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2021-07-03

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Amazon Stock: Seesawing Through The First Half Of 2021<blockquote>亚马逊股票：2021年上半年拉锯</blockquote>

Half of 2021 is now gone. Today, the Amazon Maven reviews the wobbly performance of Amazon stock thr

Amazon Stock: Seesawing Through The First Half Of 2021<blockquote>亚马逊股票：2021年上半年拉锯</blockquote>

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Today, the Amazon Maven reviews the wobbly performance of Amazon stock thr","content":"Half of 2021 is now gone. Today, the Amazon Maven reviews the wobbly performance of Amazon stock through the first six months of the year.<blockquote>2021年已经过去一半了。今天，亚马逊专家回顾了亚马逊股票今年前六个月的不稳定表现。</blockquote> The first six months of the year are now in the rearview mirror. After climbing 330% in the five years leading to the end of 2020, almost&nbsp;like a meme stock of sorts, Amazon shareshad a less exciting first half of 2021: up “only” 6%.<blockquote>今年的前六个月现在已经成为过去。亚马逊股价在截至2020年底的五年内上涨了330%，几乎就像某种模因股票一样，但2021年上半年却不那么令人兴奋：“仅”上涨了6%。</blockquote> The Amazon Maven reviews the stock’s year-to-date journey, which has been marked mostly by short bursts of rallies and pullbacks, not much by a clear trend higher or lower.<blockquote>亚马逊专家回顾了该股今年迄今为止的历程，其特点主要是短暂的反弹和回调，而没有太多明显的上涨或下跌趋势。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0d6f794f2aebd7628292be1b9d0ec0\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Figure 1: Amazon's logo.<blockquote>图1：亚马逊的logo。</blockquote> Amazon’s first half numbers<blockquote>亚马逊上半年数据</blockquote> Amazon stock’s performance in the first six months is depicted in the chart below, in blue. Notice how shares seesawed, climbing in March, April and June, but correcting in February and May. Below are also some interesting metrics on AMZN.<blockquote>亚马逊股票前六个月的表现如下图所示，用蓝色表示。请注意股价如何拉锯，在三月、四月和六月攀升，但在二月和五月回调。以下是AMZN的一些有趣指标。</blockquote> <ul> <li>Absoluteannualizedreturn of&nbsp;12%, well below the S&amp;P 500’sannualized33%.</li> <li>Annualized volatility of 31%, a hair above its own historical average of 28% in the past decade.</li> <li>Maximum drawdown of&nbsp;13%, not bad compared to peers like Apple and other growth stocks.</li> <li>Best month of returns: April,12%</li> <li>Worst month of returns: May,-7%</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bffd881eaa6e17f00211511f7c5f8c9\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"629\">Figure 2: AMZN's annualized return vs. S&amp;P 500.<blockquote><ul><li>绝对的年化返回12%，远低于标普500年化33%.</li><li>年化波动率为31%，略高于过去十年28%的历史平均水平。</li><li>最大回撤13%，与苹果和其他成长型股票等同行相比还不错。</li><li>最佳回报月份：四月，12%</li><li>回报最差月份：五月，-7%</li></ul>图2：AMZN与标普500的年化回报率。</blockquote> Not unlike some of its tech and growth peers, Amazon stock kicked off the new year in style. Shares rushed ahead of fourth quarter earnings, when the company stunned investors with one of the largest all-round beats in the company’s history.<blockquote>与一些科技和成长型同行不同，亚马逊股票以时尚的方式开启了新的一年。在第四季度财报公布之前，该公司股价飙升，这是该公司历史上最大的全面涨幅之一，令投资者震惊。</blockquote> Some could blame&nbsp;the announcement of celebrity founder Jeff Bezos’s retirement for the stock’s post-earnings selloff. AMZN share price declined 13%, the most so far in 2021, between earnings day and March 8. But I believe macroeconomic forces were the culprit here.<blockquote>有些人可能会将该股财报发布后的抛售归咎于名人创始人杰夫·贝索斯宣布退休。从财报日到3月8日，AMZN股价下跌13%，为2021年迄今为止最大跌幅。但我认为宏观经济力量是罪魁祸首。</blockquote> With the reopening of the economy and supply chain constraints that started to develop, the market began fearing rising inflation for the first time in many years. The 10-year government bond yield shot through the roof while Amazon stock fell apart. Cyclical sectors did much better than growth stocks.<blockquote>随着经济的重新开放和供应链限制开始发展，市场多年来首次开始担心通胀上升。10年期政府债券收益率飙升，而亚马逊股价则暴跌。周期板块表现远好于成长股。</blockquote> The rebound in AMZN happened once yields stabilized in mid-March – and the recovery was fast and furious. Between March 8 and April 29, Amazon share price increased by a whopping 18%, nearly reaching September 2020 all-time highs.<blockquote>3月中旬收益率企稳后，亚马逊就出现了反弹，而且复苏迅速而猛烈。3月8日至4月29日期间，亚马逊股价飙升18%，几乎达到2020年9月的历史高点。</blockquote> Once&nbsp;Amazon’s monster second quarter earnings&nbsp;became old news, the stock started to head lower once again. Within only two weeks, AMZN had lost nearly 10% of its value compared to pre-earnings levels. The stock dipped into negative territory for the year.<blockquote>一旦亚马逊第二季度的巨额盈利成为旧闻，该股就开始再次走低。在短短两周内，AMZN的价值与财报前的水平相比就损失了近10%。该股今年跌至负值。</blockquote> From that second quarter low, Amazon shot almost straight up to its current price of $3,450. Renewed bullishness was possibly driven by valuations&nbsp;that became much more palatable– current-year P/E in the mid-60s, which is unusually low for Amazon standards – without a deterioration in fundamentals.<blockquote>从第二季度的低点开始，亚马逊几乎直线上涨至目前的3,450美元。重新出现的看涨情绪可能是由估值变得更加容易接受推动的——今年的市盈率在60年代中期，以亚马逊的标准来看，这是异常低的——而基本面并没有恶化。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock: Seesawing Through The First Half Of 2021<blockquote>亚马逊股票：2021年上半年拉锯</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock: Seesawing Through The First Half Of 2021<blockquote>亚马逊股票：2021年上半年拉锯</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-07-02 21:17\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nHalf of 2021 is now gone. Today, the Amazon Maven reviews the wobbly performance of Amazon stock through the first six months of the year.<blockquote>2021年已经过去一半了。今天，亚马逊专家回顾了亚马逊股票今年前六个月的不稳定表现。</blockquote> The first six months of the year are now in the rearview mirror. After climbing 330% in the five years leading to the end of 2020, almost&nbsp;like a meme stock of sorts, Amazon shareshad a less exciting first half of 2021: up “only” 6%.<blockquote>今年的前六个月现在已经成为过去。亚马逊股价在截至2020年底的五年内上涨了330%，几乎就像某种模因股票一样，但2021年上半年却不那么令人兴奋：“仅”上涨了6%。</blockquote> The Amazon Maven reviews the stock’s year-to-date journey, which has been marked mostly by short bursts of rallies and pullbacks, not much by a clear trend higher or lower.<blockquote>亚马逊专家回顾了该股今年迄今为止的历程，其特点主要是短暂的反弹和回调，而没有太多明显的上涨或下跌趋势。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c0d6f794f2aebd7628292be1b9d0ec0\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"698\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Figure 1: Amazon's logo.<blockquote>图1：亚马逊的logo。</blockquote> Amazon’s first half numbers<blockquote>亚马逊上半年数据</blockquote> Amazon stock’s performance in the first six months is depicted in the chart below, in blue. Notice how shares seesawed, climbing in March, April and June, but correcting in February and May. Below are also some interesting metrics on AMZN.<blockquote>亚马逊股票前六个月的表现如下图所示，用蓝色表示。请注意股价如何拉锯，在三月、四月和六月攀升，但在二月和五月回调。以下是AMZN的一些有趣指标。</blockquote> <ul> <li>Absoluteannualizedreturn of&nbsp;12%, well below the S&amp;P 500’sannualized33%.</li> <li>Annualized volatility of 31%, a hair above its own historical average of 28% in the past decade.</li> <li>Maximum drawdown of&nbsp;13%, not bad compared to peers like Apple and other growth stocks.</li> <li>Best month of returns: April,12%</li> <li>Worst month of returns: May,-7%</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bffd881eaa6e17f00211511f7c5f8c9\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"629\">Figure 2: AMZN's annualized return vs. S&amp;P 500.<blockquote><ul><li>绝对的年化返回12%，远低于标普500年化33%.</li><li>年化波动率为31%，略高于过去十年28%的历史平均水平。</li><li>最大回撤13%，与苹果和其他成长型股票等同行相比还不错。</li><li>最佳回报月份：四月，12%</li><li>回报最差月份：五月，-7%</li></ul>图2：AMZN与标普500的年化回报率。</blockquote> Not unlike some of its tech and growth peers, Amazon stock kicked off the new year in style. Shares rushed ahead of fourth quarter earnings, when the company stunned investors with one of the largest all-round beats in the company’s history.<blockquote>与一些科技和成长型同行不同，亚马逊股票以时尚的方式开启了新的一年。在第四季度财报公布之前，该公司股价飙升，这是该公司历史上最大的全面涨幅之一，令投资者震惊。</blockquote> Some could blame&nbsp;the announcement of celebrity founder Jeff Bezos’s retirement for the stock’s post-earnings selloff. AMZN share price declined 13%, the most so far in 2021, between earnings day and March 8. But I believe macroeconomic forces were the culprit here.<blockquote>有些人可能会将该股财报发布后的抛售归咎于名人创始人杰夫·贝索斯宣布退休。从财报日到3月8日，AMZN股价下跌13%，为2021年迄今为止最大跌幅。但我认为宏观经济力量是罪魁祸首。</blockquote> With the reopening of the economy and supply chain constraints that started to develop, the market began fearing rising inflation for the first time in many years. The 10-year government bond yield shot through the roof while Amazon stock fell apart. Cyclical sectors did much better than growth stocks.<blockquote>随着经济的重新开放和供应链限制开始发展，市场多年来首次开始担心通胀上升。10年期政府债券收益率飙升，而亚马逊股价则暴跌。周期板块表现远好于成长股。</blockquote> The rebound in AMZN happened once yields stabilized in mid-March – and the recovery was fast and furious. Between March 8 and April 29, Amazon share price increased by a whopping 18%, nearly reaching September 2020 all-time highs.<blockquote>3月中旬收益率企稳后，亚马逊就出现了反弹，而且复苏迅速而猛烈。3月8日至4月29日期间，亚马逊股价飙升18%，几乎达到2020年9月的历史高点。</blockquote> Once&nbsp;Amazon’s monster second quarter earnings&nbsp;became old news, the stock started to head lower once again. Within only two weeks, AMZN had lost nearly 10% of its value compared to pre-earnings levels. The stock dipped into negative territory for the year.<blockquote>一旦亚马逊第二季度的巨额盈利成为旧闻，该股就开始再次走低。在短短两周内，AMZN的价值与财报前的水平相比就损失了近10%。该股今年跌至负值。</blockquote> From that second quarter low, Amazon shot almost straight up to its current price of $3,450. Renewed bullishness was possibly driven by valuations&nbsp;that became much more palatable– current-year P/E in the mid-60s, which is unusually low for Amazon standards – without a deterioration in fundamentals.<blockquote>从第二季度的低点开始，亚马逊几乎直线上涨至目前的3,450美元。重新出现的看涨情绪可能是由估值变得更加容易接受推动的——今年的市盈率在60年代中期，以亚马逊的标准来看，这是异常低的——而基本面并没有恶化。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-seesawing-through-the-first-half-of-2021\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-seesawing-through-the-first-half-of-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193296308","content_text":"Half of 2021 is now gone. Today, the Amazon Maven reviews the wobbly performance of Amazon stock through the first six months of the year.\nThe first six months of the year are now in the rearview mirror. After climbing 330% in the five years leading to the end of 2020, almost like a meme stock of sorts, Amazon shareshad a less exciting first half of 2021: up “only” 6%.\nThe Amazon Maven reviews the stock’s year-to-date journey, which has been marked mostly by short bursts of rallies and pullbacks, not much by a clear trend higher or lower.\nFigure 1: Amazon's logo.\nAmazon’s first half numbers\nAmazon stock’s performance in the first six months is depicted in the chart below, in blue. Notice how shares seesawed, climbing in March, April and June, but correcting in February and May. Below are also some interesting metrics on AMZN.\n\nAbsoluteannualizedreturn of 12%, well below the S&P 500’sannualized33%.\nAnnualized volatility of 31%, a hair above its own historical average of 28% in the past decade.\nMaximum drawdown of 13%, not bad compared to peers like Apple and other growth stocks.\nBest month of returns: April,12%\nWorst month of returns: May,-7%\n\nFigure 2: AMZN's annualized return vs. S&P 500.\nNot unlike some of its tech and growth peers, Amazon stock kicked off the new year in style. Shares rushed ahead of fourth quarter earnings, when the company stunned investors with one of the largest all-round beats in the company’s history.\nSome could blame the announcement of celebrity founder Jeff Bezos’s retirement for the stock’s post-earnings selloff. AMZN share price declined 13%, the most so far in 2021, between earnings day and March 8. But I believe macroeconomic forces were the culprit here.\nWith the reopening of the economy and supply chain constraints that started to develop, the market began fearing rising inflation for the first time in many years. The 10-year government bond yield shot through the roof while Amazon stock fell apart. Cyclical sectors did much better than growth stocks.\nThe rebound in AMZN happened once yields stabilized in mid-March – and the recovery was fast and furious. Between March 8 and April 29, Amazon share price increased by a whopping 18%, nearly reaching September 2020 all-time highs.\nOnce Amazon’s monster second quarter earnings became old news, the stock started to head lower once again. Within only two weeks, AMZN had lost nearly 10% of its value compared to pre-earnings levels. The stock dipped into negative territory for the year.\nFrom that second quarter low, Amazon shot almost straight up to its current price of $3,450. Renewed bullishness was possibly driven by valuations that became much more palatable– current-year P/E in the mid-60s, which is unusually low for Amazon standards – without a deterioration in fundamentals.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1477,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":29,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}