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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-06-07
  Ok
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-06-06
  Wow
  Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play
  Summary Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs. Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favo
  Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-06-04
  Oo
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-06-02
  Wow
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-05-31
  Wow
  The Dogecoin Bubble Will Burst: 3 Smart Stocks to Buy Instead
  Unlike Dogecoin, these stocks have real substance behind their growth and long-term outlooks.
  The Dogecoin Bubble Will Burst: 3 Smart Stocks to Buy Instead
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-05-29
  Zz
  The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever
  Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.
  The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-05-25
  Comment like
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-05-24
  Comment
  ZipRecruiter Is Going Public This Month. What to Know.
  ZipRecruiter, the latest company to file for a direct listing, has set a date for its offering.The o
  ZipRecruiter Is Going Public This Month. What to Know.
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-05-24
  Likee
  Why Cathie Wood Is Bullish On Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA)
  Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management is betting that despite recent setbacks Iovance Biotherape
  Why Cathie Wood Is Bullish On Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA)
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- honglilimhonglilim
  ·2021-05-23
  Like pls
  Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021
  Berkshire Hathaway has continued to reduce its stakes in banks.
  Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021
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11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102972710","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Micron's four business units have sizable TAMs.</li>\n <li>Both the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.</li>\n <li>Industry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.</li>\n <li>The strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dd8114b0aa47fdcdd26e5dc40d5ee\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"896\"><span>Photo by vchal/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>Micron Technology(NASDAQ:MU)&nbsp;is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as&nbsp;auto manufacturers forced to slash production.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Micron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even&nbsp;3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n</blockquote>\n<p>As promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.</p>\n<p><b>DRAM and NAND</b></p>\n<p>DRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.</p>\n<p>It is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.</p>\n<p>The DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with&nbsp;23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung &amp; SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the&nbsp;largest consumer of DRAMs&nbsp;by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c2b471dd41b837a1ad129c180fa0b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"368\"><span>Source: Statista Global DRAM Market Share</span></p>\n<p>As of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented&nbsp;71.26%&nbsp;of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.</p>\n<p>Historically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/371a886343d14f2ba3407afa02804db5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"526\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>TAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.</p>\n<p>Micron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful&nbsp;26.46%&nbsp;as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.</p>\n<p>Likewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has&nbsp;announced plans to acquire&nbsp;Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b8da20e0246607003c65afa09ff3998\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Source: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share</span></p>\n<p>Despite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a&nbsp;similar bid for $30 BN&nbsp;to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e220cb5c3b6dea5d0f84bde25765bfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc8e8ee498e5b2469b09b1605b2ef98a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>The $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap &amp; EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather&nbsp;long history of acquisitions&nbsp;having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory &amp; Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.</p>\n<p>If successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.</p>\n<p><b>More Conviction</b></p>\n<p>For more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8953a521354fd97f74d0f8694e0a0ee6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"204\"><span>Source: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>As of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute &amp; Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM &amp; NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the&nbsp;10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.</p>\n<p>MBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to&nbsp;Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.</p>\n<p>However, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to&nbsp;50% market share&nbsp;in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e31402367246f258d67658ada2e3a41e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"><span>Source: Micron's Automotive Division</span></p>\n<p>This is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from&nbsp;DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than&nbsp;30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs &amp; AVs.</p>\n<p>As it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S &amp; X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the&nbsp;next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.</p>\n<p>The growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog&nbsp;30-year leadership&nbsp;will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.</p>\n<p><b>Industry Tailwinds</b></p>\n<p>Moving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.</p>\n<p>For a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.</p>\n<p>When the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.</p>\n<p>When firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.</p>\n<p>Looking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c32366202010d3411e7888fcae587f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"393\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/060cf4c42cb775ea2a1d35cbd3b796e1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"261\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p>The industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by&nbsp;Trendforce:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 &amp; they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Call it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff33c479a31ba4e4ee56a91be2d78318\" tg-width=\"456\" tg-height=\"111\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>In the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.</p>\n<p><b>Financials</b></p>\n<p>Q1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07766c05dc0d46a9660c290084da2442\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"209\"><span>Source: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d3f14c1b13fc41c6c44c29f8a947fb\" tg-width=\"451\" tg-height=\"145\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p>Management also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on&nbsp;6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.</p>\n<p>As mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe3bd33eeed49eebb87776a32f152e41\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Next, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14d722c6a10e22e26e12a82be0a69481\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"125\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>Although Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.</p>\n<p>Analysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.</p>\n<p>FCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.</p>\n<p>Currently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>No matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.</p>\n<p>With the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.</p>\n<p>Government subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing&nbsp;prosecution&nbsp;for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.</p>\n<p>Changing industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.</p>\n<p>Other potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as&nbsp;outages and floods&nbsp;similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation</b></p>\n<p>Finally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00bc87a283f9420f33b1c7c52ad2f344\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>A005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb98c272aeec7c9aefdab00d22955f64\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"367\"><span>Source: Author's Compilations</span></p>\n<p>We can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4effc3d3acfdad8726c391bb0872880\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"229\"></p>\n<p>Keeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.</p>\n<p>If I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.</p>\n<p>Since I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e6626b3363e839c178999a3d2b48940\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"46\"><span>Source: Tikr</span></p>\n<p>The current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the&nbsp;semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea91b1b8e3f714b2441d27be59a6c538\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"64\"><span>Source: CSI Market</span></p>\n<p>Micron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6db0e4e02a94b2ed6ad9df84767cc9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"110\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p>\n<p><b>Final Takeaways</b></p>\n<p>Based on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.</p>\n<p>I have noticed that there has been some&nbsp;concerns&nbsp;regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.</p>\n<p>I personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production &amp; CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.</p>\n<p>As a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron: A Strong Chip Shortage Play\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-06 11:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433177-micron-a-strong-chip-shortage-play","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102972710","content_text":"Summary\n\nMicron's four business units have sizable TAMs.\nBoth the DRAM and NAND industries have favourable outlooks.\nIndustry tailwinds point to pricing power and expanding margins.\nThe strong financials of the company will serve them well in the current high-volatility environment.\n\nPhoto by vchal/iStock via Getty Images\nMicron Technology(NASDAQ:MU) is a severely undervalued semiconductor play with significant upside based upon conservative estimates, strong fundamentals, and favorable industry tailwinds. The current semiconductor shortage worldwide has put pressure upon semiconductor companies as they rush to ramp up production after an intentional slowdown and supply disruption amidst the pandemic. Forecasts and estimates regarding how fast demand was to bounce back came in entirely too conservative, and as a result the unprecedented surge in demand with a lagging supply has buyers of semiconductor chips such as auto manufacturers forced to slash production.\nSemiconductors of all kinds are the fundamental basic unit and brains of products ranging from audio devices, security cameras, automobiles, to even smart fridges. When it comes to a global shortage in a time as such, companies that are 'fabless' lose out and those that have their own manufacturing facilities and plants gain the upper hand as flexibility and production output remains in their ballpark. Today we examine how Micron is one of them, and despite its remarkable run up 54% since the start of 2020, there is considerable upside remaining given the size of the different total addressable markets(NYSE:TAM)that Micron is targeting.\nBusiness Model\nMicron is one of the top 3 memory chip makers in the world with a product portfolio featuring DRAM, NAND, NOR, and even 3D XPoint SSDs that they have since ceased production.Management guided that the decision comes amidst the findings that:\n\n There was insufficient market validation to justify the ongoing investments required to commercialize 3D XPoint at scale.\n\nAs promising as the 3D XPoint developments that Micron had that first started as a joint partnership with Intel in 2015 before parting ways in 2018 was, the impact moving forward will be minimal given that revenue from selling DRAM and NAND chips still accounts for the majority of Micron's Revenue, and 3D XPoint SSDs had yet to scale up.\nDRAM and NAND\nDRAM (Dynamic Random-Access Memory) devices are essentially a type of low latency memory product commonly used in PCs, servers, smartphones, and automobiles.\nIt is 'volatile' as content will be lost if the power supply is turned off. As such, DRAM devices store information that needs to be quickly accessed by the CPU / GPU. CPUs provide the raw computational power needed to run software programs and RAMs store the data and software code needed by the CPU to run in real-time.\nThe DRAM market operates as an oligopolistic one, with the 3 biggest competitors, Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), SK Hynix (OTC:HXSCL), and Micron dominating 94.1% of the market share. Samsung leads with 42% as of the latest fiscal quarter, SK Hynix second with 29% and Micron close behind with 23.1% of the market share.Amongst the 3, Micron is the only one operating in the U.S with Samsung & SK Hynix based in South Korea. This geographical advantage has come to serve Micron well in the automobile memory market as I will proceed to prove later, although it can be argued that this very same factor has placed the 2 Korean companies in a better position to service the largest consumer of DRAMs by region - China. In 2019, China accounted for 55.42% of global DRAM consumption by region.\nSource: Statista Global DRAM Market Share\nAs of the latest fiscal quarter 21, DRAM sales represented 71.26% of the company's total revenue. Although there may be the risk of concentration with a substantial portion of sales coming from 1 of the 3 main product offerings, DRAM chips have always represented the majority of the firm's sales. With favorable industry tailwinds, positive outlook regarding overall DRAM market dynamics, pricing power, and very likely higher margins as a result, this concentration of sales will likely also prove to be more of a boon than a bane for Micron in the current economic environment that we are in today.\nHistorically, Micron has also retained a firm hold of their share in the DRAM market and has made an effort to gradually increase it overtime since CY 2016. The inherently high BTE and economies of scale in an oligopolistic market coupled with necessary high CAPEX spending serves to grant the dominant 3 a firm hold in the DRAM market for years to come. The chart below shows Micron holding a steady 20 - 23% market share since CY 15, testament to their persistent presence as a top 3 market player.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nTAM: As DRAM products represent a majority of Micron's sales, it is imperative that the market they are operating in has a bright future and is on track to grow.According to MarketWatch,the global DRAM market revenue was valued at $62.1 BN in 2020 and is expected to grow to $91.1 BN by the end of 2026, representing a CAGR of 8%. With a sizable TAM in their leading product offering, the company should reap in the rewards of a growing market in terms of future revenue. As DRAM products also bring in higher margins at the end of the day based on CNBU and MBU (explained below) Operating Margins, this acts as a further catalyst for Micron.\nMicron also offers NAND products and though it represents a smaller chunk of Total Revenue relative to DRAMs, it still accounted for a meaningful 26.46% as of Q2 FY 21. NAND chips are used for the storage of information. Slower than DRAMs for accessing memory quickly, they are 'non-volatile' as the content can still be accessed should the power supply be cut off. These are commonly found in hard drives, smartphones and data centers.\nLikewise, the dominant 3 in the DRAM market also represent a significant portion of the NAND market albeit having more competitors. In the NAND flash market, Micron ranks 5th worldwide, behind the same industry leader - Samsung. As of Q1 21, Samsung dominated with 33.5% market share, Kioxia 18.7%, Western Digital (WDC) 14.4%, SK Hynix 12.3%, and Micron with 11.1%. However, in a market very similar to that of DRAM, acquisitions by the big power players can be expected to further solidify their presence and chew out competitors. As it is, SK Hynix has announced plans to acquire Intel's NAND Storage Unit (INTC), which represented a 7.5% market share in the NAND market beginning this year. Moving forward, this move is likely to bump the Korean company up to 2nd place with about 20% of the market, overtaking Kioxia. It is important to note however that this acquisition does not include Intel's Optane 3D XPoint portfolio that Intel will be retaining.\nSource: Statista Global NAND Flash Market Share\nDespite having more competition and less pricing power in this market, there too have been rumors that Micron is looking to make a move on Kioxia in a similar bid for $30 BN to enhance the competitiveness in its storage solutions in a rapidly growing NAND flash space. Western Digital also stands as a potential opposing bidder with both firms having merits as to why they should be the ideal one to acquire Kioxia. As of now, leverage seems to be in the hands of Micron as a firm with much more operating cashflow and a better balance sheet.\nSource: Author's Compilations\nSource: Author's Compilations\nThe $30 BN that Kioxia has been rumored to be valued at represents more than the entire Market Cap & EV of Western Digital. Besides, the firm already has more Total Debt relative to Micron, lower Operating Cashflows, and has a lower LTM Current Ratio of 2.01 compared to the 3.18 that Micron has that speaks directly to MU's near term liquidity strength. Surface level financial analysis goes to show that this would be a deal likely to go to Micron despite WDC having a joint venture with Kioxia. Furthermore, Micron has a rather long history of acquisitions having acquired Numonyx, a NOR manufacturer in 2010, Elpida Memory & Rexchip Electronics in 2013, Tidal Systems, Convey Computer, and Pico Computing in 2015, Inotera Memories in 2016… the list goes on. As you can see, Micron is quite the decorated acquiring firm.\nIf successful, Micron's NAND dominance has the potential to leap from its 5th placing, 11.1% of the market share to 29.8%, placing them as the 2nd biggest player, just 370 Bps below that of Samsung, and this is after accounting for SK Hynix's recent acquisition of Intel's NAND operations.\nMore Conviction\nFor more conviction in our thesis, we can look to the performance and different TAMs in Micron's business units breakdown.\nSource: Micron's Q2 Investor Presentation\nAs of FQ-2 21, CNBUs (Compute & Networking Business Unit) as always represented the largest portion of the firm's sales, taking up 42% of TR. This unit consists of memory products like DRAM & NAND sold to client, cloud servers, graphics, enterprise and networking markets as defined by the 10-Q.The 34% YOY improvement is promising but the really exciting growth came from MBUs and remains to be seen in EBUs.\nMBUs (Mobile Business Unit) represent the 2nd biggest revenue segment for Micron, accounting for 29% of TR, up an impressive 44% YOY. MBUs are memory and storage products for mobile devices, most notably smartphones. According to Mordor Intelligence,the global smartphone market will be valued at more than a trillion dollars by 2026, up from the $715 BN in 2020, a CAGR of 11.6%. Although therein lies the risk that the smartphone replacement cycle has been lengthening, the gradual shift to 5G overtime will force smartphone users to have to upgrade to a 5G capable one that can operate on the same frequency. Doing so will mean more DRAM and NAND content per unit that Micron will stand to benefit from.\nHowever, what's being left out by many is Micron's dominant position in the memory market for automobiles and the sizable TAM in this space moving forward. EBUs (Embedded Business Unit) represent the 2nd smallest revenue segment (15% of TR) of the 4 that Micron has. This essentially refers to embedded memory and storage chips sold to automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Despite not being the main cash cow for Micron, EBUs still saw remarkable growth of 34% YOY in FQ-2. Micron may have been 3rd in the overall DRAM space and 5th in the overall NAND space, but they are the only memory chip provider with a substantial close to 50% market share in the space, according to Trendforce, a world leading market intelligence provider.\nSource: Micron's Automotive Division\nThis is where the geographical advantage for Micron comes into play. Micron effectively leverages their collaborative relationships with Tier-1 automobile suppliers based in Europe and the U.S to service them their comprehensive product portfolio of automotive memory solutions ranging from DDR2 - DDR 4 solutions to LPDDR 2 -5 solutions.The pure growth in this space can be seen from the fact that the average DRAM content of cars will continue to grow at a CAGR of more than 30% from 2021 - 2024.That is by far the biggest growth sector in any of Micron's Business Units moving forward and Micron's 30 years of leadership in the automobile memory space with no dominant position from Samsung or SK Hynix will come to serve them well in an era where we transition to EVs & AVs.\nAs it is, Tesla has already shown that new electric vehicles will be needing a lot more DRAM content and this trend will continue to play out as the world demands more cars with more technological capabilities. In its earlier Model S & X, Tesla reached at least 8GB of DRAM content within the vehicles. The newer Model 3, however, is further equipped with 14GB of DRAM content and the next generation of Tesla Models will have even more at 20GB.\nThe growing automobile memory space where Micron has maintained its underdog 30-year leadership will come to serve them well in the future as we transition to more sustainable and green versions of automobiles that demand more memory as well. Just remember that the more software a device has, the more memory is needed. Hence, we should be able to see positive growth in the EBU segment moving forward. However, one thing to note is that the EBU segment consists of sales to other industries that may be lagging and as a whole, the Operating Margins(NASDAQ:OM)from this segment of 15% stands pale in comparison to the OM in the CNBU segment of 26.9% and 25.6% in MBUs.\nIndustry Tailwinds\nMoving on to the industry outlook, Micron operates in a somewhat commoditized sector which experiences the extreme booms and busts of the demand cycle for PCs and Servers. Despite being a rather cyclical stock where the stock price is commanded largely by the DD and SS of computer chips and production capacity in general, it appears as if we are at the lows of the cycle and Micron remains to be one of the better plays for the ongoing global chip shortage as we begin the next leg up.\nFor a brief explanation on how the memory chip market moves overtime, let me take a stab at it. In essence, the overall supply of memory chips - most of which is produced by the dominant 3 - relative to demand, dictates the prices of chips, and therefore affects the financials of companies.\nWhen the memory market is in a 'bull' cycle as it was in 2010, 2014, 2018, and forecasted DD is set to outpace production capacities by firms, it results in a near-term shortage where the dominant market players (MU included) have the power to raise prices and maximize revenues. As COGS remain relatively constant regardless of the commodity cycle, this eventually translates to higher Gross Margins(NYSE:GM)for firms, a higher EBITDA which coincides nicely with stock price outperformance, and likely a higher bottom line. Although market players tend to agree on CAPEX spending and limit production capacities as a hedge from overproduction, firms blinded by the profits and higher margins tend to chase 'gains' and make the most of the cycle by capturing as much market share as possible.\nWhen firms do that and start to ramp up capacity with no regard for agreed limitations on production capacity and CAPEX spend, overproduction usually ensues that overwhelms the already inflated DD that is now dwindling, resulting in a surplus which brings just about the opposite consequence. Firms then lose pricing power and experience compressing margins in the years to follow, before the slowdown in capacity because of this very surplus eventually dips below future forecasted DD, thereby kickstarting the next leg up because of a shortage.\nLooking to history, when Micron has enjoyed higher EBITDA during those bull commodity cycles when there is a shortage in the industry, the stock price tends to outperform as well, in line with the higher pricing power and margins the firm experiences.\nSource: Author's Compilations\n2018 represented the peak in the previous memory market commodity cycle where the dominant industry players overbuilt capacity chasing margins, and as a result experienced the surplus and its consequences since. Because EBITDA has been falling since 2018 and GM, OM, and NPM have all cumulatively been decreasing YOY, so has the stock price. However, we are now facing another shortage in the DRAM market as production has slowed since the resulting slowdown in 2018. This coupled with an unprecedented surge in demand for chips, fueled by the emerging hyper-growth industries brought forward by the pandemic sets the stage for Micron's potential rally up. With a transition to 5G, Electric and Autonomous Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, IOTs, Cloud Computing, Cobotic Manufacturing and Healthcare Telemedicine, the convergence of these advanced technologies mean more demand for advanced memory solutions, and Micron stands to win from it all.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nThe industry outlook only serves to confirm the shifting tides in the memory market, with the DRAM market facing a severe shortage and optimistic long-term demand growth at a CAGR around 15-19%. A shortage may not seem like good news, but for a dominant market player like Micron that can raise prices and aren't reliant on outsourced production, it is. For further confirmation we can look to the upwardly revised estimates regarding the rise in DRAM prices in Q1 and Q2 of 2021 by Trendforce:\n\n Trendforce predicts that DRAM prices will rise 13-18% in the second quarter of 2021 & they already rose 3-8% in the first quarter of 2021.\n\nCall it inflation, call it whatever you want, but what I do know is that the higher prices in the DRAM market that has since manifested itself and has been forecasted to rise even higher will translate to higher profits for Micron. Market players are likely to make the most of this shortage as demand will not taper off given the fundamental need for memory chips against the backdrop of an era where advanced technologies are so rampant. Analysts too are forecasting improved revenues and earnings seen from the number of upward revisions and none downward in the last 3 months.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nIn the NAND market, although production output has been forecasted to be oversupplied due to increasing shipments, CY 21 demand is still expected to be around 30 - 35% and CAPEX cuts are likely to be implemented.\nFinancials\nQ1 Revenue delivered 12% growth YOY, GM a 359 Bps improvement to 30.90% and NPM a 488 Bps growth YOY to a healthy 15.54%. Q2 delivered even better numbers, with Revenues coming in at $6.2 BN despite management guidance of $5.8 BN. GM further improved to 32.93% and NPM increased 731 Bps YOY to end the quarter with NPM at 18.09%. All of the above are NON-GAAP numbers.\nSource: Micron FQ-2 Investor Presentation\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nManagement also has a history of beating estimates with 8 beats in the last 2 years, effectively delivering a 100% probability that it will beat its own guidance moving forward, although not a guarantee as with anything else in business and life. Yet, forward guidance for FQ-3 is expecting a 30% improvement in Revenues YOY and GM to further rise to 41.5%, compared to the 33.17% they did last year and 32.93% just last quarter. As for DEPS estimates, the $1.62 estimate given by management implies a remarkable 98% YOY increase. Analyst consensus estimates come in even higher than that for the upcoming FQ-3 earnings to be reported on 6/30/21 (estimated), with analysts expecting EPS to be $1.68, indicative of a 105% change to the upside.\nAs mentioned above, in a memory chip 'bull' cycle, pricing power comes into play and the higher prices usually tend to translate into stock outperformance driven by improvements in EBTIDA. Last I checked 1 -2 months ago, EBITDA EST for FY 21 stood around $9 BN and FY 22 EST was $16 BN. As of 26 May 21, those numbers have increased substantially to $12,772 for FY 21 and $20,228 for FY 22. Today, EST have improved yet again in the last 5 days to $12,801 for FY 21 and $20,551 for FY 22. For context, these new EST represent a 48% and 61% YOY improvement.\nSource: Tikr\nNext, we'll examine cashflow. This is paramount in a high volatility time period like today, plagued with inflation concerns, widening federal deficits, and an ever-increasing Fed balance sheet. When inflation is rampant or at least fears of it are, high growth stocks and tech stocks tend to get crushed as the market rushes to reset the absurd valuation multiples justified last year with QE and money printing running at full steam. Since the US10Y (Interest rates) affects the DCF models, valuations for certain companies will be revised downwards with less upside, with the exception of high cashflow companies. Thus, cashflow generating firms are all the more important and likely to be favored moving forward, and yet again Micron is one of them.\nSource: Tikr\nAlthough Cashflow from Operations have been steadily decreasing since 2018 where it reached a high of $17,400, I mentioned above that 2018 represented the peak of the bull cycle then where firms were chasing higher margins. 2019 - 2020 then represented the slowdown phase brought about by the surplus and after hitting a 3-year low of $8,306 in Cashflow from Operations in FY 20 that ended last August, Micron is likely ready to see substantial improvements moving forward, and EST do paint a similar picture.\nAnalysts are expecting Cashflow from Operations to improve 49% YOY in FY 21 and a further 45% in FY 22. If that were to happen, that would bring cashflow close to $18 BN, which would be a record level cashflow generated from Operations for the firm. This also trickles down to FCF EST which represents the capital left for distribution after expenses related to operations have been taken care of and non-cash expenses have been reconciled.\nFCF EST come in at an outstanding $3,344 for FY 21 and is further expected to skyrocket to $8,148 in FY 21, from a meagre $83M last year. This pace of growth points to a close to 4000% YOY increase in FY 21 and a further 144% increase compounded on FY 21 numbers next year.\nCurrently, Micron trades at an EV of around $93 BN. That represents a FCF Yield of 3.60% based on this year's EST, and an impressive 11.4% based on next year's numbers. With that, it is clear that Micron's future earnings and cashflow will serve them well in a macro environment riddled with inflation fears. This massive boost to FCF may just give them the capital they need to seal the deal with Kioxia.\nRisks\nNo matter how sound an investment may be, every one of them carries risk, and so does choosing to invest in Micron. I know the article has been long thus far so I will try to keep it short to avoid boring my 1st time readers.\nWith the high BTE's that are inherently present in the DRAM and NAND markets brought about by the large economies of scale and sheer market share the dominant 3 possess, it is hard for competitors to enter the market. Nonetheless, there have been a few attempts by Chinese companies to penetrate the market and steal market share.\nGovernment subsidies as part of the \"Made in China 2025\" plan has helped propel Chinese firms to pose a threat in the DRAM and NAND markets. Fujian Jinhua (JHICC) is one of them. As a Chinese state-owned DRAM manufacturer based in China, the firm is competing with Micron in the DRAM market as part of China's desire to gain self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry. This is understandable given that they are the largest consumers of DRAM in the Asian-Pacific market. However, Fujian is currently facing prosecution for allegedly stealing Micron's trade secrets and proprietary information. With such bad press and a bad reputation just 4 years after being founded, it is unlikely this firm will make it far enough to compete with the likes of Micron.\nChanging industry tailwinds may also prove to be a headwind in the case that demand growth for DRAM and NAND devices slowdown. Increased CAPEX spending by Samsung and SK Hynix or the addition of new capacity could also severely impact Micron's competitive position in the market and an all-out race to buildout and ramp up capacity to capture more sales may eventually culminate in the loss of pricing power and compressed margins once again. However, given the number of upcoming industries where more advanced technologies demand more memory to store data, this probability is small in the near term at the very least.\nOther potential risks may include further unexpected impacts to Micron's power plants such as outages and floods similar to what happened in Taiwan last year.\nValuation\nFinally, I will cover the valuations behind my upside optimism with Micron. The memory market has historically tended to trade based on the EV / EBITDA multiple. Because of this, I will use this as my prime valuation method but also use Forward PE's as secondary confirmation. The chart below represents the EV / EBITDA ratios that the dominant 3 have traded at since 2016.\nA005930 refers to Samsung and A000660 refers to SK Hynix\nSource: Author's Compilations\nWe can see that Micron has been trading at a Mean EV / EBITDA multiple of 5.49 since 2016 and is trading at 9.64 levels as of last. For a conservative estimate, I will assume a ratio of 8, which is above the industry average of 7.49 in the current environment we are in today but below levels Micron is currently trading at. For context, the firm has always traded above its peers during the bull commodity cycle in 2010, 2014, and 2018 as seen in the chart below. It is important to note that since markets are future discounting mechanisms, they price in future margin expansions and pricing power. As a result, the dominant 3 usually trade at the higher multiples 1 year before the peak of the cycle.\n\nKeeping in mind that Micron has traded at multiples of 29 in 2009, 12 in 2014 and 10 in the previous cycle, 8 would be a fair multiple to assume. EBITDA EST for FY 22 next year stand at $20,551.32 as seen in the picture displayed earlier on. That would imply an EV of $164,410.56 in 22, an upside of 77% based on today's EV of $93 BN. If so, that should carry the stock forward to levels of $148 USD by next year.\nIf I were to assume a slightly aggressive and bullish multiple of 9 which is still below the peak of the prior cycle keeping in mind the law of diminishing returns, that would imply an upside of 99%, placing a price target of $167 USD for Micron.\nSince I'm a long-term investor and a conservative one, I'll stick with the $148 PT while my readers can keep the $167 potential price target in mind. I'm kidding, let's use the $148 PT which still offers a remarkable return relative to the S&P 500.\nSource: Tikr\nThe current estimates for Micron's future EPS are 5.56 for FY 21 and 10.93 for FY 22. Since we looked at FY 22 for the above valuation method, we shall maintain the same timeframe. Looking to the semiconductor industry, companies are trading at an average TTM P/E of 33.11 based on data from Q1.\nSource: CSI Market\nMicron is currently trading at a forward P/E FY 21 of 15.15 and a 7.7 based on FY 22 numbers. Assuming a fair multiple of 12, which is still below the high estimates of 15, that would give us a forward PT of $131.\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nFinal Takeaways\nBased on conservative estimates, the 2 valuation methods displayed above give us a PT for Micron of $131 based on the Forward P/E method and $148 if we were to use EV / EBITDA multiples. This represents a 56-77% upside potential.\nIn this article we covered business model, market share, industry tailwinds with a heavy focus on TAMs, liquidity strength through current ratios, cashflow, risks, and of course valuations, all of which points to high probability of a bullish future for Micron Technology.\nI have noticed that there has been some concerns regarding price action lately and how the stock seems to be having trouble finding its footing given the pretty obvious bullish thesis, and they are valid in my opinion. For bearish near-term fundamentals, the above linked article would be a nice short read.\nI personally am a long-term investor and don't place much focus on the technicals and this helps keep me grounded. There may be a very good chance that Micron will continue to trend downwards before finding support and consolidate for its next leg up. As mentioned above, the stock seems to outperform 1 year before the peak of the memory cycle whenever that may be. Hence, the memory market is to be watched closely and investors must understand how changes in the dynamics of the market regarding production & CAPEX levels can shift the tide quickly.\nAs a result, I don't see Micron to be a buy and hold forever as share price performance falls very much in line with its own commodity cycle, EBITDA, and Margin performance, which will eventually come to an end when surplus hits the deck. Yet, for the next 1-2 years, Micron remains to be one of the best plays on the current global chip shortage. If Micron continues to trend downwards in the near term, so be it, but fundamentals always catch up and based on future estimates, there's likely only one way for the share price moving forward and that isn't down.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116952635,"gmtCreate":1622771138527,"gmtModify":1634098179960,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oo","listText":"Oo","text":"Oo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116952635","repostId":"1106261871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113807391,"gmtCreate":1622601035113,"gmtModify":1634100036924,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113807391","repostId":"1175551284","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110804396,"gmtCreate":1622435680915,"gmtModify":1634101483076,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110804396","repostId":"2139872224","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2139872224","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622432494,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2139872224?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 11:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Dogecoin Bubble Will Burst: 3 Smart Stocks to Buy Instead","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2139872224","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Unlike Dogecoin, these stocks have real substance behind their growth and long-term outlooks.","content":"<p>Historically speaking, patience pays. While certain asset classes, such as gold, oil, and housing, have had their time in the spotlight, investing in stocks over the long-term has produced the best results by a longshot. Even taking into account Black Monday in 1987, the dot-com bubble, the Great Recession, and the coronavirus crash, the broad-based <b>S&amp;P 500</b> has delivered an average annual total return (including dividends) of 11% since 1980.</p>\n<p>But these returns have been peanuts compared to the short-term gains from the vast majority of cryptocurrencies. Retail investors have been especially enamored with the so-called \"people's currency,\" <b>Dogecoin</b> (CRYPTO:DOGE).</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/948979a5906f6a772325eab379e777b1\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h2>Dogecoin has been driven by hype, ignorance, and misinformation</h2>\n<p>Earlier this month, Dogecoin rallied to $0.73 per coin, which may not nominally sound like a lot, but is huge considering this was at a quarter of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> penny ($0.0025) about six months ago. The at-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time 27,000% gain from Dogecoin in six months bested the return of the S&amp;P 500, including dividends paid, over the previous 56 years.</p>\n<p>But although Dogecoin has delivered jaw-dropping gains, the truth is that it's been driven by hype, ignorance to facts, and misinformation. In other words, it's a bubble in the making.</p>\n<p>For example, Dogecoin enthusiasts often point to its increased utility and low transaction fees as reasons why its adoption is inevitable. But if you really research the crypto space, you'll discover that this optimism tells over a sliver of the story. Dogecoin may have lower transaction fees than <b>Bitcoin</b>&nbsp;and <b>Ethereum</b>, but its fees are also markedly higher than <b>Stellar</b>, <b>Nano</b>, <b>Ripple</b>, <b>Dash</b>, <b>Ethereum Classic</b>, <b>Bitcoin SV</b>, and a host of other coins. Dogecoin supporters frequently leave this part out.</p>\n<p>It's also not very useful beyond cryptocurrency exchanges. It's taken eight years for a measly 1,300 businesses to accept Dogecoin as a form of payment. All told, 50,000 transactions take place on Dogecoin's blockchain daily. This doesn't even more the needle next to payment kingpins <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a></b>&nbsp;and <b>Mastercard</b>, which combine to process 700 million transactions each day.</p>\n<p>Dogecoin is also being swung violently by baseless tweets from <b>Tesla</b>&nbsp;CEO Elon Musk. A \"decentralized future currency\" shouldn't swing by a double-digit percentage just because Elon Musk posts a meme.</p>\n<p>This is a bubble, and history is clear that it's going to burst.</p>\n<h2>Ditch Dogecoin for these superior stocks</h2>\n<p>Instead of putting your money to work in what looks to be a seriously flawed asset, consider buying the following trio of smart stocks. These are companies with tangible long-term prospects and real growth that can build wealth over time for patient investors.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39a1727edeb0317fbc6386d8981fd8e0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h2>Teladoc Health</h2>\n<p>First up is fast-paced telemedicine giant <b>Teladoc Health</b> (NYSE:TDOC), which has retraced more than 50% from its February highs and looks ripe for the picking.</p>\n<p>As you can probably imagine, Teladoc was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the coronavirus pandemic. Physicians wanting to keep high-risk patients and potentially infected individuals out of their offices turned to virtual visits as a solution. Teladoc handled almost 10.6 million visits last year, which is up from a little over 4.1 million in 2019. Then again, Teladoc's sales grew by an annual average of 75% since 2013, so it's not as if the company was struggling prior to the pandemic.</p>\n<p>What's great about telehealth is that it provides benefits up and down the healthcare treatment chain. It's considerably easier for patients to stay home and consult with physicians. Likewise, doctors have a better chance of keeping up with high-risk patients via virtual platforms, which could result in improved patient outcomes. As for health insurers, they benefit from the lower costs of virtual visits, compared to office visits, as well as the prospect of improved patient outcomes.</p>\n<p>To differentiate itself, Teladoc Health also acquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Health in November. Livongo collects copious amounts of data on chronically ill patients and, with the help of artificial intelligence, sends tips and nudges to its members to help them lead healthier lives. Livongo had already turned the corner to recurring profitability when it was acquired, and it's since pumped up its member base to around 658,000.</p>\n<p>Teladoc could easily be one of the fastest-growing healthcare stocks of the decade.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fcb2293b92cf93aba2597dc9a6facfa\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h2>Lovesac</h2>\n<p>Pardon the pun, but sometimes all you need is \"love.\" Modular furniture designer and retailer <b>Lovesac</b> (NASDAQ:LOVE) has been a top-performer over the past year, with the company's unique products and operational adaptability helping to push its share price considerably higher.</p>\n<p>When you think of great investment opportunities, furniture probably doesn't come to mind. That's because furniture tends to be a relatively high overhead operating model that's extremely cyclical and dependent on showrooms and customer traffic. Lovesac has shaken up this model in a variety of ways.</p>\n<p>For instance, Lovesac's sactional couches, which accounted for 84.5% of its fiscal 2021 sales, are modular in design so they can work with just about any livable space. Additionally, there are more than 250 different washable covers that can be purchased for sactionals. As the icing on the cake, the yarn used in sactionals is made from recycled plastic water bottles. To summarize, we have ESG investing and an abundance of usability options rolled up into one product.</p>\n<p>Lovesac also showed the world that it doesn't need traditional showrooms to thrive. While having access to brick-and-mortar showrooms and partnerships is still important, internet sales flourished last year with people stuck in their homes. Internet sales were up 86% in the fiscal fourth quarter from the prior-year period, and as a percentage of net sales the internet doubled in importance in fiscal 2021 from the prior-year period.</p>\n<p>Best of all, with e-commerce further reducing overhead costs, Lovesac has become profitable well ahead of schedule.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7171ad1e94a044e4bf64e685148e98b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h2><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a></h2>\n<p>Another smart stock that should be able to run circles around Dogecoin over the long run is cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) software provider <b>salesforce.com</b> (NYSE:CRM).</p>\n<p>What's CRM software? In the simplest explanation, it's software that helps consumer-facing businesses manage client information in real-time. It can be used to log information and track service issues, as well as handle complex tasks such as managing online marketing campaigns and providing predictive analyses of what existing clients might purchase new products or services. Through at least the midpoint of the decade, CRM solutions should offer double-digit average annual growth potential.</p>\n<p>According to IDC, salesforce sits atop this rapidly growing industry. When it examined global CRM revenue in the first-half of 2020, almost 20% of all market share belonged to salesforce. The next four companies behind it didn't even add up to a 20% global revenue share. This suggests it's going to be really hard for competitors to unseat salesforce from its perch.</p>\n<p>The company hasn't been shy about using acquisitions to expand its moat, either. It's in the process of acquiring cloud-based enterprise communications platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WORK\">Slack Technologies</a></b>&nbsp;for $27.7 billion in a cash-and-stock deal. If completed, salesforce can use Slack as a platform to cross-sell its CRM solutions to small-and-medium-sized businesses.</p>\n<p>Marc Benioff, the CEO of salesforce, aims to grow his company's sales from $21.3 billion in fiscal 2021 to more than $50 billion in five years. If accurate, this would make salesforce one heck of a bargain in the cloud space.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Dogecoin Bubble Will Burst: 3 Smart Stocks to Buy Instead</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Dogecoin Bubble Will Burst: 3 Smart Stocks to Buy Instead\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-31 11:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/30/dogecoin-bubble-will-burst-3-smart-stocks-to-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Historically speaking, patience pays. While certain asset classes, such as gold, oil, and housing, have had their time in the spotlight, investing in stocks over the long-term has produced the best ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/30/dogecoin-bubble-will-burst-3-smart-stocks-to-buy/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/30/dogecoin-bubble-will-burst-3-smart-stocks-to-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2139872224","content_text":"Historically speaking, patience pays. While certain asset classes, such as gold, oil, and housing, have had their time in the spotlight, investing in stocks over the long-term has produced the best results by a longshot. Even taking into account Black Monday in 1987, the dot-com bubble, the Great Recession, and the coronavirus crash, the broad-based S&P 500 has delivered an average annual total return (including dividends) of 11% since 1980.\nBut these returns have been peanuts compared to the short-term gains from the vast majority of cryptocurrencies. Retail investors have been especially enamored with the so-called \"people's currency,\" Dogecoin (CRYPTO:DOGE).\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nDogecoin has been driven by hype, ignorance, and misinformation\nEarlier this month, Dogecoin rallied to $0.73 per coin, which may not nominally sound like a lot, but is huge considering this was at a quarter of one penny ($0.0025) about six months ago. The at-one-time 27,000% gain from Dogecoin in six months bested the return of the S&P 500, including dividends paid, over the previous 56 years.\nBut although Dogecoin has delivered jaw-dropping gains, the truth is that it's been driven by hype, ignorance to facts, and misinformation. In other words, it's a bubble in the making.\nFor example, Dogecoin enthusiasts often point to its increased utility and low transaction fees as reasons why its adoption is inevitable. But if you really research the crypto space, you'll discover that this optimism tells over a sliver of the story. Dogecoin may have lower transaction fees than Bitcoin and Ethereum, but its fees are also markedly higher than Stellar, Nano, Ripple, Dash, Ethereum Classic, Bitcoin SV, and a host of other coins. Dogecoin supporters frequently leave this part out.\nIt's also not very useful beyond cryptocurrency exchanges. It's taken eight years for a measly 1,300 businesses to accept Dogecoin as a form of payment. All told, 50,000 transactions take place on Dogecoin's blockchain daily. This doesn't even more the needle next to payment kingpins Visa and Mastercard, which combine to process 700 million transactions each day.\nDogecoin is also being swung violently by baseless tweets from Tesla CEO Elon Musk. A \"decentralized future currency\" shouldn't swing by a double-digit percentage just because Elon Musk posts a meme.\nThis is a bubble, and history is clear that it's going to burst.\nDitch Dogecoin for these superior stocks\nInstead of putting your money to work in what looks to be a seriously flawed asset, consider buying the following trio of smart stocks. These are companies with tangible long-term prospects and real growth that can build wealth over time for patient investors.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nTeladoc Health\nFirst up is fast-paced telemedicine giant Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC), which has retraced more than 50% from its February highs and looks ripe for the picking.\nAs you can probably imagine, Teladoc was one of the biggest beneficiaries of the coronavirus pandemic. Physicians wanting to keep high-risk patients and potentially infected individuals out of their offices turned to virtual visits as a solution. Teladoc handled almost 10.6 million visits last year, which is up from a little over 4.1 million in 2019. Then again, Teladoc's sales grew by an annual average of 75% since 2013, so it's not as if the company was struggling prior to the pandemic.\nWhat's great about telehealth is that it provides benefits up and down the healthcare treatment chain. It's considerably easier for patients to stay home and consult with physicians. Likewise, doctors have a better chance of keeping up with high-risk patients via virtual platforms, which could result in improved patient outcomes. As for health insurers, they benefit from the lower costs of virtual visits, compared to office visits, as well as the prospect of improved patient outcomes.\nTo differentiate itself, Teladoc Health also acquired leading applied health signals company Livongo Health in November. Livongo collects copious amounts of data on chronically ill patients and, with the help of artificial intelligence, sends tips and nudges to its members to help them lead healthier lives. Livongo had already turned the corner to recurring profitability when it was acquired, and it's since pumped up its member base to around 658,000.\nTeladoc could easily be one of the fastest-growing healthcare stocks of the decade.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nLovesac\nPardon the pun, but sometimes all you need is \"love.\" Modular furniture designer and retailer Lovesac (NASDAQ:LOVE) has been a top-performer over the past year, with the company's unique products and operational adaptability helping to push its share price considerably higher.\nWhen you think of great investment opportunities, furniture probably doesn't come to mind. That's because furniture tends to be a relatively high overhead operating model that's extremely cyclical and dependent on showrooms and customer traffic. Lovesac has shaken up this model in a variety of ways.\nFor instance, Lovesac's sactional couches, which accounted for 84.5% of its fiscal 2021 sales, are modular in design so they can work with just about any livable space. Additionally, there are more than 250 different washable covers that can be purchased for sactionals. As the icing on the cake, the yarn used in sactionals is made from recycled plastic water bottles. To summarize, we have ESG investing and an abundance of usability options rolled up into one product.\nLovesac also showed the world that it doesn't need traditional showrooms to thrive. While having access to brick-and-mortar showrooms and partnerships is still important, internet sales flourished last year with people stuck in their homes. Internet sales were up 86% in the fiscal fourth quarter from the prior-year period, and as a percentage of net sales the internet doubled in importance in fiscal 2021 from the prior-year period.\nBest of all, with e-commerce further reducing overhead costs, Lovesac has become profitable well ahead of schedule.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSalesforce\nAnother smart stock that should be able to run circles around Dogecoin over the long run is cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) software provider salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM).\nWhat's CRM software? In the simplest explanation, it's software that helps consumer-facing businesses manage client information in real-time. It can be used to log information and track service issues, as well as handle complex tasks such as managing online marketing campaigns and providing predictive analyses of what existing clients might purchase new products or services. Through at least the midpoint of the decade, CRM solutions should offer double-digit average annual growth potential.\nAccording to IDC, salesforce sits atop this rapidly growing industry. When it examined global CRM revenue in the first-half of 2020, almost 20% of all market share belonged to salesforce. The next four companies behind it didn't even add up to a 20% global revenue share. This suggests it's going to be really hard for competitors to unseat salesforce from its perch.\nThe company hasn't been shy about using acquisitions to expand its moat, either. It's in the process of acquiring cloud-based enterprise communications platform Slack Technologies for $27.7 billion in a cash-and-stock deal. If completed, salesforce can use Slack as a platform to cross-sell its CRM solutions to small-and-medium-sized businesses.\nMarc Benioff, the CEO of salesforce, aims to grow his company's sales from $21.3 billion in fiscal 2021 to more than $50 billion in five years. If accurate, this would make salesforce one heck of a bargain in the cloud space.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137979443,"gmtCreate":1622292107182,"gmtModify":1634102484537,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Zz","listText":"Zz","text":"Zz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137979443","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138948877","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1622215813,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138948877?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-28 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138948877","media":"Investors","summary":"Vacation trends reveal shifts toward privacy, luxury and family, continuing a transformative period for leisure and travel stocks.","content":"<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Pandemic May Have Changed Vacations – And Travel Stocks Like Airbnb, Marriott, Winnebago – Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-28 23:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like <b>Airbnb</b> that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.</p><p>Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.</p><p>\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"</p><p>One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.</p><p>And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.</p><p>Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.</p><h2>Leisure, Travel Industry Stocks</h2><p>Shares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.</p><p>Airline stocks&nbsp;like <b>American Airlines</b>, <b>United Airlines</b> and <b>Delta Air Lines</b> surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.</p><p>Cruise stocks like <b>Carnival</b>, <b>Royal Caribbean</b> and <b>Norwegian Cruise Line</b> are showing similar patterns.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of boat makers <b>MarineMax</b> and <b>Brunswick</b> as well as RV makers <b>Winnebago</b> and <b>Thor Industries</b> need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.</p><p>Hotel leader <b>Marriott</b> has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.</p><p>Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPE\">Expedia</a></b> rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.</p><h2><b>When Luxury Means More Privacy</b></h2><p>Luxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.</p><p>Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"</p><p>Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.</p><p>They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.</p><p>Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.</p><p>In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.</p><p>Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.</p><p>Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.</p><h2><b>Vacation Shift Favors These Travel Stocks</b></h2><p>Hotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.</p><p>Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.</p><p>The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes &amp; Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.</p><p>The Homes &amp; Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.</p><p>\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.</p><p>Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.</p><p>\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.</p><h2><b>Seaworthy Travel Stocks </b></h2><p>Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.</p><p>One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.</p><p>But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.</p><p>\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"</p><p>The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick&nbsp;as well as sport boat maker <b>Malibu Boats</b>.</p><p>\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.</p><h2><b>Travel Stocks For Being Alone Together</b></h2><p>The desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.</p><p>\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.</p><p>The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.</p><p>Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.</p><p>\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"</p><p>Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.</p><h2><b>Work-Life Rebalance</b></h2><p>As people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.</p><p>Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.</p><p>Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"</p><p>Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.</p><p>\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"</p><h2>Future Of Business Travel?</h2><p>That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.</p><p>Experts say fewer workers may fly for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a>-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.</p><p>When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.</p><p>That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.</p><p>\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WGO":"温尼巴格实业"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138948877","content_text":"Your next vacation will likely be more private, luxurious or family oriented than your trips in the past, and business trips may never be the same. For leisure and travel stocks like Airbnb that got slammed by pandemic shutdowns, the lifting of Covid curbs means adjusting to a whole new world.Some tastes people acquired last year as they looked for escapes from lockdown are proving durable, like traveling to national parks by RV. Others, such as boating, grew out of surges in wealth that the stock market rally provided. As the summer travel season heats up, Americans are making new choices in where they go, when they go, how they get there and who joins them.\"The world is never going back to the way it was,\" said Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky on an earnings call in May. \"And that means that travel is never going back to the way it was either.\"One major trend is travelers have become more flexible about when and where they go, especially as remote work allows people to blur when they are on and off the clock. Airbnb stock rose May 24, when the company updated booking features, including an option to search for listings without fixed dates or locations.And consumers aren't the only ones changing their habits. While tourism-dependent destinations suffered last year, the less-packed streets also showed locals the benefits of quieter communities.Residents and local officials in normally packed hot spots like Italy and Hawaii are considering limiting the number of tourists. Such a seismic change could make visiting these places prohibitively expensive for many people. If the mix of travelers tilts more heavily toward the wealthy, travel stocks will nudge further toward luxury.Leisure, Travel Industry StocksShares across the sector have rebounded from last year's pandemic lows. The stocks' recent chart action is mixed. But many travel stocks have outperformed the market the past week and could present buying opportunities for investors.Airline stocks like American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines surged earlier this year on the Reddit stock short squeeze. Then they sold off because business and overseas travel remained weak. Since then, they've consolidated and are approaching buy points.Cruise stocks like Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line are showing similar patterns.Meanwhile, shares of boat makers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as RV makers Winnebago and Thor Industries need to regroup after some failed breakouts. They are no longer in buy zones but could form new bases if earnings and sales growth remain strong.Hotel leader Marriott has been less volatile and is forming a base, though earnings and sales have yet to fully recover.Airbnb stock has had a more difficult year. It surged after going public in December but began to slump in March as competition from Expedia rival Vrbo rental service reduced the availability of hosts. A mixed Q1 earnings report and the end of a post-IPO lockup period also weighed on Airbnb stock, which popped up 6% Thursday on higher volume but remained 35% off its 2021 high.When Luxury Means More PrivacyLuxury travel, once the purview of only the ultrarich, may have won over those who might have had the means but not the need to travel lavishly. As travelers sought to avoid crowds during the pandemic, those with the means turned to options like private jets.Arnie Weissman, editor-in-chief of Travel Weekly, says the pandemic opened luxury travel to a wider customer base. \"Some people developed a taste for it, and it's likely to continue.\"Kim-Marie Evans, who writes the blog \"Luxury Travel Moms\" and plans travel for high-net-worth clients, told IBD she booked a trip for a family to Anguilla.They stayed in a four-bedroom villa at the Four Seasons. And rather than flying commercially, they used a private jet service.Private jet bookings are at or near their pre-pandemic highs, according to Elite Traveler, citing industry tracker FlightAware's data.In May, private jet company Wheels Up said membership jumped 58% in Q1 to nearly 10,000. And VistaJet, another leading private jet company, said membership climbed 29% from a year ago.Private jet leasing company NetJets, which is owned by Berkshire Hathaway, says its flight volume dropped to as low as 10% of 2019 numbers at the start of the pandemic.Now the company, which also offers fractional ownership of its jets, says it's operating at 85% of its 2019 volume. NetJets said in a statement that commercial airlines have reduced their schedules. Consumers also are prioritizing their health and safety, choosing the seclusion of a private jet over a packed jetliner.Vacation Shift Favors These Travel StocksHotel chains implemented stringent Covid-19 protocols to convince visitors their properties were clean and safe. Still, many travelers opted to rent private homes through Airbnb, where they could avoid mingling with strangers in hotel lobbies, Weismann says.Travel trends favor Airbnb stock long term, though it currently is slumping. On May 27, analysts at RBC Capital Markets rated shares at outperform, citing secular tailwinds that have yet to be fully appreciated by the market such as its dominant customer engagement.The pandemic also shed light on the market potential of travel stocks like Marriott, which operates home-rental service Homes & Villas by Marriott International, catering to ultra premium short- and long-term stays, CFRA Research analyst Tuna Amobi says.The Homes & Villas platform, which offers professionally managed private homes, had around 2,000 units at launch less than two years ago. Today, it lists nearly 25,000 properties.\"They're where we don't have hotels, and many of them are in more remote locations, which really was quite attractive during Covid,\" said Marriott International President Stephanie Linnartz in a recent call with investors.Airbnb also finds that customers are visiting smaller cities, towns and rural communities — not the same 20-30 cities that were most popular pre-pandemic. People are traveling outside the peak seasons and staying longer.\"There is a mass shift from mass travel to meaningful travel,\" CEO Chesky said.Seaworthy Travel Stocks Luxury cruising should also come back with a bang. Nearly every cruise line's around-the-world luxury voyage is fully booked two years in advance.One cruise line, Silversea, said its 139-day around-the-world cruise sold out in a single day. The Monaco-based cruise line is owned by Royal Caribbean. The cruise costs between $74,000 and $278,000 per guest, based on double occupancy. That compares with typical fares that start at $15,000-$20,000.But others heading out to sea want to avoid crowded ships, which have seen outbreaks of coronavirus and other infections. The National Marine Manufacturers Association says new powerboat sales surged 34% in February compared to the same time period last year.\"Inventory levels of new boats are the leanest they've ever been, and boats are being sold as soon as they hit the marketplace as manufacturers work to fulfill the backlog of orders,\" said Vicky Yu, senior director of business intelligence for NMMA. \"While new boat sales slowed in early 2021 following record sales last year, we are still seeing elevated levels as more Americans seek out boating as a way to spend quality time with loved ones.\"The trend has pushed up leisure and travel stocks like boat retailers MarineMax and Brunswick as well as sport boat maker Malibu Boats.\"It's really turning out to be a great alternative for people to stay close to home and with their family and friends and enjoy the boating lifestyle,\" MarineMax CFO Michael McLamb said in a conference call after reporting earnings April 22.Travel Stocks For Being Alone TogetherThe desire to spend more time with friends and family is also spurring RV sales. They exploded in popularity during the pandemic, and sales data this year show demand remains high.\"The rediscovery of America will continue this summer,\" Weissman said.The pandemic accelerated long-term trends favoring the outdoors, Winnebago CEO Michael Happe said in a March earnings call. That includes power sports, boating and RVs.Consumer priorities have changed, he added, toward a desire to invest in experiences vs. possessions.\"We also believe the time (spent) recently with family and friends has reinforced that they'd like to do more of that in the future,\" Happe said. \"And families and individuals will be reevaluating how they spend their leisure time going forward.\"Airbnb pointed to another sign of this trend among leisure and travel stocks. Instead of booking studio apartments in cities, more customers are booking entire homes with more bedrooms. As a result, the number of guests per reservation has increased.Work-Life RebalanceAs people pay closer attention to their well-being post-Covid, another trend to watch is high-end wellness tourism with a focus on fitness, rejuvenation and health, Weissman says. That includes yoga and spa getaways as well as packages that offer cycling and hiking activities.Meanwhile, the work-from-home shift allowed people to rethink other aspects of their lifestyle. In particular, they can try to balance work, leisure and travel differently.Wedbush analyst James Hardiman says \"2020 was proof of concept that people can be productive, even more productive, while working remotely.\"Airbnb says the share of bookings longer than 28 days jumped to 24% in Q1 from 14% in 2019. The company doesn't consider this travel.\"People are not just traveling on Airbnb,\" Chesky said. \"They're now living on Airbnb.\"Future Of Business Travel?That also has implications for business travel, which is the most lucrative segment for travel stocks like airlines.Experts say fewer workers may fly for one-day intracompany meetings. However, more crucial business will still require people to fly for in-person meetings.When it's time to show up in person, Airbnb expects workers will travel together more often. That trend also has ramifications for Airbnb stock and others. Employees who work in different cities might stay in one house when they visit headquarters. They could share meals together at the kitchen table in the morning or evening.That may be a welcome change for road warriors, who pop in an out of cities and squeeze in sightseeing along the way.\"They don't miss business travel,\" Chesky said. \"They don't miss standing in line in front of a museum or a landmark … getting a photo with a selfie stick.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138281553,"gmtCreate":1621943086672,"gmtModify":1634185307423,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment like","listText":"Comment like","text":"Comment like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138281553","repostId":"2138164416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131628691,"gmtCreate":1621857237813,"gmtModify":1634186063710,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131628691","repostId":"1146017349","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146017349","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621843320,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146017349?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 16:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ZipRecruiter Is Going Public This Month. What to Know.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146017349","media":"Barrons","summary":"ZipRecruiter, the latest company to file for a direct listing, has set a date for its offering.The o","content":"<p>ZipRecruiter, the latest company to file for a direct listing, has set a date for its offering.</p><p>The online employment marketplace said it would make its debut on the New York Stock Exchange “on or about May 26, 2021,” a prospectus said. It will trade under the symbol ZIP.</p><p>ZipRecruiter itself is not selling shares with the offering and will not receive proceeds from the direct listing. Instead, its shareholders will offer up to 86,598,896 shares of Class A common stock for resale, according to the document.</p><p>ZipRecruiter will be the third company this year to use a direct listing to go public:Coinbase(ticker: COIN), a cryptocurrency exchange, used the method&nbsp;to list its shares in April on the Nasdaq, after the gaming platform&nbsp;Roblox(RBLX) did so for its March&nbsp;debut on the NYSE. (Squarespace, a website design company,has also filed to go public&nbsp;via a direct listing on the NYSE, but has yet to set a trading date.)</p><p>Companies mainly use direct listings because they’re cheaper than traditional IPOs and allow shareholders to sell their stock to the public without intermediaries. In a traditional IPO, a company sells shares and uses an investment bank or banks to underwrite the deals. But in a direct listing, a bank or banks typically work as financial advisors for the company going public.</p><p>ZipRecruiter has lined up six investment banks—Goldman Sachs(GS),JPMorgan Chase(JPM), Barclays Capital,Evercore Group(EVR), William Blair and Raymond James—to advise on the upcoming offering. However, only Goldman and&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase&nbsp;will consult with a&nbsp;designated market maker to set ZipRecruiter’s opening price.</p><p>Direct listings typically do not include lockups, which prevent shareholders from selling for a certain period of time. ZipRecruiter stockholders, similarly, will be able to selltheir shares as soon as the company lists later this month.</p><p>In a traditional IPO, a company will have a roadshow where the management team&nbsp;makes presentations to institutional investors&nbsp;to create interest in the stock. Direct listings have replaced the roadshow with the investor day, when investors typically learn about a company going public via a webcast meeting. ZipRecruiter is&nbsp;hosting its investor day&nbsp;on May 10.</p><p>Founded in 2010, ZipRecruiter is an employment marketplace for people looking for work and businesses seeking employees. More than 2.8 million businesses have used ZipRecruiter to find an employee while&nbsp;110 million jobseekers have sought employment on the site, the filing said. The company became profitable in 2020, reporting $86 million in income from $6.3 million in losses in 2019. Revenue droppednearly 3% to $418 million in 2020, the prospectus said.</p><p>ZipRecruiter has raised $219 million in funding, according to&nbsp;Crunchbase. This includes&nbsp;a $156 million round in 2018&nbsp;co-led by Wellington Management Company and Institutional Venture Partners, or IVP. IVP owns the biggest chunk of ZipRecruiter’s voting power—21.1%.</p><p>Several shareholders have registered their class A common stock, which they may or may not sell via the direct listing, the prospectus said. IVP has registered about 22.7 million Class A shares, while Wellington is offering roughly 1.9 million shares. ZipRecruiter CEO Ian Siegel has put up 10.5 million Class A shares.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ZipRecruiter Is Going Public This Month. What to Know.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZipRecruiter Is Going Public This Month. What to Know.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-24 16:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/ziprecruiter-direct-listing-what-to-know-51619903652?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>ZipRecruiter, the latest company to file for a direct listing, has set a date for its offering.The online employment marketplace said it would make its debut on the New York Stock Exchange “on or ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ziprecruiter-direct-listing-what-to-know-51619903652?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZIP":"ZipRecruiter Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ziprecruiter-direct-listing-what-to-know-51619903652?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146017349","content_text":"ZipRecruiter, the latest company to file for a direct listing, has set a date for its offering.The online employment marketplace said it would make its debut on the New York Stock Exchange “on or about May 26, 2021,” a prospectus said. It will trade under the symbol ZIP.ZipRecruiter itself is not selling shares with the offering and will not receive proceeds from the direct listing. Instead, its shareholders will offer up to 86,598,896 shares of Class A common stock for resale, according to the document.ZipRecruiter will be the third company this year to use a direct listing to go public:Coinbase(ticker: COIN), a cryptocurrency exchange, used the method to list its shares in April on the Nasdaq, after the gaming platform Roblox(RBLX) did so for its March debut on the NYSE. (Squarespace, a website design company,has also filed to go public via a direct listing on the NYSE, but has yet to set a trading date.)Companies mainly use direct listings because they’re cheaper than traditional IPOs and allow shareholders to sell their stock to the public without intermediaries. In a traditional IPO, a company sells shares and uses an investment bank or banks to underwrite the deals. But in a direct listing, a bank or banks typically work as financial advisors for the company going public.ZipRecruiter has lined up six investment banks—Goldman Sachs(GS),JPMorgan Chase(JPM), Barclays Capital,Evercore Group(EVR), William Blair and Raymond James—to advise on the upcoming offering. However, only Goldman and JPMorgan Chase will consult with a designated market maker to set ZipRecruiter’s opening price.Direct listings typically do not include lockups, which prevent shareholders from selling for a certain period of time. ZipRecruiter stockholders, similarly, will be able to selltheir shares as soon as the company lists later this month.In a traditional IPO, a company will have a roadshow where the management team makes presentations to institutional investors to create interest in the stock. Direct listings have replaced the roadshow with the investor day, when investors typically learn about a company going public via a webcast meeting. ZipRecruiter is hosting its investor day on May 10.Founded in 2010, ZipRecruiter is an employment marketplace for people looking for work and businesses seeking employees. More than 2.8 million businesses have used ZipRecruiter to find an employee while 110 million jobseekers have sought employment on the site, the filing said. The company became profitable in 2020, reporting $86 million in income from $6.3 million in losses in 2019. Revenue droppednearly 3% to $418 million in 2020, the prospectus said.ZipRecruiter has raised $219 million in funding, according to Crunchbase. This includes a $156 million round in 2018 co-led by Wellington Management Company and Institutional Venture Partners, or IVP. IVP owns the biggest chunk of ZipRecruiter’s voting power—21.1%.Several shareholders have registered their class A common stock, which they may or may not sell via the direct listing, the prospectus said. IVP has registered about 22.7 million Class A shares, while Wellington is offering roughly 1.9 million shares. ZipRecruiter CEO Ian Siegel has put up 10.5 million Class A shares.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZIP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131187794,"gmtCreate":1621836318818,"gmtModify":1634186200314,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Likee","listText":"Likee","text":"Likee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131187794","repostId":"1185350425","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185350425","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621835821,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185350425?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 13:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Cathie Wood Is Bullish On Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185350425","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management is betting that despite recent setbacks Iovance Biotherape","content":"<p>Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management is betting that despite recent setbacks&nbsp;<b>Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc</b>&nbsp;IOVA 3.73%&nbsp;will benefit from its compelling tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) immunotherapy.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;IOVA shares have declined 32% since Tuesday after the California-based&nbsp;biotech startup&nbsp;delayedits Biologics License Application (BLA) until the first half of 2022 because of FDA feedback on its potency tests.</p><p>The delay in the program is attributed to the FDA’s second request for additional data regarding potency assays, which are a series of tests that prove the company can consistently manufacture the product in question.</p><p>Soon after, IOVA announced CEO Maria Fardis is leaving the company after five years in the role and that General Counsel Frederick Vogt would be stepping in as interim CEO.&nbsp;Shares fell 39% on Wednesday after the announcement.</p><p>The New York-based investment firm started piling up shares in the company last week and holds 18.26 million IOVA shares, worth about $450.64 million, according to Ark’s data as of Friday’s trade.</p><p>The&nbsp;<b>Ark Genomic Revolution</b>&nbsp;ETF (BATS:ARKG) and the<b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>&nbsp;ARKK 0.75%&nbsp;carry the stake in IOVA.</p><p>“We believe that Iovance’s TILs will continue to be the most compelling therapy for solid tumors in the market and that Iovance has the most robust TIL data set,” the Cathie Wood-led firm said in a note to investors.</p><p>“Furthermore, in our view, Iovance is trail-blazing the FDA regulatory process and likely will get FDA approval for its TIL therapy to treat melanoma, a very difficult-to-treat disease with high unmet need.”</p><p><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;IOVA shares closed 3.73% lower at $18.05 on Friday.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Cathie Wood Is Bullish On Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Cathie Wood Is Bullish On Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-24 13:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management is betting that despite recent setbacks&nbsp;<b>Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc</b>&nbsp;IOVA 3.73%&nbsp;will benefit from its compelling tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) immunotherapy.</p><p><b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;IOVA shares have declined 32% since Tuesday after the California-based&nbsp;biotech startup&nbsp;delayedits Biologics License Application (BLA) until the first half of 2022 because of FDA feedback on its potency tests.</p><p>The delay in the program is attributed to the FDA’s second request for additional data regarding potency assays, which are a series of tests that prove the company can consistently manufacture the product in question.</p><p>Soon after, IOVA announced CEO Maria Fardis is leaving the company after five years in the role and that General Counsel Frederick Vogt would be stepping in as interim CEO.&nbsp;Shares fell 39% on Wednesday after the announcement.</p><p>The New York-based investment firm started piling up shares in the company last week and holds 18.26 million IOVA shares, worth about $450.64 million, according to Ark’s data as of Friday’s trade.</p><p>The&nbsp;<b>Ark Genomic Revolution</b>&nbsp;ETF (BATS:ARKG) and the<b>Ark Innovation ETF</b>&nbsp;ARKK 0.75%&nbsp;carry the stake in IOVA.</p><p>“We believe that Iovance’s TILs will continue to be the most compelling therapy for solid tumors in the market and that Iovance has the most robust TIL data set,” the Cathie Wood-led firm said in a note to investors.</p><p>“Furthermore, in our view, Iovance is trail-blazing the FDA regulatory process and likely will get FDA approval for its TIL therapy to treat melanoma, a very difficult-to-treat disease with high unmet need.”</p><p><b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;IOVA shares closed 3.73% lower at $18.05 on Friday.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF","IOVA":"Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185350425","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management is betting that despite recent setbacks Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc IOVA 3.73% will benefit from its compelling tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) immunotherapy.What Happened: IOVA shares have declined 32% since Tuesday after the California-based biotech startup delayedits Biologics License Application (BLA) until the first half of 2022 because of FDA feedback on its potency tests.The delay in the program is attributed to the FDA’s second request for additional data regarding potency assays, which are a series of tests that prove the company can consistently manufacture the product in question.Soon after, IOVA announced CEO Maria Fardis is leaving the company after five years in the role and that General Counsel Frederick Vogt would be stepping in as interim CEO. Shares fell 39% on Wednesday after the announcement.The New York-based investment firm started piling up shares in the company last week and holds 18.26 million IOVA shares, worth about $450.64 million, according to Ark’s data as of Friday’s trade.The Ark Genomic Revolution ETF (BATS:ARKG) and theArk Innovation ETF ARKK 0.75% carry the stake in IOVA.“We believe that Iovance’s TILs will continue to be the most compelling therapy for solid tumors in the market and that Iovance has the most robust TIL data set,” the Cathie Wood-led firm said in a note to investors.“Furthermore, in our view, Iovance is trail-blazing the FDA regulatory process and likely will get FDA approval for its TIL therapy to treat melanoma, a very difficult-to-treat disease with high unmet need.”Price Action: IOVA shares closed 3.73% lower at $18.05 on Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKG":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"IOVA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133219516,"gmtCreate":1621751707535,"gmtModify":1634186768134,"author":{"id":"3581928095976339","authorId":"3581928095976339","name":"honglilim","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6293fa1ee1847bbc106832041ec44a61","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581928095976339","authorIdStr":"3581928095976339"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133219516","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2137906121","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1621611396,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2137906121?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-21 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2137906121","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Berkshire Hathaway has continued to reduce its stakes in banks.","content":"<p><b>Berkshire Hathaway</b> (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) recently filed its 13F form for the first quarter of 2021, detailing what stock sales and purchases the conglomerate and the legendary investor in charge, Warren Buffett, made during the period. As has been the case for most of the past year, Buffett was active in the financial sector, mostly reducing Berkshire Hathaway's positions in banks. At the company's annual investor day earlier this month, Buffett provided some explanation for all the stock selling he's done in that sector.</p>\n<p>\"I like banks generally,\" he said, \"I just didn't like the proportion we had compared to the possible risk if we got the bad results that so far we haven't gotten.\"</p>\n<p>Let's review the three big changes Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway made to their bank holdings in the first quarter.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2da7d6438277757a73f9e626ebc6fc2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p>\n<h2>1. All but eliminating Wells Fargo</h2>\n<p>Everyone knew it was coming, but Buffett all but made it official last quarter, nearly eliminating his position in his onetime favorite bank, <b>Wells Fargo</b> (NYSE:WFC). Berkshire Hathaway sold 51.7 million shares, dropping its stake to a mere 675,000 shares valued at $26.3 million.</p>\n<p>This essentially ends what was an epic run for the Oracle of Omaha and Wells Fargo. Buffett first purchased shares in the large U.S. bank in 1989, and by 1994, he had acquired more than 13% of its outstanding shares. At the end of the third quarter of 2019, before the pandemic, Buffett's stake, which had a rough original cost basis of just below $9 billion, was worth close to $20 billion. And at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point back in 2017, it was reportedly worth as much as $29 billion.</p>\n<p>But as the fallout of Wells Fargo's phony accounts scandal and other revelations about its consumer abuses continued to play out, Buffett began to lose faith in the institution and started trimming his position. It looks like Buffett ultimately ended up making much less on his Wells Fargo investment than he could have, considering he sold more than 323 million shares between the end of Q1 2020 and the end of Q1 2021. During that 12-month period, the bank's shares traded from a low of $21.45 to a high of $39.07. At the end of 2019, they traded north of $53.</p>\n<p>The stock closed at $45.73 on Thursday, and many investors still believe Wells Fargo is undervalued these days, trading at 135% tangible book value (equity minus intangible assets and goodwill). Bank valuations have shot up in recent months, and Wells Fargo in particular could see more tailwinds when the Federal Reserve lifts the $1.95 trillion asset cap that the bank has been operating under since 2018.</p>\n<h2>2. Dumping <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony Financial</a></h2>\n<p>Last quarter, Berkshire Hathaway also eliminated its entire stake in the consumer finance credit card company <b>Synchrony Financial&nbsp;</b>(NYSE:SYF), selling its 21.1 million shares. Synchrony uses what it calls a \"partner-centric\" business model under which it teams up with leading retailers and digital brands that promote Synchrony's credit cards. Consumers can get deals on specific purchases by opening Synchrony credit cards, which are often branded under a retailer's name.</p>\n<p>While I wouldn't say I saw this move coming, it doesn't entirely surprise me. Over the last year, Buffett has become even more selective about which banks he wants to own. He seems to be picking a winner or two in each banking industry subcategory -- for instance, he sold his stake in America's largest bank, <b>JPMorgan Chase</b>, and loaded up on America's second-largest bank, <b>Bank of America</b>.</p>\n<p>Considering that Buffett already has a huge position in <b>American <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">Express</a></b>, and loves the brand, that is likely going to be his pick for a credit-card-focused holding. Berkshire Hathaway likely made a good profit on that Synchrony investment, though, considering that the stock hit its highest level ever during Q1.</p>\n<h2>3. Trimming U.S. Bancorp again</h2>\n<p>Berkshire Hathaway also sold about 1.45 million shares of <b>U.S. Bancorp</b> (NYSE:USB) in the first quarter -- but it still owns nearly 129.7 million shares. The Oracle of Omaha has sold small quantities of shares of the Minnesota-based regional bank a few times over the last year, and it's a bit unclear why. It does appear that he has made U.S. Bancorp his regional bank pick, though. He sold off his other regional bank holdings, including his stakes in <b>PNC Financial Services Group</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>M&amp;T Bank</b>, in the fourth quarter of 2020.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>One possible explanation relates to Buffett's well-known desire to keep his stakes in those banks below 10%, so he can avoid the additional reporting requirements that a higher ownership level would trigger. At the end of the first quarter, Buffett owned about 8.7% of U.S. Bancorp's outstanding shares. So his stock sale may have simply been a move to prepare for the bank's planned share repurchases, which should accelerate later this year. Last quarter's adjustment should maintain Berkshire Hathaway's stake at a level comfortably under the 10% threshold, even after U.S. Bancorp's total share count is reduced. </p>\n<p>Overall, I still feel confident that Buffett plans to stick with U.S. Bancorp, although I will continue to watch his moves in upcoming quarters to see if he further reduces his stake in it.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 3 Bank Moves Warren Buffett Has Made So Far in 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-05-21 23:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/21/here-are-the-3-bank-moves-warren-buffett-has-made/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) recently filed its 13F form for the first quarter of 2021, detailing what stock sales and purchases the conglomerate and the legendary investor in charge, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/21/here-are-the-3-bank-moves-warren-buffett-has-made/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/21/here-are-the-3-bank-moves-warren-buffett-has-made/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2137906121","content_text":"Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) recently filed its 13F form for the first quarter of 2021, detailing what stock sales and purchases the conglomerate and the legendary investor in charge, Warren Buffett, made during the period. As has been the case for most of the past year, Buffett was active in the financial sector, mostly reducing Berkshire Hathaway's positions in banks. At the company's annual investor day earlier this month, Buffett provided some explanation for all the stock selling he's done in that sector.\n\"I like banks generally,\" he said, \"I just didn't like the proportion we had compared to the possible risk if we got the bad results that so far we haven't gotten.\"\nLet's review the three big changes Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway made to their bank holdings in the first quarter.\nImage source: Getty Images.\n1. All but eliminating Wells Fargo\nEveryone knew it was coming, but Buffett all but made it official last quarter, nearly eliminating his position in his onetime favorite bank, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC). Berkshire Hathaway sold 51.7 million shares, dropping its stake to a mere 675,000 shares valued at $26.3 million.\nThis essentially ends what was an epic run for the Oracle of Omaha and Wells Fargo. Buffett first purchased shares in the large U.S. bank in 1989, and by 1994, he had acquired more than 13% of its outstanding shares. At the end of the third quarter of 2019, before the pandemic, Buffett's stake, which had a rough original cost basis of just below $9 billion, was worth close to $20 billion. And at one point back in 2017, it was reportedly worth as much as $29 billion.\nBut as the fallout of Wells Fargo's phony accounts scandal and other revelations about its consumer abuses continued to play out, Buffett began to lose faith in the institution and started trimming his position. It looks like Buffett ultimately ended up making much less on his Wells Fargo investment than he could have, considering he sold more than 323 million shares between the end of Q1 2020 and the end of Q1 2021. During that 12-month period, the bank's shares traded from a low of $21.45 to a high of $39.07. At the end of 2019, they traded north of $53.\nThe stock closed at $45.73 on Thursday, and many investors still believe Wells Fargo is undervalued these days, trading at 135% tangible book value (equity minus intangible assets and goodwill). Bank valuations have shot up in recent months, and Wells Fargo in particular could see more tailwinds when the Federal Reserve lifts the $1.95 trillion asset cap that the bank has been operating under since 2018.\n2. Dumping Synchrony Financial\nLast quarter, Berkshire Hathaway also eliminated its entire stake in the consumer finance credit card company Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), selling its 21.1 million shares. Synchrony uses what it calls a \"partner-centric\" business model under which it teams up with leading retailers and digital brands that promote Synchrony's credit cards. Consumers can get deals on specific purchases by opening Synchrony credit cards, which are often branded under a retailer's name.\nWhile I wouldn't say I saw this move coming, it doesn't entirely surprise me. Over the last year, Buffett has become even more selective about which banks he wants to own. He seems to be picking a winner or two in each banking industry subcategory -- for instance, he sold his stake in America's largest bank, JPMorgan Chase, and loaded up on America's second-largest bank, Bank of America.\nConsidering that Buffett already has a huge position in American Express, and loves the brand, that is likely going to be his pick for a credit-card-focused holding. Berkshire Hathaway likely made a good profit on that Synchrony investment, though, considering that the stock hit its highest level ever during Q1.\n3. Trimming U.S. Bancorp again\nBerkshire Hathaway also sold about 1.45 million shares of U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) in the first quarter -- but it still owns nearly 129.7 million shares. The Oracle of Omaha has sold small quantities of shares of the Minnesota-based regional bank a few times over the last year, and it's a bit unclear why. It does appear that he has made U.S. Bancorp his regional bank pick, though. He sold off his other regional bank holdings, including his stakes in PNC Financial Services Group and M&T Bank, in the fourth quarter of 2020. \nOne possible explanation relates to Buffett's well-known desire to keep his stakes in those banks below 10%, so he can avoid the additional reporting requirements that a higher ownership level would trigger. At the end of the first quarter, Buffett owned about 8.7% of U.S. Bancorp's outstanding shares. So his stock sale may have simply been a move to prepare for the bank's planned share repurchases, which should accelerate later this year. Last quarter's adjustment should maintain Berkshire Hathaway's stake at a level comfortably under the 10% threshold, even after U.S. Bancorp's total share count is reduced. \nOverall, I still feel confident that Buffett plans to stick with U.S. Bancorp, although I will continue to watch his moves in upcoming quarters to see if he further reduces his stake in it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"SYF":0.9,"USB":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}