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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-25
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  盘前异动：又崩了？众多板块齐挫，纳指期货跌逾200点
  1月25日，美股股指期货全线走低，道指期货跌0.61%，纳指期货跌1.5%，标普500指数跌1.08%。美股大型科技股盘前齐挫，英伟达、阿斯麦、AMD、特斯拉跌超3%，苹果、奈飞、Meta Platf
  盘前异动：又崩了？众多板块齐挫，纳指期货跌逾200点
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-21
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  2,667 评论
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-19
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-17
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-17
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-11
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-10
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  Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>
  A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready
  Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-09
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  Tech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce<blockquote>Salesforce的分析，科技已经衰落</blockquote>
  SummarySalesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.The company has strengthened its portfolio th
  Tech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce<blockquote>Salesforce的分析，科技已经衰落</blockquote>
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2022-01-07
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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- ryanoonryanoon
  ·2021-12-28
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  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d485495d963d65f2d9f8b6196b2975\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"180\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>美股大型科技股盘前齐挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a>跌超2%；</p><p>热门中概股盘前普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌超1%；</p><p>WSB概念股盘前重挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">Clover Health</a>跌超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>、ContextLogic跌超3%；</p><p>美股区块链概念股盘前走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital Holdings</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital Inc</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>跌超3%；</p><p>美股抗疫概念股盘前大跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯医药</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna</a>跌超3%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZN\">阿斯利康</a>跌近2%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>跌1.67%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech</a>跌0.9%；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>盘前跌超3%，受5亿瑞郎诉讼拨备拖累，瑞信Q4恐勉强维持盈亏平衡；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ERIC\">爱立信</a>盘前涨超7%，Q4净销售额同比增长3%，净利润同比增长41%；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>盘前涨超2%，第四季度营收同比增6.5%至167亿美元，持续运营业务净利同比增长107%；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOGI\">罗技</a>盘前涨超6%，此前上调2022财年业绩指引。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前异动：又崩了？众多板块齐挫，纳指期货跌逾200点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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*/\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前异动：又崩了？众多板块齐挫，纳指期货跌逾200点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-25 17:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月25日，美股股指期货全线走低，道指期货跌0.61%，纳指期货跌1.5%，标普500指数跌1.08%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3d485495d963d65f2d9f8b6196b2975\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"180\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>美股大型科技股盘前齐挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">阿斯麦</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a>跌超2%；</p><p>热门中概股盘前普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌超3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌超1%；</p><p>WSB概念股盘前重挫，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLOV\">Clover Health</a>跌超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>、ContextLogic跌超3%；</p><p>美股区块链概念股盘前走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital Holdings</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital Inc</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>跌超3%；</p><p>美股抗疫概念股盘前大跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">诺瓦瓦克斯医药</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">Ocugen</a>跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna</a>跌超3%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZN\">阿斯利康</a>跌近2%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>跌1.67%、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech</a>跌0.9%；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>盘前跌超3%，受5亿瑞郎诉讼拨备拖累，瑞信Q4恐勉强维持盈亏平衡；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ERIC\">爱立信</a>盘前涨超7%，Q4净销售额同比增长3%，净利润同比增长41%；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>盘前涨超2%，第四季度营收同比增6.5%至167亿美元，持续运营业务净利同比增长107%；</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LOGI\">罗技</a>盘前涨超6%，此前上调2022财年业绩指引。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187389924","content_text":"1月25日，美股股指期货全线走低，道指期货跌0.61%，纳指期货跌1.5%，标普500指数跌1.08%。美股大型科技股盘前齐挫，英伟达、阿斯麦、AMD、特斯拉跌超3%，苹果、奈飞、Meta Platforms跌超2%；热门中概股盘前普跌，好未来跌超4%，新东方、蔚来、小鹏汽车、理想汽车、贝壳跌超3%，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多跌超1%；WSB概念股盘前重挫，Clover Health跌超10%，AMC院线跌超4%，游戏驿站、ContextLogic跌超3%；美股区块链概念股盘前走低，Marathon Digital Holdings、Bit Digital Inc、Riot Blockchain、Coinbase跌超3%；美股抗疫概念股盘前大跌，诺瓦瓦克斯医药、Ocugen跌超4%，Moderna跌超3%、阿斯利康跌近2%、辉瑞跌1.67%、BioNTech跌0.9%；瑞士信贷盘前跌超3%，受5亿瑞郎诉讼拨备拖累，瑞信Q4恐勉强维持盈亏平衡；爱立信盘前涨超7%，Q4净销售额同比增长3%，净利润同比增长41%；IBM盘前涨超2%，第四季度营收同比增6.5%至167亿美元，持续运营业务净利同比增长107%；罗技盘前涨超6%，此前上调2022财年业绩指引。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630376960,"gmtCreate":1642727389523,"gmtModify":1642727389733,"author":{"id":"3586077477212725","authorId":"3586077477212725","name":"ryanoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e547f342a7c1e8c6d9d4ab91889927e4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586077477212725","idStr":"3586077477212725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630376960","repostId":"1130950397","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697577727,"gmtCreate":1642549355393,"gmtModify":1642549355576,"author":{"id":"3586077477212725","authorId":"3586077477212725","name":"ryanoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e547f342a7c1e8c6d9d4ab91889927e4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586077477212725","idStr":"3586077477212725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please 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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694191057","repostId":"2202277188","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694042903,"gmtCreate":1641766381595,"gmtModify":1641766381771,"author":{"id":"3586077477212725","authorId":"3586077477212725","name":"ryanoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e547f342a7c1e8c6d9d4ab91889927e4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586077477212725","idStr":"3586077477212725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694042903","repostId":"1198290127","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198290127","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641702682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198290127?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 12:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198290127","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Apple Stock Reclaim $3 Trillion And Thrive In 2022?<blockquote>苹果股价能否在2022年收回3万亿美元并蓬勃发展？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 12:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>到目前为止，3万亿美元的市值已被证明是苹果股票似乎尚未准备好突破的上限。股价能否很快恢复里程碑并在2022年走高？</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>最近，苹果股票的市值曾一度接近3万亿美元，但很快跌破2.9万亿美元——因为大盘对货币紧缩的反应现在应该比之前预期的更快。</blockquote></p><p>Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?</p><p><blockquote>这家库比蒂诺公司的股价能否最终在2022年找到北上之路，并满足华尔街众多多头的预期？或者，在利率上升和通胀挥之不去的一年里，看跌情绪会占上风吗？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bull case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：牛市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>As Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.</p><p><blockquote>随着苹果股价在11月底至12月初期间恶性攀升，许多华尔街专家纷纷支持“AAPL$3T”。例如，至少自去年第三季度我们的谈话以来，Wedbush的Dan Ives一直在谈论市值里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>但其他分析师最近也加入了看涨行列。摩根士丹利在11月份将目标价上调至每股200美元，而摩根大通研究团队预计苹果股票的市值将在未来12个月内达到3.5万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>最直言不讳的乐观主义者之一来自买方。Loup的吉恩·蒙斯特(Gene Munster)认为，他之前的目标价很快就过时了，现在每股250美元似乎更合理。他认为，元宇宙的多年机会将在新的一年里获得投资者的赞赏，这应该会重新点燃该股在2021年最后几周失去的动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>AAPL: the bear case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司：熊市案例</b></blockquote></p><p>Despite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在上述乐观预期，主要受到公司特定因素的支持，但市场在进入2022年时仍保持警惕。眼下的恶魔似乎是美联储对接近充分就业和粘性通胀的预期反应，这应该会导致未来几个月利率上升。</blockquote></p><p>I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.</p><p><blockquote>我最近解释了货币供应收紧如何给市盈率相对较高的股票带来麻烦。虽然AAPL不是特斯拉或Rivian，但该股近30倍的预期市盈率和仅温和的盈利增长预期可能会拖累2022年的股价，因为投资者正在寻找价值股和周期性股票的更好交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p>I continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为苹果是一只值得长期购买和持有的优秀股票。在以卓越运营为驱动力的首席执行官（和前首席运营官）的领导下，该公司似乎得到了很好的管理。更好的是，对苹果产品和服务的需求以及消费者对该品牌的赞赏似乎处于或接近历史最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，2022年前几周或几个月的设置对我来说看起来很有挑战性。苹果股价在2020年无情攀升，去年再次攀升。得益于大流行推动的科技设备需求激增以及系统中充裕的流动性，AAPL在2019年至2021年间创下了有史以来最好的三年回报率之一。</blockquote></p><p>As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管元宇宙和自动驾驶汽车能够而且很可能支持公司未来许多年的财务业绩，但我认为苹果公司的股票早就应该喘口气了。虽然股价可能会回升至3万亿美元以上，并最终进一步走高，但我对这种反弹会在不久的将来发生不太有信心。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/can-apple-stock-reclaim-3-trillion-and-thrive-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198290127","content_text":"A market cap of $3 trillion has, so far, proven to be a ceiling that Apple stock does not seem ready to break through yet. Can shares reclaim the milestone soon and head higher in 2022?Recently, Apple stock flirted with $3 trillion in market cap, but quickly dipped below $2.9 trillion — as the broad market reacted to monetary tightening that should now happen more rapidly than previously expected.Can shares of the Cupertino company finally find its way north in 2022 and meet the expectations of so many bulls on Wall Street? Or will bearishness take over during a year of rising interest rates and lingering inflation?Figure 1: Apple Park in Cupertino, CA.AAPL: the bull caseAs Apple stock climbed viciously between late November and early December, many Wall Street experts piled on in support of “AAPL $3T”. Wedbush’s Dan Ives, for example, has been talking about the market cap milestone since our conversation in Q3 of last year, at least.But other analysts have also hopped on the bullish bandwagon recently. Morgan Stanley upped its price target to $200 per share in November, while the JPMorgan research team saw Apple stock heading to $3.5 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.One of the most vocal optimists came from the buy side. Loup’s Gene Munster thought that his previous price target had quickly become stale, and that $250 per share now seemed more reasonable. In his opinion, the multi-year opportunity in the metaverse will gain investor appreciation in the new year, which should reignite momentum that the stock had lost in the last few weeks of 2021.AAPL: the bear caseDespite the upbeat expectations described above, mostly supported by company-specific factors, the market rolled into 2022 with its guard up. The boogieman of the moment seems to be the Federal Reserve’s anticipated reaction to near-full employment and sticky inflation, which should lead to higher interest rates in the next several months.I have recently explained how tighter money supply can spell trouble for stocks that trade for relatively high multiples. While AAPL is no Tesla or Rivian, the stock’s forward P/E of nearly 30 times and only modest earnings growth expectations could be a drag for share price in 2022, as investors look for better deals in value and cyclical stocks.The Apple Maven’s takeI continue to think that Apple is a great stock to buy and hold for the long term. Under the leadership of a CEO (and former COO) that is driven by operational excellence, the company seems to be in very good hands. Better yet, demand for Apple’s products and services, as well as consumer appreciation for the brand, seem to be at or near an all-time high.That said, the setup for the first few weeks or months of 2022 looks challenging to me. Apple stock climbed relentlessly in 2020, and then again last year. Aided by a spike in pandemic-driven demand for tech devices and lavish liquidity in the system, AAPL recorded one of its best three years of returns ever between 2019 and 2021.As much as the metaverse and autonomous vehicles can and likely will support the company’s financial results over the next many years, I think that AAPL stock is overdue for a breather. While shares will likely climb back above $3 trillion and head much higher from there eventually, I am not so confident that this rally will happen in the immediate future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694011728,"gmtCreate":1641693814607,"gmtModify":1641693815308,"author":{"id":"3586077477212725","authorId":"3586077477212725","name":"ryanoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e547f342a7c1e8c6d9d4ab91889927e4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586077477212725","idStr":"3586077477212725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694011728","repostId":"1119680947","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119680947","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641693213,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119680947?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-09 09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce<blockquote>Salesforce的分析，科技已经衰落</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119680947","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySalesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.The company has strengthened its portfolio th","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><b>总结</b></body></html></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Salesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.</li><li>The company has strengthened its portfolio through many tuck-in acquisitions that continue to pay off today.</li><li>Salesforce has $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet and is generating ample free cash flow.</li><li>As tech stocks fall, I evaluate if this is the time to buy Salesforce stock.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6b8cbc5c70df9817dad2b344304553\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1042\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce是排名第一的CRM公司。</li><li>该公司通过许多收购加强了其投资组合，这些收购至今仍在继续获得回报。</li><li>Salesforce的资产负债表上有90亿美元现金，正在产生充足的自由现金流。</li><li>随着科技股下跌，我评估现在是否是购买Salesforce股票的时候。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Salesforce (CRM) has apparently done everything right. The company has sustained elevated growth rates, is generating respectable cash flow, maintains a strong balance sheet, and has shown strong execution on its tuck-in acquisitions. The stock has not been spared by the ongoing tech selloff, and has been a disappointing performer over the past few years. CRM looks like a future mega-cap tech giant in the making, and I evaluate whether now is the time to pounce on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce(CRM)显然做的一切都是正确的。该公司保持了较高的增长率，产生了可观的现金流，保持了强劲的资产负债表，并在收购中表现出了强大的执行力。该股也未能幸免于持续的科技股抛售，过去几年的表现令人失望。CRM看起来像是一家正在形成的未来大型科技巨头，我正在评估现在是否是买入该股的时候。</blockquote></p><p><b>CRM Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>CRM股价</b></blockquote></p><p>Amidst the ongoing volatility in tech stocks, CRM finds itself trading below levels more than 1 year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在科技股持续波动的情况下，CRM发现自己的交易价格低于一年多前的水平。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8dff6e1277dae5df6fd56c08b940ff3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Now trading below $230 per share, the poor price performance may have created a buying opportunity in what should be considered one of the higher quality names in tech.</p><p><blockquote>目前交易价格低于每股230美元，糟糕的价格表现可能为科技行业中质量较高的公司之一创造了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p><b>What is Salesforce</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是Salesforce</b></blockquote></p><p>CRM is a leader in customer relationship management (hence the stock ticker), as it has built out a full portfolio of products to help its customers better serve, well, their customers.</p><p><blockquote>CRM是客户关系管理（因此股票代码）的领导者，因为它已经建立了完整的产品组合来帮助其客户更好地服务他们的客户。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36bc171bce9ef5207e22f39d7e1ec58\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"682\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Customer relationship management serves a mission-critical role because it helps to ensure that you can keep your existing client relationships. Due to its continued investment in innovation and cloud-first strategy, CRM has steadily increased its market share lead over legacy incumbents.</p><p><blockquote>客户关系管理起着关键作用，因为它有助于确保您能够保持现有的客户关系。由于对创新和云优先战略的持续投资，CRM稳步提高了其相对于传统企业的市场份额领先优势。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d878d7ae563bc6fdb40626f6b0f02e0f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"790\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p>CRM accelerated its innovation through a strong willingness to conduct M&amp;A when appropriate. While some investors are understandably cautious when it comes to roll-up strategies, CRM has shown an impressive ability to drive accelerating growth even many years after acquiring these assets.</p><p><blockquote>CRM通过在适当的时候进行M&amp;A的强烈意愿加速了其创新。虽然一些投资者对汇总策略持谨慎态度是可以理解的，但CRM在收购这些资产多年后仍表现出令人印象深刻的推动加速增长的能力。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8379f74b62971ecf8aa9872ecc3c83\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"634\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p>On a side note, the above slide should provide material justification for why tech stocks have enjoyed premium multiples over the past many years, as they maintain excess value as takeout candidates which needs to be reflected in their stock prices. Over the years, CRM has constantly found ways to sustain its 20+% growth trajectory while also maintaining high levels of cash generation.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，上面的幻灯片应该为为什么科技股在过去许多年中享有溢价倍数提供实质性的理由，因为它们作为外卖候选者保持了超额价值，这需要反映在其股价中。多年来，CRM不断找到方法来维持其20%以上的增长轨迹，同时保持高水平的现金生成。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878cb7aebe5aada6a20fedc42815855\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Like many tech companies, CRM aggressively invests in growth, which manifests itself in increasing R&amp;D expenses and naturally holds back its operating margins. I view CRM’s aggressive acquisitive strategy as being indicative of what investors should expect in the tech sector moving forward, as larger companies like CRM have shown that tuck-in acquisitions can prove profitable even if they have to pay a premium sticker price.</p><p><blockquote>与许多科技公司一样，CRM积极投资于增长，这表现为研发费用的增加，自然会抑制其营业利润率。我认为CRM公司积极的收购策略表明投资者对科技行业未来的预期，因为像CRM这样的大型公司已经表明，即使他们不得不支付溢价，嵌入式收购也能盈利。</blockquote></p><p><b>Is CRM Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>CRM股票是买入、卖出还是持有？</b></blockquote></p><p>After the tech selloff, CRM is trading at less than 9x sales. Wall Street expects growth to slowly decelerate to the 15% range over the next 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>在科技股抛售之后，CRM的交易价格不到销售额的9倍。华尔街预计未来5年增长将缓慢减速至15%的范围。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7948c23ff8e30eae86a0bb6d277f2f71\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p>CRM looks highly buyable here, but with almost all tech stocks having already fallen substantially, it is important to take into account whether CRM is the best buy among tech peers. We can see below that most tech stocks in my coverage universe are now flashing buy signals.</p><p><blockquote>CRM在这里看起来非常值得买入，但由于几乎所有科技股都已经大幅下跌，因此重要的是要考虑CRM是否是科技同行中最值得买入的股票。我们可以在下面看到，我的报道范围内的大多数科技股现在都闪烁着买入信号。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e2212ef86ff97449b130fba44b9dc\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"810\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Best of Breed Universe Watchlist</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>最佳宇宙观察列表</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p>It is understandable why CRM has held up so well. The company has a diversified portfolio of tech assets, $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet, and a track record of strong execution. Throw in the fact that CRM is also generating a near 20% non-GAAP operating margin, and the stock checks off all of the criteria for retaining a premium multiple in spite of arguably average growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>CRM表现如此出色是可以理解的。该公司拥有多元化的科技资产组合，资产负债表上有90亿美元的现金，以及强大的执行力记录。再加上CRM还产生了近20%的非GAAP营业利润率，尽管增长率可以说是平均水平，但该股票符合保留溢价倍数的所有标准。</blockquote></p><p>I expect CRM to earn long term net margins in the 40% range. Assuming a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio (‘PEG’), I can see CRM trading at 7x sales in 2030, representing a stock price of $650, or annualized returns of 12.5%. The actual returns will vary based on actual growth rates, use of annual earnings, and the terminal earnings multiple. That 12.5% projected return should be enough to beat the market, and CRM has a lower risk profile to make the return look attractive. However, there are a slew of peers in the tech sector which are offering projected returns much higher than that, albeit at some higher risk. While I rate CRM a buy, I emphasize that there are more attractive buying opportunities elsewhere in the sector.</p><p><blockquote>我预计CRM的长期净利润率将在40%左右。假设市盈率(“PEG”)为1.5倍，我可以看到CRM到2030年的交易价格为销售额的7倍，即股价为650美元，年化回报率为12.5%。实际回报将根据实际增长率、年收益的使用和终端收益倍数而有所不同。12.5%的预计回报率应该足以跑赢市场，而且CRM的风险状况较低，使回报看起来很有吸引力。然而，科技行业有许多同行提供的预期回报远高于此，尽管风险较高。虽然我将CRM评级为买入，但我强调该行业其他地方还有更具吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce<blockquote>Salesforce的分析，科技已经衰落</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Has Fallen, An Analysis Of Salesforce<blockquote>Salesforce的分析，科技已经衰落</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-09 09:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><b>总结</b></body></html></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Salesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.</li><li>The company has strengthened its portfolio through many tuck-in acquisitions that continue to pay off today.</li><li>Salesforce has $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet and is generating ample free cash flow.</li><li>As tech stocks fall, I evaluate if this is the time to buy Salesforce stock.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6b8cbc5c70df9817dad2b344304553\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1042\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Salesforce是排名第一的CRM公司。</li><li>该公司通过许多收购加强了其投资组合，这些收购至今仍在继续获得回报。</li><li>Salesforce的资产负债表上有90亿美元现金，正在产生充足的自由现金流。</li><li>随着科技股下跌，我评估现在是否是购买Salesforce股票的时候。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Salesforce (CRM) has apparently done everything right. The company has sustained elevated growth rates, is generating respectable cash flow, maintains a strong balance sheet, and has shown strong execution on its tuck-in acquisitions. The stock has not been spared by the ongoing tech selloff, and has been a disappointing performer over the past few years. CRM looks like a future mega-cap tech giant in the making, and I evaluate whether now is the time to pounce on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce(CRM)显然做的一切都是正确的。该公司保持了较高的增长率，产生了可观的现金流，保持了强劲的资产负债表，并在收购中表现出了强大的执行力。该股也未能幸免于持续的科技股抛售，过去几年的表现令人失望。CRM看起来像是一家正在形成的未来大型科技巨头，我正在评估现在是否是买入该股的时候。</blockquote></p><p><b>CRM Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>CRM股价</b></blockquote></p><p>Amidst the ongoing volatility in tech stocks, CRM finds itself trading below levels more than 1 year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在科技股持续波动的情况下，CRM发现自己的交易价格低于一年多前的水平。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8dff6e1277dae5df6fd56c08b940ff3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Now trading below $230 per share, the poor price performance may have created a buying opportunity in what should be considered one of the higher quality names in tech.</p><p><blockquote>目前交易价格低于每股230美元，糟糕的价格表现可能为科技行业中质量较高的公司之一创造了买入机会。</blockquote></p><p><b>What is Salesforce</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是Salesforce</b></blockquote></p><p>CRM is a leader in customer relationship management (hence the stock ticker), as it has built out a full portfolio of products to help its customers better serve, well, their customers.</p><p><blockquote>CRM是客户关系管理（因此股票代码）的领导者，因为它已经建立了完整的产品组合来帮助其客户更好地服务他们的客户。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36bc171bce9ef5207e22f39d7e1ec58\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"682\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Customer relationship management serves a mission-critical role because it helps to ensure that you can keep your existing client relationships. Due to its continued investment in innovation and cloud-first strategy, CRM has steadily increased its market share lead over legacy incumbents.</p><p><blockquote>客户关系管理起着关键作用，因为它有助于确保您能够保持现有的客户关系。由于对创新和云优先战略的持续投资，CRM稳步提高了其相对于传统企业的市场份额领先优势。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d878d7ae563bc6fdb40626f6b0f02e0f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"790\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p>CRM accelerated its innovation through a strong willingness to conduct M&amp;A when appropriate. While some investors are understandably cautious when it comes to roll-up strategies, CRM has shown an impressive ability to drive accelerating growth even many years after acquiring these assets.</p><p><blockquote>CRM通过在适当的时候进行M&amp;A的强烈意愿加速了其创新。虽然一些投资者对汇总策略持谨慎态度是可以理解的，但CRM在收购这些资产多年后仍表现出令人印象深刻的推动加速增长的能力。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac8379f74b62971ecf8aa9872ecc3c83\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"634\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p>On a side note, the above slide should provide material justification for why tech stocks have enjoyed premium multiples over the past many years, as they maintain excess value as takeout candidates which needs to be reflected in their stock prices. Over the years, CRM has constantly found ways to sustain its 20+% growth trajectory while also maintaining high levels of cash generation.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句，上面的幻灯片应该为为什么科技股在过去许多年中享有溢价倍数提供实质性的理由，因为它们作为外卖候选者保持了超额价值，这需要反映在其股价中。多年来，CRM不断找到方法来维持其20%以上的增长轨迹，同时保持高水平的现金生成。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0878cb7aebe5aada6a20fedc42815855\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Like many tech companies, CRM aggressively invests in growth, which manifests itself in increasing R&amp;D expenses and naturally holds back its operating margins. I view CRM’s aggressive acquisitive strategy as being indicative of what investors should expect in the tech sector moving forward, as larger companies like CRM have shown that tuck-in acquisitions can prove profitable even if they have to pay a premium sticker price.</p><p><blockquote>与许多科技公司一样，CRM积极投资于增长，这表现为研发费用的增加，自然会抑制其营业利润率。我认为CRM公司积极的收购策略表明投资者对科技行业未来的预期，因为像CRM这样的大型公司已经表明，即使他们不得不支付溢价，嵌入式收购也能盈利。</blockquote></p><p><b>Is CRM Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>CRM股票是买入、卖出还是持有？</b></blockquote></p><p>After the tech selloff, CRM is trading at less than 9x sales. Wall Street expects growth to slowly decelerate to the 15% range over the next 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>在科技股抛售之后，CRM的交易价格不到销售额的9倍。华尔街预计未来5年增长将缓慢减速至15%的范围。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7948c23ff8e30eae86a0bb6d277f2f71\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p>CRM looks highly buyable here, but with almost all tech stocks having already fallen substantially, it is important to take into account whether CRM is the best buy among tech peers. We can see below that most tech stocks in my coverage universe are now flashing buy signals.</p><p><blockquote>CRM在这里看起来非常值得买入，但由于几乎所有科技股都已经大幅下跌，因此重要的是要考虑CRM是否是科技同行中最值得买入的股票。我们可以在下面看到，我的报道范围内的大多数科技股现在都闪烁着买入信号。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e2212ef86ff97449b130fba44b9dc\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"810\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Best of Breed Universe Watchlist</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>最佳宇宙观察列表</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p>It is understandable why CRM has held up so well. The company has a diversified portfolio of tech assets, $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet, and a track record of strong execution. Throw in the fact that CRM is also generating a near 20% non-GAAP operating margin, and the stock checks off all of the criteria for retaining a premium multiple in spite of arguably average growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>CRM表现如此出色是可以理解的。该公司拥有多元化的科技资产组合，资产负债表上有90亿美元的现金，以及强大的执行力记录。再加上CRM还产生了近20%的非GAAP营业利润率，尽管增长率可以说是平均水平，但该股票符合保留溢价倍数的所有标准。</blockquote></p><p>I expect CRM to earn long term net margins in the 40% range. Assuming a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio (‘PEG’), I can see CRM trading at 7x sales in 2030, representing a stock price of $650, or annualized returns of 12.5%. The actual returns will vary based on actual growth rates, use of annual earnings, and the terminal earnings multiple. That 12.5% projected return should be enough to beat the market, and CRM has a lower risk profile to make the return look attractive. However, there are a slew of peers in the tech sector which are offering projected returns much higher than that, albeit at some higher risk. While I rate CRM a buy, I emphasize that there are more attractive buying opportunities elsewhere in the sector.</p><p><blockquote>我预计CRM的长期净利润率将在40%左右。假设市盈率(“PEG”)为1.5倍，我可以看到CRM到2030年的交易价格为销售额的7倍，即股价为650美元，年化回报率为12.5%。实际回报将根据实际增长率、年收益的使用和终端收益倍数而有所不同。12.5%的预计回报率应该足以跑赢市场，而且CRM的风险状况较低，使回报看起来很有吸引力。然而，科技行业有许多同行提供的预期回报远高于此，尽管风险较高。虽然我将CRM评级为买入，但我强调该行业其他地方还有更具吸引力的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4478581-tech-has-fallen-an-analysis-of-salesforce\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4478581-tech-has-fallen-an-analysis-of-salesforce","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119680947","content_text":"SummarySalesforce is the #1 CRM company by a wide mile.The company has strengthened its portfolio through many tuck-in acquisitions that continue to pay off today.Salesforce has $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet and is generating ample free cash flow.As tech stocks fall, I evaluate if this is the time to buy Salesforce stock.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsSalesforce (CRM) has apparently done everything right. The company has sustained elevated growth rates, is generating respectable cash flow, maintains a strong balance sheet, and has shown strong execution on its tuck-in acquisitions. The stock has not been spared by the ongoing tech selloff, and has been a disappointing performer over the past few years. CRM looks like a future mega-cap tech giant in the making, and I evaluate whether now is the time to pounce on the stock.CRM Stock PriceAmidst the ongoing volatility in tech stocks, CRM finds itself trading below levels more than 1 year ago.Now trading below $230 per share, the poor price performance may have created a buying opportunity in what should be considered one of the higher quality names in tech.What is SalesforceCRM is a leader in customer relationship management (hence the stock ticker), as it has built out a full portfolio of products to help its customers better serve, well, their customers.Earnings PresentationCustomer relationship management serves a mission-critical role because it helps to ensure that you can keep your existing client relationships. Due to its continued investment in innovation and cloud-first strategy, CRM has steadily increased its market share lead over legacy incumbents.Investor PresentationCRM accelerated its innovation through a strong willingness to conduct M&A when appropriate. While some investors are understandably cautious when it comes to roll-up strategies, CRM has shown an impressive ability to drive accelerating growth even many years after acquiring these assets.Investor PresentationOn a side note, the above slide should provide material justification for why tech stocks have enjoyed premium multiples over the past many years, as they maintain excess value as takeout candidates which needs to be reflected in their stock prices. Over the years, CRM has constantly found ways to sustain its 20+% growth trajectory while also maintaining high levels of cash generation.Earnings PresentationLike many tech companies, CRM aggressively invests in growth, which manifests itself in increasing R&D expenses and naturally holds back its operating margins. I view CRM’s aggressive acquisitive strategy as being indicative of what investors should expect in the tech sector moving forward, as larger companies like CRM have shown that tuck-in acquisitions can prove profitable even if they have to pay a premium sticker price.Is CRM Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?After the tech selloff, CRM is trading at less than 9x sales. Wall Street expects growth to slowly decelerate to the 15% range over the next 5 years.Seeking AlphaCRM looks highly buyable here, but with almost all tech stocks having already fallen substantially, it is important to take into account whether CRM is the best buy among tech peers. We can see below that most tech stocks in my coverage universe are now flashing buy signals.Best of Breed Universe WatchlistIt is understandable why CRM has held up so well. The company has a diversified portfolio of tech assets, $9 billion of cash on its balance sheet, and a track record of strong execution. Throw in the fact that CRM is also generating a near 20% non-GAAP operating margin, and the stock checks off all of the criteria for retaining a premium multiple in spite of arguably average growth rates.I expect CRM to earn long term net margins in the 40% range. Assuming a 1.5x price to earnings growth ratio (‘PEG’), I can see CRM trading at 7x sales in 2030, representing a stock price of $650, or annualized returns of 12.5%. The actual returns will vary based on actual growth rates, use of annual earnings, and the terminal earnings multiple. That 12.5% projected return should be enough to beat the market, and CRM has a lower risk profile to make the return look attractive. However, there are a slew of peers in the tech sector which are offering projected returns much higher than that, albeit at some higher risk. While I rate CRM a buy, I emphasize that there are more attractive buying opportunities elsewhere in the sector.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695537901,"gmtCreate":1641517034513,"gmtModify":1641517034682,"author":{"id":"3586077477212725","authorId":"3586077477212725","name":"ryanoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e547f342a7c1e8c6d9d4ab91889927e4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586077477212725","idStr":"3586077477212725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695537901","repostId":"2201295996","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2812,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696188267,"gmtCreate":1640650350177,"gmtModify":1640650350348,"author":{"id":"3586077477212725","authorId":"3586077477212725","name":"ryanoon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e547f342a7c1e8c6d9d4ab91889927e4","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586077477212725","idStr":"3586077477212725"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696188267","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}