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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-30
  Interesting take
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,291 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-29
  Nio to the moon!
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,149 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-29
  Into the winds
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,263 1
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-28
  Hoping to get in low too
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,802 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-25
  Apes together strong!!
  Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021
  Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypic
  Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021
  1,174 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-18
  $WISH to the moon! [财迷]
  2,832 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-03
  Hodl!
  Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies
  AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves,
  Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies
  1,213 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-02
  [微笑]
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  1,811 评论
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-06-02
  Like and comment thankyou!
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- JetCJetC
  ·2021-05-28
  [财迷]
  Opinion: As the S&P 500 approaches its all-time high, brace for a violent move
  Here’s how to trade the stock market. The S&P 500 index has been trading in a range between twice-t
  Opinion: As the S&P 500 approaches its all-time high, brace for a violent move
  1,597 评论
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winds","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159029693","repostId":"2147858056","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127507791,"gmtCreate":1624854594113,"gmtModify":1631889056406,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hoping to get in low too","listText":"Hoping to get in low too","text":"Hoping to get in low too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127507791","repostId":"2146200677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122956000,"gmtCreate":1624594566300,"gmtModify":1631889056422,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apes together strong!!","listText":"Apes together strong!!","text":"Apes together strong!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122956000","repostId":"1147153207","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147153207","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624592020,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147153207?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 11:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147153207","media":"thestreet","summary":"Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypic","content":"<p>Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypical pandemic environment. The “meme attacks” have rarely been based on business fundamentals, but instead fueled by momentum and discussions on web forums that catalyze vicious rallies.</p>\n<p>Below, the Wall Street Memes channel lists some of the most popular meme stocks and how each has performed so far in 2021.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac11607753df2d587eff881c858546dd\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"798\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: GameStop store.</span></p>\n<p><b>GME - GameStop Corp.</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>1,914%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-88%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$347.51</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$200.18</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5e113c20912daf07551e09179fe9f2\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"519\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>AMC - AMC Theaters</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>2,850%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-72%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$62.55</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$55.14</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e55df7c82d93174a0b4c088c17946a1\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>BB - BlackBerry Limited</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>281%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-68%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$25.10</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$12.82</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00f988c9dcc4545d783ac29b2061f44d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>CLNE - Clean Energy Fuels Corp.</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>137%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-59%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$18.64</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$11.22</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42e24ea5dd3ca3f186eab5451fa7fcbc\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>CLOV - Clover Health Investments</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>224%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-56%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$22.15</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$12.10</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddfd7742b5b929d9febee80c5926f08f\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"507\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>CLF - Cleveland-Cliff</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>83%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-28%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$24.44</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$20.75</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15c8accc6baf5e68f5a1088eb8a75c4d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>TLRY - Tilray Pharmaceuticals</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>610%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-78%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$63.91</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$17.23</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9ed19b51e752ceff9a6534d4afd089\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"510\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>\n<p><b>NOK - Nokia Corporation</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Largest gain in 2021:<b>69%</b></li>\n <li>Largest loss in 2021:<b>-41%</b></li>\n <li>Peak price:<b>$6.55</b></li>\n <li>Current price:<b>$5.14</b>(at last check).</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33e920e940ac016540520a46acbcb0d5\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Google Finance</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stocks: How The Most Popular Have Performed in 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-25 11:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/meme-stocks-how-the-most-popular-have-performed-in-2021><strong>thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypical pandemic environment. The “meme attacks” have rarely been based on business fundamentals, but ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/meme-stocks-how-the-most-popular-have-performed-in-2021\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","NOK":"诺基亚","AMC":"AMC院线","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","CLNE":"Clean Energy Fuels Corp","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/memestocks/other-memes/meme-stocks-how-the-most-popular-have-performed-in-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147153207","content_text":"Meme mania has been one of the most unexpected phenomena in the equities market in an already atypical pandemic environment. The “meme attacks” have rarely been based on business fundamentals, but instead fueled by momentum and discussions on web forums that catalyze vicious rallies.\nBelow, the Wall Street Memes channel lists some of the most popular meme stocks and how each has performed so far in 2021.\nFigure 1: GameStop store.\nGME - GameStop Corp.\n\nLargest gain in 2021:1,914%\nLargest loss in 2021:-88%\nPeak price:$347.51\nCurrent price:$200.18(at last check).\n\nAMC - AMC Theaters\n\nLargest gain in 2021:2,850%\nLargest loss in 2021:-72%\nPeak price:$62.55\nCurrent price:$55.14(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nBB - BlackBerry Limited\n\nLargest gain in 2021:281%\nLargest loss in 2021:-68%\nPeak price:$25.10\nCurrent price:$12.82(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nCLNE - Clean Energy Fuels Corp.\n\nLargest gain in 2021:137%\nLargest loss in 2021:-59%\nPeak price:$18.64\nCurrent price:$11.22(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nCLOV - Clover Health Investments\n\nLargest gain in 2021:224%\nLargest loss in 2021:-56%\nPeak price:$22.15\nCurrent price:$12.10(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nCLF - Cleveland-Cliff\n\nLargest gain in 2021:83%\nLargest loss in 2021:-28%\nPeak price:$24.44\nCurrent price:$20.75(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nTLRY - Tilray Pharmaceuticals\n\nLargest gain in 2021:610%\nLargest loss in 2021:-78%\nPeak price:$63.91\nCurrent price:$17.23(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance\nNOK - Nokia Corporation\n\nLargest gain in 2021:69%\nLargest loss in 2021:-41%\nPeak price:$6.55\nCurrent price:$5.14(at last check).\n\nGoogle Finance","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"BB":0.9,"CLF":0.9,"CLNE":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NOK":0.9,"TLRY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166305936,"gmtCreate":1623990358025,"gmtModify":1631889056430,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$WISH to the moon!&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"$WISH to the moon!&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"$WISH to the moon! [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166305936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":118021920,"gmtCreate":1622708812060,"gmtModify":1631889056443,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl!","listText":"Hodl!","text":"Hodl!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118021920","repostId":"1105752559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105752559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622694904,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105752559?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 12:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105752559","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves,","content":"<p>AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a> Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.</p><p>The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)</p><p>The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.</p><p>The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.</p><p>Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd994b6947e51ac1dd241aebc098785c\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-year, showing the<i>composite</i>implied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0833b40f70599f8f813f2c0eaa3a7c8b\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is a<i>lot</i>higher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)</p><p>So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.</p><p>However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be.&nbsp;But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,<i>out-of-the-money</i>options are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.</p><p>Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.</p><p>One can see from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.</p><p>Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fda30eb7b24e1715b109a7c7f42a2623\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e235888f2cd914eacad62e402d2397c7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> options strategies could take advantage of this:</p><ol><li><b>A bear put spread.</b>Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock&nbsp; price<i>and</i>sell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.</li><li><b>Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMC</b><b><i>prior</i></b><b>to the short squeeze.</b>AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received.&nbsp;A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.</li></ol><p>Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.</p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: What’s the smart way to play AMC’s stock? Try these two options strategies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-03 12:35 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page><strong>Market Wacth</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.AMC Entertainment Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/whats-the-smart-way-to-play-amcs-stock-try-these-two-options-strategies-11622657539?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105752559","content_text":"AMC shares are super-volatile amid a short squeeze. Options can be a way to capitalize on the moves, with a measure of prudence.AMC Entertainment Holdings shares are once again exploding, having been caught in a short squeeze.The stock’s realized and implied volatilities are soaring. AMC at one point today more than doubled. There are two options strategies, below, to try to capitalize off this uncommon move. (Note that the data in this article are as of the close of trading June 1.)The first chart of AMCAMC,+95.22%,below, tracks two years, showing the stock had been in a general decline through most of 2019. In fact, AMC had been falling since making all-time highs in the mid-$30s in 2015 and 2016.The stock then slumped further due to the pandemic. Things began to change, however, when it rallied amid a short squeeze in late January 2021. The stock exploded from $2 to $20 in less than a month.Now another short squeeze is under way, and the stock has risen from $9 to over $60 in the last month.It is impossible to justify these moves in terms of fundamental or even technical analysis, but there are opportunities presented by the options markets. As might be expected, the options have gotten extremely expensive. The next chart is a one-year, showing thecompositeimplied volatility of AMC options on top and the price of the stock on the bottom. (Composite implied volatility is a weighted volatility of the most active options on AMC.)The composite implied volatility has risen to more than 200%. (Don’t worry about what that means statistically, just use it as a comparative measure — 200% is alothigher than the “normal” volatility, up to four times that of its pre-pandemic level.)So, what option strategies make sense? Simply buying expensive options is justifiable while volatility remains high, believe it or not. The 10-day realized (historical) volatility of AMC is now an astounding 211%. The 20-day historical volatility (HV) is 160%.However, those volatilities will drop quickly if the stock starts to stabilize — wherever that may be. But as long as they hold up, at-the-money options are not a lot more expensive than that, in terms of implied volatility. However,out-of-the-moneyoptions are much more expensive, and those are generally unattractive purchases — certainly not based on a statistical basis.Many traders want to sell the options because they think they are so overpriced. Well, they may be overpriced, but at current volatility levels, the stock can move a great distance and cause ruin for an options-selling strategy.One can see from the one-year chart of AMC that after the last short squeeze, the stock dropped quickly, but never got back to the prices from which the short squeeze was launched. That is typical behavior in a short squeeze.Consider the two following charts — of Riot BlockchainRIOT,+2.74%and GameStopGME,+13.34%— both of which have been short squeezes. RIOT was also a short squeeze when it first came public, in late 2017 (not shown on the chart).In both of those cases, a similar pattern appears: The short squeeze ends, the stock falls, but not all the way back to its “pre-squeeze” price, at least not for a while.Two options strategies could take advantage of this:A bear put spread.Buy puts with striking prices just below the current elevated stock  priceandsell puts with a significantly lower strike price. This strategy generally has an advantage in that the implied volatility of the put you are buying is lower than the implied volatility of the put you are selling. You can’t lose more money than the debit you pay for the spread, but you could lose 100% of that debit if the stock continues to rise and the options expire worthless.Sell put credit spreads with strikes at or near the price of AMCpriorto the short squeeze.AMC was in the teens before this latest round of short squeeze began. The potential gain here would be the credit initially received, but the margin requirement — which is equal to the risk in the spread — is the difference in the strikes, less the credit received. A derivative of this strategy, for extremely aggressive accounts, would be to sell puts (naked) with strikes in the teens.Obviously, there are lot of options combinations that could be considered, but these are two relatively simple spread strategies that will pay off if AMC behaves like other short squeezes: Eventually the stock peaks and begins to fall, but it doesn’t fall far enough to reach its “pre-squeeze” levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113235130,"gmtCreate":1622618179220,"gmtModify":1631889056458,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113235130","repostId":"1175551284","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1811,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":113232538,"gmtCreate":1622618134824,"gmtModify":1631889056467,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment thankyou!","listText":"Like and comment thankyou!","text":"Like and comment thankyou!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113232538","repostId":"1182886492","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135423794,"gmtCreate":1622177625818,"gmtModify":1631889056485,"author":{"id":"3580802619343975","authorId":"3580802619343975","name":"JetC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee018188e684548384d91cffc9e2e0b","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580802619343975","authorIdStr":"3580802619343975"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135423794","repostId":"1181071519","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181071519","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622172293,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181071519?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-28 11:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: As the S&P 500 approaches its all-time high, brace for a violent move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181071519","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Here’s how to trade the stock market.\n\nThe S&P 500 index has been trading in a range between twice-t","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Here’s how to trade the stock market.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 index has been trading in a range between twice-tested support at 4060 and the all-time highs at 4238. As it nears the top of this range, a volatile move is likely to follow: Either it will break out to new all-time highs, which would certainly engender some strong follow-through buying, or it will fail at the top of the trading range and move lower to test the bottom of the range once again.</p>\n<p>Either move is likely to be swift.</p>\n<p>Let’s review the indicators, and then we can judge what strategy to apply to this theory.</p>\n<p>As noted, the S&amp;PSPX,+0.12%has resistance at 4238 (the all-time highs) and doubly-tested support at 4060. Below there, another support level exists at 4000, and then the support of last resort is at 3870.</p>\n<p>A breakdown below 3870 would change things dramatically – turning the SPX decidedly bearish and most likely saying that we had entered a bear market. But that is far from current levels. In addition, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect. Its target is the -4σ “modified Bollinger Band,” which is currently at 4020 and moving sideways.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/063db1fcc3f4bada6dffb863a8efe067\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"692\">Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, although heavy call buying seems to have begun again as SPX has approached its all-time highs. As long as these ratios are rising, the sell signals will remain in place. The computer programs that we use to analyze these charts agree that these ratios are still on sell signals.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a8a3cbd81ef0ad5dac523f49f6cf1fa\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"688\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/023ccbac0711da78c8a01d78d29a6be4\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"688\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p>\n<p>Breadth has been jumping back and forth. There were breadth buy signals issued in mid-May, but breadth was not as strong during the rally as one might have hoped for. As a result, these breadth oscillators – while still on buy signals – are susceptible to a quick reversal to sell signals if breadth should register two consecutive negative days.</p>\n<p>On a more positive note, though, there has been some internal strength during this rally, and the cumulative breadth indicators are improving. In fact,<i>c</i>umulative volume breadth(CVB) just registered a new all-time high.</p>\n<p>Subscribers may recall that this is one of the few predictive things we can garner from cumulative indicators, and it portends a new all-time high in SPX will follow. The track record of this lone indicator has been very strong, in that it hasn’t been wrong in the 21 years we’ve tracked it (to be fair, there were no signals between the one in the year 2000 and the next one in 2013).</p>\n<p>New 52-week highs continue to outnumber new 52-week lows. That is bullish. However, the number of new highs is no longer expanding as it once was. Regardless, this will remain a positive indicator as long as new highs outpace new lows.</p>\n<p>Volatility continues to be an area of analysis that is bullish in its outlook for stocks. First, the VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect. Second, the trend of VIXVIX,-3.57%is clearly lower once again. VIX is below both is 200-day and 20-day moving verages. This is a slight change, because there had been a small uptrend development; that is no longer the case.</p>\n<p>Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive in that the VIX futuresVX00,-4.61%are trading at premiums to VIX, and their term structure slopes upward. The Cboe Volatility Index term structure slopes upward as well.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/743d070c528a592ae7b42c58058c8722\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"690\">In summary, SPX is still trading within a range, and so we are trading confirmed buy signals as well as sell signals. A breakout above 4238 (i.e., to new all-time highs) would certainly be very positive, but that is not guaranteed.</p>\n<p><b>New recommendation: SPY straddle buy</b></p>\n<p>For now, SPX is still within a trading range between 4060 and 4238. One way to trade a range is to sell (short) near the top of the range and go long near the bottom of the range, reversing your position if a breakout occurs in either direction. In line with that strategy, one would be buying puts now, with SPX near the top of the range.</p>\n<p>However, as we saw in the above analysis, there are currently both positive and negative indicators, with one of the stronger ones being the CVB buy signal. With that in mind, one would buy calls, looking for SPX to eventually break out to new highs. Throw in the fact that volatility (VIX) is near its lows, and straddle purchase seems to be the strategy to take advantage of all of these factors.</p>\n<p><b>Buy 1 SPY July (16th) at-the-money call</b></p>\n<p><b>And buy 1 SPY July (16th) at-the-money put</b></p>\n<p>Currently that at-the-money straddle costs about 17 points, or $1,700. It would make money, then, if SPY rose 17 points above the striking price or fell 17 points below.</p>\n<p><b>New recommendation: Cerner</b></p>\n<p>Vague takeover rumors have sprung up in CernerCERN,-0.94%over the past two days. Option volume is running about triple is usually pace over that time. Stock volume patterns are quite strong, and there is support for the stock in the 76-77 area.</p>\n<p><b>Buy 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls</b></p>\n<p><b>At a price of 2.00 or less.</b></p>\n<p>CERN: 79.03 June (18th) 80 call: 1.95 offered</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a28e858373b8acdc61ba05fbec2f2b\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"694\"><b>Follow-up action</b></p>\n<p><b><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></b></p>\n<p><b>Long 8 FXY Jun (18th) 87 calls:</b>Sell these calls now, since the put-call ratio buy signal is no longer in place.</p>\n<p><b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band. Effectively, at this point we are holding without a stop. It would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p>\n<p><b>Long 1 expiring SPY May (28th) 416 put and short 1 SPY May (28th) 396 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Since the spread is expiring, sell the current spread and replace it with the following:</p>\n<p><b>Buy 1 SPY June (18th) at-the-money put</b></p>\n<p><b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; And sell 1 SPY June (18th) put with a striking price 20 points lower.</b></p>\n<p>For now, hold without a stop. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY<i>trades</i>at the lower strike at any time.</p>\n<p><b>Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.</p>\n<p><b>Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:</b>This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any period of three days or less (using closing prices).</p>\n<p><b>Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:</b>Kansas City SouthernKSU,+0.81%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian National RailwayCNI,+2.82%.CNI stock has dropped a little, but the deal is still worth $315. The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. Of course, there are regulatory delays. However, the spread in the deal widened and option prices fell, which seems like overkill. When the higher bid was first made on May 14, Canadian National was trading at 107 and now it’s at 104 – hardly much of a difference. We are going to hold and see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian Pacific RailwayCP,-1.10%– the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer. It seems like the option market is saying “no.”</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: As the S&P 500 approaches its all-time high, brace for a violent move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: As the S&P 500 approaches its all-time high, brace for a violent move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-28 11:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-the-s-p-500-approaches-its-all-time-high-brace-for-a-violent-move-01622125439><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Here’s how to trade the stock market.\n\nThe S&P 500 index has been trading in a range between twice-tested support at 4060 and the all-time highs at 4238. As it nears the top of this range, a volatile ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-the-s-p-500-approaches-its-all-time-high-brace-for-a-violent-move-01622125439\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-the-s-p-500-approaches-its-all-time-high-brace-for-a-violent-move-01622125439","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181071519","content_text":"Here’s how to trade the stock market.\n\nThe S&P 500 index has been trading in a range between twice-tested support at 4060 and the all-time highs at 4238. As it nears the top of this range, a volatile move is likely to follow: Either it will break out to new all-time highs, which would certainly engender some strong follow-through buying, or it will fail at the top of the trading range and move lower to test the bottom of the range once again.\nEither move is likely to be swift.\nLet’s review the indicators, and then we can judge what strategy to apply to this theory.\nAs noted, the S&PSPX,+0.12%has resistance at 4238 (the all-time highs) and doubly-tested support at 4060. Below there, another support level exists at 4000, and then the support of last resort is at 3870.\nA breakdown below 3870 would change things dramatically – turning the SPX decidedly bearish and most likely saying that we had entered a bear market. But that is far from current levels. In addition, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect. Its target is the -4σ “modified Bollinger Band,” which is currently at 4020 and moving sideways.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals, although heavy call buying seems to have begun again as SPX has approached its all-time highs. As long as these ratios are rising, the sell signals will remain in place. The computer programs that we use to analyze these charts agree that these ratios are still on sell signals.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nBreadth has been jumping back and forth. There were breadth buy signals issued in mid-May, but breadth was not as strong during the rally as one might have hoped for. As a result, these breadth oscillators – while still on buy signals – are susceptible to a quick reversal to sell signals if breadth should register two consecutive negative days.\nOn a more positive note, though, there has been some internal strength during this rally, and the cumulative breadth indicators are improving. In fact,cumulative volume breadth(CVB) just registered a new all-time high.\nSubscribers may recall that this is one of the few predictive things we can garner from cumulative indicators, and it portends a new all-time high in SPX will follow. The track record of this lone indicator has been very strong, in that it hasn’t been wrong in the 21 years we’ve tracked it (to be fair, there were no signals between the one in the year 2000 and the next one in 2013).\nNew 52-week highs continue to outnumber new 52-week lows. That is bullish. However, the number of new highs is no longer expanding as it once was. Regardless, this will remain a positive indicator as long as new highs outpace new lows.\nVolatility continues to be an area of analysis that is bullish in its outlook for stocks. First, the VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect. Second, the trend of VIXVIX,-3.57%is clearly lower once again. VIX is below both is 200-day and 20-day moving verages. This is a slight change, because there had been a small uptrend development; that is no longer the case.\nFinally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains positive in that the VIX futuresVX00,-4.61%are trading at premiums to VIX, and their term structure slopes upward. The Cboe Volatility Index term structure slopes upward as well.\nIn summary, SPX is still trading within a range, and so we are trading confirmed buy signals as well as sell signals. A breakout above 4238 (i.e., to new all-time highs) would certainly be very positive, but that is not guaranteed.\nNew recommendation: SPY straddle buy\nFor now, SPX is still within a trading range between 4060 and 4238. One way to trade a range is to sell (short) near the top of the range and go long near the bottom of the range, reversing your position if a breakout occurs in either direction. In line with that strategy, one would be buying puts now, with SPX near the top of the range.\nHowever, as we saw in the above analysis, there are currently both positive and negative indicators, with one of the stronger ones being the CVB buy signal. With that in mind, one would buy calls, looking for SPX to eventually break out to new highs. Throw in the fact that volatility (VIX) is near its lows, and straddle purchase seems to be the strategy to take advantage of all of these factors.\nBuy 1 SPY July (16th) at-the-money call\nAnd buy 1 SPY July (16th) at-the-money put\nCurrently that at-the-money straddle costs about 17 points, or $1,700. It would make money, then, if SPY rose 17 points above the striking price or fell 17 points below.\nNew recommendation: Cerner\nVague takeover rumors have sprung up in CernerCERN,-0.94%over the past two days. Option volume is running about triple is usually pace over that time. Stock volume patterns are quite strong, and there is support for the stock in the 76-77 area.\nBuy 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls\nAt a price of 2.00 or less.\nCERN: 79.03 June (18th) 80 call: 1.95 offered\nFollow-up action\nAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.\nLong 8 FXY Jun (18th) 87 calls:Sell these calls now, since the put-call ratio buy signal is no longer in place.\nLong 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band. Effectively, at this point we are holding without a stop. It would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.\nLong 1 expiring SPY May (28th) 416 put and short 1 SPY May (28th) 396 put:This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Since the spread is expiring, sell the current spread and replace it with the following:\nBuy 1 SPY June (18th) at-the-money put\n            And sell 1 SPY June (18th) put with a striking price 20 points lower.\nFor now, hold without a stop. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPYtradesat the lower strike at any time.\nLong 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.\nLong 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any period of three days or less (using closing prices).\nLong 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:Kansas City SouthernKSU,+0.81%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian National RailwayCNI,+2.82%.CNI stock has dropped a little, but the deal is still worth $315. The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. Of course, there are regulatory delays. However, the spread in the deal widened and option prices fell, which seems like overkill. When the higher bid was first made on May 14, Canadian National was trading at 107 and now it’s at 104 – hardly much of a difference. We are going to hold and see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian Pacific RailwayCP,-1.10%– the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer. It seems like the option market is saying “no.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}