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2021-07-23
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US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景低迷,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>
After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected th
US Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景低迷,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>
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Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI临时数据显示经济增长速度连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在5月份前所未有的增长之后发生的。在经济最初重新开放后,服务业的增长尤其可能会放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业都实现了良好平衡的强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能代表着经济增长速度的见顶</b>根据PMI,第三季度看起来仍然强劲,令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产出,同时由于需求超过供应而推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,投入成本和销售价格指标在7月份连续第二个月下降,尽管仍然很高。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>令人担忧的是,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Services PMI Plunges Unexpectedly To 5-Month Lows As Business Outlook Slumps<blockquote>由于商业前景低迷,美国服务业PMI意外跌至5个月低点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-23 22:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.</p><p><blockquote>在美国服务业PMI(和ISM)从6月份的历史高点意外暴跌后,分析师预计7月份的初步数据将停止暴跌(尽管“硬”经济数据表现持续下降)...他们错了。</blockquote></p><p> While US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),<b>US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然美国制造业从62.1温和回升至63.1(好于预期的62.0),<b>美国服务业从64.6进一步跌至59.8(远低于预期的64.5)。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2cf844b2fa1686765814cf0859414b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"681\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> That is the weakest Services print since February.</p><p><blockquote>这是自二月份以来最弱的服务业数据。</blockquote></p><p> The drop in Services weighed heavily on the<b>US Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.</b></p><p><blockquote>服务业的下降严重影响了<b>美国综合指数跌至4个月低点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/234016546da9850fc2107e26a19dbad7\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"753\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:</p><p><blockquote>IHS Markit首席商业经济学家Chris Williamson在评论PMI数据时表示:</blockquote></p><p> “<b>The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,</b>though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.</p><p><blockquote>“<b>7月PMI临时数据显示经济增长速度连续第二个月放缓,</b>尽管重要的是,这种降温是在5月份前所未有的增长之后发生的。在经济最初重新开放后,服务业的增长尤其可能会放缓,重要的是,我们现在看到制造业和服务业都实现了良好平衡的强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> “While the<b>second quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growth</b>according to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.</p><p><blockquote>“而<b>因此,第二季度可能代表着经济增长速度的见顶</b>根据PMI,第三季度看起来仍然强劲,令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.<b>However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.</b></p><p><blockquote>“短期产能问题仍然令人担忧,限制了许多制造业和服务业公司的产出,同时由于需求超过供应而推高了价格。<b>然而,我们已经看到通胀压力见顶的迹象,投入成本和销售价格指标在7月份连续第二个月下降,尽管仍然很高。</b></blockquote></p><p> “<b>Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.</b>The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”</p><p><blockquote>“<b>然而,通胀压力和供应限制(包括劳动力和材料短缺)仍然是企业不确定性的主要来源,德尔塔变异毒株也是如此,所有这些都将企业对未来一年的乐观情绪推至今年迄今为止的最低水平。</b>令人担忧的是,信心下降可能会导致支出、投资和招聘减少,从而增加未来几个月增长进一步放缓的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> For context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...</p><p><blockquote>就背景而言,美国综合指数目前低于欧洲综合指数...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e37c172ac0dbba384ead917a08d87c70\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"685\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-services-pmi-plunges-unexpectedly-5-month-lows-business-outlook-slumps","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142780742","content_text":"After US Services PMI (and ISM) unexpectedly plunged from record highs in June, analysts expected the plunge to stop in preliminary July data (despite an ongoing downtrend in 'hard' economic data performance)... they were wrong.\nWhile US Manufacturing picked up modestly from 62.1 to 63.1 (better than the 62.0 expected),US Services tumbled further to 59.8 from 64.6 (well below the 64.5 expected).\nSource: Bloomberg\nThat is the weakest Services print since February.\nThe drop in Services weighed heavily on theUS Composite which dropped to 4-month lows.\nCommenting on the PMI data,Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit, said:\n“The provisional PMI data for July point to the pace of economic growth slowing for a second successive month,though importantly this cooling has followed an unprecedented growth spurt in May. Some moderation of service sector growth in particular was always on the cards after the initial reopening of the economy, and importantly we’re now seeing nicely-balanced strong growth across both manufacturing and services.\n“While thesecond quarter may therefore represent a peaking in the pace of economic growthaccording to the PMI, the third quarter is still looking encouragingly strong.\n“Short-term capacity issues remain a concern, constraining output in many manufacturing and service sector companies while simultaneously pushing prices higher as demand exceeds supply.However, we’re already seeing signs of inflationary pressures peaking, with both input cost and selling price gauges falling for a second month in July, albeit remaining elevated.\n“Inflationary pressures and supply constraints – both in terms of labour and materials shortages - nevertheless remain major sources of uncertainty among businesses, as does the delta variant, all of which has pushed business optimism about the year ahead to the lowest seen so far this year.The concern is this drop in confidence could feed through to reduced spending, investment and hiring, adding to the possibility that growth could slow further in coming months.”\nFor context, the US Composite index is now running below that of Europe's...\nSource: Bloomberg","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}