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- MeowlisaMeowlisa
  ·2021-12-17
  Merry Christmas!
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- MeowlisaMeowlisa
  ·2021-07-12
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  Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week
  Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.The week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday, followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% a
  Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week
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- MeowlisaMeowlisa
  ·2021-07-06
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  Here’s How UBS to RBC See Outlook for Oil After OPEC+ Talks Fail
  Thebreakdownof OPEC+’s meeting on production levels has left the oil market in limbo. The immediate
  Here’s How UBS to RBC See Outlook for Oil After OPEC+ Talks Fail
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JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.The week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday, followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% a","content":"<p>Second-quarter earnings season gets under way&nbsp;this week, with several big banks reporting.&nbsp;JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.</p>\n<p>Other major companies reporting this week includePepsiCoandFastenalon Tuesday,Delta Air Lineson Wednesday,Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingandUnitedHealth Groupon Thursday, andKansas City Southernon Friday.</p>\n<p>The week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday,&nbsp;followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% and 6.4%, respectively, in the core CPI and core PPI.</p>\n<p>Investors and economists will also get a look at a pair of sentiment surveys this week:&nbsp;The National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for June on Tuesday and The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index for July on Friday. The&nbsp;Federal Reserve releases its latest beige book on Wednesday, the Census Bureau reports retail-sales data for June on Friday, and theBank of Japanannounces its latest monetary-policy decision on Friday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1508a89eaa3fb959feaaa832797a2c48\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"360\"></p>\n<p><b>Monday 7/12</b></p>\n<p>FedExhosts a conference call to update the investment community on its business outlook.</p>\n<p><b>Tuesday 7/13</b></p>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Group kick off earnings season by reporting results before the market open. The two money-center banks recently lifted their dividends 11% and 60%, respectively.</p>\n<p>Conagra Brands,Fastenal,First Republic Bank,and PepsiCo report quarterly results.</p>\n<p>Dell Technologieshosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy.</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the consumer price index for June. Economists forecast a 4.9% year-over-year rise, after a 5% jump in May—the fastest rate of growth since August 2008. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to increase 4% compared with 3.8% previously.</p>\n<p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 99.5 reading, about even with the May figure.</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday 7/14</b></p>\n<p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines,PNC Financial Services Group,and Wells Fargo release earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the fifth of eight times this year. The report gathers anecdotal evidence of current economic conditions in the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p>\n<p><b>The BLS releases</b>&nbsp;the producer price index for June. Expectations are for both the PPI and core PPI to increase 0.5% month over month. This compares with gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, in May.</p>\n<p><b>Thursday 7/15</b></p>\n<p>Bank of New York Mellon,Cintas,Morgan Stanley, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>Friday 7/16</b></p>\n<p>Charles Schwab,Ericsson,Kansas City Southern, andState Streetannounce earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The Bank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. In June, the BOJ said it would launch a climate-change plan by the end of this year, and would release a preliminary plan at its July meeting. This could take the form of higher interest rates paid to banks for green-lending measures.</p>\n<p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment index for July. Economists forecast an 86.5 reading, slightly higher than June’s 85.5. The index is still well below its levels from just prior to the pandemic.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail-sales data for June. Consensus estimate is for a 0.5% monthly decline in spending to $617 billion, after slumping 1.3% in May.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-12 05:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625883421><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625883421\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","TSM":"台积电","BAC":"美国银行","MS":"摩根士丹利","C":"花旗","GS":"高盛","WFC":"富国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625883421","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114863871","content_text":"Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.\nOther major companies reporting this week includePepsiCoandFastenalon Tuesday,Delta Air Lineson Wednesday,Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingandUnitedHealth Groupon Thursday, andKansas City Southernon Friday.\nThe week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday, followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% and 6.4%, respectively, in the core CPI and core PPI.\nInvestors and economists will also get a look at a pair of sentiment surveys this week: The National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for June on Tuesday and The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index for July on Friday. The Federal Reserve releases its latest beige book on Wednesday, the Census Bureau reports retail-sales data for June on Friday, and theBank of Japanannounces its latest monetary-policy decision on Friday.\n\nMonday 7/12\nFedExhosts a conference call to update the investment community on its business outlook.\nTuesday 7/13\nJPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Group kick off earnings season by reporting results before the market open. The two money-center banks recently lifted their dividends 11% and 60%, respectively.\nConagra Brands,Fastenal,First Republic Bank,and PepsiCo report quarterly results.\nDell Technologieshosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June. Economists forecast a 4.9% year-over-year rise, after a 5% jump in May—the fastest rate of growth since August 2008. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to increase 4% compared with 3.8% previously.\nThe National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 99.5 reading, about even with the May figure.\nWednesday 7/14\nBank of America,BlackRock,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines,PNC Financial Services Group,and Wells Fargo release earnings.\nThe Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the fifth of eight times this year. The report gathers anecdotal evidence of current economic conditions in the 12 Federal Reserve districts.\nThe BLS releases the producer price index for June. Expectations are for both the PPI and core PPI to increase 0.5% month over month. This compares with gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, in May.\nThursday 7/15\nBank of New York Mellon,Cintas,Morgan Stanley, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nFriday 7/16\nCharles Schwab,Ericsson,Kansas City Southern, andState Streetannounce earnings.\nThe Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. In June, the BOJ said it would launch a climate-change plan by the end of this year, and would release a preliminary plan at its July meeting. This could take the form of higher interest rates paid to banks for green-lending measures.\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for July. Economists forecast an 86.5 reading, slightly higher than June’s 85.5. The index is still well below its levels from just prior to the pandemic.\nThe Census Bureau reports retail-sales data for June. Consensus estimate is for a 0.5% monthly decline in spending to $617 billion, after slumping 1.3% in May.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"MS":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157090117,"gmtCreate":1625550919439,"gmtModify":1633939725373,"author":{"id":"3585789628360174","authorId":"3585789628360174","name":"Meowlisa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58270741e0ab10cea7b2f37b150c6bef","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585789628360174","authorIdStr":"3585789628360174"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment!","listText":"Like and comment!","text":"Like and comment!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157090117","repostId":"1137403360","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137403360","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625550625,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1137403360?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-06 13:50","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Here’s How UBS to RBC See Outlook for Oil After OPEC+ Talks Fail","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137403360","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Thebreakdownof OPEC+’s meeting on production levels has left the oil market in limbo. The immediate ","content":"<p>Thebreakdownof OPEC+’s meeting on production levels has left the oil market in limbo. The immediate consequence is that an expected increase in output in August now likely won’t happen, leaving the world short of barrels as the economic recovery gathers pace.</p>\n<p>Thelack of unitywithin the alliance has also raised the specter of a repeat of last year’s price war when members pumped at will and sent oil prices crashing. The situation is still very fluid and it’s possible talks could be revived in the coming days. Here’s how analysts see things playing out.</p>\n<p>UBS</p>\n<p>With no more OPEC+ supply imminent, the oil market is likely to tighten further and that could result in Brent climbing to $80 a barrel by September, analyst Giovanni Staunovo said in a note. The alliance could still reach an agreement, given negotiations will likely continue among member states. It remains unclear if the failure to agree on a supply deal will translate into lower compliance rates next month. The release of Saudi Aramco’s official selling prices for August in the coming days should provide more clarity.</p>\n<p>ING</p>\n<p>If the group keeps output unchanged in August that should be bullish for prices, but the likelihood that members actually keep production steady isn’t very high, Warren <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDCO\">Patterson</a>, head of commodities strategy in Singapore, said in an interview. Members will probably start pumping more, and there will likely be a breakdown in the broader deal. There is potential for a price war like last year, but all involved will try to avoid that. A clear solution would be to separate the two elements of the deal: agree on the 2 million barrels a day supply increase for August to December, and then tackle the extension of the deal at a later date.</p>\n<p>FGE</p>\n<p>If there’s no increase in production, then oil at $85 to $90 a barrel is on the cards, Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman of industry consultant FGE, said in a Bloomberg TV interview. However, it’s likely some sort of compromise will be reached over the next <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> to three weeks, although prices are likely to rise until this happens. It’s unlikely that the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Arab Emirates will leave OPEC, but it wants more independence in policy making. With prices at these levels, there will probably be a lot more U.S. shale production coming back next year.</p>\n<p>RBC Capital Markets</p>\n<p>Although back-channel talks are reported to be continuing, questions about the UAE commitment to remain in OPEC will likely grow in the coming days, analysts Helima Croft and Christopher Louney said in a note. Since the launch of its Murban benchmark in March, there has been a distinct question mark over the durability of UAE’s OPEC membership and its willingness to continue idling its expensive spare capacity. This UAE-Saudi Arabian dispute appears to be more than about oil policy, with UAE seemingly intent on stepping outside the kingdom’s shadow and charting its own course in global affairs.</p>\n<p>Rystad Energy</p>\n<p>A no-deal that keeps output unchanged after July isn’t an outcome that any of the OPEC+ members want, oil markets analyst Louise Dickson said in a note. That may be raising expectations for an agreement that would satisfy the UAE a bit more. The market could see an immediate price correction if OPEC+ eventually agrees to increase output by well over 500,000 barrels per day in August. All eyes will be on potential leaks from behind-closed-doors unofficial negotiations. It could be a wild price ride in either direction.</p>\n<p><i>— With assistance by Yvonne Man, Rishaad Salamat, and David Ingles</i></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s How UBS to RBC See Outlook for Oil After OPEC+ Talks Fail</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s How UBS to RBC See Outlook for Oil After OPEC+ Talks Fail\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-06 13:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/here-s-how-ubs-to-rbc-see-outlook-for-oil-after-opec-talks-fail?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Thebreakdownof OPEC+’s meeting on production levels has left the oil market in limbo. The immediate consequence is that an expected increase in output in August now likely won’t happen, leaving the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/here-s-how-ubs-to-rbc-see-outlook-for-oil-after-opec-talks-fail?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"USB":"美国合众银行"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-06/here-s-how-ubs-to-rbc-see-outlook-for-oil-after-opec-talks-fail?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137403360","content_text":"Thebreakdownof OPEC+’s meeting on production levels has left the oil market in limbo. The immediate consequence is that an expected increase in output in August now likely won’t happen, leaving the world short of barrels as the economic recovery gathers pace.\nThelack of unitywithin the alliance has also raised the specter of a repeat of last year’s price war when members pumped at will and sent oil prices crashing. The situation is still very fluid and it’s possible talks could be revived in the coming days. Here’s how analysts see things playing out.\nUBS\nWith no more OPEC+ supply imminent, the oil market is likely to tighten further and that could result in Brent climbing to $80 a barrel by September, analyst Giovanni Staunovo said in a note. The alliance could still reach an agreement, given negotiations will likely continue among member states. It remains unclear if the failure to agree on a supply deal will translate into lower compliance rates next month. The release of Saudi Aramco’s official selling prices for August in the coming days should provide more clarity.\nING\nIf the group keeps output unchanged in August that should be bullish for prices, but the likelihood that members actually keep production steady isn’t very high, Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy in Singapore, said in an interview. Members will probably start pumping more, and there will likely be a breakdown in the broader deal. There is potential for a price war like last year, but all involved will try to avoid that. A clear solution would be to separate the two elements of the deal: agree on the 2 million barrels a day supply increase for August to December, and then tackle the extension of the deal at a later date.\nFGE\nIf there’s no increase in production, then oil at $85 to $90 a barrel is on the cards, Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman of industry consultant FGE, said in a Bloomberg TV interview. However, it’s likely some sort of compromise will be reached over the next one to three weeks, although prices are likely to rise until this happens. It’s unlikely that the United Arab Emirates will leave OPEC, but it wants more independence in policy making. With prices at these levels, there will probably be a lot more U.S. shale production coming back next year.\nRBC Capital Markets\nAlthough back-channel talks are reported to be continuing, questions about the UAE commitment to remain in OPEC will likely grow in the coming days, analysts Helima Croft and Christopher Louney said in a note. Since the launch of its Murban benchmark in March, there has been a distinct question mark over the durability of UAE’s OPEC membership and its willingness to continue idling its expensive spare capacity. This UAE-Saudi Arabian dispute appears to be more than about oil policy, with UAE seemingly intent on stepping outside the kingdom’s shadow and charting its own course in global affairs.\nRystad Energy\nA no-deal that keeps output unchanged after July isn’t an outcome that any of the OPEC+ members want, oil markets analyst Louise Dickson said in a note. That may be raising expectations for an agreement that would satisfy the UAE a bit more. The market could see an immediate price correction if OPEC+ eventually agrees to increase output by well over 500,000 barrels per day in August. All eyes will be on potential leaks from behind-closed-doors unofficial negotiations. It could be a wild price ride in either direction.\n— With assistance by Yvonne Man, Rishaad Salamat, and David Ingles","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":960,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}