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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-12-08
  Good
  Samsung and Microsoft start joint AR HoloLens project<blockquote>三星和微软启动AR HoloLens联合项目</blockquote>
  Samsung Electronics has started an augmented reality (AR) HoloLens project with Microsoft, TheElec h
  Samsung and Microsoft start joint AR HoloLens project<blockquote>三星和微软启动AR HoloLens联合项目</blockquote>
  3,188 评论
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-11-14
  Ok
  If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>
  The stock market is a good inflation hedge Agence France-Presse/Getty Images Conventional wisdom sa
  If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>
  2,957 1
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-11-13
  Good
  Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>
  Summary Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating
  Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>
  2,850 评论
  3
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-11-04
  Noted
  非常抱歉，此主贴已删除
  3,086 1
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-10-25
  $SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$will it have steady growth?
  3,115 评论
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-10-20
  $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$Why is it dropping so much today
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-10-19
  $SATS LTD.(S58.SI)$C’mon, this is the besttime to buy before travelling pick up.
  1,625 评论
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- CupoCupo
  ·2021-10-18
  $Apple(AAPL)$Slowly but surely
  1,403 评论
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热议股票

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HoloLens is Microsoft’s AR display device model.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，该项目将持续两年，于今年夏天启动。HoloLens是微软的AR显示设备型号。</blockquote></p><p> Samsung had formed a&nbsp;taskforce for the project in March this year ahead of starting it with Microsoft in the summer.</p><p><blockquote>三星在今年3月为该项目成立了一个工作组，然后在夏天与微软一起启动该项目。</blockquote></p><p> Multiple business divisions of Samsung are part of the project, sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，三星的多个业务部门都是该项目的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Senior vice presidents from Samsung Display, Samsung Electro-Mechanics and Samsung SDI also took part in a meeting involving the project during the first half of 2021, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，三星显示器、三星机电和三星SDI的高级副总裁也参加了2021年上半年涉及该项目的会议。</blockquote></p><p> The project will last until 2023, with a commercial project resulting from it expected to be unveiled in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>该项目将持续到2023年，由此产生的商业项目预计将于2024年亮相。</blockquote></p><p> In 2019 and November of this year, Samsung has invested in US AR firm DigiLens, which is known for its waveguide technology used in AR display devices.</p><p><blockquote>2019年和今年11月，三星已经投资了美国AR公司DigiLens，该公司以其用于AR显示设备的波导技术而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> Waveguide technology is used to bend the light from the video playing on a display to the glasses, which is transparent in AR display devices as users need to see the real surrounding around them simultaneously with the virtual items on display.</p><p><blockquote>波导技术用于将显示器上播放的视频的光线弯曲到眼镜上，这在AR显示设备中是透明的，因为用户需要在看到虚拟物品的同时看到他们周围的真实环境。</blockquote></p><p> As AR devices need to be light and small, the internal space in these devices needs to be fully realized, so the light has to be bent in that space with minimal loss.</p><p><blockquote>由于AR设备需要轻而小，这些设备中的内部空间需要完全实现，因此光必须在该空间中以最小的损耗弯曲。</blockquote></p><p> By comparison, virtual reality devices don’t require the glasses to be transparent as they are a fully virtual experience and don't require the user to see their real life surroundings. The display is fully in front of the users’ eyes, so the light doesn’t need to bend.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，虚拟现实设备不需要眼镜是透明的，因为它们是完全虚拟的体验，不需要用户看到他们的真实生活环境。显示屏完全在用户眼前，因此光线不需要弯曲。</blockquote></p><p> In the project with Microsoft, Samsung will likely be the hardware manufacturer. The South Korean tech giant will also likely make the waveguide module.</p><p><blockquote>在与微软的项目中，三星很可能是硬件制造商。这家韩国科技巨头也可能生产波导模块。</blockquote></p><p> Samsung Display pushed strongly for Samsung Electronics to invest in DigiLens, the source said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，三星显示器强烈推动三星电子投资DigiLens。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Samsung ended support for its VR device called Gear VR last year.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，三星去年终止了对其名为Gear VR的VR设备的支持。</blockquote></p><p> By comparison, its competitors Meta, Apple, Google and Microsoft had continued to invest in AR projects over the years.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，其竞争对手Meta、苹果、谷歌和微软多年来一直在持续投资AR项目。</blockquote></p><p> According to analyst firm TrendForce, 200,000 units of HoloLens 2 were sold this year.</p><p><blockquote>根据分析公司TrendForce的数据，今年HoloLens 2的销量为20万台。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1638966578056","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Samsung and Microsoft start joint AR HoloLens project<blockquote>三星和微软启动AR HoloLens联合项目</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSamsung and Microsoft start joint AR HoloLens project<blockquote>三星和微软启动AR HoloLens联合项目</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Elect</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-08 20:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Samsung Electronics has started an augmented reality (AR) HoloLens project with Microsoft, TheElec has learned.</p><p><blockquote>TheElec获悉，三星电子已与微软启动了增强现实(AR)HoloLens项目。</blockquote></p><p> The project, which will last two years, started sometime in the summer this year, sources&nbsp;said. HoloLens is Microsoft’s AR display device model.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，该项目将持续两年，于今年夏天启动。HoloLens是微软的AR显示设备型号。</blockquote></p><p> Samsung had formed a&nbsp;taskforce for the project in March this year ahead of starting it with Microsoft in the summer.</p><p><blockquote>三星在今年3月为该项目成立了一个工作组，然后在夏天与微软一起启动该项目。</blockquote></p><p> Multiple business divisions of Samsung are part of the project, sources said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，三星的多个业务部门都是该项目的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Senior vice presidents from Samsung Display, Samsung Electro-Mechanics and Samsung SDI also took part in a meeting involving the project during the first half of 2021, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，三星显示器、三星机电和三星SDI的高级副总裁也参加了2021年上半年涉及该项目的会议。</blockquote></p><p> The project will last until 2023, with a commercial project resulting from it expected to be unveiled in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>该项目将持续到2023年，由此产生的商业项目预计将于2024年亮相。</blockquote></p><p> In 2019 and November of this year, Samsung has invested in US AR firm DigiLens, which is known for its waveguide technology used in AR display devices.</p><p><blockquote>2019年和今年11月，三星已经投资了美国AR公司DigiLens，该公司以其用于AR显示设备的波导技术而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> Waveguide technology is used to bend the light from the video playing on a display to the glasses, which is transparent in AR display devices as users need to see the real surrounding around them simultaneously with the virtual items on display.</p><p><blockquote>波导技术用于将显示器上播放的视频的光线弯曲到眼镜上，这在AR显示设备中是透明的，因为用户需要在看到虚拟物品的同时看到他们周围的真实环境。</blockquote></p><p> As AR devices need to be light and small, the internal space in these devices needs to be fully realized, so the light has to be bent in that space with minimal loss.</p><p><blockquote>由于AR设备需要轻而小，这些设备中的内部空间需要完全实现，因此光必须在该空间中以最小的损耗弯曲。</blockquote></p><p> By comparison, virtual reality devices don’t require the glasses to be transparent as they are a fully virtual experience and don't require the user to see their real life surroundings. The display is fully in front of the users’ eyes, so the light doesn’t need to bend.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，虚拟现实设备不需要眼镜是透明的，因为它们是完全虚拟的体验，不需要用户看到他们的真实生活环境。显示屏完全在用户眼前，因此光线不需要弯曲。</blockquote></p><p> In the project with Microsoft, Samsung will likely be the hardware manufacturer. The South Korean tech giant will also likely make the waveguide module.</p><p><blockquote>在与微软的项目中，三星很可能是硬件制造商。这家韩国科技巨头也可能生产波导模块。</blockquote></p><p> Samsung Display pushed strongly for Samsung Electronics to invest in DigiLens, the source said.</p><p><blockquote>消息人士称，三星显示器强烈推动三星电子投资DigiLens。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Samsung ended support for its VR device called Gear VR last year.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，三星去年终止了对其名为Gear VR的VR设备的支持。</blockquote></p><p> By comparison, its competitors Meta, Apple, Google and Microsoft had continued to invest in AR projects over the years.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，其竞争对手Meta、苹果、谷歌和微软多年来一直在持续投资AR项目。</blockquote></p><p> According to analyst firm TrendForce, 200,000 units of HoloLens 2 were sold this year.</p><p><blockquote>根据分析公司TrendForce的数据，今年HoloLens 2的销量为20万台。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"http://www.thelec.net/news/articleView.html?idxno=3653\">The Elect</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SSNLF":"三星电子","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"http://www.thelec.net/news/articleView.html?idxno=3653","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140195172","content_text":"Samsung Electronics has started an augmented reality (AR) HoloLens project with Microsoft, TheElec has learned.\nThe project, which will last two years, started sometime in the summer this year, sources said. HoloLens is Microsoft’s AR display device model.\nSamsung had formed a taskforce for the project in March this year ahead of starting it with Microsoft in the summer.\nMultiple business divisions of Samsung are part of the project, sources said.\nSenior vice presidents from Samsung Display, Samsung Electro-Mechanics and Samsung SDI also took part in a meeting involving the project during the first half of 2021, they said.\nThe project will last until 2023, with a commercial project resulting from it expected to be unveiled in 2024.\nIn 2019 and November of this year, Samsung has invested in US AR firm DigiLens, which is known for its waveguide technology used in AR display devices.\nWaveguide technology is used to bend the light from the video playing on a display to the glasses, which is transparent in AR display devices as users need to see the real surrounding around them simultaneously with the virtual items on display.\nAs AR devices need to be light and small, the internal space in these devices needs to be fully realized, so the light has to be bent in that space with minimal loss.\nBy comparison, virtual reality devices don’t require the glasses to be transparent as they are a fully virtual experience and don't require the user to see their real life surroundings. The display is fully in front of the users’ eyes, so the light doesn’t need to bend.\nIn the project with Microsoft, Samsung will likely be the hardware manufacturer. The South Korean tech giant will also likely make the waveguide module.\nSamsung Display pushed strongly for Samsung Electronics to invest in DigiLens, the source said.\nMeanwhile, Samsung ended support for its VR device called Gear VR last year.\nBy comparison, its competitors Meta, Apple, Google and Microsoft had continued to invest in AR projects over the years.\nAccording to analyst firm TrendForce, 200,000 units of HoloLens 2 were sold this year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873803090,"gmtCreate":1636901993609,"gmtModify":1636901993609,"author":{"id":"4095589144572770","authorId":"4095589144572770","name":"Cupo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cd77e9eaf26210f41669ef398ab88fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4095589144572770","authorIdStr":"4095589144572770"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873803090","repostId":"2183043548","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2183043548","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1636852012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2183043548?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-14 09:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2183043548","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom sa","content":"<p>The stock market is a good inflation hedge</p><p><blockquote>股市是一个很好的通胀对冲工具</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7f220695081ff57f1ed561e56d2713\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为通货膨胀对股市不利。然而，面对出乎意料的高通胀，今年美国股市仍然保持强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Since mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index&nbsp;is up almost 23%.</p><p><blockquote>自5月中旬首次报道CPI 12个月变化率飙升以来，标普500已上涨超过15%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数上涨近23%。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着股市正在靠借来的时间生存，并且很快就会屈服于通胀上升带来的引力？或者在这个问题上的传统观点是错误的？</blockquote></p><p> Now is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>现在是调查这些问题的好时机，因为美国政府本周报告称，过去12个月的CPI以30多年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> My analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.</p><p><blockquote>我对历史记录的分析表明，股票和通胀之间的关系比最初看起来要复杂得多。这是因为通货膨胀的影响既有优点也有缺点，而且很难预测通货膨胀各种后果的净影响。</blockquote></p><p> Consider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&amp;P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.</p><p><blockquote>首先考虑通货膨胀对盈利的影响：因为当通货膨胀升温时，公司通常能够收取更高的价格——换句话说，他们拥有“定价权”——他们的盈利不会像你想象的那么严重。事实上，根据耶鲁大学Robert Shiller提供的1871年以来的数据，平均而言，当通货膨胀率较高时，标普500的名义每股收益增长更快。</blockquote></p><p> This tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”</p><p><blockquote>这种倾向就是为什么股票市场是一个很好的通胀对冲工具。然而，投资者常常忽视这一有价值的趋势，因为他们关注的是名义盈利增长率而不是实际增长率。他们推断，即使通胀升温，低通胀时期的名义盈利增长率也会较慢。经济学家常将这种错误称为“货币错觉”或“通胀错觉”。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业盈利对冲通胀的能力是个好消息。坏消息是通货膨胀会导致市盈率下降，因为通货膨胀会降低未来几年收益的贴现值。</blockquote></p><p> These two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.</p><p><blockquote>下图总结了这两种不同的影响。为了构建图表，我根据CPI过去两年的变化率将1871年以来的时期分为两个子集。请注意，当通胀较高时，每股收益增长率往往较高，但市盈率往往较低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370baeb3b581e82486aa533711b4363e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"482\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for — and watch out for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要注意什么——以及要注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> How do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.</p><p><blockquote>这些抵消因素在实践中是如何相互作用的？答案取决于你关注的是近期还是长期。从历史上看，在短期内（长达一年左右），通胀对股市来说一直是净负面影响。这是因为通货膨胀对市盈率的负面影响是立竿见影的，而对盈利的积极影响在几年内不会显现。一旦你的时间范围延长了两三年，这些影响平均会相互抵消。</blockquote></p><p> The investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>投资含义：如果通货膨胀被证明不仅仅是暂时的，并且股市大幅下跌，您可能需要将抛售视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf inflation is more than transitory, consumer prices and stocks could both keep climbing<blockquote>如果通胀不仅仅是暂时的，消费者价格和股市都可能继续攀升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-14 09:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market is a good inflation hedge</p><p><blockquote>股市是一个很好的通胀对冲工具</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7f220695081ff57f1ed561e56d2713\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Agence France-Presse/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.</p><p><blockquote>传统观点认为通货膨胀对股市不利。然而，面对出乎意料的高通胀，今年美国股市仍然保持强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Since mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index&nbsp;is up almost 23%.</p><p><blockquote>自5月中旬首次报道CPI 12个月变化率飙升以来，标普500已上涨超过15%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数上涨近23%。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着股市正在靠借来的时间生存，并且很快就会屈服于通胀上升带来的引力？或者在这个问题上的传统观点是错误的？</blockquote></p><p> Now is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.</p><p><blockquote>现在是调查这些问题的好时机，因为美国政府本周报告称，过去12个月的CPI以30多年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> My analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.</p><p><blockquote>我对历史记录的分析表明，股票和通胀之间的关系比最初看起来要复杂得多。这是因为通货膨胀的影响既有优点也有缺点，而且很难预测通货膨胀各种后果的净影响。</blockquote></p><p> Consider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&amp;P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.</p><p><blockquote>首先考虑通货膨胀对盈利的影响：因为当通货膨胀升温时，公司通常能够收取更高的价格——换句话说，他们拥有“定价权”——他们的盈利不会像你想象的那么严重。事实上，根据耶鲁大学Robert Shiller提供的1871年以来的数据，平均而言，当通货膨胀率较高时，标普500的名义每股收益增长更快。</blockquote></p><p> This tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”</p><p><blockquote>这种倾向就是为什么股票市场是一个很好的通胀对冲工具。然而，投资者常常忽视这一有价值的趋势，因为他们关注的是名义盈利增长率而不是实际增长率。他们推断，即使通胀升温，低通胀时期的名义盈利增长率也会较慢。经济学家常将这种错误称为“货币错觉”或“通胀错觉”。</blockquote></p><p> Corporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业盈利对冲通胀的能力是个好消息。坏消息是通货膨胀会导致市盈率下降，因为通货膨胀会降低未来几年收益的贴现值。</blockquote></p><p> These two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.</p><p><blockquote>下图总结了这两种不同的影响。为了构建图表，我根据CPI过去两年的变化率将1871年以来的时期分为两个子集。请注意，当通胀较高时，每股收益增长率往往较高，但市盈率往往较低。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/370baeb3b581e82486aa533711b4363e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"482\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for — and watch out for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要注意什么——以及要注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> How do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.</p><p><blockquote>这些抵消因素在实践中是如何相互作用的？答案取决于你关注的是近期还是长期。从历史上看，在短期内（长达一年左右），通胀对股市来说一直是净负面影响。这是因为通货膨胀对市盈率的负面影响是立竿见影的，而对盈利的积极影响在几年内不会显现。一旦你的时间范围延长了两三年，这些影响平均会相互抵消。</blockquote></p><p> The investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>投资含义：如果通货膨胀被证明不仅仅是暂时的，并且股市大幅下跌，您可能需要将抛售视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/inflation-is-boosting-prices-and-stocks-heres-why-that-isnt-a-surprise-11636672378?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2183043548","content_text":"The stock market is a good inflation hedge\nAgence France-Presse/Getty Images\n\nConventional wisdom says that inflation is bad for the stock market. Yet the U.S. stock market this year has remained strong in the face of unexpectedly high inflation.\nSince mid-May, when it was first reported that the CPI’s 12-month rate of change had spiked, the S&P 500 has gained more than 15% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is up almost 23%.\nDoes that mean the stock market is living on borrowed time, and will soon succumb to the gravitational pull exerted by higher inflation? Or is the conventional wisdom on this subject just wrong?\nNow is a good time to investigate these questions, since the U.S. government reported this week that the CPI over the latest 12 months has risen at its fastest rate in over 30 years.\nMy analysis of the historical record reveals that the relationship between equities and inflation is far more complex than it initially appears. That’s because there are both plusses and minuses to inflation’s impact, and it’s difficult to predict the net impact of inflation’s various consequences.\nConsider first inflation’s impact on earnings: Because companies often are able to charge higher prices when inflation heats up — they have “pricing power,” in other words — their earnings do not suffer as much as you might think. In fact, according to data back to 1871 provided by Yale University’s Robert Shiller, the S&P 500’s nominal earnings per share have grown faster, on average, when inflation has been higher.\nThis tendency is why the stock market is a good inflation hedge. Yet investors all too often overlook this valuable tendency, since they focus on nominal earnings growth rates rather than real growth rates. They extrapolate the slower nominal earnings growth rate of a low-inflation period even when inflation heats up. Economists often refer to this mistake as “money illusion” or “inflation illusion.”\nCorporate earnings’ ability to hedge inflation is the good news. The bad news is that inflation causes P/E ratios to decline, since inflation reduces the discounted value of future years’ earnings.\nThese two distinct impacts are summarized in the chart below. To construct the chart, I segregated the period since 1871 into two subsets according to the CPI’s trailing 2-year rate of change. Notice that the EPS growth rate has tended to be higher when inflation is higher, but the P/E ratio has tended to be lower.\n\nWhat to watch for — and watch out for\n\nHow do these countervailing factors interact in practice? The answer depends on whether you focus on the near-term or the long-term. Over the near-term — up to a year, or so — inflation historically has been a net negative for stocks. That’s because inflation’s negative impact on the P/E ratio is immediate, while its positive impact on earnings doesn’t kick in for a couple of years. Once your time horizon extends two or three years, these effects on average cancel each other out.\nThe investment implication: If inflation proves to be more than transitory and the stock market declines significantly, you might want to treat the selloff as a buying opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NDX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879728580,"gmtCreate":1636775979831,"gmtModify":1636775979831,"author":{"id":"4095589144572770","authorId":"4095589144572770","name":"Cupo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cd77e9eaf26210f41669ef398ab88fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4095589144572770","authorIdStr":"4095589144572770"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879728580","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>  <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>  <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>  <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的收入环比增长36%，同时产生1.19亿美元的自由现金流，利润率为30%。</li><li>Palantir第三季度商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%，显示出强劲的前瞻性增长趋势。</li><li>Palantir在2021年第三季度完成了54笔交易，合同价值至少为100万美元，其中33笔价值超过500万美元，18笔价值超过1000万美元。</li><li>Palantir再次上调指引，预计收入同比增长40%，达到15.27亿美元，自由现金流为4亿美元，高于之前指引的3亿美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安德烈亚斯·伦茨/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者又爱又恨Palantir(PLTR)，它过去被昵称为黑匣子公司，而另一些投资者则绝对喜欢它，因为他们相信PLTR的软件是未来。在我之前关于PLTR的文章中，我表示，根据PLTR当前的收入趋势，他们计划在第三季度实现3.9941亿美元的收入，在第四季度实现4.2322亿美元的收入。市场普遍认为第三季度的收入为3.8656亿美元，PLTR在2021年第四季度实现了3.921亿美元，预测为4.18亿美元。当进行盈利看涨期权时，盘前的反应只不过是PLTR急剧下跌的红海，每次试图填补缺口时，螺旋式下降的下一阶段就开始了。这个消息甚至还没有被消化，但人们决定要么获利了结，要么退出头寸，要么对PLTR失去信心。</blockquote></p><p> What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>财报中有什么不让人喜欢的地方导致了一直徘徊在-9.03%区间的抛售？PLTR收入同比增长36%，第三季度增加了34个新客户，并完成了54笔价值100万美元或以上的交易。PLTR的剩余交易价值同比增加了50%，达到36亿美元，并提供了1.01亿美元的运营现金（利润率26%）和1.99亿美元的自由现金流（利润率30%）。PLTR还提高了2021年的指导，因为他们现在预计收入同比增长40%，而之前的预测为30%，并将自由现金流预测从3亿美元提高到4亿美元。除了这些数字之外，PLTR还宣布了新的产品平台和用例，这些平台和用例在未来推动收入和自由现金流方面具有巨大潜力。我相信这次抛售将是短暂的，我将其视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：寻求阿尔法）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir在商业和政府方面的收入持续扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p><p><blockquote>自PLTR上市以来，他们的商业业务逐季扩张。上市五个季度后，PLTR的季度商业收入增长了6200万美元，增幅为55.36%。2021年第三季度，PLTR的商业运营收入为1.74亿美元，占其3.921亿美元季度收入的44.38%。过去两年，PLTR第三季度收入增长了85.11%，其中2020年第三季度同比增长35.11%，2021年第三季度同比增长37.01%。PLTR的商业剩余交易价值同比增长101%，从2020年第三季度的11亿美元增至2021年第三季度的22亿美元。商业客户邀请PLTR展示他们的软件解决方案，PLTR正在赢得他们的业务。2021年第三季度，PLTR净新增34家新客户，商业客户群环比增加20%，达到203家。过去一年，PLTR的商业客户群扩大了46.04%，客户数量从139个增加到203个，增加了64个。任何仍然将PLTR归类为黑匣子的人都是不准确的，因为商业市场正在了解PLTR的软件平台并实施其解决方案以改善其运营。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年第一季度以来，PLTR的季度收入增加了1.631亿美元（71.23%），平均季度环比增长率为9.43%。2021年第三季度，这一趋势保持不变，收入环比增长1610万美元，即4.28%。虽然与2021年第二季度的10.26%相比，季度收入增长环比略有放缓，但PLTR预计2021年第四季度收入将为4.18亿美元。PLTR预计将再创公司纪录，并在年底实现2590万美元（6.61%）的环比增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p><p><blockquote>同样的增长故事也适用于他们过去12个月(TTM)的总收入。在过去六个季度中，PLTR的TTM收入从8.106亿美元增加到14.3亿美元，增加了6.206亿美元（76.55%）。平均而言，PLTR的TTM收入环比增长1.0342亿美元（9.94%）。在Q1 2020-2020年第三季度，他们的平均环比收入增长为9403万美元，这一数字大幅增长，因为过去三个季度环比增长了至少1.05亿美元。2021年第三季度，PLTR的TTM收入增加至14.3亿美元，环比收入增长1.068亿美元（8.06%）。就像季度指标一样，PLTR的TTM预计将环比增长9590万美元，达到15.27亿美元，而市场普遍预期为15.1亿美元。这将使PLTR的年收入同比增长远高于30%的预测，因为到2021年，他们的收入将增加4.343亿美元(39.75%)</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>我很震惊PLTR仍然处于亏损状态。PLTR是一家高增长公司，目前自由现金流为正，并正在扩大其指标。2020年前9个月，PLTR产生了-2.85亿美元的自由现金流，截至2021年前9个月末，PLTR实现了6.05亿美元的波动，年初至今已产生了3.2亿美元的自由现金流。PLTR此前将2021年自由现金流指引提高至300美元，而他们刚刚再次将其提高至4亿美元以上。在三个月的时间里，PLTR将其自由现金流预测额外增加了33.33%。第三季度，PLTR的自由现金流利润率为30%，预计2021年自由现金流将超过4亿美元。至少，这意味着他们将在2021年额外增加8000万美元的自由现金流。如果PLTR实现15.27亿美元的收入和4亿美元的自由现金流，其2021年的自由现金流利润率将为26.2%。PLTR仍预计到2025年年收入将同比增长30%，根据2021年1.527美元的预测，2025年收入将达到43.6亿美元。按照PLTR目前的自由现金流利润率，他们将在2025年产生11.4亿美元的自由现金流。考虑到PLTR目前的趋势，如果他们超出预测并同比增长35%，那么他们2025年的收入将达到50.7亿美元。按照目前的自由现金流利润率，到2025年，他们将产生13.3亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：PLTR）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR正在全速点火。第三季度收入同比增长36%，第二次将自由现金流指引从3亿美元上调至4亿美元以上，并将年收入增长指引从30%上调至约40%。PLTR仍维持每年30%的未来收入前景，并创造了一些令人印象深刻的利润。第三季度PLTR的商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%。PLTR在第三季度完成了至少54笔价值至少100万美元的交易，其中33笔收入至少500万美元，18笔收入至少1000万美元。PLTR的增长指标令人印象深刻，我预计它们未来将低于承诺并超额交付。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir正在进入两个巨大的新领域：碳排放和加密货币</b></blockquote></p><p> In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p><p><blockquote>过去，我曾写过有关政府、亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）和国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）未来机遇的文章。在今天的收益看涨期权上，PLTR介绍了有关他们将为碳排放和加密货币提供的两种新产品的重要信息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国在气候问题上发生了根本性转变，拜登总统重新加入了《巴黎协定》，重新参与应对气候变化。该计划的一部分是到2050年实现整个经济的净零排放。最近，拜登总统在苏格兰格拉斯哥举行的联合国气候峰会上承诺与欧盟和其他数十个国家合作，到2030年将全球甲烷总排放量减少30%。无论你对气候的立场是什么，有许多人认为我们需要降低排放，许多国家正在朝着一个目标努力。为了遵守规定，埃克森美孚（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）等公司正在与外部组织对几项有前途的创新进行长期研究，包括用于清除空气中排放物的直接空气捕获技术和用于捕获烟道中工业排放的碳酸盐燃料电池发电厂或制造设施的气流。碳排放管理已经是一项蓬勃发展的业务，PLTR正在Foundry上创建一个模块，以提供一个单一的窗格来查看收入、利润、生产和所有排放，以便公司可以更有效地管理结果。就我个人而言，我相信这对于推动PLTR未来的收入具有巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR讨论的第二个巨大前景是加密货币代工。看起来PLTR正在利用他们的反洗钱和了解你的客户的专业知识。多年来，PLTR一直与多个政府合作，寻找全球最大银行的合规问题，并帮助这些银行应对和加强其合规计划。这是完全有道理的，当您回到合同时，PLTR已获得IRS和SEC的授予（在之前的文章中讨论过）。仅在第三季度，PLTR就与IRS签署了6份合同。如果让我猜的话，PLTR的软件将被IRS和SEC在政府方面使用，并被银行和加密货币交易所在商业方面采用。目前，在过去24小时内，Coinbase（纳斯达克：COIN）显示比特币（BTC-USD）的交易量为438亿美元。我认为PLTR最终将从其加密货币代工厂的政府和商业合同中获得未来的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：联邦采购数据库）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR已经成为市场误解其收益并在消息好的时候抛售消息的另一个统计数据。还有人想让PLTR做什么？这是一个出色的季度，第三季度收入同比增长36%，自由现金流为1.19亿美元，利润率为30%，PLTR完成了54笔交易，每笔价值超过100万美元。PLTR超出收入预期，第二次上调全年收入指引，上调自由现金流指引。这是一个基于所有积极因素的卖出消息，这创造了买入机会。我将做多PLTR，如果抛售继续，我计划增加我的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>寻求阿尔法市场</b></blockquote></p><p> I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p><p><blockquote>我将在Seeking Alpha市场上推出一项名为Barbell Capital的订阅服务。Barbell Capital将为其成员提供独家研究、模型投资组合、投资工具、问答环节、观察列表和其他功能。我还将拥有一个实时投资组合，致力于通过交易、出售看跌期权和出售备兑评级来产生资本。利润将分配给未来的资本增值投资和投资股息投资，在我们睡觉时产生收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度表现良好，自由现金流增加，提高指引但抛售创造了机会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-13 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>  <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>  <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>  <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的收入环比增长36%，同时产生1.19亿美元的自由现金流，利润率为30%。</li><li>Palantir第三季度商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%，显示出强劲的前瞻性增长趋势。</li><li>Palantir在2021年第三季度完成了54笔交易，合同价值至少为100万美元，其中33笔价值超过500万美元，18笔价值超过1000万美元。</li><li>Palantir再次上调指引，预计收入同比增长40%，达到15.27亿美元，自由现金流为4亿美元，高于之前指引的3亿美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安德烈亚斯·伦茨/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者又爱又恨Palantir(PLTR)，它过去被昵称为黑匣子公司，而另一些投资者则绝对喜欢它，因为他们相信PLTR的软件是未来。在我之前关于PLTR的文章中，我表示，根据PLTR当前的收入趋势，他们计划在第三季度实现3.9941亿美元的收入，在第四季度实现4.2322亿美元的收入。市场普遍认为第三季度的收入为3.8656亿美元，PLTR在2021年第四季度实现了3.921亿美元，预测为4.18亿美元。当进行盈利看涨期权时，盘前的反应只不过是PLTR急剧下跌的红海，每次试图填补缺口时，螺旋式下降的下一阶段就开始了。这个消息甚至还没有被消化，但人们决定要么获利了结，要么退出头寸，要么对PLTR失去信心。</blockquote></p><p> What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>财报中有什么不让人喜欢的地方导致了一直徘徊在-9.03%区间的抛售？PLTR收入同比增长36%，第三季度增加了34个新客户，并完成了54笔价值100万美元或以上的交易。PLTR的剩余交易价值同比增加了50%，达到36亿美元，并提供了1.01亿美元的运营现金（利润率26%）和1.99亿美元的自由现金流（利润率30%）。PLTR还提高了2021年的指导，因为他们现在预计收入同比增长40%，而之前的预测为30%，并将自由现金流预测从3亿美元提高到4亿美元。除了这些数字之外，PLTR还宣布了新的产品平台和用例，这些平台和用例在未来推动收入和自由现金流方面具有巨大潜力。我相信这次抛售将是短暂的，我将其视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：寻求阿尔法）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir在商业和政府方面的收入持续扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p><p><blockquote>自PLTR上市以来，他们的商业业务逐季扩张。上市五个季度后，PLTR的季度商业收入增长了6200万美元，增幅为55.36%。2021年第三季度，PLTR的商业运营收入为1.74亿美元，占其3.921亿美元季度收入的44.38%。过去两年，PLTR第三季度收入增长了85.11%，其中2020年第三季度同比增长35.11%，2021年第三季度同比增长37.01%。PLTR的商业剩余交易价值同比增长101%，从2020年第三季度的11亿美元增至2021年第三季度的22亿美元。商业客户邀请PLTR展示他们的软件解决方案，PLTR正在赢得他们的业务。2021年第三季度，PLTR净新增34家新客户，商业客户群环比增加20%，达到203家。过去一年，PLTR的商业客户群扩大了46.04%，客户数量从139个增加到203个，增加了64个。任何仍然将PLTR归类为黑匣子的人都是不准确的，因为商业市场正在了解PLTR的软件平台并实施其解决方案以改善其运营。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年第一季度以来，PLTR的季度收入增加了1.631亿美元（71.23%），平均季度环比增长率为9.43%。2021年第三季度，这一趋势保持不变，收入环比增长1610万美元，即4.28%。虽然与2021年第二季度的10.26%相比，季度收入增长环比略有放缓，但PLTR预计2021年第四季度收入将为4.18亿美元。PLTR预计将再创公司纪录，并在年底实现2590万美元（6.61%）的环比增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p><p><blockquote>同样的增长故事也适用于他们过去12个月(TTM)的总收入。在过去六个季度中，PLTR的TTM收入从8.106亿美元增加到14.3亿美元，增加了6.206亿美元（76.55%）。平均而言，PLTR的TTM收入环比增长1.0342亿美元（9.94%）。在Q1 2020-2020年第三季度，他们的平均环比收入增长为9403万美元，这一数字大幅增长，因为过去三个季度环比增长了至少1.05亿美元。2021年第三季度，PLTR的TTM收入增加至14.3亿美元，环比收入增长1.068亿美元（8.06%）。就像季度指标一样，PLTR的TTM预计将环比增长9590万美元，达到15.27亿美元，而市场普遍预期为15.1亿美元。这将使PLTR的年收入同比增长远高于30%的预测，因为到2021年，他们的收入将增加4.343亿美元(39.75%)</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>我很震惊PLTR仍然处于亏损状态。PLTR是一家高增长公司，目前自由现金流为正，并正在扩大其指标。2020年前9个月，PLTR产生了-2.85亿美元的自由现金流，截至2021年前9个月末，PLTR实现了6.05亿美元的波动，年初至今已产生了3.2亿美元的自由现金流。PLTR此前将2021年自由现金流指引提高至300美元，而他们刚刚再次将其提高至4亿美元以上。在三个月的时间里，PLTR将其自由现金流预测额外增加了33.33%。第三季度，PLTR的自由现金流利润率为30%，预计2021年自由现金流将超过4亿美元。至少，这意味着他们将在2021年额外增加8000万美元的自由现金流。如果PLTR实现15.27亿美元的收入和4亿美元的自由现金流，其2021年的自由现金流利润率将为26.2%。PLTR仍预计到2025年年收入将同比增长30%，根据2021年1.527美元的预测，2025年收入将达到43.6亿美元。按照PLTR目前的自由现金流利润率，他们将在2025年产生11.4亿美元的自由现金流。考虑到PLTR目前的趋势，如果他们超出预测并同比增长35%，那么他们2025年的收入将达到50.7亿美元。按照目前的自由现金流利润率，到2025年，他们将产生13.3亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：PLTR）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR正在全速点火。第三季度收入同比增长36%，第二次将自由现金流指引从3亿美元上调至4亿美元以上，并将年收入增长指引从30%上调至约40%。PLTR仍维持每年30%的未来收入前景，并创造了一些令人印象深刻的利润。第三季度PLTR的商业收入同比增长37%，政府收入同比增长34%。PLTR在第三季度完成了至少54笔价值至少100万美元的交易，其中33笔收入至少500万美元，18笔收入至少1000万美元。PLTR的增长指标令人印象深刻，我预计它们未来将低于承诺并超额交付。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir正在进入两个巨大的新领域：碳排放和加密货币</b></blockquote></p><p> In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p><p><blockquote>过去，我曾写过有关政府、亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）和国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）未来机遇的文章。在今天的收益看涨期权上，PLTR介绍了有关他们将为碳排放和加密货币提供的两种新产品的重要信息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国在气候问题上发生了根本性转变，拜登总统重新加入了《巴黎协定》，重新参与应对气候变化。该计划的一部分是到2050年实现整个经济的净零排放。最近，拜登总统在苏格兰格拉斯哥举行的联合国气候峰会上承诺与欧盟和其他数十个国家合作，到2030年将全球甲烷总排放量减少30%。无论你对气候的立场是什么，有许多人认为我们需要降低排放，许多国家正在朝着一个目标努力。为了遵守规定，埃克森美孚（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）等公司正在与外部组织对几项有前途的创新进行长期研究，包括用于清除空气中排放物的直接空气捕获技术和用于捕获烟道中工业排放的碳酸盐燃料电池发电厂或制造设施的气流。碳排放管理已经是一项蓬勃发展的业务，PLTR正在Foundry上创建一个模块，以提供一个单一的窗格来查看收入、利润、生产和所有排放，以便公司可以更有效地管理结果。就我个人而言，我相信这对于推动PLTR未来的收入具有巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR讨论的第二个巨大前景是加密货币代工。看起来PLTR正在利用他们的反洗钱和了解你的客户的专业知识。多年来，PLTR一直与多个政府合作，寻找全球最大银行的合规问题，并帮助这些银行应对和加强其合规计划。这是完全有道理的，当您回到合同时，PLTR已获得IRS和SEC的授予（在之前的文章中讨论过）。仅在第三季度，PLTR就与IRS签署了6份合同。如果让我猜的话，PLTR的软件将被IRS和SEC在政府方面使用，并被银行和加密货币交易所在商业方面采用。目前，在过去24小时内，Coinbase（纳斯达克：COIN）显示比特币（BTC-USD）的交易量为438亿美元。我认为PLTR最终将从其加密货币代工厂的政府和商业合同中获得未来的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：联邦采购数据库）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR已经成为市场误解其收益并在消息好的时候抛售消息的另一个统计数据。还有人想让PLTR做什么？这是一个出色的季度，第三季度收入同比增长36%，自由现金流为1.19亿美元，利润率为30%，PLTR完成了54笔交易，每笔价值超过100万美元。PLTR超出收入预期，第二次上调全年收入指引，上调自由现金流指引。这是一个基于所有积极因素的卖出消息，这创造了买入机会。我将做多PLTR，如果抛售继续，我计划增加我的头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>寻求阿尔法市场</b></blockquote></p><p> I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p><p><blockquote>我将在Seeking Alpha市场上推出一项名为Barbell Capital的订阅服务。Barbell Capital将为其成员提供独家研究、模型投资组合、投资工具、问答环节、观察列表和其他功能。我还将拥有一个实时投资组合，致力于通过交易、出售看跌期权和出售备兑评级来产生资本。利润将分配给未来的资本增值投资和投资股息投资，在我们睡觉时产生收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we 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