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2021-06-01

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Amazon Stock: Turning $100 Per Month Into $2.7 Million<blockquote>亚马逊股票：每月100美元变成270万美元</blockquote>

Methodical investing over a multi-decade period trumps obsession over timing a trade right. This has

Amazon Stock: Turning $100 Per Month Into $2.7 Million<blockquote>亚马逊股票：每月100美元变成270万美元</blockquote>

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This has","content":"Methodical investing over a multi-decade period trumps obsession over timing a trade right. This has certainly been the case of Amazon stock.<blockquote>几十年来有条不紊的投资胜过对交易时机的痴迷。亚马逊股票的情况确实如此。</blockquote> Amazon is one of the most cited cases of overwhelming success in Corporate America in the past couple of decades. While few could have foreseen the story unfold early enough to invest in Amazon stock at or near the IPO (i.e. perfect timing), methodically investing in&nbsp;AMZN&nbsp;shares over time would have actually been the ultimate “grand master” strategy.<blockquote>在过去的几十年里，亚马逊是美国企业界被引用最多的巨大成功案例之一。虽然很少有人能预见到故事的展开，以至于在IPO时或临近IPO时投资亚马逊股票（即完美的时机），但有条不紊地投资于AMZN随着时间的推移，股票实际上是最终的“大师”策略。</blockquote> Today, the Amazon Maven asks a question and analyzes the results: how would an investor have fared since 1997, not if he or she had bought AMZN once at the IPO price, but if he or she had added $100 to the Amazon stock position each month?<blockquote>今天，亚马逊专家提出了一个问题并分析了结果：自1997年以来，投资者的表现会如何，不是如果他或她以IPO价格购买了亚马逊一次，而是如果他或她在亚马逊股票头寸上增加了100美元每个月？</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dc9d56a475dc4df89474cd8239d436d\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"824\">Figure 1: Amazon's spheres, in Seattle, WA.<blockquote>图1：华盛顿州西雅图的亚马逊球体。</blockquote> Amazon stock: building wealth slowly<blockquote>亚马逊股票：慢慢积累财富</blockquote> There is nothing overly exciting about a methodical investment strategy whose goal is to grow capital slowly over a long period. Much of the fun chatter among investors tends to revolve around&nbsp;well-timed entries and exits. But in my opinion, the former is what is most important in successful investing.<blockquote>目标是长期缓慢增长资本的有条不紊的投资策略并没有什么令人兴奋的。投资者之间的许多有趣的讨论往往围绕着适时的进入和退出。但在我看来，前者才是成功投资最重要的。</blockquote> The chart below shows the value of a simple portfolio invested 100% in Amazon stock since the 1997 IPO. This hypothetical portfolio would have been “fed” $100 worth of AMZN each month and left untouched until today.<blockquote>下图显示了自1997年IPO以来100%投资于亚马逊股票的简单投资组合的价值。这个假设的投资组合每月将被“注入”价值100美元的AMZN，并且直到今天都没有受到影响。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab6ca11f89cc39395131d564b6773dd\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"423\">Figure 2: 100$ per month in AMZN since IPO.<blockquote>图2：自IPO以来AMZN每月100美元。</blockquote> A couple of things stand out to me, maybe to the reader as well:<blockquote>有几件事对我来说很突出，也许对读者来说也是如此：</blockquote> <ol> <li>A monthly investment of $100 per month (call it “a cup of coffee per day”) over nearly 25 years seems small to generate substantial wealth that would have been worth a whopping&nbsp;$2.78 million&nbsp;now.</li> <li>The portfolio would have been noticeably large only after several years of the strategy being in place, due to the power of compounded gains over time. It seems that patience is a virtue that pays off not in months, but in many years or even decades.</li> <li>Through recessions and bubble bursts, the portfolio’s value would have climbed relentlessly, with only a few bumps along the way. At play here is the fact that, through periodic investments, an investor can take advantage of Amazon stock price dips by buying cheaper.</li> </ol> Regarding the first point above, it is interesting to note that the overwhelming majority of the hypothetical portfolio’s value today would have come from gains, not from capital invested. The following graph breaks down how much each variable would have contributed to the $2.78 million balance.<blockquote><ol><li>在近25年的时间里，每月100美元的投资（看涨期权称之为“每天一杯咖啡”）似乎很小，无法产生价值巨大的巨额财富278万美元现在。</li><li>由于随着时间的推移复利的力量，只有在该策略实施几年后，投资组合才会明显变大。看来，耐心是一种美德，它不是在几个月内，而是在许多年甚至几十年内得到回报。</li><li>在经济衰退和泡沫破裂期间，投资组合的价值会无情地攀升，只是一路上遇到了一些坎坷。这里起作用的事实是，通过定期投资，投资者可以利用亚马逊股价下跌的机会购买更便宜的股票。</li></ol>关于上面的第一点，有趣的是，今天假设投资组合的绝大多数价值将来自收益，而不是投资资本。下图细分了每个变量对278万美元余额的贡献。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d63cc3273bf9d6de075aefb7e0836c6\" tg-width=\"715\" tg-height=\"419\">Figure 3: Capital vs. gains: $100 per month since AMZN's IPO.<blockquote>图3：资本与收益：自AMZN IPO以来每月100美元。</blockquote> On the third bullet point, notice how methodical investing smooths out the undesirable effects of buying at a peak, given enough time. The following chart depicts $100 monthly investments since the very peak of the dot-com bubble for Amazon stock, in March 1999.<blockquote>关于第三个要点，请注意，如果有足够的时间，有条不紊的投资如何消除在高峰买入的不良影响。下图描绘了自1999年3月互联网泡沫达到顶峰以来，亚马逊股票每月100美元的投资。</blockquote> In other words: even terrible timing would have still led a continuous automatic investment in AMZN to grow to $1.4 million in the past 22 years. Not bad at all.<blockquote>换句话说：即使是糟糕的时机，在过去22年里，对AMZN的持续自动投资仍会增长到140万美元。一点也不差。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cb52fb4288263831803b59736d042b4\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"419\">Figure 4: $100 per month in MAZN since peak bubble.<blockquote>图4：自泡沫顶峰以来，MAZN每月100美元。</blockquote> The Amazon Maven’s take<blockquote>亚马逊专家的看法</blockquote> To say that one should have started to invest $100 per month in AMZN at the IPO is pointless now. But I still believe that the exercise above teaches at least one lesson in methodical and patient investing, compared to obsession over timing a trade right and holding it for a short period.<blockquote>现在说人们应该在IPO时开始每月向AMZN投资100美元是毫无意义的。但我仍然相信，与痴迷于把握交易时机并短期持有相比，上面的练习至少给我们上了一堂有条不紊、耐心投资的课。</blockquote> I am skeptical that a $100-per-month investment in Amazon stock starting today will lead to multi-million-dollar balances in 20-25 years. But in my view, using a similar strategy, whether with AMZN or shares of higher-growth companies, is one of the best ways to accumulate wealth in the long haul.<blockquote>我怀疑从今天开始每月100美元投资亚马逊股票是否会在20-25年内带来数百万美元的余额。但在我看来，使用类似的策略，无论是亚马逊还是高增长公司的股票，都是长期积累财富的最佳方式之一。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock: Turning $100 Per Month Into $2.7 Million<blockquote>亚马逊股票：每月100美元变成270万美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock: Turning $100 Per Month Into $2.7 Million<blockquote>亚马逊股票：每月100美元变成270万美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-06-01 21:20\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nMethodical investing over a multi-decade period trumps obsession over timing a trade right. This has certainly been the case of Amazon stock.<blockquote>几十年来有条不紊的投资胜过对交易时机的痴迷。亚马逊股票的情况确实如此。</blockquote> Amazon is one of the most cited cases of overwhelming success in Corporate America in the past couple of decades. While few could have foreseen the story unfold early enough to invest in Amazon stock at or near the IPO (i.e. perfect timing), methodically investing in&nbsp;AMZN&nbsp;shares over time would have actually been the ultimate “grand master” strategy.<blockquote>在过去的几十年里，亚马逊是美国企业界被引用最多的巨大成功案例之一。虽然很少有人能预见到故事的展开，以至于在IPO时或临近IPO时投资亚马逊股票（即完美的时机），但有条不紊地投资于AMZN随着时间的推移，股票实际上是最终的“大师”策略。</blockquote> Today, the Amazon Maven asks a question and analyzes the results: how would an investor have fared since 1997, not if he or she had bought AMZN once at the IPO price, but if he or she had added $100 to the Amazon stock position each month?<blockquote>今天，亚马逊专家提出了一个问题并分析了结果：自1997年以来，投资者的表现会如何，不是如果他或她以IPO价格购买了亚马逊一次，而是如果他或她在亚马逊股票头寸上增加了100美元每个月？</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dc9d56a475dc4df89474cd8239d436d\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"824\">Figure 1: Amazon's spheres, in Seattle, WA.<blockquote>图1：华盛顿州西雅图的亚马逊球体。</blockquote> Amazon stock: building wealth slowly<blockquote>亚马逊股票：慢慢积累财富</blockquote> There is nothing overly exciting about a methodical investment strategy whose goal is to grow capital slowly over a long period. Much of the fun chatter among investors tends to revolve around&nbsp;well-timed entries and exits. But in my opinion, the former is what is most important in successful investing.<blockquote>目标是长期缓慢增长资本的有条不紊的投资策略并没有什么令人兴奋的。投资者之间的许多有趣的讨论往往围绕着适时的进入和退出。但在我看来，前者才是成功投资最重要的。</blockquote> The chart below shows the value of a simple portfolio invested 100% in Amazon stock since the 1997 IPO. This hypothetical portfolio would have been “fed” $100 worth of AMZN each month and left untouched until today.<blockquote>下图显示了自1997年IPO以来100%投资于亚马逊股票的简单投资组合的价值。这个假设的投资组合每月将被“注入”价值100美元的AMZN，并且直到今天都没有受到影响。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab6ca11f89cc39395131d564b6773dd\" tg-width=\"725\" tg-height=\"423\">Figure 2: 100$ per month in AMZN since IPO.<blockquote>图2：自IPO以来AMZN每月100美元。</blockquote> A couple of things stand out to me, maybe to the reader as well:<blockquote>有几件事对我来说很突出，也许对读者来说也是如此：</blockquote> <ol> <li>A monthly investment of $100 per month (call it “a cup of coffee per day”) over nearly 25 years seems small to generate substantial wealth that would have been worth a whopping&nbsp;$2.78 million&nbsp;now.</li> <li>The portfolio would have been noticeably large only after several years of the strategy being in place, due to the power of compounded gains over time. It seems that patience is a virtue that pays off not in months, but in many years or even decades.</li> <li>Through recessions and bubble bursts, the portfolio’s value would have climbed relentlessly, with only a few bumps along the way. At play here is the fact that, through periodic investments, an investor can take advantage of Amazon stock price dips by buying cheaper.</li> </ol> Regarding the first point above, it is interesting to note that the overwhelming majority of the hypothetical portfolio’s value today would have come from gains, not from capital invested. The following graph breaks down how much each variable would have contributed to the $2.78 million balance.<blockquote><ol><li>在近25年的时间里，每月100美元的投资（看涨期权称之为“每天一杯咖啡”）似乎很小，无法产生价值巨大的巨额财富278万美元现在。</li><li>由于随着时间的推移复利的力量，只有在该策略实施几年后，投资组合才会明显变大。看来，耐心是一种美德，它不是在几个月内，而是在许多年甚至几十年内得到回报。</li><li>在经济衰退和泡沫破裂期间，投资组合的价值会无情地攀升，只是一路上遇到了一些坎坷。这里起作用的事实是，通过定期投资，投资者可以利用亚马逊股价下跌的机会购买更便宜的股票。</li></ol>关于上面的第一点，有趣的是，今天假设投资组合的绝大多数价值将来自收益，而不是投资资本。下图细分了每个变量对278万美元余额的贡献。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d63cc3273bf9d6de075aefb7e0836c6\" tg-width=\"715\" tg-height=\"419\">Figure 3: Capital vs. gains: $100 per month since AMZN's IPO.<blockquote>图3：资本与收益：自AMZN IPO以来每月100美元。</blockquote> On the third bullet point, notice how methodical investing smooths out the undesirable effects of buying at a peak, given enough time. The following chart depicts $100 monthly investments since the very peak of the dot-com bubble for Amazon stock, in March 1999.<blockquote>关于第三个要点，请注意，如果有足够的时间，有条不紊的投资如何消除在高峰买入的不良影响。下图描绘了自1999年3月互联网泡沫达到顶峰以来，亚马逊股票每月100美元的投资。</blockquote> In other words: even terrible timing would have still led a continuous automatic investment in AMZN to grow to $1.4 million in the past 22 years. Not bad at all.<blockquote>换句话说：即使是糟糕的时机，在过去22年里，对AMZN的持续自动投资仍会增长到140万美元。一点也不差。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cb52fb4288263831803b59736d042b4\" tg-width=\"721\" tg-height=\"419\">Figure 4: $100 per month in MAZN since peak bubble.<blockquote>图4：自泡沫顶峰以来，MAZN每月100美元。</blockquote> The Amazon Maven’s take<blockquote>亚马逊专家的看法</blockquote> To say that one should have started to invest $100 per month in AMZN at the IPO is pointless now. But I still believe that the exercise above teaches at least one lesson in methodical and patient investing, compared to obsession over timing a trade right and holding it for a short period.<blockquote>现在说人们应该在IPO时开始每月向AMZN投资100美元是毫无意义的。但我仍然相信，与痴迷于把握交易时机并短期持有相比，上面的练习至少给我们上了一堂有条不紊、耐心投资的课。</blockquote> I am skeptical that a $100-per-month investment in Amazon stock starting today will lead to multi-million-dollar balances in 20-25 years. But in my view, using a similar strategy, whether with AMZN or shares of higher-growth companies, is one of the best ways to accumulate wealth in the long haul.<blockquote>我怀疑从今天开始每月100美元投资亚马逊股票是否会在20-25年内带来数百万美元的余额。但在我看来，使用类似的策略，无论是亚马逊还是高增长公司的股票，都是长期积累财富的最佳方式之一。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-turning-100-per-month-into-2-7-million\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-turning-100-per-month-into-2-7-million","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162348975","content_text":"Methodical investing over a multi-decade period trumps obsession over timing a trade right. This has certainly been the case of Amazon stock.\nAmazon is one of the most cited cases of overwhelming success in Corporate America in the past couple of decades. While few could have foreseen the story unfold early enough to invest in Amazon stock at or near the IPO (i.e. perfect timing), methodically investing in AMZN shares over time would have actually been the ultimate “grand master” strategy.\nToday, the Amazon Maven asks a question and analyzes the results: how would an investor have fared since 1997, not if he or she had bought AMZN once at the IPO price, but if he or she had added $100 to the Amazon stock position each month?\nFigure 1: Amazon's spheres, in Seattle, WA.\nAmazon stock: building wealth slowly\nThere is nothing overly exciting about a methodical investment strategy whose goal is to grow capital slowly over a long period. Much of the fun chatter among investors tends to revolve around well-timed entries and exits. But in my opinion, the former is what is most important in successful investing.\nThe chart below shows the value of a simple portfolio invested 100% in Amazon stock since the 1997 IPO. This hypothetical portfolio would have been “fed” $100 worth of AMZN each month and left untouched until today.\nFigure 2: 100$ per month in AMZN since IPO.\nA couple of things stand out to me, maybe to the reader as well:\n\nA monthly investment of $100 per month (call it “a cup of coffee per day”) over nearly 25 years seems small to generate substantial wealth that would have been worth a whopping $2.78 million now.\nThe portfolio would have been noticeably large only after several years of the strategy being in place, due to the power of compounded gains over time. It seems that patience is a virtue that pays off not in months, but in many years or even decades.\nThrough recessions and bubble bursts, the portfolio’s value would have climbed relentlessly, with only a few bumps along the way. At play here is the fact that, through periodic investments, an investor can take advantage of Amazon stock price dips by buying cheaper.\n\nRegarding the first point above, it is interesting to note that the overwhelming majority of the hypothetical portfolio’s value today would have come from gains, not from capital invested. The following graph breaks down how much each variable would have contributed to the $2.78 million balance.\nFigure 3: Capital vs. gains: $100 per month since AMZN's IPO.\nOn the third bullet point, notice how methodical investing smooths out the undesirable effects of buying at a peak, given enough time. The following chart depicts $100 monthly investments since the very peak of the dot-com bubble for Amazon stock, in March 1999.\nIn other words: even terrible timing would have still led a continuous automatic investment in AMZN to grow to $1.4 million in the past 22 years. Not bad at all.\nFigure 4: $100 per month in MAZN since peak bubble.\nThe Amazon Maven’s take\nTo say that one should have started to invest $100 per month in AMZN at the IPO is pointless now. But I still believe that the exercise above teaches at least one lesson in methodical and patient investing, compared to obsession over timing a trade right and holding it for a short period.\nI am skeptical that a $100-per-month investment in Amazon stock starting today will lead to multi-million-dollar balances in 20-25 years. But in my view, using a similar strategy, whether with AMZN or shares of higher-growth companies, is one of the best ways to accumulate wealth in the long haul.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1221,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}