社区
首页
集团介绍
社区
资讯
行情
学堂
TigerAI
登录
注册
LuffyDono
IP属地：未知
+关注
帖子 · 69
帖子 · 69
关注 · 0
关注 · 0
粉丝 · 0
粉丝 · 0
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-10-26
Tell me your opinion about this news...
Upstart Is a Great Company With a Very High Valuation<blockquote>Upstart是一家估值非常高的伟大公司</blockquote>
Upstart has a very bright future, but the high valuation of UPST stock could lead to a steep correction
Upstart Is a Great Company With a Very High Valuation<blockquote>Upstart是一家估值非常高的伟大公司</blockquote>
看
1,844
回复
2
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-10-26
[Cool]
看
1,873
回复
评论
点赞
点赞
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-10-26
[Cool]
The PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote>
Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain iss
The PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote>
看
1,816
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-10-26
[Cool]
AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD盈利有望在英特尔失望的地方再次取得成功</blockquote>
AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analy
AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD盈利有望在英特尔失望的地方再次取得成功</blockquote>
看
2,868
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-09-26
[Cool]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
1,722
回复
评论
点赞
5
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-09-07
[Cool]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
1,669
回复
评论
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-08-23
[Cool]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
2,033
回复
1
点赞
10
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-08-20
[Cool]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
1,499
回复
评论
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-08-18
[Cool]
3 Stocks I'm Never Selling<blockquote>我永远不会出售的3只股票</blockquote>
The best investors in the world swear by holding high-quality companies for decades on end. These stocks fit that bill.
3 Stocks I'm Never Selling<blockquote>我永远不会出售的3只股票</blockquote>
看
1,440
回复
1
点赞
3
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
LuffyDono
LuffyDono
·
2021-08-05
[Miser]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
看
2,549
回复
评论
点赞
1
编组 21备份 2
分享
举报
加载更多
热议股票
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3579212601855354","uuid":"3579212601855354","gmtCreate":1616123182001,"gmtModify":1622602853825,"name":"LuffyDono","pinyin":"luffydono","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":10,"headSize":359,"tweetSize":69,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":852057449,"gmtCreate":1635227266861,"gmtModify":1635227315380,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852057449","repostId":"1174706442","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174706442","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635226829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174706442?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 13:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Upstart Is a Great Company With a Very High Valuation<blockquote>Upstart是一家估值非常高的伟大公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174706442","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Upstart has a very bright future, but the high valuation of UPST stock could lead to a steep correction","content":"<p><div> There’s really a tremendous amount to like about Upstart(NASDAQ:UPST) stock. In fact, back in April, I wrote a very bullish article on the shares,stating that the name ” is a buy for growth investors”...</p><p><blockquote><div>Upstart（纳斯达克：UPST）股票确实有很多值得喜欢的地方。事实上，早在四月份，我就写了一篇关于该股的非常乐观的文章，指出这个名字“适合成长型投资者”……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/upstart-is-a-great-company-with-a-very-high-valuation/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/upstart-is-a-great-company-with-a-very-high-valuation/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Upstart Is a Great Company With a Very High Valuation<blockquote>Upstart是一家估值非常高的伟大公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUpstart Is a Great Company With a Very High Valuation<blockquote>Upstart是一家估值非常高的伟大公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 13:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> There’s really a tremendous amount to like about Upstart(NASDAQ:UPST) stock. In fact, back in April, I wrote a very bullish article on the shares,stating that the name ” is a buy for growth investors”...</p><p><blockquote><div>Upstart（纳斯达克：UPST）股票确实有很多值得喜欢的地方。事实上，早在四月份，我就写了一篇关于该股的非常乐观的文章，指出这个名字“适合成长型投资者”……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/upstart-is-a-great-company-with-a-very-high-valuation/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/upstart-is-a-great-company-with-a-very-high-valuation/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/upstart-is-a-great-company-with-a-very-high-valuation/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/10/upstart-is-a-great-company-with-a-very-high-valuation/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174706442","content_text":"There’s really a tremendous amount to like about Upstart(NASDAQ:UPST) stock. In fact, back in April, I wrote a very bullish article on the shares,stating that the name ” is a buy for growth investors” and touting the high value of the company’s highly specified artificial intelligence technology for lenders. Since my article was published, the shares have more than tripled.\nWith Upstart continuing to rapidly add more banks to its customer base and beginning to enter the auto lending space, I am sure that it has a tremendous room to grow. And the company’s financial results continue to be stupendous.\nTwo Ways to Handle UPST Stock\nNevertheless, given the current, extremely high valuation of UPST stock, I think that the shares are likely to fall sharply on even a small hiccup by the company, the banking sector, or the stock market. Consequently, I would advise investors to wait for a substantial pullback in the shares before taking a bullish position in them.\nAs an alternate approach, however, long-term investors could consider taking a relatively small, bullish position in the shares now. In case there is no market or sector pullback or problems with the company, this would enable UPST stock to continue to rally.\nThen, if the shares do subsequently drop sharply on weakness, these investors could take a much bigger, bullish position, lowering their average costs and leaving them very well-positioned.\nUpstart’s Booming Business and Its Growth Outlook\nIn the second quarter, the AI software maker’s revenue soared 60% year-over-year to $194 million. The company’s net income, excluding certain items, came in at $37.3 million. This is in comparison to a loss of $3.7 million in the identical quarter a year earlier.\n“Bank partners originated 286,864 loans, totaling $2.80 billion, across our platform in the second quarter, up 1,605% from the same quarter of the prior year,” the company stated in its earnings press release. For all of 2021, Upstart expects its sales to soar 221% YOY to about $750 million.\nAs of the end of Q2, the company’s customer base totaled only 25, giving it a great deal of room to continue its tremendous growth. Moreover, Upstart CEO Dave Girouard, speaking on the company’s earnings conference call, noted that one of the banks that uses its platform elected to no longer automatically refuse to provide loans to consumers whose credit score did not meet a minimum level.\nThat information made me realize that, over time, banks could decide to stop using credit scores altogether and rely solely on Upstart’s platform. Such a development would likely enable Upstart to increase its prices because the banks would become much more reliant on the company’s platform and have excess funds as a result of no longer having to pay the credit rating agencies.\nFinally, Upstart has entered the auto lending market this year.According to Girouard, the auto lending space is “at least 6x larger than personal loans and at least as inefficient.” On Oct.6, the company announced the launch of Upstart Auto Retail software. The product uses AI to evaluate potential car buyers’ creditworthiness.\n“With the addition of Upstart-powered loans, dealerships will be able to instantly offer affordable financing to more of their customers,” Upstart reported.\nGoing forward, Upstart has a great deal of room to grow in the personal loan and auto loan sectors.\nA Very High Valuation\nUPST stock is trading at a forward price-sales ratio of nearly 28 times, and its forward price-earnings ratio is about 220 times. Those are very high valuations. Often, stocks with valuations that elevated end up undergoing a steep correction, if the company’s financial results miss analysts’ average outlook by a small amount.\nIn fact, the shares’ very high valuation led Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler to downgrade the shares to“underperform” from “buy.” on Oct. 18. The analyst cut his rating on the share because he thinks that “the stock’s near-term upside {is} priced in,” Seeking Alpha reported.\nThe Bottom Line on UPST Stock\nUpstart has a very bright future, but the shares are pricey now. I recommend that investors utilize one of the two approaches towards the shares that I described above.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852057619,"gmtCreate":1635227247104,"gmtModify":1635227314990,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852057619","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852057120,"gmtCreate":1635227234510,"gmtModify":1635227314698,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852057120","repostId":"2177489964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2177489964","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1635042148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2177489964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 10:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177489964","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain iss","content":"<p>Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain issues affecting PC sales</p><p><blockquote>Azure和其他云产品的增长应该会掩盖影响PC销售的供应链问题带来的任何失望</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/958e56d50bc03c5ef2195a2a879bec71\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Microsoft Corp. is scheduled to release fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>微软定于周二盘后发布第一财季财报。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The slowdown in personal computer sales due to supply-chain issues in recent months would have hurt Microsoft Corp. in past years, but the company's pivot to cloud computing and cloud software should insulate it from any earnings fallout.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，由于供应链问题导致的个人电脑销售放缓在过去几年可能会损害微软公司，但该公司转向云计算和云软件应该会使其免受任何盈利影响。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Tuesday afternoon, as it rolls out its new Windows 11 operating system and PC makers struggle to deliver new machines. While the Microsoft of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer would have faced a lot of Wall Street pessimism if PC shipments were mangled and a new operating system was not quickly adopted, Satya Nadella's Microsoft should be just fine.</p><p><blockquote>微软定于周二下午公布第一财季财报，该公司将推出新的Windows 11操作系统，而PC制造商正在努力交付新机器。如果个人电脑出货量受损且新操作系统没有迅速采用，Bill Gates和Steve Ballmer的微软将面临华尔街的大量悲观情绪，但Satya Nadella的微软应该会很好。</blockquote></p><p> That is because analysts and investors are mostly focused on Azure, Microsoft's cloud-computing answer to Amazon.com Inc.'s Amazon Web Services, as well as cloud-software offerings, decreasing the importance of Microsoft's PC business.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为分析师和投资者主要关注Azure（微软对亚马逊公司Amazon Web Services的云计算解决方案）以及云软件产品，从而降低了微软PC业务的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> \"Sustained digital transformation momentum should offset the impact from mixed PC unit shipment estimates from IDC and Gartner,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts wrote in a preview of the report, later adding, \"While our negative growth outlook for Windows OEM pressures our longer term earnings expectation for Microsoft, we also note Windows OEM overall represents a decreasing mix of overall Microsoft revenue and gross profit.\"</p><p><blockquote>“持续的数字化转型势头应该会抵消IDC和Gartner对PC设备出货量的混合估计的影响，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师在报告的预览中写道，稍后补充道：“虽然我们对Windows OEM厂商的负增长前景给微软的长期收益预期带来压力，但我们也注意到，总体而言，Windows OEM厂商代表总体微软收入和毛利的组合不断下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Azure has made sure that Windows' importance to Microsoft has decreased. The fast-growing cloud business is at the top of every analyst note about Microsoft, and analysts expect revenue to grow in the mid-40% range. (Microsoft does not disclose Azure performance except for percentage gain, despite AWS and Google (GOOGL) Cloud providing full revenue and operating profits for their competitive services).</p><p><blockquote>Azure已经确保Windows对微软的重要性已经下降。快速增长的云业务是所有有关微软的分析师报告的首要内容，分析师预计收入将增长40%左右。（尽管AWS和谷歌（GOOGL）云为其竞争服务提供了全部收入和营业利润，但微软没有披露Azure的性能，除了百分比增益）。</blockquote></p><p> \"Fundamentally, ramping contribution from previously signed long-term Azure deals, continued Cloud migrations post-COVID, Microsoft's intensifying focus on Cloud verticalization and strong Microsoft 365 seat growth can sustain durable longer-term Azure growth,\" the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“从根本上说，之前签署的长期Azure协议的贡献不断增加、新冠疫情后持续的云迁移、微软对云垂直化的日益关注以及微软365席位的强劲增长可以维持Azure的长期持久增长。”</blockquote></p><p> There are factors that could add to Microsoft's growth as well, especially in the forecast. The $19.7 billion acquisition of health-care-focused company Nuance is expected to close before the end of the calendar year, and Microsoft recently disclosed that its cloud-based revenue would dump into the same revenue bucket as Azure.</p><p><blockquote>还有一些因素也可能促进微软的增长，尤其是在预测中。对专注于医疗保健的公司Nuance的197亿美元收购预计将在今年年底前完成，微软最近透露，其基于云的收入将与Azure归入同一收入类别。</blockquote></p><p> While Microsoft did not disclose exactly how much that would mean, UBS analysts said in September that prior Nuance disclosures and a call they had with the company's investor relations team led them to estimate that about 46% of Nuance's revenue would be cloud-based. They estimated that would mean roughly $91 million in additional sales for Microsoft's cloud division in the fiscal second quarter, if the full quarter were to be included.</p><p><blockquote>虽然微软没有透露这到底意味着什么，但瑞银分析师在9月份表示，Nuance之前的披露以及他们与该公司投资者关系团队的看涨期权使他们估计Nuance约46%的收入将来自云。他们估计，如果将整个季度包括在内，这意味着微软云部门在第二财季的销售额将增加约9100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Another bump could be coming in the future from increased prices for Microsoft's most popular cloud software offering, Office 365. Microsoft is increasing prices more than 10% across the board for the product, which the company described as \"the first substantive pricing update since we launched Office 365 a decade ago,\" which also gives analysts confidence that Microsoft can withstand any supply-chain pressures on the PC market.</p><p><blockquote>微软最受欢迎的云软件产品Office 365的价格上涨可能会在未来带来另一个上涨。微软将该产品的价格全面提高10%以上，该公司称这是“自十年前推出Office 365以来的首次实质性定价更新”，这也让分析师相信微软能够承受任何供应链压力PC市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts on average expect Microsoft to report earnings of $2.08 a share, up from $1.82 a share a year ago. Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- predict earnings of $2.22 a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>分析师平均预计微软每股收益为2.08美元，高于一年前的每股1.82美元。Estimize是一个众包平台，收集华尔街分析师以及买方分析师、基金经理、公司高管、学者和其他人的预测，其贡献者预测每股收益为2.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Analysts on average were modeling sales of $43.93 billion, which would be an improvement from $37.15 billion a year ago, after Microsoft forecast revenue of $43.3 billion to $44.2 billion. Estimize contributors expect $44.88 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>分析师平均预测销售额为439.3亿美元，比一年前的371.5亿美元有所改善，此前微软预测营收为433亿美元至442亿美元。Estimize贡献者预计销售额为448.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst expect $16.52 billion in sales from the \"Intelligent Cloud\" segment, after Microsoft guided for $16.4 billion to $16.65 billion; $14.67 billion in sales from the cloud-software-focused \"Productivity and Business Solutions\" segment, after a forecast of $14.5 billion to $14.75 billion; and $12.72 billion from \"More Personal Computing,\" after guidance for sales of $12.4 billion to $12.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计“智能云”部门的销售额为165.2亿美元，此前微软的预期为164亿至166.5亿美元；以云软件为重点的“生产力和业务解决方案”部门的销售额为146.7亿美元，此前预测为145亿至147.5亿美元；127.2亿美元来自“更多个人计算”，此前销售额指引为124亿至128亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Microsoft shares have declined in the session following earnings releases in four of the past five quarters, though the last decline was only by 0.1%. The stock has increased 8.1% in the past three months and 45.2% in the past year, as the S&P 500 index has grown by 4.1% and 31.6% in those periods, respectively.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>过去五个季度中有四个季度发布财报后，微软股价均出现下跌，但上一次跌幅仅为0.1%。该股在过去三个月上涨了8.1%，在过去一年上涨了45.2%，而标普500指数在此期间分别上涨了4.1%和31.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are in pretty universal agreement about Microsoft's current position. According to FactSet tracking, 33 out of 36 analysts rate the stock the equivalent of a buy, while the other three rate it as a hold.</p><p><blockquote>分析师们对微软目前的立场相当一致。根据FactSet的跟踪，36名分析师中有33名分析师将该股评级为买入，而另外3名分析师将其评级为持有。</blockquote></p><p> \"Currently trading at 27x our CY23 GAAP EPS estimates, Microsoft represents a rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space,\" wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts, who rate the shares overweight with a price target of $331.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“微软目前的交易价格是我们23年GAAP每股收益预期的27倍，代表了软件领域强劲的长期定位和合理估值的罕见组合。”摩根士丹利分析师对跑赢大盘股票的评级为331美元。</blockquote></p><p> The once concern seems to be the durability of the current growth trajectory, which is why the Nuance acquisition and increased pricing of Office 365 is seen as key to the stock continuing to rise.</p><p><blockquote>曾经的担忧似乎是当前增长轨迹的持久性，这就是为什么收购Nuance和提高Office 365的定价被视为该股继续上涨的关键。</blockquote></p><p> \"Comps get progressively tougher throughout FY22, which should be met by Microsoft's durable growth portfolio of Azure/Security/Teams,\" wrote Jeffries analysts, who have an outperform rating and recently raised their price target to $375 from $345. \"Key items to watch are elevated expectations (Azure high 40s reported), integration with Nuance and increased security investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>Jeffries分析师写道：“整个22财年，竞争将逐渐变得更加严峻，微软Azure/Security/Teams的持久增长投资组合应该可以满足这一需求。”他们给予跑赢大盘评级，最近将目标价从345美元上调至375美元。“值得关注的关键项目是期望提高（据报道Azure High 40）、与Nuance的集成以及安全投资的增加。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft has benefitted from the pandemic, as companies have relied on cloud-computing power and software to keep teams connected while working remotely. But Microsoft bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives does not see a return to the office as a sign that the boom will end.</p><p><blockquote>微软从疫情中受益，因为公司依靠云计算能力和软件在远程工作时保持团队联系。但微软牛市和Wedbush分析师Daniel Ives并不认为重返办公室是繁荣将结束的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe the Street's view of moderating cloud growth on the other side of this WFH cycle is contrary to the deal activity Microsoft is seeing in the field,\" Ives, with an outperform rating and $375 price target, wrote in a preview of the report. \"While we have seen the momentum of this backdrop in the last few years, we believe deal flow looks incrementally strong (Office 365/Azure combo deals in particular) heading into FY22 as we estimate that Microsoft is still only 35% through penetrating its unparalleled installed base on the cloud transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ives在报告预览中写道：“我们认为，华尔街对在家办公周期另一端云增长放缓的看法与微软在该领域看到的交易活动相反。”Ives给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为375美元。“虽然我们在过去几年中看到了这种背景的势头，但我们相信，进入2022财年，交易流看起来将逐渐强劲（尤其是Office 365/Azure组合交易），因为我们估计微软通过渗透其无与伦比的云过渡安装基础。”</blockquote></p><p> Stifel analysts, with a buy rating and $325 price target, concurred.</p><p><blockquote>Stifel分析师对此表示赞同，给予买入评级和325美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to believe that the pandemic is forcing organizations to accelerate the pace of their cloud migrations and that Microsoft remains a key beneficiary of this modernization spend, especially around large new deal momentum, as its broad stack enables it to capture Tier 1 workloads previously out of reach,\" they wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“我们仍然认为，疫情正在迫使组织加快云迁移的步伐，微软仍然是这种现代化支出的主要受益者，特别是在巨大的新政势头下，因为其广泛的堆栈使其能够捕获以前无法实现的一级工作负载，”他们写道。</blockquote></p><p> The average price target on Microsoft stock as of Friday afternoon was $335.47, roughly 8.5% higher than the going rate.</p><p><blockquote>截至周五下午，微软股票的平均目标价为335.47美元，比现行汇率高出约8.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 10:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain issues affecting PC sales</p><p><blockquote>Azure和其他云产品的增长应该会掩盖影响PC销售的供应链问题带来的任何失望</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/958e56d50bc03c5ef2195a2a879bec71\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Microsoft Corp. is scheduled to release fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>微软定于周二盘后发布第一财季财报。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The slowdown in personal computer sales due to supply-chain issues in recent months would have hurt Microsoft Corp. in past years, but the company's pivot to cloud computing and cloud software should insulate it from any earnings fallout.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，由于供应链问题导致的个人电脑销售放缓在过去几年可能会损害微软公司，但该公司转向云计算和云软件应该会使其免受任何盈利影响。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Tuesday afternoon, as it rolls out its new Windows 11 operating system and PC makers struggle to deliver new machines. While the Microsoft of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer would have faced a lot of Wall Street pessimism if PC shipments were mangled and a new operating system was not quickly adopted, Satya Nadella's Microsoft should be just fine.</p><p><blockquote>微软定于周二下午公布第一财季财报，该公司将推出新的Windows 11操作系统，而PC制造商正在努力交付新机器。如果个人电脑出货量受损且新操作系统没有迅速采用，Bill Gates和Steve Ballmer的微软将面临华尔街的大量悲观情绪，但Satya Nadella的微软应该会很好。</blockquote></p><p> That is because analysts and investors are mostly focused on Azure, Microsoft's cloud-computing answer to Amazon.com Inc.'s Amazon Web Services, as well as cloud-software offerings, decreasing the importance of Microsoft's PC business.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为分析师和投资者主要关注Azure（微软对亚马逊公司Amazon Web Services的云计算解决方案）以及云软件产品，从而降低了微软PC业务的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> \"Sustained digital transformation momentum should offset the impact from mixed PC unit shipment estimates from IDC and Gartner,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts wrote in a preview of the report, later adding, \"While our negative growth outlook for Windows OEM pressures our longer term earnings expectation for Microsoft, we also note Windows OEM overall represents a decreasing mix of overall Microsoft revenue and gross profit.\"</p><p><blockquote>“持续的数字化转型势头应该会抵消IDC和Gartner对PC设备出货量的混合估计的影响，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师在报告的预览中写道，稍后补充道：“虽然我们对Windows OEM厂商的负增长前景给微软的长期收益预期带来压力，但我们也注意到，总体而言，Windows OEM厂商代表总体微软收入和毛利的组合不断下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Azure has made sure that Windows' importance to Microsoft has decreased. The fast-growing cloud business is at the top of every analyst note about Microsoft, and analysts expect revenue to grow in the mid-40% range. (Microsoft does not disclose Azure performance except for percentage gain, despite AWS and Google (GOOGL) Cloud providing full revenue and operating profits for their competitive services).</p><p><blockquote>Azure已经确保Windows对微软的重要性已经下降。快速增长的云业务是所有有关微软的分析师报告的首要内容，分析师预计收入将增长40%左右。（尽管AWS和谷歌（GOOGL）云为其竞争服务提供了全部收入和营业利润，但微软没有披露Azure的性能，除了百分比增益）。</blockquote></p><p> \"Fundamentally, ramping contribution from previously signed long-term Azure deals, continued Cloud migrations post-COVID, Microsoft's intensifying focus on Cloud verticalization and strong Microsoft 365 seat growth can sustain durable longer-term Azure growth,\" the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“从根本上说，之前签署的长期Azure协议的贡献不断增加、新冠疫情后持续的云迁移、微软对云垂直化的日益关注以及微软365席位的强劲增长可以维持Azure的长期持久增长。”</blockquote></p><p> There are factors that could add to Microsoft's growth as well, especially in the forecast. The $19.7 billion acquisition of health-care-focused company Nuance is expected to close before the end of the calendar year, and Microsoft recently disclosed that its cloud-based revenue would dump into the same revenue bucket as Azure.</p><p><blockquote>还有一些因素也可能促进微软的增长，尤其是在预测中。对专注于医疗保健的公司Nuance的197亿美元收购预计将在今年年底前完成，微软最近透露，其基于云的收入将与Azure归入同一收入类别。</blockquote></p><p> While Microsoft did not disclose exactly how much that would mean, UBS analysts said in September that prior Nuance disclosures and a call they had with the company's investor relations team led them to estimate that about 46% of Nuance's revenue would be cloud-based. They estimated that would mean roughly $91 million in additional sales for Microsoft's cloud division in the fiscal second quarter, if the full quarter were to be included.</p><p><blockquote>虽然微软没有透露这到底意味着什么，但瑞银分析师在9月份表示，Nuance之前的披露以及他们与该公司投资者关系团队的看涨期权使他们估计Nuance约46%的收入将来自云。他们估计，如果将整个季度包括在内，这意味着微软云部门在第二财季的销售额将增加约9100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Another bump could be coming in the future from increased prices for Microsoft's most popular cloud software offering, Office 365. Microsoft is increasing prices more than 10% across the board for the product, which the company described as \"the first substantive pricing update since we launched Office 365 a decade ago,\" which also gives analysts confidence that Microsoft can withstand any supply-chain pressures on the PC market.</p><p><blockquote>微软最受欢迎的云软件产品Office 365的价格上涨可能会在未来带来另一个上涨。微软将该产品的价格全面提高10%以上，该公司称这是“自十年前推出Office 365以来的首次实质性定价更新”，这也让分析师相信微软能够承受任何供应链压力PC市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts on average expect Microsoft to report earnings of $2.08 a share, up from $1.82 a share a year ago. Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- predict earnings of $2.22 a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>分析师平均预计微软每股收益为2.08美元，高于一年前的每股1.82美元。Estimize是一个众包平台，收集华尔街分析师以及买方分析师、基金经理、公司高管、学者和其他人的预测，其贡献者预测每股收益为2.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Analysts on average were modeling sales of $43.93 billion, which would be an improvement from $37.15 billion a year ago, after Microsoft forecast revenue of $43.3 billion to $44.2 billion. Estimize contributors expect $44.88 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>分析师平均预测销售额为439.3亿美元，比一年前的371.5亿美元有所改善，此前微软预测营收为433亿美元至442亿美元。Estimize贡献者预计销售额为448.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst expect $16.52 billion in sales from the \"Intelligent Cloud\" segment, after Microsoft guided for $16.4 billion to $16.65 billion; $14.67 billion in sales from the cloud-software-focused \"Productivity and Business Solutions\" segment, after a forecast of $14.5 billion to $14.75 billion; and $12.72 billion from \"More Personal Computing,\" after guidance for sales of $12.4 billion to $12.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计“智能云”部门的销售额为165.2亿美元，此前微软的预期为164亿至166.5亿美元；以云软件为重点的“生产力和业务解决方案”部门的销售额为146.7亿美元，此前预测为145亿至147.5亿美元；127.2亿美元来自“更多个人计算”，此前销售额指引为124亿至128亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Microsoft shares have declined in the session following earnings releases in four of the past five quarters, though the last decline was only by 0.1%. The stock has increased 8.1% in the past three months and 45.2% in the past year, as the S&P 500 index has grown by 4.1% and 31.6% in those periods, respectively.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>过去五个季度中有四个季度发布财报后，微软股价均出现下跌，但上一次跌幅仅为0.1%。该股在过去三个月上涨了8.1%，在过去一年上涨了45.2%，而标普500指数在此期间分别上涨了4.1%和31.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are in pretty universal agreement about Microsoft's current position. According to FactSet tracking, 33 out of 36 analysts rate the stock the equivalent of a buy, while the other three rate it as a hold.</p><p><blockquote>分析师们对微软目前的立场相当一致。根据FactSet的跟踪，36名分析师中有33名分析师将该股评级为买入，而另外3名分析师将其评级为持有。</blockquote></p><p> \"Currently trading at 27x our CY23 GAAP EPS estimates, Microsoft represents a rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space,\" wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts, who rate the shares overweight with a price target of $331.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“微软目前的交易价格是我们23年GAAP每股收益预期的27倍，代表了软件领域强劲的长期定位和合理估值的罕见组合。”摩根士丹利分析师对跑赢大盘股票的评级为331美元。</blockquote></p><p> The once concern seems to be the durability of the current growth trajectory, which is why the Nuance acquisition and increased pricing of Office 365 is seen as key to the stock continuing to rise.</p><p><blockquote>曾经的担忧似乎是当前增长轨迹的持久性，这就是为什么收购Nuance和提高Office 365的定价被视为该股继续上涨的关键。</blockquote></p><p> \"Comps get progressively tougher throughout FY22, which should be met by Microsoft's durable growth portfolio of Azure/Security/Teams,\" wrote Jeffries analysts, who have an outperform rating and recently raised their price target to $375 from $345. \"Key items to watch are elevated expectations (Azure high 40s reported), integration with Nuance and increased security investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>Jeffries分析师写道：“整个22财年，竞争将逐渐变得更加严峻，微软Azure/Security/Teams的持久增长投资组合应该可以满足这一需求。”他们给予跑赢大盘评级，最近将目标价从345美元上调至375美元。“值得关注的关键项目是期望提高（据报道Azure High 40）、与Nuance的集成以及安全投资的增加。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft has benefitted from the pandemic, as companies have relied on cloud-computing power and software to keep teams connected while working remotely. But Microsoft bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives does not see a return to the office as a sign that the boom will end.</p><p><blockquote>微软从疫情中受益，因为公司依靠云计算能力和软件在远程工作时保持团队联系。但微软牛市和Wedbush分析师Daniel Ives并不认为重返办公室是繁荣将结束的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe the Street's view of moderating cloud growth on the other side of this WFH cycle is contrary to the deal activity Microsoft is seeing in the field,\" Ives, with an outperform rating and $375 price target, wrote in a preview of the report. \"While we have seen the momentum of this backdrop in the last few years, we believe deal flow looks incrementally strong (Office 365/Azure combo deals in particular) heading into FY22 as we estimate that Microsoft is still only 35% through penetrating its unparalleled installed base on the cloud transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ives在报告预览中写道：“我们认为，华尔街对在家办公周期另一端云增长放缓的看法与微软在该领域看到的交易活动相反。”Ives给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为375美元。“虽然我们在过去几年中看到了这种背景的势头，但我们相信，进入2022财年，交易流看起来将逐渐强劲（尤其是Office 365/Azure组合交易），因为我们估计微软通过渗透其无与伦比的云过渡安装基础。”</blockquote></p><p> Stifel analysts, with a buy rating and $325 price target, concurred.</p><p><blockquote>Stifel分析师对此表示赞同，给予买入评级和325美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to believe that the pandemic is forcing organizations to accelerate the pace of their cloud migrations and that Microsoft remains a key beneficiary of this modernization spend, especially around large new deal momentum, as its broad stack enables it to capture Tier 1 workloads previously out of reach,\" they wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“我们仍然认为，疫情正在迫使组织加快云迁移的步伐，微软仍然是这种现代化支出的主要受益者，特别是在巨大的新政势头下，因为其广泛的堆栈使其能够捕获以前无法实现的一级工作负载，”他们写道。</blockquote></p><p> The average price target on Microsoft stock as of Friday afternoon was $335.47, roughly 8.5% higher than the going rate.</p><p><blockquote>截至周五下午，微软股票的平均目标价为335.47美元，比现行汇率高出约8.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-pc-slowdown-shouldnt-hurt-microsoft-earnings-and-heres-why-11635003215?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-pc-slowdown-shouldnt-hurt-microsoft-earnings-and-heres-why-11635003215?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177489964","content_text":"Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain issues affecting PC sales\nMicrosoft Corp. is scheduled to release fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.\nThe slowdown in personal computer sales due to supply-chain issues in recent months would have hurt Microsoft Corp. in past years, but the company's pivot to cloud computing and cloud software should insulate it from any earnings fallout.\nMicrosoft is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Tuesday afternoon, as it rolls out its new Windows 11 operating system and PC makers struggle to deliver new machines. While the Microsoft of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer would have faced a lot of Wall Street pessimism if PC shipments were mangled and a new operating system was not quickly adopted, Satya Nadella's Microsoft should be just fine.\nThat is because analysts and investors are mostly focused on Azure, Microsoft's cloud-computing answer to Amazon.com Inc.'s Amazon Web Services, as well as cloud-software offerings, decreasing the importance of Microsoft's PC business.\n\"Sustained digital transformation momentum should offset the impact from mixed PC unit shipment estimates from IDC and Gartner,\" Morgan Stanley analysts wrote in a preview of the report, later adding, \"While our negative growth outlook for Windows OEM pressures our longer term earnings expectation for Microsoft, we also note Windows OEM overall represents a decreasing mix of overall Microsoft revenue and gross profit.\"\nAzure has made sure that Windows' importance to Microsoft has decreased. The fast-growing cloud business is at the top of every analyst note about Microsoft, and analysts expect revenue to grow in the mid-40% range. (Microsoft does not disclose Azure performance except for percentage gain, despite AWS and Google (GOOGL) Cloud providing full revenue and operating profits for their competitive services).\n\"Fundamentally, ramping contribution from previously signed long-term Azure deals, continued Cloud migrations post-COVID, Microsoft's intensifying focus on Cloud verticalization and strong Microsoft 365 seat growth can sustain durable longer-term Azure growth,\" the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.\nThere are factors that could add to Microsoft's growth as well, especially in the forecast. The $19.7 billion acquisition of health-care-focused company Nuance is expected to close before the end of the calendar year, and Microsoft recently disclosed that its cloud-based revenue would dump into the same revenue bucket as Azure.\nWhile Microsoft did not disclose exactly how much that would mean, UBS analysts said in September that prior Nuance disclosures and a call they had with the company's investor relations team led them to estimate that about 46% of Nuance's revenue would be cloud-based. They estimated that would mean roughly $91 million in additional sales for Microsoft's cloud division in the fiscal second quarter, if the full quarter were to be included.\nAnother bump could be coming in the future from increased prices for Microsoft's most popular cloud software offering, Office 365. Microsoft is increasing prices more than 10% across the board for the product, which the company described as \"the first substantive pricing update since we launched Office 365 a decade ago,\" which also gives analysts confidence that Microsoft can withstand any supply-chain pressures on the PC market.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Analysts on average expect Microsoft to report earnings of $2.08 a share, up from $1.82 a share a year ago. Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- predict earnings of $2.22 a share.\nRevenue: Analysts on average were modeling sales of $43.93 billion, which would be an improvement from $37.15 billion a year ago, after Microsoft forecast revenue of $43.3 billion to $44.2 billion. Estimize contributors expect $44.88 billion in sales.\nAnalyst expect $16.52 billion in sales from the \"Intelligent Cloud\" segment, after Microsoft guided for $16.4 billion to $16.65 billion; $14.67 billion in sales from the cloud-software-focused \"Productivity and Business Solutions\" segment, after a forecast of $14.5 billion to $14.75 billion; and $12.72 billion from \"More Personal Computing,\" after guidance for sales of $12.4 billion to $12.8 billion.\nStock movement: Microsoft shares have declined in the session following earnings releases in four of the past five quarters, though the last decline was only by 0.1%. The stock has increased 8.1% in the past three months and 45.2% in the past year, as the S&P 500 index has grown by 4.1% and 31.6% in those periods, respectively.\nWhat analysts are saying\nAnalysts are in pretty universal agreement about Microsoft's current position. According to FactSet tracking, 33 out of 36 analysts rate the stock the equivalent of a buy, while the other three rate it as a hold.\n\"Currently trading at 27x our CY23 GAAP EPS estimates, Microsoft represents a rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space,\" wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts, who rate the shares overweight with a price target of $331.\nThe once concern seems to be the durability of the current growth trajectory, which is why the Nuance acquisition and increased pricing of Office 365 is seen as key to the stock continuing to rise.\n\"Comps get progressively tougher throughout FY22, which should be met by Microsoft's durable growth portfolio of Azure/Security/Teams,\" wrote Jeffries analysts, who have an outperform rating and recently raised their price target to $375 from $345. \"Key items to watch are elevated expectations (Azure high 40s reported), integration with Nuance and increased security investments.\"\nMicrosoft has benefitted from the pandemic, as companies have relied on cloud-computing power and software to keep teams connected while working remotely. But Microsoft bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives does not see a return to the office as a sign that the boom will end.\n\"We believe the Street's view of moderating cloud growth on the other side of this WFH cycle is contrary to the deal activity Microsoft is seeing in the field,\" Ives, with an outperform rating and $375 price target, wrote in a preview of the report. \"While we have seen the momentum of this backdrop in the last few years, we believe deal flow looks incrementally strong (Office 365/Azure combo deals in particular) heading into FY22 as we estimate that Microsoft is still only 35% through penetrating its unparalleled installed base on the cloud transition.\"\nStifel analysts, with a buy rating and $325 price target, concurred.\n\"We continue to believe that the pandemic is forcing organizations to accelerate the pace of their cloud migrations and that Microsoft remains a key beneficiary of this modernization spend, especially around large new deal momentum, as its broad stack enables it to capture Tier 1 workloads previously out of reach,\" they wrote.\nThe average price target on Microsoft stock as of Friday afternoon was $335.47, roughly 8.5% higher than the going rate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852057044,"gmtCreate":1635227152731,"gmtModify":1635227313724,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852057044","repostId":"2177412181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2177412181","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1635219132,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2177412181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD盈利有望在英特尔失望的地方再次取得成功</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177412181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analy","content":"<p>AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink</p><p><blockquote>AMD盈利预览：在英特尔连续两个季度下滑后，分析师现在指出，由于英特尔的利润率预计将萎缩，AMD的利润率将不断增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ec3c9220844c561016f0de86f86f52\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.不断增长的Epyc服务器芯片系列最近几个季度一直是华尔街的热门话题，但在本季度的收益报告中，这可能会转向毛利率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.</p><p><blockquote>超微设备公司（Advanced Micro Devices Inc.）将紧随英特尔公司（Intel Corp.）发布另一份粗略的收益报告，并可能再次在给其规模更大的竞争对手带来痛苦的领域显示收益。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.</p><p><blockquote>AMD定于周二收盘后公布第三季度收益，此前英特尔周四公布的收益超出预期，但随着收入的公布，这几乎无关紧要。对分析师来说，更重要的是英特尔预测未来几年利润率将下降，因为其首席执行官加倍投资新的制造能力，试图重新夺回其作为无可争议的芯片领导者的昔日荣耀。</blockquote></p><p> That led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.</p><p><blockquote>这导致了周五的评级下调，以及英特尔自这家芯片领导者表示将推迟下一代芯片以来最糟糕的单日表现，这一声明当时引发了更多投资者对AMD的支持。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein分析师Stacy Rasgon对AMD给予市场表现评级，目标价为110美元，她表示AMD将继续受益于英特尔的转型，并呼吁人们关注英特尔看涨期权期间备受关注的AMD指标之一：毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.</p><p><blockquote>拉斯贡表示：“我们认为，未来华尔街的毛利率预期似乎并不激进（这不是我们通常对AMD所说的），该公司现在（有史以来第一次）开始返还现金。”</blockquote></p><p> That underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>这再次凸显了英特尔和AMD如何相互转型：英特尔看涨期权上的分析师非常担心英特尔的利润率正在下降，尽管该公司保证未来几年利润率将保持在50%以上。与此同时，AMD的毛利率一直在上升，很可能会突破50%，如果不是在这份收益报告中，那么很快就会突破50%。三个月前，AMD公布的毛利率为48%，高于上一年的44%。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD被称为英特尔的“较小竞争对手”，但这一差距已经稳步缩小了一段时间。截至周五收盘，AMD市值为1453.4亿美元，占英特尔2006.6亿美元市值的近73%。就在去年夏天，AMD 1115亿美元的估值略高于英特尔2195亿美元上限的一半。</blockquote></p><p> One other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得关注的是数据中心销售，该销售最终在本季度实现了增长。在过去的两个季度中，英特尔在这一日益重要的类别中的销售额同比大幅下降，而AMD的销售额则增长了一倍多。这就提出了一个问题：英特尔是否夺回了一些市场份额，或者数据中心的销售是否总体上更好，AMD的报告可以回答这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings: </b>Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>在FactSet调查的34名分析师中，AMD平均预计调整后每股收益为66美分，高于去年同期的每股41美分。Estimize是一个软件平台，众包对冲基金高管、券商、买方分析师和其他人对评级每股收益72美分的估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>在FactSet调查的32名分析师中，AMD平均预计营收为41.1亿美元，高于去年同期的28亿美元。AMD此前预测为40亿至42亿美元。Estimize预计营收为42.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement:</b> While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>尽管AMD在过去五份季度报告中的盈利和销售额均超出了华尔街的预期，但该股仅在第二天上涨了两次，分别是大约三个月前和五个季度前该股上涨了近13%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价第三季度上涨9.6%。相比之下，PHLX半导体指数下跌2.6%，标普500指数上涨0.2%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。周五，也就是英特尔发布报告的第二天，AMD股价收于119.82美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen分析师马修·拉姆齐(Matthew Ramsay)对AMD给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为120美元，他表示“正在寻找更多同样的结果”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ramsay表示：“我们将继续关注PC市场，寻找需求放缓或供应改善的迹象。”“短期内，我们看到Chromebook以外的需求具有弹性，但更倾向于对2022年采取谨慎/不可知论的观点，就像AMD在上一次看涨期权中采取的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，研究公司发布的数据显示，疫情推动的个人电脑出货量增长已大幅放缓，因为世界不仅面临芯片短缺问题，还面临整体供应链问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在数据中心销售额方面，Ramsay更加乐观地估计该细分市场将占销售额的25%以上，而一年前这一比例还不到20%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"</p><p><blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“我们相信数据中心超过AMD四分之一的业务可能会引起投资者的关注。”“我们提醒投资者，AMD最重要的业务仍然是数据中心，我们估计该业务在2020年翻了一番，首席执行官Lisa Su指出，她预计2021年业务势头将加速。”</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"</p><p><blockquote>Susquehanna Financial分析师Christopher Rolland对AMD给予正面评级，目标价为130美元，他表示，他预计企业和服务器销售将推动另一个稳健的季度，但“鉴于PC市场放缓，我们预计管理层不会提高他们的财务业绩。”正如他们在去年的多次更新中所做的那样，顶线指导。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，魅兰预计AMD在台式机和笔记本电脑以及企业级和游戏PC领域的份额将从英特尔增长。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.</p><p><blockquote>在关注AMD的39名分析师中，23名分析师给予买入或跑赢大盘评级，16名分析师给予持有评级，平均目标价为117.55美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD盈利有望在英特尔失望的地方再次取得成功</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD盈利有望在英特尔失望的地方再次取得成功</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 11:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink</p><p><blockquote>AMD盈利预览：在英特尔连续两个季度下滑后，分析师现在指出，由于英特尔的利润率预计将萎缩，AMD的利润率将不断增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ec3c9220844c561016f0de86f86f52\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.不断增长的Epyc服务器芯片系列最近几个季度一直是华尔街的热门话题，但在本季度的收益报告中，这可能会转向毛利率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.</p><p><blockquote>超微设备公司（Advanced Micro Devices Inc.）将紧随英特尔公司（Intel Corp.）发布另一份粗略的收益报告，并可能再次在给其规模更大的竞争对手带来痛苦的领域显示收益。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.</p><p><blockquote>AMD定于周二收盘后公布第三季度收益，此前英特尔周四公布的收益超出预期，但随着收入的公布，这几乎无关紧要。对分析师来说，更重要的是英特尔预测未来几年利润率将下降，因为其首席执行官加倍投资新的制造能力，试图重新夺回其作为无可争议的芯片领导者的昔日荣耀。</blockquote></p><p> That led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.</p><p><blockquote>这导致了周五的评级下调，以及英特尔自这家芯片领导者表示将推迟下一代芯片以来最糟糕的单日表现，这一声明当时引发了更多投资者对AMD的支持。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein分析师Stacy Rasgon对AMD给予市场表现评级，目标价为110美元，她表示AMD将继续受益于英特尔的转型，并呼吁人们关注英特尔看涨期权期间备受关注的AMD指标之一：毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.</p><p><blockquote>拉斯贡表示：“我们认为，未来华尔街的毛利率预期似乎并不激进（这不是我们通常对AMD所说的），该公司现在（有史以来第一次）开始返还现金。”</blockquote></p><p> That underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>这再次凸显了英特尔和AMD如何相互转型：英特尔看涨期权上的分析师非常担心英特尔的利润率正在下降，尽管该公司保证未来几年利润率将保持在50%以上。与此同时，AMD的毛利率一直在上升，很可能会突破50%，如果不是在这份收益报告中，那么很快就会突破50%。三个月前，AMD公布的毛利率为48%，高于上一年的44%。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD被称为英特尔的“较小竞争对手”，但这一差距已经稳步缩小了一段时间。截至周五收盘，AMD市值为1453.4亿美元，占英特尔2006.6亿美元市值的近73%。就在去年夏天，AMD 1115亿美元的估值略高于英特尔2195亿美元上限的一半。</blockquote></p><p> One other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得关注的是数据中心销售，该销售最终在本季度实现了增长。在过去的两个季度中，英特尔在这一日益重要的类别中的销售额同比大幅下降，而AMD的销售额则增长了一倍多。这就提出了一个问题：英特尔是否夺回了一些市场份额，或者数据中心的销售是否总体上更好，AMD的报告可以回答这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings: </b>Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>在FactSet调查的34名分析师中，AMD平均预计调整后每股收益为66美分，高于去年同期的每股41美分。Estimize是一个软件平台，众包对冲基金高管、券商、买方分析师和其他人对评级每股收益72美分的估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>在FactSet调查的32名分析师中，AMD平均预计营收为41.1亿美元，高于去年同期的28亿美元。AMD此前预测为40亿至42亿美元。Estimize预计营收为42.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement:</b> While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>尽管AMD在过去五份季度报告中的盈利和销售额均超出了华尔街的预期，但该股仅在第二天上涨了两次，分别是大约三个月前和五个季度前该股上涨了近13%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价第三季度上涨9.6%。相比之下，PHLX半导体指数下跌2.6%，标普500指数上涨0.2%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。周五，也就是英特尔发布报告的第二天，AMD股价收于119.82美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen分析师马修·拉姆齐(Matthew Ramsay)对AMD给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为120美元，他表示“正在寻找更多同样的结果”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ramsay表示：“我们将继续关注PC市场，寻找需求放缓或供应改善的迹象。”“短期内，我们看到Chromebook以外的需求具有弹性，但更倾向于对2022年采取谨慎/不可知论的观点，就像AMD在上一次看涨期权中采取的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，研究公司发布的数据显示，疫情推动的个人电脑出货量增长已大幅放缓，因为世界不仅面临芯片短缺问题，还面临整体供应链问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在数据中心销售额方面，Ramsay更加乐观地估计该细分市场将占销售额的25%以上，而一年前这一比例还不到20%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"</p><p><blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“我们相信数据中心超过AMD四分之一的业务可能会引起投资者的关注。”“我们提醒投资者，AMD最重要的业务仍然是数据中心，我们估计该业务在2020年翻了一番，首席执行官Lisa Su指出，她预计2021年业务势头将加速。”</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"</p><p><blockquote>Susquehanna Financial分析师Christopher Rolland对AMD给予正面评级，目标价为130美元，他表示，他预计企业和服务器销售将推动另一个稳健的季度，但“鉴于PC市场放缓，我们预计管理层不会提高他们的财务业绩。”正如他们在去年的多次更新中所做的那样，顶线指导。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，魅兰预计AMD在台式机和笔记本电脑以及企业级和游戏PC领域的份额将从英特尔增长。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.</p><p><blockquote>在关注AMD的39名分析师中，23名分析师给予买入或跑赢大盘评级，16名分析师给予持有评级，平均目标价为117.55美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-look-to-again-succeed-where-intel-disappointed-11634942264?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-look-to-again-succeed-where-intel-disappointed-11634942264?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177412181","content_text":"AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink\nAdvanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.\nAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.\nAMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.\nThat led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.\nBernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.\n\"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.\nThat underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.\nWhile AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.\nOne other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.\nRevenue: Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.\nStock movement: While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.\nAMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.\nWhat analysts are saying\nCowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"\n\"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"\nEarlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.\nOn data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.\n\"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"\nSusquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"\nStill, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.\nOf the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868663785,"gmtCreate":1632641040847,"gmtModify":1632647104278,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868663785","repostId":"2170865614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817705439,"gmtCreate":1630985582221,"gmtModify":1632904767465,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817705439","repostId":"2165649339","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835817171,"gmtCreate":1629703121193,"gmtModify":1633683069551,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835817171","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2033,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838618555,"gmtCreate":1629390612477,"gmtModify":1633685176909,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838618555","repostId":"2160601987","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831039540,"gmtCreate":1629271372280,"gmtModify":1633686068824,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cool] ","listText":"[Cool] ","text":"[Cool]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831039540","repostId":"1114320591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114320591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629255336,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114320591?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks I'm Never Selling<blockquote>我永远不会出售的3只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114320591","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The best investors in the world swear by holding high-quality companies for decades on end. These stocks fit that bill.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Time plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.</li> <li>These three business titans are leaders in their fields.</li> <li>They are also built to last for a very long time.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>时间加上耐心，就能在股市中积累财富。</li><li>这三个商业巨头都是各自领域的领导者。</li><li>它们也可以持续很长时间。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> I'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>我即将向您展示我最喜欢的股票。有时我投资时着眼于未来几年的丰厚回报。我预计这些产品将在未来几年甚至几十年内继续跑赢市场。要把它们从我的投资组合中撬出来需要很大的努力。</blockquote></p><p> Let me show you why I intend to hold <b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:NFLX),<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and <b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.</p><p><blockquote>让我告诉你为什么我打算持有<b>Netflix</b>（纳斯达克：NFLX），<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOG）（纳斯达克：GOOGL），以及<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）长期来看。这些股票可能不是每个投资者都能永远持有的股票，但你绝对应该仔细看看这些顶级投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Netflix</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.奈飞</b></blockquote></p><p> First, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in 2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>首先，你知道网飞是红色邮购DVD租赁的发送者。该公司于2007年将数字视频流作为DVD客户的免费附加服务推出，然后于2011年将流媒体业务分离为单独的订阅服务。Qwikster事件是一个巨大的营销混乱，当然可以处理得更好，但从长远来看，这绝对是正确的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Going all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:</p><p><blockquote>全力投入全数字流媒体服务使Netflix能够在全球范围内推出付费订阅计划，并辅以对原创内容的雄心勃勃的关注。用户数量从2011年夏天的2600万飙升至今天的2.09亿。这种奇妙的趋势为公司的营收和利润创造了奇迹：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/646be4c2a73d68810e962c19efe82476\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的NFLX收入(TTM)数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Netflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix看到了引领收费进入一个全新市场的机会，与DVD邮寄业务相比，该市场的基础设施成本较低，并且具有巨大的全球增长潜力。因此，在美国视频租赁行业占据主导地位的DVD业务被毫不客气地抛到了一边，取而代之的是更好的想法。</blockquote></p><p> These days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.</p><p><blockquote>如今，网飞是一家屡获殊荣的内容生产商，在每个重要市场都拥有无与伦比的分销网络（中国除外，该公司必须通过当地合作伙伴运营）。自Qwikster事件以来，该股的回报率为2,240%，复合年增长率(CAGR)为35.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Alphabet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Alphabet</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet是在线服务巨头谷歌的母公司。最初是斯坦福大学的一个学生项目，很快发展成为世界领先的在线搜索工具。再加上谷歌数字广告工具的赚钱能力，该公司在早期就产生了强劲的现金流。现金利润被再投资于更多的商业想法。谷歌最终在网络浏览器、在线视频、电子邮件和智能手机软件等重要领域建立或购买了拥有无与伦比市场份额的服务。</blockquote></p><p> By 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.</p><p><blockquote>到2015年，联合创始人谢尔盖·布林（Sergey Brin）和拉里·佩奇（Larry Page）得出结论，谷歌的主要搜索和广告业务最终必须逐渐消失，被移动替代品和其他创新所取代。所以公司做了一些大的改变。谷歌聘请了首席财务官露丝·波拉特(Ruth Porat)，她是一位在大型企业融资方面拥有数十年经验的银行业高管。同年晚些时候，该公司更名为Alphabet，并重组为一个由不同业务组成的松散企业集团。</blockquote></p><p> Google is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌仍是Alphabet的中坚力量，2020年占控股公司总销售额的99.6%。尽管在自动驾驶汽车和光纤互联网连接领域取得了一些进展，但非谷歌业务仍在定期亏损。与此同时，该公司正在为不确定的未来做准备，开发大量具有巨大长期增长前景和同样大的发展风险的线上和线下业务项目。</blockquote></p><p> If the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.</p><p><blockquote>如果自动驾驶汽车从长远来看行不通，Alphabet可能会在医学研究或新型风能发电机中找到提款机。我们甚至可能从未听说过Alphabet庞大投资组合中的下一个大赢家。如果Alphabet开始从人工智能工具或抗癌药物中赚大钱，大多数消费者可能根本不会认为这些东西是谷歌的业务。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb97b6814df65240bd8f0b4a0690e77e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的GOOGL收入(TTM)数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet将继续利用其谷歌传统，但当基于浏览器的搜索和广告业务开始动摇时，也不乏完全不相关的业务可以接管。在此之前，传统搜索业务正在蓬勃发展，Alphabet在10年内回报了投资者912%的回报。年增长率为23.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Walt Disney</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.华特迪士尼</b></blockquote></p><p> And then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.</p><p><blockquote>然后是近百年的娱乐巨头。老鼠之家是由两个有远见的卡通制作兄弟于1923年创建的。该公司经历了一次世界大战、几次严重的经济衰退、10年来分销和生产技术的进步等等。</blockquote></p><p> The leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.</p><p><blockquote>你今天看到的休闲和娱乐集团与最初的业务相去甚远，最初的业务是一个纯粹的卡通制作工作室。迪士尼世界和迪士尼乐园是文化的试金石。该公司是酒店和度假村服务的领先提供商，包括邮轮公司。我想不出还有哪家公司能像迪士尼一样有效地掌握知识产权货币化的艺术。知识产权——大多数美国人烂熟于心的角色、虚构世界和故事情节——将永远是迪士尼业务的命脉。</blockquote></p><p> Times are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.</p><p><blockquote>现在的日子很艰难，因为冠状病毒大流行关闭了世界各地的电影院、主题公园、度假村和游轮。因此，迪士尼认真审视了娱乐业的剧烈变化，并决定全力支持流媒体平台。</blockquote></p><p> The company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已经自上而下进行了重组，以支持迪士尼的流媒体平台。Disney+、Hulu、Hotstar和ESPN+流媒体服务准备在全球媒体流媒体市场挑战网飞，2021年第三季度用户总数达到1.74亿。迪士尼在健康危机最黑暗的日子里承担了一些额外的债务，并且很可能会使用部分闲钱来加速其流媒体业务。</blockquote></p><p> The coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.</p><p><blockquote>冠状病毒让迪士尼措手不及，但管理层毫不犹豫地立即采取行动。整个庞然大物现在正朝着不同的方向前进，得到了让公司走到这一步的同样的讲故事资产宝库的支持。从长远来看，这家管理极其良好的公司也跑赢了市场，10年涨幅为439%，复合年增长率为13%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110cd288830d0e354767349fe36259e6\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The common denominator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>共同点</b></blockquote></p><p> These three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司非常不同，但它们仍然有一个非常重要的共同点。我在寻找面对顺境和逆境的灵活性。如果你的公司准备在周围的商业环境发生变化时对其运营计划进行重大改变，你知道你有一个经得起时间考验的组织。</blockquote></p><p> Lots of time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.</p><p><blockquote>大量的市场时间等于财富积累的回报。这是你可以从本杰明·格雷厄姆的著作和他的明星学生沃伦·巴菲特的出色成绩中学到的主要教训。积累改变生活的财富并不需要几年的惊人回报。你所需要的只是几十年的稳定收益。</blockquote></p><p> For example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.</p><p><blockquote>例如，10%的年回报率（与长期市场平均水平一致）相当于20年内673%的利润。在这个漫长的时间尺度上，以微弱优势击败街道会产生很大的影响。将您的平均收益提高到11%，您将在这20年内看到806%的回报。更大的增长会带来更大的长期总回报。上面讨论的三只股票的表现比这更好，从长远来看，它们的生存几乎是由市场条件需要时做出改变的意愿来保证的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks I'm Never Selling<blockquote>我永远不会出售的3只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks I'm Never Selling<blockquote>我永远不会出售的3只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Time plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.</li> <li>These three business titans are leaders in their fields.</li> <li>They are also built to last for a very long time.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>时间加上耐心，就能在股市中积累财富。</li><li>这三个商业巨头都是各自领域的领导者。</li><li>它们也可以持续很长时间。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> I'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>我即将向您展示我最喜欢的股票。有时我投资时着眼于未来几年的丰厚回报。我预计这些产品将在未来几年甚至几十年内继续跑赢市场。要把它们从我的投资组合中撬出来需要很大的努力。</blockquote></p><p> Let me show you why I intend to hold <b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:NFLX),<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and <b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.</p><p><blockquote>让我告诉你为什么我打算持有<b>Netflix</b>（纳斯达克：NFLX），<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOG）（纳斯达克：GOOGL），以及<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）长期来看。这些股票可能不是每个投资者都能永远持有的股票，但你绝对应该仔细看看这些顶级投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Netflix</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.奈飞</b></blockquote></p><p> First, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in 2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>首先，你知道网飞是红色邮购DVD租赁的发送者。该公司于2007年将数字视频流作为DVD客户的免费附加服务推出，然后于2011年将流媒体业务分离为单独的订阅服务。Qwikster事件是一个巨大的营销混乱，当然可以处理得更好，但从长远来看，这绝对是正确的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Going all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:</p><p><blockquote>全力投入全数字流媒体服务使Netflix能够在全球范围内推出付费订阅计划，并辅以对原创内容的雄心勃勃的关注。用户数量从2011年夏天的2600万飙升至今天的2.09亿。这种奇妙的趋势为公司的营收和利润创造了奇迹：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/646be4c2a73d68810e962c19efe82476\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的NFLX收入(TTM)数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Netflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix看到了引领收费进入一个全新市场的机会，与DVD邮寄业务相比，该市场的基础设施成本较低，并且具有巨大的全球增长潜力。因此，在美国视频租赁行业占据主导地位的DVD业务被毫不客气地抛到了一边，取而代之的是更好的想法。</blockquote></p><p> These days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.</p><p><blockquote>如今，网飞是一家屡获殊荣的内容生产商，在每个重要市场都拥有无与伦比的分销网络（中国除外，该公司必须通过当地合作伙伴运营）。自Qwikster事件以来，该股的回报率为2,240%，复合年增长率(CAGR)为35.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Alphabet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Alphabet</b></blockquote></p><p> Alphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet是在线服务巨头谷歌的母公司。最初是斯坦福大学的一个学生项目，很快发展成为世界领先的在线搜索工具。再加上谷歌数字广告工具的赚钱能力，该公司在早期就产生了强劲的现金流。现金利润被再投资于更多的商业想法。谷歌最终在网络浏览器、在线视频、电子邮件和智能手机软件等重要领域建立或购买了拥有无与伦比市场份额的服务。</blockquote></p><p> By 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.</p><p><blockquote>到2015年，联合创始人谢尔盖·布林（Sergey Brin）和拉里·佩奇（Larry Page）得出结论，谷歌的主要搜索和广告业务最终必须逐渐消失，被移动替代品和其他创新所取代。所以公司做了一些大的改变。谷歌聘请了首席财务官露丝·波拉特(Ruth Porat)，她是一位在大型企业融资方面拥有数十年经验的银行业高管。同年晚些时候，该公司更名为Alphabet，并重组为一个由不同业务组成的松散企业集团。</blockquote></p><p> Google is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌仍是Alphabet的中坚力量，2020年占控股公司总销售额的99.6%。尽管在自动驾驶汽车和光纤互联网连接领域取得了一些进展，但非谷歌业务仍在定期亏损。与此同时，该公司正在为不确定的未来做准备，开发大量具有巨大长期增长前景和同样大的发展风险的线上和线下业务项目。</blockquote></p><p> If the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.</p><p><blockquote>如果自动驾驶汽车从长远来看行不通，Alphabet可能会在医学研究或新型风能发电机中找到提款机。我们甚至可能从未听说过Alphabet庞大投资组合中的下一个大赢家。如果Alphabet开始从人工智能工具或抗癌药物中赚大钱，大多数消费者可能根本不会认为这些东西是谷歌的业务。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb97b6814df65240bd8f0b4a0690e77e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的GOOGL收入(TTM)数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet将继续利用其谷歌传统，但当基于浏览器的搜索和广告业务开始动摇时，也不乏完全不相关的业务可以接管。在此之前，传统搜索业务正在蓬勃发展，Alphabet在10年内回报了投资者912%的回报。年增长率为23.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Walt Disney</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.华特迪士尼</b></blockquote></p><p> And then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.</p><p><blockquote>然后是近百年的娱乐巨头。老鼠之家是由两个有远见的卡通制作兄弟于1923年创建的。该公司经历了一次世界大战、几次严重的经济衰退、10年来分销和生产技术的进步等等。</blockquote></p><p> The leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.</p><p><blockquote>你今天看到的休闲和娱乐集团与最初的业务相去甚远，最初的业务是一个纯粹的卡通制作工作室。迪士尼世界和迪士尼乐园是文化的试金石。该公司是酒店和度假村服务的领先提供商，包括邮轮公司。我想不出还有哪家公司能像迪士尼一样有效地掌握知识产权货币化的艺术。知识产权——大多数美国人烂熟于心的角色、虚构世界和故事情节——将永远是迪士尼业务的命脉。</blockquote></p><p> Times are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.</p><p><blockquote>现在的日子很艰难，因为冠状病毒大流行关闭了世界各地的电影院、主题公园、度假村和游轮。因此，迪士尼认真审视了娱乐业的剧烈变化，并决定全力支持流媒体平台。</blockquote></p><p> The company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已经自上而下进行了重组，以支持迪士尼的流媒体平台。Disney+、Hulu、Hotstar和ESPN+流媒体服务准备在全球媒体流媒体市场挑战网飞，2021年第三季度用户总数达到1.74亿。迪士尼在健康危机最黑暗的日子里承担了一些额外的债务，并且很可能会使用部分闲钱来加速其流媒体业务。</blockquote></p><p> The coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.</p><p><blockquote>冠状病毒让迪士尼措手不及，但管理层毫不犹豫地立即采取行动。整个庞然大物现在正朝着不同的方向前进，得到了让公司走到这一步的同样的讲故事资产宝库的支持。从长远来看，这家管理极其良好的公司也跑赢了市场，10年涨幅为439%，复合年增长率为13%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110cd288830d0e354767349fe36259e6\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The common denominator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>共同点</b></blockquote></p><p> These three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司非常不同，但它们仍然有一个非常重要的共同点。我在寻找面对顺境和逆境的灵活性。如果你的公司准备在周围的商业环境发生变化时对其运营计划进行重大改变，你知道你有一个经得起时间考验的组织。</blockquote></p><p> Lots of time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.</p><p><blockquote>大量的市场时间等于财富积累的回报。这是你可以从本杰明·格雷厄姆的著作和他的明星学生沃伦·巴菲特的出色成绩中学到的主要教训。积累改变生活的财富并不需要几年的惊人回报。你所需要的只是几十年的稳定收益。</blockquote></p><p> For example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.</p><p><blockquote>例如，10%的年回报率（与长期市场平均水平一致）相当于20年内673%的利润。在这个漫长的时间尺度上，以微弱优势击败街道会产生很大的影响。将您的平均收益提高到11%，您将在这20年内看到806%的回报。更大的增长会带来更大的长期总回报。上面讨论的三只股票的表现比这更好，从长远来看，它们的生存几乎是由市场条件需要时做出改变的意愿来保证的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞","GOOGL":"谷歌A","DIS":"迪士尼","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114320591","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTime plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.\nThese three business titans are leaders in their fields.\nThey are also built to last for a very long time.\n\n\nI'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.\nLet me show you why I intend to hold Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX),Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.\n1. Netflix\nFirst, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in 2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.\nGoing all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:\nNFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.\nNetflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.\nThese days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.\n2. Alphabet\nAlphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.\nBy 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.\nGoogle is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.\nIf the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.\nGOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.\nAlphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.\n3. Walt Disney\nAnd then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.\nThe leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.\nTimes are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.\nThe company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.\nThe coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThe common denominator\nThese three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.\nLots of time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.\nFor example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890469035,"gmtCreate":1628128671327,"gmtModify":1633753314139,"author":{"id":"3579212601855354","authorId":"3579212601855354","name":"LuffyDono","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c4cfc638f53752da999b29aa117d5b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579212601855354","authorIdStr":"3579212601855354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Miser] ","listText":"[Miser] ","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890469035","repostId":"1166446729","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}