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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-11-21
Good roundup
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-11-18
[笑哭]
EV stocks slid in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>
EV stocks slid in morning trading.Canoo,Rivian,Lucid,Workhorse,Nikola,Fisker,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li
EV stocks slid in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-11-02
Go long, we will be fine
Hot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国股票在盘前交易中下跌</blockquote>
Hot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NetEase,Bilibili,KE h
Hot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国股票在盘前交易中下跌</blockquote>
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-09-16
Her approach is buy and sell to take profit, no need to be alarm. [微笑]
非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-09-14
Good to know
S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo
S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-09-07
Awesome tips
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-09-02
awesome
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-09-01
[微笑]
Lucid Stock is Tanking. The Reason Has Nothing to Do With EV Manufacturing.<blockquote>Lucid股票正在下跌。原因与电动汽车制造无关。</blockquote>
Investors in Lucid are set to have one of the difficult days that often happen among start-up electr
Lucid Stock is Tanking. The Reason Has Nothing to Do With EV Manufacturing.<blockquote>Lucid股票正在下跌。原因与电动汽车制造无关。</blockquote>
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-08-21
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
Team up with MUFG to operate exchange in Japan,Buy 500mil into crypto,Good revenue and cash flow,Can't wait to see the share price go up steadily.. :)
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CKCC
CKCC
·
2021-08-18
hmm.. how true?
A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>
Summary The stock market is historically overvalued. The stock market is overbought on long-term ch
A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>
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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks slid in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-18 23:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks slid in morning trading.Canoo,Rivian,Lucid,Workhorse,Nikola,Fisker,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 14%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌。Canoo、Rivian、Lucid、Workhorse、尼古拉、菲斯克、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车跌幅在2%至14%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bee6793f4565e10abce8103b7e66c24\" tg-width=\"413\" tg-height=\"719\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIU":"小牛电动","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","FSR":"菲斯克","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137107762","content_text":"EV stocks slid in morning trading.Canoo,Rivian,Lucid,Workhorse,Nikola,Fisker,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 14%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARVL":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9,"LCID":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"FSR":0.9,"GOEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"XPEV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843527230,"gmtCreate":1635843849575,"gmtModify":1635843849575,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go long, we will be fine","listText":"Go long, we will be fine","text":"Go long, we will be 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premarket trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NetEase,Bilibili,KE holding,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 1% and 4%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股盘前下跌。阿里巴巴、拼多多、京东、百度、网易、哔哩哔哩、科控股、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车跌幅在1%至4%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feaefcfb4e54fa93d6d4d2bf8c76f8d4\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国股票在盘前交易中下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading<blockquote>热门中国股票在盘前交易中下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-02 16:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NetEase,Bilibili,KE holding,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 1% and 4%.</p><p><blockquote>热门中概股盘前下跌。阿里巴巴、拼多多、京东、百度、网易、哔哩哔哩、科控股、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车跌幅在1%至4%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feaefcfb4e54fa93d6d4d2bf8c76f8d4\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BEKE":"贝壳","PDD":"拼多多","LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","BIDU":"百度","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","RLX":"雾芯科技","JD":"京东","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NTES":"网易","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186935118","content_text":"Hot chinese stocks dropped in premarket trading.Alibaba,Pinduoduo,JD.com,Baidu,NetEase,Bilibili,KE holding,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 1% and 4%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"JD":0.9,"RLX":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"LI":0.9,"BIDU":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"BEKE":0.9,"NTES":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"BILI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885883823,"gmtCreate":1631775930662,"gmtModify":1631891684778,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Her approach is buy and sell to take profit, no need to be alarm. [微笑] ","listText":"Her approach is buy and sell to take profit, no need to be alarm. [微笑] ","text":"Her approach is buy and sell to take profit, no need to be alarm. [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885883823","repostId":"2167287516","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886163400,"gmtCreate":1631575916400,"gmtModify":1631891684782,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good to know","listText":"Good to know","text":"Good to know","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886163400","repostId":"1178276551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178276551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631574947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178276551?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178276551","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178276551","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.\nInvestors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.\n“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”\nMarket participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.\nGoldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.\nThe Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.\n“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”\nOther key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.\nShares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.\nCoinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.\nSalesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817728998,"gmtCreate":1630990295214,"gmtModify":1631891684790,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome tips","listText":"Awesome tips","text":"Awesome tips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817728998","repostId":"2165880909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812694708,"gmtCreate":1630580348804,"gmtModify":1631891684797,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"awesome","listText":"awesome","text":"awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812694708","repostId":"1159580926","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816583117,"gmtCreate":1630507227939,"gmtModify":1631891684793,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[微笑]","listText":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816583117","repostId":"1166477679","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166477679","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630506475,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166477679?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-01 22:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Lucid Stock is Tanking. The Reason Has Nothing to Do With EV Manufacturing.<blockquote>Lucid股票正在下跌。原因与电动汽车制造无关。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166477679","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Investors in Lucid are set to have one of the difficult days that often happen among start-up electr","content":"<p>Investors in Lucid are set to have one of the difficult days that often happen among start-up electric-vehicle companies. The share were down 16% in early trading, while the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat..</p><p><blockquote>Lucid的投资者将经历初创电动汽车公司中经常发生的艰难日子之一。该股早盘下跌16%，而标准普尔500指数上涨0.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数持平..</blockquote></p><p> Life can be tough for investors in these companies.So many things can move the stock price significantly. Many of them have nothing to do with corporate fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>对于这些公司的投资者来说，生活可能会很艰难。很多事情都可以显着影响股价。其中很多与企业基本面无关。</blockquote></p><p> The issue Wednesday is the expiration of a stock-selling prohibition for investors inLucid’s PIPE, or private investment in public equity. The PIPE lockup expired Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三的问题是Lucid PIPE（即公共股权私人投资）投资者的股票销售禁令到期。管道锁定于周三到期。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid became a publicly traded company, and raised more than $4 billion, by merging with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. PIPEs are a common feature of SPAC mergers. The Lucid PIPE raised about $2.5 billion of the total $4.4 billion the company received.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid成为一家上市公司，并通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并筹集了超过40亿美元。管道是SPAC合并的共同特征。Lucid PIPE筹集了该公司收到的44亿美元总额中的约25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The quality of the PIPE investors–they can be large institutions–often improves investors’ perceptions about a SPAC merger. Lucid’s PIPE investors included accounts managed by BlackRock(BLK), Fidelity Management & Research,Franklin Templeton,Neuberger Berman, Wellington Management, and others.</p><p><blockquote>PIPE投资者的质量（他们可以是大型机构）通常会改善投资者对SPAC合并的看法。Lucid的PIPE投资者包括贝莱德(BLK)、富达管理与研究、富兰克林邓普顿、路博迈、惠灵顿管理等管理的账户。</blockquote></p><p> PIPE investors own about 10% of the stock, based on recent filings. The PIPE stock was sold at about $15 a share, so those investors are sitting on nice gains. Lucid stock was at $16.84 in early trading.</p><p><blockquote>根据最近提交的文件，PIPE投资者拥有该股约10%的股份。PIPE股票的售价约为每股15美元，因此这些投资者将获得可观的收益。Lucid股价早盘报16.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> Anytime a large block of stock becomes available to sell, shares can be weak. Investors, and traders, look to get out ahead of any selling by large shareholders. It can create a situation, where the fear of selling creates actual selling.</p><p><blockquote>每当大量股票可供出售时，股价就会疲软。投资者和交易员希望在大股东抛售之前退出。它会造成一种情况，即对销售的恐惧会导致实际销售。</blockquote></p><p> None of the PIPE shareholders have to sell, of course. They simply can sell now. Lucid wasn’t immediately available to comment on the PIPE, investors’ plans, or the lockup expiration.</p><p><blockquote>当然，PIPE股东都不必出售。他们现在可以卖了。Lucid没有立即就PIPE、投资者的计划或禁售期到期发表评论。</blockquote></p><p> Coming into Wednesday, Lucid stock was down about 7% over the past three months. The S&P has gained about 8% over the same span.</p><p><blockquote>截至周三，Lucid股价在过去三个月内下跌了约7%。同期，标准普尔指数上涨了约8%。</blockquote></p><p> Other EV stocks have been weak too. The semiconductor shortage, which is constraining global auto production, together with a downbeat forecast from General Motors(GM) regarding its second-half 2021earnings, seem to have taken some of the wind out of the sails of the sector.</p><p><blockquote>其他电动汽车股票也表现疲软。限制全球汽车生产的半导体短缺，加上通用汽车(GM)对其2021年下半年盈利的悲观预测，似乎让该行业失去了一些动力。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid plans to start making and delivering its first EV, the Lucid Air, later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid计划于2021年晚些时候开始制造和交付其首款电动汽车Lucid Air。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lucid Stock is Tanking. The Reason Has Nothing to Do With EV Manufacturing.<blockquote>Lucid股票正在下跌。原因与电动汽车制造无关。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLucid Stock is Tanking. The Reason Has Nothing to Do With EV Manufacturing.<blockquote>Lucid股票正在下跌。原因与电动汽车制造无关。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-01 22:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors in Lucid are set to have one of the difficult days that often happen among start-up electric-vehicle companies. The share were down 16% in early trading, while the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat..</p><p><blockquote>Lucid的投资者将经历初创电动汽车公司中经常发生的艰难日子之一。该股早盘下跌16%，而标准普尔500指数上涨0.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数持平..</blockquote></p><p> Life can be tough for investors in these companies.So many things can move the stock price significantly. Many of them have nothing to do with corporate fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>对于这些公司的投资者来说，生活可能会很艰难。很多事情都可以显着影响股价。其中很多与企业基本面无关。</blockquote></p><p> The issue Wednesday is the expiration of a stock-selling prohibition for investors inLucid’s PIPE, or private investment in public equity. The PIPE lockup expired Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三的问题是Lucid PIPE（即公共股权私人投资）投资者的股票销售禁令到期。管道锁定于周三到期。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid became a publicly traded company, and raised more than $4 billion, by merging with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. PIPEs are a common feature of SPAC mergers. The Lucid PIPE raised about $2.5 billion of the total $4.4 billion the company received.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid成为一家上市公司，并通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并筹集了超过40亿美元。管道是SPAC合并的共同特征。Lucid PIPE筹集了该公司收到的44亿美元总额中的约25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The quality of the PIPE investors–they can be large institutions–often improves investors’ perceptions about a SPAC merger. Lucid’s PIPE investors included accounts managed by BlackRock(BLK), Fidelity Management & Research,Franklin Templeton,Neuberger Berman, Wellington Management, and others.</p><p><blockquote>PIPE投资者的质量（他们可以是大型机构）通常会改善投资者对SPAC合并的看法。Lucid的PIPE投资者包括贝莱德(BLK)、富达管理与研究、富兰克林邓普顿、路博迈、惠灵顿管理等管理的账户。</blockquote></p><p> PIPE investors own about 10% of the stock, based on recent filings. The PIPE stock was sold at about $15 a share, so those investors are sitting on nice gains. Lucid stock was at $16.84 in early trading.</p><p><blockquote>根据最近提交的文件，PIPE投资者拥有该股约10%的股份。PIPE股票的售价约为每股15美元，因此这些投资者将获得可观的收益。Lucid股价早盘报16.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> Anytime a large block of stock becomes available to sell, shares can be weak. Investors, and traders, look to get out ahead of any selling by large shareholders. It can create a situation, where the fear of selling creates actual selling.</p><p><blockquote>每当大量股票可供出售时，股价就会疲软。投资者和交易员希望在大股东抛售之前退出。它会造成一种情况，即对销售的恐惧会导致实际销售。</blockquote></p><p> None of the PIPE shareholders have to sell, of course. They simply can sell now. Lucid wasn’t immediately available to comment on the PIPE, investors’ plans, or the lockup expiration.</p><p><blockquote>当然，PIPE股东都不必出售。他们现在可以卖了。Lucid没有立即就PIPE、投资者的计划或禁售期到期发表评论。</blockquote></p><p> Coming into Wednesday, Lucid stock was down about 7% over the past three months. The S&P has gained about 8% over the same span.</p><p><blockquote>截至周三，Lucid股价在过去三个月内下跌了约7%。同期，标准普尔指数上涨了约8%。</blockquote></p><p> Other EV stocks have been weak too. The semiconductor shortage, which is constraining global auto production, together with a downbeat forecast from General Motors(GM) regarding its second-half 2021earnings, seem to have taken some of the wind out of the sails of the sector.</p><p><blockquote>其他电动汽车股票也表现疲软。限制全球汽车生产的半导体短缺，加上通用汽车(GM)对其2021年下半年盈利的悲观预测，似乎让该行业失去了一些动力。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid plans to start making and delivering its first EV, the Lucid Air, later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid计划于2021年晚些时候开始制造和交付其首款电动汽车Lucid Air。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/lucid-stock-falls-pipe-sales-lockup-51630504671?mod=newsviewer_click\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/lucid-stock-falls-pipe-sales-lockup-51630504671?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1166477679","content_text":"Investors in Lucid are set to have one of the difficult days that often happen among start-up electric-vehicle companies. The share were down 16% in early trading, while the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat..\nLife can be tough for investors in these companies.So many things can move the stock price significantly. Many of them have nothing to do with corporate fundamentals.\nThe issue Wednesday is the expiration of a stock-selling prohibition for investors inLucid’s PIPE, or private investment in public equity. The PIPE lockup expired Wednesday.\nLucid became a publicly traded company, and raised more than $4 billion, by merging with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. PIPEs are a common feature of SPAC mergers. The Lucid PIPE raised about $2.5 billion of the total $4.4 billion the company received.\nThe quality of the PIPE investors–they can be large institutions–often improves investors’ perceptions about a SPAC merger. Lucid’s PIPE investors included accounts managed by BlackRock(BLK), Fidelity Management & Research,Franklin Templeton,Neuberger Berman, Wellington Management, and others.\nPIPE investors own about 10% of the stock, based on recent filings. The PIPE stock was sold at about $15 a share, so those investors are sitting on nice gains. Lucid stock was at $16.84 in early trading.\nAnytime a large block of stock becomes available to sell, shares can be weak. Investors, and traders, look to get out ahead of any selling by large shareholders. It can create a situation, where the fear of selling creates actual selling.\nNone of the PIPE shareholders have to sell, of course. They simply can sell now. Lucid wasn’t immediately available to comment on the PIPE, investors’ plans, or the lockup expiration.\nComing into Wednesday, Lucid stock was down about 7% over the past three months. The S&P has gained about 8% over the same span.\nOther EV stocks have been weak too. The semiconductor shortage, which is constraining global auto production, together with a downbeat forecast from General Motors(GM) regarding its second-half 2021earnings, seem to have taken some of the wind out of the sails of the sector.\nLucid plans to start making and delivering its first EV, the Lucid Air, later in 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832031700,"gmtCreate":1629536788900,"gmtModify":1631884196569,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>Team up with MUFG to operate exchange in Japan,Buy 500mil into crypto,Good revenue and cash flow,Can't wait to see the share price go up steadily.. :)","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>Team up with MUFG to operate exchange in Japan,Buy 500mil into crypto,Good revenue and cash flow,Can't wait to see the share price go up steadily.. :)","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Team up with MUFG to operate exchange in Japan,Buy 500mil into crypto,Good revenue and cash flow,Can't wait to see the share price go up steadily.. :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832031700","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831144065,"gmtCreate":1629296792557,"gmtModify":1631891684794,"author":{"id":"4089675576670500","authorId":"4089675576670500","name":"CKCC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b35bb431f122b9c783c3dfda9556b5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089675576670500","idStr":"4089675576670500"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmm.. how true?","listText":"hmm.. how true?","text":"hmm.. how true?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831144065","repostId":"1144088215","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144088215","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629295773,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144088215?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 22:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144088215","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe stock market is historically overvalued.\nThe stock market is overbought on long-term ch","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The stock market is historically overvalued.</li> <li>The stock market is overbought on long-term charts.</li> <li>Large caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse.</li> <li>The Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watch the taper closely.</li> <li>Raise cash quickly to the high end of your asset allocation policy.</li> </ul> Any look at an investment should start by asking about what the risks are. For context, we often look at the broader S&P 500 (SPY) which represents most of the market capitalization in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股市历来被高估。</li><li>从长期图表来看，股市处于超买状态。</li><li>大盘股可以轻松调整20%-30%，某些模因股和僵尸股可能会更糟。</li><li>美联储将一如既往地在我们看到的衰退深度中发挥关键作用，密切关注缩减规模。</li><li>快速筹集现金到你的资产配置政策的高端。</li></ul>任何对投资的审视都应该从询问风险开始。作为背景，我们经常关注更广泛的标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF），它代表了美国的大部分市值。</blockquote></p><p> Last year I warned that the stock market could become very overvalued. I urged caution in picking out stocks and ETFs. I also recommended Tesla (TSLA), Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the Invesco Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), so I am no uber-bear.</p><p><blockquote>去年我警告说，股市可能会变得非常高估。我敦促谨慎挑选股票和ETF。我还推荐了特斯拉(TSLA)、比特币(BTC-USD)、景顺清洁能源ETF(PBW)和方舟创新ETF(ARKK)，所以我不是超级空头。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the stock market is broadly overvalued, including both the Meme stocks and the Zombie stocks. Investor ideas on TINA - there's no alternative, FOMO - fear of missing out, and \"buy the dips\" has worked for over a year on the back of Fed stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>如今，股市普遍被高估，包括模因股和僵尸股。投资者对TINA的看法——别无选择，FOMO——害怕错过，在美联储刺激措施的支持下，“逢低买入”已经奏效了一年多。</blockquote></p><p> Now that stimulus is poised to start being reduced we can look back at history. We have been to this game before. Expect a choppy stock market to emerge imminently, if it hasn't already.</p><p><blockquote>既然刺激措施即将开始减少，我们可以回顾一下历史。我们以前看过这个比赛。预计动荡的股市即将出现，如果还没有出现的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>S&P 500 Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500估值</b></blockquote></p><p> I have talked about excessive valuations in the stock market since around New Year’s. Here's about where we stand now.</p><p><blockquote>从新年前后开始，我就一直在谈论股市估值过高的问题。这是我们现在的处境。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f383143c5f4b2cf897f5a32c3dffb282\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> I pay special attention to Crestmont which I believe has an exceptional methodology. Here’s a combined look.</p><p><blockquote>我特别关注Crestmont，我认为它有一种特殊的方法。这是一个组合外观。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba63b9e6f3bb97de066c43c7580a7d0\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, valuations are partying like 1999. This includes the zombies that are on borrowed (literally) time. The questions are how long the party can last and which companies will crash the hardest?</p><p><blockquote>显然，估值正在像1999年一样狂欢。这包括借来（字面上）时间的僵尸。问题是这场派对能持续多久，哪些公司会崩溃得最严重？</blockquote></p><p> While I like the entire tech-driven innovation, clean energy, AI, IoT, automation and emerging space economy themes, most of the large-cap stocks are ahead of themselves. The valuations of the S&P 500 reflect that.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我喜欢整个技术驱动的创新、清洁能源、人工智能、物联网、自动化和新兴太空经济主题，但大多数大盘股都超前了。标普500的估值反映了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> While I have a hard time believing a reversion to mean would drive stocks back to fair valuation by historical standards due to interest rates likely to stay lower for longer, the simple withdrawal of QE - quantitative easing could see stocks drop 20% to 30% across large-cap indexes. Certain Meme categories and Zombie stocks could be worse.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我很难相信回归均值会推动股市回到历史标准的公平估值，因为利率可能会在更长时间内保持在较低水平，但简单地退出QE量化宽松可能会导致大盘指数下跌20%至30%。某些模因类别和僵尸股可能会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical View Of The S&P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500的技术观</b></blockquote></p><p> This is a monthly (SPY) chart. What jumps out at you?</p><p><blockquote>这是月度（SPDR标普500指数ETF）图表。什么让你印象深刻？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45d1a060559c8a7991499236ab7ee5b8\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> How about now?</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么样？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e7a38531178fc1ee1e321842c8c80ca\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/570890645cf8cc7eed30a3affaea8241\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A correction is inevitable. You are playing with fire if you are chasing here.</p><p><blockquote>修正是不可避免的。如果你在这里追，你就是在玩火。</blockquote></p><p> But, if you like it hot, there might be a bit more cigar to puff on before your lips get burned.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果你喜欢热的，在你的嘴唇被烧伤之前，可能会有更多的雪茄可以抽。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter’s daily chart shows that a correction hasn’t started yet, but there's very little room left on the upside. Again, tough to be a chaser here unless you're very adept at swing trading, especially moves measured in under a month.</p><p><blockquote>舒特的日线图显示，调整尚未开始，但上涨空间已经所剩无几。再说一次，除非你非常擅长波段交易，尤其是不到一个月的波动，否则很难成为一名追逐者。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter and I are both showing an S&P 500 correction to between about 350 and as low as around 300. A lot will depend on the size and speed of the Fed taper.</p><p><blockquote>舒特和我都显示标普500修正在350到300左右之间。很大程度上取决于美联储锥度的大小和速度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What About The Fed?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fa0280b46d20716904484e370a3d8e0\" tg-width=\"1168\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There's no denying the correlation of Fed balance sheet expansion and its impact on the stock market. When the Fed flattened the balance sheet in 2014 the stock market went choppy for two years.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，美联储资产负债表扩张及其对股市影响的相关性。当美联储在2014年缩减资产负债表时，股市波动了两年。</blockquote></p><p> That was followed by cheap oil which pushed stocks up. But then, the Fed started to shrink their balance sheet outright and we got the two massive bouts of volatility in 2018. By September 2019 the repo market was collapsing and QE was restarted which again pushed stocks up.</p><p><blockquote>随后是廉价石油推高了股市。但随后，美联储开始彻底缩减资产负债表，2018年出现了两次大规模波动。到2019年9月，回购市场崩溃，QE重启，再次推高股市。</blockquote></p><p> Then COVID-19 hit causing one of the largest economic shocks in history. The Fed's response was massive bailouts that exceededthe economic damage. That explosive shock and awe response has carried the stock market since.</p><p><blockquote>然后新冠肺炎来袭，造成了历史上最大的经济冲击之一。美联储的反应是大规模救助，其规模超过了经济损失。这种爆炸性的震惊和敬畏反应推动了股市。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now moved from talking about tapering to talking about when to taper. The consensus is to start flattening the expansion soon. At the same time, we are at historic valuations and overbought on long-term charts. What could go wrong?</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经从谈论缩减转向谈论何时缩减。共识是尽快开始平抑扩张。与此同时，我们的估值处于历史高位，并且在长期图表上处于超买状态。会出什么问题？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Interestingly, for the first time in a long time, margin debt ebbed a bit.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，很长一段时间以来，保证金债务首次有所退潮。</blockquote></p><p> That little tick near the bottom of the red line could just be a blip. Or it could be a sign of alligator jaws starting to close. There have been signs of reduced liquidity in recent weeks as indicated by the firming dollar. If the dollar rises to around $96 as I think is likely later this year or early next year, then stocks have a major headwind.</p><p><blockquote>红线底部附近的那个小滴答声可能只是一个信号。或者这可能是鳄鱼下巴开始闭合的迹象。最近几周出现了流动性减少的迹象，美元走强就表明了这一点。如果美元升至96美元左右（我认为可能在今年晚些时候或明年初），那么股市将面临重大阻力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aa7bfa757b16de395877355efd9d751\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Actions Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>立即投资行动</b></blockquote></p><p> Very simply, raise cash levels to the conservative edge of your asset allocation plan. If you are retired and conservative by nature, raising cash to 50% by trimming your weakest positions most is a great idea.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，将现金水平提高到资产配置计划的保守边缘。如果你已经退休并且天生保守，通过削减你最弱的头寸将现金提高到50%是一个好主意。</blockquote></p><p> If you're more aggressive, then ramping up to a war chest of 20% cash makes a lot of sense by trimming your least attractive long-term holdings and weakest performers the past year. Often performance is a simple way to identify the weaklings in a portfolio, though clearly, it's not always that easy.</p><p><blockquote>如果您更加激进，那么通过削减过去一年中最没有吸引力的长期持股和表现最差的股票，将现金储备增加到20%是很有意义的。通常，业绩是识别投资组合中弱者的简单方法，尽管显然，这并不总是那么容易。</blockquote></p><p> In short, tighten up your asset allocation. Risk management first.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，收紧资产配置。风险管理第一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Correction Is Due And It Could Be Deep<blockquote>修正是必要的，而且可能是深刻的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 22:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The stock market is historically overvalued.</li> <li>The stock market is overbought on long-term charts.</li> <li>Large caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse.</li> <li>The Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watch the taper closely.</li> <li>Raise cash quickly to the high end of your asset allocation policy.</li> </ul> Any look at an investment should start by asking about what the risks are. For context, we often look at the broader S&P 500 (SPY) which represents most of the market capitalization in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股市历来被高估。</li><li>从长期图表来看，股市处于超买状态。</li><li>大盘股可以轻松调整20%-30%，某些模因股和僵尸股可能会更糟。</li><li>美联储将一如既往地在我们看到的衰退深度中发挥关键作用，密切关注缩减规模。</li><li>快速筹集现金到你的资产配置政策的高端。</li></ul>任何对投资的审视都应该从询问风险开始。作为背景，我们经常关注更广泛的标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF），它代表了美国的大部分市值。</blockquote></p><p> Last year I warned that the stock market could become very overvalued. I urged caution in picking out stocks and ETFs. I also recommended Tesla (TSLA), Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the Invesco Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), so I am no uber-bear.</p><p><blockquote>去年我警告说，股市可能会变得非常高估。我敦促谨慎挑选股票和ETF。我还推荐了特斯拉(TSLA)、比特币(BTC-USD)、景顺清洁能源ETF(PBW)和方舟创新ETF(ARKK)，所以我不是超级空头。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the stock market is broadly overvalued, including both the Meme stocks and the Zombie stocks. Investor ideas on TINA - there's no alternative, FOMO - fear of missing out, and \"buy the dips\" has worked for over a year on the back of Fed stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>如今，股市普遍被高估，包括模因股和僵尸股。投资者对TINA的看法——别无选择，FOMO——害怕错过，在美联储刺激措施的支持下，“逢低买入”已经奏效了一年多。</blockquote></p><p> Now that stimulus is poised to start being reduced we can look back at history. We have been to this game before. Expect a choppy stock market to emerge imminently, if it hasn't already.</p><p><blockquote>既然刺激措施即将开始减少，我们可以回顾一下历史。我们以前看过这个比赛。预计动荡的股市即将出现，如果还没有出现的话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>S&P 500 Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500估值</b></blockquote></p><p> I have talked about excessive valuations in the stock market since around New Year’s. Here's about where we stand now.</p><p><blockquote>从新年前后开始，我就一直在谈论股市估值过高的问题。这是我们现在的处境。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f383143c5f4b2cf897f5a32c3dffb282\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> I pay special attention to Crestmont which I believe has an exceptional methodology. Here’s a combined look.</p><p><blockquote>我特别关注Crestmont，我认为它有一种特殊的方法。这是一个组合外观。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba63b9e6f3bb97de066c43c7580a7d0\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"660\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Clearly, valuations are partying like 1999. This includes the zombies that are on borrowed (literally) time. The questions are how long the party can last and which companies will crash the hardest?</p><p><blockquote>显然，估值正在像1999年一样狂欢。这包括借来（字面上）时间的僵尸。问题是这场派对能持续多久，哪些公司会崩溃得最严重？</blockquote></p><p> While I like the entire tech-driven innovation, clean energy, AI, IoT, automation and emerging space economy themes, most of the large-cap stocks are ahead of themselves. The valuations of the S&P 500 reflect that.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我喜欢整个技术驱动的创新、清洁能源、人工智能、物联网、自动化和新兴太空经济主题，但大多数大盘股都超前了。标普500的估值反映了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> While I have a hard time believing a reversion to mean would drive stocks back to fair valuation by historical standards due to interest rates likely to stay lower for longer, the simple withdrawal of QE - quantitative easing could see stocks drop 20% to 30% across large-cap indexes. Certain Meme categories and Zombie stocks could be worse.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我很难相信回归均值会推动股市回到历史标准的公平估值，因为利率可能会在更长时间内保持在较低水平，但简单地退出QE量化宽松可能会导致大盘指数下跌20%至30%。某些模因类别和僵尸股可能会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical View Of The S&P 500</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500的技术观</b></blockquote></p><p> This is a monthly (SPY) chart. What jumps out at you?</p><p><blockquote>这是月度（SPDR标普500指数ETF）图表。什么让你印象深刻？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45d1a060559c8a7991499236ab7ee5b8\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> How about now?</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么样？</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e7a38531178fc1ee1e321842c8c80ca\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/570890645cf8cc7eed30a3affaea8241\" tg-width=\"1834\" tg-height=\"861\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A correction is inevitable. You are playing with fire if you are chasing here.</p><p><blockquote>修正是不可避免的。如果你在这里追，你就是在玩火。</blockquote></p><p> But, if you like it hot, there might be a bit more cigar to puff on before your lips get burned.</p><p><blockquote>但是，如果你喜欢热的，在你的嘴唇被烧伤之前，可能会有更多的雪茄可以抽。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter’s daily chart shows that a correction hasn’t started yet, but there's very little room left on the upside. Again, tough to be a chaser here unless you're very adept at swing trading, especially moves measured in under a month.</p><p><blockquote>舒特的日线图显示，调整尚未开始，但上涨空间已经所剩无几。再说一次，除非你非常擅长波段交易，尤其是不到一个月的波动，否则很难成为一名追逐者。</blockquote></p><p> Shooter and I are both showing an S&P 500 correction to between about 350 and as low as around 300. A lot will depend on the size and speed of the Fed taper.</p><p><blockquote>舒特和我都显示标普500修正在350到300左右之间。很大程度上取决于美联储锥度的大小和速度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What About The Fed?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fa0280b46d20716904484e370a3d8e0\" tg-width=\"1168\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There's no denying the correlation of Fed balance sheet expansion and its impact on the stock market. When the Fed flattened the balance sheet in 2014 the stock market went choppy for two years.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，美联储资产负债表扩张及其对股市影响的相关性。当美联储在2014年缩减资产负债表时，股市波动了两年。</blockquote></p><p> That was followed by cheap oil which pushed stocks up. But then, the Fed started to shrink their balance sheet outright and we got the two massive bouts of volatility in 2018. By September 2019 the repo market was collapsing and QE was restarted which again pushed stocks up.</p><p><blockquote>随后是廉价石油推高了股市。但随后，美联储开始彻底缩减资产负债表，2018年出现了两次大规模波动。到2019年9月，回购市场崩溃，QE重启，再次推高股市。</blockquote></p><p> Then COVID-19 hit causing one of the largest economic shocks in history. The Fed's response was massive bailouts that exceededthe economic damage. That explosive shock and awe response has carried the stock market since.</p><p><blockquote>然后新冠肺炎来袭，造成了历史上最大的经济冲击之一。美联储的反应是大规模救助，其规模超过了经济损失。这种爆炸性的震惊和敬畏反应推动了股市。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed has now moved from talking about tapering to talking about when to taper. The consensus is to start flattening the expansion soon. At the same time, we are at historic valuations and overbought on long-term charts. What could go wrong?</p><p><blockquote>美联储现在已经从谈论缩减转向谈论何时缩减。共识是尽快开始平抑扩张。与此同时，我们的估值处于历史高位，并且在长期图表上处于超买状态。会出什么问题？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Interestingly, for the first time in a long time, margin debt ebbed a bit.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，很长一段时间以来，保证金债务首次有所退潮。</blockquote></p><p> That little tick near the bottom of the red line could just be a blip. Or it could be a sign of alligator jaws starting to close. There have been signs of reduced liquidity in recent weeks as indicated by the firming dollar. If the dollar rises to around $96 as I think is likely later this year or early next year, then stocks have a major headwind.</p><p><blockquote>红线底部附近的那个小滴答声可能只是一个信号。或者这可能是鳄鱼下巴开始闭合的迹象。最近几周出现了流动性减少的迹象，美元走强就表明了这一点。如果美元升至96美元左右（我认为可能在今年晚些时候或明年初），那么股市将面临重大阻力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6aa7bfa757b16de395877355efd9d751\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Actions Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>立即投资行动</b></blockquote></p><p> Very simply, raise cash levels to the conservative edge of your asset allocation plan. If you are retired and conservative by nature, raising cash to 50% by trimming your weakest positions most is a great idea.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，将现金水平提高到资产配置计划的保守边缘。如果你已经退休并且天生保守，通过削减你最弱的头寸将现金提高到50%是一个好主意。</blockquote></p><p> If you're more aggressive, then ramping up to a war chest of 20% cash makes a lot of sense by trimming your least attractive long-term holdings and weakest performers the past year. Often performance is a simple way to identify the weaklings in a portfolio, though clearly, it's not always that easy.</p><p><blockquote>如果您更加激进，那么通过削减过去一年中最没有吸引力的长期持股和表现最差的股票，将现金储备增加到20%是很有意义的。通常，业绩是识别投资组合中弱者的简单方法，尽管显然，这并不总是那么容易。</blockquote></p><p> In short, tighten up your asset allocation. Risk management first.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，收紧资产配置。风险管理第一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450105-a-correction-is-due-and-it-could-be-deep\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4450105-a-correction-is-due-and-it-could-be-deep","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144088215","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe stock market is historically overvalued.\nThe stock market is overbought on long-term charts.\nLarge caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse.\nThe Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watch the taper closely.\nRaise cash quickly to the high end of your asset allocation policy.\n\nAny look at an investment should start by asking about what the risks are. For context, we often look at the broader S&P 500 (SPY) which represents most of the market capitalization in the U.S.\nLast year I warned that the stock market could become very overvalued. I urged caution in picking out stocks and ETFs. I also recommended Tesla (TSLA), Bitcoin (BTC-USD), the Invesco Clean Energy ETF (PBW) and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), so I am no uber-bear.\nToday, the stock market is broadly overvalued, including both the Meme stocks and the Zombie stocks. Investor ideas on TINA - there's no alternative, FOMO - fear of missing out, and \"buy the dips\" has worked for over a year on the back of Fed stimulus.\nNow that stimulus is poised to start being reduced we can look back at history. We have been to this game before. Expect a choppy stock market to emerge imminently, if it hasn't already.\nS&P 500 Valuation\nI have talked about excessive valuations in the stock market since around New Year’s. Here's about where we stand now.\n\nI pay special attention to Crestmont which I believe has an exceptional methodology. Here’s a combined look.\n\nClearly, valuations are partying like 1999. This includes the zombies that are on borrowed (literally) time. The questions are how long the party can last and which companies will crash the hardest?\nWhile I like the entire tech-driven innovation, clean energy, AI, IoT, automation and emerging space economy themes, most of the large-cap stocks are ahead of themselves. The valuations of the S&P 500 reflect that.\nWhile I have a hard time believing a reversion to mean would drive stocks back to fair valuation by historical standards due to interest rates likely to stay lower for longer, the simple withdrawal of QE - quantitative easing could see stocks drop 20% to 30% across large-cap indexes. Certain Meme categories and Zombie stocks could be worse.\nThe Technical View Of The S&P 500\nThis is a monthly (SPY) chart. What jumps out at you?\n\nHow about now?\n\nA correction is inevitable. You are playing with fire if you are chasing here.\nBut, if you like it hot, there might be a bit more cigar to puff on before your lips get burned.\nShooter’s daily chart shows that a correction hasn’t started yet, but there's very little room left on the upside. Again, tough to be a chaser here unless you're very adept at swing trading, especially moves measured in under a month.\nShooter and I are both showing an S&P 500 correction to between about 350 and as low as around 300. A lot will depend on the size and speed of the Fed taper.\nWhat About The Fed?\n\nThere's no denying the correlation of Fed balance sheet expansion and its impact on the stock market. When the Fed flattened the balance sheet in 2014 the stock market went choppy for two years.\nThat was followed by cheap oil which pushed stocks up. But then, the Fed started to shrink their balance sheet outright and we got the two massive bouts of volatility in 2018. By September 2019 the repo market was collapsing and QE was restarted which again pushed stocks up.\nThen COVID-19 hit causing one of the largest economic shocks in history. The Fed's response was massive bailouts that exceededthe economic damage. That explosive shock and awe response has carried the stock market since.\nThe Fed has now moved from talking about tapering to talking about when to taper. The consensus is to start flattening the expansion soon. At the same time, we are at historic valuations and overbought on long-term charts. What could go wrong?\nInterestingly, for the first time in a long time, margin debt ebbed a bit.\nThat little tick near the bottom of the red line could just be a blip. Or it could be a sign of alligator jaws starting to close. There have been signs of reduced liquidity in recent weeks as indicated by the firming dollar. If the dollar rises to around $96 as I think is likely later this year or early next year, then stocks have a major headwind.\n\nInvestment Actions Now\nVery simply, raise cash levels to the conservative edge of your asset allocation plan. If you are retired and conservative by nature, raising cash to 50% by trimming your weakest positions most is a great idea.\nIf you're more aggressive, then ramping up to a war chest of 20% cash makes a lot of sense by trimming your least attractive long-term holdings and weakest performers the past year. Often performance is a simple way to identify the weaklings in a portfolio, though clearly, it's not always that easy.\nIn short, tighten up your asset allocation. Risk management first.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":false}