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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-09-06
厉害😄
中国银行：“十四五”期间将为苏州提供不低于3000亿元意向性融资支持
据中国银行官网9月6日消息，9月5日，中国银行与苏州市政府签署战略合作协议，双方将在城市更新和重点项目建设、科技金融和数字经济发展、数字人民币试点、制造业转型和供应链升级、“养老+金融”深度融合等领域全面深化合作。“十四五”期间，中国银行将为苏州各类建设项目、各类客群提供不低于3000亿元意向性融资支持。
中国银行：“十四五”期间将为苏州提供不低于3000亿元意向性融资支持
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-08-12
哎呀呀
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-08-12
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看
拜登的4万亿红包，面临国会重重阻碍
美国总统拜登4.1万亿美元经济议程的核心部分目前正沿着一条危险的双轨路线在国会进行审议，而9月份就债务上限问题的摊牌将使这一进程进一步复杂化。 政府的资金将到期，财政部将接近其借款权限的极限，而国会民
拜登的4万亿红包，面临国会重重阻碍
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-08-12
哎呀
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-08-01
嘿嘿
美股最惨的“时节”要来了
在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后，美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。 正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样，整个八月份市场趋势都在走低，这是
美股最惨的“时节”要来了
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-06-14
ha//
@testqwr
:卡
@testqwr：
$交通银行(601328)$test
$交通银行(601328)$test
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-06-13
1682！ywjaiabewuw
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-06-13
卡
@testqwr：
$交通银行(601328)$test
$交通银行(601328)$test
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-06-12
你好哦，，，，今天天气真好
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testqwr
testqwr
·
2021-06-12
嘿
@testqwr：
$工商银行(601398)$test
$工商银行(601398)$test
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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20210906194509788d7872&s=b><strong>界面</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>据中国银行官网9月6日消息，9月5日，中国银行与苏州市政府签署战略合作协议，双方将在城市更新和重点项目建设、科技金融和数字经济发展、数字人民币试点、制造业转型和供应链升级、“养老+金融”深度融合等领域全面深化合作。“十四五”期间，中国银行将为苏州各类建设项目、各类客群提供不低于3000亿元意向性融资支持。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20210906194509788d7872&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5d015cecb7c07cac91ad41d21b12463","relate_stocks":{"601988":"中国银行","03988":"中国银行","03143":"华夏香港银行股"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20210906194509788d7872&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2165387542","content_text":"据中国银行官网9月6日消息，9月5日，中国银行与苏州市政府签署战略合作协议，双方将在城市更新和重点项目建设、科技金融和数字经济发展、数字人民币试点、制造业转型和供应链升级、“养老+金融”深度融合等领域全面深化合作。“十四五”期间，中国银行将为苏州各类建设项目、各类客群提供不低于3000亿元意向性融资支持。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"601988":1,"03143":0.6,"03988":1,"04619":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":99,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894035036,"gmtCreate":1628777200925,"gmtModify":1633689578438,"author":{"id":"3581585430386137","authorId":"3581585430386137","name":"testqwr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581585430386137","idStr":"3581585430386137"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哎呀呀","listText":"哎呀呀","text":"哎呀呀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894035036","repostId":"2158232300","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894036436,"gmtCreate":1628777169625,"gmtModify":1633689579299,"author":{"id":"3581585430386137","authorId":"3581585430386137","name":"testqwr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581585430386137","idStr":"3581585430386137"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894036436","repostId":"2158325083","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2158325083","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628777243,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2158325083?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-12 22:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"拜登的4万亿红包，面临国会重重阻碍","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2158325083","media":"智通财经","summary":"美国总统拜登4.1万亿美元经济议程的核心部分目前正沿着一条危险的双轨路线在国会进行审议，而9月份就债务上限问题的摊牌将使这一进程进一步复杂化。\n政府的资金将到期，财政部将接近其借款权限的极限，而国会民","content":"<p>美国总统拜登4.1万亿美元经济议程的核心部分目前正沿着一条危险的双轨路线在国会进行审议，而9月份就债务上限问题的摊牌将使这一进程进一步复杂化。</p>\n<p>政府的资金将到期，财政部将接近其借款权限的极限，而国会民主党人正试图实施政府的大规模基础设施和社会支出计划。</p>\n<p>拜登计划的第一部分是推出高达5500亿美元的基础设施法案，参议院已表决通过。一项为扩大社会项目支出开辟道路的更大计划在投票中勉强获得通过，该计划的预算决议为3.5万亿美元，此项目的部分支出来自对富人和企业征税。</p>\n<p>最终获批可能要等到年底。</p>\n<p><b>众议院投票</b></p>\n<p>Pelosi将于8月23日将议员们召回华盛顿，暂时中断众议院夏季休会，从而对参议院的预算决议进行表决。</p>\n<p>她需要几乎所有民主党人士的支持才能对抗共和党的统一反对，从而通过这项法案。该决议只是一个为最终的预算法案设定了参数的大纲，并指示各委员会起草立法文本，它不需要总统签字。</p>\n<p>目前，基础设施法案被搁置。Pelosi向众议院进步派的要求低头，发誓要等到参议院完成预算法案，以确保其优先解决社会计划和气候变化方面的事项。众议院民主党人可能还希望对经过仔细协商的基础设施立法进行修改。</p>\n<p><b>两院工作</b></p>\n<p>前民主党参议院工作人员Zach Moller预测，参众两院随后将着手为大规模预算方案制定精确的政策，众议院可能会率先采取行动。</p>\n<p>参议院通过的决议规定了一个不具约束力的截止日期，即9月15日，要求两院的委员会向各自的预算小组提交提案。</p>\n<p>参议院财政委员会对方案的核心部分有管辖权，包括对富人和公司增税。其他委员会可以在十年内将赤字总额增加约1.75万亿美元，这意味着拜登计划的一半可能由债务融资。</p>\n<p>经济议程的通过没有明确的最后期限，但希望在2022年11月的中期选举中保持国会多数席位的民主党人希望这些方案在今年秋天通过。这将让选民有时间感受立法的效果，并为疫情时代的福利延长提供条件，如扩大儿童税收抵免，否则此项福利将在12月结束。</p>\n<p><b>支出对决</b></p>\n<p>在9月30日之前，议员们必须就未完成的政府常规支出法案或一项临时法案达成两党协议，以保持各机构的运转，使目前的支出水平至少维持到10月或11月初。</p>\n<p>这一措施可能会暂时中止债务限额，但这样做可能导致政府关门。共和党人表示，民主党人必须能够独立解决债务上限问题，并希望他们修改预算决议，允许他们以简单多数通过加息。</p>\n<p>然而，民主党人目前坚持使用常规立法程序，这将需要至少10名共和党人加入。今年秋季可能展开的恶战已经开始影响短期债券市场。</p>\n<p><b>潜藏危险</b></p>\n<p>未来几个月障碍重重。首先，民主党人在党派路线投票中至多只能出现三名反对者。在两党势均力敌的参议院，团结是唯一的选择。</p>\n<p>就连众议院本月对预算框架的投票也不是轻而易举的事。希望立即对基础设施计划进行投票的党内温和派可能会停止支持，从而使该措施陷入停滞。</p>\n<p>在参议院，并非所有民主党人都支持3.5万亿美元的方案，尽管他们都投票支持该方案框架。有些人，如亚利桑那州的Kyrsten Sinema和西弗吉尼亚州的 </p>\n<p>Joe Manchin，表示他们对拜登提议的价格和增税幅度感到不安。</p>\n<p>Manchin还表示，他不同意希望以化石燃料为目标的民主党人，为立法的关键部分制造紧张气氛。</p>\n<p>Schumer周三宣称民主党最终会团结一致，但他承认这并不容易。</p>\n<p>共和党人将有充分的机会分裂民主党人，并证明增加税收和支出将加剧通货膨胀最终损害经济。根据参议院的特殊规定，他们可以强制执行几乎无限的修正案，试图推翻个别条款。不过这可能会让一些民主党人失去选票。</p>\n<p><b>过程艰难</b></p>\n<p>该方案仍然需要清除一些障碍，清除任何被认为与联邦预算无关的东西。</p>\n<p>之前拜登提出的总额1.9万亿美元的新冠肺炎救助方案被取消，该方案计划将每小时最低工资提高到15美元。而这项3.5万亿美元的计划可能面临为数百万移民提供入籍途径的挑战。</p>\n<p>所有这些都会带来长期的影响。短期内，任何失误，尤其是在政府支出和债务上限方面的失误，都可能对市场和整体经济产生大规模影响。</p>\n<p>前参议院预算委员会共和党工作主管Bill </p>\n<p>Hoagland表示：\"我认为两党都不会在政府关闭或政府违约问题上获胜，所以我倾向于稍微乐观一点，认为政府将避免违约，但并不知道这一过程将持续到什么时候。”</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>拜登的4万亿红包，面临国会重重阻碍</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n拜登的4万亿红包，面临国会重重阻碍\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-12 22:07 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/533841.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国总统拜登4.1万亿美元经济议程的核心部分目前正沿着一条危险的双轨路线在国会进行审议，而9月份就债务上限问题的摊牌将使这一进程进一步复杂化。\n政府的资金将到期，财政部将接近其借款权限的极限，而国会民主党人正试图实施政府的大规模基础设施和社会支出计划。\n拜登计划的第一部分是推出高达5500亿美元的基础设施法案，参议院已表决通过。一项为扩大社会项目支出开辟道路的更大计划在投票中勉强获得通过，该计划的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/533841.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bb8e90cfe187914a988d67a8c088582","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/533841.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2158325083","content_text":"美国总统拜登4.1万亿美元经济议程的核心部分目前正沿着一条危险的双轨路线在国会进行审议，而9月份就债务上限问题的摊牌将使这一进程进一步复杂化。\n政府的资金将到期，财政部将接近其借款权限的极限，而国会民主党人正试图实施政府的大规模基础设施和社会支出计划。\n拜登计划的第一部分是推出高达5500亿美元的基础设施法案，参议院已表决通过。一项为扩大社会项目支出开辟道路的更大计划在投票中勉强获得通过，该计划的预算决议为3.5万亿美元，此项目的部分支出来自对富人和企业征税。\n最终获批可能要等到年底。\n众议院投票\nPelosi将于8月23日将议员们召回华盛顿，暂时中断众议院夏季休会，从而对参议院的预算决议进行表决。\n她需要几乎所有民主党人士的支持才能对抗共和党的统一反对，从而通过这项法案。该决议只是一个为最终的预算法案设定了参数的大纲，并指示各委员会起草立法文本，它不需要总统签字。\n目前，基础设施法案被搁置。Pelosi向众议院进步派的要求低头，发誓要等到参议院完成预算法案，以确保其优先解决社会计划和气候变化方面的事项。众议院民主党人可能还希望对经过仔细协商的基础设施立法进行修改。\n两院工作\n前民主党参议院工作人员Zach Moller预测，参众两院随后将着手为大规模预算方案制定精确的政策，众议院可能会率先采取行动。\n参议院通过的决议规定了一个不具约束力的截止日期，即9月15日，要求两院的委员会向各自的预算小组提交提案。\n参议院财政委员会对方案的核心部分有管辖权，包括对富人和公司增税。其他委员会可以在十年内将赤字总额增加约1.75万亿美元，这意味着拜登计划的一半可能由债务融资。\n经济议程的通过没有明确的最后期限，但希望在2022年11月的中期选举中保持国会多数席位的民主党人希望这些方案在今年秋天通过。这将让选民有时间感受立法的效果，并为疫情时代的福利延长提供条件，如扩大儿童税收抵免，否则此项福利将在12月结束。\n支出对决\n在9月30日之前，议员们必须就未完成的政府常规支出法案或一项临时法案达成两党协议，以保持各机构的运转，使目前的支出水平至少维持到10月或11月初。\n这一措施可能会暂时中止债务限额，但这样做可能导致政府关门。共和党人表示，民主党人必须能够独立解决债务上限问题，并希望他们修改预算决议，允许他们以简单多数通过加息。\n然而，民主党人目前坚持使用常规立法程序，这将需要至少10名共和党人加入。今年秋季可能展开的恶战已经开始影响短期债券市场。\n潜藏危险\n未来几个月障碍重重。首先，民主党人在党派路线投票中至多只能出现三名反对者。在两党势均力敌的参议院，团结是唯一的选择。\n就连众议院本月对预算框架的投票也不是轻而易举的事。希望立即对基础设施计划进行投票的党内温和派可能会停止支持，从而使该措施陷入停滞。\n在参议院，并非所有民主党人都支持3.5万亿美元的方案，尽管他们都投票支持该方案框架。有些人，如亚利桑那州的Kyrsten Sinema和西弗吉尼亚州的 \nJoe Manchin，表示他们对拜登提议的价格和增税幅度感到不安。\nManchin还表示，他不同意希望以化石燃料为目标的民主党人，为立法的关键部分制造紧张气氛。\nSchumer周三宣称民主党最终会团结一致，但他承认这并不容易。\n共和党人将有充分的机会分裂民主党人，并证明增加税收和支出将加剧通货膨胀最终损害经济。根据参议院的特殊规定，他们可以强制执行几乎无限的修正案，试图推翻个别条款。不过这可能会让一些民主党人失去选票。\n过程艰难\n该方案仍然需要清除一些障碍，清除任何被认为与联邦预算无关的东西。\n之前拜登提出的总额1.9万亿美元的新冠肺炎救助方案被取消，该方案计划将每小时最低工资提高到15美元。而这项3.5万亿美元的计划可能面临为数百万移民提供入籍途径的挑战。\n所有这些都会带来长期的影响。短期内，任何失误，尤其是在政府支出和债务上限方面的失误，都可能对市场和整体经济产生大规模影响。\n前参议院预算委员会共和党工作主管Bill \nHoagland表示：\"我认为两党都不会在政府关闭或政府违约问题上获胜，所以我倾向于稍微乐观一点，认为政府将避免违约，但并不知道这一过程将持续到什么时候。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":228,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894031284,"gmtCreate":1628777084748,"gmtModify":1633689580720,"author":{"id":"3581585430386137","authorId":"3581585430386137","name":"testqwr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581585430386137","idStr":"3581585430386137"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哎呀","listText":"哎呀","text":"哎呀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894031284","repostId":"2158232300","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":339,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802460780,"gmtCreate":1627796374540,"gmtModify":1633756282328,"author":{"id":"3581585430386137","authorId":"3581585430386137","name":"testqwr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581585430386137","idStr":"3581585430386137"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"嘿嘿","listText":"嘿嘿","text":"嘿嘿","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802460780","repostId":"2155894163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2155894163","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627778319,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2155894163?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 08:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美股最惨的“时节”要来了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155894163","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后，美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样，整个八月份市场趋势都在走低，这是","content":"<p>在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后，美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce4aa20635c056c2425c903c7bfa9919\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>正如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样，整个八月份市场趋势都在走低，这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一，并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前，人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。</p>\n<p>具体来看，自1950年以来，标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%，但在强劲的上半年之后，8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。</p>\n<p>Rubner还指出，今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌，标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨，创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而，与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事，毕竟自2010年8月以来，此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca60b07fac07ccd13faa80796c2df34d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>尽管如此，Rubner指出，即便不回顾历史，今年的状况也能得出同样的结论，美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出，市场将更加缺乏流动性，因此8月的下跌效应会加剧，任何负面消息都会被放大。</p>\n<p>此外，Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”，这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年：</p>\n<ul>\n <li>2011年，恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决，但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时，对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵，最终导致8月股市大跌。</li>\n <li>2015年，新兴市场出现了动荡，进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。</li>\n</ul>\n<p>对于接下来的8月，Rubner表示，人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议，以及宏观变量（尤其是通胀）的变化。他同时表示，我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股最惨的“时节”要来了</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d43f47ff4637f33c2675f14c1cc937","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SH":"标普500反向ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指反向ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636809","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155894163","content_text":"在经历了7月1日到7月15日历史数据统计的“史上最强劲两周”后，美股即将迎来统计数据上的最糟糕月份——八月。\n\n正如高盛信贷策略师Scott Rubner所统计的那样，整个八月份市场趋势都在走低，这是一年中最糟糕的时节之一，并在杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议上达到高潮和拐点。目前，人们预计鲍威尔将在这次会议上宣布taper。\n具体来看，自1950年以来，标准普尔500指数在72年里有19次在上半年上涨超过10%，但在强劲的上半年之后，8月份的回报率中值通常会下降51个基点。\nRubner还指出，今年上半年没有出现戏剧性的大跌，标准普尔500指数连续第6个月上涨，创下2018年以来最长的上涨时间。然而，与上述观察相呼应这并不是什么好事，毕竟自2010年8月以来，此前的11个8月中有6次下跌。\n\n尽管如此，Rubner指出，即便不回顾历史，今年的状况也能得出同样的结论，美联储的资产负债表就应该能解释得很清楚清楚。随着美联储政策的逐步推出，市场将更加缺乏流动性，因此8月的下跌效应会加剧，任何负面消息都会被放大。\n此外，Rubner还回顾了此前的两次“8月危机”，这两次危机分别发生在2011年和2015年：\n\n2011年，恰逢美国在债务上限问题上的争论不休。尽管这个问题在8月初得到了解决，但标准普尔随后将美国信用评级从AAA下调至AA+。与此同时，对欧洲主权债务危机的担忧持续发酵，最终导致8月股市大跌。\n2015年，新兴市场出现了动荡，进而蔓延到包括美国和欧洲在内的其他地区。\n\n对于接下来的8月，Rubner表示，人们关注的焦点将集中于杰克逊霍尔全球央行会议，以及宏观变量（尤其是通胀）的变化。他同时表示，我们需要对市场中的任何意外保持警惕。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":184906987,"gmtCreate":1623679719049,"gmtModify":1634030182305,"author":{"id":"3581585430386137","authorId":"3581585430386137","name":"testqwr","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581585430386137","idStr":"3581585430386137"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ha//<a 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