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MiXue
2021-06-02

Don’t buy and don’t sell, hold

Buy Or Sell Apple Stock In June?<blockquote>六月买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>

Apple stock spun its wheels again in May, dipping over 6%. Could June prove to be a better month for

Buy Or Sell Apple Stock In June?<blockquote>六月买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>

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Could June prove to be a better month for","content":"Apple stock spun its wheels again in May, dipping over 6%. Could June prove to be a better month for the Cupertino company’s shares? The Apple Maven takes a closer look.<blockquote>苹果股价5月份再次下跌，跌幅超过6%。对于库比蒂诺公司的股票来说，六月会是一个更好的月份吗？苹果专家仔细观察。</blockquote> Apple stock&nbsp;moved lower in the month of May by more than 6% – following a post-earnings selloff that “felt wrong”,considering the strong results. Within the FAAMG peer group, only Amazon shares performed worse than AAPL&nbsp;in the most recent month.<blockquote>考虑到强劲的业绩，苹果股价在财报发布后的抛售“感觉错误”，5月份下跌了6%以上。在FAAMG同行群体中，只有亚马逊股票最近一个月的表现比苹果公司差。</blockquote> It is now time to look ahead. What does historical price action and upcoming catalysts may say about owning Apple stock through the month of June?<blockquote>现在是向前看的时候了。历史价格走势和即将到来的催化剂对6月份持有苹果股票有何影响？</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5213df333f5f65cae4fcf75be2bfd867\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"404\">Figure 1: AAPL monthly chart.<blockquote>图1：AAPL月度图表。</blockquote> Apple stock: calendar trends<blockquote>苹果股票：日历趋势</blockquote> The following graph depicts Apple stock’s returns relative to the S&amp;P 500’s by month, on average, over the past decade. Here are a few important observations:<blockquote>下图描绘了过去十年苹果股票相对于标普500股票的平均每月回报率。以下是一些重要的观察结果：</blockquote> <ul> <li>June has not been a good month for AAPL historically. Shares have underperformed the broad market by an average of 1.4%, only trailing the November and December results.</li> <li>The better news is that June has also marked a turnaround for shares: Apple stock has lavishly topped the benchmark in July and August over the past 10 years.</li> <li>In my view, the narrative that best fits the data is the following: Apple investors become more bullish in the first half of the summer as they anticipate the new iPhone and the start of the holiday shopping season. By November, investors start to lock in gains, and a modest recovery takes place later in the winter. June might merely be a month of few catalysts that usually sets up a mid-year rebound later in the summer.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb07d91155950fe0048d1b87ea206619\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"198\">Figure 2: Average monthly return vs. S&amp;P500 (seasonality).<blockquote><ul><li>从历史上看，六月对AAPL来说并不是一个好月份。股价平均落后大盘1.4%，仅落后于11月和12月的业绩。</li><li>更好的消息是，6月份也标志着股价的好转：过去10年来，苹果股价在7月和8月大幅超过了基准。</li><li>在我看来，最符合数据的叙述如下：苹果投资者在夏季上半段变得更加乐观，因为他们预计新iPhone和假日购物季的开始。到了11月，投资者开始锁定收益，并在冬季晚些时候出现温和复苏。六月可能只是一个催化剂很少的月份，通常会在夏季晚些时候引发年中反弹。</li></ul>图2：平均月回报率与S&amp;P 500指数（季节性）。</blockquote> Apple stock: catalysts<blockquote>苹果股票：催化剂</blockquote> Of course, historical price trends based on the calendar are hardly the most important factor for Apple investors to consider. Catalysts in June could move Apple stock higher or lower. Below is my list of top bullish and bearish factors that might play a role in driving this month’s returns.<blockquote>当然，基于日历的历史价格趋势并不是苹果投资者考虑的最重要因素。6月份的催化剂可能会导致苹果股价上涨或下跌。以下是我列出的可能在推动本月回报方面发挥作用的主要看涨和看跌因素。</blockquote> First are the bullish factors:<blockquote>首先是看涨因素：</blockquote> <ul> <li>Apple stock remains stuck in correction land since early May: more than 10% below the peak level of $143 per share. History suggests that&nbsp;buying the dip in AAPL might be a good idea. I believe that, eventually, the market will be ready to pick up Apple shares on the cheaper – and June could very well be the time.</li> <li>The legal battle between Apple and Epic Games&nbsp;has only paused, with the judge’s decision expected to be shared in the next few weeks or months. Should the outcome be more favorable to Apple than expected, bearishness over the App Store could dissipate.</li> <li>Apple stock continues to rebound off the 150-day moving average (see chart below), suggesting to technical analysts that there seems to be enough demand for shares at around $125. Maintaining the support level may not be a bullish catalyst per se, but could at least serve as encouragement for investors to buy Apple without fearing the downside risk as much.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9013f7cf03ff61299dcaf10d9fb5c69a\" tg-width=\"702\" tg-height=\"203\">Figure 2: AAPL 150-day moving average.<blockquote><ul><li>自5月初以来，苹果股价一直陷入修正区间：比每股143美元的峰值水平低10%以上。历史表明，逢低买入苹果公司可能是个好主意。我相信，最终，市场将准备好以更便宜的价格买入苹果股票——而六月很可能就是这个时候。</li><li>苹果和Epic Games之间的法律斗争才刚刚暂停，法官的决定预计将在未来几周或几个月内公布。如果结果比预期更有利于苹果，对App Store的悲观情绪可能会消散。</li><li>苹果股价继续从150日移动平均线反弹（见下图），这向技术分析师表明，125美元左右的股票似乎有足够的需求。维持支撑位本身可能不是看涨催化剂，但至少可以鼓励投资者购买苹果，而不必担心下行风险。</li></ul>图2：AAPL 150日移动平均线。</blockquote> Now, the bearish factors:<blockquote>现在，看跌因素：</blockquote> <ul> <li>The “Epic Battle” mentioned above can serve as both a bullish or a bearish catalyst. While consensus&nbsp;opinions&nbsp;tend to point at an Apple victory, likely with some concessions, the judge’s decision could be overwhelming negative for the Cupertino company as well.</li> <li>Meanwhile, yields and inflation continue to dictate the rhythm of the equities markets. Should both remain elevated relative to 2020 or, worse, continue to rise from current levels, AAPL and other growth stocks would most likely get hurt along the way.</li> </ul><blockquote><ul><li>上面提到的“史诗般的战斗”既可以作为看涨的催化剂，也可以作为看跌的催化剂。虽然共识意见倾向于苹果获胜，可能会做出一些让步，但法官的决定也可能对库比蒂诺公司产生压倒性的负面影响。</li><li>与此同时，收益率和通胀继续决定股市的节奏。如果两者相对于2020年保持较高水平，或者更糟的是，继续从当前水平上涨，苹果公司和其他成长型股票很可能会在此过程中受到伤害。</li></ul></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy Or Sell Apple Stock In June?<blockquote>六月买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy Or Sell Apple Stock In June?<blockquote>六月买入或卖出苹果股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-06-02 20:44\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nApple stock spun its wheels again in May, dipping over 6%. Could June prove to be a better month for the Cupertino company’s shares? The Apple Maven takes a closer look.<blockquote>苹果股价5月份再次下跌，跌幅超过6%。对于库比蒂诺公司的股票来说，六月会是一个更好的月份吗？苹果专家仔细观察。</blockquote> Apple stock&nbsp;moved lower in the month of May by more than 6% – following a post-earnings selloff that “felt wrong”,considering the strong results. Within the FAAMG peer group, only Amazon shares performed worse than AAPL&nbsp;in the most recent month.<blockquote>考虑到强劲的业绩，苹果股价在财报发布后的抛售“感觉错误”，5月份下跌了6%以上。在FAAMG同行群体中，只有亚马逊股票最近一个月的表现比苹果公司差。</blockquote> It is now time to look ahead. What does historical price action and upcoming catalysts may say about owning Apple stock through the month of June?<blockquote>现在是向前看的时候了。历史价格走势和即将到来的催化剂对6月份持有苹果股票有何影响？</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5213df333f5f65cae4fcf75be2bfd867\" tg-width=\"685\" tg-height=\"404\">Figure 1: AAPL monthly chart.<blockquote>图1：AAPL月度图表。</blockquote> Apple stock: calendar trends<blockquote>苹果股票：日历趋势</blockquote> The following graph depicts Apple stock’s returns relative to the S&amp;P 500’s by month, on average, over the past decade. Here are a few important observations:<blockquote>下图描绘了过去十年苹果股票相对于标普500股票的平均每月回报率。以下是一些重要的观察结果：</blockquote> <ul> <li>June has not been a good month for AAPL historically. Shares have underperformed the broad market by an average of 1.4%, only trailing the November and December results.</li> <li>The better news is that June has also marked a turnaround for shares: Apple stock has lavishly topped the benchmark in July and August over the past 10 years.</li> <li>In my view, the narrative that best fits the data is the following: Apple investors become more bullish in the first half of the summer as they anticipate the new iPhone and the start of the holiday shopping season. By November, investors start to lock in gains, and a modest recovery takes place later in the winter. June might merely be a month of few catalysts that usually sets up a mid-year rebound later in the summer.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb07d91155950fe0048d1b87ea206619\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"198\">Figure 2: Average monthly return vs. S&amp;P500 (seasonality).<blockquote><ul><li>从历史上看，六月对AAPL来说并不是一个好月份。股价平均落后大盘1.4%，仅落后于11月和12月的业绩。</li><li>更好的消息是，6月份也标志着股价的好转：过去10年来，苹果股价在7月和8月大幅超过了基准。</li><li>在我看来，最符合数据的叙述如下：苹果投资者在夏季上半段变得更加乐观，因为他们预计新iPhone和假日购物季的开始。到了11月，投资者开始锁定收益，并在冬季晚些时候出现温和复苏。六月可能只是一个催化剂很少的月份，通常会在夏季晚些时候引发年中反弹。</li></ul>图2：平均月回报率与S&amp;P 500指数（季节性）。</blockquote> Apple stock: catalysts<blockquote>苹果股票：催化剂</blockquote> Of course, historical price trends based on the calendar are hardly the most important factor for Apple investors to consider. Catalysts in June could move Apple stock higher or lower. Below is my list of top bullish and bearish factors that might play a role in driving this month’s returns.<blockquote>当然，基于日历的历史价格趋势并不是苹果投资者考虑的最重要因素。6月份的催化剂可能会导致苹果股价上涨或下跌。以下是我列出的可能在推动本月回报方面发挥作用的主要看涨和看跌因素。</blockquote> First are the bullish factors:<blockquote>首先是看涨因素：</blockquote> <ul> <li>Apple stock remains stuck in correction land since early May: more than 10% below the peak level of $143 per share. History suggests that&nbsp;buying the dip in AAPL might be a good idea. I believe that, eventually, the market will be ready to pick up Apple shares on the cheaper – and June could very well be the time.</li> <li>The legal battle between Apple and Epic Games&nbsp;has only paused, with the judge’s decision expected to be shared in the next few weeks or months. Should the outcome be more favorable to Apple than expected, bearishness over the App Store could dissipate.</li> <li>Apple stock continues to rebound off the 150-day moving average (see chart below), suggesting to technical analysts that there seems to be enough demand for shares at around $125. Maintaining the support level may not be a bullish catalyst per se, but could at least serve as encouragement for investors to buy Apple without fearing the downside risk as much.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9013f7cf03ff61299dcaf10d9fb5c69a\" tg-width=\"702\" tg-height=\"203\">Figure 2: AAPL 150-day moving average.<blockquote><ul><li>自5月初以来，苹果股价一直陷入修正区间：比每股143美元的峰值水平低10%以上。历史表明，逢低买入苹果公司可能是个好主意。我相信，最终，市场将准备好以更便宜的价格买入苹果股票——而六月很可能就是这个时候。</li><li>苹果和Epic Games之间的法律斗争才刚刚暂停，法官的决定预计将在未来几周或几个月内公布。如果结果比预期更有利于苹果，对App Store的悲观情绪可能会消散。</li><li>苹果股价继续从150日移动平均线反弹（见下图），这向技术分析师表明，125美元左右的股票似乎有足够的需求。维持支撑位本身可能不是看涨催化剂，但至少可以鼓励投资者购买苹果，而不必担心下行风险。</li></ul>图2：AAPL 150日移动平均线。</blockquote> Now, the bearish factors:<blockquote>现在，看跌因素：</blockquote> <ul> <li>The “Epic Battle” mentioned above can serve as both a bullish or a bearish catalyst. While consensus&nbsp;opinions&nbsp;tend to point at an Apple victory, likely with some concessions, the judge’s decision could be overwhelming negative for the Cupertino company as well.</li> <li>Meanwhile, yields and inflation continue to dictate the rhythm of the equities markets. Should both remain elevated relative to 2020 or, worse, continue to rise from current levels, AAPL and other growth stocks would most likely get hurt along the way.</li> </ul><blockquote><ul><li>上面提到的“史诗般的战斗”既可以作为看涨的催化剂，也可以作为看跌的催化剂。虽然共识意见倾向于苹果获胜，可能会做出一些让步，但法官的决定也可能对库比蒂诺公司产生压倒性的负面影响。</li><li>与此同时，收益率和通胀继续决定股市的节奏。如果两者相对于2020年保持较高水平，或者更糟的是，继续从当前水平上涨，苹果公司和其他成长型股票很可能会在此过程中受到伤害。</li></ul></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/buy-or-sell-apple-stock-in-june\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/buy-or-sell-apple-stock-in-june","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171183169","content_text":"Apple stock spun its wheels again in May, dipping over 6%. Could June prove to be a better month for the Cupertino company’s shares? The Apple Maven takes a closer look.\nApple stock moved lower in the month of May by more than 6% – following a post-earnings selloff that “felt wrong”,considering the strong results. Within the FAAMG peer group, only Amazon shares performed worse than AAPL in the most recent month.\nIt is now time to look ahead. What does historical price action and upcoming catalysts may say about owning Apple stock through the month of June?\nFigure 1: AAPL monthly chart.\nApple stock: calendar trends\nThe following graph depicts Apple stock’s returns relative to the S&P 500’s by month, on average, over the past decade. Here are a few important observations:\n\nJune has not been a good month for AAPL historically. Shares have underperformed the broad market by an average of 1.4%, only trailing the November and December results.\nThe better news is that June has also marked a turnaround for shares: Apple stock has lavishly topped the benchmark in July and August over the past 10 years.\nIn my view, the narrative that best fits the data is the following: Apple investors become more bullish in the first half of the summer as they anticipate the new iPhone and the start of the holiday shopping season. By November, investors start to lock in gains, and a modest recovery takes place later in the winter. June might merely be a month of few catalysts that usually sets up a mid-year rebound later in the summer.\n\nFigure 2: Average monthly return vs. S&P500 (seasonality).\nApple stock: catalysts\nOf course, historical price trends based on the calendar are hardly the most important factor for Apple investors to consider. Catalysts in June could move Apple stock higher or lower. Below is my list of top bullish and bearish factors that might play a role in driving this month’s returns.\nFirst are the bullish factors:\n\nApple stock remains stuck in correction land since early May: more than 10% below the peak level of $143 per share. History suggests that buying the dip in AAPL might be a good idea. I believe that, eventually, the market will be ready to pick up Apple shares on the cheaper – and June could very well be the time.\nThe legal battle between Apple and Epic Games has only paused, with the judge’s decision expected to be shared in the next few weeks or months. Should the outcome be more favorable to Apple than expected, bearishness over the App Store could dissipate.\nApple stock continues to rebound off the 150-day moving average (see chart below), suggesting to technical analysts that there seems to be enough demand for shares at around $125. Maintaining the support level may not be a bullish catalyst per se, but could at least serve as encouragement for investors to buy Apple without fearing the downside risk as much.\n\nFigure 2: AAPL 150-day moving average.\nNow, the bearish factors:\n\nThe “Epic Battle” mentioned above can serve as both a bullish or a bearish catalyst. While consensus opinions tend to point at an Apple victory, likely with some concessions, the judge’s decision could be overwhelming negative for the Cupertino company as well.\nMeanwhile, yields and inflation continue to dictate the rhythm of the equities markets. Should both remain elevated relative to 2020 or, worse, continue to rise from current levels, AAPL and other growth stocks would most likely get hurt along the way.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1257,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":25,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}