and comment please
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- natmunchesnatmunches
  ·2021-05-24
  Interesting insights on Oatly
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- natmunchesnatmunches
  ·2021-03-03
  [惊讶]
  U.S. stocks open lower on Wednesday; Dow down 0.11%<blockquote>周三美股低开；道指下跌0.11%</blockquote>
  (March 3) Wall Street's main indexes opened lower on Wednesday as disappointing private employment d
  U.S. stocks open lower on Wednesday; Dow down 0.11%<blockquote>周三美股低开；道指下跌0.11%</blockquote>
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- natmunchesnatmunches
  ·2021-02-28
  Can never be certain about our privacy these days
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- natmunchesnatmunches
  ·2021-02-28
  Too volatile...
  Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>
  Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from
  Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>
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- natmunchesnatmunches
  ·2021-02-25
  Amazing
  Why Airbnb Stock Popped Again Before Earnings<blockquote>为什么爱彼迎股价在财报公布前再次上涨</blockquote>
  Losses could be ugly, but the future still looks bright. What happened Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) stock ju
  Why Airbnb Stock Popped Again Before Earnings<blockquote>为什么爱彼迎股价在财报公布前再次上涨</blockquote>
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and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123893432","repostId":"2145068038","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131510872,"gmtCreate":1621866839896,"gmtModify":1634185952003,"author":{"id":"3577338196668749","authorId":"3577338196668749","name":"natmunches","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2764f64202344fd36975ffefe580cc46","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577338196668749","idStr":"3577338196668749"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Interesting insights on Oatly","listText":"Interesting insights on Oatly","text":"Interesting insights on 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks open lower on Wednesday; Dow down 0.11%<blockquote>周三美股低开；道指下跌0.11%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-03 22:34</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 3)&nbsp;Wall Street's main indexes opened lower on Wednesday as disappointing private employment data for February dampened enthusiasm over a quick economic rebound fueled by a swift rollout of COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>（3月3日）华尔街主要指数周三低开，因令人失望的2月份私人就业数据打击了人们对新冠疫苗迅速推出推动经济快速反弹的热情。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow fell 0.11%, the S&amp;P 500 dropped 0.12%, and the Nasdaq Composite retreated 0.14%.</p><p><blockquote>道指下跌0.11%，标普500下跌0.12%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.14%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f98e844edb04216bd6ef160e1ddfc0f5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"569\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130537334","content_text":"(March 3) Wall Street's main indexes opened lower on Wednesday as disappointing private employment data for February dampened enthusiasm over a quick economic rebound fueled by a swift rollout of COVID-19 vaccines.The Dow fell 0.11%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.12%, and the Nasdaq Composite retreated 0.14%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":366598143,"gmtCreate":1614503786482,"gmtModify":1703477902332,"author":{"id":"3577338196668749","authorId":"3577338196668749","name":"natmunches","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2764f64202344fd36975ffefe580cc46","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577338196668749","idStr":"3577338196668749"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can never be certain about our privacy these days","listText":"Can never be certain about our privacy these days","text":"Can never be certain about our privacy these days","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366598143","repostId":"1144534887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366237009,"gmtCreate":1614486099301,"gmtModify":1703477786504,"author":{"id":"3577338196668749","authorId":"3577338196668749","name":"natmunches","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2764f64202344fd36975ffefe580cc46","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577338196668749","idStr":"3577338196668749"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too volatile...","listText":"Too volatile...","text":"Too volatile...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366237009","repostId":"1146313632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146313632","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614334339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146313632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 18:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146313632","media":"Options AI: Learn","summary":"Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from ","content":"<p><b>Gamestop Corp.</b>&nbsp;shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司。</b>过去几天股价飙升，较上周一度上涨近200%（但仍较近期轧空高点大幅下跌）。我们将看看像游戏驿站这样波动性很大的股票的期权中出现的独特情况，以及在交易期权之前可能需要考虑的一些事情。</blockquote></p><p><hr><b>Gamestop: The Expected Move</b></p><p><blockquote><hr/><b>游戏驿站：预期的举动</b></blockquote></p><p>First, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):</p><p><blockquote>首先，看看期权如何为即将到来的走势定价。这是游戏驿站的期权AI预期走势图，预计本周五收盘价将出现近30%的走势。下个月的价格将上涨大约80%。包含盈利事件的月份（未经确认）：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e35872724d8db887fa09d822d622ac8c\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"817\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright Calls</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站：看涨期权价差与彻底的评级</blockquote></p><p>Using March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.</p><p><blockquote>以3月19日为到期日，我们首先查看看涨利差，并直接与直接评级进行比较。像游戏驿站这样不稳定的股票，评级的股价可能会很昂贵。正因为如此，许多交易者诉诸远超本钱的评级买入。对上行评级的需求增加了这些评级的波动性，使其相对于平价评级的价格昂贵——这种现象被称为倾斜。然而，对于那些看涨的人来说，这可能会创造一个利用价差而不是直接购买看涨期权的机会。让我们看看怎么做。</blockquote></p><p>Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我们将重点关注一种替代方案——使用借方利差来降低定向交易的总体成本（同时通过降低盈亏平衡水平来提高交易本身的盈利概率）。它通过出售那些相对昂贵的价外评级来帮助购买更接近价外的看涨期权来实现这一目标。</blockquote></p><p>With Gamestop near $105, the&nbsp;<b>March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread</b>&nbsp;is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.</p><p><blockquote>随着游戏驿站接近105美元，<b>3月19日110/190借方看涨期权利差</b>大约为15美元，目标是3月19日的看涨预期走势。借方看涨期权利差需要该股在3月19日高于125美元才能盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，GME 3月19日200评级的交易价格为29美元。这几乎是200美元看涨期权的成本的两倍，需要股票在3月19日之前高于229美元……而看涨期权的价差需要股票高于125美元。以下是期权人工智能图表上这两种交易的并排比较。一、200家看涨期权：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b044a22bfbe5a8326f9aa3ebf56ed4fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:</p><p><blockquote>接下来，145/200借方看涨期权利差：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cdf8545f07da48f770ef81cb4e5ac53\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，看涨期权价差不仅更便宜，而且上涨盈利的点也更接近股票当前的交易价格。（如盈亏平衡的灰色价格所示。）</blockquote></p><p>A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).</p><p><blockquote>关于盈利概率的一个注记。这些交易显示的利润概率基于分配给交易盈亏平衡的delta。105美元股票的200看涨期权交易价格接近50 deltas，这一事实表明游戏驿站波动对其期权产生了多么扭曲的影响（难以借贷、扭曲零售对价外评级的需求）。</blockquote></p><p>Directional Butterflies vs Outright Puts</p><p><blockquote>定向蝶形与直接看跌期权</blockquote></p><p>High volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.</p><p><blockquote>高波动性也会影响看跌期权交易。像游戏驿站这样的高波动性股票的一个反直觉的方面是，其隐含波动率可能会随着股票走高而上升，随着股票走低而下降。这与我们通常对波动性的看法相反。因此，随着股票走低，直接买入看跌期权会带来波动性崩溃（从而导致溢价崩溃）的风险。因此，即使股票正朝着预期的方向移动，作为期权持有者，您可能无法实现预期的收益。</blockquote></p><p>One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).</p><p><blockquote>应对股票高隐含波动率的一种方法（尤其是在持有看跌观点时）是成为期权溢价的净卖家。向看涨期权交易者出售，而不是加入看跌期权交易者。传统上，这可能采取出售信贷看涨期权利差的形式。但在GME的情况下，这意味着以比更接近资金的看涨期权更高的波动性购买（昂贵的）上行看涨期权（如上所述）。</blockquote></p><p>So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.</p><p><blockquote>因此，交易者可以考虑的一种期权策略是使用蝴蝶。期权交易通常与中性交易观点相关，但在这里适用于实际创建目标（看跌）方向观点。</blockquote></p><p>Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:</p><p><blockquote>举个例子，这里有一只蝴蝶，其中心罢工集中在80美元的股票上，到期日为3月19日：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cb8f9b0570e854f662f3031e50ca91\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p>This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.</p><p><blockquote>这只130/80/30蝴蝶的盈亏平衡点为115和45，这意味着如果股票在3月19日到期时处于这两个价格之间，交易是有利可图的……如果股票处于或接近80美元，则会出现最大收益。它具有空头溢价的额外动力，如果股票保持在其范围内，如果隐含波动率被压缩，则按市值计算将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1614334070724","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Options AI: Learn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 18:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Gamestop Corp.</b>&nbsp;shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司。</b>过去几天股价飙升，较上周一度上涨近200%（但仍较近期轧空高点大幅下跌）。我们将看看像游戏驿站这样波动性很大的股票的期权中出现的独特情况，以及在交易期权之前可能需要考虑的一些事情。</blockquote></p><p><hr><b>Gamestop: The Expected Move</b></p><p><blockquote><hr/><b>游戏驿站：预期的举动</b></blockquote></p><p>First, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):</p><p><blockquote>首先，看看期权如何为即将到来的走势定价。这是游戏驿站的期权AI预期走势图，预计本周五收盘价将出现近30%的走势。下个月的价格将上涨大约80%。包含盈利事件的月份（未经确认）：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e35872724d8db887fa09d822d622ac8c\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"817\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright Calls</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站：看涨期权价差与彻底的评级</blockquote></p><p>Using March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.</p><p><blockquote>以3月19日为到期日，我们首先查看看涨利差，并直接与直接评级进行比较。像游戏驿站这样不稳定的股票，评级的股价可能会很昂贵。正因为如此，许多交易者诉诸远超本钱的评级买入。对上行评级的需求增加了这些评级的波动性，使其相对于平价评级的价格昂贵——这种现象被称为倾斜。然而，对于那些看涨的人来说，这可能会创造一个利用价差而不是直接购买看涨期权的机会。让我们看看怎么做。</blockquote></p><p>Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我们将重点关注一种替代方案——使用借方利差来降低定向交易的总体成本（同时通过降低盈亏平衡水平来提高交易本身的盈利概率）。它通过出售那些相对昂贵的价外评级来帮助购买更接近价外的看涨期权来实现这一目标。</blockquote></p><p>With Gamestop near $105, the&nbsp;<b>March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread</b>&nbsp;is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.</p><p><blockquote>随着游戏驿站接近105美元，<b>3月19日110/190借方看涨期权利差</b>大约为15美元，目标是3月19日的看涨预期走势。借方看涨期权利差需要该股在3月19日高于125美元才能盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，GME 3月19日200评级的交易价格为29美元。这几乎是200美元看涨期权的成本的两倍，需要股票在3月19日之前高于229美元……而看涨期权的价差需要股票高于125美元。以下是期权人工智能图表上这两种交易的并排比较。一、200家看涨期权：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b044a22bfbe5a8326f9aa3ebf56ed4fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:</p><p><blockquote>接下来，145/200借方看涨期权利差：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cdf8545f07da48f770ef81cb4e5ac53\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，看涨期权价差不仅更便宜，而且上涨盈利的点也更接近股票当前的交易价格。（如盈亏平衡的灰色价格所示。）</blockquote></p><p>A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).</p><p><blockquote>关于盈利概率的一个注记。这些交易显示的利润概率基于分配给交易盈亏平衡的delta。105美元股票的200看涨期权交易价格接近50 deltas，这一事实表明游戏驿站波动对其期权产生了多么扭曲的影响（难以借贷、扭曲零售对价外评级的需求）。</blockquote></p><p>Directional Butterflies vs Outright Puts</p><p><blockquote>定向蝶形与直接看跌期权</blockquote></p><p>High volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.</p><p><blockquote>高波动性也会影响看跌期权交易。像游戏驿站这样的高波动性股票的一个反直觉的方面是，其隐含波动率可能会随着股票走高而上升，随着股票走低而下降。这与我们通常对波动性的看法相反。因此，随着股票走低，直接买入看跌期权会带来波动性崩溃（从而导致溢价崩溃）的风险。因此，即使股票正朝着预期的方向移动，作为期权持有者，您可能无法实现预期的收益。</blockquote></p><p>One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).</p><p><blockquote>应对股票高隐含波动率的一种方法（尤其是在持有看跌观点时）是成为期权溢价的净卖家。向看涨期权交易者出售，而不是加入看跌期权交易者。传统上，这可能采取出售信贷看涨期权利差的形式。但在GME的情况下，这意味着以比更接近资金的看涨期权更高的波动性购买（昂贵的）上行看涨期权（如上所述）。</blockquote></p><p>So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.</p><p><blockquote>因此，交易者可以考虑的一种期权策略是使用蝴蝶。期权交易通常与中性交易观点相关，但在这里适用于实际创建目标（看跌）方向观点。</blockquote></p><p>Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:</p><p><blockquote>举个例子，这里有一只蝴蝶，其中心罢工集中在80美元的股票上，到期日为3月19日：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cb8f9b0570e854f662f3031e50ca91\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p>This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.</p><p><blockquote>这只130/80/30蝴蝶的盈亏平衡点为115和45，这意味着如果股票在3月19日到期时处于这两个价格之间，交易是有利可图的……如果股票处于或接近80美元，则会出现最大收益。它具有空头溢价的额外动力，如果股票保持在其范围内，如果隐含波动率被压缩，则按市值计算将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/gamestop-and-high-volatility-options/\">Options AI: Learn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://learn.optionsai.com/gamestop-and-high-volatility-options/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146313632","content_text":"Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.Gamestop: The Expected MoveFirst, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright CallsUsing March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.With Gamestop near $105, the March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).Directional Butterflies vs Outright PutsHigh volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361511524,"gmtCreate":1614245801968,"gmtModify":1634550508233,"author":{"id":"3577338196668749","authorId":"3577338196668749","name":"natmunches","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2764f64202344fd36975ffefe580cc46","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577338196668749","idStr":"3577338196668749"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing","listText":"Amazing","text":"Amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361511524","repostId":"1188103004","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188103004","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614244738,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188103004?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-25 17:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Airbnb Stock Popped Again Before Earnings<blockquote>为什么爱彼迎股价在财报公布前再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188103004","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Losses could be ugly, but the future still looks bright.\nWhat happened\nAirbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) stock ju","content":"<p>Losses could be ugly, but the future still looks bright.</p><p><blockquote>损失可能是丑陋的，但未来看起来仍然光明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:ABNB)&nbsp;stock jumped 11% in early trading Wednesday before retreating a bit as the day wore on. By the time the closing bell rang, Airbnb stock ended up 6.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b>（纳斯达克：ABNB）股价周三早盘上涨11%，但随着时间的推移有所回落。截至收盘，爱彼迎股价收盘上涨6.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Just 24 hours remain before Airbnb reports its fiscal Q4 earnings -- tomorrow after close of trading. And while investors seem eager to see the results, they might not want to get their hopes<i>too</i>high up. According to analysts who follow the stock, Airbnb is probably going to report a loss of epic proportions -- as much as $9.16 per share, on sales of just under $748 million.</p><p><blockquote>距离爱彼迎明天收盘后公布第四季度财报仅剩24小时。尽管投资者似乎渴望看到结果，但他们可能不想实现自己的希望<i>也</i>高高的。据关注该股的分析师称，爱彼迎可能会报告巨额亏损——每股亏损高达9.16美元，销售额略低于7.48亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Not everyone is in agreement on that.On Monday if you recall, analysts at Loop Capital predicted Airbnb will do better than those low expectations and upgraded the stock to a buy.</p><p><blockquote>不是每个人都同意这一点。如果你还记得的话，周一Loop Capital的分析师预测爱彼迎的表现将好于那些低预期，并将该股评级上调至买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Even if Airbnb fails to \"beat earnings,\" though, there's still the potential for&nbsp;the stock to fly higher. Why?</p><p><blockquote>不过，即使爱彼迎未能“超越盈利”，该股仍有走高的潜力。为什么？</blockquote></p><p> Well, consider: New reports of coronavirus infections are way down -- barely 71,000 reported yesterday, and only 56,000 the day before that. While those numbers both sound pretty big, they're mere fractions of the nearly 300,000 cases reported at the peak of the pandemic, Jan. 2.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，考虑一下：新的冠状病毒感染报告大幅下降——昨天报告的只有71,000例，前一天只有56,000例。虽然这些数字听起来都很大，但它们只是1月2日疫情高峰时报告的近30万例病例的一小部分。</blockquote></p><p> The Biden administration, meanwhile, is taking affirmative steps to drive those numbers even lower. On Wednesday, it was reported that the federal government is shipping out 25 million masks to workers in \"community health centers ... food pantries and soup kitchens,\" to help tamp down infections among the people most in need. And with vaccinations at the rate of 1.5 million a day -- accelerating toward 3 million per day by next month -- hopes are emerging that&nbsp;the pandemic and the recessionit caused could soon be put to bed, giving rise to an earlier-than-expected economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，拜登政府正在采取积极措施，进一步降低这些数字。周三，据报道，联邦政府正在向“社区卫生中心”的工作人员运送2500万个口罩...食品储藏室和施粥所”，以帮助减少最需要帮助的人的感染。随着疫苗接种量以每天150万人的速度增长——到下个月将加速到每天300万人——人们开始希望疫情及其引发的经济衰退可能很快就会被平息，从而导致比预期更早的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> The sooner that happens, the faster folks will resume traveling, taking vacations -- and booking rooms with Airbnb again. No matter how big Airbnb's losses when it reports earnings tomorrow, that's good news for Airbnb stock.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况发生得越早，人们就会越快恢复旅行、度假，并再次向爱彼迎预订房间。无论爱彼迎明天公布财报时损失有多大，这对爱彼迎股票来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Airbnb Stock Popped Again Before Earnings<blockquote>为什么爱彼迎股价在财报公布前再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Airbnb Stock Popped Again Before Earnings<blockquote>为什么爱彼迎股价在财报公布前再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-25 17:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Losses could be ugly, but the future still looks bright.</p><p><blockquote>损失可能是丑陋的，但未来看起来仍然光明。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:ABNB)&nbsp;stock jumped 11% in early trading Wednesday before retreating a bit as the day wore on. By the time the closing bell rang, Airbnb stock ended up 6.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b>（纳斯达克：ABNB）股价周三早盘上涨11%，但随着时间的推移有所回落。截至收盘，爱彼迎股价收盘上涨6.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Just 24 hours remain before Airbnb reports its fiscal Q4 earnings -- tomorrow after close of trading. And while investors seem eager to see the results, they might not want to get their hopes<i>too</i>high up. According to analysts who follow the stock, Airbnb is probably going to report a loss of epic proportions -- as much as $9.16 per share, on sales of just under $748 million.</p><p><blockquote>距离爱彼迎明天收盘后公布第四季度财报仅剩24小时。尽管投资者似乎渴望看到结果，但他们可能不想实现自己的希望<i>也</i>高高的。据关注该股的分析师称，爱彼迎可能会报告巨额亏损——每股亏损高达9.16美元，销售额略低于7.48亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Not everyone is in agreement on that.On Monday if you recall, analysts at Loop Capital predicted Airbnb will do better than those low expectations and upgraded the stock to a buy.</p><p><blockquote>不是每个人都同意这一点。如果你还记得的话，周一Loop Capital的分析师预测爱彼迎的表现将好于那些低预期，并将该股评级上调至买入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Even if Airbnb fails to \"beat earnings,\" though, there's still the potential for&nbsp;the stock to fly higher. Why?</p><p><blockquote>不过，即使爱彼迎未能“超越盈利”，该股仍有走高的潜力。为什么？</blockquote></p><p> Well, consider: New reports of coronavirus infections are way down -- barely 71,000 reported yesterday, and only 56,000 the day before that. While those numbers both sound pretty big, they're mere fractions of the nearly 300,000 cases reported at the peak of the pandemic, Jan. 2.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，考虑一下：新的冠状病毒感染报告大幅下降——昨天报告的只有71,000例，前一天只有56,000例。虽然这些数字听起来都很大，但它们只是1月2日疫情高峰时报告的近30万例病例的一小部分。</blockquote></p><p> The Biden administration, meanwhile, is taking affirmative steps to drive those numbers even lower. On Wednesday, it was reported that the federal government is shipping out 25 million masks to workers in \"community health centers ... food pantries and soup kitchens,\" to help tamp down infections among the people most in need. And with vaccinations at the rate of 1.5 million a day -- accelerating toward 3 million per day by next month -- hopes are emerging that&nbsp;the pandemic and the recessionit caused could soon be put to bed, giving rise to an earlier-than-expected economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，拜登政府正在采取积极措施，进一步降低这些数字。周三，据报道，联邦政府正在向“社区卫生中心”的工作人员运送2500万个口罩...食品储藏室和施粥所”，以帮助减少最需要帮助的人的感染。随着疫苗接种量以每天150万人的速度增长——到下个月将加速到每天300万人——人们开始希望疫情及其引发的经济衰退可能很快就会被平息，从而导致比预期更早的经济复苏。</blockquote></p><p> The sooner that happens, the faster folks will resume traveling, taking vacations -- and booking rooms with Airbnb again. No matter how big Airbnb's losses when it reports earnings tomorrow, that's good news for Airbnb stock.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况发生得越早，人们就会越快恢复旅行、度假，并再次向爱彼迎预订房间。无论爱彼迎明天公布财报时损失有多大，这对爱彼迎股票来说都是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/24/why-airbnb-stock-popped-again-before-earnings/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/24/why-airbnb-stock-popped-again-before-earnings/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188103004","content_text":"Losses could be ugly, but the future still looks bright.\nWhat happened\nAirbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) stock jumped 11% in early trading Wednesday before retreating a bit as the day wore on. By the time the closing bell rang, Airbnb stock ended up 6.7%.\nSo what\nJust 24 hours remain before Airbnb reports its fiscal Q4 earnings -- tomorrow after close of trading. And while investors seem eager to see the results, they might not want to get their hopestoohigh up. According to analysts who follow the stock, Airbnb is probably going to report a loss of epic proportions -- as much as $9.16 per share, on sales of just under $748 million.\nNot everyone is in agreement on that.On Monday if you recall, analysts at Loop Capital predicted Airbnb will do better than those low expectations and upgraded the stock to a buy.\nNow what\nEven if Airbnb fails to \"beat earnings,\" though, there's still the potential for the stock to fly higher. Why?\nWell, consider: New reports of coronavirus infections are way down -- barely 71,000 reported yesterday, and only 56,000 the day before that. While those numbers both sound pretty big, they're mere fractions of the nearly 300,000 cases reported at the peak of the pandemic, Jan. 2.\nThe Biden administration, meanwhile, is taking affirmative steps to drive those numbers even lower. On Wednesday, it was reported that the federal government is shipping out 25 million masks to workers in \"community health centers ... food pantries and soup kitchens,\" to help tamp down infections among the people most in need. And with vaccinations at the rate of 1.5 million a day -- accelerating toward 3 million per day by next month -- hopes are emerging that the pandemic and the recessionit caused could soon be put to bed, giving rise to an earlier-than-expected economic recovery.\nThe sooner that happens, the faster folks will resume traveling, taking vacations -- and booking rooms with Airbnb again. No matter how big Airbnb's losses when it reports earnings tomorrow, that's good news for Airbnb stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ABNB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}