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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-12-24
Like please
Want to Be a Millionaire? 2 Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>想成为百万富翁吗？未来十年值得购买并持有的2只股票</blockquote>
$250,000 invested in these businesses could be worth $1 million in 10 years.
Want to Be a Millionaire? 2 Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>想成为百万富翁吗？未来十年值得购买并持有的2只股票</blockquote>
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-10-26
$Sesen Bio, Inc.(SESN)$
Hope you start to move up.
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-10-18
CCXI to the moon
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-10-13
$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$
Waiting for it to fly
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-09-05
All the best
2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>
tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w
2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-08-20
Going to load up
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-08-08
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$
Wow I just realised the increase in %.How much if it happen to AMC and MMAT
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-08-08
Break $15 and up to 🚀🚀🚀
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-08-08
To the moon
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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AMCer
AMCer
·
2021-08-05
Up! Up! Up! All the way!
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Even then, e-commerce will represent just 25% of total retail spending, leaving plenty of room for future growth. That creates a significant opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>到2025年，消费者将在网上花费7.4万亿美元，比2021年的4.9万亿美元增长50%。</li><li>MercadoLibre是拉丁美洲最大的在线市场。</li><li>Shopify是最受欢迎的电子商务软件供应商。</li></ul>根据eMarketer的数据，今年消费者将在网上购物花费4.9万亿美元，预计这一数字将以10.7%的年化速度增长，到2025年将达到7.4万亿美元。即便如此，电子商务仍将仅占零售总支出的25%，为未来增长留下了充足的空间。这为投资者创造了重大机会。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind,<b>MercadoLibre</b>(NASDAQ:MELI) and <b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:SHOP) have become key players in the e-commerce industry. Both businesses benefit from strong competitive positions, and I think both stocks could grow fourfold over the next decade, a pace that would turn $250,000 into $1 million.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，<b>自由市场</b>（纳斯达克：MELI）及<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）已成为电子商务行业的关键参与者。这两家公司都受益于强大的竞争地位，我认为这两只股票在未来十年可能会增长四倍，这一速度将从25万美元增长到100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Here's what you should know.</p><p><blockquote>这是你应该知道的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a171fc5fe60ac9d0335362d62ab885\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. MercadoLibre</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.自由市场</b></blockquote></p><p> MercadoLibre is the largest e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America. The company operates across 18 countries, and in each region its marketplace is the leader in terms of unique visitors and page views. To reinforce that advantage, it offers a number of value-added services to its merchants, including payment processing, financing, advertising, and logistics support.</p><p><blockquote>MercadoLibre是拉丁美洲最大的电子商务和金融科技平台。该公司在18个国家开展业务，在每个地区，其市场在独立访问者和页面浏览量方面都处于领先地位。为了巩固这一优势，它为商家提供了一系列增值服务，包括支付处理、融资、广告和物流支持。</blockquote></p><p> The company's fintech platform, Mercado Pago, is of particular importance. A relatively small percentage of the Latin American population has access to bank accounts and debit cards, and Mercado Pago democratizes access to financial services, allowing consumers to fund purchases both online and offline. Mercado Pago allows MercadoLibre to monetize commerce more broadly, even when the transactions don't occur on its marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的金融科技平台Mercado Pago尤为重要。相对较小比例的拉丁美洲人口可以使用银行账户和借记卡，Mercado Pago使金融服务的获取民主化，允许消费者在线上和线下为购买提供资金。Mercado Pago允许MercadoLibre更广泛地将商业货币化，即使交易不在其市场上发生。</blockquote></p><p> Collectively, MercadoLibre's scale and product portfolio create a powerful network effect. Merchants naturally gravitate toward the most popular marketplace, and consumers seek out the greatest product selection. In other words, each new merchant creates value for every consumer, and each new consumer creates value for every merchant. And the same dynamic applies to Mercado Pago.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，MercadoLibre的规模和产品组合创造了强大的网络效应。商家自然会被最受欢迎的市场所吸引，而消费者则会寻找最棒的产品选择。换句话说，每一个新商家都为每一个消费者创造价值，每一个新消费者都为每一个商家创造价值。同样的动态也适用于Mercado Pago。</blockquote></p><p> That virtuous cycle has translated into strong sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>这种良性循环转化为强劲的销售增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cbd0c937796cf8e168e3b31db62072f\" tg-width=\"1148\" tg-height=\"161\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DATA SOURCE: YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING-12-MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCHARTS。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Also noteworthy: MercadoLibre is profitable on a GAAP basis, generating net income of $78.8 million over the last 12 months, up from a loss of $4.1 million in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>同样值得注意的是：MercadoLibre在GAAP基础上实现盈利，过去12个月净利润为7880万美元，高于上一年的亏损410万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Internet penetration currently sits at 62% in Latin America, far lower than the 95% internet penetration in North America. As that number trends upward in the coming years, e-commerce and digital payments should become increasingly popular with consumers, and MercadoLibre's strong competitive position means it should be a major beneficiary.</p><p><blockquote>拉丁美洲的互联网普及率目前为62%，远低于北美95%的互联网普及率。随着未来几年这一数字呈上升趋势，电子商务和数字支付应该会越来越受到消费者的欢迎，而MercadoLibre强大的竞争地位意味着它应该成为主要受益者。</blockquote></p><p> Here's the bottom line: Despite its strong financial performance and massive market opportunity, MercadoLibre is still just a $62 billion business. But if the company can maintain its competitive edge, it's easy to imagine MercadoLibre as a $248 billion company a decade from now. In fact, I think this stock could grow tenfold over the next 10 to 15 years.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：尽管MercadoLibre拥有强劲的财务业绩和巨大的市场机会，但它仍然只是一项价值620亿美元的业务。但如果该公司能够保持其竞争优势，很容易想象十年后MercadoLibre将成为一家价值2480亿美元的公司。事实上，我认为这只股票在未来10到15年内可能会增长十倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Shopify</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Shopify</b></blockquote></p><p> Shopify takes a slightly different approach. Its software helps merchants build their own custom websites, and it syncs sales across physical and digital storefronts, making it easy to manage an omnichannel business. Shopify also provides value-added services like payment processing, shipping, and financing, as well as tools for money management and marketing.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify采取了略有不同的方法。其软件帮助商家建立自己的定制网站，并同步实体和数字店面的销售，从而轻松管理全渠道业务。Shopify还提供支付处理、运输和融资等增值服务，以及资金管理和营销工具。</blockquote></p><p> In short, Shopify helps businesses build their own brands and forge lasting relationships with customers. And the company's comprehensive portfolio of software and services makes its platform very sticky, which has translated into strong demand. In fact, Shopify is the most popular e-commerce software in the world, powering approximately 27% of online storefronts.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，Shopify帮助企业建立自己的品牌并与客户建立持久的关系。该公司全面的软件和服务组合使其平台具有很强的粘性，这转化为强劲的需求。事实上，Shopify是世界上最受欢迎的电子商务软件，为大约27%的在线店面提供支持。</blockquote></p><p> To reinforce that advantage, Shopify launched the Shop mobile app last year, a product designed to drive buyer engagement and repeat purchases. Specifically, the Shop app allows consumers to find and follow new brands, receive relevant product recommendations, and track orders. The app is now available in 17 different countries.</p><p><blockquote>为了巩固这一优势，Shopify去年推出了Shop移动应用程序，这是一款旨在提高买家参与度和重复购买的产品。具体来说，商店应用程序允许消费者查找和关注新品牌，接收相关产品推荐，并跟踪订单。该应用程序现已在17个不同的国家推出。</blockquote></p><p> Collectively, Shopify's ambitious growth strategy and strong competitive position have powered an impressive top-line performance over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，Shopify雄心勃勃的增长战略和强大的竞争地位推动了过去一年令人印象深刻的营收表现。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/589e4a47d2a21c066d305f839e18a2c6\" tg-width=\"1148\" tg-height=\"162\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DATA SOURCE: YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING-12-MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCHARTS。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like MercadoLibre, Shopify is profitable on a GAAP basis. The company generated $3.4 billion in net income over the past 12 months. And while the vast majority of that came from unrealized gains on investments,adjusted net income (which excludes those gains) was still $840.4 million, up 145% from the prior year.</p><p><blockquote>与MercadoLibre一样，Shopify在GAAP基础上也是盈利的。该公司过去12个月净利润为34亿美元。尽管其中绝大多数来自未实现的投资收益，但调整后净利润（不包括这些收益）仍为8.404亿美元，比上年增长145%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, Shopify is well positioned to maintain that momentum. The company puts its addressable market at $153 billion,, and management is executing on a smart growth strategy. I think those tailwinds could transform this $172 billion business into a $688 billion enterprise over the next decade, a pace that would produce fourfold returns for shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Shopify有能力保持这一势头。该公司预计其潜在市场为1530亿美元，管理层正在执行明智的增长战略。我认为，这些顺风可能会在未来十年内将这项价值1,720亿美元的业务转变为价值6,880亿美元的企业，这一速度将为股东带来四倍的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Want to Be a Millionaire? 2 Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>想成为百万富翁吗？未来十年值得购买并持有的2只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWant to Be a Millionaire? 2 Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>想成为百万富翁吗？未来十年值得购买并持有的2只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Consumers will spend $7.4 trillion online by 2025, up 50% from $4.9 trillion in 2021.</li> <li>MercadoLibre is the largest online marketplace in Latin America.</li> <li>Shopify is the most popular e-commerce software vendor.</li> </ul> According to eMarketer, consumers will spend $4.9 trillion shopping online this year, and that figure is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 10.7% to reach $7.4 trillion by 2025. Even then, e-commerce will represent just 25% of total retail spending, leaving plenty of room for future growth. That creates a significant opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>到2025年，消费者将在网上花费7.4万亿美元，比2021年的4.9万亿美元增长50%。</li><li>MercadoLibre是拉丁美洲最大的在线市场。</li><li>Shopify是最受欢迎的电子商务软件供应商。</li></ul>根据eMarketer的数据，今年消费者将在网上购物花费4.9万亿美元，预计这一数字将以10.7%的年化速度增长，到2025年将达到7.4万亿美元。即便如此，电子商务仍将仅占零售总支出的25%，为未来增长留下了充足的空间。这为投资者创造了重大机会。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind,<b>MercadoLibre</b>(NASDAQ:MELI) and <b>Shopify</b>(NYSE:SHOP) have become key players in the e-commerce industry. Both businesses benefit from strong competitive positions, and I think both stocks could grow fourfold over the next decade, a pace that would turn $250,000 into $1 million.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，<b>自由市场</b>（纳斯达克：MELI）及<b>Shopify</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）已成为电子商务行业的关键参与者。这两家公司都受益于强大的竞争地位，我认为这两只股票在未来十年可能会增长四倍，这一速度将从25万美元增长到100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Here's what you should know.</p><p><blockquote>这是你应该知道的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a171fc5fe60ac9d0335362d62ab885\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. MercadoLibre</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.自由市场</b></blockquote></p><p> MercadoLibre is the largest e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America. The company operates across 18 countries, and in each region its marketplace is the leader in terms of unique visitors and page views. To reinforce that advantage, it offers a number of value-added services to its merchants, including payment processing, financing, advertising, and logistics support.</p><p><blockquote>MercadoLibre是拉丁美洲最大的电子商务和金融科技平台。该公司在18个国家开展业务，在每个地区，其市场在独立访问者和页面浏览量方面都处于领先地位。为了巩固这一优势，它为商家提供了一系列增值服务，包括支付处理、融资、广告和物流支持。</blockquote></p><p> The company's fintech platform, Mercado Pago, is of particular importance. A relatively small percentage of the Latin American population has access to bank accounts and debit cards, and Mercado Pago democratizes access to financial services, allowing consumers to fund purchases both online and offline. Mercado Pago allows MercadoLibre to monetize commerce more broadly, even when the transactions don't occur on its marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的金融科技平台Mercado Pago尤为重要。相对较小比例的拉丁美洲人口可以使用银行账户和借记卡，Mercado Pago使金融服务的获取民主化，允许消费者在线上和线下为购买提供资金。Mercado Pago允许MercadoLibre更广泛地将商业货币化，即使交易不在其市场上发生。</blockquote></p><p> Collectively, MercadoLibre's scale and product portfolio create a powerful network effect. Merchants naturally gravitate toward the most popular marketplace, and consumers seek out the greatest product selection. In other words, each new merchant creates value for every consumer, and each new consumer creates value for every merchant. And the same dynamic applies to Mercado Pago.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，MercadoLibre的规模和产品组合创造了强大的网络效应。商家自然会被最受欢迎的市场所吸引，而消费者则会寻找最棒的产品选择。换句话说，每一个新商家都为每一个消费者创造价值，每一个新消费者都为每一个商家创造价值。同样的动态也适用于Mercado Pago。</blockquote></p><p> That virtuous cycle has translated into strong sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>这种良性循环转化为强劲的销售增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cbd0c937796cf8e168e3b31db62072f\" tg-width=\"1148\" tg-height=\"161\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DATA SOURCE: YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING-12-MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCHARTS。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Also noteworthy: MercadoLibre is profitable on a GAAP basis, generating net income of $78.8 million over the last 12 months, up from a loss of $4.1 million in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>同样值得注意的是：MercadoLibre在GAAP基础上实现盈利，过去12个月净利润为7880万美元，高于上一年的亏损410万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Internet penetration currently sits at 62% in Latin America, far lower than the 95% internet penetration in North America. As that number trends upward in the coming years, e-commerce and digital payments should become increasingly popular with consumers, and MercadoLibre's strong competitive position means it should be a major beneficiary.</p><p><blockquote>拉丁美洲的互联网普及率目前为62%，远低于北美95%的互联网普及率。随着未来几年这一数字呈上升趋势，电子商务和数字支付应该会越来越受到消费者的欢迎，而MercadoLibre强大的竞争地位意味着它应该成为主要受益者。</blockquote></p><p> Here's the bottom line: Despite its strong financial performance and massive market opportunity, MercadoLibre is still just a $62 billion business. But if the company can maintain its competitive edge, it's easy to imagine MercadoLibre as a $248 billion company a decade from now. In fact, I think this stock could grow tenfold over the next 10 to 15 years.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：尽管MercadoLibre拥有强劲的财务业绩和巨大的市场机会，但它仍然只是一项价值620亿美元的业务。但如果该公司能够保持其竞争优势，很容易想象十年后MercadoLibre将成为一家价值2480亿美元的公司。事实上，我认为这只股票在未来10到15年内可能会增长十倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Shopify</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Shopify</b></blockquote></p><p> Shopify takes a slightly different approach. Its software helps merchants build their own custom websites, and it syncs sales across physical and digital storefronts, making it easy to manage an omnichannel business. Shopify also provides value-added services like payment processing, shipping, and financing, as well as tools for money management and marketing.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify采取了略有不同的方法。其软件帮助商家建立自己的定制网站，并同步实体和数字店面的销售，从而轻松管理全渠道业务。Shopify还提供支付处理、运输和融资等增值服务，以及资金管理和营销工具。</blockquote></p><p> In short, Shopify helps businesses build their own brands and forge lasting relationships with customers. And the company's comprehensive portfolio of software and services makes its platform very sticky, which has translated into strong demand. In fact, Shopify is the most popular e-commerce software in the world, powering approximately 27% of online storefronts.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，Shopify帮助企业建立自己的品牌并与客户建立持久的关系。该公司全面的软件和服务组合使其平台具有很强的粘性，这转化为强劲的需求。事实上，Shopify是世界上最受欢迎的电子商务软件，为大约27%的在线店面提供支持。</blockquote></p><p> To reinforce that advantage, Shopify launched the Shop mobile app last year, a product designed to drive buyer engagement and repeat purchases. Specifically, the Shop app allows consumers to find and follow new brands, receive relevant product recommendations, and track orders. The app is now available in 17 different countries.</p><p><blockquote>为了巩固这一优势，Shopify去年推出了Shop移动应用程序，这是一款旨在提高买家参与度和重复购买的产品。具体来说，商店应用程序允许消费者查找和关注新品牌，接收相关产品推荐，并跟踪订单。该应用程序现已在17个不同的国家推出。</blockquote></p><p> Collectively, Shopify's ambitious growth strategy and strong competitive position have powered an impressive top-line performance over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，Shopify雄心勃勃的增长战略和强大的竞争地位推动了过去一年令人印象深刻的营收表现。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/589e4a47d2a21c066d305f839e18a2c6\" tg-width=\"1148\" tg-height=\"162\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DATA SOURCE: YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING-12-MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCHARTS。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like MercadoLibre, Shopify is profitable on a GAAP basis. The company generated $3.4 billion in net income over the past 12 months. And while the vast majority of that came from unrealized gains on investments,adjusted net income (which excludes those gains) was still $840.4 million, up 145% from the prior year.</p><p><blockquote>与MercadoLibre一样，Shopify在GAAP基础上也是盈利的。该公司过去12个月净利润为34亿美元。尽管其中绝大多数来自未实现的投资收益，但调整后净利润（不包括这些收益）仍为8.404亿美元，比上年增长145%。</blockquote></p><p> Going forward, Shopify is well positioned to maintain that momentum. The company puts its addressable market at $153 billion,, and management is executing on a smart growth strategy. I think those tailwinds could transform this $172 billion business into a $688 billion enterprise over the next decade, a pace that would produce fourfold returns for shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Shopify有能力保持这一势头。该公司预计其潜在市场为1530亿美元，管理层正在执行明智的增长战略。我认为，这些顺风可能会在未来十年内将这项价值1,720亿美元的业务转变为价值6,880亿美元的企业，这一速度将为股东带来四倍的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/23/want-to-be-a-millionaire-2-stocks-to-buy-and-hold/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc","MELI":"MercadoLibre"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/23/want-to-be-a-millionaire-2-stocks-to-buy-and-hold/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155518588","content_text":"Key Points\n\nConsumers will spend $7.4 trillion online by 2025, up 50% from $4.9 trillion in 2021.\nMercadoLibre is the largest online marketplace in Latin America.\nShopify is the most popular e-commerce software vendor.\n\nAccording to eMarketer, consumers will spend $4.9 trillion shopping online this year, and that figure is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 10.7% to reach $7.4 trillion by 2025. Even then, e-commerce will represent just 25% of total retail spending, leaving plenty of room for future growth. That creates a significant opportunity for investors.\nWith that in mind,MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI) and Shopify(NYSE:SHOP) have become key players in the e-commerce industry. Both businesses benefit from strong competitive positions, and I think both stocks could grow fourfold over the next decade, a pace that would turn $250,000 into $1 million.\nHere's what you should know.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. MercadoLibre\nMercadoLibre is the largest e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America. The company operates across 18 countries, and in each region its marketplace is the leader in terms of unique visitors and page views. To reinforce that advantage, it offers a number of value-added services to its merchants, including payment processing, financing, advertising, and logistics support.\nThe company's fintech platform, Mercado Pago, is of particular importance. A relatively small percentage of the Latin American population has access to bank accounts and debit cards, and Mercado Pago democratizes access to financial services, allowing consumers to fund purchases both online and offline. Mercado Pago allows MercadoLibre to monetize commerce more broadly, even when the transactions don't occur on its marketplace.\nCollectively, MercadoLibre's scale and product portfolio create a powerful network effect. Merchants naturally gravitate toward the most popular marketplace, and consumers seek out the greatest product selection. In other words, each new merchant creates value for every consumer, and each new consumer creates value for every merchant. And the same dynamic applies to Mercado Pago.\nThat virtuous cycle has translated into strong sales growth.\nDATA SOURCE: YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING-12-MONTHS.\nAlso noteworthy: MercadoLibre is profitable on a GAAP basis, generating net income of $78.8 million over the last 12 months, up from a loss of $4.1 million in the previous year.\nInternet penetration currently sits at 62% in Latin America, far lower than the 95% internet penetration in North America. As that number trends upward in the coming years, e-commerce and digital payments should become increasingly popular with consumers, and MercadoLibre's strong competitive position means it should be a major beneficiary.\nHere's the bottom line: Despite its strong financial performance and massive market opportunity, MercadoLibre is still just a $62 billion business. But if the company can maintain its competitive edge, it's easy to imagine MercadoLibre as a $248 billion company a decade from now. In fact, I think this stock could grow tenfold over the next 10 to 15 years.\n2. Shopify\nShopify takes a slightly different approach. Its software helps merchants build their own custom websites, and it syncs sales across physical and digital storefronts, making it easy to manage an omnichannel business. Shopify also provides value-added services like payment processing, shipping, and financing, as well as tools for money management and marketing.\nIn short, Shopify helps businesses build their own brands and forge lasting relationships with customers. And the company's comprehensive portfolio of software and services makes its platform very sticky, which has translated into strong demand. In fact, Shopify is the most popular e-commerce software in the world, powering approximately 27% of online storefronts.\nTo reinforce that advantage, Shopify launched the Shop mobile app last year, a product designed to drive buyer engagement and repeat purchases. Specifically, the Shop app allows consumers to find and follow new brands, receive relevant product recommendations, and track orders. The app is now available in 17 different countries.\nCollectively, Shopify's ambitious growth strategy and strong competitive position have powered an impressive top-line performance over the past year.\nDATA SOURCE: YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING-12-MONTHS.\nLike MercadoLibre, Shopify is profitable on a GAAP basis. The company generated $3.4 billion in net income over the past 12 months. And while the vast majority of that came from unrealized gains on investments,adjusted net income (which excludes those gains) was still $840.4 million, up 145% from the prior year.\nGoing forward, Shopify is well positioned to maintain that momentum. The company puts its addressable market at $153 billion,, and management is executing on a smart growth strategy. I think those tailwinds could transform this $172 billion business into a $688 billion enterprise over the next decade, a pace that would produce fourfold returns for shareholders.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MELI":0.9,"SHOP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1588,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852086591,"gmtCreate":1635223002720,"gmtModify":1635223105649,"author":{"id":"4088122607957550","authorId":"4088122607957550","name":"AMCer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865b02f3cef18568246e2a89ed6e15e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088122607957550","idStr":"4088122607957550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SESN\">$Sesen Bio, Inc.(SESN)$</a>Hope you start to move up. ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SESN\">$Sesen Bio, Inc.(SESN)$</a>Hope you start to move up. ","text":"$Sesen Bio, Inc.(SESN)$Hope you start to move up.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc27df0f0ded0929ca4e2dc841180ecd","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852086591","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1987,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827596408,"gmtCreate":1634499040940,"gmtModify":1634499041110,"author":{"id":"4088122607957550","authorId":"4088122607957550","name":"AMCer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865b02f3cef18568246e2a89ed6e15e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088122607957550","idStr":"4088122607957550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"CCXI to the moon","listText":"CCXI to the moon","text":"CCXI to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827596408","repostId":"1126392190","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822918034,"gmtCreate":1634084410546,"gmtModify":1634084410719,"author":{"id":"4088122607957550","authorId":"4088122607957550","name":"AMCer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865b02f3cef18568246e2a89ed6e15e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088122607957550","idStr":"4088122607957550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>Waiting for it to fly","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>Waiting for it to fly","text":"$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$Waiting for it to fly","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c5d5745e1d5b7c84810bbcb432a86ff","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822918034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":814241656,"gmtCreate":1630832132975,"gmtModify":1632905644343,"author":{"id":"4088122607957550","authorId":"4088122607957550","name":"AMCer","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865b02f3cef18568246e2a89ed6e15e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088122607957550","idStr":"4088122607957550"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All the best","listText":"All the best","text":"All the best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814241656","repostId":"1169514310","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169514310","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630656896,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169514310?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169514310","media":"Barron's","summary":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w","content":"<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，股票经历了令人印象深刻的一年，但距离2021年结束还有四个月的时间。那么接下来会发生什么？更正？更多收获？现在，更容易证明涨势继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过，首先，投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数今年迄今已上涨约21%，远高于约10%的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月，该指数的回调幅度没有超过5%——回调被定义为下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调5%或更多。或者持续的通胀，这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂，足以促使一些分析师预测经济会出现回落。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间才能建立新的税收结构，或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。缩减购债规模的讨论已经持续了几个月，美联储仍坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此，过去几周市场上涨的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的迹象。自8月18日以来，标普500已上涨3%，这是短暂而浅跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔·吉布斯(Michael Gibbs)写道：“上周[市场]内部结构有所改善。”</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先，交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，8月底，SPDR标普500交易所交易基金信托（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的每日交易股票数量约为5400万股。这高于本月中旬的略低于5000万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：当更多的市场参与者进行交易并且他们出价更高时，这是对市场的信任票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次，涨势基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如，雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)表示，纽约证券交易所上市的近80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在2020年11月。更多股票参与涨势意味着主要股指较少依赖一组股票走高。此外，经济敏感型股票也在上涨，这意味着投资者对未来经济持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的收益还是修正？我们已经证明了我们的观点，但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 16:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，股票经历了令人印象深刻的一年，但距离2021年结束还有四个月的时间。那么接下来会发生什么？更正？更多收获？现在，更容易证明涨势继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过，首先，投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数今年迄今已上涨约21%，远高于约10%的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月，该指数的回调幅度没有超过5%——回调被定义为下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调5%或更多。或者持续的通胀，这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂，足以促使一些分析师预测经济会出现回落。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间才能建立新的税收结构，或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。缩减购债规模的讨论已经持续了几个月，美联储仍坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此，过去几周市场上涨的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的迹象。自8月18日以来，标普500已上涨3%，这是短暂而浅跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔·吉布斯(Michael Gibbs)写道：“上周[市场]内部结构有所改善。”</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先，交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，8月底，SPDR标普500交易所交易基金信托（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的每日交易股票数量约为5400万股。这高于本月中旬的略低于5000万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：当更多的市场参与者进行交易并且他们出价更高时，这是对市场的信任票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次，涨势基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如，雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)表示，纽约证券交易所上市的近80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在2020年11月。更多股票参与涨势意味着主要股指较少依赖一组股票走高。此外，经济敏感型股票也在上涨，这意味着投资者对未来经济持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的收益还是修正？我们已经证明了我们的观点，但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169514310","content_text":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.\nFirst, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.\nTheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.\nStill, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.\nBut who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.\nSo the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.\n“[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.\nFirst off, transaction volumes are improving.\nIn late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.\nThe upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.\nSecondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.\nThe last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.\nSo more gains or a correction? 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