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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-27
by end-Aug.//
@SophieJin
: How long?
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-14
He keep the music playing
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-11
Until July
How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>
Summary Down over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in
How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-10
Need to be careful after Eagle
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-05
Apple drop sometimes, no worry.
What Are The Short- And Long-Term Outlooks For Apple Stock?<blockquote>苹果股票的短期和长期前景如何？</blockquote>
With Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAPL) recent underperformance, the panel on CNBC's "Fast Money Halftime Re
What Are The Short- And Long-Term Outlooks For Apple Stock?<blockquote>苹果股票的短期和长期前景如何？</blockquote>
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-04
[鼓掌]
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-06-02
bring your own hamburgers
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-05-31
Good for stock markets.
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-05-30
Amazon yes. I have some doubts about Facebook
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happyfarmer
happyfarmer
·
2021-05-29
solid companies, no dogecoin or crypto related
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music playing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184382598","repostId":"2143892897","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188985061,"gmtCreate":1623419455153,"gmtModify":1634033453207,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Until July","listText":"Until July","text":"Until 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The company has deep pockets to continue growing.</li> <li>The valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.</li> </ul> E-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW股价在过去一年下跌后，并未参与市场的普遍上涨。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一家实力强劲的企业，拥有加速的自由现金流生成和干净的资产负债表。该公司财力雄厚，可以继续发展。</li><li>股票交易估值被压缩，但似乎有望反弹。基本面最终会引导股价。</li></ul>在整个疫情，电子商务一直是一个强有力的投资主题。尽管许多通过互联网销售的股票一直蓬勃发展，但中国企业集团阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（BABA）却明显落后。阿里巴巴-SW的股价在过去一年中一直处于亏损状态，而标普500则大幅上涨，上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.</p><p><blockquote>围绕蚂蚁集团及其创始人马云的IPO失败，阿里巴巴-SW陷入了一些争议。虽然市场关注这些干扰因素，但阿里巴巴-SW的实际基础业务表现却很高。凭借强劲的基本面和快速增长的自由现金流，市场开始关注重要的事情只是时间问题……业务。我们将在下面概述我们的投资论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流增长惊人</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是Seeking Alpha上经常报道的业务，因此我不会重复该业务的基础知识，也不会深入探讨困扰该股的政治争议。相反，我想重点谈谈阿里巴巴-SW最近遇到的金融拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月底结束了财年。我们看到的是一个多元化的业务，有几个不断增长的细分市场与宏观经济趋势保持一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/862988aec2c33c72dc1786de483f952a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> The largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最大的收入贡献者是公司的零售业务。虽然其商业部门继续实现收入增长（2020年核心商业总收入增长42%，而公司收入增长41%），但一些较小的部门也显示出强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>例如，阿里巴巴-SW的云计算业务在2020年增长了50%，新零售和直销业务同比增长了94%。最有希望的是，阿里巴巴-SW近年来正在加速其自由现金流的增长。该公司2021年自由现金流为263.5亿美元，较2020年同比增长29%。从2019年到2020年，阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流增长了25%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9d4b224eedbd99d8d22f0a2092b204\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Holding Group Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW控股集团有限公司</blockquote></p><p> With $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&A or other developments.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，阿里巴巴-SW手头现金为720亿美元，该业务产生了超过260亿美元的自由现金流，拥有雄厚的财力来发展其不断增长的业务部门，并寻找机会通过并购或其他发展创造新的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW还能“便宜”多久？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>除非你从自由现金流的角度看待问题，否则很难理解阿里巴巴-SW的股票有多下跌。阿里巴巴-SW目前的自由现金流收益率接近6%。相比之下，FCF收益率第二高的是亚马逊（AMZN），收益率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3423f615c0dc856b040442e4ff17b78f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: YCharts</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：YCharts</blockquote></p><p> This is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流正在加速增长并且手头拥有大量现金，但这对该公司的同行来说是一个巨大的折扣。由于阿里巴巴-SW是一家健康且不断增长的公司，该股的估值将变得更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d76517c900c76b94c5bd4aaf02ec91a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Seeking Alpha</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</blockquote></p><p> The company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.</p><p><blockquote>预计该公司的收入将继续快速增长，未来三年收入将接近2100亿美元。如果我们将公司24%的收入转化率应用于FCF，那么2024年FCF将达到500亿美元。换句话说，按今天的股价计算，FCF收益率为8.6%。对于一家公司的股票在规模如此之大的情况下增长如此之快，这是你不常见到的。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.</p><p><blockquote>该股显然因阿里巴巴-SW过去一年面临的一些戏剧性事件以及当前中美之间的一些紧张局势而受到惩罚。这是投资者需要牢记的风险，因为任何事情都可能发生，阿里巴巴-SW可能成为政治冲突的附带损害。然而，如果市场清楚地看到前景看好，阿里巴巴-SW可能会大幅重新评级。即使阿里巴巴-SW的FCF收益率跌至3%左右，也意味着股价上涨46%。这将使阿里巴巴-SW的企业价值超过8000亿美元，但我相信该公司肯定可以填补这些空缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>包装</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是一个奇妙的企业，却陷入了一些政治戏剧。尽管规模很大，但该公司发展迅速，盈利，并产生大量自由现金流。投资者不能忽视政治风险，但对于勇敢和耐心的投资者来说，上行空间是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Much Longer Will Alibaba Stay Cheap?<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW还会保持便宜多久？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-11 17:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Down over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.</li> <li>Alibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.</li> <li>The valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.</li> </ul> E-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW股价在过去一年下跌后，并未参与市场的普遍上涨。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一家实力强劲的企业，拥有加速的自由现金流生成和干净的资产负债表。该公司财力雄厚，可以继续发展。</li><li>股票交易估值被压缩，但似乎有望反弹。基本面最终会引导股价。</li></ul>在整个疫情，电子商务一直是一个强有力的投资主题。尽管许多通过互联网销售的股票一直蓬勃发展，但中国企业集团阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司（BABA）却明显落后。阿里巴巴-SW的股价在过去一年中一直处于亏损状态，而标普500则大幅上涨，上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.</p><p><blockquote>围绕蚂蚁集团及其创始人马云的IPO失败，阿里巴巴-SW陷入了一些争议。虽然市场关注这些干扰因素，但阿里巴巴-SW的实际基础业务表现却很高。凭借强劲的基本面和快速增长的自由现金流，市场开始关注重要的事情只是时间问题……业务。我们将在下面概述我们的投资论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流增长惊人</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是Seeking Alpha上经常报道的业务，因此我不会重复该业务的基础知识，也不会深入探讨困扰该股的政治争议。相反，我想重点谈谈阿里巴巴-SW最近遇到的金融拐点。</blockquote></p><p> The company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月底结束了财年。我们看到的是一个多元化的业务，有几个不断增长的细分市场与宏观经济趋势保持一致。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/862988aec2c33c72dc1786de483f952a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Group Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW集团控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> The largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.</p><p><blockquote>当然，最大的收入贡献者是公司的零售业务。虽然其商业部门继续实现收入增长（2020年核心商业总收入增长42%，而公司收入增长41%），但一些较小的部门也显示出强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>例如，阿里巴巴-SW的云计算业务在2020年增长了50%，新零售和直销业务同比增长了94%。最有希望的是，阿里巴巴-SW近年来正在加速其自由现金流的增长。该公司2021年自由现金流为263.5亿美元，较2020年同比增长29%。从2019年到2020年，阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流增长了25%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba9d4b224eedbd99d8d22f0a2092b204\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"98\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Alibaba Holding Group Limited</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：阿里巴巴-SW控股集团有限公司</blockquote></p><p> With $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&A or other developments.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，阿里巴巴-SW手头现金为720亿美元，该业务产生了超过260亿美元的自由现金流，拥有雄厚的财力来发展其不断增长的业务部门，并寻找机会通过并购或其他发展创造新的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW还能“便宜”多久？</b></blockquote></p><p> It's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.</p><p><blockquote>除非你从自由现金流的角度看待问题，否则很难理解阿里巴巴-SW的股票有多下跌。阿里巴巴-SW目前的自由现金流收益率接近6%。相比之下，FCF收益率第二高的是亚马逊（AMZN），收益率仅为1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3423f615c0dc856b040442e4ff17b78f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: YCharts</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：YCharts</blockquote></p><p> This is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW的自由现金流正在加速增长并且手头拥有大量现金，但这对该公司的同行来说是一个巨大的折扣。由于阿里巴巴-SW是一家健康且不断增长的公司，该股的估值将变得更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d76517c900c76b94c5bd4aaf02ec91a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">source: Seeking Alpha</p><p><blockquote>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</blockquote></p><p> The company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.</p><p><blockquote>预计该公司的收入将继续快速增长，未来三年收入将接近2100亿美元。如果我们将公司24%的收入转化率应用于FCF，那么2024年FCF将达到500亿美元。换句话说，按今天的股价计算，FCF收益率为8.6%。对于一家公司的股票在规模如此之大的情况下增长如此之快，这是你不常见到的。</blockquote></p><p> The stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.</p><p><blockquote>该股显然因阿里巴巴-SW过去一年面临的一些戏剧性事件以及当前中美之间的一些紧张局势而受到惩罚。这是投资者需要牢记的风险，因为任何事情都可能发生，阿里巴巴-SW可能成为政治冲突的附带损害。然而，如果市场清楚地看到前景看好，阿里巴巴-SW可能会大幅重新评级。即使阿里巴巴-SW的FCF收益率跌至3%左右，也意味着股价上涨46%。这将使阿里巴巴-SW的企业价值超过8000亿美元，但我相信该公司肯定可以填补这些空缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>包装</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Alibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW是一个奇妙的企业，却陷入了一些政治戏剧。尽管规模很大，但该公司发展迅速，盈利，并产生大量自由现金流。投资者不能忽视政治风险，但对于勇敢和耐心的投资者来说，上行空间是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434229-how-much-longer-will-alibaba-stay-cheap\">Seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434229-how-much-longer-will-alibaba-stay-cheap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180091968","content_text":"Summary\n\nDown over the past year, shares of Alibaba have not participated with the general rally in the markets.\nAlibaba is a strong business with accelerating free cash flow generation and a clean balance sheet. The company has deep pockets to continue growing.\nThe valuation that shares trade at is compressed, but seems poised to rebound. Fundamentals eventually steer the share price.\n\nE-commerce has been a powerful investing theme throughout the pandemic. While many stocks that sell over the internet have been thriving, Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) has been a notable laggard. Shares of Alibaba are in the red over the past year, while the S&P 500 has ripped higher, gaining 32%.\nAlibaba has been caught in some controversy surrounding thefailed IPOof Ant Group and its founderJack Ma. While the market has focused on these distractions, the actual underlying business of Alibaba is performing at a high level. With strong fundamentals and rapidly growing free cash flow, it's only a matter of time before the market begins to focus on what matters...the business. We will outline our investment thesis below.\nFree Cash Flow Growth Is Stellar\nAlibaba is a frequently covered business on Seeking Alpha, so I won't rehash the basics about the business or dive into the political controversy that has plagued the stock. Instead, I want to focus on the financial inflection point that Alibaba has recently hit.\nThe company ended its fiscal year at the end of March. What we see is a diversified business with several growing segments that align with macroeconomic trends.\nsource: Alibaba Group Holding Limited\nThe largest revenue contributor, of course, is the company's retail operations. While its commerce segment continues to narrate revenue growth (total core commerce grew 2020 revenues 42% versus company revenues growing 41%), some smaller segments are showing strong growth.\nFor example, Alibaba's cloud computing operations grew 50% in 2020, and its new retail and direct sales businesses grew 94% year-over-year. What is most promising is that Alibaba is accelerating its free cash flow growth in recent years. The company's $26.35 billion in 2021 FCF is a 29% year-over-year jump from 2020. Alibaba grew FCF 25% from 2019 to 2020.\nsource: Alibaba Holding Group Limited\nWith $72 billion in cash on hand as of March 31st and the business generating more than $26 billion in free cash flow, Alibaba has deep pockets to develop its growing business segments and seek out opportunities to create new growth with M&A or other developments.\nHow Long Can Alibaba Stay \"Cheap\"?\nIt's hard to understand just how beaten down Alibaba's stock is until you look at things from a free cash flow perspective. Alibaba is currently trading with an FCF yield approaching 6%. By comparison, the next highest FCF yield is Amazon (AMZN), with a yield of just 1.3%.\nsource: YCharts\nThis is a tremendous discount to Alibaba's peer group, despite the company accelerating FCF growth and having a ton of cash on hand. And because Alibaba is a healthy and growing company, the stock is poised to become even more attractively valued.\nsource: Seeking Alpha\nThe company is estimated to continue growing revenues at a swift clip, approaching $210 billion in annual revenue over the next three years. If we apply the company's 24% conversion rate of revenue to FCF, that will give us 2024 FCF of $50 billion. In other words, an FCF yield of 8.6% on today's share price. This is simply something you don't often see for a company's stock growing so rapidly at such an already large size.\nThe stock is clearly being punished for some of the drama that Alibaba has faced over the past year and some of the current tension between the United States and China. This is a risk that investors need to keep in mind, as anything can happen, and Alibaba may become collateral damage of political conflict. However, if it becomes clear to the market that the outlook is promising, Alibaba could aggressively rerate. Even if Alibaba saw its FCF yield fall to around 3%, it would imply an upside in shares of 46%. This would put Alibaba at an enterprise value of more than $800 billion, but I believe those shoes the company could certainly fill.\nWrapping Up\nAlibaba is a fantastic business that has been caught up in some political drama. Despite its size, the company is growing rapidly, is profitable, and generates tons of free cash flow. Investors cannot ignore the political risks, but the upside is tremendous for brave and patient investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183386750,"gmtCreate":1623308018770,"gmtModify":1631888722645,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need to be careful after Eagle","listText":"Need to be careful after Eagle","text":"Need to be careful after Eagle","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183386750","repostId":"1167077162","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112546259,"gmtCreate":1622892939171,"gmtModify":1634097027945,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple drop sometimes, no worry.","listText":"Apple drop sometimes, no worry.","text":"Apple drop sometimes, no worry.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112546259","repostId":"1194036411","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194036411","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622852714,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194036411?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 08:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Are The Short- And Long-Term Outlooks For Apple Stock?<blockquote>苹果股票的短期和长期前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194036411","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAPL) recent underperformance, the panel on CNBC's \"Fast Money Halftime Re","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5e718489c14a810bc6ba301179aacd0\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"378\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> With <b>Apple Inc.'s</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL) recent underperformance, the panel on CNBC's \"Fast Money Halftime Report\" on Friday discussed possible outlooks.</p><p><blockquote>与<b>苹果公司的</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）最近表现不佳，周五CNBC的“快钱半场报告”小组讨论了可能的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Short-Term Catalyst:</b>Although Apple has traded sideways recently, its Worldwide Developers Conference could be the catalyst that takes the stock higher, Market Rebellion co-founder Pete Najarian told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote><b>短期催化剂：</b>Market Rebellion联合创始人皮特·纳贾里安(Pete Najarian)告诉CNBC，尽管苹果最近横盘整理，但其全球开发者大会可能会成为该股走高的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's margins, earnings and free cash flow are all increasing, he said, adding that after its recent pause, the stock seems primed for another move to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，苹果的利润率、盈利和自由现金流都在增加，并补充说，在最近的暂停之后，该股似乎准备好再次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Najarian bought Apple call options this week after seeing a spike in call buying activity.</p><p><blockquote>在看到看涨期权购买活动激增后，纳贾里安本周购买了苹果·看涨期权期权。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is scheduled to have its Worldwide Developers Conference on June 7.</p><p><blockquote>苹果定于6月7日举行全球开发者大会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long-Term Outlook:</b>Cerity Partners' Jim Lebenthal has a longer-term outlook on Apple.</p><p><blockquote><b>长期展望：</b>Cerity Partners的Jim Lebenthal对苹果有更长远的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has grown at a 40% compound annual growth rate over the last five years, Lebenthal told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>Lebenthal告诉CNBC，过去五年苹果的复合年增长率为40%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has been \"stuck in the mud\" for the last nine months, he said, adding that he expects the stock to trend higher after it announces another blowout earnings report during the next earnings season.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，该股在过去九个月里一直“陷入困境”，并补充说，他预计该股在下一个财报季宣布另一份井喷式财报后将呈走高趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is buying back shares while the stock sits at depressed levels, which will benefit the company's earnings power, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他指出，苹果正在股价处于低迷水平时回购股票，这将有利于公司的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next one to three years, the stock will trade much higher, Lebenthal said, adding he expects the stock to trade at $150 per share by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lebenthal表示，未来一到三年，该股的交易价格将大幅上涨，并补充说，他预计到2021年底该股的交易价格将达到每股150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AAPL Price Action:</b>Apple has traded as high as $145.09 and as low as $80.19 over a 52-week period. It is down 5.31% year-to-date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL价格走势：</b>苹果在52周内的交易价格最高为145.09美元，最低为80.19美元。今年迄今已下跌5.31%。</blockquote></p><p> At last check Friday at publication, the stock was up 1.90% at $125.89.</p><p><blockquote>截至周五发布时的最后一次检查，该股上涨1.90%，至125.89美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Are The Short- And Long-Term Outlooks For Apple Stock?<blockquote>苹果股票的短期和长期前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Are The Short- And Long-Term Outlooks For Apple Stock?<blockquote>苹果股票的短期和长期前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-05 08:25</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5e718489c14a810bc6ba301179aacd0\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"378\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> With <b>Apple Inc.'s</b> (NASDAQ:AAPL) recent underperformance, the panel on CNBC's \"Fast Money Halftime Report\" on Friday discussed possible outlooks.</p><p><blockquote>与<b>苹果公司的</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）最近表现不佳，周五CNBC的“快钱半场报告”小组讨论了可能的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Short-Term Catalyst:</b>Although Apple has traded sideways recently, its Worldwide Developers Conference could be the catalyst that takes the stock higher, Market Rebellion co-founder Pete Najarian told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote><b>短期催化剂：</b>Market Rebellion联合创始人皮特·纳贾里安(Pete Najarian)告诉CNBC，尽管苹果最近横盘整理，但其全球开发者大会可能会成为该股走高的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's margins, earnings and free cash flow are all increasing, he said, adding that after its recent pause, the stock seems primed for another move to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，苹果的利润率、盈利和自由现金流都在增加，并补充说，在最近的暂停之后，该股似乎准备好再次上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Najarian bought Apple call options this week after seeing a spike in call buying activity.</p><p><blockquote>在看到看涨期权购买活动激增后，纳贾里安本周购买了苹果·看涨期权期权。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is scheduled to have its Worldwide Developers Conference on June 7.</p><p><blockquote>苹果定于6月7日举行全球开发者大会。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Long-Term Outlook:</b>Cerity Partners' Jim Lebenthal has a longer-term outlook on Apple.</p><p><blockquote><b>长期展望：</b>Cerity Partners的Jim Lebenthal对苹果有更长远的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has grown at a 40% compound annual growth rate over the last five years, Lebenthal told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>Lebenthal告诉CNBC，过去五年苹果的复合年增长率为40%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has been \"stuck in the mud\" for the last nine months, he said, adding that he expects the stock to trend higher after it announces another blowout earnings report during the next earnings season.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，该股在过去九个月里一直“陷入困境”，并补充说，他预计该股在下一个财报季宣布另一份井喷式财报后将呈走高趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is buying back shares while the stock sits at depressed levels, which will benefit the company's earnings power, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>他指出，苹果正在股价处于低迷水平时回购股票，这将有利于公司的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next one to three years, the stock will trade much higher, Lebenthal said, adding he expects the stock to trade at $150 per share by the end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lebenthal表示，未来一到三年，该股的交易价格将大幅上涨，并补充说，他预计到2021年底该股的交易价格将达到每股150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AAPL Price Action:</b>Apple has traded as high as $145.09 and as low as $80.19 over a 52-week period. It is down 5.31% year-to-date.</p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL价格走势：</b>苹果在52周内的交易价格最高为145.09美元，最低为80.19美元。今年迄今已下跌5.31%。</blockquote></p><p> At last check Friday at publication, the stock was up 1.90% at $125.89.</p><p><blockquote>截至周五发布时的最后一次检查，该股上涨1.90%，至125.89美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194036411","content_text":"With Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAPL) recent underperformance, the panel on CNBC's \"Fast Money Halftime Report\" on Friday discussed possible outlooks.\nShort-Term Catalyst:Although Apple has traded sideways recently, its Worldwide Developers Conference could be the catalyst that takes the stock higher, Market Rebellion co-founder Pete Najarian told CNBC.\nApple's margins, earnings and free cash flow are all increasing, he said, adding that after its recent pause, the stock seems primed for another move to the upside.\nNajarian bought Apple call options this week after seeing a spike in call buying activity.\nApple is scheduled to have its Worldwide Developers Conference on June 7.\nLong-Term Outlook:Cerity Partners' Jim Lebenthal has a longer-term outlook on Apple.\nApple has grown at a 40% compound annual growth rate over the last five years, Lebenthal told CNBC.\nThe stock has been \"stuck in the mud\" for the last nine months, he said, adding that he expects the stock to trend higher after it announces another blowout earnings report during the next earnings season.\nApple is buying back shares while the stock sits at depressed levels, which will benefit the company's earnings power, he noted.\nOver the next one to three years, the stock will trade much higher, Lebenthal said, adding he expects the stock to trade at $150 per share by the end of 2021.\nAAPL Price Action:Apple has traded as high as $145.09 and as low as $80.19 over a 52-week period. It is down 5.31% year-to-date.\nAt last check Friday at publication, the stock was up 1.90% at $125.89.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116259279,"gmtCreate":1622806371391,"gmtModify":1634097844310,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[鼓掌] ","listText":"[鼓掌] ","text":"[鼓掌]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116259279","repostId":"2140403495","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":113299258,"gmtCreate":1622616979574,"gmtModify":1634099896770,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"bring your own hamburgers","listText":"bring your own hamburgers","text":"bring your own hamburgers","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113299258","repostId":"2140493289","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110509667,"gmtCreate":1622465986459,"gmtModify":1634101295058,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good for stock markets.","listText":"Good for stock markets.","text":"Good for stock markets.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110509667","repostId":"2139432432","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137594864,"gmtCreate":1622358926458,"gmtModify":1634102046872,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazon yes. I have some doubts about Facebook","listText":"Amazon yes. I have some doubts about Facebook","text":"Amazon yes. I have some doubts about Facebook","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137594864","repostId":"2139248442","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137923599,"gmtCreate":1622287575111,"gmtModify":1634102506363,"author":{"id":"3581666175913688","authorId":"3581666175913688","name":"happyfarmer","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581666175913688","authorIdStr":"3581666175913688"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"solid companies, no dogecoin or crypto related","listText":"solid companies, no dogecoin or crypto related","text":"solid companies, no dogecoin or crypto related","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137923599","repostId":"1150838200","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}